2025 Fantasy Projection Evaluation

Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2025, excluding batters with fewer than 300 PA and pitchers with fewer than 200 BF. Limited to 5x5 categories, with playing time (PA/BF) split out from rates.

Summary

Batting

System	PA raw	HR	SB	R	RBI	AVG
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System	BF raw	SO	W	SV	ERA	WHIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Kurtz	34	489	455.3
2	Angel Martínez	78	484	405.6
3	Addison Barger	104	502	397.5
4	Agustín Ramírez	206	585	379.1
5	Ben Rice	162	530	368.2
6	Eric Wagaman	148	514	366.2
7	Isaac Collins	79	441	361.8
8	Chandler Simpson	85	441	355.8
9	Nathan Lukes	105	438	333.1
10	Trent Grisham	248	581	332.9

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Kurtz	117	489	372.0
2	Agustín Ramírez	250	585	334.8
3	Addison Barger	168	502	333.7
4	Trent Grisham	253	581	328.4
5	Eric Wagaman	192	514	322.3
6	Angel Martínez	164	484	320.2
7	Andy Pages	308	624	316.3
8	Ben Rice	225	530	304.6
9	Isaac Collins	140	441	300.9
10	Nathan Lukes	141	438	297.3

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andy Pages	168	624	456.0
2	Nick Kurtz	35	489	454.0
3	Addison Barger	49	502	453.0
4	Agustín Ramírez	185	585	400.0
5	Angel Martínez	98	484	386.0
6	Nathan Lukes	84	438	354.0
7	Chandler Simpson	91	441	350.0
8	Eric Wagaman	168	514	346.0
9	Isaac Collins	98	441	343.0
10	Ben Rice	193	530	337.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Agustín Ramírez	100	585	485.0
2	Caleb Durbin	100	506	406.0
3	Chase Meidroth	100	505	405.0
4	Cam Smith	100	493	393.0
5	Nick Kurtz	100	489	389.0
6	Trevor Story	267	654	387.0
7	Junior Caminero	304	653	349.0
8	Drake Baldwin	100	446	346.0
9	Chandler Simpson	100	441	341.0
10	Matt Shaw	100	437	337.0

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cam Smith	1	493	492.0
2	Gavin Sheets	84	545	461.0
3	Nick Kurtz	35	489	454.0
4	Andy Pages	175	624	449.0
5	Spencer Torkelson	203	649	446.0
6	Isaac Collins	7	441	434.0
7	Trent Grisham	182	581	399.0
8	Addison Barger	112	502	390.0
9	Ben Rice	144	530	386.0
10	Brett Baty	56	432	376.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eric Wagaman	87	514	427.0
2	Agustín Ramírez	168	585	417.0
3	Angel Martínez	70	484	414.0
4	Trent Grisham	171	581	410.0
5	Nick Kurtz	100	489	389.0
6	Andy Pages	238	624	386.0
7	Chandler Simpson	70	441	371.0
8	Zach McKinstry	154	511	357.0
9	Spencer Torkelson	306	649	343.0
10	Gavin Sheets	203	545	342.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andy Pages	197	624	427.5
2	Addison Barger	95	502	406.5
3	Agustín Ramírez	190	585	395.4
4	Nick Kurtz	100	489	389.0
5	Angel Martínez	118	484	365.5
6	Daylen Lile	4	351	347.4
7	Trent Grisham	239	581	341.7
8	Ben Rice	190	530	340.4
9	Caleb Durbin	168	506	338.0
10	Nathan Lukes	100	438	337.8

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Kurtz	34	489	455.3
2	Angel Martínez	78	484	405.6
3	Addison Barger	104	502	397.5
4	Agustín Ramírez	206	585	379.1
5	Ben Rice	162	530	368.2
6	Eric Wagaman	148	514	366.2
7	Isaac Collins	79	441	361.8
8	Chandler Simpson	85	441	355.8
9	Nathan Lukes	105	438	333.1
10	Trent Grisham	248	581	332.9

The BAT X

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Kurtz	34	489	455.3
2	Angel Martínez	78	484	405.6
3	Addison Barger	104	502	397.5
4	Agustín Ramírez	206	585	379.1
5	Ben Rice	162	530	368.2
6	Eric Wagaman	148	514	366.2
7	Isaac Collins	79	441	361.8
8	Chandler Simpson	85	441	355.8
9	Nathan Lukes	105	438	333.1
10	Trent Grisham	248	581	332.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cam Smith	143	493	350.0
2	Trevor Story	319	654	335.0
3	Connor Norby	611	337	274.0
4	Christopher Morel	579	305	274.0
5	Javier Sanoja	604	342	262.0
6	Roman Anthony	557	303	254.0
7	JJ Bleday	595	344	251.0
8	Ezequiel Tovar	640	390	250.0
9	Geraldo Perdomo	478	720	242.0
10	Dylan Crews	563	322	241.0

Most Unique Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Daylen Lile	100	189	351	251.0	162.5	88.5
2	Angel Martínez	78	164	484	405.6	320.2	85.4
3	Nick Kurtz	34	117	489	455.3	372.0	83.3
4	Brooks Baldwin	126	205	328	202.0	123.0	79.0
5	Javier Sanoja	176	249	342	165.6	92.9	72.7
6	Chandler Simpson	85	152	441	355.8	288.7	67.1
7	Addison Barger	104	168	502	397.5	333.7	63.8
8	Ben Rice	162	225	530	368.2	304.6	63.6
9	Luis Urías	238	300	330	92.4	30.4	62.0
10	Isaac Collins	79	140	441	361.8	300.9	60.9

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andy Pages	168	308	624	456.0	316.3	139.7
2	Addison Barger	49	168	502	453.0	333.7	119.3
3	Miguel Andujar	469	361	341	128.0	20.0	108.0
4	Tommy Edman	609	513	377	232.0	135.9	96.1
5	Miguel Rojas	98	193	317	219.0	123.9	95.1
6	Noelvi Marte	105	195	360	255.0	164.8	90.2
7	Kyle Isbel	539	449	409	130.0	39.9	90.1
8	Rhys Hoskins	623	533	328	295.0	205.3	89.7
9	Daylen Lile	100	189	351	251.0	162.5	88.5
10	Luis Robert Jr.	658	569	431	227.0	138.5	88.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt Shaw	100	467	437	337.0	29.5	307.5
2	Matt McLain	245	542	577	332.0	35.0	297.0
3	Junior Caminero	304	553	653	349.0	99.7	249.3
4	Jung Hoo Lee	282	516	617	335.0	101.2	233.8
5	Chase Meidroth	100	321	505	405.0	184.1	220.9
6	Jacob Wilson	261	468	523	262.0	55.2	206.8
7	James Wood	381	575	689	308.0	113.7	194.3
8	Xavier Edwards	366	559	619	253.0	60.1	192.9
9	Trevor Story	267	453	654	387.0	201.4	185.6
10	Cam Smith	100	281	493	393.0	212.2	180.8

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cam Smith	1	281	493	492.0	212.2	279.8
2	Rowdy Tellez	21	280	312	291.0	31.8	259.2
3	Daylen Lile	1	189	351	350.0	162.5	187.5
4	Gavin Sheets	84	271	545	461.0	273.7	187.3
5	Spencer Torkelson	203	384	649	446.0	265.3	180.7
6	Brett Baty	56	228	432	376.0	204.2	171.8
7	Tyler Freeman	105	272	428	323.0	155.7	167.3
8	Isaac Collins	7	140	441	434.0	300.9	133.1
9	Andy Pages	175	308	624	449.0	316.3	132.7
10	Gabriel Arias	147	274	471	324.0	197.0	127.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Farmer	112	245	300	188.0	55.5	132.5
2	Josh Smith	279	389	563	284.0	173.9	110.1
3	Nick Allen	84	194	416	332.0	222.2	109.8
4	Chase Meidroth	215	321	505	290.0	184.1	105.9
5	Eric Wagaman	87	192	514	427.0	322.3	104.7
6	Zach McKinstry	154	258	511	357.0	253.4	103.6
7	Javier Sanoja	149	249	342	193.0	92.9	100.1
8	Angel Martínez	70	164	484	414.0	320.2	93.8
9	Tyrone Taylor	200	290	341	141.0	51.3	89.7
10	Nolan Jones	299	389	403	104.0	14.5	89.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Daylen Lile	4	189	351	347.4	162.5	184.9
2	Andy Pages	197	308	624	427.5	316.3	111.2
3	Jeff McNeil	327	424	462	134.6	38.4	96.2
4	Adam Frazier	176	266	459	282.9	192.9	90.1
5	Miguel Rojas	106	193	317	211.3	123.9	87.4
6	Jesús Sánchez	368	454	497	129.0	43.1	85.9
7	Ronald Acuña Jr.	610	530	412	197.8	117.9	79.9
8	Addison Barger	95	168	502	406.5	333.7	72.8
9	Andrew McCutchen	377	445	551	174.1	105.8	68.2
10	Jordan Beck	350	418	588	237.8	170.2	67.6

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Daylen Lile	100	189	351	251.0	162.5	88.5
2	Angel Martínez	78	164	484	405.6	320.2	85.4
3	Nick Kurtz	34	117	489	455.3	372.0	83.3
4	Brooks Baldwin	126	205	328	202.0	123.0	79.0
5	Javier Sanoja	176	249	342	165.6	92.9	72.7
6	Chandler Simpson	85	152	441	355.8	288.7	67.1
7	Addison Barger	104	168	502	397.5	333.7	63.8
8	Ben Rice	162	225	530	368.2	304.6	63.6
9	Luis Urías	238	300	330	92.4	30.4	62.0
10	Isaac Collins	79	140	441	361.8	300.9	60.9

The BAT X

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Daylen Lile	100	189	351	251.0	162.5	88.5
2	Angel Martínez	78	164	484	405.6	320.2	85.4
3	Nick Kurtz	34	117	489	455.3	372.0	83.3
4	Brooks Baldwin	126	205	328	202.0	123.0	79.0
5	Javier Sanoja	176	249	342	165.6	92.9	72.7
6	Chandler Simpson	85	152	441	355.8	288.7	67.1
7	Addison Barger	104	168	502	397.5	333.7	63.8
8	Ben Rice	162	225	530	368.2	304.6	63.6
9	Luis Urías	238	300	330	92.4	30.4	62.0
10	Isaac Collins	79	140	441	361.8	300.9	60.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Roman Anthony	557	357	303	254.0	54.1	199.9
2	Trey Sweeney	557	375	326	231.0	49.4	181.6
3	Javier Sanoja	604	249	342	262.0	92.9	169.1
4	Spencer Horwitz	588	425	411	177.0	14.5	162.5
5	Jacob Wilson	317	468	523	206.0	55.2	150.8
6	Cam Smith	143	281	493	350.0	212.2	137.8
7	Trevor Story	319	453	654	335.0	201.4	133.6
8	Josh Jung	358	488	511	153.0	23.1	129.9
9	Mike Trout	324	449	556	232.0	106.8	125.2
10	Rowdy Tellez	452	280	312	140.0	31.8	108.2

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	ATC	Aggregate	Depth Charts	Marcel	OOPSY	Razzball	Steamer	The BAT	The BAT X	ZiPS
George Springer	0.0804	0.0442 (20.1)	0.0455 (19.3)	0.0466 (19.5)	0.0475 (18.5)	0.0462 (19.4)	0.0469 (17.6)	0.0508 (17.5)	0.0435 (20.0)	0.0425 (20.7)	0.0442 (20.3)
Nick Kurtz	0.1319	0.0416 (43.2)	0.0446 (41.7)	0.0417 (43.8)	0.0498 (39.5)	0.0502 (39.4)	0.0498 (38.5)	0.0498 (40.3)	0.0484 (39.5)	0.0486 (39.5)	0.0354 (46.4)
Michael Busch	0.0879	0.0588 (16.0)	0.0569 (17.2)	0.0599 (16.2)	0.0557 (18.2)	0.0587 (16.6)	0.0525 (18.9)	0.0576 (18.1)	0.0522 (19.5)	0.0562 (17.2)	0.0618 (14.5)
Cal Raleigh	0.1460	0.0816 (44.0)	0.0823 (43.5)	0.0826 (44.2)	0.0847 (42.2)	0.0854 (41.9)	0.0755 (47.3)	0.0824 (45.1)	0.0865 (40.0)	0.0791 (45.4)	0.0856 (41.4)
James Wood	0.0816	0.0533 (18.2)	0.0533 (18.1)	0.0569 (16.6)	0.0460 (23.6)	0.0578 (15.6)	0.0521 (17.9)	0.0569 (17.2)	0.0475 (21.5)	0.0469 (22.2)	0.0587 (14.7)
Riley Greene	0.0891	0.0570 (19.8)	0.0554 (20.8)	0.0552 (21.8)	0.0493 (25.2)	0.0601 (18.2)	0.0502 (23.2)	0.0550 (22.5)	0.0562 (19.8)	0.0540 (21.3)	0.0557 (20.8)
Eugenio Suárez	0.1228	0.0654 (36.5)	0.0641 (37.3)	0.0623 (39.3)	0.0682 (35.0)	0.0673 (35.7)	0.0584 (40.0)	0.0640 (38.8)	0.0668 (35.0)	0.0638 (37.0)	0.0630 (38.2)
Gunnar Henderson	0.0382	0.0717 (23.0)	0.0718 (23.1)	0.0706 (21.5)	0.0689 (20.9)	0.0718 (22.6)	0.0708 (23.5)	0.0762 (24.5)	0.0751 (25.8)	0.0717 (23.5)	0.0653 (18.7)
Taylor Ward	0.0878	0.0568 (19.3)	0.0549 (20.5)	0.0535 (22.3)	0.0556 (20.5)	0.0542 (21.5)	0.0509 (22.2)	0.0544 (22.4)	0.0562 (19.1)	0.0581 (18.0)	0.0538 (21.5)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brent Rooker	0.0976	0.0633	25.3
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.1011	0.1373	24.8
3	Junior Caminero	0.0549	0.0930	23.6
4	Trent Grisham	0.0603	0.0950	19.1
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.1004	0.1285	19.0
6	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0580	0.0254	18.5
7	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.0396	0.0683	17.4
8	Ryan Jeffers	0.0618	0.0285	16.4
9	Kyle Stowers	0.0521	0.0896	16.3
10	Christian Yelich	0.0444	0.0713	16.1

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brent Rooker	0.0963	0.0633	24.4
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.1034	0.1373	23.1
3	Junior Caminero	0.0596	0.0930	20.6
4	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0595	0.0254	19.3
5	Trent Grisham	0.0604	0.0950	19.0
6	Shohei Ohtani	0.1013	0.1285	18.3
7	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0777	0.0535	18.0
8	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.0405	0.0683	16.7
9	Ryan Jeffers	0.0614	0.0285	16.2
10	Christian Yelich	0.0454	0.0713	15.4

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brent Rooker	0.1003	0.0633	26.3
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.1047	0.1373	23.1
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0627	0.0254	20.2
4	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0817	0.0535	19.9
5	Junior Caminero	0.0621	0.0930	19.8
6	Shohei Ohtani	0.1010	0.1285	19.6
7	Trent Grisham	0.0637	0.0950	17.8
8	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.0429	0.0683	16.0
9	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.0677	0.0972	15.3
10	Ryan Jeffers	0.0608	0.0285	15.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Junior Caminero	0.0472	0.0930	29.0
2	Trent Grisham	0.0505	0.0950	25.1
3	Kyle Schwarber	0.1017	0.1373	24.7
4	Kyle Stowers	0.0361	0.0896	23.8
5	Chandler Simpson	0.0498	0.0000	22.5
6	Shohei Ohtani	0.0975	0.1285	21.6
7	Jo Adell	0.0618	0.0976	19.7
8	Chase Meidroth	0.0498	0.0131	19.2
9	Brent Rooker	0.0890	0.0633	18.9
10	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.0381	0.0683	18.7

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brent Rooker	0.0968	0.0633	24.2
2	Trent Grisham	0.0544	0.0950	22.9
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0634	0.0254	20.9
4	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0817	0.0535	20.2
5	Elly De La Cruz	0.0757	0.0490	19.5
6	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.0391	0.0683	18.1
7	Ryan Jeffers	0.0646	0.0285	17.3
8	Marcell Ozuna	0.0850	0.0598	15.6
9	Geraldo Perdomo	0.0147	0.0375	15.6
10	Matt Olson	0.0842	0.0640	15.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.0996	0.1373	24.8
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.0920	0.1285	24.0
3	Trent Grisham	0.0551	0.0950	21.1
4	Junior Caminero	0.0604	0.0930	19.0
5	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0572	0.0254	18.8
6	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0760	0.0535	17.9
7	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.0387	0.0683	16.9
8	Christian Yelich	0.0425	0.0713	16.3
9	Ryan Jeffers	0.0581	0.0285	15.3
10	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.0660	0.0972	14.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.1058	0.1373	23.0
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.0986	0.1285	22.0
3	Brent Rooker	0.0949	0.0633	21.9
4	Trent Grisham	0.0591	0.0950	21.0
5	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0821	0.0535	19.6
6	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0606	0.0254	18.6
7	Junior Caminero	0.0654	0.0930	18.2
8	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.0423	0.0683	17.0
9	Christian Yelich	0.0458	0.0713	16.6
10	Ryan Jeffers	0.0632	0.0285	15.9

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brent Rooker	0.1050	0.0633	31.1
2	Junior Caminero	0.0534	0.0930	24.0
3	Kyle Schwarber	0.1040	0.1373	22.1
4	Trent Grisham	0.0564	0.0950	20.8
5	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.0356	0.0683	19.3
6	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0556	0.0254	17.6
7	Kyle Stowers	0.0484	0.0896	17.6
8	Shohei Ohtani	0.1016	0.1285	17.5
9	Ryan Jeffers	0.0631	0.0285	17.4
10	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0745	0.0535	16.4

The BAT X

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.0936	0.1373	29.8
2	Brent Rooker	0.0969	0.0633	25.3
3	Junior Caminero	0.0554	0.0930	22.8
4	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0573	0.0254	18.4
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.1020	0.1285	17.4
6	Corbin Carroll	0.0458	0.0747	16.9
7	Kyle Stowers	0.0503	0.0896	16.8
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0670	0.0461	16.0
9	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0740	0.0535	15.9
10	Ryan Jeffers	0.0602	0.0285	15.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brent Rooker	0.1036	0.0633	29.4
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.1020	0.1373	24.3
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0649	0.0254	22.0
4	Junior Caminero	0.0590	0.0930	21.1
5	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0815	0.0535	20.4
6	Shohei Ohtani	0.1037	0.1285	16.8
7	Trent Grisham	0.0651	0.0950	16.4
8	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.0663	0.0972	15.5
9	Ryan Jeffers	0.0590	0.0285	14.9
10	Corbin Carroll	0.0500	0.0747	14.8

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Junior Caminero	0.0549	0.0596	0.0930	23.6	20.6	3.1
2	Kyle Stowers	0.0521	0.0574	0.0896	16.3	13.8	2.4
3	Isaac Collins	0.0224	0.0271	0.0316	3.2	1.1	2.1
4	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0601	0.0650	0.0890	11.1	9.1	2.1
5	Jonathan Aranda	0.0598	0.0550	0.0526	3.8	1.8	2.0
6	Daylen Lile	0.0498	0.0184	0.0333	6.4	4.5	1.9
7	Jacob Wilson	0.0154	0.0189	0.0289	6.1	4.2	1.9
8	Jackson Merrill	0.0512	0.0476	0.0473	2.8	1.1	1.7
9	Kyle Schwarber	0.1011	0.1034	0.1373	24.8	23.1	1.7
10	Max Kepler	0.0436	0.0471	0.0547	4.4	2.7	1.7

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Judge	0.1286	0.1317	0.1366	5.0	2.0	3.0
2	Nolan Schanuel	0.0360	0.0294	0.0283	4.7	1.7	2.9
3	Willy Adames	0.0563	0.0592	0.0711	9.7	6.8	2.9
4	Carlos Narváez	0.0325	0.0362	0.0507	7.8	5.6	2.2
5	Nick Kurtz	0.0417	0.0446	0.1319	43.8	41.7	2.1
6	Eugenio Suárez	0.0623	0.0641	0.1228	39.3	37.3	2.0
7	Francisco Lindor	0.0558	0.0582	0.0596	2.4	0.4	2.0
8	Bo Bichette	0.0425	0.0382	0.0364	4.2	2.3	1.9
9	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0817	0.0777	0.0535	19.9	18.0	1.8
10	Brent Rooker	0.1003	0.0963	0.0633	26.3	24.4	1.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chandler Simpson	0.0498	0.0053	0.0000	22.5	3.2	19.4
2	Jake Mangum	0.0498	0.0131	0.0087	18.1	2.7	15.4
3	Chase Meidroth	0.0498	0.0191	0.0131	19.2	4.0	15.2
4	Kyle Stowers	0.0361	0.0574	0.0896	23.8	13.8	10.0
5	Liam Hicks	0.0498	0.0144	0.0213	11.6	1.9	9.7
6	Caleb Durbin	0.0498	0.0205	0.0274	12.0	2.5	9.5
7	Junior Caminero	0.0472	0.0596	0.0930	29.0	20.6	8.5
8	Jo Adell	0.0618	0.0759	0.0976	19.7	11.3	8.4
9	Ben Rice	0.0524	0.0688	0.0701	8.7	0.3	8.4
10	Andy Pages	0.0444	0.0588	0.0597	8.7	0.6	8.1

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Elly De La Cruz	0.0757	0.0657	0.0490	19.5	13.0	6.4
2	Oneil Cruz	0.0785	0.0686	0.0662	7.3	2.3	5.0
3	Aaron Judge	0.1458	0.1317	0.1366	7.0	2.0	5.0
4	Cam Smith	0.0553	0.0455	0.0294	13.3	8.9	4.5
5	Trent Grisham	0.0544	0.0604	0.0950	22.9	19.0	3.9
6	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.0430	0.0478	0.0617	12.0	8.1	3.8
7	Marcell Ozuna	0.0850	0.0779	0.0598	15.6	11.8	3.8
8	Julio Rodríguez	0.0698	0.0637	0.0637	5.1	1.4	3.7
9	Cedric Mullins	0.0372	0.0439	0.0525	7.0	3.3	3.7
10	Isaac Paredes	0.0461	0.0535	0.0658	8.1	4.5	3.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Judge	0.1173	0.1317	0.1366	10.8	2.0	8.7
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.0920	0.1013	0.1285	24.0	18.3	5.7
3	Nolan Schanuel	0.0373	0.0294	0.0283	7.0	1.7	5.3
4	Steven Kwan	0.0233	0.0173	0.0191	5.3	0.1	5.2
5	Shea Langeliers	0.0679	0.0795	0.0809	5.0	0.2	4.8
6	Jackson Chourio	0.0550	0.0501	0.0483	6.0	2.2	3.8
7	Luis Arraez	0.0152	0.0109	0.0129	3.8	0.1	3.7
8	Cal Raleigh	0.0755	0.0823	0.1460	47.3	43.5	3.7
9	Willy Adames	0.0526	0.0592	0.0711	10.3	6.8	3.5
10	Trevor Story	0.0410	0.0477	0.0571	8.3	4.9	3.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Judge	0.1253	0.1317	0.1366	7.9	2.0	5.9
2	Nolan Schanuel	0.0405	0.0294	0.0283	6.7	1.7	4.9
3	Jackson Chourio	0.0592	0.0501	0.0483	6.2	2.2	4.0
4	Steven Kwan	0.0251	0.0173	0.0191	3.9	0.1	3.8
5	Trevor Story	0.0442	0.0477	0.0571	8.6	4.9	3.7
6	Shohei Ohtani	0.0986	0.1013	0.1285	22.0	18.3	3.6
7	Tyler Soderstrom	0.0725	0.0653	0.0592	8.1	5.0	3.1
8	TJ Friedl	0.0456	0.0392	0.0296	10.8	7.9	2.9
9	Ramón Laureano	0.0476	0.0511	0.0736	12.9	10.0	2.8
10	Willy Adames	0.0574	0.0592	0.0711	9.6	6.8	2.8

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brent Rooker	0.1050	0.0963	0.0633	31.1	24.4	6.6
2	Mike Trout	0.1038	0.0964	0.0912	8.5	3.9	4.6
3	Jo Adell	0.0680	0.0759	0.0976	15.4	11.3	4.1
4	Kyle Tucker	0.0684	0.0628	0.0526	11.1	7.3	3.8
5	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0551	0.0650	0.0890	12.8	9.1	3.7
6	Kyle Stowers	0.0484	0.0574	0.0896	17.6	13.8	3.7
7	Shea Langeliers	0.0853	0.0795	0.0809	3.7	0.2	3.5
8	Junior Caminero	0.0534	0.0596	0.0930	24.0	20.6	3.5
9	James Wood	0.0475	0.0533	0.0816	21.5	18.1	3.4
10	Josh Naylor	0.0532	0.0485	0.0426	8.0	4.7	3.3

The BAT X

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt Chapman	0.0772	0.0651	0.0633	8.8	2.0	6.8
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.0936	0.1034	0.1373	29.8	23.1	6.7
3	Steven Kwan	0.0072	0.0173	0.0191	6.5	0.1	6.4
4	Luis Arraez	0.0019	0.0109	0.0129	5.7	0.1	5.6
5	Nathaniel Lowe	0.0316	0.0399	0.0466	7.6	2.9	4.7
6	Andrew Vaughn	0.0591	0.0504	0.0420	8.8	4.6	4.2
7	Nolan Schanuel	0.0155	0.0294	0.0283	5.8	1.7	4.0
8	James Wood	0.0469	0.0533	0.0816	22.2	18.1	4.0
9	Jarren Duran	0.0460	0.0412	0.0352	9.3	5.5	3.8
10	Oneil Cruz	0.0748	0.0686	0.0662	6.1	2.3	3.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brent Rooker	0.1036	0.0963	0.0633	29.4	24.4	4.9
2	Nick Kurtz	0.0354	0.0446	0.1319	46.4	41.7	4.7
3	Ben Rice	0.0772	0.0688	0.0701	4.6	0.3	4.3
4	Yandy Díaz	0.0307	0.0362	0.0504	11.7	8.0	3.7
5	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0649	0.0595	0.0254	22.0	19.3	2.7
6	Joc Pederson	0.0868	0.0780	0.0446	13.4	10.8	2.6
7	Carlos Narváez	0.0307	0.0362	0.0507	8.2	5.6	2.6
8	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0815	0.0777	0.0535	20.4	18.0	2.4
9	Mike Yastrzemski	0.0578	0.0532	0.0452	7.9	5.6	2.4
10	Willy Adames	0.0561	0.0592	0.0711	9.2	6.8	2.3

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	ATC	Aggregate	Depth Charts	Marcel	OOPSY	Razzball	Steamer	The BAT	The BAT X	ZiPS
Luis Robert Jr.	0.3267	0.1934 (59.7)	0.1994 (56.6)	0.1786 (63.9)	0.1717 (68.6)	0.2006 (58.1)	0.2094 (52.6)	0.1962 (57.7)	0.2180 (48.7)	0.2081 (52.8)	0.1714 (66.3)
Shohei Ohtani	0.1026	0.1976 (65.3)	0.2018 (69.3)	0.2143 (81.2)	0.1801 (53.4)	0.2100 (71.9)	0.1983 (66.3)	0.1895 (60.9)	0.1854 (57.1)	0.1969 (65.7)	0.2356 (97.9)
Elly De La Cruz	0.2114	0.3674 (105.4)	0.3506 (94.5)	0.3439 (92.6)	0.3380 (85.6)	0.3743 (107.9)	0.3677 (106.0)	0.3481 (93.2)	0.3195 (72.5)	0.3389 (86.3)	0.3397 (90.8)
Brice Turang	0.1277	0.2622 (85.2)	0.2472 (76.1)	0.2384 (72.9)	0.2465 (75.6)	0.2595 (81.3)	0.2441 (73.7)	0.2421 (73.3)	0.2426 (72.9)	0.2453 (75.0)	0.2349 (71.7)
Tommy Edman	0.0395	0.1878 (54.0)	0.1819 (52.2)	0.1714 (49.7)	0.1842 (53.0)	0.1661 (44.5)	0.1708 (47.7)	0.1634 (45.5)	0.2107 (62.9)	0.1988 (58.6)	0.1759 (52.0)
Colton Cowser	0.2090	0.0664 (53.2)	0.0674 (52.4)	0.0629 (52.6)	0.0678 (52.3)	0.0717 (52.5)	0.0726 (50.8)	0.0702 (51.1)	0.0636 (53.9)	0.0663 (52.8)	0.0608 (52.8)
Harrison Bader	0.0833	0.1947 (53.2)	0.1988 (55.8)	0.1875 (52.1)	0.1919 (52.3)	0.1919 (50.1)	0.2035 (57.9)	0.1988 (56.2)	0.2205 (66.6)	0.2087 (60.8)	0.1758 (47.1)
Juan Soto	0.1743	0.0387 (100.7)	0.0386 (99.9)	0.0352 (99.5)	0.0412 (98.1)	0.0467 (97.4)	0.0419 (98.0)	0.0410 (97.6)	0.0345 (103.0)	0.0362 (101.6)	0.0315 (101.0)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0652	0.1968 (52.1)	0.2374 (69.3)	0.2453 (74.1)	0.2455 (72.5)	0.2536 (74.1)	0.1985 (53.0)	0.2659 (81.3)	0.2739 (84.2)	0.2493 (74.2)	0.2236 (65.9)
Gunnar Henderson	0.1754	0.1019 (51.3)	0.0993 (52.2)	0.0994 (49.6)	0.0903 (58.1)	0.1068 (50.2)	0.1031 (50.1)	0.1001 (51.1)	0.0942 (55.7)	0.0964 (54.0)	0.0930 (52.7)
José Caballero	0.4900	0.3681 (47.0)	0.3521 (52.5)	0.3676 (45.3)	0.3063 (69.5)	0.3745 (45.9)	0.3549 (51.7)	0.3439 (55.3)	0.3280 (61.5)	0.3174 (65.3)	0.3737 (42.4)
Byron Buxton	0.2105	0.0883 (69.1)	0.0876 (68.8)	0.0865 (67.3)	0.0899 (67.6)	0.0956 (66.9)	0.0816 (72.4)	0.0797 (72.7)	0.0900 (67.7)	0.0890 (68.0)	0.0886 (65.2)
Josh Naylor	0.1852	0.0483 (85.9)	0.0511 (83.4)	0.0537 (79.5)	0.0597 (78.3)	0.0589 (81.5)	0.0464 (86.6)	0.0474 (85.2)	0.0536 (82.1)	0.0480 (85.3)	0.0556 (77.4)
Oneil Cruz	0.3140	0.1598 (86.7)	0.1517 (90.5)	0.1429 (93.2)	0.1379 (98.1)	0.1400 (99.3)	0.1328 (101.1)	0.1294 (102.2)	0.1708 (80.3)	0.1696 (80.7)	0.1606 (82.6)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jo Adell	0.1481	0.0450	56.1
2	Maikel Garcia	0.2099	0.1329	47.8
3	Jackson Merrill	0.1128	0.0094	47.4
4	Andy Pages	0.0300	0.1000	46.9
5	Jake Mangum	0.1253	0.2269	45.7
6	TJ Friedl	0.1287	0.0571	45.4

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jo Adell	0.1447	0.0450	54.8
2	Jake Mangum	0.1176	0.2269	48.5
3	Jackson Merrill	0.1052	0.0094	44.3
4	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.2496	0.3125	43.3
5	Cal Raleigh	0.0270	0.0828	42.2
6	Luis Rengifo	0.1601	0.0787	41.9

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jo Adell	0.1339	0.0450	50.9
2	Jake Mangum	0.1111	0.2269	49.6
3	Maikel Garcia	0.2055	0.1329	48.2
4	José Ramírez	0.1801	0.2514	48.1
5	Andy Pages	0.0270	0.1000	45.6
6	Trea Turner	0.1394	0.2069	43.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chandler Simpson	0.0791	0.3548	123.5
2	Victor Scott II	0.1228	0.2906	79.6
3	Jake Mangum	0.0791	0.2269	65.1
4	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.2283	0.3125	57.2
5	José Ramírez	0.1724	0.2514	56.0
6	TJ Friedl	0.1321	0.0571	48.5

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jo Adell	0.1580	0.0450	59.9
2	Caleb Durbin	0.2444	0.1364	50.3
3	Luis Rengifo	0.1800	0.0787	50.2
4	Maikel Garcia	0.2095	0.1329	45.3
5	Jackson Merrill	0.1097	0.0094	44.3
6	Trea Turner	0.1472	0.2069	43.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jo Adell	0.1573	0.0450	61.7
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.2310	0.3125	55.7
3	Jake Mangum	0.1091	0.2269	52.4
4	Dane Myers	0.0891	0.2222	45.9
5	Maikel Garcia	0.2062	0.1329	45.7
6	Luis Rengifo	0.1665	0.0787	45.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jo Adell	0.1533	0.0450	60.2
2	Jake Mangum	0.1034	0.2269	54.2
3	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.2352	0.3125	52.1
4	Dane Myers	0.0880	0.2222	45.8
5	Maikel Garcia	0.2036	0.1329	44.9
6	José Ramírez	0.1890	0.2514	44.2

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.2163	0.3125	65.0
2	Jo Adell	0.1419	0.0450	53.0
3	Jake Mangum	0.1094	0.2269	52.1
4	Agustín Ramírez	0.0606	0.1416	49.9
5	Chandler Simpson	0.2498	0.3548	48.2
6	TJ Friedl	0.1280	0.0571	45.6

The BAT X

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jo Adell	0.1410	0.0450	52.7
2	Jake Mangum	0.1201	0.2269	47.4
3	TJ Friedl	0.1295	0.0571	46.8
4	Jackson Merrill	0.1102	0.0094	46.8
5	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.2456	0.3125	45.8
6	Cal Raleigh	0.0223	0.0828	45.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Ramírez	0.1711	0.2514	53.1
2	Maikel Garcia	0.2081	0.1329	51.0
3	Andy Pages	0.0242	0.1000	46.3
4	Jackson Merrill	0.1029	0.0094	45.9
5	Jake Mangum	0.1188	0.2269	45.6
6	Romy Gonzalez	0.1967	0.0732	42.7

Most Unique Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Isaac Collins	0.1732	0.1376	0.1260	18.5	3.4	15.1
2	Xavier Edwards	0.2149	0.1911	0.1475	38.5	24.5	14.0
3	Otto Lopez	0.1607	0.1359	0.1034	30.9	16.9	14.0
4	Sal Frelick	0.1390	0.1166	0.1111	13.5	0.9	12.6
5	Elly De La Cruz	0.3674	0.3506	0.2114	105.4	94.5	10.9
6	Kody Clemens	0.0208	0.0474	0.0685	20.4	9.7	10.7
7	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.2768	0.2555	0.2403	16.6	5.9	10.7
8	Josh Lowe	0.2348	0.2111	0.2022	11.9	2.1	9.8
9	Brice Turang	0.2622	0.2472	0.1277	85.2	76.1	9.1
10	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.2057	0.2175	0.2303	20.5	11.5	8.9

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Addison Barger	0.0000	0.0441	0.0412	20.7	0.6	20.2
2	Kody Clemens	0.0000	0.0474	0.0685	26.5	9.7	16.8
3	Shohei Ohtani	0.2143	0.2018	0.1026	81.2	69.3	11.9
4	Angel Martínez	0.0435	0.0692	0.0860	20.6	10.1	10.5
5	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1226	0.1413	0.1600	25.9	15.7	10.2
6	Jackson Chourio	0.1933	0.1815	0.1736	11.6	2.3	9.3
7	Jung Hoo Lee	0.0368	0.0547	0.0662	18.2	9.6	8.6
8	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.2012	0.2175	0.2303	20.0	11.5	8.5
9	Trevor Story	0.1628	0.1786	0.2109	31.5	23.7	7.8
10	Maikel Garcia	0.2055	0.1979	0.1329	48.2	40.6	7.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chandler Simpson	0.0791	0.3449	0.3548	123.5	6.1	117.3
2	Victor Scott II	0.1228	0.2675	0.2906	79.6	12.5	67.1
3	Drake Baldwin	0.0791	0.0080	0.0000	33.4	1.8	31.6
4	Matt Shaw	0.0791	0.1398	0.1848	48.0	21.4	26.6
5	Edgar Quero	0.0791	0.0183	0.0000	30.2	5.8	24.4
6	Xavier Edwards	0.2264	0.1911	0.1475	46.3	24.5	21.8
7	Liam Hicks	0.0791	0.0197	0.0175	22.4	0.7	21.7
8	Hunter Goodman	0.0678	0.0311	0.0081	32.1	11.0	21.2
9	Nick Kurtz	0.0791	0.0378	0.0163	28.7	8.6	20.1
10	Jasson Domínguez	0.1207	0.1650	0.2035	37.3	18.3	19.1

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chandler Simpson	0.4613	0.3449	0.3548	43.2	6.1	37.1
2	Caleb Durbin	0.2444	0.1906	0.1364	50.3	25.4	24.9
3	Geraldo Perdomo	0.0872	0.1024	0.1233	32.2	17.9	14.2
4	Elly De La Cruz	0.3743	0.3506	0.2114	107.9	94.5	13.4
5	Cam Smith	0.0196	0.0417	0.0661	27.2	14.0	13.1
6	Matt McLain	0.1587	0.1352	0.1295	11.9	1.0	11.0
7	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.2111	0.1890	0.1695	19.4	9.1	10.4
8	Liam Hicks	0.0000	0.0197	0.0175	10.2	0.7	9.5
9	Gabriel Arias	0.1347	0.1104	0.0879	18.0	8.7	9.3
10	Oneil Cruz	0.1400	0.1517	0.3140	99.3	90.5	8.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nick Kurtz	0.0791	0.0378	0.0163	28.4	8.6	19.9
2	Victor Scott II	0.2354	0.2675	0.2906	27.7	12.5	15.2
3	CJ Abrams	0.2697	0.2470	0.2199	28.7	14.7	14.0
4	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1228	0.1413	0.1600	28.9	15.7	13.2
5	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.2310	0.2496	0.3125	55.7	43.3	12.4
6	Elly De La Cruz	0.3677	0.3506	0.2114	106.0	94.5	11.6
7	Oneil Cruz	0.1328	0.1517	0.3140	101.1	90.5	10.6
8	Randy Arozarena	0.1324	0.1441	0.1751	33.6	24.8	8.8
9	Jasson Domínguez	0.1482	0.1650	0.2035	25.7	18.3	7.5
10	Matt Shaw	0.1240	0.1398	0.1848	28.6	21.4	7.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nick Kurtz	0.0791	0.0378	0.0163	29.1	8.6	20.6
2	Victor Scott II	0.2330	0.2675	0.2906	28.1	12.5	15.6
3	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1196	0.1413	0.1600	30.1	15.7	14.4
4	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2659	0.2374	0.0652	81.3	69.3	12.1
5	Oneil Cruz	0.1294	0.1517	0.3140	102.2	90.5	11.7
6	Jasson Domínguez	0.1416	0.1650	0.2035	28.0	18.3	9.7
7	CJ Abrams	0.2609	0.2470	0.2199	24.0	14.7	9.3
8	Randy Arozarena	0.1302	0.1441	0.1751	34.1	24.8	9.3
9	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.2352	0.2496	0.3125	52.1	43.3	8.8
10	Matt McLain	0.1168	0.1352	0.1295	9.2	1.0	8.2

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chandler Simpson	0.2498	0.3449	0.3548	48.2	6.1	42.1
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.2163	0.2496	0.3125	65.0	43.3	21.7
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2739	0.2374	0.0652	84.2	69.3	14.9
4	Cedric Mullins	0.2584	0.2308	0.2056	24.1	10.6	13.6
5	J.T. Realmuto	0.1000	0.0775	0.0597	19.8	7.6	12.2
6	Agustín Ramírez	0.0606	0.0790	0.1416	49.9	39.0	10.9
7	Harrison Bader	0.2205	0.1988	0.0833	66.6	55.8	10.7
8	Tommy Edman	0.2107	0.1819	0.0395	62.9	52.2	10.7
9	José Caballero	0.3280	0.3521	0.4900	61.5	52.5	9.0
10	Javier Sanoja	0.1395	0.1131	0.0923	14.7	5.7	8.9

The BAT X

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chandler Simpson	0.2781	0.3449	0.3548	35.6	6.1	29.4
2	Javier Sanoja	0.1544	0.1131	0.0923	19.9	5.7	14.1
3	José Caballero	0.3174	0.3521	0.4900	65.3	52.5	12.8
4	Corbin Carroll	0.2538	0.2345	0.2286	13.7	1.2	12.5
5	J.T. Realmuto	0.0987	0.0775	0.0597	19.3	7.6	11.7
6	Lawrence Butler	0.1167	0.1349	0.1583	28.7	17.3	11.4
7	Cedric Mullins	0.2495	0.2308	0.2056	19.9	10.6	9.3
8	Cody Bellinger	0.1049	0.0918	0.0813	12.9	4.3	8.6
9	Zach Neto	0.1635	0.1783	0.2167	31.6	23.5	8.1
10	Jarren Duran	0.2120	0.2016	0.1491	41.1	33.8	7.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.2356	0.2018	0.1026	97.9	69.3	28.6
2	Jackson Chourio	0.2128	0.1815	0.1736	24.0	2.3	21.7
3	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1818	0.2175	0.2303	32.3	11.5	20.7
4	Jung Hoo Lee	0.0168	0.0547	0.0662	29.5	9.6	19.9
5	Caleb Durbin	0.2178	0.1906	0.1364	42.0	25.4	16.6
6	Trevor Story	0.1493	0.1786	0.2109	39.3	23.7	15.6
7	Corbin Carroll	0.2036	0.2345	0.2286	15.0	1.2	13.8
8	José Ramírez	0.1711	0.1941	0.2514	53.1	41.3	11.8
9	Maikel Garcia	0.2081	0.1979	0.1329	51.0	40.6	10.5
10	Luis Robert Jr.	0.1714	0.1994	0.3267	66.3	56.6	9.7

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	ATC	Aggregate	Depth Charts	Marcel	OOPSY	Razzball	Steamer	The BAT	The BAT X	ZiPS
George Springer	0.1809	0.1258 (32.4)	0.1236 (33.4)	0.1256 (33.8)	0.1297 (30.3)	0.1208 (33.8)	0.1184 (35.6)	0.1223 (34.7)	0.1244 (32.3)	0.1247 (32.2)	0.1284 (33.2)
Michael Harris II	0.0858	0.1408 (35.1)	0.1391 (34.3)	0.1364 (30.9)	0.1369 (32.5)	0.1460 (40.1)	0.1301 (29.5)	0.1360 (31.8)	0.1411 (36.3)	0.1418 (36.7)	0.1377 (30.7)
Brice Turang	0.1472	0.1140 (22.1)	0.1127 (22.5)	0.1156 (22.4)	0.1135 (22.5)	0.1050 (26.2)	0.1089 (24.1)	0.1126 (23.2)	0.1150 (20.3)	0.1140 (21.1)	0.1195 (21.0)
Nick Kurtz	0.1840	0.1141 (34.3)	0.1111 (35.5)	0.1143 (35.3)	0.1220 (30.6)	0.1122 (34.0)	0.1220 (29.5)	0.1220 (30.7)	0.1045 (38.3)	0.1046 (38.2)	0.1203 (33.2)
Aaron Judge	0.2018	0.1634 (26.2)	0.1665 (23.7)	0.1664 (25.6)	0.1692 (22.4)	0.1715 (18.9)	0.1653 (23.6)	0.1714 (21.1)	0.1677 (22.2)	0.1642 (24.7)	0.1622 (29.6)
Cal Raleigh	0.1560	0.1179 (27.1)	0.1186 (26.2)	0.1216 (26.0)	0.1208 (25.1)	0.1263 (19.3)	0.1184 (25.3)	0.1214 (24.8)	0.1154 (27.7)	0.1104 (31.3)	0.1205 (28.0)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.1416	0.1790	20.4
2	Ernie Clement	0.1075	0.1412	20.0
3	Trent Grisham	0.1166	0.1497	19.4
4	Logan O'Hoppe	0.1203	0.0776	19.1
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.1755	0.2008	18.6
6	Michael Toglia	0.1204	0.0653	18.5
7	Marcell Ozuna	0.1329	0.1030	17.5
8	Junior Caminero	0.1166	0.1424	17.1
9	Trevor Story	0.1142	0.1391	16.5
10	Jackson Holliday	0.1331	0.1079	16.2

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.1359	0.1790	23.2
2	Ernie Clement	0.1095	0.1412	18.5
3	Logan O'Hoppe	0.1175	0.0776	18.1
4	Michael Toglia	0.1177	0.0653	17.8
5	Marcell Ozuna	0.1320	0.1030	17.3
6	Salvador Perez	0.1100	0.0842	16.7
7	Trent Grisham	0.1208	0.1497	16.6
8	Gunnar Henderson	0.1558	0.1306	16.6
9	Jackson Holliday	0.1321	0.1079	15.9
10	Royce Lewis	0.1273	0.0893	15.4

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jackson Holliday	0.1469	0.1079	23.8
2	Byron Buxton	0.1409	0.1790	22.0
3	Kyle Manzardo	0.1265	0.0885	18.9
4	Trent Grisham	0.1197	0.1497	18.9
5	Michael Toglia	0.1230	0.0653	18.6
6	Ernie Clement	0.1126	0.1412	18.2
7	Trevor Story	0.1149	0.1391	17.4
8	Luis Arraez	0.1254	0.0978	17.0
9	Joey Bart	0.1161	0.0633	16.7
10	Logan O'Hoppe	0.1171	0.0776	16.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.1608	0.2008	29.4
2	Junior Caminero	0.1053	0.1424	24.5
3	Trent Grisham	0.1139	0.1497	21.1
4	Trevor Story	0.1086	0.1391	20.2
5	Michael Toglia	0.1244	0.0653	19.8
6	Joey Bart	0.1229	0.0633	19.7
7	Jose Altuve	0.1521	0.1223	19.2
8	Logan O'Hoppe	0.1199	0.0776	18.9
9	Byron Buxton	0.1459	0.1790	18.2
10	Edgar Quero	0.1220	0.0769	18.0

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.1337	0.1790	23.2
2	Gunnar Henderson	0.1633	0.1306	22.9
3	Marcell Ozuna	0.1390	0.1030	22.7
4	Miguel Vargas	0.1002	0.1406	21.6
5	Jarren Duran	0.1500	0.1236	20.1
6	Francisco Lindor	0.1311	0.1598	19.3
7	Ozzie Albies	0.1367	0.1109	18.8
8	Logan O'Hoppe	0.1166	0.0776	18.7
9	Salvador Perez	0.1101	0.0842	18.1
10	Trevor Story	0.1093	0.1391	17.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.1222	0.1790	29.8
2	Luis Arraez	0.1330	0.0978	25.0
3	Trevor Story	0.1029	0.1391	22.6
4	Salvador Perez	0.1155	0.0842	21.1
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.1713	0.2008	20.2
6	Kyle Manzardo	0.1240	0.0885	19.8
7	Gunnar Henderson	0.1586	0.1306	19.4
8	Ramón Laureano	0.1075	0.1475	18.7
9	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1106	0.1406	18.3
10	Logan O'Hoppe	0.1157	0.0776	17.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.1272	0.1790	28.4
2	Salvador Perez	0.1190	0.0842	21.9
3	Luis Arraez	0.1281	0.0978	20.1
4	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1109	0.1406	19.6
5	Trevor Story	0.1100	0.1391	19.4
6	Bryan Reynolds	0.1336	0.1040	19.0
7	Ramón Laureano	0.1093	0.1475	18.9
8	Michael Toglia	0.1211	0.0653	18.6
9	Ernie Clement	0.1113	0.1412	17.9
10	Kyle Manzardo	0.1226	0.0885	17.8

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.1358	0.1790	22.6
2	Ernie Clement	0.1055	0.1412	20.2
3	Marcell Ozuna	0.1347	0.1030	19.6
4	Trent Grisham	0.1159	0.1497	18.9
5	Salvador Perez	0.1115	0.0842	18.3
6	Logan O'Hoppe	0.1167	0.0776	18.2
7	Michael Toglia	0.1174	0.0653	18.0
8	Miguel Vargas	0.1094	0.1406	17.0
9	Geraldo Perdomo	0.1114	0.1361	16.9
10	Royce Lewis	0.1283	0.0893	16.3

The BAT X

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Byron Buxton	0.1351	0.1790	23.1
2	Logan O'Hoppe	0.1212	0.0776	20.2
3	Michael Toglia	0.1178	0.0653	18.1
4	Ernie Clement	0.1100	0.1412	17.6
5	Marcell Ozuna	0.1315	0.1030	17.5
6	Andrew Vaughn	0.1157	0.0783	17.3
7	Salvador Perez	0.1093	0.0842	16.8
8	Brenton Doyle	0.1350	0.1059	16.3
9	Geraldo Perdomo	0.1124	0.1361	16.2
10	Jarren Duran	0.1450	0.1236	15.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jackson Holliday	0.1746	0.1079	40.7
2	Trent Grisham	0.1204	0.1497	19.4
3	Ernie Clement	0.1122	0.1412	19.4
4	Joey Bart	0.1254	0.0633	19.3
5	Kyle Manzardo	0.1288	0.0885	19.2
6	Junior Caminero	0.1172	0.1424	19.2
7	Josh Naylor	0.1073	0.1341	18.6
8	Michael Toglia	0.1241	0.0653	18.5
9	Gunnar Henderson	0.1611	0.1306	17.2
10	Gavin Lux	0.1355	0.0974	17.1

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Isaac Collins	0.1005	0.1086	0.1270	11.8	8.0	3.8
2	Mike Tauchman	0.1274	0.1171	0.1143	4.9	1.2	3.7
3	Gavin Sheets	0.0949	0.1010	0.1046	5.4	1.8	3.6
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.1755	0.1797	0.2008	18.6	15.1	3.5
5	Marcus Semien	0.1398	0.1331	0.1161	12.5	9.2	3.2
6	Junior Caminero	0.1166	0.1209	0.1424	17.1	13.9	3.2
7	Steven Kwan	0.1319	0.1271	0.1169	10.2	7.3	3.0
8	Trent Grisham	0.1166	0.1208	0.1497	19.4	16.6	2.8
9	Andy Pages	0.1339	0.1289	0.1186	9.4	6.6	2.7
10	Dane Myers	0.1177	0.1089	0.0871	10.1	7.4	2.7

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jackson Holliday	0.1469	0.1321	0.1079	23.8	15.9	7.8
2	Steven Kwan	0.1369	0.1271	0.1169	12.2	7.3	4.9
3	Jung Hoo Lee	0.1120	0.1189	0.1183	5.4	0.5	4.9
4	Mike Tauchman	0.1325	0.1171	0.1143	6.1	1.2	4.9
5	Jacob Wilson	0.1320	0.1163	0.1185	5.8	1.0	4.7
6	Jose Altuve	0.1429	0.1332	0.1223	11.8	7.3	4.5
7	Kyle Manzardo	0.1265	0.1155	0.0885	18.9	14.5	4.4
8	Lars Nootbaar	0.1374	0.1273	0.1166	10.7	6.4	4.3
9	Josh Naylor	0.1166	0.1203	0.1341	12.0	8.2	3.9
10	Drake Baldwin	0.1024	0.1080	0.1256	11.4	7.7	3.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.1608	0.1797	0.2008	29.4	15.1	14.3
2	Jose Altuve	0.1521	0.1332	0.1223	19.2	7.3	11.9
3	Junior Caminero	0.1053	0.1209	0.1424	24.5	13.9	10.6
4	Tyler Soderstrom	0.0939	0.1100	0.1202	16.6	6.2	10.5
5	Gavin Sheets	0.0825	0.1010	0.1046	12.3	1.8	10.5
6	Liam Hicks	0.1220	0.0948	0.0949	10.4	0.1	10.3
7	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1385	0.1514	0.1606	15.6	6.2	9.4
8	Mike Tauchman	0.1422	0.1171	0.1143	10.6	1.2	9.4
9	Heliot Ramos	0.1078	0.1191	0.1223	10.3	2.0	8.3
10	Edgar Quero	0.1220	0.1022	0.0769	18.0	10.3	7.7

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1334	0.1514	0.1606	17.2	6.2	11.0
2	Xavier Edwards	0.1002	0.1173	0.1212	11.5	2.2	9.3
3	Brandon Nimmo	0.1403	0.1289	0.1242	12.0	3.2	8.8
4	José Ramírez	0.1252	0.1403	0.1530	17.1	8.4	8.7
5	Chandler Simpson	0.0946	0.1163	0.1202	10.2	1.6	8.6
6	Matt Olson	0.1449	0.1352	0.1354	8.7	0.1	8.6
7	Cam Smith	0.1317	0.1171	0.1116	11.1	2.9	8.3
8	Lawrence Butler	0.1140	0.1290	0.1317	9.7	1.5	8.1
9	CJ Abrams	0.1152	0.1297	0.1449	17.3	9.5	7.9
10	Agustín Ramírez	0.0923	0.1076	0.1231	16.6	8.9	7.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis Arraez	0.1330	0.1192	0.0978	25.0	14.7	10.3
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1106	0.1256	0.1406	18.3	9.6	8.8
3	Yandy Díaz	0.1354	0.1235	0.1214	10.3	1.6	8.7
4	Randy Arozarena	0.1120	0.1254	0.1340	14.4	5.9	8.4
5	Trevor Story	0.1029	0.1155	0.1391	22.6	15.3	7.3
6	Elly De La Cruz	0.1314	0.1484	0.1459	8.9	1.9	7.0
7	Christian Yelich	0.1216	0.1336	0.1366	8.5	1.8	6.8
8	Corbin Carroll	0.1462	0.1582	0.1667	12.0	5.3	6.7
9	Byron Buxton	0.1222	0.1359	0.1790	29.8	23.2	6.6
10	Matt Chapman	0.1129	0.1266	0.1421	14.7	8.1	6.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yandy Díaz	0.1400	0.1235	0.1214	11.7	1.6	10.1
2	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1109	0.1256	0.1406	19.6	9.6	10.1
3	Willi Castro	0.1082	0.1229	0.1278	9.2	2.1	7.1
4	TJ Friedl	0.1342	0.1246	0.1197	9.5	3.5	6.0
5	Lars Nootbaar	0.1384	0.1273	0.1166	12.3	6.4	6.0
6	Cam Smith	0.0945	0.1171	0.1116	8.7	2.9	5.9
7	Austin Wells	0.1302	0.1163	0.1138	7.1	1.2	5.8
8	Nolan Schanuel	0.1302	0.1191	0.1135	9.1	3.3	5.8
9	Bryan Reynolds	0.1336	0.1242	0.1040	19.0	13.4	5.6
10	Otto Lopez	0.1001	0.1085	0.1111	6.9	1.4	5.5

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jacob Wilson	0.1032	0.1163	0.1185	7.3	1.0	6.3
2	Geraldo Perdomo	0.1114	0.1210	0.1361	16.9	10.7	6.2
3	Juan Soto	0.1516	0.1612	0.1678	10.7	4.6	6.1
4	Brent Rooker	0.1417	0.1344	0.1316	8.0	2.2	5.8
5	Luis Robert Jr.	0.1359	0.1249	0.1206	7.2	2.0	5.2
6	Xander Bogaerts	0.1247	0.1169	0.1141	6.6	1.7	4.9
7	Cedric Mullins	0.1341	0.1256	0.1165	9.4	4.7	4.7
8	Brenton Doyle	0.1329	0.1254	0.1059	15.2	10.6	4.6
9	Kody Clemens	0.1025	0.1147	0.1192	5.9	1.6	4.3
10	Elly De La Cruz	0.1534	0.1484	0.1459	6.2	1.9	4.2

The BAT X

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.1322	0.1444	0.1533	14.4	6.3	8.1
2	Jacob Wilson	0.1040	0.1163	0.1185	7.0	1.0	5.9
3	Brenton Doyle	0.1350	0.1254	0.1059	16.3	10.6	5.7
4	Geraldo Perdomo	0.1124	0.1210	0.1361	16.2	10.7	5.5
5	Tyler Freeman	0.1320	0.1206	0.1168	7.0	1.8	5.3
6	Oneil Cruz	0.1397	0.1311	0.1140	14.7	9.5	5.2
7	Cal Raleigh	0.1104	0.1186	0.1560	31.3	26.2	5.2
8	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1638	0.1574	0.1441	14.4	9.4	5.0
9	Cedric Mullins	0.1346	0.1256	0.1165	9.7	4.7	5.0
10	Wyatt Langford	0.1423	0.1349	0.1274	9.3	4.5	4.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jackson Holliday	0.1746	0.1321	0.1079	40.7	15.9	24.7
2	Jacob Wilson	0.1514	0.1163	0.1185	15.1	1.0	14.0
3	Josh Naylor	0.1073	0.1203	0.1341	18.6	8.2	10.5
4	Mike Tauchman	0.1478	0.1171	0.1143	11.4	1.2	10.1
5	Gavin Sheets	0.0872	0.1010	0.1046	11.7	1.8	9.9
6	Tyler Soderstrom	0.0989	0.1100	0.1202	15.8	6.2	9.7
7	Cam Smith	0.1399	0.1171	0.1116	11.9	2.9	9.1
8	Jung Hoo Lee	0.1069	0.1189	0.1183	9.6	0.5	9.0
9	Chandler Simpson	0.1462	0.1163	0.1202	9.7	1.6	8.1
10	Chase Meidroth	0.1303	0.1105	0.1069	9.7	1.9	7.8

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	ATC	Aggregate	Depth Charts	Marcel	OOPSY	Razzball	Steamer	The BAT	The BAT X	ZiPS
Michael Conforto	0.0741	0.1314 (28.4)	0.1335 (29.5)	0.1388 (29.8)	0.1253 (25.4)	0.1430 (34.8)	0.1255 (27.1)	0.1295 (26.9)	0.1297 (28.7)	0.1262 (26.9)	0.1493 (33.2)
Nick Kurtz	0.1759	0.0908 (41.1)	0.0970 (38.0)	0.0857 (45.8)	0.1187 (27.5)	0.1057 (33.0)	0.1187 (25.8)	0.1187 (28.0)	0.0987 (36.1)	0.0987 (36.2)	0.0913 (44.7)
Geraldo Perdomo	0.1389	0.0853 (37.8)	0.0834 (39.1)	0.0923 (36.1)	0.0953 (30.6)	0.0753 (43.8)	0.0902 (32.0)	0.0937 (32.5)	0.0720 (45.7)	0.0756 (43.3)	0.0921 (38.7)
Riley Greene	0.1695	0.1189 (32.4)	0.1199 (31.7)	0.1229 (32.8)	0.1117 (37.2)	0.1210 (29.9)	0.1154 (32.6)	0.1200 (32.4)	0.1197 (30.4)	0.1194 (30.7)	0.1252 (33.5)
Eugenio Suárez	0.1796	0.1376 (26.9)	0.1326 (30.1)	0.1314 (34.0)	0.1411 (24.6)	0.1311 (30.0)	0.1179 (37.7)	0.1263 (35.1)	0.1405 (23.4)	0.1391 (24.5)	0.1355 (33.5)
Drake Baldwin	0.1794	0.1106 (30.2)	0.1066 (31.9)	0.1122 (31.5)	0.1187 (26.6)	0.1093 (30.0)	0.0990 (33.9)	0.1021 (34.5)	0.1011 (33.4)	0.1009 (33.6)	0.1231 (28.2)
Christian Yelich	0.1599	0.1135 (29.2)	0.1129 (29.5)	0.1150 (31.2)	0.1111 (30.8)	0.1067 (32.5)	0.1109 (28.8)	0.1103 (32.0)	0.1137 (27.6)	0.1158 (26.4)	0.1197 (30.4)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.1425	0.1823	28.0
2	TJ Friedl	0.1147	0.0774	26.3
3	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1392	0.1027	26.0
4	Taylor Ward	0.1154	0.1554	25.7
5	Jo Adell	0.1281	0.1710	23.9
6	Otto Lopez	0.0898	0.1296	23.0
7	Cal Raleigh	0.1437	0.1773	22.9
8	Nathan Lukes	0.0962	0.1484	22.4
9	Trevor Story	0.1116	0.1468	22.3
10	Matt McLain	0.1241	0.0867	22.2

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1472	0.1027	31.5
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.1452	0.1823	26.0
3	Shohei Ohtani	0.1728	0.1403	24.5
4	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1286	0.0843	24.3
5	Gunnar Henderson	0.1404	0.1045	24.2
6	Matt McLain	0.1273	0.0867	24.1
7	Taylor Ward	0.1183	0.1554	23.8
8	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1092	0.1468	23.6
9	Otto Lopez	0.0891	0.1296	23.4
10	Brice Turang	0.0865	0.1229	23.2

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.1368	0.1823	35.5
2	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1535	0.1027	32.6
3	Taylor Ward	0.1155	0.1554	28.8
4	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1381	0.0843	26.9
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.1782	0.1403	25.0
6	Cal Raleigh	0.1455	0.1773	24.9
7	Matt McLain	0.1328	0.0867	24.6
8	Seiya Suzuki	0.1250	0.1582	23.9
9	TJ Friedl	0.1146	0.0774	23.1
10	Josh Smith	0.1065	0.0622	23.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chase Meidroth	0.1187	0.0455	37.5
2	TJ Friedl	0.1271	0.0774	34.7
3	Junior Caminero	0.1151	0.1685	34.2
4	Kyle Schwarber	0.1422	0.1823	28.4
5	Jo Adell	0.1207	0.1710	28.3
6	Tyler Soderstrom	0.1030	0.1490	28.1
7	Ramón Laureano	0.0992	0.1557	27.1
8	Chandler Simpson	0.1187	0.0590	26.8
9	Taylor Ward	0.1146	0.1554	26.3
10	Seiya Suzuki	0.1207	0.1582	23.8

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.2058	0.1403	49.6
2	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1617	0.1027	42.7
3	Marcell Ozuna	0.1729	0.1149	36.0
4	Otto Lopez	0.0701	0.1296	33.7
5	Aaron Judge	0.2138	0.1679	33.0
6	Gunnar Henderson	0.1524	0.1045	33.0
7	Mike Trout	0.1691	0.1151	31.6
8	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1750	0.1019	31.2
9	Matt Olson	0.1713	0.1312	31.0
10	Brice Turang	0.0744	0.1229	30.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.1297	0.1823	35.0
2	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1413	0.1027	29.6
3	Cal Raleigh	0.1318	0.1773	29.1
4	Josh Smith	0.1043	0.0622	26.1
5	Matt McLain	0.1269	0.0867	25.7
6	Trevor Story	0.1033	0.1468	25.6
7	Taylor Ward	0.1127	0.1554	25.4
8	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1035	0.1468	25.3
9	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1267	0.0843	25.0
10	Jo Adell	0.1264	0.1710	23.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.1277	0.1823	39.6
2	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1495	0.1027	32.3
3	Taylor Ward	0.1094	0.1554	30.5
4	Cal Raleigh	0.1391	0.1773	27.0
5	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1314	0.0843	25.1
6	Seiya Suzuki	0.1211	0.1582	24.2
7	Trevor Story	0.1104	0.1468	23.8
8	Jo Adell	0.1311	0.1710	22.9
9	Marcell Ozuna	0.1534	0.1149	22.8
10	Bo Bichette	0.1135	0.1497	22.8

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.0961	0.1468	30.6
2	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1407	0.1027	28.6
3	Jo Adell	0.1191	0.1710	27.8
4	Mike Trout	0.1606	0.1151	27.2
5	Gunnar Henderson	0.1395	0.1045	25.0
6	Carlos Correa	0.1284	0.0890	25.0
7	Nathan Lukes	0.0907	0.1484	23.8
8	Otto Lopez	0.0864	0.1296	23.7
9	Shohei Ohtani	0.1692	0.1403	23.5
10	Matt McLain	0.1236	0.0867	23.3

The BAT X

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1412	0.1027	28.8
2	Brice Turang	0.0788	0.1229	27.0
3	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.1024	0.1468	26.7
4	Matt McLain	0.1277	0.0867	25.5
5	Kyle Schwarber	0.1440	0.1823	25.5
6	Mike Trout	0.1566	0.1151	24.8
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1568	0.1235	24.7
8	Brandon Nimmo	0.1007	0.1411	24.3
9	Gunnar Henderson	0.1382	0.1045	24.0
10	Shohei Ohtani	0.1699	0.1403	23.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.2038	0.1403	41.2
2	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1568	0.1027	32.6
3	Kyle Schwarber	0.1471	0.1823	30.5
4	Cam Smith	0.1678	0.1034	28.4
5	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1433	0.0843	27.9
6	TJ Friedl	0.1247	0.0774	27.7
7	Taylor Ward	0.1208	0.1554	27.4
8	Matt McLain	0.1399	0.0867	26.8
9	Brent Rooker	0.1712	0.1273	25.9
10	Otto Lopez	0.0952	0.1296	24.5

Most Unique Misses for RBI Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andy Pages	0.1222	0.1319	0.1378	9.1	2.9	6.1
2	Michael Harris II	0.1234	0.1322	0.1342	6.2	0.5	5.7
3	TJ Friedl	0.1147	0.1066	0.0774	26.3	20.8	5.5
4	Jacob Wilson	0.0929	0.1004	0.1205	13.8	9.9	4.0
5	Edgar Quero	0.1160	0.1063	0.0893	11.2	7.3	3.9
6	Jo Adell	0.1281	0.1344	0.1710	23.9	20.3	3.6
7	Kerry Carpenter	0.1469	0.1392	0.1336	6.7	3.1	3.6
8	Jose Altuve	0.1041	0.1094	0.1177	8.2	4.6	3.5
9	Alec Bohm	0.1326	0.1256	0.1171	8.4	4.9	3.5
10	Anthony Volpe	0.0978	0.1034	0.1208	13.1	9.6	3.5

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.1368	0.1452	0.1823	35.5	26.0	9.5
2	Nick Kurtz	0.0857	0.0970	0.1759	45.8	38.0	7.8
3	Cam Smith	0.1353	0.1200	0.1034	14.0	8.7	5.3
4	Taylor Ward	0.1155	0.1183	0.1554	28.8	23.8	5.0
5	Yandy Díaz	0.1091	0.1119	0.1275	14.3	9.4	4.9
6	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.1262	0.1136	0.1073	9.0	4.4	4.6
7	Jake Mangum	0.1092	0.0901	0.0935	5.3	0.9	4.3
8	Victor Scott II	0.0960	0.0823	0.0799	5.8	1.7	4.2
9	Nick Allen	0.1020	0.0874	0.0529	19.0	14.8	4.2
10	Eugenio Suárez	0.1314	0.1326	0.1796	34.0	30.1	3.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chandler Simpson	0.1187	0.0757	0.0590	26.8	7.9	18.9
2	Chase Meidroth	0.1187	0.0813	0.0455	37.5	18.7	18.8
3	Junior Caminero	0.1151	0.1408	0.1685	34.2	17.3	16.9
4	Andy Pages	0.1065	0.1319	0.1378	18.9	2.9	16.0
5	Tyler Soderstrom	0.1030	0.1270	0.1490	28.1	13.0	15.1
6	TJ Friedl	0.1271	0.1066	0.0774	34.7	20.8	13.9
7	Willy Adames	0.1452	0.1263	0.1268	13.3	0.5	12.8
8	Michael Harris II	0.1131	0.1322	0.1342	12.9	0.5	12.4
9	Kyle Manzardo	0.1053	0.1264	0.1318	13.6	2.3	11.3
10	Xavier Edwards	0.0902	0.0730	0.0695	13.4	2.9	10.5

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Shohei Ohtani	0.2058	0.1728	0.1403	49.6	24.5	25.1
2	Aaron Judge	0.2138	0.1846	0.1679	33.0	12.1	20.9
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1750	0.1336	0.1019	31.2	13.6	17.7
4	Matt Olson	0.1713	0.1524	0.1312	31.0	16.2	14.8
5	Marcell Ozuna	0.1729	0.1524	0.1149	36.0	22.9	13.1
6	Austin Riley	0.1766	0.1495	0.1208	26.2	13.4	12.8
7	Julio Rodríguez	0.1492	0.1344	0.1338	12.9	1.3	11.6
8	Michael Harris II	0.1502	0.1322	0.1342	12.1	0.5	11.6
9	Sal Frelick	0.0671	0.0877	0.1061	21.5	10.2	11.3
10	Juan Soto	0.1620	0.1435	0.1469	12.8	1.5	11.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.1297	0.1452	0.1823	35.0	26.0	9.0
2	Eugenio Suárez	0.1179	0.1326	0.1796	37.7	30.1	7.6
3	Nolan Schanuel	0.1042	0.0939	0.0940	8.2	0.6	7.6
4	Cal Raleigh	0.1318	0.1454	0.1773	29.1	21.7	7.4
5	Chandler Simpson	0.0871	0.0757	0.0590	14.3	7.9	6.4
6	Ian Happ	0.1044	0.1169	0.1192	6.9	0.7	6.2
7	Steven Kwan	0.0920	0.0867	0.0808	10.7	4.9	5.8
8	Nick Allen	0.0964	0.0874	0.0529	19.9	14.8	5.1
9	Agustín Ramírez	0.0988	0.1105	0.1145	6.7	1.7	5.0
10	Victor Scott II	0.0899	0.0823	0.0799	6.6	1.7	5.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.1277	0.1452	0.1823	39.6	26.0	13.5
2	Yandy Díaz	0.1022	0.1119	0.1275	16.5	9.4	7.2
3	Taylor Ward	0.1094	0.1183	0.1554	30.5	23.8	6.7
4	Ian Happ	0.1084	0.1169	0.1192	7.2	0.7	6.5
5	Jung Hoo Lee	0.1185	0.1069	0.0891	18.1	11.7	6.4
6	Jarren Duran	0.1042	0.1120	0.1207	11.5	5.2	6.3
7	Victor Scott II	0.0968	0.0823	0.0799	7.8	1.7	6.1
8	Cal Raleigh	0.1391	0.1454	0.1773	27.0	21.7	5.3
9	Austin Wells	0.1113	0.1215	0.1585	21.1	16.0	5.1
10	Chandler Simpson	0.0882	0.0757	0.0590	12.9	7.9	5.0

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis Arraez	0.1065	0.0920	0.0904	13.2	1.9	11.3
2	Ketel Marte	0.1545	0.1397	0.1295	15.8	6.3	9.4
3	Bryan Reynolds	0.1293	0.1199	0.1116	13.8	6.2	7.6
4	Jo Adell	0.1191	0.1344	0.1710	27.8	20.3	7.5
5	Rafael Devers	0.1577	0.1497	0.1495	8.4	1.0	7.4
6	Trent Grisham	0.0988	0.1134	0.1274	14.6	7.4	7.2
7	Kyle Tucker	0.1527	0.1431	0.1223	20.2	13.1	7.1
8	Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.0961	0.1092	0.1468	30.6	23.6	7.0
9	Geraldo Perdomo	0.0720	0.0834	0.1389	45.7	39.1	6.7
10	Steven Kwan	0.0940	0.0867	0.0808	11.5	4.9	6.6

The BAT X

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cody Bellinger	0.1164	0.1310	0.1494	19.6	11.3	8.3
2	Ketel Marte	0.1508	0.1397	0.1295	13.6	6.3	7.2
3	William Contreras	0.1417	0.1330	0.1153	19.5	12.4	7.1
4	Matt Chapman	0.1372	0.1271	0.1140	14.1	7.6	6.5
5	Anthony Volpe	0.0909	0.1034	0.1208	16.0	9.6	6.3
6	Rafael Devers	0.1564	0.1497	0.1495	7.3	1.0	6.3
7	Michael Harris II	0.1205	0.1322	0.1342	6.8	0.5	6.3
8	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.1182	0.1312	0.1507	15.6	9.7	5.8
9	Nolan Schanuel	0.0797	0.0939	0.0940	6.3	0.6	5.6
10	Adolis García	0.1235	0.1356	0.1371	5.7	0.2	5.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cam Smith	0.1678	0.1200	0.1034	28.4	8.7	19.6
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.2038	0.1728	0.1403	41.2	24.5	16.7
3	Brent Rooker	0.1712	0.1493	0.1273	25.9	16.2	9.7
4	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.1360	0.1136	0.1073	12.8	4.4	8.4
5	Gleyber Torres	0.1005	0.1050	0.1178	15.2	7.3	7.9
6	Isaac Paredes	0.1506	0.1248	0.1210	10.0	2.2	7.8
7	Gavin Lux	0.0968	0.1039	0.1054	7.8	0.1	7.6
8	Ben Rice	0.1538	0.1317	0.1226	12.9	5.4	7.5
9	Wyatt Langford	0.1479	0.1269	0.1082	18.8	11.4	7.4
10	TJ Friedl	0.1247	0.1066	0.0774	27.7	20.8	6.9

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	ATC	Aggregate	Depth Charts	Marcel	OOPSY	Razzball	Steamer	The BAT	The BAT X	ZiPS
George Springer	0.3092	0.2422 (37.0)	0.2422 (37.2)	0.2422 (39.3)	0.2455 (35.9)	0.2423 (37.9)	0.2385 (37.8)	0.2453 (37.5)	0.2401 (37.0)	0.2461 (33.5)	0.2408 (40.0)
Brice Turang	0.2877	0.2468 (24.5)	0.2477 (24.0)	0.2552 (21.4)	0.2417 (28.7)	0.2417 (28.8)	0.2493 (21.2)	0.2551 (21.5)	0.2445 (24.5)	0.2432 (25.4)	0.2533 (22.6)
Kyle Stowers	0.2882	0.2159 (31.3)	0.2222 (28.6)	0.2316 (25.9)	0.2226 (28.9)	0.2314 (25.0)	0.2214 (27.7)	0.2276 (27.7)	0.2113 (32.4)	0.2152 (30.7)	0.2330 (25.2)
Dillon Dingler	0.2782	0.2222 (24.4)	0.2228 (24.3)	0.2290 (23.1)	0.2222 (25.1)	0.2212 (25.7)	0.2200 (24.4)	0.2270 (24.0)	0.2201 (24.4)	0.2220 (23.6)	0.2269 (24.0)
Jonathan Aranda	0.3162	0.2513 (25.8)	0.2494 (26.7)	0.2579 (24.6)	0.2332 (34.0)	0.2490 (27.4)	0.2488 (25.8)	0.2550 (25.9)	0.2411 (29.2)	0.2415 (29.0)	0.2591 (24.1)
Geraldo Perdomo	0.2898	0.2422 (31.5)	0.2434 (30.9)	0.2520 (27.2)	0.2429 (32.0)	0.2437 (31.5)	0.2496 (24.4)	0.2544 (25.5)	0.2338 (36.0)	0.2318 (37.4)	0.2481 (29.9)
Oneil Cruz	0.1996	0.2520 (30.6)	0.2535 (31.2)	0.2558 (30.6)	0.2505 (29.1)	0.2635 (36.0)	0.2509 (31.3)	0.2583 (31.9)	0.2461 (28.6)	0.2513 (31.4)	0.2524 (28.8)
Tyler Soderstrom	0.2763	0.2299 (26.6)	0.2290 (27.3)	0.2294 (29.3)	0.2237 (31.3)	0.2347 (24.5)	0.2241 (28.7)	0.2350 (25.8)	0.2265 (27.4)	0.2288 (25.9)	0.2241 (32.5)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Kurtz	0.2226	0.2905	31.4
2	Aaron Judge	0.2830	0.3309	29.9
3	Hunter Goodman	0.2333	0.2778	23.5
4	Shea Langeliers	0.2279	0.2765	23.5
5	Matt McLain	0.2556	0.2196	23.0
6	Michael Harris II	0.2800	0.2488	22.5
7	Nathaniel Lowe	0.2608	0.2278	22.4
8	Ramón Laureano	0.2331	0.2812	21.6
9	Joc Pederson	0.2479	0.1811	21.6
10	Pete Alonso	0.2386	0.2724	21.3

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Judge	0.2819	0.3309	30.8
2	Nick Kurtz	0.2277	0.2905	29.0
3	Michael Harris II	0.2835	0.2488	24.5
4	Nathaniel Lowe	0.2619	0.2278	22.9
5	Daylen Lile	0.2311	0.2991	22.6
6	Shea Langeliers	0.2309	0.2765	22.0
7	Matt McLain	0.2541	0.2196	21.9
8	Ramón Laureano	0.2333	0.2812	21.6
9	Joc Pederson	0.2480	0.1811	21.5
10	Michael Conforto	0.2384	0.1986	21.1

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Judge	0.2785	0.3309	35.6
2	Michael Harris II	0.2925	0.2488	28.0
3	Nathaniel Lowe	0.2674	0.2278	24.1
4	Trevor Story	0.2281	0.2631	22.9
5	Pete Alonso	0.2409	0.2724	22.4
6	Jeremy Peña	0.2632	0.3043	22.3
7	Hunter Goodman	0.2394	0.2778	22.2
8	Ramón Laureano	0.2360	0.2812	22.1
9	Shea Langeliers	0.2353	0.2765	21.6
10	Joc Pederson	0.2512	0.1811	21.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Goodman	0.2148	0.2778	35.1
2	Jacob Wilson	0.2446	0.3107	33.3
3	Matt McLain	0.2715	0.2196	31.4
4	Shea Langeliers	0.2208	0.2765	27.8
5	Nathaniel Lowe	0.2695	0.2278	26.9
6	Marcell Ozuna	0.2717	0.2320	24.9
7	Maikel Garcia	0.2471	0.2857	24.1
8	Joc Pederson	0.2570	0.1811	24.0
9	Jake Meyers	0.2280	0.2915	23.3
10	Jose Iglesias	0.2939	0.2288	23.2

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nathaniel Lowe	0.2766	0.2278	31.1
2	Michael Harris II	0.2889	0.2488	27.2
3	Nick Kurtz	0.2356	0.2905	25.7
4	Daylen Lile	0.2274	0.2991	24.4
5	Michael Conforto	0.2443	0.1986	23.3
6	Sal Frelick	0.2473	0.2879	22.8
7	Marcell Ozuna	0.2681	0.2320	22.7
8	Joc Pederson	0.2522	0.1811	22.4
9	Jake Mangum	0.2418	0.2963	22.3
10	Trevor Story	0.2273	0.2631	22.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Judge	0.2675	0.3309	38.8
2	Shea Langeliers	0.2186	0.2765	27.0
3	Michael Harris II	0.2823	0.2488	25.5
4	Ramón Laureano	0.2249	0.2812	24.4
5	Pete Alonso	0.2319	0.2724	24.3
6	Trevor Story	0.2199	0.2631	24.2
7	Matt McLain	0.2532	0.2196	23.0
8	Jorge Polanco	0.2159	0.2654	22.7
9	Michael Conforto	0.2382	0.1986	22.3
10	Joc Pederson	0.2466	0.1811	21.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Judge	0.2758	0.3309	37.4
2	Michael Harris II	0.2895	0.2488	26.0
3	Trevor Story	0.2246	0.2631	25.2
4	Ramón Laureano	0.2318	0.2812	24.2
5	Pete Alonso	0.2389	0.2724	23.8
6	Shea Langeliers	0.2313	0.2765	23.7
7	Daylen Lile	0.2323	0.2991	23.4
8	Matt McLain	0.2599	0.2196	23.2
9	Jorge Polanco	0.2220	0.2654	22.8
10	Hunter Goodman	0.2390	0.2778	22.5

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Kurtz	0.2120	0.2905	35.5
2	Aaron Judge	0.2858	0.3309	26.6
3	Matt McLain	0.2534	0.2196	23.0
4	Nathaniel Lowe	0.2594	0.2278	22.9
5	Michael Conforto	0.2384	0.1986	22.3
6	Hunter Goodman	0.2343	0.2778	21.7
7	Joc Pederson	0.2462	0.1811	21.7
8	Ramón Laureano	0.2309	0.2812	21.6
9	Romy Gonzalez	0.2370	0.3048	21.1
10	Michael Harris II	0.2756	0.2488	21.0

The BAT X

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Kurtz	0.2121	0.2905	35.4
2	Aaron Judge	0.2808	0.3309	30.0
3	Matt McLain	0.2554	0.2196	24.1
4	Taylor Ward	0.2556	0.2280	22.3
5	Shea Langeliers	0.2299	0.2765	21.3
6	Sal Frelick	0.2462	0.2879	21.2
7	Ramón Laureano	0.2325	0.2812	20.9
8	Jake Mangum	0.2420	0.2963	20.7
9	Bo Bichette	0.2725	0.3110	20.5
10	Michael Conforto	0.2338	0.1986	20.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Judge	0.2805	0.3309	34.2
2	Michael Harris II	0.2937	0.2488	28.8
3	Nathaniel Lowe	0.2743	0.2278	28.4
4	Jeremy Peña	0.2618	0.3043	23.0
5	Daylen Lile	0.2337	0.2991	22.9
6	Pete Alonso	0.2419	0.2724	21.6
7	Colton Cowser	0.2541	0.1957	21.0
8	Joc Pederson	0.2493	0.1811	20.9
9	Andrés Giménez	0.2661	0.2097	20.8
10	Shea Langeliers	0.2378	0.2765	20.2

Most Unique Misses for Batting Average

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mickey Moniak	0.2281	0.2405	0.2696	17.4	11.8	5.6
2	Tyler Freeman	0.2563	0.2687	0.2812	9.0	3.8	5.2
3	Miguel Vargas	0.2208	0.2296	0.2341	5.4	0.6	4.8
4	Ben Rice	0.2197	0.2258	0.2548	16.6	13.5	3.1
5	Nolan Jones	0.2425	0.2353	0.2113	14.1	11.1	3.0
6	Christian Yelich	0.2683	0.2639	0.2635	5.5	2.5	3.0
7	Kyle Tucker	0.2767	0.2723	0.2660	8.6	5.8	2.8
8	Kyle Stowers	0.2159	0.2222	0.2882	31.3	28.6	2.7
9	Hunter Goodman	0.2333	0.2382	0.2778	23.5	20.9	2.7
10	Luis Urías	0.2133	0.2211	0.2300	4.3	1.8	2.5

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Judge	0.2785	0.2819	0.3309	35.6	30.8	4.8
2	Edgar Quero	0.2353	0.2422	0.2685	13.4	9.2	4.2
3	Cam Smith	0.2261	0.2336	0.2358	4.8	0.7	4.1
4	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.2563	0.2463	0.2491	4.2	0.4	3.8
5	Michael Harris II	0.2925	0.2835	0.2488	28.0	24.5	3.5
6	Kyle Manzardo	0.2459	0.2364	0.2340	6.3	3.1	3.2
7	Trevor Story	0.2281	0.2294	0.2631	22.9	19.7	3.1
8	Kyle Schwarber	0.2240	0.2248	0.2401	11.6	8.5	3.1
9	Otto Lopez	0.2783	0.2695	0.2463	19.0	15.8	3.1
10	Carlos Correa	0.2673	0.2687	0.2756	4.8	2.0	2.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Vargas	0.1968	0.2296	0.2341	19.9	0.6	19.3
2	Jacob Wilson	0.2446	0.2785	0.3107	33.3	15.0	18.3
3	Tyler Freeman	0.2289	0.2687	0.2812	21.3	3.8	17.5
4	Jose Altuve	0.2924	0.2660	0.2653	19.3	2.8	16.6
5	Hunter Goodman	0.2148	0.2382	0.2778	35.1	20.9	14.2
6	Jordan Beck	0.2198	0.2401	0.2579	21.0	8.4	12.6
7	Jackson Holliday	0.2203	0.2356	0.2423	12.7	2.1	10.6
8	Jose Iglesias	0.2939	0.2629	0.2288	23.2	12.9	10.3
9	Agustín Ramírez	0.2537	0.2358	0.2309	14.8	4.9	9.8
10	Seiya Suzuki	0.2748	0.2589	0.2452	20.9	11.2	9.6

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Freeman	0.2493	0.2687	0.2812	12.7	3.8	8.8
2	Nathaniel Lowe	0.2766	0.2619	0.2278	31.1	22.9	8.2
3	Juan Soto	0.2891	0.2766	0.2634	20.0	11.9	8.0
4	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.3064	0.2948	0.2953	9.1	2.0	7.1
5	Caleb Durbin	0.2231	0.2352	0.2562	15.6	8.8	6.8
6	Julio Rodríguez	0.2879	0.2772	0.2669	16.5	9.8	6.7
7	Sal Frelick	0.2473	0.2569	0.2879	22.8	16.3	6.5
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3075	0.2969	0.2920	12.1	5.7	6.4
9	Cody Bellinger	0.2448	0.2525	0.2721	16.5	10.6	5.9
10	Eric Wagaman	0.2330	0.2425	0.2500	7.6	2.0	5.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brent Rooker	0.2354	0.2520	0.2620	14.2	4.5	9.7
2	Aaron Judge	0.2675	0.2819	0.3309	38.8	30.8	7.9
3	Carlos Santana	0.2320	0.2233	0.2193	9.0	3.6	5.4
4	Jeff McNeil	0.2663	0.2579	0.2431	13.6	8.4	5.1
5	Heliot Ramos	0.2402	0.2502	0.2565	7.0	1.9	5.1
6	Shea Langeliers	0.2186	0.2309	0.2765	27.0	22.0	5.0
7	Brooks Lee	0.2519	0.2460	0.2361	11.6	7.0	4.5
8	Edgar Quero	0.2284	0.2422	0.2685	13.7	9.2	4.5
9	Trevor Story	0.2199	0.2294	0.2631	24.2	19.7	4.4
10	Jung Hoo Lee	0.2871	0.2833	0.2661	16.8	12.8	4.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cam Smith	0.2108	0.2336	0.2358	12.4	0.7	11.7
2	Aaron Judge	0.2758	0.2819	0.3309	37.4	30.8	6.6
3	Trevor Story	0.2246	0.2294	0.2631	25.2	19.7	5.4
4	Jung Hoo Lee	0.2955	0.2833	0.2661	18.1	12.8	5.3
5	Jeff McNeil	0.2722	0.2579	0.2431	13.4	8.4	5.0
6	Carlos Santana	0.2373	0.2233	0.2193	8.5	3.6	4.9
7	Brent Rooker	0.2490	0.2520	0.2620	9.1	4.5	4.6
8	Edgar Quero	0.2348	0.2422	0.2685	13.6	9.2	4.4
9	J.T. Realmuto	0.2473	0.2512	0.2570	5.4	1.2	4.2
10	Byron Buxton	0.2389	0.2429	0.2643	13.8	9.7	4.1

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nick Kurtz	0.2120	0.2277	0.2905	35.5	29.0	6.5
2	Luis Arraez	0.3121	0.3054	0.2919	17.6	11.5	6.2
3	Geraldo Perdomo	0.2338	0.2434	0.2898	36.0	30.9	5.2
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.2894	0.2854	0.2815	10.1	5.4	4.7
5	Ernie Clement	0.2506	0.2611	0.2771	12.1	7.3	4.7
6	Bryan Reynolds	0.2672	0.2630	0.2453	18.2	13.9	4.3
7	Trent Grisham	0.1987	0.2085	0.2348	17.5	13.2	4.3
8	Yandy Díaz	0.2747	0.2836	0.3002	12.7	8.5	4.2
9	Javier Sanoja	0.2738	0.2642	0.2428	12.6	8.5	4.1
10	Jacob Wilson	0.2683	0.2785	0.3107	19.0	15.0	4.1

The BAT X

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Geraldo Perdomo	0.2318	0.2434	0.2898	37.4	30.9	6.6
2	Nick Kurtz	0.2121	0.2277	0.2905	35.4	29.0	6.5
3	TJ Friedl	0.2339	0.2443	0.2608	14.4	8.9	5.5
4	Cal Raleigh	0.2131	0.2226	0.2466	19.5	14.5	5.0
5	Sal Frelick	0.2462	0.2569	0.2879	21.2	16.3	4.9
6	Taylor Ward	0.2556	0.2508	0.2280	22.3	17.5	4.8
7	Angel Martínez	0.2450	0.2382	0.2242	12.9	8.5	4.5
8	Alejandro Kirk	0.2523	0.2635	0.2816	11.8	7.4	4.5
9	Jarren Duran	0.2697	0.2657	0.2565	13.4	8.9	4.5
10	Javier Sanoja	0.2740	0.2642	0.2428	12.7	8.5	4.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.2204	0.2248	0.2401	14.2	8.5	5.7
2	Nathaniel Lowe	0.2743	0.2619	0.2278	28.4	22.9	5.4
3	Tyler Soderstrom	0.2241	0.2290	0.2763	32.5	27.3	5.2
4	Josh Lowe	0.2659	0.2506	0.2197	20.1	15.0	5.2
5	Ceddanne Rafaela	0.2585	0.2463	0.2491	5.6	0.4	5.1
6	Kyle Manzardo	0.2494	0.2364	0.2340	8.2	3.1	5.1
7	José Ramírez	0.2696	0.2729	0.2833	9.2	4.6	4.6
8	Alex Bregman	0.2550	0.2606	0.2725	8.6	4.2	4.5
9	Iván Herrera	0.2478	0.2542	0.2835	16.1	11.7	4.5
10	Victor Caratini	0.2332	0.2412	0.2587	9.8	5.4	4.4

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	ATC	Aggregate	Depth Charts	Marcel	OOPSY	Razzball	Steamer	The BAT	ZiPS
Tanner Houck	203	722 (519.1)	723 (519.8)	772 (569.0)	650 (447.0)	756 (553.0)	705 (501.6)	778 (574.6)	726 (522.8)	651 (448.0)
Cole Ragans	257	731 (473.6)	729 (471.8)	748 (491.0)	647 (390.0)	749 (492.0)	739 (482.3)	763 (506.2)	735 (477.9)	656 (399.0)
Pablo López	312	763 (450.6)	763 (451.2)	793 (481.0)	716 (404.0)	793 (481.0)	735 (423.3)	798 (485.6)	770 (457.7)	721 (409.0)
Corbin Burnes	265	756 (490.8)	762 (496.8)	775 (510.0)	714 (449.0)	774 (509.0)	741 (476.3)	793 (527.7)	768 (503.2)	739 (474.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Quinn Priester	171	653	481.7
2	Brad Lord	91	546	454.9
3	Cade Horton	24	476	452.3
4	Adrian Houser	77	518	440.8
5	Bryce Elder	250	679	428.7
6	Noah Cameron	142	556	413.6
7	Chad Patrick	99	503	404.0
8	Michael King	706	308	398.0
9	Martín Pérez	625	228	397.1
10	Eric Lauer	33	426	393.4

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Quinn Priester	244	653	409.3
2	Michael King	714	308	406.1
3	Adrian Houser	122	518	395.7
4	Blake Snell	646	254	391.9
5	Cade Horton	84	476	391.7
6	Brad Lord	163	546	383.3
7	Bryce Elder	303	679	376.2
8	Zach Eflin	682	309	373.4
9	Martín Pérez	599	228	371.5
10	Sean Manaea	631	263	367.6

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Quinn Priester	129	653	524.0
2	Adrian Houser	74	518	444.0
3	Michael King	748	308	440.0
4	Blake Snell	666	254	412.0
5	Sean Manaea	671	263	408.0
6	Zach Eflin	717	309	408.0
7	Tobias Myers	603	220	383.0
8	Bryce Elder	298	679	381.0
9	Cade Horton	100	476	376.0
10	Bowden Francis	662	288	374.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tomoyuki Sugano	100	675	575.0
2	Shane Smith	100	616	516.0
3	Noah Cameron	100	556	456.0
4	Brad Lord	100	546	446.0
5	Clay Holmes	263	708	445.0
6	Robbie Ray	314	755	441.0
7	Sandy Alcantara	321	745	424.0
8	Will Warren	291	711	420.0
9	Jeffrey Springs	302	713	411.0
10	Chad Patrick	100	503	403.0

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tomoyuki Sugano	100	675	575.0
2	Logan Allen	147	676	529.0
3	Brad Lord	20	546	526.1
4	Quinn Priester	128	653	525.0
5	Adrian Houser	18	518	500.3
6	Bryce Elder	199	679	480.0
7	Will Warren	235	711	476.0
8	Noah Cameron	89	556	467.0
9	Cade Horton	16	476	459.7
10	Michael King	748	308	440.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brad Lord	56	546	489.9
2	Bryce Elder	198	679	480.5
3	Adrian Houser	63	518	454.6
4	Bowden Francis	721	288	433.2
5	Quinn Priester	222	653	431.4
6	Noah Cameron	136	556	420.3
7	Chad Patrick	102	503	400.8
8	Blake Snell	644	254	390.2
9	Janson Junk	65	447	382.2
10	Jackson Jobe	599	218	381.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Quinn Priester	177	653	476.5
2	Cade Horton	4	476	471.7
3	Blake Snell	712	254	457.5
4	Michael King	753	308	444.7
5	Adrian Houser	73	518	444.7
6	Sean Manaea	689	263	425.6
7	Eric Lauer	4	426	421.7
8	Zach Eflin	730	309	421.3
9	Tobias Myers	621	220	400.9
10	Brandon Woodruff	647	257	390.4

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Quinn Priester	100	653	553.0
2	Matthew Liberatore	100	648	548.0
3	Shane Smith	100	616	516.0
4	Dustin May	100	584	484.0
5	Noah Cameron	100	556	456.0
6	Brad Lord	100	546	446.0
7	Slade Cecconi	100	545	445.0
8	Adrian Houser	76	518	441.5
9	Taijuan Walker	100	538	438.0
10	Bryce Elder	248	679	430.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jacob deGrom	201	669	468.0
2	Matthew Boyd	250	718	468.0
3	Dustin May	152	584	432.0
4	Jeffrey Springs	320	713	393.0
5	Dietrich Enns	589	200	389.0
6	Reid Detmers	641	266	375.0
7	Michael King	681	308	373.0
8	Tobias Myers	569	220	349.0
9	Aaron Nola	753	404	349.0
10	Chris Paddack	325	670	345.0

Most Unique Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Phillips	108	235	313	204.7	77.8	127.0
2	Trevor Rogers	140	257	423	282.6	165.9	116.7
3	Dietrich Enns	55	167	200	145.4	33.3	112.0
4	Ben Brown	218	325	472	254.4	147.0	107.4
5	Hurston Waldrep	72	171	229	157.3	57.9	99.4
6	Colton Gordon	75	174	379	304.5	205.5	99.0
7	Ian Seymour	103	200	242	139.1	41.6	97.5
8	Ryan Bergert	42	137	323	280.8	186.1	94.8
9	Hunter Dobbins	30	121	256	226.1	135.5	90.6
10	Chad Patrick	99	188	503	404.0	314.8	89.2

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trevor Rogers	101	257	423	322.0	165.9	156.1
2	Lance McCullers Jr.	459	321	274	185.0	46.8	138.2
3	Michael Soroka	602	475	379	223.0	95.5	127.5
4	Colin Rea	344	471	662	318.0	191.4	126.6
5	Brandon Woodruff	630	510	257	373.0	252.6	120.4
6	Quinn Priester	129	244	653	524.0	409.3	114.7
7	Dietrich Enns	52	167	200	148.0	33.3	114.7
8	Cade Povich	271	383	488	217.0	105.4	111.6
9	Hurston Waldrep	72	171	229	157.0	57.9	99.1
10	Trevor Williams	594	497	373	221.0	123.7	97.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tomoyuki Sugano	100	581	675	575.0	94.3	480.7
2	Sandy Alcantara	321	720	745	424.0	25.2	398.8
3	Clay Holmes	263	606	708	445.0	102.1	342.9
4	Chase Dollander	100	430	441	341.0	11.4	329.6
5	Germán Márquez	272	603	591	319.0	12.3	306.7
6	Sean Burke	260	559	596	336.0	37.2	298.8
7	Carlos Carrasco	511	213	212	299.0	0.7	298.3
8	Robbie Ray	314	604	755	441.0	150.5	290.5
9	Shane Smith	100	358	616	516.0	258.0	258.0
10	Kris Bubic	223	471	476	253.0	5.1	247.9

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tomoyuki Sugano	100	581	675	575.0	94.3	480.7
2	Logan Allen	147	394	676	529.0	281.7	247.3
3	Will Warren	235	416	711	476.0	295.5	180.5
4	Michael McGreevy	173	351	400	227.0	49.2	177.8
5	Sean Newcomb	7	151	391	383.8	239.9	143.9
6	Brad Lord	20	163	546	526.1	383.3	142.8
7	Yu Darvish	684	542	296	388.0	246.4	141.6
8	Ben Brown	187	325	472	285.0	147.0	138.0
9	Lance McCullers Jr.	100	321	274	174.0	46.8	127.2
10	Brad Keller	83	204	276	193.0	71.6	121.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lake Bachar	100	257	296	196.0	38.8	157.2
2	Angel Chivilli	100	233	275	175.0	41.9	133.1
3	Tyler Phillips	112	235	313	201.1	77.8	123.3
4	Chase Dollander	313	430	441	128.3	11.4	116.9
5	Bowden Francis	721	609	288	433.2	321.3	111.9
6	Brad Lord	56	163	546	489.9	383.3	106.6
7	Carlos Vargas	100	205	331	231.0	126.4	104.6
8	Bryce Elder	198	303	679	480.5	376.2	104.3
9	Jackson Jobe	599	496	218	381.3	278.2	103.1
10	Jason Alexander	24	127	336	312.1	209.4	102.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trevor Rogers	101	257	423	322.3	165.9	156.5
2	Lance McCullers Jr.	465	321	274	191.2	46.8	144.5
3	Brandon Woodruff	647	510	257	390.4	252.6	137.8
4	Colin Rea	340	471	662	321.5	191.4	130.1
5	Jason Alexander	4	127	336	331.7	209.4	122.3
6	Cade Gibson	4	125	230	225.5	104.8	120.8
7	Kumar Rocker	556	436	287	268.6	149.2	119.4
8	Dietrich Enns	51	167	200	149.0	33.3	115.6
9	Sean Burke	741	559	596	145.3	37.2	108.1
10	Eric Lauer	4	112	426	421.7	314.3	107.4

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matthew Liberatore	100	449	648	548.0	199.4	348.6
2	Chase Dollander	100	430	441	341.0	11.4	329.6
3	Shane Smith	100	358	616	516.0	258.0	258.0
4	Michael McGreevy	100	351	400	300.0	49.2	250.8
5	Taijuan Walker	100	327	538	438.0	211.0	227.0
6	Ben Brown	100	325	472	372.0	147.0	225.0
7	Dustin May	100	294	584	484.0	289.8	194.2
8	Stephen Kolek	100	265	461	361.0	195.8	165.2
9	Ryan Gusto	100	259	453	353.0	194.2	158.8
10	Slade Cecconi	100	257	545	445.0	287.6	157.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dietrich Enns	589	167	200	389.0	33.3	355.7
2	Jacob deGrom	201	436	669	468.0	233.1	234.9
3	Louis Varland	542	310	296	246.0	14.3	231.7
4	Daniel Lynch IV	556	337	289	267.0	47.7	219.3
5	Jeffrey Springs	320	538	713	393.0	175.5	217.5
6	Ian Seymour	482	200	242	240.0	41.6	198.4
7	Hogan Harris	490	258	277	213.0	19.0	194.0
8	Michael McGreevy	643	351	400	243.0	49.2	193.8
9	Reid Detmers	641	448	266	375.0	181.7	193.3
10	Sean Burke	367	559	596	229.0	37.2	191.8

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	ATC	Aggregate	Depth Charts	Marcel	OOPSY	Razzball	Steamer	The BAT	ZiPS
Erick Fedde	0.1332	0.2065 (44.8)	0.2015 (43.2)	0.2031 (44.0)	0.2087 (44.0)	0.1898 (35.4)	0.2009 (42.4)	0.2011 (42.5)	0.2044 (45.2)	0.2062 (46.7)
Ronny Henriquez	0.3234	0.1984 (38.3)	0.2000 (37.1)	0.1934 (39.2)	0.2188 (33.2)	0.2020 (36.7)	0.1967 (38.3)	0.1981 (37.9)	0.2122 (33.3)	0.1927 (39.0)
Bailey Ober	0.1923	0.2536 (37.3)	0.2480 (35.4)	0.2478 (35.1)	0.2526 (34.6)	0.2409 (30.4)	0.2461 (33.7)	0.2456 (33.4)	0.2525 (38.4)	0.2496 (37.0)
Zack Wheeler	0.3333	0.2660 (40.3)	0.2615 (41.4)	0.2591 (43.0)	0.2669 (41.8)	0.2673 (38.5)	0.2610 (42.1)	0.2624 (41.4)	0.2566 (44.1)	0.2556 (44.3)
Spencer Strider	0.2430	0.3294 (45.8)	0.3282 (46.5)	0.3308 (47.7)	0.3183 (37.9)	0.3288 (46.3)	0.3257 (44.7)	0.3257 (44.7)	0.3231 (43.9)	0.3366 (51.5)
Logan Gilbert	0.3234	0.2579 (35.8)	0.2563 (35.3)	0.2541 (36.6)	0.2500 (41.9)	0.2572 (35.3)	0.2563 (35.7)	0.2574 (35.1)	0.2585 (34.0)	0.2507 (37.8)
Logan Webb	0.2617	0.2069 (48.1)	0.2063 (46.5)	0.2087 (44.7)	0.2157 (43.6)	0.2107 (43.5)	0.2061 (47.3)	0.2081 (45.6)	0.1973 (53.9)	0.2087 (43.6)
Cristopher Sánchez	0.2627	0.2077 (45.6)	0.2075 (43.7)	0.2083 (43.3)	0.2156 (42.0)	0.2116 (41.1)	0.2097 (42.5)	0.2107 (41.7)	0.1990 (50.3)	0.2065 (43.7)
Mitchell Parker	0.1421	0.2082 (46.9)	0.2021 (44.2)	0.2025 (44.4)	0.2143 (48.8)	0.1934 (37.3)	0.2025 (44.0)	0.2044 (45.4)	0.2014 (44.0)	0.2025 (45.2)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Pfaadt	0.2426	0.1917	38.0
2	Brendon Little	0.1949	0.3085	33.9
3	Jeffrey Springs	0.2418	0.1935	33.4
4	Andrew Heaney	0.2238	0.1604	33.2
5	Tanner Bibee	0.2571	0.2126	32.8
6	J.T. Ginn	0.1721	0.2526	32.1
7	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2681	0.2254	31.8
8	Jesús Luzardo	0.2459	0.2850	30.7
9	Jacob deGrom	0.3235	0.2765	30.5
10	Matt Svanson	0.1656	0.2906	29.6

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jacob deGrom	0.3303	0.2765	36.6
2	Brandon Pfaadt	0.2351	0.1917	34.1
3	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2658	0.2254	32.0
4	Brendon Little	0.2018	0.3085	31.2
5	Chris Paddack	0.2120	0.1672	30.7
6	Jesús Luzardo	0.2436	0.2850	30.5
7	Matt Svanson	0.1593	0.2906	30.5
8	J.T. Ginn	0.1738	0.2526	30.5
9	Andrew Heaney	0.2156	0.1604	30.1
10	Germán Márquez	0.1897	0.1404	29.7

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jacob deGrom	0.3398	0.2765	42.8
2	Brandon Pfaadt	0.2373	0.1917	35.6
3	Chris Paddack	0.2188	0.1672	35.1
4	Brendon Little	0.1967	0.3085	32.7
5	Germán Márquez	0.1927	0.1404	31.4
6	J.T. Ginn	0.1720	0.2526	31.3
7	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2648	0.2254	31.0
8	Bryan Woo	0.2299	0.2709	29.4
9	Matt Svanson	0.1649	0.2906	29.2
10	Cole Ragans	0.2674	0.3813	29.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tomoyuki Sugano	0.2260	0.1570	43.2
2	Antonio Senzatela	0.1916	0.1181	42.4
3	Clay Holmes	0.2433	0.1822	39.8
4	Andrew Heaney	0.2379	0.1604	38.9
5	Germán Márquez	0.2096	0.1404	37.9
6	Jeffrey Springs	0.2517	0.1935	37.9
7	Mason Miller	0.2950	0.4444	36.1
8	Bryan Woo	0.2274	0.2709	35.4
9	Tarik Skubal	0.2801	0.3222	35.2
10	Jake Irvin	0.2054	0.1576	33.8

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tomoyuki Sugano	0.2260	0.1570	46.7
2	Matt Svanson	0.1444	0.2906	34.2
3	Brandon Pfaadt	0.2338	0.1917	32.4
4	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2666	0.2254	31.9
5	J.T. Ginn	0.1713	0.2526	31.8
6	Andrew Heaney	0.2172	0.1604	30.5
7	Luis Severino	0.2189	0.1759	30.5
8	Germán Márquez	0.1915	0.1404	30.3
9	Jake Irvin	0.1957	0.1576	30.2
10	Clay Holmes	0.2241	0.1822	29.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jacob deGrom	0.3440	0.2765	45.4
2	Jesús Luzardo	0.2389	0.2850	34.7
3	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2695	0.2254	34.3
4	Bryan Woo	0.2261	0.2709	32.5
5	J.T. Ginn	0.1704	0.2526	32.1
6	Chris Paddack	0.2128	0.1672	30.8
7	Brendon Little	0.2041	0.3085	30.7
8	Jake Irvin	0.1962	0.1576	30.6
9	Brandon Pfaadt	0.2310	0.1917	30.4
10	Phil Maton	0.2062	0.3266	29.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jacob deGrom	0.3419	0.2765	43.9
2	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2691	0.2254	33.9
3	Chris Paddack	0.2166	0.1672	33.3
4	J.T. Ginn	0.1685	0.2526	32.8
5	Brandon Pfaadt	0.2332	0.1917	32.1
6	Bryan Woo	0.2268	0.2709	32.0
7	Brendon Little	0.2007	0.3085	31.7
8	Germán Márquez	0.1936	0.1404	31.6
9	Andrew Heaney	0.2178	0.1604	30.9
10	Jesús Luzardo	0.2441	0.2850	30.8

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jesús Luzardo	0.2347	0.2850	37.1
2	Taijuan Walker	0.2260	0.1599	36.3
3	Bradley Blalock	0.2260	0.0982	35.5
4	Bryan Woo	0.2220	0.2709	34.7
5	Michael McGreevy	0.2260	0.1450	32.9
6	Brendon Little	0.1977	0.3085	32.3
7	Jacob deGrom	0.3234	0.2765	32.2
8	Hunter Brown	0.2394	0.2826	30.5
9	Andrew Heaney	0.2153	0.1604	30.1
10	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	0.2487	0.2939	30.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brad Lord	0.1166	0.1978	43.2
2	Jacob deGrom	0.3383	0.2765	42.7
3	Brandon Pfaadt	0.2406	0.1917	39.1
4	Chris Paddack	0.2215	0.1672	37.8
5	Jeffrey Springs	0.2375	0.1935	32.7
6	Brendon Little	0.1969	0.3085	32.3
7	Germán Márquez	0.1912	0.1404	31.2
8	Matt Svanson	0.1591	0.2906	30.3
9	Cole Ragans	0.2622	0.3813	30.1
10	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2619	0.2254	29.7

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ben Brown	0.2812	0.2649	0.2564	11.0	4.5	6.5
2	Jeffrey Springs	0.2418	0.2309	0.1935	33.4	27.4	6.0
3	Drew Pomeranz	0.2260	0.2513	0.2808	11.4	5.8	5.6
4	Tanner Bibee	0.2571	0.2475	0.2126	32.8	27.3	5.5
5	Cade Horton	0.2299	0.2166	0.2038	11.7	6.6	5.2
6	Taj Bradley	0.2589	0.2495	0.2099	28.8	24.5	4.3
7	Tomoyuki Sugano	0.1717	0.1631	0.1570	9.0	4.8	4.2
8	Brandon Pfaadt	0.2426	0.2351	0.1917	38.0	34.1	3.9
9	Grant Anderson	0.2308	0.2396	0.2475	5.4	2.0	3.4
10	Patrick Corbin	0.1751	0.1776	0.1976	15.9	12.6	3.3

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Emmet Sheehan	0.2260	0.2640	0.3058	23.0	11.9	11.1
2	Brad Lord	0.1566	0.1679	0.1978	22.1	15.8	6.3
3	Jacob deGrom	0.3398	0.3303	0.2765	42.8	36.6	6.2
4	Dustin May	0.2547	0.2440	0.2106	26.2	20.1	6.1
5	José Soriano	0.2294	0.2214	0.2099	14.7	9.0	5.7
6	Sean Burke	0.2120	0.2208	0.2232	6.2	0.8	5.4
7	Drew Pomeranz	0.2260	0.2513	0.2808	11.0	5.8	5.2
8	Walker Buehler	0.2035	0.1942	0.1628	23.4	18.3	5.1
9	Justin Verlander	0.1897	0.1971	0.2069	10.9	5.8	5.1
10	Chris Paddack	0.2188	0.2120	0.1672	35.1	30.7	4.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tomoyuki Sugano	0.2260	0.1631	0.1570	43.2	4.8	38.5
2	Antonio Senzatela	0.1916	0.1458	0.1181	42.4	17.7	24.7
3	Michael McGreevy	0.2218	0.1685	0.1450	28.8	9.8	18.9
4	Mason Miller	0.2950	0.3660	0.4444	36.1	18.1	18.0
5	Jeremiah Estrada	0.2798	0.3257	0.3553	24.4	8.7	15.8
6	Janson Junk	0.2194	0.1641	0.1723	18.9	3.2	15.7
7	Clay Holmes	0.2433	0.2155	0.1822	39.8	24.3	15.5
8	Edwin Díaz	0.3066	0.3515	0.3798	20.2	7.0	13.1
9	Logan Evans	0.2260	0.1826	0.1686	18.4	5.3	13.1
10	Tarik Skubal	0.2801	0.2916	0.3222	35.2	22.1	13.0

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tomoyuki Sugano	0.2260	0.1631	0.1570	46.7	4.8	41.9
2	Sean Burke	0.2430	0.2208	0.2232	11.9	0.8	11.1
3	Luis Severino	0.2189	0.2036	0.1759	30.5	20.2	10.2
4	Chase Dollander	0.2340	0.2125	0.1859	21.3	12.2	9.1
5	Landen Roupp	0.2465	0.2276	0.2143	15.4	6.8	8.6
6	Drew Rasmussen	0.2513	0.2366	0.2171	20.1	12.0	8.1
7	Cole Henry	0.1677	0.1999	0.2158	11.6	3.6	8.0
8	Sonny Gray	0.2456	0.2548	0.2669	15.9	8.3	7.6
9	Mike Vasil	0.1644	0.1813	0.1939	12.4	4.9	7.5
10	Antonio Senzatela	0.1587	0.1458	0.1181	25.2	17.7	7.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Emmet Sheehan	0.2260	0.2640	0.3058	23.1	11.9	11.3
2	Hunter Dobbins	0.2260	0.1856	0.1758	12.9	2.8	10.2
3	Shane Smith	0.1926	0.2077	0.2354	26.2	16.4	9.7
4	Carlos Vargas	0.2260	0.1962	0.1631	20.9	11.3	9.6
5	Slade Cecconi	0.2317	0.2142	0.2000	17.5	8.3	9.2
6	Grant Holmes	0.2067	0.2243	0.2500	21.1	12.1	9.0
7	Jacob deGrom	0.3440	0.3303	0.2765	45.4	36.6	8.7
8	Sean Burke	0.2070	0.2208	0.2232	9.4	0.8	8.6
9	Noah Cameron	0.2292	0.2141	0.2050	13.6	5.6	8.0
10	Carmen Mlodzinski	0.1853	0.2031	0.2124	11.2	3.5	7.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dustin May	0.2607	0.2440	0.2106	29.4	20.1	9.3
2	Shane Smith	0.1935	0.2077	0.2354	25.7	16.4	9.2
3	Tomoyuki Sugano	0.1756	0.1631	0.1570	12.7	4.8	8.0
4	Eric Lauer	0.1914	0.2091	0.2394	20.4	12.5	7.9
5	Sean Burke	0.2089	0.2208	0.2232	8.4	0.8	7.6
6	Jacob deGrom	0.3419	0.3303	0.2765	43.9	36.6	7.3
7	Will Warren	0.2073	0.2165	0.2405	23.4	16.4	7.1
8	Paul Skenes	0.3179	0.3083	0.2947	17.2	10.8	6.5
9	Grant Holmes	0.2129	0.2243	0.2500	18.1	12.1	6.0
10	Devin Williams	0.3046	0.3251	0.3475	11.0	5.5	5.5

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Taijuan Walker	0.2260	0.1679	0.1599	36.3	4.9	31.4
2	Michael McGreevy	0.2260	0.1685	0.1450	32.9	9.8	23.1
3	Stephen Kolek	0.2260	0.1856	0.1670	27.8	9.1	18.7
4	Bradley Blalock	0.2260	0.1626	0.0982	35.5	18.0	17.5
5	Tyler Phillips	0.2260	0.1742	0.1661	19.2	2.8	16.3
6	Logan Evans	0.2260	0.1826	0.1686	20.6	5.3	15.3
7	Matthew Liberatore	0.2260	0.2067	0.1883	25.3	12.6	12.7
8	Daniel Lynch IV	0.2260	0.1831	0.1557	20.7	8.2	12.5
9	Quinn Priester	0.2260	0.1935	0.2021	16.4	5.0	11.5
10	Bryse Wilson	0.2260	0.1760	0.1250	22.9	11.6	11.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brad Lord	0.1166	0.1679	0.1978	43.2	15.8	27.5
2	Walker Buehler	0.2131	0.1942	0.1628	29.5	18.3	11.2
3	Justin Verlander	0.1802	0.1971	0.2069	16.4	5.8	10.6
4	Nick Pivetta	0.2883	0.2764	0.2635	19.3	10.0	9.3
5	Mike Burrows	0.1905	0.2126	0.2413	19.6	11.1	8.5
6	José Soriano	0.2320	0.2214	0.2099	17.4	9.0	8.4
7	Merrill Kelly	0.1981	0.2101	0.2233	17.4	9.1	8.3
8	Nick Martinez	0.2108	0.2001	0.1698	29.4	21.4	8.0
9	José Buttó	0.2655	0.2394	0.2042	18.0	10.3	7.7
10	Chris Paddack	0.2215	0.2120	0.1672	37.8	30.7	7.0

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	ATC	Aggregate	Depth Charts	Marcel	OOPSY	Razzball	Steamer	The BAT	ZiPS
Tyler Anderson	0.0769	0.3122 (153.1)	0.3140 (160.1)	0.3103 (159.8)	0.2308 (129.9)	0.2962 (157.9)	0.3474 (173.8)	0.3018 (154.0)	0.3188 (154.9)	0.3077 (138.1)
Quinn Priester	0.4483	0.0928 (218.9)	0.0860 (216.9)	0.0667 (227.4)	0.1724 (139.0)	0.0528 (229.4)	0.1469 (184.0)	0.0515 (238.1)	0.2347 (128.5)	0.2692 (117.0)
Justin Verlander	0.1379	0.3494 (153.4)	0.3368 (151.7)	0.3333 (151.4)	0.2667 (126.9)	0.3794 (189.2)	0.2973 (118.5)	0.3258 (145.6)	0.3391 (144.2)	0.3333 (129.2)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rogers	0.0919	0.5000	164.0
2	Cade Horton	0.1187	0.4783	161.5
3	Noah Cameron	0.0737	0.3750	156.3
4	Casey Mize	0.2489	0.5000	144.7
5	Adrian Houser	0.0866	0.3810	142.0
6	Erick Fedde	0.3317	0.1250	141.4
7	Mitch Keller	0.3459	0.1875	133.8
8	Garrett Crochet	0.3816	0.5625	130.7
9	Michael McGreevy	0.1250	0.4706	130.1
10	Dylan Cease	0.4000	0.2500	123.0

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rogers	0.0999	0.5000	156.5
2	Noah Cameron	0.0687	0.3750	153.5
3	Erick Fedde	0.3319	0.1250	147.8
4	Cade Horton	0.1432	0.4783	145.1
5	Mitch Keller	0.3404	0.1875	137.2
6	Adrian Houser	0.0964	0.3810	131.7
7	Michael McGreevy	0.1137	0.4706	130.7
8	Jesús Luzardo	0.2685	0.4688	128.9
9	MacKenzie Gore	0.3237	0.1667	127.3
10	Dylan Cease	0.3956	0.2500	126.9

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rogers	0.0588	0.5000	172.5
2	Noah Cameron	0.0526	0.3750	160.7
3	Colin Rea	0.0930	0.3438	143.9
4	Jesús Luzardo	0.2500	0.4688	140.5
5	Erick Fedde	0.3103	0.1250	136.2
6	Michael McGreevy	0.1087	0.4706	131.4
7	Casey Mize	0.2609	0.5000	129.0
8	MacKenzie Gore	0.3226	0.1667	128.7
9	Adrian Houser	0.1000	0.3810	128.3
10	Matthew Boyd	0.2424	0.4516	126.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Garrett Crochet	0.1333	0.5625	298.1
2	Casey Mize	0.1081	0.5000	206.2
3	Max Fried	0.2895	0.5938	193.3
4	Bryan Woo	0.2105	0.5000	165.6
5	Carlos Rodón	0.2750	0.5455	163.7
6	Clay Holmes	0.0800	0.3636	156.2
7	Jesús Luzardo	0.2000	0.4688	156.0
8	Matthew Boyd	0.1724	0.4516	155.3
9	Freddy Peralta	0.2381	0.5152	154.8
10	Trevor Rogers	0.1053	0.5000	140.3

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jesús Luzardo	0.1528	0.4688	206.0
2	Cade Horton	0.0528	0.4783	181.5
3	Paul Skenes	0.5093	0.3125	176.7
4	Trevor Rogers	0.0452	0.5000	173.7
5	Mitch Keller	0.3742	0.1875	173.0
6	Dylan Cease	0.4357	0.2500	166.1
7	MacKenzie Gore	0.3627	0.1667	163.4
8	Yusei Kikuchi	0.3773	0.2121	161.7
9	Erick Fedde	0.3359	0.1250	159.0
10	Noah Cameron	0.0528	0.3750	154.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Garrett Crochet	0.3236	0.5625	178.4
2	Noah Cameron	0.0545	0.3750	167.2
3	Erick Fedde	0.3571	0.1250	156.9
4	Trevor Rogers	0.1374	0.5000	145.0
5	Max Fried	0.3973	0.5938	141.6
6	Adrian Houser	0.0886	0.3810	141.3
7	Carlos Rodón	0.3544	0.5455	135.2
8	Mitch Keller	0.3356	0.1875	125.7
9	Casey Mize	0.2800	0.5000	125.6
10	Andre Pallante	0.3475	0.1935	124.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rogers	0.0775	0.5000	165.1
2	Noah Cameron	0.0642	0.3750	154.9
3	Erick Fedde	0.3334	0.1250	149.8
4	MacKenzie Gore	0.3466	0.1667	144.2
5	Colin Rea	0.0968	0.3438	142.2
6	Jesús Luzardo	0.2496	0.4688	141.8
7	Yusei Kikuchi	0.3579	0.2121	137.3
8	Adrian Houser	0.0894	0.3810	134.4
9	Michael McGreevy	0.1027	0.4706	134.3
10	Mitch Keller	0.3277	0.1875	129.1

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Rodón	0.3468	0.5455	143.5
2	Adrian Houser	0.0898	0.3810	142.1
3	Garrett Crochet	0.3720	0.5625	141.5
4	Jesús Luzardo	0.2687	0.4688	138.9
5	Erick Fedde	0.3267	0.1250	136.1
6	Tanner Gordon	0.0322	0.4000	118.3
7	Casey Mize	0.2966	0.5000	117.0
8	Kris Bubic	0.1393	0.4000	116.1
9	Clay Holmes	0.1844	0.3636	115.1
10	Dylan Cease	0.3920	0.2500	114.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Casey Mize	0.1739	0.5000	204.6
2	Bryan Woo	0.2692	0.5000	168.8
3	Cade Horton	0.1667	0.4783	148.4
4	Freddy Peralta	0.3448	0.5152	123.3
5	Garrett Crochet	0.4138	0.5625	121.2
6	Max Fried	0.4444	0.5938	119.7
7	Kris Bubic	0.1515	0.4000	118.4
8	Mitch Keller	0.3448	0.1875	117.7
9	Erick Fedde	0.3077	0.1250	113.7
10	Carlos Rodón	0.4074	0.5455	109.1

Most Unique Misses for Win Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cam Schlittler	0.4316	0.2674	0.2857	50.5	3.6	46.9
2	Juan Mejia	0.2347	0.0496	0.0364	57.1	11.3	45.7
3	Cole Henry	0.2347	0.0568	0.0175	57.2	16.7	40.5
4	Tomoyuki Sugano	0.2280	0.2752	0.3333	57.4	18.8	38.6
5	Davis Martin	0.1882	0.2375	0.2692	36.5	0.9	35.6
6	Drew Pomeranz	0.2347	0.0650	0.0351	44.6	12.2	32.4
7	Tyler Phillips	0.1848	0.0756	0.0370	52.6	21.5	31.1
8	Michael Wacha	0.3994	0.3488	0.3226	69.5	40.4	29.1
9	Clay Holmes	0.2257	0.2550	0.3636	83.3	55.5	27.8
10	Brandon Walter	0.2347	0.0665	0.1111	30.5	3.0	27.5

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cam Schlittler	0.0000	0.2674	0.2857	76.7	3.6	73.1
2	Colin Rea	0.0930	0.1607	0.3438	143.9	101.2	42.7
3	Matt Festa	0.2347	0.0587	0.0794	42.6	2.2	40.5
4	José Soriano	0.3462	0.3000	0.3226	41.2	5.5	35.7
5	Drew Pomeranz	0.2347	0.0650	0.0351	47.3	12.2	35.1
6	Shane Baz	0.1944	0.2437	0.3226	67.4	34.6	32.8
7	Jack Kochanowicz	0.2414	0.1807	0.1304	73.9	41.2	32.7
8	Brandon Walter	0.2347	0.0665	0.1111	33.3	3.0	30.2
9	Cade Gibson	0.2347	0.1249	0.0909	40.7	14.8	26.0
10	Bryan Woo	0.3077	0.3432	0.5000	116.2	92.5	23.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Garrett Crochet	0.1333	0.3908	0.5625	298.1	115.2	182.9
2	Cristopher Sánchez	0.1905	0.3815	0.4062	123.3	4.4	118.9
3	Jacob deGrom	0.1600	0.3610	0.4000	118.4	5.9	112.6
4	Gavin Williams	0.1429	0.3233	0.3871	127.6	23.7	104.0
5	Clay Holmes	0.0800	0.2550	0.3636	156.2	55.5	100.8
6	Brad Lord	0.2347	0.0624	0.1042	105.6	6.3	99.3
7	Nick Pivetta	0.1842	0.3545	0.4194	124.2	24.9	99.2
8	José Soriano	0.1250	0.3000	0.3226	97.5	5.5	92.0
9	Chad Patrick	0.2347	0.0649	0.1111	93.8	8.0	85.8
10	Casey Mize	0.1081	0.2740	0.5000	206.2	122.8	83.5

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Paul Skenes	0.5093	0.4043	0.3125	176.7	89.5	87.3
2	Jesús Luzardo	0.1528	0.2685	0.4688	206.0	128.9	77.1
3	Brandon Pfaadt	0.1876	0.3009	0.3939	124.3	48.1	76.2
4	Davis Martin	0.3412	0.2375	0.2692	69.9	0.9	69.0
5	Ranger Suarez	0.1810	0.3009	0.4615	153.8	84.9	68.9
6	Bryce Elder	0.0652	0.1696	0.2857	119.7	58.3	61.4
7	Will Warren	0.0471	0.1465	0.2727	129.0	68.2	60.7
8	Eric Lauer	0.0528	0.2082	0.3214	95.6	35.4	60.2
9	José Soriano	0.3626	0.3000	0.3226	61.0	5.5	55.5
10	Nick Martinez	0.0890	0.1836	0.2750	96.8	41.8	55.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andre Pallante	0.3475	0.2127	0.1935	124.1	35.3	88.8
2	Garrett Crochet	0.3236	0.3908	0.5625	178.4	115.2	63.3
3	David Peterson	0.4109	0.3174	0.3000	94.4	34.4	59.9
4	Carlos Vargas	0.2347	0.0481	0.0714	60.5	2.3	58.3
5	Angel Chivilli	0.2347	0.0479	0.0233	63.6	15.1	48.4
6	Michael Soroka	0.2577	0.1345	0.1364	53.4	10.8	42.7
7	Matt Festa	0.2347	0.0587	0.0794	39.5	2.2	37.4
8	Casey Legumina	0.2347	0.0562	0.0833	37.5	0.7	36.8
9	Joe Ross	0.2347	0.0686	0.0541	45.7	10.2	35.5
10	Trevor Williams	0.2511	0.1463	0.1765	35.2	0.0	35.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Colin Rea	0.0968	0.1607	0.3438	142.2	101.2	41.1
2	Jacob deGrom	0.4306	0.3610	0.4000	42.0	5.9	36.1
3	José Soriano	0.3446	0.3000	0.3226	39.2	5.5	33.7
4	Tomoyuki Sugano	0.2278	0.2752	0.3333	49.6	18.8	30.7
5	Patrick Corbin	0.3117	0.2726	0.2258	78.3	51.0	27.2
6	Jack Kochanowicz	0.2289	0.1807	0.1304	66.8	41.2	25.6
7	Davis Martin	0.2808	0.2375	0.2692	26.2	0.9	25.4
8	Yusei Kikuchi	0.3579	0.3293	0.2121	137.3	113.8	23.5
9	Quinn Priester	0.0515	0.0860	0.4483	238.1	216.9	21.3
10	George Kirby	0.3616	0.4031	0.4348	21.5	0.7	20.8

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brad Lord	0.2347	0.0624	0.1042	80.4	6.3	74.1
2	Chad Patrick	0.2347	0.0649	0.1111	70.6	8.0	62.6
3	Clay Holmes	0.1844	0.2550	0.3636	115.1	55.5	59.6
4	Jack Dreyer	0.2347	0.0607	0.0448	63.5	14.2	49.3
5	Tyler Phillips	0.2347	0.0756	0.0370	67.1	21.5	45.6
6	Juan Mejia	0.2347	0.0496	0.0364	56.1	11.3	44.8
7	Ryan Bergert	0.2347	0.0843	0.1053	47.2	3.0	44.2
8	Taijuan Walker	0.2347	0.0900	0.1471	56.2	14.4	41.7
9	Daniel Lynch IV	0.2347	0.0779	0.1053	42.2	0.8	41.4
10	Cole Henry	0.2347	0.0568	0.0175	56.4	16.7	39.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jacob deGrom	0.2500	0.3610	0.4000	100.5	5.9	94.6
2	José Soriano	0.1935	0.3000	0.3226	93.5	5.5	88.0
3	Casey Mize	0.1739	0.2740	0.5000	204.6	122.8	81.8
4	Bryan Woo	0.2692	0.3432	0.5000	168.8	92.5	76.3
5	Cristopher Sánchez	0.3103	0.3815	0.4062	77.5	4.4	73.1
6	Cade Povich	0.3214	0.1636	0.1364	90.2	28.0	62.2
7	Chad Patrick	0.2500	0.0649	0.1111	69.8	8.0	61.7
8	Chris Paddack	0.2667	0.1490	0.1515	77.0	18.6	58.5
9	Simeon Woods Richardson	0.1786	0.2582	0.3043	59.3	7.5	51.8
10	Louis Varland	0.2759	0.0707	0.0541	65.6	13.9	51.7

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	ATC	Aggregate	Depth Charts	Marcel	OOPSY	Razzball	Steamer	The BAT	ZiPS
Carlos Estévez	0.6269	0.3172 (81.7)	0.3225 (79.5)	0.3438 (73.8)	0.3111 (89.8)	0.3281 (77.7)	0.2315 (103.2)	0.3363 (75.7)	0.3155 (82.7)	0.4000 (59.5)
Will Vest	0.3594	0.0357 (90.2)	0.0367 (89.2)	0.0441 (87.1)	0.0400 (95.8)	0.0294 (90.9)	0.0309 (90.0)	0.0436 (87.1)	0.0328 (91.6)	0.0476 (86.9)
Andrés Muñoz	0.5938	0.4619 (31.9)	0.4308 (39.2)	0.4219 (41.4)	0.2128 (101.4)	0.4062 (45.1)	0.3858 (49.8)	0.4147 (43.2)	0.4661 (31.4)	0.4500 (35.0)
Dennis Santana	0.2286	0.0793 (38.7)	0.0512 (45.6)	0.0308 (51.1)	0.0465 (54.0)	0.0303 (50.8)	0.0463 (46.0)	0.0349 (49.8)	0.0826 (38.3)	0.0364 (50.3)
Cade Smith	0.2105	0.0271 (53.2)	0.0254 (53.0)	0.0294 (51.7)	0.0222 (61.9)	0.0294 (51.3)	0.0000 (59.6)	0.0336 (50.4)	0.0311 (52.6)	0.0317 (51.9)
Daniel Palencia	0.4074	0.0031 (85.6)	0.0006 (85.6)	0.0000 (85.7)	0.0476 (81.2)	0.0000 (85.4)	0.0000 (85.1)	0.0000 (85.6)	0.0295 (80.4)	0.0000 (86.3)
Emilio Pagán	0.4571	0.0596 (105.7)	0.0575 (105.6)	0.0769 (100.3)	0.0541 (113.7)	0.0469 (108.1)	0.0000 (120.3)	0.0825 (98.7)	0.0516 (108.4)	0.1042 (93.7)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Devin Williams	0.5531	0.2687	75.2
2	Edwin Uceta	0.1770	0.0143	54.2
3	Lucas Erceg	0.2214	0.0328	48.5
4	Tyler Kinley	0.1885	0.0411	47.3
5	Robert Suarez	0.3919	0.5714	46.7
6	Tyler Holton	0.1369	0.0000	44.6
7	Ryan Helsley	0.5289	0.3621	43.6
8	Aroldis Chapman	0.3127	0.4776	36.2
9	Ryan Walker	0.3760	0.2500	35.1
10	Griffin Jax	0.1117	0.0000	33.3

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Devin Williams	0.5422	0.2687	73.1
2	Tyler Kinley	0.2132	0.0411	55.7
3	Ryan Helsley	0.5348	0.3621	45.7
4	Aroldis Chapman	0.2758	0.4776	44.0
5	Edwin Uceta	0.1303	0.0143	40.0
6	Robert Suarez	0.4184	0.5714	38.8
7	Ryan Walker	0.3841	0.2500	38.0
8	Lucas Erceg	0.1745	0.0328	37.4
9	Tyler Holton	0.1065	0.0000	35.9
10	Griffin Jax	0.1100	0.0000	33.6

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Kinley	0.2656	0.0411	71.8
2	Devin Williams	0.4921	0.2687	60.1
3	Ryan Walker	0.4118	0.2500	45.3
4	Ryan Helsley	0.5303	0.3621	44.6
5	Robert Suarez	0.4000	0.5714	43.8
6	Aroldis Chapman	0.3016	0.4776	38.1
7	Tyler Holton	0.1111	0.0000	37.4
8	Griffin Jax	0.1143	0.0000	34.8
9	Shawn Armstrong	0.0000	0.1268	33.5
10	Calvin Faucher	0.3492	0.2308	32.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clay Holmes	0.3200	0.0000	213.8
2	Jeff Hoffman	0.0833	0.4648	114.7
3	Robert Suarez	0.2727	0.5714	85.2
4	Aroldis Chapman	0.1429	0.4776	80.4
5	Edwin Díaz	0.2703	0.4516	51.4
6	Jhoan Duran	0.2889	0.4444	49.8
7	Ryan Walker	0.0943	0.2500	46.2
8	Tanner Scott	0.2037	0.3770	45.6
9	José A. Ferrer	0.0323	0.1528	44.9
10	Calvin Faucher	0.0789	0.2308	43.3

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Kinley	0.2812	0.0411	77.1
2	Aroldis Chapman	0.1905	0.4776	63.2
3	Devin Williams	0.4921	0.2687	60.5
4	Ryan Walker	0.4118	0.2500	45.7
5	Ryan Helsley	0.5303	0.3621	44.9
6	Edwin Uceta	0.1385	0.0143	43.1
7	Luke Jackson	0.0000	0.1731	35.7
8	Lucas Erceg	0.1642	0.0328	35.2
9	Griffin Jax	0.1143	0.0000	35.2
10	Robert Suarez	0.4308	0.5714	35.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Devin Williams	0.5008	0.2687	63.2
2	Aroldis Chapman	0.2315	0.4776	53.4
3	Robert Suarez	0.3858	0.5714	46.8
4	Jeff Hoffman	0.3086	0.4648	41.4
5	David Bednar	0.2504	0.4219	40.1
6	Camilo Doval	0.0772	0.2319	39.7
7	Ryan Helsley	0.5008	0.3621	37.9
8	Kenley Jansen	0.3086	0.4677	34.5
9	Shawn Armstrong	0.0000	0.1268	32.7
10	Mike Vasil	0.0000	0.0851	31.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Kinley	0.2675	0.0411	72.5
2	Devin Williams	0.4877	0.2687	59.1
3	Ryan Walker	0.4163	0.2500	46.7
4	Robert Suarez	0.3949	0.5714	45.0
5	Ryan Helsley	0.5309	0.3621	44.8
6	Aroldis Chapman	0.2938	0.4776	39.8
7	Tyler Holton	0.1099	0.0000	37.1
8	Griffin Jax	0.1150	0.0000	35.1
9	Calvin Faucher	0.3539	0.2308	33.7
10	Shawn Armstrong	0.0000	0.1268	33.4

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Devin Williams	0.5476	0.2687	73.3
2	Edwin Uceta	0.1745	0.0143	52.7
3	Lucas Erceg	0.2270	0.0328	49.4
4	Tyler Kinley	0.1868	0.0411	46.1
5	Robert Suarez	0.4065	0.5714	43.3
6	Aroldis Chapman	0.2871	0.4776	42.5
7	Ryan Helsley	0.5247	0.3621	42.0
8	Tyler Holton	0.1196	0.0000	38.6
9	Shawn Armstrong	0.0000	0.1268	34.9
10	Mike Vasil	0.0000	0.0851	34.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Devin Williams	0.6596	0.2687	102.7
2	Tyler Kinley	0.3269	0.0411	89.8
3	Ryan Helsley	0.5932	0.3621	59.7
4	Calvin Faucher	0.4583	0.2308	59.5
5	Edwin Díaz	0.6545	0.4516	53.8
6	Ryan Walker	0.4242	0.2500	47.9
7	Graham Ashcraft	0.1579	0.0000	46.5
8	Raisel Iglesias	0.5690	0.4143	42.7
9	Lucas Erceg	0.1923	0.0328	41.2
10	Edwin Uceta	0.1364	0.0143	41.0

Most Unique Misses for Save Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Edwin Uceta	0.1770	0.1303	0.0143	54.2	40.0	14.2
2	Lucas Erceg	0.2214	0.1745	0.0328	48.5	37.4	11.0
3	Emmanuel Clase	0.5673	0.5144	0.5000	14.7	4.6	10.1
4	Garrett Whitlock	0.0820	0.0456	0.0161	21.1	11.2	9.9
5	Kenley Jansen	0.3691	0.4073	0.4677	21.7	12.1	9.5
6	Tyler Holton	0.1369	0.1065	0.0000	44.6	35.9	8.7
7	Jason Adam	0.1154	0.0818	0.0000	32.8	24.4	8.4
8	Robert Suarez	0.3919	0.4184	0.5714	46.7	38.8	7.8
9	Cole Sands	0.0669	0.0396	0.0435	8.8	1.4	7.4
10	Eduard Bazardo	0.0356	0.0115	0.0000	13.0	6.3	6.7

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Kinley	0.2656	0.2132	0.0411	71.8	55.7	16.2
2	Cade Horton	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	18.2	4.1	14.1
3	Jhoan Duran	0.3538	0.3988	0.4444	23.5	10.6	12.9
4	Eric Lauer	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	16.3	3.7	12.6
5	Andrew Kittredge	0.0000	0.0414	0.0926	17.4	8.8	8.6
6	Emmet Sheehan	0.0295	0.0001	0.0000	11.1	2.6	8.6
7	Ryan Walker	0.4118	0.3841	0.2500	45.3	38.0	7.4
8	Cade Gibson	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	8.8	2.0	6.8
9	Calvin Faucher	0.3492	0.3231	0.2308	32.4	25.7	6.7
10	Matt Festa	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	8.6	2.0	6.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Clay Holmes	0.3200	0.0016	0.0000	213.8	7.2	206.6
2	Jeff Hoffman	0.0833	0.4049	0.4648	114.7	14.7	100.0
3	Andrés Muñoz	0.2128	0.4308	0.5938	101.4	39.2	62.2
4	Robert Suarez	0.2727	0.4184	0.5714	85.2	38.8	46.4
5	Tanner Scott	0.2037	0.3695	0.3770	45.6	0.3	45.3
6	Jhoan Duran	0.2889	0.3988	0.4444	49.8	10.6	39.2
7	Aroldis Chapman	0.1429	0.2758	0.4776	80.4	44.0	36.4
8	Robert Garcia	0.0227	0.1185	0.1268	32.8	0.1	32.7
9	Will Warren	0.0690	0.0000	0.0000	36.2	6.1	30.1
10	Josh Hader	0.3962	0.5022	0.5833	42.3	14.9	27.3

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Kinley	0.2812	0.2132	0.0411	77.1	55.7	21.4
2	Tomoyuki Sugano	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	26.7	5.8	20.9
3	Aroldis Chapman	0.1905	0.2758	0.4776	63.2	44.0	19.1
4	Jhoan Duran	0.3385	0.3988	0.4444	27.5	10.6	16.9
5	Pete Fairbanks	0.3667	0.4267	0.4426	16.1	1.8	14.3
6	Luke Jackson	0.0000	0.0662	0.1731	35.7	21.5	14.2
7	Tony Santillan	0.0172	0.0653	0.0875	18.1	4.1	14.0
8	Matthew Liberatore	0.0308	0.0142	0.0000	26.5	14.8	11.7
9	Tommy Kahnle	0.0345	0.0778	0.1364	24.5	13.3	11.2
10	Jordan Leasure	0.0000	0.0414	0.1029	25.0	14.2	10.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	David Bednar	0.2504	0.3890	0.4219	40.1	6.1	34.0
2	Jeff Hoffman	0.3086	0.4049	0.4648	41.4	14.7	26.7
3	Carlos Estévez	0.2315	0.3225	0.6269	103.2	79.5	23.7
4	Robert Garcia	0.0309	0.1185	0.1268	22.6	0.1	22.5
5	Kenley Jansen	0.3086	0.4073	0.4677	34.5	12.1	22.4
6	Pete Fairbanks	0.3527	0.4267	0.4426	19.1	1.8	17.3
7	Cade Horton	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	19.6	4.1	15.5
8	Emilio Pagán	0.0000	0.0575	0.4571	120.3	105.6	14.7
9	Rafael Montero	0.0758	0.0227	0.0000	22.1	7.9	14.2
10	Brenan Hanifee	0.0617	0.0109	0.0000	19.1	5.1	14.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Kinley	0.2675	0.2132	0.0411	72.5	55.7	16.9
2	Jhoan Duran	0.3611	0.3988	0.4444	21.3	10.6	10.7
3	Ryan Walker	0.4163	0.3841	0.2500	46.7	38.0	8.7
4	Andrew Kittredge	0.0000	0.0414	0.0926	17.4	8.8	8.5
5	Calvin Faucher	0.3539	0.3231	0.2308	33.7	25.7	8.0
6	Robert Garcia	0.1420	0.1185	0.1268	6.6	0.1	6.5
7	Angel Zerpa	0.0347	0.0120	0.0000	12.1	5.7	6.4
8	Robert Suarez	0.3949	0.4184	0.5714	45.0	38.8	6.2
9	Reed Garrett	0.0000	0.0261	0.0517	10.1	4.1	6.1
10	Jeremiah Estrada	0.0698	0.0532	0.0390	12.2	7.0	5.2

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Quinn Priester	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	21.9	5.6	16.2
2	Shane Smith	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	20.6	5.3	15.3
3	Dustin May	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	19.6	5.0	14.5
4	Noah Cameron	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	18.6	4.8	13.8
5	Brad Lord	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	18.3	4.7	13.6
6	Slade Cecconi	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	18.3	4.7	13.6
7	Edwin Uceta	0.1745	0.1303	0.0143	52.7	40.0	12.7
8	Chad Patrick	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	16.9	4.3	12.5
9	Lucas Erceg	0.2270	0.1745	0.0328	49.4	37.4	11.9
10	Cade Horton	0.0295	0.0000	0.0000	16.0	4.1	11.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Kinley	0.3269	0.2132	0.0411	89.8	55.7	34.1
2	Calvin Faucher	0.4583	0.3231	0.2308	59.5	25.7	33.8
3	Devin Williams	0.6596	0.5422	0.2687	102.7	73.1	29.7
4	Graham Ashcraft	0.1579	0.0548	0.0000	46.5	18.0	28.5
5	Edwin Díaz	0.6545	0.5562	0.4516	53.8	29.2	24.6
6	Pete Fairbanks	0.5319	0.4267	0.4426	23.2	1.8	21.4
7	Mason Miller	0.5357	0.4634	0.3667	40.9	24.6	16.3
8	Raisel Iglesias	0.5690	0.5055	0.4143	42.7	26.6	16.1
9	Ryan Helsley	0.5932	0.5348	0.3621	59.7	45.7	14.0
10	Ryan Walker	0.4242	0.3841	0.2500	47.9	38.0	9.9

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	ATC	Aggregate	Depth Charts	Marcel	OOPSY	Razzball	Steamer	The BAT	ZiPS
Jake Irvin	5.7000	4.4495 (1075.4)	4.5068 (1043.8)	4.4724 (1024.3)	4.3679 (1100.4)	4.3426 (1079.4)	4.5703 (1062.7)	4.3246 (1133.5)	4.7502 (921.3)	4.6065 (940.0)
Nathan Eovaldi	1.7308	3.8925 (1014.7)	3.9706 (1044.9)	4.0291 (1103.3)	3.8432 (1015.0)	3.8348 (1036.6)	3.8807 (956.9)	3.7878 (988.1)	4.1801 (1105.3)	4.2500 (1199.5)
Jordan Hicks	6.9505	4.1277 (922.7)	4.1279 (928.1)	4.0667 (928.7)	4.0397 (934.7)	3.8574 (975.7)	4.4201 (863.8)	4.0612 (927.6)	4.1951 (934.6)	4.1039 (925.5)
Ben Brown	5.9248	3.6024 (1150.8)	3.6901 (1117.6)	3.6509 (1108.2)	3.9669 (955.3)	3.4896 (1156.1)	3.9529 (1034.8)	3.6833 (1088.6)	3.9541 (1034.4)	3.7257 (1085.6)
Jack Kochanowicz	6.8108	4.6830 (1148.8)	4.7365 (1130.2)	4.7812 (1077.0)	4.0780 (1433.0)	4.6859 (1095.2)	4.7040 (1191.7)	4.6477 (1140.7)	4.7912 (1147.1)	4.9079 (1026.0)
Bradley Blalock	9.3580	5.3101 (1145.0)	5.2438 (1168.0)	5.1429 (1179.5)	4.6250 (1319.7)	5.7773 (988.6)	4.8600 (1297.6)	5.4363 (1096.3)	3.9541 (1546.8)	4.8462 (1268.5)
Sandy Alcantara	5.3588	3.7290 (1300.5)	3.7180 (1321.6)	3.6000 (1365.4)	3.6829 (1297.8)	3.7161 (1234.4)	3.9396 (1221.7)	3.8058 (1205.3)	3.7001 (1400.3)	3.4242 (1516.4)
Germán Márquez	6.6966	4.8593 (1154.3)	4.7917 (1204.4)	4.7059 (1220.2)	4.5141 (1328.9)	4.9129 (1062.5)	4.2806 (1558.2)	4.7443 (1192.1)	5.3397 (932.5)	4.6341 (1278.5)

Individual Misses for ERA

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mitchell Parker	4.2866	5.6842	1097.3
2	Charlie Morton	4.3310	5.8310	1056.8
3	Trevor Rogers	4.3799	1.8055	1039.9
4	Andrew Abbott	4.4951	2.8677	1033.8
5	Andre Pallante	3.9913	5.3115	1026.8
6	Brandon Pfaadt	4.0309	5.2472	1021.8
7	Cade Horton	4.8365	2.6695	976.4
8	Antonio Senzatela	5.2102	6.6462	959.0
9	Erick Fedde	4.0857	5.4894	946.7
10	Zac Gallen	3.7879	4.8281	939.9

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Abbott	4.5745	2.8677	1076.4
2	Brandon Pfaadt	4.0178	5.2472	1045.0
3	Charlie Morton	4.3814	5.8310	1035.1
4	Antonio Senzatela	5.1052	6.6462	1034.6
5	Trevor Rogers	4.3601	1.8055	1024.3
6	Mitchell Parker	4.4271	5.6842	1007.9
7	Andre Pallante	4.0835	5.3115	973.2
8	Zac Gallen	3.8234	4.8281	925.1
9	Aaron Nola	3.9016	6.0106	905.8
10	Hunter Brown	3.7427	2.4281	861.3

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Pfaadt	3.8654	5.2472	1116.6
2	Antonio Senzatela	4.9209	6.6462	1111.9
3	Andrew Abbott	4.5398	2.8677	1093.1
4	Charlie Morton	4.2968	5.8310	1051.8
5	Mitchell Parker	4.3151	5.6842	1046.3
6	Trevor Rogers	4.3043	1.8055	1025.7
7	Zac Gallen	3.6529	4.8281	1015.6
8	Andre Pallante	3.9925	5.3115	996.0
9	Aaron Nola	3.8298	6.0106	910.9
10	Cristopher Sánchez	3.6429	2.4950	866.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Antonio Senzatela	4.5877	6.6462	1312.9
2	Charlie Morton	4.0641	5.8310	1198.7
3	Trevor Rogers	4.6913	1.8055	1192.7
4	Chase Dollander	3.9541	6.5204	1160.9
5	Hunter Brown	4.0525	2.4281	1136.1
6	Mitchell Parker	4.2422	5.6842	1093.3
7	Zac Gallen	3.5534	4.8281	1090.1
8	Quinn Priester	4.9877	3.3178	1047.3
9	Erick Fedde	3.9104	5.4894	1024.9
10	Jack Leiter	5.4425	3.8571	981.5

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rogers	4.6446	1.8055	1195.0
2	Brandon Pfaadt	3.7739	5.2472	1140.8
3	Andrew Abbott	4.5084	2.8677	1112.5
4	Charlie Morton	4.2924	5.8310	1015.5
5	Aaron Nola	3.7210	6.0106	930.7
6	Andre Pallante	4.0442	5.3115	916.2
7	Cristopher Sánchez	3.6443	2.4950	916.0
8	Zac Gallen	3.7212	4.8281	911.4
9	Dylan Cease	3.3083	4.5536	909.3
10	Mike Vasil	4.6493	2.4950	905.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Antonio Senzatela	4.6891	6.6462	1345.8
2	Charlie Morton	4.3372	5.8310	1121.2
3	Trevor Rogers	4.4573	1.8055	1028.4
4	Mitchell Parker	4.5692	5.6842	968.3
5	Brandon Pfaadt	4.2055	5.2472	968.2
6	Andrew Abbott	4.4936	2.8677	961.2
7	Chase Dollander	4.6303	6.5204	930.8
8	Angel Chivilli	3.9541	7.0568	913.9
9	Aaron Nola	3.9972	6.0106	902.5
10	Hunter Brown	3.8571	2.4281	881.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Abbott	4.6680	2.8677	1187.0
2	Charlie Morton	4.1931	5.8310	1113.6
3	Mitchell Parker	4.2615	5.6842	1078.5
4	Brandon Pfaadt	3.9956	5.2472	1009.7
5	Antonio Senzatela	5.0967	6.6462	997.6
6	Andre Pallante	4.0162	5.3115	972.5
7	Trevor Rogers	4.0246	1.8055	911.3
8	Aaron Nola	3.8474	6.0106	900.1
9	Hunter Brown	3.6989	2.4281	879.1
10	Chris Paddack	4.1527	5.3544	848.6

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chase Dollander	3.9541	6.5204	1229.2
2	Andrew Abbott	4.8403	2.8677	1198.1
3	Mitchell Parker	4.4886	5.6842	1027.0
4	Andre Pallante	4.1573	5.3115	983.2
5	Cristopher Sánchez	3.8497	2.4950	914.9
6	Bryce Elder	4.1933	5.2964	899.0
7	Hunter Brown	3.8702	2.4281	890.3
8	Ryan Gusto	3.9541	5.6656	875.4
9	Bailey Ober	3.9301	5.1048	870.8
10	Brandon Pfaadt	4.3342	5.2472	869.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Antonio Senzatela	4.7479	6.6462	1235.4
2	Brandon Pfaadt	3.7687	5.2472	1211.3
3	Zac Gallen	3.4508	4.8281	1201.8
4	Andre Pallante	3.9332	5.3115	1057.6
5	Charlie Morton	4.3403	5.8310	1040.9
6	Eduardo Rodriguez	3.6509	5.0151	1016.8
7	Trevor Rogers	4.2985	1.8055	1011.9
8	Andrew Abbott	4.4452	2.8677	1010.0
9	Mitchell Parker	4.3969	5.6842	1006.4
10	Cristopher Sánchez	3.7942	2.4950	967.0

Most Unique Misses for ERA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cade Horton	4.8365	4.4034	2.6695	976.4	762.0	214.4
2	Jack Leiter	4.9134	4.5995	3.8571	607.5	393.6	213.9
3	Shane Baz	4.0583	4.3114	4.8697	659.3	491.6	167.7
4	Jason Alexander	3.9541	4.4677	4.7716	313.6	146.8	166.8
5	Louis Varland	4.3998	3.9109	2.9725	388.2	238.4	149.8
6	Grant Anderson	4.6626	4.1944	3.2297	393.8	248.6	145.1
7	Stephen Kolek	4.5949	4.3161	3.5148	444.5	308.0	136.5
8	Tyler Phillips	4.9867	4.5817	2.7811	654.1	521.9	132.1
9	Quinn Priester	4.4221	4.2401	3.3178	645.4	515.3	130.1
10	Erick Fedde	4.0857	4.3093	5.4894	946.7	818.1	128.6

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nick Lodolo	4.2955	4.0985	3.3319	571.1	406.7	164.4
2	Nick Martinez	3.9828	4.2734	4.4547	372.9	214.8	158.1
3	Paul Skenes	3.0000	2.8469	1.9663	703.5	547.9	155.6
4	Jason Alexander	3.9541	4.4677	4.7716	299.5	146.8	152.7
5	Walker Buehler	4.1918	4.4852	4.9286	458.1	325.7	132.4
6	Eduardo Rodriguez	3.8658	4.1053	5.0151	849.0	723.8	125.2
7	Sean Burke	4.7234	4.5767	4.2208	255.4	132.7	122.7
8	Jack Leiter	4.7177	4.5995	3.8571	508.2	393.6	114.6
9	Jeffrey Springs	3.7895	4.0073	4.1053	277.9	164.7	113.2
10	Shane Smith	4.5833	4.4601	3.8132	428.8	316.5	112.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Garrett Crochet	3.7645	3.0652	2.5860	905.5	281.7	623.8
2	Jack Leiter	5.4425	4.5995	3.8571	981.5	393.6	587.9
3	Quinn Priester	4.9877	4.2401	3.3178	1047.3	515.3	532.0
4	Nick Martinez	3.4737	4.2734	4.4547	715.2	214.8	500.4
5	Tomoyuki Sugano	3.9541	4.8714	4.6433	509.8	64.1	445.7
6	Michael Lorenzen	3.8496	4.6474	4.6376	517.6	74.8	442.9
7	Will Warren	5.3973	4.2776	4.4353	637.0	206.8	430.2
8	Jeffrey Springs	3.3471	4.0073	4.1053	587.7	164.7	422.9
9	Seth Lugo	3.3962	4.1077	4.1491	500.4	106.6	393.8
10	Louis Varland	5.1190	3.9109	2.9725	615.8	238.4	377.4

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tomoyuki Sugano	3.9541	4.8714	4.6433	474.8	64.1	410.7
2	Kyle Freeland	5.4253	5.1259	4.9795	306.1	9.4	296.6
3	Noah Cameron	4.2679	4.0198	2.9928	701.1	497.0	204.1
4	Ranger Suarez	3.9608	3.7712	3.2034	483.9	283.0	200.9
5	Will Warren	3.8894	4.2776	4.4353	398.2	206.8	191.4
6	Brad Lord	4.8456	4.6282	4.3393	268.7	85.1	183.7
7	Luis Severino	4.0363	4.4021	4.5369	362.9	188.8	174.1
8	Trevor Rogers	4.6446	4.3601	1.8055	1195.0	1024.3	170.7
9	Adrian Houser	4.8774	4.6889	3.3120	803.5	644.3	159.2
10	Quinn Priester	4.3645	4.2401	3.3178	674.3	515.3	159.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Freeland	4.6113	5.1259	4.9795	417.5	9.4	408.1
2	Bryan Woo	4.3126	3.7162	2.9411	841.3	469.3	372.0
3	Germán Márquez	4.2806	4.7917	6.6966	1558.2	1204.4	353.8
4	Antonio Senzatela	4.6891	5.1052	6.6462	1345.8	1034.6	311.2
5	Carmen Mlodzinski	4.8879	4.2663	3.5455	470.1	246.3	223.8
6	Angel Chivilli	3.9541	4.6677	7.0568	913.9	693.6	220.3
7	Luis Castillo	4.0717	3.6974	3.5369	234.0	20.4	213.6
8	Tanner Gordon	4.5233	5.0392	6.3319	683.8	480.5	203.3
9	Zack Littell	4.7264	4.4025	3.8089	528.9	349.5	179.4
10	Gavin Williams	4.3238	3.9950	3.0596	734.6	564.8	169.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Drew Rasmussen	3.6901	3.4569	2.7600	506.2	329.8	176.3
2	Bryan Woo	3.8851	3.7162	2.9411	642.7	469.3	173.4
3	Zack Littell	4.5400	4.4025	3.8089	505.7	349.5	156.2
4	Ryan Pepiot	4.1741	4.0181	3.8648	166.0	13.7	152.2
5	Miles Mikolas	4.2916	4.5619	4.8358	407.5	272.3	135.2
6	Brad Lord	4.0127	4.6282	4.3393	213.7	85.1	128.6
7	Sean Burke	4.7230	4.5767	4.2208	260.6	132.7	127.9
8	Gavin Williams	4.1077	3.9950	3.0596	692.2	564.8	127.5
9	David Peterson	3.7184	3.9621	4.2154	406.2	279.4	126.8
10	MacKenzie Gore	3.7411	3.9923	4.1712	336.6	212.2	124.4

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tomoyuki Sugano	5.8870	4.8714	4.6433	690.4	64.1	626.2
2	Chase Dollander	3.9541	4.8308	6.5204	1229.2	803.8	425.4
3	Bradley Blalock	3.9541	5.2438	9.3580	1546.8	1168.0	378.8
4	Kevin Gausman	4.5102	4.0171	3.5907	541.5	227.3	314.1
5	Ryan Gusto	3.9541	4.5372	5.6656	875.4	571.4	304.0
6	Davis Martin	5.0700	4.5724	4.1005	449.9	203.6	246.3
7	Brad Lord	3.9541	4.6282	4.3393	330.9	85.1	245.9
8	Merrill Kelly	4.6401	4.2326	3.5217	671.3	432.1	239.2
9	Kyle Freeland	5.5498	5.1259	4.9795	247.7	9.4	238.3
10	Patrick Corbin	5.4705	5.0260	4.4034	561.0	324.5	236.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nick Martinez	3.5250	4.2734	4.4547	703.9	214.8	489.2
2	Nick Lodolo	4.6731	4.0985	3.3319	796.2	406.7	389.5
3	Brad Lord	5.3000	4.6282	4.3393	469.5	85.1	384.4
4	Walker Buehler	3.7742	4.4852	4.9286	709.2	325.7	383.5
5	Paul Skenes	3.2885	2.8469	1.9663	895.2	547.9	347.3
6	Patrick Corbin	5.4783	5.0260	4.4034	645.7	324.5	321.2
7	Jack Leiter	5.0370	4.5995	3.8571	697.0	393.6	303.4
8	Eduardo Rodriguez	3.6509	4.1053	5.0151	1016.8	723.8	293.0
9	Brady Singer	4.7671	4.4030	4.0314	454.5	170.7	283.7
10	Zac Gallen	3.4508	3.8234	4.8281	1201.8	925.1	276.7

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	ATC	Aggregate	Depth Charts	Marcel	OOPSY	Razzball	Steamer	The BAT	ZiPS
Jorge Alcala	1.7455	1.2221 (139.7)	1.2325 (137.7)	1.2623 (130.7)	1.2029 (141.5)	1.2189 (140.2)	1.2083 (142.9)	1.2829 (127.6)	1.2363 (133.9)	1.2272 (138.3)
Hunter Brown	1.0252	1.2510 (150.0)	1.2472 (145.1)	1.2590 (151.9)	1.2946 (190.7)	1.2433 (145.2)	1.2527 (152.1)	1.2557 (143.3)	1.2204 (133.6)	1.2600 (156.7)
Erick Fedde	1.5177	1.2702 (166.8)	1.2938 (153.8)	1.3110 (144.7)	1.2627 (163.7)	1.3275 (130.3)	1.2876 (155.1)	1.3101 (150.5)	1.2468 (176.2)	1.3217 (134.5)
Jack Kochanowicz	1.7477	1.3649 (206.3)	1.3926 (193.6)	1.4062 (187.9)	1.2540 (256.8)	1.4011 (187.2)	1.4282 (173.2)	1.4226 (183.9)	1.3536 (207.9)	1.3854 (195.7)
Eduardo Rodriguez	1.5421	1.2898 (189.1)	1.2965 (186.4)	1.2886 (193.6)	1.2777 (189.0)	1.3254 (163.5)	1.2863 (190.5)	1.3009 (191.0)	1.3127 (167.5)	1.2642 (206.7)
Antonio Senzatela	1.8385	1.5089 (216.1)	1.4755 (238.5)	1.4460 (258.2)	1.4243 (260.8)	1.5052 (217.7)	1.4343 (261.4)	1.4599 (255.0)	1.5164 (206.4)	1.4302 (264.5)
Germán Márquez	1.7098	1.4055 (191.7)	1.3986 (197.5)	1.3856 (206.6)	1.3166 (237.0)	1.4024 (192.8)	1.3524 (222.3)	1.4168 (193.2)	1.4523 (159.2)	1.3640 (216.0)
Nathan Eovaldi	0.8538	1.1810 (152.3)	1.2039 (162.3)	1.2093 (163.7)	1.1727 (154.3)	1.2064 (165.5)	1.1829 (153.9)	1.2218 (165.7)	1.2304 (180.9)	1.2014 (162.5)
Trevor Rogers	0.9027	1.3714 (189.7)	1.3638 (185.3)	1.3478 (177.5)	1.4515 (228.8)	1.3927 (199.2)	1.3681 (188.9)	1.3145 (159.8)	1.2519 (142.6)	1.3731 (190.6)

Individual Misses for WHIP

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yusei Kikuchi	1.2130	1.4243	178.7
2	Charlie Morton	1.3344	1.5775	172.1
3	Spencer Strider	1.1207	1.3963	159.4
4	Dustin May	1.1969	1.4207	142.5
5	Lance McCullers Jr.	1.3207	1.8072	138.8
6	Aroldis Chapman	1.3076	0.7011	133.7
7	Shawn Armstrong	1.3016	0.8108	133.7
8	Dylan Cease	1.1632	1.3274	133.1
9	Matt Svanson	1.4666	0.8785	132.9
10	Brad Keller	1.4585	0.9617	131.5

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Strider	1.0892	1.3963	177.9
2	Yusei Kikuchi	1.2291	1.4243	168.4
3	Charlie Morton	1.3482	1.5775	164.9
4	Dustin May	1.1864	1.4207	150.2
5	Lance McCullers Jr.	1.3187	1.8072	140.1
6	Matt Svanson	1.4488	0.8785	128.1
7	Aroldis Chapman	1.2767	0.7011	126.0
8	Shawn Armstrong	1.2767	0.8108	125.8
9	Brad Keller	1.4377	0.9617	125.0
10	Dylan Cease	1.1776	1.3274	124.7

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Strider	1.0859	1.3963	181.0
2	Charlie Morton	1.3419	1.5775	170.7
3	Dustin May	1.1538	1.4207	170.7
4	Yusei Kikuchi	1.2485	1.4243	155.3
5	Lance McCullers Jr.	1.3056	1.8072	144.4
6	Walker Buehler	1.3151	1.5159	127.8
7	Shawn Armstrong	1.2778	0.8108	125.4
8	Brandon Pfaadt	1.1923	1.3302	125.3
9	Aroldis Chapman	1.2698	0.7011	123.9
10	Bryan Woo	1.1194	0.9268	122.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Charlie Morton	1.3285	1.5775	167.9
2	Nick Pivetta	1.2026	0.9853	151.0
3	Lance McCullers Jr.	1.2773	1.8072	147.3
4	Carlos Rodón	1.2360	1.0495	141.0
5	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	1.2041	0.9904	140.8
6	Shawn Armstrong	1.3083	0.8108	139.1
7	Brad Keller	1.4701	0.9617	138.2
8	Aroldis Chapman	1.3123	0.7011	137.6
9	Ryne Nelson	1.3005	1.0714	137.0
10	Dustin May	1.1963	1.4207	135.6

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Strider	1.0729	1.3963	184.5
2	Yusei Kikuchi	1.2136	1.4243	177.3
3	Lance McCullers Jr.	1.2519	1.8072	157.4
4	Charlie Morton	1.3702	1.5775	148.0
5	Dustin May	1.1993	1.4207	140.3
6	Matt Svanson	1.4910	0.8785	138.9
7	Dylan Cease	1.1615	1.3274	133.4
8	Brad Keller	1.4635	0.9617	133.3
9	Brandon Pfaadt	1.1802	1.3302	129.6
10	Shawn Armstrong	1.2831	0.8108	128.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Strider	1.0666	1.3963	187.8
2	Yusei Kikuchi	1.2042	1.4243	184.4
3	Charlie Morton	1.3211	1.5775	180.0
4	Bryan Woo	1.1560	0.9268	153.8
5	Lance McCullers Jr.	1.3161	1.8072	139.7
6	Dustin May	1.2032	1.4207	138.0
7	Zack Littell	1.2988	1.1036	133.9
8	Brad Keller	1.4502	0.9617	129.6
9	Matt Svanson	1.4512	0.8785	129.6
10	Ryne Nelson	1.2948	1.0714	126.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yusei Kikuchi	1.1992	1.4243	200.0
2	Charlie Morton	1.3387	1.5775	178.4
3	Spencer Strider	1.0994	1.3963	178.3
4	Bryan Woo	1.1771	0.9268	158.2
5	Lance McCullers Jr.	1.3266	1.8072	141.0
6	Dustin May	1.2205	1.4207	136.7
7	Merrill Kelly	1.3246	1.1141	132.0
8	Dennis Santana	1.3681	0.8673	126.0
9	Dylan Cease	1.1911	1.3274	122.9
10	Nick Pivetta	1.1882	0.9853	121.8

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bradley Blalock	1.2519	1.8409	165.3
2	Spencer Strider	1.1097	1.3963	160.9
3	Kevin Gausman	1.2773	1.0622	157.5
4	Yusei Kikuchi	1.2404	1.4243	151.2
5	Carlos Rodón	1.2498	1.0495	148.7
6	Merrill Kelly	1.3191	1.1141	144.4
7	Cristopher Sánchez	1.2475	1.0644	138.2
8	Nick Pivetta	1.1883	0.9853	137.8
9	Chase Dollander	1.2519	1.5510	137.2
10	Dennis Santana	1.3776	0.8673	134.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dustin May	1.1141	1.4207	190.6
2	Spencer Strider	1.0660	1.3963	188.7
3	Charlie Morton	1.3329	1.5775	172.9
4	Walker Buehler	1.2419	1.5159	166.0
5	Lance McCullers Jr.	1.2817	1.8072	149.4
6	Brandon Pfaadt	1.1687	1.3302	139.0
7	Shawn Armstrong	1.3020	0.8108	133.9
8	Aroldis Chapman	1.2865	0.7011	129.0
9	Brad Keller	1.4388	0.9617	126.2
10	Dylan Cease	1.1781	1.3274	122.1

Most Unique Misses for WHIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cole Henry	1.2519	1.4181	1.4241	46.4	7.0	39.4
2	Jason Alexander	1.2519	1.3665	1.3707	46.7	9.1	37.6
3	Shane Baz	1.2437	1.2896	1.3347	79.0	48.4	30.7
4	Cade Horton	1.3541	1.2957	1.0847	118.6	89.5	29.1
5	Tomoyuki Sugano	1.2943	1.3347	1.3312	38.6	13.1	25.5
6	Framber Valdez	1.1786	1.2127	1.2448	69.3	44.1	25.2
7	Jack Leiter	1.3885	1.3534	1.2791	57.7	33.2	24.5
8	Eric Lauer	1.4296	1.3752	1.1083	128.3	104.0	24.3
9	Sean Newcomb	1.5465	1.4927	1.3538	67.5	45.3	22.1
10	José Soriano	1.3039	1.3355	1.3964	81.6	60.7	20.9

Depth Charts

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jason Alexander	1.2519	1.3665	1.3707	48.5	9.1	39.4
2	Paul Skenes	1.0977	1.0573	0.9485	90.7	62.9	27.8
3	Ryan Pepiot	1.2532	1.2158	1.1630	44.0	20.3	23.7
4	Dustin May	1.1538	1.1864	1.4207	170.7	150.2	20.5
5	Tomoyuki Sugano	1.3077	1.3347	1.3312	33.0	13.1	20.0
6	Antonio Senzatela	1.4460	1.4755	1.8385	258.2	238.5	19.8
7	Walker Buehler	1.3151	1.3450	1.5159	127.8	109.5	18.3
8	Garrett Crochet	1.1210	1.0963	1.0276	55.3	37.2	18.1
9	Will Warren	1.2936	1.3162	1.3737	75.1	57.2	17.9
10	Logan Gilbert	1.1071	1.0722	1.0305	27.4	10.0	17.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jacob deGrom	1.1244	0.9683	0.9208	131.0	16.4	114.6
2	Sean Burke	1.2298	1.3987	1.4442	132.4	40.7	91.7
3	Garrett Crochet	1.1851	1.0963	1.0276	121.9	37.2	84.6
4	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	1.2041	1.1178	0.9904	140.8	71.5	69.4
5	Slade Cecconi	1.3222	1.2082	1.1894	68.1	2.2	65.9
6	Shane Baz	1.1823	1.2896	1.3347	113.9	48.4	65.5
7	Chase Dollander	1.2519	1.4141	1.5510	135.4	70.5	64.9
8	Casey Mize	1.3799	1.2900	1.2685	65.0	0.9	64.1
9	Jack Kochanowicz	1.2540	1.3926	1.7477	256.8	193.6	63.3
10	José Soriano	1.2488	1.3355	1.3964	112.6	60.7	51.9

OOPSY

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tomoyuki Sugano	1.2519	1.3347	1.3312	66.4	13.1	53.3
2	Jacob deGrom	1.0031	0.9683	0.9208	42.4	16.4	25.9
3	Noah Cameron	1.3074	1.2659	1.0988	105.4	80.1	25.3
4	Sean Burke	1.3544	1.3987	1.4442	64.8	40.7	24.1
5	Adrian Houser	1.4536	1.4126	1.2800	80.1	56.8	23.3
6	Brayan Bello	1.3642	1.3367	1.2360	76.5	54.5	22.0
7	Michael Lorenzen	1.4327	1.4010	1.3271	52.5	30.9	21.6
8	Dietrich Enns	1.2519	1.3583	1.4029	34.0	13.5	20.5
9	Luis Severino	1.2749	1.3057	1.3033	33.4	14.5	18.9
10	Luis Castillo	1.1394	1.1682	1.1845	47.7	29.2	18.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Quinn Priester	1.4288	1.3632	1.2394	111.4	65.8	45.6
2	Nick Martinez	1.3360	1.2786	1.2072	75.1	33.1	42.0
3	Bryan Woo	1.1560	1.1058	0.9268	153.8	114.1	39.7
4	Zack Littell	1.2988	1.2537	1.1036	133.9	96.5	37.4
5	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	1.1630	1.1178	0.9904	105.2	71.5	33.7
6	Keider Montero	1.2277	1.3177	1.3897	70.3	36.9	33.4
7	Angel Chivilli	1.2519	1.3749	1.6875	125.0	92.3	32.7
8	Drew Rasmussen	1.2007	1.1499	1.0200	94.7	62.6	32.1
9	Carlos Vargas	1.2519	1.3453	1.3506	38.9	9.4	29.5
10	Stephen Kolek	1.4301	1.3737	1.1450	122.8	94.9	27.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bryan Woo	1.1771	1.1058	0.9268	158.2	114.1	44.0
2	MacKenzie Gore	1.2435	1.2864	1.3528	97.5	60.7	36.7
3	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	1.1810	1.1178	0.9904	107.1	71.5	35.7
4	Drew Rasmussen	1.2179	1.1499	1.0200	95.9	62.6	33.3
5	Ryan Pepiot	1.2736	1.2158	1.1630	52.0	20.3	31.7
6	Yusei Kikuchi	1.1992	1.2291	1.4243	200.0	168.4	31.6
7	Tomoyuki Sugano	1.3025	1.3347	1.3312	42.3	13.1	29.3
8	Jackson Rutledge	1.3276	1.4044	1.5136	72.6	43.6	29.0
9	Max Fried	1.2307	1.1865	1.1007	76.9	50.4	26.5
10	Tyler Holton	1.2173	1.1252	1.0424	44.0	18.7	25.3

The BAT

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Taijuan Walker	1.2519	1.3955	1.4070	89.9	18.5	71.4
2	Bradley Blalock	1.2519	1.5055	1.8409	165.3	98.5	66.7
3	Chase Dollander	1.2519	1.4141	1.5510	137.2	70.5	66.7
4	Tomoyuki Sugano	1.4606	1.3347	1.3312	79.3	13.1	66.2
5	Carlos Rodón	1.2498	1.1944	1.0495	148.7	96.2	52.5
6	Mitch Keller	1.3540	1.2953	1.2590	62.3	10.0	52.2
7	Clay Holmes	1.2445	1.3153	1.3038	50.5	8.1	42.4
8	Matthew Liberatore	1.2519	1.3271	1.3055	42.5	0.9	41.6
9	Ryan Gusto	1.2519	1.3530	1.4754	106.7	65.8	40.9
10	Kevin Gausman	1.2773	1.2370	1.0622	157.5	117.7	39.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Walker Buehler	1.2419	1.3450	1.5159	166.0	109.5	56.5
2	Garrett Crochet	1.1570	1.0963	1.0276	89.2	37.2	51.9
3	Patrick Corbin	1.5000	1.4330	1.3648	76.5	30.0	46.5
4	Paul Skenes	1.1154	1.0573	0.9485	107.8	62.9	44.8
5	Dustin May	1.1141	1.1864	1.4207	190.6	150.2	40.4
6	Sandy Alcantara	1.1414	1.1957	1.2710	111.3	73.2	38.2
7	Logan Webb	1.1378	1.1847	1.2367	101.7	64.2	37.5
8	Will Warren	1.2674	1.3162	1.3737	89.7	57.2	32.6
9	Logan Allen	1.3388	1.3841	1.3979	53.3	24.8	28.5
10	Brad Lord	1.4111	1.3626	1.2934	53.5	25.3	28.1