2024 Projection Evaluation

Summary

Batting

System	PA raw	wOBA	SO	BB	HR	R	RBI	SB	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System	BF raw	wOBA	ERA	SO	BB	HR	W	L	SV	HLD	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yoán Moncada	556	45	511.2
2	Ronald Acuña Jr.	675	222	453.4
3	José Abreu	561	120	441.2
4	Evan Carter	592	162	429.7
5	Ryan Noda	536	111	425.2
6	Trevor Story	530	106	424.0
7	Jung Hoo Lee	571	158	413.0
8	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	535	123	412.2
9	Mike Trout	534	126	408.5
10	Jordan Walker	572	178	394.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Myles Straw	517	4	513.0
2	Jackson Merrill	100	593	493.0
3	Jackson Chourio	100	573	473.0
4	Wyatt Langford	100	557	457.0
5	Colt Keith	100	556	456.0
6	Tony Kemp	460	10	450.0
7	José Abreu	551	120	431.0
8	Jace Peterson	441	26	415.0
9	Brian Anderson	416	5	411.0
10	Ronald Acuña Jr.	628	222	406.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yoán Moncada	559	45	514.0
2	Heliot Ramos	44	518	474.0
3	Jacob Young	69	521	452.0
4	Mike Trout	573	126	447.0
5	Alec Burleson	155	595	440.0
6	Trevor Story	545	106	439.0
7	Max Schuemann	28	459	431.0
8	Ronald Acuña Jr.	643	222	421.0
9	Evan Carter	583	162	421.0
10	Josh Smith	175	592	417.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yoán Moncada	633	45	587.7
2	Trevor Story	634	106	528.1
3	Mike Trout	648	126	522.4
4	Alec Burleson	87	595	508.3
5	Josh Smith	85	592	506.6
6	Heliot Ramos	13	518	504.9
7	Ryan Noda	600	111	488.6
8	José Abreu	604	120	483.6
9	Ronald Acuña Jr.	695	222	473.0
10	Jung Hoo Lee	625	158	467.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Thomas Saggese	608	52	556.0
2	Coby Mayo	597	46	551.0
3	Orelvis Martinez	550	3	547.0
4	Liover Peguero	549	10	539.0
5	Myles Straw	533	4	529.0
6	Jasson Domínguez	591	67	524.0
7	Jonatan Clase	588	66	522.0
8	Luisangel Acuña	560	40	520.0
9	Dustin Harris	522	7	515.0
10	Tyler Gentry	519	5	514.0

Most Unique Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jackson Chourio	100	552	573	473.0	21.3	451.7
2	Wyatt Langford	100	571	557	457.0	13.8	443.2
3	Colt Keith	100	496	556	456.0	60.2	395.8
4	Jackson Merrill	100	451	593	493.0	142.4	350.6
5	Myles Straw	517	205	4	513.0	201.1	311.9
6	Oneil Cruz	261	567	599	338.0	32.4	305.6
7	Brian Anderson	416	129	5	411.0	124.3	286.7
8	Tony Kemp	460	181	10	450.0	171.4	278.6
9	Alex Call	431	174	113	318.0	60.6	257.4
10	Ceddanne Rafaela	252	498	571	319.0	72.8	246.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dominic Smith	45	240	307	262.0	66.7	195.3
2	Connor Norby	16	201	194	178.0	7.0	171.0
3	Jacob Young	69	239	521	452.0	282.2	169.8
4	Jhonkensy Noel	25	204	198	173.0	6.3	166.7
5	Justyn-Henry Malloy	65	233	230	165.0	2.8	162.2
6	Joey Loperfido	32	192	262	230.0	69.5	160.5
7	Tyler Fitzgerald	81	239	341	260.0	101.6	158.4
8	Miguel Andujar	136	285	319	183.0	33.6	149.4
9	Addison Barger	45	193	225	180.0	32.5	147.5
10	Jonah Bride	45	192	272	227.0	80.2	146.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake McCarthy	53	248	495	442.0	247.3	194.7
2	Jhonkensy Noel	1	204	198	197.0	6.3	190.7
3	Connor Norby	1	201	194	193.0	7.0	186.0
4	Daniel Schneemann	26	232	221	194.7	11.1	183.6
5	Nick Gonzales	19	199	387	367.7	187.9	179.8
6	James Wood	92	270	336	244.0	66.0	178.0
7	Tyler Nevin	13	189	278	264.8	88.6	176.2
8	David Hamilton	6	182	317	310.6	134.5	176.1
9	Wenceel Pérez	13	189	425	411.9	236.3	175.6
10	Justyn-Henry Malloy	53	233	230	177.5	2.8	174.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Connor Norby	586	201	194	392.0	7.0	385.0
2	Jonatan Clase	588	205	66	522.0	138.7	383.3
3	Jhonkensy Noel	587	204	198	389.0	6.3	382.7
4	Luisangel Acuña	560	195	40	520.0	155.3	364.7
5	Thomas Saggese	608	248	52	556.0	195.9	360.1
6	Kyren Paris	558	205	59	499.0	146.0	353.0
7	Angel Martínez	575	226	169	406.0	56.7	349.3
8	Justyn-Henry Malloy	581	233	230	351.0	2.8	348.2
9	Matt Mervis	540	202	28	512.0	174.5	337.5
10	Miguel Vargas	591	255	237	354.0	17.7	336.3

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani	0.4323	0.3894 (40.7)	0.3960 (34.5)	0.3926 (39.2)	0.3905 (40.1)	0.3850 (43.1)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.4029	0.3728 (29.9)	0.3615 (36.5)	0.3730 (30.6)	0.3789 (25.9)	0.3664 (33.6)
Brandon Drury	0.2166	0.3187 (32.2)	0.3382 (39.8)	0.3213 (32.7)	0.3204 (32.6)	0.3145 (31.0)
Jarren Duran	0.3568	0.3203 (36.2)	0.3199 (35.2)	0.3199 (37.4)	0.3212 (35.8)	0.3197 (35.9)
Jurickson Profar	0.3645	0.3077 (46.5)	0.3093 (44.2)	0.3112 (44.9)	0.3082 (46.3)	0.3035 (48.6)
Aaron Judge	0.4811	0.4032 (63.9)	0.4145 (54.6)	0.4014 (65.9)	0.4016 (65.2)	0.4066 (60.7)
Brent Rooker	0.3941	0.3277 (48.6)	0.3322 (44.7)	0.3203 (53.9)	0.3226 (51.9)	0.3401 (40.4)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3948	0.3447 (43.2)	0.3380 (46.6)	0.3470 (42.4)	0.3446 (43.6)	0.3425 (44.0)
Ketel Marte	0.3946	0.3522 (32.1)	0.3462 (34.6)	0.3490 (34.7)	0.3508 (33.1)	0.3567 (28.9)
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.4133	0.3491 (54.5)	0.3279 (68.3)	0.3515 (53.7)	0.3527 (52.2)	0.3432 (58.0)
Heliot Ramos	0.3401	0.2934 (30.8)	0.2885 (32.4)	0.2884 (34.0)	0.2953 (30.0)	0.2964 (28.7)
Gunnar Henderson	0.3819	0.3521 (30.6)	0.3395 (38.4)	0.3526 (31.1)	0.3517 (31.1)	0.3520 (29.9)
Brenton Doyle	0.3264	0.2851 (32.6)	0.2779 (35.8)	0.2840 (33.9)	0.2839 (33.5)	0.2874 (30.6)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jackson Merrill	0.3011	0.3497	36.4
2	Tyler Fitzgerald	0.2800	0.3567	30.5
3	Lawrence Butler	0.2936	0.3446	28.7
4	Jose Iglesias	0.2810	0.3629	27.5
5	Elly De La Cruz	0.3236	0.3486	26.3
6	Francisco Lindor	0.3377	0.3629	26.1
7	Joc Pederson	0.3437	0.3871	25.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Vientos	0.2889	0.3560	35.4
2	Elly De La Cruz	0.3110	0.3486	33.8
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.3706	0.3091	33.1
4	Juan Soto	0.3876	0.4213	31.9
5	JJ Bleday	0.2931	0.3308	31.2
6	Davis Schneider	0.3555	0.2775	30.4
7	Michael Busch	0.2952	0.3371	30.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jackson Merrill	0.3071	0.3497	33.5
2	Tyler Fitzgerald	0.2757	0.3567	32.4
3	Lawrence Butler	0.2967	0.3446	27.9
4	Jose Iglesias	0.2840	0.3629	27.0
5	Joey Bart	0.2671	0.3469	26.4
6	Joc Pederson	0.3424	0.3871	26.3
7	Jackson Chourio	0.3106	0.3404	25.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jackson Merrill	0.3045	0.3497	34.6
2	Tyler Fitzgerald	0.2755	0.3567	32.2
3	Teoscar Hernández	0.3308	0.3608	28.1
4	Jose Iglesias	0.2814	0.3629	27.5
5	Elly De La Cruz	0.3226	0.3486	27.2
6	Francisco Lindor	0.3365	0.3629	27.2
7	Lawrence Butler	0.2983	0.3446	26.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jackson Merrill	0.2918	0.3497	41.3
2	Lawrence Butler	0.2858	0.3446	31.8
3	Elly De La Cruz	0.3198	0.3486	28.3
4	Jose Iglesias	0.2776	0.3629	28.3
5	Tyler Fitzgerald	0.2889	0.3567	27.1
6	Francisco Lindor	0.3357	0.3629	26.8
7	Joc Pederson	0.3416	0.3871	25.7

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zack Gelof	0.3406	0.3091	0.2749	30.0	11.7	18.2
2	Juan Soto	0.3876	0.4141	0.4213	31.9	14.2	17.6
3	Michael Busch	0.2952	0.3226	0.3371	30.0	15.4	14.5
4	Mark Vientos	0.2889	0.3218	0.3560	35.4	21.3	14.1
5	Alec Burleson	0.3016	0.3268	0.3170	15.7	1.8	13.9
6	Jared Triolo	0.3330	0.3039	0.2745	21.2	7.4	13.8
7	Josh Smith	0.2918	0.3169	0.3222	24.5	10.7	13.8
8	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.3279	0.3491	0.4133	68.3	54.5	13.8
9	Yordan Alvarez	0.3953	0.4172	0.4088	15.6	2.8	12.8
10	Colton Cowser	0.2959	0.3195	0.3327	26.8	14.6	12.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Busch	0.3136	0.3226	0.3371	21.2	15.4	5.8
2	Brooks Baldwin	0.3103	0.2616	0.2468	6.0	0.2	5.7
3	Brent Rooker	0.3203	0.3277	0.3941	53.9	48.6	5.2
4	Matt Chapman	0.3188	0.3252	0.3418	23.8	18.9	4.9
5	Wyatt Langford	0.3651	0.3561	0.3231	15.6	11.3	4.4
6	Tyler O'Neill	0.3327	0.3407	0.3631	21.0	16.6	4.3
7	Willy Adames	0.3285	0.3326	0.3434	19.8	16.2	3.6
8	Jake Burger	0.3263	0.3313	0.3267	8.3	4.7	3.6
9	Josh Naylor	0.3592	0.3526	0.3350	6.5	3.0	3.5
10	Dylan Moore	0.2971	0.3038	0.3060	10.1	6.6	3.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Busch	0.3155	0.3226	0.3371	19.7	15.4	4.3
2	Willy Adames	0.3269	0.3326	0.3434	20.4	16.2	4.2
3	Dylan Moore	0.2951	0.3038	0.3060	10.6	6.6	4.0
4	Zach Neto	0.3186	0.3244	0.3284	13.8	10.1	3.7
5	Tyler O'Neill	0.3335	0.3407	0.3631	20.2	16.6	3.6
6	Maikel Garcia	0.3134	0.3074	0.2684	20.0	16.5	3.5
7	Bryson Stott	0.3214	0.3152	0.2966	6.7	3.4	3.3
8	Brent Rooker	0.3226	0.3277	0.3941	51.9	48.6	3.3
9	Trea Turner	0.3376	0.3431	0.3491	13.3	10.1	3.2
10	Teoscar Hernández	0.3308	0.3350	0.3608	28.1	25.1	2.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yainer Diaz	0.3217	0.3346	0.3294	12.0	4.7	7.4
2	Jacob Young	0.2721	0.2869	0.2846	12.6	5.4	7.2
3	Jeremy Peña	0.3012	0.3124	0.3042	9.6	3.0	6.6
4	Joey Ortiz	0.2951	0.3089	0.3168	17.1	10.6	6.5
5	Jake Cave	0.3451	0.3297	0.2954	13.1	7.5	5.7
6	Logan O'Hoppe	0.3555	0.3458	0.3105	17.4	11.8	5.6
7	Jeimer Candelario	0.3492	0.3388	0.3044	15.3	10.0	5.3
8	Gavin Lux	0.3101	0.3228	0.3096	5.5	0.2	5.3
9	Mark Canha	0.3482	0.3383	0.3115	11.6	6.5	5.1
10	Juan Soto	0.4060	0.4141	0.4213	19.3	14.2	5.1

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Luis Robert Jr.	0.3318	0.2532 (32.7)	0.2445 (36.4)	0.2550 (31.7)	0.2542 (32.3)	0.2505 (33.8)
Logan O'Hoppe	0.2969	0.2075 (45.8)	0.2323 (33.0)	0.2061 (46.3)	0.2048 (47.2)	0.2116 (43.6)
JJ Bleday	0.1947	0.2491 (36.0)	0.2447 (33.1)	0.2540 (39.5)	0.2532 (38.6)	0.2402 (30.4)
Will Benson	0.3969	0.3046 (35.2)	0.2812 (44.3)	0.3016 (36.1)	0.3024 (36.0)	0.3098 (33.1)
Ryan Jeffers	0.2022	0.2763 (35.3)	0.2778 (35.9)	0.2751 (35.0)	0.2759 (35.1)	0.2779 (36.1)
Yordan Alvarez	0.1496	0.1975 (31.5)	0.2059 (36.7)	0.1969 (31.5)	0.1980 (31.8)	0.1975 (31.6)
Ryan O'Hearn	0.1397	0.2422 (51.5)	0.2374 (49.0)	0.2416 (51.5)	0.2394 (50.1)	0.2455 (53.2)
Brenton Doyle	0.2537	0.3298 (46.9)	0.3073 (33.2)	0.3285 (46.5)	0.3240 (43.4)	0.3368 (51.2)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Larnach	0.3210	0.2225	40.1
2	Miguel Amaya	0.2683	0.1708	36.0
3	Nick Gonzales	0.2793	0.1912	34.8
4	Ezequiel Tovar	0.2378	0.2878	33.6
5	Connor Wong	0.2983	0.2341	32.1
6	Rafael Devers	0.1917	0.2446	30.8
7	Nolan Gorman	0.2985	0.3756	30.3
8	Zack Gelof	0.2875	0.3437	29.8
9	Tyler O'Neill	0.2714	0.3362	29.8
10	Brendan Rodgers	0.1901	0.2449	28.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Gelof	0.2542	0.3437	48.1
2	Ernie Clement	0.1755	0.0907	39.0
3	Maikel Garcia	0.2236	0.1645	38.0
4	Cody Bellinger	0.2195	0.1564	36.8
5	Colton Cowser	0.2398	0.3066	36.6
6	Joey Loperfido	0.2258	0.3626	35.4
7	Luis Arraez	0.0938	0.0432	35.0
8	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1971	0.1495	34.9
9	Jorge Polanco	0.2174	0.2921	34.3
10	Jackson Merrill	0.2258	0.1703	33.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Larnach	0.3193	0.2225	39.6
2	Miguel Amaya	0.2664	0.1708	35.5
3	Nick Gonzales	0.2784	0.1912	34.6
4	Nolan Gorman	0.2873	0.3756	34.6
5	Ezequiel Tovar	0.2374	0.2878	33.4
6	Cody Bellinger	0.2099	0.1564	31.7
7	Connor Wong	0.2955	0.2341	31.0
8	Zack Gelof	0.2848	0.3437	31.0
9	Bo Naylor	0.2318	0.3136	31.0
10	Rafael Devers	0.1919	0.2446	30.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Larnach	0.3210	0.2225	40.1
2	Ezequiel Tovar	0.2344	0.2878	36.0
3	Nolan Gorman	0.2867	0.3756	35.1
4	Miguel Amaya	0.2655	0.1708	35.0
5	Nick Gonzales	0.2779	0.1912	34.2
6	Zack Gelof	0.2834	0.3437	32.1
7	Cody Bellinger	0.2101	0.1564	31.5
8	Rafael Devers	0.1908	0.2446	31.3
9	Bo Naylor	0.2323	0.3136	31.0
10	Matt Chapman	0.2901	0.2442	30.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Larnach	0.3226	0.2225	40.8
2	Miguel Amaya	0.2731	0.1708	37.8
3	Nick Gonzales	0.2817	0.1912	35.7
4	Connor Wong	0.3056	0.2341	35.7
5	Tyler O'Neill	0.2643	0.3362	33.1
6	Ezequiel Tovar	0.2415	0.2878	30.9
7	Rafael Devers	0.1924	0.2446	30.3
8	Christopher Morel	0.3077	0.2602	30.1
9	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1896	0.1495	29.7
10	Nick Castellanos	0.2538	0.2109	29.4

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jackson Merrill	0.2258	0.1658	0.1703	33.8	1.7	32.1
2	Ernie Clement	0.1755	0.1062	0.0907	39.0	7.8	31.2
3	Colton Cowser	0.2398	0.2863	0.3066	36.6	10.4	26.1
4	Tyler Fitzgerald	0.2364	0.3042	0.3167	26.9	3.7	23.2
5	Sal Frelick	0.1963	0.1414	0.1489	25.6	3.0	22.7
6	Kyle McCann	0.2258	0.3802	0.3758	23.3	1.0	22.4
7	Jung Hoo Lee	0.2258	0.0851	0.0823	22.9	0.7	22.2
8	Otto Lopez	0.2244	0.1775	0.1728	23.1	2.8	20.3
9	Tyler Freeman	0.1967	0.1480	0.1384	22.9	4.4	18.6
10	Zack Gelof	0.2542	0.2875	0.3437	48.1	29.8	18.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Grant McCray	0.2258	0.3410	0.4308	26.4	11.5	14.9
2	Cody Bellinger	0.2099	0.1964	0.1564	31.7	23.7	8.0
3	Jordan Beck	0.2258	0.2683	0.3533	23.0	15.3	7.7
4	Adrian Del Castillo	0.2258	0.2966	0.3218	8.2	2.1	6.1
5	Jack López	0.2258	0.3104	0.3521	8.8	2.8	6.0
6	Mason McCoy	0.2258	0.3270	0.3333	6.0	0.3	5.7
7	Zach Dezenzo	0.2258	0.3111	0.3385	7.2	1.7	5.5
8	Max Schuemann	0.2857	0.2748	0.2593	13.2	7.9	5.3
9	Daniel Schneemann	0.2258	0.2457	0.3167	19.6	15.3	4.3
10	Nolan Gorman	0.2873	0.2985	0.3756	34.6	30.3	4.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cody Bellinger	0.2101	0.1964	0.1564	31.5	23.7	7.8
2	Oneil Cruz	0.2572	0.2660	0.3022	25.9	20.6	5.3
3	Nolan Gorman	0.2867	0.2985	0.3756	35.1	30.3	4.7
4	Max Schuemann	0.2840	0.2748	0.2593	12.1	7.9	4.2
5	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.2230	0.2288	0.2644	22.7	19.4	3.4
6	Matt Chapman	0.2901	0.2850	0.2442	30.8	27.5	3.3
7	Wyatt Langford	0.2260	0.2200	0.2065	11.8	8.5	3.3
8	Bo Naylor	0.2323	0.2401	0.3136	31.0	28.0	3.0
9	Spencer Horwitz	0.2062	0.1988	0.1837	9.2	6.4	2.8
10	Ernie Clement	0.1121	0.1062	0.0907	10.4	7.8	2.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1896	0.1783	0.1495	29.7	21.6	8.1
2	Andy Pages	0.3017	0.2849	0.2438	26.5	19.0	7.5
3	Eddie Rosario	0.1849	0.2072	0.2414	17.4	10.4	7.0
4	Lawrence Butler	0.2733	0.2582	0.2395	16.1	9.2	6.8
5	Andrew Vaughn	0.1833	0.1945	0.2132	17.4	10.6	6.8
6	Austin Wells	0.2632	0.2483	0.2101	22.7	16.5	6.2
7	Brice Turang	0.2078	0.1986	0.1696	24.8	19.0	5.8
8	Christopher Morel	0.3077	0.2986	0.2602	30.1	24.5	5.6
9	Lenyn Sosa	0.2377	0.2232	0.2087	11.4	6.0	5.4
10	Corbin Carroll	0.2154	0.2078	0.1901	18.6	13.3	5.3

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Paul Goldschmidt	0.0719	0.1193 (26.9)	0.1128 (24.1)	0.1216 (27.9)	0.1205 (27.1)	0.1158 (25.8)
Kyle Tucker	0.1652	0.1097 (20.9)	0.1025 (22.6)	0.1106 (20.9)	0.1099 (21.2)	0.1086 (20.7)
Salvador Perez	0.0675	0.0406 (21.6)	0.0435 (18.3)	0.0407 (22.1)	0.0406 (22.2)	0.0404 (20.6)
Luis Arraez	0.0357	0.0758 (22.7)	0.0747 (23.5)	0.0763 (22.6)	0.0764 (22.5)	0.0748 (23.2)
Aaron Judge	0.1889	0.1525 (30.1)	0.1478 (31.8)	0.1515 (31.3)	0.1538 (29.8)	0.1522 (29.1)
Adley Rutschman	0.0909	0.1292 (20.5)	0.1265 (20.1)	0.1312 (21.2)	0.1319 (21.5)	0.1246 (18.6)
Jonathan India	0.1256	0.0985 (21.2)	0.0939 (22.7)	0.0975 (22.4)	0.0977 (22.4)	0.1004 (19.0)
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0804	0.0624 (17.2)	0.0588 (18.1)	0.0628 (17.5)	0.0633 (17.2)	0.0612 (16.9)
Joey Ortiz	0.1096	0.0659 (25.5)	0.0724 (21.1)	0.0669 (25.4)	0.0669 (25.5)	0.0640 (25.7)
Alex Bregman	0.0694	0.1275 (32.9)	0.1198 (29.4)	0.1258 (31.3)	0.1259 (31.2)	0.1308 (36.0)
Yandy Díaz	0.0805	0.1207 (21.1)	0.1166 (19.9)	0.1215 (21.1)	0.1225 (21.6)	0.1182 (20.5)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Caballero	0.1156	0.0559	25.8
2	Ryan O'Hearn	0.0615	0.0931	18.7
3	Cal Raleigh	0.0884	0.1115	18.4
4	Brenton Doyle	0.0525	0.0763	18.1
5	Bo Naylor	0.1260	0.0746	17.6
6	Brendan Donovan	0.1052	0.0721	17.5
7	Elly De La Cruz	0.0809	0.0991	17.1
8	Teoscar Hernández	0.0615	0.0813	17.0
9	Marcell Ozuna	0.0899	0.1076	16.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.0754	0.0263	25.8
2	Richie Palacios	0.0752	0.1424	22.5
3	Ryan O'Hearn	0.0556	0.0931	20.5
4	Jose Altuve	0.1026	0.0689	20.3
5	Michael Toglia	0.0785	0.1179	19.9
6	Marcell Ozuna	0.0836	0.1076	19.2
7	Austin Wells	0.0741	0.1135	18.0
8	Brendan Donovan	0.1030	0.0721	17.5
9	Corbin Carroll	0.0855	0.1067	17.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Caballero	0.1198	0.0559	27.5
2	Ryan O'Hearn	0.0593	0.0931	20.2
3	Bo Naylor	0.1303	0.0746	18.9
4	Brenton Doyle	0.0528	0.0763	18.4
5	Marcell Ozuna	0.0880	0.1076	18.3
6	Brendan Donovan	0.1071	0.0721	18.2
7	Cal Raleigh	0.0908	0.1115	17.4
8	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.1106	0.0722	17.3
9	Justin Turner	0.0844	0.1095	17.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Caballero	0.1215	0.0559	28.2
2	Ryan O'Hearn	0.0605	0.0931	19.7
3	Marcell Ozuna	0.0869	0.1076	19.2
4	Bo Naylor	0.1308	0.0746	19.1
5	Brenton Doyle	0.0529	0.0763	18.5
6	Cal Raleigh	0.0899	0.1115	18.1
7	Brendan Donovan	0.1067	0.0721	17.9
8	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.1109	0.0722	17.4
9	Teoscar Hernández	0.0618	0.0813	17.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nathaniel Lowe	0.0886	0.1257	23.5
2	José Caballero	0.1054	0.0559	21.7
3	Cal Raleigh	0.0846	0.1115	19.7
4	Brenton Doyle	0.0517	0.0763	17.6
5	Logan O'Hoppe	0.1008	0.0632	17.2
6	Gabriel Moreno	0.0728	0.1168	17.1
7	Elly De La Cruz	0.0795	0.0991	16.8
8	Teoscar Hernández	0.0603	0.0813	16.7
9	Rafael Devers	0.0885	0.1115	16.5

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.0754	0.0443	0.0263	25.8	6.7	19.1
2	Jackson Merrill	0.0818	0.0538	0.0489	17.1	0.8	16.3
3	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.0917	0.0678	0.0512	15.0	4.2	10.8
4	Spencer Horwitz	0.0844	0.1189	0.1102	11.4	0.9	10.4
5	Richie Palacios	0.0752	0.1076	0.1424	22.5	13.0	9.5
6	Jacob Young	0.0824	0.0668	0.0576	10.8	1.5	9.3
7	Korey Lee	0.0785	0.0574	0.0431	12.4	3.1	9.2
8	Sal Frelick	0.1028	0.0885	0.0744	12.8	4.1	8.7
9	Alec Burleson	0.0751	0.0662	0.0588	7.3	0.7	6.7
10	Otto Lopez	0.0829	0.0698	0.0576	9.2	2.6	6.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Wyatt Langford	0.1131	0.0999	0.0916	8.0	1.2	6.9
2	Sal Frelick	0.0969	0.0885	0.0744	8.1	4.1	3.9
3	Mookie Betts	0.1171	0.1221	0.1182	4.2	1.2	3.0
4	Leo Rivas	0.0818	0.1126	0.1163	3.6	0.9	2.7
5	Aaron Schunk	0.0818	0.0551	0.0408	3.3	0.8	2.5
6	Zach Neto	0.0669	0.0703	0.0648	3.0	0.4	2.5
7	Jack López	0.0818	0.0472	0.0282	3.3	0.9	2.4
8	Brooks Baldwin	0.0818	0.0613	0.0496	3.0	0.7	2.4
9	Marcus Semien	0.0884	0.0906	0.0891	5.6	3.4	2.2
10	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.1106	0.1059	0.0722	17.3	15.2	2.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Wyatt Langford	0.1133	0.0999	0.0916	8.1	1.2	6.9
2	Sal Frelick	0.0972	0.0885	0.0744	8.2	4.1	4.0
3	Mookie Betts	0.1168	0.1221	0.1182	4.5	1.2	3.2
4	Marcell Ozuna	0.0869	0.0899	0.1076	19.2	16.4	2.7
5	José Caballero	0.1215	0.1156	0.0559	28.2	25.8	2.4
6	Zach Neto	0.0673	0.0703	0.0648	2.8	0.4	2.4
7	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.1109	0.1059	0.0722	17.4	15.2	2.3
8	Marcus Semien	0.0890	0.0906	0.0891	5.3	3.4	1.9
9	Dansby Swanson	0.0863	0.0884	0.0911	7.1	5.3	1.8
10	Spencer Horwitz	0.1246	0.1189	0.1102	2.7	0.9	1.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Wyatt Langford	0.0735	0.0999	0.0916	12.6	1.2	11.5
2	Nathaniel Lowe	0.0886	0.1057	0.1257	23.5	14.8	8.7
3	Carlos Santana	0.1284	0.1202	0.1094	8.5	2.7	5.9
4	Rhys Hoskins	0.1252	0.1168	0.1025	9.4	4.1	5.2
5	DJ Stewart	0.0794	0.1026	0.1598	16.5	12.3	4.2
6	Logan O'Hoppe	0.1008	0.0947	0.0632	17.2	13.1	4.1
7	Zach Neto	0.0767	0.0703	0.0648	4.4	0.4	4.0
8	Juan Soto	0.1985	0.1946	0.1809	9.3	5.3	4.0
9	Mookie Betts	0.1325	0.1221	0.1182	5.0	1.2	3.8
10	Jarren Duran	0.0684	0.0746	0.0735	7.1	3.7	3.3

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Joc Pederson	0.0401	0.0164 (10.9)	0.0155 (11.3)	0.0153 (11.3)	0.0150 (11.4)	0.0188 (10.0)
Jake McCarthy	0.0283	0.0140 (7.3)	0.0152 (6.8)	0.0143 (7.1)	0.0140 (7.3)	0.0138 (7.7)
Leo Jiménez	0.0762	0.0281 (10.2)	0.0111 (13.8)	0.0217 (11.5)	0.0210 (11.7)	0.0417 (7.4)
Jurickson Profar	0.0269	0.0106 (11.3)	0.0096 (12.0)	0.0102 (11.4)	0.0100 (11.6)	0.0117 (10.8)
Ryan Jeffers	0.0301	0.0151 (7.3)	0.0152 (7.2)	0.0140 (7.7)	0.0140 (7.7)	0.0172 (6.4)
Jacob Stallings	0.0320	0.0103 (6.3)	0.0108 (6.1)	0.0103 (6.2)	0.0110 (6.0)	0.0096 (6.6)
Matt Wallner	0.0613	0.0246 (9.7)	0.0325 (7.6)	0.0221 (10.3)	0.0220 (10.4)	0.0296 (8.5)
Willi Castro	0.0331	0.0187 (9.5)	0.0200 (8.6)	0.0180 (9.9)	0.0180 (9.8)	0.0202 (8.8)
Masataka Yoshida	0.0333	0.0117 (9.3)	0.0123 (9.0)	0.0123 (9.0)	0.0120 (9.1)	0.0108 (9.8)
Randy Arozarena	0.0340	0.0211 (8.7)	0.0220 (8.1)	0.0188 (10.1)	0.0190 (9.9)	0.0255 (6.1)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Freeman	0.0307	0.0496	7.4
2	Ty France	0.0370	0.0243	6.5
3	Jeremy Peña	0.0127	0.0215	6.1
4	Kevin Pillar	0.0131	0.0318	6.1
5	Brent Rooker	0.0185	0.0081	6.0
6	TJ Friedl	0.0184	0.0352	5.9
7	Kris Bryant	0.0146	0.0516	5.8
8	Byron Buxton	0.0139	0.0284	5.8
9	Miguel Amaya	0.0272	0.0110	5.7
10	Christopher Morel	0.0077	0.0164	5.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Freeman	0.0167	0.0496	12.8
2	José Caballero	0.0380	0.0186	9.1
3	Miguel Amaya	0.0351	0.0110	8.5
4	Brent Rooker	0.0215	0.0081	7.9
5	Ty France	0.0389	0.0243	7.5
6	Jeremy Peña	0.0121	0.0215	6.5
7	Jacob Young	0.0112	0.0230	6.4
8	Christopher Morel	0.0064	0.0164	6.4
9	TJ Friedl	0.0179	0.0352	6.1
10	Kevin Pillar	0.0134	0.0318	6.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Freeman	0.0276	0.0496	8.6
2	Kevin Pillar	0.0123	0.0318	6.3
3	TJ Friedl	0.0173	0.0352	6.2
4	Jacob Young	0.0116	0.0230	6.2
5	Brent Rooker	0.0185	0.0081	6.1
6	Luke Raley	0.0311	0.0440	6.0
7	Kris Bryant	0.0133	0.0516	6.0
8	Isaac Paredes	0.0178	0.0265	5.9
9	Byron Buxton	0.0140	0.0284	5.7
10	Mookie Betts	0.0132	0.0019	5.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Freeman	0.0270	0.0496	8.8
2	TJ Friedl	0.0170	0.0352	6.3
3	Luke Raley	0.0310	0.0440	6.1
4	Kris Bryant	0.0130	0.0516	6.0
5	Kevin Pillar	0.0130	0.0318	6.0
6	Jacob Young	0.0120	0.0230	5.9
7	Brent Rooker	0.0180	0.0081	5.8
8	Jeremy Peña	0.0130	0.0215	5.8
9	Byron Buxton	0.0140	0.0284	5.7
10	Isaac Paredes	0.0180	0.0265	5.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Neto	0.0466	0.0266	11.5
2	José Caballero	0.0408	0.0186	10.3
3	Ty France	0.0427	0.0243	9.3
4	Miguel Amaya	0.0346	0.0110	8.2
5	Andrés Giménez	0.0376	0.0237	8.2
6	Austin Martin	0.0385	0.0078	7.6
7	Jeremy Peña	0.0116	0.0215	7.1
8	Max Schuemann	0.0313	0.0153	6.9
9	Mark Canha	0.0426	0.0281	6.2
10	Nick Castellanos	0.0067	0.0152	6.2

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Freeman	0.0167	0.0307	0.0496	12.8	7.4	5.4
2	José Caballero	0.0380	0.0304	0.0186	9.1	5.4	3.7
3	Leo Jiménez	0.0111	0.0281	0.0762	13.8	10.2	3.6
4	Logan O'Hoppe	0.0097	0.0155	0.0153	3.2	0.2	3.0
5	Miguel Amaya	0.0351	0.0272	0.0110	8.5	5.7	2.9
6	Jackson Merrill	0.0111	0.0067	0.0017	5.2	2.6	2.6
7	Davis Schneider	0.0181	0.0126	0.0110	3.0	0.5	2.5
8	Jackson Chourio	0.0111	0.0069	0.0052	3.0	0.6	2.4
9	Lawrence Butler	0.0110	0.0060	0.0000	4.7	2.4	2.3
10	Yainer Diaz	0.0126	0.0090	0.0032	5.5	3.2	2.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luke Raley	0.0311	0.0362	0.0440	6.0	3.8	2.3
2	Josh Smith	0.0223	0.0255	0.0304	5.1	3.3	1.8
3	Dylan Moore	0.0202	0.0235	0.0317	5.3	3.9	1.4
4	Randy Arozarena	0.0188	0.0211	0.0340	10.1	8.7	1.4
5	Leo Jiménez	0.0217	0.0281	0.0762	11.5	10.2	1.3
6	Daniel Schneemann	0.0111	0.0058	0.0000	2.4	1.1	1.2
7	Victor Robles	0.0218	0.0259	0.0373	4.7	3.5	1.2
8	Tyler Freeman	0.0276	0.0307	0.0496	8.6	7.4	1.1
9	Willson Contreras	0.0264	0.0296	0.0335	2.7	1.6	1.1
10	Maikel Garcia	0.0062	0.0046	0.0000	3.6	2.5	1.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luke Raley	0.0310	0.0362	0.0440	6.1	3.8	2.3
2	Josh Smith	0.0220	0.0255	0.0304	5.2	3.3	1.9
3	Dylan Moore	0.0200	0.0235	0.0317	5.3	3.9	1.5
4	Leo Jiménez	0.0210	0.0281	0.0762	11.7	10.2	1.5
5	Tyler Freeman	0.0270	0.0307	0.0496	8.8	7.4	1.3
6	Randy Arozarena	0.0190	0.0211	0.0340	9.9	8.7	1.2
7	Logan O'Hoppe	0.0130	0.0155	0.0153	1.4	0.2	1.2
8	Victor Robles	0.0220	0.0259	0.0373	4.6	3.5	1.1
9	Maikel Garcia	0.0060	0.0046	0.0000	3.5	2.5	1.0
10	Edmundo Sosa	0.0260	0.0298	0.0292	1.0	0.0	1.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zach Neto	0.0466	0.0322	0.0266	11.5	3.0	8.4
2	José Caballero	0.0408	0.0304	0.0186	10.3	5.4	4.8
3	Andrés Giménez	0.0376	0.0313	0.0237	8.2	4.4	3.8
4	Max Schuemann	0.0313	0.0242	0.0153	6.9	3.9	3.1
5	Mark Canha	0.0426	0.0356	0.0281	6.2	3.2	3.1
6	Andy Pages	0.0259	0.0191	0.0135	5.0	2.2	2.8
7	Ty France	0.0427	0.0370	0.0243	9.3	6.5	2.8
8	Jonathan India	0.0328	0.0281	0.0235	5.3	2.5	2.8
9	Miguel Amaya	0.0346	0.0272	0.0110	8.2	5.7	2.6
10	Austin Martin	0.0385	0.0290	0.0078	7.6	5.3	2.3

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Brandon Drury	0.0162	0.0604 (14.5)	0.0680 (17.4)	0.0623 (14.9)	0.0618 (14.8)	0.0569 (13.8)
Anthony Volpe	0.0246	0.0528 (16.8)	0.0542 (17.9)	0.0548 (17.6)	0.0541 (17.3)	0.0494 (15.3)
Michael Toglia	0.0977	0.0574 (20.2)	0.0435 (26.4)	0.0594 (19.6)	0.0602 (19.2)	0.0525 (21.8)
Jurickson Profar	0.0507	0.0297 (16.6)	0.0295 (16.6)	0.0307 (16.5)	0.0312 (16.0)	0.0273 (17.3)
Aaron Judge	0.1483	0.1226 (20.8)	0.1237 (19.9)	0.1214 (22.3)	0.1199 (23.1)	0.1266 (17.0)
Andrew Benintendi	0.0521	0.0238 (16.7)	0.0215 (17.8)	0.0245 (16.8)	0.0247 (16.6)	0.0223 (16.8)
Tyler O'Neill	0.1220	0.0685 (27.1)	0.0684 (27.1)	0.0673 (28.1)	0.0666 (28.3)	0.0714 (25.1)
Ketel Marte	0.0885	0.0441 (28.1)	0.0462 (26.7)	0.0435 (28.9)	0.0437 (28.7)	0.0450 (26.7)
Lawrence Butler	0.0714	0.0411 (15.4)	0.0432 (14.3)	0.0422 (15.3)	0.0425 (15.1)	0.0386 (15.9)
Anthony Santander	0.0934	0.0665 (20.4)	0.0639 (22.0)	0.0680 (20.0)	0.0654 (21.6)	0.0662 (19.7)
Colton Cowser	0.0727	0.0454 (17.5)	0.0382 (21.4)	0.0464 (17.4)	0.0458 (17.6)	0.0439 (17.5)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.0947	0.0667	16.6
2	Yainer Diaz	0.0622	0.0329	15.8
3	Riley Greene	0.0440	0.0669	15.6
4	Jackson Merrill	0.0308	0.0519	14.8
5	José Ramírez	0.0542	0.0716	14.4
6	Jake Fraley	0.0585	0.0177	14.1
7	Shohei Ohtani	0.0966	0.1120	14.0
8	Brent Rooker	0.0859	0.1046	13.8
9	Heliot Ramos	0.0416	0.0640	13.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mark Vientos	0.0514	0.0954	21.6
2	Riley Greene	0.0337	0.0669	21.5
3	Juan Soto	0.0667	0.0889	18.4
4	Yainer Diaz	0.0660	0.0329	18.2
5	Brent Rooker	0.0803	0.1046	17.1
6	Heliot Ramos	0.0380	0.0640	15.3
7	Kyle Tucker	0.0607	0.1009	14.8
8	Josh Naylor	0.0476	0.0670	14.5
9	Nolan Arenado	0.0585	0.0324	14.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.0983	0.0667	18.5
2	Yainer Diaz	0.0662	0.0329	17.7
3	Riley Greene	0.0422	0.0669	17.1
4	Brent Rooker	0.0834	0.1046	15.9
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.0952	0.1120	15.7
6	Jackson Merrill	0.0302	0.0519	15.6
7	Jake Fraley	0.0608	0.0177	14.7
8	Eloy Jiménez	0.0692	0.0235	14.3
9	José Ramírez	0.0559	0.0716	13.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.0986	0.0667	18.8
2	Yainer Diaz	0.0653	0.0329	17.3
3	Riley Greene	0.0429	0.0669	16.6
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.0952	0.1120	15.6
5	Brent Rooker	0.0841	0.1046	15.3
6	Jackson Merrill	0.0308	0.0519	15.1
7	Jake Fraley	0.0612	0.0177	14.9
8	José Ramírez	0.0548	0.0716	14.5
9	Ezequiel Tovar	0.0393	0.0556	14.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Ramírez	0.0519	0.0716	15.1
2	Heliot Ramos	0.0383	0.0640	14.5
3	Mark Vientos	0.0660	0.0954	14.5
4	Kyle Tucker	0.0607	0.1009	14.4
5	Nolan Jones	0.0673	0.0178	14.0
6	Steven Kwan	0.0092	0.0325	13.9
7	Jackson Merrill	0.0312	0.0519	13.8
8	Isaac Paredes	0.0665	0.0429	13.6
9	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0905	0.0288	13.2

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Juan Soto	0.0667	0.0860	0.0889	18.4	4.8	13.7
2	Jo Adell	0.0479	0.0777	0.0707	11.9	1.4	10.4
3	Elly De La Cruz	0.0492	0.0630	0.0620	11.4	2.0	9.4
4	Mark Vientos	0.0514	0.0703	0.0954	21.6	13.1	8.5
5	Austin Martin	0.0450	0.0155	0.0053	9.3	1.6	7.6
6	Jacob Young	0.0270	0.0128	0.0080	8.1	0.6	7.5
7	Michael Busch	0.0443	0.0564	0.0621	12.1	5.4	6.7
8	Xavier Edwards	0.0343	0.0123	0.0046	7.9	1.2	6.7
9	Teoscar Hernández	0.0658	0.0763	0.0819	12.8	6.1	6.7
10	Hunter Goodman	0.0435	0.0724	0.0872	10.6	4.2	6.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Wyatt Langford	0.0697	0.0624	0.0413	13.2	9.6	3.5
2	Nolan Gorman	0.0830	0.0883	0.0880	3.9	1.4	2.5
3	Jerar Encarnacion	0.0450	0.0678	0.0625	2.6	0.2	2.5
4	Michael Busch	0.0530	0.0564	0.0621	7.8	5.4	2.4
5	Nick Sogard	0.0450	0.0163	0.0000	3.5	1.1	2.4
6	Jake Burger	0.0687	0.0719	0.0746	6.1	3.7	2.4
7	Leo Rivas	0.0450	0.0168	0.0000	3.5	1.1	2.4
8	Willy Adames	0.0643	0.0666	0.0727	9.0	6.8	2.1
9	Oneil Cruz	0.0717	0.0673	0.0577	5.6	3.5	2.1
10	Brent Rooker	0.0834	0.0859	0.1046	15.9	13.8	2.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0710	0.0663	0.0573	6.5	3.7	2.8
2	Bryce Harper	0.0725	0.0760	0.0723	2.7	0.1	2.6
3	Aaron Judge	0.1199	0.1226	0.1483	23.1	20.8	2.4
4	Matt Olson	0.0986	0.0947	0.0667	18.8	16.6	2.2
5	Pete Alonso	0.0969	0.0930	0.0773	10.6	8.3	2.2
6	Zach Neto	0.0476	0.0505	0.0565	8.0	5.9	2.1
7	Michael Busch	0.0535	0.0564	0.0621	7.4	5.4	2.0
8	Nolan Arenado	0.0574	0.0538	0.0324	13.1	11.2	1.9
9	Willy Adames	0.0645	0.0666	0.0727	8.7	6.8	1.9
10	Jake Burger	0.0694	0.0719	0.0746	5.6	3.7	1.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nolan Schanuel	0.0502	0.0430	0.0304	10.5	5.3	5.2
2	Juan Soto	0.0789	0.0860	0.0889	8.9	4.8	4.1
3	Logan O'Hoppe	0.0792	0.0730	0.0613	8.1	4.1	4.0
4	Jo Adell	0.0843	0.0777	0.0707	5.0	1.4	3.6
5	Colt Keith	0.0496	0.0445	0.0319	8.5	4.9	3.6
6	Dylan Moore	0.0606	0.0538	0.0398	8.1	4.5	3.6
7	Joey Gallo	0.1171	0.1052	0.0820	8.5	5.1	3.4
8	Ryan O'Hearn	0.0682	0.0626	0.0398	12.8	9.4	3.4
9	Adam Duvall	0.0909	0.0827	0.0537	11.5	8.3	3.2
10	Jacob Wilson	0.0450	0.0161	0.0000	4.4	1.3	3.1

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Christopher Morel	0.2333	0.3036 (39.1)	0.3045 (40.5)	0.3030 (39.1)	0.3009 (38.1)	0.3069 (40.1)
Elly De La Cruz	0.3571	0.3201 (30.1)	0.3187 (30.1)	0.3196 (30.0)	0.3189 (30.3)	0.3219 (30.0)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3421	0.2872 (42.6)	0.2911 (38.9)	0.2881 (41.5)	0.2875 (41.7)	0.2860 (44.6)
Yainer Diaz	0.3383	0.2910 (33.2)	0.2900 (32.9)	0.2901 (33.3)	0.2906 (32.8)	0.2922 (33.5)
Aaron Judge	0.3664	0.3070 (46.2)	0.3176 (37.7)	0.3055 (46.8)	0.3075 (45.2)	0.3080 (46.7)
Brent Rooker	0.3623	0.2962 (44.4)	0.2976 (42.7)	0.2893 (48.2)	0.2915 (46.7)	0.3077 (38.4)
Corbin Carroll	0.2539	0.3144 (37.1)	0.3128 (37.0)	0.3108 (35.1)	0.3099 (34.7)	0.3227 (41.6)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3582	0.2850 (54.7)	0.2751 (60.5)	0.2851 (54.1)	0.2831 (55.3)	0.2866 (54.7)
Kyle Schwarber	0.3006	0.2542 (36.4)	0.2460 (41.1)	0.2561 (34.6)	0.2533 (36.4)	0.2532 (38.3)
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.3538	0.2977 (44.2)	0.2955 (44.7)	0.2942 (46.2)	0.2948 (45.5)	0.3043 (40.7)
Maikel Garcia	0.2658	0.3235 (32.2)	0.3292 (36.7)	0.3267 (34.6)	0.3258 (34.3)	0.3180 (27.7)
Anthony Santander	0.2248	0.2832 (34.7)	0.2782 (32.3)	0.2808 (33.5)	0.2828 (35.1)	0.2861 (35.4)
Tyler Fitzgerald	0.3802	0.2927 (32.0)	0.2857 (33.9)	0.2919 (32.0)	0.2903 (32.5)	0.2958 (31.5)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seiya Suzuki	0.3139	0.3701	36.6
2	Jose Altuve	0.2933	0.3374	34.4
3	Oneil Cruz	0.3039	0.3469	29.5
4	Andrew Benintendi	0.3058	0.2445	28.7
5	Xavier Edwards	0.3087	0.3963	28.5
6	Jose Iglesias	0.2907	0.3816	28.3
7	Josh Naylor	0.2955	0.2454	27.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Smith	0.2546	0.3096	35.4
2	Andrew Benintendi	0.3146	0.2445	34.1
3	Brandon Nimmo	0.3222	0.2672	33.3
4	Jared Triolo	0.3583	0.2794	33.0
5	Masyn Winn	0.2553	0.3015	32.5
6	Colton Cowser	0.2649	0.3170	31.9
7	Alex Verdugo	0.3055	0.2516	30.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seiya Suzuki	0.3120	0.3701	37.3
2	Jose Altuve	0.2901	0.3374	36.1
3	Josh Naylor	0.3011	0.2454	31.8
4	Oneil Cruz	0.3013	0.3469	30.7
5	Xavier Edwards	0.3059	0.3963	29.1
6	Tyler Freeman	0.3061	0.2246	29.1
7	Brandon Nimmo	0.3164	0.2672	28.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seiya Suzuki	0.3104	0.3701	38.0
2	Jose Altuve	0.2916	0.3374	34.8
3	Josh Naylor	0.3003	0.2454	31.4
4	Oneil Cruz	0.3000	0.3469	31.3
5	Tyler Freeman	0.3047	0.2246	28.7
6	Xavier Edwards	0.3073	0.3963	28.6
7	Eddie Rosario	0.2892	0.1944	28.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.2878	0.3341	39.7
2	Seiya Suzuki	0.3191	0.3701	34.5
3	Jose Altuve	0.2981	0.3374	32.2
4	Jose Iglesias	0.2857	0.3816	30.2
5	Andrew Benintendi	0.3098	0.2445	29.9
6	Xavier Edwards	0.3127	0.3963	27.8
7	Randy Arozarena	0.3253	0.2747	27.6

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Colton Cowser	0.2649	0.3175	0.3170	31.9	3.2	28.7
2	Josh Smith	0.2546	0.2907	0.3096	35.4	14.9	20.5
3	Masyn Winn	0.2553	0.2838	0.3015	32.5	15.3	17.2
4	Jake Cave	0.2792	0.3260	0.3333	20.4	4.7	15.7
5	Davis Schneider	0.3187	0.2867	0.2571	25.8	10.6	15.2
6	Brenton Doyle	0.2908	0.3199	0.3122	15.8	0.9	14.9
7	Jared Triolo	0.3583	0.3283	0.2794	33.0	19.0	14.0
8	Michael Busch	0.2781	0.3025	0.3218	27.5	14.5	13.0
9	Will Benson	0.3379	0.3068	0.2809	20.2	7.6	12.6
10	Nolan Schanuel	0.3077	0.2888	0.2826	12.3	0.1	12.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Heliot Ramos	0.2915	0.3009	0.3292	22.4	17.9	4.5
2	Andy Pages	0.2667	0.2766	0.3031	18.6	14.5	4.1
3	Joey Ortiz	0.3139	0.3065	0.2806	14.2	10.1	4.1
4	Josh Naylor	0.3011	0.2955	0.2454	31.8	27.8	4.0
5	Brent Rooker	0.2893	0.2962	0.3623	48.2	44.4	3.8
6	Josh Rojas	0.2972	0.2904	0.2797	5.6	2.1	3.5
7	Connor Wong	0.3095	0.3173	0.3467	20.8	17.4	3.4
8	Garrett Mitchell	0.3195	0.3353	0.3529	8.7	5.3	3.4
9	Jackson Chourio	0.2970	0.3031	0.3188	15.7	12.5	3.1
10	Wyatt Langford	0.3120	0.3073	0.2965	5.5	2.5	3.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Connor Wong	0.3076	0.3173	0.3467	21.6	17.4	4.2
2	Garrett Mitchell	0.3172	0.3353	0.3529	9.2	5.3	3.8
3	Josh Rojas	0.2975	0.2904	0.2797	5.9	2.1	3.8
4	Josh Naylor	0.3003	0.2955	0.2454	31.4	27.8	3.6
5	Jackson Chourio	0.2962	0.3031	0.3188	15.9	12.5	3.4
6	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.3014	0.3082	0.3107	8.3	5.0	3.3
7	Joey Ortiz	0.3120	0.3065	0.2806	13.4	10.1	3.3
8	Willy Adames	0.2846	0.2904	0.2966	11.8	8.5	3.3
9	Lars Nootbaar	0.2934	0.2846	0.2797	3.4	0.5	2.9
10	Eddie Rosario	0.2892	0.2816	0.1944	28.5	25.8	2.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.2878	0.3030	0.3341	39.7	27.4	12.3
2	Carlos Santana	0.2442	0.2552	0.2519	9.3	1.7	7.6
3	Lars Nootbaar	0.2684	0.2846	0.2797	7.8	0.5	7.3
4	Jesse Winker	0.2734	0.2858	0.3016	18.4	11.2	7.2
5	Jeremy Peña	0.2933	0.3023	0.2990	8.9	1.9	7.0
6	Tyler O'Neill	0.3291	0.3147	0.3049	7.6	1.7	6.0
7	Dylan Moore	0.2968	0.2819	0.2656	10.3	4.4	5.8
8	Jacob Young	0.2871	0.2964	0.3128	17.6	11.8	5.7
9	Brenton Doyle	0.3309	0.3199	0.3122	6.5	0.9	5.6
10	Josh Smith	0.2833	0.2907	0.3096	20.3	14.9	5.4

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Anthony Volpe	0.2295	0.1870 (30.4)	0.1911 (27.0)	0.1928 (25.9)	0.1906 (27.6)	0.1776 (37.6)
Yainer Diaz	0.2702	0.2195 (32.4)	0.2082 (38.9)	0.2161 (34.0)	0.2182 (33.0)	0.2240 (30.3)
Jose Altuve	0.2740	0.2188 (38.8)	0.2300 (30.6)	0.2156 (40.4)	0.2185 (38.7)	0.2222 (37.2)
Corbin Carroll	0.1737	0.2279 (36.0)	0.2179 (29.7)	0.2313 (38.8)	0.2186 (29.8)	0.2340 (39.4)
Brent Rooker	0.2784	0.2155 (39.7)	0.2183 (37.5)	0.2047 (45.8)	0.2106 (42.4)	0.2308 (30.9)
Marcell Ozuna	0.2811	0.2143 (47.1)	0.2041 (53.5)	0.2146 (46.4)	0.2117 (48.6)	0.2166 (46.3)
Kyle Schwarber	0.2370	0.1875 (35.4)	0.1757 (43.0)	0.1953 (29.5)	0.1877 (35.0)	0.1795 (41.7)
Julio Rodríguez	0.3003	0.2320 (42.8)	0.2468 (33.3)	0.2189 (50.4)	0.2353 (40.6)	0.2418 (37.5)
Mitch Garver	0.1396	0.2079 (28.7)	0.2203 (34.3)	0.1960 (23.8)	0.2099 (29.7)	0.2179 (32.5)
Maikel Garcia	0.1983	0.2479 (30.0)	0.2609 (38.7)	0.2539 (34.2)	0.2471 (29.8)	0.2427 (26.1)
Randy Arozarena	0.1841	0.2349 (31.9)	0.2360 (33.1)	0.2332 (31.2)	0.2343 (31.7)	0.2373 (32.8)
Nolan Arenado	0.2469	0.2015 (29.8)	0.1990 (30.9)	0.1993 (30.8)	0.2014 (29.7)	0.2037 (29.1)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.2145	0.2510	26.6
2	MJ Melendez	0.2086	0.1484	26.4
3	Jose Iglesias	0.2210	0.3070	25.5
4	Anthony Santander	0.2006	0.1616	24.9
5	Jurickson Profar	0.1986	0.2339	24.7
6	Jeff McNeil	0.2336	0.1810	24.1
7	Seiya Suzuki	0.2325	0.2716	23.8
8	Logan O'Hoppe	0.2144	0.2582	23.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Steer	0.2200	0.1695	32.6
2	Will Benson	0.2420	0.1629	30.4
3	Brandon Nimmo	0.2397	0.1959	28.5
4	Jeff McNeil	0.2393	0.1810	27.1
5	Heliot Ramos	0.1974	0.2484	26.9
6	Andrew Benintendi	0.2415	0.1896	26.7
7	Royce Lewis	0.2559	0.1739	26.4
8	Connor Wong	0.2163	0.2693	26.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.2086	0.2510	30.2
2	Logan O'Hoppe	0.2069	0.2582	27.2
3	Riley Greene	0.2763	0.2299	26.6
4	Jurickson Profar	0.1952	0.2339	26.4
5	MJ Melendez	0.2078	0.1484	26.4
6	Michael Conforto	0.2300	0.1782	24.9
7	Jose Iglesias	0.2245	0.3070	24.3
8	Tyler Freeman	0.2335	0.1703	23.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Santander	0.2046	0.1616	27.8
2	Logan O'Hoppe	0.2075	0.2582	27.1
3	Spencer Steer	0.2114	0.1695	26.7
4	Connor Wong	0.2169	0.2693	26.1
5	Jeff McNeil	0.2370	0.1810	25.8
6	MJ Melendez	0.2067	0.1484	25.7
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.2164	0.2510	25.0
8	Seiya Suzuki	0.2304	0.2716	24.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Steer	0.2174	0.1695	29.7
2	Jose Iglesias	0.2143	0.3070	27.8
3	Colt Keith	0.2115	0.2582	27.5
4	MJ Melendez	0.2113	0.1484	27.1
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.1948	0.2290	27.0
6	Jurickson Profar	0.1966	0.2339	26.7
7	Seiya Suzuki	0.2308	0.2716	25.5
8	James Wood	0.2027	0.2751	25.2

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jared Triolo	0.2834	0.2453	0.2390	19.5	2.1	17.4
2	Alec Burleson	0.1942	0.2238	0.2309	22.3	5.2	17.1
3	Colton Cowser	0.1921	0.2387	0.2288	21.0	4.6	16.4
4	Brenton Doyle	0.2072	0.2450	0.2381	19.1	3.2	16.0
5	Heliot Ramos	0.1974	0.2275	0.2484	26.9	11.7	15.2
6	Will Benson	0.2420	0.2107	0.1629	30.4	17.9	12.5
7	Korey Lee	0.1742	0.2040	0.2140	16.0	4.6	11.4
8	Josh Smith	0.1944	0.2146	0.2310	22.1	10.7	11.4
9	Nick Castellanos	0.2421	0.2266	0.2175	15.7	4.9	10.8
10	Josh Rojas	0.2357	0.2144	0.2122	10.8	0.2	10.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Julio Rodríguez	0.2189	0.2320	0.3003	50.4	42.8	7.6
2	Riley Greene	0.2763	0.2642	0.2299	26.6	19.1	7.5
3	Teoscar Hernández	0.2271	0.2391	0.2514	16.4	9.1	7.3
4	Bryce Harper	0.2407	0.2300	0.2208	12.0	4.8	7.2
5	Jonathan India	0.2025	0.2145	0.2164	9.5	2.2	7.2
6	Ezequiel Tovar	0.2401	0.2311	0.2285	7.4	0.7	6.7
7	Nathaniel Lowe	0.2392	0.2518	0.2751	20.7	14.1	6.7
8	Jorge Soler	0.2151	0.2043	0.1864	15.9	9.4	6.6
9	Matt Chapman	0.2223	0.2133	0.1888	21.1	14.8	6.3
10	Brent Rooker	0.2047	0.2155	0.2784	45.8	39.7	6.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Josh Naylor	0.2223	0.2131	0.1829	24.2	18.1	6.1
2	Josh Rojas	0.2267	0.2144	0.2122	6.3	0.2	6.0
3	Lars Nootbaar	0.2211	0.2089	0.1992	8.4	3.3	5.1
4	Jackson Chourio	0.2235	0.2320	0.2339	6.7	2.0	4.7
5	José Ramírez	0.2007	0.1943	0.1838	10.7	6.0	4.7
6	Heliot Ramos	0.2182	0.2275	0.2484	16.3	11.7	4.6
7	Brendan Rodgers	0.2338	0.2422	0.2535	11.3	6.9	4.3
8	Luis Arraez	0.2585	0.2649	0.2652	5.3	1.3	4.0
9	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.2130	0.2202	0.2376	14.8	10.9	3.9
10	Freddie Freeman	0.2437	0.2380	0.2196	14.6	10.7	3.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Wyatt Langford	0.1850	0.2133	0.2183	20.1	3.7	16.4
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.1948	0.2095	0.2290	27.0	15.4	11.6
3	Colt Keith	0.2115	0.2272	0.2582	27.5	18.2	9.3
4	Ryan McMahon	0.2209	0.2315	0.2418	15.3	7.7	7.6
5	Anthony Volpe	0.1776	0.1870	0.2295	37.6	30.4	7.3
6	Jake Burger	0.2056	0.2165	0.2250	12.8	5.8	7.0
7	Max Kepler	0.1778	0.1938	0.2218	18.7	11.8	6.8
8	Adley Rutschman	0.2000	0.2095	0.2237	16.8	10.1	6.8
9	Mike Yastrzemski	0.1794	0.1916	0.1944	8.4	2.1	6.3
10	Kyle Schwarber	0.1795	0.1875	0.2370	41.7	35.4	6.3

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Christopher Morel	0.0306	0.0723 (22.9)	0.0752 (25.0)	0.0700 (21.3)	0.0743 (24.4)	0.0726 (23.0)
Michael Harris II	0.0420	0.0838 (17.6)	0.0849 (18.4)	0.0869 (19.0)	0.0827 (17.3)	0.0819 (16.6)
Aaron Judge	0.1081	0.0689 (30.6)	0.0745 (26.3)	0.0660 (32.8)	0.0683 (30.8)	0.0725 (28.2)
JJ Bleday	0.1005	0.0703 (22.1)	0.0658 (24.7)	0.0694 (22.9)	0.0698 (22.1)	0.0717 (21.3)
Adley Rutschman	0.0461	0.0802 (19.1)	0.0800 (19.3)	0.0797 (18.6)	0.0747 (15.8)	0.0861 (22.7)
Alec Bohm	0.0959	0.0676 (19.7)	0.0614 (23.1)	0.0694 (18.8)	0.0690 (18.6)	0.0647 (21.6)
Wilyer Abreu	0.1250	0.0756 (24.0)	0.0823 (20.8)	0.0744 (24.6)	0.0794 (22.1)	0.0730 (25.2)
Jorge Soler	0.1006	0.0677 (21.3)	0.0726 (18.2)	0.0579 (27.1)	0.0729 (18.1)	0.0724 (18.7)
Oneil Cruz	0.0991	0.0695 (20.3)	0.0662 (21.9)	0.0736 (18.0)	0.0698 (19.9)	0.0650 (23.1)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Rodríguez	0.0828	0.0433	21.6
2	Cal Raleigh	0.0852	0.0468	21.4
3	Ezequiel Tovar	0.0761	0.1018	20.8
4	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0680	0.0889	17.9
5	Matt Chapman	0.0773	0.0995	17.1
6	Jonah Heim	0.0723	0.0335	17.0
7	Colt Keith	0.0714	0.0380	16.2
8	Francisco Lindor	0.0656	0.0846	16.0
9	Brandon Drury	0.0771	0.0288	15.9
10	Jared Triolo	0.0764	0.0368	15.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Elly De La Cruz	0.0677	0.0952	21.7
2	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0636	0.0889	20.6
3	Matt Wallner	0.0815	0.1504	19.0
4	Brandon Drury	0.0851	0.0288	18.9
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0657	0.0891	18.9
6	Julio Rodríguez	0.0763	0.0433	18.0
7	Rhys Hoskins	0.0881	0.0496	17.9
8	Francisco Lindor	0.0625	0.0846	17.8
9	Dominic Smith	0.0600	0.1140	17.7
10	Cal Raleigh	0.0784	0.0468	17.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Rodríguez	0.0949	0.0433	28.9
2	Ezequiel Tovar	0.0693	0.1018	25.7
3	Cal Raleigh	0.0909	0.0468	24.9
4	Matt Chapman	0.0664	0.0995	24.3
5	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0624	0.0889	22.0
6	Jonah Heim	0.0770	0.0335	19.1
7	Riley Greene	0.0531	0.0806	18.7
8	Santiago Espinal	0.0915	0.0397	18.5
9	Nathaniel Lowe	0.0812	0.0458	17.4
10	Andrés Giménez	0.0769	0.0453	17.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Rodríguez	0.0806	0.0433	20.5
2	Colt Keith	0.0787	0.0380	20.5
3	Ezequiel Tovar	0.0784	0.1018	19.0
4	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0672	0.0889	18.1
5	Francisco Lindor	0.0637	0.0846	17.1
6	Matt Wallner	0.0906	0.1504	16.6
7	Elly De La Cruz	0.0754	0.0952	16.5
8	Jared Triolo	0.0774	0.0368	16.4
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0697	0.0891	16.2
10	Jonah Heim	0.0700	0.0335	16.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cal Raleigh	0.0894	0.0468	24.0
2	Rhys Hoskins	0.0956	0.0496	21.4
3	Colt Keith	0.0797	0.0380	20.7
4	Elly De La Cruz	0.0712	0.0952	19.8
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0655	0.0891	19.5
6	Francisco Lindor	0.0628	0.0846	18.1
7	Ezequiel Tovar	0.0808	0.1018	17.7
8	Jared Triolo	0.0800	0.0368	17.3
9	Wyatt Langford	0.1025	0.0674	17.1
10	Mike Yastrzemski	0.0954	0.0556	16.8

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brice Turang	0.0410	0.0550	0.0527	9.6	1.2	8.4
2	Andy Pages	0.0661	0.0841	0.0801	7.9	0.1	7.7
3	Josh Smith	0.0556	0.0686	0.0761	14.4	7.0	7.4
4	Elly De La Cruz	0.0677	0.0779	0.0952	21.7	15.0	6.7
5	Mickey Moniak	0.0852	0.0700	0.0642	7.2	0.7	6.6
6	Corbin Carroll	0.0754	0.0664	0.0490	15.5	9.0	6.5
7	Mark Vientos	0.0542	0.0687	0.0859	16.1	9.8	6.3
8	Joey Ortiz	0.0616	0.0746	0.0746	8.5	2.2	6.3
9	Yainer Diaz	0.0781	0.0684	0.0617	7.8	1.5	6.3
10	Davis Schneider	0.1000	0.0869	0.0776	8.5	2.3	6.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spencer Steer	0.0983	0.0855	0.0811	8.3	0.0	8.2
2	Jonathan India	0.0924	0.0796	0.0697	11.6	3.6	8.0
3	Julio Rodríguez	0.0949	0.0828	0.0433	28.9	21.6	7.3
4	Matt Chapman	0.0664	0.0773	0.0995	24.3	17.1	7.3
5	Riley Greene	0.0531	0.0650	0.0806	18.7	11.6	7.1
6	Yordan Alvarez	0.0716	0.0824	0.0798	8.1	1.0	7.1
7	Ryan McMahon	0.0648	0.0738	0.0761	10.2	4.2	6.0
8	Santiago Espinal	0.0915	0.0761	0.0397	18.5	12.5	6.0
9	Jorge Soler	0.0579	0.0677	0.1006	27.1	21.3	5.8
10	Josh Rojas	0.0852	0.0735	0.0611	9.3	3.9	5.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spencer Steer	0.0760	0.0855	0.0811	5.9	0.0	5.9
2	Corbin Carroll	0.0723	0.0664	0.0490	13.3	9.0	4.3
3	Colt Keith	0.0787	0.0714	0.0380	20.5	16.2	4.3
4	Andy Pages	0.0749	0.0841	0.0801	4.0	0.1	3.9
5	Dylan Moore	0.0737	0.0814	0.0954	11.3	8.1	3.2
6	Cody Bellinger	0.0696	0.0646	0.0556	5.8	2.7	3.1
7	Tyler Stephenson	0.0680	0.0740	0.0805	8.4	5.5	2.9
8	Bryson Stott	0.0703	0.0657	0.0462	11.5	8.7	2.8
9	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.0666	0.0628	0.0541	5.4	2.7	2.6
10	Maikel Garcia	0.0712	0.0674	0.0570	6.5	3.9	2.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Wyatt Langford	0.1025	0.0853	0.0674	17.1	7.6	9.5
2	Jackson Merrill	0.0536	0.0671	0.0708	12.8	4.7	8.1
3	Anthony Volpe	0.0847	0.0739	0.0568	16.1	8.8	7.3
4	Jacob Young	0.0447	0.0568	0.0642	12.4	6.1	6.4
5	Ketel Marte	0.0868	0.0767	0.0620	11.9	6.1	5.8
6	Rhys Hoskins	0.0956	0.0842	0.0496	21.4	15.7	5.8
7	Logan O'Hoppe	0.0451	0.0556	0.0556	7.8	2.2	5.6
8	Elly De La Cruz	0.0712	0.0779	0.0952	19.8	15.0	4.8
9	Jake Burger	0.0841	0.0759	0.0639	9.1	4.5	4.7
10	Colt Keith	0.0797	0.0714	0.0380	20.7	16.2	4.5

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Yastrzemski	0.0312	0.0061 (12.1)	0.0076 (11.4)	0.0054 (12.4)	0.0052 (12.4)	0.0076 (11.6)
Jarren Duran	0.0283	0.0151 (10.0)	0.0115 (12.6)	0.0124 (11.9)	0.0124 (11.8)	0.0205 (6.3)
Kerry Carpenter	0.0282	0.0072 (6.4)	0.0072 (6.3)	0.0076 (6.2)	0.0077 (6.1)	0.0063 (6.8)
Xavier Edwards	0.0230	0.0060 (5.3)	0.0059 (5.3)	0.0050 (5.5)	0.0053 (5.4)	0.0078 (4.9)
Corbin Carroll	0.0312	0.0201 (7.9)	0.0196 (8.1)	0.0190 (8.4)	0.0191 (8.4)	0.0222 (6.7)
Parker Meadows	0.0321	0.0150 (5.2)	0.0114 (6.2)	0.0158 (4.9)	0.0160 (4.8)	0.0132 (5.9)
Kyle Isbel	0.0268	0.0107 (7.0)	0.0114 (6.7)	0.0088 (7.8)	0.0091 (7.6)	0.0143 (5.7)
Joey Loperfido	0.0274	0.0063 (5.6)	0.0059 (5.7)	0.0053 (5.9)	0.0067 (5.5)	0.0068 (5.6)
Rafael Devers	0.0140	0.0024 (7.3)	0.0026 (7.0)	0.0024 (7.1)	0.0024 (7.1)	0.0023 (7.5)
Daulton Varsho	0.0229	0.0075 (8.1)	0.0085 (7.5)	0.0069 (8.3)	0.0070 (8.2)	0.0087 (7.7)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Otto Lopez	0.0177	0.0031	6.2
2	Elly De La Cruz	0.0181	0.0265	6.1
3	Mookie Betts	0.0038	0.0132	5.1
4	Jackson Merrill	0.0059	0.0137	4.9
5	Seiya Suzuki	0.0101	0.0179	4.8
6	Randy Arozarena	0.0078	0.0000	4.8
7	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0154	0.0217	4.8
8	Juan Soto	0.0033	0.0095	4.7
9	Joey Ortiz	0.0093	0.0179	4.6
10	Jose F Miranda	0.0021	0.0121	4.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Wenceel Pérez	0.0059	0.0206	6.4
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.0072	0.0218	6.1
3	Joey Ortiz	0.0068	0.0179	5.8
4	Gavin Lux	0.0180	0.0062	5.6
5	Jose F Miranda	0.0000	0.0121	5.3
6	Randy Arozarena	0.0084	0.0000	5.3
7	James Wood	0.0059	0.0212	5.2
8	Michael Conforto	0.0000	0.0099	5.0
9	Trea Turner	0.0095	0.0000	4.9
10	Jackson Merrill	0.0059	0.0137	4.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Elly De La Cruz	0.0161	0.0265	7.3
2	Otto Lopez	0.0171	0.0031	6.0
3	Jackson Merrill	0.0047	0.0137	5.4
4	Joey Ortiz	0.0079	0.0179	5.2
5	Mookie Betts	0.0034	0.0132	5.2
6	Seiya Suzuki	0.0095	0.0179	5.0
7	Randy Arozarena	0.0077	0.0000	4.9
8	Ketel Marte	0.0135	0.0054	4.6
9	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0155	0.0217	4.6
10	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.0116	0.0000	4.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Elly De La Cruz	0.0155	0.0265	7.8
2	Otto Lopez	0.0173	0.0031	6.1
3	Jackson Merrill	0.0047	0.0137	5.4
4	Joey Ortiz	0.0078	0.0179	5.2
5	Mookie Betts	0.0034	0.0132	5.2
6	Seiya Suzuki	0.0094	0.0179	5.1
7	Randy Arozarena	0.0077	0.0000	4.9
8	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.0118	0.0000	4.6
9	Ketel Marte	0.0134	0.0054	4.6
10	Ryan McMahon	0.0070	0.0000	4.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Otto Lopez	0.0186	0.0031	6.4
2	Jose F Miranda	0.0000	0.0121	5.6
3	Juan Soto	0.0026	0.0095	5.5
4	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0149	0.0217	5.4
5	Michael Conforto	0.0000	0.0099	5.2
6	Oneil Cruz	0.0181	0.0087	5.1
7	Will Benson	0.0250	0.0112	5.0
8	TJ Friedl	0.0192	0.0042	4.8
9	Mookie Betts	0.0047	0.0132	4.8
10	Nick Castellanos	0.0026	0.0090	4.7

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Wenceel Pérez	0.0059	0.0152	0.0206	6.4	2.5	3.9
2	Masyn Winn	0.0053	0.0107	0.0106	3.6	0.2	3.3
3	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.0072	0.0147	0.0218	6.1	3.1	3.0
4	Vidal Bruján	0.0000	0.0101	0.0104	3.0	0.2	2.8
5	Hunter Goodman	0.0195	0.0073	0.0000	4.3	1.6	2.7
6	Jarren Duran	0.0115	0.0151	0.0283	12.6	10.0	2.6
7	Gavin Lux	0.0180	0.0129	0.0062	5.6	3.0	2.5
8	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.0063	0.0106	0.0131	4.0	1.6	2.4
9	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.0000	0.0044	0.0048	2.8	0.4	2.4
10	Sal Frelick	0.0047	0.0092	0.0100	2.9	0.6	2.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jarren Duran	0.0124	0.0151	0.0283	11.9	10.0	1.9
2	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.0080	0.0106	0.0131	3.0	1.6	1.4
3	Elly De La Cruz	0.0161	0.0181	0.0265	7.3	6.1	1.3
4	Jake Cave	0.0112	0.0146	0.0225	4.0	2.9	1.1
5	Wyatt Langford	0.0067	0.0087	0.0108	2.4	1.4	1.0
6	Trevor Larnach	0.0097	0.0074	0.0000	3.8	2.8	1.0
7	Masyn Winn	0.0091	0.0107	0.0106	1.1	0.2	0.9
8	Ketel Marte	0.0135	0.0123	0.0054	4.6	3.8	0.8
9	James Wood	0.0089	0.0115	0.0212	4.2	3.4	0.8
10	Marcell Ozuna	0.0028	0.0019	0.0000	1.8	1.0	0.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jarren Duran	0.0124	0.0151	0.0283	11.8	10.0	1.8
2	Elly De La Cruz	0.0155	0.0181	0.0265	7.8	6.1	1.7
3	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.0079	0.0106	0.0131	3.0	1.6	1.4
4	Jake Cave	0.0110	0.0146	0.0225	4.0	2.9	1.2
5	Wyatt Langford	0.0065	0.0087	0.0108	2.5	1.4	1.1
6	James Wood	0.0085	0.0115	0.0212	4.3	3.4	0.9
7	Jake McCarthy	0.0173	0.0193	0.0192	1.0	0.1	0.9
8	Marcell Ozuna	0.0029	0.0019	0.0000	1.9	1.0	0.8
9	Ketel Marte	0.0134	0.0123	0.0054	4.6	3.8	0.8
10	Masyn Winn	0.0092	0.0107	0.0106	1.0	0.2	0.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Oneil Cruz	0.0181	0.0136	0.0087	5.1	2.7	2.4
2	Christopher Morel	0.0165	0.0132	0.0083	4.5	2.7	1.8
3	Will Benson	0.0250	0.0203	0.0112	5.0	3.3	1.7
4	Zach Neto	0.0000	0.0021	0.0026	2.1	0.5	1.5
5	David Hamilton	0.0190	0.0138	0.0049	4.2	2.7	1.5
6	Mark Canha	0.0093	0.0057	0.0000	3.9	2.4	1.5
7	Jake Rogers	0.0116	0.0070	0.0049	2.0	0.6	1.4
8	Johan Rojas	0.0159	0.0120	0.0109	1.5	0.2	1.3
9	Mickey Moniak	0.0188	0.0154	0.0075	4.4	3.1	1.3
10	Jake McCarthy	0.0229	0.0193	0.0192	1.4	0.1	1.2

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Matt Chapman	0.1515	0.1185 (25.4)	0.1220 (22.5)	0.1137 (29.0)	0.1158 (25.9)	0.1261 (21.5)
Jurickson Profar	0.1407	0.1143 (21.9)	0.1147 (20.9)	0.1177 (20.1)	0.1104 (23.2)	0.1148 (22.5)
José Ramírez	0.1672	0.1420 (21.5)	0.1365 (24.5)	0.1463 (19.1)	0.1410 (20.9)	0.1387 (24.7)
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1763	0.1474 (25.0)	0.1320 (35.2)	0.1472 (25.7)	0.1503 (21.6)	0.1448 (27.9)
Dairon Blanco	0.2803	0.1262 (21.2)	0.1269 (21.0)	0.1190 (22.2)	0.1200 (21.7)	0.1395 (19.6)
Yandy Díaz	0.0886	0.1440 (30.5)	0.1348 (25.4)	0.1530 (35.6)	0.1481 (34.2)	0.1309 (21.5)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.1549	0.1139	23.7
2	Eugenio Suárez	0.1120	0.1406	22.4
3	Shohei Ohtani	0.1602	0.1833	21.5
4	Corbin Carroll	0.1519	0.1769	21.4
5	Christopher Morel	0.1325	0.0917	21.1
6	Matt Vierling	0.1121	0.1411	20.1
7	Orlando Arcia	0.1228	0.0831	20.1
8	Jacob Young	0.1119	0.1440	20.0
9	Jarren Duran	0.1315	0.1510	19.0
10	Brendan Donovan	0.1343	0.0997	18.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	0.1424	0.1795	30.3
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.1507	0.1833	27.7
3	Masyn Winn	0.0964	0.1334	27.0
4	Jarren Duran	0.1207	0.1510	26.2
5	Jacob Young	0.1049	0.1440	23.1
6	Freddie Freeman	0.1667	0.1270	21.9
7	Christopher Morel	0.1325	0.0917	21.7
8	Eugenio Suárez	0.1128	0.1406	21.2
9	Josh Naylor	0.1054	0.1327	20.7
10	Adolis García	0.1436	0.1068	20.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.1634	0.1139	29.1
2	Orlando Arcia	0.1304	0.0831	24.2
3	Corbin Carroll	0.1486	0.1769	24.2
4	Jarren Duran	0.1264	0.1510	23.3
5	Alejandro Kirk	0.1241	0.0596	22.2
6	Gunnar Henderson	0.1404	0.1641	22.2
7	Adley Rutschman	0.1482	0.1066	22.0
8	Matt Vierling	0.1094	0.1411	22.0
9	Eugenio Suárez	0.1150	0.1406	20.9
10	Jacob Young	0.1116	0.1440	20.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.1575	0.1139	26.9
2	Gunnar Henderson	0.1340	0.1641	24.8
3	Jacob Young	0.1052	0.1440	22.5
4	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1437	0.1070	21.1
5	Alejandro Kirk	0.1179	0.0596	20.8
6	Bryan Reynolds	0.1398	0.1055	20.7
7	Brendan Donovan	0.1355	0.0997	20.5
8	Jackson Chourio	0.1085	0.1396	20.3
9	Christopher Morel	0.1286	0.0917	19.9
10	Willi Castro	0.1133	0.1402	19.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.1480	0.1833	31.5
2	Eugenio Suárez	0.1057	0.1406	27.3
3	Nolan Schanuel	0.1542	0.1021	26.9
4	Christopher Morel	0.1410	0.0917	25.4
5	Juan Soto	0.1530	0.1795	24.4
6	Josh Naylor	0.1042	0.1327	22.9
7	Corbin Carroll	0.1541	0.1769	20.9
8	Ketel Marte	0.1325	0.1595	20.3
9	Jorge Soler	0.1189	0.1463	20.2
10	Adolis García	0.1459	0.1068	20.0

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Masyn Winn	0.0964	0.1245	0.1334	27.0	9.8	17.2
2	Juan Soto	0.1424	0.1648	0.1795	30.3	15.0	15.2
3	Jose Siri	0.1522	0.1221	0.1116	15.8	1.8	14.0
4	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1320	0.1474	0.1763	35.2	25.0	10.2
5	Josh Naylor	0.1054	0.1206	0.1327	20.7	11.7	9.0
6	Jake Cave	0.0981	0.1249	0.1214	9.9	1.0	8.9
7	Wyatt Langford	0.1170	0.1337	0.1329	11.8	3.1	8.7
8	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.0989	0.1282	0.1155	12.2	3.5	8.6
9	Mark Vientos	0.0976	0.1173	0.1278	16.1	7.6	8.5
10	Anthony Volpe	0.1079	0.1211	0.1306	19.3	11.0	8.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Elly De La Cruz	0.1311	0.1388	0.1509	18.7	12.8	5.9
2	Brandon Nimmo	0.1512	0.1420	0.1327	7.6	1.9	5.6
3	Cody Bellinger	0.1226	0.1313	0.1265	6.3	0.9	5.4
4	Matt Olson	0.1634	0.1549	0.1139	29.1	23.7	5.3
5	Yandy Díaz	0.1530	0.1440	0.0886	35.6	30.5	5.1
6	Max Schuemann	0.0964	0.1068	0.1198	14.0	8.9	5.1
7	Rowdy Tellez	0.1240	0.1124	0.0903	11.2	6.6	4.6
8	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.1369	0.1282	0.1155	7.9	3.5	4.4
9	Jarren Duran	0.1264	0.1315	0.1510	23.3	19.0	4.3
10	Josh Bell	0.1273	0.1195	0.1028	10.5	6.2	4.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Busch	0.1099	0.1252	0.1287	13.2	5.6	7.6
2	Josh Bell	0.1288	0.1195	0.1028	13.0	6.2	6.8
3	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.1115	0.1252	0.1226	8.8	2.2	6.7
4	Gleyber Torres	0.1413	0.1333	0.1203	11.0	4.4	6.6
5	Gunnar Henderson	0.1340	0.1451	0.1641	24.8	18.2	6.6
6	Colton Cowser	0.1139	0.1263	0.1373	15.6	9.7	5.9
7	Nolan Arenado	0.1274	0.1202	0.1102	8.1	2.3	5.8
8	Masyn Winn	0.1143	0.1245	0.1334	15.0	9.8	5.2
9	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1331	0.1238	0.1068	10.1	4.9	5.1
10	Rowdy Tellez	0.1220	0.1124	0.0903	11.5	6.6	4.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Josh Naylor	0.1042	0.1206	0.1327	22.9	11.7	11.2
2	Nolan Schanuel	0.1542	0.1348	0.1021	26.9	15.9	10.9
3	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1563	0.1287	0.1122	14.9	4.1	10.8
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.1480	0.1602	0.1833	31.5	21.5	10.0
5	Juan Soto	0.1530	0.1648	0.1795	24.4	15.0	9.4
6	Marcell Ozuna	0.1225	0.1318	0.1395	17.0	9.7	7.4
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1351	0.1438	0.1406	9.3	2.2	7.1
8	Victor Caratini	0.0862	0.1096	0.1095	8.5	1.7	6.8
9	Adolis García	0.1459	0.1339	0.1068	20.0	13.2	6.8
10	Cody Bellinger	0.1471	0.1313	0.1265	7.3	0.9	6.4

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Brandon Nimmo	0.1357	0.1035 (27.6)	0.0959 (29.8)	0.1047 (26.2)	0.1001 (28.4)	0.1057 (28.3)
Brandon Drury	0.0417	0.1401 (32.1)	0.1479 (36.4)	0.1409 (32.7)	0.1369 (31.7)	0.1426 (31.8)
Jackson Merrill	0.1518	0.1111 (29.7)	0.1117 (26.8)	0.1119 (28.6)	0.1098 (29.1)	0.1116 (31.3)
Aaron Judge	0.2045	0.1726 (29.1)	0.1619 (33.6)	0.1651 (33.7)	0.1697 (29.6)	0.1830 (24.1)
Brent Rooker	0.1824	0.1313 (37.1)	0.1161 (43.8)	0.1292 (37.8)	0.1339 (34.2)	0.1309 (39.4)
Jurickson Profar	0.1272	0.0976 (26.0)	0.0918 (27.1)	0.1025 (22.2)	0.0951 (26.3)	0.0953 (29.7)
Ketel Marte	0.1630	0.1211 (29.9)	0.1161 (30.3)	0.1184 (30.9)	0.1208 (28.7)	0.1239 (30.1)
Eloy Jiménez	0.0659	0.1517 (26.7)	0.1396 (23.9)	0.1559 (28.5)	0.1509 (27.1)	0.1482 (24.3)
Willy Adames	0.1628	0.1339 (26.3)	0.1343 (23.1)	0.1289 (29.1)	0.1298 (27.6)	0.1431 (22.2)
Pete Alonso	0.1266	0.1693 (23.2)	0.1678 (25.1)	0.1688 (23.5)	0.1674 (23.4)	0.1718 (22.7)
Vinnie Pasquantino	0.1751	0.1396 (24.9)	0.1016 (43.5)	0.1442 (21.8)	0.1421 (22.3)	0.1325 (30.6)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eugenio Suárez	0.1208	0.1578	29.7
2	José Ramírez	0.1433	0.1730	26.7
3	Luis Robert Jr.	0.1533	0.0824	26.2
4	Alec Bohm	0.1268	0.1601	25.8
5	Orlando Arcia	0.1246	0.0764	23.4
6	Jake Fraley	0.1377	0.0681	23.0
7	Christopher Morel	0.1445	0.0982	22.6
8	Yordan Alvarez	0.1789	0.1354	21.6
9	Pavin Smith	0.1088	0.2278	20.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Heliot Ramos	0.0924	0.1390	26.8
2	Mark Vientos	0.1037	0.1564	26.3
3	Shohei Ohtani	0.1472	0.1778	26.1
4	Jake Fraley	0.1398	0.0681	25.4
5	Orlando Arcia	0.1230	0.0764	25.0
6	Danny Jansen	0.1547	0.0741	24.5
7	Sal Frelick	0.1121	0.0611	24.1
8	Nolan Arenado	0.1533	0.1118	23.1
9	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1397	0.0994	23.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eugenio Suárez	0.1185	0.1578	30.6
2	José Ramírez	0.1368	0.1730	30.5
3	Orlando Arcia	0.1266	0.0764	25.2
4	Luis Robert Jr.	0.1482	0.0824	24.4
5	Alec Bohm	0.1290	0.1601	23.9
6	Heliot Ramos	0.1045	0.1390	22.2
7	Shohei Ohtani	0.1568	0.1778	21.5
8	Gleyber Torres	0.1352	0.0947	21.3
9	Joey Bart	0.0929	0.1596	21.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eugenio Suárez	0.1218	0.1578	27.6
2	Alec Bohm	0.1225	0.1601	27.1
3	Luis Robert Jr.	0.1478	0.0824	24.8
4	Orlando Arcia	0.1229	0.0764	23.6
5	Christopher Morel	0.1435	0.0982	23.3
6	José Ramírez	0.1467	0.1730	22.8
7	Jake Fraley	0.1339	0.0681	22.4
8	Andrew Benintendi	0.0883	0.1226	21.7
9	Shohei Ohtani	0.1561	0.1778	21.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eugenio Suárez	0.1220	0.1578	31.0
2	Luis Robert Jr.	0.1639	0.0824	29.3
3	Yordan Alvarez	0.1922	0.1354	28.1
4	José Ramírez	0.1464	0.1730	26.8
5	Alec Bohm	0.1290	0.1601	26.5
6	Jake Fraley	0.1499	0.0681	26.4
7	Christopher Morel	0.1502	0.0982	24.1
8	Sal Frelick	0.1193	0.0611	23.9
9	Danny Jansen	0.1582	0.0741	23.2

Most Unique Misses for RBI Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.1016	0.1396	0.1751	43.5	24.9	18.7
2	Juan Soto	0.1297	0.1562	0.1529	20.1	4.3	15.8
3	Shohei Ohtani	0.1472	0.1704	0.1778	26.1	12.3	13.9
4	Justin Turner	0.1442	0.1228	0.1020	20.0	6.1	13.8
5	Mark Vientos	0.1037	0.1370	0.1564	26.3	13.1	13.2
6	Max Schuemann	0.1117	0.0880	0.0741	14.9	2.1	12.8
7	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.0992	0.1254	0.1313	21.3	8.8	12.5
8	Wyatt Langford	0.1117	0.1461	0.1329	14.6	2.2	12.4
9	Jacob Young	0.1086	0.0902	0.0691	17.9	6.1	11.8
10	Alec Burleson	0.1036	0.1267	0.1311	19.4	8.2	11.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.1568	0.1704	0.1778	21.5	12.3	9.3
2	Gleyber Torres	0.1352	0.1283	0.0947	21.3	16.1	5.3
3	Aaron Judge	0.1651	0.1726	0.2045	33.7	29.1	4.6
4	Bryce Harper	0.1571	0.1514	0.1379	6.8	2.6	4.2
5	Jeremy Peña	0.1232	0.1180	0.1077	4.6	0.6	4.0
6	Hunter Renfroe	0.1407	0.1315	0.1226	4.1	0.2	3.9
7	Xander Bogaerts	0.1223	0.1150	0.0950	8.7	4.9	3.9
8	Jonathan India	0.1173	0.1122	0.0911	11.4	7.5	3.8
9	José Ramírez	0.1368	0.1433	0.1730	30.5	26.7	3.8
10	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1040	0.1140	0.1146	7.8	4.1	3.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.1561	0.1704	0.1778	21.2	12.3	8.9
2	Oneil Cruz	0.1162	0.1292	0.1269	10.7	4.2	6.5
3	Teoscar Hernández	0.1470	0.1587	0.1518	7.9	1.6	6.3
4	Jarren Duran	0.1009	0.1097	0.1020	6.1	1.2	4.9
5	Andrew McCutchen	0.1130	0.1062	0.0971	4.5	0.1	4.4
6	Jeff McNeil	0.1166	0.1095	0.0932	7.6	3.3	4.4
7	Mookie Betts	0.1301	0.1400	0.1453	11.6	7.6	4.0
8	Wyatt Langford	0.1295	0.1461	0.1329	5.9	2.2	3.7
9	Jeremy Peña	0.1215	0.1180	0.1077	4.3	0.6	3.7
10	Cedric Mullins	0.1030	0.1124	0.1082	6.2	2.6	3.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt Vierling	0.0837	0.0967	0.1005	16.7	7.4	9.3
2	Wyatt Langford	0.1636	0.1461	0.1329	10.1	2.2	7.9
3	Sal Frelick	0.1193	0.1017	0.0611	23.9	16.4	7.5
4	Andrew McCutchen	0.0958	0.1062	0.0971	7.2	0.1	7.1
5	Jeremy Peña	0.1093	0.1180	0.1077	7.2	0.6	6.5
6	Yordan Alvarez	0.1922	0.1789	0.1354	28.1	21.6	6.4
7	Colt Keith	0.1344	0.1203	0.1097	6.7	0.7	6.0
8	Matt Chapman	0.1123	0.1182	0.1206	13.5	7.6	5.9
9	Hunter Renfroe	0.1211	0.1315	0.1226	6.0	0.2	5.8
10	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.1325	0.1396	0.1751	30.6	24.9	5.7

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Lane Thomas	0.2689	0.1050 (79.1)	0.0970 (83.7)	0.1053 (79.7)	0.1046 (79.4)	0.1053 (78.2)
Bubba Thompson	5.0000	0.2822 (84.7)	0.2241 (85.7)	0.2982 (84.4)	0.2841 (84.6)	0.2653 (84.9)
Elly De La Cruz	0.4085	0.2685 (87.6)	0.2577 (95.6)	0.2601 (94.5)	0.2484 (101.7)	0.2977 (66.4)
Shohei Ohtani	0.3189	0.1110 (141.7)	0.1027 (148.2)	0.1120 (141.9)	0.1084 (143.6)	0.1126 (139.5)
Luis Rengifo	0.2824	0.0635 (62.2)	0.0536 (65.5)	0.0666 (61.7)	0.0658 (61.6)	0.0583 (63.4)
Brice Turang	0.3145	0.1527 (91.4)	0.1792 (75.4)	0.1468 (95.9)	0.1485 (94.1)	0.1630 (84.2)
Xavier Edwards	0.3039	0.1097 (54.6)	0.1129 (53.8)	0.1003 (57.8)	0.1022 (56.9)	0.1268 (49.0)
José Ramírez	0.2770	0.1362 (86.4)	0.1391 (84.9)	0.1390 (85.4)	0.1338 (88.1)	0.1358 (85.8)
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1649	0.2648 (80.9)	0.2409 (63.4)	0.2768 (88.4)	0.2808 (92.1)	0.2365 (61.7)
Dairon Blanco	0.9688	0.3602 (78.5)	0.3226 (83.5)	0.3551 (79.3)	0.3617 (78.3)	0.3636 (77.8)
Willi Castro	0.0864	0.1967 (79.0)	0.1748 (64.6)	0.1996 (80.0)	0.1983 (79.9)	0.1923 (77.1)
Zach Neto	0.2273	0.0719 (85.0)	0.0690 (87.2)	0.0764 (83.1)	0.0755 (82.9)	0.0645 (88.7)
David Hamilton	0.4714	0.2765 (57.3)	0.0980 (114.1)	0.2752 (58.2)	0.2671 (60.3)	0.2869 (53.6)
Maikel Garcia	0.2721	0.1451 (70.6)	0.1301 (80.5)	0.1491 (69.0)	0.1498 (67.8)	0.1361 (75.5)
José Caballero	0.4314	0.2251 (92.8)	0.2198 (95.7)	0.2054 (103.0)	0.2037 (103.2)	0.2651 (72.9)
Victor Robles	0.3953	0.1521 (67.6)	0.1316 (73.8)	0.1558 (66.9)	0.1549 (66.8)	0.1458 (69.0)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Steer	0.0611	0.1656	59.2
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1730	0.3140	52.0
3	Luis García Jr.	0.0664	0.1774	51.2
4	Thairo Estrada	0.1455	0.0294	49.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1000	0.3140	82.2
2	Luis García Jr.	0.0550	0.1774	57.5
3	Lawrence Butler	0.0508	0.1895	56.5
4	Luis Robert Jr.	0.1261	0.2706	55.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jackson Chourio	0.2816	0.1654	73.9
2	Spencer Steer	0.0632	0.1656	58.8
3	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1609	0.3140	57.5
4	Gleyber Torres	0.0903	0.0225	53.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Steer	0.0589	0.1656	60.8
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1653	0.3140	55.2
3	Gleyber Torres	0.0904	0.0225	54.5
4	Thairo Estrada	0.1545	0.0294	53.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Steer	0.0613	0.1656	58.2
2	Luis García Jr.	0.0543	0.1774	56.9
3	Jackson Chourio	0.2482	0.1654	56.3
4	Willy Adames	0.0352	0.1288	53.8

Most Unique Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	David Hamilton	0.0980	0.2765	0.4714	114.1	57.3	56.8
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1000	0.1730	0.3140	82.2	52.0	30.2
3	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.0877	0.1700	0.1681	38.2	9.1	29.1
4	Michael Busch	0.0741	0.0246	0.0144	41.5	13.8	27.7
5	Wyatt Langford	0.0854	0.1246	0.1397	22.7	0.5	22.2
6	Lawrence Butler	0.0508	0.0935	0.1895	56.5	36.9	19.6
7	Colt Keith	0.0854	0.0206	0.0500	27.2	8.5	18.7
8	Johan Rojas	0.1857	0.2363	0.3086	39.7	21.1	18.6
9	Oneil Cruz	0.1186	0.1470	0.1618	17.8	0.4	17.4
10	Michael Siani	0.0833	0.1287	0.2469	50.1	34.8	15.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jackson Chourio	0.2816	0.2242	0.1654	73.9	41.8	32.1
2	Wyatt Langford	0.1508	0.1246	0.1397	13.3	0.5	12.8
3	José Caballero	0.2054	0.2251	0.4314	103.0	92.8	10.2
4	Grant McCray	0.0854	0.1584	0.2381	18.2	8.5	9.7
5	Steward Berroa	0.0854	0.2570	0.4286	14.9	7.1	7.8
6	Jackson Holliday	0.1231	0.0848	0.0952	8.5	0.8	7.7
7	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.2768	0.2648	0.1649	88.4	80.9	7.5
8	Elly De La Cruz	0.2601	0.2685	0.4085	94.5	87.6	6.9
9	Marcus Semien	0.0961	0.0856	0.0473	44.2	37.6	6.6
10	Romy Gonzalez	0.1471	0.1742	0.2245	14.0	7.8	6.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Wyatt Langford	0.0822	0.1246	0.1397	24.2	0.5	23.7
2	Elly De La Cruz	0.2484	0.2685	0.4085	101.7	87.6	14.1
3	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.2808	0.2648	0.1649	92.1	80.9	11.3
4	José Caballero	0.2037	0.2251	0.4314	103.2	92.8	10.4
5	Marcus Semien	0.0961	0.0856	0.0473	45.0	37.6	7.5
6	Jacob Young	0.1667	0.1797	0.2463	34.2	27.3	6.9
7	Matt Vierling	0.0769	0.0661	0.0469	25.0	18.9	6.0
8	Lawrence Butler	0.0815	0.0935	0.1895	42.4	36.9	5.5
9	Gleyber Torres	0.0904	0.0828	0.0225	54.5	49.5	5.0
10	Zack Gelof	0.1447	0.1534	0.2315	39.8	35.0	4.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	CJ Abrams	0.2913	0.2675	0.2313	45.4	30.3	15.1
2	Jackson Chourio	0.2482	0.2242	0.1654	56.3	41.8	14.5
3	Jarren Duran	0.2100	0.1957	0.2024	17.0	5.5	11.5
4	Wyatt Langford	0.1452	0.1246	0.1397	11.7	0.5	11.1
5	Cedric Mullins	0.1704	0.1910	0.2832	48.6	39.0	9.6
6	Jose Siri	0.2027	0.1871	0.1795	17.3	9.8	7.6
7	Jose Altuve	0.0730	0.0854	0.1170	19.5	11.9	7.6
8	Byron Buxton	0.1143	0.0968	0.0854	17.2	9.9	7.3
9	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1818	0.1678	0.1038	41.0	34.2	6.7
10	Seiya Suzuki	0.0414	0.0536	0.1000	25.2	18.9	6.3

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Brandon Nimmo	0.2242	0.2677 (24.0)	0.2729 (28.4)	0.2689 (24.3)	0.2687 (24.6)	0.2655 (22.8)
Shohei Ohtani	0.3097	0.2681 (35.8)	0.2754 (29.4)	0.2729 (32.8)	0.2721 (32.9)	0.2595 (41.8)
Christopher Morel	0.1963	0.2430 (24.1)	0.2429 (24.9)	0.2440 (24.3)	0.2432 (24.2)	0.2419 (23.6)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3231	0.2813 (34.2)	0.2757 (37.1)	0.2812 (34.7)	0.2849 (31.8)	0.2779 (36.3)
Brandon Drury	0.1692	0.2475 (25.6)	0.2590 (30.2)	0.2492 (25.9)	0.2484 (25.8)	0.2450 (24.8)
Jackson Merrill	0.2924	0.2571 (25.3)	0.2433 (32.6)	0.2598 (24.1)	0.2600 (23.6)	0.2516 (28.3)
Aaron Judge	0.3220	0.2706 (41.4)	0.2833 (31.4)	0.2708 (41.7)	0.2698 (42.0)	0.2711 (40.7)
Brent Rooker	0.2930	0.2277 (44.6)	0.2354 (39.0)	0.2206 (49.4)	0.2228 (47.7)	0.2397 (37.0)
Jurickson Profar	0.2801	0.2374 (33.4)	0.2397 (31.0)	0.2385 (33.2)	0.2383 (32.9)	0.2356 (34.4)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3020	0.2548 (37.5)	0.2480 (41.2)	0.2563 (36.9)	0.2549 (37.5)	0.2533 (38.2)
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.3318	0.2773 (43.8)	0.2638 (52.3)	0.2789 (43.1)	0.2782 (43.2)	0.2748 (45.3)
Mitch Garver	0.1717	0.2341 (23.7)	0.2478 (30.2)	0.2345 (23.6)	0.2351 (24.1)	0.2327 (23.3)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Iglesias	0.2519	0.3370	26.9
2	Jarren Duran	0.2567	0.2846	25.9
3	JJ Bleday	0.2137	0.2430	23.5
4	Corbin Carroll	0.2722	0.2309	23.3
5	Tyler Fitzgerald	0.2195	0.2803	23.2
6	Kyle Schwarber	0.2221	0.2478	22.9
7	Connor Wong	0.2404	0.2796	22.7
8	Yainer Diaz	0.2701	0.2991	22.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Masyn Winn	0.2200	0.2675	34.0
2	Josh Smith	0.2121	0.2581	30.7
3	Brenton Doyle	0.2171	0.2601	29.5
4	JJ Bleday	0.2043	0.2430	28.6
5	Davis Schneider	0.2583	0.1914	27.7
6	Heliot Ramos	0.2233	0.2695	27.0
7	Yainer Diaz	0.2650	0.2991	24.7
8	Gunnar Henderson	0.2526	0.2810	24.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Iglesias	0.2533	0.3370	26.7
2	Jarren Duran	0.2574	0.2846	25.9
3	Connor Wong	0.2368	0.2796	24.8
4	Tyler Fitzgerald	0.2189	0.2803	23.6
5	JJ Bleday	0.2146	0.2430	23.4
6	Corbin Carroll	0.2725	0.2309	23.0
7	Heliot Ramos	0.2333	0.2695	22.9
8	Kyle Schwarber	0.2239	0.2478	22.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Iglesias	0.2537	0.3370	26.4
2	Jarren Duran	0.2573	0.2846	25.5
3	Connor Wong	0.2355	0.2796	25.1
4	Tyler Fitzgerald	0.2177	0.2803	23.9
5	Heliot Ramos	0.2316	0.2695	23.4
6	Corbin Carroll	0.2725	0.2309	23.4
7	Brenton Doyle	0.2297	0.2601	22.8
8	J.P. Crawford	0.2585	0.2015	22.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Iglesias	0.2486	0.3370	27.8
2	Jarren Duran	0.2554	0.2846	26.6
3	Kyle Schwarber	0.2183	0.2478	25.2
4	Yainer Diaz	0.2654	0.2991	25.2
5	Randy Arozarena	0.2642	0.2186	25.1
6	JJ Bleday	0.2109	0.2430	25.1
7	Corbin Carroll	0.2716	0.2309	23.1
8	Eugenio Suárez	0.2270	0.2557	22.8

Most Unique Misses for Batting Average

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alec Burleson	0.2414	0.2715	0.2687	19.8	2.7	17.0
2	Josh Smith	0.2121	0.2393	0.2581	30.7	15.5	15.2
3	Masyn Winn	0.2200	0.2452	0.2675	34.0	18.8	15.1
4	J.D. Martinez	0.2723	0.2387	0.2350	15.6	1.8	13.8
5	Davis Schneider	0.2583	0.2307	0.1914	27.7	14.5	13.2
6	Zack Gelof	0.2578	0.2361	0.2113	22.2	9.6	12.6
7	Will Benson	0.2553	0.2260	0.1866	24.4	12.4	11.9
8	Jake Cave	0.2195	0.2609	0.2508	12.8	1.0	11.9
9	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2838	0.2682	0.2454	21.3	10.1	11.1
10	Colton Cowser	0.2150	0.2362	0.2425	18.7	7.6	11.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brent Rooker	0.2206	0.2277	0.2930	49.4	44.6	4.8
2	Grant McCray	0.2433	0.2088	0.2016	4.4	0.0	4.4
3	Joey Ortiz	0.2674	0.2588	0.2386	10.6	6.5	4.1
4	Daniel Schneemann	0.2433	0.2244	0.2176	3.9	0.1	3.8
5	Matt Chapman	0.2297	0.2331	0.2470	16.4	13.7	2.6
6	Michael Busch	0.2364	0.2403	0.2480	11.1	8.5	2.6
7	Willy Adames	0.2394	0.2423	0.2508	13.4	10.9	2.5
8	Trea Turner	0.2786	0.2822	0.2950	13.2	10.9	2.3
9	Brooks Baldwin	0.2433	0.2119	0.2105	3.0	0.7	2.3
10	Gavin Lux	0.2668	0.2615	0.2506	4.0	1.7	2.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Ortiz	0.2660	0.2588	0.2386	10.2	6.5	3.7
2	Brent Rooker	0.2228	0.2277	0.2930	47.7	44.6	3.1
3	Willy Adames	0.2380	0.2423	0.2508	13.9	10.9	3.0
4	Matt Chapman	0.2285	0.2331	0.2470	16.7	13.7	3.0
5	Max Schuemann	0.2062	0.2124	0.2197	9.6	6.7	2.9
6	Gavin Lux	0.2671	0.2615	0.2506	4.5	1.7	2.7
7	Nathaniel Lowe	0.2680	0.2727	0.2654	2.7	0.1	2.7
8	Josh Rojas	0.2408	0.2352	0.2251	4.0	1.3	2.7
9	Michael Busch	0.2360	0.2403	0.2480	11.0	8.5	2.5
10	Connor Wong	0.2355	0.2404	0.2796	25.1	22.7	2.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler O'Neill	0.2676	0.2548	0.2409	9.4	3.1	6.3
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.2595	0.2681	0.3097	41.8	35.8	6.0
3	Jeremy Peña	0.2491	0.2585	0.2658	15.3	9.5	5.9
4	Carlos Santana	0.2239	0.2329	0.2380	12.5	7.4	5.1
5	Spencer Steer	0.2633	0.2569	0.2247	20.7	16.3	4.4
6	Jesse Winker	0.2373	0.2460	0.2535	11.7	7.5	4.2
7	Luis García Jr.	0.2664	0.2745	0.2820	11.9	7.8	4.0
8	Juan Soto	0.2753	0.2812	0.2882	14.1	10.2	3.9
9	Nathaniel Lowe	0.2794	0.2727	0.2654	4.0	0.1	3.9
10	Dylan Moore	0.2188	0.2106	0.2011	4.7	1.0	3.8

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Joc Pederson	0.3928	0.3423 (28.0)	0.3363 (29.3)	0.3412 (29.0)	0.3429 (28.0)	0.3427 (27.2)
Elly De La Cruz	0.3386	0.3092 (28.7)	0.3070 (28.1)	0.3129 (26.9)	0.3108 (28.1)	0.3041 (31.3)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3960	0.3619 (32.0)	0.3530 (36.0)	0.3627 (32.3)	0.3665 (29.3)	0.3566 (34.7)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.3015	0.3591 (29.9)	0.3682 (37.9)	0.3623 (31.2)	0.3612 (30.8)	0.3540 (27.5)
Salvador Perez	0.3303	0.3008 (26.9)	0.3006 (25.1)	0.3018 (27.0)	0.3011 (27.1)	0.2996 (26.8)
Jurickson Profar	0.3801	0.3252 (44.6)	0.3244 (43.1)	0.3270 (44.2)	0.3271 (43.7)	0.3216 (46.0)
Aaron Judge	0.4580	0.3850 (59.7)	0.3915 (53.0)	0.3854 (60.3)	0.3856 (59.8)	0.3841 (59.4)
Brent Rooker	0.3648	0.3145 (38.2)	0.3176 (34.4)	0.3081 (42.8)	0.3109 (40.8)	0.3245 (31.2)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3785	0.3248 (45.1)	0.3135 (50.7)	0.3252 (45.6)	0.3231 (46.7)	0.3261 (43.2)
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.3893	0.3269 (52.6)	0.3105 (62.0)	0.3292 (51.8)	0.3287 (51.8)	0.3229 (54.5)
Brenton Doyle	0.3172	0.2780 (30.8)	0.2732 (31.8)	0.2780 (31.5)	0.2760 (32.3)	0.2801 (28.7)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Iglesias	0.2913	0.3814	29.7
2	Teoscar Hernández	0.3104	0.3395	26.7
3	Connor Wong	0.2925	0.3333	25.7
4	Alex Bregman	0.3677	0.3155	25.6
5	Keibert Ruiz	0.3241	0.2598	25.4
6	Jarren Duran	0.3193	0.3420	25.4
7	Adley Rutschman	0.3692	0.3182	25.0
8	David Fry	0.3051	0.3564	24.8
9	Gunnar Henderson	0.3418	0.3644	24.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gunnar Henderson	0.3241	0.3644	35.2
2	Davis Schneider	0.3514	0.2819	27.6
3	Zack Gelof	0.3287	0.2702	27.2
4	Michael Busch	0.2975	0.3351	26.3
5	Kyle Schwarber	0.3371	0.3656	25.8
6	Xavier Edwards	0.3211	0.3974	25.7
7	Jarren Duran	0.3168	0.3420	24.9
8	Eddie Rosario	0.2992	0.2145	24.2
9	Thairo Estrada	0.3180	0.2467	23.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Iglesias	0.2938	0.3814	29.3
2	Teoscar Hernández	0.3096	0.3395	28.0
3	Connor Wong	0.2907	0.3333	27.1
4	Adley Rutschman	0.3736	0.3182	27.0
5	Gunnar Henderson	0.3410	0.3644	26.2
6	Keibert Ruiz	0.3265	0.2598	26.0
7	David Fry	0.3052	0.3564	25.2
8	Maikel Garcia	0.3344	0.2814	25.1
9	Tyler Fitzgerald	0.2754	0.3343	24.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Iglesias	0.2930	0.3814	29.4
2	Teoscar Hernández	0.3073	0.3395	29.1
3	Connor Wong	0.2903	0.3333	27.0
4	Adley Rutschman	0.3725	0.3182	26.7
5	Gunnar Henderson	0.3408	0.3644	25.9
6	Keibert Ruiz	0.3255	0.2598	25.8
7	Maikel Garcia	0.3338	0.2814	25.0
8	David Fry	0.3055	0.3564	24.8
9	Alex Bregman	0.3670	0.3155	24.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Iglesias	0.2872	0.3814	30.5
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.3593	0.3901	30.1
3	Jarren Duran	0.3135	0.3420	28.6
4	Jackson Merrill	0.2898	0.3260	27.7
5	Alex Bregman	0.3692	0.3155	27.5
6	David Fry	0.3046	0.3564	24.4
7	Keibert Ruiz	0.3202	0.2598	24.2
8	José Caballero	0.3435	0.2833	24.0
9	Bryan De La Cruz	0.3189	0.2705	23.6

Most Unique Misses for On-Base Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zack Gelof	0.3287	0.3073	0.2702	27.2	13.8	13.4
2	Josh Smith	0.3110	0.3358	0.3373	20.7	7.9	12.8
3	Johan Rojas	0.3263	0.2946	0.2789	14.0	1.4	12.6
4	Michael Busch	0.2975	0.3220	0.3351	26.3	14.2	12.1
5	Spencer Horwitz	0.3214	0.3543	0.3570	16.9	5.5	11.3
6	Jared Triolo	0.3516	0.3297	0.2960	20.9	9.8	11.2
7	Masataka Yoshida	0.3313	0.3601	0.3492	11.2	0.4	10.8
8	Gunnar Henderson	0.3241	0.3418	0.3644	35.2	24.7	10.5
9	Juan Soto	0.4063	0.4240	0.4194	15.5	5.2	10.4
10	Vidal Bruján	0.2710	0.3097	0.3032	11.4	1.5	9.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Wyatt Langford	0.3589	0.3459	0.3250	11.7	5.1	6.6
2	Brooks Baldwin	0.3121	0.2640	0.2500	5.9	0.3	5.7
3	Brent Rooker	0.3081	0.3145	0.3648	42.8	38.2	4.6
4	Zach Neto	0.3189	0.3250	0.3177	7.1	2.8	4.3
5	Grant McCray	0.3121	0.2790	0.2385	7.9	3.7	4.2
6	Michael Busch	0.3166	0.3220	0.3351	17.9	14.2	3.7
7	Maikel Garcia	0.3344	0.3283	0.2814	25.1	22.0	3.1
8	Tyler O'Neill	0.3276	0.3329	0.3362	10.2	7.1	3.1
9	Dylan Moore	0.3050	0.3104	0.3205	12.6	9.7	2.9
10	Matt Chapman	0.3225	0.3257	0.3277	11.8	8.9	2.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Wyatt Langford	0.3549	0.3459	0.3250	9.8	5.1	4.7
2	Zach Neto	0.3180	0.3250	0.3177	7.3	2.8	4.5
3	Max Schuemann	0.2967	0.3055	0.3106	12.1	7.8	4.3
4	Michael Busch	0.3159	0.3220	0.3351	18.0	14.2	3.8
5	Matt Chapman	0.3213	0.3257	0.3277	12.2	8.9	3.2
6	Tyler O'Neill	0.3269	0.3329	0.3362	10.2	7.1	3.1
7	Maikel Garcia	0.3338	0.3283	0.2814	25.0	22.0	3.1
8	Gavin Lux	0.3419	0.3358	0.3203	4.5	1.8	2.7
9	Dylan Moore	0.3051	0.3104	0.3205	12.3	9.7	2.6
10	Brent Rooker	0.3109	0.3145	0.3648	40.8	38.2	2.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Ortiz	0.2964	0.3126	0.3287	21.9	14.3	7.6
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.3593	0.3706	0.3901	30.1	22.9	7.2
3	Mark Canha	0.3712	0.3587	0.3442	7.7	1.2	6.4
4	Logan O'Hoppe	0.3451	0.3344	0.3033	16.4	10.1	6.3
5	Jackson Merrill	0.2898	0.3005	0.3260	27.7	22.1	5.5
6	Luis García Jr.	0.3053	0.3168	0.3182	12.3	7.0	5.4
7	Andrés Giménez	0.3391	0.3321	0.2984	19.1	13.8	5.3
8	Josh Rojas	0.2976	0.3100	0.3044	8.2	3.0	5.3
9	Spencer Steer	0.3453	0.3389	0.3186	10.6	5.5	5.1
10	Randy Arozarena	0.3551	0.3488	0.3318	8.3	3.4	5.0

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani	0.6462	0.5487 (86.1)	0.5611 (75.3)	0.5545 (84.2)	0.5462 (88.9)	0.5455 (85.9)
Brandon Drury	0.2277	0.4443 (70.7)	0.4798 (84.3)	0.4510 (72.0)	0.4472 (71.2)	0.4349 (68.5)
Jarren Duran	0.4918	0.4222 (66.1)	0.4243 (62.8)	0.4202 (69.8)	0.4223 (66.9)	0.4241 (62.1)
Jackson Merrill	0.5000	0.3982 (72.4)	0.3997 (70.1)	0.4088 (68.0)	0.3999 (72.2)	0.3861 (77.5)
Aaron Judge	0.7013	0.5678 (108.2)	0.5908 (90.4)	0.5665 (111.4)	0.5620 (113.2)	0.5748 (100.8)
Brent Rooker	0.5623	0.4416 (86.6)	0.4466 (82.0)	0.4303 (95.4)	0.4322 (93.1)	0.4622 (71.7)
Jurickson Profar	0.4592	0.3699 (73.2)	0.3769 (67.0)	0.3769 (70.6)	0.3706 (73.6)	0.3622 (76.0)
Marcell Ozuna	0.5462	0.4780 (60.9)	0.4713 (63.9)	0.4843 (58.7)	0.4827 (58.5)	0.4670 (66.1)
Ketel Marte	0.5595	0.4639 (67.6)	0.4560 (70.8)	0.4555 (74.3)	0.4632 (68.8)	0.4729 (60.3)
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.5881	0.4951 (80.3)	0.4552 (106.9)	0.5014 (78.1)	0.5027 (75.8)	0.4813 (87.6)
Lawrence Butler	0.4903	0.3849 (56.7)	0.3815 (57.1)	0.3920 (54.9)	0.3935 (53.4)	0.3692 (62.2)
Heliot Ramos	0.4695	0.3785 (57.6)	0.3674 (62.1)	0.3744 (61.4)	0.3839 (55.5)	0.3771 (56.5)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Christopher Morel	0.4650	0.3458	60.4
2	Eugenio Suárez	0.4044	0.4694	54.5
3	Tyler Fitzgerald	0.3660	0.4968	51.5
4	Francisco Lindor	0.4467	0.5000	50.7
5	Brenton Doyle	0.3831	0.4465	50.5
6	Gunnar Henderson	0.4789	0.5286	50.3
7	Kerry Carpenter	0.4386	0.5871	50.0
8	JJ Bleday	0.3823	0.4371	48.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	0.4852	0.5694	72.8
2	Mark Vientos	0.3779	0.5157	70.7
3	JJ Bleday	0.3567	0.4371	63.1
4	Colton Cowser	0.3551	0.4469	61.5
5	Gunnar Henderson	0.4641	0.5286	59.3
6	Brenton Doyle	0.3669	0.4465	58.8
7	Ezequiel Tovar	0.4057	0.4687	56.3
8	Elly De La Cruz	0.4087	0.4709	55.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eugenio Suárez	0.4013	0.4694	58.6
2	Christopher Morel	0.4631	0.3458	57.3
3	Tyler Fitzgerald	0.3568	0.4968	55.7
4	Julio Rodríguez	0.5224	0.4092	55.1
5	Kerry Carpenter	0.4296	0.5871	53.6
6	Brenton Doyle	0.3821	0.4465	52.9
7	Matt Chapman	0.4049	0.4626	52.5
8	Ezequiel Tovar	0.4186	0.4687	51.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Christopher Morel	0.4665	0.3458	60.6
2	Tyler Fitzgerald	0.3595	0.4968	54.2
3	Eugenio Suárez	0.4086	0.4694	52.7
4	Francisco Lindor	0.4451	0.5000	52.7
5	Gunnar Henderson	0.4788	0.5286	51.3
6	Brenton Doyle	0.3836	0.4465	50.9
7	Ezequiel Tovar	0.4178	0.4687	50.3
8	Julio Rodríguez	0.5129	0.4092	50.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Christopher Morel	0.4654	0.3458	62.9
2	Eugenio Suárez	0.4034	0.4694	53.0
3	Gunnar Henderson	0.4724	0.5286	52.5
4	Colton Cowser	0.3725	0.4469	51.2
5	Francisco Lindor	0.4429	0.5000	50.9
6	Juan Soto	0.5163	0.5694	49.9
7	JJ Bleday	0.3768	0.4371	49.5
8	Kerry Carpenter	0.4393	0.5871	48.7

Most Unique Misses for Slugging Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Juan Soto	0.4852	0.5461	0.5694	72.8	31.1	41.7
2	J.D. Martinez	0.5011	0.4337	0.4055	38.5	3.9	34.6
3	Zack Gelof	0.4565	0.4038	0.3622	41.8	11.7	30.2
4	Max Schuemann	0.3997	0.3151	0.3081	33.8	6.1	27.7
5	Mark Vientos	0.3779	0.4412	0.5157	70.7	43.1	27.6
6	Alec Burleson	0.3879	0.4352	0.4205	30.0	3.3	26.7
7	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.4552	0.4951	0.5881	106.9	80.3	26.6
8	Elly De La Cruz	0.4087	0.4443	0.4709	55.7	32.6	23.1
9	Josh Smith	0.3401	0.3810	0.3939	42.5	19.6	22.8
10	Jared Triolo	0.4029	0.3545	0.3147	31.3	8.7	22.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Busch	0.4021	0.4188	0.4395	34.5	23.2	11.3
2	Matt Chapman	0.4049	0.4190	0.4626	52.5	41.4	11.1
3	Jake Burger	0.4508	0.4640	0.4598	18.8	9.3	9.4
4	Brent Rooker	0.4303	0.4416	0.5623	95.4	86.6	8.8
5	Jonathan India	0.4441	0.4273	0.3921	18.2	9.5	8.7
6	Willy Adames	0.4368	0.4459	0.4623	33.7	25.2	8.4
7	Leo Rivas	0.3997	0.2873	0.2740	8.8	0.6	8.2
8	Riley Greene	0.4225	0.4326	0.4785	46.4	38.6	7.8
9	Tyler O'Neill	0.4432	0.4564	0.5109	43.1	35.4	7.7
10	Brooks Baldwin	0.3997	0.3369	0.3158	7.3	0.1	7.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Willy Adames	0.4360	0.4459	0.4623	32.9	25.2	7.7
2	Dylan Moore	0.3628	0.3788	0.3668	11.3	3.7	7.6
3	Corbin Carroll	0.4843	0.4727	0.4278	23.8	16.8	7.1
4	Michael Busch	0.4081	0.4188	0.4395	30.0	23.2	6.8
5	Pete Alonso	0.5185	0.5075	0.4589	26.4	19.7	6.7
6	Yandy Díaz	0.4696	0.4577	0.4139	21.2	14.6	6.6
7	Anthony Santander	0.4590	0.4676	0.5059	45.5	38.9	6.6
8	Brent Rooker	0.4322	0.4416	0.5623	93.1	86.6	6.6
9	Bryson Stott	0.4128	0.4002	0.3557	20.3	13.8	6.5
10	Tyler O'Neill	0.4442	0.4564	0.5109	41.8	35.4	6.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Juan Soto	0.5163	0.5461	0.5694	49.9	31.1	18.8
2	Jeremy Peña	0.3863	0.4102	0.3937	15.7	2.5	13.2
3	Jake Cave	0.4726	0.4410	0.3963	20.6	8.4	12.2
4	Jacob Young	0.3165	0.3424	0.3312	16.4	4.7	11.7
5	Brendan Donovan	0.3799	0.4010	0.4174	35.4	23.9	11.5
6	Nolan Schanuel	0.4325	0.4174	0.3622	32.5	21.2	11.3
7	Victor Caratini	0.3359	0.3750	0.4082	24.4	14.6	9.8
8	Steven Kwan	0.3704	0.3918	0.4250	38.5	28.9	9.6
9	Adolis García	0.4744	0.4628	0.4000	36.7	27.1	9.6
10	Adam Duvall	0.4579	0.4335	0.3234	38.8	29.6	9.2

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Kodai Senga	20	558 (537.8)	598 (578.0)	439 (419.4)	551 (531.1)	683 (663.0)
Alex Cobb	62	571 (509.0)	624 (562.0)	550 (487.9)	566 (504.0)	597 (535.0)
Shane Bieber	45	705 (660.0)	593 (548.0)	687 (642.0)	814 (769.1)	614 (569.0)
Spencer Strider	42	699 (657.5)	675 (633.0)	689 (647.3)	752 (710.1)	657 (615.0)
Josiah Gray	44	695 (651.0)	678 (634.0)	686 (642.2)	787 (742.7)	612 (568.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Buchanan	649	14	635.0
2	Wade Miley	552	30	522.1
3	Cristian Javier	655	150	505.2
4	Spencer Schwellenbach	5	500	495.4
5	Chase Silseth	505	38	466.8
6	Merrill Kelly	738	300	438.4
7	Mitchell Parker	226	646	420.2
8	Jordan Lyles	436	19	417.1
9	Braxton Garrett	577	161	416.3
10	Spencer Arrighetti	224	632	407.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Lyles	698	19	679.0
2	Shota Imanaga	100	694	594.0
3	Rich Hill	590	15	575.0
4	Mitch Spence	100	651	551.0
5	Mitchell Parker	100	646	546.0
6	Spencer Arrighetti	100	632	532.0
7	Mike Clevinger	567	78	489.0
8	Kyle Bradish	649	163	486.0
9	Cristian Javier	628	150	478.0
10	Wade Miley	501	30	471.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mitchell Parker	36	646	610.5
2	Wade Miley	570	30	540.5
3	Spencer Arrighetti	99	632	533.3
4	Cristian Javier	655	150	504.9
5	Chase Silseth	524	38	486.5
6	Merrill Kelly	777	300	476.7
7	Tobias Myers	100	569	469.0
8	Albert Suárez	100	565	465.0
9	Tyler Wells	520	67	453.0
10	J.P. France	574	121	452.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Wade Miley	610	30	579.9
2	Tobias Myers	4	569	564.6
3	Cristian Javier	711	150	560.8
4	Chase Silseth	574	38	535.9
5	Spencer Arrighetti	108	632	524.5
6	John Means	584	80	504.4
7	Spencer Schwellenbach	5	500	495.4
8	Merrill Kelly	795	300	494.5
9	Ben Lively	140	632	491.8
10	Jesús Luzardo	762	274	488.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Buchanan	649	14	635.0
2	Jordan Lyles	636	19	617.0
3	Germán Márquez	580	20	560.0
4	Cristian Mena	541	15	526.0
5	Blake Walston	606	83	523.0
6	Brandon Williamson	570	59	511.0
7	Adam Kloffenstein	508	3	505.0
8	Michael McGreevy	589	86	503.0
9	Rich Hill	518	15	503.0
10	Kyle Bradish	649	163	486.0

Most Unique Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Shota Imanaga	100	649	694	594.0	44.7	549.3
2	Jared Jones	100	512	504	404.0	7.9	396.1
3	Paul Skenes	100	476	514	414.0	38.0	376.0
4	Rich Hill	590	286	15	575.0	270.9	304.1
5	Erick Fedde	313	591	726	413.0	134.7	278.3
6	Garrett Crochet	139	416	595	456.0	179.2	276.8
7	Mitch Spence	100	376	651	551.0	274.9	276.1
8	Frankie Montas	310	581	655	345.0	73.6	271.4
9	Jordan Lyles	698	436	19	679.0	417.1	261.9
10	Albert Suárez	100	355	565	465.0	210.0	255.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Paul Skenes	100	476	514	414.0	38.0	376.0
2	Albert Suárez	100	355	565	465.0	210.0	255.0
3	Mitchell Parker	36	226	646	610.5	420.2	190.3
4	Joey Estes	133	321	543	409.6	221.7	187.9
5	David Peterson	215	383	510	295.3	126.6	168.7
6	Chase Anderson	74	240	255	181.5	14.7	166.8
7	Mitch Spence	210	376	651	441.5	274.9	166.6
8	Michael Lorenzen	261	419	536	275.3	116.9	158.4
9	DJ Herz	36	193	382	346.5	188.8	157.7
10	Tobias Myers	100	253	569	469.0	316.3	152.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Paul Skenes	100	476	514	414.0	38.0	376.0
2	Albert Suárez	100	355	565	465.0	210.0	255.0
3	Tobias Myers	4	253	569	564.6	316.3	248.3
4	Hayden Birdsong	4	205	315	310.6	110.3	200.3
5	Valente Bellozo	4	196	295	290.6	98.8	191.8
6	Jared Koenig	4	194	265	260.6	70.8	189.8
7	Sean Hjelle	52	224	337	285.1	112.9	172.2
8	Keider Montero	72	237	412	339.5	174.8	164.7
9	Kyle Leahy	4	158	191	186.6	33.3	153.4
10	Simeon Woods Richardson	125	278	569	443.7	291.3	152.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Blake Walston	606	221	83	523.0	137.8	385.2
2	Richard Fitts	567	204	85	482.0	118.8	363.2
3	Michael McGreevy	589	260	86	503.0	173.9	329.1
4	Cristian Mena	541	227	15	526.0	212.1	313.9
5	Tyler Phillips	470	167	160	310.0	6.9	303.1
6	Mason Montgomery	498	197	37	461.0	160.5	300.5
7	Adam Kloffenstein	508	208	3	505.0	204.8	300.2
8	Allan Winans	517	217	41	476.0	176.4	299.6
9	Zach Logue	454	165	12	442.0	153.2	288.8
10	Randy Dobnak	450	171	45	405.0	126.0	279.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Logan Allen	0.3895	0.3017 (34.3)	0.3206 (30.9)	0.1352 (39.9)	0.3015 (34.2)	0.2940 (36.8)
Jordan Montgomery	0.3694	0.2885 (38.5)	0.2988 (38.9)	0.1068 (53.5)	0.2915 (36.7)	0.2834 (40.2)
Paul Skenes	0.2468	0.2960 (29.6)	0.3101 (31.2)	0.3101 (115.7)	0.3101 (37.1)	0.2960 (30.7)
Taijuan Walker	0.4133	0.3138 (34.7)	0.3081 (41.1)	0.1370 (43.6)	0.3182 (32.9)	0.3076 (36.3)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.3421	0.2858	32.4
2	Bobby Miller	0.2840	0.4113	30.7
3	Bryce Miller	0.2949	0.2603	30.3
4	Erick Fedde	0.3261	0.2928	30.3
5	Seth Lugo	0.3052	0.2775	30.2
6	Logan Gilbert	0.2819	0.2546	28.7
7	Tanner Houck	0.3051	0.2760	27.9
8	Trevor Rogers	0.2929	0.3509	27.8
9	Kirby Yates	0.3034	0.1957	27.5
10	Hunter Gaddis	0.3110	0.2221	27.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Greene	0.3301	0.2632	39.3
2	Ronel Blanco	0.3306	0.2756	35.5
3	Chris Sale	0.3116	0.2596	34.7
4	Bryce Miller	0.3121	0.2603	34.7
5	Logan Gilbert	0.2985	0.2546	33.1
6	Tarik Skubal	0.2924	0.2458	33.1
7	Marcus Stroman	0.2947	0.3405	32.6
8	Roddery Muñoz	0.3101	0.3935	32.6
9	Luke Weaver	0.3560	0.2553	32.5
10	Erick Fedde	0.3387	0.2928	31.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tobias Myers	0.3101	0.2958	100.2
2	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.3101	0.2858	93.1
3	Albert Suárez	0.3101	0.3180	87.0
4	Joe Ross	0.3101	0.2993	55.4
5	Tayler Scott	0.3101	0.2759	55.3
6	Hunter Strickland	0.3101	0.2864	54.5
7	Jared Koenig	0.3101	0.2777	51.5
8	Declan Cronin	0.3101	0.3098	49.6
9	Hayden Birdsong	0.3101	0.3188	48.2
10	Patrick Corbin	0.1331	0.3568	47.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Miller	0.3002	0.2603	34.4
2	Erick Fedde	0.3291	0.2928	32.8
3	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.3421	0.2858	32.6
4	Logan Gilbert	0.2852	0.2546	31.7
5	Seth Lugo	0.3051	0.2775	30.5
6	Roddery Muñoz	0.3079	0.3935	29.1
7	Tyler Holton	0.2931	0.2208	28.7
8	Nick Martinez	0.3172	0.2761	28.5
9	Bobby Miller	0.2925	0.4113	28.4
10	Emmanuel Clase	0.2695	0.1752	27.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seth Lugo	0.3087	0.2775	34.8
2	Bobby Miller	0.2719	0.4113	33.3
3	Kirby Yates	0.3158	0.1957	30.9
4	Tanner Houck	0.3057	0.2760	29.8
5	Walker Buehler	0.2728	0.3694	29.6
6	Chris Sale	0.2904	0.2596	29.0
7	Hunter Gaddis	0.3134	0.2221	28.3
8	Sean Manaea	0.3005	0.2746	26.8
9	Carlos Rodón	0.2738	0.3205	26.7
10	Trevor Rogers	0.2930	0.3509	26.6

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cal Quantrill	0.3135	0.3394	0.3564	29.9	5.6	24.2
2	Hunter Brown	0.3287	0.2889	0.2962	21.3	0.8	20.5
3	Gavin Stone	0.3452	0.3015	0.3034	22.8	3.8	18.9
4	Brandon Pfaadt	0.3415	0.2966	0.3119	20.6	5.2	15.4
5	Luis Severino	0.3330	0.3019	0.3055	19.0	3.7	15.2
6	David Peterson	0.3352	0.2955	0.2980	17.7	3.0	14.6
7	Hunter Greene	0.3301	0.2953	0.2632	39.3	24.8	14.5
8	Luke Weaver	0.3560	0.3034	0.2553	32.5	18.7	13.8
9	Nick Lodolo	0.3407	0.2993	0.3091	14.3	0.7	13.6
10	Jack Flaherty	0.3378	0.3061	0.2872	31.2	17.8	13.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Paul Skenes	0.3101	0.2960	0.2468	115.7	29.6	86.1
2	Tobias Myers	0.3101	0.3149	0.2958	100.2	15.7	84.6
3	Albert Suárez	0.3101	0.3256	0.3180	87.0	9.1	78.0
4	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.3101	0.3421	0.2858	93.1	32.4	60.7
5	Joe Ross	0.3101	0.3134	0.2993	55.4	7.2	48.2
6	Hayden Birdsong	0.3101	0.3108	0.3188	48.2	0.1	48.1
7	Tayler Scott	0.3101	0.3087	0.2759	55.3	11.6	43.7
8	Declan Cronin	0.3101	0.3231	0.3098	49.6	6.7	43.0
9	Jared Koenig	0.3101	0.3159	0.2777	51.5	12.4	39.1
10	Bryce Jarvis	0.3101	0.3075	0.3200	39.2	1.1	38.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Keider Montero	0.2938	0.3281	0.3411	15.8	1.9	13.9
2	Corbin Burnes	0.2852	0.2730	0.2733	16.4	6.4	9.9
3	Paul Skenes	0.3101	0.2960	0.2468	37.1	29.6	7.4
4	Jonathan Cannon	0.3084	0.3235	0.3309	7.1	0.5	6.6
5	Austin Gomber	0.3435	0.3360	0.3395	9.0	3.5	5.6
6	Ryan Feltner	0.3341	0.3269	0.3196	16.1	10.9	5.3
7	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	0.2875	0.2746	0.2774	7.0	2.1	4.9
8	Dean Kremer	0.3093	0.3016	0.2937	13.6	9.0	4.5
9	Tobias Myers	0.3224	0.3149	0.2958	20.2	15.7	4.5
10	Reynaldo López	0.2981	0.2903	0.2705	19.8	15.3	4.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zack Littell	0.2871	0.3058	0.3163	12.3	1.4	10.9
2	Spencer Arrighetti	0.2994	0.3173	0.3316	13.7	3.7	10.1
3	José Ureña	0.3409	0.3215	0.3138	17.4	7.5	9.9
4	Cal Quantrill	0.3226	0.3394	0.3564	15.3	5.6	9.7
5	Yusei Kikuchi	0.3122	0.3015	0.2955	20.0	10.7	9.3
6	Keider Montero	0.3040	0.3281	0.3411	11.0	1.9	9.1
7	Bradley Blalock	0.3101	0.3642	0.3705	7.4	0.3	7.0
8	Dakota Hudson	0.3242	0.3431	0.3596	10.1	3.3	6.8
9	Chris Flexen	0.3140	0.3252	0.3538	20.8	14.2	6.5
10	Luke Weaver	0.3204	0.3034	0.2553	25.0	18.7	6.3

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Cole Ragans	0.2927	0.2417 (35.6)	0.2432 (40.7)	0.2438 (35.4)	0.2438 (33.6)	0.2374 (40.9)
Jack Flaherty	0.2989	0.2211 (47.7)	0.2274 (49.0)	0.2177 (51.2)	0.2185 (49.0)	0.2270 (45.7)
Paul Skenes	0.3307	0.1849 (72.8)	0.2263 (55.7)	0.2263 (52.5)	0.2263 (51.2)	0.1849 (74.2)
Reed Garrett	0.3360	0.2050 (31.3)	0.2143 (31.1)	0.2133 (29.7)	0.2130 (29.2)	0.1887 (36.0)
Kevin Gausman	0.2143	0.2730 (47.7)	0.2830 (49.0)	0.2788 (50.5)	0.2771 (51.1)	0.2632 (38.2)
Griffin Canning	0.1759	0.2437 (53.3)	0.2442 (47.5)	0.2408 (49.7)	0.2404 (51.2)	0.2500 (55.9)
Jordan Montgomery	0.1560	0.2162 (34.3)	0.2207 (32.3)	0.2139 (32.1)	0.2130 (32.9)	0.2216 (35.7)
Trevor Rogers	0.1726	0.2346 (37.3)	0.2363 (33.6)	0.2332 (35.4)	0.2355 (38.1)	0.2352 (36.0)
Sonny Gray	0.3025	0.2200 (52.5)	0.2410 (44.0)	0.2264 (49.5)	0.2241 (49.4)	0.2094 (61.5)
Garrett Crochet	0.3513	0.2590 (52.3)	0.2302 (74.4)	0.2471 (60.6)	0.2510 (56.8)	0.2790 (42.1)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.1410	0.2540	54.3
2	Andrew Abbott	0.2562	0.1945	38.6
3	James Paxton	0.2478	0.1670	37.1
4	Spencer Arrighetti	0.2130	0.2706	33.7
5	Jared Jones	0.1961	0.2619	31.0
6	José Soriano	0.2683	0.2073	30.6
7	Zach Eflin	0.2352	0.1959	29.8
8	Randy Vásquez	0.2086	0.1439	29.8
9	Zack Wheeler	0.2426	0.2846	29.7
10	Jordan Hicks	0.2564	0.1996	29.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mason Miller	0.2407	0.4177	45.0
2	Chris Sale	0.2619	0.3205	43.9
3	Cade Smith	0.2263	0.3564	38.7
4	Jeremiah Estrada	0.2336	0.3730	36.1
5	Luke Weaver	0.2098	0.3112	34.9
6	Jack Kochanowicz	0.2263	0.0940	34.1
7	Tarik Skubal	0.2614	0.3028	34.1
8	Logan Gilbert	0.2369	0.2740	33.0
9	Griffin Jax	0.2338	0.3442	31.6
10	Corbin Burnes	0.2745	0.2309	31.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Arrighetti	0.2047	0.2706	40.2
2	Andrew Abbott	0.2563	0.1945	37.6
3	James Paxton	0.2477	0.1670	36.3
4	Jared Jones	0.1912	0.2619	34.4
5	Erick Fedde	0.1644	0.2121	32.9
6	Randy Vásquez	0.2162	0.1439	32.2
7	Zack Wheeler	0.2425	0.2846	31.3
8	José Soriano	0.2693	0.2073	30.2
9	Chris Sale	0.2753	0.3205	30.1
10	Cade Smith	0.2516	0.3564	29.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.1411	0.2540	54.0
2	James Paxton	0.2519	0.1670	39.2
3	Andrew Abbott	0.2561	0.1945	38.9
4	Spencer Arrighetti	0.2096	0.2706	35.5
5	Jared Jones	0.1933	0.2619	32.1
6	Erick Fedde	0.1646	0.2121	31.0
7	Cade Smith	0.2471	0.3564	30.2
8	Jeremiah Estrada	0.2533	0.3730	28.9
9	Zach Eflin	0.2333	0.1959	28.9
10	JP Sears	0.2140	0.1807	28.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Logan Gilbert	0.2228	0.2740	39.9
2	Andrew Abbott	0.2562	0.1945	37.0
3	Luke Weaver	0.2004	0.3112	36.2
4	Jordan Hicks	0.2721	0.1996	35.6
5	José Soriano	0.2812	0.2073	35.3
6	Tarik Skubal	0.2547	0.3028	35.1
7	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2314	0.2799	34.6
8	James Paxton	0.2437	0.1670	34.2
9	Zack Wheeler	0.2412	0.2846	33.0
10	Ross Stripling	0.2099	0.1286	31.6

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mason Miller	0.2407	0.3291	0.4177	45.0	21.0	24.1
2	Jack Kochanowicz	0.2263	0.1346	0.0940	34.1	11.9	22.2
3	Jonathan Cannon	0.2263	0.1644	0.1743	25.1	3.0	22.1
4	Garrett Crochet	0.2302	0.2590	0.3513	74.4	52.3	22.1
5	Luis Gil	0.2357	0.2694	0.2684	23.4	3.3	20.1
6	Shota Imanaga	0.2263	0.2469	0.2507	19.7	0.3	19.4
7	Chris Sale	0.2619	0.2808	0.3205	43.9	24.9	19.1
8	Cristopher Sánchez	0.2306	0.1989	0.2029	17.9	0.2	17.6
9	Joey Estes	0.2180	0.1785	0.1694	24.2	7.3	16.9
10	Justin Martinez	0.2263	0.2709	0.2955	22.5	6.2	16.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael King	0.2398	0.2660	0.2769	25.2	4.8	20.4
2	Anthony Molina	0.2263	0.1447	0.1553	19.4	1.7	17.7
3	Valente Bellozo	0.2263	0.1669	0.1492	23.5	6.5	17.0
4	Erick Fedde	0.1644	0.1843	0.2121	32.9	17.1	15.9
5	Hunter Strickland	0.2263	0.1934	0.1939	10.2	1.1	9.1
6	Tanner Gordon	0.2263	0.1486	0.1625	10.6	1.5	9.1
7	Darren McCaughan	0.2263	0.1780	0.1436	16.6	7.5	9.0
8	Garrett Crochet	0.2471	0.2590	0.3513	60.6	52.3	8.3
9	Albert Suárez	0.2263	0.1634	0.1912	21.2	13.3	7.9
10	A.J. Puk	0.2361	0.2605	0.2993	17.9	10.2	7.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael King	0.2426	0.2660	0.2769	21.4	4.8	16.6
2	Erick Fedde	0.1646	0.1843	0.2121	31.0	17.1	13.9
3	Albert Suárez	0.2263	0.1634	0.1912	22.6	13.3	9.3
4	Keider Montero	0.2177	0.1962	0.1869	14.7	5.6	9.1
5	Tobias Myers	0.1849	0.2002	0.2232	19.0	10.6	8.4
6	Ben Lively	0.2140	0.2025	0.1867	20.3	12.7	7.6
7	A.J. Puk	0.2389	0.2605	0.2993	16.3	10.2	6.2
8	Landen Roupp	0.2466	0.2189	0.2166	7.6	1.4	6.1
9	Bailey Falter	0.1934	0.1845	0.1647	19.7	14.2	5.5
10	Dylan Cease	0.2662	0.2737	0.2940	17.5	12.1	5.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael King	0.3156	0.2660	0.2769	29.3	4.8	24.5
2	Framber Valdez	0.2162	0.2353	0.2404	15.9	0.6	15.4
3	Tarik Skubal	0.2547	0.2722	0.3028	35.1	19.8	15.2
4	Jonathan Cannon	0.1396	0.1644	0.1743	17.3	3.0	14.4
5	Tyler Anderson	0.2092	0.1883	0.1856	19.2	5.3	13.9
6	Nick Martinez	0.2425	0.2173	0.2035	23.1	10.3	12.8
7	Tanner Houck	0.2373	0.2195	0.2073	23.4	12.3	11.1
8	Logan Gilbert	0.2228	0.2332	0.2740	39.9	29.3	10.6
9	Andre Pallante	0.1547	0.1722	0.1847	14.5	4.2	10.3
10	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2314	0.2418	0.2799	34.6	24.9	9.7

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jack Flaherty	0.0586	0.0944 (20.9)	0.0974 (24.8)	0.0909 (19.4)	0.0915 (19.4)	0.1009 (24.7)
Nick Nastrini	0.2069	0.1065 (18.1)	0.0818 (21.9)	0.1039 (18.4)	0.1037 (18.5)	0.1118 (17.3)
Nick Martinez	0.0316	0.0884 (30.2)	0.0873 (31.4)	0.0914 (32.7)	0.0906 (31.9)	0.0831 (27.0)
Bryan Woo	0.0275	0.0763 (21.3)	0.0837 (26.2)	0.0800 (23.6)	0.0790 (22.9)	0.0700 (18.0)
Cal Quantrill	0.1052	0.0753 (22.0)	0.0737 (21.0)	0.0758 (20.9)	0.0750 (21.8)	0.0751 (22.5)
Triston McKenzie	0.1441	0.0766 (24.2)	0.0845 (20.5)	0.0829 (21.7)	0.0836 (21.6)	0.0634 (28.9)
Chris Bassitt	0.0923	0.0693 (20.3)	0.0718 (16.0)	0.0728 (16.7)	0.0720 (17.7)	0.0630 (25.4)
Yusei Kikuchi	0.0598	0.0876 (17.7)	0.0873 (19.8)	0.0871 (18.2)	0.0861 (17.1)	0.0895 (18.8)
Garrett Crochet	0.0555	0.1143 (32.8)	0.1007 (26.6)	0.1136 (33.1)	0.1134 (32.7)	0.1159 (33.4)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mitchell Parker	0.1155	0.0666	29.2
2	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.0947	0.0460	22.5
3	Michael Soroka	0.0778	0.1268	18.3
4	Michael Lorenzen	0.0817	0.1119	18.2
5	Frankie Montas	0.0773	0.1008	17.8
6	Tyler Anderson	0.0784	0.0954	15.9
7	Max Fried	0.0618	0.0798	15.6
8	Shota Imanaga	0.0664	0.0403	15.5
9	Dakota Hudson	0.0895	0.1238	15.3
10	Nick Pivetta	0.0900	0.0605	15.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shota Imanaga	0.0818	0.0403	28.3
2	Joe Boyle	0.0859	0.1770	20.7
3	Jake Irvin	0.0947	0.0676	20.4
4	Luis Gil	0.0913	0.1209	19.3
5	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.0818	0.0460	17.6
6	Hayden Birdsong	0.0818	0.1365	17.4
7	Nick Pivetta	0.0897	0.0605	17.0
8	Andrew Heaney	0.0838	0.0592	16.6
9	Tanner Houck	0.0871	0.0646	16.2
10	Joey Estes	0.0796	0.0497	15.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mitchell Parker	0.1183	0.0666	31.8
2	Hayden Birdsong	0.0818	0.1365	18.0
3	Michael Lorenzen	0.0817	0.1119	17.6
4	Michael Soroka	0.0793	0.1268	17.4
5	Nick Pivetta	0.0920	0.0605	17.2
6	Cristopher Sánchez	0.0830	0.0584	16.7
7	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.0818	0.0460	16.6
8	Max Fried	0.0594	0.0798	16.4
9	James Paxton	0.0798	0.1144	16.2
10	Frankie Montas	0.0786	0.1008	16.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mitchell Parker	0.1146	0.0666	29.1
2	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.0947	0.0460	22.8
3	Michael Lorenzen	0.0800	0.1119	18.7
4	Michael Soroka	0.0792	0.1268	17.6
5	Frankie Montas	0.0780	0.1008	16.9
6	Cristopher Sánchez	0.0831	0.0584	16.4
7	James Paxton	0.0801	0.1144	16.3
8	Kyle Gibson	0.0748	0.0942	16.2
9	Nick Pivetta	0.0906	0.0605	16.1
10	Max Fried	0.0603	0.0798	16.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mitchell Parker	0.1137	0.0666	27.7
2	Tyler Anderson	0.0709	0.0954	22.0
3	Michael Soroka	0.0747	0.1268	19.5
4	Frankie Montas	0.0753	0.1008	19.5
5	DJ Herz	0.1449	0.0942	17.7
6	Michael Lorenzen	0.0835	0.1119	17.5
7	Shota Imanaga	0.0697	0.0403	17.4
8	Jake Irvin	0.0937	0.0676	16.8
9	Dakota Hudson	0.0866	0.1238	16.7
10	Lucas Erceg	0.1330	0.0632	16.6

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joe Boyle	0.0859	0.1505	0.1770	20.7	6.8	13.9
2	Erik Miller	0.0818	0.1334	0.1338	14.9	1.2	13.8
3	Luis Gil	0.0913	0.1146	0.1209	19.3	6.4	12.9
4	Shota Imanaga	0.0818	0.0664	0.0403	28.3	15.5	12.8
5	Brandon Pfaadt	0.0728	0.0622	0.0553	12.9	2.4	10.4
6	Spencer Arrighetti	0.0818	0.1014	0.1028	13.7	3.3	10.4
7	Victor Vodnik	0.0846	0.1163	0.1156	10.1	1.0	9.1
8	Colin Rea	0.0769	0.0678	0.0602	11.5	2.7	8.7
9	Mitch Spence	0.0818	0.0735	0.0676	8.8	1.4	7.5
10	Matt Waldron	0.0817	0.0731	0.0640	10.7	3.3	7.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Justin Anderson	0.0818	0.1136	0.1322	12.8	5.4	7.4
2	Tyler Ferguson	0.0818	0.1254	0.1159	7.6	1.2	6.4
3	Kyle Nicolas	0.0818	0.1088	0.1276	11.7	5.5	6.3
4	Michel Otañez	0.0818	0.1506	0.1325	8.0	2.2	5.9
5	Zack Littell	0.0715	0.0648	0.0473	14.2	9.0	5.2
6	Shawn Dubin	0.0818	0.1060	0.1256	9.6	4.8	4.8
7	Chris Roycroft	0.0818	0.1148	0.1097	4.7	0.2	4.5
8	Erick Fedde	0.0885	0.0838	0.0716	10.4	6.1	4.3
9	Cristopher Sánchez	0.0830	0.0787	0.0584	16.7	12.5	4.2
10	José Ureña	0.0755	0.0851	0.0842	5.2	1.3	3.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ben Lively	0.0622	0.0704	0.0775	11.6	6.9	4.7
2	José Ureña	0.0746	0.0851	0.0842	5.9	1.3	4.5
3	Cristopher Sánchez	0.0831	0.0787	0.0584	16.4	12.5	3.9
4	Erick Fedde	0.0882	0.0838	0.0716	9.9	6.1	3.7
5	Luis Gil	0.1082	0.1146	0.1209	10.0	6.4	3.6
6	Zack Littell	0.0690	0.0648	0.0473	12.3	9.0	3.3
7	Orion Kerkering	0.0935	0.0828	0.0661	6.3	3.3	2.9
8	Chad Kuhl	0.0957	0.1079	0.1042	2.7	0.0	2.7
9	Justin Anderson	0.1022	0.1136	0.1322	8.0	5.4	2.6
10	Erik Miller	0.1238	0.1334	0.1338	3.7	1.2	2.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Ureña	0.1053	0.0851	0.0842	7.8	1.3	6.5
2	Tyler Anderson	0.0709	0.0784	0.0954	22.0	15.9	6.1
3	Yuki Matsui	0.1341	0.1118	0.1051	6.4	0.8	5.6
4	Chris Bassitt	0.0630	0.0693	0.0923	25.4	20.3	5.1
5	Carson Fulmer	0.1350	0.1211	0.1055	9.6	4.5	5.1
6	Chad Kuhl	0.1294	0.1079	0.1042	5.0	0.0	5.0
7	Justin Martinez	0.1600	0.1438	0.1169	12.0	7.1	4.8
8	Triston McKenzie	0.0634	0.0766	0.1441	28.9	24.2	4.7
9	Jordan Hicks	0.1287	0.1189	0.0977	12.9	8.4	4.5
10	Kevin Gausman	0.0572	0.0625	0.0741	15.9	11.6	4.4

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Orion Kerkering	0.0311	0.0093 (5.6)	0.0085 (5.8)	0.0098 (5.3)	0.0098 (5.3)	0.0083 (6.0)
Ryan Weathers	0.0245	0.0081 (6.0)	0.0085 (6.0)	0.0084 (5.8)	0.0083 (5.8)	0.0076 (6.4)
Jose Quintana	0.0153	0.0065 (6.3)	0.0066 (6.4)	0.0075 (5.3)	0.0075 (5.3)	0.0045 (8.2)
Jake Irvin	0.0052	0.0144 (7.2)	0.0133 (6.1)	0.0126 (6.1)	0.0126 (6.1)	0.0180 (9.4)
Hunter Greene	0.0311	0.0152 (9.7)	0.0158 (9.4)	0.0129 (10.8)	0.0128 (10.8)	0.0197 (7.3)
Corbin Burnes	0.0026	0.0111 (6.8)	0.0126 (7.7)	0.0111 (7.1)	0.0111 (7.1)	0.0110 (6.1)
Cristopher Sánchez	0.0000	0.0112 (8.5)	0.0118 (8.7)	0.0110 (8.6)	0.0109 (8.6)	0.0116 (8.3)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yohan Ramírez	0.0272	0.0577	6.3
2	Nick Lodolo	0.0240	0.0365	6.1
3	Logan Webb	0.0094	0.0024	6.0
4	Paul Skenes	0.0000	0.0117	5.9
5	Austin Adams	0.0372	0.0681	5.9
6	Charlie Morton	0.0173	0.0257	5.8
7	Dylan Cease	0.0099	0.0026	5.7
8	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0163	0.0302	5.5
9	Jack Flaherty	0.0144	0.0062	5.4
10	Ryan Walker	0.0117	0.0292	5.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Waldron	0.0065	0.0176	7.0
2	Jack Flaherty	0.0171	0.0062	7.0
3	Austin Adams	0.0342	0.0681	6.5
4	Bryce Miller	0.0132	0.0043	6.1
5	MacKenzie Gore	0.0068	0.0150	6.1
6	Yohan Ramírez	0.0287	0.0577	6.1
7	Ryan Walker	0.0108	0.0292	5.7
8	Bailey Falter	0.0097	0.0000	5.6
9	Logan Webb	0.0092	0.0024	5.6
10	Jon Gray	0.0128	0.0000	5.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Austin Adams	0.0213	0.0681	8.8
2	Nick Lodolo	0.0184	0.0365	8.7
3	Yohan Ramírez	0.0198	0.0577	7.8
4	Charlie Morton	0.0159	0.0257	6.5
5	Logan Webb	0.0096	0.0024	6.5
6	Tanner Houck	0.0129	0.0215	6.1
7	Dylan Cease	0.0100	0.0026	6.0
8	Chris Bassitt	0.0128	0.0211	5.9
9	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0150	0.0302	5.8
10	Bailey Falter	0.0093	0.0000	5.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Austin Adams	0.0214	0.0681	8.8
2	Nick Lodolo	0.0184	0.0365	8.7
3	Yohan Ramírez	0.0199	0.0577	7.8
4	Logan Webb	0.0096	0.0024	6.5
5	Charlie Morton	0.0158	0.0257	6.5
6	Tanner Houck	0.0129	0.0215	6.0
7	Dylan Cease	0.0100	0.0026	6.0
8	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0149	0.0302	5.9
9	Chris Bassitt	0.0128	0.0211	5.9
10	Bailey Falter	0.0091	0.0000	5.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryan Woo	0.0226	0.0064	7.4
2	Brayan Bello	0.0062	0.0157	7.1
3	MacKenzie Gore	0.0060	0.0150	7.1
4	José Soriano	0.0347	0.0192	7.0
5	Paul Skenes	0.0000	0.0117	6.3
6	Jack Flaherty	0.0162	0.0062	6.1
7	Colin Rea	0.0063	0.0140	5.9
8	Casey Mize	0.0174	0.0044	5.6
9	Greg Weissert	0.0216	0.0000	5.5
10	Jon Gray	0.0126	0.0000	5.2

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Garrett Crochet	0.0144	0.0082	0.0084	3.5	0.0	3.4
2	Albert Suárez	0.0110	0.0056	0.0053	3.1	0.3	2.9
3	Matt Waldron	0.0065	0.0108	0.0176	7.0	4.2	2.9
4	Gavin Stone	0.0115	0.0069	0.0034	4.6	2.1	2.5
5	Ronel Blanco	0.0111	0.0073	0.0030	5.4	3.0	2.4
6	Simeon Woods Richardson	0.0108	0.0067	0.0053	3.0	0.9	2.1
7	Mitchell Parker	0.0110	0.0076	0.0031	5.0	3.0	2.0
8	José Buttó	0.0062	0.0127	0.0170	3.2	1.2	2.0
9	Michael Tonkin	0.0075	0.0125	0.0235	5.5	3.7	1.8
10	Bowden Francis	0.0112	0.0150	0.0172	2.5	0.8	1.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Albert Suárez	0.0110	0.0056	0.0053	3.5	0.3	3.3
2	Austin Adams	0.0213	0.0372	0.0681	8.8	5.9	3.0
3	Nick Lodolo	0.0184	0.0240	0.0365	8.7	6.1	2.6
4	Danny Young	0.0110	0.0231	0.0424	5.1	3.2	1.9
5	José Soriano	0.0134	0.0205	0.0192	2.5	0.6	1.9
6	Joey Estes	0.0135	0.0167	0.0184	2.4	0.8	1.6
7	Tobias Myers	0.0110	0.0087	0.0088	1.6	0.0	1.5
8	Tanner Houck	0.0129	0.0153	0.0215	6.1	4.6	1.5
9	Yohan Ramírez	0.0198	0.0272	0.0577	7.8	6.3	1.5
10	Jason Adam	0.0157	0.0210	0.0213	1.4	0.0	1.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Albert Suárez	0.0110	0.0056	0.0053	3.5	0.3	3.3
2	Austin Adams	0.0214	0.0372	0.0681	8.8	5.9	2.9
3	Nick Lodolo	0.0184	0.0240	0.0365	8.7	6.1	2.6
4	José Soriano	0.0134	0.0205	0.0192	2.5	0.6	1.8
5	Joey Estes	0.0136	0.0167	0.0184	2.3	0.8	1.5
6	Tanner Houck	0.0129	0.0153	0.0215	6.0	4.6	1.4
7	Yohan Ramírez	0.0199	0.0272	0.0577	7.8	6.3	1.4
8	Jason Adam	0.0156	0.0210	0.0213	1.5	0.0	1.4
9	Tyler Glasnow	0.0067	0.0045	0.0000	3.7	2.4	1.4
10	Garrett Crochet	0.0102	0.0082	0.0084	1.4	0.0	1.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Soriano	0.0347	0.0205	0.0192	7.0	0.6	6.3
2	Garrett Crochet	0.0043	0.0082	0.0084	2.8	0.0	2.8
3	Jason Adam	0.0318	0.0210	0.0213	2.8	0.0	2.8
4	Jonathan Cannon	0.0021	0.0064	0.0077	3.3	0.6	2.6
5	Bryan Woo	0.0226	0.0165	0.0064	7.4	4.8	2.6
6	Cooper Criswell	0.0247	0.0181	0.0165	3.2	0.7	2.5
7	Jake Irvin	0.0180	0.0144	0.0052	9.4	7.2	2.2
8	Seth Lugo	0.0060	0.0078	0.0108	4.5	2.3	2.2
9	Chris Sale	0.0182	0.0145	0.0114	4.3	2.2	2.1
10	Colin Rea	0.0063	0.0083	0.0140	5.9	4.0	2.0

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Seth Lugo	0.0268	0.0441 (12.2)	0.0460 (15.0)	0.0429 (11.2)	0.0432 (11.5)	0.0463 (14.3)
Enyel De Los Santos	0.0934	0.0473 (13.6)	0.0347 (16.7)	0.0502 (12.8)	0.0467 (13.7)	0.0452 (14.1)
Hunter Greene	0.0328	0.0648 (17.9)	0.0632 (17.8)	0.0634 (17.0)	0.0643 (17.6)	0.0669 (19.3)
Taijuan Walker	0.0848	0.0469 (15.5)	0.0403 (17.4)	0.0485 (14.9)	0.0490 (14.7)	0.0433 (16.8)
Cristopher Sánchez	0.0197	0.0412 (14.1)	0.0512 (22.7)	0.0390 (12.4)	0.0380 (11.7)	0.0467 (18.5)
Triston McKenzie	0.0880	0.0552 (12.1)	0.0513 (12.9)	0.0608 (10.2)	0.0590 (10.8)	0.0461 (15.1)
Tanner Houck	0.0210	0.0417 (13.4)	0.0400 (13.2)	0.0392 (11.5)	0.0388 (11.3)	0.0473 (17.7)
Logan Allen	0.0714	0.0478 (11.4)	0.0438 (12.5)	0.0505 (10.2)	0.0487 (11.0)	0.0442 (12.9)
Roddery Muñoz	0.0992	0.0438 (22.1)	0.0439 (21.5)	0.0477 (20.6)	0.0418 (22.8)	0.0418 (22.7)
Chris Sale	0.0209	0.0523 (20.1)	0.0502 (19.6)	0.0510 (19.1)	0.0514 (19.5)	0.0546 (21.9)
Bobby Miller	0.0977	0.0424 (15.0)	0.0394 (15.4)	0.0458 (14.1)	0.0458 (14.1)	0.0358 (16.6)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pivetta	0.0551	0.0725	12.0
2	Joe Jiménez	0.0564	0.0119	11.6
3	MacKenzie Gore	0.0500	0.0316	11.4
4	Cade Smith	0.0481	0.0060	11.4
5	Aaron Civale	0.0468	0.0602	11.1
6	Grant Anderson	0.0486	0.1375	11.0
7	Carlos Rodón	0.0534	0.0654	10.8
8	Kutter Crawford	0.0535	0.0649	10.7
9	Jack Flaherty	0.0447	0.0581	10.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	MacKenzie Gore	0.0577	0.0316	18.1
2	Carlos Rodón	0.0455	0.0654	15.6
3	Declan Cronin	0.0556	0.0049	15.1
4	Sonny Gray	0.0312	0.0493	13.0
5	David Peterson	0.0492	0.0225	13.0
6	Kutter Crawford	0.0494	0.0649	12.7
7	Reese Olson	0.0487	0.0214	12.1
8	Luis Severino	0.0606	0.0435	12.0
9	Reid Detmers	0.0451	0.0744	12.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pivetta	0.0542	0.0725	12.6
2	Cade Smith	0.0503	0.0060	12.0
3	Grant Anderson	0.0458	0.1375	11.3
4	MacKenzie Gore	0.0498	0.0316	11.2
5	Declan Cronin	0.0439	0.0049	11.1
6	Joe Jiménez	0.0528	0.0119	10.6
7	Jack Flaherty	0.0451	0.0581	10.2
8	Aaron Civale	0.0483	0.0602	10.1
9	Sonny Gray	0.0374	0.0493	9.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pivetta	0.0543	0.0725	12.5
2	MacKenzie Gore	0.0505	0.0316	11.8
3	Grant Anderson	0.0468	0.1375	11.2
4	Joe Jiménez	0.0548	0.0119	11.1
5	Cade Smith	0.0465	0.0060	10.9
6	Reynaldo López	0.0503	0.0285	10.4
7	Jack Flaherty	0.0449	0.0581	10.4
8	Aaron Civale	0.0482	0.0602	10.1
9	Carlos Rodón	0.0544	0.0654	10.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kutter Crawford	0.0484	0.0649	14.4
2	Michael King	0.0594	0.0374	14.2
3	Erick Fedde	0.0599	0.0388	13.5
4	Martín Pérez	0.0310	0.0513	13.4
5	Joe Jiménez	0.0620	0.0119	13.2
6	Aaron Civale	0.0439	0.0602	12.9
7	Shota Imanaga	0.0393	0.0552	12.8
8	Aaron Nola	0.0396	0.0526	12.7
9	Carlos Rodón	0.0507	0.0654	12.7

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brandon Pfaadt	0.0617	0.0492	0.0454	11.4	0.8	10.6
2	Luis Severino	0.0606	0.0494	0.0435	12.0	2.4	9.6
3	Cal Quantrill	0.0359	0.0506	0.0494	9.7	1.0	8.7
4	Hunter Brown	0.0529	0.0403	0.0385	9.4	0.7	8.7
5	Cristopher Sánchez	0.0512	0.0412	0.0197	22.7	14.1	8.6
6	Tanner Bibee	0.0370	0.0494	0.0467	7.8	0.0	7.8
7	Lance Lynn	0.0626	0.0500	0.0452	8.2	1.0	7.2
8	Frankie Montas	0.0431	0.0553	0.0552	8.8	1.7	7.1
9	MacKenzie Gore	0.0577	0.0500	0.0316	18.1	11.4	6.7
10	Bailey Falter	0.0570	0.0477	0.0380	10.4	4.1	6.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Grant Holmes	0.0692	0.0547	0.0359	8.6	4.5	4.1
2	Bryce Miller	0.0550	0.0497	0.0433	6.3	2.6	3.7
3	Chris Flexen	0.0576	0.0525	0.0462	6.1	2.5	3.6
4	Tanner Bibee	0.0537	0.0494	0.0467	3.0	0.0	2.9
5	Nestor Cortes	0.0597	0.0555	0.0475	6.6	3.7	2.9
6	Bailey Falter	0.0525	0.0477	0.0380	6.9	4.1	2.8
7	George Kirby	0.0457	0.0425	0.0387	3.3	0.9	2.4
8	Declan Cronin	0.0439	0.0366	0.0049	11.1	8.9	2.2
9	Kyle Leahy	0.0571	0.0468	0.0272	5.2	3.2	2.0
10	Justin Wrobleski	0.0439	0.0559	0.0811	6.2	4.3	1.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mitchell Parker	0.0510	0.0451	0.0385	6.4	2.5	3.9
2	Chris Flexen	0.0565	0.0525	0.0462	5.4	2.5	2.9
3	Bryce Miller	0.0532	0.0497	0.0433	5.1	2.6	2.5
4	Max Fried	0.0375	0.0343	0.0269	5.6	3.3	2.3
5	Nestor Cortes	0.0587	0.0555	0.0475	6.0	3.7	2.3
6	Brandon Pfaadt	0.0521	0.0492	0.0454	3.0	0.8	2.2
7	Jordan Hicks	0.0320	0.0365	0.0365	3.5	1.3	2.2
8	Tanner Bibee	0.0525	0.0494	0.0467	2.2	0.0	2.1
9	Ryan Feltner	0.0553	0.0525	0.0404	8.4	6.4	2.0
10	Paul Skenes	0.0439	0.0402	0.0327	4.4	2.5	1.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael King	0.0594	0.0490	0.0374	14.2	6.4	7.7
2	Austin Adams	0.0882	0.0571	0.0392	8.9	2.9	6.0
3	Logan Gilbert	0.0394	0.0471	0.0480	8.9	2.9	6.0
4	Dean Kremer	0.0365	0.0464	0.0479	7.7	2.4	5.3
5	Zack Wheeler	0.0329	0.0399	0.0398	7.3	2.0	5.3
6	Aaron Nola	0.0396	0.0462	0.0526	12.7	7.5	5.2
7	Tanner Bibee	0.0421	0.0494	0.0467	5.1	0.0	5.0
8	Corbin Burnes	0.0336	0.0402	0.0398	6.8	1.8	4.9
9	Aroldis Chapman	0.0673	0.0492	0.0397	6.7	1.8	4.9
10	Tyler Glasnow	0.0608	0.0522	0.0470	5.9	1.2	4.7

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Ryan Yarbrough	0.2122	0.2956 (30.2)	0.2971 (32.5)	0.3015 (32.0)	0.2903 (28.4)	0.2949 (30.7)
Ronel Blanco	0.2201	0.2928 (44.2)	0.2899 (45.0)	0.2963 (45.4)	0.2924 (44.3)	0.2896 (43.3)
Zack Wheeler	0.2464	0.2929 (30.9)	0.2896 (31.4)	0.2912 (28.2)	0.2919 (30.5)	0.2957 (34.5)
MacKenzie Gore	0.3399	0.2939 (39.0)	0.3036 (28.9)	0.2917 (41.7)	0.2927 (39.4)	0.2974 (35.1)
Bryan Hudson	0.1479	0.3022 (33.9)	0.3012 (34.6)	0.3148 (36.5)	0.2955 (32.6)	0.2961 (33.0)
Logan Gilbert	0.2364	0.2858 (33.8)	0.2842 (35.7)	0.2831 (30.3)	0.2892 (37.0)	0.2852 (34.7)
Sean Manaea	0.2451	0.2982 (33.8)	0.2969 (35.7)	0.3041 (36.9)	0.2902 (28.3)	0.3003 (36.7)
Jordan Montgomery	0.3470	0.3027 (27.5)	0.2890 (32.7)	0.3044 (27.5)	0.3036 (26.7)	0.3002 (27.8)
Chris Bassitt	0.3333	0.2890 (39.2)	0.2785 (44.1)	0.2891 (40.4)	0.2926 (36.0)	0.2854 (40.5)
Bryce Miller	0.2371	0.2861 (29.4)	0.2901 (35.0)	0.2871 (28.9)	0.2874 (30.7)	0.2839 (29.1)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kutter Crawford	0.2933	0.2469	29.6
2	Patrick Corbin	0.3059	0.3370	29.4
3	Tyler Holton	0.2877	0.2008	28.2
4	Reid Detmers	0.2930	0.3571	27.9
5	Luis Ortiz	0.3000	0.2435	27.4
6	Michael Lorenzen	0.2932	0.2360	26.8
7	Kirby Yates	0.2862	0.1681	26.2
8	Hunter Greene	0.2874	0.2373	26.1
9	Emmanuel Clase	0.2960	0.1947	25.4
10	Jose Quintana	0.3051	0.2634	24.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Greene	0.3067	0.2373	40.4
2	Luis Gil	0.2952	0.2369	35.0
3	Luke Weaver	0.3242	0.2234	32.2
4	José Berríos	0.2996	0.2561	31.6
5	Kutter Crawford	0.2875	0.2469	28.2
6	Dylan Cease	0.3024	0.2627	27.7
7	Jose Quintana	0.3052	0.2634	27.6
8	Luis Ortiz	0.2957	0.2435	27.2
9	Casey Mize	0.2759	0.3313	26.6
10	Declan Cronin	0.2824	0.3645	26.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Landon Knack	0.4036	0.2418	43.7
2	Keider Montero	0.4009	0.2872	43.1
3	Patrick Corbin	0.3024	0.3370	33.3
4	Ben Lively	0.3250	0.2654	32.0
5	Michael Lorenzen	0.2983	0.2360	28.6
6	Luis Ortiz	0.3035	0.2435	28.4
7	Hunter Greene	0.2922	0.2373	28.0
8	Reid Detmers	0.2950	0.3571	27.8
9	Declan Cronin	0.2887	0.3645	25.9
10	Luke Weaver	0.3087	0.2234	25.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Patrick Corbin	0.3018	0.3370	32.1
2	Kutter Crawford	0.2956	0.2469	31.8
3	Tyler Holton	0.2967	0.2008	31.6
4	Michael Lorenzen	0.2993	0.2360	30.3
5	Luis Ortiz	0.3014	0.2435	28.5
6	Kirby Yates	0.2935	0.1681	28.1
7	Reid Detmers	0.2921	0.3571	28.1
8	Hunter Greene	0.2896	0.2373	27.9
9	Emmanuel Clase	0.3044	0.1947	27.8
10	Bailey Ober	0.2899	0.2466	25.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kutter Crawford	0.3017	0.2469	37.4
2	Jose Quintana	0.3148	0.2634	32.9
3	Bailey Ober	0.2937	0.2466	29.5
4	Spencer Arrighetti	0.2808	0.3207	28.6
5	Tyler Holton	0.2864	0.2008	28.4
6	Kirby Yates	0.2906	0.1681	27.7
7	Bowden Francis	0.2845	0.2111	27.7
8	Reid Detmers	0.2920	0.3571	27.6
9	Casey Mize	0.2792	0.3313	26.1
10	Luis Gil	0.2831	0.2369	25.9

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kevin Gausman	0.3187	0.2949	0.2810	26.0	5.0	21.0
2	Jack Flaherty	0.3207	0.3001	0.2853	20.8	4.8	16.0
3	Hunter Greene	0.3067	0.2874	0.2373	40.4	26.1	14.3
4	Nick Lodolo	0.3275	0.3040	0.2904	16.6	3.1	13.6
5	Dylan Cease	0.3024	0.2905	0.2627	27.7	15.6	12.2
6	Luis Gil	0.2952	0.2806	0.2369	35.0	23.2	11.8
7	David Peterson	0.3269	0.3092	0.2931	15.5	4.4	11.1
8	Cal Quantrill	0.2872	0.3082	0.3002	10.7	0.4	10.3
9	Luke Weaver	0.3242	0.2986	0.2234	32.2	22.5	9.8
10	Michael Wacha	0.2770	0.2951	0.2896	10.9	1.3	9.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Keider Montero	0.4009	0.3284	0.2872	43.1	13.9	29.2
2	Landon Knack	0.4036	0.3290	0.2418	43.7	22.8	20.9
3	Jonathan Cannon	0.3402	0.3083	0.2900	21.6	5.7	15.8
4	Landen Roupp	0.3962	0.3285	0.2908	20.9	6.6	14.3
5	Sean Hjelle	0.3705	0.3279	0.3176	14.8	1.0	13.8
6	Brendon Little	0.3926	0.3304	0.2615	23.6	11.9	11.7
7	Hogan Harris	0.3498	0.3108	0.2886	15.9	4.5	11.4
8	Jack Kochanowicz	0.3647	0.3203	0.2824	19.5	8.1	11.4
9	Ben Lively	0.3250	0.3069	0.2654	32.0	21.6	10.4
10	Tyler Phillips	0.3923	0.3299	0.3158	10.8	1.1	9.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Corbin Burnes	0.2966	0.2846	0.2693	16.1	6.2	9.9
2	Framber Valdez	0.3107	0.2982	0.2761	19.6	10.4	9.2
3	Mitchell Parker	0.2863	0.2986	0.3022	14.7	7.1	7.6
4	Nick Pivetta	0.2996	0.2915	0.2793	8.0	2.8	5.2
5	Chris Flexen	0.2894	0.2969	0.3152	23.0	18.1	4.9
6	Tarik Skubal	0.2973	0.2916	0.2725	13.6	8.8	4.8
7	Grant Holmes	0.3002	0.3171	0.3138	5.7	1.2	4.6
8	Sean Hjelle	0.3077	0.3279	0.3176	5.6	1.0	4.6
9	Carlos Carrasco	0.2995	0.3095	0.3090	7.3	3.0	4.2
10	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2901	0.2963	0.3094	19.2	15.0	4.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	0.2541	0.2788	0.3047	20.7	12.3	8.4
2	Jose Quintana	0.3148	0.3051	0.2634	32.9	24.6	8.3
3	Kutter Crawford	0.3017	0.2933	0.2469	37.4	29.6	7.8
4	Hunter Brown	0.2880	0.3008	0.3067	17.2	9.4	7.7
5	JP Sears	0.2925	0.2847	0.2717	11.6	4.3	7.3
6	Zac Gallen	0.2806	0.2939	0.3046	18.3	11.2	7.1
7	Kevin Gausman	0.3022	0.2949	0.2810	11.9	5.0	6.9
8	Spencer Arrighetti	0.2808	0.2925	0.3207	28.6	22.4	6.2
9	Logan Webb	0.2957	0.3042	0.3152	21.0	15.4	5.6
10	Marcus Stroman	0.2843	0.2943	0.3116	22.1	16.6	5.5

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Bassitt	0.2716	0.2890 (46.3)	0.2089 (48.4)	0.0000 (56.5)	0.2926 (42.7)	0.2854 (47.0)
Hunter Brown	0.2667	0.3008 (31.6)	0.2318 (25.6)	0.0000 (49.5)	0.3037 (28.7)	0.2880 (38.8)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronel Blanco	0.2928	0.1507	43.0
2	Logan Gilbert	0.2858	0.1589	38.9
3	Bryan Hudson	0.3022	0.0915	30.5
4	Luis Gil	0.2806	0.1543	30.5
5	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2963	0.2571	28.9
6	MacKenzie Gore	0.2939	0.2549	28.8
7	Bailey Ober	0.2887	0.1697	28.7
8	Zack Wheeler	0.2929	0.1781	28.7
9	Tyler Glasnow	0.2905	0.1579	28.3
10	Kyle Hendricks	0.2992	0.2663	25.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronel Blanco	0.2189	0.1507	45.4
2	Luis Gil	0.2229	0.1543	43.0
3	Logan Gilbert	0.2054	0.1589	36.5
4	Kyle Hendricks	0.2088	0.2663	33.2
5	Cristopher Sánchez	0.2050	0.2473	32.6
6	Tyler Glasnow	0.2199	0.1579	31.8
7	Bryan Hudson	0.2289	0.0915	31.5
8	Dylan Cease	0.2262	0.1854	30.2
9	Zack Wheeler	0.2172	0.1781	30.0
10	Luis Ortiz	0.2326	0.1780	29.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Albert Suárez	0.2175	0.1980	122.4
2	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.2175	0.1848	114.9
3	Tobias Myers	0.2175	0.2298	105.2
4	Paul Skenes	0.2175	0.2331	93.3
5	Hunter Strickland	0.2175	0.1642	73.6
6	Valente Bellozo	0.2175	0.1831	68.3
7	Hayden Birdsong	0.2175	0.2012	67.2
8	Tayler Scott	0.2175	0.1879	63.9
9	Bryce Jarvis	0.2175	0.2102	52.7
10	Joe Ross	0.2175	0.2523	52.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Paul Skenes	0.2175	0.2331	47.8
2	Ronel Blanco	0.2924	0.1507	43.5
3	Logan Gilbert	0.2892	0.1589	42.5
4	Albert Suárez	0.2175	0.1980	32.7
5	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2901	0.2571	32.7
6	Luis Gil	0.2816	0.1543	31.8
7	Tyler Glasnow	0.2961	0.1579	31.8
8	Bailey Ober	0.2899	0.1697	30.4
9	Bryan Hudson	0.2955	0.0915	29.2
10	MacKenzie Gore	0.2927	0.2549	29.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronel Blanco	0.2896	0.1507	42.6
2	Logan Gilbert	0.2852	0.1589	40.5
3	Bailey Ober	0.2937	0.1697	34.1
4	Luis Gil	0.2831	0.1543	33.8
5	Kutter Crawford	0.3017	0.1816	33.6
6	Zack Wheeler	0.2957	0.1781	32.9
7	Bryan Hudson	0.2961	0.0915	29.7
8	Jose Quintana	0.3148	0.1975	29.7
9	Tyler Glasnow	0.2878	0.1579	28.2
10	Sean Manaea	0.3003	0.1866	28.0

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mitch Keller	0.2422	0.2999	0.2119	22.6	7.4	15.2
2	Kevin Gausman	0.2356	0.2949	0.1957	29.3	15.7	13.6
3	Michael Wacha	0.1979	0.2951	0.2199	15.8	2.2	13.6
4	Luis Gil	0.2229	0.2806	0.1543	43.0	30.5	12.5
5	Cristopher Sánchez	0.2050	0.2978	0.2473	32.6	21.1	11.6
6	Nick Lodolo	0.2489	0.3040	0.2046	21.3	10.3	11.0
7	George Kirby	0.2324	0.2922	0.2157	12.1	1.6	10.6
8	José Berríos	0.2278	0.2920	0.2093	13.7	3.3	10.4
9	Dylan Cease	0.2262	0.2905	0.1854	30.2	20.2	10.0
10	David Peterson	0.2492	0.3092	0.2270	10.8	1.9	8.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Albert Suárez	0.2175	0.2988	0.1980	122.4	12.6	109.8
2	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.2175	0.3035	0.1848	114.9	20.1	94.8
3	Tobias Myers	0.2175	0.2889	0.2298	105.2	11.0	94.2
4	Paul Skenes	0.2175	0.2874	0.2331	93.3	12.4	80.9
5	Hayden Birdsong	0.2175	0.2934	0.2012	67.2	4.3	62.9
6	Valente Bellozo	0.2175	0.2905	0.1831	68.3	8.5	59.8
7	Hunter Strickland	0.2175	0.2931	0.1642	73.6	14.8	58.8
8	Tayler Scott	0.2175	0.3017	0.1879	63.9	10.0	54.0
9	Bryce Jarvis	0.2175	0.2988	0.2102	52.7	2.6	50.1
10	Seth Martinez	0.2175	0.2886	0.1847	51.0	5.6	45.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Paul Skenes	0.2175	0.2874	0.2331	47.8	12.4	35.4
2	Albert Suárez	0.2175	0.2988	0.1980	32.7	12.6	20.1
3	Mitchell Parker	0.2863	0.2986	0.2289	12.9	5.6	7.3
4	Framber Valdez	0.3107	0.2982	0.2217	8.1	1.4	6.8
5	Sean Hjelle	0.3077	0.3279	0.2747	14.9	8.5	6.4
6	Nick Pivetta	0.2996	0.2915	0.2039	10.9	5.4	5.4
7	Tarik Skubal	0.2973	0.2916	0.2124	5.6	0.5	5.1
8	Sonny Gray	0.2975	0.2912	0.2025	11.9	6.9	5.0
9	Chris Flexen	0.2894	0.2969	0.2202	5.8	1.2	4.6
10	Tyler Phillips	0.3004	0.3299	0.2544	5.0	0.5	4.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zebby Matthews	0.2175	0.2966	0.2818	24.8	11.3	13.5
2	Angel Chivilli	0.2175	0.3140	0.2299	11.7	0.8	11.0
3	Framber Valdez	0.2813	0.2982	0.2217	11.4	1.4	10.1
4	Gerson Garabito	0.2175	0.2978	0.2192	8.9	0.0	8.9
5	Jose Quintana	0.3148	0.3051	0.1975	29.7	20.9	8.8
6	Kutter Crawford	0.3017	0.2933	0.1816	33.6	25.2	8.3
7	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	0.2541	0.2788	0.2060	10.2	2.1	8.1
8	JP Sears	0.2925	0.2847	0.1925	18.4	10.5	7.9
9	Kevin Gausman	0.3022	0.2949	0.1957	23.2	15.7	7.5
10	Hunter Brown	0.2880	0.3008	0.2667	38.8	31.6	7.2

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Tanner Bibee	0.0891	0.0000 (16.9)	0.0687 (16.2)	0.0000 (21.2)	0.0000 (17.2)	0.0000 (17.4)
Mitch Spence	0.0901	0.0000 (16.2)	0.0653 (17.7)	0.0000 (20.1)	0.0000 (16.5)	0.0000 (16.6)
Miles Mikolas	0.0941	0.0000 (20.8)	0.0677 (20.8)	0.0000 (25.1)	0.0000 (21.1)	0.0000 (21.3)
Jordan Montgomery	0.1028	0.0000 (20.0)	0.0728 (17.3)	0.0000 (23.2)	0.0000 (20.2)	0.0000 (20.4)
Chris Flexen	0.0889	0.0000 (16.7)	0.0618 (20.9)	0.0000 (21.0)	0.0000 (17.0)	0.0000 (17.2)
Nestor Cortes	0.0915	0.0000 (18.6)	0.0696 (17.3)	0.0000 (22.9)	0.0000 (18.9)	0.0000 (19.1)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Max Fried	0.0340	22.3
2	Hunter Brown	0.0356	21.1
3	José Berríos	0.0393	20.4
4	Corbin Burnes	0.0395	20.2
5	Trevor Rogers	0.0946	16.5
6	Kyle Hendricks	0.0363	16.4
7	Hunter Harvey	0.1377	15.9
8	Bryse Wilson	0.0295	15.8
9	Luis Severino	0.0455	15.1
10	Cade Smith	0.1152	14.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Brown	0.0782	0.0356	28.6
2	José Berríos	0.0675	0.0393	20.3
3	Hunter Greene	0.0890	0.0537	20.1
4	Bryce Miller	0.0845	0.0539	19.8
5	Jack Flaherty	0.0788	0.0463	19.5
6	Kyle Hendricks	0.0713	0.0363	18.4
7	Bryse Wilson	0.0717	0.0295	17.6
8	Luis Severino	0.0710	0.0455	17.6
9	Hunter Harvey	0.0649	0.1377	16.5
10	MacKenzie Gore	0.0585	0.0784	16.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tobias Myers	0.0653	0.0496	42.7
2	Paul Skenes	0.0653	0.0473	39.7
3	Jared Koenig	0.0653	0.0292	25.3
4	Joe Ross	0.0653	0.0459	25.3
5	Tayler Scott	0.0653	0.0364	24.9
6	Albert Suárez	0.0653	0.0863	21.6
7	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.0653	0.0818	21.4
8	Elvis Peguero	0.0653	0.0340	20.6
9	Trevor Rogers	0.0000	0.0946	19.9
10	Anthony Banda	0.0653	0.0299	19.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Paul Skenes	0.0653	0.0473	42.6
2	Albert Suárez	0.0653	0.0863	24.8
3	Max Fried	0.0000	0.0340	22.0
4	Hunter Brown	0.0000	0.0356	20.8
5	José Berríos	0.0000	0.0393	20.1
6	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0395	19.8
7	Trevor Rogers	0.0000	0.0946	16.7
8	Kyle Hendricks	0.0000	0.0363	16.2
9	Hunter Harvey	0.0000	0.1377	16.0
10	Bryse Wilson	0.0000	0.0295	15.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.0653	0.0818	24.0
2	Max Fried	0.0000	0.0340	21.8
3	Hunter Brown	0.0000	0.0356	20.6
4	José Berríos	0.0000	0.0393	19.9
5	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0395	19.6
6	Trevor Rogers	0.0000	0.0946	16.9
7	Jesus Tinoco	0.0653	0.0294	16.3
8	Hunter Harvey	0.0000	0.1377	16.0
9	Kyle Hendricks	0.0000	0.0363	16.0
10	Bryse Wilson	0.0000	0.0295	15.5

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Hunter Greene	0.0890	0.0537	20.1	7.1	13.0
2	Bryce Miller	0.0845	0.0539	19.8	8.0	11.8
3	Andrew Heaney	0.0833	0.0655	10.7	0.2	10.5
4	Cole Ragans	0.0551	0.0710	13.9	4.3	9.6
5	Kutter Crawford	0.0795	0.0612	12.0	3.1	9.0
6	Brandon Pfaadt	0.0789	0.0614	11.5	2.9	8.6
7	Luke Weaver	0.0917	0.0479	13.7	5.8	8.0
8	Nick Martinez	0.0538	0.0766	14.3	6.4	7.9
9	Hunter Brown	0.0782	0.0356	28.6	21.1	7.5
10	Jake Irvin	0.0580	0.0720	12.6	5.2	7.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tobias Myers	0.0653	0.0496	42.7	8.9	33.7
2	Paul Skenes	0.0653	0.0473	39.7	9.2	30.5
3	Joe Ross	0.0653	0.0459	25.3	6.2	19.0
4	Hayden Birdsong	0.0653	0.0651	18.7	0.1	18.7
5	Hunter Strickland	0.0653	0.0597	19.1	1.6	17.4
6	Valente Bellozo	0.0653	0.0657	17.4	0.1	17.2
7	Tayler Scott	0.0653	0.0364	24.9	8.1	16.7
8	Jared Koenig	0.0653	0.0292	25.3	9.5	15.7
9	Bryce Jarvis	0.0653	0.0511	18.9	3.6	15.3
10	Kyle Nicolas	0.0653	0.0470	18.9	4.4	14.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Paul Skenes	0.0653	0.0473	42.6	9.2	33.4
2	Albert Suárez	0.0653	0.0863	24.8	11.9	12.9
3	Seth Halvorsen	0.0653	0.0000	6.0	3.0	3.0
4	Aaron Nola	0.0000	0.0722	6.1	5.7	0.3
5	Logan Gilbert	0.0000	0.0756	8.6	8.3	0.3
6	George Kirby	0.0000	0.0695	3.6	3.3	0.3
7	Mitch Keller	0.0000	0.0732	6.5	6.2	0.3
8	Pablo López	0.0000	0.0661	1.0	0.7	0.3
9	Jake Irvin	0.0000	0.0720	5.5	5.2	0.3
10	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0773	9.6	9.2	0.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.0653	0.0818	24.0	8.3	15.8
2	Jesus Tinoco	0.0653	0.0294	16.3	5.8	10.5
3	Angel Chivilli	0.0653	0.0230	14.2	5.6	8.6
4	Gerson Garabito	0.0653	0.0411	10.2	2.8	7.4
5	Zebby Matthews	0.0653	0.0818	8.5	2.9	5.6
6	Sam Aldegheri	0.0653	0.0698	4.0	0.3	3.7
7	Kumar Rocker	0.0653	0.0000	7.1	3.6	3.6
8	Luis Peralta	0.0653	0.0357	4.6	1.4	3.2
9	Justin Wrobleski	0.0653	0.0882	6.4	3.5	2.9
10	Brandon Leibrandt	0.0653	0.0000	4.2	2.1	2.1

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jack Flaherty	0.0129	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0054 (4.7)	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.6)
Carlos Carrasco	0.0166	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0058 (4.7)	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0000 (4.8)
Mitch Keller	0.0212	0.0000 (11.9)	0.0041 (13.0)	0.0000 (12.3)	0.0000 (11.9)	0.0000 (11.9)
Joe Ryan	0.0174	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0050 (6.6)	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0000 (6.3)	0.0000 (6.3)
José Suarez	0.0274	0.0000 (5.2)	0.0043 (5.5)	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0000 (5.2)	0.0000 (5.2)
Mike Baumann	0.0242	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0058 (4.8)	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.9)
Cal Quantrill	0.0135	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0053 (5.3)	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (5.1)	0.0000 (5.1)
Calvin Faucher	0.0282	0.0000 (5.2)	0.0079 (4.7)	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0000 (5.3)
Keaton Winn	0.0318	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0109 (4.9)	0.0000 (6.3)	0.0000 (6.2)	0.0000 (6.2)
Michael Soroka	0.0197	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0050 (5.0)	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0000 (4.8)
Patrick Corbin	0.0129	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0060 (5.1)	0.0000 (5.8)	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (5.4)
Sonny Gray	0.0148	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0069 (5.2)	0.0000 (6.4)	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0000 (6.1)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Ryne Nelson	0.0201	9.0
2	Luke Weaver	0.0213	5.1
3	Brandon Pfaadt	0.0119	4.6
4	Pablo López	0.0000	4.5
5	Tanner Houck	0.0000	4.4
6	Sean Manaea	0.0000	4.3
7	Joe Mantiply	0.0234	4.3
8	Zac Gallen	0.0127	4.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dylan Cease	0.0119	0.0022	7.5
2	Sean Manaea	0.0094	0.0000	7.1
3	Pablo López	0.0087	0.0000	6.9
4	Victor Vodnik	0.0000	0.0190	6.0
5	Cole Irvin	0.0031	0.0139	5.2
6	Zac Gallen	0.0042	0.0127	5.2
7	Nick Pivetta	0.0028	0.0112	4.8
8	Huascar Brazobán	0.0000	0.0221	4.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryne Nelson	0.0000	0.0201	9.3
2	Luke Weaver	0.0000	0.0213	5.3
3	Brandon Pfaadt	0.0000	0.0119	5.0
4	Albert Suárez	0.0059	0.0025	4.9
5	Tobias Myers	0.0059	0.0026	4.9
6	Zac Gallen	0.0000	0.0127	4.6
7	Victor Vodnik	0.0000	0.0190	4.4
8	Joe Mantiply	0.0000	0.0234	4.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryne Nelson	0.0000	0.0201	9.0
2	Albert Suárez	0.0059	0.0025	5.2
3	Luke Weaver	0.0000	0.0213	5.1
4	Brandon Pfaadt	0.0000	0.0119	4.6
5	Pablo López	0.0000	0.0000	4.5
6	Tanner Houck	0.0000	0.0000	4.3
7	Sean Manaea	0.0000	0.0000	4.3
8	Paul Skenes	0.0059	0.0034	4.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Ryne Nelson	0.0201	9.0
2	Luke Weaver	0.0213	5.1
3	Brandon Pfaadt	0.0119	4.6
4	Pablo López	0.0000	4.5
5	Tanner Houck	0.0000	4.3
6	Zac Gallen	0.0127	4.3
7	Sean Manaea	0.0000	4.3
8	Joe Mantiply	0.0234	4.3

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dylan Cease	0.0119	0.0022	7.5	2.8	4.7
2	George Kirby	0.0104	0.0055	3.9	0.3	3.7
3	Garrett Crochet	0.0000	0.0061	3.5	0.1	3.4
4	Sean Manaea	0.0094	0.0000	7.1	4.3	2.7
5	Matt Waldron	0.0099	0.0048	3.3	0.7	2.6
6	Griffin Canning	0.0092	0.0059	2.6	0.1	2.5
7	Taj Bradley	0.0100	0.0028	4.2	1.7	2.5
8	Pablo López	0.0087	0.0000	6.9	4.5	2.4
9	Marcus Stroman	0.0025	0.0084	3.8	1.7	2.1
10	Tanner Bibee	0.0027	0.0089	4.2	2.2	2.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tobias Myers	0.0059	0.0026	4.9	1.8	3.0
2	Albert Suárez	0.0059	0.0025	4.9	1.9	3.0
3	Paul Skenes	0.0059	0.0034	4.0	1.3	2.7
4	Joe Ross	0.0059	0.0000	3.6	1.9	1.7
5	Hayden Birdsong	0.0059	0.0059	1.7	0.0	1.6
6	Declan Cronin	0.0059	0.0049	1.9	0.3	1.6
7	Valente Bellozo	0.0059	0.0047	1.9	0.3	1.6
8	Hunter Strickland	0.0059	0.0050	1.8	0.3	1.6
9	Jared Koenig	0.0059	0.0058	1.4	0.0	1.4
10	Anthony Molina	0.0059	0.0052	1.6	0.2	1.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Albert Suárez	0.0059	0.0025	5.2	1.9	3.3
2	Paul Skenes	0.0059	0.0034	4.3	1.3	3.0
3	Seth Halvorsen	0.0059	0.0000	0.5	0.3	0.3
4	Tyler Jay	0.0059	0.0000	0.4	0.2	0.2
5	David Buchanan	0.0059	0.0000	0.2	0.1	0.1
6	Logan Webb	0.0000	0.0066	0.7	0.6	0.0
7	Seth Lugo	0.0000	0.0103	3.8	3.7	0.0
8	Zack Wheeler	0.0000	0.0104	3.6	3.5	0.0
9	José Berríos	0.0000	0.0075	1.3	1.3	0.0
10	Mitch Keller	0.0000	0.0212	11.9	11.9	0.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zebby Matthews	0.0059	2.1	1.0	1.0
2	Justin Wrobleski	0.0059	1.8	0.9	0.9
3	Gerson Garabito	0.0059	1.3	0.7	0.7
4	Troy Taylor	0.0059	0.9	0.5	0.5
5	Sam Aldegheri	0.0059	0.8	0.4	0.4
6	Ricardo Pinto	0.0059	0.7	0.3	0.3
7	Kumar Rocker	0.0059	0.6	0.3	0.3
8	Caden Dana	0.0059	0.6	0.3	0.3
9	Luis Peralta	0.0059	0.6	0.3	0.3
10	Humberto Castellanos	0.0059	0.6	0.3	0.3

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Erick Fedde	0.0909	0.1369 (31.7)	0.1374 (33.6)	0.1372 (33.1)	0.1382 (33.5)	0.1354 (29.6)
Hunter Greene	0.0769	0.1181 (23.7)	0.1248 (29.1)	0.1119 (21.0)	0.1183 (24.6)	0.1239 (26.4)
Kenta Maeda	0.1649	0.1205 (22.7)	0.1209 (21.5)	0.1179 (23.1)	0.1159 (24.3)	0.1276 (19.9)
Ronel Blanco	0.0828	0.1218 (24.8)	0.1222 (26.5)	0.1233 (26.9)	0.1220 (25.7)	0.1202 (22.8)
Paul Skenes	0.0603	0.1324 (35.8)	0.1168 (28.9)	0.1168 (28.7)	0.1168 (28.4)	0.1324 (35.1)
Jordan Montgomery	0.1560	0.1073 (27.1)	0.1033 (28.2)	0.1124 (23.5)	0.1129 (23.6)	0.0968 (33.5)
Reid Detmers	0.1714	0.1182 (21.7)	0.1192 (20.5)	0.1164 (21.7)	0.1182 (21.3)	0.1201 (21.5)
Reynaldo López	0.0589	0.1136 (28.4)	0.1070 (26.0)	0.1168 (31.1)	0.1178 (31.3)	0.1062 (23.7)
Tarik Skubal	0.0717	0.1009 (20.2)	0.1089 (27.9)	0.0985 (19.7)	0.0981 (19.0)	0.1061 (23.1)
Chris Sale	0.0684	0.1082 (26.3)	0.1190 (35.4)	0.1074 (27.0)	0.1081 (27.1)	0.1091 (26.0)
Bobby Miller	0.2054	0.1120 (24.7)	0.1118 (24.2)	0.1121 (24.2)	0.1142 (23.8)	0.1095 (25.7)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seth Lugo	0.1222	0.0897	25.2
2	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.1478	0.0980	23.7
3	Albert Suárez	0.1408	0.0991	22.2
4	Tobias Myers	0.1320	0.0914	21.8
5	Michael Wacha	0.1280	0.0949	21.1
6	Bryce Miller	0.1195	0.0881	20.5
7	Roddery Muñoz	0.1237	0.1741	20.0
8	Taijuan Walker	0.1295	0.1785	19.6
9	Justin Lawrence	0.1188	0.1864	19.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gavin Stone	0.1456	0.0948	29.3
2	Taijuan Walker	0.1142	0.1785	24.5
3	Roddery Muñoz	0.1168	0.1741	21.8
4	Miles Mikolas	0.1179	0.1472	21.3
5	Bryce Miller	0.1184	0.0881	21.2
6	Sean Manaea	0.1290	0.1016	20.0
7	Hunter Gaddis	0.1290	0.0576	19.8
8	Luke Weaver	0.1446	0.0846	19.8
9	Justin Verlander	0.0919	0.1414	19.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Miller	0.1251	0.0881	25.7
2	Seth Lugo	0.1205	0.0897	25.2
3	Michael Wacha	0.1279	0.0949	22.2
4	Justin Lawrence	0.1080	0.1864	22.0
5	Roddery Muñoz	0.1219	0.1741	20.0
6	Hunter Gaddis	0.1301	0.0576	20.0
7	Taijuan Walker	0.1284	0.1785	19.3
8	Griffin Canning	0.1166	0.1421	19.3
9	Trevor Williams	0.1384	0.0654	18.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seth Lugo	0.1228	0.0897	26.7
2	Tobias Myers	0.1363	0.0914	24.9
3	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.1479	0.0980	24.4
4	Michael Wacha	0.1297	0.0949	23.0
5	Bryce Miller	0.1206	0.0881	22.1
6	Roddery Muñoz	0.1209	0.1741	20.6
7	Hunter Gaddis	0.1286	0.0576	19.4
8	Zack Wheeler	0.1043	0.0788	19.1
9	Trevor Williams	0.1395	0.0654	18.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seth Lugo	0.1233	0.0897	25.0
2	Albert Suárez	0.1408	0.0991	21.5
3	Ross Stripling	0.1188	0.1706	21.1
4	Brandon Pfaadt	0.1131	0.1355	19.9
5	Kyle Hendricks	0.1239	0.1552	19.8
6	Taijuan Walker	0.1301	0.1785	19.8
7	Miles Mikolas	0.1234	0.1472	19.8
8	Michael Wacha	0.1265	0.0949	19.1
9	Kirby Yates	0.1256	0.0422	18.9

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Gavin Stone	0.1456	0.1204	0.0948	29.3	13.5	15.9
2	Hunter Brown	0.1271	0.1103	0.0997	19.4	5.9	13.5
3	Taj Bradley	0.1367	0.1181	0.1176	10.9	1.1	9.8
4	Chris Sale	0.1190	0.1082	0.0684	35.4	26.3	9.1
5	Justin Verlander	0.0919	0.1164	0.1414	19.7	10.8	8.8
6	Sean Manaea	0.1290	0.1193	0.1016	20.0	11.3	8.8
7	Keegan Akin	0.1327	0.1069	0.0990	10.5	1.7	8.8
8	Aaron Bummer	0.1336	0.1005	0.0984	8.6	0.1	8.5
9	David Peterson	0.1233	0.1091	0.0863	18.8	10.5	8.3
10	Shota Imanaga	0.1168	0.1072	0.0951	14.9	6.7	8.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Logan Gilbert	0.1161	0.1099	0.1034	9.7	3.4	6.3
2	Zack Littell	0.1327	0.1249	0.1037	18.6	12.4	6.2
3	Ryan Feltner	0.1267	0.1367	0.1358	6.8	1.0	5.8
4	Anthony Molina	0.1168	0.1402	0.1742	15.3	9.6	5.7
5	Luis Castillo	0.1098	0.1037	0.1015	5.5	0.1	5.4
6	Bryce Miller	0.1251	0.1195	0.0881	25.7	20.5	5.2
7	Spencer Arrighetti	0.1358	0.1295	0.1266	5.4	0.3	5.1
8	Michael King	0.1130	0.1077	0.0978	10.6	5.5	5.1
9	Landon Knack	0.1458	0.1299	0.0979	13.5	8.5	5.1
10	Tanner Gordon	0.1168	0.1469	0.2125	15.4	10.9	4.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cal Quantrill	0.1552	0.1429	0.1265	18.0	9.2	8.8
2	Austin Gomber	0.1504	0.1432	0.1279	14.8	9.1	5.8
3	Keider Montero	0.1142	0.1285	0.1311	7.4	2.0	5.4
4	Nick Martinez	0.1284	0.1214	0.0982	16.5	11.9	4.7
5	Ryan Feltner	0.1442	0.1367	0.1358	4.9	1.0	3.9
6	Zack Littell	0.1287	0.1249	0.1037	15.7	12.4	3.2
7	Martín Pérez	0.1275	0.1234	0.1203	3.5	0.4	3.1
8	Tobias Myers	0.1363	0.1320	0.0914	24.9	21.8	3.1
9	Shota Imanaga	0.1103	0.1072	0.0951	9.8	6.7	3.0
10	Tanner Bibee	0.1186	0.1155	0.0986	13.3	10.3	3.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Ureña	0.1513	0.1303	0.1102	17.3	8.2	9.1
2	Dean Kremer	0.1089	0.1196	0.1302	13.8	7.2	6.7
3	Luis Castillo	0.0961	0.1037	0.1015	6.6	0.1	6.5
4	Luke Weaver	0.1432	0.1226	0.0846	18.2	11.8	6.4
5	Jordan Montgomery	0.0968	0.1073	0.1560	33.5	27.1	6.3
6	Brandon Pfaadt	0.1131	0.1200	0.1355	19.9	13.6	6.3
7	Luis Severino	0.1340	0.1251	0.1130	13.2	7.4	5.8
8	Dylan Cease	0.1011	0.1073	0.1050	5.8	0.1	5.7
9	David Peterson	0.1214	0.1091	0.0863	16.0	10.5	5.6
10	Sean Manaea	0.1281	0.1193	0.1016	16.8	11.3	5.5

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Hunter Gaddis	0.0468	0.1210 (19.6)	0.1226 (20.8)	0.1229 (20.6)	0.1213 (20.0)	0.1187 (18.7)
Erick Fedde	0.0895	0.1274 (24.9)	0.1278 (27.2)	0.1280 (26.5)	0.1291 (26.8)	0.1250 (22.5)
Kenta Maeda	0.1567	0.1123 (23.3)	0.1143 (21.0)	0.1102 (23.5)	0.1083 (24.8)	0.1185 (20.7)
Ronel Blanco	0.0769	0.1132 (22.1)	0.1111 (22.6)	0.1152 (24.5)	0.1139 (23.1)	0.1106 (19.7)
Paul Skenes	0.0564	0.1218 (31.8)	0.1069 (25.5)	0.1069 (25.0)	0.1069 (24.6)	0.1218 (31.3)
Taijuan Walker	0.1732	0.1204 (21.5)	0.1098 (24.5)	0.1194 (21.2)	0.1211 (20.9)	0.1207 (21.7)
Slade Cecconi	0.1686	0.1123 (20.3)	0.1107 (19.9)	0.1168 (18.2)	0.1124 (19.9)	0.1076 (22.1)
Jordan Montgomery	0.1523	0.0991 (30.2)	0.0948 (31.0)	0.1036 (26.9)	0.1040 (27.1)	0.0898 (35.6)
Reid Detmers	0.1662	0.1103 (23.3)	0.1115 (21.7)	0.1088 (23.2)	0.1105 (22.8)	0.1115 (23.2)
Reynaldo López	0.0552	0.1052 (25.2)	0.0959 (21.6)	0.1087 (28.0)	0.1100 (28.3)	0.0969 (20.2)
Chris Sale	0.0670	0.1005 (21.1)	0.1104 (29.9)	0.0998 (21.7)	0.1006 (21.7)	0.1013 (21.0)
Bobby Miller	0.2054	0.1032 (27.3)	0.1060 (25.9)	0.1033 (26.8)	0.1055 (26.5)	0.1007 (28.2)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seth Lugo	0.1130	0.0825	22.5
2	Tobias Myers	0.1230	0.0808	21.9
3	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.1388	0.0920	21.6
4	Kyle Hendricks	0.1195	0.1517	20.3
5	Miles Mikolas	0.1176	0.1417	19.9
6	Griffin Canning	0.1110	0.1340	19.6
7	Hunter Greene	0.1103	0.0753	19.2
8	Keaton Winn	0.1077	0.1849	19.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Greene	0.1160	0.0753	24.4
2	Kyle Hendricks	0.1103	0.1517	23.9
3	Tarik Skubal	0.1002	0.0677	23.8
4	Justin Verlander	0.0823	0.1389	22.8
5	Miles Mikolas	0.1111	0.1417	22.6
6	Gavin Stone	0.1341	0.0948	22.3
7	Bryce Miller	0.1147	0.0838	21.1
8	Tanner Houck	0.1116	0.0834	20.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seth Lugo	0.1118	0.0825	22.8
2	Bryce Miller	0.1171	0.0838	22.1
3	Griffin Canning	0.1087	0.1340	20.1
4	Jameson Taillon	0.1190	0.0889	19.0
5	Keaton Winn	0.1079	0.1849	18.8
6	Michael Wacha	0.1196	0.0905	18.6
7	Kyle Hendricks	0.1212	0.1517	18.4
8	Trevor Williams	0.1300	0.0577	18.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tobias Myers	0.1282	0.0808	25.4
2	Seth Lugo	0.1140	0.0825	24.1
3	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.1388	0.0920	22.0
4	Hunter Greene	0.1114	0.0753	20.4
5	Keaton Winn	0.1048	0.1849	19.7
6	Griffin Canning	0.1103	0.1340	19.5
7	Michael Wacha	0.1215	0.0905	19.4
8	Jameson Taillon	0.1201	0.0889	19.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Hendricks	0.1150	0.1517	23.3
2	Miles Mikolas	0.1148	0.1417	22.6
3	Seth Lugo	0.1133	0.0825	22.0
4	Tanner Houck	0.1175	0.0834	22.0
5	Hunter Greene	0.1149	0.0753	21.5
6	Tarik Skubal	0.0991	0.0677	20.2
7	Keaton Winn	0.1103	0.1849	18.8
8	Brandon Pfaadt	0.1050	0.1250	18.6

Most Unique Misses for Earned Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Gavin Stone	0.1341	0.1112	0.0948	22.3	7.4	14.9
2	Hunter Brown	0.1186	0.1013	0.0927	17.8	3.6	14.2
3	Cal Quantrill	0.1059	0.1334	0.1250	13.1	3.2	9.9
4	Justin Verlander	0.0823	0.1086	0.1389	22.8	13.4	9.4
5	David Peterson	0.1155	0.1000	0.0765	19.5	10.2	9.3
6	Aaron Nola	0.1110	0.1027	0.0963	11.3	2.3	9.0
7	Chris Sale	0.1104	0.1005	0.0670	29.9	21.1	8.8
8	Luke Weaver	0.1365	0.1138	0.0816	17.9	9.5	8.4
9	Ryan Weathers	0.1328	0.1133	0.0954	13.4	5.3	8.2
10	Taj Bradley	0.1265	0.1100	0.1090	9.7	1.5	8.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zack Littell	0.1242	0.1163	0.0960	17.2	10.9	6.2
2	Logan Gilbert	0.1082	0.1021	0.0934	10.3	4.1	6.2
3	Anthony Molina	0.1069	0.1302	0.1705	17.3	11.6	5.7
4	Bryce Miller	0.1171	0.1113	0.0838	22.1	16.8	5.3
5	Spencer Arrighetti	0.1277	0.1212	0.1155	6.4	1.3	5.1
6	Michael King	0.1041	0.0992	0.0785	17.2	12.4	4.7
7	Tanner Gordon	0.1069	0.1378	0.2062	16.2	11.5	4.7
8	Ryne Nelson	0.1258	0.1201	0.1127	7.0	2.4	4.6
9	Landon Knack	0.1333	0.1203	0.0979	9.6	5.4	4.2
10	Justin Wrobleski	0.1069	0.1355	0.1494	6.8	2.7	4.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cal Quantrill	0.1464	0.1334	0.1250	12.3	3.2	9.1
2	Austin Gomber	0.1417	0.1335	0.1250	9.7	3.4	6.3
3	Ryan Feltner	0.1358	0.1279	0.1171	11.1	5.0	6.1
4	Keider Montero	0.1060	0.1195	0.1262	9.4	4.2	5.2
5	Nick Martinez	0.1193	0.1122	0.0860	17.5	12.9	4.6
6	Dean Kremer	0.1172	0.1115	0.1067	4.3	0.7	3.7
7	Jonathan Cannon	0.1110	0.1189	0.1188	5.5	1.8	3.7
8	Tobias Myers	0.1282	0.1230	0.0808	25.4	21.9	3.5
9	Zack Littell	0.1202	0.1163	0.0960	14.1	10.9	3.1
10	Reynaldo López	0.1100	0.1052	0.0552	28.3	25.2	3.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Ureña	0.1414	0.1213	0.0994	17.4	8.5	8.9
2	Brandon Pfaadt	0.1050	0.1123	0.1250	18.6	12.4	6.2
3	David Peterson	0.1125	0.1000	0.0765	16.1	10.2	5.9
4	Luke Weaver	0.1322	0.1138	0.0816	15.3	9.5	5.8
5	Jordan Montgomery	0.0898	0.0991	0.1523	35.6	30.2	5.5
6	Luis Castillo	0.0891	0.0958	0.0987	10.1	4.7	5.4
7	JP Sears	0.1071	0.1131	0.1161	10.2	5.0	5.2
8	Martín Pérez	0.1062	0.1141	0.1153	8.0	2.8	5.2
9	Luis Severino	0.1233	0.1159	0.1038	11.4	6.5	4.9
10	Dean Kremer	0.1012	0.1115	0.1067	5.5	0.7	4.8

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Gavin Stone	0.4400	0.1807 (138.9)	0.1200 (158.5)	0.2006 (135.7)	0.1405 (161.3)	0.2308 (117.9)
Seth Lugo	0.4848	0.2653 (167.0)	0.1224 (264.0)	0.3320 (123.2)	0.3275 (113.6)	0.1724 (256.2)
Ben Lively	0.4483	0.0868 (215.9)	0.1562 (155.1)	0.0955 (219.5)	0.0488 (238.9)	0.2381 (129.1)
Ronel Blanco	0.4333	0.1231 (196.3)	0.1071 (189.0)	0.1136 (212.4)	0.0932 (215.4)	0.1935 (158.1)
David Peterson	0.4762	0.1683 (146.9)	0.1316 (152.0)	0.1768 (149.9)	0.1429 (159.0)	0.2069 (134.3)
Luis Gil	0.5172	0.1789 (202.9)	0.1071 (231.5)	0.1712 (216.9)	0.1916 (193.8)	0.1739 (214.9)
Grayson Rodriguez	0.6500	0.3214 (151.6)	0.1795 (208.1)	0.3425 (148.3)	0.3794 (122.3)	0.2500 (193.5)
Tarik Skubal	0.5806	0.3303 (173.6)	0.2258 (232.1)	0.3236 (189.4)	0.3907 (126.9)	0.2857 (217.6)
Chris Sale	0.6207	0.3690 (162.8)	0.1944 (266.5)	0.3707 (171.7)	0.4050 (136.4)	0.3333 (197.5)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael King	0.1932	0.4194	149.8
2	Paul Skenes	0.1739	0.4783	146.2
3	Trevor Rogers	0.2754	0.0800	121.0
4	Griffin Canning	0.3293	0.1875	119.5
5	Walker Buehler	0.3808	0.0625	116.3
6	Ryne Nelson	0.1547	0.3571	115.1
7	Charlie Morton	0.4099	0.2667	114.3
8	Jack Flaherty	0.2770	0.4643	108.7
9	Kyle Hendricks	0.3076	0.1379	107.5
10	Shota Imanaga	0.3426	0.5172	107.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael King	0.1163	0.4194	186.2
2	Shota Imanaga	0.2047	0.5172	184.5
3	Carlos Rodón	0.2333	0.5000	161.9
4	Sonny Gray	0.1951	0.4643	149.3
5	José Berríos	0.2683	0.5000	145.4
6	Brayan Bello	0.2143	0.4667	144.4
7	Pablo López	0.2381	0.4688	142.0
8	Jack Flaherty	0.2000	0.4643	141.2
9	Corbin Burnes	0.2500	0.4688	134.9
10	Zack Wheeler	0.2821	0.5000	134.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Paul Skenes	0.2047	0.4783	137.8
2	Shota Imanaga	0.3345	0.5172	123.0
3	Griffin Canning	0.3436	0.1875	119.4
4	Jack Flaherty	0.2780	0.4643	117.4
5	Kyle Hendricks	0.3390	0.1379	117.1
6	Walker Buehler	0.3750	0.0625	109.4
7	Trevor Rogers	0.2687	0.0800	109.1
8	Ryne Nelson	0.1790	0.3571	108.8
9	Logan Gilbert	0.4026	0.2727	108.6
10	Andre Pallante	0.0571	0.2759	108.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryne Nelson	0.1032	0.3571	146.5
2	Griffin Canning	0.3452	0.1875	132.4
3	Paul Skenes	0.2047	0.4783	129.6
4	Ryan Feltner	0.2629	0.1000	127.6
5	Michael King	0.2261	0.4194	124.7
6	Trevor Rogers	0.2720	0.0800	119.9
7	Bailey Falter	0.0659	0.2857	116.9
8	Michael Soroka	0.3096	0.0000	114.9
9	Walker Buehler	0.3680	0.0625	112.5
10	Kyle Hendricks	0.3064	0.1379	107.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael King	0.1333	0.4194	203.3
2	Paul Skenes	0.1739	0.4783	153.4
3	Jack Flaherty	0.2400	0.4643	141.7
4	Shota Imanaga	0.3200	0.5172	132.7
5	Charlie Morton	0.4444	0.2667	128.8
6	Nick Lodolo	0.1667	0.4286	126.2
7	Michael Wacha	0.2609	0.4483	124.3
8	Sean Manaea	0.2069	0.3750	119.6
9	Trevor Rogers	0.2857	0.0800	119.0
10	Walker Buehler	0.4000	0.0625	118.2

Most Unique Misses for Win Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brandon Pfaadt	0.1351	0.3241	0.3438	123.1	0.2	122.9
2	Cole Ragans	0.1389	0.3080	0.3438	120.5	12.1	108.4
3	Chris Sale	0.1944	0.3690	0.6207	266.5	162.8	103.7
4	Jose Quintana	0.1250	0.3104	0.3226	108.2	5.5	102.7
5	Aaron Nola	0.2500	0.3984	0.4242	104.6	4.9	99.7
6	Framber Valdez	0.3000	0.4670	0.5357	132.9	34.4	98.5
7	Seth Lugo	0.1224	0.2653	0.4848	264.0	167.0	97.0
8	Carlos Rodón	0.2333	0.3876	0.5000	161.9	68.1	93.8
9	George Kirby	0.2558	0.4027	0.4242	94.7	1.3	93.4
10	Sonny Gray	0.1951	0.3534	0.4643	149.3	61.1	88.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jordan Hicks	0.2784	0.1364	0.1379	70.2	8.8	61.4
2	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.2047	0.3029	0.3810	85.4	29.1	56.3
3	Spencer Arrighetti	0.3111	0.2233	0.2414	47.5	1.1	46.4
4	Hunter Strickland	0.2047	0.0341	0.0417	49.5	3.6	45.9
5	Declan Cronin	0.2047	0.0431	0.0536	47.9	2.9	45.1
6	MacKenzie Gore	0.2432	0.2825	0.3125	46.7	7.4	39.2
7	Jose Quintana	0.3784	0.3104	0.3226	43.9	5.5	38.4
8	Erick Fedde	0.2222	0.2809	0.2903	45.5	7.6	37.9
9	Cade Povich	0.2879	0.1721	0.1875	37.2	1.5	35.7
10	Justin Anderson	0.2047	0.0445	0.0179	46.5	11.2	35.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spencer Arrighetti	0.1470	0.2233	0.2414	46.1	1.1	45.0
2	Mitchell Parker	0.1196	0.1850	0.2414	64.8	23.6	41.2
3	Matt Waldron	0.1781	0.2446	0.2593	37.3	3.3	34.1
4	Taj Bradley	0.1853	0.2443	0.3200	65.5	32.3	33.2
5	James Paxton	0.2425	0.3176	0.4286	72.0	39.8	32.1
6	Ryne Nelson	0.1032	0.1547	0.3571	146.5	115.1	31.4
7	Yusei Kikuchi	0.3464	0.3082	0.2812	63.7	34.5	29.2
8	Jose Quintana	0.3469	0.3104	0.3226	32.8	5.5	27.3
9	Aaron Civale	0.3466	0.3086	0.2581	75.8	48.5	27.3
10	Martín Pérez	0.3077	0.2638	0.1923	80.7	53.9	26.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Seth Lugo	0.1724	0.2653	0.4848	256.2	167.0	89.2
2	Cole Ragans	0.2258	0.3080	0.3438	85.3	12.1	73.2
3	Kyle Harrison	0.1071	0.2256	0.2917	95.0	24.6	70.4
4	Ryan Yarbrough	0.2917	0.1256	0.1136	73.2	12.7	60.6
5	Jose Quintana	0.2273	0.3104	0.3226	64.0	5.5	58.6
6	Sean Manaea	0.2069	0.2712	0.3750	119.6	62.0	57.7
7	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.2047	0.3029	0.3810	85.1	29.1	56.0
8	Luis Severino	0.2222	0.2812	0.3548	96.4	41.0	55.4
9	Sonny Gray	0.2857	0.3534	0.4643	115.8	61.1	54.7
10	Michael King	0.1333	0.1932	0.4194	203.3	149.8	53.5

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Keaton Winn	0.6667	0.1708 (111.6)	0.1481 (110.6)	0.1610 (113.8)	0.1554 (116.7)	0.2083 (107.7)
Tarik Skubal	0.1290	0.2841 (137.2)	0.2258 (113.3)	0.2618 (120.6)	0.3063 (149.4)	0.2857 (122.2)
Kutter Crawford	0.4848	0.2607 (149.5)	0.2000 (175.5)	0.2934 (124.5)	0.2643 (151.3)	0.2308 (188.6)
Dakota Hudson	0.6667	0.3768 (106.1)	0.1515 (186.4)	0.3656 (110.5)	0.3652 (113.3)	0.4000 (105.5)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Cannon	0.0827	0.4348	169.6
2	Ben Lively	0.0939	0.3448	141.4
3	Garrett Crochet	0.1143	0.3750	139.0
4	Shota Imanaga	0.2682	0.1034	133.2
5	Spencer Arrighetti	0.2179	0.4483	128.4
6	Cade Povich	0.1748	0.5625	126.9
7	Chris Flexen	0.2592	0.4545	118.9
8	DJ Herz	0.1513	0.4737	112.8
9	Andrew Heaney	0.2502	0.4375	110.9
10	José Soriano	0.0594	0.3182	108.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.1667	0.4839	201.6
2	Chris Bassitt	0.2000	0.4516	150.1
3	Jake Irvin	0.1795	0.4242	147.0
4	Andrew Heaney	0.1750	0.4375	144.7
5	Chris Flexen	0.2000	0.4545	142.0
6	Matt Waldron	0.1379	0.4074	134.9
7	Gavin Williams	0.1667	0.6250	134.4
8	Garrett Crochet	0.1000	0.3750	131.7
9	Griffin Canning	0.1892	0.4062	120.8
10	Spencer Arrighetti	0.2096	0.4483	116.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Cannon	0.0759	0.4348	173.1
2	Chris Flexen	0.2275	0.4545	141.1
3	Shota Imanaga	0.2764	0.1034	139.0
4	Ben Lively	0.0983	0.3448	138.5
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.1644	0.4762	127.1
6	Joey Estes	0.1087	0.3600	121.6
7	Roddery Muñoz	0.0521	0.3889	117.2
8	José Soriano	0.0509	0.3182	112.3
9	Tyler Anderson	0.3127	0.4839	110.0
10	Bailey Falter	0.1136	0.3214	106.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Cannon	0.0523	0.4348	188.6
2	Shota Imanaga	0.3346	0.1034	175.1
3	Ben Lively	0.0493	0.3448	173.4
4	Spencer Arrighetti	0.1587	0.4483	169.7
5	Cade Povich	0.0820	0.5625	161.7
6	DJ Herz	0.0830	0.4737	141.1
7	Taj Bradley	0.1814	0.4400	137.2
8	Bailey Falter	0.0712	0.3214	134.9
9	Carlos Carrasco	0.1569	0.4762	133.2
10	Andrew Heaney	0.2299	0.4375	129.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Garrett Crochet	0.0727	0.3750	176.5
2	Zack Littell	0.0833	0.3448	167.9
3	Tyler Anderson	0.2800	0.4839	151.7
4	Jake Irvin	0.2308	0.4242	144.5
5	Michael King	0.0889	0.2903	142.2
6	Chris Flexen	0.2500	0.4545	140.6
7	José Soriano	0.0545	0.3182	120.8
8	Andrew Heaney	0.2593	0.4375	119.6
9	Gavin Williams	0.2593	0.6250	119.6
10	Lance Lynn	0.4000	0.1739	118.4

Most Unique Misses for Loss Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Anderson	0.1667	0.3245	0.4839	201.6	101.1	100.5
2	Jake Irvin	0.1795	0.3258	0.4242	147.0	54.8	92.2
3	Austin Gomber	0.2051	0.3887	0.4000	98.3	11.0	87.2
4	Cal Quantrill	0.1765	0.3787	0.3793	97.9	17.4	80.4
5	Dakota Hudson	0.1515	0.3768	0.6667	186.4	106.1	80.3
6	Logan Gilbert	0.1667	0.2907	0.3636	115.1	36.7	78.4
7	Griffin Canning	0.1892	0.3214	0.4062	120.8	42.6	78.2
8	Chris Bassitt	0.2000	0.3210	0.4516	150.1	78.4	71.7
9	JP Sears	0.2326	0.3491	0.4062	91.0	22.7	68.3
10	Yusei Kikuchi	0.1667	0.2791	0.3125	67.8	4.6	63.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Declan Cronin	0.2096	0.0472	0.0714	50.7	0.9	49.8
2	Tayler Scott	0.2096	0.0416	0.0484	53.2	5.8	47.4
3	Hunter Strickland	0.2096	0.0637	0.0278	61.5	18.5	43.0
4	Alec Marsh	0.1849	0.2583	0.3462	73.3	33.3	40.1
5	Landen Roupp	0.2879	0.1082	0.0870	49.5	10.5	39.0
6	Charlie Morton	0.2145	0.2684	0.3333	64.1	26.5	37.6
7	Seth Martinez	0.2096	0.0456	0.0455	42.5	6.1	36.5
8	Frankie Montas	0.2840	0.3376	0.3667	36.2	1.3	35.0
9	Zach Pop	0.2096	0.0445	0.0690	35.1	0.6	34.6
10	Tanner Gordon	0.2096	0.4250	0.7500	82.1	47.6	34.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mitchell Parker	0.1729	0.2631	0.3448	97.4	35.2	62.2
2	Cal Quantrill	0.4661	0.3787	0.3793	70.8	17.4	53.4
3	Sean Manaea	0.3318	0.2579	0.1875	122.1	72.0	50.1
4	Seth Lugo	0.3608	0.2952	0.2727	91.3	41.5	49.8
5	Cole Ragans	0.3424	0.2751	0.2812	62.8	16.0	46.7
6	Shota Imanaga	0.3346	0.2682	0.1034	175.1	133.2	41.9
7	Spencer Arrighetti	0.1587	0.2179	0.4483	169.7	128.4	41.2
8	Bailey Ober	0.3443	0.2801	0.2903	53.3	12.1	41.2
9	Keider Montero	0.0494	0.1428	0.3158	101.0	60.1	41.0
10	Martín Pérez	0.3913	0.3197	0.2308	107.2	68.5	38.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Irvin	0.2308	0.3258	0.4242	144.5	54.8	89.7
2	Kyle Harrison	0.1071	0.2310	0.2917	95.2	17.8	77.4
3	Zack Littell	0.0833	0.1750	0.3448	167.9	93.6	74.3
4	Joey Wentz	0.3600	0.1086	0.0435	97.9	28.1	69.9
5	Michael King	0.0889	0.1588	0.2903	142.2	75.7	66.4
6	Simeon Woods Richardson	0.2917	0.1556	0.1786	67.5	2.4	65.1
7	Cole Irvin	0.3214	0.1779	0.2069	59.1	0.9	58.3
8	Jose Quintana	0.2273	0.2846	0.3226	64.3	7.8	56.5
9	Hunter Gaddis	0.3200	0.1051	0.0385	79.8	26.1	53.7
10	Patrick Corbin	0.5200	0.4315	0.4062	91.2	40.1	51.1

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Kirby Yates	0.5410	0.0117 (123.3)	0.0769 (114.4)	0.0000 (126.1)	0.0161 (122.3)	0.0185 (122.7)
Héctor Neris	0.2903	0.0859 (50.8)	0.0566 (65.6)	0.0772 (53.1)	0.0843 (51.2)	0.0952 (49.5)
Kyle Finnegan	0.5846	0.2902 (77.4)	0.2353 (99.7)	0.1852 (105.8)	0.3272 (67.4)	0.3599 (59.6)
Jason Foley	0.4058	0.1281 (67.2)	0.0588 (91.4)	0.1080 (72.2)	0.1413 (63.9)	0.1349 (66.5)
Chad Green	0.3208	0.0325 (58.7)	0.0500 (60.8)	0.0529 (54.4)	0.0165 (62.0)	0.0278 (60.5)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Leclerc	0.3099	0.0156	87.3
2	Ryan Helsley	0.4747	0.7538	71.9
3	Edwin Díaz	0.5973	0.3704	50.9
4	Trevor Megill	0.1513	0.4375	50.7
5	Justin Lawrence	0.2066	0.0357	50.2
6	Camilo Doval	0.5392	0.3710	48.0
7	Mason Miller	0.3168	0.5091	45.7
8	Evan Phillips	0.4818	0.2951	44.6
9	Hunter Harvey	0.2114	0.0204	43.8
10	Victor Vodnik	0.0000	0.1406	42.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Helsley	0.2353	0.7538	142.9
2	Robert Suarez	0.0345	0.5538	138.8
3	Mason Miller	0.0357	0.5091	122.5
4	Trevor Megill	0.0312	0.4375	77.7
5	Ryan Pressly	0.3750	0.0678	70.4
6	Clay Holmes	0.2245	0.4478	65.5
7	Emmanuel Clase	0.4211	0.6351	62.8
8	Michael Kopech	0.0238	0.2239	61.0
9	James McArthur	0.0909	0.3158	60.1
10	Carlos Estévez	0.2245	0.4815	58.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Helsley	0.3527	0.7538	104.3
2	José Leclerc	0.3086	0.0156	87.0
3	Mason Miller	0.2058	0.5091	73.3
4	Trevor Megill	0.0529	0.4375	68.7
5	Robert Suarez	0.3086	0.5538	60.9
6	James McArthur	0.0772	0.3158	56.7
7	Edwin Díaz	0.6173	0.3704	55.3
8	Camilo Doval	0.5401	0.3710	48.3
9	Lucas Erceg	0.0463	0.2295	44.1
10	Victor Vodnik	0.0000	0.1406	42.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Leclerc	0.2878	0.0156	80.9
2	Ryan Helsley	0.4548	0.7538	77.2
3	Justin Lawrence	0.2571	0.0357	64.2
4	Trevor Megill	0.1373	0.4375	53.3
5	Camilo Doval	0.5387	0.3710	47.9
6	David Robertson	0.1715	0.0294	44.7
7	Mason Miller	0.3258	0.5091	43.4
8	Victor Vodnik	0.0000	0.1406	42.2
9	Hunter Harvey	0.2025	0.0204	41.8
10	Jalen Beeks	0.0000	0.1408	41.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Kopech	0.5822	0.2239	101.3
2	José Leclerc	0.3331	0.0156	92.8
3	Justin Lawrence	0.2610	0.0357	64.2
4	Edwin Díaz	0.6262	0.3704	56.3
5	David Robertson	0.2118	0.0294	55.4
6	José Alvarado	0.4056	0.1970	55.1
7	Evan Phillips	0.5261	0.2951	53.7
8	Hunter Harvey	0.2591	0.0204	53.3
9	James McArthur	0.5007	0.3158	46.9
10	Camilo Doval	0.5387	0.3710	46.8

Most Unique Misses for Save Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Robert Suarez	0.0345	0.4529	0.5538	138.8	23.8	115.0
2	Mason Miller	0.0357	0.3168	0.5091	122.5	45.7	76.8
3	Ryan Helsley	0.2353	0.4747	0.7538	142.9	71.9	71.0
4	Ryan Pressly	0.3750	0.0624	0.0678	70.4	0.8	69.6
5	Michael Kopech	0.0238	0.2225	0.2239	61.0	2.1	58.9
6	Clay Holmes	0.2245	0.4749	0.4478	65.5	9.8	55.8
7	Raisel Iglesias	0.3478	0.4970	0.5152	48.2	2.4	45.8
8	Pete Fairbanks	0.2703	0.5028	0.5000	45.9	2.2	43.8
9	James McArthur	0.0909	0.2300	0.3158	60.1	19.0	41.2
10	Tanner Houck	0.0811	0.0000	0.0000	46.4	6.6	39.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	James McArthur	0.0772	0.2300	0.3158	56.7	19.0	37.7
2	Robert Suarez	0.3086	0.4529	0.5538	60.9	23.8	37.2
3	Ryan Helsley	0.3527	0.4747	0.7538	104.3	71.9	32.4
4	Kyle Finnegan	0.1852	0.2902	0.5846	105.8	77.4	28.4
5	Mason Miller	0.2058	0.3168	0.5091	73.3	45.7	27.6
6	Michael Kopech	0.1235	0.2225	0.2239	25.5	2.1	23.4
7	Craig Kimbrel	0.3086	0.3874	0.4035	19.9	1.7	18.3
8	Trevor Megill	0.0529	0.1513	0.4375	68.7	50.7	18.0
9	Tobias Myers	0.0294	0.0000	0.0000	21.8	5.1	16.8
10	Albert Suárez	0.0294	0.0000	0.0000	21.7	5.0	16.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Albert Suárez	0.0294	0.0000	0.0000	21.6	5.0	16.6
2	Paul Skenes	0.0294	0.0000	0.0000	19.7	4.6	15.1
3	Justin Lawrence	0.2571	0.2066	0.0357	64.2	50.2	14.1
4	Robert Suarez	0.4007	0.4529	0.5538	37.2	23.8	13.5
5	Jordan Leasure	0.1127	0.0565	0.0606	8.7	0.7	8.0
6	Tyler Kinley	0.1224	0.1446	0.1791	13.6	7.3	6.3
7	Orion Kerkering	0.0684	0.0445	0.0000	19.9	13.7	6.1
8	Raisel Iglesias	0.4752	0.4970	0.5152	8.1	2.4	5.7
9	Ryan Helsley	0.4548	0.4747	0.7538	77.2	71.9	5.3
10	Pete Fairbanks	0.4515	0.5028	0.5000	7.3	2.2	5.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Kopech	0.5822	0.2225	0.2239	101.3	2.1	99.2
2	James McArthur	0.5007	0.2300	0.3158	46.9	19.0	27.9
3	Kenley Jansen	0.6449	0.5271	0.5000	32.6	7.8	24.8
4	José Alvarado	0.4056	0.3263	0.1970	55.1	35.7	19.4
5	Bryan Hoeing	0.1081	0.0177	0.0000	23.7	5.6	18.1
6	Tanner Rainey	0.1625	0.0813	0.0000	38.6	20.8	17.8
7	Adbert Alzolay	0.6840	0.4558	0.2222	35.0	18.2	16.8
8	David Robertson	0.2118	0.1568	0.0294	55.4	40.3	15.1
9	Justin Lawrence	0.2610	0.2066	0.0357	64.2	50.2	14.0
10	Spencer Schwellenbach	0.0294	0.0000	0.0000	17.1	4.4	12.6

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Hunter Gaddis	0.4231	0.0435 (104.3)	0.1034 (98.8)	0.0806 (98.6)	0.0168 (108.6)	0.0266 (108.9)
Bryan Abreu	0.4872	0.2674 (70.0)	0.2353 (93.5)	0.3030 (63.8)	0.2396 (75.4)	0.2589 (72.6)
Cade Smith	0.3784	0.1040 (78.0)	0.0628 (101.6)	0.1027 (83.2)	0.1831 (51.9)	0.0000 (108.0)
Hunter Harvey	0.5714	0.1655 (87.9)	0.2143 (86.1)	0.1940 (85.3)	0.1328 (92.6)	0.1700 (86.9)
David Robertson	0.5000	0.2009 (87.2)	0.1333 (119.2)	0.2998 (62.9)	0.1350 (103.4)	0.1668 (97.2)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andre Pallante	0.2363	0.0345	105.0
2	Andrew Kittredge	0.1894	0.5000	87.9
3	Nick Martinez	0.0228	0.1667	79.5
4	Luke Weaver	0.1301	0.3548	72.9
5	Bryse Wilson	0.1528	0.0000	69.5
6	Yennier Cano	0.2166	0.4857	65.9
7	Bryan Hudson	0.0605	0.3256	60.2
8	Ronel Blanco	0.0845	0.0000	60.1
9	A.J. Puk	0.0225	0.2258	58.5
10	Tanner Rainey	0.2439	0.0000	57.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Kittredge	0.0952	0.5000	126.5
2	Michael King	0.2093	0.0000	125.9
3	Luke Weaver	0.0500	0.3548	112.8
4	Seth Lugo	0.1633	0.0000	106.5
5	Ryan Pressly	0.0417	0.4237	102.0
6	JoJo Romero	0.1111	0.4615	93.9
7	Reynaldo López	0.2128	0.0385	75.1
8	José Soriano	0.2414	0.0455	74.9
9	Jason Adam	0.2000	0.4189	71.9
10	Joe Jiménez	0.1702	0.3913	71.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andre Pallante	0.2932	0.0345	125.4
2	Andrew Kittredge	0.0926	0.5000	120.4
3	José Soriano	0.2932	0.0455	110.2
4	Luke Weaver	0.0926	0.3548	90.9
5	Jesse Chavez	0.3030	0.0217	71.0
6	Javier Assad	0.1235	0.0000	70.9
7	JoJo Romero	0.1852	0.4615	70.1
8	Nick Martinez	0.0562	0.1667	70.0
9	Daniel Hudson	0.0000	0.2615	69.3
10	Kyle Finnegan	0.2469	0.0000	63.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andre Pallante	0.1912	0.0345	87.7
2	Andrew Kittredge	0.1949	0.5000	83.1
3	Bryse Wilson	0.1659	0.0000	80.3
4	Nick Martinez	0.0126	0.1667	78.9
5	Yennier Cano	0.1803	0.4857	72.1
6	Luke Weaver	0.1261	0.3548	70.5
7	Jason Adam	0.1866	0.4189	61.1
8	Ronel Blanco	0.0744	0.0000	60.9
9	Tyler Rogers	0.1918	0.4156	60.4
10	Kevin Kelly	0.0177	0.2500	60.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sixto Sánchez	0.8384	0.0714	125.0
2	Bryse Wilson	0.2664	0.0000	119.9
3	Tanner Rainey	0.4265	0.0000	99.6
4	Andre Pallante	0.2249	0.0345	99.4
5	Ronel Blanco	0.1346	0.0000	94.3
6	Nick Martinez	0.0105	0.1667	86.3
7	Kyle Muller	0.4170	0.0000	85.2
8	Ryan Weathers	0.2262	0.0000	84.8
9	Yennier Cano	0.1748	0.4857	76.2
10	Joey Wentz	0.2837	0.0435	74.5

Most Unique Misses for Hold Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael King	0.2093	0.0111	0.0000	125.9	11.3	114.6
2	Seth Lugo	0.1633	0.0000	0.0000	106.5	3.7	102.8
3	Reynaldo López	0.2128	0.0410	0.0385	75.1	3.8	71.4
4	Ryan Pressly	0.0417	0.2415	0.4237	102.0	43.4	58.6
5	Cole Ragans	0.1111	0.0000	0.0000	57.3	3.4	53.9
6	Garrett Crochet	0.1500	0.0193	0.0000	67.9	14.1	53.8
7	JoJo Romero	0.1111	0.2554	0.4615	93.9	49.0	44.9
8	Drew Smyly	0.0488	0.1757	0.2000	48.1	5.1	43.0
9	Luke Weaver	0.0500	0.1301	0.3548	112.8	72.9	39.9
10	Joe Jiménez	0.1702	0.2716	0.3913	71.2	31.9	39.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Soriano	0.2932	0.1185	0.0455	110.2	36.3	73.9
2	Daniel Hudson	0.0000	0.2039	0.2615	69.3	13.5	55.8
3	Jesse Chavez	0.3030	0.1215	0.0217	71.0	27.5	43.5
4	Javier Assad	0.1235	0.0446	0.0000	70.9	31.3	39.7
5	Andrew Kittredge	0.0926	0.1894	0.5000	120.4	87.9	32.6
6	José Suarez	0.2273	0.0806	0.0000	51.6	20.4	31.2
7	Reynaldo López	0.1124	0.0410	0.0385	33.5	3.8	29.7
8	Dylan Lee	0.3086	0.1695	0.1731	29.6	0.2	29.4
9	Drew Smyly	0.0804	0.1757	0.2000	33.9	5.1	28.8
10	Jeremiah Estrada	0.1010	0.1963	0.2581	42.7	14.5	28.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Paul Skenes	0.0628	0.0000	0.0000	40.3	2.3	38.0
2	Spencer Arrighetti	0.0706	0.0324	0.0000	54.5	23.3	31.2
3	John King	0.0186	0.1214	0.1607	31.4	8.7	22.7
4	Dennis Santana	0.0197	0.1071	0.1935	45.4	23.5	21.9
5	Kevin Kelly	0.0177	0.1061	0.2500	60.2	38.8	21.4
6	Mitchell Parker	0.0403	0.0192	0.0000	36.2	15.3	20.9
7	Dylan Lee	0.0860	0.1695	0.1731	17.1	0.2	16.9
8	David Robertson	0.1350	0.2009	0.5000	103.4	87.2	16.2
9	Caleb Thielbar	0.0799	0.1684	0.1695	16.0	0.7	15.2
10	Michael Grove	0.0151	0.0959	0.1795	32.1	17.1	15.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Sixto Sánchez	0.8384	0.1951	0.0714	125.0	20.8	104.3
2	Bryse Wilson	0.2664	0.1528	0.0000	119.9	69.5	50.4
3	Kyle Muller	0.4170	0.1730	0.0000	85.2	35.8	49.4
4	Joey Wentz	0.2837	0.1283	0.0435	74.5	27.1	47.4
5	Jalen Beeks	0.3032	0.1565	0.1127	61.0	15.0	45.9
6	Tanner Rainey	0.4265	0.2439	0.0000	99.6	57.4	42.3
7	Daulton Jefferies	0.7567	0.1999	0.0000	55.6	14.9	40.7
8	Roansy Contreras	0.2541	0.1298	0.0204	71.1	33.9	37.1
9	Drew Smyly	0.3544	0.1757	0.2000	40.9	5.1	35.8
10	Ronel Blanco	0.1346	0.0845	0.0000	94.3	60.1	34.1

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Blair Henley	135.0000	5.0232 (1171.0)	4.1490 (1177.4)	4.1490 (1178.0)	4.9519 (1171.3)	5.0963 (1170.7)
Erick Fedde	3.2989	5.0240 (1158.7)	5.0420 (1282.4)	5.0815 (1264.4)	5.1330 (1259.0)	4.8612 (1006.8)
Ronel Blanco	2.7968	4.4186 (1009.0)	4.3131 (1040.8)	4.4925 (1118.6)	4.4371 (1041.3)	4.3260 (915.1)
Paul Skenes	1.9624	4.5669 (1272.3)	4.1490 (1135.9)	4.1490 (1102.9)	4.1490 (1072.6)	4.5669 (1248.5)
Taijuan Walker	7.0996	4.7098 (959.7)	4.1521 (1114.1)	4.6941 (932.1)	4.7630 (928.3)	4.6730 (991.4)
Jordan Montgomery	6.2308	3.7623 (1382.0)	3.5346 (1422.0)	3.9254 (1248.3)	3.9602 (1261.1)	3.4022 (1598.2)
Reid Detmers	6.6985	4.2336 (1014.3)	4.2971 (929.8)	4.1754 (1002.5)	4.2460 (998.0)	4.2794 (1014.5)
Chris Sale	2.3809	3.7806 (891.9)	4.1765 (1276.9)	3.7335 (920.8)	3.7647 (901.3)	3.8445 (904.2)
Bobby Miller	8.5179	3.8947 (1226.1)	3.9568 (1170.7)	3.9321 (1193.7)	4.0200 (1186.2)	3.7363 (1278.9)

Individual Misses for ERA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Schwellenbach	5.6880	3.3477	1105.5
2	Reynaldo López	4.0361	1.9902	1040.8
3	Seth Lugo	4.3606	3.0048	1025.3
4	Tobias Myers	4.8259	3.0000	965.4
5	Kenta Maeda	4.2706	6.0890	944.6
6	Slade Cecconi	4.2955	6.6623	843.7
7	Hunter Gaddis	4.7188	1.5670	840.3
8	Louis Varland	4.2144	7.6107	839.1
9	Bryce Miller	4.2345	2.9445	817.2
10	Tanner Houck	4.3428	3.1231	810.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Greene	4.5103	2.7539	1087.4
2	Gavin Stone	5.3390	3.5273	1064.3
3	Tarik Skubal	3.6964	2.3906	1000.8
4	Justin Verlander	3.0000	5.4797	972.7
5	Bryce Miller	4.2924	2.9445	965.3
6	Kyle Hendricks	4.2156	5.9235	955.1
7	Jack Flaherty	4.5372	3.1667	904.6
8	Hunter Gaddis	4.7765	1.5670	898.7
9	Roddery Muñoz	4.1490	6.5323	894.4
10	Tanner Houck	4.2898	3.1231	884.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Reynaldo López	4.1881	1.9902	1171.2
2	Bryce Miller	4.5174	2.9445	1078.5
3	Seth Lugo	4.2828	3.0048	1034.1
4	Kenta Maeda	4.1891	6.0890	941.3
5	Hunter Gaddis	4.7780	1.5670	881.3
6	Jameson Taillon	4.5754	3.2661	856.1
7	Michael Wacha	4.6117	3.3480	837.6
8	Roddery Muñoz	4.4360	6.5323	810.0
9	Griffin Canning	4.1432	5.1903	804.1
10	Trevor Williams	5.1415	2.0250	799.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Reynaldo López	4.2560	1.9902	1176.1
2	Spencer Schwellenbach	5.6859	3.3477	1119.2
3	Tobias Myers	5.0655	3.0000	1118.4
4	Seth Lugo	4.4039	3.0048	1086.1
5	Kenta Maeda	4.1106	6.0890	1008.0
6	Bryce Miller	4.3213	2.9445	898.9
7	Michael Wacha	4.7192	3.3480	870.9
8	Nick Martinez	4.7112	3.0984	862.4
9	Hunter Greene	4.2506	2.7539	853.5
10	Louis Varland	4.1464	7.6107	848.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seth Lugo	4.3959	3.0048	1016.1
2	Tanner Houck	4.6176	3.1231	980.0
3	Kyle Hendricks	4.4084	5.9235	958.6
4	Slade Cecconi	4.1200	6.6623	918.7
5	Louis Varland	4.1955	7.6107	854.6
6	Kenta Maeda	4.5130	6.0890	849.5
7	José Ureña	5.8021	3.7982	846.5
8	Hunter Greene	4.3082	2.7539	842.4
9	Miles Mikolas	4.3636	5.3476	834.8
10	Reynaldo López	3.6711	1.9902	817.4

Most Unique Misses for ERA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Gavin Stone	5.3390	4.2892	3.5273	1064.3	367.0	697.3
2	Hunter Brown	4.5295	3.8761	3.4941	753.8	180.0	573.8
3	Taj Bradley	4.9293	4.1993	4.1087	487.8	22.3	465.5
4	Cal Quantrill	4.0449	5.3267	4.9753	595.0	145.8	449.2
5	Luke Weaver	5.4570	4.3974	2.8929	856.5	455.2	401.2
6	David Peterson	4.5076	3.8941	2.9008	831.4	440.7	390.7
7	Shota Imanaga	4.1490	3.7409	2.9077	877.7	488.5	389.1
8	Chris Sale	4.1765	3.7806	2.3809	1276.9	891.9	385.0
9	Justin Verlander	3.0000	4.0996	5.4797	972.7	597.7	375.0
10	Aaron Nola	4.0839	3.8054	3.5669	443.1	89.6	353.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zack Littell	4.8645	4.4543	3.6269	785.0	458.0	327.0
2	Logan Gilbert	4.0714	3.8181	3.2348	638.9	364.6	274.3
3	Bryce Miller	4.5174	4.2345	2.9445	1078.5	817.2	261.3
4	Anthony Molina	4.1490	5.1880	6.7877	707.4	456.4	251.0
5	Michael King	4.0156	3.7864	2.9539	741.0	510.5	230.5
6	Spencer Arrighetti	5.0400	4.7696	4.5310	295.8	69.1	226.7
7	Justin Wrobleski	4.1490	5.5440	5.6972	244.7	43.5	201.2
8	Tanner Gordon	4.1490	5.4872	8.6505	726.8	526.8	200.0
9	Ryne Nelson	4.8746	4.6462	4.2412	373.3	173.7	199.5
10	Ryan Pepiot	4.6118	4.3312	3.6000	523.3	324.4	198.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cal Quantrill	5.9600	5.3267	4.9753	580.4	145.8	434.6
2	Austin Gomber	5.6886	5.2597	4.7455	586.9	268.0	319.0
3	Ryan Feltner	5.4262	5.0575	4.4908	578.2	302.8	275.4
4	Nick Martinez	4.7112	4.3962	3.0984	862.4	666.1	196.3
5	Kyle Freeland	5.8011	5.3017	5.2412	225.4	33.7	191.8
6	Keider Montero	4.0671	4.5183	4.7593	326.3	152.5	173.8
7	Zack Littell	4.6781	4.4543	3.6269	624.1	458.0	166.1
8	Dean Kremer	4.5462	4.2940	4.0951	194.2	38.5	155.7
9	Tobias Myers	5.0655	4.8259	3.0000	1118.4	965.4	153.0
10	Tyler Anderson	4.9649	4.8142	3.8141	803.9	666.2	137.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Ureña	5.8021	4.7884	3.7982	846.5	398.6	447.9
2	Luke Weaver	5.3307	4.3974	2.8929	748.8	455.2	293.6
3	David Peterson	4.4893	3.8941	2.9008	720.6	440.7	279.9
4	Luis Castillo	3.2672	3.5844	3.6445	397.5	136.1	261.4
5	Brandon Pfaadt	3.9715	4.2594	4.7064	692.0	437.9	254.0
6	Martín Pérez	4.1635	4.5326	4.5333	321.8	76.7	245.1
7	Chris Bassitt	3.8354	4.0895	4.1579	377.6	149.8	227.7
8	JP Sears	4.0823	4.3362	4.3838	361.6	134.0	227.5
9	Justin Wrobleski	4.1490	5.5440	5.6972	265.5	43.5	222.0
10	Triston McKenzie	3.5419	4.1472	5.1145	594.4	372.8	221.5

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Blair Henley	21.0000	1.5059 (175.9)	1.2829 (177.4)	1.2829 (177.8)	1.5056 (175.9)	1.5062 (175.8)
Jack Flaherty	1.0679	1.3829 (172.5)	1.4447 (245.9)	1.4016 (190.6)	1.3768 (169.6)	1.3701 (168.6)
Ronel Blanco	1.0876	1.3820 (165.8)	1.3738 (194.8)	1.3856 (174.4)	1.3708 (159.2)	1.3898 (175.6)
Paul Skenes	0.9474	1.3123 (162.4)	1.2829 (173.5)	1.2829 (151.9)	1.2829 (148.0)	1.3123 (165.8)
Logan Gilbert	0.8866	1.1755 (192.6)	1.1591 (220.5)	1.1715 (196.7)	1.1756 (193.9)	1.1794 (201.1)
Jordan Montgomery	1.6496	1.2669 (229.7)	1.1958 (240.3)	1.2681 (224.2)	1.2744 (224.9)	1.2581 (230.8)
Chris Bassitt	1.4620	1.2533 (195.4)	1.1771 (214.3)	1.2803 (168.0)	1.2841 (170.9)	1.1967 (233.2)
Luis Ortiz	1.1130	1.4633 (167.4)	1.4677 (198.4)	1.4851 (184.6)	1.4863 (181.1)	1.4186 (146.3)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Schwellenbach	1.5930	1.0431	250.4
2	Trevor Rogers	1.2929	1.5764	187.0
3	Nick Martinez	1.3977	1.0258	184.0
4	Seth Lugo	1.3432	1.0887	171.7
5	Erick Fedde	1.4428	1.1617	168.5
6	Bobby Miller	1.2144	1.7679	155.5
7	Bryce Miller	1.2322	0.9760	145.8
8	Tyler Holton	1.2384	0.7845	143.3
9	Hunter Gaddis	1.3268	0.7634	143.0
10	Taijuan Walker	1.3950	1.7211	143.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Erick Fedde	1.4426	1.1617	205.5
2	Hunter Greene	1.3212	1.0177	186.7
3	Shota Imanaga	1.2829	1.0212	183.1
4	Luke Weaver	1.4661	0.9286	178.6
5	Taijuan Walker	1.2656	1.7211	172.8
6	Dylan Cease	1.2882	1.0669	170.2
7	Bryan Woo	1.2535	0.8984	168.6
8	Tarik Skubal	1.1429	0.9219	168.0
9	Marcus Stroman	1.2213	1.4677	164.9
10	Garrett Crochet	1.3396	1.0685	162.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Erick Fedde	1.4988	1.1617	215.7
2	Nick Martinez	1.4378	1.0258	212.1
3	Trevor Rogers	1.2784	1.5764	189.9
4	Bryce Miller	1.2661	0.9760	176.1
5	Seth Lugo	1.3207	1.0887	160.5
6	Garrett Crochet	1.3684	1.0685	154.6
7	Dylan Cease	1.3091	1.0669	154.1
8	Bryan Woo	1.2621	0.8984	152.8
9	Bobby Miller	1.2302	1.7679	149.0
10	Tyler Holton	1.2426	0.7845	148.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Schwellenbach	1.5925	1.0431	250.9
2	Nick Martinez	1.4300	1.0258	203.3
3	Erick Fedde	1.4737	1.1617	192.0
4	Trevor Rogers	1.2963	1.5764	184.2
5	Seth Lugo	1.3467	1.0887	175.9
6	Tyler Holton	1.2980	0.7845	164.9
7	Bryce Miller	1.2549	0.9760	162.8
8	Jake Irvin	1.4414	1.1989	149.8
9	Bobby Miller	1.2566	1.7679	144.2
10	Garrett Crochet	1.3583	1.0685	144.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seth Lugo	1.3625	1.0887	193.5
2	Trevor Rogers	1.3039	1.5764	176.9
3	Bobby Miller	1.1580	1.7679	168.3
4	Walker Buehler	1.1082	1.5531	167.6
5	Luke Weaver	1.4511	0.9286	159.0
6	Hunter Gaddis	1.3750	0.7634	158.3
7	Triston McKenzie	1.1419	1.5595	156.4
8	Marcus Stroman	1.2826	1.4677	153.5
9	Taijuan Walker	1.3688	1.7211	150.3
10	Nick Martinez	1.3260	1.0258	147.0

Most Unique Misses for WHIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cal Quantrill	1.2921	1.5054	1.5169	146.1	39.8	106.3
2	Gavin Stone	1.4407	1.3344	1.2114	134.2	42.8	91.3
3	Hunter Greene	1.3212	1.2245	1.0177	186.7	96.3	90.3
4	Shota Imanaga	1.2829	1.2126	1.0212	183.1	98.8	84.3
5	Nick Lodolo	1.3580	1.2480	1.1965	80.6	1.2	79.5
6	Jack Flaherty	1.4447	1.3829	1.0679	245.9	172.5	73.4
7	Taj Bradley	1.3516	1.2713	1.2246	74.6	1.4	73.2
8	Luke Weaver	1.4661	1.3029	0.9286	178.6	107.6	71.0
9	Chris Sale	1.2193	1.1792	1.0131	146.2	82.1	64.1
10	Dakota Hudson	1.4033	1.6033	1.6742	108.6	48.5	60.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Keider Montero	1.5848	1.4109	1.3322	87.6	12.2	75.4
2	Zack Littell	1.3830	1.3003	1.2473	62.8	2.5	60.3
3	Landon Knack	1.5833	1.4043	1.1014	126.4	72.6	53.8
4	Michael King	1.3229	1.2598	1.1919	66.1	13.6	52.4
5	Anthony Molina	1.2829	1.4749	1.5754	87.8	39.5	48.3
6	Erick Fedde	1.4988	1.4428	1.1617	215.7	168.5	47.2
7	Tyler Anderson	1.4385	1.3885	1.2881	84.4	39.2	45.2
8	Declan Cronin	1.2829	1.5124	1.4218	54.7	12.7	42.0
9	Justin Anderson	1.2829	1.4571	1.5000	62.2	22.3	39.9
10	Jonathan Cannon	1.5025	1.4379	1.3271	70.7	32.2	38.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Corbin Burnes	1.2304	1.1734	1.0961	68.0	22.1	45.8
2	Austin Gomber	1.5339	1.4792	1.3091	123.3	84.2	39.1
3	Zack Littell	1.3501	1.3003	1.2473	36.2	2.5	33.7
4	Keider Montero	1.2766	1.4109	1.3322	42.5	12.2	30.3
5	Carlos Carrasco	1.3578	1.4200	1.3987	39.6	12.5	27.1
6	Ryan Feltner	1.5132	1.4756	1.3368	89.1	62.1	27.1
7	Patrick Corbin	1.4254	1.4623	1.5000	93.4	66.3	27.1
8	Landen Roupp	1.2554	1.3743	1.3709	35.4	9.9	25.5
9	Erick Fedde	1.4737	1.4428	1.1617	192.0	168.5	23.5
10	Tyler Holton	1.2980	1.2384	0.7845	164.9	143.3	21.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Ureña	1.6042	1.4432	1.3211	111.5	33.8	77.7
2	Zack Littell	1.1750	1.3003	1.2473	75.2	2.5	72.7
3	Yusei Kikuchi	1.3854	1.3117	1.2011	104.5	45.2	59.3
4	Ben Lively	1.4286	1.3427	1.2450	89.2	30.7	58.5
5	Luke Weaver	1.4511	1.3029	0.9286	159.0	107.6	51.3
6	Jose Quintana	1.4744	1.4123	1.2505	130.2	80.8	49.4
7	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	0.9691	1.1082	1.1111	67.9	19.1	48.7
8	Cal Quantrill	1.4252	1.5054	1.5169	87.9	39.8	48.1
9	Bradley Blalock	1.2829	1.5907	1.7935	81.3	37.0	44.2
10	Spencer Arrighetti	1.3370	1.4125	1.4069	70.9	27.5	43.4