2021 Projection Evaluation

Summary

Batting

System	PA raw	wOBA	SO	BB	HR	R	RBI	SB	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System	BF raw	wOBA	ERA	SO	BB	HR	W	L	SV	HLD	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	644	146	498.0
2	Jake Burger	525	42	483.0
3	Kyle Lewis	613	147	466.0
4	Evan White	558	104	453.8
5	Adalberto Mondesi	587	136	450.8
6	Cristian Pache	518	68	449.7
7	Dustin Fowler	468	46	422.4
8	Marcell Ozuna	625	208	416.6
9	Aaron Hicks	537	126	411.2
10	Keston Hiura	603	197	405.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan India	100	631	531.0
2	Mitch Haniger	227	691	464.0
3	Adolis García	205	622	417.0
4	Bo Bichette	295	690	395.0
5	Salvador Perez	276	665	389.0
6	Cedric Mullins	287	675	388.0
7	Nathaniel Lowe	259	642	383.0
8	Myles Straw	259	638	379.0
9	Andrew Vaughn	100	469	369.0
10	Akil Baddoo	100	461	361.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Seager	100	670	570.0
2	César Hernández	100	637	537.0
3	Mike Trout	668	146	522.0
4	Kyle Lewis	640	147	493.0
5	Evan White	594	104	490.0
6	Nelson Cruz	100	584	484.0
7	Cristian Pache	547	68	479.0
8	Adolis García	149	622	473.0
9	Eric Hosmer	100	565	465.0
10	Aaron Hicks	570	126	444.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	671	146	524.9
2	Adolis García	106	622	516.5
3	Adalberto Mondesi	646	136	509.6
4	Kyle Lewis	650	147	503.1
5	Evan White	576	104	472.3
6	Aaron Hicks	583	126	456.7
7	Pavin Smith	99	545	446.5
8	Cristian Pache	500	68	432.0
9	Mike Moustakas	638	206	431.7
10	Marcell Ozuna	635	208	426.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Vilade	608	7	601.0
2	Seth Beer	584	10	574.0
3	Josh Lowe	541	2	539.0
4	Khalil Lee	551	18	533.0
5	Dustin Fowler	574	46	528.0
6	Sheldon Neuse	593	66	527.0
7	Alex De Goti	532	7	525.0
8	Brian Miller	535	11	524.0
9	Renato Núñez	570	55	515.0
10	Mario Feliciano	515	1	514.0

Most Unique Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jonathan India	100	498	631	531.0	133.2	397.8
2	Randy Arozarena	245	571	604	359.0	33.1	325.9
3	Bo Bichette	295	617	690	395.0	72.9	322.1
4	Ozzie Albies	342	648	686	344.0	38.1	305.9
5	Andrew Vaughn	100	535	469	369.0	65.6	303.4
6	Mitch Haniger	227	518	691	464.0	172.6	291.4
7	Dylan Carlson	269	560	619	350.0	58.9	291.1
8	Ryan Mountcastle	278	568	586	308.0	18.1	289.9
9	Giancarlo Stanton	252	541	579	327.0	37.7	289.3
10	Trey Mancini	268	555	616	348.0	61.2	286.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	César Hernández	100	607	637	537.0	30.0	507.0
2	Kyle Seager	100	576	670	570.0	93.8	476.2
3	Nelson Cruz	100	527	584	484.0	56.7	427.3
4	Josh Donaldson	100	525	543	443.0	18.3	424.7
5	Eric Hosmer	100	608	565	465.0	43.3	421.7
6	Miguel Cabrera	100	542	526	426.0	16.0	410.0
7	Buster Posey	100	436	454	354.0	18.1	335.9
8	Michael Brantley	100	582	508	408.0	73.7	334.3
9	Jonathan Villar	100	430	505	405.0	74.8	330.2
10	Yadier Molina	100	401	473	373.0	71.7	301.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Frank Schwindel	1	252	259	258.0	7.0	251.0
2	Rafael Ortega	85	305	330	245.3	24.7	220.7
3	Patrick Wisdom	1	218	375	374.0	156.5	217.5
4	Odúbel Herrera	92	306	492	400.2	185.6	214.6
5	Jack Mayfield	1	216	290	289.0	74.5	214.5
6	Rougned Odor	1	215	361	360.0	146.3	213.7
7	Kelvin Gutiérrez	13	219	295	281.9	76.4	205.4
8	Brandon Marsh	1	202	260	259.0	57.7	201.3
9	DJ Peters	7	279	240	233.3	39.3	194.0
10	Jesús Sánchez	7	197	251	244.4	54.1	190.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan McKenna	575	215	197	378.0	18.0	360.0
2	Owen Miller	567	207	202	365.0	5.2	359.8
3	Gilberto Celestino	563	207	62	501.0	144.7	356.3
4	Josh Lowe	541	200	2	539.0	198.0	341.0
5	Gavin Sheets	535	198	179	356.0	19.0	337.0
6	Tyler Nevin	531	198	18	513.0	180.2	332.8
7	Kevin Smith	504	179	36	468.0	142.9	325.1
8	Ernie Clement	505	180	133	372.0	47.2	324.8
9	Taylor Walls	521	197	176	345.0	21.4	323.6
10	Luis Rengifo	523	209	190	333.0	19.4	313.6

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Zunino	0.3585	0.2792 (30.6)	0.2822 (31.9)	0.2791 (31.4)	0.2790 (30.9)	0.2797 (30.6)
Austin Riley	0.3804	0.3316 (33.8)	0.3135 (50.1)	0.3350 (32.9)	0.3373 (30.5)	0.3224 (40.2)
Shohei Ohtani	0.4028	0.3506 (34.8)	0.3433 (43.7)	0.3546 (33.6)	0.3541 (33.0)	0.3431 (39.9)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.4218	0.3704 (37.4)	0.3329 (68.2)	0.3758 (35.1)	0.3782 (32.5)	0.3574 (46.9)
Bryce Harper	0.4356	0.3872 (30.3)	0.3748 (41.7)	0.3859 (32.3)	0.3868 (31.0)	0.3888 (29.6)
Tyler O'Neill	0.3838	0.3127 (39.4)	0.3101 (44.3)	0.3114 (41.2)	0.3166 (37.7)	0.3102 (41.0)
Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.2240	0.3146 (37.8)	0.3232 (38.7)	0.3153 (37.2)	0.3120 (36.4)	0.3164 (38.4)
Bryan Reynolds	0.3893	0.3249 (43.0)	0.3377 (39.0)	0.3284 (42.1)	0.3289 (40.9)	0.3173 (48.3)
Jonathan India	0.3626	0.3063 (36.9)	0.3197 (32.6)	0.3092 (36.4)	0.3093 (35.5)	0.3004 (41.0)
Cody Bellinger	0.2394	0.3917 (52.5)	0.3746 (44.2)	0.3965 (53.4)	0.3936 (52.9)	0.3850 (50.0)
Buster Posey	0.3823	0.3086 (34.5)	0.3156 (34.3)	0.3197 (30.4)	0.3075 (35.3)	0.3097 (34.2)
Cedric Mullins	0.3720	0.2946 (53.7)	0.2948 (58.1)	0.2944 (55.3)	0.2974 (52.3)	0.2921 (55.8)
Brandon Crawford	0.3806	0.2978 (46.7)	0.3086 (44.4)	0.2957 (49.0)	0.3032 (44.1)	0.2944 (48.8)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Akil Baddoo	0.2547	0.3295	35.5
2	Gleyber Torres	0.3714	0.3063	32.5
3	Nick Castellanos	0.3426	0.3938	31.2
4	Carlos Santana	0.3445	0.2957	30.7
5	Frank Schwindel	0.2927	0.4053	29.7
6	Joey Votto	0.3444	0.3947	28.0
7	Kevin Newman	0.3006	0.2490	27.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Tucker	0.3279	0.3839	36.8
2	C.J. Cron	0.3359	0.3847	31.5
3	Matt Olson	0.3466	0.3841	31.2
4	Nicky Lopez	0.2759	0.3217	30.9
5	Joey Votto	0.3459	0.3947	30.7
6	Christian Yelich	0.4017	0.3285	30.6
7	Marcus Semien	0.3354	0.3676	29.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Akil Baddoo	0.2465	0.3295	40.3
2	Nick Castellanos	0.3430	0.3938	32.3
3	Adolis García	0.2696	0.3142	30.5
4	Gleyber Torres	0.3694	0.3063	30.3
5	Andrelton Simmons	0.3197	0.2503	29.3
6	Salvador Perez	0.3221	0.3611	28.8
7	Brandon Belt	0.3396	0.4085	27.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Akil Baddoo	0.2498	0.3295	38.1
2	Nick Castellanos	0.3404	0.3938	33.0
3	Carlos Santana	0.3464	0.2957	31.5
4	Frank Schwindel	0.2911	0.4053	30.3
5	Gleyber Torres	0.3672	0.3063	29.9
6	Adolis García	0.2690	0.3142	29.9
7	Kevin Newman	0.3054	0.2490	29.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Votto	0.3240	0.3947	39.1
2	Gleyber Torres	0.3775	0.3063	35.3
3	Yuli Gurriel	0.3107	0.3643	34.1
4	Carlos Santana	0.3454	0.2957	30.9
5	Nick Castellanos	0.3446	0.3938	30.4
6	Akil Baddoo	0.2678	0.3295	29.7
7	Frank Schwindel	0.2944	0.4053	29.4

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3329	0.3704	0.4218	68.2	37.4	30.9
2	Juan Soto	0.4010	0.4284	0.4298	24.6	2.3	22.3
3	Brendan Rodgers	0.2881	0.3215	0.3409	25.6	9.0	16.6
4	Austin Riley	0.3135	0.3316	0.3804	50.1	33.8	16.3
5	C.J. Cron	0.3359	0.3589	0.3847	31.5	15.3	16.2
6	Carlos Correa	0.3373	0.3559	0.3646	23.1	7.0	16.1
7	Dylan Carlson	0.3011	0.3205	0.3364	27.3	11.3	16.1
8	Luis Urías	0.2982	0.3188	0.3399	28.8	13.3	15.5
9	Rafael Devers	0.3502	0.3662	0.3764	23.2	8.3	15.0
10	Corey Seager	0.3501	0.3799	0.3908	20.2	5.4	14.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Josh Donaldson	0.3197	0.3589	0.3539	20.9	1.5	19.4
2	Michael Brantley	0.3197	0.3507	0.3472	16.2	0.7	15.5
3	Juan Lagares	0.3197	0.2738	0.2709	14.5	0.2	14.3
4	Ronald Torreyes	0.3197	0.2772	0.2726	14.7	0.8	13.9
5	Sandy León	0.3197	0.2573	0.2242	20.1	6.8	13.3
6	Magneuris Sierra	0.3197	0.2654	0.2464	15.5	3.8	11.7
7	Lewis Brinson	0.3197	0.2741	0.2739	12.0	0.6	11.4
8	Yadier Molina	0.3197	0.2944	0.2898	12.1	1.1	11.0
9	Kelvin Gutiérrez	0.3197	0.2807	0.2704	13.3	2.4	10.9
10	Erik González	0.3197	0.2756	0.2439	16.4	6.8	9.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	0.3382	0.3252	0.3049	16.0	9.5	6.5
2	Adolis García	0.2690	0.2760	0.3142	29.9	25.2	4.8
3	Andrew Vaughn	0.2755	0.2847	0.3065	15.9	11.3	4.7
4	Trea Turner	0.3506	0.3567	0.3871	25.4	21.1	4.3
5	Teoscar Hernández	0.3297	0.3360	0.3695	25.4	21.2	4.2
6	Yadier Molina	0.3040	0.2944	0.2898	5.3	1.1	4.2
7	Maikel Franco	0.3319	0.3212	0.2626	26.8	22.7	4.0
8	José Ramírez	0.3724	0.3806	0.3769	4.7	0.9	3.8
9	Mike Yastrzemski	0.3221	0.3285	0.3280	4.7	0.9	3.8
10	Patrick Wisdom	0.2841	0.2934	0.3463	24.4	20.7	3.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Votto	0.3240	0.3444	0.3947	39.1	28.0	11.2
2	J.D. Martinez	0.3520	0.3673	0.3665	10.9	0.9	10.0
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3574	0.3704	0.4218	46.9	37.4	9.5
4	Mike Yastrzemski	0.3493	0.3285	0.3280	9.9	0.9	9.0
5	Yuli Gurriel	0.3107	0.3232	0.3643	34.1	26.2	7.9
6	José Ramírez	0.3923	0.3806	0.3769	8.1	0.9	7.1
7	Nelson Cruz	0.3854	0.3726	0.3498	19.2	12.1	7.1
8	Luis Torrens	0.2827	0.2996	0.3122	12.2	5.6	6.6
9	Nicky Lopez	0.2809	0.2920	0.3217	24.6	18.0	6.6
10	Austin Riley	0.3224	0.3316	0.3804	40.2	33.8	6.4

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Matt Olson	0.1679	0.2746 (71.8)	0.2565 (61.3)	0.2645 (65.4)	0.2664 (66.3)	0.2929 (83.3)
Ryan Jeffers	0.3686	0.2367 (38.7)	0.2437 (35.9)	0.2283 (40.9)	0.2271 (41.5)	0.2548 (33.7)
Bryan Reynolds	0.1842	0.2403 (36.2)	0.2356 (34.8)	0.2361 (34.0)	0.2353 (33.0)	0.2495 (41.4)
Pete Alonso	0.1994	0.2638 (41.0)	0.2545 (36.6)	0.2620 (40.3)	0.2631 (40.6)	0.2662 (41.8)
Raimel Tapia	0.1313	0.2083 (41.0)	0.2159 (46.4)	0.2134 (44.1)	0.2105 (42.2)	0.2011 (36.5)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chas McCormick	0.1806	0.3250	46.2
2	Matt Chapman	0.2594	0.3248	40.7
3	Teoscar Hernández	0.3169	0.2487	40.5
4	Harrison Bader	0.3060	0.2120	37.7
5	Odúbel Herrera	0.2283	0.1565	35.3
6	Alec Bohm	0.1829	0.2662	34.8
7	Jorge Soler	0.2921	0.2359	33.8
8	Kyle Seager	0.1899	0.2403	33.8
9	Hunter Renfroe	0.2861	0.2273	33.6
10	Tommy Edman	0.1857	0.1375	33.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Patrick Wisdom	0.2611	0.4080	54.2
2	Matt Chapman	0.2406	0.3248	50.8
3	Ty France	0.2359	0.1631	48.9
4	Tommy Edman	0.2028	0.1375	46.8
5	Kevin Newman	0.1554	0.0740	46.5
6	Brett Phillips	0.2260	0.3870	46.3
7	Adolis García	0.2439	0.3119	40.8
8	Jake Cronenworth	0.1967	0.1400	38.0
9	Juan Soto	0.1963	0.1422	37.0
10	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.1842	0.1329	36.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Patrick Wisdom	0.2260	0.4080	68.0
2	Michael Brantley	0.2260	0.1043	62.1
3	Matt Chapman	0.2468	0.3248	48.1
4	Chas McCormick	0.1840	0.3250	44.9
5	Andrelton Simmons	0.2260	0.1375	40.2
6	Teoscar Hernández	0.3152	0.2487	39.9
7	Ronald Torreyes	0.2260	0.1192	36.9
8	Willians Astudillo	0.2260	0.0556	36.9
9	Alec Bohm	0.1791	0.2662	36.1
10	Bobby Bradley	0.2260	0.3548	35.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Chapman	0.2493	0.3248	47.0
2	Chas McCormick	0.1868	0.3250	44.2
3	Teoscar Hernández	0.3127	0.2487	38.0
4	Odúbel Herrera	0.2321	0.1565	37.2
5	Alec Bohm	0.1772	0.2662	37.1
6	Hunter Renfroe	0.2890	0.2273	35.3
7	Harrison Bader	0.2998	0.2120	35.2
8	Kyle Farmer	0.2475	0.1834	33.9
9	Ty France	0.2152	0.1631	33.9
10	Kevin Newman	0.1350	0.0740	33.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chas McCormick	0.1709	0.3250	49.7
2	Teoscar Hernández	0.3228	0.2487	43.3
3	Kyle Seager	0.1781	0.2403	42.5
4	Harrison Bader	0.3182	0.2120	42.1
5	Jonathan India	0.2880	0.2235	39.9
6	Jorge Soler	0.3004	0.2359	38.1
7	Aaron Judge	0.3106	0.2496	37.8
8	Tommy Edman	0.1916	0.1375	36.5
9	Ryan McMahon	0.3092	0.2466	36.5
10	Patrick Wisdom	0.3188	0.4080	33.9

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brett Phillips	0.2260	0.3615	0.3870	46.3	7.5	38.8
2	Adolis García	0.2439	0.3254	0.3119	40.8	8.4	32.4
3	Wander Franco	0.2260	0.1339	0.1201	33.3	4.2	29.1
4	Ronald Torreyes	0.2098	0.1315	0.1192	32.0	4.2	27.8
5	Bobby Dalbec	0.2840	0.3407	0.3444	26.2	1.7	24.5
6	Patrick Wisdom	0.2611	0.3282	0.4080	54.2	30.0	24.2
7	Bobby Bradley	0.2524	0.3347	0.3548	27.9	5.6	22.3
8	Nicky Lopez	0.1813	0.1444	0.1310	29.8	7.5	22.3
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1851	0.1577	0.1576	20.9	0.0	20.9
10	Bradley Zimmer	0.2743	0.3364	0.3506	25.7	5.0	20.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Brantley	0.2260	0.1251	0.1043	62.1	10.5	51.6
2	Patrick Wisdom	0.2260	0.3282	0.4080	68.0	30.0	38.1
3	Willians Astudillo	0.2260	0.0609	0.0556	36.9	1.1	35.8
4	Ronald Torreyes	0.2260	0.1315	0.1192	36.9	4.2	32.7
5	Bobby Bradley	0.2260	0.3347	0.3548	35.8	5.6	30.1
6	Justin Upton	0.2260	0.2973	0.2956	25.0	0.6	24.4
7	Andrelton Simmons	0.2260	0.0995	0.1375	40.2	17.2	23.0
8	Albert Pujols	0.2260	0.1534	0.1520	22.1	0.4	21.7
9	Joe Panik	0.2260	0.1212	0.1323	24.2	2.9	21.4
10	Yadier Molina	0.2260	0.1510	0.1670	28.2	7.6	20.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bobby Dalbec	0.3154	0.3407	0.3444	13.1	1.7	11.4
2	Adolis García	0.3368	0.3254	0.3119	15.5	8.4	7.1
3	Kyle Farmer	0.2475	0.2345	0.1834	33.9	27.0	6.9
4	Juan Lagares	0.2557	0.2360	0.2324	7.6	1.2	6.4
5	Matt Chapman	0.2493	0.2594	0.3248	47.0	40.7	6.3
6	Jarred Kelenic	0.2483	0.2641	0.2812	12.4	6.5	5.9
7	Ronald Torreyes	0.1481	0.1315	0.1192	9.9	4.2	5.7
8	Freddy Galvis	0.2303	0.2160	0.1954	13.7	8.1	5.6
9	Jonathan Schoop	0.2371	0.2291	0.1973	26.8	21.4	5.4
10	Dylan Carlson	0.2229	0.2316	0.2456	14.0	8.7	5.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jonathan India	0.2880	0.2518	0.2235	39.9	17.8	22.1
2	Bobby Dalbec	0.3924	0.3407	0.3444	21.2	1.7	19.5
3	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.3480	0.3096	0.2860	30.8	11.9	18.9
4	Austin Riley	0.3025	0.2755	0.2538	31.4	14.3	17.1
5	Alcides Escobar	0.2260	0.1870	0.1605	22.4	9.2	13.2
6	Matt Olson	0.2929	0.2746	0.1679	83.3	71.8	11.5
7	Bo Bichette	0.1725	0.1878	0.1986	18.9	7.5	11.4
8	DJ Peters	0.4293	0.3825	0.3417	20.7	9.8	11.0
9	Tyler Stephenson	0.2667	0.2395	0.1866	31.7	21.2	10.4
10	Kyle Seager	0.1781	0.1899	0.2403	42.5	33.8	8.7

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Leury García	0.0865	0.0418 (20.4)	0.0479 (18.1)	0.0439 (20.8)	0.0443 (20.0)	0.0372 (21.2)
Shohei Ohtani	0.1502	0.1016 (30.0)	0.0928 (36.5)	0.1026 (31.3)	0.1030 (30.2)	0.0991 (29.7)
Joey Gallo	0.1802	0.1438 (21.4)	0.1304 (30.4)	0.1437 (23.3)	0.1463 (20.9)	0.1414 (21.0)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1232	0.0903 (21.8)	0.0874 (24.7)	0.0937 (21.5)	0.0940 (20.4)	0.0832 (24.7)
Yuli Gurriel	0.0975	0.0585 (22.6)	0.0572 (24.2)	0.0610 (22.9)	0.0614 (21.9)	0.0530 (24.1)
Andrew Benintendi	0.0669	0.1129 (25.7)	0.1031 (19.7)	0.1109 (23.0)	0.1128 (24.6)	0.1149 (28.3)
Yasmani Grandal	0.2320	0.1483 (30.8)	0.1461 (32.1)	0.1475 (32.1)	0.1478 (31.6)	0.1494 (29.2)
Juan Soto	0.2217	0.1711 (32.0)	0.1565 (42.4)	0.1746 (31.6)	0.1746 (30.9)	0.1641 (34.6)
José Abreu	0.0926	0.0615 (19.4)	0.0635 (19.0)	0.0641 (19.6)	0.0643 (18.7)	0.0560 (21.0)
Jake Fraley	0.1736	0.0639 (28.6)	0.0762 (25.7)	0.0655 (29.0)	0.0658 (28.6)	0.0604 (28.8)
Yoán Moncada	0.1364	0.0994 (21.7)	0.0926 (26.7)	0.1019 (22.0)	0.1026 (20.8)	0.0936 (23.5)
DJ LeMahieu	0.1075	0.0773 (19.4)	0.0732 (23.1)	0.0802 (19.4)	0.0797 (18.9)	0.0719 (21.0)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rhys Hoskins	0.1548	0.1061	22.3
2	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1292	0.0987	21.9
3	Yordan Alvarez	0.1183	0.0836	21.8
4	Aaron Judge	0.1509	0.1185	21.6
5	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.0673	0.0414	18.7
6	Tom Murphy	0.0641	0.1231	18.6
7	David Fletcher	0.0728	0.0466	18.5
8	Anthony Rizzo	0.1200	0.0903	18.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Fletcher	0.0805	0.0466	22.8
2	Nathaniel Lowe	0.0888	0.1246	22.8
3	Matt Chapman	0.0928	0.1286	22.1
4	Robbie Grossman	0.1144	0.1461	21.0
5	C.J. Cron	0.0730	0.1097	19.9
6	Adolis García	0.0829	0.0514	19.8
7	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.0702	0.0414	19.8
8	Bryan Reynolds	0.0877	0.1161	18.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Donaldson	0.0882	0.1363	26.8
2	Aaron Judge	0.1551	0.1185	22.4
3	Rhys Hoskins	0.1565	0.1061	21.8
4	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1315	0.0987	21.5
5	Yordan Alvarez	0.1194	0.0836	20.6
6	Brett Gardner	0.0882	0.1302	19.9
7	Tom Murphy	0.0652	0.1231	19.2
8	C.J. Cron	0.0761	0.1097	19.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yordan Alvarez	0.1219	0.0836	22.8
2	Rhys Hoskins	0.1569	0.1061	22.5
3	Aaron Judge	0.1533	0.1185	22.0
4	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1293	0.0987	20.7
5	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.0706	0.0414	19.7
6	David Fletcher	0.0763	0.0466	19.7
7	Tom Murphy	0.0668	0.1231	18.3
8	C.J. Cron	0.0765	0.1097	18.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1269	0.0987	22.3
2	Rhys Hoskins	0.1510	0.1061	22.0
3	Yordan Alvarez	0.1136	0.0836	20.7
4	Matt Chapman	0.0912	0.1286	20.3
5	Darin Ruf	0.0784	0.1474	20.1
6	Aaron Judge	0.1443	0.1185	19.3
7	Tom Murphy	0.0604	0.1231	18.8
8	J.P. Crawford	0.1064	0.0844	18.3

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nathaniel Lowe	0.0888	0.1126	0.1246	22.8	6.6	16.2
2	Adolis García	0.0829	0.0433	0.0514	19.8	4.0	15.8
3	Austin Hays	0.0789	0.0512	0.0529	13.9	0.0	13.9
4	Matt Olson	0.1047	0.1193	0.1308	17.3	6.5	10.7
5	Juan Soto	0.1565	0.1711	0.2217	42.4	32.0	10.4
6	Sean Murphy	0.1147	0.0913	0.0893	11.5	1.7	9.9
7	Zack Collins	0.0987	0.1366	0.1472	11.1	2.0	9.1
8	Joey Gallo	0.1304	0.1438	0.1802	30.4	21.4	9.1
9	Yandy Díaz	0.1089	0.1290	0.1275	9.9	1.7	8.1
10	Edmundo Sosa	0.0874	0.0394	0.0521	11.6	3.6	8.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Josh Donaldson	0.0882	0.1495	0.1363	26.8	8.1	18.7
2	Yadier Molina	0.0882	0.0464	0.0507	17.1	1.2	15.9
3	Brett Gardner	0.0882	0.1127	0.1302	19.9	7.3	12.7
4	Joshua Fuentes	0.0882	0.0394	0.0423	12.7	0.3	12.4
5	Alcides Escobar	0.0882	0.0510	0.0487	13.3	1.4	11.9
6	Willians Astudillo	0.0882	0.0312	0.0139	15.8	4.1	11.7
7	Erik González	0.0882	0.0437	0.0349	11.9	2.4	9.5
8	Didi Gregorius	0.0882	0.0627	0.0613	10.5	1.3	9.2
9	Victor Reyes	0.0882	0.0440	0.0364	11.1	2.1	9.1
10	Odúbel Herrera	0.0882	0.0681	0.0589	13.8	5.3	8.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jed Lowrie	0.1021	0.0941	0.0957	3.2	0.1	3.2
2	Brett Gardner	0.1080	0.1127	0.1302	10.2	7.3	3.0
3	Miguel Cabrera	0.0995	0.0924	0.0760	12.3	9.5	2.8
4	Sean Murphy	0.0991	0.0913	0.0893	4.4	1.7	2.7
5	Jace Peterson	0.1143	0.1211	0.1258	3.5	0.9	2.6
6	Yoshi Tsutsugo	0.1331	0.1216	0.1107	5.9	3.3	2.5
7	Josh VanMeter	0.0893	0.0947	0.1065	5.3	3.1	2.2
8	Akil Baddoo	0.0728	0.0757	0.0976	11.5	9.3	2.2
9	Jared Walsh	0.0862	0.0799	0.0821	2.4	0.2	2.1
10	Mark Canha	0.1130	0.1146	0.1232	6.4	4.3	2.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alcides Escobar	0.0882	0.0510	0.0487	15.4	1.4	14.0
2	Andy Ibáñez	0.0882	0.0716	0.0551	10.3	4.9	5.3
3	Trey Mancini	0.0683	0.0792	0.0828	6.0	1.1	4.9
4	Jared Walsh	0.0687	0.0799	0.0821	5.1	0.2	4.8
5	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.0881	0.0825	0.0671	13.0	8.7	4.3
6	Trent Grisham	0.1321	0.1269	0.1025	18.1	13.8	4.3
7	Josh Donaldson	0.1528	0.1495	0.1363	11.5	8.1	3.4
8	Hunter Dozier	0.1049	0.1018	0.0792	16.5	13.2	3.3
9	Bradley Zimmer	0.0918	0.0859	0.0862	3.6	0.5	3.1
10	Matt Chapman	0.0912	0.0991	0.1286	20.3	17.3	3.1

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Kyle Farmer	0.0340	0.0137 (10.3)	0.0158 (9.2)	0.0142 (10.3)	0.0140 (10.3)	0.0129 (10.6)
Mookie Betts	0.0200	0.0079 (6.2)	0.0076 (6.4)	0.0087 (6.1)	0.0090 (5.8)	0.0061 (7.0)
Rougned Odor	0.0305	0.0128 (6.1)	0.0119 (6.4)	0.0130 (6.2)	0.0130 (6.1)	0.0124 (6.1)
Nick Solak	0.0294	0.0123 (8.3)	0.0149 (7.0)	0.0127 (8.4)	0.0130 (8.1)	0.0113 (8.7)
Mark Canha	0.0432	0.0271 (9.6)	0.0299 (7.9)	0.0257 (10.8)	0.0250 (11.0)	0.0307 (7.2)
Sean Murphy	0.0268	0.0113 (6.6)	0.0072 (8.5)	0.0112 (6.8)	0.0110 (6.8)	0.0117 (6.3)
Tyler O'Neill	0.0242	0.0092 (7.7)	0.0100 (7.2)	0.0103 (7.3)	0.0100 (7.3)	0.0071 (8.6)
Javier Báez	0.0238	0.0075 (8.5)	0.0080 (8.2)	0.0079 (8.5)	0.0080 (8.3)	0.0066 (8.8)
Will Smith	0.0359	0.0135 (10.9)	0.0171 (9.1)	0.0123 (11.7)	0.0120 (11.7)	0.0161 (9.4)
José Abreu	0.0334	0.0163 (10.7)	0.0152 (11.5)	0.0160 (11.3)	0.0160 (11.1)	0.0170 (10.1)
Edmundo Sosa	0.0521	0.0169 (11.2)	0.0146 (12.0)	0.0159 (11.7)	0.0160 (11.6)	0.0188 (10.5)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan India	0.0193	0.0365	10.3
2	Ty France	0.0271	0.0415	8.9
3	Bradley Zimmer	0.0214	0.0431	7.3
4	Josh Harrison	0.0195	0.0323	6.7
5	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0138	0.0037	6.0
6	Matt Beaty	0.0171	0.0427	5.8
7	Kevin Pillar	0.0119	0.0288	5.6
8	Alcides Escobar	0.0090	0.0258	5.6
9	Kyle Seager	0.0134	0.0060	5.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan India	0.0118	0.0365	15.1
2	Ty France	0.0199	0.0415	13.6
3	Josh Harrison	0.0156	0.0323	8.9
4	Dylan Moore	0.0292	0.0106	7.3
5	Matt Beaty	0.0118	0.0427	7.1
6	Bradley Zimmer	0.0221	0.0431	7.0
7	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0157	0.0037	7.0
8	Yoán Moncada	0.0053	0.0162	6.3
9	Tommy Edman	0.0169	0.0087	6.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan India	0.0159	0.0365	12.8
2	Ty France	0.0237	0.0415	11.4
3	Josh Harrison	0.0144	0.0323	9.8
4	Bradley Zimmer	0.0167	0.0431	9.1
5	Kurt Suzuki	0.0118	0.0445	8.0
6	Matt Beaty	0.0160	0.0427	6.2
7	Kevin Pillar	0.0117	0.0288	5.8
8	Victor Robles	0.0273	0.0434	5.8
9	Brent Rooker	0.0147	0.0423	5.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan India	0.0160	0.0365	12.6
2	Ty France	0.0240	0.0415	11.0
3	Josh Harrison	0.0150	0.0323	9.3
4	Bradley Zimmer	0.0170	0.0431	8.9
5	Matt Beaty	0.0160	0.0427	6.1
6	Brent Rooker	0.0140	0.0423	5.9
7	Victor Robles	0.0270	0.0434	5.8
8	Kurt Suzuki	0.0210	0.0445	5.7
9	Alcides Escobar	0.0090	0.0258	5.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0153	0.0037	6.9
2	Trevor Story	0.0062	0.0185	6.7
3	Kyle Seager	0.0148	0.0060	6.7
4	Andrew Vaughn	0.0259	0.0128	6.7
5	Dylan Moore	0.0271	0.0106	6.6
6	Kris Bryant	0.0252	0.0154	6.4
7	Harrison Bader	0.0273	0.0125	6.4
8	Justin Turner	0.0286	0.0196	6.2
9	James McCann	0.0184	0.0049	6.0

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jonathan India	0.0118	0.0193	0.0365	15.1	10.3	4.7
2	Ty France	0.0199	0.0271	0.0415	13.6	8.9	4.7
3	Tommy Edman	0.0169	0.0126	0.0087	6.2	3.2	3.0
4	Abraham Toro	0.0265	0.0198	0.0187	3.2	0.7	2.5
5	Ramón Urías	0.0093	0.0170	0.0203	3.0	0.8	2.3
6	Dylan Moore	0.0292	0.0231	0.0106	7.3	5.0	2.3
7	Josh Harrison	0.0156	0.0195	0.0323	8.9	6.7	2.2
8	Luis Urías	0.0205	0.0170	0.0175	2.1	0.1	2.0
9	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0062	0.0126	0.0169	2.9	1.0	1.9
10	Sean Murphy	0.0072	0.0113	0.0268	8.5	6.6	1.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Josh Harrison	0.0144	0.0195	0.0323	9.8	6.7	3.1
2	Jonathan Villar	0.0118	0.0057	0.0059	3.1	0.3	2.9
3	Kurt Suzuki	0.0118	0.0227	0.0445	8.0	5.2	2.8
4	Guillermo Heredia	0.0118	0.0190	0.0259	4.8	2.2	2.6
5	Jed Lowrie	0.0118	0.0063	0.0039	4.2	1.6	2.6
6	Ty France	0.0237	0.0271	0.0415	11.4	8.9	2.5
7	Andrew Young	0.0118	0.0355	0.0577	4.7	2.2	2.5
8	Jonathan India	0.0159	0.0193	0.0365	12.8	10.3	2.4
9	Starlin Castro	0.0118	0.0047	0.0000	4.2	1.9	2.3
10	Yadiel Hernandez	0.0118	0.0042	0.0035	2.5	0.4	2.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Josh Harrison	0.0150	0.0195	0.0323	9.3	6.7	2.6
2	Jonathan India	0.0160	0.0193	0.0365	12.6	10.3	2.2
3	Ty France	0.0240	0.0271	0.0415	11.0	8.9	2.2
4	Bradley Zimmer	0.0170	0.0214	0.0431	8.9	7.3	1.6
5	Mark Canha	0.0250	0.0271	0.0432	11.0	9.6	1.5
6	Victor Robles	0.0270	0.0307	0.0434	5.8	4.4	1.4
7	Anthony Rizzo	0.0310	0.0330	0.0399	4.8	3.6	1.3
8	Ramón Urías	0.0130	0.0170	0.0203	2.0	0.8	1.2
9	Starling Marte	0.0210	0.0231	0.0247	1.7	0.4	1.2
10	Guillermo Heredia	0.0160	0.0190	0.0259	3.3	2.2	1.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andrew Vaughn	0.0259	0.0166	0.0128	6.7	2.2	4.5
2	Randy Arozarena	0.0311	0.0257	0.0232	5.4	2.0	3.4
3	Justin Turner	0.0286	0.0244	0.0196	6.2	3.4	2.8
4	Willson Contreras	0.0341	0.0294	0.0290	3.0	0.5	2.5
5	Abraham Toro	0.0259	0.0198	0.0187	3.1	0.7	2.4
6	Bo Bichette	0.0018	0.0052	0.0087	4.0	1.9	2.1
7	Joey Gallo	0.0143	0.0113	0.0097	3.5	1.4	2.1
8	Mitch Haniger	0.0186	0.0162	0.0130	4.6	2.7	1.9
9	Tyler Stephenson	0.0205	0.0163	0.0149	2.7	0.8	1.8
10	Pete Alonso	0.0260	0.0235	0.0188	5.2	3.5	1.8

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Zunino	0.1634	0.0826 (30.7)	0.0692 (36.0)	0.0818 (31.7)	0.0802 (31.8)	0.0859 (29.4)
Gleyber Torres	0.0249	0.0773 (26.4)	0.0717 (23.2)	0.0758 (24.7)	0.0742 (24.6)	0.0819 (29.0)
Shohei Ohtani	0.1314	0.0800 (33.6)	0.0701 (40.4)	0.0823 (33.3)	0.0816 (32.8)	0.0761 (35.8)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0968	0.0603 (26.2)	0.0464 (36.5)	0.0619 (26.4)	0.0614 (25.7)	0.0576 (27.8)
Marcus Semien	0.0884	0.0531 (26.4)	0.0464 (31.8)	0.0507 (29.4)	0.0502 (28.8)	0.0585 (22.2)
Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1277	0.0878 (22.4)	0.0823 (25.8)	0.0884 (23.0)	0.0895 (21.7)	0.0854 (23.5)
Christian Yelich	0.0311	0.0849 (25.0)	0.0917 (27.9)	0.0855 (24.4)	0.0842 (24.5)	0.0849 (25.2)
Salvador Perez	0.1057	0.0724 (22.9)	0.0707 (24.5)	0.0721 (24.3)	0.0729 (22.8)	0.0723 (22.7)
Avisaíl García	0.0841	0.0485 (18.9)	0.0500 (18.5)	0.0508 (18.6)	0.0504 (18.1)	0.0443 (20.9)
Jorge Polanco	0.0693	0.0367 (21.7)	0.0352 (23.2)	0.0374 (22.4)	0.0376 (21.4)	0.0351 (22.5)
Joey Votto	0.1108	0.0510 (32.4)	0.0418 (37.7)	0.0565 (30.5)	0.0551 (30.5)	0.0417 (37.2)
Patrick Wisdom	0.1505	0.0680 (31.4)	0.0538 (37.0)	0.0512 (38.4)	0.0661 (32.2)	0.0698 (30.6)
Cedric Mullins	0.0621	0.0335 (20.1)	0.0352 (19.4)	0.0344 (20.7)	0.0351 (19.3)	0.0311 (21.4)
Adam Duvall	0.1111	0.0777 (19.2)	0.0784 (19.2)	0.0768 (20.6)	0.0785 (18.9)	0.0776 (19.0)
Brandon Belt	0.1300	0.0539 (29.4)	0.0487 (31.7)	0.0548 (29.8)	0.0561 (28.8)	0.0508 (30.5)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Lowe	0.0761	0.1051	18.5
2	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.0234	0.0709	18.5
3	Ryan Mountcastle	0.0581	0.0868	17.5
4	Buster Posey	0.0211	0.0581	17.3
5	Seth Brown	0.0482	0.1031	17.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler O'Neill	0.0645	0.1069	23.8
2	Adolis García	0.0441	0.0793	23.0
3	Ryan Mountcastle	0.0526	0.0868	21.1
4	Seth Brown	0.0429	0.1031	19.1
5	Robbie Grossman	0.0300	0.0561	18.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Lowe	0.0738	0.1051	21.1
2	Kyle Seager	0.0512	0.0785	20.2
3	Seth Brown	0.0451	0.1031	18.7
4	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.0248	0.0709	18.7
5	Nelson Cruz	0.0512	0.0800	18.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Lowe	0.0733	0.1051	20.5
2	Seth Brown	0.0456	0.1031	18.1
3	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.0255	0.0709	17.9
4	Ryan Mountcastle	0.0595	0.0868	16.9
5	Cody Bellinger	0.0915	0.0446	15.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1333	0.0983	19.8
2	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.0201	0.0709	19.6
3	Matt Olson	0.1140	0.0842	19.5
4	Buster Posey	0.0174	0.0581	18.8
5	Ryan Mountcastle	0.0557	0.0868	18.7

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Gallo	0.1099	0.1329	0.1329	15.3	0.7	14.6
2	Bobby Bradley	0.0511	0.0907	0.1074	16.2	5.0	11.2
3	Adolis García	0.0441	0.0611	0.0793	23.0	12.0	11.1
4	Myles Straw	0.0284	0.0104	0.0089	11.2	0.2	11.0
5	Kyle Schwarber	0.0833	0.1051	0.1168	16.6	6.0	10.6
6	Eric Haase	0.0504	0.0766	0.0940	17.3	7.1	10.3
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0464	0.0603	0.0968	36.5	26.2	10.2
8	Tyler O'Neill	0.0645	0.0815	0.1069	23.8	14.3	9.5
9	Bryce Harper	0.0815	0.0962	0.0972	10.5	1.3	9.2
10	Rhys Hoskins	0.0721	0.0905	0.0954	11.2	2.7	8.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andrelton Simmons	0.0512	0.0188	0.0085	17.9	4.2	13.8
2	Bobby Bradley	0.0512	0.0907	0.1074	16.5	5.0	11.5
3	Alcides Escobar	0.0512	0.0173	0.0150	11.6	0.4	11.2
4	Josh Donaldson	0.0512	0.0820	0.0741	14.0	3.7	10.3
5	Justin Upton	0.0512	0.0845	0.0791	11.2	1.6	9.6
6	Magneuris Sierra	0.0512	0.0106	0.0000	10.9	2.1	8.7
7	Aristides Aquino	0.0512	0.0892	0.0990	10.4	2.2	8.1
8	Nelson Cruz	0.0512	0.0993	0.0800	18.5	10.6	7.9
9	Yadier Molina	0.0512	0.0294	0.0301	8.6	0.9	7.7
10	Phil Gosselin	0.0512	0.0252	0.0264	8.2	0.9	7.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Maikel Franco	0.0629	0.0531	0.0351	10.6	6.8	3.8
2	Joey Gallo	0.1274	0.1329	0.1329	4.3	0.7	3.7
3	Jarred Kelenic	0.0505	0.0575	0.0603	4.3	1.5	2.8
4	Max Muncy	0.0833	0.0871	0.0952	8.0	5.5	2.5
5	Marcus Semien	0.0502	0.0531	0.0884	28.8	26.4	2.4
6	DJ Peters	0.0657	0.0747	0.0903	6.3	4.0	2.3
7	Carlos Santana	0.0571	0.0534	0.0406	9.9	7.7	2.2
8	Enrique Hernández	0.0583	0.0544	0.0494	4.3	2.3	2.1
9	Brandon Lowe	0.0733	0.0761	0.1051	20.5	18.5	2.0
10	Trea Turner	0.0459	0.0484	0.0573	8.3	6.4	1.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alcides Escobar	0.0512	0.0173	0.0150	12.4	0.4	12.0
2	Teoscar Hernández	0.1101	0.0944	0.0792	17.9	8.4	9.5
3	Miguel Sanó	0.1399	0.1264	0.1042	18.6	11.2	7.4
4	Matt Olson	0.1140	0.1038	0.0842	19.5	12.4	7.1
5	Yonny Hernández	0.0512	0.0112	0.0000	8.4	1.7	6.7
6	Nelson Cruz	0.1081	0.0993	0.0800	16.0	10.6	5.4
7	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.0680	0.0580	0.0556	5.9	0.6	5.3
8	Matt Chapman	0.0934	0.0858	0.0804	7.6	2.7	5.0
9	Jorge Soler	0.1000	0.0924	0.0698	17.7	12.9	4.8
10	Aaron Judge	0.1231	0.1159	0.0982	15.3	10.5	4.8

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Josh Rojas	0.3401	0.2918 (27.9)	0.2795 (37.5)	0.2892 (28.0)	0.2926 (27.3)	0.2936 (28.9)
Austin Riley	0.3678	0.2976 (48.1)	0.2892 (57.0)	0.2957 (47.7)	0.2991 (46.8)	0.2980 (50.2)
Bryce Harper	0.3569	0.2910 (40.9)	0.2944 (42.0)	0.2858 (42.6)	0.2883 (42.3)	0.2988 (38.4)
Adam Frazier	0.3373	0.2902 (31.6)	0.2909 (34.4)	0.2891 (30.8)	0.2913 (30.7)	0.2903 (33.8)
Yuli Gurriel	0.3355	0.2705 (40.8)	0.2837 (35.9)	0.2743 (37.0)	0.2770 (36.6)	0.2607 (48.9)
Tyler O'Neill	0.3662	0.2841 (45.4)	0.2931 (43.3)	0.2817 (45.3)	0.2874 (43.4)	0.2833 (47.8)
Cody Bellinger	0.1963	0.2860 (30.6)	0.2927 (31.1)	0.2797 (29.2)	0.2830 (29.6)	0.2956 (32.7)
Eugenio Suárez	0.2240	0.2853 (33.8)	0.2958 (36.9)	0.2821 (33.4)	0.2849 (33.8)	0.2888 (33.7)
Kevin Newman	0.2333	0.2950 (32.8)	0.3020 (33.9)	0.2952 (34.3)	0.2986 (35.1)	0.2913 (28.8)
Cedric Mullins	0.3201	0.2790 (29.4)	0.2812 (31.3)	0.2760 (29.7)	0.2794 (28.9)	0.2815 (30.1)
Teoscar Hernández	0.3522	0.3008 (32.0)	0.3046 (32.8)	0.2970 (32.8)	0.3015 (31.4)	0.3039 (32.3)
Randy Arozarena	0.3634	0.3083 (34.7)	0.2973 (44.4)	0.3054 (35.0)	0.3098 (33.6)	0.3095 (36.2)
Starling Marte	0.3705	0.3085 (33.9)	0.3123 (34.6)	0.3057 (34.0)	0.3097 (33.0)	0.3100 (35.0)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Akil Baddoo	0.2533	0.3345	38.5
2	César Hernández	0.3196	0.2662	32.5
3	Paul DeJong	0.2920	0.2161	29.5
4	Nicky Lopez	0.2888	0.3372	28.7
5	Trea Turner	0.3209	0.3623	28.3
6	Jorge Soler	0.2931	0.2444	27.8
7	Brandon Crawford	0.2861	0.3343	27.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nicky Lopez	0.2731	0.3372	40.4
2	Mike Yastrzemski	0.3318	0.2532	37.8
3	Austin Meadows	0.3160	0.2493	35.0
4	Dylan Carlson	0.2824	0.3307	34.6
5	Luis Robert Jr.	0.2917	0.3941	32.5
6	Jared Walsh	0.2899	0.3352	30.9
7	Brandon Marsh	0.2916	0.4000	30.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Seager	0.2916	0.2263	43.8
2	Akil Baddoo	0.2449	0.3345	41.3
3	Didi Gregorius	0.2916	0.2169	30.5
4	Trea Turner	0.3171	0.3623	29.1
5	Paul DeJong	0.2875	0.2161	28.7
6	Brandon Crawford	0.2828	0.3343	28.2
7	Tim Anderson	0.3226	0.3724	27.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Akil Baddoo	0.2480	0.3345	40.8
2	César Hernández	0.3209	0.2662	33.6
3	Trea Turner	0.3180	0.3623	29.9
4	Paul DeJong	0.2921	0.2161	29.7
5	Buster Posey	0.2886	0.3493	28.5
6	Jarred Kelenic	0.2911	0.2156	27.7
7	Jorge Soler	0.2907	0.2444	26.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nicky Lopez	0.2785	0.3372	36.6
2	Akil Baddoo	0.2670	0.3345	33.9
3	Mike Yastrzemski	0.3223	0.2532	33.6
4	Jorge Soler	0.3037	0.2444	32.1
5	Paul DeJong	0.2964	0.2161	29.9
6	César Hernández	0.3183	0.2662	29.4
7	Brandon Crawford	0.2870	0.3343	29.3

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yonathan Daza	0.2887	0.3353	0.3374	18.6	1.5	17.1
2	Hunter Renfroe	0.2473	0.2693	0.2842	25.4	9.8	15.5
3	Nolan Arenado	0.2976	0.2690	0.2489	26.9	11.5	15.4
4	Mookie Betts	0.3194	0.2890	0.2762	19.6	5.7	13.9
5	Tyler Naquin	0.2916	0.3145	0.3183	15.6	2.8	12.7
6	Nicky Lopez	0.2731	0.2888	0.3372	40.4	28.7	11.8
7	Austin Meadows	0.3160	0.2912	0.2493	35.0	23.3	11.7
8	Mike Yastrzemski	0.3318	0.3049	0.2532	37.8	26.3	11.5
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.2959	0.3070	0.3125	16.8	5.5	11.3
10	Dylan Carlson	0.2824	0.2951	0.3307	34.6	23.5	11.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Seager	0.2916	0.2622	0.2263	43.8	22.4	21.3
2	Albert Pujols	0.2916	0.2442	0.2233	20.2	5.5	14.7
3	Maikel Franco	0.2916	0.2611	0.2252	26.8	13.5	13.3
4	Sandy León	0.2916	0.2426	0.2426	10.8	0.5	10.2
5	Didi Gregorius	0.2916	0.2710	0.2169	30.5	21.1	9.4
6	Michael Brantley	0.2916	0.3115	0.3374	23.3	14.4	8.9
7	Josh Donaldson	0.2916	0.2781	0.2677	13.0	4.4	8.6
8	Steven Duggar	0.2916	0.3229	0.3547	18.7	10.2	8.6
9	Mitch Moreland	0.2916	0.2631	0.2561	8.9	1.2	7.8
10	Gregory Polanco	0.2916	0.2740	0.2576	13.0	5.3	7.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Sandy León	0.2666	0.2426	0.2426	4.8	0.5	4.3
2	Andrew Vaughn	0.2487	0.2576	0.2712	11.5	7.5	4.0
3	Justin Upton	0.2903	0.2800	0.2525	13.0	9.1	3.9
4	Jose Iglesias	0.2972	0.3048	0.3050	5.0	1.4	3.7
5	Buster Posey	0.2886	0.2968	0.3493	28.5	24.9	3.6
6	Albert Pujols	0.2557	0.2442	0.2233	9.0	5.5	3.5
7	Trey Mancini	0.3000	0.3056	0.3079	6.1	2.9	3.3
8	Gregory Polanco	0.2821	0.2740	0.2576	8.6	5.3	3.2
9	Kyle Tucker	0.2902	0.2959	0.3028	8.3	5.3	3.1
10	Joey Votto	0.2962	0.2909	0.2872	3.7	0.7	3.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.2918	0.3070	0.3125	18.7	5.5	13.1
2	Yuli Gurriel	0.2607	0.2705	0.3355	48.9	40.8	8.1
3	Nicky Lopez	0.2785	0.2888	0.3372	36.6	28.7	7.9
4	Ryan Mountcastle	0.3371	0.3205	0.2968	20.1	12.5	7.6
5	Michael Conforto	0.3216	0.3025	0.2759	19.0	11.6	7.4
6	Rafael Devers	0.3281	0.3134	0.3068	10.2	2.8	7.3
7	Mike Yastrzemski	0.3223	0.3049	0.2532	33.6	26.3	7.3
8	Bryan Reynolds	0.3090	0.3163	0.3452	27.3	20.2	7.0
9	Dominic Smith	0.3247	0.3074	0.2979	10.3	3.5	6.8
10	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3433	0.3278	0.3240	7.2	0.7	6.5

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Yastrzemski	0.1551	0.2151 (31.3)	0.2275 (36.6)	0.2135 (31.6)	0.2088 (27.4)	0.2229 (34.8)
Austin Riley	0.2821	0.2182 (43.2)	0.2206 (43.1)	0.2217 (39.3)	0.2239 (40.0)	0.2086 (50.3)
Adam Frazier	0.2564	0.2143 (27.8)	0.2109 (31.4)	0.2101 (28.9)	0.2160 (27.2)	0.2166 (27.0)
Yuli Gurriel	0.2680	0.1961 (44.2)	0.2057 (39.9)	0.1945 (43.8)	0.2046 (39.7)	0.1896 (48.9)
Juan Soto	0.2753	0.2197 (37.2)	0.2277 (33.5)	0.2115 (41.1)	0.2258 (33.8)	0.2216 (36.7)
Bo Bichette	0.2741	0.2192 (38.7)	0.2268 (35.1)	0.2221 (35.1)	0.2255 (35.0)	0.2103 (45.7)
Javier Báez	0.2818	0.2291 (29.5)	0.2179 (36.9)	0.2321 (26.6)	0.2210 (34.4)	0.2340 (27.5)
Eugenio Suárez	0.1494	0.2103 (34.2)	0.2254 (41.6)	0.2030 (31.4)	0.2150 (36.4)	0.2128 (35.0)
Trea Turner	0.2820	0.2332 (32.4)	0.2388 (30.2)	0.2300 (32.9)	0.2337 (32.6)	0.2358 (31.4)
Teoscar Hernández	0.2742	0.2130 (37.2)	0.2132 (38.4)	0.2128 (35.9)	0.2175 (35.0)	0.2085 (40.6)
Michael A. Taylor	0.2665	0.2081 (31.5)	0.2089 (32.3)	0.2150 (26.6)	0.2125 (29.7)	0.1972 (37.9)
Starling Marte	0.2869	0.2343 (28.4)	0.2268 (33.5)	0.2323 (28.2)	0.2327 (29.7)	0.2378 (27.2)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2167	0.2648	28.6
2	Tyler O'Neill	0.2170	0.2676	27.9
3	Freddie Freeman	0.2242	0.2629	27.8
4	Nicky Lopez	0.2279	0.2752	27.5
5	Andrew McCutchen	0.2150	0.1667	27.0
6	Kevin Newman	0.2308	0.1812	26.7
7	Brandon Nimmo	0.2150	0.2792	25.3
8	Jorge Soler	0.2125	0.1694	25.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nicky Lopez	0.2048	0.2752	41.8
2	Austin Meadows	0.2264	0.1645	34.5
3	Kevin Newman	0.2431	0.1812	32.3
4	Nolan Arenado	0.2222	0.1702	31.6
5	Dylan Carlson	0.1941	0.2388	29.9
6	Tyler O'Neill	0.2184	0.2676	28.4
7	Myles Straw	0.2281	0.2680	27.8
8	Willi Castro	0.2678	0.2027	27.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Seager	0.2165	0.1533	43.0
2	Tim Anderson	0.2338	0.2934	32.2
3	J.P. Crawford	0.1982	0.2455	31.8
4	Freddie Freeman	0.2207	0.2629	28.6
5	Trevor Story	0.2339	0.1875	28.2
6	Kevin Newman	0.2308	0.1812	28.0
7	Nick Castellanos	0.1903	0.2382	27.5
8	Bradley Zimmer	0.2096	0.2890	27.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Newman	0.2334	0.1812	27.7
2	Tyler O'Neill	0.2192	0.2676	27.2
3	Freddie Freeman	0.2270	0.2629	26.5
4	Nicky Lopez	0.2308	0.2752	26.3
5	Jonathan Schoop	0.2157	0.2521	26.0
6	Salvador Perez	0.2020	0.2389	26.0
7	Shohei Ohtani	0.2331	0.1908	25.6
8	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2229	0.2648	25.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2065	0.2648	35.2
2	Nicky Lopez	0.2203	0.2752	32.4
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.2024	0.2455	31.9
4	Tyler O'Neill	0.2146	0.2676	29.8
5	Andrew McCutchen	0.2208	0.1667	29.7
6	Freddie Freeman	0.2247	0.2629	28.3
7	Jorge Soler	0.2185	0.1694	28.0
8	Brandon Nimmo	0.2125	0.2792	26.7

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Myles Straw	0.2281	0.2563	0.2680	27.8	8.3	19.5
2	Nicky Lopez	0.2048	0.2279	0.2752	41.8	27.5	14.3
3	Mookie Betts	0.2281	0.2035	0.1878	20.2	7.9	12.3
4	Nolan Arenado	0.2222	0.2016	0.1702	31.6	19.7	11.9
5	Yonathan Daza	0.2254	0.2582	0.2805	19.4	7.8	11.6
6	Yadiel Hernandez	0.2045	0.2389	0.2727	20.7	10.1	10.6
7	Dylan Carlson	0.1941	0.2086	0.2388	29.9	19.5	10.4
8	Austin Meadows	0.2264	0.2070	0.1645	34.5	24.4	10.1
9	Austin Hays	0.2419	0.2216	0.2011	19.7	10.1	9.5
10	Hunter Renfroe	0.1667	0.1792	0.1940	17.7	9.2	8.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Seager	0.2165	0.1894	0.1533	43.0	23.3	19.7
2	Miguel Cabrera	0.2165	0.2516	0.2586	21.6	4.4	17.2
3	Jonathan Villar	0.2165	0.2471	0.2451	13.9	0.4	13.5
4	Eric Hosmer	0.2165	0.2382	0.2419	13.8	2.8	11.0
5	Maikel Franco	0.2165	0.1937	0.1523	26.3	16.2	10.1
6	Michael Brantley	0.2165	0.2363	0.2592	21.2	12.3	8.9
7	Josh Donaldson	0.2165	0.2037	0.1877	16.2	8.0	8.2
8	J.P. Crawford	0.1982	0.2124	0.2455	31.8	23.6	8.2
9	Carlos Correa	0.2105	0.2251	0.2243	8.2	0.4	7.8
10	Josh VanMeter	0.2165	0.1941	0.1765	12.7	5.1	7.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jonathan Schoop	0.2157	0.2230	0.2521	26.0	20.5	5.6
2	Javier Báez	0.2210	0.2291	0.2818	34.4	29.5	4.9
3	Buster Posey	0.2207	0.2304	0.2705	23.6	18.8	4.8
4	José Abreu	0.2263	0.2188	0.2134	7.0	2.7	4.3
5	Carlos Santana	0.1888	0.1961	0.1938	4.7	0.7	4.1
6	Josh VanMeter	0.2075	0.1941	0.1765	8.9	5.1	3.9
7	Salvador Perez	0.2020	0.2068	0.2389	26.0	22.2	3.8
8	Pavin Smith	0.2176	0.2232	0.2382	12.5	8.9	3.6
9	Jake Cronenworth	0.2343	0.2280	0.1927	25.3	21.9	3.5
10	Yadier Molina	0.2213	0.2276	0.2288	4.6	1.2	3.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.2024	0.2230	0.2455	31.9	16.7	15.2
2	Ryan Mountcastle	0.2640	0.2474	0.2277	19.9	10.8	9.0
3	Carlos Correa	0.2413	0.2251	0.2243	9.2	0.4	8.9
4	Michael Conforto	0.2427	0.2235	0.2069	16.0	7.4	8.6
5	Joey Gallo	0.1658	0.1784	0.1895	16.1	7.7	8.5
6	Robbie Grossman	0.2026	0.2138	0.2171	11.4	3.0	8.3
7	Hunter Renfroe	0.1679	0.1792	0.1940	16.3	9.2	7.2
8	Austin Riley	0.2086	0.2182	0.2821	50.3	43.2	7.2
9	Bo Bichette	0.2103	0.2192	0.2741	45.7	38.7	7.0
10	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.2064	0.2227	0.2399	14.2	7.3	6.9

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Freddie Freeman	0.0539	0.0940 (27.7)	0.0906 (23.6)	0.0934 (27.1)	0.0900 (25.4)	0.0985 (30.0)
Matt Chapman	0.0485	0.0892 (25.2)	0.0957 (27.7)	0.0824 (20.7)	0.0857 (23.4)	0.1000 (31.1)
Joey Gallo	0.0524	0.0874 (21.4)	0.0926 (23.1)	0.0827 (18.3)	0.0818 (18.4)	0.0984 (27.5)
Bryce Harper	0.1292	0.0831 (27.8)	0.0888 (25.8)	0.0827 (28.2)	0.0782 (30.3)	0.0884 (25.3)
Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1080	0.0713 (20.2)	0.0673 (23.7)	0.0688 (21.7)	0.0719 (19.5)	0.0733 (19.7)
Juan Soto	0.0519	0.0890 (24.1)	0.0893 (22.7)	0.0955 (28.1)	0.0839 (21.2)	0.0876 (22.4)
Guillermo Heredia	0.1182	0.0596 (20.4)	0.0701 (17.6)	0.0691 (17.2)	0.0599 (20.1)	0.0594 (20.9)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael A. Taylor	0.0845	0.0479	19.2
2	Jeimer Candelario	0.0747	0.1034	18.1
3	Carlos Santana	0.0605	0.0334	17.7
4	Mitch Haniger	0.0799	0.0548	17.2
5	Byron Buxton	0.0847	0.1494	16.5
6	Josh Rojas	0.0635	0.0930	16.4
7	Jonathan India	0.0652	0.0907	16.2
8	Cedric Mullins	0.0585	0.0817	15.8
9	Bo Bichette	0.0859	0.0628	15.8
10	Ketel Marte	0.0671	0.1086	15.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bo Bichette	0.0979	0.0628	22.4
2	Dominic Smith	0.1078	0.0608	21.9
3	Cedric Mullins	0.0521	0.0817	21.8
4	Michael A. Taylor	0.0886	0.0479	20.1
5	Kolten Wong	0.0556	0.0912	18.8
6	Jeimer Candelario	0.0762	0.1034	18.7
7	Carlos Santana	0.0643	0.0334	18.6
8	Josh Rojas	0.0621	0.0930	18.5
9	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0929	0.0592	17.9
10	Randy Arozarena	0.0676	0.0930	17.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeimer Candelario	0.0626	0.1034	25.9
2	Josh Rojas	0.0524	0.0930	22.6
3	Ketel Marte	0.0564	0.1086	19.8
4	Rhys Hoskins	0.0742	0.1133	17.6
5	Kyle Tucker	0.0638	0.0941	17.5
6	Tyler O'Neill	0.0608	0.0915	16.8
7	Mitch Haniger	0.0794	0.0548	16.7
8	Akil Baddoo	0.0362	0.0712	16.4
9	Albert Pujols	0.0691	0.0140	16.2
10	Nick Ahmed	0.0579	0.0915	16.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Santana	0.0637	0.0334	20.2
2	Michael A. Taylor	0.0849	0.0479	19.7
3	Cedric Mullins	0.0557	0.0817	17.3
4	Rhys Hoskins	0.0744	0.1133	17.0
5	Bo Bichette	0.0865	0.0628	16.7
6	Jeimer Candelario	0.0767	0.1034	16.5
7	Byron Buxton	0.0867	0.1494	15.8
8	Kyle Tucker	0.0670	0.0941	15.2
9	Jesse Winker	0.0676	0.0988	14.9
10	Jonathan India	0.0670	0.0907	14.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan India	0.0528	0.0907	24.8
2	Michael A. Taylor	0.0917	0.0479	22.4
3	Mitch Haniger	0.0856	0.0548	20.3
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0931	0.0592	18.8
5	Byron Buxton	0.0810	0.1494	17.7
6	Carlos Santana	0.0609	0.0334	17.2
7	Willy Adames	0.0723	0.1009	16.7
8	Tommy Edman	0.0537	0.0758	16.2
9	Myles Straw	0.0414	0.0653	16.2
10	Cedric Mullins	0.0593	0.0817	16.1

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Enrique Hernández	0.0657	0.0796	0.0909	16.3	6.8	9.5
2	Dominic Smith	0.1078	0.0864	0.0608	21.9	12.5	9.4
3	Jake Cronenworth	0.0887	0.0700	0.0707	9.9	0.5	9.3
4	Andrew Benintendi	0.0895	0.0707	0.0699	9.1	0.3	8.8
5	Hunter Renfroe	0.0753	0.0862	0.0902	10.1	2.4	7.7
6	Austin Riley	0.0637	0.0721	0.0831	14.6	7.4	7.2
7	Luis Urías	0.0588	0.0686	0.0698	7.8	0.8	7.0
8	Bo Bichette	0.0979	0.0859	0.0628	22.4	15.8	6.6
9	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.0864	0.0685	0.0556	12.0	5.5	6.6
10	Javier Báez	0.0897	0.0761	0.0619	13.8	7.7	6.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	0.0691	0.0507	0.0460	11.9	2.4	9.5
2	Jeimer Candelario	0.0626	0.0747	0.1034	25.9	18.1	7.8
3	Yadier Molina	0.0691	0.0539	0.0537	7.0	0.0	7.0
4	Eduardo Escobar	0.0501	0.0611	0.0653	9.5	2.6	6.9
5	David Peralta	0.0534	0.0650	0.0771	13.1	6.6	6.4
6	Josh Rojas	0.0524	0.0635	0.0930	22.6	16.4	6.3
7	Kris Bryant	0.0661	0.0762	0.0901	14.4	8.3	6.2
8	Ryan McMahon	0.0659	0.0757	0.0882	13.6	7.6	6.0
9	Yordan Alvarez	0.0783	0.0871	0.0967	11.3	5.9	5.5
10	Trevor Story	0.0767	0.0855	0.0924	9.7	4.2	5.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	0.0615	0.0507	0.0460	8.4	2.4	6.0
2	Andrew Vaughn	0.0467	0.0597	0.0719	11.6	5.8	5.8
3	Nicky Lopez	0.0587	0.0537	0.0482	6.2	3.0	3.2
4	Max Muncy	0.0612	0.0669	0.0760	8.5	5.5	3.0
5	Charlie Blackmon	0.0724	0.0680	0.0605	7.2	4.3	2.9
6	Jared Walsh	0.0731	0.0786	0.0966	13.5	10.6	2.8
7	Enrique Hernández	0.0744	0.0796	0.0909	9.4	6.8	2.7
8	Mookie Betts	0.0743	0.0798	0.0801	2.9	0.3	2.6
9	Javier Báez	0.0802	0.0761	0.0619	10.3	7.7	2.6
10	Anthony Santander	0.0735	0.0800	0.0822	3.6	1.1	2.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jonathan India	0.0528	0.0652	0.0907	24.8	16.2	8.6
2	Myles Straw	0.0414	0.0512	0.0653	16.2	9.2	7.0
3	Joey Gallo	0.0984	0.0874	0.0524	27.5	21.4	6.0
4	Matt Chapman	0.1000	0.0892	0.0485	31.1	25.2	6.0
5	J.P. Crawford	0.0569	0.0642	0.0739	12.6	6.8	5.8
6	Robbie Grossman	0.0784	0.0686	0.0594	11.8	6.0	5.8
7	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0931	0.0823	0.0592	18.8	13.3	5.6
8	Jonathan Villar	0.0490	0.0563	0.0588	5.7	1.4	4.3
9	Mark Canha	0.0824	0.0748	0.0585	14.1	10.1	4.0
10	Tyler Stephenson	0.0596	0.0682	0.0778	7.9	3.9	4.0

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani	0.0263	0.0077 (12.5)	0.0101 (11.2)	0.0077 (12.2)	0.0076 (12.1)	0.0078 (13.2)
J.P. Crawford	0.0000	0.0115 (7.3)	0.0126 (7.8)	0.0092 (6.1)	0.0090 (6.0)	0.0163 (9.7)
Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0000	0.0151 (7.7)	0.0179 (9.1)	0.0126 (6.7)	0.0127 (6.8)	0.0200 (9.8)
Luis Arraez	0.0156	0.0040 (6.0)	0.0043 (6.0)	0.0041 (5.7)	0.0040 (5.7)	0.0040 (6.6)
Chris Owings	0.1111	0.0072 (5.2)	0.0068 (5.3)	0.0062 (5.3)	0.0066 (5.2)	0.0087 (5.2)
Steven Duggar	0.0291	0.0106 (5.8)	0.0063 (7.1)	0.0059 (7.0)	0.0084 (6.2)	0.0129 (5.4)
Bobby Dalbec	0.0211	0.0053 (7.6)	0.0071 (6.9)	0.0056 (7.2)	0.0057 (7.1)	0.0045 (8.5)
Jake Rogers	0.0469	0.0076 (5.1)	0.0078 (5.1)	0.0077 (5.0)	0.0068 (5.1)	0.0082 (5.2)
David Peralta	0.0206	0.0082 (7.1)	0.0086 (7.1)	0.0083 (6.8)	0.0080 (6.9)	0.0084 (7.7)
Yoán Moncada	0.0028	0.0126 (5.5)	0.0138 (6.0)	0.0119 (5.3)	0.0113 (5.1)	0.0147 (6.0)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Akil Baddoo	0.0130	0.0249	5.9
2	Bryan Reynolds	0.0115	0.0190	5.5
3	Raimel Tapia	0.0155	0.0048	5.2
4	Brandon Lowe	0.0093	0.0000	5.2
5	Dom Nuñez	0.0051	0.0234	5.1
6	Bo Bichette	0.0100	0.0021	4.8
7	Max Kepler	0.0039	0.0127	4.8
8	Teoscar Hernández	0.0087	0.0000	4.6
9	Ozzie Albies	0.0093	0.0146	4.3
10	Nicky Lopez	0.0072	0.0138	4.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Akil Baddoo	0.0059	0.0249	9.3
2	Brett Phillips	0.0059	0.0305	7.5
3	Tommy Edman	0.0165	0.0055	6.7
4	Nicky Lopez	0.0040	0.0138	6.2
5	Brandon Lowe	0.0101	0.0000	5.5
6	Kyle Tucker	0.0183	0.0076	5.4
7	Teoscar Hernández	0.0102	0.0000	5.3
8	Myles Straw	0.0117	0.0023	5.2
9	Ketel Marte	0.0189	0.0037	5.2
10	Wander Franco	0.0059	0.0210	5.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Akil Baddoo	0.0099	0.0249	7.1
2	Bryan Reynolds	0.0098	0.0190	6.2
3	Brandon Lowe	0.0090	0.0000	5.3
4	Ozzie Albies	0.0076	0.0146	5.1
5	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0155	0.0281	5.1
6	Dom Nuñez	0.0052	0.0234	4.9
7	Max Kepler	0.0031	0.0127	4.9
8	Victor Reyes	0.0059	0.0263	4.6
9	Nicky Lopez	0.0062	0.0138	4.5
10	Wander Franco	0.0069	0.0210	4.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Akil Baddoo	0.0096	0.0249	7.2
2	Bryan Reynolds	0.0101	0.0190	5.9
3	Brandon Lowe	0.0088	0.0000	5.3
4	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0152	0.0281	5.1
5	Ozzie Albies	0.0077	0.0146	5.0
6	Dom Nuñez	0.0052	0.0234	4.9
7	Max Kepler	0.0032	0.0127	4.8
8	Nicky Lopez	0.0058	0.0138	4.6
9	Teoscar Hernández	0.0077	0.0000	4.4
10	Wander Franco	0.0071	0.0210	4.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bo Bichette	0.0154	0.0021	7.7
2	Raimel Tapia	0.0211	0.0048	7.5
3	Trea Turner	0.0175	0.0065	5.7
4	Luis Urías	0.0146	0.0028	5.5
5	Dom Nuñez	0.0049	0.0234	5.4
6	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.0258	0.0131	5.4
7	Mike Zunino	0.0000	0.0118	5.2
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0118	0.0022	5.2
9	Dylan Carlson	0.0210	0.0105	5.2
10	Teoscar Hernández	0.0106	0.0000	5.1

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brett Phillips	0.0059	0.0267	0.0305	7.5	1.4	6.2
2	Akil Baddoo	0.0059	0.0130	0.0249	9.3	5.9	3.4
3	Tommy Edman	0.0165	0.0124	0.0055	6.7	4.1	2.6
4	Ty France	0.0104	0.0061	0.0022	4.5	1.9	2.6
5	Gavin Lux	0.0064	0.0120	0.0162	4.2	2.0	2.2
6	Ian Happ	0.0110	0.0066	0.0035	3.4	1.2	2.2
7	Willi Castro	0.0109	0.0154	0.0199	4.6	2.4	2.2
8	Billy McKinney	0.0068	0.0136	0.0168	3.3	1.2	2.1
9	C.J. Cron	0.0000	0.0035	0.0030	2.3	0.2	2.1
10	Enrique Hernández	0.0047	0.0079	0.0078	2.5	0.5	2.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brett Gardner	0.0059	0.0141	0.0139	3.9	0.3	3.5
2	Josh Donaldson	0.0059	0.0013	0.0000	3.0	0.2	2.8
3	Miguel Cabrera	0.0059	0.0014	0.0000	2.9	0.3	2.6
4	Yadier Molina	0.0059	0.0010	0.0000	2.6	0.0	2.6
5	Eric Hosmer	0.0059	0.0029	0.0000	3.1	1.1	2.0
6	Justin Upton	0.0059	0.0015	0.0000	2.0	0.2	1.8
7	Kelvin Gutiérrez	0.0059	0.0122	0.0155	3.0	1.3	1.7
8	Maikel Franco	0.0059	0.0024	0.0000	2.2	0.6	1.6
9	Albert Pujols	0.0059	0.0007	0.0000	1.6	0.1	1.6
10	Buster Posey	0.0059	0.0030	0.0000	2.5	1.0	1.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brett Gardner	0.0099	0.0141	0.0139	2.0	0.3	1.6
2	Akil Baddoo	0.0096	0.0130	0.0249	7.2	5.9	1.2
3	Gavin Lux	0.0081	0.0120	0.0162	3.2	2.0	1.2
4	Miguel Cabrera	0.0030	0.0014	0.0000	1.4	0.3	1.1
5	Salvador Perez	0.0031	0.0020	0.0000	1.9	0.7	1.1
6	Jonathan Schoop	0.0083	0.0073	0.0021	4.0	2.9	1.1
7	Yandy Díaz	0.0070	0.0056	0.0027	2.2	1.1	1.1
8	Josh Donaldson	0.0026	0.0013	0.0000	1.3	0.2	1.1
9	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0152	0.0186	0.0281	5.1	4.1	1.1
10	Jorge Soler	0.0032	0.0021	0.0000	1.8	0.7	1.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dylan Carlson	0.0210	0.0132	0.0105	5.2	1.1	4.1
2	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.0258	0.0177	0.0131	5.4	1.9	3.5
3	Bo Bichette	0.0154	0.0100	0.0021	7.7	4.8	2.9
4	J.P. Crawford	0.0163	0.0115	0.0000	9.7	7.3	2.4
5	Raimel Tapia	0.0211	0.0155	0.0048	7.5	5.2	2.3
6	Trent Grisham	0.0199	0.0144	0.0090	4.6	2.4	2.3
7	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0200	0.0151	0.0000	9.8	7.7	2.0
8	Jarred Kelenic	0.0161	0.0095	0.0046	3.6	1.5	2.0
9	Trea Turner	0.0175	0.0132	0.0065	5.7	3.7	2.0
10	Jorge Mateo	0.0312	0.0207	0.0073	4.6	2.6	2.0

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Zunino	0.1707	0.1070 (23.7)	0.1037 (26.5)	0.1130 (22.8)	0.1091 (22.3)	0.0989 (26.8)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1762	0.1395 (25.2)	0.1183 (43.0)	0.1438 (24.7)	0.1466 (19.2)	0.1281 (33.4)
Jonathan India	0.1553	0.1085 (29.2)	0.1232 (22.6)	0.1105 (30.2)	0.1090 (27.9)	0.1060 (31.0)
Brandon Crawford	0.1439	0.1012 (23.1)	0.1124 (19.3)	0.0985 (26.6)	0.1003 (22.8)	0.1047 (21.4)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1523	0.1105	24.5
2	Gleyber Torres	0.1438	0.0969	24.5
3	Bo Bichette	0.1405	0.1754	23.7
4	Tyler O'Neill	0.1231	0.1657	22.6
5	Starling Marte	0.1269	0.1692	22.0
6	Buster Posey	0.1012	0.1498	21.8
7	Alcides Escobar	0.0930	0.1519	20.3
8	DJ LeMahieu	0.1524	0.1237	19.9
9	Wander Franco	0.1078	0.1721	19.6
10	Joey Wendle	0.1066	0.1457	19.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bo Bichette	0.1356	0.1754	30.0
2	Carlos Correa	0.1210	0.1625	28.9
3	Carlos Santana	0.1388	0.1002	23.1
4	DJ LeMahieu	0.1599	0.1237	22.1
5	Dominic Smith	0.1354	0.0872	21.9
6	Didi Gregorius	0.1425	0.0858	21.6
7	José Ramírez	0.1444	0.1745	21.5
8	Shohei Ohtani	0.1317	0.1612	21.2
9	Jose Altuve	0.1453	0.1726	21.0
10	Buster Posey	0.1079	0.1498	20.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bo Bichette	0.1313	0.1754	32.5
2	Tyler O'Neill	0.1166	0.1657	28.0
3	Starling Marte	0.1218	0.1692	26.5
4	Brandon Lowe	0.1213	0.1577	24.3
5	Gleyber Torres	0.1461	0.0969	23.8
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1547	0.1105	23.8
7	Joey Wendle	0.1018	0.1457	23.5
8	Mitch Haniger	0.1290	0.1592	23.0
9	DJ LeMahieu	0.1599	0.1237	22.5
10	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.0975	0.1381	22.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1524	0.1105	25.5
2	Tyler O'Neill	0.1172	0.1657	24.9
3	Gleyber Torres	0.1420	0.0969	24.4
4	Starling Marte	0.1232	0.1692	23.1
5	Chris Taylor	0.1175	0.1581	22.3
6	Tim Anderson	0.1280	0.1706	22.3
7	Wander Franco	0.1017	0.1721	21.0
8	Jake Cronenworth	0.1118	0.1462	20.8
9	Alcides Escobar	0.0928	0.1519	19.9
10	Joey Wendle	0.1045	0.1457	19.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Pat Valaika	0.1478	0.0605	24.6
2	Buster Posey	0.0956	0.1498	24.5
3	Gleyber Torres	0.1431	0.0969	23.9
4	Bo Bichette	0.1413	0.1754	23.4
5	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1499	0.1105	22.9
6	Didi Gregorius	0.1398	0.0858	22.1
7	DJ LeMahieu	0.1538	0.1237	20.6
8	Nicky Lopez	0.1019	0.1381	20.4
9	Hunter Renfroe	0.1212	0.1556	19.6
10	Carlos Correa	0.1319	0.1625	19.5

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1183	0.1395	0.1762	43.0	25.2	17.8
2	Bryce Harper	0.1462	0.1625	0.1686	15.7	3.3	12.3
3	Carlos Correa	0.1210	0.1359	0.1625	28.9	16.6	12.3
4	Manny Machado	0.1298	0.1443	0.1437	11.3	0.7	10.6
5	Freddie Freeman	0.1537	0.1646	0.1727	15.8	5.2	10.5
6	Kyle Schwarber	0.1307	0.1462	0.1614	16.2	6.9	9.3
7	Matt Olson	0.1257	0.1352	0.1501	18.9	9.6	9.3
8	Ryan Mountcastle	0.1079	0.1180	0.1314	15.9	7.5	8.4
9	Dylan Carlson	0.1115	0.1190	0.1276	12.2	5.0	7.3
10	Jose Trevino	0.1260	0.0983	0.0762	13.9	6.9	7.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yadier Molina	0.1232	0.0939	0.0951	11.8	0.3	11.5
2	Bo Bichette	0.1313	0.1405	0.1754	32.5	23.7	8.9
3	Miguel Cabrera	0.1232	0.1044	0.0913	15.2	7.2	8.0
4	Jonathan Schoop	0.1137	0.1218	0.1261	10.4	2.5	7.9
5	Sandy León	0.1232	0.0860	0.0682	11.4	4.0	7.4
6	Kelvin Gutiérrez	0.1232	0.0946	0.0780	12.4	5.1	7.4
7	Joey Gallo	0.1278	0.1357	0.1461	13.1	6.1	7.1
8	Nelson Cruz	0.1232	0.1384	0.1353	8.8	2.2	6.7
9	Pedro Severino	0.1232	0.1037	0.0764	18.3	11.7	6.6
10	José Ramírez	0.1443	0.1510	0.1745	21.2	14.6	6.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	0.1194	0.1044	0.0913	16.0	7.2	8.7
2	Ozzie Albies	0.1390	0.1488	0.1501	6.2	0.6	5.6
3	Maikel Franco	0.1222	0.1106	0.0769	19.1	13.8	5.3
4	Jorge Soler	0.1323	0.1250	0.1229	6.9	1.6	5.3
5	Albert Pujols	0.1160	0.1010	0.0980	6.0	1.1	4.9
6	Max Muncy	0.1424	0.1522	0.1605	9.5	4.6	4.9
7	Juan Lagares	0.0982	0.1144	0.1193	6.2	1.4	4.8
8	Josh Donaldson	0.1433	0.1360	0.1344	6.0	1.2	4.8
9	Tim Anderson	0.1280	0.1382	0.1706	22.3	17.6	4.7
10	Chris Taylor	0.1175	0.1265	0.1581	22.3	18.1	4.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Sanó	0.1589	0.1420	0.1278	16.6	7.8	8.8
2	Manny Machado	0.1292	0.1443	0.1437	9.2	0.7	8.5
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1281	0.1395	0.1762	33.4	25.2	8.2
4	Harrison Bader	0.1386	0.1190	0.1122	10.7	3.0	7.7
5	J.D. Martinez	0.1291	0.1401	0.1451	10.0	2.8	7.3
6	Tucker Barnhart	0.0819	0.0999	0.1057	9.2	2.0	7.2
7	Joey Votto	0.1213	0.1395	0.1370	8.2	1.7	6.6
8	Jesse Winker	0.1259	0.1386	0.1588	15.9	9.5	6.3
9	Nick Ahmed	0.1227	0.1097	0.0973	12.1	6.2	6.0
10	Salvador Perez	0.1091	0.1177	0.1323	15.3	9.4	5.9

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jorge Polanco	0.1522	0.1170 (25.9)	0.1114 (28.1)	0.1228 (22.0)	0.1148 (26.3)	0.1134 (29.9)
Avisaíl García	0.1670	0.1226 (25.4)	0.1183 (26.6)	0.1247 (24.3)	0.1213 (25.3)	0.1219 (27.2)
Joey Votto	0.1857	0.1038 (46.3)	0.0967 (49.0)	0.1134 (41.1)	0.1100 (42.2)	0.0881 (56.1)
Austin Meadows	0.1794	0.1275 (33.6)	0.1261 (33.2)	0.1282 (33.1)	0.1241 (34.7)	0.1303 (33.5)
Nick Castellanos	0.1709	0.1348 (24.1)	0.1214 (30.7)	0.1338 (24.5)	0.1337 (23.8)	0.1367 (24.5)
Adam Duvall	0.2036	0.1386 (38.9)	0.1401 (36.9)	0.1314 (42.7)	0.1392 (37.7)	0.1451 (36.7)
Brandon Crawford	0.1639	0.1123 (31.1)	0.1095 (31.5)	0.1053 (34.8)	0.1089 (32.1)	0.1225 (26.9)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gleyber Torres	0.1658	0.0988	32.0
2	Teoscar Hernández	0.1545	0.1950	27.1
3	Jesús Aguilar	0.1358	0.1824	26.3
4	Cody Bellinger	0.1828	0.1029	26.2
5	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.0852	0.1470	25.5
6	Freddie Freeman	0.1610	0.1194	25.4
7	Bryan Reynolds	0.1088	0.1393	23.0
8	Juan Soto	0.1846	0.1453	22.4
9	Andrew Benintendi	0.1001	0.1357	21.9
10	Chas McCormick	0.0968	0.1562	20.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Teoscar Hernández	0.1314	0.1950	39.5
2	DJ LeMahieu	0.1301	0.0839	29.3
3	Ozzie Albies	0.1199	0.1545	25.8
4	Freddie Freeman	0.1587	0.1194	25.3
5	Salvador Perez	0.1486	0.1820	24.2
6	Franmil Reyes	0.1335	0.1824	24.1
7	Marcus Semien	0.1128	0.1409	22.4
8	Adolis García	0.1122	0.1447	22.0
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1311	0.1590	21.5
10	Nick Ahmed	0.1274	0.0803	20.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jesús Aguilar	0.1217	0.1824	33.4
2	Gleyber Torres	0.1634	0.0988	30.8
3	Teoscar Hernández	0.1500	0.1950	29.6
4	Cody Bellinger	0.1808	0.1029	25.6
5	Kyle Seager	0.1176	0.1507	25.4
6	Salvador Perez	0.1496	0.1820	24.8
7	Adolis García	0.1114	0.1447	23.7
8	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.0910	0.1470	23.2
9	Andrew Benintendi	0.0976	0.1357	23.1
10	Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.1261	0.0678	22.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Teoscar Hernández	0.1465	0.1950	30.9
2	Jesús Aguilar	0.1303	0.1824	28.3
3	Gleyber Torres	0.1556	0.0988	27.5
4	Cody Bellinger	0.1779	0.1029	25.1
5	Marcus Semien	0.1121	0.1409	23.3
6	Victor Robles	0.1151	0.0515	22.2
7	Mitch Haniger	0.1169	0.1447	21.6
8	Adolis García	0.1135	0.1447	21.5
9	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.0947	0.1470	21.2
10	Freddie Freeman	0.1533	0.1194	21.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	0.2203	0.1453	44.1
2	Gleyber Torres	0.1785	0.0988	37.1
3	Freddie Freeman	0.1776	0.1194	35.1
4	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.0698	0.1470	32.3
5	Gary Sánchez	0.1964	0.1227	29.1
6	Cody Bellinger	0.1898	0.1029	27.8
7	Bryan Reynolds	0.1056	0.1393	26.7
8	Eric Hosmer	0.1687	0.1150	26.0
9	Chas McCormick	0.0855	0.1562	25.1
10	Bobby Dalbec	0.1255	0.1722	24.6

Most Unique Misses for RBI Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1311	0.1612	0.1590	21.5	2.0	19.6
2	Bo Bichette	0.1254	0.1496	0.1478	17.5	2.2	15.3
3	Aaron Judge	0.1325	0.1621	0.1548	16.0	1.4	14.6
4	J.P. Crawford	0.1105	0.0934	0.0786	19.9	6.8	13.1
5	C.J. Cron	0.1387	0.1644	0.1682	17.7	4.8	13.0
6	Teoscar Hernández	0.1314	0.1545	0.1950	39.5	27.1	12.5
7	Austin Riley	0.1370	0.1577	0.1616	18.2	5.9	12.3
8	Kyle Schwarber	0.1280	0.1549	0.1507	12.1	0.4	11.7
9	Franmil Reyes	0.1335	0.1606	0.1824	24.1	12.5	11.7
10	Randal Grichuk	0.1300	0.1533	0.1486	11.8	0.2	11.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Seager	0.1176	0.1413	0.1507	25.4	9.7	15.7
2	Josh Donaldson	0.1176	0.1377	0.1326	10.7	0.0	10.7
3	Jonathan Villar	0.1176	0.0968	0.0832	15.0	4.3	10.6
4	Nelson Cruz	0.1176	0.1690	0.1473	20.1	9.8	10.3
5	Alcides Escobar	0.1176	0.0890	0.0802	11.4	1.3	10.1
6	Mike Yastrzemski	0.0959	0.1149	0.1335	22.5	12.5	10.0
7	J.D. Martinez	0.1774	0.1625	0.1562	10.4	0.8	9.5
8	Ryan Zimmerman	0.1176	0.1515	0.1685	15.2	6.0	9.2
9	Magneuris Sierra	0.1176	0.0782	0.0222	20.4	11.5	8.9
10	Max Muncy	0.1379	0.1525	0.1588	15.2	6.6	8.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bo Bichette	0.1244	0.1496	0.1478	18.6	2.2	16.4
2	Marcus Semien	0.1121	0.1272	0.1409	23.3	13.5	9.8
3	Max Muncy	0.1347	0.1525	0.1588	16.3	6.6	9.6
4	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.0955	0.0823	0.0783	9.3	0.7	8.7
5	José Abreu	0.1556	0.1699	0.1775	16.7	8.3	8.4
6	Andrew McCutchen	0.1099	0.1228	0.1394	18.9	12.4	6.5
7	Kyle Seager	0.1304	0.1413	0.1507	15.9	9.7	6.2
8	Jared Walsh	0.1392	0.1512	0.1675	18.6	12.5	6.1
9	Pavin Smith	0.1158	0.1070	0.0899	12.2	6.6	5.7
10	Nicky Lopez	0.0906	0.0822	0.0761	6.2	0.6	5.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Juan Soto	0.2203	0.1846	0.1453	44.1	22.4	21.6
2	Jonathan India	0.0820	0.1033	0.1094	22.1	7.0	15.1
3	Bryce Harper	0.1844	0.1592	0.1402	21.9	8.4	13.5
4	Carlos Correa	0.1791	0.1557	0.1437	17.7	4.5	13.3
5	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.0660	0.0823	0.0783	13.5	0.7	12.9
6	Will Smith	0.1912	0.1645	0.1517	16.0	3.9	12.0
7	Myles Straw	0.0586	0.0748	0.0752	15.5	3.5	12.0
8	Bo Bichette	0.1743	0.1496	0.1478	13.0	2.2	10.8
9	Luis Arraez	0.0739	0.0920	0.0877	10.3	0.3	9.9
10	Joey Votto	0.0881	0.1038	0.1857	56.1	46.3	9.8

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Starling Marte	0.2956	0.1525 (78.7)	0.1667 (69.1)	0.1405 (84.1)	0.1421 (83.3)	0.1748 (68.3)
Leody Taveras	0.3704	0.1681 (38.6)	0.1231 (46.2)	0.1522 (41.2)	0.1533 (41.1)	0.2000 (33.2)
Tommy Edman	0.1911	0.1005 (67.1)	0.0909 (70.9)	0.1012 (65.4)	0.1016 (65.2)	0.0986 (70.1)
Nicky Lopez	0.1272	0.0612 (40.9)	0.0260 (58.6)	0.0655 (37.6)	0.0660 (37.3)	0.0519 (47.7)
Adalberto Mondesi	0.7143	0.4262 (40.1)	0.3846 (45.2)	0.0526 (90.6)	0.4068 (42.5)	0.4466 (37.6)
Whit Merrifield	0.2312	0.1498 (63.2)	0.1442 (64.4)	0.1371 (71.2)	0.1395 (69.6)	0.1728 (48.5)
Tyler Wade	0.3778	0.1391 (35.5)	0.1111 (39.0)	0.1318 (36.4)	0.1269 (37.1)	0.1596 (32.9)
Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.2072	0.1234 (45.7)	0.0755 (68.0)	0.1079 (52.8)	0.1124 (50.5)	0.1505 (33.3)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Villar	0.2380	0.1129	60.0
2	Dylan Carlson	0.0915	0.0126	44.9
3	Josh Rojas	0.1409	0.0643	38.6
4	Ozzie Albies	0.0999	0.1471	36.8
5	Austin Slater	0.0919	0.2055	36.7
6	Eddie Rosario	0.0436	0.1236	35.6
7	Shohei Ohtani	0.1158	0.1646	35.2
8	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0230	0.0670	34.2
9	David Fletcher	0.0485	0.0915	32.8
10	Rougned Odor	0.0972	0.0000	32.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cedric Mullins	0.0909	0.1765	59.4
2	Adolis García	0.0435	0.1345	58.1
3	Brett Phillips	0.0526	0.2295	52.4
4	Akil Baddoo	0.0526	0.1607	51.0
5	Jonathan Villar	0.2128	0.1129	49.2
6	Ozzie Albies	0.0897	0.1471	41.0
7	Dylan Moore	0.1644	0.2658	39.2
8	David Fletcher	0.0377	0.0915	37.4
9	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1340	0.1984	36.5
10	Bo Bichette	0.0909	0.1412	36.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gregory Polanco	0.0526	0.1687	46.2
2	Dylan Carlson	0.0909	0.0126	45.5
3	Jarrod Dyson	0.0526	0.3448	44.3
4	Ozzie Albies	0.0902	0.1471	42.3
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.1086	0.1646	38.8
6	Austin Slater	0.0835	0.2055	38.8
7	Josh Rojas	0.1396	0.0643	38.8
8	Lorenzo Cain	0.0526	0.1781	37.3
9	Eddie Rosario	0.0386	0.1236	37.0
10	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0190	0.0670	35.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dylan Carlson	0.0914	0.0126	45.7
2	Jonathan Villar	0.2072	0.1129	45.1
3	Ozzie Albies	0.0896	0.1471	42.8
4	Josh Rojas	0.1434	0.0643	40.8
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.1073	0.1646	39.7
6	Austin Slater	0.0853	0.2055	38.3
7	Eddie Rosario	0.0368	0.1236	37.8
8	Gregory Polanco	0.0788	0.1687	36.2
9	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0196	0.0670	35.6
10	J.P. Crawford	0.0715	0.0161	34.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jonathan Villar	0.2690	0.1129	74.3
2	Bo Bichette	0.2250	0.1412	51.6
3	Myles Straw	0.2406	0.1596	45.9
4	Dylan Carlson	0.0924	0.0126	43.8
5	Josh Rojas	0.1395	0.0643	36.4
6	Mookie Betts	0.1404	0.0680	34.8
7	Kris Bryant	0.0199	0.0676	33.2
8	Austin Slater	0.1066	0.2055	33.0
9	Jake Cronenworth	0.0853	0.0258	32.4
10	David Fletcher	0.0520	0.0915	32.2

Most Unique Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adolis García	0.0435	0.1134	0.1345	58.1	17.1	41.0
2	Cedric Mullins	0.0909	0.1548	0.1765	59.4	19.0	40.4
3	Brett Phillips	0.0526	0.1521	0.2295	52.4	24.5	27.9
4	Akil Baddoo	0.0526	0.1156	0.1607	51.0	23.8	27.2
5	Jorge Mateo	0.0625	0.1812	0.2222	33.9	9.9	24.0
6	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.0755	0.1234	0.2072	68.0	45.7	22.3
7	Tyler Stephenson	0.0577	0.0147	0.0000	22.2	3.3	18.9
8	Bo Bichette	0.0909	0.1743	0.1412	36.4	18.4	18.0
9	Nicky Lopez	0.0260	0.0612	0.1272	58.6	40.9	17.7
10	Andrés Giménez	0.1143	0.1993	0.2500	29.0	12.0	17.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adalberto Mondesi	0.0526	0.4262	0.7143	90.6	40.1	50.6
2	Magneuris Sierra	0.0526	0.1824	0.1964	33.5	4.6	28.8
3	Jarrod Dyson	0.0526	0.2382	0.3448	44.3	16.8	27.4
4	Miguel Cabrera	0.0526	0.0094	0.0000	25.1	1.5	23.6
5	Jed Lowrie	0.0526	0.0140	0.0000	24.5	3.9	20.6
6	Josh Donaldson	0.0526	0.0178	0.0000	25.9	6.2	19.7
7	Maikel Franco	0.0526	0.0117	0.0000	19.2	2.1	17.1
8	Buster Posey	0.0526	0.0169	0.0000	21.7	4.8	16.9
9	Rafael Ortega	0.0526	0.1013	0.1319	27.8	12.2	15.6
10	Yonny Hernández	0.0526	0.1449	0.2340	30.9	15.9	15.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bradley Zimmer	0.1031	0.1381	0.1579	20.8	9.1	11.7
2	Akil Baddoo	0.0950	0.1156	0.1607	32.5	23.8	8.8
3	Andrew Vaughn	0.0472	0.0309	0.0093	15.5	7.2	8.3
4	Jed Lowrie	0.0275	0.0140	0.0000	11.5	3.9	7.7
5	Jarrod Dyson	0.1906	0.2382	0.3448	23.7	16.8	6.9
6	Garrett Hampson	0.1539	0.1690	0.1635	7.1	0.4	6.7
7	Whit Merrifield	0.1395	0.1498	0.2312	69.6	63.2	6.4
8	José Ramírez	0.1403	0.1517	0.1765	26.1	19.9	6.3
9	Ozzie Albies	0.0896	0.0999	0.1471	42.8	36.8	6.0
10	Teoscar Hernández	0.0702	0.0811	0.0828	10.4	4.8	5.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bo Bichette	0.2250	0.1743	0.1412	51.6	18.4	33.2
2	Trea Turner	0.2331	0.1985	0.1808	28.0	7.3	20.7
3	Myles Straw	0.2406	0.2073	0.1596	45.9	26.3	19.6
4	Tommy Pham	0.1486	0.1148	0.0933	26.0	8.4	17.5
5	Yonny Hernández	0.0526	0.1449	0.2340	31.6	15.9	15.8
6	Michael A. Taylor	0.1791	0.1470	0.1102	31.6	16.0	15.6
7	Jonathan Villar	0.2690	0.2380	0.1129	74.3	60.0	14.3
8	Kyle Tucker	0.1678	0.1414	0.1053	30.4	16.8	13.5
9	Ha-Seong Kim	0.0526	0.0952	0.1034	17.9	4.4	13.5
10	Garrett Hampson	0.2000	0.1690	0.1635	13.6	0.4	13.2

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Austin Riley	0.3034	0.2491 (37.9)	0.2379 (48.4)	0.2534 (34.8)	0.2555 (34.0)	0.2387 (45.6)
Bryce Harper	0.3094	0.2549 (34.5)	0.2547 (37.4)	0.2515 (36.3)	0.2543 (35.1)	0.2588 (32.8)
Adam Frazier	0.3050	0.2643 (28.0)	0.2625 (32.1)	0.2623 (29.0)	0.2647 (27.9)	0.2659 (27.7)
Yuli Gurriel	0.3189	0.2658 (33.9)	0.2751 (31.1)	0.2685 (32.1)	0.2702 (31.5)	0.2587 (38.9)
Tyler O'Neill	0.2863	0.2292 (32.3)	0.2333 (32.6)	0.2278 (32.8)	0.2328 (30.6)	0.2272 (34.0)
Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.1628	0.2281 (26.7)	0.2406 (30.0)	0.2254 (25.7)	0.2256 (25.4)	0.2333 (28.4)
Bryan Reynolds	0.3023	0.2570 (31.2)	0.2661 (28.4)	0.2604 (28.8)	0.2633 (27.4)	0.2475 (38.1)
Cody Bellinger	0.1651	0.2752 (37.5)	0.2711 (34.4)	0.2756 (37.7)	0.2772 (38.1)	0.2727 (36.2)
Cedric Mullins	0.2907	0.2423 (34.7)	0.2374 (41.2)	0.2390 (36.7)	0.2429 (34.6)	0.2452 (33.6)
Teoscar Hernández	0.2964	0.2413 (34.6)	0.2468 (34.0)	0.2366 (37.2)	0.2398 (35.7)	0.2474 (31.6)
Brandon Crawford	0.2981	0.2372 (35.1)	0.2452 (33.3)	0.2340 (36.7)	0.2392 (34.2)	0.2385 (35.0)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Castellanos	0.2603	0.3089	30.2
2	Akil Baddoo	0.1970	0.2591	30.0
3	Trea Turner	0.2887	0.3277	27.2
4	Nicky Lopez	0.2555	0.2998	26.8
5	J.P. Crawford	0.2405	0.2730	24.4
6	Matt Olson	0.2378	0.2708	24.2
7	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2611	0.2935	24.1
8	Eugenio Suárez	0.2431	0.1980	24.1
9	Luis Robert Jr.	0.2608	0.3382	23.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nicky Lopez	0.2340	0.2998	41.5
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.2629	0.3113	39.1
3	Luis Robert Jr.	0.2396	0.3382	31.5
4	Trea Turner	0.2877	0.3277	30.8
5	Eugenio Suárez	0.2590	0.1980	30.6
6	Kyle Tucker	0.2500	0.2945	29.6
7	J.P. Crawford	0.2397	0.2730	28.1
8	Dylan Carlson	0.2305	0.2657	26.6
9	Josh Harrison	0.2414	0.2792	25.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Brantley	0.2474	0.3113	33.8
2	Akil Baddoo	0.1915	0.2591	32.4
3	Nick Castellanos	0.2578	0.3089	31.5
4	Trea Turner	0.2838	0.3277	30.1
5	Buster Posey	0.2474	0.3038	26.8
6	J.P. Crawford	0.2377	0.2730	26.1
7	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2588	0.2935	25.4
8	Matt Olson	0.2362	0.2708	25.1
9	Luis Robert Jr.	0.2592	0.3382	24.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Akil Baddoo	0.1935	0.2591	31.8
2	Nick Castellanos	0.2593	0.3089	31.0
3	Trea Turner	0.2853	0.3277	29.6
4	J.P. Crawford	0.2403	0.2730	24.8
5	Aaron Judge	0.2523	0.2873	24.3
6	Luis Robert Jr.	0.2597	0.3382	24.2
7	Buster Posey	0.2544	0.3038	24.0
8	Ty France	0.2582	0.2907	23.3
9	Nicky Lopez	0.2620	0.2998	23.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nicky Lopez	0.2449	0.2998	33.4
2	Jonathan India	0.2243	0.2688	30.8
3	Nick Castellanos	0.2639	0.3089	28.8
4	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.1970	0.2478	27.9
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.2757	0.3113	27.7
6	Akil Baddoo	0.2060	0.2591	26.4
7	Eugenio Suárez	0.2467	0.1980	25.5
8	Matt Olson	0.2374	0.2708	25.3
9	Didi Gregorius	0.2750	0.2092	25.1

Most Unique Misses for Batting Average

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.2629	0.2905	0.3113	39.1	16.6	22.5
2	Brendan Rodgers	0.2315	0.2642	0.2842	25.1	9.6	15.5
3	Yonathan Daza	0.2396	0.2906	0.2824	16.7	1.7	15.0
4	Nicky Lopez	0.2340	0.2555	0.2998	41.5	26.8	14.8
5	Nolan Arenado	0.2892	0.2624	0.2546	17.6	3.1	14.5
6	Dylan Carlson	0.2305	0.2477	0.2657	26.6	13.0	13.5
7	Josh Rojas	0.2267	0.2463	0.2645	25.0	11.7	13.4
8	Mike Yastrzemski	0.2733	0.2473	0.2244	22.0	10.6	11.4
9	Luis Urías	0.2346	0.2500	0.2490	12.6	1.2	11.4
10	Kyle Tucker	0.2500	0.2654	0.2945	29.6	18.2	11.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Brantley	0.2474	0.2938	0.3113	33.8	10.4	23.4
2	Sandy León	0.2474	0.1950	0.1832	13.5	1.9	11.6
3	Nelson Cruz	0.2474	0.2674	0.2651	11.9	0.4	11.5
4	DJ Peters	0.2474	0.2011	0.1973	11.4	0.2	11.2
5	Gregory Polanco	0.2474	0.2217	0.2083	13.9	3.9	9.9
6	Starlin Castro	0.2474	0.2749	0.2825	13.1	3.7	9.4
7	Justin Upton	0.2474	0.2289	0.2107	12.3	5.5	6.8
8	Bobby Bradley	0.2474	0.2234	0.2082	10.2	3.4	6.8
9	Eric Hosmer	0.2474	0.2587	0.2692	13.8	7.6	6.2
10	Buster Posey	0.2474	0.2612	0.3038	26.8	20.7	6.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nelson Cruz	0.2583	0.2674	0.2651	6.0	0.4	5.5
2	Juan Lagares	0.2233	0.2336	0.2362	5.4	1.8	3.5
3	Starlin Castro	0.2651	0.2749	0.2825	7.2	3.7	3.5
4	Sandy León	0.2108	0.1950	0.1832	5.3	1.9	3.4
5	Adolis García	0.2100	0.2151	0.2427	22.4	19.1	3.4
6	Jonathan Schoop	0.2525	0.2571	0.2777	19.2	15.9	3.3
7	DJ Peters	0.2149	0.2011	0.1973	3.4	0.2	3.2
8	Buster Posey	0.2544	0.2612	0.3038	24.0	20.7	3.2
9	Carlos Correa	0.2637	0.2681	0.2793	12.1	9.1	3.0
10	Andrew Vaughn	0.2158	0.2218	0.2350	10.6	7.6	3.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.2757	0.2905	0.3113	27.7	16.6	11.1
2	Mike Yastrzemski	0.2643	0.2473	0.2244	19.0	10.6	8.5
3	Jose Iglesias	0.2965	0.2802	0.2712	10.7	3.0	7.7
4	Austin Riley	0.2387	0.2491	0.3034	45.6	37.9	7.7
5	Jonathan India	0.2243	0.2347	0.2688	30.8	23.4	7.3
6	Trey Mancini	0.2765	0.2640	0.2554	10.4	3.4	7.0
7	Bryan Reynolds	0.2475	0.2570	0.3023	38.1	31.2	6.9
8	Joey Votto	0.2403	0.2516	0.2656	15.7	9.1	6.6
9	Nicky Lopez	0.2449	0.2555	0.2998	33.4	26.8	6.6
10	J.D. Martinez	0.2641	0.2731	0.2860	16.5	10.1	6.4

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Austin Riley	0.3671	0.3107 (37.9)	0.3012 (47.7)	0.3168 (35.4)	0.3186 (33.8)	0.2968 (46.2)
Yuli Gurriel	0.3835	0.3146 (42.2)	0.3197 (42.3)	0.3195 (40.6)	0.3212 (39.3)	0.3030 (48.3)
Tyler O'Neill	0.3520	0.2960 (30.5)	0.3010 (30.7)	0.2975 (31.0)	0.3008 (28.9)	0.2898 (33.1)
Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.2360	0.3170 (34.3)	0.3232 (34.7)	0.3180 (33.7)	0.3161 (33.1)	0.3168 (34.8)
Juan Soto	0.4648	0.4240 (27.3)	0.4032 (44.4)	0.4248 (28.3)	0.4269 (26.6)	0.4203 (28.8)
Bryan Reynolds	0.3901	0.3291 (40.0)	0.3352 (39.5)	0.3336 (38.5)	0.3350 (37.3)	0.3188 (45.7)
Jonathan India	0.3762	0.3174 (37.7)	0.3212 (38.6)	0.3180 (38.7)	0.3201 (37.1)	0.3140 (38.9)
Cody Bellinger	0.2400	0.3726 (46.1)	0.3620 (40.5)	0.3753 (46.3)	0.3768 (46.9)	0.3657 (44.2)
Eugenio Suárez	0.2857	0.3422 (31.9)	0.3447 (30.3)	0.3423 (30.6)	0.3427 (31.2)	0.3416 (32.4)
Cedric Mullins	0.3596	0.2988 (41.6)	0.3039 (41.8)	0.2982 (43.6)	0.3023 (40.5)	0.2959 (42.6)
Brandon Crawford	0.3734	0.3078 (36.5)	0.3170 (34.4)	0.3079 (37.7)	0.3132 (34.6)	0.3024 (38.7)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Starling Marte	0.3243	0.3829	31.3
2	Akil Baddoo	0.2632	0.3297	31.1
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3592	0.4011	29.9
4	Kevin Newman	0.3176	0.2646	28.9
5	Carlos Santana	0.3621	0.3187	28.0
6	Nicky Lopez	0.3171	0.3653	27.7
7	Ty France	0.3263	0.3677	27.5
8	Buster Posey	0.3303	0.3899	27.4
9	Yasmani Grandal	0.3481	0.4198	27.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3325	0.4011	52.2
2	Nicky Lopez	0.2920	0.3653	44.9
3	Bryce Harper	0.3769	0.4288	34.8
4	C.J. Cron	0.3212	0.3748	32.7
5	Dylan Carlson	0.2974	0.3430	32.1
6	Shohei Ohtani	0.3303	0.3725	30.9
7	Ty France	0.3267	0.3677	30.7
8	Adam Frazier	0.3271	0.3679	30.0
9	Matt Olson	0.3333	0.3715	29.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Akil Baddoo	0.2569	0.3297	35.0
2	Buster Posey	0.3212	0.3899	32.6
3	Starling Marte	0.3241	0.3829	32.6
4	Ty France	0.3212	0.3677	32.3
5	Yoán Moncada	0.3301	0.3750	29.6
6	Kevin Newman	0.3190	0.2646	28.4
7	Yasmani Grandal	0.3492	0.4198	27.7
8	Bryce Harper	0.3868	0.4288	27.1
9	Nicky Lopez	0.3207	0.3653	27.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Akil Baddoo	0.2584	0.3297	34.1
2	Ty France	0.3233	0.3677	30.6
3	Starling Marte	0.3280	0.3829	30.3
4	Kevin Newman	0.3217	0.2646	30.1
5	Buster Posey	0.3273	0.3899	29.6
6	Yoán Moncada	0.3321	0.3750	28.1
7	Yasmani Grandal	0.3503	0.4198	27.1
8	Carlos Santana	0.3612	0.3187	26.2
9	Adam Frazier	0.3299	0.3679	26.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3411	0.4011	41.5
2	Nicky Lopez	0.3071	0.3653	32.5
3	Starling Marte	0.3209	0.3829	32.3
4	Carlos Santana	0.3669	0.3187	32.2
5	Yasmani Grandal	0.3448	0.4198	27.9
6	Kyle Seager	0.3247	0.2851	26.9
7	Kevin Newman	0.3120	0.2646	26.5
8	Shohei Ohtani	0.3304	0.3725	26.5
9	Darin Ruf	0.3008	0.3846	26.0

Most Unique Misses for On-Base Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3325	0.3592	0.4011	52.2	29.9	22.3
2	Nathaniel Lowe	0.3205	0.3478	0.3567	27.2	6.2	21.0
3	Dylan Carlson	0.2974	0.3203	0.3430	32.1	14.6	17.5
4	Nicky Lopez	0.2920	0.3171	0.3653	44.9	27.7	17.1
5	Juan Soto	0.4032	0.4240	0.4648	44.4	27.3	17.1
6	Luis Urías	0.3174	0.3366	0.3445	19.0	5.0	13.9
7	Seth Brown	0.3238	0.2739	0.2736	13.5	0.2	13.3
8	Ryan Mountcastle	0.3453	0.3187	0.3089	17.7	5.2	12.5
9	Carlos Correa	0.3343	0.3481	0.3656	24.0	11.8	12.3
10	Corey Seager	0.3387	0.3629	0.3936	25.0	12.9	12.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Brantley	0.3212	0.3558	0.3622	22.4	3.7	18.7
2	Lewis Brinson	0.3212	0.2730	0.2630	16.0	2.7	13.3
3	Josh Donaldson	0.3212	0.3630	0.3517	18.3	5.6	12.7
4	Jack Mayfield	0.3212	0.2773	0.2718	13.4	1.4	12.1
5	Sandy León	0.3212	0.2716	0.2374	17.7	7.3	10.4
6	Ronald Torreyes	0.3212	0.2828	0.2861	11.0	1.5	9.5
7	Juan Lagares	0.3212	0.2899	0.2663	16.9	7.5	9.5
8	Erik González	0.3212	0.2782	0.2576	13.8	4.5	9.3
9	Albert Pujols	0.3212	0.2877	0.2838	10.1	0.9	9.2
10	DJ Peters	0.3212	0.2824	0.2417	18.3	9.6	8.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andrew Vaughn	0.2808	0.2905	0.3092	14.6	9.2	5.4
2	Miguel Cabrera	0.3433	0.3317	0.3156	13.1	8.0	5.1
3	Adolis García	0.2525	0.2576	0.2862	22.6	18.3	4.3
4	Jace Peterson	0.3229	0.3340	0.3477	8.3	4.4	3.9
5	Albert Pujols	0.3018	0.2877	0.2838	4.5	0.9	3.6
6	Justin Upton	0.3270	0.3154	0.2964	10.1	6.6	3.5
7	J.D. Martinez	0.3602	0.3529	0.3491	5.3	1.8	3.5
8	Patrick Wisdom	0.2782	0.2851	0.3048	11.0	7.7	3.3
9	Ty France	0.3233	0.3263	0.3677	30.6	27.5	3.2
10	Akil Baddoo	0.2584	0.2632	0.3297	34.1	31.1	3.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3411	0.3592	0.4011	41.5	29.9	11.6
2	Joey Votto	0.3464	0.3657	0.3752	15.1	5.6	9.5
3	Austin Riley	0.2968	0.3107	0.3671	46.2	37.9	8.3
4	Mike Yastrzemski	0.3406	0.3286	0.3107	16.2	9.1	7.1
5	Yuli Gurriel	0.3030	0.3146	0.3835	48.3	42.2	6.1
6	Darin Ruf	0.3008	0.3218	0.3846	26.0	19.9	6.1
7	Bryan Reynolds	0.3188	0.3291	0.3901	45.7	40.0	5.8
8	Jose Iglesias	0.3260	0.3166	0.3092	8.9	3.3	5.5
9	Raimel Tapia	0.3371	0.3284	0.3271	5.7	0.3	5.4
10	Brandon Marsh	0.2813	0.3026	0.3166	9.0	3.9	5.2

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Zunino	0.5586	0.3878 (67.0)	0.3862 (71.3)	0.3875 (68.4)	0.3853 (68.1)	0.3904 (66.5)
Shohei Ohtani	0.5922	0.4863 (72.7)	0.4765 (85.3)	0.4957 (68.9)	0.4918 (69.5)	0.4716 (83.0)
Bryce Harper	0.6148	0.5206 (61.2)	0.4969 (81.3)	0.5190 (64.2)	0.5192 (62.3)	0.5235 (60.2)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.6010	0.5138 (66.4)	0.4400 (124.8)	0.5207 (64.0)	0.5228 (60.4)	0.4982 (78.3)
Tyler O'Neill	0.5602	0.4366 (70.6)	0.4185 (85.7)	0.4308 (75.6)	0.4428 (67.5)	0.4360 (71.6)
Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.2610	0.4095 (60.2)	0.4250 (62.6)	0.4113 (59.4)	0.4047 (57.9)	0.4125 (60.9)
Cody Bellinger	0.3016	0.5579 (86.9)	0.5190 (69.8)	0.5697 (89.8)	0.5587 (87.1)	0.5455 (82.1)
Joey Votto	0.5625	0.4217 (79.2)	0.4202 (85.4)	0.4439 (69.3)	0.4382 (70.7)	0.3844 (99.9)
Brandon Crawford	0.5217	0.3750 (84.9)	0.3903 (81.9)	0.3687 (90.3)	0.3842 (80.1)	0.3720 (87.3)
Cedric Mullins	0.5183	0.3882 (93.2)	0.3813 (104.5)	0.3857 (97.1)	0.3888 (93.0)	0.3900 (92.9)
Christian Yelich	0.3734	0.5251 (68.3)	0.5583 (79.3)	0.5286 (68.3)	0.5239 (67.5)	0.5229 (66.6)
Brandon Belt	0.5969	0.4328 (65.5)	0.4381 (67.3)	0.4284 (68.6)	0.4461 (60.6)	0.4239 (69.4)
DJ LeMahieu	0.3618	0.4587 (60.4)	0.4881 (73.6)	0.4576 (57.3)	0.4550 (57.6)	0.4634 (62.7)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gleyber Torres	0.5146	0.3660	72.6
2	Bryan Reynolds	0.4236	0.5224	68.9
3	Marcus Semien	0.4545	0.5383	66.4
4	Buster Posey	0.3711	0.4987	61.5
5	Akil Baddoo	0.3167	0.4358	58.6
6	Matt Chapman	0.5029	0.4026	57.5
7	Nick Castellanos	0.4874	0.5763	56.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marcus Semien	0.4409	0.5383	83.5
2	Austin Riley	0.4309	0.5305	77.8
3	Kyle Tucker	0.4533	0.5573	69.1
4	Luis Urías	0.3538	0.4449	62.1
5	Nick Castellanos	0.4944	0.5763	58.4
6	Buster Posey	0.3889	0.4987	58.0
7	Dominic Smith	0.4983	0.3632	57.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marcus Semien	0.4444	0.5383	76.2
2	Gleyber Torres	0.5116	0.3660	69.2
3	Bryan Reynolds	0.4282	0.5224	68.2
4	Akil Baddoo	0.3036	0.4358	66.2
5	Andrelton Simmons	0.4185	0.2743	59.9
6	Nick Castellanos	0.4907	0.5763	56.8
7	Jorge Polanco	0.4275	0.5034	56.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marcus Semien	0.4456	0.5383	73.2
2	Gleyber Torres	0.5063	0.3660	68.1
3	Bryan Reynolds	0.4290	0.5224	65.7
4	Akil Baddoo	0.3107	0.4358	61.5
5	Buster Posey	0.3738	0.4987	60.5
6	Nick Castellanos	0.4824	0.5763	59.8
7	Alec Bohm	0.4815	0.3421	54.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gleyber Torres	0.5259	0.3660	77.7
2	Bryan Reynolds	0.4138	0.5224	76.1
3	Matt Chapman	0.5208	0.4026	67.7
4	Jonathan India	0.3661	0.4586	64.2
5	Buster Posey	0.3686	0.4987	63.3
6	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.3306	0.4821	61.3
7	Jesse Winker	0.4474	0.5556	56.9

Most Unique Misses for Slugging Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.4400	0.5138	0.6010	124.8	66.4	58.4
2	Austin Riley	0.4309	0.4712	0.5305	77.8	44.5	33.3
3	C.J. Cron	0.4634	0.5132	0.5298	46.1	13.4	32.7
4	Rafael Devers	0.4906	0.5296	0.5381	43.4	10.9	32.5
5	Brendan Rodgers	0.3744	0.4378	0.4703	47.2	16.8	30.4
6	Carlos Correa	0.4510	0.4875	0.4847	33.0	3.2	29.8
7	Luis Urías	0.3538	0.3925	0.4449	62.1	34.4	27.7
8	Kyle Tucker	0.4533	0.4871	0.5573	69.1	44.3	24.8
9	Jeimer Candelario	0.4040	0.4329	0.4434	35.9	11.5	24.4
10	Dylan Carlson	0.3992	0.4263	0.4373	34.6	11.7	23.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nelson Cruz	0.4185	0.5240	0.4971	52.5	11.1	41.4
2	Josh Donaldson	0.4185	0.4687	0.4748	36.8	7.6	29.1
3	Sandy León	0.4185	0.3098	0.2673	30.8	7.6	23.1
4	Kelvin Gutiérrez	0.4185	0.3458	0.3162	26.8	6.4	20.4
5	Magneuris Sierra	0.4185	0.3279	0.2679	31.3	11.7	19.6
6	Ronald Torreyes	0.4185	0.3626	0.3459	21.1	3.0	18.0
7	Brock Holt	0.4185	0.3486	0.2979	28.4	11.1	17.3
8	Mike Yastrzemski	0.4078	0.4367	0.4573	32.4	15.2	17.2
9	Yadier Molina	0.4185	0.3792	0.3705	17.3	0.4	16.9
10	Guillermo Heredia	0.4185	0.3668	0.3541	18.4	1.7	16.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Ramírez	0.5156	0.5342	0.5380	19.6	7.5	12.1
2	Miguel Cabrera	0.4396	0.4177	0.3856	24.0	12.7	11.3
3	Teoscar Hernández	0.4668	0.4852	0.5236	38.8	27.6	11.2
4	Trea Turner	0.4719	0.4856	0.5361	46.9	37.7	9.2
5	Chris Taylor	0.4118	0.4266	0.4379	20.1	11.1	8.9
6	Maikel Franco	0.4653	0.4434	0.3554	40.9	32.3	8.6
7	Yadier Molina	0.3976	0.3792	0.3705	8.9	0.4	8.5
8	Adolis García	0.3793	0.3923	0.4544	51.9	43.5	8.4
9	Max Muncy	0.4548	0.4671	0.5272	47.8	40.2	7.6
10	Joc Pederson	0.4978	0.4822	0.4219	32.5	25.2	7.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Votto	0.3844	0.4217	0.5625	99.9	79.2	20.6
2	J.D. Martinez	0.4874	0.5132	0.5175	25.0	7.8	17.3
3	Yonny Hernández	0.4185	0.3230	0.2517	26.1	10.5	15.6
4	Nelson Cruz	0.5505	0.5240	0.4971	25.8	11.1	14.7
5	Miguel Sanó	0.5279	0.4998	0.4660	28.0	13.8	14.2
6	Tyler Stephenson	0.3623	0.3936	0.4314	31.5	18.4	13.1
7	Luis Torrens	0.3503	0.3829	0.4306	33.9	21.0	12.9
8	Yuli Gurriel	0.4230	0.4421	0.4623	29.4	17.0	12.4
9	Jonathan India	0.3661	0.3842	0.4586	64.2	52.0	12.3
10	Trey Mancini	0.4906	0.4699	0.4317	30.6	18.7	11.9

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Julio Teheran	20	555 (535.3)	397 (377.0)	519 (499.1)	508 (487.6)	639 (619.1)
Mike Fiers	45	598 (553.3)	443 (398.0)	598 (553.4)	643 (597.6)	554 (509.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Roark	595	31	564.3
2	Stephen Strasburg	609	95	514.5
3	Josh Lindblom	591	85	506.2
4	James Paxton	508	5	503.2
5	Cole Irvin	268	768	500.3
6	Dustin May	549	93	456.3
7	Chris Archer	514	83	431.5
8	Spencer Turnbull	614	201	412.9
9	Jacob deGrom	736	324	412.1
10	Jack Flaherty	727	322	405.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cole Irvin	159	768	609.0
2	Chris Flexen	139	741	602.0
3	Luis Garcia	166	633	467.0
4	Julio Urías	321	745	424.0
5	Shane McClanahan	100	517	417.0
6	Walker Buehler	399	815	416.0
7	Nathan Eovaldi	349	764	415.0
8	Logan Gilbert	100	503	403.0
9	Sandy Alcantara	435	837	402.0
10	Marcus Stroman	333	730	397.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	100	828	728.0
2	Cole Irvin	118	768	649.5
3	Luis Garcia	103	633	530.2
4	Garrett Richards	100	617	517.0
5	Matt Harvey	100	582	482.0
6	Vladimir Gutierrez	35	496	461.3
7	James Paxton	462	5	457.4
8	Spencer Turnbull	645	201	444.4
9	Logan Gilbert	76	503	427.4
10	Wil Crowe	100	524	424.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Stephen Strasburg	687	95	591.9
2	Tanner Roark	599	31	567.7
3	Cole Irvin	208	768	559.6
4	Josh Lindblom	639	85	554.2
5	James Paxton	557	5	552.1
6	Chris Archer	590	83	507.0
7	Michael Lorenzen	626	125	500.7
8	Tejay Antone	606	128	477.6
9	Jacob deGrom	800	324	476.5
10	Nate Pearson	547	71	475.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dakota Hudson	691	34	657.1
2	Bernardo Flores Jr.	649	3	646.1
3	Peter Lambert	653	30	623.0
4	Angel Rondón	604	7	596.9
5	Darren McCaughan	624	39	585.1
6	Tanner Roark	592	31	560.9
7	Dustin May	645	93	551.9
8	Packy Naughton	651	108	543.1
9	Tyler Beede	545	6	539.1
10	Alec Bettinger	581	51	529.9

Most Unique Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Eduardo Rodriguez	337	670	675	338.0	4.8	333.2
2	Sandy Alcantara	435	752	837	402.0	85.1	316.9
3	Marcus Stroman	333	638	730	397.0	92.3	304.7
4	Kevin Gausman	386	679	775	389.0	96.0	293.0
5	Ryan Yarbrough	348	668	653	305.0	15.0	290.0
6	Corbin Burnes	299	588	657	358.0	68.8	289.2
7	Chris Flexen	139	423	741	602.0	318.0	284.0
8	Walker Buehler	399	682	815	416.0	133.0	283.0
9	José Berríos	478	752	781	303.0	29.3	273.7
10	Luis Castillo	476	747	803	327.0	56.1	270.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	100	586	828	728.0	242.2	485.8
2	Caleb Smith	100	524	500	400.0	23.7	376.3
3	Alec Mills	100	560	517	417.0	43.1	373.9
4	Garrett Richards	100	435	617	517.0	181.8	335.2
5	Joe Ross	100	492	460	360.0	31.9	328.1
6	Matt Harvey	100	425	582	482.0	156.5	325.5
7	Wil Crowe	100	416	524	424.0	108.2	315.8
8	John Gant	100	407	491	391.0	84.3	306.7
9	Taylor Hearn	100	369	441	341.0	72.2	268.8
10	Chi Chi González	100	333	448	348.0	115.2	232.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jhoulys Chacín	4	250	269	264.7	18.8	245.8
2	Griffin Jax	4	246	360	355.6	113.8	241.7
3	Nabil Crismatt	42	273	351	308.7	77.9	230.8
4	Matt Peacock	4	217	386	381.6	168.8	212.8
5	Riley Smith	95	299	301	206.2	1.6	204.6
6	Kolby Allard	230	429	534	304.3	105.2	199.1
7	Tyler Alexander	153	338	451	298.1	113.0	185.2
8	Patrick Sandoval	134	319	363	228.8	44.3	184.5
9	Vladimir Gutierrez	52	225	496	444.1	271.2	172.9
10	Joel Payamps	13	182	205	192.1	22.7	169.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Packy Naughton	651	254	108	543.1	145.7	397.4
2	Jackson Kowar	589	242	154	435.1	88.0	347.1
3	Dakota Hudson	691	348	34	657.1	313.8	343.3
4	Peter Lambert	653	329	30	623.0	298.8	324.2
5	Cory Abbott	572	251	82	490.1	169.1	321.0
6	Robert Dugger	534	217	121	413.0	96.0	317.0
7	Darren McCaughan	624	314	39	585.1	275.2	309.9
8	Bernardo Flores Jr.	649	351	3	646.1	348.2	297.9
9	Yennsy Díaz	597	301	112	484.9	188.6	296.3
10	Sean Reid-Foley	517	222	92	424.9	129.9	295.0

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Kyle Hendricks	0.3435	0.2939 (30.8)	0.2974 (38.2)	0.1088 (83.4)	0.2985 (28.6)	0.2879 (32.6)
Adam Wainwright	0.2731	0.3066 (36.2)	0.3159 (33.2)	0.3143 (140.4)	0.3062 (34.5)	0.3070 (39.7)
Jake Arrieta	0.3989	0.3140 (35.0)	0.3297 (33.8)	0.1306 (65.6)	0.3188 (33.6)	0.3060 (37.0)
J.A. Happ	0.3601	0.3049 (30.1)	0.3158 (31.5)	0.1319 (67.0)	0.3149 (24.6)	0.2939 (35.0)
Patrick Corbin	0.3576	0.2945 (39.6)	0.3073 (39.7)	0.1223 (80.3)	0.2948 (40.7)	0.2912 (39.2)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Rodón	0.3156	0.2462	42.6
2	Zack Wheeler	0.2924	0.2553	40.2
3	Corbin Burnes	0.2823	0.2315	40.2
4	Jesús Luzardo	0.2851	0.3736	34.2
5	Ranger Suarez	0.3068	0.2370	33.5
6	Mitch Keller	0.3041	0.3772	29.5
7	Dallas Keuchel	0.3043	0.3555	29.5
8	Sandy Alcantara	0.3022	0.2776	29.2
9	Freddy Peralta	0.2905	0.2518	28.4
10	Julio Urías	0.2917	0.2651	27.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.3124	0.2315	51.4
2	Carlos Rodón	0.3225	0.2462	39.3
3	Kevin Gausman	0.3169	0.2647	38.4
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.3051	0.3555	38.2
5	Ranger Suarez	0.3310	0.2370	38.2
6	Brad Keller	0.2988	0.3584	38.1
7	Zach Davies	0.3078	0.3617	37.8
8	Robbie Ray	0.3376	0.2862	37.7
9	Freddy Peralta	0.3142	0.2518	34.6
10	Logan Webb	0.3336	0.2730	34.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Manoah	0.3143	0.2727	78.1
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.1188	0.3555	78.0
3	Zach Davies	0.1311	0.3617	68.3
4	Brad Keller	0.1219	0.3584	66.3
5	Joe Ross	0.3143	0.3060	62.9
6	Caleb Smith	0.3143	0.3182	62.3
7	John Gant	0.3143	0.3201	60.2
8	Nestor Cortes	0.3143	0.2840	59.4
9	Craig Stammen	0.3143	0.2796	57.9
10	Paolo Espino	0.3143	0.3183	56.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Rodón	0.3170	0.2462	42.4
2	Corbin Burnes	0.2846	0.2315	40.5
3	Zack Wheeler	0.2916	0.2553	38.0
4	Ranger Suarez	0.3089	0.2370	33.6
5	Jesús Luzardo	0.2886	0.3736	33.4
6	Mitch Keller	0.3050	0.3772	29.9
7	Julio Urías	0.2964	0.2651	29.7
8	Freddy Peralta	0.2941	0.2518	29.5
9	Sandy Alcantara	0.3020	0.2776	27.5
10	Lance Lynn	0.2973	0.2635	27.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Rodón	0.3108	0.2462	42.0
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.2836	0.3555	41.6
3	Zack Wheeler	0.2870	0.2553	38.8
4	Corbin Burnes	0.2744	0.2315	37.4
5	Zach Davies	0.2963	0.3617	34.3
6	Jesús Luzardo	0.2838	0.3736	33.1
7	Garrett Richards	0.2906	0.3569	32.2
8	Ranger Suarez	0.2988	0.2370	31.7
9	Brad Keller	0.2931	0.3584	31.4
10	Freddy Peralta	0.2873	0.2518	28.8

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kevin Gausman	0.3169	0.2799	0.2647	38.4	19.8	18.6
2	Robbie Ray	0.3376	0.3028	0.2862	37.7	20.7	16.9
3	Mike Foltynewicz	0.3134	0.3258	0.3528	24.7	9.8	14.9
4	Nathan Eovaldi	0.3321	0.2998	0.2991	23.2	8.4	14.8
5	Logan Webb	0.3336	0.2978	0.2730	34.5	20.9	13.6
6	Brad Keller	0.2988	0.3076	0.3584	38.1	24.8	13.3
7	Trevor Rogers	0.3328	0.2961	0.2682	34.1	21.0	13.0
8	Alex Wood	0.3276	0.2925	0.2991	15.1	2.1	13.0
9	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.2859	0.2913	0.3130	20.9	7.9	12.9
10	Dylan Cease	0.3418	0.3106	0.2942	31.8	18.9	12.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.3143	0.3066	0.2731	140.4	36.2	104.2
2	Caleb Smith	0.3143	0.3109	0.3182	62.3	1.5	60.8
3	Craig Stammen	0.3143	0.2789	0.2796	57.9	3.4	54.5
4	John Gant	0.3143	0.2978	0.3201	60.2	5.9	54.3
5	Alek Manoah	0.3143	0.3143	0.2727	78.1	23.8	54.2
6	Kyle Hendricks	0.1088	0.2939	0.3435	83.4	30.8	52.6
7	Taylor Hearn	0.3143	0.3155	0.3203	54.0	2.4	51.6
8	Cole Irvin	0.1188	0.3037	0.3207	56.4	5.1	51.3
9	Joe Ross	0.3143	0.3234	0.3060	62.9	12.7	50.1
10	Dallas Keuchel	0.1188	0.3043	0.3555	78.0	29.5	48.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Gutierrez	0.3071	0.3195	0.3410	12.6	5.6	7.0
2	Lucas Giolito	0.2908	0.2758	0.2887	7.7	1.9	5.8
3	Yusmeiro Petit	0.3095	0.2897	0.2795	12.0	6.4	5.6
4	Steve Cishek	0.3191	0.3004	0.3040	7.3	2.0	5.2
5	Craig Stammen	0.2935	0.2789	0.2796	8.0	3.4	4.6
6	Nabil Crismatt	0.2868	0.2971	0.3303	12.3	8.0	4.2
7	Chris Flexen	0.2962	0.3012	0.3109	4.6	0.4	4.2
8	Matt Moore	0.3197	0.3293	0.3628	11.6	7.8	3.8
9	Jon Lester	0.3193	0.3235	0.3511	14.6	10.9	3.7
10	Vince Velasquez	0.2995	0.3064	0.3680	25.0	21.4	3.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	0.2451	0.2758	0.2887	21.2	1.9	19.4
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.2836	0.3043	0.3555	41.6	29.5	12.2
3	Ryan Weathers	0.2917	0.3208	0.3520	18.5	8.4	10.1
4	Mike Foltynewicz	0.3051	0.3258	0.3528	19.7	9.8	9.9
5	James Kaprielian	0.3241	0.3087	0.3130	12.6	3.0	9.6
6	Ryan Yarbrough	0.2860	0.3037	0.3238	15.5	6.4	9.1
7	Zack Greinke	0.2765	0.2926	0.3082	12.4	3.8	8.6
8	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.2762	0.2913	0.3130	15.9	7.9	8.0
9	Tyler Alexander	0.3190	0.3055	0.3151	8.1	0.3	7.8
10	Zach Davies	0.2963	0.3117	0.3617	34.3	26.5	7.8

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Paul Sewald	0.3939	0.2186 (44.5)	0.2231 (45.3)	0.2320 (42.6)	0.2068 (47.8)	0.2305 (41.6)
Zack Wheeler	0.2909	0.2264 (49.1)	0.2255 (56.3)	0.2283 (52.6)	0.2322 (44.7)	0.2187 (56.3)
Carlos Rodón	0.3464	0.2229 (62.4)	0.2214 (67.2)	0.2192 (67.6)	0.2202 (64.1)	0.2294 (59.4)
Corbin Burnes	0.3562	0.2836 (43.3)	0.2809 (50.0)	0.2790 (50.3)	0.2817 (44.9)	0.2900 (39.6)
Jacob deGrom	0.4506	0.3315 (36.4)	0.3068 (46.8)	0.3441 (34.3)	0.3461 (31.9)	0.3043 (45.5)
Sean Manaea	0.2573	0.2034 (35.6)	0.2124 (34.5)	0.2045 (39.4)	0.1998 (38.7)	0.2059 (34.3)
Chris Flexen	0.1687	0.2437 (60.5)	0.2158 (34.3)	0.2472 (58.6)	0.2514 (65.8)	0.2324 (51.6)
Dylan Cease	0.3192	0.2296 (58.7)	0.2173 (72.7)	0.2355 (58.8)	0.2288 (59.7)	0.2246 (62.8)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Patrick Corbin	0.2394	0.1904	41.7
2	Luis Castillo	0.2823	0.2391	40.0
3	Zack Greinke	0.2190	0.1722	37.3
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.1741	0.1319	35.2
5	Nick Pivetta	0.2057	0.2648	34.6
6	Logan Webb	0.2016	0.2651	33.9
7	Drew Smyly	0.2679	0.2143	32.9
8	Walker Buehler	0.2929	0.2601	32.1
9	Tanner Houck	0.1894	0.3053	31.1
10	Jon Lester	0.1877	0.1451	30.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Patrick Corbin	0.2585	0.1904	50.5
2	Zack Greinke	0.2350	0.1722	43.3
3	Dallas Keuchel	0.1921	0.1319	42.8
4	Mike Foltynewicz	0.2338	0.1655	39.5
5	Matt Peacock	0.2320	0.1295	39.2
6	Cole Irvin	0.2138	0.1628	38.6
7	Jon Lester	0.2061	0.1451	37.7
8	Michael Kopech	0.2302	0.3614	37.6
9	Kevin Gausman	0.2461	0.2929	36.9
10	Chi Chi González	0.2040	0.1250	35.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chi Chi González	0.2320	0.1250	48.2
2	Luis Castillo	0.2892	0.2391	40.7
3	Matt Harvey	0.2320	0.1632	40.4
4	Matt Peacock	0.2320	0.1295	39.8
5	Logan Webb	0.1991	0.2651	38.9
6	Yusmeiro Petit	0.2320	0.1182	35.8
7	Nick Pivetta	0.2103	0.2648	35.6
8	Wily Peralta	0.2320	0.1443	35.5
9	Drew Smyly	0.2776	0.2143	34.9
10	Riley Smith	0.2320	0.1196	34.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Castillo	0.2899	0.2391	45.7
2	Drew Smyly	0.2826	0.2143	40.7
3	Patrick Corbin	0.2381	0.1904	40.4
4	Nick Pivetta	0.2017	0.2648	37.6
5	Logan Webb	0.2038	0.2651	32.9
6	Vladimir Gutierrez	0.2368	0.1774	32.5
7	Jon Lester	0.1899	0.1451	31.9
8	Tanner Houck	0.1892	0.3053	31.3
9	Kyle Hendricks	0.2003	0.1669	31.0
10	David Price	0.2634	0.1779	29.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Greinke	0.2376	0.1722	49.7
2	Patrick Corbin	0.2490	0.1904	48.4
3	Lucas Giolito	0.3402	0.2792	48.2
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.1918	0.1319	47.3
5	Walker Buehler	0.3079	0.2601	43.7
6	Michael Kopech	0.2023	0.3614	43.7
7	Sandy Alcantara	0.1861	0.2401	40.3
8	Wily Peralta	0.2320	0.1443	37.6
9	Nick Pivetta	0.2052	0.2648	35.5
10	Logan Webb	0.2019	0.2651	34.1

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt Peacock	0.2320	0.1593	0.1295	39.2	14.1	25.2
2	Cole Irvin	0.2138	0.1766	0.1628	38.6	15.8	22.8
3	Josh Fleming	0.2203	0.1628	0.1451	33.3	10.9	22.4
4	Aroldis Chapman	0.2961	0.3717	0.3992	25.3	5.1	20.2
5	Mike Foltynewicz	0.2338	0.1929	0.1655	39.5	19.9	19.6
6	Robbie Ray	0.2796	0.2951	0.3208	32.5	14.7	17.7
7	Spenser Watkins	0.2320	0.1582	0.1373	23.9	7.0	16.9
8	Alex Reyes	0.2364	0.2813	0.2997	20.3	3.7	16.6
9	Julio Urías	0.2305	0.2449	0.2617	23.9	7.6	16.2
10	Craig Kimbrel	0.2789	0.3367	0.4255	34.6	19.3	15.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt Harvey	0.2320	0.1685	0.1632	40.4	6.9	33.4
2	Matt Peacock	0.2320	0.1593	0.1295	39.8	14.1	25.7
3	Chi Chi González	0.2320	0.1711	0.1250	48.2	23.6	24.6
4	Julio Urías	0.2259	0.2449	0.2617	26.3	7.6	18.6
5	Trevor May	0.2320	0.3167	0.3120	21.1	3.0	18.1
6	Alex Reyes	0.2320	0.2813	0.2997	21.3	3.7	17.5
7	Spenser Watkins	0.2320	0.1582	0.1373	24.3	7.0	17.3
8	Wily Peralta	0.2320	0.1844	0.1443	35.5	18.8	16.7
9	Alec Mills	0.2320	0.1952	0.1683	33.3	17.4	15.9
10	Rex Brothers	0.2320	0.2915	0.3178	20.1	4.6	15.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Gutierrez	0.2368	0.2100	0.1774	32.5	19.5	13.0
2	Garrett Crochet	0.3905	0.3350	0.2826	26.2	13.6	12.7
3	Robbie Ray	0.2822	0.2951	0.3208	25.1	14.7	10.4
4	Drew Smyly	0.2826	0.2679	0.2143	40.7	32.9	7.8
5	Tylor Megill	0.2231	0.2402	0.2612	12.1	5.4	6.7
6	Madison Bumgarner	0.1847	0.1940	0.2023	7.0	1.0	6.0
7	Jorge López	0.1776	0.1878	0.2018	10.0	4.1	5.9
8	Taylor Hearn	0.2675	0.2536	0.2086	28.7	22.8	5.9
9	Kohei Arihara	0.2320	0.1984	0.1348	18.4	12.5	5.9
10	Frankie Montas	0.2230	0.2300	0.2661	28.7	22.9	5.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	0.3402	0.3018	0.2792	48.2	21.1	27.1
2	Wily Peralta	0.2320	0.1844	0.1443	37.6	18.8	18.8
3	Spenser Watkins	0.2320	0.1582	0.1373	25.7	7.0	18.6
4	Michael Kopech	0.2023	0.2525	0.3614	43.7	29.1	14.5
5	Sandy Alcantara	0.1861	0.2017	0.2401	40.3	26.6	13.7
6	James Karinchak	0.4383	0.3798	0.3319	26.4	12.8	13.6
7	Mike Foltynewicz	0.2162	0.1929	0.1655	33.2	19.9	13.2
8	Jordan Lyles	0.2065	0.1894	0.1899	17.3	4.8	12.6
9	Zack Greinke	0.2376	0.2190	0.1722	49.7	37.3	12.5
10	Emmanuel Clase	0.2069	0.2501	0.2652	14.6	2.4	12.3

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
John Gant	0.1446	0.1051 (20.7)	0.1061 (18.1)	0.0869 (28.5)	0.1077 (19.8)	0.1026 (21.0)
Adbert Alzolay	0.0655	0.1098 (21.6)	0.1020 (19.7)	0.1075 (21.6)	0.1084 (20.5)	0.1136 (24.6)
Robbie Ray	0.0673	0.1207 (39.2)	0.1208 (42.6)	0.1206 (40.9)	0.1212 (39.1)	0.1205 (40.5)
Tyler Anderson	0.0541	0.0847 (19.6)	0.0888 (25.5)	0.0869 (22.8)	0.0860 (20.1)	0.0811 (18.5)
Julio Urías	0.0510	0.0850 (23.3)	0.0841 (25.8)	0.0903 (28.9)	0.0869 (24.2)	0.0778 (19.4)
Corbin Burnes	0.0518	0.0929 (25.2)	0.0903 (26.3)	0.0958 (28.6)	0.0956 (26.6)	0.0872 (22.8)
Zach Davies	0.1123	0.0736 (27.7)	0.0774 (22.3)	0.0770 (23.9)	0.0764 (26.2)	0.0674 (30.5)
Aaron Nola	0.0521	0.0801 (19.0)	0.0849 (25.7)	0.0818 (22.0)	0.0821 (20.0)	0.0765 (17.8)
Antonio Senzatela	0.0478	0.0834 (22.1)	0.0830 (24.6)	0.0841 (24.1)	0.0819 (20.7)	0.0841 (23.8)
Chris Flexen	0.0540	0.0867 (22.3)	0.1007 (35.8)	0.0905 (26.7)	0.0874 (22.3)	0.0823 (20.4)
Blake Snell	0.1255	0.0918 (20.0)	0.0888 (19.3)	0.0893 (20.1)	0.0914 (20.6)	0.0947 (17.4)
Sandy Alcantara	0.0597	0.0966 (28.6)	0.0943 (30.2)	0.0969 (30.7)	0.0934 (25.4)	0.0996 (32.7)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Garcia	0.1248	0.0790	27.3
2	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.0864	0.1111	18.7
3	Kolby Allard	0.0940	0.0581	17.8
4	Chi Chi González	0.1045	0.0625	17.6
5	Triston McKenzie	0.0850	0.1172	17.2
6	Joe Jiménez	0.0884	0.1667	17.0
7	José Alvarado	0.1244	0.1873	16.5
8	Shane McClanahan	0.1058	0.0716	16.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0745	0.0458	23.1
2	Cole Irvin	0.0818	0.0547	22.0
3	Kolby Allard	0.0976	0.0581	21.9
4	José Alvarado	0.1088	0.1873	19.3
5	Logan Webb	0.0895	0.0604	18.3
6	Joe Jiménez	0.0806	0.1667	17.7
7	Adam Wainwright	0.0796	0.0604	17.2
8	Alex Reyes	0.1091	0.1640	16.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Garcia	0.1187	0.0790	24.8
2	Alex Reyes	0.0869	0.1640	24.6
3	Kolby Allard	0.0992	0.0581	21.7
4	Adam Wainwright	0.0869	0.0604	21.6
5	Caleb Smith	0.0869	0.1260	19.7
6	Junior Guerra	0.0869	0.1498	19.4
7	Logan Webb	0.0928	0.0604	19.1
8	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0709	0.0458	18.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Garcia	0.1198	0.0790	23.7
2	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.0841	0.1111	20.8
3	Kolby Allard	0.0952	0.0581	18.1
4	Ryan Weathers	0.1228	0.0748	17.9
5	José Alvarado	0.1195	0.1873	17.8
6	Triston McKenzie	0.0857	0.1172	17.2
7	Joe Jiménez	0.0906	0.1667	16.7
8	Logan Webb	0.0916	0.0604	16.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Garcia	0.1360	0.0790	35.6
2	Chi Chi González	0.1118	0.0625	21.8
3	Tyler Kinley	0.1576	0.0881	20.3
4	Jesús Luzardo	0.0668	0.1098	19.1
5	Carlos Rodón	0.1040	0.0674	19.1
6	Germán Márquez	0.0608	0.0847	18.6
7	Shane McClanahan	0.1068	0.0716	17.8
8	Huascar Ynoa	0.1151	0.0672	17.5

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cole Irvin	0.0818	0.0638	0.0547	22.0	4.9	17.1
2	Chris Flexen	0.1007	0.0867	0.0540	35.8	22.3	13.5
3	Cristian Javier	0.0862	0.1187	0.1250	15.8	3.8	12.0
4	Casey Mize	0.0896	0.0747	0.0670	14.7	3.1	11.6
5	Johan Oviedo	0.0862	0.1298	0.1285	11.8	0.4	11.4
6	Jake Brentz	0.0869	0.1401	0.1331	12.4	1.2	11.2
7	Bailey Ober	0.0869	0.0621	0.0501	14.5	3.5	11.0
8	Rex Brothers	0.0885	0.1637	0.1483	13.8	3.0	10.7
9	Tyler Matzek	0.0838	0.1213	0.1402	14.5	5.7	8.8
10	Dillon Maples	0.1026	0.1693	0.1799	10.5	1.8	8.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Brentz	0.0869	0.1401	0.1331	13.0	1.2	11.8
2	Rex Brothers	0.0869	0.1637	0.1483	14.6	3.0	11.6
3	Josh Tomlin	0.0869	0.0366	0.0229	13.9	2.4	11.5
4	Darwinzon Hernández	0.0869	0.1513	0.1703	15.3	4.0	11.3
5	Dillon Maples	0.0869	0.1693	0.1799	13.0	1.8	11.1
6	Yusmeiro Petit	0.0869	0.0545	0.0383	15.1	4.2	10.9
7	Alex Reyes	0.0869	0.1231	0.1640	24.6	13.8	10.8
8	Bailey Ober	0.0869	0.0621	0.0501	13.8	3.5	10.3
9	Craig Stammen	0.0869	0.0622	0.0366	17.7	8.1	9.6
10	Kyle Zimmer	0.0869	0.1317	0.1345	10.7	1.2	9.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Weathers	0.1228	0.0974	0.0748	17.9	8.0	9.9
2	Tyler Matzek	0.0997	0.1213	0.1402	11.6	5.7	5.9
3	Daniel Bard	0.0924	0.1081	0.1184	8.9	4.0	5.0
4	Walker Buehler	0.0744	0.0690	0.0638	5.9	2.0	3.9
5	Casey Mize	0.0816	0.0747	0.0670	6.9	3.1	3.8
6	Cristian Javier	0.1112	0.1187	0.1250	7.3	3.8	3.5
7	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0688	0.0629	0.0413	15.7	12.3	3.4
8	Sam Long	0.1379	0.1188	0.0852	8.7	5.4	3.3
9	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0626	0.0573	0.0528	4.6	1.3	3.3
10	Ryan Burr	0.1071	0.1277	0.1391	5.3	2.1	3.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Brentz	0.0869	0.1401	0.1331	13.0	1.2	11.8
2	Luis Garcia	0.1360	0.1248	0.0790	35.6	27.3	8.3
3	James Karinchak	0.1715	0.1423	0.1362	8.1	0.8	7.3
4	Josh Staumont	0.1657	0.1413	0.1023	16.6	9.6	7.0
5	Luis Gil	0.0869	0.1421	0.1473	7.9	1.0	6.9
6	Jake Cousins	0.0869	0.1433	0.1520	8.2	1.4	6.8
7	Tyler Kinley	0.1576	0.1366	0.0881	20.3	13.5	6.8
8	Lucas Gilbreath	0.0869	0.1243	0.1243	7.1	0.5	6.5
9	Josh Fleming	0.0505	0.0651	0.0692	8.7	3.1	5.7
10	A.J. Alexy	0.0869	0.1440	0.1753	8.6	3.3	5.3

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Kendall Graveman	0.0360	0.0096 (5.6)	0.0103 (5.6)	0.0098 (5.6)	0.0097 (5.6)	0.0092 (5.8)
Alek Manoah	0.0349	0.0116 (10.2)	0.0116 (10.4)	0.0116 (10.2)	0.0116 (10.1)	0.0116 (10.4)
Dan Winkler	0.0474	0.0151 (5.9)	0.0130 (6.4)	0.0116 (6.6)	0.0120 (6.5)	0.0182 (5.4)
Dillon Maples	0.0576	0.0172 (5.5)	0.0171 (5.5)	0.0116 (6.3)	0.0138 (5.9)	0.0205 (5.0)
Ross Detwiler	0.0349	0.0109 (5.3)	0.0091 (5.8)	0.0116 (5.1)	0.0093 (5.6)	0.0124 (5.0)
Rich Hill	0.0242	0.0122 (7.2)	0.0117 (7.8)	0.0115 (7.7)	0.0114 (7.6)	0.0136 (6.5)
Lance Lynn	0.0031	0.0109 (5.7)	0.0118 (6.0)	0.0108 (5.5)	0.0108 (5.8)	0.0113 (5.7)
Austin Adams	0.0996	0.0115 (21.0)	0.0074 (22.1)	0.0113 (21.0)	0.0121 (20.7)	0.0112 (21.1)
Alex Wood	0.0274	0.0109 (8.9)	0.0122 (8.5)	0.0113 (8.8)	0.0117 (8.4)	0.0098 (9.8)
Joe Musgrove	0.0241	0.0113 (8.7)	0.0123 (8.3)	0.0111 (8.9)	0.0111 (8.7)	0.0118 (8.6)
Carlos Martinez	0.0303	0.0117 (6.3)	0.0144 (5.5)	0.0116 (6.4)	0.0116 (6.3)	0.0119 (6.4)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.0085	0.0014	5.8
2	Chad Kuhl	0.0097	0.0258	5.2
3	Lucas Giolito	0.0088	0.0028	5.2
4	Edwin Díaz	0.0141	0.0350	5.1
5	Luis Garcia	0.0113	0.0047	4.9
6	Kyle Hendricks	0.0093	0.0166	4.8
7	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.0090	0.0030	4.8
8	Ian Anderson	0.0097	0.0019	4.8
9	Paolo Espino	0.0114	0.0022	4.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.0104	0.0014	6.8
2	Lucas Giolito	0.0105	0.0028	6.0
3	Ian Anderson	0.0118	0.0019	5.7
4	Wade Miley	0.0116	0.0043	5.4
5	Anthony DeSclafani	0.0103	0.0030	5.4
6	Taijuan Walker	0.0135	0.0061	5.3
7	Brett de Geus	0.0116	0.0336	5.1
8	Luis Garcia	0.0120	0.0047	5.1
9	Zach Pop	0.0116	0.0325	5.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	0.0105	0.0028	6.3
2	Tyler Anderson	0.0090	0.0014	6.0
3	Edwin Díaz	0.0120	0.0350	5.7
4	Charlie Morton	0.0144	0.0225	5.4
5	Chad Kuhl	0.0101	0.0258	5.1
6	Joe Jiménez	0.0129	0.0381	5.1
7	Brett de Geus	0.0116	0.0336	5.0
8	Zach Pop	0.0116	0.0325	4.9
9	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.0092	0.0030	4.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	0.0105	0.0028	6.5
2	Tyler Anderson	0.0090	0.0014	6.3
3	Edwin Díaz	0.0120	0.0350	5.6
4	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.0095	0.0030	5.3
5	Brett de Geus	0.0104	0.0336	5.2
6	Chad Kuhl	0.0100	0.0258	5.0
7	Anthony DeSclafani	0.0090	0.0030	5.0
8	Joe Jiménez	0.0129	0.0381	5.0
9	Zach Pop	0.0110	0.0325	5.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Hendricks	0.0085	0.0166	5.8
2	Chad Kuhl	0.0091	0.0258	5.6
3	Chris Flexen	0.0121	0.0054	5.5
4	Luis Garcia	0.0126	0.0047	5.4
5	Ian Anderson	0.0112	0.0019	5.4
6	Martín Pérez	0.0065	0.0177	5.3
7	Taijuan Walker	0.0134	0.0061	5.3
8	Jake Woodford	0.0097	0.0273	4.9
9	Chris Paddack	0.0122	0.0022	4.9

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mike Foltynewicz	0.0065	0.0093	0.0154	4.8	2.9	1.9
2	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0172	0.0140	0.0138	2.7	0.9	1.8
3	Hunter Strickland	0.0161	0.0083	0.0083	2.1	0.3	1.8
4	Max Scherzer	0.0089	0.0109	0.0144	3.3	1.7	1.7
5	Clay Holmes	0.0207	0.0150	0.0137	2.2	0.7	1.5
6	Austin Gomber	0.0137	0.0102	0.0061	4.0	2.5	1.5
7	Logan Webb	0.0153	0.0126	0.0134	1.5	0.2	1.4
8	Zach Plesac	0.0073	0.0090	0.0117	2.3	1.0	1.3
9	Nabil Crismatt	0.0080	0.0112	0.0228	5.0	3.7	1.3
10	Kenley Jansen	0.0167	0.0116	0.0072	2.8	1.5	1.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yusmeiro Petit	0.0116	0.0037	0.0032	2.9	0.5	2.4
2	Garrett Richards	0.0116	0.0062	0.0081	2.8	0.5	2.3
3	Brad Hand	0.0116	0.0188	0.0216	2.5	0.5	2.0
4	Daniel Bard	0.0111	0.0162	0.0230	3.3	1.7	1.6
5	Andrew Miller	0.0116	0.0206	0.0305	2.9	1.4	1.5
6	Steve Cishek	0.0116	0.0207	0.0195	2.1	0.7	1.4
7	Adam Wainwright	0.0116	0.0098	0.0109	1.4	0.1	1.4
8	Jose Alvarez	0.0116	0.0067	0.0000	3.3	2.1	1.3
9	Charlie Morton	0.0144	0.0159	0.0225	5.4	4.1	1.2
10	Lucas Giolito	0.0105	0.0088	0.0028	6.3	5.2	1.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Daniel Bard	0.0113	0.0162	0.0230	3.2	1.7	1.4
2	Lucas Giolito	0.0105	0.0088	0.0028	6.5	5.2	1.3
3	Brad Hand	0.0138	0.0188	0.0216	1.8	0.5	1.3
4	Yusmeiro Petit	0.0075	0.0037	0.0032	1.8	0.5	1.2
5	Clayton Kershaw	0.0068	0.0050	0.0061	1.0	0.0	1.0
6	Patrick Corbin	0.0070	0.0060	0.0040	3.2	2.3	0.9
7	Garrett Richards	0.0090	0.0062	0.0081	1.4	0.5	0.9
8	Blake Snell	0.0061	0.0048	0.0055	1.1	0.2	0.9
9	Michael Wacha	0.0085	0.0070	0.0076	1.2	0.3	0.9
10	Ross Stripling	0.0076	0.0059	0.0046	1.9	1.0	0.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Diekman	0.0268	0.0186	0.0153	3.2	1.2	2.0
2	Marcus Stroman	0.0038	0.0062	0.0096	3.7	1.7	2.0
3	Garrett Richards	0.0033	0.0062	0.0081	2.5	0.5	2.0
4	Clayton Kershaw	0.0016	0.0050	0.0061	1.9	0.0	1.9
5	Chris Flexen	0.0121	0.0094	0.0054	5.5	3.8	1.7
6	José Suarez	0.0198	0.0154	0.0097	4.5	2.8	1.7
7	Sonny Gray	0.0062	0.0087	0.0139	4.0	2.4	1.7
8	Will Smith	0.0000	0.0053	0.0177	4.8	3.2	1.6
9	Steve Cishek	0.0261	0.0207	0.0195	2.3	0.7	1.5
10	Logan Webb	0.0155	0.0126	0.0134	1.7	0.2	1.5

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Griffin Jax	0.0881	0.0488 (15.0)	0.0488 (14.6)	0.0488 (14.7)	0.0513 (14.1)	0.0463 (15.7)
Alex Cobb	0.0193	0.0521 (12.0)	0.0556 (13.7)	0.0496 (11.3)	0.0504 (11.2)	0.0563 (13.8)
Nathan Eovaldi	0.0285	0.0530 (17.0)	0.0591 (22.4)	0.0525 (17.1)	0.0514 (15.6)	0.0549 (18.8)
Corbin Burnes	0.0183	0.0485 (18.3)	0.0541 (22.6)	0.0493 (19.3)	0.0498 (19.0)	0.0463 (17.2)
JT Brubaker	0.0773	0.0408 (20.9)	0.0489 (16.0)	0.0439 (18.9)	0.0420 (20.4)	0.0366 (22.9)
Jake Arrieta	0.0714	0.0441 (13.9)	0.0455 (12.8)	0.0429 (14.1)	0.0434 (14.3)	0.0461 (12.8)
Antonio Senzatela	0.0229	0.0475 (15.0)	0.0432 (12.7)	0.0481 (15.8)	0.0486 (15.6)	0.0459 (14.2)
Chris Flexen	0.0332	0.0561 (15.2)	0.0532 (13.8)	0.0583 (17.4)	0.0560 (15.0)	0.0540 (14.0)
Tarik Skubal	0.0839	0.0619 (15.4)	0.0628 (14.3)	0.0599 (16.3)	0.0596 (17.0)	0.0662 (12.4)
Josiah Gray	0.0969	0.0530 (14.2)	0.0488 (15.2)	0.0418 (17.4)	0.0584 (12.6)	0.0585 (12.4)
Patrick Corbin	0.0679	0.0480 (16.7)	0.0450 (18.2)	0.0474 (16.6)	0.0470 (17.5)	0.0494 (15.2)
Trevor Rogers	0.0175	0.0454 (14.1)	0.0553 (20.0)	0.0458 (14.6)	0.0448 (13.6)	0.0456 (14.4)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Wheeler	0.0480	0.0292	14.0
2	Kolby Allard	0.0525	0.0734	12.4
3	Matt Harvey	0.0663	0.0427	12.4
4	Andrew Heaney	0.0605	0.0803	12.3
5	Trevor Bauer	0.0483	0.0745	12.3
6	Mike Foltynewicz	0.0607	0.0788	12.0
7	Yu Darvish	0.0501	0.0651	11.8
8	Wil Crowe	0.0514	0.0714	11.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marco Gonzales	0.0399	0.0674	16.9
2	Kolby Allard	0.0431	0.0734	16.9
3	Steven Matz	0.0664	0.0396	16.4
4	Andrew Heaney	0.0554	0.0803	14.7
5	Ranger Suarez	0.0495	0.0147	14.0
6	Dean Kremer	0.0448	0.0988	13.6
7	Vince Velasquez	0.0573	0.0875	13.2
8	Mike Foltynewicz	0.0580	0.0788	13.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Wheeler	0.0503	0.0292	16.5
2	Ranger Suarez	0.0473	0.0147	13.0
3	Wil Crowe	0.0488	0.0714	12.7
4	Yu Darvish	0.0485	0.0651	12.4
5	Adam Plutko	0.0488	0.0939	11.9
6	Kolby Allard	0.0528	0.0734	11.9
7	Jesús Luzardo	0.0451	0.0697	11.5
8	Steve Cishek	0.0488	0.0102	11.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Wheeler	0.0477	0.0292	13.6
2	Yu Darvish	0.0486	0.0651	13.0
3	Wil Crowe	0.0498	0.0714	12.7
4	Steve Cishek	0.0538	0.0102	12.7
5	Kolby Allard	0.0525	0.0734	12.5
6	Ranger Suarez	0.0450	0.0147	11.6
7	Andrew Heaney	0.0621	0.0803	11.6
8	Vince Velasquez	0.0629	0.0875	11.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Harvey	0.0707	0.0427	15.3
2	Marco Gonzales	0.0432	0.0674	15.2
3	Mike Foltynewicz	0.0551	0.0788	15.0
4	Trevor Bauer	0.0423	0.0745	14.7
5	Andrew Heaney	0.0562	0.0803	14.5
6	Ryan Weathers	0.0359	0.0676	13.4
7	Lucas Luetge	0.0738	0.0293	12.9
8	Zack Wheeler	0.0461	0.0292	12.8

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zack Greinke	0.0409	0.0546	0.0557	11.2	2.3	8.9
2	Dylan Cease	0.0632	0.0521	0.0494	8.8	0.3	8.5
3	Anthony DeSclafani	0.0597	0.0483	0.0396	12.7	4.4	8.3
4	Austin Gomber	0.0411	0.0569	0.0604	10.1	2.9	7.2
5	Max Scherzer	0.0471	0.0584	0.0560	7.1	0.1	7.0
6	Alex Wood	0.0529	0.0424	0.0370	8.5	1.8	6.8
7	Jameson Taillon	0.0430	0.0540	0.0581	9.9	3.9	6.0
8	Trevor Rogers	0.0553	0.0454	0.0175	20.0	14.1	6.0
9	Steven Matz	0.0664	0.0582	0.0396	16.4	10.5	6.0
10	Cole Irvin	0.0545	0.0480	0.0389	11.0	5.2	5.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Caleb Smith	0.0488	0.0661	0.0651	9.0	0.7	8.3
2	Vladimir Gutierrez	0.0408	0.0564	0.0559	8.3	0.9	7.4
3	Clay Holmes	0.0571	0.0407	0.0276	8.1	3.2	5.0
4	Adam Plutko	0.0488	0.0684	0.0939	11.9	7.1	4.8
5	Jose Alvarez	0.0488	0.0320	0.0098	9.9	5.3	4.7
6	Sam Clay	0.0488	0.0314	0.0261	4.5	0.6	3.9
7	Bailey Ober	0.0488	0.0596	0.0760	10.9	7.1	3.8
8	Jordan Montgomery	0.0595	0.0544	0.0426	10.1	6.2	3.8
9	John Gant	0.0488	0.0418	0.0311	7.9	4.1	3.8
10	Luis Garcia	0.0608	0.0557	0.0460	8.3	4.7	3.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zach Plesac	0.0605	0.0562	0.0503	4.6	2.1	2.5
2	Dylan Cease	0.0557	0.0521	0.0494	2.7	0.3	2.4
3	José Berríos	0.0537	0.0506	0.0426	6.8	4.4	2.3
4	Cole Irvin	0.0510	0.0480	0.0389	7.4	5.2	2.2
5	Carlos Hernández	0.0519	0.0461	0.0293	7.2	5.2	2.0
6	Matt Peacock	0.0312	0.0362	0.0423	5.3	3.3	2.0
7	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.0528	0.0496	0.0431	4.8	2.8	2.0
8	Dane Dunning	0.0514	0.0476	0.0375	5.8	4.0	1.8
9	Jordan Montgomery	0.0573	0.0544	0.0426	8.0	6.2	1.8
10	Steve Cishek	0.0538	0.0478	0.0102	12.7	10.9	1.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vladimir Gutierrez	0.0718	0.0564	0.0559	7.0	0.9	6.1
2	Paolo Espino	0.0808	0.0687	0.0564	10.3	4.5	5.8
3	Madison Bumgarner	0.0689	0.0617	0.0547	7.6	2.9	4.7
4	Lucas Giolito	0.0499	0.0565	0.0581	7.2	2.8	4.4
5	James Kaprielian	0.0671	0.0595	0.0571	4.1	0.1	4.1
6	Cristian Javier	0.0819	0.0732	0.0684	5.0	1.1	3.9
7	Marco Gonzales	0.0432	0.0500	0.0674	15.2	11.5	3.7
8	Lucas Luetge	0.0738	0.0621	0.0293	12.9	9.2	3.7
9	Ryan Weathers	0.0359	0.0451	0.0676	13.4	9.9	3.5
10	Zach Davies	0.0394	0.0451	0.0527	10.2	6.7	3.5

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Marco Gonzales	0.2394	0.2913 (27.8)	0.2908 (28.0)	0.2948 (28.9)	0.2898 (25.3)	0.2895 (29.8)
Mitch Keller	0.3878	0.2992 (43.8)	0.3158 (35.5)	0.2973 (45.3)	0.3014 (44.0)	0.2989 (41.4)
Sam Hentges	0.3846	0.2901 (31.5)	0.2889 (31.5)	0.2889 (32.3)	0.2889 (32.7)	0.2912 (29.4)
Freddy Peralta	0.2303	0.2858 (29.6)	0.3034 (40.4)	0.2931 (33.0)	0.2860 (28.2)	0.2783 (28.4)
Eduardo Rodriguez	0.3626	0.3004 (45.0)	0.3052 (41.1)	0.3010 (45.6)	0.3021 (45.7)	0.2981 (43.0)
Sean Manaea	0.3175	0.2859 (27.3)	0.2806 (30.4)	0.2918 (23.9)	0.2928 (24.0)	0.2730 (32.9)
Max Scherzer	0.2474	0.2902 (26.5)	0.3118 (42.2)	0.2900 (25.4)	0.2912 (25.4)	0.2893 (29.6)
Brad Keller	0.3465	0.2961 (33.7)	0.2793 (43.3)	0.3068 (28.1)	0.3087 (27.6)	0.2729 (44.7)
Brady Singer	0.3501	0.2991 (32.5)	0.2795 (43.4)	0.3041 (30.5)	0.3067 (29.7)	0.2869 (36.5)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Walker Buehler	0.2871	0.2471	28.9
2	Triston McKenzie	0.2883	0.2274	27.9
3	Adam Wainwright	0.2943	0.2561	27.9
4	Jorge López	0.2958	0.3399	27.0
5	Trevor Bauer	0.2871	0.2203	26.9
6	Jose Quintana	0.2923	0.3780	26.8
7	Matt Harvey	0.2914	0.3310	25.7
8	Garrett Richards	0.2981	0.3325	24.1
9	Trevor Williams	0.2950	0.3481	23.4
10	Shane McClanahan	0.2887	0.3282	22.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Lauer	0.3172	0.2492	31.5
2	Dane Dunning	0.2810	0.3383	31.1
3	Adam Wainwright	0.2967	0.2561	30.7
4	J.A. Happ	0.2748	0.3141	28.7
5	Alec Mills	0.2739	0.3244	27.9
6	Garrett Richards	0.2911	0.3325	27.7
7	Luis Castillo	0.2872	0.3176	27.2
8	Johnny Cueto	0.2773	0.3265	25.8
9	Robbie Ray	0.3049	0.2683	25.6
10	Trevor Richards	0.3040	0.2014	24.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Walker Buehler	0.2929	0.2471	32.4
2	Garrett Richards	0.2889	0.3325	30.6
3	Triston McKenzie	0.2910	0.2274	28.5
4	Matt Harvey	0.2889	0.3310	28.0
5	Trevor Bauer	0.2898	0.2203	27.4
6	Jose Quintana	0.2946	0.3780	26.6
7	Taijuan Walker	0.2975	0.2530	25.2
8	Jorge López	0.3012	0.3399	24.8
9	Adrian Houser	0.3062	0.2592	24.6
10	Jacob deGrom	0.2937	0.2125	24.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Walker Buehler	0.2937	0.2471	32.1
2	Adam Wainwright	0.2970	0.2561	28.0
3	Jorge López	0.2973	0.3399	27.6
4	Jose Quintana	0.2930	0.3780	27.4
5	Triston McKenzie	0.2899	0.2274	27.4
6	Trevor Bauer	0.2897	0.2203	26.9
7	Matt Harvey	0.2928	0.3310	26.4
8	Justus Sheffield	0.2940	0.3500	24.3
9	Shane McClanahan	0.2887	0.3282	24.1
10	Austin Gomber	0.3185	0.2637	23.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2915	0.2561	30.0
2	Luis Castillo	0.2799	0.3176	29.6
3	Triston McKenzie	0.2839	0.2274	28.4
4	Jorge López	0.2889	0.3399	27.8
5	Trevor Bauer	0.2821	0.2203	27.0
6	Jose Quintana	0.2892	0.3780	26.1
7	Garrett Richards	0.2907	0.3325	25.3
8	Casey Mize	0.2937	0.2536	25.1
9	Jake Arrieta	0.2897	0.3429	24.6
10	Trevor Williams	0.2867	0.3481	24.6

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Max Scherzer	0.3118	0.2902	0.2474	42.2	26.5	15.7
2	Erick Fedde	0.2787	0.3057	0.3127	22.1	6.8	15.3
3	Zach Davies	0.2750	0.2973	0.3051	22.4	8.2	14.2
4	Robbie Ray	0.3049	0.2891	0.2683	25.6	12.5	13.0
5	Chi Chi González	0.2835	0.3111	0.3206	18.2	6.3	11.9
6	José Suarez	0.3172	0.2896	0.2671	19.2	7.4	11.8
7	Antonio Senzatela	0.3012	0.3191	0.3242	17.7	6.4	11.3
8	Eric Lauer	0.3172	0.2955	0.2492	31.5	20.5	11.1
9	Brady Singer	0.2795	0.2991	0.3501	43.4	32.5	10.9
10	Freddy Peralta	0.3034	0.2858	0.2303	40.4	29.6	10.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chi Chi González	0.2889	0.3111	0.3206	16.9	6.3	10.6
2	Sonny Gray	0.3132	0.2972	0.2799	15.7	7.4	8.3
3	Vladimir Gutierrez	0.3191	0.3033	0.2811	15.9	8.8	7.1
4	Matt Peacock	0.2889	0.3049	0.3197	14.2	7.5	6.7
5	Garrett Richards	0.2889	0.2981	0.3325	30.6	24.1	6.5
6	Wil Crowe	0.2889	0.2992	0.3108	14.6	8.4	6.1
7	Lucas Giolito	0.2937	0.2840	0.2694	13.1	7.2	5.9
8	Marcus Stroman	0.3047	0.2954	0.2857	9.5	3.8	5.7
9	Zack Greinke	0.2970	0.2880	0.2633	19.3	14.1	5.3
10	Framber Valdez	0.3106	0.3008	0.2678	21.1	16.3	4.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chris Flexen	0.2887	0.2922	0.3002	13.8	9.2	4.6
2	Germán Márquez	0.3269	0.3187	0.2933	20.0	15.8	4.2
3	Sonny Gray	0.3071	0.2972	0.2799	11.5	7.4	4.1
4	Sandy Alcantara	0.2961	0.2888	0.2703	15.6	11.7	3.8
5	Logan Gilbert	0.2849	0.2892	0.2932	7.8	4.3	3.5
6	Gerrit Cole	0.2854	0.2875	0.3053	19.6	16.2	3.4
7	Jarlín García	0.2984	0.2835	0.2267	17.3	14.1	3.3
8	Walker Buehler	0.2937	0.2871	0.2471	32.1	28.9	3.2
9	Keegan Akin	0.2810	0.2856	0.3252	21.9	18.8	3.1
10	Yu Darvish	0.2919	0.2848	0.2736	7.6	4.5	3.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dallas Keuchel	0.2740	0.2957	0.3071	23.3	11.5	11.8
2	Brad Keller	0.2729	0.2961	0.3465	44.7	33.7	11.0
3	Luis Castillo	0.2799	0.2980	0.3176	29.6	19.4	10.2
4	Aaron Nola	0.2780	0.2936	0.3075	21.5	13.8	7.8
5	Antonio Senzatela	0.3027	0.3191	0.3242	13.9	6.4	7.5
6	Wade Miley	0.2893	0.3038	0.3010	7.5	1.2	6.3
7	Kyle Hendricks	0.2818	0.2946	0.2986	12.5	6.7	5.8
8	Sean Manaea	0.2730	0.2859	0.3175	32.9	27.3	5.7
9	Clayton Kershaw	0.2692	0.2858	0.2885	9.0	3.5	5.5
10	José Ureña	0.2732	0.2903	0.3191	20.6	15.2	5.4

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Steven Matz	0.2592	0.2973 (25.5)	0.2176 (28.0)	0.0000 (67.0)	0.2980 (26.7)	0.2940 (22.4)
Brad Keller	0.2748	0.2961 (34.4)	0.2241 (32.0)	0.0000 (73.0)	0.3087 (28.3)	0.2729 (43.7)
Brady Singer	0.2865	0.2991 (38.0)	0.2165 (41.9)	0.0000 (76.7)	0.3067 (35.0)	0.2869 (40.4)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marco Gonzales	0.2913	0.1521	36.1
2	Freddy Peralta	0.2858	0.1480	35.0
3	Mitch Keller	0.2992	0.2885	31.3
4	Jacob deGrom	0.2841	0.1187	28.5
5	Mike Foltynewicz	0.2922	0.1663	28.4
6	Walker Buehler	0.2871	0.1749	28.3
7	Sean Manaea	0.2859	0.2454	27.8
8	Jordan Montgomery	0.2934	0.2576	27.5
9	Alek Manoah	0.2154	0.1970	27.1
10	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.3004	0.2630	27.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddy Peralta	0.2138	0.1480	37.2
2	Marco Gonzales	0.2136	0.1521	35.0
3	Gerrit Cole	0.1962	0.2380	31.6
4	Dylan Cease	0.2022	0.2442	30.8
5	Jacob deGrom	0.2148	0.1187	30.6
6	Mitch Keller	0.2297	0.2885	28.4
7	Alec Mills	0.2000	0.2520	27.7
8	José Berríos	0.2255	0.1899	26.5
9	Walker Buehler	0.2088	0.1749	26.3
10	Adam Wainwright	0.2267	0.1934	26.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2154	0.1934	147.1
2	Caleb Smith	0.2154	0.1882	91.5
3	John Gant	0.2154	0.2051	81.5
4	Paolo Espino	0.2154	0.1950	80.1
5	Alek Manoah	0.2154	0.1970	79.9
6	Garrett Richards	0.2154	0.2416	79.9
7	Griffin Jax	0.2154	0.1597	76.1
8	Matt Harvey	0.2154	0.2441	73.9
9	Wily Peralta	0.2154	0.1897	72.9
10	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.0000	0.2630	72.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marco Gonzales	0.2898	0.1521	33.7
2	Freddy Peralta	0.2860	0.1480	33.6
3	Walker Buehler	0.2937	0.1749	31.6
4	Mitch Keller	0.3014	0.2885	31.5
5	Mike Foltynewicz	0.2957	0.1663	28.9
6	Jordan Montgomery	0.2939	0.2576	28.9
7	Alek Manoah	0.2154	0.1970	28.3
8	Jacob deGrom	0.2859	0.1187	28.2
9	Corbin Burnes	0.2927	0.2553	28.0
10	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.3021	0.2630	27.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marco Gonzales	0.2895	0.1521	39.8
2	Freddy Peralta	0.2783	0.1480	35.3
3	Sean Manaea	0.2730	0.2454	31.5
4	Mike Foltynewicz	0.2833	0.1663	27.9
5	Mitch Keller	0.2989	0.2885	27.7
6	Jacob deGrom	0.2737	0.1187	27.7
7	Triston McKenzie	0.2839	0.1588	27.6
8	Trevor Bauer	0.2821	0.1525	26.0
9	Jordan Montgomery	0.2885	0.2576	25.5
10	Griffin Jax	0.2993	0.1597	25.3

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Antonio Senzatela	0.2199	0.3191	0.2402	14.7	1.0	13.8
2	Erick Fedde	0.2090	0.3057	0.2351	16.4	4.1	12.3
3	Luis Castillo	0.2076	0.2980	0.2373	25.1	13.4	11.7
4	Dylan Cease	0.2022	0.2944	0.2442	30.8	19.2	11.6
5	Ranger Suarez	0.2500	0.2983	0.2193	12.1	0.6	11.5
6	Gerrit Cole	0.1962	0.2875	0.2380	31.6	20.3	11.3
7	Nestor Cortes	0.2404	0.2866	0.2000	14.5	3.4	11.1
8	Brandon Woodruff	0.2348	0.2933	0.2168	11.6	0.7	11.0
9	Luke Jackson	0.2720	0.3064	0.1948	19.7	8.9	10.8
10	José Suarez	0.2366	0.2896	0.1841	21.0	11.6	9.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2154	0.2943	0.1934	147.1	19.4	127.7
2	Caleb Smith	0.2154	0.2811	0.1882	91.5	7.7	83.7
3	John Gant	0.2154	0.2859	0.2051	81.5	1.7	79.8
4	Paolo Espino	0.2154	0.2972	0.1950	80.1	11.3	68.9
5	Joe Ross	0.2154	0.3017	0.2192	69.9	2.3	67.5
6	Taylor Hearn	0.2154	0.2907	0.2160	68.4	1.2	67.1
7	Garrett Richards	0.2154	0.2981	0.2416	79.9	13.0	66.9
8	Wil Crowe	0.2154	0.2992	0.2369	70.3	8.0	62.3
9	Chi Chi González	0.2154	0.3111	0.2118	71.4	9.8	61.6
10	Nestor Cortes	0.2154	0.2866	0.2000	64.0	3.4	60.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Antonio Senzatela	0.3300	0.3191	0.2402	6.5	1.0	5.6
2	Chi Chi González	0.3257	0.3111	0.2118	15.2	9.8	5.4
3	Chris Flexen	0.2887	0.2922	0.2297	15.5	11.0	4.5
4	Germán Márquez	0.3269	0.3187	0.2200	20.4	16.1	4.3
5	Sandy Alcantara	0.2961	0.2888	0.1928	19.5	15.6	3.9
6	Kyle Hendricks	0.3021	0.2946	0.2138	6.5	2.6	3.9
7	Gerrit Cole	0.2854	0.2875	0.2380	23.6	20.3	3.3
8	Jarlín García	0.2984	0.2835	0.1221	25.9	22.6	3.3
9	Walker Buehler	0.2937	0.2871	0.1749	31.6	28.3	3.3
10	Zach Davies	0.3046	0.2973	0.2116	8.7	5.5	3.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spenser Watkins	0.2154	0.2937	0.2216	19.3	1.4	17.9
2	Nestor Cortes	0.2154	0.2866	0.2000	20.2	3.4	16.8
3	Tim Mayza	0.2154	0.2983	0.2331	18.3	2.6	15.7
4	Max Kranick	0.2154	0.2988	0.2358	16.3	2.6	13.7
5	Sonny Gray	0.2716	0.2972	0.2216	11.1	1.0	10.1
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.2740	0.2957	0.2341	21.3	11.4	9.9
7	Aaron Ashby	0.2154	0.2953	0.2468	13.4	3.8	9.6
8	Brad Keller	0.2729	0.2961	0.2748	43.7	34.4	9.3
9	Luis Gil	0.2154	0.2950	0.2239	10.0	0.8	9.2
10	Trevor Megill	0.2154	0.2995	0.3188	19.9	11.1	8.8

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Yu Darvish	0.0871	0.0000 (13.5)	0.0645 (16.1)	0.0000 (26.0)	0.0000 (13.6)	0.0000 (15.2)
Eduardo Rodriguez	0.0972	0.0000 (20.2)	0.0610 (25.2)	0.0000 (32.5)	0.0000 (20.3)	0.0000 (21.9)
Zach Davies	0.0913	0.0000 (16.1)	0.0563 (24.2)	0.0000 (28.3)	0.0000 (16.2)	0.0000 (17.8)
Nathan Eovaldi	0.1055	0.0000 (29.3)	0.0717 (26.7)	0.0000 (43.2)	0.0000 (29.3)	0.0000 (31.1)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Manoah	0.0677	0.0492	39.3
2	Charlie Morton	0.0000	0.0379	22.2
3	Brandon Woodruff	0.0000	0.0373	21.2
4	Phil Maton	0.0000	0.1250	17.2
5	Chi Chi González	0.0000	0.1029	16.0
6	Marcus Stroman	0.0000	0.0456	15.7
7	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0452	14.4
8	Aaron Bummer	0.0000	0.0076	14.4
9	Patrick Sandoval	0.0000	0.0275	14.4
10	Hyeon-Jong Yang	0.0677	0.0459	14.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Morton	0.0694	0.0379	23.0
2	Max Scherzer	0.0837	0.0541	19.7
3	Eric Lauer	0.0749	0.0383	17.3
4	Joe Musgrove	0.0827	0.0599	16.2
5	Patrick Sandoval	0.0721	0.0275	15.8
6	Phil Maton	0.0734	0.1250	15.7
7	Emilio Pagán	0.0556	0.1139	15.7
8	José Berríos	0.0621	0.0808	15.5
9	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.0881	0.0650	15.0
10	Corbin Burnes	0.0686	0.0452	14.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0677	0.0592	47.5
2	Alek Manoah	0.0677	0.0492	30.9
3	John Gant	0.0677	0.0545	30.5
4	Alex Reyes	0.0677	0.0252	29.0
5	Wil Crowe	0.0677	0.0615	28.9
6	Kyle Funkhouser	0.0677	0.0213	28.4
7	Joe Ross	0.0677	0.0582	26.9
8	Taylor Hearn	0.0677	0.0557	26.9
9	Yusmeiro Petit	0.0677	0.0319	26.5
10	Craig Stammen	0.0677	0.0453	25.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Manoah	0.0677	0.0492	39.3
2	Charlie Morton	0.0000	0.0379	22.1
3	Brandon Woodruff	0.0000	0.0373	21.1
4	Phil Maton	0.0000	0.1250	17.2
5	Chi Chi González	0.0000	0.1029	16.1
6	Marcus Stroman	0.0000	0.0456	15.7
7	Aaron Bummer	0.0000	0.0076	14.4
8	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0452	14.4
9	Patrick Sandoval	0.0000	0.0275	14.4
10	Hyeon-Jong Yang	0.0677	0.0459	14.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Manoah	0.0677	0.0492	38.2
2	Wily Peralta	0.0677	0.0586	29.7
3	Nestor Cortes	0.0677	0.0609	26.8
4	Tim Mayza	0.0677	0.0226	23.1
5	Jake Brentz	0.0677	0.0592	20.4
6	Charlie Morton	0.0000	0.0379	20.3
7	Brandon Woodruff	0.0000	0.0373	19.4
8	Phil Maton	0.0000	0.1250	17.9
9	Lucas Gilbreath	0.0677	0.0357	17.9
10	Chi Chi González	0.0000	0.1029	17.1

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brad Keller	0.0448	0.0668	14.2	0.2	14.0
2	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.0881	0.0650	15.0	1.5	13.5
3	Joe Musgrove	0.0827	0.0599	16.2	5.5	10.7
4	Max Scherzer	0.0837	0.0541	19.7	9.0	10.6
5	Zach Davies	0.0563	0.0913	24.2	16.1	8.1
6	Julio Urías	0.0577	0.0679	8.5	0.5	7.9
7	Tyler Anderson	0.0794	0.0596	13.0	5.3	7.8
8	Chris Flexen	0.0787	0.0615	11.9	4.2	7.6
9	Patrick Corbin	0.0774	0.0630	10.0	3.1	6.8
10	Sean Manaea	0.0593	0.0680	7.5	0.7	6.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0677	0.0592	47.5	6.6	41.0
2	Wil Crowe	0.0677	0.0615	28.9	3.0	25.9
3	Caleb Smith	0.0677	0.0662	25.2	0.5	24.7
4	John Gant	0.0677	0.0545	30.5	6.2	24.3
5	Joe Ross	0.0677	0.0582	26.9	4.1	22.8
6	Taylor Hearn	0.0677	0.0557	26.9	5.0	21.8
7	Alec Mills	0.0677	0.0724	22.9	2.7	20.2
8	Wily Peralta	0.0677	0.0586	23.3	3.4	19.9
9	Bailey Ober	0.0677	0.0658	19.3	0.5	18.8
10	Tylor Megill	0.0677	0.0603	21.3	2.6	18.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brent Honeywell	0.0677	0.0000	2.8	1.4	1.4
2	Anthony Gose	0.0677	0.0769	1.4	0.2	1.2
3	Sandy Alcantara	0.0000	0.0721	4.2	4.1	0.1
4	Walker Buehler	0.0000	0.0684	1.1	1.0	0.1
5	Kyle Hendricks	0.0000	0.0760	7.0	6.9	0.1
6	José Berríos	0.0000	0.0808	10.7	10.6	0.1
7	Frankie Montas	0.0000	0.0678	0.5	0.5	0.1
8	Robbie Ray	0.0000	0.0711	3.1	3.0	0.1
9	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0000	0.1055	29.3	29.3	0.1
10	Tyler Mahle	0.0000	0.0687	1.2	1.2	0.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Wily Peralta	0.0677	0.0586	29.7	3.4	26.2
2	Nestor Cortes	0.0677	0.0609	26.8	2.4	24.4
3	Jake Brentz	0.0677	0.0592	20.4	2.2	18.1
4	Tim Mayza	0.0677	0.0226	23.1	9.4	13.7
5	Lucas Gilbreath	0.0677	0.0357	17.9	5.8	12.1
6	JT Chargois	0.0677	0.0758	12.2	1.9	10.4
7	Tyler Gilbert	0.0677	0.0526	12.5	2.3	10.2
8	Josh Rogers	0.0677	0.0472	12.9	3.0	9.9
9	Adrian Sampson	0.0677	0.0632	10.0	0.6	9.5
10	Louis Head	0.0677	0.0341	13.2	4.4	8.7

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Kopech	0.0270	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0059 (6.2)	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0000 (6.1)
Tyler Kinley	0.0214	0.0000 (4.6)	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0000 (5.1)	0.0000 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.7)
Robert Stephenson	0.0333	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0103 (4.7)	0.0000 (5.7)	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (5.5)
Luke Weaver	0.0331	0.0000 (7.5)	0.0078 (7.2)	0.0000 (8.0)	0.0000 (7.5)	0.0000 (7.6)
Joe Mantiply	0.0417	0.0000 (6.4)	0.0137 (5.1)	0.0058 (5.6)	0.0000 (6.4)	0.0000 (6.4)
J.A. Happ	0.0128	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0038 (6.5)	0.0000 (5.8)	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0000 (4.9)
Luis Castillo	0.0137	0.0000 (6.4)	0.0035 (8.8)	0.0000 (7.7)	0.0000 (6.4)	0.0000 (6.6)
Jesús Luzardo	0.0150	0.0000 (4.0)	0.0048 (4.8)	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0000 (4.0)	0.0000 (4.1)
Johnny Cueto	0.0175	0.0000 (5.8)	0.0078 (5.1)	0.0000 (6.5)	0.0000 (5.8)	0.0000 (5.9)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Manoah	0.0058	0.0000	5.3
2	Spencer Howard	0.0000	0.0286	5.2
3	Sonny Gray	0.0000	0.0146	5.1
4	Steven Brault	0.0000	0.0435	4.8
5	Yu Darvish	0.0000	0.0124	4.5
6	Vince Velasquez	0.0000	0.0167	4.5
7	Jon Gray	0.0000	0.0125	4.3
8	Tyler Anderson	0.0000	0.0119	4.3
9	Julio Urías	0.0000	0.0000	4.3
10	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0000	0.0215	4.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Flexen	0.0000	0.0090	7.2
2	James Kaprielian	0.0000	0.0127	6.7
3	Aaron Nola	0.0034	0.0111	6.2
4	Trevor May	0.0000	0.0201	5.5
5	Cole Irvin	0.0096	0.0018	5.5
6	David Bednar	0.0000	0.0222	5.4
7	Steven Brault	0.0047	0.0435	5.0
8	Drew Smyly	0.0099	0.0000	5.0
9	Casey Mize	0.0047	0.0120	4.8
10	Jameson Taillon	0.0112	0.0026	4.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sonny Gray	0.0000	0.0146	6.0
2	Yu Darvish	0.0000	0.0124	5.6
3	Spencer Howard	0.0000	0.0286	5.6
4	Tyler Anderson	0.0000	0.0119	5.4
5	Adam Wainwright	0.0058	0.0035	5.4
6	Jon Gray	0.0000	0.0125	5.3
7	Vince Velasquez	0.0000	0.0167	5.2
8	Alec Mills	0.0058	0.0000	5.2
9	Aaron Nola	0.0000	0.0111	5.1
10	Caleb Smith	0.0058	0.0000	5.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Manoah	0.0058	0.0000	5.3
2	Spencer Howard	0.0000	0.0286	5.2
3	Sonny Gray	0.0000	0.0146	5.1
4	Steven Brault	0.0000	0.0435	4.8
5	Yu Darvish	0.0000	0.0124	4.6
6	Vince Velasquez	0.0000	0.0167	4.6
7	Jon Gray	0.0000	0.0125	4.3
8	Tyler Anderson	0.0000	0.0119	4.3
9	Julio Urías	0.0000	0.0000	4.3
10	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0000	0.0215	4.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Howard	0.0000	0.0286	5.3
2	Alek Manoah	0.0058	0.0000	5.2
3	Sonny Gray	0.0000	0.0146	5.2
4	Steven Brault	0.0000	0.0435	4.8
5	Yu Darvish	0.0000	0.0124	4.7
6	Vince Velasquez	0.0000	0.0167	4.6
7	Tyler Anderson	0.0000	0.0119	4.5
8	Jon Gray	0.0000	0.0125	4.5
9	Jhoulys Chacín	0.0000	0.0215	4.3
10	Julio Urías	0.0000	0.0000	4.1

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chris Flexen	0.0000	0.0090	7.2	2.4	4.8
2	Nick Pivetta	0.0116	0.0051	3.8	0.4	3.4
3	James Kaprielian	0.0000	0.0127	6.7	3.5	3.2
4	Jameson Taillon	0.0112	0.0026	4.8	1.9	2.9
5	Yusei Kikuchi	0.0104	0.0049	3.2	0.6	2.6
6	Zack Wheeler	0.0031	0.0056	2.7	0.1	2.6
7	Cole Irvin	0.0096	0.0018	5.5	3.1	2.5
8	Brad Keller	0.0103	0.0050	2.9	0.5	2.4
9	Luis Castillo	0.0035	0.0137	8.8	6.4	2.4
10	Patrick Corbin	0.0034	0.0079	3.9	1.6	2.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0058	0.0035	5.4	1.9	3.5
2	Alec Mills	0.0058	0.0000	5.2	3.0	2.2
3	Caleb Smith	0.0058	0.0000	5.0	2.9	2.1
4	Joe Ross	0.0058	0.0000	4.6	2.6	2.0
5	Taylor Hearn	0.0058	0.0035	2.9	1.0	1.9
6	Chi Chi González	0.0058	0.0059	1.8	0.1	1.8
7	Tylor Megill	0.0058	0.0043	2.2	0.5	1.6
8	Nestor Cortes	0.0058	0.0043	2.1	0.5	1.6
9	Griffin Jax	0.0058	0.0000	3.6	2.1	1.5
10	Craig Stammen	0.0058	0.0000	3.5	2.0	1.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Anthony Gose	0.0058	0.0000	0.3	0.1	0.1
2	Brent Honeywell	0.0058	0.0000	0.2	0.1	0.1
3	Luis Castillo	0.0000	0.0137	6.4	6.4	0.0
4	Kyle Hendricks	0.0000	0.0088	2.4	2.4	0.0
5	José Berríos	0.0000	0.0061	0.2	0.2	0.0
6	Frankie Montas	0.0000	0.0062	0.3	0.3	0.0
7	Kevin Gausman	0.0000	0.0084	2.1	2.1	0.0
8	Robbie Ray	0.0000	0.0069	0.9	0.9	0.0
9	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0000	0.0078	1.6	1.6	0.0
10	Tyler Mahle	0.0000	0.0067	0.7	0.7	0.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nestor Cortes	0.0058	0.0043	2.6	0.5	2.1
2	Lucas Gilbreath	0.0058	0.0000	2.1	1.1	1.0
3	Max Kranick	0.0058	0.0000	2.1	1.0	1.0
4	Josh Rogers	0.0058	0.0000	1.7	0.9	0.8
5	Adrian Sampson	0.0058	0.0000	1.6	0.8	0.8
6	Steven Okert	0.0058	0.0000	1.6	0.8	0.8
7	Louis Head	0.0058	0.0000	1.5	0.8	0.7
8	Aaron Ashby	0.0058	0.0000	1.5	0.8	0.7
9	Luis Gil	0.0058	0.0000	1.5	0.7	0.7
10	Justin Garza	0.0058	0.0000	1.5	0.7	0.7

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Justus Sheffield	0.1792	0.1214 (22.5)	0.1189 (23.3)	0.1229 (21.4)	0.1235 (21.8)	0.1178 (23.4)
Robbie Ray	0.0802	0.1190 (29.7)	0.1275 (36.5)	0.1215 (32.6)	0.1227 (32.2)	0.1129 (25.8)
Anthony DeSclafani	0.0902	0.1206 (20.2)	0.1282 (25.6)	0.1217 (21.9)	0.1207 (20.0)	0.1194 (20.2)
Carlos Rodón	0.0730	0.1281 (29.2)	0.1292 (29.9)	0.1288 (30.2)	0.1303 (30.1)	0.1254 (28.3)
Corbin Burnes	0.0715	0.1070 (23.0)	0.1204 (32.0)	0.1098 (25.7)	0.1079 (23.3)	0.1034 (21.4)
Jake Arrieta	0.1940	0.1282 (31.1)	0.1262 (31.9)	0.1307 (29.3)	0.1321 (29.4)	0.1218 (33.6)
Ranger Suarez	0.0478	0.1203 (30.1)	0.1301 (34.3)	0.1191 (30.1)	0.1197 (29.7)	0.1222 (31.3)
Patrick Corbin	0.1518	0.1129 (29.5)	0.1059 (34.6)	0.1154 (26.7)	0.1136 (29.3)	0.1098 (31.1)
Jesús Luzardo	0.1670	0.1070 (26.4)	0.1155 (22.6)	0.1063 (26.2)	0.1104 (25.1)	0.1044 (27.1)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.1230	0.0870	29.5
2	Cal Quantrill	0.1315	0.0893	25.7
3	Zack Wheeler	0.1153	0.0848	25.5
4	Wade Miley	0.1272	0.0928	23.4
5	Chris Bassitt	0.1202	0.0863	21.2
6	Lance Lynn	0.1141	0.0811	20.8
7	Andrew Heaney	0.1179	0.1523	19.5
8	Dallas Keuchel	0.1193	0.1458	19.4
9	Brandon Woodruff	0.1040	0.0763	19.3
10	Freddy Peralta	0.1145	0.0810	19.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dallas Keuchel	0.1019	0.1458	31.8
2	Kevin Gausman	0.1244	0.0852	30.3
3	Walker Buehler	0.1103	0.0748	28.8
4	Logan Webb	0.1355	0.0889	27.7
5	Chris Flexen	0.1367	0.0999	27.2
6	Freddy Peralta	0.1280	0.0810	27.2
7	Trevor Rogers	0.1321	0.0836	26.6
8	Joe Musgrove	0.1253	0.0909	25.6
9	Brad Keller	0.1050	0.1452	24.7
10	Zach Davies	0.1118	0.1482	24.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.1210	0.0870	28.9
2	Zack Wheeler	0.1163	0.0848	27.5
3	Cal Quantrill	0.1300	0.0893	25.6
4	Matt Harvey	0.1210	0.1649	25.1
5	Wade Miley	0.1271	0.0928	24.3
6	Chris Bassitt	0.1215	0.0863	23.0
7	Lance Lynn	0.1147	0.0811	22.0
8	Walker Buehler	0.1003	0.0748	21.5
9	Matt Shoemaker	0.1210	0.1972	21.4
10	Brandon Woodruff	0.1054	0.0763	21.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.1221	0.0870	28.4
2	Cal Quantrill	0.1314	0.0893	25.4
3	Zack Wheeler	0.1143	0.0848	24.3
4	Chris Bassitt	0.1239	0.0863	23.4
5	Wade Miley	0.1274	0.0928	23.3
6	Lance Lynn	0.1177	0.0811	22.9
7	Walker Buehler	0.1024	0.0748	21.8
8	Luis Garcia	0.1323	0.0979	21.2
9	Freddy Peralta	0.1152	0.0810	19.3
10	Casey Mize	0.1368	0.1046	19.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.1240	0.0870	31.2
2	Cal Quantrill	0.1332	0.0893	27.5
3	Zack Wheeler	0.1155	0.0848	26.6
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.1111	0.1458	24.5
5	Wade Miley	0.1271	0.0928	24.2
6	Ryan Yarbrough	0.1128	0.1470	21.9
7	Zach Davies	0.1153	0.1482	21.6
8	Andrew Heaney	0.1137	0.1523	21.2
9	Freddy Peralta	0.1164	0.0810	20.9
10	Brandon Woodruff	0.1043	0.0763	20.3

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0911	0.1127	0.1213	21.2	6.4	14.9
2	Logan Webb	0.1355	0.1139	0.0889	27.7	14.6	13.1
3	Chris Flexen	0.1367	0.1194	0.0999	27.2	14.1	13.1
4	Brad Keller	0.1050	0.1260	0.1452	24.7	12.1	12.7
5	Kevin Gausman	0.1244	0.1085	0.0852	30.3	17.7	12.5
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.1019	0.1193	0.1458	31.8	19.4	12.4
7	Zach Plesac	0.1065	0.1274	0.1321	15.4	3.1	12.3
8	Joe Musgrove	0.1253	0.1095	0.0909	25.6	13.6	12.0
9	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1201	0.1401	0.1468	15.7	4.2	11.5
10	Lucas Giolito	0.1192	0.1042	0.1028	11.8	0.7	11.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt Harvey	0.1210	0.1517	0.1649	25.1	8.0	17.1
2	Chi Chi González	0.1210	0.1566	0.1652	19.4	4.0	15.4
3	Wil Crowe	0.1210	0.1404	0.1431	11.1	1.7	9.5
4	Sam Hentges	0.1210	0.1441	0.1698	15.2	8.3	6.9
5	Spenser Watkins	0.1210	0.1479	0.1961	18.9	12.4	6.5
6	Adam Plutko	0.1210	0.1470	0.1686	11.9	5.6	6.3
7	Griffin Jax	0.1210	0.1395	0.1722	18.1	12.0	6.2
8	Lucas Giolito	0.1110	0.1042	0.1028	6.5	0.7	5.9
9	Craig Stammen	0.1210	0.1059	0.0873	12.3	6.4	5.8
10	Alec Mills	0.1210	0.1326	0.1451	12.0	6.7	5.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	0.1138	0.1042	0.1028	7.3	0.7	6.6
2	Taylor Hearn	0.1176	0.1304	0.1315	6.5	0.7	5.8
3	Steve Cishek	0.1291	0.1124	0.1039	7.5	2.5	5.0
4	Matt Harvey	0.1442	0.1517	0.1649	12.5	8.0	4.5
5	José Berríos	0.1194	0.1139	0.1063	9.6	5.6	4.1
6	Walker Buehler	0.1024	0.0980	0.0748	21.8	18.5	3.3
7	Julio Urías	0.1157	0.1109	0.0899	18.6	15.3	3.3
8	Yusmeiro Petit	0.1299	0.1191	0.1118	5.4	2.1	3.3
9	Alex Wells	0.1331	0.1483	0.1624	5.9	2.9	3.0
10	Luis Garcia	0.1323	0.1272	0.0979	21.2	18.2	3.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	0.0878	0.1042	0.1028	10.3	0.7	9.6
2	Zach Davies	0.1153	0.1273	0.1482	21.6	14.3	7.3
3	Vladimir Gutierrez	0.1514	0.1380	0.1230	14.4	7.2	7.2
4	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.1019	0.1127	0.1213	13.1	6.4	6.8
5	Spenser Watkins	0.1210	0.1479	0.1961	19.0	12.4	6.6
6	James Kaprielian	0.1388	0.1270	0.1096	15.0	8.5	6.5
7	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1279	0.1401	0.1468	10.7	4.2	6.5
8	Tyler Alexander	0.1372	0.1252	0.1042	15.2	9.3	5.9
9	Ryan Yarbrough	0.1128	0.1228	0.1470	21.9	16.1	5.8
10	José Ureña	0.1201	0.1339	0.1535	14.9	9.1	5.8

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Robbie Ray	0.0789	0.1115 (23.5)	0.1186 (30.2)	0.1138 (26.8)	0.1152 (26.3)	0.1054 (19.4)
Carlos Rodón	0.0655	0.1195 (27.7)	0.1181 (27.7)	0.1203 (29.1)	0.1220 (29.0)	0.1162 (26.3)
Cal Quantrill	0.0779	0.1225 (26.2)	0.1130 (21.2)	0.1210 (26.4)	0.1225 (26.1)	0.1241 (27.6)
Jake Arrieta	0.1727	0.1192 (26.1)	0.1163 (26.7)	0.1213 (24.2)	0.1224 (24.6)	0.1139 (28.2)
Ranger Suarez	0.0383	0.1115 (29.7)	0.1164 (32.4)	0.1096 (29.8)	0.1102 (29.1)	0.1147 (31.4)
Patrick Corbin	0.1478	0.1047 (33.9)	0.0996 (36.7)	0.1065 (31.2)	0.1046 (34.2)	0.1031 (34.6)
Jesús Luzardo	0.1602	0.0992 (27.6)	0.1094 (22.5)	0.0977 (27.4)	0.1016 (26.6)	0.0981 (27.7)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Heaney	0.1099	0.1505	23.8
2	Adam Wainwright	0.1144	0.0845	23.0
3	Zack Wheeler	0.1067	0.0777	22.8
4	Aaron Nola	0.0970	0.1242	21.9
5	J.A. Happ	0.1172	0.1461	20.8
6	Lance Lynn	0.1062	0.0733	19.8
7	Matt Shoemaker	0.1237	0.1901	19.5
8	J.C. Mejía	0.1226	0.2017	19.3
9	Sandy Alcantara	0.1121	0.0872	19.1
10	Vince Velasquez	0.1147	0.1583	19.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Gausman	0.1166	0.0774	29.9
2	Zach Davies	0.0989	0.1422	29.3
3	Corbin Burnes	0.1137	0.0685	29.3
4	Dallas Keuchel	0.0926	0.1319	28.8
5	Trevor Rogers	0.1231	0.0709	28.4
6	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0822	0.1170	24.8
7	Logan Webb	0.1228	0.0839	22.8
8	Matt Shoemaker	0.1108	0.1901	22.7
9	J.A. Happ	0.1133	0.1461	22.4
10	Anthony DeSclafani	0.1205	0.0873	22.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Wheeler	0.1074	0.0777	25.0
2	Matt Harvey	0.1110	0.1529	24.5
3	Chi Chi González	0.1110	0.1629	23.3
4	Matt Shoemaker	0.1110	0.1901	22.5
5	Andrew Heaney	0.1112	0.1505	22.0
6	Adam Wainwright	0.1110	0.0845	21.8
7	J.C. Mejía	0.1110	0.2017	21.6
8	Sandy Alcantara	0.1132	0.0872	21.5
9	Corbin Burnes	0.1014	0.0685	21.5
10	Lance Lynn	0.1063	0.0733	21.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Heaney	0.1130	0.1505	22.2
2	Aaron Nola	0.0971	0.1242	22.0
3	Lance Lynn	0.1096	0.0733	21.8
4	Zack Wheeler	0.1053	0.0777	21.5
5	Adam Wainwright	0.1127	0.0845	21.5
6	Vince Velasquez	0.1108	0.1583	20.7
7	Matt Shoemaker	0.1219	0.1901	20.0
8	Jackson Kowar	0.1261	0.2468	18.9
9	Corbin Burnes	0.0993	0.0685	18.8
10	Wade Miley	0.1176	0.0884	18.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Heaney	0.1055	0.1505	25.9
2	Adam Wainwright	0.1161	0.0845	25.0
3	Zack Wheeler	0.1073	0.0777	24.0
4	Zach Davies	0.1078	0.1422	23.9
5	Aaron Nola	0.0944	0.1242	23.3
6	J.A. Happ	0.1132	0.1461	23.0
7	Dallas Keuchel	0.1035	0.1319	21.4
8	Spenser Watkins	0.1110	0.1922	21.0
9	J.C. Mejía	0.1153	0.2017	20.9
10	Sandy Alcantara	0.1127	0.0872	20.2

Most Unique Misses for Earned Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0822	0.1042	0.1170	24.8	10.5	14.4
2	Kevin Gausman	0.1166	0.1005	0.0774	29.9	16.3	13.6
3	Cole Irvin	0.1321	0.1160	0.1094	16.9	3.5	13.5
4	Zach Davies	0.0989	0.1188	0.1422	29.3	17.1	12.3
5	Logan Webb	0.1228	0.1050	0.0839	22.8	11.3	11.5
6	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1104	0.1314	0.1433	19.7	8.3	11.4
7	Dallas Keuchel	0.0926	0.1099	0.1319	28.8	17.4	11.4
8	José Suarez	0.1468	0.1210	0.0993	19.3	8.1	11.3
9	Zach Plesac	0.0993	0.1191	0.1237	15.0	4.0	11.0
10	Framber Valdez	0.1123	0.0953	0.0822	16.9	6.3	10.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt Harvey	0.1110	0.1423	0.1529	24.5	7.4	17.1
2	Chi Chi González	0.1110	0.1469	0.1629	23.3	8.2	15.2
3	Wil Crowe	0.1110	0.1315	0.1355	12.9	3.2	9.7
4	Sam Hentges	0.1110	0.1352	0.1604	15.8	8.7	7.1
5	Spenser Watkins	0.1110	0.1391	0.1922	20.7	14.1	6.7
6	Adam Plutko	0.1110	0.1383	0.1647	13.7	7.3	6.5
7	Griffin Jax	0.1110	0.1306	0.1611	18.1	11.7	6.4
8	Chase De Jong	0.1110	0.1464	0.1429	6.3	0.3	6.0
9	Alec Mills	0.1110	0.1237	0.1296	9.7	4.1	5.6
10	Craig Stammen	0.1110	0.0975	0.0845	9.3	3.9	5.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Taylor Hearn	0.1101	0.1223	0.1224	6.4	1.0	5.4
2	Steve Cishek	0.1205	0.1059	0.0844	10.4	6.0	4.5
3	Matt Harvey	0.1355	0.1423	0.1529	11.4	7.4	4.0
4	José Berríos	0.1113	0.1062	0.0960	10.2	6.3	3.8
5	Yusmeiro Petit	0.1223	0.1115	0.1086	3.6	0.2	3.3
6	Ross Detwiler	0.1030	0.1167	0.1179	3.9	0.8	3.2
7	Lucas Giolito	0.1060	0.0971	0.0972	4.7	1.6	3.1
8	Luis Garcia	0.1237	0.1189	0.0948	16.9	13.9	3.0
9	Walker Buehler	0.0943	0.0906	0.0699	18.0	15.1	2.9
10	Julio Urías	0.1077	0.1038	0.0819	17.6	14.7	2.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	0.0823	0.0971	0.0972	11.7	1.6	10.1
2	Spenser Watkins	0.1110	0.1391	0.1922	21.0	14.1	7.0
3	Zach Davies	0.1078	0.1188	0.1422	23.9	17.1	6.9
4	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1189	0.1314	0.1433	15.1	8.3	6.9
5	Vladimir Gutierrez	0.1412	0.1290	0.1210	9.4	2.9	6.4
6	Hyun Jin Ryu	0.0950	0.1042	0.1170	16.4	10.5	5.9
7	James Kaprielian	0.1292	0.1187	0.1076	10.2	4.5	5.7
8	Tyler Alexander	0.1285	0.1168	0.0998	12.3	6.7	5.6
9	Max Kranick	0.1110	0.1417	0.1484	7.0	1.6	5.5
10	Ryan Yarbrough	0.1054	0.1143	0.1348	20.1	14.7	5.4

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Julio Urías	0.6250	0.2386 (296.2)	0.1250 (342.2)	0.3939 (202.7)	0.2497 (279.8)	0.1556 (376.9)
Carlos Rodón	0.5417	0.2348 (169.9)	0.1667 (178.5)	0.3200 (140.3)	0.1420 (213.6)	0.3125 (141.8)
Adam Wainwright	0.5312	0.3424 (165.6)	0.2667 (185.4)	0.1915 (315.3)	0.3348 (162.9)	0.3500 (180.2)
Chris Flexen	0.4516	0.2066 (189.8)	0.1250 (211.9)	0.3050 (139.1)	0.1848 (197.9)	0.1667 (238.1)
Aaron Civale	0.5714	0.3448 (118.5)	0.1818 (173.8)	0.3496 (130.9)	0.3236 (123.6)	0.3600 (123.4)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cole Irvin	0.0813	0.3125	186.2
2	Shane McClanahan	0.0877	0.4000	167.3
3	Vladimir Gutierrez	0.1226	0.4091	147.6
4	James Kaprielian	0.0578	0.3333	143.9
5	Luis Castillo	0.4240	0.2424	136.8
6	Freddy Peralta	0.1431	0.3571	130.7
7	Alek Manoah	0.1915	0.4500	123.8
8	Mike Foltynewicz	0.2739	0.0714	112.1
9	Dylan Bundy	0.3786	0.0870	111.3
10	Steven Matz	0.3330	0.4828	104.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Gausman	0.1379	0.4242	190.4
2	Steven Matz	0.1481	0.4828	190.2
3	Walker Buehler	0.2222	0.4848	180.9
4	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1667	0.4643	175.8
5	Tyler Mahle	0.1333	0.3939	167.0
6	Corbin Burnes	0.1250	0.3929	149.3
7	Framber Valdez	0.2000	0.5000	148.4
8	Luis Garcia	0.1053	0.3667	139.7
9	Max Scherzer	0.2593	0.5000	138.7
10	Wade Miley	0.1923	0.4286	135.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cole Irvin	0.0563	0.3125	228.3
2	Shane McClanahan	0.0528	0.4000	200.7
3	James Kaprielian	0.0453	0.3333	165.2
4	Freddy Peralta	0.1216	0.3571	160.4
5	Alek Manoah	0.1915	0.4500	137.5
6	Luis Castillo	0.4315	0.2424	118.9
7	Steven Matz	0.3609	0.4828	105.4
8	Anthony DeSclafani	0.3130	0.4194	99.6
9	Jose Quintana	0.3740	0.0000	98.9
10	Jordan Montgomery	0.3893	0.2000	98.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cole Irvin	0.0717	0.3125	185.2
2	Vladimir Gutierrez	0.0478	0.4091	179.3
3	Shane McClanahan	0.0636	0.4000	174.1
4	James Kaprielian	0.0470	0.3333	143.9
5	Jordan Lyles	0.1341	0.3125	137.5
6	Luis Castillo	0.4066	0.2424	131.6
7	Freddy Peralta	0.1385	0.3571	127.0
8	Alek Manoah	0.1915	0.4500	118.8
9	Yu Darvish	0.4384	0.2667	116.7
10	Alex Wood	0.1938	0.3846	111.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.1579	0.3929	178.3
2	Steven Matz	0.3077	0.4828	136.8
3	Alek Manoah	0.1915	0.4500	135.3
4	Framber Valdez	0.3000	0.5000	135.2
5	Mike Foltynewicz	0.3333	0.0714	132.1
6	Chris Bassitt	0.2800	0.4444	127.9
7	Freddy Peralta	0.1750	0.3571	126.8
8	Austin Gomber	0.1724	0.3913	124.6
9	Luis Castillo	0.4333	0.2424	124.1
10	Drew Smyly	0.1905	0.3793	123.0

Most Unique Misses for Win Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kevin Gausman	0.1379	0.3703	0.4242	190.4	50.5	139.9
2	Walker Buehler	0.2222	0.4255	0.4848	180.9	57.5	123.4
3	Lance McCullers Jr.	0.1667	0.3931	0.4643	175.8	56.3	119.4
4	Tyler Mahle	0.1333	0.3335	0.3939	167.0	54.4	112.6
5	Ian Anderson	0.1515	0.3849	0.3750	97.8	0.7	97.1
6	Max Scherzer	0.2593	0.4489	0.5000	138.7	43.1	95.5
7	Luis Garcia	0.1053	0.3034	0.3667	139.7	47.2	92.6
8	Drew Smyly	0.1071	0.3176	0.3793	126.4	39.8	86.6
9	Steven Matz	0.1481	0.3330	0.4828	190.2	104.1	86.1
10	Nathan Eovaldi	0.1724	0.3306	0.3438	99.9	18.6	81.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.1915	0.3424	0.5312	315.3	165.6	149.6
2	Vince Velasquez	0.3415	0.1958	0.1200	75.2	26.9	48.3
3	Kolby Allard	0.2950	0.1800	0.0938	85.5	40.1	45.4
4	Ryan Weathers	0.2903	0.1401	0.1333	46.5	1.8	44.7
5	Cole Irvin	0.0563	0.0813	0.3125	228.3	186.2	42.1
6	Marco Gonzales	0.3206	0.3545	0.4000	70.5	33.2	37.3
7	Steve Cishek	0.1915	0.0489	0.0000	46.4	11.6	34.7
8	Sean Manaea	0.3359	0.3583	0.3438	36.9	2.6	34.3
9	Shane McClanahan	0.0528	0.0877	0.4000	200.7	167.3	33.4
10	Triston McKenzie	0.3333	0.2398	0.2000	45.7	14.2	31.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Carlos Rodón	0.1420	0.2348	0.5417	213.6	169.9	43.7
2	Garrett Richards	0.3245	0.2648	0.1750	92.1	48.5	43.5
3	Jordan Lyles	0.1341	0.1943	0.3125	137.5	99.5	38.0
4	Tyler Anderson	0.2800	0.2443	0.2258	37.9	5.1	32.7
5	Alex Wood	0.1938	0.2603	0.3846	111.8	79.3	32.5
6	Vladimir Gutierrez	0.0478	0.1226	0.4091	179.3	147.6	31.7
7	Josh Fleming	0.2079	0.2836	0.3846	79.3	50.3	29.0
8	Brandon Woodruff	0.3987	0.3706	0.3000	69.7	42.1	27.6
9	Jesús Luzardo	0.3614	0.3107	0.2400	52.9	26.0	26.9
10	Jordan Montgomery	0.3588	0.3300	0.2000	104.7	78.5	26.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nathan Eovaldi	0.2381	0.3306	0.3438	108.5	18.6	90.0
2	Corbin Burnes	0.1579	0.2689	0.3929	178.3	88.8	89.5
3	Drew Smyly	0.1905	0.3176	0.3793	123.0	39.8	83.2
4	Julio Urías	0.1556	0.2386	0.6250	376.9	296.2	80.7
5	Tyler Alexander	0.2581	0.0837	0.0488	78.0	10.7	67.3
6	Walker Buehler	0.3704	0.4255	0.4848	123.0	57.5	65.4
7	Adrian Houser	0.2000	0.2741	0.3571	115.9	56.5	59.5
8	Framber Valdez	0.3000	0.3764	0.5000	135.2	77.1	58.1
9	David Price	0.4118	0.2108	0.1282	80.6	23.3	57.3
10	Nabil Crismatt	0.2800	0.0922	0.0667	62.1	5.0	57.1

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
JT Brubaker	0.5417	0.2545 (155.7)	0.1562 (181.0)	0.3256 (129.1)	0.2105 (183.8)	0.2500 (163.5)
Jake Arrieta	0.5833	0.3573 (107.1)	0.2222 (146.4)	0.3252 (132.3)	0.3693 (105.3)	0.3810 (100.7)
Cole Irvin	0.4688	0.0934 (290.0)	0.1111 (237.0)	0.0606 (331.9)	0.0841 (303.5)	0.2500 (177.4)
Luis Castillo	0.4848	0.2898 (158.4)	0.2333 (162.6)	0.2671 (194.1)	0.3024 (154.9)	0.3000 (158.3)
Patrick Corbin	0.5161	0.2960 (167.0)	0.2143 (189.9)	0.2979 (181.8)	0.3251 (151.4)	0.2667 (196.5)
Matt Harvey	0.5000	0.3213 (105.3)	0.2083 (141.2)	0.1942 (191.9)	0.3101 (116.6)	0.3333 (104.1)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jorge López	0.1530	0.4242	151.8
2	Adam Wainwright	0.3834	0.2188	134.5
3	Cristian Javier	0.2970	0.0278	113.2
4	Trevor Williams	0.3564	0.0870	108.2
5	Logan Webb	0.2922	0.1111	106.6
6	Chris Bassitt	0.3169	0.1481	106.1
7	Adbert Alzolay	0.2485	0.4483	104.9
8	Tyler Mahle	0.3185	0.1818	102.0
9	Kyle Hendricks	0.3425	0.2188	95.4
10	Jon Lester	0.3664	0.2143	94.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sandy Alcantara	0.2143	0.4545	160.1
2	Adbert Alzolay	0.1111	0.4483	149.5
3	Carlos Martinez	0.1250	0.5625	141.0
4	Austin Gomber	0.0833	0.3913	126.4
5	Brad Keller	0.2069	0.4615	126.0
6	Mitch Keller	0.1613	0.4783	125.9
7	Zac Gallen	0.1515	0.4348	122.5
8	Jordan Lyles	0.2000	0.4062	120.9
9	Joe Ross	0.1429	0.4500	118.7
10	Dane Dunning	0.0909	0.3704	117.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jorge López	0.1145	0.4242	185.2
2	Joe Ross	0.1942	0.4500	128.7
3	Julio Urías	0.2771	0.0938	118.7
4	Cristian Javier	0.3252	0.0278	115.9
5	Chris Bassitt	0.3502	0.1481	113.4
6	Patrick Sandoval	0.0855	0.3529	105.8
7	Bryse Wilson	0.1349	0.4375	105.2
8	Shane McClanahan	0.0610	0.2400	104.9
9	Logan Webb	0.3081	0.1111	103.1
10	Adbert Alzolay	0.2771	0.4483	101.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Bassitt	0.3781	0.1481	139.8
2	Jorge López	0.1878	0.4242	137.1
3	Cristian Javier	0.3600	0.0278	136.4
4	Logan Webb	0.3477	0.1111	134.7
5	Jordan Lyles	0.2419	0.4062	134.5
6	Kolby Allard	0.1444	0.3750	128.8
7	Tyler Mahle	0.3528	0.1818	121.8
8	Vladimir Gutierrez	0.0500	0.2727	115.7
9	Adam Wainwright	0.3668	0.2188	113.9
10	Trevor Williams	0.3711	0.0870	110.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jorge López	0.1765	0.4242	144.3
2	Adam Wainwright	0.4000	0.2188	140.0
3	Sandy Alcantara	0.3000	0.4545	139.6
4	Adbert Alzolay	0.2000	0.4483	135.2
5	Joe Ross	0.1786	0.4500	130.5
6	José Ureña	0.0577	0.3077	119.6
7	Austin Gomber	0.1724	0.3913	112.8
8	Trevor Williams	0.3600	0.0870	105.6
9	Yu Darvish	0.2308	0.3667	100.9
10	Kyle Hendricks	0.3571	0.2188	99.0

Most Unique Misses for Loss Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mike Foltynewicz	0.1818	0.3931	0.4286	115.9	22.1	93.8
2	Tyler Anderson	0.1724	0.3651	0.3548	93.8	5.6	88.2
3	Dane Dunning	0.0909	0.3110	0.3704	117.7	31.5	86.3
4	Taijuan Walker	0.1471	0.3273	0.3667	111.6	27.2	84.4
5	Sandy Alcantara	0.2143	0.3658	0.4545	160.1	76.1	83.9
6	Merrill Kelly	0.2222	0.3973	0.4074	90.8	8.2	82.6
7	Brad Keller	0.2069	0.3834	0.4615	126.0	49.3	76.8
8	Brady Singer	0.1714	0.3505	0.3704	87.8	13.0	74.9
9	Zach Davies	0.1875	0.3504	0.3750	92.5	17.9	74.6
10	Michael Pineda	0.1071	0.3182	0.3636	95.0	21.8	73.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt Harvey	0.1942	0.3213	0.5000	191.9	105.3	86.6
2	Julio Urías	0.2771	0.1641	0.0938	118.7	50.8	67.9
3	Wil Crowe	0.1942	0.3187	0.3077	72.0	4.6	67.4
4	Chris Flexen	0.3350	0.2249	0.1935	87.1	21.6	65.5
5	Spenser Watkins	0.1942	0.4051	0.4375	68.2	8.8	59.3
6	Chi Chi González	0.1942	0.2825	0.2917	54.4	5.1	49.3
7	Craig Stammen	0.1942	0.0493	0.0448	44.5	0.8	43.7
8	Michael Fulmer	0.3821	0.2133	0.1154	72.1	28.4	43.7
9	Alex Wood	0.3395	0.2438	0.1538	94.6	51.3	43.3
10	Tarik Skubal	0.2727	0.3183	0.3871	87.7	45.0	42.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Corbin Burnes	0.3228	0.2077	0.1786	87.8	17.7	70.2
2	Garrett Richards	0.3462	0.2415	0.2000	83.7	24.2	59.5
3	Jordan Lyles	0.2419	0.3036	0.4062	134.5	80.7	53.8
4	Vladimir Gutierrez	0.0500	0.1492	0.2727	115.7	62.4	53.3
5	Kolby Allard	0.1444	0.2332	0.3750	128.8	76.9	51.8
6	Casey Mize	0.4095	0.3169	0.3000	60.6	9.0	51.6
7	Ryan Yarbrough	0.3958	0.3236	0.2333	99.2	57.5	41.7
8	Adrian Houser	0.3472	0.2732	0.2143	73.3	33.9	39.4
9	Jordan Montgomery	0.3206	0.2543	0.2333	50.7	12.4	38.3
10	Kohei Arihara	0.1942	0.3871	0.4000	38.5	2.7	35.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Alexander	0.2903	0.0928	0.0976	81.4	3.1	78.3
2	Trevor Stephan	0.3182	0.0781	0.0233	79.7	14.8	64.9
3	Nabil Crismatt	0.2800	0.0858	0.0222	86.2	21.5	64.7
4	Madison Bumgarner	0.2692	0.3632	0.3846	78.2	14.5	63.8
5	Sandy Alcantara	0.3000	0.3658	0.4545	139.6	76.1	63.5
6	Tyler Wells	0.3846	0.1062	0.0682	68.1	8.0	60.1
7	Spenser Watkins	0.1942	0.4051	0.4375	65.2	8.8	56.3
8	Austin Gomber	0.1724	0.2752	0.3913	112.8	57.7	55.0
9	Jhoulys Chacín	0.3043	0.0929	0.0435	66.9	12.7	54.2
10	Nathan Eovaldi	0.1905	0.2507	0.2812	78.7	25.0	53.7

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Ian Kennedy	0.4727	0.0558 (92.9)	0.2083 (65.1)	0.0289 (98.9)	0.1110 (80.6)	0.0000 (106.7)
Mark Melancon	0.6094	0.0903 (135.1)	0.1613 (124.4)	0.0289 (151.2)	0.0813 (137.7)	0.0991 (134.0)
Jake McGee	0.5000	0.2421 (59.4)	0.0345 (116.3)	0.0289 (110.2)	0.2155 (66.0)	0.2659 (54.8)
Scott Barlow	0.2254	0.0282 (57.5)	0.0303 (66.2)	0.0500 (50.6)	0.0160 (61.5)	0.0151 (62.9)
Michael Fulmer	0.2692	0.0000 (77.2)	0.0345 (76.0)	0.0000 (77.0)	0.0000 (77.5)	0.0000 (78.5)
Emmanuel Clase	0.3380	0.0646 (73.7)	0.0588 (83.8)	0.0000 (91.5)	0.0928 (66.1)	0.1042 (63.9)
Will Smith	0.5211	0.2459 (75.2)	0.2414 (85.2)	0.2500 (73.9)	0.2198 (82.9)	0.2660 (70.8)
Lou Trivino III	0.3099	0.0266 (84.9)	0.0323 (92.7)	0.0833 (67.1)	0.0000 (93.5)	0.0000 (94.6)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Bass	0.3435	0.0000	91.7
2	Drew Steckenrider	0.0000	0.2258	57.8
3	Jordan Romano	0.1562	0.3710	52.0
4	Hansel Robles	0.0172	0.1944	49.9
5	Rafael Montero	0.3681	0.1591	49.1
6	Dylan Floro	0.0307	0.2206	48.8
7	James Karinchak	0.3750	0.1833	47.2
8	Kyle Finnegan	0.0000	0.1618	44.8
9	Paul Sewald	0.0000	0.1774	44.4
10	Carlos Estévez	0.0104	0.1719	41.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Reyes	0.0476	0.4203	124.9
2	Jordan Romano	0.0476	0.3710	87.2
3	Liam Hendriks	0.2727	0.5507	79.9
4	Gregory Soto	0.0345	0.2903	76.5
5	Ryan Pressly	0.1290	0.4062	74.6
6	Matt Barnes	0.0909	0.4000	73.3
7	Carlos Martinez	0.2083	0.0000	67.9
8	Kenley Jansen	0.3438	0.5507	63.5
9	Raisel Iglesias	0.3125	0.5231	63.3
10	Dylan Floro	0.0333	0.2206	56.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Reyes	0.0289	0.4203	120.9
2	Jordan Romano	0.0333	0.3710	82.9
3	Brad Hand	0.0289	0.3088	75.0
4	Dylan Floro	0.0000	0.2206	56.9
5	Gregory Soto	0.0833	0.2903	54.4
6	Drew Steckenrider	0.0289	0.2258	49.9
7	Matt Barnes	0.1667	0.4000	49.6
8	Hansel Robles	0.0289	0.1944	46.2
9	Richard Rodríguez	0.0289	0.2188	45.2
10	Kyle Finnegan	0.0000	0.1618	44.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Bass	0.3424	0.0000	91.2
2	Alex Reyes	0.2240	0.4203	59.6
3	Drew Steckenrider	0.0000	0.2258	58.1
4	Génesis Cabrera	0.1736	0.0000	53.8
5	Rafael Montero	0.3780	0.1591	51.1
6	Hansel Robles	0.0184	0.1944	49.8
7	Emilio Pagán	0.1707	0.0000	47.1
8	Dylan Floro	0.0421	0.2206	45.9
9	Shane McClanahan	0.0798	0.0000	45.6
10	Amir Garrett	0.3134	0.1111	45.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Bass	0.3447	0.0000	90.9
2	Craig Kimbrel	0.7424	0.3810	86.1
3	James Karinchak	0.5290	0.1833	82.4
4	Daniel Bard	0.5610	0.2985	81.3
5	Alex Reyes	0.6618	0.4203	78.1
6	Rafael Montero	0.4759	0.1591	72.4
7	Jordan Romano	0.1286	0.3710	60.1
8	Drew Steckenrider	0.0000	0.2258	59.0
9	Chris Martin	0.3283	0.0217	56.4
10	César Valdez	0.4652	0.2051	55.6

Most Unique Misses for Save Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alex Reyes	0.0476	0.3442	0.4203	124.9	21.2	103.7
2	Carlos Martinez	0.2083	0.0000	0.0000	67.9	3.4	64.5
3	Matt Barnes	0.0909	0.3223	0.4000	73.3	15.2	58.2
4	Jake McGee	0.0345	0.2421	0.5000	116.3	59.4	56.9
5	Ryan Pressly	0.1290	0.4732	0.4062	74.6	19.1	55.5
6	Liam Hendriks	0.2727	0.4460	0.5507	79.9	25.5	54.4
7	Raisel Iglesias	0.3125	0.4517	0.5231	63.3	16.9	46.4
8	Gregory Soto	0.0345	0.1588	0.2903	76.5	33.7	42.7
9	Edwin Díaz	0.3235	0.4464	0.5079	52.9	13.4	39.4
10	Yimi García	0.0370	0.1615	0.2419	53.6	16.8	36.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alex Reyes	0.0289	0.3442	0.4203	120.9	21.2	99.7
2	Brad Hand	0.0289	0.3384	0.3088	75.0	10.8	64.2
3	Jake McGee	0.0289	0.2421	0.5000	110.2	59.4	50.8
4	Matt Barnes	0.1667	0.3223	0.4000	49.6	15.2	34.4
5	Jordan Romano	0.0333	0.1562	0.3710	82.9	52.0	30.9
6	César Valdez	0.0289	0.1600	0.2051	34.9	7.5	27.4
7	Adam Wainwright	0.0289	0.0000	0.0000	32.2	7.7	24.5
8	Edwin Díaz	0.3515	0.4464	0.5079	37.6	13.4	24.2
9	Blake Treinen	0.0000	0.0796	0.0972	24.9	2.4	22.6
10	Tyler Rogers	0.0167	0.0845	0.1625	44.3	22.4	21.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alex Reyes	0.2240	0.3442	0.4203	59.6	21.2	38.4
2	Génesis Cabrera	0.1736	0.0794	0.0000	53.8	26.3	27.6
3	Shane McClanahan	0.0798	0.0326	0.0000	45.6	21.7	23.9
4	Amir Garrett	0.3134	0.2406	0.1111	45.3	29.8	15.4
5	Tanner Scott	0.1292	0.0689	0.0000	34.5	19.6	14.9
6	Giovanny Gallegos	0.0827	0.1257	0.1918	31.3	17.6	13.7
7	Josh Hader	0.3763	0.4329	0.5667	40.8	27.9	12.9
8	César Valdez	0.1054	0.1600	0.2051	19.2	7.5	11.7
9	Yimi García	0.1177	0.1615	0.2419	27.5	16.8	10.6
10	Pete Fairbanks	0.2233	0.1672	0.1064	23.7	13.3	10.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alex Reyes	0.6618	0.3442	0.4203	78.1	21.2	56.9
2	Craig Kimbrel	0.7424	0.5087	0.3810	86.1	32.2	53.9
3	César Valdez	0.4652	0.1600	0.2051	55.6	7.5	48.1
4	Daniel Bard	0.5610	0.4015	0.2985	81.3	34.2	47.1
5	James Karinchak	0.5290	0.3750	0.1833	82.4	47.2	35.2
6	Rafael Montero	0.4759	0.3681	0.1591	72.4	49.1	23.2
7	Aroldis Chapman	0.6396	0.5467	0.4918	37.1	15.6	21.5
8	Chris Martin	0.3283	0.2171	0.0217	56.4	37.1	19.3
9	Bryan Garcia	0.2469	0.1420	0.0513	38.5	19.2	19.3
10	Josh Staumont	0.2216	0.1447	0.0781	39.1	20.0	19.1

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Kopech	0.3409	0.0400 (86.3)	0.1000 (79.3)	0.0000 (95.3)	0.0651 (76.3)	0.0000 (80.5)
Jhoulys Chacín	0.3913	0.0000 (105.8)	0.0870 (91.9)	0.0612 (87.0)	0.0000 (103.1)	0.0000 (89.5)
Blake Treinen	0.4444	0.2083 (68.1)	0.1290 (100.9)	0.1948 (69.5)	0.2087 (65.1)	0.0000 (110.4)
Garrett Whitlock	0.3043	0.1214 (55.1)	0.0612 (83.5)	0.0866 (62.9)	0.0917 (61.0)	0.0000 (73.3)
Brad Boxberger	0.3239	0.0737 (67.0)	0.1111 (66.5)	0.0612 (68.1)	0.0779 (63.3)	0.0000 (70.6)
Luke Jackson	0.4366	0.1537 (74.3)	0.0968 (98.4)	0.0974 (86.8)	0.1883 (62.7)	0.0000 (98.7)
Génesis Cabrera	0.3944	0.1767 (65.0)	0.1304 (89.1)	0.1948 (57.1)	0.0952 (86.2)	0.0000 (99.4)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Taylor Hearn	0.2361	0.0238	92.8
2	Mitch White	0.4021	0.0000	78.8
3	Shane McClanahan	0.1465	0.0000	74.8
4	Paul Sewald	0.0000	0.2581	68.6
5	Junior Guerra	0.2631	0.0488	65.2
6	César Valdez	0.3103	0.0000	64.8
7	Mark Melancon	0.2288	0.0000	60.1
8	Cristian Javier	0.0000	0.1389	59.7
9	Josh Tomlin	0.3033	0.0286	59.5
10	JT Chargois	0.0000	0.2679	58.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Matzek	0.0909	0.3478	77.7
2	John Gant	0.2308	0.0513	69.9
3	Jonathan Loáisiga	0.1200	0.3158	65.9
4	Julio Urías	0.1250	0.0000	65.4
5	Chris Flexen	0.1250	0.0000	65.1
6	Paul Sewald	0.0556	0.2581	63.3
7	Hansel Robles	0.0667	0.2361	61.4
8	Ryne Stanek	0.1176	0.2917	61.3
9	A.J. Minter	0.1379	0.3770	61.1
10	Tyler Rogers	0.2308	0.3750	59.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddy Peralta	0.1468	0.0000	88.9
2	Cole Irvin	0.0866	0.0000	71.5
3	Yusmeiro Petit	0.0612	0.2821	67.1
4	Steve Cishek	0.0612	0.2838	66.5
5	Tyler Matzek	0.0928	0.3478	65.6
6	Ryan Tepera	0.0612	0.3385	65.0
7	Bryan Shaw	0.0612	0.2469	59.8
8	Ryne Stanek	0.0885	0.2917	57.0
9	Adam Wainwright	0.0612	0.0000	56.1
10	Cristian Javier	0.0000	0.1389	56.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shane McClanahan	0.1431	0.0000	78.1
2	Ross Stripling	0.1462	0.0000	66.5
3	Paul Sewald	0.0000	0.2581	66.0
4	Taylor Hearn	0.1637	0.0238	65.2
5	Mark Melancon	0.2316	0.0000	63.5
6	JT Chargois	0.0000	0.2679	56.1
7	T.J. McFarland	0.0000	0.3947	55.7
8	Cristian Javier	0.0000	0.1389	55.5
9	Junior Guerra	0.2142	0.0488	53.3
10	Tyler Rogers	0.2100	0.3750	51.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Rogers	0.3750	103.2
2	Giovanny Gallegos	0.3288	83.8
3	Devin Williams	0.3966	76.4
4	Tyler Matzek	0.3478	76.4
5	Jonathan Loáisiga	0.3158	72.8
6	Tyler Duffey	0.3438	72.5
7	Adam Ottavino	0.3188	71.9
8	A.J. Minter	0.3770	70.4
9	Yusmeiro Petit	0.2821	70.0
10	Steve Cishek	0.2838	69.4

Most Unique Misses for Hold Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Julio Urías	0.1250	0.0097	0.0000	65.4	5.9	59.5
2	Chris Flexen	0.1250	0.0127	0.0000	65.1	8.0	57.0
3	John Gant	0.2308	0.0151	0.0513	69.9	18.7	51.2
4	Nathan Eovaldi	0.1034	0.0000	0.0000	50.6	1.4	49.2
5	Jonathan Loáisiga	0.1200	0.2577	0.3158	65.9	17.0	49.0
6	Hansel Robles	0.0667	0.1811	0.2361	61.4	16.9	44.5
7	Ryan Pressly	0.2581	0.0465	0.0156	51.3	7.3	44.0
8	JT Brubaker	0.1250	0.0094	0.0000	47.2	4.1	43.2
9	Sam Clay	0.0612	0.2261	0.2241	42.8	0.0	42.8
10	Austin Gomber	0.1250	0.0000	0.0000	42.8	0.9	41.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0612	0.0000	0.0000	56.1	1.5	54.6
2	Bryan Shaw	0.0612	0.2098	0.2469	59.8	13.0	46.8
3	Freddy Peralta	0.1468	0.0862	0.0000	88.9	49.0	40.0
4	Yusmeiro Petit	0.0612	0.1945	0.2821	67.1	28.0	39.1
5	Trevor May	0.0612	0.2105	0.2353	44.6	7.1	37.5
6	Ryan Tepera	0.0612	0.2122	0.3385	65.0	30.7	34.2
7	Cal Quantrill	0.1083	0.0622	0.0250	55.4	21.8	33.6
8	Sam Clay	0.0612	0.2261	0.2241	33.5	0.0	33.4
9	Hansel Robles	0.0612	0.1811	0.2361	50.0	16.9	33.1
10	Steve Cishek	0.0612	0.1771	0.2838	66.5	33.4	33.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Austin Adams	0.0205	0.1473	0.1692	33.9	5.7	28.2
2	Seth Lugo	0.1364	0.2617	0.3043	31.2	8.7	22.5
3	Génesis Cabrera	0.0952	0.1767	0.3944	86.2	65.0	21.2
4	Ross Stripling	0.1462	0.1139	0.0000	66.5	48.3	18.2
5	Jorge López	0.0148	0.0567	0.0606	21.0	3.2	17.8
6	Joe Kelly	0.0179	0.1244	0.2708	44.6	27.0	17.6
7	Dominic Leone	0.0427	0.1289	0.2632	46.5	29.8	16.7
8	Alex Vesia	0.0469	0.1561	0.2439	30.4	14.4	16.0
9	Tyler Alexander	0.0168	0.0620	0.0732	21.8	5.8	16.0
10	T.J. McFarland	0.0000	0.1155	0.3947	55.7	40.5	15.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Rogers	0.2400	0.3750	103.2	44.6	58.6
2	Jonathan Loáisiga	0.2577	0.3158	72.8	17.0	55.8
3	Tyler Duffey	0.2636	0.3438	72.5	20.8	51.6
4	Bryan Shaw	0.2098	0.2469	62.9	13.0	49.9
5	Chad Green	0.2187	0.2687	66.2	16.3	49.9
6	Zack Wheeler	0.0000	0.0000	49.7	1.6	48.1
7	Giovanny Gallegos	0.2154	0.3288	83.8	35.7	48.1
8	Sandy Alcantara	0.0000	0.0000	49.0	1.5	47.4
9	Adam Wainwright	0.0000	0.0000	48.4	1.5	46.9
10	Walker Buehler	0.0000	0.0000	47.7	1.5	46.2

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jackson Kowar	11.2747	5.0065 (980.6)	4.3491 (1059.7)	4.9680 (968.8)	5.0252 (974.3)	5.0268 (979.5)
Justus Sheffield	6.8340	4.4886 (941.3)	4.3096 (954.8)	4.4793 (900.4)	4.4956 (930.0)	4.4909 (945.5)
Robbie Ray	2.8397	4.3773 (1111.7)	4.6719 (1450.7)	4.4510 (1257.9)	4.5270 (1244.7)	4.1529 (928.1)
Carlos Rodón	2.3744	4.7369 (1208.5)	4.5933 (1208.6)	4.7250 (1263.8)	4.7996 (1253.9)	4.6849 (1173.7)
Jake Arrieta	7.3885	4.7404 (1288.6)	4.5000 (1333.9)	4.8146 (1199.6)	4.8541 (1224.8)	4.5510 (1383.6)
Ranger Suarez	1.3585	4.3856 (1223.8)	4.5401 (1348.5)	4.3015 (1236.9)	4.3079 (1200.6)	4.5495 (1286.7)
Matt Shoemaker	8.0552	4.8431 (940.5)	4.1557 (1094.9)	4.3491 (1048.0)	4.7658 (956.1)	4.9206 (922.2)
Patrick Corbin	5.8194	4.0363 (1413.8)	3.7768 (1500.6)	4.0952 (1282.9)	4.0144 (1413.5)	3.9988 (1451.9)
Jesús Luzardo	6.6084	3.7724 (1282.8)	4.1753 (1043.9)	3.6984 (1264.6)	3.8519 (1238.3)	3.7667 (1291.1)

Individual Misses for ERA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	4.5186	3.0533	1130.9
2	Cal Quantrill	4.8208	2.8864	1130.3
3	Zack Wheeler	4.0825	2.7844	1017.6
4	Andrew Heaney	4.1609	5.8303	987.1
5	Sandy Alcantara	4.4310	3.1945	951.7
6	Wade Miley	4.7614	3.3681	892.8
7	J.A. Happ	4.5652	5.7899	888.5
8	Mitch Keller	4.4622	6.1689	848.9
9	Tyler Webb	4.1643	13.2245	842.7
10	Corbin Burnes	3.8033	2.4251	840.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	3.7197	5.7770	1344.6
2	Kevin Gausman	4.4702	2.8125	1319.2
3	Corbin Burnes	4.3714	2.4251	1307.9
4	Trevor Rogers	4.8425	2.6391	1236.3
5	Dallas Keuchel	3.5398	5.2778	1219.3
6	Logan Webb	4.8322	3.0337	1098.4
7	Anthony DeSclafani	4.6484	3.1670	1031.4
8	Freddy Peralta	4.5156	2.8060	1017.3
9	J.A. Happ	4.2593	5.7899	997.3
10	Nestor Cortes	5.4474	2.9032	968.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Wheeler	4.1096	2.7844	1138.7
2	Cal Quantrill	4.7013	2.8864	1127.9
3	Matt Harvey	4.3491	6.2742	1111.0
4	Adam Wainwright	4.3491	3.0533	1086.2
5	Sandy Alcantara	4.4748	3.1945	1085.0
6	Corbin Burnes	3.8931	2.4251	974.9
7	Wade Miley	4.7428	3.3681	959.6
8	Julio Urías	4.2132	2.9569	947.9
9	Spenser Watkins	4.3491	8.0671	944.0
10	Chi Chi González	4.3491	6.4623	939.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cal Quantrill	4.7900	2.8864	1125.1
2	Adam Wainwright	4.4099	3.0533	1059.4
3	Zack Wheeler	3.9980	2.7844	964.8
4	Lance Lynn	4.2004	2.6943	915.9
5	Andrew Heaney	4.2738	5.8303	911.6
6	Luis Garcia	4.9705	3.4764	896.9
7	Wade Miley	4.7416	3.3681	894.5
8	Vince Velasquez	4.2645	6.2968	879.6
9	Sandy Alcantara	4.3127	3.1945	871.4
10	Mitch Keller	4.4459	6.1689	846.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cal Quantrill	4.9756	2.8864	1217.5
2	Adam Wainwright	4.6295	3.0533	1211.8
3	Zach Davies	4.2436	5.7770	1099.6
4	Andrew Heaney	3.9986	5.8303	1085.0
5	Zack Wheeler	4.1409	2.7844	1056.1
6	Dallas Keuchel	3.9922	5.2778	1006.8
7	Sandy Alcantara	4.5079	3.1945	1005.0
8	J.A. Happ	4.4274	5.7899	989.8
9	Spenser Watkins	4.3491	8.0671	976.8
10	Wade Miley	4.8000	3.3681	910.3

Most Unique Misses for ERA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cole Irvin	5.1639	4.5090	4.2393	744.3	130.8	613.5
2	Kevin Gausman	4.4702	3.8256	2.8125	1319.2	708.1	611.1
3	Zach Davies	3.7197	4.7410	5.7770	1344.6	758.5	586.1
4	Hyun Jin Ryu	3.0245	3.9493	4.3669	909.8	362.5	547.4
5	Mike Foltynewicz	4.1860	5.2352	5.4388	708.1	177.6	530.5
6	José Suarez	5.9356	4.8516	3.7525	920.0	412.8	507.1
7	Chris Flexen	4.8571	4.3182	3.6067	959.5	453.5	506.0
8	Zach Plesac	3.6535	4.6127	4.6682	580.2	92.7	487.6
9	Logan Webb	4.8322	4.1583	3.0337	1098.4	611.0	487.4
10	Trevor Rogers	4.8425	4.1116	2.6391	1236.3	755.2	481.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chi Chi González	4.3491	6.1288	6.4623	939.5	194.0	745.6
2	Matt Harvey	4.3491	5.7266	6.2742	1111.0	376.6	734.5
3	Wil Crowe	4.3491	5.3892	5.4771	582.7	98.2	484.5
4	Sam Hentges	4.3491	5.6085	6.6845	737.5	373.8	363.8
5	Spenser Watkins	4.3491	5.5980	8.0671	944.0	655.0	289.0
6	Griffin Jax	4.3491	5.2425	6.3659	720.3	440.2	280.0
7	Lucas Giolito	3.9144	3.6411	3.5261	291.1	11.2	279.9
8	Craig Stammen	4.3491	3.7178	3.0566	464.5	199.4	265.1
9	Adam Plutko	4.3491	5.4916	6.7101	598.0	336.1	261.9
10	Max Kranick	4.3491	5.8590	6.2845	349.3	95.5	253.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	4.0370	3.6411	3.5261	312.3	11.2	301.1
2	Steve Cishek	4.8168	4.1964	3.4244	405.1	207.1	198.0
3	Matt Harvey	5.3804	5.7266	6.2742	565.1	376.6	188.5
4	Yusmeiro Petit	4.7677	4.2302	3.9231	240.2	65.0	175.2
5	José Berríos	4.2521	4.0653	3.5156	514.9	351.6	163.4
6	Ross Detwiler	3.9797	4.6334	4.6433	169.6	25.0	144.6
7	Walker Buehler	3.5180	3.3704	2.4703	791.0	652.5	138.4
8	Alex Wells	4.8942	5.6107	6.7500	380.8	244.0	136.8
9	Robbie Ray	4.5270	4.3773	2.8397	1244.7	1111.7	132.9
10	Matt Peacock	4.5047	4.8581	4.8996	182.2	54.4	127.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	3.0000	3.6411	3.5261	459.9	11.2	448.7
2	Zach Davies	4.2436	4.7410	5.7770	1099.6	758.5	341.1
3	Spenser Watkins	4.3491	5.5980	8.0671	976.8	655.0	321.8
4	Mike Foltynewicz	4.7143	5.2352	5.4388	490.6	177.6	313.0
5	Taylor Hearn	5.5946	4.9223	4.6581	363.3	72.6	290.6
6	Vladimir Gutierrez	5.7329	5.1392	4.7368	438.2	150.3	287.9
7	Ryan Weathers	4.1211	4.8257	5.3239	527.5	239.7	287.8
8	Max Kranick	4.3491	5.8590	6.2845	372.7	95.5	277.2
9	Hyun Jin Ryu	3.5792	3.9493	4.3669	631.1	362.5	268.7
10	Ryan Yarbrough	4.0366	4.4294	5.1097	774.3	509.2	265.1

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Justus Sheffield	1.8423	1.4606 (166.0)	1.3808 (175.2)	1.4678 (152.8)	1.4444 (172.6)	1.4700 (158.2)
Mitch Keller	1.7881	1.4060 (202.8)	1.4212 (169.4)	1.4007 (192.6)	1.3997 (206.2)	1.4180 (192.0)
Robbie Ray	1.0448	1.3712 (214.1)	1.4398 (310.2)	1.3787 (240.9)	1.3901 (228.0)	1.3448 (202.1)
Freddy Peralta	0.9700	1.2806 (151.5)	1.3149 (203.8)	1.2842 (169.3)	1.2946 (159.1)	1.2628 (147.5)
Zack Wheeler	1.0078	1.2573 (169.8)	1.2336 (197.1)	1.2797 (211.9)	1.2458 (159.3)	1.2464 (169.9)
Corbin Burnes	0.9401	1.2517 (172.2)	1.3000 (240.7)	1.2827 (210.4)	1.2536 (172.9)	1.2187 (157.7)
Carlos Rodón	0.9573	1.4178 (219.5)	1.3397 (207.6)	1.4110 (230.4)	1.4045 (211.9)	1.4384 (236.3)
Adam Wainwright	1.0565	1.3764 (223.9)	1.3064 (212.2)	1.3128 (193.8)	1.3668 (215.2)	1.3862 (241.1)
Garrett Richards	1.5951	1.3589 (176.3)	1.3165 (168.0)	1.3128 (187.9)	1.4128 (143.5)	1.3056 (202.4)
Jake Arrieta	1.7736	1.4365 (181.3)	1.3936 (175.2)	1.4577 (158.6)	1.4652 (168.3)	1.3862 (199.7)
Sandy Alcantara	1.0746	1.3946 (226.4)	1.3073 (200.2)	1.4126 (264.3)	1.3737 (208.2)	1.3978 (238.3)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jesús Luzardo	1.2296	1.6154	190.2
2	Luis Garcia	1.5141	1.1781	181.4
3	Brad Keller	1.4294	1.6608	172.2
4	Patrick Corbin	1.3019	1.4680	161.9
5	Zach Davies	1.4207	1.6014	153.7
6	Luis Castillo	1.2245	1.3641	151.8
7	Julio Urías	1.2694	1.0180	150.5
8	Dallas Keuchel	1.3785	1.5309	145.3
9	Jorge López	1.4184	1.6274	143.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Davies	1.2489	1.6014	231.2
2	Brad Keller	1.2839	1.6608	227.2
3	Max Scherzer	1.1553	0.8643	206.1
4	Kevin Gausman	1.2914	1.0417	198.5
5	Logan Webb	1.4206	1.1056	191.5
6	Dallas Keuchel	1.2881	1.5309	170.2
7	Ranger Suarez	1.3947	1.0000	167.6
8	Brady Singer	1.2606	1.5506	166.2
9	Jacob deGrom	1.0442	0.5543	160.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Urías	1.3431	1.0180	225.7
2	Luis Garcia	1.4913	1.1781	184.1
3	Jesús Luzardo	1.2306	1.6154	177.9
4	Logan Webb	1.4257	1.1056	177.5
5	Ranger Suarez	1.4015	1.0000	158.5
6	Brandon Woodruff	1.2066	0.9647	155.5
7	Max Scherzer	1.1108	0.8643	155.3
8	Sam Hentges	1.3128	1.7767	154.6
9	Max Fried	1.3363	1.0865	151.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jesús Luzardo	1.2468	1.6154	183.1
2	Luis Garcia	1.4944	1.1781	168.3
3	Julio Urías	1.2880	1.0180	163.7
4	Patrick Corbin	1.3013	1.4680	163.0
5	Luis Castillo	1.2230	1.3641	153.8
6	Logan Webb	1.4091	1.1056	150.9
7	Max Scherzer	1.1227	0.8643	144.2
8	Antonio Senzatela	1.6050	1.3404	143.5
9	Ranger Suarez	1.3885	1.0000	141.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dallas Keuchel	1.2590	1.5309	223.5
2	Luis Garcia	1.5581	1.1781	216.2
3	Brad Keller	1.3518	1.6608	213.0
4	Zach Davies	1.3425	1.6014	198.6
5	Jesús Luzardo	1.2110	1.6154	193.5
6	Patrick Corbin	1.2926	1.4680	160.6
7	Luis Castillo	1.2032	1.3641	160.1
8	Chris Bassitt	1.3282	1.0551	149.5
9	Adbert Alzolay	1.4801	1.1618	145.2

Most Unique Misses for WHIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chris Flexen	1.4286	1.3175	1.2523	135.4	11.6	123.7
2	Kevin Gausman	1.2914	1.2188	1.0417	198.5	98.9	99.6
3	Robbie Ray	1.4398	1.3712	1.0448	310.2	214.1	96.2
4	Zach Davies	1.2489	1.4207	1.6014	231.2	153.7	77.5
5	Max Scherzer	1.1553	1.1007	0.8643	206.1	129.5	76.6
6	Joe Musgrove	1.2474	1.2027	1.0809	129.4	54.1	75.2
7	Sam Hentges	1.3128	1.5992	1.7767	145.5	72.2	73.3
8	Frankie Montas	1.3257	1.2935	1.1818	116.9	48.4	68.5
9	Corbin Burnes	1.3000	1.2517	0.9401	240.7	172.2	68.5
10	Nathan Eovaldi	1.3171	1.2855	1.1901	101.9	35.1	66.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Wil Crowe	1.3128	1.5446	1.5686	145.7	38.5	107.2
2	Sam Hentges	1.3128	1.5992	1.7767	154.6	72.2	82.4
3	Matt Harvey	1.3128	1.4760	1.5431	147.0	67.9	79.1
4	Matt Peacock	1.3128	1.5378	1.5637	105.4	29.1	76.3
5	Julio Urías	1.3431	1.2694	1.0180	225.7	150.5	75.2
6	Lucas Giolito	1.2449	1.1693	1.1026	86.4	12.4	74.0
7	Chi Chi González	1.3128	1.6450	1.5246	104.8	31.8	73.1
8	Luis Oviedo	1.3128	1.7551	1.9888	102.6	41.6	61.0
9	Aaron Nola	1.2674	1.2177	1.1292	86.9	29.3	57.6
10	Walker Buehler	1.1631	1.1226	0.9679	140.9	85.8	55.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Giolito	1.2413	1.1693	1.1026	63.6	12.4	51.2
2	Vladimir Gutierrez	1.3234	1.4133	1.4123	69.1	24.0	45.0
3	Ryan Weathers	1.6133	1.5057	1.3838	71.8	29.0	42.8
4	Ryan Yarbrough	1.3506	1.2948	1.2258	48.6	12.7	35.9
5	Yusmeiro Petit	1.3170	1.2069	1.0385	71.4	37.2	34.2
6	Walker Buehler	1.1615	1.1226	0.9679	116.7	85.8	31.0
7	Mike Minor	1.3376	1.2891	1.2416	30.5	1.3	29.2
8	Mike Foltynewicz	1.4975	1.4475	1.2590	110.2	81.4	28.8
9	Zack Greinke	1.2685	1.2112	1.1696	33.8	5.5	28.3
10	Craig Stammen	1.3023	1.2297	1.0415	74.7	49.2	25.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dallas Keuchel	1.2590	1.3785	1.5309	223.5	145.3	78.1
2	Lucas Giolito	1.0278	1.1693	1.1026	81.6	12.4	69.2
3	Zack Greinke	1.1170	1.2112	1.1696	63.5	5.5	58.0
4	Taylor Hearn	1.5676	1.4545	1.3227	91.0	36.3	54.7
5	Max Kranick	1.3128	1.6180	1.7069	78.7	25.2	53.5
6	Josh Staumont	1.6481	1.4624	1.0660	143.5	91.6	51.9
7	Carlos Hernández	1.6310	1.5008	1.2840	110.4	59.9	50.5
8	Gregory Soto	1.6532	1.4836	1.3508	72.8	23.0	49.8
9	Michael Kopech	1.5405	1.3849	1.1250	107.5	60.0	47.5
10	Tyler Matzek	1.5143	1.3454	1.2222	66.9	19.5	47.5