2010 Fantasy Projection Evaluation

Fantasy-relevant accuracy for 2010, excluding batters with fewer than 300 PA and pitchers with fewer than 200 BF. Limited to 5x5 categories, with playing time (PA/BF) split out from rates.

Summary

Batting

System PA HR SB R RBI AVG
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System BF SO W SV ERA WHIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel ZiPS
Rickie Weeks Jr. 754
389
(365.0)
339
(415.0)
389
(365.0)
Dustin Pedroia 351
659
(308.0)
637
(286.0)
659
(308.0)
Brennan Boesch 512
100
(412.0)
100
(412.0)
100
(412.0)
Juan Pierre 734
468
(266.0)
448
(286.0)
468
(266.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ángel Pagán 322 633 311.0
2 Justin Morneau 648 348 300.0
3 Michael Brantley 604 325 279.0
4 Jimmy Rollins 667 394 273.0
5 Wilson Valdez 100 363 263.0
6 Ryan Sweeney 591 331 260.0
7 Álex González 401 640 239.0
8 Danny Valencia 550 322 228.0
9 Jason Bay 622 401 221.0
10 Luis Valbuena 530 310 220.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Jackson 100 675 575.0
2 Jason Heyward 100 623 523.0
3 Ike Davis 100 601 501.0
4 Gaby Sanchez 215 643 428.0
5 Starlin Castro 100 506 406.0
6 Jose Tabata 100 441 341.0
7 Daric Barton 357 686 329.0
8 Ian Desmond 250 574 324.0
9 Justin Smoak 100 397 297.0
10 Giancarlo Stanton 100 396 296.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ángel Pagán 322 633 311.0
2 Justin Morneau 648 348 300.0
3 Michael Brantley 604 325 279.0
4 Jimmy Rollins 667 394 273.0
5 Wilson Valdez 100 363 263.0
6 Ryan Sweeney 591 331 260.0
7 Álex González 401 640 239.0
8 Danny Valencia 550 322 228.0
9 Jason Bay 622 401 221.0
10 Luis Valbuena 530 310 220.0

Most Unique Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Austin Jackson 100 593 675 575.0 82.0 493.0
2 Ike Davis 100 523 601 501.0 78.0 423.0
3 Jason Heyward 100 496 623 523.0 127.0 396.0
4 Starlin Castro 100 542 506 406.0 36.0 370.0
5 Jose Tabata 100 437 441 341.0 4.0 337.0
6 Gaby Sanchez 215 480 643 428.0 163.0 265.0
7 Drew Stubbs 303 605 583 280.0 22.0 258.0
8 Justin Smoak 100 347 397 297.0 50.0 247.0
9 Daric Barton 357 595 686 329.0 91.0 238.0
10 Ian Desmond 250 484 574 324.0 90.0 234.0

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel ZiPS
Jim Thome 0.1276
0.0760
(18.0)
0.0870
(14.3)
0.0760
(18.0)
Corey Hart 0.0733
0.0455
(17.9)
0.0427
(19.6)
0.0455
(17.9)
Colby Rasmus 0.0714
0.0391
(18.0)
0.0401
(17.4)
0.0391
(18.0)
Vernon Wells 0.0609
0.0392
(14.9)
0.0346
(17.8)
0.0392
(14.9)
Jonny Gomes 0.0453
0.0791
(18.5)
0.0711
(14.0)
0.0791
(18.5)
Paul Konerko 0.0878
0.0562
(20.8)
0.0599
(18.5)
0.0562
(20.8)
Carlos González 0.0741
0.0442
(19.9)
0.0393
(23.0)
0.0442
(19.9)
Jason Bay 0.0230
0.0911
(26.8)
0.0693
(18.0)
0.0911
(26.8)
Joey Votto 0.0871
0.0588
(19.2)
0.0582
(19.6)
0.0588
(19.2)
Ryan Howard 0.0783
0.1183
(23.9)
0.1040
(15.1)
0.1183
(23.9)
Tyler Colvin 0.0763
0.0303
(18.7)
0.0323
(17.9)
0.0303
(18.7)
José Bautista 0.1182
0.0459
(50.3)
0.0425
(52.6)
0.0459
(50.3)
Ben Zobrist 0.0221
0.0475
(15.8)
0.0577
(22.5)
0.0475
(15.8)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Stubbs 0.0256 0.0620 22.0
2 Raul Ibanez 0.0670 0.0348 19.6
3 Evan Longoria 0.0789 0.0478 19.6
4 Ryan Braun 0.0752 0.0483 17.5
5 Michael Cuddyer 0.0511 0.0269 15.4
6 Ryan Ludwick 0.0734 0.0452 14.9
7 Nick Markakis 0.0426 0.0222 13.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0395 0.0928 21.6
2 Austin Jackson 0.0395 0.0088 19.8
3 Kelly Johnson 0.0319 0.0588 18.9
4 Starlin Castro 0.0395 0.0075 15.5
5 Mark Reynolds 0.0865 0.1092 14.4
6 David Wright 0.0471 0.0662 13.7
7 Elvis Andrus 0.0215 0.0000 13.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Stubbs 0.0256 0.0620 22.0
2 Raul Ibanez 0.0670 0.0348 19.6
3 Evan Longoria 0.0789 0.0478 19.6
4 Ryan Braun 0.0752 0.0483 17.5
5 Michael Cuddyer 0.0511 0.0269 15.4
6 Ryan Ludwick 0.0734 0.0452 14.9
7 Nick Markakis 0.0426 0.0222 13.5

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Austin Jackson 0.0395 0.0143 0.0088 19.8 2.8 17.0
2 Starlin Castro 0.0395 0.0113 0.0075 15.5 1.2 14.3
3 Pedro Álvarez 0.0395 0.0645 0.0696 12.1 2.5 9.6
4 Jose Tabata 0.0395 0.0177 0.0113 11.9 2.2 9.6
5 Julio Borbon 0.0318 0.0120 0.0077 10.6 1.3 9.3
6 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0395 0.0625 0.0928 21.6 12.5 9.1
7 Ian Desmond 0.0432 0.0210 0.0231 10.8 2.0 8.7
8 David Ortiz 0.0661 0.0792 0.0849 12.2 4.2 7.9
9 John Buck 0.0476 0.0711 0.0658 8.5 1.7 6.8
10 Ben Zobrist 0.0577 0.0475 0.0221 22.5 15.8 6.7

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel ZiPS
Alex Rodriguez 0.0282
0.0943
(42.6)
0.0933
(38.2)
0.0943
(42.6)
Cliff Pennington 0.2071
0.1078
(54.1)
0.0909
(67.5)
0.1078
(54.1)
Ángel Pagán 0.2256
0.1500
(44.5)
0.1250
(64.3)
0.1500
(44.5)
Rafael Furcal 0.1864
0.0769
(44.6)
0.0927
(40.5)
0.0769
(44.6)
Will Venable 0.2566
0.0652
(82.8)
0.0645
(85.9)
0.0652
(82.8)
Alex Rios 0.2222
0.1477
(42.7)
0.1460
(47.7)
0.1477
(42.7)
B.J. Upton 0.3088
0.2096
(57.3)
0.2025
(65.5)
0.2096
(57.3)
Franklin Gutierrez 0.1667
0.0625
(62.2)
0.0935
(46.6)
0.0625
(62.2)
Andres Torres 0.2047
0.1011
(56.0)
0.1045
(57.7)
0.1011
(56.0)
Coco Crisp 0.3765
0.1935
(58.2)
0.1685
(68.5)
0.1935
(58.2)
Brandon Phillips 0.0941
0.1678
(54.3)
0.1583
(43.4)
0.1678
(54.3)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Young 0.0667 0.1687 64.2
2 José Reyes 0.3028 0.2113 58.4
3 Julio Borbon 0.2398 0.1210 58.1
4 Jayson Nix 0.1429 0.0139 48.8
5 Rajai Davis 0.2617 0.3497 46.3
6 Alcides Escobar 0.1534 0.0769 45.2
7 Elvis Andrus 0.2138 0.1546 43.5
8 Ichiro Suzuki 0.1250 0.1883 42.4
9 Hunter Pence 0.0526 0.1146 37.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rickie Weeks Jr. 0.1250 0.0521 54.2
2 Austin Jackson 0.0679 0.1467 53.9
3 Corey Hart 0.1327 0.0500 50.2
4 Adrian Beltré 0.0877 0.0129 47.3
5 Drew Stubbs 0.1316 0.2083 45.3
6 Torii Hunter 0.1190 0.0529 42.1
7 Erick Aybar 0.0809 0.1467 39.3
8 Jose Tabata 0.0679 0.1557 39.2
9 Sean Rodríguez 0.0536 0.1529 37.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Young 0.0667 0.1687 64.2
2 José Reyes 0.3028 0.2113 58.4
3 Julio Borbon 0.2398 0.1210 58.1
4 Jayson Nix 0.1429 0.0139 48.8
5 Rajai Davis 0.2617 0.3497 46.3
6 Alcides Escobar 0.1534 0.0769 45.2
7 Elvis Andrus 0.2138 0.1546 43.5
8 Ichiro Suzuki 0.1250 0.1883 42.4
9 Hunter Pence 0.0526 0.1146 37.3

Most Unique Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Drew Stubbs 0.1316 0.2055 0.2083 45.3 1.5 43.9
2 Corey Hart 0.1327 0.0640 0.0500 50.2 11.9 38.3
3 Austin Jackson 0.0679 0.1127 0.1467 53.9 19.4 34.5
4 Ian Desmond 0.0690 0.1181 0.1278 34.4 2.5 31.9
5 Torii Hunter 0.1190 0.0698 0.0529 42.1 14.3 27.7
6 Matt Kemp 0.1709 0.1265 0.1284 27.7 2.3 25.4
7 Rickie Weeks Jr. 0.1250 0.0874 0.0521 54.2 30.6 23.6
8 Alfonso Soriano 0.1161 0.0696 0.0459 37.9 15.9 22.0
9 Mark Reynolds 0.0922 0.0496 0.0500 24.6 3.0 21.6
10 Ike Davis 0.0679 0.0000 0.0190 28.8 8.2 20.6

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel ZiPS
Drew Stubbs 0.1561
0.1207
(25.2)
0.1287
(19.5)
0.1207
(25.2)
Lance Berkman 0.0998
0.1517
(21.2)
0.1444
(18.5)
0.1517
(21.2)
Carl Crawford 0.1659
0.1398
(22.5)
0.1404
(21.0)
0.1398
(22.5)
Aubrey Huff 0.1497
0.1201
(25.0)
0.1187
(24.8)
0.1201
(25.0)
Austin Jackson 0.1526
0.0978
(42.2)
0.1214
(25.2)
0.0978
(42.2)
Paul Konerko 0.1410
0.1135
(22.3)
0.1175
(18.7)
0.1135
(22.3)
Carlos González 0.1745
0.1341
(30.7)
0.1328
(30.4)
0.1341
(30.7)
Joey Votto 0.1636
0.1324
(25.2)
0.1322
(24.3)
0.1324
(25.2)
Miguel Cabrera 0.1713
0.1332
(29.7)
0.1311
(30.1)
0.1332
(29.7)
Chone Figgins 0.0883
0.1483
(36.7)
0.1473
(37.1)
0.1483
(36.7)
Josh Hamilton 0.1664
0.1323
(23.9)
0.1325
(22.9)
0.1323
(23.9)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nyjer Morgan 0.1692 0.1040 33.1
2 Ike Davis 0.0880 0.1215 24.8
3 Adam Jones 0.1640 0.1224 21.0
4 Robinson Canó 0.1262 0.1480 20.6
5 Michael Saunders 0.1586 0.0887 20.3
6 Alex Rios 0.1198 0.1442 19.9
7 Tyler Colvin 0.1101 0.1519 19.6
8 Luis Valbuena 0.1415 0.0710 19.5
9 Kevin Youkilis 0.1412 0.1770 19.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Bautista 0.1219 0.1596 29.9
2 Martín Prado 0.1263 0.1536 21.8
3 Adam Lind 0.1336 0.0930 21.1
4 Ichiro Suzuki 0.1352 0.1011 20.5
5 Alex Rodriguez 0.1644 0.1244 20.2
6 Howie Kendrick 0.1383 0.1018 20.0
7 Hunter Pence 0.1193 0.1413 18.5
8 Brett Gardner 0.1444 0.1705 18.3
9 Orlando Hudson 0.1173 0.1431 17.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nyjer Morgan 0.1692 0.1040 33.1
2 Ike Davis 0.0880 0.1215 24.8
3 Adam Jones 0.1640 0.1224 21.0
4 Robinson Canó 0.1262 0.1480 20.6
5 Michael Saunders 0.1586 0.0887 20.3
6 Alex Rios 0.1198 0.1442 19.9
7 Tyler Colvin 0.1101 0.1519 19.6
8 Luis Valbuena 0.1415 0.0710 19.5
9 Kevin Youkilis 0.1412 0.1770 19.0

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 José Bautista 0.1219 0.1432 0.1596 29.9 16.5 13.4
2 Casey McGehee 0.1343 0.1173 0.1045 15.9 3.3 12.5
3 Alex Avila 0.1230 0.0925 0.0841 10.9 0.2 10.7
4 Jason Heyward 0.1214 0.1391 0.1332 11.2 1.2 10.0
5 Juan Pierre 0.1250 0.1389 0.1308 8.8 0.2 8.5
6 Albert Pujols 0.1569 0.1703 0.1643 9.5 1.2 8.3
7 Johnny Damon 0.1551 0.1441 0.1321 10.3 2.6 7.7
8 Alex Rodriguez 0.1644 0.1541 0.1244 20.2 13.1 7.1
9 Denard Span 0.1458 0.1380 0.1206 13.4 6.8 6.6
10 Hunter Pence 0.1193 0.1305 0.1413 18.5 12.3 6.3

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel ZiPS
Troy Tulowitzki 0.1796
0.1331
(30.0)
0.1343
(26.3)
0.1331
(30.0)
Bengie Molina 0.0865
0.1770
(33.4)
0.1522
(25.4)
0.1770
(33.4)
Paul Konerko 0.1759
0.1294
(35.8)
0.1320
(30.5)
0.1294
(35.8)
Erick Aybar 0.0492
0.1074
(28.2)
0.1048
(30.1)
0.1074
(28.2)
Carlos González 0.1840
0.1210
(46.5)
0.0952
(59.3)
0.1210
(46.5)
Nick Markakis 0.0846
0.1474
(37.3)
0.1374
(34.3)
0.1474
(37.3)
Prince Fielder 0.1162
0.2067
(57.3)
0.1672
(33.2)
0.2067
(57.3)
Miguel Cabrera 0.1944
0.1611
(28.2)
0.1618
(24.0)
0.1611
(28.2)
José Bautista 0.1816
0.1263
(44.7)
0.1106
(51.5)
0.1263
(44.7)
Delmon Young 0.1827
0.1356
(35.1)
0.1266
(37.2)
0.1356
(35.1)
Brandon Phillips 0.0859
0.1452
(33.8)
0.1372
(32.2)
0.1452
(33.8)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Stubbs 0.0777 0.1321 37.7
2 Pablo Sandoval 0.1705 0.1023 35.8
3 Álex González 0.0973 0.1375 32.3
4 Alex Rodriguez 0.1667 0.2101 31.9
5 Ian Desmond 0.0702 0.1132 30.5
6 Ryan Ludwick 0.1873 0.1248 28.9
7 Orlando Hudson 0.1272 0.0662 28.4
8 Scott Rolen 0.1121 0.1546 28.3
9 Yuniesky Betancourt 0.0955 0.1327 27.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Jackson 0.1167 0.0607 34.7
2 Corey Hart 0.1248 0.1661 28.1
3 Adrian Beltré 0.1207 0.1591 27.5
4 Yunel Escobar 0.1099 0.0617 24.8
5 Robinson Canó 0.1258 0.1566 24.5
6 Chris Young 0.1063 0.1370 23.4
7 Vladimir Guerrero 0.1473 0.1788 23.2
8 Neil Walker 0.0978 0.1407 22.2
9 Buster Posey 0.1065 0.1512 21.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Stubbs 0.0777 0.1321 37.7
2 Pablo Sandoval 0.1705 0.1023 35.8
3 Álex González 0.0973 0.1375 32.3
4 Alex Rodriguez 0.1667 0.2101 31.9
5 Ian Desmond 0.0702 0.1132 30.5
6 Ryan Ludwick 0.1873 0.1248 28.9
7 Orlando Hudson 0.1272 0.0662 28.4
8 Scott Rolen 0.1121 0.1546 28.3
9 Yuniesky Betancourt 0.0955 0.1327 27.8

Most Unique Misses for RBI Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Austin Jackson 0.1167 0.0843 0.0607 34.7 9.0 25.7
2 Adrian Beltré 0.1207 0.1770 0.1591 27.5 4.9 22.5
3 Vladimir Guerrero 0.1473 0.1876 0.1788 23.2 0.9 22.3
4 Corey Hart 0.1248 0.1569 0.1661 28.1 11.9 16.2
5 Neil Walker 0.0978 0.1694 0.1407 22.2 8.6 13.6
6 Chris Young 0.1063 0.1320 0.1370 23.4 10.2 13.3
7 Johnny Damon 0.1176 0.1019 0.0832 18.4 5.2 13.1
8 Carlos González 0.0952 0.1210 0.1840 59.3 46.5 12.8
9 Elvis Andrus 0.0857 0.0730 0.0519 19.8 7.4 12.4
10 Jose Tabata 0.1167 0.0847 0.0794 14.5 2.2 12.3

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel ZiPS
Pablo Sandoval 0.2682
0.3199
(30.7)
0.3165
(26.9)
0.3199
(30.7)
Dan Uggla 0.2869
0.2458
(29.0)
0.2505
(27.7)
0.2458
(29.0)
Carlos Pena 0.1963
0.2432
(26.2)
0.2511
(29.2)
0.2432
(26.2)
Nick Swisher 0.2880
0.2427
(30.0)
0.2452
(30.1)
0.2427
(30.0)
Paul Konerko 0.3120
0.2685
(28.6)
0.2614
(34.9)
0.2685
(28.6)
Carlos González 0.3356
0.2705
(42.6)
0.2659
(47.3)
0.2705
(42.6)
Adrian Beltré 0.3209
0.2762
(29.9)
0.2670
(37.5)
0.2762
(29.9)
Aramis Ramirez 0.2409
0.2952
(26.6)
0.2966
(25.9)
0.2952
(26.6)
Aaron Hill 0.2045
0.2746
(39.6)
0.2807
(41.5)
0.2746
(39.6)
Casey Kotchman 0.2174
0.2709
(23.6)
0.2757
(24.5)
0.2709
(23.6)
Matt Kemp 0.2492
0.3002
(32.8)
0.2962
(28.3)
0.3002
(32.8)
Mark Reynolds 0.1984
0.2585
(34.7)
0.2562
(31.7)
0.2585
(34.7)
Carlos Lee 0.2463
0.2976
(32.1)
0.2992
(31.4)
0.2976
(32.1)
Josh Hamilton 0.3591
0.2833
(44.4)
0.2857
(44.5)
0.2833
(44.4)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Jackson 0.2468 0.2929 32.4
2 John Buck 0.2208 0.2812 27.2
3 Chris Johnson 0.2433 0.3079 24.1
4 Garrett Jones 0.2852 0.2466 24.0
5 José Bautista 0.2271 0.2601 23.9
6 Brendan Ryan 0.2739 0.2232 23.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Derek Jeter 0.3143 0.2700 29.4
2 Nelson Cruz 0.2637 0.3183 26.4
3 Carlos Ruiz 0.2480 0.3019 25.4
4 Adam Lind 0.2829 0.2373 25.2
5 Buster Posey 0.2539 0.3054 24.9
6 Mark Teixeira 0.2951 0.2562 24.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Jackson 0.2468 0.2929 32.4
2 John Buck 0.2208 0.2812 27.2
3 Chris Johnson 0.2433 0.3079 24.1
4 Garrett Jones 0.2852 0.2466 24.0
5 José Bautista 0.2271 0.2601 23.9
6 Brendan Ryan 0.2739 0.2232 23.7

Most Unique Misses for Batting Average

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jorge Posada 0.2954 0.2556 0.2480 19.3 2.5 16.7
2 Daric Barton 0.2516 0.2680 0.2734 18.1 5.0 13.1
3 Kelly Johnson 0.2656 0.2788 0.2838 15.3 4.6 10.7
4 Ronny Cedeno 0.2361 0.2522 0.2564 12.5 3.1 9.5
5 Felipe López 0.2817 0.2582 0.2327 19.5 10.4 9.1
6 Mark Teixeira 0.2951 0.2805 0.2562 24.4 15.9 8.5
7 Chone Figgins 0.2941 0.2797 0.2591 21.3 13.1 8.2
8 Alex Avila 0.2651 0.2386 0.2279 10.9 3.0 7.9
9 Adrian Beltré 0.2670 0.2762 0.3209 37.5 29.9 7.7
10 Alex Rodriguez 0.2952 0.2809 0.2701 12.2 5.3 6.9

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel ZiPS
Ian Snell 227
862
(635.0)
663
(436.0)
862
(635.0)
Jason Marquis 276
814
(538.0)
791
(515.0)
814
(538.0)
Ian Kennedy 810
363
(447.0)
261
(549.0)
363
(447.0)
Brad Penny 232
670
(438.0)
666
(434.0)
670
(438.0)
Tim Hudson 920
484
(436.0)
388
(532.0)
484
(436.0)
Mike Leake 604
100
(504.0)
100
(504.0)
100
(504.0)
Jake Westbrook 860
231
(629.0)
267
(593.0)
231
(629.0)
Brett Myers 936
514
(422.0)
425
(511.0)
514
(422.0)
C.J. Wilson 850
289
(561.0)
290
(560.0)
289
(561.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Carpenter 394 969 575.0
2 Gil Meche 798 281 517.0
3 Chris Tillman 728 236 492.0
4 Aníbal Sánchez 357 841 484.0
5 Andy Sonnanstine 817 355 462.0
6 Aaron Laffey 708 253 455.0
7 Hector Ambriz 673 224 449.0
8 Jose Contreras 673 233 440.0
9 Jason Berken 686 262 424.0
10 Freddy Garcia 249 671 422.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Colby Lewis 114 844 730.0
2 Rodrigo Lopez 295 874 579.0
3 Jaime García 134 695 561.0
4 Mitch Talbot 168 696 528.0
5 Shaun Marcum 295 800 505.0
6 Chris Narveson 239 724 485.0
7 Jeremy Bonderman 277 754 477.0
8 Jonathon Niese 334 770 436.0
9 Jhoulys Chacín 155 583 428.0
10 Hisanori Takahashi 100 516 416.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chris Carpenter 394 969 575.0
2 Gil Meche 798 281 517.0
3 Chris Tillman 728 236 492.0
4 Aníbal Sánchez 357 841 484.0
5 Andy Sonnanstine 817 355 462.0
6 Aaron Laffey 708 253 455.0
7 Hector Ambriz 673 224 449.0
8 Jose Contreras 673 233 440.0
9 Jason Berken 686 262 424.0
10 Freddy Garcia 249 671 422.0

Most Unique Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Colby Lewis 114 759 844 730.0 85.0 645.0
2 Kyle Kendrick 365 771 771 406.0 0.0 406.0
3 Jhoulys Chacín 155 636 583 428.0 53.0 375.0
4 Hisanori Takahashi 100 572 516 416.0 56.0 360.0
5 Mitch Talbot 168 524 696 528.0 172.0 356.0
6 Brian Matusz 371 685 760 389.0 75.0 314.0
7 Wade Davis 342 790 722 380.0 68.0 312.0
8 Jonathon Niese 334 641 770 436.0 129.0 307.0
9 Carlos Monasterios 100 403 399 299.0 4.0 295.0
10 Doug Fister 380 656 720 340.0 64.0 276.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sean Burnett 293 293 261 32.0 32.0 0.0
2 Matt Capps 275 275 305 30.0 30.0 0.0
3 Ryan Madson 326 326 217 109.0 109.0 0.0
4 Jaime García 298 298 695 397.0 397.0 0.0
5 Tyler Clippard 374 374 378 4.0 4.0 0.0
6 Jon Rauch 312 312 245 67.0 67.0 0.0
7 Matt Guerrier 326 326 286 40.0 40.0 0.0
8 Chris Carpenter 394 394 969 575.0 575.0 0.0
9 Luke Gregerson 318 318 297 21.0 21.0 0.0
10 Rafael Perez 339 339 272 67.0 67.0 0.0

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel ZiPS
Roy Oswalt 0.2306
0.1786
(34.2)
0.1826
(37.0)
0.1786
(34.2)
Carlos Marmol 0.4157
0.2978
(35.5)
0.2557
(51.8)
0.2978
(35.5)
Mat Latos 0.2527
0.1616
(59.9)
0.1799
(51.6)
0.1616
(59.9)
Rich Harden 0.1744
0.2687
(45.3)
0.2586
(37.8)
0.2687
(45.3)
Javier Vazquez 0.1772
0.2264
(41.2)
0.2371
(43.5)
0.2264
(41.2)
Brandon Morrow 0.2830
0.2126
(37.3)
0.2087
(44.3)
0.2126
(37.3)
Randy Wolf 0.1517
0.1828
(39.5)
0.1883
(37.8)
0.1828
(39.5)
Scott Kazmir 0.1364
0.2158
(61.8)
0.2141
(55.6)
0.2158
(61.8)
Jered Weaver 0.2575
0.1827
(57.6)
0.1910
(56.7)
0.1827
(57.6)
Colby Lewis 0.2322
0.1686
(44.3)
0.1754
(44.7)
0.1686
(44.3)
A.J. Burnett 0.1749
0.2072
(36.0)
0.2205
(41.0)
0.2072
(36.0)
Jon Lester 0.2613
0.2023
(41.3)
0.2157
(36.1)
0.2023
(41.3)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Johan Santana 0.2374 0.1763 59.0
2 Zack Greinke 0.2433 0.1970 52.8
3 Jhoulys Chacín 0.1352 0.2367 52.7
4 Jonny Venters 0.1209 0.2657 46.8
5 Tommy Hanson 0.2438 0.2047 42.4
6 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.1860 0.2394 37.8
7 Matt Belisle 0.1362 0.2493 37.3
8 Sean Marshall 0.1719 0.2932 33.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Francisco Liriano 0.1935 0.2494 42.0
2 Billy Wagner 0.2288 0.3881 41.7
3 Stephen Strasburg 0.1850 0.3358 40.3
4 Carl Pavano 0.1676 0.1291 38.3
5 Joel Hanrahan 0.2128 0.3401 36.3
6 Adam Wainwright 0.1913 0.2341 35.5
7 Rafael Betancourt 0.2146 0.3589 34.8
8 Mitch Talbot 0.1726 0.1264 34.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Johan Santana 0.2374 0.1763 59.0
2 Zack Greinke 0.2433 0.1970 52.8
3 Jhoulys Chacín 0.1352 0.2367 52.7
4 Jonny Venters 0.1209 0.2657 46.8
5 Tommy Hanson 0.2438 0.2047 42.4
6 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.1860 0.2394 37.8
7 Matt Belisle 0.1362 0.2493 37.3
8 Sean Marshall 0.1719 0.2932 33.8

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Luis Atilano 0.1850 0.0966 0.1039 32.7 1.5 31.2
2 Mitch Talbot 0.1726 0.1221 0.1264 34.8 4.7 30.0
3 Doug Fister 0.1632 0.1204 0.1292 27.2 1.7 25.5
4 Adam Wainwright 0.1913 0.2117 0.2341 35.5 10.2 25.3
5 Barry Enright 0.1850 0.1203 0.1195 28.4 4.9 23.5
6 Brad Bergesen 0.1469 0.1094 0.1086 31.4 8.9 22.5
7 Billy Wagner 0.2288 0.2973 0.3881 41.7 21.4 20.3
8 Félix Hernández 0.2077 0.2225 0.2318 20.3 1.8 18.6
9 Rick Porcello 0.1426 0.1081 0.1200 18.5 0.5 18.0
10 Eddie Bonine 0.1522 0.0870 0.0858 21.3 3.7 17.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jake Westbrook 0.1342 0.1342 0.1488 3.0 3.0 0.0
2 Mat Latos 0.1616 0.1616 0.2527 59.9 59.9 0.0
3 Drew Storen 0.2222 0.2222 0.2241 2.1 2.1 0.0
4 Hung-Chih Kuo 0.2772 0.2772 0.3188 7.0 7.0 0.0
5 Jonathan Papelbon 0.2868 0.2868 0.2648 9.5 9.5 0.0
6 Joakim Soria 0.2835 0.2835 0.2630 8.5 8.5 0.0
7 Rafael Soriano 0.2652 0.2652 0.2405 8.5 8.5 0.0
8 Chris Perez 0.2571 0.2571 0.2346 8.7 8.7 0.0
9 David Robertson 0.2630 0.2630 0.2601 3.8 3.8 0.0
10 Chris Ray 0.2032 0.2032 0.1325 19.1 19.1 0.0

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel ZiPS
Trevor Cahill 0.6000
0.3000
(229.6)
0.2143
(242.7)
0.3000
(229.6)
Clay Buchholz 0.6071
0.3548
(174.6)
0.2188
(222.3)
0.3548
(174.6)
Gio Gonzalez 0.4545
0.2308
(184.7)
0.1765
(172.2)
0.2308
(184.7)
Carl Pavano 0.5312
0.3158
(189.1)
0.2750
(163.6)
0.3158
(189.1)
David Price 0.5938
0.3103
(238.2)
0.2222
(254.7)
0.3103
(238.2)
Tim Wakefield 0.1250
0.4231
(185.9)
0.3226
(166.7)
0.4231
(185.9)
Phil Hughes 0.5806
0.1750
(291.2)
0.1316
(272.5)
0.1750
(291.2)
R.A. Dickey 0.4074
0.1351
(189.3)
0.0968
(167.5)
0.1351
(189.3)
Ervin Santana 0.5152
0.3571
(144.3)
0.2647
(166.7)
0.3571
(144.3)
Brett Cecil 0.5357
0.2414
(208.8)
0.2059
(184.5)
0.2414
(208.8)
Kevin Millwood 0.1290
0.3333
(177.7)
0.2632
(176.7)
0.3333
(177.7)
Jon Lester 0.5938
0.3939
(166.2)
0.3250
(166.2)
0.3939
(166.2)
C.J. Wilson 0.4545
0.0758
(316.2)
0.0784
(255.3)
0.0758
(316.2)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brett Myers 0.1818 0.4242 220.6
2 Brandon Morrow 0.1000 0.3846 174.8
3 Dan Haren 0.5000 0.3429 162.9
4 Zack Greinke 0.4706 0.3030 160.2
5 Ryan Rowland-Smith 0.3333 0.0370 154.5
6 Bruce Chen 0.1111 0.3636 149.4
7 Javier Vazquez 0.5312 0.3226 147.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ubaldo Jiménez 0.2927 0.5758 185.4
2 Colby Lewis 0.0833 0.3750 182.3
3 Roy Halladay 0.3784 0.6364 181.0
4 Jaime García 0.1429 0.4643 170.8
5 Adam Wainwright 0.3590 0.6061 155.9
6 Francisco Liriano 0.1842 0.4516 154.5
7 Clayton Richard 0.1707 0.4242 153.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brett Myers 0.1818 0.4242 220.6
2 Brandon Morrow 0.1000 0.3846 174.8
3 Dan Haren 0.5000 0.3429 162.9
4 Zack Greinke 0.4706 0.3030 160.2
5 Ryan Rowland-Smith 0.3333 0.0370 154.5
6 Bruce Chen 0.1111 0.3636 149.4
7 Javier Vazquez 0.5312 0.3226 147.1

Most Unique Misses for Win Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Colby Lewis 0.0833 0.4074 0.3750 182.3 33.0 149.2
2 Roy Halladay 0.3784 0.5938 0.6364 181.0 35.6 145.3
3 Ryan Dempster 0.2326 0.4000 0.4412 122.0 31.6 90.4
4 Carlos Monasterios 0.2813 0.1333 0.0938 105.0 18.5 86.6
5 Tim Hudson 0.2609 0.4211 0.5000 150.3 66.4 83.9
6 Justin Verlander 0.3415 0.5000 0.5455 118.6 35.8 82.8
7 Tim Lincecum 0.3250 0.4706 0.4848 75.5 6.8 68.7
8 Kyle Davies 0.2647 0.2500 0.2500 73.9 5.5 68.4
9 Drew Storen 0.2813 0.0690 0.0741 65.6 0.4 65.3
10 Wade Davis 0.1379 0.2941 0.4138 144.5 81.5 62.9

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel ZiPS
Brian Wilson 0.6857
0.0000
(204.7)
0.4400
(82.5)
0.0000
(204.7)
Heath Bell 0.7015
0.0000
(193.5)
0.2400
(138.0)
0.0000
(193.5)
Kevin Gregg 0.5873
0.0000
(142.2)
0.3077
(76.0)
0.0000
(142.2)
Carlos Marmol 0.4935
0.0000
(154.7)
0.1071
(134.7)
0.0000
(154.7)
Billy Wagner 0.5211
0.0000
(132.3)
0.2800
(69.8)
0.0000
(132.3)
Matt Lindstrom 0.3966
0.0000
(90.1)
0.1364
(68.2)
0.0000
(90.1)
David Aardsma 0.5849
0.0000
(112.6)
0.2653
(68.5)
0.0000
(112.6)
John Axford 0.4800
0.0000
(107.7)
0.0714
(101.9)
0.0000
(107.7)
Rafael Soriano 0.7031
0.0000
(160.1)
0.2292
(116.9)
0.0000
(160.1)
Matt Capps 0.5676
0.0000
(164.8)
0.3256
(79.7)
0.0000
(164.8)
Juan Carlos Oviedo 0.4412
0.0000
(111.7)
0.1915
(72.7)
0.0000
(111.7)
Neftalí Feliz 0.5714
0.0000
(146.3)
0.0952
(133.3)
0.0000
(146.3)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joakim Soria 0.0000 0.6515 168.5
2 Francisco Cordero 0.0000 0.5333 159.9
3 Jonathan Papelbon 0.0000 0.5692 155.5
4 Mariano Rivera 0.0000 0.5410 118.1
5 Ryan Franklin 0.0000 0.4576 113.6
6 Bobby Jenks 0.0000 0.4909 107.1
7 Jose Valverde 0.0000 0.4333 105.1
8 Francisco Rodríguez 0.0000 0.4717 104.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 C.J. Wilson 0.2157 0.0000 166.8
2 Octavio Dotel 0.0426 0.3235 83.8
3 Chris Perez 0.0698 0.3651 81.8
4 Brett Myers 0.1000 0.0000 75.4
5 Hisanori Takahashi 0.0281 0.1509 73.4
6 Alfredo Simon 0.0476 0.3469 70.8
7 Brandon Morrow 0.1316 0.0000 70.5
8 Jon Rauch 0.0926 0.3559 69.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joakim Soria 0.0000 0.6515 168.5
2 Francisco Cordero 0.0000 0.5333 159.9
3 Jonathan Papelbon 0.0000 0.5692 155.5
4 Mariano Rivera 0.0000 0.5410 118.1
5 Ryan Franklin 0.0000 0.4576 113.6
6 Bobby Jenks 0.0000 0.4909 107.1
7 Jose Valverde 0.0000 0.4333 105.1
8 Francisco Rodríguez 0.0000 0.4717 104.9

Most Unique Misses for Save Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 C.J. Wilson 0.2157 0.0000 0.0000 166.8 23.3 143.5
2 Brandon Morrow 0.1316 0.0000 0.0000 70.5 17.2 53.3
3 Brett Myers 0.1000 0.0000 0.0000 75.4 25.6 49.8
4 Ryan Dempster 0.0930 0.0000 0.0000 67.6 25.1 42.4
5 Takashi Saito 0.1951 0.0000 0.0179 34.9 2.1 32.8
6 Colby Lewis 0.0833 0.0000 0.0000 53.9 23.1 30.8
7 J.J. Putz 0.2258 0.0000 0.0500 34.2 5.0 29.3
8 Frank Francisco 0.1951 0.0000 0.0357 30.9 1.8 29.1
9 Brad Ziegler 0.1304 0.0000 0.0000 28.5 7.0 21.5
10 Trevor Hoffman 0.4878 0.0000 0.2000 55.0 35.4 19.6

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel ZiPS
Trevor Cahill 2.9746
4.8734
(1187.3)
4.5116
(1059.7)
4.8734
(1187.3)
Ryan Rowland-Smith 6.7500
4.0527
(1570.7)
3.8393
(1578.1)
4.0527
(1570.7)
Zack Greinke 4.1727
3.1062
(1331.7)
3.0628
(1188.7)
3.1062
(1331.7)
Gio Gonzalez 3.2292
5.2143
(1363.7)
5.3818
(1675.6)
5.2143
(1363.7)
Clay Buchholz 2.3321
4.4628
(1243.0)
4.7203
(1567.5)
4.4628
(1243.0)
David Price 2.7173
4.6339
(1320.8)
4.3200
(1221.9)
4.6339
(1320.8)
Chad Qualls 7.3220
3.5634
(1163.7)
3.7370
(1059.0)
3.5634
(1163.7)
Javier Vazquez 5.3199
3.5255
(1486.9)
3.7420
(1203.1)
3.5255
(1486.9)
Livan Hernandez 3.6567
5.6654
(1457.1)
5.2878
(1297.0)
5.6654
(1457.1)
Scott Kazmir 5.9400
4.2579
(1408.1)
4.1557
(1342.1)
4.2579
(1408.1)
R.A. Dickey 2.8394
5.0400
(1296.3)
4.6721
(1175.9)
5.0400
(1296.3)
Josh Beckett 5.7807
3.9629
(1269.6)
3.9344
(1171.2)
3.9629
(1269.6)
James Shields 5.1787
3.9367
(1460.5)
3.9990
(1225.6)
3.9367
(1460.5)
Brett Myers 3.1386
4.8324
(1227.3)
4.5547
(1153.6)
4.8324
(1227.3)
Charlie Morton 7.5690
4.1159
(1465.2)
4.7897
(1131.8)
4.1159
(1465.2)

Individual Misses for ERA

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dan Haren 3.0439 3.9064 1237.5
2 Kevin Correia 3.9320 5.4000 1186.2
3 Brian Duensing 5.1830 2.6173 1168.0
4 Jaime García 4.7488 2.7000 1158.0
5 Jonny Venters 5.4187 1.9518 1079.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Burnett 4.0820 5.2554 1124.9
2 Jonathan Sánchez 4.5803 3.0724 1075.4
3 Zach Duke 4.4278 5.7170 1075.1
4 Kyle Lohse 4.3485 6.5543 1029.8
5 Mat Latos 4.4796 2.9242 1026.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dan Haren 3.0439 3.9064 1237.5
2 Kevin Correia 3.9320 5.4000 1186.2
3 Brian Duensing 5.1830 2.6173 1168.0
4 Jaime García 4.7487 2.7000 1158.0
5 Jonny Venters 5.4187 1.9518 1079.5

Most Unique Misses for ERA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brad Bergesen 3.8283 4.9865 4.9765 993.5 277.9 715.6
2 Mat Latos 4.4796 3.9193 2.9242 1026.2 458.2 567.9
3 Randy Wells 3.4493 4.2602 4.2607 838.8 322.9 515.9
4 Luis Atilano 4.0092 5.5321 5.1479 509.0 0.7 508.4
5 Jonathan Sánchez 4.5803 4.1538 3.0724 1075.4 567.5 507.9
6 Johnny Cueto 4.5000 4.0849 3.6355 531.1 52.1 479.0
7 John Ely 4.0092 5.2714 5.4900 715.7 258.5 457.2
8 Félix Hernández 3.2425 3.0172 2.2710 788.7 364.0 424.7
9 Rick Porcello 4.1017 4.8874 4.9242 704.2 293.5 410.7
10 Jon Garland 4.3355 4.0545 3.4650 575.0 173.2 401.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jake Westbrook 4.7032 4.7032 4.2188 87.7 87.6 0.0
2 Freddy Garcia 5.3353 5.3353 4.6433 207.7 207.6 0.0
3 C.J. Wilson 3.9746 3.9746 3.3529 203.3 203.3 0.0
4 Aníbal Sánchez 4.6907 4.6907 3.5538 634.4 634.3 0.0
5 Bruce Chen 5.7042 5.7042 4.1686 701.0 701.0 0.0
6 Chris Carpenter 3.4714 3.4714 3.2170 124.2 124.1 0.0
7 Mat Latos 3.9194 3.9193 2.9242 458.2 458.2 0.0
8 Drew Storen 3.7800 3.7800 3.5783 42.0 41.9 0.0
9 Kyle Farnsworth 4.6184 4.6184 3.3402 239.1 239.1 0.0
10 Tony Sipp 4.1831 4.1831 4.1429 91.0 91.0 0.0

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual Aggregate Marcel ZiPS
Trevor Cahill 1.1085
1.4813
(247.2)
1.4203
(217.3)
1.4813
(247.2)
Ryan Rowland-Smith 1.6921
1.3083
(224.8)
1.3194
(207.6)
1.3083
(224.8)
Paul Maholm 1.5647
1.3539
(225.1)
1.3855
(179.4)
1.3539
(225.1)
Gio Gonzalez 1.3106
1.5714
(173.3)
1.5731
(194.2)
1.5714
(173.3)
Ian Kennedy 1.2010
1.4815
(180.9)
1.4966
(211.6)
1.4815
(180.9)
Kyle Lohse 1.7826
1.3987
(190.1)
1.3470
(202.6)
1.3987
(190.1)
Rich Harden 1.6630
1.2540
(200.5)
1.2664
(185.3)
1.2540
(200.5)
Javier Vazquez 1.3983
1.1561
(204.5)
1.1834
(170.3)
1.1561
(204.5)
Scott Feldman 1.5991
1.3533
(194.2)
1.3684
(169.9)
1.3533
(194.2)
Dan Haren 1.2723
1.0805
(247.4)
1.1344
(171.3)
1.0805
(247.4)
Livan Hernandez 1.3228
1.6049
(201.6)
1.5588
(180.6)
1.6049
(201.6)
R.A. Dickey 1.1874
1.5440
(213.5)
1.5027
(200.4)
1.5440
(213.5)
Zach Duke 1.6541
1.4021
(225.6)
1.4118
(202.0)
1.4021
(225.6)
James Shields 1.4607
1.2106
(276.1)
1.2650
(206.7)
1.2106
(276.1)
Josh Beckett 1.5352
1.1903
(232.0)
1.2186
(202.5)
1.1903
(232.0)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ricky Romero 1.5864 1.2905 210.7
2 Scott Kazmir 1.3581 1.5800 190.3
3 Aaron Harang 1.2719 1.5851 186.6
4 Chad Qualls 1.2183 1.7966 178.6
5 Tim Lincecum 1.1333 1.2716 175.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Félix Hernández 1.2756 1.0574 184.0
2 Cliff Lee 1.2526 1.0031 181.3
3 Mat Latos 1.3575 1.0830 179.6
4 Roy Oswalt 1.2640 1.0252 171.2
5 Jered Weaver 1.2968 1.0743 170.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ricky Romero 1.5864 1.2905 210.7
2 Scott Kazmir 1.3581 1.5800 190.3
3 Aaron Harang 1.2719 1.5851 186.6
4 Chad Qualls 1.2183 1.7966 178.6
5 Tim Lincecum 1.1333 1.2716 175.2

Most Unique Misses for WHIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Félix Hernández 1.2756 1.1734 1.0574 184.0 58.9 125.1
2 Colby Lewis 1.4122 1.3044 1.1891 159.4 49.1 110.3
3 Francisco Liriano 1.4748 1.3827 1.2626 143.3 50.7 92.6
4 Jeanmar Gómez 1.3290 1.7175 1.6474 93.5 3.4 90.0
5 Craig Stammen 1.3316 1.6000 1.5000 113.9 24.1 89.8
6 Cliff Lee 1.2526 1.1806 1.0031 181.3 101.4 79.9
7 Mark Buehrle 1.3020 1.4126 1.4025 121.0 42.2 78.8
8 Roy Halladay 1.1674 1.1143 1.0412 91.2 15.8 75.4
9 Luis Atilano 1.3290 1.5596 1.4942 76.8 3.2 73.6
10 Clayton Kershaw 1.3251 1.2623 1.1794 94.4 21.8 72.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jake Westbrook 1.4710 1.4710 1.3372 65.9 65.9 0.0
2 C.J. Wilson 1.4010 1.4010 1.2451 84.0 84.0 0.0
3 Freddy Garcia 1.4731 1.4730 1.3758 26.9 26.9 0.0
4 Aníbal Sánchez 1.5381 1.5381 1.3436 115.6 115.6 0.0
5 Chris Carpenter 1.2214 1.2214 1.1787 14.0 14.0 0.0
6 Mat Latos 1.3427 1.3427 1.0830 151.5 151.5 0.0
7 Phil Hughes 1.3452 1.3452 1.2476 29.5 29.5 0.0
8 Bruce Chen 1.5423 1.5422 1.3753 66.8 66.8 0.0
9 Drew Storen 1.3200 1.3200 1.2651 0.5 0.5 0.0
10 Tony Sipp 1.3944 1.3944 1.3810 11.6 11.6 0.0