2017 Projection Evaluation

Summary

Batting

System	PA raw	wOBA	SO	BB	HR	R	RBI	SB	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System	BF raw	wOBA	ERA	SO	BB	HR	W	L	SV	HLD	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Adam Eaton	107	658 (551.4)	622 (515.0)	651 (543.7)	666 (559.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Martín Prado	569	147	422.5
2	Travis Jankowski	494	87	407.2
3	Daniel Vogelbach	430	31	399.1
4	Chris Marrero	440	41	399.0
5	Jhonny Peralta	452	58	393.9
6	Tyler Naquin	431	40	390.7
7	Lane Adams	500	122	378.0
8	Leonys Martin	484	138	346.4
9	AJ Reed	342	6	336.1
10	Adrián González	575	252	323.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Thames	100	551	451.0
2	Cody Bellinger	100	548	448.0
3	Martín Prado	575	147	428.0
4	Aaron Judge	253	678	425.0
5	Johnny Giavotella	432	10	422.0
6	Billy Burns	424	6	418.0
7	Pedro Álvarez	436	34	402.0
8	Andrew Benintendi	268	658	390.0
9	Leonys Martin	519	138	381.0
10	Kirk Nieuwenhuis	409	31	378.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Travis Jankowski	584	87	497.5
2	Cody Bellinger	51	548	496.9
3	Chris Taylor	91	568	476.9
4	Paul DeJong	1	443	442.0
5	Mark Reynolds	164	593	429.0
6	Yolmer Sánchez	106	534	428.5
7	Ben Gamel	133	550	417.4
8	Tommy Pham	114	530	415.8
9	Jorge Bonifacio	6	422	415.5
10	Ian Happ	1	413	412.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dustin Fowler	582	0	582.0
2	Miguel Andujar	576	8	568.0
3	Jack Reinheimer	572	5	567.0
4	Tim Locastro	562	1	561.0
5	Joey Wendle	571	14	557.0
6	Christian Walker	567	15	552.0
7	Alex Verdugo	570	25	545.0
8	AJ Reed	540	6	534.0
9	Christopher Bostick	560	32	528.0
10	Ryan McMahon	552	24	528.0

Most Unique Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Eric Thames	100	509	551	451.0	41.9	409.1
2	Manuel Margot	226	553	529	303.0	23.8	279.2
3	Josh Bell	283	562	620	337.0	58.2	278.8
4	Trey Mancini	212	479	586	374.0	106.8	267.2
5	Andrew Benintendi	268	531	658	390.0	127.3	262.7
6	Alex Bregman	320	571	626	306.0	55.4	250.6
7	Ryon Healy	350	590	605	255.0	15.0	240.0
8	Kyle Schwarber	237	500	486	249.0	14.0	235.0
9	Dansby Swanson	282	587	551	269.0	36.1	232.9
10	Matt Davidson	205	436	443	238.0	6.9	231.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jorge Bonifacio	6	284	422	415.5	137.8	277.8
2	Bradley Zimmer	1	262	332	331.0	69.5	261.5
3	Adam Engel	26	280	336	310.1	56.1	254.1
4	Nick Williams	34	286	343	309.4	56.7	252.7
5	Carlos Asuaje	60	309	343	282.7	33.9	248.9
6	Ian Happ	1	244	413	412.0	169.0	243.0
7	Paul DeJong	1	240	443	442.0	203.0	239.0
8	Johan Camargo	20	260	256	236.2	4.4	231.8
9	Cody Bellinger	51	283	548	496.9	265.4	231.5
10	Ben Gamel	133	356	550	417.4	193.7	223.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Raimel Tapia	631	329	171	460.0	157.9	302.1
2	Tyler Wade	582	292	63	519.0	228.5	290.5
3	Dustin Fowler	582	292	0	582.0	291.5	290.5
4	Derek Fisher	572	286	166	406.0	120.5	285.5
5	Miguel Andujar	576	291	8	568.0	283.2	284.8
6	Alex Verdugo	570	286	25	545.0	260.5	284.5
7	Jack Reinheimer	572	289	5	567.0	284.3	282.7
8	Andrew Stevenson	566	284	66	500.0	217.5	282.5
9	Richard Urena	576	294	75	501.0	219.4	281.6
10	Tim Locastro	562	282	1	561.0	280.5	280.5

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Zack Cozart	0.3922	0.2954 (43.4)	0.2981 (44.5)	0.2950 (44.1)	0.2958 (42.8)
Rougned Odor	0.2753	0.3363 (47.0)	0.3209 (33.7)	0.3353 (45.7)	0.3373 (48.2)
Aaron Judge	0.4344	0.3266 (65.5)	0.2985 (87.9)	0.3273 (65.7)	0.3260 (65.4)
Justin Smoak	0.3726	0.3121 (31.4)	0.3080 (37.1)	0.3096 (33.6)	0.3146 (29.2)
José Ramírez	0.3988	0.3259 (39.8)	0.3154 (49.7)	0.3288 (38.6)	0.3230 (41.2)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3897	0.3274 (34.7)	0.3184 (44.2)	0.3322 (32.1)	0.3225 (37.5)
Charlie Blackmon	0.4162	0.3505 (39.5)	0.3529 (41.3)	0.3417 (46.6)	0.3592 (32.6)
Miguel Cabrera	0.3169	0.3877 (43.4)	0.3860 (39.9)	0.3941 (46.2)	0.3813 (40.4)
José Bautista	0.2963	0.3669 (56.1)	0.3666 (52.5)	0.3646 (53.8)	0.3693 (58.3)
Alex Gordon	0.2708	0.3199 (32.7)	0.3240 (32.2)	0.3198 (32.0)	0.3200 (33.2)
Tommy Pham	0.3966	0.3145 (37.6)	0.3280 (33.0)	0.3108 (40.1)	0.3182 (35.2)
Marwin Gonzalez	0.3820	0.2962 (38.4)	0.3062 (35.8)	0.2922 (41.0)	0.3002 (35.9)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.3126	0.3880	37.0
2	Albert Pujols	0.3329	0.2891	35.0
3	Cody Bellinger	0.3140	0.3873	34.0
4	Manny Machado	0.3669	0.3291	33.8
5	J.D. Martinez	0.3560	0.4345	32.9
6	Mark Trumbo	0.3383	0.2950	32.9
7	Maikel Franco	0.3350	0.2938	32.6
8	Avisaíl García	0.3099	0.3781	32.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.3013	0.3880	46.3
2	Avisaíl García	0.3011	0.3781	39.7
3	Chris Taylor	0.2869	0.3613	38.7
4	Adam Engel	0.3267	0.2242	36.5
5	Anthony Rendon	0.3324	0.3971	35.3
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3630	0.4158	32.1
7	Logan Morrison	0.3085	0.3671	31.4
8	Michael Conforto	0.3188	0.3955	31.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Albert Pujols	0.3383	0.2891	37.8
2	Cody Bellinger	0.3084	0.3873	37.6
3	J.D. Martinez	0.3476	0.4345	37.5
4	Manny Machado	0.3710	0.3291	36.0
5	Mark Trumbo	0.3407	0.2950	33.8
6	Maikel Franco	0.3367	0.2938	33.1
7	Chris Taylor	0.2962	0.3613	31.2
8	Scooter Gennett	0.2945	0.3673	31.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2980	0.3880	44.9
2	Avisaíl García	0.3053	0.3781	34.1
3	Albert Pujols	0.3275	0.2891	32.1
4	Maikel Franco	0.3332	0.2938	32.0
5	Mark Trumbo	0.3358	0.2950	31.9
6	Manny Machado	0.3629	0.3291	31.6
7	Chris Taylor	0.2943	0.3613	31.2
8	Cody Bellinger	0.3196	0.3873	30.5

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Judge	0.2985	0.3266	0.4344	87.9	65.5	22.4
2	Adam Engel	0.3267	0.2652	0.2242	36.5	17.5	19.0
3	Eric Thames	0.3267	0.3526	0.3718	21.4	4.4	17.0
4	Yuli Gurriel	0.3028	0.3271	0.3451	20.3	3.8	16.5
5	Joey Gallo	0.3000	0.3227	0.3643	30.9	16.2	14.7
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.3630	0.3781	0.4158	32.1	18.3	13.9
7	JT Riddle	0.3267	0.2672	0.2708	15.4	1.9	13.5
8	Mark Reynolds	0.3205	0.3374	0.3575	18.2	5.3	12.9
9	Bryce Harper	0.3785	0.3970	0.4219	18.3	6.7	11.5
10	Allen Córdoba	0.3267	0.2720	0.2584	16.9	5.6	11.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.3417	0.3505	0.4162	46.6	39.5	7.1
2	Edwin Encarnación	0.3547	0.3615	0.3748	6.6	1.4	5.3
3	Brian Dozier	0.3317	0.3376	0.3647	16.1	11.2	4.9
4	Victor Martinez	0.3404	0.3283	0.3056	19.6	14.8	4.8
5	Jose Iglesias	0.3051	0.2945	0.2817	16.4	11.8	4.7
6	J.D. Martinez	0.3476	0.3560	0.4345	37.5	32.9	4.6
7	Paul DeJong	0.2795	0.2890	0.3595	30.9	26.3	4.6
8	Steven Souza Jr.	0.3030	0.3094	0.3481	21.5	17.0	4.6
9	Scooter Gennett	0.2945	0.3023	0.3673	31.1	26.7	4.4
10	Martín Maldonado	0.2904	0.2801	0.2751	12.0	7.6	4.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2980	0.3126	0.3880	44.9	37.0	7.9
2	David Peralta	0.3494	0.3376	0.3425	10.9	3.6	7.2
3	Mike Moustakas	0.3164	0.3266	0.3488	12.2	6.5	5.6
4	Adam Duvall	0.3259	0.3187	0.3271	7.0	1.8	5.2
5	Austin Hays	0.3267	0.2056	0.2373	6.4	1.3	5.1
6	Byron Buxton	0.3188	0.3098	0.3101	10.6	5.5	5.0
7	Eric Thames	0.3429	0.3526	0.3718	9.3	4.4	4.9
8	Mike Aviles	0.3267	0.2807	0.2572	7.9	3.4	4.5
9	Jordan Luplow	0.3267	0.2645	0.2837	4.8	0.7	4.1
10	Steve Pearce	0.3612	0.3503	0.3237	17.2	13.2	4.1

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
George Springer	0.1765	0.2591 (56.4)	0.2464 (49.3)	0.2436 (49.0)	0.2746 (63.8)
Justin Turner	0.1031	0.1753 (43.0)	0.1770 (44.7)	0.1770 (46.0)	0.1735 (40.1)
Justin Smoak	0.2009	0.2757 (52.1)	0.2668 (47.4)	0.2775 (55.7)	0.2739 (48.6)
Joey Votto	0.1174	0.1920 (57.8)	0.1870 (55.2)	0.1898 (58.8)	0.1943 (56.7)
Yonder Alonso	0.2265	0.1332 (44.9)	0.1446 (38.3)	0.1373 (40.8)	0.1290 (49.0)
José Bautista	0.2478	0.1880 (36.2)	0.1738 (44.9)	0.1878 (33.7)	0.1882 (38.5)
Kris Bryant	0.1925	0.2555 (46.7)	0.2480 (42.6)	0.2403 (39.0)	0.2708 (54.4)
Robbie Grossman	0.1732	0.2421 (34.6)	0.2413 (34.9)	0.2342 (32.7)	0.2500 (36.6)
Eddie Rosario	0.1800	0.2261 (31.4)	0.2407 (40.8)	0.2212 (30.6)	0.2311 (32.1)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2901	0.2355	42.7
2	Yuli Gurriel	0.1772	0.1099	42.0
3	Rougned Odor	0.1796	0.2488	40.5
4	Evan Longoria	0.2124	0.1610	39.6
5	Austin Hedges	0.1938	0.2926	38.2
6	Logan Morrison	0.1853	0.2479	33.3
7	Tyler Flowers	0.3015	0.2216	32.2
8	Tommy Pham	0.2736	0.2208	31.8
9	Anthony Rendon	0.1789	0.1355	30.5
10	Anthony Rizzo	0.1670	0.1302	30.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Davidson	0.2098	0.3725	68.3
2	Whit Merrifield	0.2120	0.1397	50.9
3	Alex Bregman	0.2219	0.1550	47.2
4	Adam Engel	0.2115	0.3482	43.1
5	Eric Thames	0.2115	0.2958	41.8
6	Hunter Renfroe	0.1973	0.2923	41.4
7	Keon Broxton	0.2853	0.3780	39.0
8	Ian Happ	0.2115	0.3123	38.1
9	Matt Holliday	0.1698	0.2670	37.9
10	Trevor Story	0.2734	0.3441	34.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Austin Hedges	0.1756	0.2926	44.3
2	Evan Longoria	0.2075	0.1610	38.8
3	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2807	0.2355	38.7
4	Rougned Odor	0.1800	0.2488	37.8
5	Tommy Pham	0.2764	0.2208	35.2
6	Trevor Story	0.2713	0.3441	34.4
7	Tyler Flowers	0.3024	0.2216	33.9
8	Anthony Rendon	0.1789	0.1355	32.8
9	Matt Holliday	0.1819	0.2670	31.7
10	Kyle Schwarber	0.2348	0.3086	30.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.2152	0.1099	61.3
2	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2996	0.2355	46.7
3	Rougned Odor	0.1791	0.2488	43.2
4	Evan Longoria	0.2173	0.1610	40.4
5	Logan Morrison	0.1797	0.2479	38.9
6	Austin Hedges	0.2120	0.2926	32.2
7	Tyler Flowers	0.3006	0.2216	30.5
8	Anthony Rizzo	0.1709	0.1302	30.5
9	Avisaíl García	0.2484	0.1979	30.3
10	Joc Pederson	0.2981	0.2105	29.4

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt Davidson	0.2098	0.3370	0.3725	68.3	12.6	55.7
2	Alex Bregman	0.2219	0.1499	0.1550	47.2	1.3	45.9
3	Keon Broxton	0.2853	0.3510	0.3780	39.0	9.2	29.8
4	Eric Thames	0.2115	0.2618	0.2958	41.8	14.8	27.0
5	Ian Happ	0.2115	0.2778	0.3123	38.1	11.3	26.8
6	Hunter Renfroe	0.1973	0.2537	0.2923	41.4	15.1	26.4
7	Adam Frazier	0.1895	0.1330	0.1256	32.9	6.6	26.3
8	Adam Engel	0.2115	0.2867	0.3482	43.1	18.3	24.8
9	Paul DeJong	0.2115	0.2687	0.2799	26.5	1.8	24.7
10	Whit Merrifield	0.2120	0.1785	0.1397	50.9	28.9	22.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.2348	0.2703	0.3086	30.6	15.2	15.5
2	Tim Anderson	0.2372	0.2577	0.2673	11.7	1.5	10.1
3	Javier Báez	0.2371	0.2590	0.2835	18.1	8.8	9.3
4	Lane Adams	0.2115	0.2900	0.3033	9.9	0.8	9.1
5	Hunter Renfroe	0.2310	0.2537	0.2923	24.2	15.1	9.1
6	Eric Thames	0.2416	0.2618	0.2958	23.9	14.8	9.1
7	Matt Davidson	0.3138	0.3370	0.3725	21.2	12.6	8.6
8	Gary Sánchez	0.1942	0.2143	0.2286	12.4	3.8	8.6
9	Jorge Bonifacio	0.2315	0.2554	0.2796	15.8	7.2	8.5
10	Keon Broxton	0.3289	0.3510	0.3780	17.7	9.2	8.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.2152	0.1772	0.1099	61.3	42.0	19.4
2	Cody Bellinger	0.3054	0.2707	0.2664	23.2	6.2	17.0
3	Aaron Judge	0.3429	0.3146	0.3068	26.8	10.1	16.7
4	Domingo Santana	0.3262	0.3071	0.2932	22.1	12.7	9.3
5	Kris Bryant	0.2708	0.2555	0.1925	54.4	46.7	7.7
6	George Springer	0.2746	0.2591	0.1765	63.8	56.4	7.4
7	Joey Gallo	0.3968	0.3793	0.3684	16.9	9.5	7.4
8	Matt Chapman	0.3304	0.3047	0.2822	16.8	9.6	7.2
9	Tim Anderson	0.2782	0.2577	0.2673	8.6	1.5	7.1
10	Edwin Encarnación	0.1753	0.1819	0.1988	13.4	6.5	6.9

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Zack Cozart	0.1223	0.0623 (26.3)	0.0658 (25.6)	0.0636 (26.5)	0.0609 (26.3)
Eric Sogard	0.1505	0.0681 (22.2)	0.0753 (20.7)	0.0714 (21.7)	0.0648 (22.8)
Logan Forsythe	0.1572	0.0803 (30.2)	0.0829 (30.0)	0.0822 (30.1)	0.0785 (30.4)
Matt Carpenter	0.1752	0.1320 (21.9)	0.1248 (27.6)	0.1325 (22.5)	0.1314 (21.3)
Steven Souza Jr.	0.1361	0.0868 (25.5)	0.0835 (28.7)	0.0876 (25.9)	0.0860 (25.1)
Yasmani Grandal	0.0830	0.1395 (31.1)	0.1295 (25.3)	0.1386 (29.9)	0.1404 (32.3)
Aaron Judge	0.1873	0.0904 (60.3)	0.0830 (66.6)	0.0946 (58.5)	0.0862 (62.1)
Brad Miller	0.1548	0.0866 (24.5)	0.0830 (26.7)	0.0876 (24.7)	0.0855 (24.3)
Logan Morrison	0.1348	0.0917 (21.0)	0.0846 (26.5)	0.0936 (20.9)	0.0899 (21.3)
José Bautista	0.1224	0.1519 (25.7)	0.1523 (24.7)	0.1529 (25.3)	0.1510 (26.1)
Eugenio Suárez	0.1329	0.0764 (30.6)	0.0710 (35.3)	0.0788 (30.1)	0.0740 (31.2)
Todd Frazier	0.1441	0.0849 (29.5)	0.0804 (33.2)	0.0877 (28.7)	0.0820 (30.3)
Martín Maldonado	0.0318	0.1010 (36.3)	0.1029 (36.3)	0.1015 (35.9)	0.1005 (36.8)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.0722	0.0390	23.3
2	Matt Davidson	0.0840	0.0429	21.8
3	Bryce Harper	0.1734	0.1382	21.3
4	Marwin Gonzalez	0.0461	0.0951	21.1
5	Anthony Rendon	0.0972	0.1388	20.3
6	Carlos Santana	0.1543	0.1319	20.3
7	Eric Thames	0.0914	0.1361	20.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Thames	0.0870	0.1361	23.7
2	Anthony Rendon	0.0936	0.1388	23.7
3	Jake Lamb	0.0941	0.1370	23.4
4	Edwin Encarnación	0.1159	0.1555	22.4
5	Mike Trout	0.1371	0.1854	21.4
6	Mookie Betts	0.0728	0.1081	20.9
7	Yonder Alonso	0.0851	0.1305	20.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Davidson	0.0875	0.0429	22.7
2	Elvis Andrus	0.0795	0.0552	21.2
3	Marwin Gonzalez	0.0485	0.0951	20.7
4	Bryce Harper	0.1735	0.1382	20.6
5	Carlos Santana	0.1557	0.1319	20.2
6	Jake Lamb	0.0996	0.1370	19.6
7	Odúbel Herrera	0.0831	0.0551	19.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.0819	0.0390	29.6
2	Corey Seager	0.0622	0.1093	23.0
3	Bryce Harper	0.1733	0.1382	22.0
4	Eric Thames	0.0868	0.1361	21.9
5	Anthony Rendon	0.0937	0.1388	21.6
6	Marwin Gonzalez	0.0438	0.0951	21.6
7	Matt Davidson	0.0805	0.0429	20.9

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Paul DeJong	0.0870	0.0600	0.0474	20.2	9.1	11.1
2	Mike Trout	0.1371	0.1558	0.1854	21.4	11.0	10.5
3	Joey Gallo	0.0983	0.1157	0.1410	19.5	9.1	10.3
4	Johan Camargo	0.0870	0.0448	0.0469	11.8	1.5	10.3
5	Joey Votto	0.1653	0.1778	0.1895	12.9	2.6	10.3
6	Hunter Renfroe	0.0717	0.0480	0.0564	10.3	0.1	10.1
7	Domingo Santana	0.0978	0.1126	0.1203	9.9	0.2	9.7
8	Manny Piña	0.0917	0.0628	0.0557	15.1	5.4	9.6
9	JT Riddle	0.0870	0.0470	0.0486	11.0	1.6	9.4
10	Anthony Rizzo	0.1078	0.1181	0.1317	12.3	3.8	8.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andrew Benintendi	0.0729	0.0776	0.1064	17.7	13.7	4.1
2	Dansby Swanson	0.0789	0.0834	0.1071	11.9	8.6	3.3
3	Evan Longoria	0.0787	0.0735	0.0679	11.7	9.2	2.4
4	Odúbel Herrera	0.0831	0.0777	0.0551	19.5	17.3	2.2
5	Victor Martinez	0.0814	0.0752	0.0828	2.2	0.2	2.0
6	Joey Votto	0.1766	0.1778	0.1895	4.6	2.6	2.0
7	Kris Bryant	0.1133	0.1147	0.1429	15.3	13.4	2.0
8	Alex Avila	0.1417	0.1451	0.1649	6.3	4.4	1.9
9	Allen Córdoba	0.0453	0.0518	0.0793	6.3	4.4	1.8
10	Tim Anderson	0.0364	0.0319	0.0215	13.0	11.2	1.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.0819	0.0722	0.0390	29.6	23.3	6.3
2	Hanley Ramirez	0.0994	0.0947	0.0922	9.2	5.8	3.4
3	Austin Hays	0.0870	0.0340	0.0317	4.1	0.6	3.4
4	David Peralta	0.0751	0.0711	0.0745	5.8	2.6	3.2
5	Cory Spangenberg	0.0763	0.0714	0.0700	7.7	4.6	3.1
6	Mike Aviles	0.0870	0.0510	0.0619	3.4	0.3	3.1
7	Corey Seager	0.0622	0.0685	0.1093	23.0	20.1	2.9
8	Paul DeJong	0.0647	0.0600	0.0474	11.9	9.1	2.7
9	Eric Hosmer	0.0802	0.0854	0.0984	5.8	3.3	2.5
10	Adalberto Mondesi	0.0870	0.0487	0.0500	2.8	0.4	2.4

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Joc Pederson	0.0310	0.0096 (6.6)	0.0118 (6.0)	0.0100 (6.5)	0.0093 (6.8)
Carlos Gómez	0.0446	0.0177 (11.1)	0.0170 (11.5)	0.0160 (11.8)	0.0193 (10.5)
Yasiel Puig	0.0035	0.0139 (6.4)	0.0143 (6.4)	0.0130 (5.9)	0.0148 (6.8)
Justin Turner	0.0350	0.0167 (9.5)	0.0182 (8.8)	0.0160 (9.9)	0.0174 (9.2)
Jose Iglesias	0.0020	0.0135 (6.0)	0.0138 (6.0)	0.0120 (5.3)	0.0150 (6.7)
Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0144	0.0042 (6.6)	0.0046 (6.5)	0.0050 (6.0)	0.0033 (7.2)
Kurt Suzuki	0.0421	0.0140 (8.4)	0.0140 (8.5)	0.0130 (8.7)	0.0149 (8.2)
Eric Young Jr.	0.0560	0.0091 (5.8)	0.0096 (5.7)	0.0100 (5.6)	0.0083 (5.9)
Javier Báez	0.0020	0.0157 (7.4)	0.0158 (7.3)	0.0140 (6.5)	0.0174 (8.2)
Tyler Flowers	0.0541	0.0197 (12.4)	0.0202 (12.3)	0.0170 (13.4)	0.0225 (11.4)
Shin-Soo Choo	0.0110	0.0227 (7.9)	0.0220 (7.3)	0.0190 (5.6)	0.0264 (10.2)
Jarrod Dyson	0.0256	0.0099 (5.8)	0.0078 (6.8)	0.0100 (5.8)	0.0099 (5.9)
Todd Frazier	0.0243	0.0092 (8.2)	0.0084 (8.9)	0.0090 (8.3)	0.0095 (8.1)
Josh Harrison	0.0424	0.0108 (16.7)	0.0099 (17.3)	0.0100 (17.1)	0.0116 (16.3)
Martín Maldonado	0.0382	0.0151 (10.5)	0.0143 (11.0)	0.0120 (12.0)	0.0183 (9.1)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tommy Pham	0.0064	0.0189	6.2
2	David Freese	0.0176	0.0298	5.8
3	Brandon Moss	0.0135	0.0000	5.7
4	Leury García	0.0068	0.0245	5.5
5	Anthony Rizzo	0.0260	0.0347	5.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	James McCann	0.0069	0.0230	6.1
2	Jonathan Lucroy	0.0039	0.0166	5.9
3	Guillermo Heredia	0.0116	0.0258	5.8
4	Mitch Haniger	0.0075	0.0220	5.7
5	Joey Gallo	0.0043	0.0150	5.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Freese	0.0160	0.0298	6.5
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.0250	0.0347	6.2
3	Tommy Pham	0.0070	0.0189	5.9
4	Jonathan Lucroy	0.0050	0.0166	5.2
5	Brandon Crawford	0.0100	0.0018	5.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Derek Dietrich	0.0528	0.0388	6.8
2	Tommy Pham	0.0058	0.0189	6.6
3	Brandon Moss	0.0150	0.0000	6.3
4	Leury García	0.0057	0.0245	5.9
5	Jonathan Lucroy	0.0039	0.0166	5.8

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Guillermo Heredia	0.0116	0.0195	0.0258	5.8	2.4	3.4
2	Alex Bregman	0.0031	0.0076	0.0112	4.7	1.8	2.9
3	Cody Bellinger	0.0097	0.0049	0.0018	4.6	2.1	2.5
4	Mitch Haniger	0.0075	0.0128	0.0220	5.7	3.4	2.2
5	Ben Gamel	0.0085	0.0042	0.0018	4.0	1.8	2.2
6	Yuli Gurriel	0.0075	0.0112	0.0124	2.4	0.3	2.2
7	Scott Schebler	0.0172	0.0205	0.0264	4.6	2.7	1.9
8	Whit Merrifield	0.0027	0.0051	0.0095	4.0	2.3	1.6
9	Manuel Margot	0.0088	0.0056	0.0038	3.0	1.4	1.6
10	José A. Martínez	0.0096	0.0041	0.0000	3.1	1.5	1.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Guillermo Heredia	0.0160	0.0195	0.0258	3.8	2.4	1.5
2	Martín Maldonado	0.0120	0.0151	0.0382	12.0	10.5	1.5
3	Scott Schebler	0.0180	0.0205	0.0264	4.0	2.7	1.3
4	Kris Bryant	0.0170	0.0189	0.0226	3.2	1.9	1.2
5	Yuli Gurriel	0.0090	0.0112	0.0124	1.5	0.3	1.2
6	Jon Jay	0.0230	0.0257	0.0277	1.7	0.5	1.1
7	Tyler Flowers	0.0170	0.0197	0.0541	13.4	12.4	1.0
8	Mark Trumbo	0.0050	0.0034	0.0017	2.5	1.5	1.0
9	Justin Smoak	0.0080	0.0066	0.0031	3.6	2.7	0.9
10	Josh Reddick	0.0030	0.0015	0.0000	2.1	1.2	0.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Derek Dietrich	0.0528	0.0449	0.0388	6.8	3.2	3.6
2	Shin-Soo Choo	0.0264	0.0227	0.0110	10.2	7.9	2.3
3	Brandon Guyer	0.0620	0.0525	0.0417	4.0	2.2	1.8
4	Mike Zunino	0.0255	0.0223	0.0184	3.4	2.0	1.4
5	Starling Marte	0.0310	0.0275	0.0236	2.8	1.6	1.2
6	Rajai Davis	0.0150	0.0120	0.0027	4.8	3.7	1.1
7	Trey Mancini	0.0049	0.0065	0.0102	2.7	1.8	0.9
8	Danny Espinosa	0.0274	0.0242	0.0169	3.3	2.4	0.9
9	Corey Dickerson	0.0022	0.0036	0.0048	1.2	0.3	0.9
10	Jett Bandy	0.0297	0.0248	0.0213	1.7	0.8	0.9

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Scooter Gennett	0.0774	0.0298 (19.2)	0.0311 (19.0)	0.0277 (20.0)	0.0319 (18.6)
Joey Gallo	0.1621	0.1082 (23.9)	0.0584 (50.9)	0.0997 (28.1)	0.1172 (19.6)
Aaron Judge	0.1538	0.0869 (39.3)	0.0497 (65.2)	0.0727 (48.5)	0.1024 (29.4)
Matt Olson	0.1860	0.0484 (27.8)	0.0323 (31.5)	0.0424 (29.0)	0.0546 (26.6)
Carlos González	0.0392	0.0715 (22.0)	0.0640 (17.6)	0.0683 (20.6)	0.0747 (23.3)
Jake Marisnick	0.1119	0.0341 (17.9)	0.0296 (19.2)	0.0330 (18.0)	0.0351 (17.8)
Logan Morrison	0.1038	0.0469 (28.9)	0.0436 (31.3)	0.0523 (25.3)	0.0417 (32.5)
Yonder Alonso	0.0841	0.0225 (27.4)	0.0233 (27.5)	0.0245 (26.1)	0.0206 (28.9)
José Bautista	0.0542	0.0792 (23.2)	0.0733 (18.6)	0.0773 (22.3)	0.0811 (24.0)
Ian Happ	0.0996	0.0398 (21.0)	0.0505 (16.9)	0.0331 (23.5)	0.0470 (18.4)
J.D. Martinez	0.1461	0.0725 (31.6)	0.0698 (33.4)	0.0675 (33.8)	0.0775 (29.6)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Trumbo	0.0846	0.0560	22.6
2	Evan Longoria	0.0611	0.0388	21.1
3	Cody Bellinger	0.0695	0.1157	20.5
4	Chris Taylor	0.0136	0.0563	19.2
5	Ryan Zimmerman	0.0494	0.0893	17.9
6	Khris Davis	0.0782	0.1138	17.4
7	Miguel Cabrera	0.0671	0.0442	16.8
8	José Ramírez	0.0210	0.0557	16.6
9	Paul DeJong	0.0389	0.0850	16.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.0505	0.1157	31.3
2	Eric Thames	0.0505	0.1013	23.5
3	Matt Davidson	0.0417	0.1024	23.3
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0944	0.1350	22.5
5	Ryan Zimmerman	0.0450	0.0893	20.9
6	Michael Conforto	0.0517	0.1031	19.1
7	Rhys Hoskins	0.0505	0.1429	17.9
8	Kyle Schwarber	0.0662	0.1103	17.5
9	Marcell Ozuna	0.0453	0.0786	17.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.0563	0.1157	27.3
2	Mark Trumbo	0.0837	0.0560	22.5
3	Evan Longoria	0.0578	0.0388	19.4
4	Chris Taylor	0.0129	0.0563	19.2
5	Miguel Cabrera	0.0688	0.0442	18.0
6	Paul DeJong	0.0356	0.0850	17.7
7	Michael Conforto	0.0543	0.1031	17.2
8	Matt Davidson	0.0559	0.1024	16.4
9	Khris Davis	0.0793	0.1138	16.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Evan Longoria	0.0644	0.0388	22.8
2	Mark Trumbo	0.0856	0.0560	22.7
3	Ryan Zimmerman	0.0447	0.0893	21.0
4	Chris Taylor	0.0143	0.0563	19.2
5	Khris Davis	0.0771	0.1138	18.6
6	José Ramírez	0.0198	0.0557	17.9
7	Mike Moustakas	0.0441	0.0814	17.5
8	Kurt Suzuki	0.0154	0.0792	17.2
9	Chris Davis	0.1223	0.0981	16.9

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Gallo	0.0584	0.1082	0.1621	50.9	23.9	26.9
2	Aaron Judge	0.0497	0.0869	0.1538	65.2	39.3	25.8
3	Eric Thames	0.0505	0.0826	0.1013	23.5	5.4	18.2
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0944	0.1126	0.1350	22.5	9.4	13.1
5	Kyle Schwarber	0.0662	0.0911	0.1103	17.5	5.0	12.5
6	Cody Bellinger	0.0505	0.0695	0.1157	31.3	20.5	10.8
7	Mark Reynolds	0.0550	0.0710	0.0862	13.7	3.8	10.0
8	Johan Camargo	0.0505	0.0117	0.0207	9.7	0.0	9.7
9	JT Riddle	0.0505	0.0129	0.0162	10.5	1.4	9.1
10	Adam Frazier	0.0290	0.0070	0.0170	9.1	0.5	8.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Judge	0.0727	0.0869	0.1538	48.5	39.3	9.2
2	Cody Bellinger	0.0563	0.0695	0.1157	27.3	20.5	6.9
3	Kyle Schwarber	0.0771	0.0911	0.1103	11.5	5.0	6.5
4	Joey Gallo	0.0997	0.1082	0.1621	28.1	23.9	4.2
5	Mark Reynolds	0.0639	0.0710	0.0862	7.6	3.8	3.8
6	Charlie Blackmon	0.0408	0.0462	0.0718	15.6	12.2	3.4
7	Keon Broxton	0.0503	0.0575	0.0830	10.7	7.7	3.0
8	Eric Hosmer	0.0476	0.0437	0.0499	4.8	1.8	3.0
9	Lucas Duda	0.0725	0.0787	0.1034	10.5	7.8	2.8
10	Melky Cabrera	0.0285	0.0253	0.0307	4.9	2.3	2.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.0580	0.0458	0.0381	15.8	9.4	6.4
2	Trevor Story	0.0818	0.0741	0.0767	7.3	3.5	3.8
3	Chris Davis	0.1223	0.1144	0.0981	16.9	13.2	3.7
4	Logan Morrison	0.0417	0.0469	0.1038	32.5	28.9	3.6
5	Ryan Zimmerman	0.0447	0.0494	0.0893	21.0	17.9	3.2
6	Mike Moustakas	0.0441	0.0484	0.0814	17.5	14.4	3.0
7	Tzu-Wei Lin	0.0505	0.0064	0.0000	3.9	1.0	2.9
8	Nelson Cruz	0.0940	0.0889	0.0922	6.4	3.6	2.8
9	Brian Dozier	0.0677	0.0631	0.0711	3.3	0.6	2.7
10	Mike Aviles	0.0505	0.0226	0.0135	4.4	1.7	2.6

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Zunino	0.3547	0.2682 (37.3)	0.2577 (43.1)	0.2670 (37.9)	0.2695 (36.7)
Mookie Betts	0.2679	0.3180 (36.2)	0.3149 (31.9)	0.3156 (34.3)	0.3204 (38.0)
Rougned Odor	0.2243	0.2941 (45.9)	0.2923 (42.8)	0.2952 (46.5)	0.2931 (45.3)
Aaron Judge	0.3566	0.3007 (37.5)	0.2941 (43.8)	0.3077 (32.8)	0.2928 (42.8)
Maikel Franco	0.2343	0.2876 (33.7)	0.2818 (28.3)	0.2843 (31.5)	0.2909 (35.8)
Avisaíl García	0.3923	0.3205 (39.9)	0.3077 (48.7)	0.3195 (40.5)	0.3214 (39.3)
Tim Beckham	0.3642	0.3121 (29.5)	0.3092 (32.8)	0.3093 (31.2)	0.3148 (27.9)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3548	0.3130 (27.9)	0.3087 (32.8)	0.3132 (27.9)	0.3128 (28.0)
Mike Napoli	0.2236	0.2891 (32.1)	0.2949 (33.5)	0.2904 (32.6)	0.2879 (31.6)
Charlie Blackmon	0.3682	0.3184 (35.5)	0.3238 (33.7)	0.3180 (36.0)	0.3189 (35.2)
Francisco Lindor	0.2720	0.3158 (32.2)	0.3199 (33.1)	0.3164 (32.5)	0.3153 (31.8)
Ian Kinsler	0.2438	0.2938 (31.1)	0.3067 (37.2)	0.2915 (29.6)	0.2961 (32.5)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Manny Machado	0.3052	0.2648	28.4
2	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2856	0.3351	28.1
3	Yasiel Puig	0.3215	0.2739	27.5
4	Jose Altuve	0.3274	0.3696	27.5
5	Josh Reddick	0.2814	0.3325	27.2
6	Miguel Sanó	0.3182	0.3750	27.1
7	Kyle Schwarber	0.2985	0.2438	26.9
8	Scott Schebler	0.2976	0.2477	26.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2704	0.3351	38.5
2	Chris Taylor	0.3049	0.3608	33.0
3	Trey Mancini	0.3000	0.3516	31.5
4	Ben Gamel	0.2857	0.3395	30.7
5	Scott Schebler	0.3060	0.2477	29.8
6	Alex Avila	0.3081	0.3799	27.8
7	Tommy Pham	0.3167	0.3657	27.1
8	Eric Hosmer	0.3128	0.3508	27.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Sanó	0.3118	0.3750	30.3
2	Jose Altuve	0.3244	0.3696	29.6
3	Josh Reddick	0.2775	0.3325	29.4
4	Alex Gordon	0.3120	0.2594	28.8
5	Kyle Schwarber	0.3016	0.2438	28.4
6	Matt Carpenter	0.3168	0.2725	27.9
7	Alex Avila	0.3062	0.3799	27.5
8	Yasiel Puig	0.3208	0.2739	27.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2734	0.3351	35.1
2	Scott Schebler	0.3048	0.2477	30.8
3	Manny Machado	0.3072	0.2648	29.8
4	Yasiel Puig	0.3221	0.2739	27.9
5	Tommy Pham	0.3140	0.3657	27.0
6	Mark Reynolds	0.2966	0.3428	26.9
7	Corey Seager	0.3083	0.3522	26.4
8	Joey Gallo	0.2986	0.2500	26.3

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trey Mancini	0.3000	0.3241	0.3516	31.5	15.6	15.8
2	Ben Gamel	0.2857	0.3108	0.3395	30.7	15.4	15.4
3	Whit Merrifield	0.3320	0.3059	0.3074	14.2	0.4	13.8
4	Byron Buxton	0.3064	0.3297	0.3333	14.9	1.5	13.4
5	Leury García	0.2810	0.3116	0.3172	12.5	1.6	10.9
6	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2704	0.2856	0.3351	38.5	28.1	10.4
7	Dansby Swanson	0.3280	0.3066	0.2923	18.5	8.3	10.2
8	Chris Taylor	0.3049	0.3192	0.3608	33.0	23.2	9.8
9	Bradley Zimmer	0.3002	0.3261	0.3282	10.0	0.4	9.6
10	José Peraza	0.3268	0.3068	0.2909	17.5	8.6	8.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kris Bryant	0.3220	0.3319	0.3342	7.7	1.0	6.7
2	Matt Holliday	0.2986	0.2832	0.2735	11.0	4.5	6.5
3	Byron Buxton	0.3177	0.3297	0.3333	7.7	1.5	6.2
4	Jay Bruce	0.2629	0.2727	0.2742	6.6	0.5	6.1
5	Odúbel Herrera	0.3297	0.3400	0.3454	8.5	2.6	5.9
6	Paul DeJong	0.2933	0.3044	0.3494	24.6	19.6	5.0
7	Bradley Zimmer	0.3114	0.3261	0.3282	5.4	0.4	5.0
8	Jayson Werth	0.3108	0.2945	0.2701	11.9	7.3	4.6
9	Javier Báez	0.3039	0.3125	0.3387	17.4	12.9	4.5
10	Victor Martinez	0.2967	0.2864	0.2804	7.4	3.0	4.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2734	0.2856	0.3351	35.1	28.1	7.0
2	Steven Souza Jr.	0.3292	0.3199	0.2997	18.7	12.9	5.7
3	Rajai Davis	0.2642	0.2799	0.2960	11.3	5.6	5.7
4	Aaron Judge	0.2928	0.3007	0.3566	42.8	37.5	5.3
5	Mark Reynolds	0.2966	0.3055	0.3428	26.9	21.6	5.3
6	Ben Gamel	0.3013	0.3108	0.3395	20.6	15.4	5.2
7	Jay Bruce	0.2823	0.2727	0.2742	5.5	0.5	5.1
8	Kris Bryant	0.3425	0.3319	0.3342	6.1	1.0	5.0
9	Martín Maldonado	0.2519	0.2626	0.2656	6.1	1.0	5.0
10	Bradley Zimmer	0.3421	0.3261	0.3282	4.9	0.4	4.4

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mookie Betts	0.1774	0.2303 (36.3)	0.2290 (34.3)	0.2305 (35.5)	0.2302 (37.1)
Lucas Duda	0.1308	0.2005 (33.2)	0.2010 (32.8)	0.2054 (35.1)	0.1953 (31.3)
Joey Gallo	0.1509	0.2089 (29.7)	0.2326 (41.6)	0.2136 (31.6)	0.2038 (27.7)
Francisco Lindor	0.1820	0.2453 (44.3)	0.2506 (47.1)	0.2469 (44.6)	0.2437 (44.1)
Scott Schebler	0.1641	0.2192 (28.2)	0.2371 (36.9)	0.2191 (27.5)	0.2194 (28.9)
Avisaíl García	0.3103	0.2583 (30.3)	0.2462 (37.9)	0.2569 (31.8)	0.2597 (28.8)
Miguel Sanó	0.2991	0.2219 (38.3)	0.2402 (30.1)	0.2216 (39.0)	0.2222 (37.5)
Marcell Ozuna	0.2811	0.2333 (33.8)	0.2322 (35.6)	0.2326 (35.1)	0.2340 (32.5)
Tim Beckham	0.2977	0.2266 (42.0)	0.2126 (50.9)	0.2309 (40.3)	0.2222 (43.8)
Orlando Arcia	0.2677	0.2116 (31.9)	0.2055 (36.0)	0.2105 (33.2)	0.2127 (30.5)
Curtis Granderson	0.1386	0.1957 (29.0)	0.2000 (30.5)	0.1963 (28.7)	0.1952 (29.4)
Eric Hosmer	0.2836	0.2406 (30.2)	0.2417 (30.4)	0.2383 (32.6)	0.2429 (27.8)
Enrique Hernández	0.1286	0.2095 (27.0)	0.2165 (28.9)	0.2098 (26.7)	0.2093 (27.3)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corey Dickerson	0.2036	0.2476	28.9
2	Corey Seager	0.2226	0.2674	28.7
3	Rougned Odor	0.2119	0.1671	27.9
4	Starlin Castro	0.2355	0.2908	27.1
5	Aaron Judge	0.2245	0.2622	27.0
6	Maikel Franco	0.2138	0.1692	26.5
7	Mark Reynolds	0.2285	0.2704	26.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.2000	0.2673	36.2
2	Tommy Pham	0.2278	0.2880	33.8
3	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1918	0.2452	32.8
4	Trey Mancini	0.2214	0.2734	32.5
5	Ian Kinsler	0.2333	0.1806	30.2
6	Aaron Judge	0.2222	0.2622	29.5
7	AJ Pollock	0.2406	0.1765	28.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Starlin Castro	0.2312	0.2908	29.7
2	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2620	0.3009	29.3
3	Ender Inciarte	0.2429	0.2801	29.1
4	Rougned Odor	0.2147	0.1671	28.9
5	Alex Avila	0.2325	0.3017	27.2
6	Corey Dickerson	0.2077	0.2476	27.1
7	Jason Kipnis	0.2298	0.1577	25.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Judge	0.2091	0.2622	36.5
2	Corey Seager	0.2150	0.2674	32.6
3	Corey Dickerson	0.1993	0.2476	30.8
4	Mark Reynolds	0.2203	0.2704	30.2
5	Tommy Pham	0.2319	0.2880	30.2
6	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1978	0.2452	27.7
7	Maikel Franco	0.2139	0.1692	27.4

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Byron Buxton	0.2000	0.2346	0.2673	36.2	17.8	18.4
2	Trey Mancini	0.2214	0.2478	0.2734	32.5	16.2	16.3
3	Ben Gamel	0.2143	0.2347	0.2553	24.4	12.4	12.0
4	Joey Gallo	0.2326	0.2089	0.1509	41.6	29.7	11.8
5	Yolmer Sánchez	0.2009	0.2214	0.2419	23.8	12.0	11.8
6	Gorkys Hernández	0.2102	0.2420	0.2407	11.8	0.2	11.6
7	Matt Chapman	0.2228	0.1867	0.1559	20.7	9.4	11.3
8	Dansby Swanson	0.2487	0.2250	0.2240	11.7	0.6	11.1
9	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1918	0.2087	0.2452	32.8	22.2	10.5
10	Tim Beckham	0.2126	0.2266	0.2977	50.9	42.0	8.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Eric Thames	0.2310	0.2139	0.2000	15.3	6.5	8.7
2	Matt Holliday	0.2264	0.2096	0.2000	9.9	3.2	6.6
3	Jay Bruce	0.1808	0.1894	0.1932	9.6	3.6	6.1
4	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2620	0.2680	0.3009	29.3	24.3	5.0
5	Josh Bell	0.2391	0.2298	0.2000	22.2	17.2	5.0
6	César Hernández	0.2615	0.2683	0.2732	8.6	4.0	4.6
7	Max Kepler	0.2137	0.2046	0.1859	14.0	9.5	4.5
8	Ender Inciarte	0.2429	0.2475	0.2801	29.1	24.9	4.2
9	Javier Báez	0.2319	0.2387	0.2548	13.3	9.2	4.1
10	Jayson Werth	0.2356	0.2208	0.2069	7.3	3.4	3.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Judge	0.2091	0.2245	0.2622	36.5	27.0	9.6
2	Rajai Davis	0.1813	0.2024	0.2120	11.5	4.3	7.2
3	Yuli Gurriel	0.1935	0.2072	0.2110	10.3	3.3	7.0
4	Ben Gamel	0.2228	0.2347	0.2553	18.3	12.4	5.9
5	Kris Bryant	0.2493	0.2418	0.2286	13.2	7.4	5.8
6	Steven Souza Jr.	0.2542	0.2462	0.2271	16.2	10.5	5.7
7	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1978	0.2087	0.2452	27.7	22.2	5.5
8	Daniel Murphy	0.2255	0.2342	0.2357	6.5	2.1	4.4
9	Odúbel Herrera	0.2725	0.2664	0.2294	23.8	19.7	4.1
10	Bradley Zimmer	0.2556	0.2445	0.2410	4.6	0.5	4.1

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Zunino	0.1232	0.0661 (23.1)	0.0670 (23.4)	0.0659 (23.2)	0.0664 (23.1)
Hunter Pence	0.0340	0.0686 (20.7)	0.0707 (21.0)	0.0696 (21.3)	0.0675 (20.0)
Eduardo Escobar	0.0468	0.0746 (15.8)	0.0801 (17.8)	0.0743 (15.7)	0.0749 (15.8)
Andrew Benintendi	0.0578	0.0792 (16.6)	0.0879 (21.4)	0.0805 (17.6)	0.0779 (15.6)
José Ramírez	0.1138	0.0734 (23.6)	0.0737 (24.3)	0.0720 (24.5)	0.0749 (22.8)
Odúbel Herrera	0.1082	0.0625 (23.6)	0.0627 (24.3)	0.0593 (25.4)	0.0657 (22.0)
Kolten Wong	0.0918	0.0480 (16.5)	0.0491 (16.6)	0.0488 (16.1)	0.0471 (16.9)
Jed Lowrie	0.1075	0.0634 (26.0)	0.0614 (28.2)	0.0664 (23.9)	0.0604 (28.1)
Justin Upton	0.1283	0.0766 (30.4)	0.0760 (31.7)	0.0774 (29.8)	0.0758 (31.0)
Enrique Hernández	0.1143	0.0610 (16.9)	0.0649 (16.1)	0.0639 (15.9)	0.0581 (18.0)
Starling Marte	0.0290	0.0792 (18.3)	0.0767 (17.0)	0.0802 (18.7)	0.0783 (17.9)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.0844	0.0554	17.7
2	José Pirela	0.0563	0.1068	16.1
3	Matt Chapman	0.0713	0.1237	15.8
4	Matt Olson	0.0874	0.0190	15.6
5	Shin-Soo Choo	0.0712	0.0505	15.6
6	Byron Buxton	0.0724	0.0462	15.3
7	Nomar Mazara	0.0449	0.0732	15.1
8	José Peraza	0.0468	0.0216	15.0
9	Rougned Odor	0.0692	0.0501	14.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.0851	0.0462	21.1
2	Chris Taylor	0.0610	0.0966	18.9
3	Yuli Gurriel	0.0612	0.0945	17.4
4	Mitch Haniger	0.0511	0.0958	17.3
5	Edwin Encarnación	0.0749	0.0514	17.3
6	Nomar Mazara	0.0435	0.0732	16.8
7	Matt Chapman	0.0707	0.1237	16.5
8	José Peraza	0.0506	0.0216	16.2
9	Manuel Margot	0.0759	0.0483	15.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Chapman	0.0652	0.1237	17.8
2	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.0831	0.0554	17.1
3	José Peraza	0.0500	0.0216	16.7
4	Shin-Soo Choo	0.0727	0.0505	16.6
5	José Pirela	0.0564	0.1068	16.0
6	Lucas Duda	0.0714	0.1077	15.9
7	Albert Pujols	0.0562	0.0353	15.7
8	Jason Heyward	0.0693	0.0418	15.1
9	Rougned Odor	0.0694	0.0501	15.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nomar Mazara	0.0363	0.0732	20.5
2	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.0857	0.0554	18.3
3	Matt Olson	0.1003	0.0190	18.3
4	Byron Buxton	0.0745	0.0462	16.3
5	José Pirela	0.0561	0.1068	16.2
6	Edwin Encarnación	0.0707	0.0514	15.3
7	Brian Goodwin	0.0641	0.1221	15.1
8	Miguel Sanó	0.0947	0.0670	15.1
9	Ryan Schimpf	0.0949	0.0241	14.6

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.0612	0.0827	0.0945	17.4	4.5	12.9
2	Manuel Margot	0.0759	0.0533	0.0483	15.9	4.7	11.2
3	Mitch Moreland	0.0703	0.0826	0.0916	10.9	3.0	7.9
4	Joey Gallo	0.0620	0.0748	0.0849	10.9	3.4	7.5
5	Tim Anderson	0.0724	0.0594	0.0633	7.0	0.0	6.9
6	Eric Thames	0.0707	0.0805	0.0945	11.8	5.7	6.2
7	Chris Taylor	0.0610	0.0703	0.0966	18.9	12.8	6.1
8	Austin Hedges	0.0500	0.0627	0.0677	6.4	0.5	5.9
9	Mitch Haniger	0.0511	0.0638	0.0958	17.3	11.5	5.8
10	Byron Buxton	0.0851	0.0724	0.0462	21.1	15.3	5.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.0732	0.0827	0.0945	9.8	4.5	5.3
2	Adam Duvall	0.0661	0.0730	0.0932	15.0	10.6	4.4
3	Albert Pujols	0.0562	0.0496	0.0353	15.7	11.5	4.3
4	Eric Thames	0.0739	0.0805	0.0945	9.2	5.7	3.5
5	Aaron Judge	0.0651	0.0703	0.0839	10.1	6.7	3.4
6	Trevor Story	0.0835	0.0895	0.1107	12.9	9.6	3.3
7	Guillermo Heredia	0.0542	0.0453	0.0503	3.3	0.5	2.8
8	Joey Gallo	0.0694	0.0748	0.0849	6.2	3.4	2.8
9	Brett Gardner	0.0631	0.0592	0.0566	7.1	4.3	2.8
10	Rajai Davis	0.0630	0.0705	0.0760	3.3	0.6	2.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nomar Mazara	0.0363	0.0449	0.0732	20.5	15.1	5.4
2	Guillermo Heredia	0.0365	0.0453	0.0503	4.4	0.5	3.9
3	Ryon Healy	0.0837	0.0780	0.0706	10.1	6.8	3.3
4	Corey Dickerson	0.0928	0.0874	0.0801	10.2	7.0	3.2
5	Denard Span	0.0515	0.0572	0.0742	10.3	7.1	3.2
6	Evan Longoria	0.0826	0.0776	0.0726	9.2	6.0	3.2
7	Matt Olson	0.1003	0.0874	0.0190	18.3	15.6	2.7
8	Martín Maldonado	0.0458	0.0513	0.0623	6.1	3.4	2.7
9	César Hernández	0.0397	0.0441	0.0652	12.6	10.0	2.7
10	Adam Jones	0.0523	0.0561	0.0606	3.0	0.5	2.6

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Billy Hamilton	0.0243	0.0109 (9.2)	0.0115 (8.8)	0.0084 (10.2)	0.0134 (8.2)
Zack Cozart	0.0206	0.0073 (7.3)	0.0086 (6.6)	0.0054 (7.7)	0.0091 (6.8)
Yolmer Sánchez	0.0215	0.0071 (8.2)	0.0043 (9.8)	0.0059 (8.4)	0.0083 (8.1)
Chris Owings	0.0037	0.0199 (5.9)	0.0198 (5.8)	0.0188 (5.8)	0.0211 (5.9)
Xander Bogaerts	0.0134	0.0037 (6.8)	0.0043 (6.4)	0.0033 (6.5)	0.0041 (7.2)
Dexter Fowler	0.0295	0.0148 (7.7)	0.0178 (6.3)	0.0123 (8.5)	0.0173 (7.0)
Charlie Blackmon	0.0293	0.0114 (13.7)	0.0119 (13.4)	0.0098 (14.2)	0.0130 (13.2)
José Abreu	0.0127	0.0040 (6.6)	0.0049 (6.0)	0.0034 (6.3)	0.0045 (6.9)
Nick Castellanos	0.0222	0.0122 (7.3)	0.0123 (7.3)	0.0107 (7.7)	0.0138 (6.9)
David Peralta	0.0071	0.0234 (8.8)	0.0253 (9.9)	0.0187 (6.6)	0.0282 (11.0)
Brandon Crawford	0.0025	0.0172 (7.8)	0.0184 (8.5)	0.0166 (8.0)	0.0177 (7.5)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Benintendi	0.0165	0.0022	8.7
2	Cory Spangenberg	0.0235	0.0065	7.8
3	Scott Schebler	0.0195	0.0062	6.5
4	Max Kepler	0.0168	0.0052	6.0
5	Daniel Descalso	0.0073	0.0202	5.6
6	José Reyes	0.0082	0.0169	5.5
7	Clint Frazier	0.0101	0.0455	5.2
8	Mitch Garver	0.0012	0.0968	5.0
9	George Springer	0.0090	0.0000	5.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eddie Rosario	0.0237	0.0048	10.6
2	Mikie Mahtook	0.0051	0.0232	7.2
3	Josh Bell	0.0051	0.0146	6.6
4	Keon Broxton	0.0054	0.0181	6.4
5	Franchy Cordero	0.0067	0.0652	5.9
6	Clint Frazier	0.0067	0.0455	5.7
7	Corey Seager	0.0102	0.0000	5.6
8	Jake Lamb	0.0209	0.0111	5.5
9	Ozzie Albies	0.0067	0.0281	5.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Benintendi	0.0154	0.0022	8.6
2	Max Kepler	0.0153	0.0052	5.7
3	George Springer	0.0087	0.0000	5.4
4	Clint Frazier	0.0080	0.0455	5.3
5	Cody Bellinger	0.0039	0.0134	5.3
6	Aaron Altherr	0.0077	0.0200	5.1
7	José Reyes	0.0079	0.0169	5.1
8	Mitch Garver	0.0023	0.0968	4.9
9	Josh Bell	0.0071	0.0146	4.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cory Spangenberg	0.0335	0.0065	12.2
2	Scott Schebler	0.0256	0.0062	9.3
3	Andrew Benintendi	0.0176	0.0022	8.8
4	Daniel Descalso	0.0058	0.0202	6.5
5	Max Kepler	0.0182	0.0052	6.3
6	José Reyes	0.0084	0.0169	5.9
7	Dansby Swanson	0.0179	0.0055	5.8
8	Tommy Pham	0.0193	0.0065	5.8
9	Eddie Rosario	0.0161	0.0048	5.5

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Eddie Rosario	0.0237	0.0141	0.0048	10.6	4.9	5.7
2	Keon Broxton	0.0054	0.0219	0.0181	6.4	1.3	5.1
3	Delino DeShields	0.0167	0.0091	0.0072	3.7	0.4	3.4
4	Josh Bell	0.0051	0.0104	0.0146	6.6	3.3	3.3
5	Ben Gamel	0.0065	0.0124	0.0132	4.2	1.0	3.2
6	Mikie Mahtook	0.0051	0.0125	0.0232	7.2	4.4	2.8
7	Alen Hanson	0.0065	0.0207	0.0182	3.0	0.3	2.6
8	Joey Gallo	0.0078	0.0125	0.0142	4.0	1.4	2.5
9	Jarrod Dyson	0.0243	0.0178	0.0103	5.1	2.5	2.5
10	Adam Engel	0.0067	0.0138	0.0161	3.5	1.1	2.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chris Taylor	0.0101	0.0138	0.0142	2.4	0.8	1.5
2	Eric Thames	0.0064	0.0101	0.0145	4.5	3.0	1.5
3	Josh Bell	0.0071	0.0104	0.0146	4.7	3.3	1.4
4	Guillermo Heredia	0.0070	0.0048	0.0000	3.0	1.6	1.3
5	Justin Bour	0.0040	0.0020	0.0000	1.7	0.4	1.3
6	Mitch Moreland	0.0025	0.0013	0.0000	1.4	0.1	1.3
7	Matt Joyce	0.0071	0.0058	0.0000	3.8	2.6	1.2
8	Joe Mauer	0.0076	0.0065	0.0023	3.1	1.9	1.2
9	Manuel Margot	0.0135	0.0166	0.0188	2.8	1.7	1.1
10	Freddy Galvis	0.0074	0.0100	0.0122	3.2	2.2	1.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cory Spangenberg	0.0335	0.0235	0.0065	12.2	7.8	4.4
2	Keon Broxton	0.0306	0.0219	0.0181	4.9	1.3	3.6
3	Scott Schebler	0.0256	0.0195	0.0062	9.3	6.5	2.7
4	Tommy Pham	0.0193	0.0142	0.0065	5.8	3.6	2.2
5	Byron Buxton	0.0280	0.0227	0.0198	3.2	1.0	2.2
6	David Peralta	0.0282	0.0234	0.0071	11.0	8.8	2.2
7	Dansby Swanson	0.0179	0.0134	0.0055	5.8	3.8	2.0
8	Tim Beckham	0.0247	0.0203	0.0145	4.7	2.8	2.0
9	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0226	0.0173	0.0111	4.0	2.2	1.8
10	Justin Smoak	0.0000	0.0015	0.0025	2.9	1.3	1.6

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Scooter Gennett	0.1610	0.1062 (22.8)	0.1105 (22.5)	0.0976 (25.9)	0.1148 (19.8)
Aaron Judge	0.1888	0.1293 (34.4)	0.1107 (49.5)	0.1226 (37.3)	0.1360 (31.5)
José Ramírez	0.1659	0.1200 (24.0)	0.1290 (20.4)	0.1165 (24.6)	0.1234 (23.4)
Charlie Blackmon	0.1890	0.1346 (33.0)	0.1436 (29.2)	0.1419 (26.0)	0.1274 (40.1)
Miguel Cabrera	0.0945	0.1364 (26.8)	0.1323 (22.7)	0.1475 (34.0)	0.1252 (19.6)
Tommy Pham	0.1792	0.1176 (28.0)	0.1359 (20.2)	0.1085 (31.6)	0.1268 (24.5)
Albert Pujols	0.0833	0.1232 (31.0)	0.1196 (26.3)	0.1259 (34.2)	0.1205 (27.6)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Manny Machado	0.1430	0.1174	23.7
2	Tommy Joseph	0.1287	0.0957	22.3
3	Chris Taylor	0.1034	0.1496	21.3
4	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.1266	0.1640	19.9
5	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1407	0.1777	19.6
6	Jake Marisnick	0.1125	0.1931	18.6
7	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1152	0.1562	18.6
8	Zack Cozart	0.1138	0.1578	17.9
9	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1404	0.1759	17.8
10	Bryce Harper	0.1487	0.1931	17.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1298	0.1777	29.6
2	Carlos Correa	0.1162	0.1705	23.6
3	Bryce Harper	0.1417	0.1931	22.8
4	Jose Altuve	0.1323	0.1692	21.0
5	Joey Gallo	0.1154	0.1598	20.9
6	George Springer	0.1401	0.1781	20.6
7	Hunter Pence	0.1350	0.1020	20.6
8	Chris Taylor	0.1098	0.1496	19.7
9	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1178	0.1562	19.2
10	Tommy Joseph	0.1263	0.0957	19.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Taylor	0.0888	0.1496	28.2
2	Manny Machado	0.1451	0.1174	26.9
3	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.1180	0.1640	24.2
4	Cody Bellinger	0.1041	0.1588	23.8
5	Hanley Ramirez	0.1334	0.1049	22.0
6	Zack Cozart	0.1057	0.1578	20.7
7	Dustin Pedroia	0.1319	0.0994	20.3
8	Victor Martinez	0.1225	0.0874	20.2
9	Jon Jay	0.0936	0.1501	19.6
10	Jake Marisnick	0.1063	0.1931	19.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tommy Joseph	0.1395	0.0957	26.7
2	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1364	0.1777	24.3
3	Hunter Pence	0.1379	0.1020	22.7
4	Manny Machado	0.1409	0.1174	20.5
5	Wil Myers	0.1481	0.1233	20.2
6	J.D. Martinez	0.1271	0.1738	19.8
7	Bryce Harper	0.1467	0.1931	19.7
8	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1162	0.1562	19.4
9	Carlos Correa	0.1246	0.1705	19.0
10	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1413	0.1759	18.9

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Judge	0.1107	0.1293	0.1888	49.5	34.4	15.1
2	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1298	0.1407	0.1777	29.6	19.6	10.0
3	Eric Thames	0.1240	0.1380	0.1506	11.8	2.1	9.7
4	Trevor Story	0.1439	0.1249	0.1225	14.7	6.2	8.5
5	Mike Zunino	0.0938	0.1117	0.1195	8.9	0.4	8.5
6	Carlos Santana	0.1153	0.1288	0.1349	9.6	1.7	7.9
7	Carlos Correa	0.1162	0.1283	0.1705	23.6	16.1	7.6
8	Domingo Santana	0.1141	0.1229	0.1450	15.6	8.0	7.5
9	Joey Gallo	0.1154	0.1257	0.1598	20.9	13.5	7.4
10	José Abreu	0.1160	0.1230	0.1407	13.2	6.0	7.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Carlos Santana	0.1437	0.1288	0.1349	13.3	1.7	11.6
2	Nick Castellanos	0.1158	0.1061	0.1098	11.5	3.4	8.1
3	Mike Moustakas	0.1299	0.1135	0.1254	9.4	1.9	7.5
4	Victor Martinez	0.1225	0.1076	0.0874	20.2	12.6	7.5
5	Miguel Cabrera	0.1475	0.1364	0.0945	34.0	26.8	7.2
6	Cody Bellinger	0.1041	0.1192	0.1588	23.8	16.9	6.9
7	Chris Taylor	0.0888	0.1034	0.1496	28.2	21.3	6.9
8	Cory Spangenberg	0.0907	0.1064	0.1173	7.5	1.0	6.5
9	Hanley Ramirez	0.1334	0.1249	0.1049	22.0	15.9	6.1
10	Nomar Mazara	0.1182	0.1109	0.1039	15.7	9.8	6.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mike Moustakas	0.0971	0.1135	0.1254	13.2	1.9	11.3
2	Carlos Santana	0.1138	0.1288	0.1349	9.9	1.7	8.1
3	Mitch Moreland	0.0937	0.1047	0.1267	15.4	7.6	7.8
4	Wil Myers	0.1481	0.1338	0.1233	20.2	12.6	7.7
5	Charlie Blackmon	0.1274	0.1346	0.1890	40.1	33.0	7.1
6	Steven Souza Jr.	0.1312	0.1183	0.1264	6.8	0.4	6.4
7	DJ LeMahieu	0.1177	0.1244	0.1393	10.4	4.1	6.3
8	Adam Duvall	0.1348	0.1236	0.1206	13.3	7.7	5.6
9	Yadier Molina	0.0848	0.0925	0.1105	10.5	5.0	5.5
10	Ender Inciarte	0.1342	0.1243	0.1295	7.9	2.6	5.3

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Scooter Gennett	0.1952	0.1017 (44.7)	0.0988 (45.0)	0.0979 (46.1)	0.1056 (43.2)
Anthony Rendon	0.1653	0.1204 (25.0)	0.1148 (27.0)	0.1216 (23.8)	0.1193 (26.3)
Lorenzo Cain	0.0760	0.1118 (25.4)	0.1179 (30.8)	0.1102 (25.0)	0.1133 (25.8)
Ryan Zimmerman	0.1875	0.1373 (26.9)	0.1306 (29.4)	0.1365 (26.8)	0.1380 (27.0)
Mark Trumbo	0.1078	0.1641 (36.1)	0.1421 (24.2)	0.1577 (32.8)	0.1706 (39.4)
Marcell Ozuna	0.1826	0.1290 (34.0)	0.1161 (41.2)	0.1350 (29.3)	0.1229 (38.8)
Carlos González	0.1067	0.1548 (27.6)	0.1486 (25.5)	0.1571 (29.3)	0.1526 (25.9)
José Bautista	0.0948	0.1563 (44.7)	0.1465 (39.5)	0.1460 (38.2)	0.1667 (51.1)
Kris Bryant	0.1098	0.1537 (31.6)	0.1415 (25.0)	0.1451 (26.5)	0.1622 (36.6)
J.D. Martinez	0.2127	0.1448 (31.4)	0.1415 (32.0)	0.1439 (31.5)	0.1458 (31.4)
Marwin Gonzalez	0.1748	0.1043 (34.4)	0.0942 (38.5)	0.1119 (30.1)	0.0968 (38.8)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Pillar	0.1061	0.0665	27.3
2	Hanley Ramirez	0.1568	0.1121	26.7
3	Gerardo Parra	0.1028	0.1671	25.8
4	Travis Shaw	0.1208	0.1667	25.6
5	Charlie Blackmon	0.1062	0.1434	24.4
6	Miguel Cabrera	0.1559	0.1134	24.3
7	Chris Davis	0.1592	0.1164	24.3
8	Carlos Beltrán	0.1426	0.1002	23.4
9	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1418	0.1805	23.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Judge	0.1067	0.1681	37.7
2	Gerardo Parra	0.0893	0.1671	30.6
3	Cody Bellinger	0.1182	0.1770	29.0
4	Nomar Mazara	0.1111	0.1640	29.0
5	Mark Reynolds	0.1116	0.1636	27.4
6	Guillermo Heredia	0.1085	0.0563	24.7
7	Corey Dickerson	0.1320	0.0986	24.7
8	Trevor Plouffe	0.1316	0.0607	24.0
9	Ian Kinsler	0.1174	0.0848	23.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Pillar	0.1087	0.0665	29.5
2	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1345	0.1805	27.6
3	Cody Bellinger	0.1235	0.1770	26.9
4	Miguel Cabrera	0.1556	0.1134	24.7
5	Hanley Ramirez	0.1522	0.1121	24.6
6	Ian Happ	0.1008	0.1646	24.5
7	Charlie Blackmon	0.1055	0.1434	24.3
8	Justin Bour	0.1334	0.1935	23.9
9	Travis Shaw	0.1235	0.1667	23.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rajai Davis	0.1348	0.0546	30.3
2	Gerardo Parra	0.0934	0.1671	30.2
3	Hanley Ramirez	0.1614	0.1121	28.7
4	Travis Shaw	0.1181	0.1667	27.9
5	Chris Davis	0.1664	0.1164	27.6
6	Carlos Beltrán	0.1478	0.1002	25.6
7	Nomar Mazara	0.1204	0.1640	25.2
8	Kevin Pillar	0.1034	0.0665	25.0
9	Charlie Blackmon	0.1069	0.1434	24.6

Most Unique Misses for RBI Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Judge	0.1067	0.1456	0.1681	37.7	12.9	24.8
2	Joey Gallo	0.1026	0.1391	0.1504	22.3	4.1	18.3
3	Adam Engel	0.1182	0.0809	0.0625	20.7	7.4	13.3
4	Manuel Margot	0.1062	0.0848	0.0737	20.3	7.7	12.5
5	Guillermo Heredia	0.1085	0.0845	0.0563	24.7	13.5	11.2
6	Daniel Robertson	0.1182	0.0811	0.0748	12.5	2.5	10.0
7	Mark Reynolds	0.1116	0.1304	0.1636	27.4	17.6	9.8
8	Austin Hedges	0.0940	0.1194	0.1319	13.4	3.7	9.7
9	Jorge Bonifacio	0.1182	0.0981	0.0948	12.4	2.9	9.5
10	Cody Bellinger	0.1182	0.1376	0.1770	29.0	19.6	9.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Manny Machado	0.1566	0.1448	0.1377	16.1	7.4	8.7
2	Aaron Judge	0.1321	0.1456	0.1681	21.4	12.9	8.5
3	Cody Bellinger	0.1235	0.1376	0.1770	26.9	19.6	7.3
4	Carlos Correa	0.1368	0.1527	0.1746	16.1	8.8	7.2
5	Brandon Crawford	0.1091	0.1224	0.1351	12.3	5.2	7.1
6	Jay Bruce	0.1330	0.1428	0.1637	16.2	10.7	5.5
7	Justin Smoak	0.1214	0.1304	0.1413	9.9	4.6	5.2
8	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0688	0.0625	0.0475	17.9	12.9	5.0
9	Mookie Betts	0.1457	0.1397	0.1433	4.9	0.0	4.9
10	Eric Sogard	0.0816	0.0663	0.0602	7.7	2.9	4.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Albert Pujols	0.1842	0.1687	0.1588	17.8	8.5	9.2
2	Mike Moustakas	0.1024	0.1167	0.1421	22.2	13.1	9.2
3	Jose Iglesias	0.0664	0.0817	0.1104	20.3	12.3	7.9
4	Kyle Schwarber	0.1692	0.1519	0.1214	24.5	16.6	7.9
5	Rajai Davis	0.1348	0.1133	0.0546	30.3	22.8	7.5
6	Michael Brantley	0.1629	0.1435	0.1387	10.1	3.1	6.9
7	Corey Seager	0.1467	0.1349	0.1256	14.5	7.9	6.6
8	Russell Martin	0.1537	0.1349	0.0959	22.0	15.5	6.5
9	José Bautista	0.1667	0.1563	0.0948	51.1	44.7	6.4
10	Lucas Duda	0.1623	0.1483	0.1303	17.0	10.6	6.4

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Cameron Maybin	0.2973	0.1161 (85.3)	0.1138 (84.7)	0.1105 (87.4)	0.1217 (83.1)
Andrelton Simmons	0.1187	0.0502 (49.8)	0.0465 (49.8)	0.0510 (48.7)	0.0493 (50.8)
Rajai Davis	0.3580	0.1457 (80.8)	0.2685 (34.5)	0.2720 (34.2)	0.0000 (134.4)
Whit Merrifield	0.2313	0.1343 (66.4)	0.0805 (98.1)	0.1293 (69.0)	0.1395 (63.5)
Charlie Blackmon	0.0693	0.1443 (48.2)	0.1513 (56.0)	0.1387 (44.8)	0.1500 (51.9)
Alex Bregman	0.1083	0.0606 (35.1)	0.0571 (35.0)	0.0602 (34.8)	0.0611 (35.2)
Trea Turner	0.4182	0.2417 (82.6)	0.2526 (76.1)	0.2420 (82.1)	0.2414 (83.1)
Byron Buxton	0.2358	0.1412 (52.6)	0.1169 (63.2)	0.1445 (50.4)	0.1379 (54.6)
Alcides Escobar	0.0328	0.1145 (46.1)	0.1181 (50.6)	0.1099 (43.8)	0.1192 (48.6)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Engel	0.2591	0.1404	37.1
2	Carlos Correa	0.0981	0.0145	36.2
3	Domingo Santana	0.0397	0.0904	35.9
4	Yasiel Puig	0.0516	0.1049	35.2
5	Yoán Moncada	0.2058	0.0500	34.0
6	José Reyes	0.1356	0.1875	33.8
7	Todd Frazier	0.0924	0.0265	33.1
8	Eric Thames	0.0974	0.0292	33.0
9	DJ LeMahieu	0.0847	0.0280	32.9
10	Grégor Blanco	0.0952	0.2143	32.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bradley Zimmer	0.0572	0.2338	60.2
2	Tommy Pham	0.0541	0.1471	51.8
3	Taylor Motter	0.0508	0.2264	50.5
4	Andrew Benintendi	0.0469	0.1087	43.8
5	Alen Hanson	0.0755	0.2444	40.7
6	Delino DeShields	0.1444	0.2320	40.6
7	Todd Frazier	0.1008	0.0265	40.0
8	Rougned Odor	0.0820	0.1364	38.5
9	Hernán Pérez	0.2143	0.1354	33.9
10	Lane Adams	0.0612	0.3226	32.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Reyes	0.1282	0.1875	37.4
2	Eric Thames	0.1016	0.0292	35.8
3	Ben Gamel	0.1021	0.0299	35.6
4	Tommy Pham	0.0882	0.1471	35.1
5	Yasiel Puig	0.0521	0.1049	34.4
6	Brett Gardner	0.0809	0.1237	34.3
7	Yoán Moncada	0.2028	0.0500	33.6
8	Lane Adams	0.0572	0.3226	33.3
9	Grégor Blanco	0.0927	0.2143	33.0
10	Ben Revere	0.1662	0.2658	33.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Billy Hamilton	0.4720	0.3782	53.6
2	Allen Córdoba	0.2381	0.0357	43.9
3	Carlos Correa	0.1136	0.0145	43.3
4	DJ LeMahieu	0.1000	0.0280	42.9
5	Jarrod Dyson	0.3867	0.2692	42.3
6	Adam Engel	0.2743	0.1404	42.0
7	Domingo Santana	0.0351	0.0904	39.1
8	Todd Frazier	0.1007	0.0265	37.5
9	Yasiel Puig	0.0511	0.1049	35.8
10	Rougned Odor	0.0916	0.1364	35.0

Most Unique Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bradley Zimmer	0.0572	0.1850	0.2338	60.2	19.0	41.2
2	Alen Hanson	0.0755	0.2369	0.2444	40.7	3.7	36.9
3	Andrew Benintendi	0.0469	0.1000	0.1087	43.8	11.3	32.6
4	Whit Merrifield	0.0805	0.1343	0.2313	98.1	66.4	31.6
5	Delino DeShields	0.1444	0.2051	0.2320	40.6	15.5	25.1
6	Taylor Motter	0.0508	0.1420	0.2264	50.5	26.0	24.5
7	Matt Davidson	0.0612	0.0110	0.0000	25.0	1.1	23.9
8	Trey Mancini	0.0600	0.0231	0.0069	28.3	4.6	23.7
9	Tommy Pham	0.0541	0.0981	0.1471	51.8	30.4	21.5
10	Lane Adams	0.0612	0.2315	0.3226	32.5	12.1	20.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lane Adams	0.0572	0.2315	0.3226	33.3	12.1	21.2
2	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2768	0.2972	0.2927	16.2	2.7	13.5
3	Guillermo Heredia	0.0746	0.0504	0.0089	24.8	14.1	10.7
4	Lorenzo Cain	0.1148	0.1309	0.1390	20.5	10.6	9.8
5	Robinson Chirinos	0.0532	0.0267	0.0125	10.3	1.8	8.5
6	Michael A. Taylor	0.1702	0.1927	0.1828	8.7	0.6	8.0
7	Adam Frazier	0.1331	0.1164	0.0726	24.1	16.1	8.0
8	Michael Brantley	0.0604	0.0817	0.1058	19.8	12.2	7.7
9	Mookie Betts	0.1246	0.1360	0.1503	23.6	16.2	7.4
10	Jed Lowrie	0.0205	0.0102	0.0000	8.4	1.2	7.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Rajai Davis	0.0000	0.1457	0.3580	134.4	80.8	53.6
2	Billy Hamilton	0.4720	0.4374	0.3782	53.6	32.1	21.5
3	Jarrod Dyson	0.3867	0.3417	0.2692	42.3	25.0	17.3
4	Adalberto Mondesi	0.0572	0.2751	0.5000	27.1	14.0	13.1
5	Jose Altuve	0.1907	0.1716	0.1569	16.4	4.2	12.2
6	Allen Córdoba	0.2381	0.1857	0.0357	43.9	32.1	11.7
7	Jean Segura	0.1911	0.1726	0.1429	22.2	12.1	10.1
8	DJ LeMahieu	0.1000	0.0847	0.0280	42.9	32.9	10.0
9	Michael A. Taylor	0.2157	0.1927	0.1828	10.3	0.6	9.7
10	Carlos González	0.0560	0.0375	0.0226	13.0	3.5	9.5

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Zack Cozart	0.2968	0.2474 (24.4)	0.2459 (26.8)	0.2466 (25.6)	0.2482 (23.3)
Rougned Odor	0.2043	0.2747 (46.6)	0.2638 (37.5)	0.2748 (45.8)	0.2745 (47.5)
Ryan Zimmerman	0.3034	0.2491 (30.6)	0.2399 (37.7)	0.2602 (25.0)	0.2380 (36.2)
Aaron Judge	0.2841	0.2383 (30.2)	0.2335 (35.6)	0.2475 (25.0)	0.2291 (35.5)
Justin Smoak	0.2696	0.2274 (26.1)	0.2263 (28.9)	0.2244 (29.0)	0.2303 (23.4)
Avisaíl García	0.3301	0.2595 (38.9)	0.2500 (46.0)	0.2621 (38.3)	0.2569 (39.6)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3116	0.2687 (28.2)	0.2626 (34.5)	0.2726 (26.6)	0.2649 (29.9)
Miguel Cabrera	0.2495	0.3056 (30.4)	0.3104 (31.2)	0.3099 (31.8)	0.3014 (28.9)
José Bautista	0.2027	0.2503 (33.5)	0.2541 (33.9)	0.2488 (31.4)	0.2518 (35.5)
Tommy Pham	0.3063	0.2479 (30.3)	0.2482 (31.8)	0.2514 (29.2)	0.2444 (31.4)
Eric Hosmer	0.3184	0.2774 (26.7)	0.2742 (30.9)	0.2781 (27.2)	0.2767 (26.2)
Josh Reddick	0.3145	0.2668 (25.1)	0.2708 (24.6)	0.2669 (25.8)	0.2667 (24.4)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mookie Betts	0.3083	0.2643	32.2
2	Charlie Blackmon	0.2930	0.3307	26.5
3	Maikel Franco	0.2706	0.2296	26.3
4	Tim Beckham	0.2334	0.2777	24.7
5	Manny Machado	0.2912	0.2587	23.3
6	Marwin Gonzalez	0.2568	0.3033	23.3
7	Justin Turner	0.2782	0.3217	22.9
8	Ian Kinsler	0.2716	0.2359	22.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Engel	0.2587	0.1661	30.5
2	José Ramírez	0.2744	0.3179	29.4
3	Charlie Blackmon	0.2949	0.3307	27.4
4	Ian Kinsler	0.2823	0.2359	27.3
5	Chris Taylor	0.2422	0.2879	27.1
6	Jonathan Schoop	0.2556	0.2926	26.2
7	Yuli Gurriel	0.2551	0.2987	25.6
8	Joe Mauer	0.2651	0.3048	24.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mookie Betts	0.3097	0.2643	32.1
2	Charlie Blackmon	0.2883	0.3307	30.9
3	Marwin Gonzalez	0.2513	0.3033	26.9
4	Tim Beckham	0.2313	0.2777	26.8
5	Maikel Franco	0.2715	0.2296	26.0
6	Kyle Schwarber	0.2643	0.2109	25.8
7	Manny Machado	0.2936	0.2587	23.9
8	Justin Turner	0.2779	0.3217	23.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mookie Betts	0.3070	0.2643	32.2
2	Maikel Franco	0.2697	0.2296	26.6
3	Ian Kinsler	0.2754	0.2359	25.8
4	Joe Mauer	0.2624	0.3048	23.7
5	Yuli Gurriel	0.2543	0.2987	23.6
6	Tim Beckham	0.2355	0.2777	22.7
7	Hanley Ramirez	0.2803	0.2419	22.7
8	Manny Machado	0.2889	0.2587	22.6

Most Unique Misses for Batting Average

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Engel	0.2587	0.2162	0.1661	30.5	17.3	13.2
2	Byron Buxton	0.2316	0.2510	0.2532	12.0	0.5	11.5
3	Hunter Renfroe	0.2709	0.2440	0.2315	18.0	6.6	11.4
4	Keon Broxton	0.2456	0.2188	0.2198	11.1	0.1	10.9
5	Matt Davidson	0.2554	0.2069	0.2198	14.9	5.1	9.8
6	Chris Taylor	0.2422	0.2560	0.2879	27.1	17.4	9.7
7	José Ramírez	0.2744	0.2858	0.3179	29.4	19.9	9.4
8	Ben Gamel	0.2404	0.2526	0.2750	20.1	11.7	8.5
9	Leury García	0.2275	0.2494	0.2700	14.5	6.3	8.2
10	Alex Bregman	0.2568	0.2665	0.2842	18.3	10.3	8.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Eric Thames	0.2715	0.2590	0.2473	13.2	7.1	6.1
2	Matt Holliday	0.2714	0.2576	0.2306	17.3	12.1	5.3
3	David Peralta	0.2723	0.2792	0.2933	12.3	7.4	4.8
4	Byron Buxton	0.2433	0.2510	0.2532	5.2	0.5	4.7
5	Adam Duvall	0.2330	0.2385	0.2487	10.3	5.8	4.5
6	Eduardo Núñez	0.2679	0.2755	0.3126	22.1	17.6	4.5
7	Charlie Blackmon	0.2883	0.2930	0.3307	30.9	26.5	4.5
8	Kyle Schwarber	0.2643	0.2537	0.2109	25.8	21.4	4.4
9	Jay Bruce	0.2343	0.2391	0.2541	12.3	8.4	3.9
10	Ender Inciarte	0.2788	0.2826	0.3036	18.0	14.2	3.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2380	0.2491	0.3034	36.2	30.6	5.6
2	Yuli Gurriel	0.2543	0.2652	0.2987	23.6	18.2	5.4
3	Ben Gamel	0.2416	0.2526	0.2750	17.0	11.7	5.3
4	Aaron Judge	0.2291	0.2383	0.2841	35.5	30.2	5.3
5	Martín Maldonado	0.2000	0.2115	0.2214	8.9	4.1	4.8
6	Edwin Encarnación	0.2646	0.2591	0.2581	6.1	1.5	4.6
7	José Reyes	0.2673	0.2615	0.2455	13.7	9.7	4.0
8	Jordan Luplow	0.2587	0.2142	0.2051	4.9	0.9	4.0
9	Francisco Lindor	0.2980	0.2940	0.2734	19.7	15.8	3.9
10	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2542	0.2612	0.2814	17.0	13.1	3.9

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Zack Cozart	0.3846	0.2984 (39.8)	0.3006 (41.0)	0.2991 (40.7)	0.2977 (39.0)
Anthony Rendon	0.4033	0.3482 (28.7)	0.3434 (34.4)	0.3534 (27.0)	0.3430 (30.4)
Rougned Odor	0.2519	0.3125 (44.5)	0.3052 (36.7)	0.3141 (43.9)	0.3109 (45.0)
Justin Turner	0.4151	0.3438 (34.5)	0.3528 (32.1)	0.3448 (35.3)	0.3427 (33.9)
Aaron Judge	0.4218	0.3124 (69.0)	0.3016 (79.4)	0.3241 (62.7)	0.3008 (75.3)
Avisaíl García	0.3797	0.3161 (31.3)	0.3091 (37.9)	0.3206 (30.2)	0.3116 (32.6)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3756	0.3222 (31.0)	0.3148 (39.1)	0.3271 (29.3)	0.3173 (32.7)
Charlie Blackmon	0.3989	0.3486 (30.8)	0.3522 (31.6)	0.3460 (34.5)	0.3513 (27.2)
José Bautista	0.3076	0.3687 (47.3)	0.3711 (45.7)	0.3689 (45.7)	0.3686 (48.8)
Miguel Cabrera	0.3289	0.3862 (34.4)	0.3873 (32.5)	0.3934 (36.9)	0.3791 (31.8)
Eugenio Suárez	0.3671	0.3141 (28.6)	0.3166 (29.9)	0.3142 (30.1)	0.3140 (27.2)
Tommy Pham	0.4110	0.3220 (43.1)	0.3279 (42.4)	0.3241 (43.3)	0.3199 (43.0)
Marwin Gonzalez	0.3770	0.2974 (37.0)	0.3103 (32.7)	0.2934 (40.3)	0.3014 (33.7)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Manny Machado	0.3516	0.3101	34.0
2	Maikel Franco	0.3230	0.2809	31.1
3	Mike Napoli	0.3357	0.2851	28.3
4	Albert Pujols	0.3203	0.2862	26.7
5	Alex Gordon	0.3338	0.2931	26.2
6	Ben Zobrist	0.3610	0.3178	25.3
7	Eric Sogard	0.3006	0.3926	25.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Engel	0.3289	0.2348	32.7
2	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2983	0.3576	32.4
3	Eric Hosmer	0.3361	0.3845	30.4
4	Justin Smoak	0.3050	0.3548	29.7
5	Matt Davidson	0.3202	0.2596	28.2
6	Jonathan Schoop	0.2931	0.3378	28.1
7	Michael Conforto	0.3176	0.3841	27.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Manny Machado	0.3545	0.3101	34.2
2	Maikel Franco	0.3242	0.2809	30.2
3	Albert Pujols	0.3257	0.2862	28.5
4	Mike Napoli	0.3367	0.2851	27.6
5	Tyler Flowers	0.3011	0.3784	26.6
6	Jose Altuve	0.3649	0.4100	26.4
7	Ben Zobrist	0.3649	0.3178	26.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Manny Machado	0.3488	0.3101	33.6
2	Maikel Franco	0.3219	0.2809	31.8
3	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2954	0.3576	30.1
4	Mike Napoli	0.3347	0.2851	28.9
5	Alex Gordon	0.3327	0.2931	26.8
6	Hanley Ramirez	0.3583	0.3201	26.7
7	Eric Hosmer	0.3349	0.3845	26.6

Most Unique Misses for On-Base Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Hunter Renfroe	0.3288	0.2832	0.2839	23.0	3.4	19.6
2	Matt Davidson	0.3202	0.2812	0.2596	28.2	13.0	15.2
3	Adam Engel	0.3289	0.2817	0.2348	32.7	18.4	14.3
4	Keon Broxton	0.3333	0.3006	0.2987	17.5	4.5	13.0
5	Alex Bregman	0.3135	0.3288	0.3520	22.2	9.7	12.5
6	Yuli Gurriel	0.3068	0.3254	0.3316	12.2	0.9	11.3
7	Aaron Judge	0.3016	0.3124	0.4218	79.4	69.0	10.5
8	Byron Buxton	0.2894	0.3048	0.3142	11.1	0.9	10.2
9	Chris Taylor	0.3033	0.3164	0.3539	27.0	16.9	10.1
10	José Ramírez	0.3303	0.3412	0.3736	26.0	15.9	10.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	David Peralta	0.3252	0.3345	0.3518	12.3	5.5	6.8
2	Matt Holliday	0.3560	0.3406	0.3162	19.3	13.7	5.5
3	Byron Buxton	0.2982	0.3048	0.3142	5.5	0.9	4.6
4	Edwin Encarnación	0.3490	0.3533	0.3772	15.4	10.8	4.5
5	Paul DeJong	0.2834	0.2910	0.3251	16.1	11.7	4.5
6	Victor Martinez	0.3444	0.3319	0.3241	11.1	6.8	4.3
7	Adam Duvall	0.2887	0.2928	0.3014	4.8	0.5	4.3
8	Steven Souza Jr.	0.3064	0.3104	0.3512	24.4	20.4	4.0
9	Cory Spangenberg	0.3080	0.3135	0.3223	4.4	0.5	3.9
10	Charlie Blackmon	0.3460	0.3486	0.3989	34.5	30.8	3.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.2954	0.3088	0.3576	30.1	23.7	6.4
2	Eric Thames	0.3215	0.3354	0.3593	15.3	8.9	6.4
3	Aaron Judge	0.3008	0.3124	0.4218	75.3	69.0	6.3
4	Ben Gamel	0.2929	0.3056	0.3224	10.7	5.0	5.7
5	Austin Hays	0.3289	0.2135	0.2381	6.4	1.1	5.3
6	Jordan Luplow	0.3289	0.2800	0.2759	5.5	1.0	4.5
7	Mike Aviles	0.3289	0.2910	0.2979	4.0	0.1	3.9
8	Daniel Murphy	0.3447	0.3534	0.3845	17.6	13.9	3.8
9	Adalberto Mondesi	0.3289	0.2712	0.2143	7.5	3.9	3.6
10	José Reyes	0.3157	0.3118	0.3147	6.2	2.7	3.5

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Zack Cozart	0.5479	0.3929 (68.8)	0.3944 (71.7)	0.3901 (70.2)	0.3956 (67.6)
Ryan Zimmerman	0.5725	0.4241 (74.4)	0.4086 (87.5)	0.4471 (61.0)	0.4011 (87.8)
Chris Taylor	0.4961	0.3631 (64.6)	0.3587 (71.2)	0.3572 (67.9)	0.3689 (61.5)
Aaron Judge	0.6273	0.4596 (100.6)	0.3921 (151.3)	0.4458 (109.9)	0.4732 (91.6)
Justin Smoak	0.5286	0.4118 (62.1)	0.4106 (67.4)	0.4066 (65.3)	0.4169 (59.1)
José Ramírez	0.5829	0.4198 (92.7)	0.4095 (104.0)	0.4203 (92.3)	0.4194 (93.3)
Cody Bellinger	0.5813	0.4332 (70.5)	0.4341 (74.0)	0.4140 (81.0)	0.4524 (60.2)
Charlie Blackmon	0.6009	0.4807 (73.1)	0.4802 (78.8)	0.4595 (88.5)	0.5017 (58.2)
Miguel Cabrera	0.3987	0.5303 (79.8)	0.5246 (73.0)	0.5402 (85.1)	0.5205 (74.5)
José Bautista	0.3663	0.4920 (99.5)	0.4871 (91.2)	0.4852 (94.9)	0.4988 (103.9)
J.D. Martinez	0.6898	0.5049 (81.0)	0.5169 (78.6)	0.4863 (90.1)	0.5235 (72.1)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.4908	0.3970	73.7
2	Mark Trumbo	0.4924	0.3971	69.1
3	Albert Pujols	0.4638	0.3862	61.6
4	Carlos González	0.5169	0.4234	60.2
5	Paul DeJong	0.3814	0.5324	58.3
6	Alex Gordon	0.4010	0.3151	56.9
7	Marwin Gonzalez	0.4000	0.5297	56.8
8	Marcell Ozuna	0.4466	0.5481	55.8
9	Scooter Gennett	0.4012	0.5315	55.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.5146	0.6315	72.5
2	Joey Gallo	0.3894	0.5367	71.9
3	Marcell Ozuna	0.4319	0.5481	70.7
4	Dansby Swanson	0.4229	0.3238	61.3
5	Logan Morrison	0.4020	0.5156	61.0
6	Avisaíl García	0.3850	0.5058	61.0
7	Matt Olson	0.3776	0.6508	56.4
8	Anthony Rendon	0.4291	0.5335	55.8
9	Aaron Altherr	0.3695	0.5161	55.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.4858	0.3970	70.4
2	Mark Trumbo	0.4935	0.3971	69.8
3	Albert Pujols	0.4725	0.3862	67.3
4	Paul DeJong	0.3679	0.5324	64.3
5	Scooter Gennett	0.3856	0.5315	62.8
6	Marwin Gonzalez	0.3916	0.5297	61.1
7	Alex Gordon	0.4016	0.3151	57.3
8	Carlos González	0.5106	0.4234	56.9
9	Matt Olson	0.3716	0.6508	56.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rougned Odor	0.4958	0.3970	76.7
2	Mark Trumbo	0.4912	0.3971	68.2
3	Carlos González	0.5231	0.4234	63.4
4	Marcell Ozuna	0.4378	0.5481	62.0
5	Logan Forsythe	0.4417	0.3269	58.7
6	Logan Morrison	0.3995	0.5156	58.4
7	Alex Gordon	0.4004	0.3151	56.4
8	Albert Pujols	0.4551	0.3862	55.9
9	Chris Davis	0.5087	0.4232	54.7

Most Unique Misses for Slugging Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Judge	0.3921	0.4596	0.6273	151.3	100.6	50.7
2	Eric Thames	0.4341	0.5026	0.5181	39.6	2.1	37.5
3	Joey Gallo	0.3894	0.4503	0.5367	71.9	35.7	36.2
4	Adam Engel	0.4341	0.3246	0.2824	55.0	20.7	34.4
5	Yuli Gurriel	0.3992	0.4449	0.4858	42.0	12.2	29.9
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.5146	0.5458	0.6315	72.5	45.9	26.6
7	Mark Reynolds	0.4198	0.4568	0.4865	32.4	6.1	26.3
8	Daniel Robertson	0.4341	0.3334	0.3257	30.6	6.9	23.7
9	JT Riddle	0.4341	0.3321	0.3553	22.5	0.9	21.5
10	Allen Córdoba	0.4341	0.3348	0.2970	33.9	13.0	20.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.4595	0.4807	0.6009	88.5	73.1	15.3
2	Brian Dozier	0.4494	0.4674	0.4976	20.3	7.6	12.7
3	Cody Bellinger	0.4140	0.4332	0.5813	81.0	70.5	10.5
4	Guillermo Heredia	0.3623	0.3385	0.3368	19.2	9.0	10.2
5	Aaron Judge	0.4458	0.4596	0.6273	109.9	100.6	9.3
6	Nolan Arenado	0.5403	0.5538	0.5858	17.7	8.6	9.1
7	J.D. Martinez	0.4863	0.5049	0.6898	90.1	81.0	9.1
8	Jose Iglesias	0.3761	0.3591	0.3693	12.8	4.4	8.4
9	Francisco Lindor	0.4301	0.4418	0.5054	40.4	32.0	8.4
10	Victor Martinez	0.4506	0.4325	0.3724	42.4	34.5	7.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Zimmerman	0.4011	0.4241	0.5725	87.8	74.4	13.5
2	Mike Moustakas	0.4277	0.4476	0.5207	44.3	32.2	12.1
3	David Peralta	0.4813	0.4612	0.4438	32.6	21.2	11.4
4	Martín Maldonado	0.3105	0.3314	0.3683	18.3	8.3	10.0
5	Edwin Encarnación	0.5152	0.5000	0.5036	20.4	10.5	9.9
6	Adam Duvall	0.4802	0.4649	0.4804	12.1	2.5	9.6
7	Trevor Story	0.5117	0.4947	0.4573	40.8	31.5	9.2
8	Cory Spangenberg	0.4060	0.3877	0.4009	11.7	3.0	8.7
9	Chris Davis	0.5087	0.4921	0.4232	54.7	46.2	8.5
10	Byron Buxton	0.4435	0.4269	0.4134	25.1	16.8	8.3

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Aaron Sanchez	167	851 (684.2)	636 (469.0)	871 (704.4)	831 (664.0)
Noah Syndergaard	124	790 (665.9)	696 (572.0)	809 (684.8)	771 (647.0)
Brandon Finnegan	59	705 (646.2)	616 (557.0)	752 (693.5)	658 (599.0)
Shelby Miller	99	664 (564.6)	568 (469.0)	593 (494.2)	734 (635.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hisashi Iwakuma	695	128	566.5
2	Wei-Yin Chen	666	132	534.0
3	Taylor Jungmann	515	6	509.1
4	Matt Wisler	638	153	484.8
5	Steven Wright	585	114	471.2
6	Garrett Richards	577	108	469.0
7	Jered Weaver	658	191	467.4
8	Clay Buchholz	499	40	459.2
9	Collin McHugh	726	271	455.1
10	Félix Hernández	815	368	446.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Freeland	100	688	588.0
2	Hisashi Iwakuma	698	128	570.0
3	Clayton Richard	302	858	556.0
4	Jordan Montgomery	100	649	549.0
5	Clay Buchholz	549	40	509.0
6	Chad Bettis	701	200	501.0
7	Jered Weaver	688	191	497.0
8	Matt Wisler	650	153	497.0
9	David Price	803	317	486.0
10	Nick Pivetta	100	584	484.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hisashi Iwakuma	758	128	630.0
2	Wei-Yin Chen	711	132	579.0
3	Garrett Richards	665	108	557.0
4	Mike Pelfrey	4	546	541.6
5	Junior Guerra	835	314	520.5
6	Steven Wright	632	114	518.5
7	Félix Hernández	865	368	496.7
8	Matt Shoemaker	809	326	483.0
9	Dinelson Lamet	4	485	480.6
10	Héctor Santiago	782	311	471.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Taylor Jungmann	648	6	642.0
2	Roenis Elías	627	2	625.0
3	Max Povse	644	21	623.0
4	Chris Heston	654	38	616.0
5	Jason Wheeler	634	18	616.0
6	Aaron Blair	629	19	610.0
7	David Price	914	317	597.0
8	Josh Lindblom	647	51	596.0
9	Jorge López	604	10	594.0
10	Matt Wisler	744	153	591.0

Most Unique Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trevor Williams	160	579	642	482.0	63.0	419.0
2	Kyle Freeland	100	504	688	588.0	184.5	403.5
3	Germán Márquez	239	629	701	462.0	71.7	390.3
4	Chad Bettis	701	375	200	501.0	174.7	326.3
5	Ty Blach	214	514	692	478.0	178.0	300.0
6	Jordan Montgomery	100	383	649	549.0	265.8	283.2
7	Jeremy Guthrie	297	4	12	285.0	7.6	277.4
8	Ben Lively	100	364	372	272.0	8.3	263.7
9	Nick Pivetta	100	364	584	484.0	220.5	263.5
10	Jakob Junis	100	357	422	322.0	65.4	256.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Daniel Gossett	4	310	414	409.6	104.3	305.3
2	Dinelson Lamet	4	308	485	480.6	176.8	303.8
3	Austin Pruitt	39	330	371	331.8	40.9	290.9
4	Sam Gaviglio	4	291	313	308.6	22.3	286.3
5	Sean Newcomb	4	291	456	451.5	165.3	286.3
6	Jakob Junis	82	357	422	339.8	65.4	274.4
7	Nick Martinez	81	355	478	397.1	123.1	274.1
8	Sal Romano	80	347	384	303.6	36.8	266.8
9	Mark Leiter Jr.	4	268	395	390.6	126.8	263.8
10	Ben Lively	103	364	372	268.6	8.3	260.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chad Bettis	745	375	200	545.0	174.7	370.3
2	Gabriel Ynoa	683	344	147	536.0	196.7	339.3
3	Andrew Moore	656	330	243	413.0	87.1	325.9
4	Josh Lindblom	647	326	51	596.0	274.7	321.3
5	Myles Jaye	642	323	71	571.0	252.2	318.8
6	Chris Volstad	638	321	76	562.0	245.2	316.8
7	Jason Wheeler	634	319	18	616.0	301.2	314.8
8	David Holmberg	630	317	272	358.0	45.2	312.8
9	Felix Jorge	625	315	36	589.0	278.7	310.3
10	Tyler Mahle	624	314	92	532.0	222.2	309.8

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Johnny Cueto	0.3439	0.2659 (31.4)	0.2818 (33.0)	0.2747 (27.3)	0.2571 (35.5)
Bartolo Colon	0.3776	0.2926 (35.9)	0.3088 (37.3)	0.2949 (36.0)	0.2904 (35.8)
Brad Peacock	0.2739	0.3056 (33.5)	0.3209 (31.8)	0.3036 (31.0)	0.3076 (35.9)
Rick Porcello	0.3476	0.2813 (32.5)	0.2980 (34.0)	0.2874 (29.3)	0.2752 (35.8)
Chase Anderson	0.2793	0.3076 (32.9)	0.3284 (34.3)	0.3094 (32.6)	0.3057 (33.2)
Corey Kluber	0.2398	0.2631 (41.0)	0.2807 (40.4)	0.2697 (44.3)	0.2565 (37.7)
Luis Severino	0.2618	0.2918 (46.6)	0.3230 (56.6)	0.2954 (47.5)	0.2882 (45.6)
Jordan Zimmermann	0.3717	0.2985 (31.1)	0.3089 (36.8)	0.3050 (28.2)	0.2920 (34.0)
Chad Green	0.2016	0.3026 (33.0)	0.3257 (34.2)	0.2984 (31.4)	0.3068 (34.7)
Chris Tillman	0.4126	0.3029 (35.5)	0.3142 (38.7)	0.3129 (32.2)	0.2930 (38.9)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	0.3004	0.2902	34.4
2	Matt Moore	0.2803	0.3523	33.5
3	Matt Harvey	0.2733	0.3771	32.0
4	Jordan Montgomery	0.3117	0.2945	30.4
5	Andrew Cashner	0.3169	0.3036	30.2
6	Tyler Glasnow	0.2861	0.4145	30.2
7	Parker Bridwell	0.3383	0.3086	29.2
8	Ricky Nolasco	0.2893	0.3556	28.9
9	Zack Godley	0.3000	0.2839	28.6
10	Derek Holland	0.3129	0.3873	28.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	0.3248	0.2822	35.8
2	José Berríos	0.3452	0.3009	34.2
3	Derek Holland	0.3230	0.3873	33.2
4	Zack Godley	0.3238	0.2839	32.0
5	Gio Gonzalez	0.3081	0.2811	31.5
6	James Paxton	0.3060	0.2633	29.7
7	Stephen Strasburg	0.2853	0.2547	29.3
8	Chris Sale	0.2825	0.2595	29.1
9	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.3223	0.3780	28.9
10	Travis Wood	0.3045	0.3813	28.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Moore	0.2791	0.3523	36.4
2	Ervin Santana	0.3047	0.2902	36.0
3	Chris Sale	0.2712	0.2595	33.0
4	Andrew Cashner	0.3230	0.3036	32.8
5	Jimmy Nelson	0.3143	0.2994	30.6
6	Matt Harvey	0.2798	0.3771	30.2
7	Tyler Glasnow	0.2887	0.4145	30.1
8	Jordan Montgomery	0.3134	0.2945	29.9
9	Max Scherzer	0.2558	0.2472	27.9
10	Parker Bridwell	0.3374	0.3086	27.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Harvey	0.2667	0.3771	33.8
2	Ervin Santana	0.2961	0.2902	32.7
3	Ricky Nolasco	0.2839	0.3556	31.3
4	Jordan Montgomery	0.3100	0.2945	30.8
5	Matt Moore	0.2815	0.3523	30.8
6	Parker Bridwell	0.3391	0.3086	30.7
7	Tyler Glasnow	0.2834	0.4145	30.3
8	Zack Godley	0.3000	0.2839	30.1
9	Travis Wood	0.2804	0.3813	30.0
10	James Paxton	0.2847	0.2633	29.4

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Berríos	0.3452	0.3001	0.3009	34.2	17.7	16.5
2	Marco Estrada	0.2875	0.2892	0.3325	27.3	11.1	16.2
3	Jake Arrieta	0.2581	0.2625	0.3074	26.9	10.8	16.1
4	Robbie Ray	0.3248	0.2828	0.2822	35.8	20.1	15.7
5	José Ureña	0.3297	0.2958	0.3158	18.1	6.9	11.2
6	Dylan Covey	0.3210	0.3376	0.4072	23.2	12.4	10.8
7	Luis Severino	0.3230	0.2918	0.2618	56.6	46.6	10.0
8	Jason Hammel	0.3049	0.2983	0.3302	11.3	1.9	9.5
9	Masahiro Tanaka	0.2856	0.2796	0.3256	21.6	12.3	9.3
10	Bronson Arroyo	0.3146	0.3246	0.4120	27.8	18.6	9.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dylan Bundy	0.3089	0.2966	0.3082	19.4	12.6	6.8
2	Zach Davies	0.3019	0.2923	0.3220	5.8	0.1	5.7
3	Asher Wojciechowski	0.2947	0.3123	0.3675	12.7	7.1	5.6
4	Chris Sale	0.2712	0.2622	0.2595	33.0	27.5	5.5
5	Kyle Hendricks	0.2812	0.2697	0.2885	11.4	6.2	5.2
6	Tanner Roark	0.2990	0.2904	0.3142	9.3	4.5	4.8
7	Luis Perdomo	0.3051	0.3104	0.3394	5.1	0.4	4.7
8	Jacob deGrom	0.2755	0.2675	0.2925	8.3	3.7	4.6
9	Jeff Hoffman	0.2991	0.3061	0.3494	10.2	6.0	4.2
10	Mike Pelfrey	0.3151	0.3197	0.3644	12.1	8.3	3.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marco Estrada	0.2715	0.2892	0.3325	23.5	11.1	12.4
2	Jake Arrieta	0.2488	0.2625	0.3074	18.9	10.8	8.1
3	Nick Goody	0.3210	0.2926	0.2765	16.9	10.1	6.8
4	Travis Wood	0.2804	0.2980	0.3813	30.0	23.4	6.6
5	Zach Davies	0.2827	0.2923	0.3220	6.0	0.1	5.9
6	John Brebbia	0.3210	0.2959	0.2731	16.7	10.9	5.7
7	Luis Perdomo	0.3157	0.3104	0.3394	5.9	0.4	5.5
8	Sean Manaea	0.2780	0.2880	0.3286	12.9	7.6	5.3
9	Kyle Freeland	0.3346	0.3294	0.3350	21.7	16.5	5.2
10	Robert Stephenson	0.3258	0.3151	0.3418	6.1	1.1	5.0

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Knebel	0.4078	0.2843 (35.2)	0.2338 (52.3)	0.2789 (37.0)	0.2898 (33.5)
Brad Peacock	0.2949	0.2127 (39.6)	0.2086 (44.5)	0.2193 (36.3)	0.2061 (43.2)
Jimmy Nelson	0.2734	0.1869 (56.0)	0.1880 (58.6)	0.1851 (57.7)	0.1887 (54.6)
Jeremy Hellickson	0.1381	0.1941 (45.6)	0.1989 (45.5)	0.1921 (43.8)	0.1961 (47.0)
Zach Davies	0.1518	0.1987 (46.2)	0.1997 (43.1)	0.1972 (44.5)	0.2003 (47.5)
Craig Kimbrel	0.4961	0.3344 (38.6)	0.2983 (49.0)	0.3240 (41.4)	0.3448 (36.0)
Luis Severino	0.2937	0.2185 (51.4)	0.2117 (60.5)	0.2166 (53.3)	0.2204 (49.9)
Corey Kluber	0.3411	0.2595 (55.9)	0.2595 (59.6)	0.2540 (60.6)	0.2650 (51.5)
Chris Sale	0.3619	0.2629 (76.1)	0.2695 (74.6)	0.2515 (86.3)	0.2743 (66.4)
Chad Green	0.4071	0.2121 (46.9)	0.2258 (44.7)	0.2165 (45.9)	0.2077 (48.0)
Charlie Morton	0.2642	0.1914 (39.0)	0.1953 (39.5)	0.1976 (35.5)	0.1852 (42.8)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Greinke	0.2080	0.2684	40.7
2	Ty Blach	0.1544	0.1055	40.5
3	Andrew Cashner	0.1628	0.1222	35.4
4	Luis Castillo	0.1650	0.2730	35.3
5	Jacob deGrom	0.2371	0.2890	35.0
6	Jose Quintana	0.2092	0.2620	34.1
7	Dinelson Lamet	0.2080	0.2866	33.5
8	Matt Moore	0.2196	0.1873	33.1
9	Zack Godley	0.2025	0.2632	32.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ty Blach	0.2009	0.1055	69.4
2	Andrew Cashner	0.1984	0.1222	57.0
3	Robbie Ray	0.2447	0.3278	52.1
4	Kyle Freeland	0.2166	0.1555	45.3
5	Cole Hamels	0.2326	0.1710	40.8
6	Tommy Kahnle	0.2143	0.3750	39.9
7	Max Scherzer	0.2877	0.3436	39.8
8	Zack Godley	0.1977	0.2632	38.0
9	Robert Gsellman	0.2130	0.1494	37.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ty Blach	0.1675	0.1055	49.2
2	Zack Greinke	0.2040	0.2684	44.4
3	Robbie Ray	0.2616	0.3278	38.0
4	Matt Moore	0.2264	0.1873	38.0
5	Luis Castillo	0.1587	0.2730	37.8
6	Zack Godley	0.1942	0.2632	37.6
7	Jacob deGrom	0.2356	0.2890	36.7
8	Jose Quintana	0.2103	0.2620	33.7
9	Masahiro Tanaka	0.2043	0.2580	33.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Cashner	0.1773	0.1222	45.6
2	Zack Greinke	0.2119	0.2684	37.5
3	Anthony Swarzak	0.1744	0.3003	35.2
4	Jose Quintana	0.2082	0.2620	34.9
5	Jacob deGrom	0.2386	0.2890	33.7
6	Dinelson Lamet	0.2075	0.2866	33.7
7	Max Scherzer	0.2908	0.3436	33.6
8	Aaron Nola	0.2080	0.2655	33.2
9	Luis Castillo	0.1714	0.2730	33.0

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Freeland	0.2166	0.1367	0.1555	45.3	6.3	39.0
2	Ty Blach	0.2009	0.1544	0.1055	69.4	40.5	28.9
3	Dylan Covey	0.2166	0.1308	0.1327	27.4	2.4	25.0
4	Andrew Cashner	0.1984	0.1628	0.1222	57.0	35.4	21.6
5	Richard Bleier	0.1961	0.1099	0.0981	27.2	5.7	21.6
6	Robbie Ray	0.2447	0.2706	0.3278	52.1	31.7	20.4
7	Parker Bridwell	0.2087	0.1636	0.1484	32.0	12.2	19.8
8	Daniel Gossett	0.2166	0.1637	0.1739	19.7	0.2	19.4
9	Sam Gaviglio	0.2166	0.1521	0.1565	20.3	1.6	18.7
10	Jason Hammel	0.2183	0.1903	0.1803	34.4	15.7	18.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	R.A. Dickey	0.1857	0.1714	0.1669	22.7	11.5	11.2
2	José Ureña	0.1811	0.1662	0.1561	24.7	14.3	10.4
3	Chris Sale	0.2515	0.2629	0.3619	86.3	76.1	10.2
4	Brandon McCarthy	0.2190	0.1920	0.1875	15.6	5.4	10.2
5	Ty Blach	0.1675	0.1544	0.1055	49.2	40.5	8.7
6	Carlos Carrasco	0.2465	0.2565	0.2832	22.1	13.7	8.4
7	Brad Hand	0.2413	0.2658	0.3344	26.1	18.3	7.8
8	César Valdez	0.2166	0.1603	0.1500	10.6	2.8	7.8
9	Zack Wheeler	0.2374	0.2169	0.2098	14.1	6.4	7.7
10	Jhoulys Chacín	0.2008	0.1908	0.2000	7.5	0.3	7.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Erasmo Ramírez	0.1379	0.1684	0.2022	29.4	13.1	16.4
2	Andrew Cashner	0.1773	0.1628	0.1222	45.6	35.4	10.2
3	Marco Estrada	0.1704	0.1830	0.2184	30.8	20.8	10.1
4	Travis Wood	0.2061	0.1837	0.1491	29.1	19.3	9.8
5	Edwin Díaz	0.3727	0.3378	0.3201	17.3	7.6	9.7
6	Alex Wood	0.1955	0.2111	0.2459	25.0	15.5	9.5
7	Chris Rowley	0.2166	0.1182	0.1236	9.1	0.4	8.8
8	David Phelps	0.1877	0.2243	0.2605	15.0	6.3	8.7
9	Dylan Bundy	0.2278	0.2162	0.2178	13.8	5.6	8.2
10	Jameson Taillon	0.1850	0.1987	0.2129	10.7	2.7	8.0

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Adam Ottavino	0.1605	0.0845 (16.8)	0.0741 (19.3)	0.0821 (17.8)	0.0870 (15.8)
Derek Holland	0.1198	0.0780 (22.0)	0.0752 (23.4)	0.0798 (21.8)	0.0761 (22.1)
Jimmy Nelson	0.0659	0.0877 (20.7)	0.0926 (24.7)	0.0910 (22.0)	0.0844 (19.6)
Chad Kuhl	0.1059	0.0656 (22.9)	0.0747 (16.3)	0.0681 (22.2)	0.0631 (23.4)
Jeff Samardzija	0.0378	0.0579 (22.7)	0.0625 (27.0)	0.0604 (23.5)	0.0555 (22.1)
Corey Kluber	0.0463	0.0588 (14.8)	0.0629 (18.5)	0.0608 (15.3)	0.0567 (14.6)
Dellin Betances	0.1686	0.0961 (17.2)	0.0912 (18.3)	0.0957 (17.7)	0.0965 (16.6)
Wade Miley	0.1277	0.0756 (33.1)	0.0753 (33.0)	0.0760 (33.9)	0.0751 (32.2)
Mike Pelfrey	0.1136	0.0747 (17.6)	0.0786 (15.1)	0.0762 (17.6)	0.0733 (17.4)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	0.1115	0.0610	28.1
2	Tommy Kahnle	0.1349	0.0664	19.2
3	Alex Cobb	0.0756	0.0593	17.0
4	José Torres	0.1074	0.0563	16.4
5	Edinson Volquez	0.0878	0.1335	15.5
6	Matt Harvey	0.0668	0.1090	15.3
7	José Alvarado	0.1904	0.0732	15.2
8	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1002	0.0781	14.7
9	Tyler Chatwood	0.0923	0.1220	14.6
10	Craig Kimbrel	0.1051	0.0551	14.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Leclerc	0.0979	0.2000	19.0
2	Luis Severino	0.0816	0.0651	18.5
3	Clayton Richard	0.0828	0.0688	18.2
4	Ty Blach	0.0794	0.0621	16.9
5	Matt Harvey	0.0629	0.1090	16.8
6	Iván Nova	0.0597	0.0459	16.5
7	Robert Stephenson	0.0883	0.1384	16.4
8	José Berríos	0.0971	0.0779	16.2
9	Nick Martinez	0.0852	0.0586	16.1
10	Edinson Volquez	0.0859	0.1335	16.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	0.1069	0.0610	25.1
2	Matt Harvey	0.0585	0.1090	19.6
3	Tommy Kahnle	0.1296	0.0664	17.5
4	Edinson Volquez	0.0869	0.1335	16.5
5	José Torres	0.1081	0.0563	16.2
6	Tyler Chatwood	0.0914	0.1220	16.1
7	Luis Severino	0.0800	0.0651	15.7
8	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1034	0.0781	15.6
9	Jake Odorizzi	0.0713	0.1010	14.8
10	Julio Teheran	0.0660	0.0887	14.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	0.1161	0.0610	31.3
2	Tommy Kahnle	0.1402	0.0664	21.0
3	Alex Cobb	0.0785	0.0593	20.5
4	José Alvarado	0.2031	0.0732	17.0
5	José Torres	0.1068	0.0563	16.7
6	Craig Kimbrel	0.1078	0.0551	15.5
7	Lucas Sims	0.1419	0.0902	15.3
8	Jerad Eickhoff	0.0575	0.0920	15.0
9	Dan Straily	0.0891	0.0780	15.0
10	Gregory Infante	0.1445	0.0881	14.7

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Robert Stephenson	0.0883	0.1312	0.1384	16.4	0.2	16.2
2	Ty Blach	0.0794	0.0618	0.0621	16.9	4.4	12.6
3	José Berríos	0.0971	0.0778	0.0779	16.2	4.0	12.2
4	Ariel Hernández	0.0854	0.1887	0.2037	12.0	0.9	11.1
5	Tyler Glasnow	0.0876	0.1240	0.1443	15.1	4.2	10.9
6	Carl Edwards Jr.	0.0874	0.1295	0.1450	13.2	2.3	10.9
7	Jakob Junis	0.0854	0.0612	0.0592	14.1	3.6	10.4
8	Austin Pruitt	0.0854	0.0578	0.0593	12.3	1.9	10.4
9	José Leclerc	0.0979	0.1489	0.2000	19.0	8.9	10.1
10	Amir Garrett	0.0854	0.1156	0.1246	10.3	0.8	9.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Robert Stephenson	0.1156	0.1312	0.1384	6.8	0.2	6.6
2	José Berríos	0.0881	0.0778	0.0779	9.5	4.0	5.4
3	Matt Harvey	0.0585	0.0668	0.1090	19.6	15.3	4.2
4	Max Scherzer	0.0577	0.0613	0.0705	6.0	2.0	4.0
5	Lance Lynn	0.0823	0.0853	0.1005	10.1	6.6	3.5
6	Germán Márquez	0.0740	0.0678	0.0699	6.5	3.2	3.3
7	Dylan Bundy	0.0879	0.0819	0.0731	14.0	10.8	3.1
8	Warwick Saupold	0.0804	0.0898	0.1107	7.0	4.0	3.0
9	Sean Manaea	0.0790	0.0732	0.0795	3.2	0.2	3.0
10	Brad Peacock	0.0906	0.0946	0.1044	4.7	1.7	3.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Robert Stephenson	0.1469	0.1312	0.1384	6.5	0.2	6.3
2	Aaron Bummer	0.0854	0.1476	0.1648	6.5	1.0	5.5
3	Matt Moore	0.0936	0.0892	0.0848	13.6	8.7	4.9
4	Mike Minor	0.0939	0.0813	0.0717	9.4	5.0	4.4
5	Zack Godley	0.0904	0.0857	0.0845	8.9	4.9	4.1
6	Dan Straily	0.0891	0.0860	0.0780	15.0	11.2	3.8
7	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0922	0.0891	0.0941	5.0	1.2	3.8
8	Sean Newcomb	0.1421	0.1358	0.1250	11.6	8.0	3.7
9	Greg Holland	0.1234	0.1095	0.1106	5.0	1.3	3.7
10	Alex Cobb	0.0785	0.0756	0.0593	20.5	17.0	3.5

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tyler Lyons	0.0318	0.0075 (5.3)	0.0080 (5.1)	0.0071 (5.2)	0.0078 (5.3)
John Lackey	0.0164	0.0078 (5.9)	0.0072 (6.2)	0.0076 (5.8)	0.0081 (6.1)
Jhoulys Chacín	0.0183	0.0075 (7.9)	0.0075 (7.7)	0.0078 (7.3)	0.0072 (8.5)
José Berríos	0.0211	0.0111 (5.9)	0.0121 (5.1)	0.0106 (5.9)	0.0115 (5.9)
Mike Fiers	0.0194	0.0089 (6.7)	0.0089 (6.5)	0.0087 (6.5)	0.0091 (6.9)
Lance McCullers Jr.	0.0215	0.0080 (6.7)	0.0061 (7.5)	0.0083 (6.3)	0.0076 (7.1)
Jaime García	0.0015	0.0089 (5.3)	0.0091 (5.7)	0.0087 (5.5)	0.0091 (5.1)
Francis Martes	0.0321	0.0099 (5.4)	0.0095 (5.4)	0.0083 (5.7)	0.0115 (5.1)
Gerrit Cole	0.0047	0.0112 (5.8)	0.0119 (6.7)	0.0106 (5.7)	0.0117 (6.0)
Max Scherzer	0.0141	0.0070 (5.2)	0.0064 (5.4)	0.0071 (4.7)	0.0070 (5.6)
Dellin Betances	0.0421	0.0074 (9.0)	0.0070 (9.0)	0.0083 (8.6)	0.0064 (9.3)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Montgomery	0.0096	0.0015	5.5
2	José Ureña	0.0112	0.0193	5.5
3	Chris Sale	0.0152	0.0094	5.3
4	Drew Storen	0.0185	0.0407	5.3
5	Brad Hand	0.0049	0.0225	5.3
6	Ty Blach	0.0084	0.0014	5.1
7	Jose Quintana	0.0060	0.0127	4.9
8	Aaron Nola	0.0095	0.0029	4.9
9	Cole Hamels	0.0096	0.0179	4.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Martinez	0.0165	0.0042	6.2
2	Ty Blach	0.0093	0.0014	6.0
3	Drew Storen	0.0168	0.0407	5.7
4	Jordan Montgomery	0.0095	0.0015	5.7
5	Chris Sale	0.0151	0.0094	5.5
6	Dan Straily	0.0125	0.0065	5.2
7	Erasmo Ramírez	0.0123	0.0037	5.1
8	Brad Hand	0.0056	0.0225	5.0
9	Aaron Nola	0.0092	0.0029	4.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Drew Storen	0.0119	0.0407	6.9
2	José Ureña	0.0103	0.0193	5.9
3	Zack Greinke	0.0059	0.0000	5.5
4	Alec Asher	0.0074	0.0264	4.8
5	J.A. Happ	0.0067	0.0000	4.7
6	Clayton Kershaw	0.0061	0.0000	4.7
7	Ryan Tepera	0.0095	0.0251	4.7
8	Patrick Corbin	0.0084	0.0036	4.7
9	Aaron Nola	0.0086	0.0029	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Montgomery	0.0124	0.0015	7.1
2	Chris Sale	0.0170	0.0094	6.5
3	Ty Blach	0.0105	0.0014	6.3
4	Brad Hand	0.0029	0.0225	6.1
5	Jose Quintana	0.0050	0.0127	6.1
6	Daniel Gossett	0.0146	0.0000	6.1
7	Sean Manaea	0.0064	0.0145	5.6
8	Carlos Carrasco	0.0060	0.0125	5.2
9	José Ureña	0.0122	0.0193	5.2

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dan Straily	0.0125	0.0106	0.0065	5.2	3.5	1.7
2	Nick Martinez	0.0165	0.0133	0.0042	6.2	4.6	1.7
3	Trevor Williams	0.0063	0.0089	0.0140	4.5	3.0	1.5
4	Robert Stephenson	0.0142	0.0107	0.0052	3.7	2.3	1.5
5	Rafael Montero	0.0046	0.0075	0.0091	2.1	0.6	1.5
6	Jimmy Nelson	0.0177	0.0162	0.0124	4.4	3.1	1.3
7	Tanner Roark	0.0117	0.0105	0.0077	3.7	2.5	1.2
8	Seth Lugo	0.0130	0.0107	0.0046	4.0	2.9	1.1
9	Jon Gray	0.0140	0.0118	0.0043	4.8	3.7	1.1
10	Erasmo Ramírez	0.0123	0.0106	0.0037	5.1	3.9	1.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zack Greinke	0.0059	0.0044	0.0000	5.5	3.8	1.6
2	Drew Storen	0.0119	0.0185	0.0407	6.9	5.3	1.5
3	Charlie Morton	0.0154	0.0183	0.0211	3.0	1.5	1.5
4	Luis García	0.0087	0.0043	0.0000	2.8	1.4	1.4
5	Chris Archer	0.0072	0.0060	0.0059	1.9	0.5	1.4
6	Ricky Nolasco	0.0081	0.0068	0.0038	4.1	2.7	1.4
7	Yovani Gallardo	0.0054	0.0035	0.0035	1.6	0.3	1.4
8	Drew Pomeranz	0.0064	0.0049	0.0054	1.4	0.1	1.3
9	Oliver Pérez	0.0132	0.0227	0.0280	2.0	0.7	1.3
10	Kyle Freeland	0.0071	0.0094	0.0116	2.5	1.2	1.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Lorenzen	0.0221	0.0164	0.0111	4.0	2.1	1.9
2	Jordan Montgomery	0.0124	0.0096	0.0015	7.1	5.5	1.5
3	Drew Pomeranz	0.0034	0.0049	0.0054	1.5	0.1	1.4
4	Stephen Strasburg	0.0046	0.0061	0.0100	3.8	2.4	1.4
5	Marcus Stroman	0.0050	0.0062	0.0072	1.8	0.5	1.3
6	Jimmy Nelson	0.0185	0.0162	0.0124	4.4	3.1	1.3
7	Daniel Gossett	0.0146	0.0112	0.0000	6.1	4.8	1.3
8	Tim Adleman	0.0141	0.0114	0.0113	1.5	0.3	1.2
9	Ty Blach	0.0105	0.0084	0.0014	6.3	5.1	1.2
10	Jose Quintana	0.0050	0.0060	0.0127	6.1	4.9	1.1

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Andrew Cashner	0.0275	0.0436 (16.7)	0.0387 (13.3)	0.0439 (17.1)	0.0433 (16.2)
John Lackey	0.0696	0.0410 (15.4)	0.0382 (17.3)	0.0425 (14.0)	0.0395 (16.7)
Andrew Heaney	0.1846	0.0384 (14.0)	0.0402 (13.8)	0.0427 (13.5)	0.0342 (14.5)
Amir Garrett	0.1065	0.0460 (17.0)	0.0478 (16.4)	0.0447 (17.3)	0.0472 (16.7)
Kyle Freeland	0.0333	0.0468 (14.5)	0.0478 (15.3)	0.0443 (13.0)	0.0491 (15.9)
Brad Peacock	0.0308	0.0511 (15.2)	0.0471 (13.1)	0.0510 (15.4)	0.0511 (15.1)
Masahiro Tanaka	0.0686	0.0438 (12.9)	0.0426 (13.7)	0.0442 (12.5)	0.0435 (13.5)
Stephen Strasburg	0.0293	0.0401 (12.9)	0.0406 (13.3)	0.0402 (13.1)	0.0400 (12.6)
Gerrit Cole	0.0522	0.0300 (12.4)	0.0243 (17.1)	0.0312 (11.1)	0.0287 (13.7)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.0740	0.0423 (15.6)	0.0369 (19.1)	0.0435 (14.6)	0.0410 (16.7)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aríel Miranda	0.0452	0.0782	17.2
2	Michael Fulmer	0.0391	0.0253	14.4
3	Zach Davies	0.0400	0.0318	12.9
4	Jake Odorizzi	0.0438	0.0725	12.7
5	Taijuan Walker	0.0470	0.0363	12.5
6	Rick Porcello	0.0367	0.0585	12.5
7	Chase Anderson	0.0500	0.0361	12.3
8	Jharel Cotton	0.0407	0.0693	11.9
9	Mike Pelfrey	0.0341	0.0633	11.8
10	Danny Duffy	0.0413	0.0300	11.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Taijuan Walker	0.0525	0.0363	16.4
2	Junior Guerra	0.0352	0.0900	14.8
3	Trevor Williams	0.0442	0.0302	14.0
4	Bronson Arroyo	0.0393	0.0898	13.8
5	Derek Holland	0.0410	0.0706	13.7
6	Mike Pelfrey	0.0310	0.0633	13.4
7	Chris Tillman	0.0364	0.0736	13.1
8	Jameson Taillon	0.0411	0.0267	13.0
9	Luis Perdomo	0.0427	0.0324	12.9
10	Matthew Boyd	0.0546	0.0410	12.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	0.0422	0.0318	14.9
2	Aríel Miranda	0.0493	0.0782	14.3
3	Michael Fulmer	0.0381	0.0253	14.0
4	Chase Anderson	0.0515	0.0361	13.2
5	Danny Duffy	0.0430	0.0300	12.8
6	Junior Guerra	0.0438	0.0900	12.0
7	Mike Pelfrey	0.0339	0.0633	11.7
8	Shawn Kelley	0.0414	0.1429	11.3
9	Kirby Yates	0.0418	0.0984	11.2
10	Rick Porcello	0.0381	0.0585	11.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aríel Miranda	0.0412	0.0782	20.2
2	Jake Odorizzi	0.0396	0.0725	15.5
3	Michael Fulmer	0.0400	0.0253	14.8
4	Taijuan Walker	0.0501	0.0363	14.4
5	Rick Porcello	0.0353	0.0585	14.1
6	Mike Fiers	0.0436	0.0711	13.6
7	Jharel Cotton	0.0387	0.0693	13.2
8	Matt Harvey	0.0297	0.0675	13.2
9	Tim Adleman	0.0488	0.0792	12.3
10	Luis Perdomo	0.0420	0.0324	12.1

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ty Blach	0.0395	0.0311	0.0296	12.2	6.3	5.9
2	Chris Devenski	0.0258	0.0429	0.0585	7.9	2.5	5.4
3	Rich Hill	0.0278	0.0373	0.0549	10.7	5.5	5.2
4	Jameson Taillon	0.0411	0.0326	0.0267	13.0	7.9	5.1
5	Bronson Arroyo	0.0393	0.0549	0.0898	13.8	8.8	5.0
6	Trevor Williams	0.0442	0.0367	0.0302	14.0	9.1	4.9
7	Jose Quintana	0.0308	0.0370	0.0449	5.1	0.3	4.8
8	Gerrit Cole	0.0243	0.0300	0.0522	17.1	12.4	4.8
9	Germán Márquez	0.0351	0.0435	0.0503	5.3	0.6	4.7
10	Luis Perdomo	0.0427	0.0365	0.0324	12.9	8.4	4.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marco Estrada	0.0561	0.0489	0.0557	6.7	0.7	6.0
2	Dylan Bundy	0.0531	0.0467	0.0533	5.4	0.7	4.7
3	Nick Pivetta	0.0417	0.0464	0.0653	9.2	6.6	2.6
4	Aaron Nola	0.0372	0.0343	0.0393	4.0	1.8	2.2
5	Max Scherzer	0.0449	0.0425	0.0493	2.7	0.6	2.1
6	Asher Wojciechowski	0.0366	0.0443	0.0733	8.0	6.0	2.1
7	Zach Davies	0.0422	0.0400	0.0318	14.9	12.9	2.0
8	Jose Quintana	0.0399	0.0370	0.0449	2.3	0.3	2.0
9	Edwin Díaz	0.0350	0.0423	0.0649	6.1	4.2	1.9
10	Justin Verlander	0.0440	0.0420	0.0487	2.7	0.7	1.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marco Estrada	0.0420	0.0489	0.0557	5.1	0.7	4.5
2	Jaime García	0.0430	0.0361	0.0376	8.6	4.2	4.4
3	Luis Perdomo	0.0420	0.0365	0.0324	12.1	8.4	3.7
4	Ervin Santana	0.0370	0.0407	0.0494	4.4	0.9	3.5
5	Kevin Gausman	0.0389	0.0428	0.0517	4.5	1.1	3.5
6	Dylan Bundy	0.0401	0.0467	0.0533	4.1	0.7	3.4
7	Chris Sale	0.0349	0.0383	0.0488	5.6	2.4	3.2
8	Aríel Miranda	0.0412	0.0452	0.0782	20.2	17.2	3.0
9	Jake Odorizzi	0.0396	0.0438	0.0725	15.5	12.7	2.7
10	Andrew Miller	0.0565	0.0450	0.0244	9.6	6.9	2.7

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Gio Gonzalez	0.2575	0.3013 (38.7)	0.3177 (50.5)	0.3043 (37.7)	0.2983 (39.7)
José Ureña	0.2485	0.2918 (33.6)	0.3036 (40.5)	0.3003 (36.7)	0.2837 (30.7)
Trevor Bauer	0.3369	0.2928 (30.8)	0.2911 (33.7)	0.2948 (32.4)	0.2908 (29.2)
Jake Odorizzi	0.2266	0.2827 (35.7)	0.2784 (31.8)	0.2844 (34.3)	0.2809 (37.2)
Kevin Gausman	0.3365	0.2954 (31.0)	0.2998 (29.2)	0.2960 (33.9)	0.2948 (28.1)
Jeremy Hellickson	0.2456	0.2898 (32.8)	0.2860 (28.7)	0.2928 (32.1)	0.2867 (33.6)
Lance Lynn	0.2441	0.2949 (41.8)	0.3045 (47.6)	0.2988 (41.6)	0.2911 (42.0)
Clayton Richard	0.3506	0.3024 (38.8)	0.3119 (32.5)	0.3085 (37.2)	0.2965 (40.3)
Rafael Montero	0.3665	0.2922 (39.2)	0.3028 (34.5)	0.2973 (38.6)	0.2870 (39.7)
Ervin Santana	0.2446	0.2992 (49.9)	0.2926 (42.2)	0.3016 (48.3)	0.2970 (51.5)
Jameson Taillon	0.3516	0.3000 (28.5)	0.2936 (33.6)	0.3087 (25.8)	0.2914 (31.1)
Cole Hamels	0.2506	0.2963 (29.9)	0.2971 (29.1)	0.2992 (29.2)	0.2934 (30.7)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aríel Miranda	0.2863	0.2362	36.0
2	Max Scherzer	0.2836	0.2453	32.3
3	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2921	0.3542	28.5
4	Jimmy Nelson	0.2983	0.3399	28.1
5	Andrew Cashner	0.3025	0.2660	27.8
6	Vance Worley	0.2926	0.3782	27.5
7	Robbie Ray	0.3055	0.2672	27.5
8	Chris Archer	0.2904	0.3249	26.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	0.3296	0.2672	42.0
2	Marco Estrada	0.2454	0.2947	39.0
3	Andrew Cashner	0.3104	0.2660	31.9
4	Jimmy Nelson	0.2970	0.3399	30.6
5	Josh Tomlin	0.2764	0.3287	30.1
6	Mike Pelfrey	0.3288	0.2757	29.5
7	Jason Hammel	0.2808	0.3177	29.0
8	Blake Snell	0.3267	0.2768	27.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.2889	0.2453	33.2
2	Aríel Miranda	0.2853	0.2362	32.5
3	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2935	0.3542	29.8
4	Chris Archer	0.2916	0.3249	29.2
5	Sonny Gray	0.3103	0.2691	27.2
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.3030	0.2557	26.9
7	Jordan Zimmermann	0.2948	0.3302	26.0
8	Matt Moore	0.2882	0.3198	25.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aríel Miranda	0.2873	0.2362	39.5
2	Robbie Ray	0.3144	0.2672	36.1
3	Marco Estrada	0.2468	0.2947	32.8
4	Jimmy Nelson	0.2888	0.3399	32.0
5	Max Scherzer	0.2784	0.2453	31.4
6	Andrew Cashner	0.3024	0.2660	30.6
7	Vance Worley	0.2828	0.3782	29.4
8	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2906	0.3542	27.2

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Blake Snell	0.3267	0.2912	0.2768	27.8	9.5	18.2
2	Dan Straily	0.2607	0.2819	0.2883	20.6	2.5	18.0
3	Marco Estrada	0.2454	0.2631	0.2947	39.0	23.0	16.0
4	Robbie Ray	0.3296	0.3055	0.2672	42.0	27.5	14.6
5	Masahiro Tanaka	0.2733	0.2901	0.3053	23.4	9.1	14.3
6	Jake Arrieta	0.2580	0.2764	0.2785	13.9	0.6	13.3
7	Gerrit Cole	0.3184	0.3015	0.2984	17.7	5.3	12.5
8	Drew Pomeranz	0.2767	0.2904	0.3101	24.1	12.3	11.8
9	Gio Gonzalez	0.3177	0.3013	0.2575	50.5	38.7	11.8
10	Mike Pelfrey	0.3288	0.3062	0.2757	29.5	18.3	11.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Arrieta	0.2944	0.2764	0.2785	10.5	0.6	9.8
2	John Lackey	0.2926	0.2792	0.2682	17.0	10.3	6.7
3	Carlos Martinez	0.3063	0.2949	0.2841	18.1	11.9	6.2
4	Tyler Chatwood	0.3150	0.3014	0.2829	19.5	13.6	5.9
5	Mike Montgomery	0.2987	0.2840	0.2534	23.9	18.1	5.7
6	Julio Teheran	0.2947	0.2839	0.2813	10.0	4.6	5.4
7	Kyle Hendricks	0.2943	0.2815	0.2809	7.0	2.1	4.9
8	Sonny Gray	0.3103	0.2993	0.2691	27.2	22.5	4.7
9	Iván Nova	0.3129	0.3031	0.2990	10.0	5.7	4.4
10	Jaime García	0.3090	0.2987	0.3015	4.3	0.2	4.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marco Estrada	0.2468	0.2631	0.2947	32.8	23.0	9.8
2	Jake Arrieta	0.2579	0.2764	0.2785	9.5	0.6	8.9
3	Tanner Roark	0.2731	0.2886	0.2998	15.2	6.3	8.9
4	Robbie Ray	0.3144	0.3055	0.2672	36.1	27.5	8.7
5	Yu Darvish	0.3062	0.2995	0.2833	23.1	14.8	8.3
6	R.A. Dickey	0.2690	0.2817	0.2899	11.2	4.2	7.0
7	Mike Leake	0.2865	0.2970	0.3089	11.9	6.9	5.0
8	Jason Vargas	0.2956	0.2933	0.2895	10.0	5.2	4.8
9	Blake Snell	0.2956	0.2912	0.2768	14.2	9.5	4.7
10	Jon Lester	0.2715	0.2816	0.3103	24.1	19.6	4.5

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jimmy Nelson	0.2763	0.2983 (36.7)	0.2283 (35.9)	0.3079 (32.6)	0.2888 (40.0)
Lance Lynn	0.1890	0.2949 (26.1)	0.2273 (28.8)	0.2988 (25.9)	0.2911 (26.9)
Kevin Gausman	0.2594	0.2954 (29.7)	0.2276 (27.0)	0.2960 (32.5)	0.2948 (26.1)
Jeremy Hellickson	0.1591	0.2898 (40.5)	0.1988 (26.7)	0.2928 (39.8)	0.2867 (41.8)
Rafael Montero	0.2955	0.2922 (41.6)	0.2183 (43.1)	0.2973 (41.0)	0.2870 (41.7)
Ervin Santana	0.1893	0.2992 (32.5)	0.2183 (24.0)	0.3016 (31.0)	0.2970 (34.8)
Aníbal Sánchez	0.2759	0.2921 (27.1)	0.2254 (24.9)	0.2935 (28.3)	0.2906 (25.4)
Charlie Morton	0.1830	0.2995 (27.2)	0.2265 (26.1)	0.3056 (28.5)	0.2934 (26.5)
Cole Hamels	0.1803	0.2963 (26.8)	0.2316 (30.7)	0.2992 (26.1)	0.2934 (28.0)
Jason Hammel	0.2535	0.2893 (29.4)	0.2032 (41.4)	0.2939 (28.9)	0.2847 (29.1)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.2836	0.1698	32.3
2	Aríel Miranda	0.2863	0.1674	31.5
3	Jake Odorizzi	0.2827	0.1667	26.3
4	Martín Pérez	0.3005	0.2599	25.8
5	Matt Cain	0.2890	0.2618	25.7
6	Clayton Richard	0.3024	0.2597	25.5
7	Wade Miley	0.3009	0.2629	25.1
8	Blake Wood	0.2931	0.2961	25.0
9	Dinelson Lamet	0.2952	0.1716	24.8
10	Casey Lawrence	0.2993	0.3200	24.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gio Gonzalez	0.2431	0.1992	35.2
2	Mike Pelfrey	0.2648	0.2081	30.3
3	Blake Snell	0.2541	0.1977	30.2
4	Martín Pérez	0.2241	0.2599	30.1
5	Alex Wood	0.2475	0.1980	29.6
6	Drew Pomeranz	0.2110	0.2468	27.5
7	Casey Lawrence	0.2211	0.3200	26.4
8	Wade Miley	0.2313	0.2629	24.0
9	Blake Wood	0.2254	0.2961	23.9
10	Dinelson Lamet	0.2211	0.1716	23.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Scherzer	0.2889	0.1698	33.3
2	Aríel Miranda	0.2853	0.1674	28.1
3	Matt Cain	0.2888	0.2618	28.0
4	Casey Lawrence	0.2969	0.3200	26.3
5	Wade Miley	0.3033	0.2629	26.2
6	Tyler Chatwood	0.3150	0.1976	25.9
7	Blake Wood	0.2964	0.2961	25.3
8	Chris Archer	0.2916	0.2446	25.0
9	José Ureña	0.3003	0.1893	25.0
10	Jake Odorizzi	0.2844	0.1667	25.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aríel Miranda	0.2873	0.1674	35.6
2	Max Scherzer	0.2784	0.1698	32.1
3	Jake Odorizzi	0.2809	0.1667	28.3
4	Martín Pérez	0.2927	0.2599	28.1
5	Ian Kennedy	0.2857	0.1769	27.1
6	Clayton Richard	0.2965	0.2597	26.3
7	Gio Gonzalez	0.2983	0.1992	26.2
8	Jacob deGrom	0.2845	0.2485	26.0
9	Dinelson Lamet	0.2926	0.1716	26.0
10	Yu Darvish	0.3062	0.2060	25.1

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Blake Snell	0.2541	0.2912	0.1977	30.2	11.5	18.6
2	Alex Wood	0.2475	0.2909	0.1980	29.6	12.6	17.0
3	Mike Pelfrey	0.2648	0.3062	0.2081	30.3	14.0	16.3
4	Carlos Martinez	0.2394	0.2949	0.2131	21.5	8.1	13.4
5	Jason Hammel	0.2032	0.2893	0.2535	41.4	29.4	12.0
6	Josh Tomlin	0.2022	0.2924	0.2322	18.2	7.1	11.1
7	Masahiro Tanaka	0.2024	0.2901	0.2168	11.8	0.7	11.1
8	Gio Gonzalez	0.2431	0.3013	0.1992	35.2	24.5	10.7
9	Marco Estrada	0.1789	0.2631	0.1939	13.1	2.6	10.5
10	John Lackey	0.2218	0.2792	0.2017	13.8	3.8	10.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Arrieta	0.2944	0.2764	0.1952	16.2	6.2	9.9
2	R.A. Dickey	0.2948	0.2817	0.2014	13.9	6.4	7.5
3	John Lackey	0.2926	0.2792	0.2017	10.6	3.8	6.8
4	Carlos Martinez	0.3063	0.2949	0.2131	14.4	8.1	6.3
5	Tyler Chatwood	0.3150	0.3014	0.1976	25.9	19.9	6.0
6	Mike Montgomery	0.2987	0.2840	0.2044	9.7	3.9	5.8
7	Marco Estrada	0.2806	0.2631	0.1939	8.3	2.6	5.7
8	Gregory Infante	0.2211	0.3013	0.1987	12.2	6.9	5.4
9	Sonny Gray	0.3103	0.2993	0.1973	24.8	20.0	4.8
10	Iván Nova	0.3129	0.3031	0.2216	11.6	7.1	4.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Robbie Ray	0.3144	0.3055	0.2098	24.8	15.5	9.2
2	Marco Estrada	0.2468	0.2631	0.1939	11.7	2.6	9.1
3	Yu Darvish	0.3062	0.2995	0.2060	25.1	16.2	9.0
4	Rex Brothers	0.2211	0.3064	0.2500	10.1	1.7	8.4
5	Tanner Roark	0.2731	0.2886	0.2321	20.5	12.3	8.2
6	Nick Goody	0.2211	0.2901	0.2017	10.6	3.5	7.0
7	Jack Flaherty	0.2211	0.3007	0.2712	11.0	4.0	7.0
8	Chris Rowley	0.2211	0.2972	0.2344	7.2	0.8	6.3
9	Jesen Therrien	0.2211	0.2964	0.2381	7.3	1.2	6.0
10	Jason Vargas	0.2956	0.2933	0.2199	6.2	0.8	5.5

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tim Adleman	0.1009	0.0000 (17.0)	0.0625 (18.8)	0.0000 (17.0)	0.0000 (17.4)
Bartolo Colon	0.1010	0.0000 (20.8)	0.0637 (22.3)	0.0000 (20.9)	0.0000 (21.3)
Marco Estrada	0.0932	0.0000 (19.5)	0.0573 (26.5)	0.0000 (19.6)	0.0000 (20.1)
Rick Porcello	0.0882	0.0000 (17.1)	0.0598 (22.6)	0.0000 (17.2)	0.0000 (17.8)
Lance Lynn	0.0413	0.0000 (21.4)	0.0682 (23.1)	0.0000 (21.3)	0.0000 (20.8)
Michael Feliz	0.1441	0.0000 (16.4)	0.0641 (16.8)	0.0000 (16.4)	0.0000 (16.5)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.0944	0.0000 (16.5)	0.0646 (17.4)	0.0000 (16.6)	0.0000 (17.0)
Ervin Santana	0.0469	0.0000 (19.1)	0.0699 (22.4)	0.0000 (18.9)	0.0000 (18.4)
Wily Peralta	0.1437	0.0000 (20.1)	0.0721 (18.5)	0.0000 (20.1)	0.0000 (20.3)
Charlie Morton	0.1034	0.0000 (21.3)	0.0684 (19.8)	0.0000 (21.4)	0.0000 (21.8)
Homer Bailey	0.1062	0.0000 (15.6)	0.0613 (17.6)	0.0000 (15.7)	0.0000 (16.0)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Ricky Nolasco	0.0949	20.4
2	Jaime García	0.0933	16.4
3	Chad Kuhl	0.0926	16.0
4	Carlos Carrasco	0.0889	15.9
5	Jacob deGrom	0.0501	15.6
6	Michael Fulmer	0.0459	15.6
7	Andrew Cashner	0.0472	15.3
8	Jameson Taillon	0.0948	15.2
9	Bronson Arroyo	0.1159	15.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Cashner	0.0735	0.0472	20.6
2	Matt Moore	0.0545	0.0813	18.9
3	José Ureña	0.0714	0.0493	18.1
4	Clayton Richard	0.0550	0.0779	17.1
5	Robbie Ray	0.0740	0.0517	16.8
6	Jordan Montgomery	0.0690	0.0463	16.6
7	Chris Rusin	0.0777	0.0336	16.0
8	Luis Severino	0.0805	0.0632	15.8
9	Bronson Arroyo	0.0643	0.1159	15.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ricky Nolasco	0.0000	0.0949	20.5
2	Jaime García	0.0000	0.0933	16.5
3	Gregory Infante	0.0690	0.0662	16.2
4	Chad Kuhl	0.0000	0.0926	16.1
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.0000	0.0889	16.0
6	Michael Fulmer	0.0000	0.0459	15.5
7	Jacob deGrom	0.0000	0.0501	15.5
8	Andrew Cashner	0.0000	0.0472	15.2
9	Jameson Taillon	0.0000	0.0948	15.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ricky Nolasco	0.0000	0.0949	21.0
2	Nick Goody	0.0690	0.0588	17.3
3	Jaime García	0.0000	0.0933	16.9
4	Chad Kuhl	0.0000	0.0926	16.6
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.0000	0.0889	16.5
6	Jameson Taillon	0.0000	0.0948	15.6
7	Bronson Arroyo	0.0000	0.1159	15.4
8	Trevor Bauer	0.0000	0.0886	15.3
9	Josh Tomlin	0.0000	0.0943	15.3

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Iván Nova	0.0816	0.0687	12.4	0.2	12.2
2	Luis Severino	0.0805	0.0632	15.8	4.5	11.3
3	Clayton Richard	0.0550	0.0779	17.1	7.7	9.4
4	Matt Moore	0.0545	0.0813	18.9	9.8	9.1
5	Alex Wood	0.0528	0.0693	8.3	0.2	8.1
6	Kenta Maeda	0.0525	0.0730	9.8	2.3	7.5
7	Marco Estrada	0.0573	0.0932	26.5	19.5	7.0
8	Wade Miley	0.0750	0.0647	9.7	3.1	6.5
9	Jake Arrieta	0.0576	0.0724	8.4	2.4	6.0
10	Michael Pineda	0.0806	0.0509	13.4	7.4	6.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Gregory Infante	0.0690	0.0662	16.2	0.6	15.6
2	José Ruiz	0.0690	0.0000	0.6	0.3	0.3
3	Rick Porcello	0.0000	0.0882	17.2	17.1	0.1
4	Clayton Richard	0.0000	0.0779	7.8	7.7	0.1
5	Chris Archer	0.0000	0.0724	3.1	2.9	0.1
6	Chris Sale	0.0000	0.0726	3.3	3.1	0.1
7	Jeff Samardzija	0.0000	0.0697	0.7	0.6	0.1
8	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0842	12.7	12.6	0.1
9	Kevin Gausman	0.0000	0.0733	3.7	3.6	0.1
10	R.A. Dickey	0.0000	0.0799	9.0	8.9	0.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nick Goody	0.0690	0.0588	17.3	2.2	15.1
2	John Brebbia	0.0690	0.0821	11.5	2.7	8.8
3	Hector Velázquez	0.0690	0.0606	7.3	0.8	6.5
4	Jack Flaherty	0.0690	0.0339	9.7	3.3	6.4
5	Aaron Bummer	0.0690	0.0370	9.1	2.9	6.2
6	Chris Rowley	0.0690	0.0312	9.4	3.4	6.1
7	Jesen Therrien	0.0690	0.0635	6.3	0.5	5.9
8	Yacksel Ríos	0.0690	0.0465	6.6	1.6	5.0
9	Austin Maddox	0.0690	0.0200	7.8	3.3	4.6
10	Carlos Ramírez	0.0690	0.0541	4.8	0.9	4.0

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tyler Chatwood	0.0220	0.0000 (9.8)	0.0074 (9.7)	0.0000 (9.8)	0.0000 (9.8)
Matt Moore	0.0166	0.0000 (8.0)	0.0042 (10.5)	0.0000 (8.0)	0.0000 (8.1)
Gio Gonzalez	0.0000	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0107 (8.1)	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (5.3)
Luis Perdomo	0.0000	0.0000 (4.6)	0.0079 (5.0)	0.0000 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.6)
Josh Ravin	0.0789	0.0000 (5.1)	0.0118 (4.8)	0.0000 (5.1)	0.0000 (5.2)
Jeff Hoffman	0.0201	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0049 (7.0)	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0000 (6.0)
Danny Duffy	0.0166	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0071 (6.3)	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0000 (6.2)
Pedro Báez	0.0227	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0056 (5.0)	0.0000 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.6)
Oliver Drake	0.0316	0.0000 (6.3)	0.0100 (5.6)	0.0000 (6.3)	0.0000 (6.3)
Jeff Samardzija	0.0209	0.0000 (12.2)	0.0114 (8.8)	0.0000 (12.2)	0.0000 (12.3)
Sean Newcomb	0.0182	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0065 (5.7)	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0000 (5.4)
Kelvin Herrera	0.0347	0.0000 (7.3)	0.0054 (7.8)	0.0000 (7.3)	0.0000 (7.3)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Germán Márquez	0.0148	5.9
2	Lance Lynn	0.0138	5.7
3	Clayton Richard	0.0130	5.6
4	Luis Severino	0.0000	5.1
5	Corey Kluber	0.0000	5.0
6	Patrick Corbin	0.0125	5.0
7	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	4.9
8	Matthew Boyd	0.0143	4.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Cashner	0.0142	0.0019	8.1
2	Rafael Montero	0.0141	0.0000	7.3
3	Yu Darvish	0.0106	0.0021	5.8
4	Jerad Eickhoff	0.0106	0.0000	5.6
5	Taijuan Walker	0.0048	0.0111	4.9
6	Hunter Strickland	0.0060	0.0229	4.7
7	Parker Bridwell	0.0130	0.0027	4.6
8	Jon Gray	0.0073	0.0163	4.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Germán Márquez	0.0148	5.9
2	Lance Lynn	0.0138	5.7
3	Clayton Richard	0.0130	5.6
4	Luis Severino	0.0000	5.1
5	Corey Kluber	0.0000	5.0
6	Patrick Corbin	0.0125	5.0
7	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	4.9
8	Matthew Boyd	0.0143	4.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Germán Márquez	0.0148	5.9
2	Lance Lynn	0.0138	5.7
3	Clayton Richard	0.0130	5.6
4	Patrick Corbin	0.0125	5.1
5	Luis Severino	0.0000	5.0
6	Corey Kluber	0.0000	5.0
7	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	4.8
8	Matthew Boyd	0.0143	4.7

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andrew Cashner	0.0142	0.0019	8.1	3.2	4.9
2	Rafael Montero	0.0141	0.0000	7.3	3.6	3.7
3	Jacob deGrom	0.0024	0.0060	3.7	0.4	3.3
4	Drew Pomeranz	0.0027	0.0063	3.3	0.1	3.2
5	Parker Bridwell	0.0130	0.0027	4.6	1.8	2.8
6	Gio Gonzalez	0.0107	0.0000	8.1	5.4	2.8
7	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.0027	0.0084	3.8	1.1	2.7
8	Chris Archer	0.0042	0.0078	3.8	1.1	2.7
9	Robbie Ray	0.0112	0.0057	3.1	0.5	2.6
10	Ervin Santana	0.0044	0.0084	4.2	1.6	2.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Gregory Infante	0.0065	0.0066	1.4	0.0	1.4
2	José Ruiz	0.0065	0.0000	0.1	0.0	0.0
3	Ervin Santana	0.0000	0.0084	1.6	1.6	0.0
4	Carlos Martinez	0.0000	0.0075	0.9	0.9	0.0
5	Clayton Richard	0.0000	0.0130	5.6	5.6	0.0
6	Chris Archer	0.0000	0.0078	1.2	1.1	0.0
7	Gerrit Cole	0.0000	0.0107	3.6	3.5	0.0
8	Jeff Samardzija	0.0000	0.0209	12.2	12.2	0.0
9	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0125	5.0	5.0	0.0
10	Zach Davies	0.0000	0.0115	4.1	4.1	0.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	John Brebbia	0.0065	0.0075	1.1	0.2	0.9
2	Hector Velázquez	0.0065	0.0000	1.2	0.6	0.6
3	Aaron Bummer	0.0065	0.0000	1.2	0.6	0.6
4	Nick Goody	0.0065	0.0084	1.0	0.4	0.6
5	Jesen Therrien	0.0065	0.0000	1.1	0.6	0.6
6	Tim Mayza	0.0065	0.0000	1.0	0.5	0.5
7	Luis Santos	0.0065	0.0000	0.9	0.4	0.4
8	Austin Maddox	0.0065	0.0000	0.9	0.4	0.4
9	Ricardo Rodríguez	0.0065	0.0000	0.8	0.4	0.4
10	Carlos Ramírez	0.0065	0.0000	0.7	0.4	0.4

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Gio Gonzalez	0.0834	0.1060 (26.1)	0.1151 (33.4)	0.1066 (25.2)	0.1055 (27.0)
Bartolo Colon	0.1728	0.1177 (29.9)	0.1095 (35.4)	0.1191 (30.0)	0.1162 (29.8)
Jharel Cotton	0.1608	0.1130 (22.0)	0.1073 (25.3)	0.1166 (20.9)	0.1095 (23.1)
Brad Peacock	0.0842	0.1258 (27.6)	0.1223 (25.6)	0.1244 (25.9)	0.1272 (29.2)
Chase Anderson	0.0826	0.1268 (30.3)	0.1211 (26.9)	0.1289 (30.5)	0.1248 (30.0)
Luis Severino	0.0932	0.1156 (24.5)	0.1224 (29.7)	0.1156 (23.3)	0.1155 (25.7)
Chris Tillman	0.1937	0.1231 (27.4)	0.1105 (33.1)	0.1289 (25.5)	0.1173 (29.2)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Glasnow	0.1014	0.2000	27.3
2	Ervin Santana	0.1209	0.0984	27.2
3	Matt Moore	0.1045	0.1468	26.4
4	Parker Bridwell	0.1501	0.1057	26.3
5	Corey Kluber	0.0949	0.0721	24.7
6	Andrew Cashner	0.1321	0.1065	24.3
7	Kyle Freeland	0.1385	0.1134	23.4
8	Rick Porcello	0.1071	0.1412	22.3
9	Travis Wood	0.1176	0.1766	21.8
10	Jon Lester	0.0951	0.1324	21.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	0.1245	0.0857	31.6
2	José Ureña	0.1352	0.1064	27.2
3	Corey Kluber	0.0983	0.0721	27.2
4	José Berríos	0.1505	0.1153	27.1
5	Robert Gsellman	0.0976	0.1548	26.6
6	Jon Lester	0.0898	0.1324	25.8
7	Zack Godley	0.1289	0.0973	25.3
8	Archie Bradley	0.1269	0.0483	25.3
9	Stephen Strasburg	0.1047	0.0785	24.5
10	Tanner Roark	0.0953	0.1353	24.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	0.1258	0.0984	30.0
2	Corey Kluber	0.1007	0.0721	28.0
3	Matt Moore	0.1043	0.1468	27.8
4	Andrew Cashner	0.1371	0.1065	26.7
5	Tyler Glasnow	0.1075	0.2000	26.0
6	Jimmy Nelson	0.1296	0.1030	24.7
7	Parker Bridwell	0.1462	0.1057	23.6
8	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1268	0.1682	22.1
9	Kyle Freeland	0.1367	0.1134	21.1
10	Chris Sale	0.1024	0.0858	20.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	0.1540	0.1057	29.0
2	Tyler Glasnow	0.0954	0.2000	28.7
3	Rick Porcello	0.0992	0.1412	27.9
4	Travis Wood	0.1031	0.1766	27.4
5	Kyle Freeland	0.1404	0.1134	25.9
6	Alex Wood	0.1128	0.0814	25.8
7	Matt Moore	0.1046	0.1468	25.0
8	Jon Lester	0.0895	0.1324	24.6
9	Ervin Santana	0.1161	0.0984	24.5
10	Anthony Swarzak	0.1335	0.0693	22.7

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Berríos	0.1505	0.1209	0.1153	27.1	9.0	18.1
2	Robbie Ray	0.1245	0.1026	0.0857	31.6	17.2	14.4
3	Tanner Roark	0.0953	0.1122	0.1353	24.2	11.0	13.2
4	Aaron Nola	0.1220	0.1040	0.0967	23.6	11.2	12.4
5	Marco Estrada	0.1048	0.1199	0.1290	12.5	0.2	12.3
6	Patrick Corbin	0.1327	0.1184	0.1174	19.8	8.1	11.7
7	José Ureña	0.1352	0.1194	0.1064	27.2	15.9	11.3
8	Robert Gsellman	0.0976	0.1161	0.1548	26.6	16.4	10.2
9	Seth Lugo	0.0974	0.1244	0.1307	10.7	1.1	9.6
10	Bronson Arroyo	0.1143	0.1425	0.1832	19.4	10.3	9.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chris Sale	0.1024	0.0913	0.0858	20.4	12.3	8.1
2	Dylan Bundy	0.1275	0.1144	0.1175	12.1	4.1	8.1
3	Marco Estrada	0.1314	0.1199	0.1290	7.9	0.2	7.7
4	Luis Perdomo	0.1195	0.1263	0.1355	6.2	0.2	6.0
5	Rafael Montero	0.1206	0.1276	0.1364	4.6	0.1	4.5
6	Asher Wojciechowski	0.1153	0.1289	0.1720	13.8	9.5	4.2
7	Jimmy Nelson	0.1296	0.1228	0.1030	24.7	20.9	3.8
8	Darren O'Day	0.1111	0.0946	0.1000	4.4	0.9	3.6
9	Zach Davies	0.1212	0.1155	0.1102	15.0	11.6	3.4
10	Jaime García	0.1040	0.1075	0.1278	11.0	7.7	3.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marco Estrada	0.1083	0.1199	0.1290	8.2	0.2	8.0
2	Jhoulys Chacín	0.1230	0.1171	0.1072	20.2	14.4	5.7
3	Luis Perdomo	0.1331	0.1263	0.1355	5.9	0.2	5.7
4	Travis Wood	0.1031	0.1176	0.1766	27.4	21.8	5.6
5	Rick Porcello	0.0992	0.1071	0.1412	27.9	22.3	5.6
6	José Ureña	0.1252	0.1194	0.1064	21.3	15.9	5.4
7	Alex Wood	0.1128	0.1060	0.0814	25.8	20.6	5.2
8	Jason Hammel	0.1097	0.1177	0.1356	12.3	7.2	5.1
9	Rafael Montero	0.1347	0.1276	0.1364	4.9	0.1	4.8
10	Jake Arrieta	0.0863	0.0947	0.1160	13.5	8.7	4.7

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Andrew Cashner	0.0895	0.1232 (29.5)	0.1129 (22.5)	0.1277 (32.1)	0.1187 (27.0)
Gio Gonzalez	0.0798	0.0979 (21.7)	0.1080 (30.3)	0.0973 (20.6)	0.0985 (22.9)
Bartolo Colon	0.1590	0.1095 (26.8)	0.1023 (31.2)	0.1101 (26.8)	0.1088 (26.6)
Marcus Stroman	0.0827	0.1008 (21.9)	0.1082 (28.4)	0.0984 (19.3)	0.1032 (24.6)
Chris Tillman	0.1824	0.1146 (26.5)	0.1076 (29.5)	0.1201 (24.4)	0.1091 (28.5)
Chase Anderson	0.0756	0.1186 (29.2)	0.1116 (25.4)	0.1206 (29.8)	0.1167 (28.6)
Luis Severino	0.0817	0.1072 (26.4)	0.1148 (32.5)	0.1066 (25.2)	0.1079 (27.6)
Ubaldo Jiménez	0.1667	0.1180 (26.2)	0.1187 (25.6)	0.1176 (27.0)	0.1185 (25.3)
Matt Harvey	0.1601	0.0999 (22.4)	0.0990 (22.6)	0.0996 (22.9)	0.1002 (21.9)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	0.1129	0.0891	27.6
2	Brad Peacock	0.1174	0.0806	24.6
3	Parker Bridwell	0.1409	0.0996	24.4
4	Matt Moore	0.0966	0.1354	24.2
5	Corey Kluber	0.0878	0.0656	23.6
6	Kyle Freeland	0.1290	0.1032	23.4
7	Jordan Zimmermann	0.1121	0.1515	22.2
8	Tyler Glasnow	0.0942	0.1738	21.8
9	Jimmy Nelson	0.1142	0.0934	21.1
10	Richard Bleier	0.1201	0.0528	20.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	0.1132	0.0782	28.9
2	José Ureña	0.1301	0.0994	28.4
3	Jordan Zimmermann	0.1040	0.1515	27.8
4	José Berríos	0.1383	0.1023	27.5
5	Corey Kluber	0.0904	0.0656	25.9
6	Zack Godley	0.1232	0.0925	24.6
7	Stephen Strasburg	0.0963	0.0699	24.5
8	Archie Bradley	0.1186	0.0483	22.9
9	Dylan Covey	0.1130	0.1942	22.5
10	Travis Wood	0.1040	0.1628	21.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	0.1170	0.0891	30.4
2	Corey Kluber	0.0923	0.0656	26.5
3	Matt Moore	0.0959	0.1354	25.4
4	Jimmy Nelson	0.1202	0.0934	24.9
5	Brad Peacock	0.1164	0.0806	23.6
6	Parker Bridwell	0.1372	0.0996	22.2
7	Kyle Freeland	0.1273	0.1032	21.7
8	Nick Pivetta	0.1081	0.1524	21.6
9	Tyler Glasnow	0.0985	0.1738	20.7
10	Richard Bleier	0.1171	0.0528	19.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	0.1445	0.0996	26.6
2	Jordan Zimmermann	0.1065	0.1515	25.6
3	Brad Peacock	0.1184	0.0806	25.6
4	Travis Wood	0.0954	0.1628	25.4
5	Kyle Freeland	0.1306	0.1032	25.1
6	Ervin Santana	0.1089	0.0891	24.9
7	Alex Wood	0.1053	0.0749	24.2
8	Matt Moore	0.0972	0.1354	23.0
9	Tyler Glasnow	0.0899	0.1738	22.8
10	Richard Bleier	0.1232	0.0528	21.1

Most Unique Misses for Earned Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Berríos	0.1383	0.1126	0.1023	27.5	11.4	16.0
2	José Ureña	0.1301	0.1104	0.0994	28.4	13.9	14.5
3	Marco Estrada	0.0971	0.1128	0.1278	17.9	5.5	12.4
4	Robbie Ray	0.1132	0.0951	0.0782	28.9	16.7	12.2
5	Aaron Nola	0.1109	0.0961	0.0952	16.8	6.3	10.5
6	Zack Godley	0.1232	0.1072	0.0925	24.6	14.3	10.3
7	Tanner Roark	0.0909	0.1042	0.1211	16.9	6.8	10.0
8	Bronson Arroyo	0.1061	0.1342	0.1801	21.1	12.1	8.9
9	Iván Nova	0.1145	0.1035	0.1096	10.6	1.7	8.9
10	Gio Gonzalez	0.1080	0.0979	0.0798	30.3	21.7	8.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dylan Bundy	0.1193	0.1071	0.1146	8.4	0.5	7.9
2	Chris Sale	0.0943	0.0848	0.0811	17.5	10.1	7.4
3	Rafael Montero	0.1120	0.1193	0.1327	7.3	2.9	4.4
4	Asher Wojciechowski	0.1067	0.1201	0.1613	13.2	9.2	4.0
5	Jimmy Nelson	0.1202	0.1142	0.0934	24.9	21.1	3.8
6	Jaime García	0.0941	0.0989	0.1144	8.7	5.0	3.8
7	Jake Arrieta	0.0934	0.0873	0.0934	5.3	1.5	3.8
8	Darren O'Day	0.1035	0.0882	0.0958	3.6	0.1	3.5
9	Ty Blach	0.0999	0.1041	0.1257	12.7	9.3	3.4
10	Wade Miley	0.1105	0.1140	0.1346	12.2	9.1	3.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marco Estrada	0.1017	0.1128	0.1278	13.7	5.5	8.2
2	Dylan Bundy	0.0949	0.1071	0.1146	7.4	0.5	6.9
3	Luis Perdomo	0.1248	0.1169	0.1187	10.9	4.6	6.3
4	Jhoulys Chacín	0.1157	0.1088	0.1020	17.5	11.5	6.0
5	Travis Wood	0.0954	0.1098	0.1628	25.4	19.6	5.9
6	Alex Wood	0.1053	0.0976	0.0749	24.2	19.0	5.2
7	José Ureña	0.1165	0.1104	0.0994	18.9	13.9	5.1
8	Jason Hammel	0.1032	0.1102	0.1318	15.7	10.8	4.9
9	Rick Porcello	0.0931	0.0995	0.1186	14.6	9.7	4.9
10	Ross Stripling	0.1188	0.1067	0.1020	7.9	3.9	3.9

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
JC Ramírez	0.4074	0.0643 (216.3)	0.0667 (182.5)	0.0839 (201.1)	0.0500 (236.2)
José Ureña	0.4118	0.1222 (213.8)	0.1143 (181.8)	0.0776 (242.5)	0.2424 (139.7)
Jason Vargas	0.5625	0.3133 (192.7)	0.1818 (252.8)	0.3197 (184.2)	0.3077 (210.5)
Trevor Bauer	0.5312	0.3371 (149.7)	0.2439 (180.5)	0.3629 (126.6)	0.3125 (181.5)
Zach Davies	0.5152	0.3256 (159.6)	0.2500 (178.8)	0.3174 (162.2)	0.3333 (167.8)
Alex Wood	0.5926	0.2032 (242.6)	0.2143 (203.8)	0.1610 (265.5)	0.2917 (199.3)
Ervin Santana	0.4848	0.3415 (128.8)	0.2222 (186.9)	0.3368 (128.6)	0.3462 (140.2)
Charlie Morton	0.5600	0.3494 (133.5)	0.2174 (182.8)	0.3649 (120.8)	0.3333 (154.4)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chase Anderson	0.1918	0.4800	167.3
2	Matt Moore	0.3871	0.1875	153.1
3	Zack Godley	0.0699	0.3077	152.7
4	Brad Peacock	0.1152	0.3824	149.0
5	Jakob Junis	0.1343	0.4500	135.7
6	Parker Bridwell	0.2116	0.4762	133.0
7	Chris Tillman	0.3398	0.0417	129.8
8	Mike Clevinger	0.2016	0.4444	124.8
9	Ricky Nolasco	0.3460	0.1818	124.7
10	Ian Kennedy	0.3581	0.1667	121.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Drew Pomeranz	0.1739	0.5312	230.2
2	José Berríos	0.1429	0.5385	215.2
3	Corey Kluber	0.3158	0.6207	200.9
4	Robbie Ray	0.1905	0.5357	198.8
5	Luis Severino	0.1562	0.4516	195.0
6	Patrick Corbin	0.1463	0.4242	191.3
7	Carlos Carrasco	0.2778	0.5625	190.2
8	Parker Bridwell	0.0769	0.4762	173.6
9	Clayton Kershaw	0.3750	0.6667	166.6
10	CC Sabathia	0.2051	0.5185	166.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chase Anderson	0.1373	0.4800	195.4
2	Brad Peacock	0.0914	0.3824	159.3
3	Jakob Junis	0.0852	0.4500	154.2
4	Nick Pivetta	0.0639	0.3077	142.8
5	Mike Clevinger	0.1636	0.4444	141.4
6	Zack Godley	0.0831	0.3077	141.3
7	Matt Moore	0.3653	0.1875	139.9
8	Ricky Nolasco	0.3585	0.1818	138.5
9	José Berríos	0.3236	0.5385	132.8
10	Corey Kluber	0.4531	0.6207	130.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Godley	0.0606	0.3077	169.7
2	Parker Bridwell	0.1667	0.4762	163.9
3	Matt Moore	0.4091	0.1875	156.4
4	Patrick Corbin	0.2692	0.4242	147.5
5	Jhoulys Chacín	0.2400	0.4062	145.2
6	Luis Severino	0.3030	0.4516	134.8
7	CC Sabathia	0.3333	0.5185	130.1
8	Rick Porcello	0.5000	0.3333	126.6
9	Chris Tillman	0.3448	0.0417	124.1
10	Ian Kennedy	0.3793	0.1667	123.8

Most Unique Misses for Win Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Drew Pomeranz	0.1739	0.4051	0.5312	230.2	97.6	132.6
2	Germán Márquez	0.1250	0.3420	0.3793	145.8	30.2	115.6
3	Dylan Bundy	0.1892	0.4060	0.4643	159.7	44.7	115.0
4	Chris Sale	0.3333	0.5091	0.5312	129.0	23.7	105.3
5	José Berríos	0.1429	0.3608	0.5385	215.2	113.0	102.2
6	Robbie Ray	0.1905	0.3874	0.5357	198.8	102.4	96.3
7	Alex Cobb	0.1667	0.3482	0.4138	149.0	52.9	96.1
8	Luis Severino	0.1562	0.3266	0.4516	195.0	102.4	92.6
9	Carlos Carrasco	0.2778	0.4451	0.5625	190.2	98.3	92.0
10	Corey Kluber	0.3158	0.4842	0.6207	200.9	110.5	90.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Travis Wood	0.2906	0.0726	0.1026	81.6	15.6	66.1
2	Dylan Bundy	0.3388	0.4060	0.4643	88.1	44.7	43.4
3	Antonio Senzatela	0.1488	0.2282	0.2778	73.2	31.2	41.9
4	Ty Blach	0.1204	0.1780	0.2353	80.0	43.6	36.4
5	Gregory Infante	0.2245	0.0698	0.0385	42.1	5.8	36.3
6	Trevor Williams	0.1337	0.1931	0.2258	59.6	24.7	34.9
7	Zack Greinke	0.3731	0.4196	0.5312	127.2	94.1	33.2
8	Sean Newcomb	0.3089	0.2416	0.2105	44.5	11.6	33.0
9	Chris Sale	0.4679	0.5091	0.5312	54.5	23.7	30.8
10	Jimmy Nelson	0.2836	0.3307	0.4138	95.3	64.7	30.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Archie Bradley	0.3462	0.0957	0.0476	79.7	12.3	67.5
2	Clayton Richard	0.1481	0.1933	0.2500	107.6	53.6	54.1
3	Bud Norris	0.2857	0.0922	0.0333	61.1	14.2	46.9
4	Ross Stripling	0.2609	0.1022	0.0612	53.5	10.7	42.8
5	Jhoulys Chacín	0.2400	0.2770	0.4062	145.2	103.3	41.9
6	Jorge De La Rosa	0.3462	0.1424	0.0462	60.5	19.8	40.7
7	Patrick Corbin	0.2692	0.2966	0.4242	147.5	110.2	37.3
8	Warwick Saupold	0.2308	0.0835	0.0667	39.3	3.1	36.2
9	Nick Goody	0.2245	0.0490	0.0179	40.5	5.6	34.8
10	Chris Rusin	0.2857	0.1663	0.0833	60.8	26.2	34.5

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
JC Ramírez	0.3704	0.0661 (188.7)	0.0889 (141.5)	0.0882 (178.7)	0.0500 (204.5)
Jimmy Nelson	0.2069	0.3941 (136.2)	0.3250 (124.7)	0.4085 (142.3)	0.3793 (118.6)
Rick Porcello	0.5152	0.3106 (181.1)	0.2250 (209.7)	0.3209 (177.4)	0.3000 (198.8)
Michael Fulmer	0.4800	0.3138 (112.4)	0.1795 (167.2)	0.3321 (104.2)	0.2963 (130.6)
Corey Kluber	0.1379	0.2931 (120.5)	0.2632 (138.7)	0.2958 (117.9)	0.2903 (111.0)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Richard	0.2246	0.4688	209.5
2	Zack Godley	0.0753	0.3462	169.9
3	Nick Pivetta	0.1478	0.3846	138.3
4	Tim Adleman	0.1242	0.3667	128.8
5	Joe Biagini	0.0485	0.2955	127.7
6	Ben Lively	0.1532	0.4667	116.6
7	Ty Blach	0.1896	0.3529	113.1
8	Jeff Samardzija	0.3354	0.4688	113.1
9	Andrew Triggs	0.1181	0.5000	108.1
10	Ervin Santana	0.3663	0.2424	107.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Richard	0.1143	0.4688	258.5
2	Jharel Cotton	0.1000	0.4167	149.1
3	Ty Blach	0.0909	0.3529	144.5
4	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1892	0.4483	142.5
5	Masahiro Tanaka	0.1579	0.4000	142.0
6	Matt Moore	0.2381	0.4688	140.2
7	Derek Holland	0.2059	0.4828	140.0
8	Daniel Gossett	0.2227	0.6111	138.8
9	Danny Duffy	0.1395	0.4167	136.4
10	Bartolo Colon	0.2368	0.5000	136.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pivetta	0.0777	0.3846	182.8
2	Ty Blach	0.1225	0.3529	163.7
3	Zack Godley	0.0960	0.3462	160.7
4	Tim Adleman	0.0813	0.3667	154.8
5	Ben Lively	0.0833	0.4667	144.9
6	Rafael Montero	0.0848	0.3235	134.7
7	Joe Biagini	0.0472	0.2955	131.5
8	Parker Bridwell	0.4141	0.1429	130.4
9	Ervin Santana	0.3868	0.2424	119.4
10	Matt Moore	0.3343	0.4688	111.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Richard	0.1481	0.4688	283.2
2	Zack Godley	0.0606	0.3462	185.0
3	Jeff Samardzija	0.3103	0.4688	142.2
4	Joe Biagini	0.0500	0.2955	131.8
5	Andrew Triggs	0.0476	0.5000	130.7
6	Miguel González	0.3200	0.4815	116.9
7	Madison Bumgarner	0.2812	0.5294	115.9
8	Daniel Gossett	0.3462	0.6111	113.6
9	Yu Darvish	0.2500	0.3871	112.3
10	Patrick Corbin	0.2692	0.3939	110.8

Most Unique Misses for Loss Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jason Vargas	0.1364	0.3360	0.3438	116.5	5.9	110.6
2	Chad Kuhl	0.1471	0.3464	0.3548	105.1	5.8	99.3
3	Jharel Cotton	0.1000	0.3096	0.4167	149.1	60.7	88.4
4	Alex Cobb	0.1667	0.3541	0.3448	92.7	6.8	85.9
5	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1892	0.3663	0.4483	142.5	56.8	85.6
6	Adalberto Mejía	0.0833	0.3411	0.3333	87.2	3.4	83.8
7	Luis Perdomo	0.2000	0.3897	0.3793	90.3	7.4	82.9
8	Danny Duffy	0.1395	0.3283	0.4167	136.4	53.9	82.4
9	Masahiro Tanaka	0.1579	0.3160	0.4000	142.0	63.2	78.8
10	Carlos Martinez	0.1818	0.3260	0.3438	93.3	15.3	78.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trevor Cahill	0.3862	0.0996	0.1429	90.4	16.5	73.8
2	Ty Blach	0.1225	0.1896	0.3529	163.7	113.1	50.6
3	Travis Wood	0.3961	0.0740	0.1795	91.8	46.0	45.7
4	Parker Bridwell	0.4141	0.3163	0.1429	130.4	85.3	45.1
5	Nick Pivetta	0.0777	0.1478	0.3846	182.8	138.3	44.5
6	Trevor Williams	0.1634	0.2258	0.2903	85.4	41.5	43.9
7	José Ureña	0.0831	0.1344	0.2059	93.3	51.8	41.5
8	Ubaldo Jiménez	0.2449	0.2981	0.3548	75.3	36.8	38.4
9	Jordan Lyles	0.3774	0.2563	0.1316	77.7	40.4	37.3
10	Robert Stephenson	0.1234	0.2115	0.2400	47.0	11.0	36.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jakob Junis	0.3704	0.1589	0.1500	89.0	3.7	85.3
2	Clayton Richard	0.1481	0.2246	0.4688	283.2	209.5	73.7
3	Robert Stephenson	0.4583	0.2115	0.2400	80.0	11.0	69.0
4	Alex Wood	0.2917	0.1804	0.1111	105.0	42.5	62.6
5	Archie Bradley	0.3077	0.0838	0.0476	72.7	10.5	62.2
6	Ross Stripling	0.3043	0.1053	0.1020	58.6	1.0	57.7
7	Warwick Saupold	0.3077	0.1000	0.0444	71.1	15.5	55.5
8	Bud Norris	0.3214	0.0935	0.1000	56.6	1.8	54.8
9	Brent Suter	0.2500	0.0925	0.0909	51.0	0.5	50.5
10	Chase Anderson	0.3333	0.2376	0.1600	93.2	44.1	49.1

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Corey Knebel	0.5132	0.0449 (143.7)	0.0303 (155.6)	0.0523 (140.5)	0.0370 (147.1)
Héctor Neris	0.3514	0.1030 (78.5)	0.0400 (106.3)	0.1692 (56.3)	0.0286 (103.3)
Bud Norris	0.3167	0.0000 (83.7)	0.0263 (83.1)	0.0000 (82.9)	0.0000 (84.6)
Brad Brach	0.2687	0.0146 (69.0)	0.0400 (68.6)	0.0000 (72.2)	0.0317 (65.2)
Sean Doolittle	0.4528	0.1267 (63.6)	0.1562 (62.5)	0.1661 (55.3)	0.0909 (71.3)
Felipe Vázquez	0.2877	0.0259 (77.6)	0.0385 (81.0)	0.0219 (77.9)	0.0299 (77.3)
Brad Hand	0.2917	0.0353 (78.7)	0.0208 (90.7)	0.0563 (71.3)	0.0132 (86.6)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Robertson	0.5679	0.2295	90.2
2	Ryan Madson	0.3978	0.0333	80.5
3	Jeremy Jeffress	0.2203	0.0000	65.9
4	Luke Gregerson	0.2499	0.0154	62.5
5	Andrew Miller	0.2833	0.0351	61.3
6	Alex Colomé	0.5138	0.7231	57.9
7	Tony Watson	0.3292	0.1408	55.7
8	Ken Giles	0.3154	0.5397	54.6
9	Raisel Iglesias	0.2680	0.4444	53.0
10	Fernando Rodney	0.4163	0.6393	50.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Colomé	0.3158	0.7231	120.3
2	Raisel Iglesias	0.0882	0.4444	115.4
3	Ken Giles	0.1569	0.5397	99.7
4	Kelvin Herrera	0.0741	0.4062	91.4
5	Edwin Díaz	0.2121	0.5152	90.0
6	Fernando Rodney	0.3061	0.6393	81.8
7	Brandon Kintzler	0.1622	0.4028	75.3
8	Roberto Osuna	0.3148	0.5909	73.9
9	Blake Treinen	0.0208	0.2222	72.2
10	Wade Davis	0.2750	0.5424	69.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tony Watson	0.5564	0.1408	122.7
2	Greg Holland	0.2673	0.6721	93.7
3	Alex Colomé	0.4213	0.7231	83.1
4	Cam Bedrosian	0.5061	0.1250	73.6
5	Ryan Madson	0.3600	0.0333	72.9
6	David Robertson	0.4992	0.2295	72.8
7	Sam Dyson	0.5164	0.2545	69.7
8	Andrew Miller	0.3016	0.0351	66.5
9	Ryan Pressly	0.2387	0.0000	61.7
10	Seunghwan Oh	0.5475	0.3226	61.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Raisel Iglesias	0.0000	0.4444	136.0
2	Jeremy Jeffress	0.4286	0.0000	126.4
3	David Robertson	0.6379	0.2295	107.8
4	Luke Gregerson	0.3729	0.0154	94.0
5	Ryan Madson	0.4348	0.0333	87.9
6	Héctor Rondón	0.3607	0.0000	85.5
7	Santiago Casilla	0.5660	0.2540	80.8
8	Ken Giles	0.2143	0.5397	80.4
9	Edwin Díaz	0.2368	0.5152	77.4
10	Kelvin Herrera	0.1127	0.4062	76.0

Most Unique Misses for Save Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Wade Davis	0.2750	0.5421	0.5424	69.7	0.7	69.0
2	Kelvin Herrera	0.0741	0.3108	0.4062	91.4	23.9	67.5
3	Brandon Maurer	0.1020	0.3236	0.3235	64.7	0.8	63.8
4	Alex Colomé	0.3158	0.5138	0.7231	120.3	57.9	62.3
5	Raisel Iglesias	0.0882	0.2680	0.4444	115.4	53.0	62.3
6	Blake Treinen	0.0208	0.1868	0.2222	72.2	10.5	61.7
7	Edwin Díaz	0.2121	0.3892	0.5152	90.0	34.2	55.9
8	Brandon Kintzler	0.1622	0.2956	0.4028	75.3	30.0	45.3
9	Ken Giles	0.1569	0.3154	0.5397	99.7	54.6	45.1
10	Roberto Osuna	0.3148	0.4551	0.5909	73.9	33.0	40.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tony Watson	0.5564	0.3292	0.1408	122.7	55.7	67.0
2	Greg Holland	0.2673	0.5006	0.6721	93.7	39.6	54.2
3	Cam Bedrosian	0.5061	0.2722	0.1250	73.6	28.6	45.0
4	Santiago Casilla	0.0327	0.3042	0.2540	55.7	13.8	41.9
5	Seunghwan Oh	0.5475	0.4089	0.3226	61.0	23.6	37.4
6	Neftalí Feliz	0.4448	0.2602	0.1633	56.4	19.6	36.8
7	Trevor Rosenthal	0.0000	0.2562	0.2200	43.2	7.9	35.3
8	Brandon Maurer	0.4501	0.3236	0.3235	35.4	0.8	34.5
9	Sam Dyson	0.5164	0.3865	0.2545	69.7	35.1	34.5
10	Brad Ziegler	0.0000	0.1619	0.1887	38.5	5.0	33.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Raisel Iglesias	0.0000	0.2680	0.4444	136.0	53.0	83.0
2	Santiago Casilla	0.5660	0.3042	0.2540	80.8	13.8	67.0
3	Jeremy Jeffress	0.4286	0.2203	0.0000	126.4	65.9	60.5
4	Blake Treinen	0.0147	0.1868	0.2222	67.4	10.5	56.9
5	Trevor Rosenthal	0.5254	0.2562	0.2200	61.7	7.9	53.8
6	Kelvin Herrera	0.1127	0.3108	0.4062	76.0	23.9	52.1
7	Edwin Díaz	0.2368	0.3892	0.5152	77.4	34.2	43.2
8	Héctor Rondón	0.3607	0.2010	0.0000	85.5	48.4	37.1
9	Brandon Maurer	0.1970	0.3236	0.3235	33.8	0.8	32.9
10	Luke Gregerson	0.3729	0.2499	0.0154	94.0	62.5	31.5

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Andrew Miller	0.4737	0.1391 (82.0)	0.2115 (72.2)	0.1411 (80.3)	0.0000 (101.5)
Ryan Madson	0.4167	0.0941 (71.0)	0.1489 (66.1)	0.0952 (69.6)	0.0000 (78.6)
Anthony Swarzak	0.3857	0.1969 (57.7)	0.0833 (101.9)	0.1428 (72.5)	0.0000 (99.4)
Tommy Hunter	0.4262	0.1488 (63.6)	0.1176 (78.1)	0.1460 (63.1)	0.0000 (84.1)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Ureña	0.2829	0.0000	203.7
2	Brent Suter	0.3704	0.0000	125.8
3	Brad Peacock	0.1967	0.0000	106.5
4	JC Ramírez	0.1673	0.0000	102.7
5	Ross Stripling	0.4172	0.1020	95.3
6	Trevor Williams	0.1436	0.0000	91.2
7	Ty Blach	0.1332	0.0000	91.1
8	Rafael Montero	0.1476	0.0000	80.3
9	Alex Wood	0.1608	0.0370	75.0
10	Peter Moylan	0.0000	0.3038	74.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Devenski	0.1053	0.4032	104.9
2	Archie Bradley	0.0750	0.3968	103.2
3	Jacob Barnes	0.0870	0.3425	88.0
4	José Ramírez	0.1111	0.3971	82.5
5	Yusmeiro Petit	0.0625	0.2500	78.4
6	Taylor Rogers	0.1389	0.4348	78.2
7	JC Ramírez	0.1556	0.0000	75.4
8	Ryan Tepera	0.0417	0.2329	71.8
9	Kirby Yates	0.0625	0.3226	67.9
10	Joe Biagini	0.1316	0.2273	67.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Ureña	0.1938	0.0000	143.0
2	JC Ramírez	0.1986	0.0000	125.4
3	Brent Suter	0.2331	0.0000	80.7
4	Brad Peacock	0.1335	0.0000	74.9
5	Peter Moylan	0.0000	0.3038	72.9
6	Trevor Williams	0.1090	0.0000	72.3
7	Mike Minor	0.0291	0.2615	70.2
8	Francisco Liriano	0.0000	0.1579	67.7
9	Ty Blach	0.0913	0.0000	65.7
10	Kirby Yates	0.0487	0.3226	62.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Chris Devenski	0.4032	109.2
2	Archie Bradley	0.3968	98.4
3	Nick Vincent	0.4203	95.0
4	Taylor Rogers	0.4348	89.4
5	Joe Biagini	0.2273	87.7
6	José Ramírez	0.3971	87.6
7	Jacob Barnes	0.3425	86.6
8	Bryan Shaw	0.3291	84.7
9	Pedro Báez	0.3485	81.5
10	Kyle Barraclough	0.3333	78.9

Most Unique Misses for Hold Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Archie Bradley	0.0750	0.4417	0.3968	103.2	12.6	90.6
2	Chris Devenski	0.1053	0.2777	0.4032	104.9	40.2	64.7
3	Drew Pomeranz	0.1087	0.0000	0.0000	55.4	1.2	54.2
4	Dylan Bundy	0.1081	0.0000	0.0000	51.8	1.1	50.7
5	Mychal Givens	0.1628	0.2898	0.3043	55.3	5.1	50.2
6	Ryan Tepera	0.0417	0.1597	0.2329	71.8	23.9	48.0
7	Carlos Martinez	0.0909	0.0000	0.0000	48.9	1.4	47.6
8	José Ramírez	0.1111	0.2594	0.3971	82.5	35.9	46.6
9	Luis Severino	0.0938	0.0000	0.0000	46.9	1.2	45.6
10	Carl Edwards Jr.	0.1481	0.2895	0.3425	59.8	14.3	45.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Archie Bradley	0.2592	0.4417	0.3968	38.8	12.6	26.3
2	JC Ramírez	0.1986	0.1673	0.0000	125.4	102.7	22.7
3	Anthony Swarzak	0.1428	0.1969	0.3857	72.5	57.7	14.8
4	Shane Greene	0.0973	0.1429	0.1972	27.2	15.8	11.4
5	Yusmeiro Petit	0.0974	0.1302	0.2500	52.7	43.0	9.8
6	Brett Cecil	0.2646	0.2349	0.1918	21.2	11.5	9.7
7	César Valdez	0.0583	0.0000	0.0000	8.7	0.2	8.4
8	Chris Rusin	0.0795	0.1095	0.2000	39.7	31.3	8.4
9	Mychal Givens	0.2603	0.2898	0.3043	12.7	5.1	7.6
10	Sergio Romo	0.2787	0.2501	0.2000	18.4	10.9	7.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Archie Bradley	0.4417	0.3968	98.4	12.6	85.8
2	Pedro Báez	0.3338	0.3485	81.5	4.6	76.9
3	Mychal Givens	0.2898	0.3043	77.7	5.1	72.7
4	Chris Devenski	0.2777	0.4032	109.2	40.2	69.1
5	Bryan Shaw	0.2569	0.3291	84.7	23.0	61.7
6	Nick Vincent	0.2898	0.4203	95.0	34.6	60.4
7	Carl Edwards Jr.	0.2895	0.3425	74.6	14.3	60.4
8	Ryan Buchter	0.2729	0.2817	60.1	2.8	57.3
9	Hunter Strickland	0.2725	0.3088	67.3	10.2	57.2
10	Matt Barnes	0.2494	0.3000	69.6	15.0	54.6

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Andrew Cashner	3.4020	4.9539 (1338.0)	4.4056 (1018.9)	5.1015 (1444.8)	4.8045 (1231.7)
Tyler Glasnow	7.6935	3.7362 (1100.7)	4.0068 (989.1)	3.8646 (1060.2)	3.6049 (1141.2)
Jeremy Guthrie	135.0000	5.2560 (1552.7)	4.7368 (1557.8)	5.2515 (1552.7)	4.4370 (1562.6)
Gio Gonzalez	2.9552	3.8005 (987.4)	4.1530 (1357.5)	3.7449 (944.8)	3.8572 (1032.9)
Bartolo Colon	6.4825	4.2050 (1249.9)	3.8448 (1421.8)	4.2076 (1245.6)	4.2026 (1252.5)
Marcus Stroman	3.0896	3.8470 (922.5)	4.0663 (1184.6)	3.7291 (827.6)	3.9668 (1021.1)
Chris Tillman	7.8387	4.5165 (1320.2)	4.0784 (1472.6)	4.7206 (1227.8)	4.3114 (1412.0)
Chase Anderson	2.7382	4.6783 (1302.3)	4.2600 (1118.4)	4.7163 (1326.2)	4.6396 (1279.4)
Corey Kluber	2.2537	3.2622 (1054.5)	3.2927 (1152.0)	3.4179 (1178.7)	3.1054 (931.5)
Luis Severino	2.9793	4.1466 (1187.0)	4.4118 (1469.0)	4.0902 (1146.0)	4.2039 (1230.7)
Jordan Zimmermann	6.0750	4.3439 (985.7)	3.9041 (1231.5)	4.5417 (841.7)	4.1442 (1129.2)
Ubaldo Jiménez	6.8131	4.7273 (1125.6)	4.6616 (1106.7)	4.6469 (1175.1)	4.8100 (1073.1)
Matt Harvey	6.7014	3.7911 (1104.1)	3.7143 (1096.2)	3.7530 (1118.7)	3.8298 (1088.1)

Individual Misses for ERA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	4.4305	3.2792	1296.0
2	Parker Bridwell	5.8657	3.6446	1264.3
3	Matt Moore	3.7408	5.5239	1133.2
4	Brad Peacock	4.6486	3.0000	1090.5
5	Jimmy Nelson	4.5716	3.4905	1040.8
6	Kyle Freeland	5.2595	4.0962	1040.2
7	Travis Wood	4.3187	6.7979	928.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Robbie Ray	4.4417	2.8889	1327.7
2	José Berríos	5.5519	3.8924	1295.6
3	José Ureña	5.1114	3.8193	1256.7
4	Zack Godley	4.7955	3.3677	1173.4
5	Stephen Strasburg	3.5607	2.5152	1043.9
6	Travis Wood	3.9857	6.7979	1032.7
7	Archie Bradley	4.7093	1.7260	993.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ervin Santana	4.5410	3.2792	1395.0
2	Jimmy Nelson	4.8010	3.4905	1210.8
3	Matt Moore	3.6675	5.5239	1187.8
4	Parker Bridwell	5.6173	3.6446	1144.1
5	Brad Peacock	4.5361	3.0000	1031.3
6	Kyle Freeland	5.1078	4.0962	938.7
7	Nick Pivetta	4.2285	6.0226	841.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	6.1227	3.6446	1390.0
2	Ervin Santana	4.3177	3.2792	1197.2
3	Travis Wood	3.7088	6.7979	1195.5
4	Brad Peacock	4.7647	3.0000	1153.0
5	Kyle Freeland	5.4162	4.0962	1147.0
6	Matt Moore	3.8160	5.5239	1075.0
7	Alex Wood	4.0865	2.7177	1053.5

Most Unique Misses for ERA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Berríos	5.5519	4.4311	3.8924	1295.6	546.6	749.0
2	José Ureña	5.1114	4.3428	3.8193	1256.7	631.5	625.2
3	Robbie Ray	4.4417	3.6795	2.8889	1327.7	757.6	570.1
4	Marco Estrada	3.5954	4.3234	4.9839	761.5	251.3	510.1
5	Aaron Nola	4.2520	3.6422	3.5357	803.8	315.4	488.4
6	Tanner Roark	3.3736	4.0476	4.6654	658.1	208.9	449.3
7	Zack Godley	4.7955	4.2357	3.3677	1173.4	762.8	410.6
8	Bronson Arroyo	4.0345	5.3240	7.3521	925.4	540.8	384.6
9	Dylan Covey	4.4370	5.7672	7.7143	875.6	493.9	381.7
10	Iván Nova	4.3978	4.0198	4.1390	551.4	180.1	371.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dylan Bundy	4.6667	4.1849	4.2436	541.6	202.4	339.2
2	Chris Sale	3.4952	3.1453	2.8974	809.0	507.7	301.3
3	Rafael Montero	4.4151	4.7771	5.5210	414.2	217.4	196.8
4	Jake Arrieta	3.5350	3.2731	3.5287	253.9	65.7	188.1
5	Asher Wojciechowski	4.1607	4.8250	6.4973	553.5	369.3	184.2
6	Jimmy Nelson	4.8010	4.5716	3.4905	1210.8	1040.8	170.0
7	Zach Davies	4.3539	4.1698	3.9042	655.7	501.8	153.8
8	Ty Blach	3.8273	4.0465	4.7841	418.0	269.1	148.9
9	Darren O'Day	3.9433	3.3492	3.4309	207.6	64.0	143.6
10	Jaime García	3.5968	3.8110	4.4140	312.6	171.2	141.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marco Estrada	3.8429	4.3234	4.9839	639.9	251.3	388.5
2	Luis Perdomo	5.0879	4.6783	4.6741	544.8	252.6	292.2
3	Jhoulys Chacín	4.6703	4.3026	3.8928	860.3	580.2	280.1
4	Travis Wood	3.7088	4.3187	6.7979	1195.5	928.9	266.6
5	Alex Wood	4.0865	3.7378	2.7177	1053.5	840.4	213.1
6	José Ureña	4.6385	4.3428	3.8193	844.4	631.5	212.9
7	Jason Hammel	4.0280	4.2851	5.2902	735.8	527.8	207.9
8	Rick Porcello	3.5478	3.7759	4.6475	666.1	462.8	203.3
9	Anthony Swarzak	5.0081	4.4294	2.3276	917.4	742.5	174.9
10	Ross Stripling	4.6918	4.1184	3.7534	390.8	216.9	173.9

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tyler Glasnow	2.0161	1.4014 (177.8)	1.3356 (188.9)	1.4048 (178.2)	1.3978 (177.0)
Ervin Santana	1.1262	1.3721 (239.8)	1.2673 (174.8)	1.3627 (227.7)	1.3817 (253.6)
Jeremy Guthrie	15.0000	1.4720 (162.0)	1.3889 (162.6)	1.4723 (162.0)	1.3566 (163.3)
Bartolo Colon	1.5874	1.2762 (181.2)	1.2395 (185.8)	1.2794 (182.1)	1.2729 (179.1)
Derek Holland	1.7111	1.4213 (161.6)	1.3425 (192.4)	1.4327 (157.4)	1.4098 (164.8)
Chris Tillman	1.8925	1.3874 (210.2)	1.3105 (231.2)	1.4154 (199.8)	1.3593 (219.8)
Chase Anderson	1.0896	1.3747 (180.2)	1.3333 (173.5)	1.3676 (173.5)	1.3819 (187.9)
Zack Godley	1.1419	1.3843 (171.8)	1.3631 (177.0)	1.3759 (163.6)	1.3929 (181.2)
Luis Severino	1.0397	1.2980 (227.1)	1.3399 (283.0)	1.3128 (235.0)	1.2829 (220.2)
Corey Kluber	0.8691	1.1258 (224.1)	1.1082 (233.3)	1.1492 (238.7)	1.1022 (210.7)
Wade Miley	1.7288	1.3899 (223.7)	1.3755 (212.7)	1.3855 (230.3)	1.3944 (215.8)
Matt Harvey	1.6942	1.2183 (191.5)	1.2381 (170.2)	1.2168 (194.1)	1.2199 (188.1)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	1.6249	1.1983	225.5
2	Matt Moore	1.2972	1.5315	160.1
3	Johnny Cueto	1.1683	1.4457	159.2
4	Chad Green	1.3344	0.7391	158.6
5	Jordan Montgomery	1.4363	1.2296	154.7
6	Max Scherzer	1.0659	0.9020	152.6
7	Jordan Zimmermann	1.3075	1.5500	150.3
8	Jimmy Nelson	1.4199	1.2490	147.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Berríos	1.5152	1.2288	214.1
2	Robbie Ray	1.4065	1.1543	208.4
3	Gio Gonzalez	1.3418	1.1791	185.2
4	Alex Wood	1.2915	1.0569	181.7
5	Johnny Cueto	1.1216	1.4457	170.3
6	Chad Green	1.3398	0.7391	167.4
7	Jordan Zimmermann	1.2557	1.5500	166.2
8	Travis Wood	1.3000	1.7340	162.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	1.6002	1.1983	211.0
2	Matt Moore	1.2671	1.5315	187.5
3	Jimmy Nelson	1.4630	1.2490	175.5
4	Rafael Montero	1.4200	1.7479	165.5
5	Zack Greinke	1.2488	1.0725	162.8
6	Kevin Gausman	1.2732	1.4946	158.6
7	Chris Sale	1.1264	0.9705	155.7
8	Jordan Montgomery	1.4401	1.2296	154.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Parker Bridwell	1.6506	1.1983	241.2
2	Johnny Cueto	1.1268	1.4457	182.0
3	Travis Wood	1.3022	1.7340	171.7
4	Chad Green	1.3679	0.7391	168.7
5	Jhoulys Chacín	1.4514	1.2699	167.9
6	Alex Wood	1.2811	1.0569	161.0
7	Max Scherzer	1.0680	0.9020	159.2
8	Jerad Eickhoff	1.2098	1.5234	158.8

Most Unique Misses for WHIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Berríos	1.5152	1.3617	1.2288	214.1	101.4	112.7
2	Robbie Ray	1.4065	1.2947	1.1543	208.4	114.4	94.0
3	Dylan Covey	1.3566	1.6440	1.6714	78.4	1.3	77.1
4	Blake Snell	1.4579	1.3501	1.3299	103.5	28.4	75.1
5	Aaron Nola	1.2835	1.2098	1.2083	94.5	22.9	71.5
6	Jake Arrieta	1.0526	1.1724	1.2178	73.5	9.7	63.8
7	Sean Newcomb	1.3566	1.5518	1.5700	69.4	6.1	63.3
8	Marco Estrada	1.1477	1.2548	1.3817	139.3	76.7	62.5
9	José Ureña	1.4143	1.3604	1.2731	146.5	86.2	60.3
10	Jason Hammel	1.2079	1.3083	1.4251	125.5	68.5	57.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Robert Stephenson	1.4282	1.5205	1.5827	48.8	11.7	37.1
2	Tanner Roark	1.3601	1.3098	1.3346	40.8	5.4	35.4
3	Kyle Hendricks	1.2329	1.1710	1.1885	40.7	8.1	32.6
4	Jake Arrieta	1.2505	1.1724	1.2178	42.2	9.7	32.5
5	Mike Pelfrey	1.4710	1.5232	1.5750	42.0	11.0	31.0
6	Dylan Bundy	1.3742	1.3273	1.1965	143.0	113.4	29.5
7	Jimmy Nelson	1.4630	1.4199	1.2490	175.5	147.4	28.0
8	Matt Moore	1.2671	1.2972	1.5315	187.5	160.1	27.4
9	Jeff Samardzija	1.2499	1.2143	1.1364	119.0	92.8	26.2
10	Mike Leake	1.3362	1.2987	1.2796	65.4	39.7	25.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marco Estrada	1.1701	1.2548	1.3817	139.9	76.7	63.2
2	Jake Arrieta	1.0957	1.1724	1.2178	59.4	9.7	49.7
3	Jhoulys Chacín	1.4514	1.4037	1.2699	167.9	126.6	41.3
4	Yu Darvish	1.2560	1.2186	1.1625	100.7	67.2	33.5
5	Sean Manaea	1.2466	1.2993	1.3992	79.3	47.2	32.1
6	Warwick Saupold	1.6107	1.5027	1.5160	37.2	5.2	32.0
7	Zach Davies	1.2697	1.3148	1.3537	37.5	5.9	31.6
8	Asher Wojciechowski	1.5521	1.4469	1.4439	40.8	9.7	31.1
9	Erasmo Ramírez	1.3372	1.2861	1.1726	109.2	78.2	31.0
10	Travis Wood	1.3022	1.3789	1.7340	171.7	141.0	30.7