2026 Projection Evaluation

Summary

Batting

System PA wOBA SO BB HR R RBI SB BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System BF wOBA ERA SO BB HR W L SV HLD BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Addison Barger 28
470
(442.2)
485
(457.1)
518
(490.0)
479
(451.0)
518
(490.0)
514
(486.0)
439
(411.0)
470
(442.2)
470
(442.2)
514
(486.0)
Jonathan India 58
504
(445.6)
507
(448.7)
497
(439.0)
546
(488.0)
497
(439.0)
505
(447.0)
474
(415.6)
504
(445.6)
504
(445.6)
561
(503.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 26 557 530.6
2 Tristan Peters 30 491 461.4
3 Brent Rooker 639 203 435.7
4 Brendan Donovan 569 159 410.3
5 Carlos Correa 546 141 404.7
6 Leody Taveras 86 482 395.9
7 Ildemaro Vargas 92 486 394.2
8 A.J. Ewing 100 492 392.0
9 Carson Williams 425 40 384.7
10 Parker Meadows 417 39 378.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 101 557 455.8
2 Brent Rooker 634 203 431.4
3 Carson Williams 445 40 404.6
4 Brendan Donovan 561 159 401.7
5 Carlos Correa 539 141 398.0
6 Parker Meadows 432 39 392.6
7 Tristan Peters 115 491 376.4
8 Ildemaro Vargas 130 486 356.2
9 Jordan Beck 533 180 353.4
10 Roman Anthony 595 242 353.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 42 557 515.0
2 Brent Rooker 672 203 469.0
3 Tristan Peters 28 491 463.0
4 Carson Williams 469 40 429.0
5 Carlos Correa 567 141 426.0
6 Parker Meadows 448 39 409.0
7 Harrison Bader 518 111 407.0
8 Leody Taveras 77 482 405.0
9 Brendan Donovan 560 159 401.0
10 Jordan Beck 581 180 401.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin McGonigle 100 707 607.0
2 Carson Benge 100 654 554.0
3 Kazuma Okamoto 100 636 536.0
4 TJ Rumfield 100 631 531.0
5 JJ Wetherholt 100 619 519.0
6 Sal Stewart 237 700 463.0
7 Chase DeLauter 100 559 459.0
8 Sam Antonacci 100 557 457.0
9 Carlos Santana 480 26 454.0
10 Munetaka Murakami 100 553 453.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 42 557 515.0
2 A.J. Ewing 1 492 491.0
3 Henry Bolte 1 473 472.0
4 Brent Rooker 672 203 469.0
5 Tristan Peters 28 491 463.0
6 Carson Williams 469 40 429.0
7 Carlos Correa 567 141 426.0
8 Parker Meadows 448 39 409.0
9 Harrison Bader 518 111 407.0
10 Leody Taveras 77 482 405.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 17 557 540.0
2 Henry Bolte 14 473 459.0
3 Ty France 63 500 437.0
4 Carson Williams 458 40 418.0
5 Brent Rooker 619 203 416.0
6 Carlos Correa 547 141 406.0
7 Brendan Donovan 557 159 398.0
8 A.J. Ewing 100 492 392.0
9 Leody Taveras 90 482 392.0
10 Tristan Peters 100 491 391.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 54 557 502.5
2 A.J. Ewing 1 492 491.0
3 Henry Bolte 2 473 470.9
4 Tristan Peters 48 491 443.1
5 Brent Rooker 608 203 405.0
6 Ildemaro Vargas 88 486 398.1
7 Brendan Donovan 545 159 386.0
8 Ezequiel Duran 222 597 375.5
9 Kody Clemens 209 583 373.9
10 Parker Meadows 412 39 373.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 26 557 530.6
2 Tristan Peters 30 491 461.4
3 Brent Rooker 639 203 435.7
4 Brendan Donovan 569 159 410.3
5 Carlos Correa 546 141 404.7
6 Leody Taveras 86 482 395.9
7 Ildemaro Vargas 92 486 394.2
8 A.J. Ewing 100 492 392.0
9 Carson Williams 425 40 384.7
10 Parker Meadows 417 39 378.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 26 557 530.6
2 Tristan Peters 30 491 461.4
3 Brent Rooker 639 203 435.7
4 Brendan Donovan 569 159 410.3
5 Carlos Correa 546 141 404.7
6 Leody Taveras 86 482 395.9
7 Ildemaro Vargas 92 486 394.2
8 A.J. Ewing 100 492 392.0
9 Carson Williams 425 40 384.7
10 Parker Meadows 417 39 378.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Arroyo 598 41 557.0
2 Kazuma Okamoto 100 636 536.0
3 Lazaro Montes 595 59 536.0
4 Jace Jung 546 11 535.0
5 Ryan Ward 589 60 529.0
6 Gabriel Gonzalez 535 11 524.0
7 Trei Cruz 520 5 515.0
8 Carson Williams 554 40 514.0
9 Bo Davidson 528 22 506.0
10 Otto Kemp 533 27 506.0

Most Unique Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jorbit Vivas 26 143 364 338.0 220.6 117.4
2 Alex Freeland 72 180 269 196.6 89.0 107.6
3 Luis Lara 100 201 212 112.0 11.0 101.0
4 A.J. Ewing 100 199 492 392.0 293.3 98.7
5 Pedro Ramírez 100 192 266 166.0 73.7 92.3
6 Tristan Peters 30 115 491 461.4 376.4 85.0
7 Edwin Arroyo 26 106 160 133.9 54.4 79.5
8 Petey Halpin 55 134 195 140.3 61.4 78.9
9 Denzer Guzman 39 118 304 265.0 186.3 78.7
10 Jacob Gonzalez 100 179 227 127.0 48.5 78.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jasson Domínguez 98 217 222 124.0 5.3 118.7
2 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 7 122 213 206.0 91.1 114.9
3 Samad Taylor 7 121 175 168.0 54.0 114.0
4 MJ Melendez 28 146 144 116.0 2.3 113.7
5 Joey Ortiz 630 518 415 215.0 103.4 111.6
6 Nick Sogard 14 123 277 263.0 153.8 109.2
7 Vaughn Grissom 119 225 474 355.0 248.8 106.2
8 Héctor Rodríguez 7 113 152 145.0 39.0 106.0
9 Luis Lara 100 201 212 112.0 11.0 101.0
10 Jordan Lawlar 518 417 136 382.0 281.1 100.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 100 552 553 453.0 1.5 451.5
2 JJ Wetherholt 100 507 619 519.0 112.2 406.8
3 Kazuma Okamoto 100 502 636 536.0 134.0 402.0
4 Kevin McGonigle 100 465 707 607.0 241.6 365.4
5 Justin Crawford 100 453 465 365.0 11.9 353.1
6 Chase DeLauter 100 433 559 459.0 126.4 332.6
7 Max Kepler 471 164 145 326.0 18.7 307.3
8 Michael Toglia 417 112 28 389.0 83.6 305.4
9 Carson Benge 100 388 654 554.0 266.1 287.9
10 Eric Wagaman 464 177 52 412.0 125.1 286.9

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Luis Lara 1 201 212 211.0 11.0 200.0
2 A.J. Ewing 1 199 492 491.0 293.3 197.7
3 Pedro Ramírez 1 192 266 265.0 73.7 191.3
4 Jacob Gonzalez 1 179 227 226.0 48.5 177.5
5 Yohendrick Piñango 1 173 180 179.0 6.9 172.1
6 Jose Fernandez 1 170 222 221.0 52.0 169.0
7 Jonah Cox 1 182 169 168.0 13.3 154.7
8 Cooper Pratt 1 146 266 265.0 119.8 145.2
9 Donovan Walton 1 146 268 267.0 122.3 144.7
10 Max Clark 1 144 206 205.0 61.7 143.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ty France 63 199 500 437.0 300.6 136.4
2 Max Clark 14 144 206 192.0 61.7 130.3
3 Henry Bolte 14 137 473 459.0 336.2 122.8
4 Cole Carrigg 14 134 372 358.0 238.5 119.5
5 Angel Martínez 182 300 416 234.0 116.0 118.0
6 Ryan Waldschmidt 78 193 284 206.0 90.8 115.2
7 Paul Goldschmidt 248 362 380 132.0 17.7 114.3
8 Jorbit Vivas 39 143 364 325.0 220.6 104.4
9 Esteury Ruiz 50 154 255 205.0 101.3 103.7
10 LaMonte Wade Jr. 14 118 146 132.0 28.4 103.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Luis Lara 1 201 212 211.0 11.0 200.0
2 A.J. Ewing 1 199 492 491.0 293.3 197.7
3 Pedro Ramírez 1 192 266 265.0 73.7 191.3
4 Jacob Gonzalez 5 179 227 222.4 48.5 173.9
5 Jose Fernandez 1 170 222 221.0 52.0 169.0
6 Yohendrick Piñango 4 173 180 175.6 6.9 168.7
7 Jonah Cox 1 182 169 168.0 13.3 154.7
8 Cooper Pratt 1 146 266 265.0 119.8 145.2
9 Max Clark 2 144 206 203.7 61.7 142.0
10 Brett Bateman 1 143 181 179.8 37.9 141.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jorbit Vivas 26 143 364 338.0 220.6 117.4
2 Alex Freeland 72 180 269 196.6 89.0 107.6
3 Samad Taylor 19 121 175 155.6 54.0 101.5
4 Luis Lara 100 201 212 112.0 11.0 101.0
5 A.J. Ewing 100 199 492 392.0 293.3 98.7
6 Héctor Rodríguez 17 113 152 134.8 39.0 95.9
7 Victor Bericoto 19 118 116 97.0 1.8 95.2
8 Pedro Ramírez 100 192 266 166.0 73.7 92.3
9 Jase Bowen 12 102 103 91.0 1.2 89.8
10 Hao-Yu Lee 20 107 364 344.2 257.3 86.9

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jorbit Vivas 26 143 364 338.0 220.6 117.4
2 Alex Freeland 72 180 269 196.6 89.0 107.6
3 Samad Taylor 19 121 175 155.6 54.0 101.5
4 Luis Lara 100 201 212 112.0 11.0 101.0
5 A.J. Ewing 100 199 492 392.0 293.3 98.7
6 Héctor Rodríguez 17 113 152 134.8 39.0 95.9
7 Victor Bericoto 19 118 116 97.0 1.8 95.2
8 Pedro Ramírez 100 192 266 166.0 73.7 92.3
9 Jase Bowen 12 102 103 91.0 1.2 89.8
10 Hao-Yu Lee 20 107 364 344.2 257.3 86.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Michael Arroyo 598 109 41 557.0 68.0 489.0
2 Ryan Ward 589 117 60 529.0 57.3 471.7
3 Jared Serna 528 101 32 496.0 68.7 427.3
4 Junior Perez 541 115 36 505.0 79.1 425.9
5 Grant McCray 554 131 91 463.0 40.0 423.0
6 César Prieto 519 103 39 480.0 63.7 416.3
7 Gabriel Gonzalez 535 120 11 524.0 109.3 414.7
8 Michael Toglia 525 112 28 497.0 83.6 413.4
9 Trei Cruz 520 107 5 515.0 101.8 413.2
10 Jace Jung 546 133 11 535.0 121.8 413.2

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Ty France 0.3728
0.3054
(33.7)
0.3085
(32.2)
0.3160
(30.8)
0.3061
(35.7)
0.3165
(29.4)
0.3074
(32.8)
0.3119
(32.9)
0.2996
(34.9)
0.3077
(31.0)
0.3108
(33.7)
Randy Arozarena 0.3789
0.3268
(34.9)
0.3267
(35.1)
0.3257
(38.8)
0.3314
(35.0)
0.3288
(35.3)
0.3208
(39.1)
0.3249
(39.5)
0.3275
(32.2)
0.3281
(32.0)
0.3304
(36.1)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3087
0.3824
(45.0)
0.3869
(47.5)
0.3869
(44.8)
0.3707
(34.9)
0.3958
(51.6)
0.3864
(47.2)
0.3941
(49.1)
0.3771
(43.8)
0.3899
(51.4)
0.3821
(41.5)
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.4018
0.3133
(64.2)
0.3192
(60.1)
0.3250
(59.2)
0.3117
(68.8)
0.3274
(55.8)
0.3149
(63.3)
0.3245
(59.7)
0.3161
(59.8)
0.3116
(63.3)
0.3264
(58.6)
Jarren Duran 0.2742
0.3337
(36.2)
0.3336
(36.0)
0.3360
(34.7)
0.3448
(40.1)
0.3399
(38.4)
0.3253
(30.9)
0.3317
(32.0)
0.3276
(34.5)
0.3369
(40.0)
0.3405
(37.0)
Kyle Tucker 0.3188
0.3770
(36.6)
0.3745
(34.8)
0.3763
(33.1)
0.3709
(29.7)
0.3730
(32.5)
0.3707
(32.4)
0.3756
(32.5)
0.3770
(38.6)
0.3723
(35.5)
0.3759
(32.5)
Brice Turang 0.3568
0.3163
(27.5)
0.3145
(28.9)
0.3198
(28.4)
0.3135
(32.7)
0.3143
(30.6)
0.3133
(29.8)
0.3206
(28.0)
0.3084
(30.6)
0.3093
(30.2)
0.3195
(28.9)
Jake Bauers 0.3829
0.3099
(42.1)
0.3127
(40.7)
0.3273
(34.8)
0.3137
(42.7)
0.3184
(38.7)
0.3060
(44.6)
0.3129
(43.3)
0.2986
(46.7)
0.3021
(44.9)
0.3407
(27.4)
TJ Rumfield 0.3730
0.3104
(39.4)
0.3115
(38.9)
0.3239
(34.0)
0.3162
(38.8)
0.3125
(39.7)
0.3102
(39.8)
0.3186
(37.4)
0.3005
(43.6)
0.3007
(43.7)
0.3277
(32.0)

Individual Misses for wOBA

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Vargas 0.3194 0.3649 32.0
2 Tristan Peters 0.2718 0.3367 31.9
3 Austin Riley 0.3390 0.2907 30.5
4 Cal Raleigh 0.3549 0.2975 30.5
5 Yordan Alvarez 0.3977 0.4414 30.2
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.3586 0.3157 30.1
7 Jordan Walker 0.2998 0.3443 29.7
8 José Ramírez 0.3606 0.3066 29.4
9 CJ Abrams 0.3158 0.3595 28.5
10 Ketel Marte 0.3720 0.3264 28.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.3437 0.2907 33.3
2 Gunnar Henderson 0.3612 0.3157 31.8
3 Cal Raleigh 0.3548 0.2975 30.3
4 Miguel Vargas 0.3225 0.3649 30.0
5 José Ramírez 0.3577 0.3066 27.7
6 Jordan Walker 0.3034 0.3443 27.4
7 Tristan Peters 0.2813 0.3367 27.3
8 Julio Rodríguez 0.3536 0.3118 27.2
9 CJ Abrams 0.3183 0.3595 27.1
10 Liam Hicks 0.3054 0.3532 26.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eduardo Valencia 0.1484 0.4295 39.4
2 Jared Young 0.2270 0.3324 37.7
3 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2270 0.3254 37.5
4 Brandon Valenzuela 0.1907 0.3056 32.4
5 Austin Riley 0.3453 0.2907 31.4
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.3650 0.3157 31.3
7 Miguel Vargas 0.3265 0.3649 30.4
8 Yordan Alvarez 0.4024 0.4414 30.3
9 Jordan Walker 0.3045 0.3443 29.7
10 Cal Raleigh 0.3548 0.2975 27.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2773 0.3613 49.1
2 Miguel Vargas 0.3012 0.3649 48.2
3 Yordan Alvarez 0.3826 0.4414 43.9
4 Ben Rice 0.3351 0.3858 37.0
5 Jordan Walker 0.2982 0.3443 33.9
6 Kevin McGonigle 0.3162 0.3576 32.6
7 Elly De La Cruz 0.3356 0.3801 31.4
8 Junior Caminero 0.3422 0.3818 31.2
9 Trea Turner 0.3453 0.2982 29.6
10 Gabriel Moreno 0.3307 0.3799 29.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.3592 0.2907 41.6
2 Gunnar Henderson 0.3741 0.3157 39.2
3 Nolan Arenado 0.2949 0.3495 34.2
4 Willson Contreras 0.3341 0.3913 31.9
5 Miguel Vargas 0.3221 0.3649 31.9
6 Bryce Eldridge 0.2957 0.3616 30.6
7 Cal Raleigh 0.3565 0.2975 30.0
8 Julio Rodríguez 0.3591 0.3118 29.4
9 Liam Hicks 0.3048 0.3532 28.2
10 Alex Bregman 0.3231 0.3579 26.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Vargas 0.3188 0.3649 32.7
2 Willson Contreras 0.3345 0.3913 30.6
3 Gunnar Henderson 0.3590 0.3157 30.2
4 Yordan Alvarez 0.4001 0.4414 28.8
5 Ben Rice 0.3433 0.3858 28.6
6 José Ramírez 0.3591 0.3066 28.4
7 Carson Benge 0.3005 0.3421 27.4
8 Sam Antonacci 0.2940 0.3428 27.3
9 Jordan Walker 0.3036 0.3443 27.3
10 CJ Abrams 0.3182 0.3595 27.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gunnar Henderson 0.3657 0.3157 31.6
2 Miguel Vargas 0.3249 0.3649 31.6
3 Carson Benge 0.3037 0.3421 28.3
4 Austin Riley 0.3406 0.2907 28.3
5 José Ramírez 0.3635 0.3066 28.3
6 Willson Contreras 0.3442 0.3913 27.9
7 Ben Rice 0.3494 0.3858 27.6
8 Cal Raleigh 0.3532 0.2975 26.9
9 Tristan Peters 0.2873 0.3367 26.7
10 Carlos Narváez 0.3103 0.2133 26.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cal Raleigh 0.3653 0.2975 37.7
2 Jordan Walker 0.2879 0.3443 35.4
3 José Ramírez 0.3650 0.3066 33.6
4 Austin Riley 0.3397 0.2907 33.0
5 Jac Caglianone 0.2992 0.3613 32.5
6 Chase DeLauter 0.2980 0.3592 32.3
7 Miguel Vargas 0.3164 0.3649 31.8
8 Gunnar Henderson 0.3573 0.3157 31.6
9 Julio Rodríguez 0.3565 0.3118 31.4
10 Liam Hicks 0.2958 0.3532 29.9

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.3457 0.2907 36.6
2 CJ Abrams 0.3064 0.3595 32.7
3 Chase DeLauter 0.2982 0.3592 32.4
4 Ketel Marte 0.3735 0.3264 31.3
5 Liam Hicks 0.2949 0.3532 30.6
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.3306 0.3801 29.6
7 Jac Caglianone 0.3054 0.3613 29.2
8 Cal Raleigh 0.3493 0.2975 29.1
9 Griffin Conine 0.2780 0.3688 28.3
10 Julio Rodríguez 0.3519 0.3118 28.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Walker 0.2964 0.3443 35.5
2 Yordan Alvarez 0.3966 0.4414 34.7
3 Austin Riley 0.3498 0.2907 33.9
4 Miguel Vargas 0.3250 0.3649 31.9
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.3624 0.3157 29.0
6 Cal Raleigh 0.3557 0.2975 28.0
7 Josh Jung 0.3059 0.3622 27.4
8 CJ Abrams 0.3234 0.3595 27.1
9 Matt McLain 0.3313 0.2717 26.9
10 Liam Hicks 0.3104 0.3532 26.7

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Wade Meckler 0.2697 0.2896 0.3395 23.5 16.9 6.6
2 Jorbit Vivas 0.2714 0.2885 0.2944 8.4 2.2 6.1
3 Michael Busch 0.3516 0.3432 0.3344 12.3 6.2 6.1
4 Jim Jarvis 0.3162 0.2679 0.2460 8.7 2.7 6.0
5 Drew Cavanaugh 0.3162 0.2807 0.2729 7.2 1.3 5.9
6 Tommy White 0.3162 0.2872 0.2643 10.1 4.4 5.7
7 Osleivis Basabe 0.3162 0.2779 0.2694 6.7 1.2 5.5
8 Jared Young 0.2886 0.3050 0.3324 14.9 9.4 5.5
9 Jose Fernandez 0.3162 0.2694 0.2804 8.0 2.5 5.5
10 Jake McCarthy 0.3074 0.3159 0.3456 22.7 17.8 4.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jared Young 0.2270 0.3050 0.3324 37.7 9.4 28.2
2 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2270 0.2995 0.3254 37.5 9.5 28.1
3 Eduardo Valencia 0.1484 0.3024 0.4295 39.4 17.6 21.9
4 Brandon Valenzuela 0.1907 0.2660 0.3056 32.4 10.8 21.6
5 Nicky Lopez 0.3541 0.2834 0.2747 20.2 2.3 17.9
6 Anthony Seigler 0.2270 0.2982 0.3172 16.4 3.3 13.1
7 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.2543 0.3102 0.3578 23.1 10.2 12.9
8 Jose Siri 0.2362 0.2814 0.3064 18.8 6.3 12.5
9 Mickey Gasper 0.2648 0.3055 0.3593 22.3 12.1 10.2
10 Samad Taylor 0.2270 0.2806 0.3499 22.3 12.2 10.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2773 0.3235 0.3613 49.1 21.0 28.1
2 Miguel Vargas 0.3012 0.3225 0.3649 48.2 30.0 18.2
3 Yordan Alvarez 0.3826 0.4040 0.4414 43.9 26.0 18.0
4 Munetaka Murakami 0.3162 0.3406 0.3607 27.2 11.2 16.0
5 Colson Montgomery 0.3361 0.3083 0.3016 19.0 4.2 14.8
6 Nasim Nuñez 0.3102 0.2768 0.2461 29.3 15.1 14.2
7 Sal Stewart 0.3242 0.3384 0.3417 15.6 2.4 13.2
8 Junior Caminero 0.3422 0.3563 0.3818 31.2 18.0 13.1
9 Daylen Lile 0.3431 0.3192 0.3138 16.1 3.4 12.7
10 Kazuma Okamoto 0.3162 0.3323 0.3316 12.8 0.3 12.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sal Stewart 0.3263 0.3384 0.3417 12.5 2.4 10.1
2 Nolan Arenado 0.2949 0.3087 0.3495 34.2 24.6 9.6
3 Alex Bregman 0.3231 0.3339 0.3579 26.2 16.9 9.2
4 Jonathan Aranda 0.3280 0.3386 0.3492 15.8 7.2 8.6
5 Jo Adell 0.3444 0.3292 0.3075 22.8 14.2 8.5
6 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3875 0.3720 0.3521 20.8 12.5 8.3
7 Austin Riley 0.3592 0.3437 0.2907 41.6 33.3 8.3
8 Yandy Díaz 0.3419 0.3515 0.3534 9.6 1.4 8.2
9 Gunnar Henderson 0.3741 0.3612 0.3157 39.2 31.8 7.4
10 Bryce Eldridge 0.2957 0.3092 0.3616 30.6 23.6 7.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.3235 0.3406 0.3607 20.7 11.2 9.5
2 Mike Trout 0.3366 0.3507 0.3600 15.0 6.0 9.0
3 Petey Halpin 0.3162 0.2702 0.2573 11.4 2.5 8.9
4 Pete Alonso 0.3460 0.3577 0.3819 25.3 17.1 8.2
5 Jorge Barrosa 0.3162 0.2775 0.2628 9.2 2.5 6.7
6 Riley Greene 0.3340 0.3450 0.3684 20.6 14.0 6.6
7 Sam Antonacci 0.2940 0.3056 0.3428 27.3 20.8 6.5
8 Kyle Stowers 0.3205 0.3331 0.3438 12.1 5.5 6.5
9 Rafael Devers 0.3441 0.3538 0.3708 17.1 10.9 6.2
10 Jim Jarvis 0.3162 0.2679 0.2460 8.7 2.7 6.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Mike Trout 0.3437 0.3507 0.3600 13.5 6.0 7.5
2 Caleb Durbin 0.3298 0.3146 0.3136 6.6 0.5 6.1
3 Carson Benge 0.3037 0.3081 0.3421 28.3 22.4 6.0
4 Ernie Clement 0.3116 0.2978 0.2840 14.0 8.5 5.6
5 Henry Bolte 0.2937 0.3003 0.3396 24.0 18.7 5.4
6 Geraldo Perdomo 0.3446 0.3321 0.3320 5.2 0.0 5.2
7 Nolan Schanuel 0.3474 0.3316 0.3276 6.6 1.7 4.9
8 Tyler Stephenson 0.3111 0.3168 0.3206 6.8 1.9 4.9
9 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2910 0.2995 0.3254 14.3 9.5 4.8
10 Nathan Church 0.3056 0.2910 0.2871 6.4 1.8 4.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2992 0.3235 0.3613 32.5 21.0 11.5
2 Ildemaro Vargas 0.2577 0.2790 0.2956 16.8 8.2 8.6
3 JJ Wetherholt 0.2962 0.3130 0.3188 11.9 3.7 8.2
4 Drake Baldwin 0.3195 0.3361 0.3587 22.0 14.0 8.0
5 Jordan Walker 0.2879 0.3034 0.3443 35.4 27.4 8.0
6 Cal Raleigh 0.3653 0.3548 0.2975 37.7 30.3 7.4
7 Nick Loftin 0.2821 0.3012 0.3120 11.3 4.7 6.6
8 Brayan Rocchio 0.2782 0.2929 0.3088 16.1 9.5 6.6
9 Drew Cavanaugh 0.3162 0.2807 0.2729 7.8 1.3 6.5
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2954 0.3159 0.3322 12.7 6.3 6.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Luis Arraez 0.3032 0.3213 0.3301 15.6 5.9 9.7
2 Steven Kwan 0.3026 0.3210 0.3312 16.2 6.6 9.6
3 Matt Olson 0.3348 0.3501 0.3534 10.9 2.4 8.4
4 Drake Baldwin 0.3192 0.3361 0.3587 22.4 14.0 8.4
5 Geraldo Perdomo 0.3166 0.3321 0.3320 8.4 0.0 8.4
6 JJ Wetherholt 0.2964 0.3130 0.3188 11.9 3.7 8.3
7 Jac Caglianone 0.3054 0.3235 0.3613 29.2 21.0 8.2
8 Cedric Mullins 0.3147 0.3019 0.2758 21.1 13.0 8.1
9 Chase Meidroth 0.2969 0.3121 0.3357 23.0 15.3 7.7
10 George Springer 0.3540 0.3438 0.3185 19.9 13.0 7.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.3162 0.3323 0.3316 13.2 0.3 12.9
2 Yordan Alvarez 0.3966 0.4040 0.4414 34.7 26.0 8.7
3 Jordan Walker 0.2964 0.3034 0.3443 35.5 27.4 8.1
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.3604 0.3667 0.3703 10.6 2.6 8.0
5 Jeff McNeil 0.3408 0.3221 0.3008 18.0 11.0 7.0
6 Brandon Lowe 0.3197 0.3250 0.3548 26.6 19.7 6.9
7 Chandler Simpson 0.2899 0.2945 0.3008 10.0 4.0 6.0
8 Bryce Harper 0.3672 0.3704 0.3766 10.2 4.4 5.8
9 Owen Caissie 0.3341 0.3118 0.3035 8.3 2.7 5.7
10 Brett Baty 0.3321 0.3157 0.3016 11.9 6.6 5.3

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Austin Riley 0.3190
0.2611
(34.9)
0.2584
(36.6)
0.2589
(35.1)
0.2553
(38.8)
0.2539
(39.4)
0.2597
(34.6)
0.2616
(33.7)
0.2576
(37.2)
0.2588
(36.6)
0.2560
(37.7)
Zach Neto 0.3054
0.2451
(40.7)
0.2443
(41.2)
0.2436
(40.4)
0.2455
(40.7)
0.2384
(45.4)
0.2400
(42.9)
0.2387
(44.2)
0.2502
(37.3)
0.2498
(37.6)
0.2483
(37.9)
Josh Jung 0.1802
0.2548
(34.2)
0.2530
(33.5)
0.2532
(34.4)
0.2579
(35.4)
0.2515
(32.8)
0.2530
(34.3)
0.2525
(33.8)
0.2540
(33.8)
0.2501
(32.0)
0.2551
(34.7)
Ian Happ 0.2972
0.2355
(37.6)
0.2365
(36.9)
0.2371
(35.4)
0.2331
(39.4)
0.2359
(37.4)
0.2377
(35.0)
0.2390
(34.5)
0.2364
(37.2)
0.2357
(37.7)
0.2355
(37.2)
TJ Rumfield 0.1363
0.2045
(44.6)
0.2007
(42.3)
0.1976
(41.5)
0.2214
(55.0)
0.1999
(41.8)
0.2074
(47.6)
0.2064
(46.7)
0.1994
(41.3)
0.1993
(41.1)
0.1882
(34.8)
Spencer Torkelson 0.3170
0.2610
(32.7)
0.2591
(33.8)
0.2606
(31.8)
0.2548
(36.8)
0.2512
(38.7)
0.2634
(30.1)
0.2631
(30.6)
0.2599
(33.6)
0.2572
(35.3)
0.2582
(34.0)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1849 0.2877 63.8
2 Chase Meidroth 0.1506 0.2193 42.6
3 Travis Bazzana 0.2838 0.2070 41.0
4 Zack Gelof 0.3351 0.2460 39.9
5 Colson Montgomery 0.2953 0.3558 37.0
6 Nolan Arenado 0.1383 0.2003 35.6
7 Braden Montgomery 0.2898 0.1973 34.7
8 Liam Hicks 0.1578 0.0993 33.8
9 Trent Grisham 0.2501 0.1839 33.3
10 Tristan Peters 0.2473 0.1833 32.6

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.2016 0.2877 53.2
2 Chase Meidroth 0.1507 0.2193 42.4
3 Travis Bazzana 0.2827 0.2070 40.5
4 Zack Gelof 0.3259 0.2460 35.9
5 Colson Montgomery 0.2983 0.3558 35.0
6 Braden Montgomery 0.2898 0.1973 34.7
7 Liam Hicks 0.1583 0.0993 34.1
8 Nolan Arenado 0.1420 0.2003 33.4
9 Randy Arozarena 0.2629 0.2164 32.8
10 Trent Grisham 0.2486 0.1839 32.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1696 0.2877 72.3
2 Travis Bazzana 0.2897 0.2070 45.0
3 Esmerlyn Valdez 0.2214 0.3763 43.2
4 Chase Meidroth 0.1500 0.2193 41.7
5 Braden Montgomery 0.2929 0.1973 36.5
6 Jared Young 0.2857 0.1842 36.2
7 Randy Arozarena 0.2651 0.2164 35.6
8 Zack Gelof 0.3214 0.2460 34.7
9 Trent Grisham 0.2491 0.1839 33.7
10 Mike Trout 0.3089 0.2603 33.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.2214 0.3544 72.4
2 Colson Montgomery 0.2614 0.3558 58.9
3 Kevin McGonigle 0.2214 0.1414 58.0
4 Esmerlyn Valdez 0.2214 0.3763 43.9
5 Liam Hicks 0.1750 0.0993 43.1
6 Chase DeLauter 0.2214 0.1467 42.9
7 Owen Caissie 0.2409 0.3727 42.8
8 Sam Antonacci 0.2214 0.1472 42.5
9 Brayan Rocchio 0.2130 0.1436 42.3
10 Kazuma Okamoto 0.2214 0.2877 40.9

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Colson Montgomery 0.2895 0.3558 40.7
2 Chase Meidroth 0.1568 0.2193 38.5
3 Liam Hicks 0.1655 0.0993 38.1
4 Travis Bazzana 0.2750 0.2070 36.5
5 Braden Montgomery 0.2893 0.1973 34.5
6 William Contreras 0.1958 0.1469 33.0
7 CJ Abrams 0.1887 0.2416 32.9
8 Kyle Manzardo 0.2256 0.3202 32.8
9 Chandler Simpson 0.1285 0.0784 32.2
10 Brice Turang 0.2019 0.2515 32.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1714 0.2877 71.2
2 Chase Meidroth 0.1486 0.2193 42.6
3 Travis Bazzana 0.2824 0.2070 41.3
4 Colson Montgomery 0.2932 0.3558 37.1
5 Randy Arozarena 0.2673 0.2164 37.1
6 Liam Hicks 0.1611 0.0993 36.7
7 Zack Gelof 0.3254 0.2460 36.5
8 Trent Grisham 0.2526 0.1839 35.4
9 Mike Trout 0.3087 0.2603 33.5
10 Braden Montgomery 0.2826 0.1973 32.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1701 0.2877 72.3
2 Chase Meidroth 0.1475 0.2193 43.6
3 Travis Bazzana 0.2814 0.2070 40.5
4 Colson Montgomery 0.2919 0.3558 38.3
5 Liam Hicks 0.1620 0.0993 36.9
6 Randy Arozarena 0.2661 0.2164 35.9
7 Zack Gelof 0.3221 0.2460 34.8
8 Trent Grisham 0.2500 0.1839 33.9
9 Munetaka Murakami 0.2896 0.3544 33.7
10 CJ Abrams 0.1876 0.2416 32.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chase Meidroth 0.1497 0.2193 43.3
2 Kazuma Okamoto 0.2178 0.2877 43.0
3 Travis Bazzana 0.2810 0.2070 39.5
4 Zack Gelof 0.3342 0.2460 39.4
5 Nolan Arenado 0.1358 0.2003 37.3
6 Braden Montgomery 0.2892 0.1973 34.4
7 William Contreras 0.1959 0.1469 32.9
8 Liam Hicks 0.1561 0.0993 32.8
9 Colt Emerson 0.2080 0.3444 32.3
10 Andrew Benintendi 0.1681 0.2393 32.3

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chase Meidroth 0.1490 0.2193 43.8
2 Kazuma Okamoto 0.2177 0.2877 43.1
3 Zack Gelof 0.3362 0.2460 40.2
4 Travis Bazzana 0.2809 0.2070 39.4
5 Nolan Arenado 0.1346 0.2003 38.0
6 William Contreras 0.1987 0.1469 34.6
7 Braden Montgomery 0.2891 0.1973 34.3
8 Liam Hicks 0.1571 0.0993 33.3
9 Trent Grisham 0.2486 0.1839 32.4
10 Colt Emerson 0.2079 0.3444 32.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Travis Bazzana 0.2947 0.2070 47.0
2 Braden Montgomery 0.3073 0.1973 41.3
3 Chase Meidroth 0.1530 0.2193 40.5
4 Kazuma Okamoto 0.2214 0.2877 40.1
5 Henry Bolte 0.3604 0.2812 39.0
6 Nolan Arenado 0.1400 0.2003 34.2
7 Zack Gelof 0.3207 0.2460 33.9
8 Mike Trout 0.3102 0.2603 33.7
9 Trent Grisham 0.2495 0.1839 33.3
10 Randy Arozarena 0.2627 0.2164 33.2

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Drew Romo 0.3440 0.2602 0.2282 24.4 7.1 17.2
2 Tristan Peters 0.2473 0.2166 0.1833 32.6 17.6 15.0
3 Blaze Jordan 0.2214 0.1430 0.1508 14.6 1.0 13.5
4 Donovan Walton 0.2214 0.1749 0.1716 14.0 1.6 12.4
5 A.J. Ewing 0.2214 0.2445 0.2541 14.8 3.4 11.4
6 Weston Wilson 0.2214 0.2823 0.3169 17.0 5.9 11.2
7 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1849 0.2016 0.2877 63.8 53.2 10.7
8 Drew Cavanaugh 0.2214 0.3162 0.3012 12.8 2.9 9.9
9 Jonah Cox 0.2214 0.2774 0.3846 27.2 17.7 9.5
10 Jase Bowen 0.2214 0.3042 0.3981 17.9 9.4 8.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Esmerlyn Valdez 0.2214 0.2921 0.3763 43.2 23.4 19.8
2 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1696 0.2016 0.2877 72.3 53.2 19.2
3 Blaze Jordan 0.2214 0.1430 0.1508 14.9 1.0 13.9
4 Jared Young 0.2857 0.2488 0.1842 36.2 23.0 13.3
5 Donovan Walton 0.2214 0.1749 0.1716 14.5 1.6 12.9
6 Anthony Seigler 0.2857 0.2180 0.1618 22.2 10.2 12.0
7 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.1429 0.2108 0.2023 14.4 2.9 11.5
8 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2857 0.2148 0.2390 18.6 7.9 10.7
9 A.J. Ewing 0.2214 0.2445 0.2541 13.9 3.4 10.5
10 Drew Cavanaugh 0.2214 0.3162 0.3012 12.5 2.9 9.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.2214 0.3348 0.3544 72.4 9.4 63.0
2 Kevin McGonigle 0.2214 0.1477 0.1414 58.0 6.3 51.7
3 Spencer Jones 0.2214 0.3797 0.3633 40.4 5.5 34.9
4 Javier Sanoja 0.1606 0.1055 0.0796 40.7 14.0 26.8
5 JJ Wetherholt 0.2214 0.1787 0.1680 34.3 8.2 26.1
6 Jorbit Vivas 0.2176 0.1478 0.1456 26.9 1.7 25.2
7 Carter Jensen 0.2140 0.2542 0.2819 39.7 15.2 24.5
8 Colson Montgomery 0.2614 0.2983 0.3558 58.9 35.0 23.9
9 Owen Caissie 0.2409 0.3091 0.3727 42.8 20.1 22.7
10 Nathan Church 0.2363 0.1492 0.1723 31.0 9.7 21.4

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kevin McGonigle 0.1701 0.1477 0.1414 22.0 6.3 15.8
2 Chandler Simpson 0.1285 0.1099 0.0784 32.2 20.8 11.4
3 Jung Hoo Lee 0.1301 0.1132 0.0984 19.8 10.0 9.8
4 Luke Keaschall 0.1871 0.1714 0.1403 30.6 20.8 9.8
5 Garrett Mitchell 0.2838 0.3017 0.3145 15.0 5.4 9.5
6 Cole Young 0.1881 0.1755 0.1708 12.6 4.6 8.0
7 Patrick Wisdom 0.2214 0.3759 0.4200 9.8 2.1 7.7
8 Isaac Collins 0.1939 0.2086 0.2312 18.1 10.4 7.7
9 Luis Arraez 0.0532 0.0424 0.0427 8.5 1.5 7.0
10 Javier Sanoja 0.1197 0.1055 0.0796 20.9 14.0 6.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.2927 0.3348 0.3544 31.7 9.4 22.2
2 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1714 0.2016 0.2877 71.2 53.2 18.0
3 Donovan Walton 0.2214 0.1749 0.1716 14.5 1.6 12.9
4 A.J. Ewing 0.2214 0.2445 0.2541 13.9 3.4 10.5
5 Jonathan Aranda 0.2682 0.2548 0.2440 19.1 8.9 10.2
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.2488 0.2667 0.2752 14.0 3.8 10.2
7 Drew Cavanaugh 0.2214 0.3162 0.3012 12.5 2.9 9.6
8 Jonah Cox 0.2214 0.2774 0.3846 26.8 17.7 9.2
9 Jase Bowen 0.2214 0.3042 0.3981 17.7 9.4 8.3
10 Kahlil Watson 0.2214 0.3146 0.3516 11.5 3.1 8.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.2896 0.3348 0.3544 33.7 9.4 24.2
2 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1701 0.2016 0.2877 72.3 53.2 19.2
3 Elly De La Cruz 0.2505 0.2667 0.2752 13.2 3.8 9.4
4 Jonathan Aranda 0.2648 0.2548 0.2440 16.5 8.9 7.6
5 Tristan Peters 0.2277 0.2166 0.1833 23.7 17.6 6.1
6 Francisco Alvarez 0.2444 0.2591 0.3071 24.7 19.1 5.6
7 Garrett Mitchell 0.2903 0.3017 0.3145 10.7 5.4 5.3
8 Gunnar Henderson 0.2017 0.2106 0.2222 11.7 6.4 5.3
9 Drake Baldwin 0.1711 0.1807 0.2146 24.4 19.3 5.1
10 Josh Naylor 0.1565 0.1508 0.1215 25.3 20.7 4.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Donovan Walton 0.2214 0.1749 0.1716 13.9 1.6 12.4
2 A.J. Ewing 0.2214 0.2445 0.2541 15.0 3.4 11.5
3 Drew Cavanaugh 0.2214 0.3162 0.3012 12.9 2.9 10.0
4 Jonah Cox 0.2214 0.2774 0.3846 27.2 17.7 9.5
5 Lazaro Montes 0.2214 0.3342 0.4068 10.8 4.1 6.7
6 Joshua Kuroda-Grauer 0.2214 0.1341 0.1351 6.6 0.1 6.4
7 Hao-Yu Lee 0.1974 0.2148 0.2390 14.3 7.9 6.4
8 Pedro Ramírez 0.2214 0.1979 0.1842 10.5 4.3 6.2
9 Sal Stewart 0.1842 0.1925 0.2214 24.4 18.5 6.0
10 Gage Workman 0.2214 0.3602 0.4146 7.8 2.1 5.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Donovan Walton 0.2214 0.1749 0.1716 13.9 1.6 12.4
2 A.J. Ewing 0.2214 0.2445 0.2541 15.0 3.4 11.6
3 Drew Cavanaugh 0.2214 0.3162 0.3012 12.9 2.9 10.0
4 Jonah Cox 0.2214 0.2774 0.3846 27.2 17.7 9.5
5 Lazaro Montes 0.2214 0.3342 0.4068 10.8 4.1 6.7
6 Hao-Yu Lee 0.1973 0.2148 0.2390 14.4 7.9 6.5
7 Riley Greene 0.2880 0.2767 0.2652 14.8 8.3 6.5
8 Joshua Kuroda-Grauer 0.2214 0.1341 0.1351 6.5 0.1 6.4
9 Pedro Ramírez 0.2214 0.1979 0.1842 10.5 4.3 6.2
10 Jordan Walker 0.2767 0.2672 0.2609 12.1 5.9 6.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.2189 0.2445 0.2541 15.7 3.4 12.3
2 Henry Bolte 0.3604 0.3433 0.2812 39.0 30.6 8.4
3 Pete Alonso 0.2165 0.2291 0.2414 15.2 6.9 8.3
4 Hyeseong Kim 0.3017 0.2406 0.2366 8.9 0.9 8.1
5 Colt Keith 0.2267 0.2088 0.1986 13.3 5.4 7.9
6 Nick Kurtz 0.2757 0.2938 0.3249 19.9 12.4 7.6
7 Nathan Church 0.1333 0.1492 0.1723 16.8 9.7 7.1
8 José Fermín 0.1095 0.1282 0.1351 8.3 1.6 6.7
9 Braden Montgomery 0.3073 0.2898 0.1973 41.3 34.7 6.6
10 Travis Bazzana 0.2947 0.2827 0.2070 47.0 40.5 6.5

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Steven Kwan 0.1334
0.0892
(25.8)
0.0915
(24.4)
0.0917
(25.9)
0.0883
(26.1)
0.0934
(24.1)
0.0943
(24.3)
0.0947
(23.8)
0.0901
(23.5)
0.0884
(24.6)
0.0902
(26.2)
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1143
0.0560
(39.7)
0.0561
(39.7)
0.0543
(42.8)
0.0551
(40.0)
0.0570
(40.0)
0.0563
(41.3)
0.0560
(41.3)
0.0564
(37.4)
0.0586
(35.8)
0.0523
(43.6)
Brice Turang 0.1324
0.0909
(25.6)
0.0917
(25.2)
0.0922
(26.6)
0.0903
(25.8)
0.0943
(24.4)
0.0931
(26.0)
0.0935
(25.5)
0.0899
(24.5)
0.0898
(24.6)
0.0902
(27.3)
Nick Kurtz 0.1820
0.0945
(36.4)
0.1167
(26.8)
0.1201
(26.4)
0.1128
(28.2)
0.1146
(28.3)
0.1220
(25.6)
0.1224
(25.3)
0.1236
(22.6)
0.1233
(22.7)
0.1164
(27.6)
Xander Bogaerts 0.1271
0.0807
(25.9)
0.0811
(25.7)
0.0821
(26.6)
0.0798
(26.1)
0.0831
(25.3)
0.0819
(26.8)
0.0821
(26.4)
0.0789
(25.3)
0.0789
(25.3)
0.0821
(26.0)
Bryan Reynolds 0.1273
0.0869
(25.7)
0.0872
(25.5)
0.0870
(27.5)
0.0843
(27.2)
0.0873
(26.4)
0.0863
(27.9)
0.0865
(27.6)
0.0876
(23.3)
0.0891
(22.2)
0.0868
(26.9)
Jake Bauers 0.1626
0.1173
(24.1)
0.1175
(24.0)
0.1224
(22.6)
0.1111
(27.4)
0.1153
(26.1)
0.1194
(24.4)
0.1207
(23.4)
0.1127
(25.2)
0.1129
(25.1)
0.1242
(21.0)
James Wood 0.1637
0.1167
(27.0)
0.1178
(26.4)
0.1211
(25.9)
0.1143
(28.2)
0.1131
(30.1)
0.1217
(25.5)
0.1213
(25.6)
0.1151
(26.3)
0.1151
(26.3)
0.1215
(25.0)
Gary Sánchez 0.1673
0.0801
(23.0)
0.0815
(22.6)
0.0800
(23.7)
0.0803
(22.8)
0.0863
(21.7)
0.0807
(23.5)
0.0815
(23.2)
0.0796
(22.4)
0.0792
(22.5)
0.0833
(22.5)
Taylor Ward 0.1631
0.1035
(34.0)
0.1039
(33.7)
0.1064
(33.8)
0.0998
(35.9)
0.0994
(37.3)
0.1026
(36.1)
0.1033
(35.5)
0.1048
(31.5)
0.1046
(31.6)
0.1092
(31.4)
Miguel Vargas 0.1435
0.1031
(25.8)
0.1045
(24.9)
0.1113
(21.9)
0.1012
(26.8)
0.1067
(24.3)
0.1097
(23.0)
0.1112
(21.7)
0.0958
(29.0)
0.0948
(29.7)
0.1101
(22.0)
Junior Caminero 0.1125
0.0679
(28.7)
0.0669
(29.5)
0.0692
(29.7)
0.0674
(28.8)
0.0652
(31.6)
0.0683
(30.3)
0.0687
(29.8)
0.0650
(28.9)
0.0653
(28.7)
0.0681
(29.7)
Brandon Marsh 0.0599
0.0974
(23.4)
0.0981
(23.8)
0.0986
(22.6)
0.1000
(25.2)
0.0990
(23.5)
0.0988
(22.7)
0.0991
(23.1)
0.0962
(24.3)
0.0972
(24.8)
0.0991
(23.5)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Caballero 0.1091 0.0636 22.4
2 Matt Olson 0.1192 0.0917 21.8
3 Jake Burger 0.0518 0.0903 21.6
4 Kevin McGonigle 0.1002 0.1344 21.5
5 Ketel Marte 0.1098 0.0817 19.8
6 Yordan Alvarez 0.1256 0.1575 19.5
7 Bryce Harper 0.1228 0.1544 19.3

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin McGonigle 0.0997 0.1344 21.9
2 Matt Olson 0.1190 0.0917 21.6
3 Yordan Alvarez 0.1245 0.1575 20.4
4 Cole Young 0.0962 0.0690 19.7
5 Bryce Eldridge 0.0844 0.1317 19.6
6 Jake Burger 0.0553 0.0903 19.5
7 Bryce Harper 0.1228 0.1544 19.4

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nicky Lopez 0.1429 0.0444 26.9
2 Jared Young 0.1429 0.0731 24.2
3 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.0000 0.0878 22.7
4 Hao-Yu Lee 0.1429 0.0824 22.4
5 Yordan Alvarez 0.1250 0.1575 21.8
6 Jake Burger 0.0555 0.0903 21.0
7 Bryce Harper 0.1233 0.1544 20.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0889 0.1664 40.6
2 Kevin McGonigle 0.0889 0.1344 29.2
3 Yordan Alvarez 0.1157 0.1575 26.1
4 Matt Olson 0.1184 0.0917 21.6
5 Zach Neto 0.0655 0.0994 21.0
6 Cole Young 0.0971 0.0690 20.6
7 Jakob Marsee 0.0892 0.1266 20.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yordan Alvarez 0.1195 0.1575 24.7
2 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0890 0.0501 23.8
3 Bryce Eldridge 0.0775 0.1317 23.3
4 Bryce Harper 0.1190 0.1544 23.0
5 Mike Trout 0.1304 0.1688 22.9
6 Kevin McGonigle 0.1003 0.1344 22.5
7 Michael Busch 0.0989 0.1296 20.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Young 0.1049 0.0690 23.6
2 Mike Trout 0.1308 0.1688 23.4
3 Munetaka Murakami 0.1231 0.1664 23.4
4 Zach Neto 0.0690 0.0994 20.7
5 Manny Machado 0.0807 0.1123 20.7
6 Matt Olson 0.1194 0.0917 20.1
7 Yordan Alvarez 0.1275 0.1575 20.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Young 0.1034 0.0690 22.9
2 Mike Trout 0.1315 0.1688 22.8
3 Munetaka Murakami 0.1262 0.1664 21.4
4 Zach Neto 0.0687 0.0994 20.7
5 Bryce Eldridge 0.0851 0.1317 20.3
6 Matt Olson 0.1193 0.0917 20.2
7 Manny Machado 0.0811 0.1123 20.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin McGonigle 0.0857 0.1344 29.9
2 Matt Olson 0.1203 0.0917 24.4
3 TJ Rumfield 0.0734 0.1141 21.7
4 Ketel Marte 0.1088 0.0817 20.9
5 Esmerlyn Valdez 0.0698 0.1463 20.1
6 Willy Adames 0.1052 0.0733 19.4
7 Michael Busch 0.0968 0.1296 18.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin McGonigle 0.0857 0.1344 29.9
2 Matt Olson 0.1215 0.0917 25.3
3 TJ Rumfield 0.0734 0.1141 21.7
4 Ketel Marte 0.1093 0.0817 21.2
5 Esmerlyn Valdez 0.0699 0.1463 20.1
6 Willy Adames 0.1050 0.0733 19.3
7 Yordan Alvarez 0.1245 0.1575 18.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yordan Alvarez 0.1226 0.1575 22.7
2 Bryce Harper 0.1200 0.1544 22.4
3 Max Muncy 0.1527 0.1159 21.8
4 Jake Burger 0.0532 0.0903 21.8
5 Bryce Eldridge 0.0840 0.1317 20.5
6 Josh Bell 0.1126 0.0824 20.3
7 Pete Alonso 0.0854 0.1157 19.8

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Kurtz 0.0945 0.1167 0.1820 36.4 26.8 9.6
2 Jose Fernandez 0.0889 0.0434 0.0495 9.5 0.6 9.0
3 Tommy White 0.0889 0.0524 0.0256 13.0 5.9 7.1
4 Blaze Jordan 0.0889 0.0556 0.0352 11.4 4.8 6.6
5 Héctor Rodríguez 0.0889 0.0463 0.0461 7.1 0.6 6.5
6 Alika Williams 0.0889 0.0615 0.0433 11.4 5.0 6.3
7 Jacob Gonzalez 0.0889 0.0658 0.0529 9.0 3.8 5.3
8 José Caballero 0.1091 0.0983 0.0636 22.4 17.5 5.0
9 Jonah Cox 0.0889 0.0627 0.0592 5.6 1.2 4.4
10 Munetaka Murakami 0.1314 0.1388 0.1664 17.3 13.2 4.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.1429 0.0753 0.0824 22.4 1.3 21.1
2 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.0000 0.0654 0.0878 22.7 4.9 17.8
3 Jared Young 0.1429 0.0891 0.0731 24.2 6.7 17.5
4 Nicky Lopez 0.1429 0.0809 0.0444 26.9 10.8 16.0
5 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.0000 0.0520 0.0516 10.8 0.8 9.9
6 Jose Fernandez 0.0889 0.0434 0.0495 9.0 0.6 8.4
7 Bryan Torres 0.1429 0.0978 0.0952 9.2 1.2 8.0
8 Nick Sogard 0.0714 0.0972 0.1119 10.9 3.1 7.8
9 Tommy White 0.0889 0.0524 0.0256 12.5 5.9 6.6
10 Héctor Rodríguez 0.0000 0.0463 0.0461 6.8 0.6 6.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0889 0.1388 0.1664 40.6 13.2 27.3
2 Jakob Marsee 0.0892 0.1119 0.1266 20.5 6.8 13.6
3 Justin Crawford 0.0889 0.0690 0.0581 16.3 6.8 9.5
4 Konnor Griffin 0.0889 0.0615 0.0590 11.5 2.1 9.5
5 Jose Fernandez 0.0889 0.0434 0.0495 9.7 0.6 9.1
6 Jeremiah Jackson 0.0741 0.0495 0.0341 12.9 5.6 7.4
7 Kevin McGonigle 0.0889 0.0997 0.1344 29.2 21.9 7.3
8 Tommy White 0.0889 0.0524 0.0256 13.1 5.9 7.2
9 Nathan Church 0.0759 0.0615 0.0532 12.7 5.6 7.1
10 Blaze Jordan 0.0889 0.0556 0.0352 11.5 4.8 6.7

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0890 0.0777 0.0501 23.8 18.1 5.7
2 Chase Meidroth 0.1162 0.1072 0.0949 15.2 10.3 4.9
3 Yordan Alvarez 0.1195 0.1245 0.1575 24.7 20.4 4.4
4 Travis Bazzana 0.1171 0.1074 0.1083 5.7 1.4 4.3
5 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1028 0.0947 0.0928 7.8 3.5 4.3
6 Jackson Holliday 0.1142 0.1020 0.0960 7.2 3.4 3.8
7 James Wood 0.1131 0.1178 0.1637 30.1 26.4 3.8
8 Bryce Eldridge 0.0775 0.0844 0.1317 23.3 19.6 3.7
9 Taylor Ward 0.0994 0.1039 0.1631 37.3 33.7 3.6
10 Bryce Harper 0.1190 0.1228 0.1544 23.0 19.4 3.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.1231 0.1388 0.1664 23.4 13.2 10.1
2 Jose Fernandez 0.0889 0.0434 0.0495 9.0 0.6 8.4
3 Tommy White 0.0889 0.0524 0.0256 12.5 5.9 6.6
4 Jacob Gonzalez 0.0889 0.0658 0.0529 8.4 3.8 4.6
5 José Fermín 0.1147 0.1009 0.0811 12.8 8.7 4.1
6 Mike Trout 0.1308 0.1346 0.1688 23.4 19.4 4.1
7 Jonah Cox 0.0889 0.0627 0.0592 5.2 1.2 4.0
8 Cole Young 0.1049 0.0962 0.0690 23.6 19.7 3.9
9 Andy Pages 0.0594 0.0624 0.0854 14.3 11.1 3.2
10 Chase Meidroth 0.1147 0.1072 0.0949 13.4 10.3 3.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.1262 0.1388 0.1664 21.4 13.2 8.2
2 Chase Meidroth 0.1162 0.1072 0.0949 14.6 10.3 4.4
3 José Fermín 0.1146 0.1009 0.0811 12.9 8.7 4.2
4 Sam Antonacci 0.0991 0.0897 0.0772 13.0 9.0 4.0
5 Mike Trout 0.1315 0.1346 0.1688 22.8 19.4 3.4
6 Jonathan Aranda 0.1071 0.0993 0.1033 3.5 0.3 3.2
7 Cole Young 0.1034 0.0962 0.0690 22.9 19.7 3.2
8 Brayan Rocchio 0.0846 0.0773 0.0642 12.9 9.9 3.0
9 Andy Pages 0.0595 0.0624 0.0854 14.1 11.1 3.0
10 Wilyer Abreu 0.1109 0.1045 0.1043 5.5 2.6 2.9

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jose Fernandez 0.0889 0.0434 0.0495 10.1 0.6 9.6
2 Kevin McGonigle 0.0857 0.0997 0.1344 29.9 21.9 8.0
3 Tommy White 0.0889 0.0524 0.0256 13.6 5.9 7.6
4 Nick Loftin 0.0735 0.0910 0.0962 7.0 0.7 6.3
5 Jacob Gonzalez 0.0889 0.0658 0.0529 9.6 3.8 5.9
6 JJ Wetherholt 0.0825 0.0947 0.1034 9.0 3.2 5.8
7 Chase DeLauter 0.0742 0.0873 0.1073 14.9 9.2 5.8
8 Jonah Cox 0.0889 0.0627 0.0592 6.1 1.2 4.9
9 Cole Carrigg 0.0889 0.0640 0.0753 7.4 2.9 4.6
10 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0988 0.0947 0.0928 7.9 3.5 4.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jose Fernandez 0.0889 0.0434 0.0495 10.1 0.6 9.6
2 Kevin McGonigle 0.0857 0.0997 0.1344 29.9 21.9 8.0
3 Tommy White 0.0889 0.0524 0.0256 13.6 5.9 7.6
4 Nick Loftin 0.0730 0.0910 0.0962 7.2 0.7 6.5
5 Jacob Gonzalez 0.0889 0.0658 0.0529 9.6 3.8 5.9
6 JJ Wetherholt 0.0825 0.0947 0.1034 9.0 3.2 5.8
7 Chase DeLauter 0.0742 0.0873 0.1073 14.9 9.2 5.7
8 Jonah Cox 0.0889 0.0627 0.0592 6.1 1.2 4.9
9 Miguel Vargas 0.0948 0.1045 0.1435 29.7 24.9 4.8
10 Cole Carrigg 0.0889 0.0640 0.0753 7.4 2.9 4.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1509 0.1357 0.1130 18.8 12.3 6.4
2 Pete Alonso 0.0854 0.0920 0.1157 19.8 14.1 5.7
3 Josh Bell 0.1126 0.1034 0.0824 20.3 15.5 4.8
4 Mookie Betts 0.1156 0.1064 0.0890 15.1 11.1 4.0
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0523 0.0561 0.1143 43.6 39.7 3.9
6 Chase Meidroth 0.1148 0.1072 0.0949 14.1 10.3 3.8
7 Max Muncy 0.1527 0.1448 0.1159 21.8 18.2 3.6
8 Nasim Nuñez 0.1050 0.0952 0.0994 3.8 0.3 3.5
9 Ryan Kreidler 0.1097 0.0951 0.0787 8.8 5.3 3.5
10 Alex Bregman 0.1121 0.1037 0.1083 4.1 0.7 3.4

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Connor Norby 0.0287
0.0091
(7.2)
0.0091
(7.3)
0.0101
(6.9)
0.0101
(7.0)
0.0093
(7.3)
0.0086
(7.4)
0.0090
(7.3)
0.0091
(7.2)
0.0091
(7.2)
0.0096
(7.5)
Jo Adell 0.0273
0.0153
(7.4)
0.0145
(8.1)
0.0148
(7.9)
0.0149
(7.9)
0.0145
(8.1)
0.0140
(8.3)
0.0140
(8.3)
0.0138
(8.3)
0.0138
(8.3)
0.0157
(8.0)
Tommy Edman 0.0423
0.0103
(10.3)
0.0102
(10.4)
0.0099
(10.6)
0.0125
(9.7)
0.0102
(10.5)
0.0112
(10.1)
0.0110
(10.1)
0.0097
(10.5)
0.0097
(10.5)
0.0097
(11.0)
Iván Herrera 0.0432
0.0199
(16.1)
0.0181
(17.6)
0.0185
(17.3)
0.0217
(15.1)
0.0171
(18.4)
0.0184
(17.3)
0.0180
(17.6)
0.0171
(18.1)
0.0171
(18.1)
0.0194
(17.5)
Jake Mangum 0.0251
0.0085
(7.6)
0.0093
(7.3)
0.0081
(7.9)
0.0073
(8.3)
0.0099
(7.0)
0.0096
(7.1)
0.0090
(7.3)
0.0094
(7.1)
0.0094
(7.1)
0.0091
(7.9)
Henry Bolte 0.0317
0.0115
(9.2)
0.0159
(7.2)
0.0115
(9.3)
0.0115
(9.4)
0.0155
(7.5)
0.0143
(7.9)
0.0130
(8.5)
0.0115
(9.1)
0.0115
(9.1)
0.0208
(5.4)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 0.0292 0.0521 12.3
2 Luke Keaschall 0.0195 0.0371 10.4
3 Tristan Peters 0.0040 0.0224 8.6
4 Willson Contreras 0.0301 0.0449 7.5
5 Jakob Marsee 0.0124 0.0244 6.9
6 Esteury Ruiz 0.0201 0.0471 6.7
7 JJ Wetherholt 0.0148 0.0258 6.4
8 Miguel Amaya 0.0181 0.0433 6.2
9 Jake Burger 0.0154 0.0065 6.0
10 Tyler Freeman 0.0305 0.0521 6.0

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 0.0317 0.0521 11.0
2 Luke Keaschall 0.0198 0.0371 10.4
3 Willson Contreras 0.0297 0.0449 7.8
4 Tristan Peters 0.0069 0.0224 7.3
5 Randy Arozarena 0.0281 0.0388 6.8
6 Jakob Marsee 0.0133 0.0244 6.5
7 JJ Wetherholt 0.0149 0.0258 6.4
8 Esteury Ruiz 0.0217 0.0471 6.3
9 Tyler Freeman 0.0302 0.0521 6.1
10 Miguel Amaya 0.0189 0.0433 6.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tristan Peters 0.0000 0.0224 10.7
2 Luke Keaschall 0.0229 0.0371 8.4
3 Jakob Marsee 0.0120 0.0244 7.2
4 Willson Contreras 0.0312 0.0449 7.0
5 Nicky Lopez 0.0000 0.0259 6.9
6 Willi Castro 0.0253 0.0126 6.3
7 Dillon Dingler 0.0140 0.0247 6.2
8 Randy Arozarena 0.0295 0.0388 5.9
9 Jared Young 0.0000 0.0175 5.8
10 Esteury Ruiz 0.0238 0.0471 5.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 0.0115 0.0521 22.4
2 Luke Keaschall 0.0160 0.0371 12.8
3 Jakob Marsee 0.0092 0.0244 9.1
4 JJ Wetherholt 0.0115 0.0258 8.6
5 Colson Montgomery 0.0085 0.0219 8.3
6 Cole Young 0.0088 0.0204 7.1
7 Willson Contreras 0.0314 0.0449 7.0
8 Willi Castro 0.0265 0.0126 6.9
9 Tyler Freeman 0.0284 0.0521 6.7
10 Alejandro Osuna 0.0101 0.0386 6.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luke Keaschall 0.0230 0.0371 8.4
2 Randy Arozarena 0.0272 0.0388 7.5
3 Tristan Peters 0.0070 0.0224 7.3
4 Willson Contreras 0.0307 0.0449 7.3
5 Sam Antonacci 0.0393 0.0521 6.8
6 Miguel Amaya 0.0189 0.0433 6.1
7 Victor Caratini 0.0184 0.0340 5.8
8 Esteury Ruiz 0.0245 0.0471 5.6
9 Jorbit Vivas 0.0259 0.0110 5.6
10 Isaac Paredes 0.0199 0.0288 5.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 0.0235 0.0521 15.5
2 Luke Keaschall 0.0171 0.0371 12.0
3 Willson Contreras 0.0257 0.0449 9.9
4 Esteury Ruiz 0.0180 0.0471 7.2
5 Tyler Freeman 0.0265 0.0521 7.2
6 JJ Wetherholt 0.0143 0.0258 6.7
7 Randy Arozarena 0.0281 0.0388 6.7
8 Miguel Amaya 0.0162 0.0433 6.7
9 Jakob Marsee 0.0130 0.0244 6.6
10 Dillon Dingler 0.0139 0.0247 6.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 0.0260 0.0521 14.1
2 Luke Keaschall 0.0170 0.0371 12.0
3 Willson Contreras 0.0260 0.0449 9.7
4 Tyler Freeman 0.0260 0.0521 7.3
5 Esteury Ruiz 0.0180 0.0471 7.2
6 JJ Wetherholt 0.0140 0.0258 6.9
7 Miguel Amaya 0.0160 0.0433 6.7
8 Randy Arozarena 0.0280 0.0388 6.7
9 Jakob Marsee 0.0130 0.0244 6.5
10 Tristan Peters 0.0090 0.0224 6.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 0.0240 0.0521 15.1
2 Luke Keaschall 0.0162 0.0371 12.4
3 Randy Arozarena 0.0259 0.0388 8.0
4 Willson Contreras 0.0292 0.0449 7.9
5 JJ Wetherholt 0.0124 0.0258 7.7
6 Tristan Peters 0.0068 0.0224 7.2
7 Tyler Freeman 0.0277 0.0521 6.8
8 Esteury Ruiz 0.0204 0.0471 6.6
9 Jakob Marsee 0.0133 0.0244 6.3
10 Miguel Amaya 0.0185 0.0433 6.1

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Antonacci 0.0240 0.0521 15.1
2 Luke Keaschall 0.0162 0.0371 12.4
3 Randy Arozarena 0.0259 0.0388 8.0
4 Willson Contreras 0.0292 0.0449 7.9
5 JJ Wetherholt 0.0124 0.0258 7.7
6 Tristan Peters 0.0068 0.0224 7.2
7 Tyler Freeman 0.0277 0.0521 6.8
8 Esteury Ruiz 0.0204 0.0471 6.6
9 Jakob Marsee 0.0133 0.0244 6.3
10 Miguel Amaya 0.0185 0.0433 6.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jakob Marsee 0.0124 0.0244 7.7
2 Tristan Peters 0.0076 0.0224 7.5
3 Zach Neto 0.0302 0.0199 6.9
4 Konnor Griffin 0.0354 0.0147 6.8
5 Willi Castro 0.0269 0.0126 6.6
6 Jesús Sánchez 0.0061 0.0254 6.2
7 Hao-Yu Lee 0.0169 0.0000 6.0
8 Jake Burger 0.0164 0.0065 5.8
9 Luke Raley 0.0451 0.0244 5.8
10 Caleb Durbin 0.0358 0.0256 5.7

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0115 0.0064 0.0041 4.1 1.5 2.6
2 Henry Bolte 0.0115 0.0159 0.0317 9.2 7.2 2.0
3 Jared Young 0.0082 0.0139 0.0175 2.9 1.1 1.9
4 Mickey Gasper 0.0092 0.0162 0.0222 2.7 1.2 1.5
5 Justin Foscue 0.0074 0.0131 0.0162 2.0 0.6 1.3
6 Caleb Durbin 0.0306 0.0286 0.0256 3.4 2.1 1.3
7 Sam Antonacci 0.0292 0.0317 0.0521 12.3 11.0 1.3
8 Tristan Peters 0.0040 0.0069 0.0224 8.6 7.3 1.3
9 Curtis Mead 0.0233 0.0196 0.0152 2.9 1.6 1.3
10 Taylor Trammell 0.0041 0.0086 0.0138 2.6 1.3 1.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jared Young 0.0000 0.0139 0.0175 5.8 1.1 4.8
2 Mickey Gasper 0.0000 0.0162 0.0222 4.9 1.2 3.6
3 Tristan Peters 0.0000 0.0069 0.0224 10.7 7.3 3.4
4 Justin Foscue 0.0000 0.0131 0.0162 3.9 0.6 3.2
5 Curtis Mead 0.0286 0.0196 0.0152 4.6 1.6 2.9
6 Jose Siri 0.0000 0.0106 0.0120 2.9 0.2 2.7
7 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.0000 0.0120 0.0188 3.9 1.3 2.6
8 Taylor Trammell 0.0000 0.0086 0.0138 3.8 1.3 2.5
9 A.J. Ewing 0.0115 0.0064 0.0041 3.9 1.5 2.5
10 Nicky Lopez 0.0000 0.0090 0.0259 6.9 4.4 2.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sam Antonacci 0.0115 0.0317 0.0521 22.4 11.0 11.4
2 Colson Montgomery 0.0085 0.0159 0.0219 8.3 3.5 4.8
3 Kevin McGonigle 0.0115 0.0058 0.0042 5.4 1.5 3.9
4 Chase DeLauter 0.0115 0.0050 0.0018 5.7 2.1 3.6
5 Caleb Durbin 0.0347 0.0286 0.0256 5.6 2.1 3.5
6 Bryce Eldridge 0.0132 0.0070 0.0000 6.1 3.4 2.7
7 Austin Martin 0.0094 0.0166 0.0223 4.5 1.8 2.7
8 Cole Young 0.0088 0.0127 0.0204 7.1 4.5 2.6
9 Jakob Marsee 0.0092 0.0133 0.0244 9.1 6.5 2.6
10 Luke Keaschall 0.0160 0.0198 0.0371 12.8 10.4 2.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jorbit Vivas 0.0259 0.0203 0.0110 5.6 3.6 2.0
2 Carter Jensen 0.0027 0.0048 0.0066 2.1 0.8 1.3
3 Andy Pages 0.0170 0.0148 0.0139 2.1 0.8 1.2
4 Sung-Mun Song 0.0115 0.0034 0.0000 1.8 0.6 1.2
5 Chase Meidroth 0.0167 0.0151 0.0093 5.1 4.1 1.0
6 Kody Clemens 0.0074 0.0090 0.0120 2.4 1.4 0.9
7 Liam Hicks 0.0225 0.0208 0.0199 1.7 0.8 0.9
8 Konnor Griffin 0.0235 0.0208 0.0147 3.1 2.3 0.9
9 Iván Herrera 0.0171 0.0181 0.0432 18.4 17.6 0.8
10 Lawrence Butler 0.0014 0.0029 0.0037 1.0 0.1 0.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sam Antonacci 0.0235 0.0317 0.0521 15.5 11.0 4.5
2 A.J. Ewing 0.0115 0.0064 0.0041 4.0 1.5 2.5
3 Willson Contreras 0.0257 0.0297 0.0449 9.9 7.8 2.1
4 Austin Martin 0.0118 0.0166 0.0223 3.5 1.8 1.7
5 Luke Keaschall 0.0171 0.0198 0.0371 12.0 10.4 1.6
6 Kevin McGonigle 0.0080 0.0058 0.0042 3.1 1.5 1.6
7 Andrés Giménez 0.0223 0.0255 0.0315 4.3 2.7 1.6
8 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.0115 0.0056 0.0038 2.2 0.6 1.6
9 Austin Riley 0.0097 0.0120 0.0175 4.5 3.1 1.4
10 Henry Davis 0.0161 0.0203 0.0268 3.0 1.8 1.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sam Antonacci 0.0260 0.0317 0.0521 14.1 11.0 3.1
2 Willson Contreras 0.0260 0.0297 0.0449 9.7 7.8 1.9
3 Andrés Giménez 0.0220 0.0255 0.0315 4.4 2.7 1.7
4 Kevin McGonigle 0.0080 0.0058 0.0042 3.2 1.5 1.7
5 Luke Keaschall 0.0170 0.0198 0.0371 12.0 10.4 1.6
6 Austin Martin 0.0120 0.0166 0.0223 3.4 1.8 1.6
7 Henry Bolte 0.0130 0.0159 0.0317 8.5 7.2 1.3
8 Henry Davis 0.0160 0.0203 0.0268 3.0 1.8 1.2
9 Chase DeLauter 0.0070 0.0050 0.0018 3.3 2.1 1.2
10 Javier Sanoja 0.0070 0.0047 0.0000 3.8 2.6 1.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sam Antonacci 0.0240 0.0317 0.0521 15.1 11.0 4.1
2 A.J. Ewing 0.0115 0.0064 0.0041 4.1 1.5 2.7
3 Luke Keaschall 0.0162 0.0198 0.0371 12.4 10.4 2.0
4 Henry Bolte 0.0115 0.0159 0.0317 9.1 7.2 1.9
5 JJ Wetherholt 0.0124 0.0149 0.0258 7.7 6.4 1.3
6 Randy Arozarena 0.0259 0.0281 0.0388 8.0 6.8 1.3
7 Troy Johnston 0.0132 0.0160 0.0200 2.7 1.5 1.1
8 Yohendrick Piñango 0.0115 0.0060 0.0000 2.2 1.2 1.0
9 Carson Benge 0.0097 0.0116 0.0122 1.0 0.0 1.0
10 Mookie Betts 0.0093 0.0078 0.0038 3.4 2.4 1.0

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sam Antonacci 0.0240 0.0317 0.0521 15.1 11.0 4.1
2 A.J. Ewing 0.0115 0.0064 0.0041 4.1 1.5 2.7
3 Luke Keaschall 0.0162 0.0198 0.0371 12.4 10.4 2.0
4 Henry Bolte 0.0115 0.0159 0.0317 9.1 7.2 1.9
5 JJ Wetherholt 0.0124 0.0149 0.0258 7.7 6.4 1.3
6 Randy Arozarena 0.0259 0.0281 0.0388 8.0 6.8 1.3
7 Troy Johnston 0.0132 0.0160 0.0200 2.7 1.5 1.1
8 Yohendrick Piñango 0.0115 0.0060 0.0000 2.2 1.2 1.0
9 Carson Benge 0.0097 0.0116 0.0122 1.0 0.0 1.0
10 Mookie Betts 0.0093 0.0078 0.0038 3.4 2.4 1.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Konnor Griffin 0.0354 0.0208 0.0147 6.8 2.3 4.6
2 Caleb Durbin 0.0358 0.0286 0.0256 5.7 2.1 3.6
3 Liam Hicks 0.0272 0.0208 0.0199 3.8 0.8 2.9
4 Luke Raley 0.0451 0.0353 0.0244 5.8 3.3 2.5
5 Zach Neto 0.0302 0.0257 0.0199 6.9 4.5 2.4
6 Ty France 0.0373 0.0324 0.0280 4.4 2.5 1.8
7 Jorbit Vivas 0.0262 0.0203 0.0110 5.3 3.6 1.7
8 Curtis Mead 0.0259 0.0196 0.0152 3.3 1.6 1.7
9 Carson Benge 0.0153 0.0116 0.0122 1.6 0.0 1.6
10 Carter Jensen 0.0034 0.0048 0.0066 2.3 0.8 1.5

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Hunter Goodman 0.1178
0.0738
(25.0)
0.0739
(24.6)
0.0738
(25.0)
0.0690
(28.6)
0.0725
(25.6)
0.0727
(25.1)
0.0757
(24.6)
0.0771
(22.7)
0.0747
(24.2)
0.0707
(26.6)
Jo Adell 0.0510
0.0823
(21.0)
0.0841
(22.5)
0.0870
(24.0)
0.0798
(18.4)
0.0844
(22.5)
0.0832
(22.2)
0.0864
(23.0)
0.0824
(21.4)
0.0836
(22.1)
0.0862
(23.7)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0193
0.0586
(24.2)
0.0619
(26.6)
0.0635
(27.2)
0.0508
(18.6)
0.0647
(28.0)
0.0640
(28.1)
0.0686
(29.6)
0.0548
(22.3)
0.0635
(27.5)
0.0591
(24.7)
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1014
0.0541
(33.9)
0.0558
(32.3)
0.0583
(31.0)
0.0546
(34.6)
0.0557
(32.7)
0.0546
(32.9)
0.0585
(31.5)
0.0555
(32.5)
0.0526
(34.7)
0.0592
(30.0)
CJ Abrams 0.0773
0.0402
(23.9)
0.0409
(23.1)
0.0436
(21.8)
0.0431
(23.0)
0.0398
(24.1)
0.0417
(22.3)
0.0445
(21.8)
0.0417
(22.5)
0.0368
(25.9)
0.0414
(23.0)
Luis García Jr. 0.0713
0.0377
(18.0)
0.0384
(17.2)
0.0390
(17.3)
0.0369
(19.2)
0.0412
(16.0)
0.0382
(17.2)
0.0410
(16.8)
0.0368
(18.1)
0.0368
(18.2)
0.0374
(18.0)
Esmerlyn Valdez 0.1250
0.0487
(21.8)
0.0507
(21.0)
0.0461
(22.5)
0.0461
(22.9)
0.0511
(21.0)
0.0460
(22.3)
0.0511
(21.4)
0.0511
(20.9)
0.0514
(20.9)
0.0557
(19.7)
Josh Naylor 0.0192
0.0469
(18.3)
0.0475
(19.1)
0.0485
(19.3)
0.0495
(19.1)
0.0430
(15.9)
0.0491
(20.4)
0.0525
(21.2)
0.0507
(21.2)
0.0437
(16.5)
0.0469
(18.5)
Taylor Ward 0.0189
0.0668
(29.4)
0.0652
(28.8)
0.0638
(27.5)
0.0653
(27.6)
0.0646
(28.2)
0.0595
(25.5)
0.0634
(26.7)
0.0680
(30.5)
0.0684
(30.6)
0.0656
(28.8)
Nolan Arenado 0.0719
0.0365
(20.9)
0.0358
(21.0)
0.0381
(20.0)
0.0411
(19.0)
0.0302
(24.6)
0.0380
(19.5)
0.0406
(19.1)
0.0350
(21.5)
0.0362
(20.9)
0.0339
(22.4)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Busch 0.0775 0.0455 23.1
2 Daulton Varsho 0.0742 0.0317 22.6
3 Munetaka Murakami 0.0949 0.1351 22.0
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1143 0.0794 21.9
5 Kyle Tucker 0.0675 0.0385 18.4
6 Ben Rice 0.0730 0.0990 17.1
7 Miguel Vargas 0.0462 0.0702 16.6
8 Curtis Mead 0.0275 0.0766 16.0
9 Griffin Conine 0.0513 0.1005 15.7
10 Mike Trout 0.0870 0.0627 15.7

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.1122 0.0794 20.9
2 Daulton Varsho 0.0692 0.0317 20.3
3 Munetaka Murakami 0.0998 0.1351 19.0
4 Michael Busch 0.0700 0.0455 18.2
5 Kyle Tucker 0.0661 0.0385 17.9
6 Miguel Vargas 0.0447 0.0702 17.2
7 Ben Rice 0.0722 0.0990 17.2
8 Mike Trout 0.0875 0.0627 16.4
9 Carter Jensen 0.0476 0.0742 15.4
10 Curtis Mead 0.0302 0.0766 14.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0915 0.1351 23.9
2 Daulton Varsho 0.0711 0.0317 20.9
3 Michael Busch 0.0729 0.0455 19.8
4 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.0000 0.0757 19.7
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1106 0.0794 19.5
6 Kyle Tucker 0.0691 0.0385 19.4
7 Miguel Vargas 0.0435 0.0702 18.5
8 Curtis Mead 0.0208 0.0766 18.2
9 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0585 0.0851 16.6
10 Justin Foscue 0.0000 0.0671 16.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0461 0.1351 49.8
2 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0461 0.0851 25.4
3 Ben Rice 0.0631 0.0990 24.6
4 Miguel Vargas 0.0397 0.0702 22.2
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1117 0.0794 19.4
6 Griffin Conine 0.0422 0.1005 19.2
7 Jordan Walker 0.0396 0.0661 18.3
8 Yordan Alvarez 0.0675 0.0929 18.3
9 Nasim Nuñez 0.0400 0.0029 17.8
10 Michael Busch 0.0710 0.0455 17.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.1178 0.0794 24.1
2 Miguel Vargas 0.0404 0.0702 20.5
3 Colson Montgomery 0.0581 0.0904 20.2
4 Michael Busch 0.0697 0.0455 17.7
5 Munetaka Murakami 0.1034 0.1351 17.2
6 Ben Rice 0.0730 0.0990 16.9
7 Kyle Tucker 0.0644 0.0385 16.6
8 Mike Trout 0.0881 0.0627 16.5
9 Austin Riley 0.0758 0.0514 15.8
10 Carter Jensen 0.0481 0.0742 15.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0787 0.1351 30.5
2 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0542 0.0851 18.7
3 Miguel Vargas 0.0427 0.0702 18.4
4 Ben Rice 0.0713 0.0990 17.6
5 Kyle Tucker 0.0641 0.0385 16.9
6 Curtis Mead 0.0265 0.0766 16.0
7 Daulton Varsho 0.0608 0.0317 16.0
8 Michael Busch 0.0664 0.0455 15.8
9 Ty France 0.0286 0.0616 15.8
10 Carter Jensen 0.0475 0.0742 15.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0941 0.1351 23.1
2 Miguel Vargas 0.0449 0.0702 18.3
3 Michael Busch 0.0717 0.0455 18.2
4 Daulton Varsho 0.0666 0.0317 18.0
5 Kyle Tucker 0.0677 0.0385 17.8
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.1086 0.0794 17.7
7 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0580 0.0851 17.6
8 Ben Rice 0.0753 0.0990 16.3
9 Ty France 0.0315 0.0616 15.4
10 Curtis Mead 0.0308 0.0766 15.3

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daulton Varsho 0.0744 0.0317 23.0
2 Mike Trout 0.0960 0.0627 21.8
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1133 0.0794 21.7
4 Cal Raleigh 0.1172 0.0790 20.8
5 Ben Rice 0.0679 0.0990 20.0
6 Jordan Walker 0.0364 0.0661 19.0
7 Miguel Vargas 0.0424 0.0702 18.8
8 Ty France 0.0245 0.0616 18.0
9 Kyle Tucker 0.0657 0.0385 17.7
10 Carter Jensen 0.0451 0.0742 16.9

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.1158 0.0794 23.1
2 Daulton Varsho 0.0744 0.0317 22.9
3 Ben Rice 0.0704 0.0990 18.5
4 Griffin Conine 0.0452 0.1005 17.6
5 Mike Trout 0.0894 0.0627 17.5
6 Matt Olson 0.0633 0.0891 17.4
7 Brandon Lowe 0.0601 0.0871 17.1
8 Carter Jensen 0.0457 0.0742 16.6
9 James Wood 0.0615 0.0888 16.4
10 Kyle Tucker 0.0636 0.0385 16.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0461 0.0851 24.3
2 Munetaka Murakami 0.0916 0.1351 23.6
3 Daulton Varsho 0.0747 0.0317 23.0
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1127 0.0794 21.1
5 Kyle Tucker 0.0695 0.0385 19.9
6 Miguel Vargas 0.0416 0.0702 19.6
7 Michael Busch 0.0722 0.0455 19.5
8 Brandon Lowe 0.0597 0.0871 17.4
9 Jordan Walker 0.0411 0.0661 16.2
10 Cal Raleigh 0.1084 0.0790 16.0

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Luis Lara 0.0461 0.0121 0.0068 8.4 1.4 7.1
2 Cooper Pratt 0.0461 0.0227 0.0158 8.2 2.1 6.1
3 Brett Bateman 0.0461 0.0137 0.0159 5.6 0.2 5.4
4 Michael Busch 0.0775 0.0700 0.0455 23.1 18.2 4.9
5 Alika Williams 0.0461 0.0192 0.0237 5.3 0.8 4.5
6 Jose Fernandez 0.0461 0.0254 0.0190 6.1 1.7 4.5
7 Turner Hill 0.0461 0.0087 0.0114 4.4 0.2 4.2
8 Jim Jarvis 0.0461 0.0119 0.0109 4.4 0.3 4.2
9 Angel Genao 0.0461 0.0167 0.0189 3.9 0.2 3.7
10 Samad Taylor 0.0461 0.0245 0.0180 5.0 1.3 3.7

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.0000 0.0586 0.0769 16.3 3.7 12.6
2 Hao-Yu Lee 0.0000 0.0322 0.0405 14.6 2.6 12.0
3 Denzer Guzman 0.0000 0.0387 0.0385 11.6 0.4 11.2
4 Wade Meckler 0.0461 0.0147 0.0126 11.4 1.1 10.3
5 Sam Antonacci 0.0000 0.0166 0.0199 10.8 1.2 9.6
6 Justin Foscue 0.0000 0.0371 0.0671 16.5 7.1 9.3
7 Brandon Valenzuela 0.0000 0.0337 0.0523 14.1 4.7 9.3
8 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.0000 0.0330 0.0757 19.7 10.9 8.8
9 Elias Díaz 0.0000 0.0358 0.0476 11.2 2.6 8.6
10 Jared Young 0.0000 0.0480 0.0363 12.3 4.4 7.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0461 0.0998 0.1351 49.8 19.0 30.8
2 Sam Antonacci 0.0461 0.0166 0.0199 14.1 1.2 12.9
3 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0461 0.0640 0.0851 25.4 12.7 12.7
4 Justin Crawford 0.0461 0.0191 0.0085 17.1 5.4 11.6
5 Bryce Eldridge 0.0405 0.0621 0.0630 10.5 0.1 10.4
6 Nasim Nuñez 0.0400 0.0185 0.0029 17.8 8.2 9.6
7 Yordan Alvarez 0.0675 0.0792 0.0929 18.3 8.7 9.6
8 Jorbit Vivas 0.0429 0.0159 0.0113 11.2 2.1 9.1
9 Ben Rice 0.0631 0.0722 0.0990 24.6 17.2 7.5
10 Jac Caglianone 0.0448 0.0559 0.0623 10.2 3.0 7.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Colson Montgomery 0.0581 0.0687 0.0904 20.2 13.1 7.1
2 Eugenio Suárez 0.0811 0.0941 0.0970 7.6 0.9 6.7
3 Alex Bregman 0.0371 0.0453 0.0547 11.9 5.8 6.0
4 Junior Caminero 0.0732 0.0785 0.0857 8.3 4.3 4.0
5 Austin Riley 0.0758 0.0691 0.0514 15.8 11.9 3.9
6 Kevin McGonigle 0.0446 0.0389 0.0354 7.0 3.3 3.7
7 Nolan Arenado 0.0302 0.0358 0.0719 24.6 21.0 3.6
8 JJ Bleday 0.0547 0.0605 0.0688 7.3 3.9 3.4
9 Miguel Vargas 0.0404 0.0447 0.0702 20.5 17.2 3.3
10 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0261 0.0200 0.0206 3.6 0.3 3.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0787 0.0998 0.1351 30.5 19.0 11.5
2 Luis Lara 0.0461 0.0121 0.0068 8.6 1.4 7.3
3 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0542 0.0640 0.0851 18.7 12.7 6.0
4 Brett Bateman 0.0461 0.0137 0.0159 5.7 0.2 5.5
5 Jose Fernandez 0.0461 0.0254 0.0190 6.3 1.7 4.7
6 Jorge Barrosa 0.0461 0.0203 0.0183 5.1 0.5 4.5
7 Turner Hill 0.0461 0.0087 0.0114 4.5 0.2 4.3
8 Jim Jarvis 0.0461 0.0119 0.0109 4.5 0.3 4.3
9 Kyle Stowers 0.0611 0.0694 0.0727 5.2 1.1 4.1
10 Petey Halpin 0.0461 0.0302 0.0268 4.0 0.9 3.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0580 0.0640 0.0851 17.6 12.7 4.9
2 Munetaka Murakami 0.0941 0.0998 0.1351 23.1 19.0 4.1
3 Nolan Schanuel 0.0389 0.0298 0.0206 7.9 4.6 3.3
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0686 0.0619 0.0193 29.6 26.6 3.0
5 Royce Lewis 0.0613 0.0540 0.0444 8.3 5.4 2.9
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0715 0.0658 0.0497 14.9 12.1 2.8
7 Isaac Paredes 0.0628 0.0570 0.0520 6.7 4.0 2.7
8 Steven Kwan 0.0230 0.0171 0.0062 10.3 7.6 2.6
9 Travis Bazzana 0.0329 0.0361 0.0432 5.6 3.1 2.5
10 Jarren Duran 0.0386 0.0406 0.0505 7.6 5.4 2.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Luis Lara 0.0461 0.0121 0.0068 8.6 1.4 7.2
2 Cal Raleigh 0.1172 0.1041 0.0790 20.8 13.8 7.0
3 Cooper Pratt 0.0461 0.0227 0.0158 8.4 2.1 6.2
4 Jac Caglianone 0.0454 0.0559 0.0623 8.7 3.0 5.8
5 Brett Bateman 0.0461 0.0137 0.0159 5.7 0.2 5.5
6 Mike Trout 0.0960 0.0875 0.0627 21.8 16.4 5.4
7 Jordan Walker 0.0364 0.0438 0.0661 19.0 14.1 4.9
8 Jose Fernandez 0.0461 0.0254 0.0190 6.3 1.7 4.6
9 Nick Kurtz 0.1132 0.1028 0.0995 6.4 1.9 4.5
10 Isaac Paredes 0.0635 0.0570 0.0520 8.3 4.0 4.3

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Luis Lara 0.0461 0.0121 0.0068 8.5 1.4 7.2
2 Cooper Pratt 0.0461 0.0227 0.0158 8.3 2.1 6.2
3 Luis Arraez 0.0002 0.0088 0.0102 6.0 0.2 5.8
4 Yandy Díaz 0.0503 0.0420 0.0421 6.2 0.7 5.5
5 Brett Bateman 0.0461 0.0137 0.0159 5.6 0.2 5.4
6 Cedric Mullins 0.0560 0.0452 0.0423 7.3 2.0 5.3
7 Drake Baldwin 0.0412 0.0496 0.0597 10.8 5.5 5.3
8 Matt Olson 0.0633 0.0705 0.0891 17.4 12.3 5.1
9 Jose Fernandez 0.0461 0.0254 0.0190 6.2 1.7 4.6
10 Chase Meidroth 0.0117 0.0185 0.0368 15.5 11.1 4.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0461 0.0640 0.0851 24.3 12.7 11.6
2 Spencer Jones 0.0899 0.0734 0.0696 6.1 1.4 4.7
3 Munetaka Murakami 0.0916 0.0998 0.1351 23.6 19.0 4.7
4 A.J. Ewing 0.0097 0.0188 0.0345 11.8 7.2 4.6
5 Brandon Lowe 0.0597 0.0651 0.0871 17.4 13.7 3.7
6 Willson Contreras 0.0569 0.0624 0.0852 14.7 11.6 3.2
7 Pete Alonso 0.0787 0.0828 0.0982 13.1 10.0 3.1
8 Sam Antonacci 0.0113 0.0166 0.0199 4.3 1.2 3.1
9 Jared Young 0.0573 0.0480 0.0363 7.4 4.4 3.1
10 Jake Burger 0.0755 0.0704 0.0712 3.1 0.1 3.0

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.1552
0.2886
(32.2)
0.2893
(32.2)
0.2929
(32.2)
0.2914
(32.0)
0.2862
(30.9)
0.2931
(33.6)
0.2947
(33.0)
0.2873
(32.4)
0.2858
(32.0)
0.2897
(31.0)
Cam Smith 0.2471
0.3134
(37.5)
0.3104
(35.3)
0.3114
(33.7)
0.3101
(33.4)
0.3032
(30.0)
0.3042
(33.0)
0.3089
(33.4)
0.3130
(38.4)
0.3149
(39.4)
0.3154
(35.2)
Jarren Duran 0.2500
0.3204
(42.6)
0.3188
(41.1)
0.3178
(38.3)
0.3350
(49.2)
0.3225
(42.1)
0.3143
(39.8)
0.3186
(39.8)
0.3192
(43.1)
0.3159
(41.0)
0.3205
(39.0)
Jake Bauers 0.3389
0.2711
(39.3)
0.2752
(37.5)
0.2857
(33.6)
0.2872
(32.3)
0.2873
(31.7)
0.2749
(36.3)
0.2783
(36.8)
0.2650
(41.7)
0.2681
(40.1)
0.2822
(36.5)
Manny Machado 0.2300
0.2896
(40.1)
0.2893
(39.3)
0.2933
(39.5)
0.2978
(43.1)
0.2901
(38.5)
0.2896
(41.1)
0.2947
(41.7)
0.2865
(39.4)
0.2826
(36.6)
0.2919
(37.6)
Carson Benge 0.3410
0.2835
(37.8)
0.2869
(36.2)
0.2900
(36.6)
0.2881
(37.3)
0.2895
(35.8)
0.2809
(38.6)
0.2846
(38.8)
0.2868
(34.3)
0.2866
(34.6)
0.2962
(33.5)
Nick Gonzales 0.3602
0.3097
(30.8)
0.3125
(29.7)
0.3168
(29.3)
0.3072
(34.7)
0.3088
(33.2)
0.3097
(30.0)
0.3142
(29.8)
0.3138
(27.1)
0.3131
(27.7)
0.3186
(29.1)
Chase Meidroth 0.3341
0.2894
(28.9)
0.2889
(29.8)
0.2919
(30.3)
0.2892
(31.6)
0.2858
(33.1)
0.2856
(30.5)
0.2935
(28.1)
0.2912
(26.5)
0.2886
(28.3)
0.2883
(33.5)
Jac Caglianone 0.3613
0.2740
(48.4)
0.2817
(44.7)
0.2872
(43.7)
0.2300
(74.8)
0.2930
(39.5)
0.2806
(44.0)
0.2854
(43.6)
0.2725
(48.1)
0.2758
(46.4)
0.2899
(43.0)
Gunnar Henderson 0.2629
0.3106
(33.3)
0.3116
(33.4)
0.3131
(31.8)
0.3169
(35.0)
0.3252
(41.5)
0.3027
(28.7)
0.3087
(30.0)
0.3088
(33.5)
0.3090
(33.4)
0.3163
(33.0)
Garrett Mitchell 0.3833
0.3062
(41.1)
0.3134
(37.7)
0.3208
(35.8)
0.3182
(36.7)
0.3198
(35.4)
0.3108
(37.9)
0.3153
(37.7)
0.3049
(40.7)
0.3073
(39.5)
0.3305
(31.4)
J.T. Realmuto 0.2395
0.3100
(32.8)
0.3042
(29.7)
0.3086
(30.0)
0.3131
(32.4)
0.3002
(26.9)
0.2944
(26.1)
0.2984
(26.1)
0.3042
(31.0)
0.3082
(32.8)
0.3145
(32.1)
Matt McLain 0.2292
0.3038
(36.9)
0.3030
(36.0)
0.3068
(36.1)
0.3129
(39.5)
0.2982
(32.7)
0.2984
(34.9)
0.2990
(33.1)
0.3015
(36.8)
0.3036
(37.7)
0.3166
(40.2)
Oneil Cruz 0.3971
0.3063
(38.2)
0.3078
(37.9)
0.3079
(39.4)
0.3023
(41.4)
0.3085
(38.5)
0.3018
(39.5)
0.3058
(39.5)
0.3088
(36.3)
0.3122
(35.0)
0.3115
(38.5)

Individual Misses for BABIP

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Bolte 0.2881 0.3782 42.7
2 Drew Romo 0.3113 0.1473 33.7
3 Drake Baldwin 0.2817 0.3325 31.4
4 Randy Arozarena 0.2888 0.3333 30.0
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2853 0.3258 29.6
6 Henry Davis 0.2720 0.1799 27.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Randy Arozarena 0.2922 0.3333 28.4
2 Henry Davis 0.2744 0.1799 27.8
3 Drake Baldwin 0.2890 0.3325 27.4
4 Ty France 0.2895 0.3406 26.1
5 Drew Romo 0.2748 0.1473 26.0
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2916 0.3258 25.7

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Bolte 0.2881 0.3782 44.9
2 Samad Taylor 0.2500 0.4220 31.0
3 Ty France 0.2857 0.3406 29.9
4 Kevin McGonigle 0.2685 0.3055 29.6
5 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2500 0.3249 29.0
6 Wade Meckler 0.2881 0.3686 28.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Bolte 0.2881 0.3782 44.5
2 Otto Lopez 0.2832 0.3346 38.1
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2782 0.3258 37.5
4 Randy Arozarena 0.2921 0.3333 30.4
5 TJ Rumfield 0.2881 0.3311 29.7
6 Bryce Eldridge 0.2817 0.3439 29.7

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Davis 0.2847 0.1799 30.3
2 Otto Lopez 0.2959 0.3346 28.8
3 Ty France 0.2882 0.3406 27.8
4 Cal Raleigh 0.2755 0.2201 27.7
5 Brice Turang 0.3032 0.3401 27.3
6 Jackson Chourio 0.3043 0.3479 26.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Randy Arozarena 0.2880 0.3333 29.6
2 Jackson Chourio 0.2969 0.3479 28.6
3 Henry Davis 0.2736 0.1799 28.2
4 Drake Baldwin 0.2863 0.3325 27.7
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2870 0.3258 27.4
6 Nick Kurtz 0.2998 0.3632 27.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Randy Arozarena 0.2922 0.3333 29.6
2 Jackson Chourio 0.3001 0.3479 29.2
3 Henry Davis 0.2773 0.1799 28.1
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2911 0.3258 27.4
5 Drake Baldwin 0.2911 0.3325 27.3
6 Nick Kurtz 0.3038 0.3632 27.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Bolte 0.2881 0.3782 41.8
2 Drake Baldwin 0.2829 0.3325 29.5
3 Max Muncy 0.2425 0.2938 27.8
4 Ezequiel Tovar 0.3202 0.2673 27.7
5 Henry Davis 0.2703 0.1799 27.5
6 Randy Arozarena 0.2912 0.3333 27.0

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Bolte 0.2881 0.3782 41.9
2 Randy Arozarena 0.2850 0.3333 31.4
3 Dansby Swanson 0.2989 0.2408 29.0
4 Drake Baldwin 0.2862 0.3325 27.5
5 Riley Greene 0.3129 0.3609 27.5
6 Ezequiel Tovar 0.3199 0.2673 27.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin McGonigle 0.2551 0.3055 40.1
2 Munetaka Murakami 0.3377 0.2634 37.6
3 Ty France 0.2853 0.3406 30.8
4 Otto Lopez 0.2993 0.3346 28.6
5 Max Muncy 0.2500 0.2938 28.1
6 Andrew Vaughn 0.2796 0.3550 27.1

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Henry Bolte 0.2881 0.3447 0.3782 42.7 16.4 26.3
2 A.J. Ewing 0.2881 0.3110 0.3214 16.5 5.7 10.8
3 Jacob Gonzalez 0.2881 0.2506 0.2437 10.0 1.3 8.7
4 Drew Romo 0.3113 0.2748 0.1473 33.7 26.0 7.7
5 Cole Carrigg 0.2881 0.3047 0.3403 19.5 13.7 5.8
6 Denzer Guzman 0.3024 0.2883 0.2700 9.8 5.2 4.6
7 Jake McCarthy 0.3002 0.3081 0.3214 12.8 8.6 4.2
8 José Caballero 0.2916 0.2833 0.2746 7.6 3.5 4.2
9 Jakob Marsee 0.2883 0.2792 0.2798 5.1 1.1 4.0
10 Drake Baldwin 0.2817 0.2890 0.3325 31.4 27.4 4.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Henry Bolte 0.2881 0.3447 0.3782 44.9 16.4 28.5
2 Nicky Lopez 0.4000 0.2920 0.3058 24.1 4.1 20.1
3 Sterlin Thompson 0.5000 0.3092 0.3043 14.7 0.3 14.4
4 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2500 0.2856 0.3249 29.0 14.7 14.3
5 Elias Díaz 0.3333 0.2707 0.2687 14.2 0.2 14.0
6 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.3333 0.2745 0.2749 14.1 0.4 13.7
7 A.J. Ewing 0.2881 0.3110 0.3214 18.8 5.7 13.1
8 Brandon Valenzuela 0.2222 0.2658 0.2761 15.9 3.1 12.8
9 Eduardo Valencia 0.2000 0.2803 0.4000 28.3 16.7 11.6
10 Jared Young 0.2500 0.2772 0.3054 20.6 10.0 10.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2300 0.2817 0.3613 74.8 44.7 30.2
2 Henry Bolte 0.2881 0.3447 0.3782 44.5 16.4 28.1
3 Jakob Marsee 0.3256 0.2792 0.2798 25.7 1.1 24.6
4 Jake McCarthy 0.2891 0.3081 0.3214 21.7 8.6 13.1
5 Otto Lopez 0.2832 0.2991 0.3346 38.1 25.1 13.0
6 Konnor Griffin 0.2881 0.3229 0.3496 22.2 9.4 12.8
7 A.J. Ewing 0.2881 0.3110 0.3214 18.4 5.7 12.7
8 Dillon Dingler 0.3208 0.2983 0.2730 26.6 14.7 11.9
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2782 0.2916 0.3258 37.5 25.7 11.8
10 Sal Stewart 0.2829 0.2977 0.2960 12.0 0.4 11.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Colson Montgomery 0.2942 0.2751 0.2596 20.0 9.1 10.9
2 Cal Raleigh 0.2755 0.2545 0.2201 27.7 17.6 10.1
3 Gunnar Henderson 0.3252 0.3116 0.2629 41.5 33.4 8.1
4 Luke Keaschall 0.2952 0.3060 0.3152 14.4 6.4 8.0
5 Chandler Simpson 0.3018 0.3126 0.3253 16.4 8.5 7.9
6 Samuel Basallo 0.3027 0.2809 0.2594 16.0 8.1 7.9
7 Jonathan Aranda 0.3127 0.3212 0.3400 20.4 13.3 7.0
8 Yandy Díaz 0.3020 0.3102 0.3160 11.8 4.8 7.0
9 Bryan Reynolds 0.3041 0.3120 0.3286 19.3 12.4 7.0
10 Sal Stewart 0.2888 0.2977 0.2960 7.3 0.4 6.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.2881 0.3110 0.3214 15.8 5.7 10.1
2 Jacob Gonzalez 0.2881 0.2506 0.2437 10.3 1.3 9.0
3 James Wood 0.3228 0.3373 0.3442 12.6 5.0 7.6
4 Sam Antonacci 0.2759 0.2914 0.3165 22.0 14.6 7.4
5 Ildemaro Vargas 0.2798 0.2678 0.2657 7.4 0.5 6.9
6 Henry Bolte 0.3289 0.3447 0.3782 22.8 16.4 6.4
7 Caleb Durbin 0.2785 0.2710 0.2640 9.2 3.4 5.7
8 Sal Stewart 0.3032 0.2977 0.2960 5.8 0.4 5.4
9 Nick Kurtz 0.2998 0.3139 0.3632 27.0 21.9 5.2
10 Shohei Ohtani 0.2997 0.3103 0.3276 16.5 11.4 5.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ildemaro Vargas 0.2829 0.2678 0.2657 6.9 0.5 6.4
2 James Wood 0.3299 0.3373 0.3442 10.8 5.0 5.8
3 Caleb Durbin 0.2823 0.2710 0.2640 8.9 3.4 5.5
4 Elly De La Cruz 0.3223 0.3287 0.3585 25.0 19.7 5.2
5 Nick Kurtz 0.3038 0.3139 0.3632 27.1 21.9 5.2
6 Henry Bolte 0.3357 0.3447 0.3782 21.5 16.4 5.1
7 Ernie Clement 0.2852 0.2759 0.2717 6.5 1.9 4.6
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.3048 0.3103 0.3276 15.9 11.4 4.5
9 Matt Olson 0.2978 0.2898 0.2768 12.5 8.2 4.2
10 Jackson Chourio 0.3001 0.3055 0.3479 29.2 25.0 4.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Henry Bolte 0.2881 0.3447 0.3782 41.8 16.4 25.4
2 A.J. Ewing 0.2881 0.3110 0.3214 15.5 5.7 9.8
3 Jacob Gonzalez 0.2881 0.2506 0.2437 10.5 1.3 9.2
4 Cole Carrigg 0.2881 0.3047 0.3403 18.8 13.7 5.1
5 Julio Rodríguez 0.3194 0.3146 0.2887 21.2 16.2 5.1
6 Kyle Karros 0.3356 0.3287 0.3023 16.6 12.0 4.6
7 Dominic Canzone 0.2691 0.2803 0.2968 13.9 9.4 4.5
8 Jake Bauers 0.2650 0.2752 0.3389 41.7 37.5 4.3
9 Ildemaro Vargas 0.2542 0.2678 0.2657 4.7 0.5 4.2
10 Bo Bichette 0.3206 0.3179 0.2960 18.3 14.4 3.9

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Henry Bolte 0.2881 0.3447 0.3782 41.9 16.4 25.5
2 A.J. Ewing 0.2881 0.3110 0.3214 15.6 5.7 9.9
3 Jacob Gonzalez 0.2881 0.2506 0.2437 10.4 1.3 9.1
4 Josh Naylor 0.2620 0.2759 0.2857 14.4 7.1 7.3
5 Ezequiel Duran 0.2856 0.2982 0.3170 17.8 11.9 5.9
6 Yordan Alvarez 0.2970 0.3079 0.3341 24.7 18.9 5.7
7 Freddie Freeman 0.3007 0.3120 0.3326 20.0 14.3 5.7
8 Cole Carrigg 0.2881 0.3047 0.3403 18.9 13.7 5.2
9 Jonathan Aranda 0.3108 0.3212 0.3400 18.4 13.3 5.1
10 Alec Burleson 0.2739 0.2842 0.3095 22.8 17.7 5.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.3377 0.2877 0.2634 37.6 12.8 24.8
2 Kevin McGonigle 0.2551 0.2711 0.3055 40.1 25.1 15.0
3 Alex Bregman 0.2538 0.2629 0.2748 19.2 9.2 10.1
4 Owen Caissie 0.3569 0.3234 0.3086 13.8 4.5 9.3
5 Kyle Schwarber 0.2515 0.2592 0.2786 23.4 14.4 9.0
6 Braden Montgomery 0.3291 0.3013 0.2724 18.4 10.1 8.3
7 Travis Bazzana 0.3067 0.2877 0.2861 7.4 0.2 7.1
8 Justin Crawford 0.3476 0.3277 0.3114 13.9 7.0 6.8
9 Josh Lowe 0.3310 0.3077 0.2677 19.5 13.3 6.2
10 José Fermín 0.2500 0.2616 0.2660 8.3 2.0 6.2

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jackson Chourio 0.2740
0.2190
(30.6)
0.2209
(29.6)
0.2173
(33.7)
0.2183
(32.1)
0.2197
(31.1)
0.2177
(30.1)
0.2173
(32.5)
0.2257
(26.1)
0.2287
(24.5)
0.2182
(32.6)
Cam Smith 0.1810
0.2370
(32.7)
0.2326
(30.1)
0.2305
(26.9)
0.2334
(29.6)
0.2250
(25.0)
0.2263
(27.8)
0.2306
(28.1)
0.2390
(34.5)
0.2390
(34.3)
0.2315
(28.1)
Jake Bauers 0.2584
0.1987
(33.6)
0.2027
(31.4)
0.2013
(34.2)
0.2074
(29.6)
0.2168
(24.0)
0.2121
(24.6)
0.2072
(29.6)
0.1958
(34.6)
0.1974
(33.8)
0.1902
(40.0)
Manny Machado 0.1784
0.2246
(32.3)
0.2232
(31.3)
0.2263
(31.0)
0.2333
(36.9)
0.2257
(32.0)
0.2200
(30.7)
0.2272
(33.0)
0.2217
(31.1)
0.2185
(28.8)
0.2249
(30.8)
Carson Benge 0.2834
0.2091
(47.6)
0.2128
(45.3)
0.2156
(45.7)
0.2190
(42.3)
0.2166
(43.7)
0.2037
(49.7)
0.2140
(45.4)
0.2149
(43.1)
0.2147
(43.3)
0.2170
(44.1)
Nick Gonzales 0.2975
0.2241
(43.7)
0.2273
(41.9)
0.2277
(43.7)
0.2320
(40.0)
0.2230
(45.3)
0.2280
(40.0)
0.2288
(41.8)
0.2309
(38.9)
0.2322
(38.2)
0.2242
(45.2)
Jac Caglianone 0.2630
0.2060
(30.7)
0.2113
(27.8)
0.2162
(27.1)
0.1737
(49.5)
0.2168
(25.5)
0.2143
(24.9)
0.2147
(26.7)
0.2025
(32.0)
0.2043
(31.1)
0.2203
(24.2)
Drake Baldwin 0.2792
0.2177
(36.9)
0.2237
(33.3)
0.2254
(34.4)
0.2215
(35.7)
0.2320
(29.0)
0.2239
(31.7)
0.2274
(31.9)
0.2217
(33.7)
0.2243
(32.2)
0.2188
(37.8)
Oneil Cruz 0.3254
0.2206
(43.2)
0.2211
(43.1)
0.2219
(44.3)
0.2159
(46.0)
0.2216
(43.5)
0.2172
(43.8)
0.2211
(43.7)
0.2225
(42.0)
0.2218
(42.3)
0.2230
(43.3)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Bolte 0.2190 0.3127 43.6
2 Matt McLain 0.2272 0.1632 32.5
3 Kevin McGonigle 0.1926 0.2383 31.2
4 Drew Romo 0.2392 0.1008 28.8
5 J.T. Realmuto 0.2333 0.1780 26.5
6 Samad Taylor 0.2190 0.3670 25.6
7 Tyler Soderstrom 0.2215 0.1672 25.3
8 Gunnar Henderson 0.2225 0.1888 24.8
9 Dansby Swanson 0.2262 0.1773 24.6
10 Wade Meckler 0.2288 0.3008 23.7

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt McLain 0.2240 0.1632 30.9
2 Henry Bolte 0.2510 0.3127 28.5
3 Kevin McGonigle 0.1978 0.2383 27.7
4 Corbin Carroll 0.1977 0.1607 25.8
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.2220 0.1888 24.3
6 Dansby Swanson 0.2256 0.1773 24.2
7 Samad Taylor 0.2284 0.3670 24.0
8 J.T. Realmuto 0.2280 0.1780 24.0
9 Drew Romo 0.2125 0.1008 23.3
10 Tyler Soderstrom 0.2173 0.1672 23.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Bolte 0.2190 0.3127 45.4
2 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.4000 0.2273 36.3
3 Kevin McGonigle 0.1893 0.2383 36.2
4 Nicky Lopez 0.4000 0.2767 32.7
5 Matt McLain 0.2301 0.1632 32.1
6 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.3333 0.2105 31.6
7 Munetaka Murakami 0.2431 0.1875 29.5
8 Wade Meckler 0.2190 0.3008 28.3
9 Carter Jensen 0.2305 0.1840 26.7
10 Nick Kurtz 0.2219 0.2789 25.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Bolte 0.2190 0.3127 44.5
2 Matt McLain 0.2381 0.1632 37.0
3 Iván Herrera 0.2642 0.2208 30.9
4 Pete Alonso 0.1946 0.2380 30.6
5 Ben Rice 0.1795 0.2198 27.1
6 Tyler Soderstrom 0.2274 0.1672 27.1
7 Dillon Dingler 0.2423 0.1990 26.1
8 J.T. Realmuto 0.2340 0.1780 26.0
9 Gunnar Henderson 0.2260 0.1888 25.9
10 Samad Taylor 0.2239 0.3670 25.1

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Bolte 0.2413 0.3127 33.8
2 Matt McLain 0.2225 0.1632 29.4
3 Gunnar Henderson 0.2295 0.1888 28.6
4 Corbin Carroll 0.2027 0.1607 28.2
5 Teoscar Hernández 0.2287 0.2789 24.6
6 Samad Taylor 0.2282 0.3670 24.3
7 Jonah Heim 0.2090 0.1475 24.0
8 Drew Romo 0.2146 0.1008 23.5
9 Kevin McGonigle 0.2058 0.2383 23.0
10 J.T. Realmuto 0.2271 0.1780 23.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Bolte 0.2368 0.3127 34.1
2 Teoscar Hernández 0.2112 0.2789 31.4
3 Corbin Carroll 0.2010 0.1607 29.6
4 Wade Meckler 0.2151 0.3008 27.7
5 Ketel Marte 0.2233 0.1830 27.5
6 Josh Naylor 0.1953 0.2407 27.1
7 Elly De La Cruz 0.2155 0.2605 26.3
8 Nick Kurtz 0.2157 0.2789 25.8
9 Carter Jensen 0.2222 0.1840 25.3
10 Sal Frelick 0.2418 0.1812 24.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt McLain 0.2245 0.1632 30.4
2 Henry Bolte 0.2495 0.3127 29.9
3 Nick Kurtz 0.2189 0.2789 26.1
4 Corbin Carroll 0.1986 0.1607 25.4
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.2244 0.1888 25.0
6 Kevin McGonigle 0.2033 0.2383 24.8
7 Teoscar Hernández 0.2288 0.2789 24.6
8 Dansby Swanson 0.2267 0.1773 24.0
9 Samad Taylor 0.2338 0.3670 23.3
10 Carter Jensen 0.2216 0.1840 22.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Bolte 0.2190 0.3127 43.1
2 Matt McLain 0.2240 0.1632 31.5
3 Kevin McGonigle 0.1983 0.2383 26.4
4 J.T. Realmuto 0.2315 0.1780 26.3
5 Corbin Carroll 0.1966 0.1607 25.9
6 Samad Taylor 0.2219 0.3670 24.9
7 Dansby Swanson 0.2246 0.1773 24.3
8 Gunnar Henderson 0.2206 0.1888 24.2
9 TJ Rumfield 0.2175 0.2573 23.4
10 Tyler Soderstrom 0.2157 0.1672 23.2

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Henry Bolte 0.2190 0.3127 43.1
2 Matt McLain 0.2254 0.1632 32.1
3 Kevin McGonigle 0.1981 0.2383 26.6
4 Tyler Soderstrom 0.2210 0.1672 25.5
5 Corbin Carroll 0.1961 0.1607 25.5
6 J.T. Realmuto 0.2300 0.1780 25.5
7 Jonathan Aranda 0.2332 0.2730 24.9
8 Dansby Swanson 0.2252 0.1773 24.5
9 Samad Taylor 0.2251 0.3670 24.4
10 Gunnar Henderson 0.2208 0.1888 24.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin McGonigle 0.1701 0.2383 49.0
2 Munetaka Murakami 0.2675 0.1875 43.7
3 Matt McLain 0.2367 0.1632 35.9
4 Carter Jensen 0.2380 0.1840 31.9
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.2263 0.1888 25.6
6 Nick Kurtz 0.2212 0.2789 25.5
7 Jonah Heim 0.2133 0.1475 25.3
8 J.T. Realmuto 0.2327 0.1780 25.1
9 Dansby Swanson 0.2287 0.1773 24.5
10 Drew Romo 0.2181 0.1008 24.0

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Henry Bolte 0.2190 0.2510 0.3127 43.6 28.5 15.1
2 A.J. Ewing 0.2190 0.2349 0.2565 17.7 10.0 7.7
3 Tristan Peters 0.2182 0.2036 0.2023 8.5 1.3 7.2
4 Jacob Gonzalez 0.2190 0.1914 0.1875 7.5 1.2 6.3
5 Drew Romo 0.2392 0.2125 0.1008 28.8 23.3 5.5
6 Brett Bateman 0.2190 0.2473 0.3387 21.4 16.3 5.1
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2028 0.2094 0.2281 17.2 12.6 4.7
8 Garrett Mitchell 0.2262 0.2343 0.2648 19.7 15.5 4.2
9 Elias Díaz 0.2281 0.2119 0.1875 10.0 6.1 3.9
10 James Wood 0.2482 0.2421 0.2435 3.9 0.0 3.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.4000 0.2169 0.2273 36.3 1.9 34.4
2 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.3333 0.2049 0.2105 31.6 1.1 30.5
3 Nicky Lopez 0.4000 0.2388 0.2767 32.7 9.9 22.9
4 Sterlin Thompson 0.5000 0.2299 0.2174 21.6 1.1 20.5
5 Héctor Rodríguez 0.3333 0.2137 0.2121 18.1 0.5 17.7
6 Henry Bolte 0.2190 0.2510 0.3127 45.4 28.5 16.8
7 Rece Hinds 0.4000 0.2210 0.1212 19.6 7.2 12.5
8 Eric Haase 0.3750 0.2336 0.1111 22.0 10.4 11.6
9 Curtis Mead 0.2553 0.2186 0.1805 23.9 13.0 10.9
10 Munetaka Murakami 0.2431 0.2214 0.1875 29.5 19.5 10.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.1737 0.2113 0.2630 49.5 27.8 21.7
2 Henry Bolte 0.2190 0.2510 0.3127 44.5 28.5 15.9
3 Iván Herrera 0.2642 0.2438 0.2208 30.9 17.5 13.4
4 Miguel Vargas 0.1681 0.1881 0.1876 13.9 1.3 12.6
5 Samuel Basallo 0.1782 0.2076 0.2134 14.2 1.8 12.4
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1942 0.2094 0.2281 24.8 12.6 12.2
7 Konnor Griffin 0.2190 0.2524 0.2655 15.9 4.0 11.9
8 Heriberto Hernández 0.2407 0.2158 0.2000 20.4 8.7 11.7
9 Dillon Dingler 0.2423 0.2214 0.1990 26.1 14.4 11.7
10 Javier Sanoja 0.1840 0.2059 0.2131 14.4 2.8 11.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cal Raleigh 0.2030 0.1838 0.1642 20.6 11.1 9.5
2 Chandler Simpson 0.2496 0.2626 0.2844 21.3 12.5 8.8
3 Yandy Díaz 0.2349 0.2451 0.2620 18.6 10.7 7.9
4 Colson Montgomery 0.2186 0.2052 0.1827 22.9 15.2 7.7
5 Miguel Vargas 0.1994 0.1881 0.1876 8.3 1.3 7.0
6 Sal Stewart 0.2128 0.2197 0.2399 18.9 13.2 5.7
7 Xavier Edwards 0.2511 0.2594 0.2648 8.2 2.4 5.7
8 Jake Mangum 0.2396 0.2498 0.2733 16.1 10.6 5.5
9 Trent Grisham 0.1998 0.1875 0.1551 21.6 16.4 5.3
10 Henry Bolte 0.2413 0.2510 0.3127 33.8 28.5 5.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.2155 0.2327 0.2605 26.3 16.8 9.5
2 Tristan Peters 0.2190 0.2036 0.2023 10.0 1.3 8.7
3 Josh Naylor 0.1953 0.2105 0.2407 27.1 18.8 8.3
4 Teoscar Hernández 0.2112 0.2303 0.2789 31.4 23.2 8.2
5 James Wood 0.2267 0.2421 0.2435 8.2 0.0 8.2
6 Ketel Marte 0.2233 0.2127 0.1830 27.5 19.4 8.1
7 Andy Pages 0.1947 0.2104 0.2336 20.2 12.5 7.7
8 Sam Antonacci 0.2069 0.2224 0.2430 18.1 10.7 7.3
9 Ildemaro Vargas 0.2196 0.2070 0.2055 8.7 1.4 7.3
10 Jacob Gonzalez 0.2190 0.1914 0.1875 8.0 1.2 6.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Junior Caminero 0.2105 0.2154 0.2277 12.1 7.6 4.4
2 Willson Contreras 0.2187 0.2250 0.2483 15.8 11.7 4.1
3 James Wood 0.2374 0.2421 0.2435 3.8 0.0 3.8
4 Riley Greene 0.2362 0.2410 0.2604 14.4 10.7 3.7
5 Ildemaro Vargas 0.2159 0.2070 0.2055 5.0 1.4 3.6
6 Joc Pederson 0.2093 0.2002 0.1920 7.4 4.1 3.3
7 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2067 0.2141 0.2363 10.8 7.6 3.2
8 Elly De La Cruz 0.2293 0.2327 0.2605 19.9 16.8 3.1
9 Matt Olson 0.2165 0.2107 0.1957 14.5 11.4 3.1
10 Nick Kurtz 0.2189 0.2242 0.2789 26.1 23.2 2.9

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Henry Bolte 0.2190 0.2510 0.3127 43.1 28.5 14.5
2 A.J. Ewing 0.2190 0.2349 0.2565 17.1 10.0 7.2
3 Jacob Gonzalez 0.2190 0.1914 0.1875 7.8 1.2 6.6
4 James Wood 0.2512 0.2421 0.2435 6.5 0.0 6.5
5 Jarren Duran 0.2215 0.2136 0.1968 16.7 11.1 5.6
6 Jacob Wilson 0.2517 0.2364 0.2210 11.2 5.7 5.6
7 Brett Bateman 0.2190 0.2473 0.3387 21.2 16.3 4.9
8 Luis Arraez 0.2543 0.2483 0.2388 11.9 7.1 4.8
9 Tyler Stephenson 0.2352 0.2262 0.2271 5.0 0.2 4.8
10 Max Muncy 0.1734 0.1828 0.2062 16.9 12.4 4.5

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Henry Bolte 0.2190 0.2510 0.3127 43.1 28.5 14.6
2 Jonathan Aranda 0.2332 0.2471 0.2730 24.9 16.4 8.5
3 James Wood 0.2538 0.2421 0.2435 8.0 0.0 8.0
4 A.J. Ewing 0.2190 0.2349 0.2565 17.2 10.0 7.3
5 Yordan Alvarez 0.2166 0.2274 0.2488 20.5 13.8 6.7
6 Jacob Gonzalez 0.2190 0.1914 0.1875 7.7 1.2 6.5
7 Michael Massey 0.1922 0.2058 0.2216 12.1 6.5 5.6
8 Riley Greene 0.2309 0.2410 0.2604 16.0 10.7 5.3
9 Bryan Reynolds 0.2393 0.2330 0.2262 11.0 5.7 5.3
10 Alec Burleson 0.2137 0.2225 0.2273 7.4 2.3 5.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.2675 0.2214 0.1875 43.7 19.5 24.2
2 Kevin McGonigle 0.1701 0.1978 0.2383 49.0 27.7 21.3
3 Carter Jensen 0.2380 0.2193 0.1840 31.9 22.1 9.8
4 Alex Bregman 0.1884 0.1992 0.2025 10.6 1.3 9.3
5 Jake Bauers 0.1902 0.2027 0.2584 40.0 31.4 8.6
6 Justin Crawford 0.2781 0.2594 0.2429 15.9 8.3 7.6
7 Kyle Schwarber 0.1871 0.1949 0.2136 19.3 12.2 7.1
8 Jakob Marsee 0.1976 0.2067 0.2124 9.8 2.7 7.1
9 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2554 0.2392 0.2088 19.6 13.6 5.9
10 Chase DeLauter 0.1972 0.2053 0.2325 20.3 14.4 5.9

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jarren Duran 0.0399
0.0876
(27.7)
0.0874
(27.4)
0.0904
(29.0)
0.0968
(32.7)
0.0886
(27.6)
0.0831
(24.7)
0.0865
(26.5)
0.0829
(25.4)
0.0865
(27.6)
0.0964
(31.9)
Brice Turang 0.0932
0.0588
(24.8)
0.0582
(25.5)
0.0614
(23.5)
0.0567
(27.0)
0.0589
(25.7)
0.0542
(28.3)
0.0629
(22.6)
0.0578
(24.9)
0.0545
(27.2)
0.0602
(25.1)
Bryson Stott 0.0831
0.0573
(16.9)
0.0570
(17.4)
0.0550
(18.8)
0.0573
(17.6)
0.0601
(16.1)
0.0530
(20.0)
0.0580
(17.0)
0.0582
(15.9)
0.0580
(16.0)
0.0539
(20.2)
Bryan Reynolds 0.0952
0.0700
(19.1)
0.0706
(18.9)
0.0744
(16.5)
0.0769
(15.0)
0.0708
(19.5)
0.0721
(18.1)
0.0724
(18.0)
0.0623
(23.9)
0.0725
(16.8)
0.0746
(17.2)
Garrett Mitchell 0.1045
0.0669
(21.1)
0.0664
(21.5)
0.0708
(19.4)
0.0779
(15.8)
0.0681
(21.1)
0.0602
(25.0)
0.0684
(20.7)
0.0635
(22.4)
0.0618
(23.3)
0.0763
(17.1)
Cedric Mullins 0.0294
0.0635
(16.1)
0.0641
(16.2)
0.0654
(16.6)
0.0660
(16.8)
0.0664
(16.8)
0.0648
(16.4)
0.0683
(18.1)
0.0617
(15.6)
0.0594
(14.4)
0.0645
(15.6)
Troy Johnston 0.1013
0.0665
(16.5)
0.0658
(17.0)
0.0667
(16.8)
0.0526
(23.3)
0.0671
(16.9)
0.0564
(21.3)
0.0645
(17.8)
0.0682
(15.4)
0.0674
(15.8)
0.0704
(15.7)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carter Jensen 0.0708 0.1039 21.2
2 Randal Grichuk 0.0698 0.1302 17.5
3 Jac Caglianone 0.0634 0.0925 17.2
4 Chase Meidroth 0.0505 0.0740 16.4
5 Alec Burleson 0.0580 0.0801 16.1
6 Rafael Devers 0.0757 0.0989 16.0
7 Esmerlyn Valdez 0.0664 0.1176 15.3
8 JJ Wetherholt 0.0626 0.0359 15.2
9 Brandon Nimmo 0.0627 0.0829 14.6
10 Spencer Horwitz 0.0783 0.0456 13.8

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carter Jensen 0.0706 0.1039 21.5
2 Randal Grichuk 0.0680 0.1302 18.1
3 Jac Caglianone 0.0648 0.0925 16.6
4 Rafael Devers 0.0751 0.0989 16.6
5 Alec Burleson 0.0589 0.0801 15.9
6 Alika Williams 0.0555 0.1212 15.7
7 Chase Meidroth 0.0521 0.0740 15.6
8 Tristan Peters 0.0617 0.0909 15.5
9 JJ Wetherholt 0.0621 0.0359 14.7
10 Esmerlyn Valdez 0.0690 0.1176 14.7

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.0000 0.0802 30.2
2 Jared Young 0.0000 0.0711 25.3
3 Carter Jensen 0.0700 0.1039 22.1
4 Eduardo Valencia 0.0000 0.1556 21.9
5 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.0000 0.0985 21.6
6 Tristan Peters 0.0526 0.0909 20.2
7 Randal Grichuk 0.0632 0.1302 19.6
8 Anthony Seigler 0.0000 0.0976 17.4
9 Bryan Torres 0.1000 0.0079 16.9
10 Chase Meidroth 0.0508 0.0740 16.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jac Caglianone 0.0516 0.0925 24.3
2 Jakob Marsee 0.0884 0.0492 22.2
3 Chase Meidroth 0.0482 0.0740 18.6
4 Alec Burleson 0.0578 0.0801 17.1
5 Mike Trout 0.0556 0.0790 16.9
6 Bo Bichette 0.0773 0.0500 16.8
7 Esmerlyn Valdez 0.0635 0.1176 16.4
8 Jonny DeLuca 0.0497 0.0909 16.4
9 Nasim Nuñez 0.0536 0.0175 16.2
10 Jake McCarthy 0.0430 0.0670 16.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carter Jensen 0.0701 0.1039 22.4
2 Randal Grichuk 0.0655 0.1302 19.1
3 Rafael Devers 0.0750 0.0989 17.3
4 JJ Wetherholt 0.0655 0.0359 16.2
5 Tristan Peters 0.0615 0.0909 16.1
6 Chase Meidroth 0.0531 0.0740 15.6
7 Alika Williams 0.0578 0.1212 15.4
8 Jac Caglianone 0.0681 0.0925 15.4
9 Alec Burleson 0.0608 0.0801 15.2
10 Nick Loftin 0.0594 0.0906 14.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Riley Greene 0.0579 0.0947 23.4
2 Sal Stewart 0.0921 0.0561 23.4
3 Carter Jensen 0.0679 0.1039 23.3
4 Kyle Stowers 0.0632 0.1007 20.6
5 Josh Naylor 0.0777 0.0450 19.5
6 Rafael Devers 0.0707 0.0989 19.5
7 Cole Young 0.0735 0.0418 18.6
8 Jac Caglianone 0.0617 0.0925 18.5
9 JJ Wetherholt 0.0679 0.0359 18.2
10 J.P. Crawford 0.0773 0.0392 17.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carter Jensen 0.0727 0.1039 20.6
2 Randal Grichuk 0.0686 0.1302 18.1
3 Rafael Devers 0.0755 0.0989 16.6
4 Jac Caglianone 0.0659 0.0925 16.3
5 Alec Burleson 0.0588 0.0801 16.2
6 JJ Wetherholt 0.0647 0.0359 16.0
7 Alika Williams 0.0550 0.1212 16.0
8 Tristan Peters 0.0617 0.0909 15.8
9 Max Muncy 0.0596 0.0844 15.5
10 Esmerlyn Valdez 0.0679 0.1176 15.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Randal Grichuk 0.0636 0.1302 19.0
2 Carter Jensen 0.0750 0.1039 18.1
3 Brandon Nimmo 0.0573 0.0829 17.6
4 Jac Caglianone 0.0625 0.0925 17.3
5 Alec Burleson 0.0563 0.0801 16.7
6 Rafael Devers 0.0737 0.0989 16.7
7 JJ Wetherholt 0.0627 0.0359 15.8
8 Alika Williams 0.0558 0.1212 15.4
9 Chase Meidroth 0.0515 0.0740 15.2
10 Tristan Peters 0.0615 0.0909 15.0

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Rafael Devers 0.0691 0.0989 19.7
2 Carter Jensen 0.0729 0.1039 19.5
3 Randal Grichuk 0.0648 0.1302 18.7
4 Chase Meidroth 0.0489 0.0740 16.9
5 JJ Wetherholt 0.0628 0.0359 15.8
6 Jac Caglianone 0.0655 0.0925 15.6
7 Alika Williams 0.0562 0.1212 15.3
8 Nasim Nuñez 0.0494 0.0175 15.1
9 Tristan Peters 0.0615 0.0909 15.1
10 Alec Burleson 0.0591 0.0801 15.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carter Jensen 0.0652 0.1039 25.7
2 Chase Meidroth 0.0468 0.0740 20.1
3 Randal Grichuk 0.0684 0.1302 18.4
4 Tristan Peters 0.0582 0.0909 18.0
5 Alec Burleson 0.0578 0.0801 17.6
6 Spencer Horwitz 0.0881 0.0456 17.4
7 Alika Williams 0.0536 0.1212 16.5
8 Jac Caglianone 0.0667 0.0925 16.5
9 Cole Carrigg 0.0547 0.0924 15.5
10 Austin Wells 0.0755 0.0318 15.4

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jared Young 0.0470 0.0632 0.0711 9.0 3.5 5.4
2 Jorbit Vivas 0.0406 0.0536 0.0570 6.7 2.1 4.6
3 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.0507 0.0726 0.0985 10.6 6.0 4.6
4 Mickey Gasper 0.0473 0.0627 0.0625 3.9 0.5 3.4
5 Elias Díaz 0.0431 0.0570 0.0813 9.5 6.3 3.2
6 Jonah Cox 0.0635 0.0465 0.0444 2.9 0.1 2.8
7 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.0753 0.0650 0.0468 6.9 4.1 2.8
8 Chase DeLauter 0.0675 0.0718 0.0750 5.3 3.1 2.2
9 Kevin McGonigle 0.0680 0.0653 0.0570 6.3 4.1 2.2
10 Munetaka Murakami 0.0597 0.0640 0.0714 7.6 5.5 2.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.0000 0.0624 0.0802 30.2 7.4 22.8
2 Jared Young 0.0000 0.0632 0.0711 25.3 3.5 21.8
3 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.0000 0.0726 0.0985 21.6 6.0 15.5
4 Brandon Valenzuela 0.0000 0.0612 0.0552 15.7 1.0 14.8
5 Mickey Gasper 0.0000 0.0627 0.0625 14.7 0.5 14.2
6 Anthony Seigler 0.0000 0.0694 0.0976 17.4 5.3 12.1
7 Weston Wilson 0.1111 0.0590 0.0490 10.9 1.4 9.5
8 Blake Dunn 0.0000 0.0573 0.0648 10.5 1.5 8.9
9 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.0000 0.0650 0.0468 13.0 4.1 8.9
10 Eduardo Valencia 0.0000 0.0605 0.1556 21.9 13.5 8.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jakob Marsee 0.0884 0.0622 0.0492 22.2 6.5 15.7
2 Mike Trout 0.0556 0.0685 0.0790 16.9 8.2 8.7
3 Freddie Freeman 0.0941 0.0807 0.0705 13.4 5.1 8.3
4 Kyle Karros 0.0546 0.0737 0.0698 8.7 0.7 8.0
5 Jac Caglianone 0.0516 0.0648 0.0925 24.3 16.6 7.7
6 Jake McCarthy 0.0430 0.0543 0.0670 16.2 9.0 7.2
7 Jordan Walker 0.0637 0.0735 0.0805 13.3 6.3 7.1
8 Bo Bichette 0.0773 0.0671 0.0500 16.8 10.2 6.6
9 Troy Johnston 0.0526 0.0658 0.1013 23.3 17.0 6.3
10 Owen Caissie 0.0638 0.0810 0.0864 8.5 2.6 5.9

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Coby Mayo 0.0841 0.0753 0.0717 4.1 0.5 3.6
2 James Wood 0.0852 0.0893 0.0974 9.7 6.6 3.1
3 Dillon Dingler 0.0671 0.0715 0.0689 3.1 0.1 3.0
4 Jacob Wilson 0.0742 0.0658 0.0580 4.3 1.8 2.5
5 Bryce Eldridge 0.0703 0.0749 0.0909 10.8 8.3 2.5
6 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0670 0.0716 0.0711 3.1 0.8 2.3
7 Brooks Lee 0.0636 0.0590 0.0539 4.0 1.7 2.3
8 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0625 0.0583 0.0413 12.1 9.9 2.2
9 Xavier Edwards 0.0552 0.0506 0.0388 7.7 5.6 2.1
10 Jo Adell 0.0703 0.0662 0.0607 4.1 2.0 2.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sal Stewart 0.0921 0.0768 0.0561 23.4 12.8 10.5
2 Riley Greene 0.0579 0.0730 0.0947 23.4 14.2 9.1
3 Josh Naylor 0.0777 0.0646 0.0450 19.5 11.2 8.4
4 Yordan Alvarez 0.0650 0.0768 0.0829 14.3 5.9 8.4
5 Steven Kwan 0.0651 0.0532 0.0435 12.1 4.7 7.4
6 Matt McLain 0.0872 0.0725 0.0625 10.9 3.8 7.1
7 Corbin Carroll 0.0586 0.0689 0.0791 15.6 8.5 7.0
8 J.P. Crawford 0.0773 0.0627 0.0392 17.3 10.3 7.0
9 Colt Keith 0.0490 0.0646 0.0651 7.9 1.2 6.7
10 Willy Adames 0.0560 0.0685 0.0817 14.3 7.9 6.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Munetaka Murakami 0.0552 0.0640 0.0714 10.6 5.5 5.1
2 Caleb Durbin 0.0705 0.0628 0.0584 5.3 1.1 4.2
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.0705 0.0765 0.0747 4.4 0.4 4.0
4 Mike Trout 0.0636 0.0685 0.0790 11.6 8.2 3.4
5 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0606 0.0659 0.0651 4.3 0.9 3.4
6 Kevin McGonigle 0.0697 0.0653 0.0570 6.9 4.1 2.8
7 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0634 0.0672 0.0732 8.1 5.4 2.8
8 Colson Montgomery 0.0591 0.0627 0.0769 13.2 10.6 2.6
9 Bryce Harper 0.0886 0.0844 0.0784 5.0 2.5 2.6
10 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0626 0.0583 0.0413 12.5 9.9 2.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Daylen Lile 0.0733 0.0667 0.0609 7.3 2.2 5.1
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.0623 0.0706 0.0952 23.9 18.9 5.0
3 Josh Bell 0.0503 0.0585 0.0651 10.1 5.7 4.4
4 Brandon Nimmo 0.0573 0.0648 0.0829 17.6 13.5 4.1
5 Tyler Stephenson 0.0647 0.0739 0.0806 8.0 4.3 3.7
6 Randy Arozarena 0.0658 0.0722 0.0840 13.0 9.5 3.5
7 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0737 0.0659 0.0651 4.3 0.9 3.3
8 Hunter Goodman 0.0846 0.0804 0.0651 10.5 7.3 3.1
9 Luis García Jr. 0.0577 0.0646 0.0665 5.4 2.3 3.1
10 Chase DeLauter 0.0651 0.0718 0.0750 6.2 3.1 3.1

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Daylen Lile 0.0749 0.0667 0.0609 8.4 2.2 6.1
2 Mauricio Dubón 0.0467 0.0572 0.0566 6.9 1.1 5.8
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.0855 0.0765 0.0747 5.9 0.4 5.5
4 Matt Olson 0.0675 0.0765 0.0811 10.4 5.0 5.4
5 Jackson Merrill 0.0803 0.0733 0.0599 12.7 7.3 5.4
6 Ezequiel Duran 0.0614 0.0734 0.0696 5.7 0.8 4.9
7 Byron Buxton 0.0921 0.0816 0.0729 7.3 2.6 4.7
8 Caleb Durbin 0.0509 0.0628 0.0584 5.2 1.1 4.0
9 Michael Busch 0.0770 0.0726 0.0643 8.1 4.2 3.9
10 Jakob Marsee 0.0673 0.0622 0.0492 10.4 6.5 3.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Pete Alonso 0.0854 0.0704 0.0608 14.4 5.1 9.4
2 Willson Contreras 0.0922 0.0757 0.0724 8.5 0.5 8.0
3 Otto Lopez 0.0524 0.0601 0.0595 7.6 1.2 6.4
4 Kevin McGonigle 0.0748 0.0653 0.0570 9.8 4.1 5.7
5 Freddie Freeman 0.0907 0.0807 0.0705 10.7 5.1 5.5
6 Drake Baldwin 0.0719 0.0615 0.0533 9.0 3.5 5.5
7 Braden Montgomery 0.0918 0.0759 0.0650 8.3 3.1 5.2
8 Jordan Walker 0.0673 0.0735 0.0805 11.5 6.3 5.2
9 Jackson Chourio 0.0864 0.0765 0.0740 4.8 0.0 4.8
10 Jarren Duran 0.0964 0.0874 0.0399 31.9 27.4 4.5

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jake McCarthy 0.0290
0.0154
(8.0)
0.0171
(7.2)
0.0195
(5.6)
0.0195
(6.0)
0.0190
(5.9)
0.0169
(7.2)
0.0168
(7.3)
0.0149
(8.3)
0.0163
(7.4)
0.0201
(6.1)
Leody Taveras 0.0195
0.0023
(8.2)
0.0065
(6.3)
0.0000
(9.4)
0.0085
(5.6)
0.0076
(5.6)
0.0065
(6.2)
0.0075
(5.8)
0.0047
(7.0)
0.0066
(6.1)
0.0106
(4.9)
Corbin Carroll 0.0408
0.0265
(9.4)
0.0259
(10.0)
0.0302
(7.0)
0.0313
(6.8)
0.0281
(8.4)
0.0259
(9.9)
0.0267
(9.4)
0.0245
(10.8)
0.0180
(15.1)
0.0318
(6.9)
Geraldo Perdomo 0.0186
0.0081
(7.0)
0.0080
(7.3)
0.0082
(7.0)
0.0094
(6.7)
0.0076
(7.3)
0.0074
(7.6)
0.0079
(7.3)
0.0077
(7.2)
0.0077
(7.2)
0.0094
(7.2)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0023
0.0135
(7.3)
0.0131
(6.7)
0.0147
(7.9)
0.0159
(8.2)
0.0145
(7.8)
0.0102
(5.0)
0.0105
(5.2)
0.0133
(7.1)
0.0121
(6.4)
0.0174
(8.7)
Zach Neto 0.0132
0.0032
(6.9)
0.0033
(7.0)
0.0024
(7.5)
0.0029
(7.7)
0.0026
(7.4)
0.0030
(7.2)
0.0031
(7.2)
0.0031
(6.9)
0.0055
(5.2)
0.0028
(8.3)
Otto Lopez 0.0167
0.0062
(7.0)
0.0059
(7.5)
0.0065
(6.9)
0.0025
(10.2)
0.0056
(7.5)
0.0029
(9.5)
0.0029
(9.5)
0.0061
(7.1)
0.0074
(6.2)
0.0100
(5.6)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0123 0.0201 5.5
2 Nick Gonzales 0.0106 0.0022 5.3
3 Cam Smith 0.0078 0.0172 5.2
4 Jackson Chourio 0.0084 0.0000 5.0
5 Trea Turner 0.0088 0.0021 4.9
6 Colson Montgomery 0.0074 0.0000 4.9
7 Julio Rodríguez 0.0070 0.0000 4.7
8 Francisco Lindor 0.0030 0.0132 4.7
9 Jonny DeLuca 0.0121 0.0000 4.6
10 Dominic Canzone 0.0028 0.0115 4.5

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0128 0.0201 5.3
2 A.J. Ewing 0.0141 0.0032 5.3
3 Cam Smith 0.0083 0.0172 5.1
4 Dominic Canzone 0.0022 0.0115 5.0
5 Jakob Marsee 0.0103 0.0181 4.9
6 Julio Rodríguez 0.0075 0.0000 4.9
7 Nick Gonzales 0.0103 0.0022 4.9
8 Francisco Lindor 0.0031 0.0132 4.8
9 Trea Turner 0.0090 0.0021 4.8
10 Luis García Jr. 0.0043 0.0128 4.7

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Gonzales 0.0132 0.0022 6.7
2 Michael Harris II 0.0121 0.0022 6.2
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0119 0.0201 5.9
4 Colson Montgomery 0.0090 0.0000 5.8
5 Tristan Peters 0.0000 0.0117 5.7
6 Sam Antonacci 0.0000 0.0101 5.6
7 Jonny DeLuca 0.0146 0.0000 5.4
8 Jackson Chourio 0.0089 0.0000 5.1
9 Francisco Lindor 0.0023 0.0132 5.1
10 Bryce Harper 0.0000 0.0074 5.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Daylen Lile 0.0293 0.0174 7.4
2 Dominic Canzone 0.0000 0.0115 6.5
3 Cam Smith 0.0070 0.0172 6.2
4 Jonny DeLuca 0.0166 0.0000 5.9
5 Bryson Stott 0.0052 0.0139 5.6
6 Bryce Harper 0.0000 0.0074 5.5
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0131 0.0201 5.5
8 Jackson Chourio 0.0102 0.0000 5.5
9 Francisco Lindor 0.0024 0.0132 5.4
10 Seiya Suzuki 0.0115 0.0027 5.1

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Walker 0.0086 0.0000 5.9
2 Colson Montgomery 0.0090 0.0000 5.8
3 Jakob Marsee 0.0088 0.0181 5.6
4 Bryson Stott 0.0045 0.0139 5.6
5 Nick Gonzales 0.0110 0.0022 5.4
6 Dominic Canzone 0.0018 0.0115 5.1
7 Francisco Lindor 0.0023 0.0132 5.1
8 Carter Jensen 0.0139 0.0059 4.9
9 Kevin McGonigle 0.0032 0.0102 4.8
10 Luis Arraez 0.0048 0.0120 4.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0097 0.0201 7.4
2 Jonny DeLuca 0.0156 0.0000 5.8
3 Francisco Lindor 0.0021 0.0132 5.2
4 Dominic Canzone 0.0017 0.0115 5.2
5 Dustin Harris 0.0000 0.0339 5.1
6 Luis García Jr. 0.0035 0.0128 5.0
7 Michael Harris II 0.0102 0.0022 5.0
8 Trea Turner 0.0090 0.0021 4.9
9 Nick Gonzales 0.0102 0.0022 4.9
10 Ezequiel Tovar 0.0095 0.0000 4.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0099 0.0201 7.4
2 Jonny DeLuca 0.0157 0.0000 5.8
3 Francisco Lindor 0.0021 0.0132 5.3
4 Nick Gonzales 0.0108 0.0022 5.2
5 Dominic Canzone 0.0019 0.0115 5.2
6 Michael Harris II 0.0104 0.0022 5.1
7 Luis García Jr. 0.0036 0.0128 5.0
8 Trea Turner 0.0091 0.0021 4.9
9 Ezequiel Tovar 0.0097 0.0000 4.9
10 Jarren Duran 0.0206 0.0133 4.4

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cam Smith 0.0052 0.0172 6.7
2 Julio Rodríguez 0.0091 0.0000 6.1
3 Jakob Marsee 0.0080 0.0181 6.1
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.0149 0.0071 5.6
5 Kody Clemens 0.0087 0.0183 5.5
6 Bryson Stott 0.0049 0.0139 5.3
7 Trea Turner 0.0092 0.0021 5.2
8 Dominic Canzone 0.0016 0.0115 5.2
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0130 0.0201 4.9
10 Luis Arraez 0.0047 0.0120 4.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Rodríguez 0.0144 0.0000 9.6
2 Cam Smith 0.0048 0.0172 6.9
3 Jakob Marsee 0.0075 0.0181 6.4
4 Kody Clemens 0.0074 0.0183 6.2
5 Trea Turner 0.0105 0.0021 6.1
6 Jackson Chourio 0.0097 0.0000 5.7
7 Luis García Jr. 0.0032 0.0128 5.1
8 Kyle Stowers 0.0049 0.0149 5.0
9 Dominic Canzone 0.0020 0.0115 4.9
10 Heliot Ramos 0.0035 0.0147 4.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0221 0.0032 8.6
2 Nick Gonzales 0.0147 0.0022 6.8
3 Carson Benge 0.0176 0.0069 6.1
4 Bryce Harper 0.0000 0.0074 6.0
5 Lane Thomas 0.0171 0.0000 5.9
6 Colson Montgomery 0.0103 0.0000 5.7
7 Daylen Lile 0.0271 0.0174 5.5
8 Willi Castro 0.0161 0.0035 5.4
9 Luis Arraez 0.0052 0.0120 5.4
10 Dominic Canzone 0.0034 0.0115 5.1

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cole Carrigg 0.0056 0.0184 0.0168 4.1 0.6 3.5
2 Sam Antonacci 0.0034 0.0083 0.0101 3.6 1.1 2.5
3 Leody Taveras 0.0023 0.0065 0.0195 8.2 6.3 1.9
4 Jonah Cox 0.0056 0.0163 0.0222 2.8 1.0 1.8
5 Tristan Peters 0.0036 0.0073 0.0117 3.9 2.2 1.7
6 Jared Young 0.0014 0.0049 0.0126 3.7 2.6 1.1
7 Brett Sullivan 0.0146 0.0104 0.0057 2.2 1.1 1.1
8 Drew Gilbert 0.0039 0.0069 0.0114 2.9 1.8 1.0
9 Max Clark 0.0056 0.0110 0.0216 3.2 2.2 1.0
10 Tommy White 0.0056 0.0009 0.0000 1.1 0.2 1.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sam Antonacci 0.0000 0.0083 0.0101 5.6 1.1 4.5
2 Daylen Lile 0.0250 0.0192 0.0174 5.0 1.1 3.9
3 Cole Carrigg 0.0056 0.0184 0.0168 4.1 0.6 3.6
4 Tristan Peters 0.0000 0.0073 0.0117 5.7 2.2 3.5
5 Leody Taveras 0.0000 0.0065 0.0195 9.4 6.3 3.1
6 Hao-Yu Lee 0.0000 0.0091 0.0084 3.0 0.2 2.8
7 Drew Gilbert 0.0000 0.0069 0.0114 4.5 1.8 2.6
8 Michael Harris II 0.0121 0.0082 0.0022 6.2 3.7 2.5
9 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0164 0.0125 0.0084 4.7 2.3 2.4
10 Esteury Ruiz 0.0185 0.0095 0.0078 2.8 0.4 2.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Daylen Lile 0.0293 0.0192 0.0174 7.4 1.1 6.3
2 Cole Carrigg 0.0056 0.0184 0.0168 4.4 0.6 3.8
3 Sal Stewart 0.0066 0.0012 0.0000 4.2 0.8 3.4
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.0200 0.0143 0.0115 4.9 1.7 3.2
5 Otto Lopez 0.0025 0.0059 0.0167 10.2 7.5 2.7
6 Dillon Dingler 0.0102 0.0054 0.0051 2.7 0.1 2.6
7 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0175 0.0125 0.0084 4.9 2.3 2.6
8 Jarren Duran 0.0223 0.0178 0.0133 5.1 2.7 2.4
9 Hunter Goodman 0.0123 0.0077 0.0065 3.0 0.6 2.4
10 David Hamilton 0.0047 0.0101 0.0114 2.8 0.5 2.3

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kevin McGonigle 0.0032 0.0081 0.0102 4.8 1.5 3.3
2 Junior Caminero 0.0069 0.0030 0.0022 3.4 0.5 2.9
3 Elly De La Cruz 0.0191 0.0148 0.0140 3.3 0.5 2.9
4 Cole Carrigg 0.0244 0.0184 0.0168 2.9 0.6 2.3
5 Jordan Walker 0.0086 0.0054 0.0000 5.9 3.6 2.3
6 Hao-Yu Lee 0.0148 0.0091 0.0084 2.4 0.2 2.2
7 Carter Jensen 0.0139 0.0111 0.0059 4.9 3.1 1.9
8 Riley Greene 0.0115 0.0087 0.0059 3.4 1.6 1.8
9 Jarren Duran 0.0205 0.0178 0.0133 4.5 2.7 1.8
10 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0032 0.0058 0.0063 2.0 0.4 1.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brandon Nimmo 0.0035 0.0069 0.0092 3.7 1.6 2.2
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0097 0.0128 0.0201 7.4 5.3 2.1
3 Otto Lopez 0.0029 0.0059 0.0167 9.5 7.5 1.9
4 Michael Busch 0.0094 0.0070 0.0048 3.3 1.5 1.8
5 Jonah Cox 0.0056 0.0163 0.0222 2.8 1.0 1.8
6 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0154 0.0125 0.0084 4.1 2.3 1.8
7 Jarren Duran 0.0203 0.0178 0.0133 4.3 2.7 1.6
8 Cole Carrigg 0.0111 0.0184 0.0168 2.1 0.6 1.5
9 Michael Harris II 0.0102 0.0082 0.0022 5.0 3.7 1.3
10 Jonny DeLuca 0.0156 0.0122 0.0000 5.8 4.5 1.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brandon Nimmo 0.0035 0.0069 0.0092 3.8 1.6 2.2
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0099 0.0128 0.0201 7.4 5.3 2.1
3 Otto Lopez 0.0029 0.0059 0.0167 9.5 7.5 2.0
4 Michael Busch 0.0095 0.0070 0.0048 3.4 1.5 1.9
5 Jarren Duran 0.0206 0.0178 0.0133 4.4 2.7 1.8
6 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0154 0.0125 0.0084 4.0 2.3 1.7
7 Daylen Lile 0.0213 0.0192 0.0174 2.5 1.1 1.4
8 Michael Harris II 0.0104 0.0082 0.0022 5.1 3.7 1.4
9 Hunter Goodman 0.0099 0.0077 0.0065 1.9 0.6 1.3
10 Jonny DeLuca 0.0157 0.0122 0.0000 5.8 4.5 1.3

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Bryan Reynolds 0.0149 0.0084 0.0071 5.6 0.8 4.7
2 Cole Carrigg 0.0056 0.0184 0.0168 4.1 0.6 3.5
3 Jackson Merrill 0.0058 0.0094 0.0115 3.6 1.5 2.1
4 Matt McLain 0.0102 0.0064 0.0035 3.5 1.4 2.1
5 Manny Machado 0.0034 0.0010 0.0000 2.5 0.6 1.9
6 Pete Alonso 0.0045 0.0023 0.0000 3.3 1.6 1.8
7 Jonah Cox 0.0056 0.0163 0.0222 2.8 1.0 1.8
8 Carson Benge 0.0032 0.0079 0.0069 2.3 0.6 1.7
9 Hao-Yu Lee 0.0031 0.0091 0.0084 1.8 0.2 1.6
10 Brandon Nimmo 0.0138 0.0069 0.0092 3.2 1.6 1.6

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Corbin Carroll 0.0180 0.0259 0.0408 15.1 10.0 5.0
2 Julio Rodríguez 0.0144 0.0075 0.0000 9.6 4.9 4.7
3 Cole Carrigg 0.0056 0.0184 0.0168 4.1 0.6 3.5
4 Jackson Merrill 0.0046 0.0094 0.0115 4.4 1.5 2.9
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.0064 0.0108 0.0135 4.8 2.0 2.8
6 Brice Turang 0.0118 0.0071 0.0076 3.1 0.4 2.7
7 Daylen Lile 0.0114 0.0192 0.0174 3.7 1.1 2.6
8 Marcus Semien 0.0099 0.0055 0.0026 4.1 1.5 2.6
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0099 0.0058 0.0063 2.8 0.4 2.4
10 Elly De La Cruz 0.0098 0.0148 0.0140 2.5 0.5 2.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Carson Benge 0.0176 0.0079 0.0069 6.1 0.6 5.5
2 Daylen Lile 0.0271 0.0192 0.0174 5.5 1.1 4.4
3 A.J. Ewing 0.0221 0.0141 0.0032 8.6 5.3 3.3
4 Lane Thomas 0.0171 0.0078 0.0000 5.9 2.9 3.0
5 Isaac Collins 0.0175 0.0115 0.0093 3.6 1.1 2.5
6 Evan Carter 0.0193 0.0128 0.0107 3.3 0.9 2.4
7 Chase DeLauter 0.0000 0.0029 0.0075 4.9 2.6 2.3
8 Bryce Harper 0.0000 0.0021 0.0074 6.0 3.7 2.3
9 Jac Caglianone 0.0029 0.0055 0.0058 2.3 0.2 2.1
10 Sam Antonacci 0.0172 0.0083 0.0101 3.2 1.1 2.1

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Zack Gelof 0.1747
0.1206
(24.1)
0.1188
(24.6)
0.1214
(24.7)
0.1165
(26.6)
0.1095
(28.5)
0.1143
(26.2)
0.1128
(26.9)
0.1231
(22.3)
0.1225
(22.6)
0.1287
(22.1)
Shohei Ohtani 0.1440
0.1839
(23.8)
0.1843
(24.6)
0.1870
(24.5)
0.1791
(19.9)
0.1827
(23.7)
0.1802
(22.5)
0.1821
(23.6)
0.1845
(25.3)
0.1832
(24.4)
0.1934
(27.6)
Cal Raleigh 0.0925
0.1379
(23.4)
0.1373
(23.5)
0.1397
(23.2)
0.1370
(22.1)
0.1326
(21.1)
0.1409
(25.8)
0.1442
(27.5)
0.1403
(25.5)
0.1314
(20.8)
0.1337
(19.3)
Jeremy Peña 0.1698
0.1290
(20.4)
0.1276
(20.6)
0.1268
(22.4)
0.1231
(23.9)
0.1245
(22.0)
0.1285
(19.8)
0.1311
(18.6)
0.1295
(19.2)
0.1289
(19.6)
0.1214
(25.7)
Jake Bauers 0.1609
0.1164
(26.5)
0.1162
(26.1)
0.1190
(26.2)
0.1228
(23.7)
0.1176
(25.2)
0.1134
(27.3)
0.1142
(26.9)
0.1130
(27.5)
0.1145
(26.7)
0.1242
(24.0)
Dansby Swanson 0.1687
0.1245
(22.2)
0.1194
(24.2)
0.1195
(25.6)
0.1300
(20.2)
0.1137
(26.9)
0.1114
(27.7)
0.1097
(28.6)
0.1216
(22.7)
0.1255
(20.9)
0.1294
(21.4)
Randy Arozarena 0.1687
0.1318
(25.6)
0.1273
(28.1)
0.1252
(31.4)
0.1299
(27.9)
0.1238
(30.3)
0.1145
(36.1)
0.1218
(31.3)
0.1351
(22.2)
0.1349
(22.5)
0.1290
(29.7)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Walker 0.1035 0.1454 28.9
2 James Wood 0.1315 0.1701 24.9
3 Julio Rodríguez 0.1432 0.1055 23.7
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.1161 0.1459 21.8
5 Nico Hoerner 0.1224 0.0900 21.4
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1361 0.1639 21.2
7 Josh Naylor 0.1225 0.0892 20.7
8 Miguel Vargas 0.1228 0.1506 20.5
9 Andrés Giménez 0.1129 0.0748 18.6
10 Otto Lopez 0.1121 0.1368 18.0

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Walker 0.1073 0.1454 25.8
2 Julio Rodríguez 0.1410 0.1055 22.9
3 James Wood 0.1348 0.1701 22.4
4 Miguel Vargas 0.1207 0.1506 21.4
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1359 0.1639 20.7
6 Andrés Giménez 0.1150 0.0748 20.2
7 Nico Hoerner 0.1193 0.0900 19.8
8 Bryan Reynolds 0.1186 0.1459 19.5
9 Josh Naylor 0.1196 0.0892 19.4
10 Jackson Chourio 0.1350 0.1675 19.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Walker 0.1015 0.1454 31.6
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.1118 0.1459 26.2
3 Julio Rodríguez 0.1414 0.1055 21.2
4 James Wood 0.1398 0.1701 21.1
5 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1767 0.1301 20.2
6 Otto Lopez 0.1117 0.1368 19.6
7 Andrés Giménez 0.1160 0.0748 19.2
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1413 0.1639 18.9
9 Nico Hoerner 0.1203 0.0900 18.5
10 Miguel Vargas 0.1279 0.1506 18.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 James Wood 0.1261 0.1701 29.2
2 Jordan Walker 0.1051 0.1454 28.8
3 Nico Hoerner 0.1341 0.0900 28.5
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1291 0.1639 27.3
5 Bryan Reynolds 0.1130 0.1459 25.0
6 Josh Naylor 0.1257 0.0892 21.8
7 Seiya Suzuki 0.1209 0.1514 21.2
8 Chase Meidroth 0.1102 0.1400 21.0
9 Ben Rice 0.1288 0.1574 21.0
10 Miguel Vargas 0.1245 0.1506 20.3

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jarren Duran 0.1527 0.1086 26.6
2 Corbin Carroll 0.1730 0.1356 24.9
3 James Wood 0.1314 0.1701 24.4
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.1603 0.1254 24.2
5 Miguel Vargas 0.1171 0.1506 23.8
6 Brice Turang 0.1169 0.1500 22.7
7 Isaac Collins 0.1329 0.0906 21.8
8 Jackson Chourio 0.1302 0.1675 21.6
9 Julio Rodríguez 0.1378 0.1055 20.9
10 Austin Riley 0.1350 0.1016 20.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1147 0.1639 35.6
2 Jordan Walker 0.1046 0.1454 27.1
3 Miguel Vargas 0.1139 0.1506 25.7
4 Sam Antonacci 0.1000 0.1454 25.2
5 Salvador Perez 0.1177 0.0797 24.0
6 Brice Turang 0.1173 0.1500 22.1
7 Andrés Giménez 0.1147 0.0748 20.4
8 James Wood 0.1375 0.1701 20.2
9 Brandon Nimmo 0.1298 0.0992 20.1
10 Otto Lopez 0.1077 0.1368 19.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Walker 0.1057 0.1454 26.4
2 Salvador Perez 0.1208 0.0797 25.8
3 Miguel Vargas 0.1156 0.1506 24.5
4 Josh Naylor 0.1249 0.0892 23.3
5 Sam Antonacci 0.1042 0.1454 22.9
6 Brandon Nimmo 0.1324 0.0992 21.8
7 Julio Rodríguez 0.1380 0.1055 21.4
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1346 0.1639 21.1
9 Andrés Giménez 0.1151 0.0748 20.6
10 Otto Lopez 0.1073 0.1368 20.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Walker 0.1046 0.1454 27.0
2 Julio Rodríguez 0.1461 0.1055 26.8
3 Miguel Vargas 0.1138 0.1506 25.6
4 JJ Wetherholt 0.1046 0.1438 24.0
5 Josh Naylor 0.1246 0.0892 23.2
6 James Wood 0.1336 0.1701 22.5
7 Nico Hoerner 0.1218 0.0900 22.2
8 Andrés Giménez 0.1168 0.0748 21.5
9 Brandon Nimmo 0.1311 0.0992 21.1
10 Jackson Chourio 0.1315 0.1675 20.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Julio Rodríguez 0.1449 0.1055 25.9
2 James Wood 0.1299 0.1701 24.9
3 JJ Wetherholt 0.1050 0.1438 23.9
4 Jackson Chourio 0.1288 0.1675 22.1
5 Nico Hoerner 0.1212 0.0900 21.7
6 Chase Meidroth 0.1062 0.1400 21.5
7 Andrés Giménez 0.1167 0.0748 21.4
8 Salvador Perez 0.1127 0.0797 20.8
9 Miguel Vargas 0.1209 0.1506 20.8
10 Jordan Walker 0.1161 0.1454 19.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Walker 0.0981 0.1454 34.7
2 Bryan Reynolds 0.1061 0.1459 31.2
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1925 0.1301 27.0
4 James Wood 0.1354 0.1701 24.6
5 Nico Hoerner 0.1291 0.0900 23.7
6 Julio Rodríguez 0.1448 0.1055 22.6
7 Justin Crawford 0.1556 0.1032 22.1
8 Nolan Arenado 0.1034 0.1336 20.9
9 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1452 0.1103 20.5
10 Seiya Suzuki 0.1244 0.1514 20.2

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yordan Alvarez 0.1390 0.1479 0.1517 9.8 3.0 6.8
2 Yandy Díaz 0.1188 0.1249 0.1356 12.5 7.6 4.8
3 Jacob Gonzalez 0.1184 0.0890 0.0925 5.6 0.9 4.6
4 Jorbit Vivas 0.1155 0.1039 0.0879 9.5 5.6 3.9
5 Cole Young 0.1069 0.1121 0.1191 8.7 4.8 3.9
6 Michael Harris II 0.1199 0.1253 0.1272 5.4 1.5 3.9
7 Nick Kurtz 0.1622 0.1526 0.1429 7.8 4.0 3.8
8 Jake McCarthy 0.1212 0.1267 0.1342 8.6 4.8 3.7
9 Travis Bazzana 0.1213 0.1136 0.1083 6.0 2.5 3.5
10 Tristan Peters 0.0973 0.1036 0.1283 15.9 12.4 3.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Sogard 0.1429 0.1049 0.1047 9.6 0.1 9.5
2 Mickey Gasper 0.1667 0.1107 0.1156 10.7 1.2 9.5
3 Hao-Yu Lee 0.1429 0.1147 0.1099 10.8 1.6 9.2
4 Nicky Lopez 0.1429 0.1061 0.0926 12.6 3.5 9.1
5 Justin Foscue 0.1429 0.1089 0.1053 8.4 0.8 7.7
6 Alika Williams 0.0714 0.0981 0.1255 13.3 6.5 6.8
7 Bryan Reynolds 0.1118 0.1186 0.1459 26.2 19.5 6.8
8 Bryan Torres 0.1429 0.1045 0.0899 9.4 2.7 6.7
9 Brandon Valenzuela 0.0769 0.0958 0.1070 9.1 3.2 5.9
10 Rodolfo Durán 0.1667 0.1001 0.0879 6.9 1.1 5.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yordan Alvarez 0.1295 0.1479 0.1517 17.4 3.0 14.4
2 Jac Caglianone 0.1009 0.1205 0.1302 17.8 5.7 12.1
3 Josh Bell 0.1002 0.1155 0.1236 16.6 5.5 11.1
4 Colson Montgomery 0.1364 0.1168 0.1113 14.2 3.2 11.0
5 Michael Harris II 0.1119 0.1253 0.1272 11.3 1.5 9.8
6 Nasim Nuñez 0.1357 0.1101 0.1116 10.5 1.0 9.5
7 Brooks Lee 0.0931 0.1049 0.1141 15.0 6.1 8.9
8 Nico Hoerner 0.1341 0.1193 0.0900 28.5 19.8 8.6
9 Oneil Cruz 0.1178 0.1356 0.1551 16.8 8.4 8.5
10 Tyler Soderstrom 0.1099 0.1255 0.1280 9.5 1.4 8.1

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jung Hoo Lee 0.1360 0.1165 0.1123 13.5 2.2 11.3
2 Jarren Duran 0.1527 0.1357 0.1086 26.6 16.2 10.4
3 Corbin Carroll 0.1730 0.1598 0.1356 24.9 15.9 9.0
4 Sal Stewart 0.1108 0.1237 0.1243 9.7 0.8 9.0
5 Nasim Nuñez 0.0933 0.1101 0.1116 9.2 1.0 8.2
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.1603 0.1493 0.1254 24.2 16.4 7.8
7 Trea Turner 0.1268 0.1376 0.1443 12.5 5.1 7.4
8 Zach Neto 0.1246 0.1350 0.1449 14.5 7.3 7.2
9 Zach McKinstry 0.1323 0.1183 0.0993 13.8 7.8 6.0
10 Caleb Durbin 0.1069 0.1172 0.1263 11.6 5.6 5.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1147 0.1359 0.1639 35.6 20.7 14.9
2 Elly De La Cruz 0.1282 0.1429 0.1557 17.3 8.4 8.9
3 Sam Antonacci 0.1000 0.1157 0.1454 25.2 16.9 8.3
4 Randy Arozarena 0.1145 0.1273 0.1687 36.1 28.1 8.1
5 Munetaka Murakami 0.1184 0.1305 0.1483 16.4 10.1 6.3
6 David Hamilton 0.1031 0.1200 0.1266 9.0 2.8 6.2
7 Riley Greene 0.1192 0.1300 0.1334 8.3 2.3 6.0
8 Christian Yelich 0.1127 0.1249 0.1380 12.5 6.8 5.7
9 Taylor Walls 0.0945 0.1083 0.1386 19.0 13.3 5.6
10 Carlos Cortes 0.1259 0.1123 0.0787 18.1 12.6 5.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kevin McGonigle 0.1111 0.1238 0.1372 18.3 9.9 8.5
2 Isaac Paredes 0.1349 0.1240 0.1047 20.0 12.4 7.6
3 Salvador Perez 0.1208 0.1098 0.0797 25.8 18.5 7.3
4 Ketel Marte 0.1525 0.1428 0.1250 17.2 10.8 6.5
5 Carson Benge 0.1087 0.1190 0.1315 14.8 8.5 6.3
6 Sam Antonacci 0.1042 0.1157 0.1454 22.9 16.9 6.0
7 Kyle Schwarber 0.1543 0.1465 0.1355 13.2 7.4 5.9
8 Kyle Tucker 0.1606 0.1524 0.1435 10.8 5.2 5.6
9 Vinnie Pasquantino 0.1303 0.1206 0.1123 8.7 3.7 5.0
10 Luis Arraez 0.1220 0.1152 0.1023 13.0 8.1 4.9

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.1509 0.1353 0.1297 11.5 2.7 8.8
2 JJ Wetherholt 0.1046 0.1156 0.1438 24.0 17.8 6.2
3 Cedric Mullins 0.1289 0.1178 0.1116 8.9 2.9 6.0
4 Chandler Simpson 0.1268 0.1184 0.1078 11.9 6.1 5.7
5 José Caballero 0.1337 0.1224 0.1096 11.2 5.6 5.6
6 Jac Caglianone 0.1098 0.1205 0.1302 11.1 5.7 5.4
7 Jacob Gonzalez 0.1184 0.0890 0.0925 6.0 0.9 5.0
8 Xander Bogaerts 0.1236 0.1165 0.1122 7.1 2.3 4.8
9 Carson Benge 0.1110 0.1190 0.1315 13.2 8.5 4.7
10 José Ramírez 0.1454 0.1380 0.1305 8.3 3.8 4.5

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Steven Kwan 0.1096 0.1232 0.1256 10.1 1.9 8.2
2 Cedric Mullins 0.1321 0.1178 0.1116 10.4 2.9 7.5
3 José Caballero 0.1373 0.1224 0.1096 12.7 5.6 7.1
4 Xander Bogaerts 0.1271 0.1165 0.1122 9.1 2.3 6.8
5 JJ Wetherholt 0.1050 0.1156 0.1438 23.9 17.8 6.1
6 Matt Olson 0.1212 0.1306 0.1418 14.3 8.2 6.1
7 Chase Meidroth 0.1062 0.1160 0.1400 21.5 15.7 5.8
8 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.1451 0.1353 0.1297 8.3 2.7 5.6
9 Chandler Simpson 0.1268 0.1184 0.1078 11.7 6.1 5.6
10 Carson Benge 0.1106 0.1190 0.1315 13.6 8.5 5.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Travis Bazzana 0.1462 0.1136 0.1083 17.1 2.5 14.6
2 Justin Crawford 0.1556 0.1245 0.1032 22.1 9.6 12.5
3 Bryan Reynolds 0.1061 0.1186 0.1459 31.2 19.5 11.7
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1925 0.1647 0.1301 27.0 16.0 11.0
5 Josh Bell 0.1032 0.1155 0.1236 15.9 5.5 10.4
6 Yordan Alvarez 0.1374 0.1479 0.1517 13.2 3.0 10.2
7 Konnor Griffin 0.1619 0.1258 0.1268 10.3 0.5 9.7
8 Jordan Walker 0.0981 0.1073 0.1454 34.7 25.8 8.9
9 Pete Alonso 0.1235 0.1318 0.1429 16.9 8.1 8.8
10 Connor Norby 0.1385 0.1137 0.0940 15.2 7.4 7.9

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Vaughn Grissom 0.1519
0.0935
(28.3)
0.0959
(27.1)
0.1008
(27.4)
0.0972
(27.3)
0.1003
(24.8)
0.0953
(26.3)
0.0972
(26.7)
0.0924
(27.7)
0.0902
(28.8)
0.1021
(28.1)
Jake McCarthy 0.1393
0.0904
(30.0)
0.0916
(29.1)
0.0971
(29.2)
0.0972
(26.8)
0.0930
(28.1)
0.0990
(23.4)
0.0945
(27.7)
0.0835
(32.6)
0.0839
(32.5)
0.0970
(30.8)
Brice Turang 0.1471
0.1060
(28.8)
0.1004
(32.4)
0.1075
(31.5)
0.1054
(30.4)
0.1011
(31.8)
0.0905
(37.8)
0.0997
(33.4)
0.0976
(32.9)
0.0934
(35.9)
0.1148
(28.4)
Alec Burleson 0.1731
0.1276
(31.4)
0.1268
(31.8)
0.1312
(32.6)
0.1231
(35.5)
0.1193
(36.6)
0.1269
(30.3)
0.1346
(27.0)
0.1222
(33.4)
0.1282
(29.5)
0.1290
(36.0)
CJ Abrams 0.1621
0.1045
(38.5)
0.1095
(35.1)
0.1159
(34.7)
0.1037
(40.1)
0.1114
(33.7)
0.1027
(38.1)
0.1151
(31.8)
0.1113
(32.5)
0.1057
(36.3)
0.1159
(36.4)
Luis García Jr. 0.1694
0.1230
(25.9)
0.1236
(25.5)
0.1265
(27.0)
0.1219
(27.4)
0.1217
(26.4)
0.1239
(24.2)
0.1225
(26.4)
0.1206
(25.9)
0.1231
(24.7)
0.1305
(26.3)
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0854
0.1394
(33.3)
0.1418
(34.9)
0.1414
(31.1)
0.1360
(30.1)
0.1528
(42.1)
0.1330
(30.7)
0.1398
(33.3)
0.1378
(33.8)
0.1466
(39.2)
0.1433
(30.6)
Daulton Varsho 0.0760
0.1363
(31.0)
0.1336
(29.7)
0.1395
(29.8)
0.1295
(26.6)
0.1286
(27.2)
0.1257
(26.7)
0.1259
(25.3)
0.1325
(30.3)
0.1315
(29.7)
0.1547
(36.4)
Taylor Ward 0.0610
0.1322
(42.4)
0.1300
(41.2)
0.1307
(38.2)
0.1303
(40.3)
0.1355
(44.7)
0.1225
(38.0)
0.1257
(38.2)
0.1283
(41.6)
0.1297
(42.3)
0.1361
(39.9)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Naylor 0.1420 0.0877 34.4
2 Jordan Walker 0.1069 0.1529 31.6
3 Liam Hicks 0.0947 0.1480 30.3
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1439 0.0936 29.8
5 Ezequiel Duran 0.0917 0.1390 29.0
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.1250 0.0855 26.8
7 Mike Trout 0.1264 0.0852 25.3
8 Andrew Benintendi 0.1163 0.1667 24.2
9 Ryan O'Hearn 0.1164 0.1685 24.1
10 Richie Palacios 0.0852 0.1429 23.5

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1484 0.0936 32.7
2 Liam Hicks 0.0910 0.1480 32.2
3 Josh Naylor 0.1357 0.0877 30.5
4 Jordan Walker 0.1090 0.1529 30.0
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.1293 0.0855 30.0
6 Mike Trout 0.1301 0.0852 27.8
7 Andrew Benintendi 0.1144 0.1667 25.0
8 Ezequiel Duran 0.0989 0.1390 24.6
9 Ryan O'Hearn 0.1156 0.1685 24.4
10 Shohei Ohtani 0.1701 0.1311 23.4

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Naylor 0.1477 0.0877 34.6
2 Jordan Walker 0.1090 0.1529 33.8
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1532 0.0936 32.1
4 Liam Hicks 0.0975 0.1480 31.8
5 Ryan O'Hearn 0.1154 0.1685 27.0
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.1295 0.0855 26.1
7 Andrew Benintendi 0.1178 0.1667 26.1
8 Josh Bell 0.1202 0.1521 24.4
9 Richie Palacios 0.0893 0.1429 24.1
10 Ezequiel Duran 0.1061 0.1390 23.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Naylor 0.1611 0.0877 45.8
2 Jakob Marsee 0.1262 0.0666 34.9
3 Jordan Walker 0.1098 0.1529 30.7
4 Ezequiel Duran 0.0906 0.1390 30.6
5 Sal Stewart 0.1181 0.1586 30.4
6 Andrew Benintendi 0.1118 0.1667 27.0
7 Jac Caglianone 0.0948 0.1356 24.2
8 Ty France 0.0992 0.1440 23.9
9 Miguel Vargas 0.1012 0.1321 23.8
10 Josh Bell 0.1175 0.1521 23.7

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gunnar Henderson 0.1435 0.0855 40.2
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1535 0.0936 36.0
3 Liam Hicks 0.0844 0.1480 35.7
4 Mike Trout 0.1351 0.0852 31.1
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1805 0.1311 30.0
6 Jordan Walker 0.1113 0.1529 28.3
7 Andrew Benintendi 0.1092 0.1667 27.3
8 Daylen Lile 0.0955 0.1359 27.0
9 Ildemaro Vargas 0.0858 0.1379 25.7
10 Ryan O'Hearn 0.1137 0.1685 25.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1494 0.0936 34.7
2 Liam Hicks 0.0855 0.1480 34.1
3 Josh Naylor 0.1357 0.0877 31.9
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.1288 0.0855 31.2
5 Jordan Walker 0.1058 0.1529 30.7
6 Andrew Benintendi 0.1081 0.1667 26.9
7 Jake Bauers 0.1056 0.1488 24.4
8 Dillon Dingler 0.1089 0.1499 24.3
9 José Ramírez 0.1409 0.0974 24.2
10 Steven Kwan 0.0858 0.0502 23.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1555 0.0936 36.6
2 Josh Naylor 0.1409 0.0877 33.5
3 Jordan Walker 0.1110 0.1529 29.1
4 Liam Hicks 0.0983 0.1480 28.5
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.1259 0.0855 27.2
6 Andrew Benintendi 0.1137 0.1667 25.6
7 José Ramírez 0.1450 0.0974 24.9
8 Julio Rodríguez 0.1478 0.1086 24.5
9 Freddie Freeman 0.1429 0.1065 22.8
10 Mike Trout 0.1228 0.0852 22.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1405 0.0852 35.8
2 Jordan Walker 0.1008 0.1529 34.0
3 Liam Hicks 0.0883 0.1480 32.5
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.1257 0.0855 29.1
5 Ezequiel Duran 0.0894 0.1390 29.0
6 Josh Naylor 0.1311 0.0877 28.9
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1387 0.0936 28.1
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.1753 0.1311 28.0
9 Trea Turner 0.1205 0.0829 27.2
10 Steven Kwan 0.0908 0.0502 26.5

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1479 0.0936 33.6
2 Liam Hicks 0.0865 0.1480 33.6
3 Mike Trout 0.1366 0.0852 33.1
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1792 0.1311 30.3
5 Ezequiel Duran 0.0883 0.1390 29.8
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1081 0.1474 27.9
7 Gunnar Henderson 0.1214 0.0855 25.8
8 Trea Turner 0.1181 0.0829 25.3
9 Jacob Young 0.0527 0.1062 24.7
10 Ildemaro Vargas 0.0870 0.1379 24.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Naylor 0.1538 0.0877 36.8
2 Jordan Walker 0.1075 0.1529 36.6
3 Liam Hicks 0.0990 0.1480 32.4
4 Ryan O'Hearn 0.1102 0.1685 30.6
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1890 0.1311 29.9
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1502 0.0936 28.7
7 Gunnar Henderson 0.1345 0.0855 27.7
8 Ezequiel Duran 0.1042 0.1390 26.5
9 Josh Bell 0.1201 0.1521 26.2
10 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1132 0.1447 26.1

Most Unique Misses for RBI Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.1132 0.0929 0.0874 12.0 2.1 9.9
2 Drake Baldwin 0.1414 0.1294 0.1285 7.1 0.1 7.0
3 Brett Bateman 0.1132 0.0748 0.0608 9.2 2.3 6.9
4 Alika Williams 0.1132 0.0864 0.0693 9.8 3.7 6.1
5 Ezequiel Duran 0.0917 0.0989 0.1390 29.0 24.6 4.4
6 Chase Meidroth 0.0738 0.0801 0.0980 16.4 12.2 4.2
7 Kyle Stowers 0.1433 0.1349 0.1270 7.7 3.5 4.2
8 Josh Naylor 0.1420 0.1357 0.0877 34.4 30.5 3.9
9 Garrett Mitchell 0.0945 0.1016 0.1224 15.5 11.6 3.9
10 Jorbit Vivas 0.0979 0.0873 0.0852 4.1 0.4 3.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Mickey Gasper 0.1667 0.1058 0.1067 12.0 0.5 11.5
2 Wade Meckler 0.1132 0.0818 0.0801 8.8 0.2 8.6
3 Nicky Lopez 0.1429 0.0726 0.0889 12.7 4.7 8.0
4 Elias Díaz 0.0769 0.1043 0.1477 18.4 10.5 7.8
5 Anthony Seigler 0.1429 0.0927 0.0751 10.5 2.8 7.7
6 Brandon Lowe 0.1245 0.1304 0.1463 18.8 11.2 7.6
7 Jared Young 0.1429 0.1152 0.1140 7.5 0.0 7.5
8 A.J. Ewing 0.1132 0.0929 0.0874 9.3 2.1 7.2
9 Brett Bateman 0.1132 0.0748 0.0608 8.3 2.3 5.9
10 Yandy Díaz 0.1167 0.1194 0.1239 9.6 3.8 5.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.0948 0.1284 0.1356 24.2 4.6 19.6
2 Jakob Marsee 0.1262 0.0939 0.0666 34.9 16.1 18.8
3 Drake Baldwin 0.1570 0.1294 0.1285 15.8 0.1 15.7
4 Josh Naylor 0.1611 0.1357 0.0877 45.8 30.5 15.3
5 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1132 0.1350 0.1447 21.9 6.9 15.0
6 Ben Rice 0.1207 0.1400 0.1454 18.5 4.4 14.1
7 Munetaka Murakami 0.1132 0.1365 0.1392 16.0 2.1 13.9
8 Sam Antonacci 0.1132 0.0879 0.0862 13.4 0.3 13.0
9 Nasim Nuñez 0.1047 0.0746 0.0751 13.1 0.8 12.4
10 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1188 0.0988 0.0868 19.8 7.4 12.3

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Gunnar Henderson 0.1435 0.1293 0.0855 40.2 30.0 10.2
2 Nolan Arenado 0.1058 0.1226 0.1436 23.1 13.2 9.9
3 Daylen Lile 0.0955 0.1085 0.1359 27.0 18.7 8.3
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1470 0.1300 0.1173 13.5 5.4 8.1
5 Austin Riley 0.1525 0.1407 0.1143 23.6 15.9 7.7
6 Colson Montgomery 0.1137 0.1256 0.1364 15.0 7.6 7.4
7 Zach Neto 0.1331 0.1231 0.1094 16.1 8.9 7.3
8 Alex Bregman 0.1119 0.1223 0.1325 15.1 7.9 7.1
9 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1528 0.1418 0.0854 42.1 34.9 7.1
10 Isaac Paredes 0.1153 0.1258 0.1426 18.6 11.8 6.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.1132 0.0929 0.0874 13.2 2.1 11.0
2 Rafael Devers 0.1185 0.1353 0.1548 22.3 13.1 9.2
3 Jackson Chourio 0.1153 0.1315 0.1309 8.3 0.3 8.0
4 Brett Bateman 0.1132 0.0748 0.0608 9.7 2.3 7.3
5 Jake Bauers 0.1056 0.1197 0.1488 24.4 17.4 6.9
6 Munetaka Murakami 0.1236 0.1365 0.1392 8.0 2.1 5.9
7 Yandy Díaz 0.1090 0.1194 0.1239 9.5 3.8 5.7
8 Brandon Lowe 0.1197 0.1304 0.1463 16.8 11.2 5.6
9 Elly De La Cruz 0.1318 0.1256 0.1242 5.5 0.2 5.3
10 Brice Turang 0.0905 0.1004 0.1471 37.8 32.4 5.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yandy Díaz 0.1090 0.1194 0.1239 11.4 3.8 7.6
2 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1100 0.0988 0.0868 14.6 7.4 7.2
3 Jonathan Aranda 0.1157 0.1253 0.1377 15.9 9.1 6.8
4 Chandler Simpson 0.0852 0.0740 0.0621 13.1 6.6 6.5
5 Nick Kurtz 0.1444 0.1583 0.1590 7.1 0.8 6.3
6 Trent Grisham 0.1086 0.1209 0.1219 7.3 1.0 6.2
7 Jackson Chourio 0.1224 0.1315 0.1309 5.8 0.3 5.6
8 Ernie Clement 0.1112 0.1036 0.0773 20.0 15.6 4.4
9 Freddie Freeman 0.1429 0.1357 0.1065 22.8 18.4 4.3
10 Julio Rodríguez 0.1478 0.1408 0.1086 24.5 20.4 4.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.1132 0.0929 0.0874 13.2 2.1 11.1
2 Ketel Marte 0.1521 0.1371 0.1218 19.6 8.8 10.7
3 Cal Raleigh 0.1779 0.1600 0.1302 25.9 15.2 10.6
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.1671 0.1547 0.1384 20.9 10.7 10.2
5 José Caballero 0.0650 0.0859 0.1118 20.8 12.3 8.5
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1131 0.1264 0.1474 24.1 16.0 8.1
7 Mike Trout 0.1405 0.1301 0.0852 35.8 27.8 8.0
8 Brett Bateman 0.1132 0.0748 0.0608 9.7 2.3 7.3
9 Salvador Perez 0.1577 0.1491 0.1244 21.5 14.8 6.8
10 Elly De La Cruz 0.1122 0.1256 0.1242 6.9 0.2 6.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ketel Marte 0.1548 0.1371 0.1218 21.1 8.8 12.3
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1081 0.1264 0.1474 27.9 16.0 11.8
3 A.J. Ewing 0.1132 0.0929 0.0874 13.1 2.1 11.0
4 Elly De La Cruz 0.1088 0.1256 0.1242 9.2 0.2 9.1
5 Jacob Young 0.0527 0.0738 0.1062 24.7 15.8 9.0
6 Salvador Perez 0.1603 0.1491 0.1244 23.1 14.8 8.3
7 Brett Bateman 0.1132 0.0748 0.0608 9.6 2.3 7.3
8 Cody Bellinger 0.1153 0.1320 0.1299 7.7 0.6 7.1
9 Kyle Schwarber 0.1626 0.1547 0.1384 17.6 10.7 6.9
10 Shohei Ohtani 0.1792 0.1701 0.1311 30.3 23.4 6.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.1132 0.1350 0.1447 26.1 6.9 19.2
2 Sam Antonacci 0.1240 0.0879 0.0862 15.8 0.3 15.4
3 Brandon Lowe 0.1220 0.1304 0.1463 22.2 11.2 11.0
4 Kevin McGonigle 0.1383 0.1144 0.1018 19.0 8.1 10.9
5 Miguel Vargas 0.1083 0.1130 0.1321 23.4 14.3 9.2
6 JJ Wetherholt 0.1217 0.0990 0.0824 18.4 9.6 8.8
7 Jakob Marsee 0.1165 0.0939 0.0666 24.9 16.1 8.7
8 Henry Bolte 0.1340 0.1075 0.0803 20.9 12.3 8.5
9 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.1571 0.1329 0.1034 23.5 15.1 8.4
10 Shea Langeliers 0.1777 0.1515 0.1242 20.5 12.2 8.3

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jordan Walker 0.1410
0.0843
(43.2)
0.0776
(48.3)
0.0744
(47.2)
0.0816
(47.3)
0.0801
(49.4)
0.0829
(43.7)
0.0816
(44.0)
0.0732
(50.2)
0.0733
(50.3)
0.0672
(54.4)
Luis Robert Jr. 0.0377
0.2547
(48.0)
0.2510
(47.0)
0.2339
(44.2)
0.2347
(42.6)
0.2632
(48.8)
0.2408
(45.0)
0.2444
(46.0)
0.2709
(51.9)
0.2596
(49.3)
0.2233
(40.9)
Jackson Merrill 0.1888
0.0574
(92.6)
0.0562
(94.0)
0.0493
(95.3)
0.0690
(87.3)
0.0517
(99.8)
0.0525
(95.3)
0.0507
(96.0)
0.0649
(87.2)
0.0670
(85.9)
0.0488
(98.1)
Corbin Carroll 0.1419
0.2184
(45.9)
0.2211
(47.1)
0.2194
(49.2)
0.2286
(50.4)
0.2185
(42.5)
0.2140
(43.5)
0.2174
(46.3)
0.2279
(52.8)
0.2315
(55.0)
0.2201
(47.3)
Miguel Vargas 0.1158
0.0532
(49.8)
0.0552
(48.9)
0.0537
(46.6)
0.0522
(52.9)
0.0650
(45.1)
0.0530
(49.4)
0.0504
(50.6)
0.0581
(45.8)
0.0549
(48.2)
0.0519
(50.4)
Francisco Lindor 0.0278
0.1453
(51.3)
0.1455
(51.0)
0.1429
(52.1)
0.1634
(58.2)
0.1544
(53.2)
0.1459
(52.0)
0.1440
(51.4)
0.1476
(52.8)
0.1442
(51.0)
0.1369
(47.6)
Otto Lopez 0.1809
0.1131
(52.1)
0.1130
(52.8)
0.1032
(56.1)
0.1221
(48.3)
0.1195
(51.3)
0.1106
(53.2)
0.1087
(54.0)
0.1224
(45.2)
0.1208
(46.5)
0.0963
(63.4)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.3203
0.2390
(47.6)
0.2280
(53.9)
0.2199
(55.6)
0.2266
(56.0)
0.2318
(54.1)
0.2207
(56.9)
0.2135
(60.3)
0.2393
(47.0)
0.2371
(48.4)
0.2154
(59.9)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0738 0.1969 64.5
2 Jonah Cox 0.0738 0.4211 60.1
3 Jakob Marsee 0.2266 0.1314 53.6
4 Nasim Nuñez 0.2767 0.3740 52.0
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.1438 0.0621 51.7
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.2645 0.1796 48.8
7 Brice Turang 0.1815 0.1022 48.5
8 Jake McCarthy 0.1585 0.2302 47.6
9 Cooper Pratt 0.0738 0.2375 45.7
10 Zach McKinstry 0.1427 0.0306 44.0

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jakob Marsee 0.2240 0.1314 51.5
2 Nasim Nuñez 0.2874 0.3740 47.1
3 Josh Naylor 0.1100 0.1734 47.0
4 Esteury Ruiz 0.3502 0.5231 46.4
5 Travis Bazzana 0.0645 0.1429 45.2
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1430 0.1979 45.0
7 Elly De La Cruz 0.2591 0.1796 44.8
8 Brice Turang 0.1766 0.1022 44.6
9 Gunnar Henderson 0.1340 0.0621 44.2
10 Jake McCarthy 0.1652 0.2302 44.1

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0738 0.1969 62.5
2 Jonah Cox 0.0738 0.4211 59.4
3 Jakob Marsee 0.2318 0.1314 59.3
4 Kahlil Watson 0.0000 0.5294 48.5
5 José Ramírez 0.1905 0.2741 47.7
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.1444 0.0640 47.2
7 Gunnar Henderson 0.1329 0.0621 46.9
8 Nasim Nuñez 0.2843 0.3740 46.2
9 Esteury Ruiz 0.3500 0.5231 45.2
10 Cooper Pratt 0.0738 0.2375 44.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nasim Nuñez 0.2000 0.3740 91.5
2 Konnor Griffin 0.0738 0.2706 70.6
3 A.J. Ewing 0.0738 0.1969 66.2
4 Jonah Cox 0.0738 0.4211 60.6
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1707 0.0640 58.8
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.2763 0.1796 54.1
7 Brice Turang 0.1911 0.1022 52.6
8 Cooper Pratt 0.0738 0.2375 46.6
9 Josh Naylor 0.1135 0.1734 46.5
10 Matt McLain 0.1167 0.1980 46.1

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jakob Marsee 0.2749 0.1314 80.2
2 Chandler Simpson 0.3836 0.2570 69.4
3 Troy Johnston 0.1821 0.0336 60.7
4 Cole Carrigg 0.2810 0.1250 53.1
5 Travis Bazzana 0.0623 0.1429 48.5
6 Heriberto Hernández 0.0338 0.1140 47.2
7 Jake McCarthy 0.1665 0.2302 45.9
8 David Hamilton 0.4372 0.3093 44.4
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1485 0.1979 44.1
10 Gunnar Henderson 0.1366 0.0621 43.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0738 0.1969 64.1
2 Jonah Cox 0.0738 0.4211 59.9
3 Jakob Marsee 0.2323 0.1314 57.6
4 Jake McCarthy 0.1456 0.2302 54.8
5 Esteury Ruiz 0.3197 0.5231 53.7
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.1414 0.0621 50.5
7 Nasim Nuñez 0.2849 0.3740 47.5
8 Elly De La Cruz 0.2610 0.1796 47.1
9 Matt McLain 0.1166 0.1980 44.0
10 Josh Naylor 0.1134 0.1734 43.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jakob Marsee 0.2358 0.1314 60.3
2 Esteury Ruiz 0.3134 0.5231 55.1
3 Jake McCarthy 0.1448 0.2302 54.8
4 Nasim Nuñez 0.2807 0.3740 49.2
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.1367 0.0621 47.7
6 Josh Naylor 0.1075 0.1734 47.1
7 Matt McLain 0.1102 0.1980 46.8
8 José Ramírez 0.1983 0.2741 44.8
9 Travis Bazzana 0.0634 0.1429 44.5
10 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1425 0.1979 43.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0738 0.1969 64.2
2 Nasim Nuñez 0.2550 0.3740 62.3
3 Jonah Cox 0.0738 0.4211 59.9
4 Brice Turang 0.1877 0.1022 53.1
5 Josh Naylor 0.1014 0.1734 51.6
6 Zach McKinstry 0.1524 0.0306 48.4
7 Elly De La Cruz 0.2612 0.1796 47.2
8 Travis Bazzana 0.0599 0.1429 46.7
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1395 0.1979 46.3
10 Cooper Pratt 0.0738 0.2375 45.5

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0738 0.1969 64.3
2 Josh Naylor 0.0878 0.1734 60.6
3 Jonah Cox 0.0738 0.4211 60.0
4 Nasim Nuñez 0.2650 0.3740 57.5
5 Brice Turang 0.1904 0.1022 54.8
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.2663 0.1796 50.3
7 Zach McKinstry 0.1568 0.0306 50.1
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1363 0.1979 48.7
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.1455 0.0640 45.7
10 Cooper Pratt 0.0738 0.2375 45.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.1783 0.2741 56.3
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.1576 0.0640 53.1
3 Jakob Marsee 0.2242 0.1314 52.4
4 Travis Bazzana 0.0556 0.1429 49.1
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1379 0.1979 47.7
6 Brice Turang 0.1772 0.1022 45.8
7 Esteury Ruiz 0.3566 0.5231 44.4
8 Elly De La Cruz 0.2564 0.1796 43.9
9 Zach McKinstry 0.1376 0.0306 42.0
10 Nasim Nuñez 0.2966 0.3740 42.0

Most Unique Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0738 0.2096 0.1969 64.5 1.9 62.6
2 Jonah Cox 0.0738 0.2621 0.4211 60.1 28.4 31.7
3 Henry Bolte 0.0738 0.1842 0.1500 39.9 11.9 27.9
4 Samad Taylor 0.0738 0.1971 0.2203 27.1 5.6 21.4
5 Sam Antonacci 0.1638 0.1389 0.1190 20.4 6.1 14.4
6 Tristan Peters 0.0302 0.0586 0.0684 22.7 9.2 13.5
7 Cooper Pratt 0.0738 0.1201 0.2375 45.7 33.6 12.1
8 Tommy White 0.0738 0.0185 0.0000 12.8 1.9 11.0
9 Blaze Jordan 0.0738 0.0204 0.0000 13.1 2.3 10.8
10 Spencer Jones 0.1999 0.1606 0.1538 11.0 0.6 10.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0738 0.2096 0.1969 62.5 1.9 60.7
2 Samad Taylor 0.0000 0.1971 0.2203 39.3 5.6 33.6
3 Jonah Cox 0.0738 0.2621 0.4211 59.4 28.4 31.0
4 Tristan Peters 0.0000 0.0586 0.0684 35.6 9.2 26.4
5 Henry Bolte 0.0738 0.1842 0.1500 38.0 11.9 26.0
6 Spencer Jones 0.2500 0.1606 0.1538 26.6 0.6 26.0
7 Weston Wilson 0.0000 0.1209 0.1628 30.5 9.3 21.2
8 Blake Dunn 0.0000 0.1224 0.1429 22.8 4.6 18.2
9 MJ Melendez 0.2000 0.0837 0.0000 28.2 10.8 17.5
10 Nicky Lopez 0.0000 0.0647 0.0658 18.9 2.7 16.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0738 0.2096 0.1969 66.2 1.9 64.3
2 Nasim Nuñez 0.2000 0.2874 0.3740 91.5 47.1 44.4
3 Konnor Griffin 0.0738 0.1838 0.2706 70.6 32.5 38.2
4 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0738 0.0171 0.0072 35.0 0.6 34.4
5 Jonah Cox 0.0738 0.2621 0.4211 60.6 28.4 32.3
6 Henry Bolte 0.0738 0.1842 0.1500 41.5 11.9 29.6
7 TJ Rumfield 0.0738 0.0249 0.0000 39.3 10.1 29.2
8 Spencer Jones 0.0738 0.1606 0.1538 26.5 0.6 25.8
9 Sam Antonacci 0.0738 0.1389 0.1190 31.7 6.1 25.6
10 Bryce Eldridge 0.0741 0.0182 0.0081 24.4 0.5 23.8

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chandler Simpson 0.3836 0.3268 0.2570 69.4 37.2 32.1
2 Jakob Marsee 0.2749 0.2240 0.1314 80.2 51.5 28.7
3 Troy Johnston 0.1821 0.1266 0.0336 60.7 37.8 23.0
4 Cole Carrigg 0.2810 0.2207 0.1250 53.1 32.3 20.8
5 Henry Bolte 0.2166 0.1842 0.1500 25.2 11.9 13.3
6 David Hamilton 0.4372 0.3992 0.3093 44.4 31.3 13.1
7 Justin Crawford 0.2337 0.2037 0.1478 33.8 21.8 12.0
8 Caleb Durbin 0.1819 0.1577 0.1307 22.2 10.6 11.6
9 Andy Pages 0.0620 0.0757 0.0890 23.1 12.8 10.3
10 Jac Caglianone 0.0158 0.0273 0.0534 28.1 19.4 8.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0738 0.2096 0.1969 64.1 1.9 62.2
2 Jonah Cox 0.0738 0.2621 0.4211 59.9 28.4 31.5
3 Tommy White 0.0738 0.0185 0.0000 13.0 1.9 11.1
4 Jake McCarthy 0.1456 0.1652 0.2302 54.8 44.1 10.7
5 Zach Neto 0.2014 0.1903 0.1420 36.7 27.7 9.0
6 Eduardo Valencia 0.0738 0.0121 0.0000 9.2 0.4 8.7
7 Jose Siri 0.1379 0.1732 0.1698 9.8 1.4 8.4
8 Esteury Ruiz 0.3197 0.3502 0.5231 53.7 46.4 7.4
9 Drew Cavanaugh 0.0738 0.0312 0.0222 7.4 0.0 7.3
10 Jase Bowen 0.0738 0.1409 0.4286 37.3 30.5 6.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.1646 0.2096 0.1969 19.1 1.9 17.2
2 Jonah Cox 0.1878 0.2621 0.4211 40.5 28.4 12.1
3 Jake McCarthy 0.1448 0.1652 0.2302 54.8 44.1 10.7
4 Zach Neto 0.2004 0.1903 0.1420 36.5 27.7 8.8
5 Esteury Ruiz 0.3134 0.3502 0.5231 55.1 46.4 8.8
6 Jakob Marsee 0.2358 0.2240 0.1314 60.3 51.5 8.8
7 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1203 0.1378 0.1707 26.7 19.6 7.1
8 Jorge Mateo 0.3537 0.3853 0.4634 25.7 19.2 6.4
9 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.2135 0.2280 0.3203 60.3 53.9 6.4
10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2750 0.2687 0.2204 34.9 28.6 6.3

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0738 0.2096 0.1969 64.2 1.9 62.3
2 Jonah Cox 0.0738 0.2621 0.4211 59.9 28.4 31.6
3 Henry Bolte 0.0738 0.1842 0.1500 39.5 11.9 27.6
4 Nasim Nuñez 0.2550 0.2874 0.3740 62.3 47.1 15.2
5 JJ Wetherholt 0.0592 0.0816 0.0787 16.6 3.7 12.9
6 Cooper Pratt 0.0738 0.1201 0.2375 45.5 33.6 11.9
7 Ernie Clement 0.0857 0.0694 0.0522 16.2 5.1 11.1
8 Tommy White 0.0738 0.0185 0.0000 13.0 1.9 11.1
9 Lane Thomas 0.1961 0.1691 0.1011 32.8 22.1 10.7
10 Konnor Griffin 0.1524 0.1838 0.2706 42.6 32.5 10.1

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 A.J. Ewing 0.0738 0.2096 0.1969 64.3 1.9 62.4
2 Jonah Cox 0.0738 0.2621 0.4211 60.0 28.4 31.6
3 Henry Bolte 0.0738 0.1842 0.1500 39.7 11.9 27.7
4 Josh Naylor 0.0878 0.1100 0.1734 60.6 47.0 13.6
5 Ernie Clement 0.0879 0.0694 0.0522 17.4 5.1 12.3
6 Cooper Pratt 0.0738 0.1201 0.2375 45.6 33.6 12.0
7 Tyler Tolbert 0.2819 0.3585 0.5238 36.9 25.8 11.2
8 Tommy White 0.0738 0.0185 0.0000 12.9 1.9 11.0
9 Munetaka Murakami 0.0864 0.0682 0.0071 39.6 28.8 10.8
10 Lane Thomas 0.1955 0.1691 0.1011 32.5 22.1 10.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.0738 0.0171 0.0072 37.4 0.6 36.8
2 A.J. Ewing 0.2635 0.2096 0.1969 29.0 1.9 27.1
3 Hyeseong Kim 0.3247 0.2069 0.1351 23.8 8.2 15.6
4 Jake Bauers 0.1370 0.1114 0.0629 38.4 22.9 15.5
5 Garrett Mitchell 0.1731 0.1453 0.0986 35.5 20.1 15.4
6 José Ramírez 0.1783 0.2044 0.2741 56.3 42.7 13.5
7 Shohei Ohtani 0.1576 0.1393 0.0640 53.1 41.0 12.1
8 Henry Bolte 0.2077 0.1842 0.1500 23.6 11.9 11.7
9 Oswald Peraza 0.1889 0.1595 0.1446 13.5 2.2 11.3
10 Otto Lopez 0.0963 0.1130 0.1809 63.4 52.8 10.6

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jarren Duran 0.2069
0.2599
(31.5)
0.2596
(31.1)
0.2588
(28.4)
0.2701
(35.5)
0.2648
(33.3)
0.2540
(28.3)
0.2582
(28.5)
0.2581
(31.3)
0.2618
(33.4)
0.2603
(29.4)
TJ Rumfield 0.2998
0.2497
(32.3)
0.2511
(31.8)
0.2587
(29.3)
0.2439
(38.4)
0.2524
(31.9)
0.2480
(33.0)
0.2531
(32.3)
0.2451
(34.4)
0.2452
(34.5)
0.2644
(25.6)
Jake Bauers 0.2662
0.2110
(32.6)
0.2135
(31.4)
0.2213
(29.0)
0.2215
(28.7)
0.2228
(26.9)
0.2113
(32.1)
0.2145
(32.5)
0.2038
(36.0)
0.2061
(34.8)
0.2251
(26.7)
Manny Machado 0.2173
0.2630
(30.1)
0.2629
(29.7)
0.2642
(28.2)
0.2685
(31.3)
0.2638
(29.4)
0.2623
(30.1)
0.2680
(31.3)
0.2604
(29.3)
0.2611
(29.6)
0.2616
(26.5)
Carson Benge 0.2824
0.2381
(29.7)
0.2387
(29.6)
0.2411
(30.4)
0.2439
(28.3)
0.2415
(28.7)
0.2318
(33.4)
0.2354
(33.6)
0.2388
(28.3)
0.2388
(28.4)
0.2462
(27.0)
Nick Gonzales 0.3031
0.2580
(28.1)
0.2602
(27.1)
0.2626
(27.8)
0.2573
(30.8)
0.2553
(30.9)
0.2601
(26.5)
0.2632
(26.9)
0.2608
(25.6)
0.2616
(25.2)
0.2623
(27.9)
Gunnar Henderson 0.2263
0.2697
(29.6)
0.2719
(30.8)
0.2741
(29.9)
0.2689
(26.4)
0.2812
(36.4)
0.2687
(29.4)
0.2746
(30.8)
0.2689
(30.0)
0.2674
(28.8)
0.2727
(29.0)
Randy Arozarena 0.2815
0.2329
(33.3)
0.2338
(33.0)
0.2355
(34.3)
0.2363
(33.6)
0.2380
(31.2)
0.2277
(36.4)
0.2330
(35.4)
0.2345
(31.3)
0.2323
(32.9)
0.2384
(32.2)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2394 0.2891 28.1
2 Otto Lopez 0.2650 0.3046 28.0
3 Trea Turner 0.2827 0.2419 27.8
4 Wade Meckler 0.2216 0.3000 26.8
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2458 0.2796 25.4
6 Liam Hicks 0.2399 0.2839 25.0
7 Chase DeLauter 0.2433 0.2869 25.0
8 Cal Raleigh 0.2294 0.1818 24.6
9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.2417 0.1410 24.1
10 Jordan Walker 0.2343 0.2693 24.1

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Otto Lopez 0.2675 0.3046 26.6
2 Trea Turner 0.2804 0.2419 25.9
3 Austin Riley 0.2609 0.2191 25.3
4 Cal Raleigh 0.2310 0.1818 25.2
5 Jac Caglianone 0.2460 0.2891 24.7
6 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.2435 0.1410 24.4
7 Matt McLain 0.2361 0.1854 24.4
8 Liam Hicks 0.2417 0.2839 24.3
9 Chase DeLauter 0.2458 0.2869 23.8
10 Josh Jung 0.2475 0.2990 23.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.1667 0.2636 37.2
2 Jared Young 0.1667 0.2662 35.8
3 Otto Lopez 0.2693 0.3046 27.9
4 Samad Taylor 0.1667 0.3158 27.0
5 Ty France 0.2475 0.2955 26.6
6 Eduardo Valencia 0.1667 0.3411 24.8
7 Matt McLain 0.2404 0.1854 24.7
8 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.2454 0.1410 24.0
9 Trea Turner 0.2814 0.2419 24.0
10 Austin Riley 0.2624 0.2191 24.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2000 0.2891 52.0
2 Otto Lopez 0.2530 0.3046 38.8
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2429 0.2796 30.2
4 Javier Sanoja 0.2422 0.2950 28.3
5 Kevin McGonigle 0.2439 0.2777 27.3
6 Jake McCarthy 0.2500 0.2907 27.2
7 Ty France 0.2466 0.2955 26.9
8 Miguel Vargas 0.2168 0.2500 26.8
9 Chase DeLauter 0.2439 0.2869 26.7
10 Trea Turner 0.2849 0.2419 26.7

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.2720 0.2191 31.4
2 Cal Raleigh 0.2425 0.1818 30.5
3 Otto Lopez 0.2635 0.3046 30.4
4 Liam Hicks 0.2392 0.2839 26.5
5 Chandler Simpson 0.2683 0.3065 25.2
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3035 0.2601 24.5
7 Blaze Alexander 0.2214 0.3027 24.4
8 Henry Bolte 0.2287 0.2771 24.4
9 Josh Jung 0.2472 0.2990 24.3
10 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.2425 0.1410 23.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Otto Lopez 0.2656 0.3046 27.2
2 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.2472 0.1410 25.6
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2467 0.2796 24.2
4 Blaze Alexander 0.2210 0.3027 23.8
5 Ty France 0.2491 0.2955 23.4
6 Chase DeLauter 0.2456 0.2869 23.4
7 Trea Turner 0.2756 0.2419 23.3
8 Matt McLain 0.2327 0.1854 23.2
9 Liam Hicks 0.2431 0.2839 22.9
10 Josh Jung 0.2480 0.2990 22.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Otto Lopez 0.2705 0.3046 26.5
2 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.2486 0.1410 25.0
3 Henry Bolte 0.2294 0.2771 24.7
4 Trea Turner 0.2805 0.2419 23.9
5 Cal Raleigh 0.2304 0.1818 23.4
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2518 0.2796 23.4
7 Blaze Alexander 0.2272 0.3027 23.1
8 Austin Riley 0.2602 0.2191 23.1
9 Liam Hicks 0.2470 0.2839 22.9
10 Ty France 0.2549 0.2955 22.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2275 0.2891 33.9
2 Trea Turner 0.2843 0.2419 29.9
3 Cal Raleigh 0.2344 0.1818 28.0
4 Jordan Walker 0.2277 0.2693 27.6
5 Chase DeLauter 0.2392 0.2869 26.5
6 Otto Lopez 0.2672 0.3046 25.5
7 Liam Hicks 0.2378 0.2839 25.4
8 Josh Jung 0.2430 0.2990 24.8
9 Austin Riley 0.2581 0.2191 24.7
10 Kyle Tucker 0.2724 0.2333 24.6

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2317 0.2891 31.7
2 Trea Turner 0.2833 0.2419 29.1
3 Chase DeLauter 0.2391 0.2869 26.7
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2436 0.2796 26.1
5 Matt McLain 0.2361 0.1854 25.2
6 Liam Hicks 0.2387 0.2839 25.0
7 Austin Riley 0.2586 0.2191 24.9
8 J.T. Realmuto 0.2581 0.2053 24.7
9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.2411 0.1410 24.3
10 Josh Jung 0.2446 0.2990 24.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Otto Lopez 0.2675 0.3046 29.0
2 Matt McLain 0.2485 0.1854 28.8
3 Jordan Walker 0.2324 0.2693 28.0
4 Ty France 0.2473 0.2955 26.6
5 Austin Riley 0.2638 0.2191 25.0
6 Josh Jung 0.2484 0.2990 24.7
7 Trea Turner 0.2816 0.2419 24.2
8 Kevin McGonigle 0.2486 0.2777 24.2
9 Liam Hicks 0.2464 0.2839 23.6
10 Cal Raleigh 0.2309 0.1818 23.3

Most Unique Misses for Batting Average

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Wade Meckler 0.2216 0.2416 0.3000 26.8 20.2 6.6
2 Weston Wilson 0.2439 0.2174 0.2012 7.6 2.7 4.9
3 Jake McCarthy 0.2600 0.2674 0.2907 19.0 14.9 4.1
4 Jacob Gonzalez 0.2439 0.2167 0.2201 5.2 1.1 4.0
5 Zack Short 0.2439 0.1866 0.1400 6.4 2.8 3.6
6 Jac Caglianone 0.2394 0.2460 0.2891 28.1 24.7 3.4
7 Ezequiel Duran 0.2344 0.2403 0.2597 15.8 12.5 3.3
8 Sandy León 0.2439 0.1722 0.0909 6.7 3.5 3.2
9 Jorbit Vivas 0.2218 0.2309 0.2379 6.3 3.2 3.1
10 Jase Bowen 0.2439 0.2146 0.1458 10.0 6.9 3.1

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.1667 0.2381 0.2636 37.2 9.9 27.3
2 Jared Young 0.1667 0.2278 0.2662 35.8 13.7 22.1
3 Mickey Gasper 0.1667 0.2366 0.2513 20.2 3.7 16.6
4 Brandon Valenzuela 0.1667 0.2066 0.2259 17.5 5.7 11.8
5 Samad Taylor 0.1667 0.2288 0.3158 27.0 15.5 11.5
6 Victor Mesa Jr. 0.3333 0.2334 0.2596 18.0 7.3 10.7
7 Eduardo Valencia 0.1667 0.2403 0.3411 24.8 14.1 10.7
8 Anthony Seigler 0.1667 0.2222 0.2467 14.7 4.5 10.2
9 Nicky Lopez 0.3333 0.2505 0.2700 15.7 5.7 10.0
10 Rece Hinds 0.3333 0.2293 0.1429 13.2 6.0 7.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2000 0.2460 0.2891 52.0 24.7 27.2
2 Jakob Marsee 0.2690 0.2305 0.2306 20.6 1.1 19.5
3 Miguel Vargas 0.2168 0.2379 0.2500 26.8 9.7 17.2
4 Sal Stewart 0.2465 0.2654 0.2632 15.2 0.4 14.8
5 Jake McCarthy 0.2500 0.2674 0.2907 27.2 14.9 12.3
6 Otto Lopez 0.2530 0.2675 0.3046 38.8 26.6 12.2
7 Munetaka Murakami 0.2439 0.2194 0.2070 17.7 5.9 11.7
8 Colson Montgomery 0.2405 0.2191 0.1972 24.5 13.0 11.5
9 Javier Sanoja 0.2422 0.2621 0.2950 28.3 16.9 11.4
10 Junior Caminero 0.2573 0.2699 0.2760 16.6 5.4 11.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chandler Simpson 0.2683 0.2826 0.3065 25.2 15.6 9.7
2 Sal Stewart 0.2523 0.2654 0.2632 9.8 0.4 9.4
3 Luke Keaschall 0.2541 0.2659 0.2822 19.4 11.1 8.2
4 Nolan Arenado 0.2412 0.2520 0.2552 10.2 2.8 7.3
5 Jonathan Aranda 0.2489 0.2577 0.2741 18.9 12.1 6.8
6 Yandy Díaz 0.2760 0.2845 0.2932 13.9 7.1 6.8
7 Samuel Basallo 0.2578 0.2411 0.2222 13.0 6.9 6.1
8 Austin Riley 0.2720 0.2609 0.2191 31.4 25.3 6.0
9 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3023 0.2916 0.2814 11.3 5.5 5.8
10 Jakob Marsee 0.2226 0.2305 0.2306 6.8 1.1 5.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2214 0.2381 0.2636 15.6 9.9 5.7
2 Pete Alonso 0.2465 0.2546 0.2674 15.0 10.2 4.9
3 Mike Trout 0.2268 0.2355 0.2417 9.8 5.0 4.8
4 Caleb Durbin 0.2631 0.2570 0.2480 8.5 4.3 4.2
5 Jacob Gonzalez 0.2439 0.2167 0.2201 5.3 1.1 4.2
6 Rafael Devers 0.2418 0.2495 0.2581 10.6 6.4 4.2
7 Spencer Torkelson 0.2234 0.2313 0.2300 4.4 0.2 4.2
8 Shea Langeliers 0.2446 0.2543 0.2618 8.3 4.3 4.0
9 Jonathan Aranda 0.2507 0.2577 0.2741 16.0 12.1 3.9
10 Miguel Vargas 0.2314 0.2379 0.2500 13.5 9.7 3.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2269 0.2381 0.2636 15.0 9.9 5.1
2 Ernie Clement 0.2738 0.2636 0.2593 6.2 1.6 4.6
3 Caleb Durbin 0.2672 0.2570 0.2480 8.6 4.3 4.4
4 Munetaka Murakami 0.2300 0.2194 0.2070 10.2 5.9 4.3
5 Carson Benge 0.2354 0.2387 0.2824 33.6 29.6 4.0
6 Mike Trout 0.2321 0.2355 0.2417 8.9 5.0 3.9
7 Spencer Torkelson 0.2283 0.2313 0.2300 3.8 0.2 3.6
8 Teoscar Hernández 0.2552 0.2595 0.2670 8.0 4.5 3.5
9 Nathan Church 0.2594 0.2491 0.2465 4.0 0.5 3.5
10 Kazuma Okamoto 0.2483 0.2402 0.2324 7.3 3.9 3.4

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2275 0.2460 0.2891 33.9 24.7 9.2
2 Ildemaro Vargas 0.2303 0.2448 0.2539 11.4 5.2 6.2
3 Jordan Walker 0.2277 0.2378 0.2693 27.6 22.1 5.5
4 Dominic Canzone 0.2290 0.2405 0.2642 18.6 13.4 5.2
5 Garrett Mitchell 0.2195 0.2303 0.2625 22.7 18.0 4.8
6 Jake Bauers 0.2038 0.2135 0.2662 36.0 31.4 4.5
7 Jacob Gonzalez 0.2439 0.2167 0.2201 5.5 1.1 4.3
8 Kody Clemens 0.2199 0.2289 0.2392 11.1 6.9 4.2
9 Kyle Karros 0.2674 0.2604 0.2530 6.9 2.7 4.2
10 Trea Turner 0.2843 0.2804 0.2419 29.9 25.9 4.0

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2317 0.2460 0.2891 31.7 24.7 7.0
2 Matt Olson 0.2373 0.2488 0.2512 9.7 2.8 6.9
3 Josh Naylor 0.2498 0.2614 0.2613 7.5 1.0 6.5
4 Ezequiel Duran 0.2284 0.2403 0.2597 18.7 12.5 6.1
5 Riley Greene 0.2475 0.2588 0.2798 19.1 13.4 5.7
6 Sal Stewart 0.2711 0.2654 0.2632 5.5 0.4 5.1
7 Keibert Ruiz 0.2288 0.2442 0.2801 18.2 13.3 4.9
8 Cody Bellinger 0.2473 0.2577 0.2641 9.4 4.5 4.9
9 Steven Kwan 0.2643 0.2735 0.2820 11.3 6.4 4.9
10 Garrett Mitchell 0.2196 0.2303 0.2625 22.7 18.0 4.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Alex Bregman 0.2429 0.2516 0.2648 18.9 10.4 8.5
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.2212 0.2298 0.2324 11.4 2.9 8.5
3 Munetaka Murakami 0.2381 0.2194 0.2070 14.4 5.9 8.4
4 Justin Crawford 0.2860 0.2679 0.2635 8.1 1.3 6.8
5 Yordan Alvarez 0.2896 0.2950 0.3157 21.6 15.5 6.1
6 Jordan Walker 0.2324 0.2378 0.2693 28.0 22.1 6.0
7 Kevin McGonigle 0.2486 0.2529 0.2777 24.2 18.7 5.5
8 Jo Adell 0.2318 0.2362 0.2405 9.1 3.9 5.2
9 Josh Naylor 0.2757 0.2614 0.2613 6.0 1.0 5.0
10 Isaac Paredes 0.2381 0.2416 0.2616 18.8 14.2 4.6

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Randy Arozarena 0.3806
0.3291
(32.9)
0.3302
(32.6)
0.3319
(35.0)
0.3366
(30.1)
0.3332
(32.2)
0.3256
(36.3)
0.3292
(36.0)
0.3300
(30.0)
0.3280
(31.5)
0.3364
(31.9)
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.3724
0.2965
(53.4)
0.3002
(51.2)
0.3036
(52.5)
0.2922
(58.9)
0.3065
(48.3)
0.2975
(53.8)
0.3020
(52.8)
0.2985
(49.5)
0.2964
(51.1)
0.3036
(52.4)
Jarren Duran 0.2661
0.3271
(38.6)
0.3272
(38.2)
0.3267
(34.7)
0.3360
(41.9)
0.3327
(40.1)
0.3212
(34.0)
0.3256
(34.7)
0.3259
(39.8)
0.3301
(42.3)
0.3277
(35.4)
Kevin McGonigle 0.3762
0.3308
(30.4)
0.3298
(31.6)
0.3376
(29.8)
0.3184
(41.6)
0.3272
(35.1)
0.3373
(27.0)
0.3431
(25.1)
0.3205
(35.3)
0.3206
(35.4)
0.3292
(35.7)
Jake Bauers 0.3893
0.3092
(44.9)
0.3116
(43.9)
0.3231
(40.3)
0.3138
(44.2)
0.3171
(42.1)
0.3113
(44.6)
0.3151
(44.2)
0.2992
(48.7)
0.3013
(47.6)
0.3280
(37.4)
Nick Gonzales 0.3668
0.3095
(33.4)
0.3139
(31.1)
0.3180
(31.8)
0.3065
(37.2)
0.3133
(32.9)
0.3155
(30.7)
0.3185
(30.8)
0.3118
(29.9)
0.3119
(29.9)
0.3170
(32.4)
Yordan Alvarez 0.4321
0.3857
(30.4)
0.3896
(28.2)
0.3900
(31.6)
0.3757
(39.7)
0.3923
(28.0)
0.3925
(26.8)
0.3962
(26.4)
0.3909
(24.5)
0.3871
(27.2)
0.3827
(36.6)
Josh Jung 0.3649
0.2926
(31.0)
0.2944
(30.5)
0.2971
(31.7)
0.3025
(28.1)
0.2974
(30.2)
0.2937
(31.2)
0.2997
(30.0)
0.2910
(30.3)
0.2927
(29.5)
0.2935
(33.2)
TJ Rumfield 0.3899
0.3177
(44.0)
0.3190
(43.6)
0.3294
(40.4)
0.3184
(45.7)
0.3223
(43.0)
0.3199
(43.6)
0.3242
(42.9)
0.3073
(48.5)
0.3073
(48.5)
0.3346
(37.0)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3787 0.3317 30.1
2 Ketel Marte 0.3609 0.3157 29.7
3 Miguel Vargas 0.3189 0.3627 29.2
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.3489 0.3105 28.6
5 Kyle Tucker 0.3709 0.3301 27.0
6 Chase DeLauter 0.3125 0.3631 27.0
7 Bryce Eldridge 0.3013 0.3638 27.0
8 Trea Turner 0.3332 0.2971 26.9
9 Nick Kurtz 0.3342 0.3963 25.9
10 Andrew Vaughn 0.3091 0.3897 25.9

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3799 0.3317 30.4
2 Gunnar Henderson 0.3512 0.3105 29.8
3 Bryce Eldridge 0.2992 0.3638 28.2
4 Ketel Marte 0.3587 0.3157 27.9
5 Chase DeLauter 0.3137 0.3631 26.7
6 Bryan Reynolds 0.3259 0.3653 26.4
7 Miguel Vargas 0.3240 0.3627 26.1
8 Junior Caminero 0.3218 0.3604 25.9
9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.2989 0.1942 25.8
10 Brice Turang 0.3265 0.3659 25.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Reynolds 0.3261 0.3653 29.9
2 Eduardo Valencia 0.1667 0.3796 29.9
3 Junior Caminero 0.3233 0.3604 28.5
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.3547 0.3105 28.5
5 Bryce Eldridge 0.3038 0.3638 28.5
6 Nicky Lopez 0.4286 0.3217 27.9
7 Andrew Vaughn 0.3113 0.3897 27.1
8 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3791 0.3317 26.7
9 Brice Turang 0.3302 0.3659 26.7
10 Ketel Marte 0.3601 0.3157 25.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Miguel Vargas 0.3035 0.3627 42.4
2 Junior Caminero 0.3091 0.3604 36.7
3 Jac Caglianone 0.2752 0.3400 36.3
4 Sam Antonacci 0.3184 0.3700 29.3
5 Ben Rice 0.3203 0.3628 29.0
6 Otto Lopez 0.3094 0.3493 28.1
7 Andrew Vaughn 0.3060 0.3897 28.0
8 James Wood 0.3445 0.3884 27.9
9 Steven Kwan 0.3395 0.3819 27.7
10 Ketel Marte 0.3604 0.3157 27.3

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Eldridge 0.2856 0.3638 35.3
2 Gunnar Henderson 0.3615 0.3105 35.3
3 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3854 0.3317 32.3
4 Bryan Reynolds 0.3241 0.3653 29.3
5 Willson Contreras 0.3319 0.3858 29.2
6 Austin Riley 0.3364 0.2905 28.5
7 James Wood 0.3434 0.3884 28.5
8 Brice Turang 0.3271 0.3659 26.9
9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.3005 0.1942 25.6
10 Henry Bolte 0.3063 0.3588 25.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Reynolds 0.3207 0.3653 30.6
2 Bryce Eldridge 0.2961 0.3638 30.0
3 Junior Caminero 0.3178 0.3604 29.3
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3790 0.3317 29.3
5 Gunnar Henderson 0.3515 0.3105 29.3
6 Mike Trout 0.3359 0.3823 28.9
7 Ketel Marte 0.3598 0.3157 28.0
8 Andrew Vaughn 0.3051 0.3897 27.7
9 Willson Contreras 0.3333 0.3858 27.7
10 Miguel Vargas 0.3228 0.3627 27.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Gunnar Henderson 0.3569 0.3105 30.9
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3831 0.3317 29.9
3 Bryan Reynolds 0.3251 0.3653 29.8
4 Bryce Eldridge 0.3008 0.3638 29.3
5 Ketel Marte 0.3646 0.3157 29.1
6 Mike Trout 0.3410 0.3823 27.7
7 Henry Bolte 0.3029 0.3588 27.5
8 Andrew Vaughn 0.3093 0.3897 27.4
9 Junior Caminero 0.3241 0.3604 27.1
10 Willson Contreras 0.3385 0.3858 26.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chase DeLauter 0.2989 0.3631 32.7
2 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3760 0.3317 30.5
3 Ketel Marte 0.3581 0.3157 30.0
4 Trea Turner 0.3335 0.2971 29.4
5 Kyle Tucker 0.3706 0.3301 29.0
6 Gunnar Henderson 0.3452 0.3105 28.4
7 Miguel Vargas 0.3169 0.3627 28.2
8 Garrett Mitchell 0.2970 0.3542 27.3
9 Brice Turang 0.3206 0.3659 26.9
10 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.2938 0.1942 25.5

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3812 0.3317 33.6
2 Chase DeLauter 0.2989 0.3631 32.8
3 Ketel Marte 0.3606 0.3157 31.5
4 Trea Turner 0.3332 0.2971 29.2
5 Steven Kwan 0.3329 0.3819 27.7
6 Garrett Mitchell 0.2969 0.3542 27.4
7 Gunnar Henderson 0.3437 0.3105 27.2
8 Kyle Tucker 0.3669 0.3301 26.6
9 Riley Greene 0.3211 0.3699 25.6
10 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.2936 0.1942 25.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Reynolds 0.3264 0.3653 29.6
2 Junior Caminero 0.3217 0.3604 29.5
3 Bryce Eldridge 0.3020 0.3638 29.2
4 Brice Turang 0.3295 0.3659 27.1
5 Miguel Vargas 0.3285 0.3627 26.5
6 Andrew Vaughn 0.3133 0.3897 26.4
7 Matt McLain 0.3304 0.2738 26.4
8 Chase DeLauter 0.3200 0.3631 26.0
9 Gunnar Henderson 0.3509 0.3105 25.9
10 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3763 0.3317 25.1

Most Unique Misses for On-Base Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jacob Gonzalez 0.3184 0.2753 0.2743 10.5 0.6 9.9
2 Tommy White 0.3184 0.2849 0.2718 9.6 2.9 6.6
3 José Caballero 0.3232 0.3098 0.2898 16.3 9.9 6.4
4 Nick Kurtz 0.3342 0.3479 0.3963 25.9 20.2 5.7
5 Jase Bowen 0.3184 0.2685 0.1881 13.7 8.5 5.2
6 Weston Wilson 0.3184 0.2920 0.2842 6.7 1.7 5.0
7 Wade Meckler 0.3003 0.3152 0.3731 23.7 18.9 4.8
8 Rodolfo Durán 0.3184 0.2668 0.2222 9.0 4.2 4.8
9 Osleivis Basabe 0.3184 0.2865 0.2676 7.6 3.0 4.7
10 Héctor Rodríguez 0.3184 0.2887 0.2697 7.8 3.1 4.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nicky Lopez 0.4286 0.3170 0.3217 27.9 0.8 27.1
2 Eduardo Valencia 0.1667 0.2966 0.3796 29.9 11.2 18.7
3 Brandon Valenzuela 0.2308 0.2728 0.3111 22.7 9.9 12.8
4 Drew Romo 0.3184 0.2638 0.2402 15.4 5.2 10.2
5 Jose Siri 0.2353 0.2680 0.2955 16.0 6.5 9.5
6 Mickey Gasper 0.2857 0.3214 0.3571 16.9 7.7 9.2
7 Jared Young 0.2857 0.3061 0.3304 16.5 7.7 8.8
8 Sterlin Thompson 0.4286 0.3117 0.3117 8.7 0.1 8.6
9 Jacob Gonzalez 0.3184 0.2753 0.2743 9.2 0.6 8.6
10 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2857 0.3040 0.3223 14.6 6.0 8.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.2752 0.3122 0.3400 36.3 14.4 21.9
2 Miguel Vargas 0.3035 0.3240 0.3627 42.4 26.1 16.3
3 Sal Stewart 0.3093 0.3293 0.3300 15.1 0.7 14.4
4 Chase Meidroth 0.3239 0.3434 0.3501 17.4 3.2 14.3
5 Yordan Alvarez 0.3757 0.3896 0.4321 39.7 28.2 11.5
6 Sam Antonacci 0.3184 0.3363 0.3700 29.3 17.8 11.5
7 Jeremiah Jackson 0.3209 0.2796 0.2466 21.5 10.2 11.3
8 Junior Caminero 0.3091 0.3218 0.3604 36.7 25.9 10.8
9 Joe Mack 0.3184 0.2837 0.2822 11.6 1.1 10.6
10 Jake McCarthy 0.3118 0.3268 0.3339 13.7 3.2 10.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chandler Simpson 0.3103 0.3229 0.3333 14.5 5.3 9.2
2 Jo Adell 0.3139 0.2989 0.2985 9.7 1.4 8.3
3 Colson Montgomery 0.3109 0.2965 0.2821 17.9 10.3 7.7
4 Bryce Eldridge 0.2856 0.2992 0.3638 35.3 28.2 7.2
5 Jonathan Aranda 0.3333 0.3416 0.3578 16.8 9.7 7.2
6 Yandy Díaz 0.3493 0.3571 0.3586 6.8 0.2 6.7
7 Nolan Arenado 0.2982 0.3069 0.3311 20.1 13.4 6.6
8 Javier Sanoja 0.2969 0.3064 0.3333 18.2 12.3 5.9
9 Sal Stewart 0.3215 0.3293 0.3300 6.4 0.7 5.7
10 Austin Riley 0.3364 0.3250 0.2905 28.5 22.8 5.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jacob Gonzalez 0.3184 0.2753 0.2743 10.2 0.6 9.6
2 Munetaka Murakami 0.3201 0.3344 0.3472 14.5 6.1 8.4
3 Petey Halpin 0.3184 0.2747 0.2684 9.9 1.6 8.3
4 Mike Trout 0.3359 0.3465 0.3823 28.9 21.6 7.3
5 Tommy White 0.3184 0.2849 0.2718 9.2 2.9 6.3
6 Jase Bowen 0.3184 0.2685 0.1881 13.5 8.5 5.0
7 Zach Neto 0.3156 0.3212 0.3295 9.3 4.6 4.6
8 Rodolfo Durán 0.3184 0.2668 0.2222 8.8 4.2 4.6
9 Jorge Barrosa 0.3184 0.2912 0.2848 6.0 1.4 4.6
10 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2926 0.3040 0.3223 10.5 6.0 4.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Mike Trout 0.3410 0.3465 0.3823 27.7 21.6 6.1
2 Henry Bolte 0.3029 0.3098 0.3588 27.5 22.4 5.2
3 Cole Young 0.3295 0.3184 0.3124 9.4 4.9 4.5
4 Ernie Clement 0.3110 0.3000 0.2850 14.7 10.4 4.3
5 Andy Pages 0.3075 0.3105 0.3432 21.8 17.8 4.0
6 José Fermín 0.3450 0.3301 0.3087 12.6 8.5 4.0
7 Zach Neto 0.3197 0.3212 0.3295 8.6 4.6 3.9
8 Willi Castro 0.3258 0.3295 0.3312 3.7 0.0 3.7
9 Hao-Yu Lee 0.2980 0.3040 0.3223 9.7 6.0 3.7
10 Nathan Church 0.3149 0.3031 0.2900 10.6 7.0 3.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jacob Gonzalez 0.3184 0.2753 0.2743 11.3 0.6 10.7
2 JJ Wetherholt 0.3101 0.3288 0.3393 14.5 5.4 9.1
3 Nick Loftin 0.2934 0.3157 0.3223 9.9 2.1 7.8
4 Jac Caglianone 0.2950 0.3122 0.3400 21.7 14.4 7.3
5 Tommy White 0.3184 0.2849 0.2718 10.2 2.9 7.3
6 Ildemaro Vargas 0.2732 0.2908 0.2975 9.1 2.4 6.6
7 Chase DeLauter 0.2989 0.3137 0.3631 32.7 26.7 6.0
8 Luis Arraez 0.3493 0.3425 0.3451 6.5 0.6 5.9
9 Brayan Rocchio 0.2900 0.3036 0.3135 10.5 4.8 5.7
10 Drake Baldwin 0.3198 0.3330 0.3577 19.8 14.1 5.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jacob Gonzalez 0.3184 0.2753 0.2743 11.3 0.6 10.7
2 JJ Wetherholt 0.3102 0.3288 0.3393 14.5 5.4 9.1
3 Tommy White 0.3184 0.2849 0.2718 10.2 2.9 7.3
4 Chase Meidroth 0.3282 0.3434 0.3501 10.4 3.2 7.3
5 Caleb Durbin 0.3128 0.3277 0.3322 8.1 1.6 6.4
6 Nick Loftin 0.2973 0.3157 0.3223 8.2 2.1 6.2
7 Chase DeLauter 0.2989 0.3137 0.3631 32.8 26.7 6.1
8 Jac Caglianone 0.2983 0.3122 0.3400 19.9 14.4 5.6
9 Ezequiel Duran 0.2733 0.2864 0.3205 24.8 19.3 5.5
10 Geraldo Perdomo 0.3448 0.3563 0.3696 13.1 7.9 5.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yordan Alvarez 0.3827 0.3896 0.4321 36.6 28.2 8.4
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.3453 0.3509 0.3543 8.7 1.2 7.5
3 Jeff McNeil 0.3489 0.3312 0.3127 17.0 10.5 6.5
4 Jordan Walker 0.2962 0.3006 0.3268 22.7 16.4 6.3
5 Josh Bell 0.3452 0.3302 0.3190 14.4 8.1 6.2
6 Justin Crawford 0.3385 0.3209 0.3094 11.9 6.2 5.8
7 Bryce Harper 0.3618 0.3649 0.3795 14.6 8.9 5.7
8 Owen Caissie 0.3346 0.3128 0.2879 14.3 8.8 5.5
9 Bryan Torres 0.3650 0.3314 0.3085 10.0 4.6 5.4
10 Andruw Monasterio 0.3333 0.3131 0.2948 12.2 7.0 5.2

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Ty France 0.5023
0.3702
(67.5)
0.3742
(65.5)
0.3861
(62.2)
0.3665
(74.1)
0.3864
(60.7)
0.3737
(65.1)
0.3828
(64.9)
0.3549
(73.4)
0.3750
(63.6)
0.3764
(67.6)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3561
0.5008
(86.4)
0.5129
(93.8)
0.5153
(91.9)
0.4797
(67.7)
0.5307
(103.0)
0.5161
(96.4)
0.5307
(100.0)
0.4896
(81.7)
0.5200
(99.8)
0.5026
(83.5)
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.5703
0.4370
(98.9)
0.4431
(94.4)
0.4542
(90.2)
0.4383
(104.8)
0.4517
(90.1)
0.4293
(103.5)
0.4511
(94.1)
0.4405
(93.8)
0.4304
(101.6)
0.4615
(85.8)
Kyle Tucker 0.3852
0.4983
(69.1)
0.4960
(67.7)
0.4982
(65.7)
0.4900
(58.0)
0.4941
(64.8)
0.4892
(64.2)
0.4960
(63.0)
0.5022
(73.7)
0.4931
(67.6)
0.4990
(65.5)
Cal Raleigh 0.3681
0.4941
(65.3)
0.4931
(64.7)
0.4918
(61.2)
0.4991
(62.9)
0.4885
(60.9)
0.4770
(56.8)
0.4872
(57.7)
0.5225
(82.1)
0.4866
(62.8)
0.4953
(62.5)
Taylor Ward 0.3112
0.4420
(77.7)
0.4394
(76.1)
0.4410
(73.7)
0.4432
(72.6)
0.4391
(74.3)
0.4162
(62.7)
0.4374
(70.2)
0.4443
(81.1)
0.4483
(83.2)
0.4489
(77.9)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.4854 0.3679 62.4
2 Tristan Peters 0.3157 0.4371 61.0
3 Austin Riley 0.4623 0.3640 60.1
4 CJ Abrams 0.4116 0.4974 58.0
5 Jake McCarthy 0.3822 0.4753 57.2
6 Jake Bauers 0.3882 0.4843 57.2
7 Michael Busch 0.4766 0.3933 57.1
8 Jordan Walker 0.3838 0.4663 57.0
9 Luis García Jr. 0.4197 0.5213 56.7
10 Liam Hicks 0.3388 0.4342 54.5

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.4685 0.3640 64.1
2 José Ramírez 0.4812 0.3679 60.1
3 Liam Hicks 0.3376 0.4342 55.1
4 CJ Abrams 0.4167 0.4974 54.7
5 Randy Arozarena 0.4060 0.4843 54.4
6 Luis García Jr. 0.4242 0.5213 54.3
7 Jake Bauers 0.3936 0.4843 54.1
8 Jordan Walker 0.3894 0.4663 53.2
9 Josh Naylor 0.4347 0.3501 53.1
10 Gunnar Henderson 0.4826 0.4045 52.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.1667 0.4242 96.8
2 Jared Young 0.1667 0.4286 92.4
3 Mickey Gasper 0.1667 0.4660 69.2
4 Eduardo Valencia 0.1667 0.6357 65.9
5 Randy Arozarena 0.4010 0.4843 61.3
6 Austin Riley 0.4686 0.3640 60.8
7 José Ramírez 0.4867 0.3679 60.2
8 Brandon Valenzuela 0.1667 0.3766 59.1
9 Josh Naylor 0.4474 0.3501 57.9
10 Jordan Walker 0.3880 0.4663 57.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jac Caglianone 0.3458 0.4941 88.9
2 Miguel Vargas 0.3739 0.4745 79.5
3 Yordan Alvarez 0.5113 0.6014 71.0
4 Jordan Walker 0.3753 0.4663 69.0
5 Luis García Jr. 0.4148 0.5213 64.6
6 Jake McCarthy 0.3796 0.4753 64.4
7 Nasim Nuñez 0.3850 0.2436 63.6
8 Ben Rice 0.4535 0.5340 62.0
9 José Ramírez 0.4934 0.3679 61.6
10 Josh Naylor 0.4547 0.3501 60.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.4954 0.3640 79.3
2 Nolan Arenado 0.3697 0.4747 66.2
3 Gunnar Henderson 0.5036 0.4045 65.7
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5437 0.4409 61.5
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.6148 0.5124 59.9
6 Miguel Vargas 0.3980 0.4745 57.7
7 Liam Hicks 0.3362 0.4342 57.4
8 Randy Arozarena 0.4080 0.4843 54.8
9 CJ Abrams 0.4219 0.4974 53.0
10 Alex Bregman 0.3948 0.4638 52.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Bauers 0.3753 0.4843 63.9
2 José Ramírez 0.4867 0.3679 63.7
3 Randy Arozarena 0.3945 0.4843 61.2
4 Josh Naylor 0.4458 0.3501 61.1
5 Miguel Vargas 0.3989 0.4745 54.4
6 Liam Hicks 0.3406 0.4342 52.8
7 Gunnar Henderson 0.4813 0.4045 52.8
8 Jordan Walker 0.3889 0.4663 52.8
9 Rafael Devers 0.4435 0.5251 52.7
10 Luis García Jr. 0.4280 0.5213 51.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.4920 0.3679 61.9
2 Randy Arozarena 0.4032 0.4843 61.3
3 Jake Bauers 0.3906 0.4843 60.2
4 Josh Naylor 0.4500 0.3501 58.2
5 Miguel Vargas 0.4052 0.4745 56.1
6 Austin Riley 0.4624 0.3640 55.5
7 Julio Rodríguez 0.4909 0.4010 52.0
8 Gunnar Henderson 0.4888 0.4045 51.9
9 CJ Abrams 0.4299 0.4974 50.9
10 Luis García Jr. 0.4388 0.5213 50.4

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Ramírez 0.4992 0.3679 71.8
2 Jordan Walker 0.3604 0.4663 70.3
3 Jake Bauers 0.3708 0.4843 65.3
4 Austin Riley 0.4604 0.3640 61.1
5 Jac Caglianone 0.3841 0.4941 60.5
6 Jake McCarthy 0.3733 0.4753 60.5
7 Luis García Jr. 0.4126 0.5213 58.7
8 Josh Naylor 0.4394 0.3501 58.4
9 Liam Hicks 0.3298 0.4342 57.6
10 Julio Rodríguez 0.4862 0.4010 56.1

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Austin Riley 0.4758 0.3640 70.5
2 CJ Abrams 0.3942 0.4974 67.5
3 Jake Bauers 0.3781 0.4843 61.4
4 Liam Hicks 0.3262 0.4342 59.8
5 Jake McCarthy 0.3770 0.4753 58.6
6 José Ramírez 0.4756 0.3679 58.6
7 Luis García Jr. 0.4136 0.5213 58.5
8 Chase Meidroth 0.3267 0.4152 56.9
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.6041 0.5124 56.7
10 Matt Olson 0.4247 0.5024 54.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jordan Walker 0.3734 0.4663 68.2
2 Austin Riley 0.4785 0.3640 66.3
3 Luis García Jr. 0.4193 0.5213 60.5
4 Liam Hicks 0.3362 0.4342 59.5
5 Josh Naylor 0.4506 0.3501 59.2
6 Randy Arozarena 0.4057 0.4843 58.9
7 José Ramírez 0.4850 0.3679 58.6
8 Chase Meidroth 0.3369 0.4152 56.4
9 Miguel Vargas 0.4066 0.4745 54.4
10 CJ Abrams 0.4258 0.4974 52.9

Most Unique Misses for Slugging Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Wade Meckler 0.2895 0.3317 0.3867 33.7 19.5 14.2
2 Michael Busch 0.4766 0.4569 0.3933 57.1 43.1 14.0
3 Jorbit Vivas 0.2844 0.3220 0.3215 14.6 0.9 13.7
4 Jared Young 0.3438 0.3838 0.4286 30.0 16.3 13.7
5 Drew Cavanaugh 0.4007 0.3239 0.2917 17.6 4.9 12.8
6 Jose Fernandez 0.4007 0.3473 0.3431 12.1 0.3 11.9
7 Tristan Peters 0.3157 0.3390 0.4371 61.0 49.6 11.4
8 Luis Lara 0.4007 0.3067 0.3246 15.5 4.4 11.1
9 Jim Jarvis 0.4007 0.3115 0.2973 12.5 1.4 11.1
10 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.3747 0.4253 0.5128 30.0 19.2 10.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Hao-Yu Lee 0.1667 0.3729 0.4242 96.8 19.7 77.0
2 Jared Young 0.1667 0.3838 0.4286 92.4 16.3 76.1
3 Mickey Gasper 0.1667 0.3626 0.4660 69.2 23.9 45.3
4 Brandon Valenzuela 0.1667 0.3235 0.3766 59.1 15.1 44.0
5 Eduardo Valencia 0.1667 0.3951 0.6357 65.9 33.6 32.3
6 Anthony Seigler 0.1667 0.3437 0.4000 41.8 10.2 31.6
7 Samad Taylor 0.1667 0.3360 0.4079 43.7 13.1 30.6
8 Sam Antonacci 0.3056 0.3463 0.3958 54.9 29.2 25.7
9 Denzer Guzman 0.2632 0.3419 0.3357 24.6 1.0 23.5
10 Christian Encarnacion-Strand 0.3333 0.4253 0.5128 40.0 19.2 20.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.3458 0.4289 0.4941 88.9 37.7 51.2
2 Jakob Marsee 0.4379 0.3682 0.3585 41.3 4.2 37.1
3 Yordan Alvarez 0.5113 0.5513 0.6014 71.0 36.7 34.3
4 Colson Montgomery 0.4684 0.4066 0.4032 33.7 0.4 33.3
5 Kazuma Okamoto 0.4007 0.4420 0.4525 40.8 8.5 32.3
6 Nasim Nuñez 0.3850 0.3103 0.2436 63.6 31.5 32.1
7 Miguel Vargas 0.3739 0.4073 0.4745 79.5 49.3 30.3
8 Munetaka Murakami 0.4007 0.4403 0.4780 49.6 22.4 27.1
9 Junior Caminero 0.4894 0.5088 0.5244 33.3 12.9 20.3
10 Kevin McGonigle 0.4007 0.4177 0.4298 29.3 10.6 18.7

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Alex Bregman 0.3948 0.4207 0.4638 52.3 32.3 20.0
2 Nolan Arenado 0.3697 0.3966 0.4747 66.2 48.5 17.7
3 Sal Stewart 0.4247 0.4471 0.4575 26.8 9.2 17.6
4 Isaac Paredes 0.4078 0.4293 0.4466 29.2 13.3 16.0
5 Austin Riley 0.4954 0.4685 0.3640 79.3 64.1 15.3
6 Jonathan Aranda 0.4079 0.4272 0.4345 21.5 6.8 14.7
7 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5437 0.5183 0.4409 61.5 47.1 14.4
8 Gunnar Henderson 0.5036 0.4826 0.4045 65.7 52.8 12.9
9 Yandy Díaz 0.4283 0.4442 0.4463 16.1 3.4 12.7
10 Jo Adell 0.4854 0.4641 0.4013 51.9 39.5 12.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kevin McGonigle 0.3867 0.4177 0.4298 31.6 10.6 21.0
2 Pete Alonso 0.4684 0.4926 0.5216 38.4 22.3 16.1
3 Riley Greene 0.4369 0.4651 0.4736 22.7 6.7 16.0
4 Kyle Stowers 0.4145 0.4436 0.4586 23.4 9.2 14.3
5 Munetaka Murakami 0.4141 0.4403 0.4780 36.2 22.4 13.8
6 Petey Halpin 0.4007 0.3345 0.3258 14.3 1.1 13.1
7 Drew Cavanaugh 0.4007 0.3239 0.2917 17.8 4.9 13.0
8 Seiya Suzuki 0.4388 0.4593 0.4734 23.0 10.8 12.2
9 Jose Fernandez 0.4007 0.3473 0.3431 12.4 0.3 12.1
10 Willy Adames 0.3947 0.4193 0.4237 15.5 3.6 11.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Carson Benge 0.3705 0.3811 0.4303 45.8 34.0 11.8
2 Henry Bolte 0.3578 0.3729 0.4048 27.1 16.4 10.7
3 Nolan Schanuel 0.4200 0.3888 0.3852 10.9 0.3 10.5
4 Caleb Durbin 0.4068 0.3824 0.3780 10.8 0.9 9.9
5 Sam Antonacci 0.3369 0.3463 0.3958 38.6 29.2 9.5
6 Francisco Alvarez 0.4581 0.4295 0.3995 20.2 11.4 8.8
7 Tyler Stephenson 0.3903 0.4011 0.4039 11.2 2.6 8.6
8 Spencer Torkelson 0.4251 0.4309 0.4354 12.6 4.5 8.2
9 Hao-Yu Lee 0.3580 0.3729 0.4242 27.9 19.7 8.2
10 Seiya Suzuki 0.4542 0.4593 0.4734 18.7 10.8 8.0

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jac Caglianone 0.3841 0.4289 0.4941 60.5 37.7 22.9
2 Cal Raleigh 0.5225 0.4931 0.3681 82.1 64.7 17.4
3 Mike Trout 0.4781 0.4541 0.4211 36.6 19.2 17.4
4 Jordan Walker 0.3604 0.3894 0.4663 70.3 53.2 17.1
5 Drake Baldwin 0.4065 0.4349 0.4590 31.9 16.6 15.4
6 Drew Cavanaugh 0.4007 0.3239 0.2917 18.2 4.9 13.3
7 Ildemaro Vargas 0.3118 0.3423 0.3775 31.7 18.5 13.2
8 Dominic Canzone 0.3848 0.4121 0.4843 52.7 40.0 12.7
9 Jose Fernandez 0.4007 0.3473 0.3431 12.9 0.3 12.6
10 Kody Clemens 0.3976 0.4224 0.4595 35.8 23.3 12.5

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Luis Arraez 0.3496 0.3881 0.4195 45.8 22.4 23.4
2 Matt Olson 0.4247 0.4592 0.5024 54.2 32.1 22.1
3 Drake Baldwin 0.4035 0.4349 0.4590 34.1 16.6 17.6
4 Cedric Mullins 0.4155 0.3849 0.3440 35.9 19.1 16.8
5 Jac Caglianone 0.3970 0.4289 0.4941 53.7 37.7 16.0
6 George Springer 0.4754 0.4491 0.4048 36.5 21.4 15.1
7 Isaac Paredes 0.4049 0.4293 0.4466 27.5 13.3 14.2
8 Brooks Lee 0.3569 0.3820 0.4283 45.1 31.0 14.0
9 Elly De La Cruz 0.4329 0.4577 0.5152 52.3 38.4 13.9
10 Garrett Mitchell 0.3475 0.3756 0.4165 36.7 23.2 13.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kazuma Okamoto 0.4007 0.4420 0.4525 38.9 8.5 30.4
2 Jordan Walker 0.3734 0.3894 0.4663 68.2 53.2 15.0
3 Kyle Schwarber 0.4820 0.4953 0.5026 21.0 7.1 13.9
4 Brandon Lowe 0.4221 0.4355 0.4932 52.7 39.7 13.1
5 Yordan Alvarez 0.5396 0.5513 0.6014 49.3 36.7 12.6
6 Wyatt Langford 0.4867 0.4549 0.4209 26.6 14.7 11.9
7 Jeff McNeil 0.4282 0.3999 0.3682 26.4 15.0 11.4
8 Chandler Simpson 0.3327 0.3434 0.3555 19.7 9.2 10.5
9 Chase Meidroth 0.3369 0.3467 0.4152 56.4 45.9 10.5
10 Alex Bregman 0.4130 0.4207 0.4638 42.3 32.3 10.0

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Justin Verlander 39
559
(520.0)
585
(546.4)
603
(564.0)
597
(558.0)
602
(563.0)
625
(585.7)
615
(575.7)
563
(524.0)
564
(525.4)
570
(531.0)
Nick Pivetta 140
682
(542.0)
688
(548.1)
713
(573.0)
647
(507.0)
714
(574.0)
685
(544.8)
727
(587.3)
692
(552.3)
685
(544.6)
632
(492.0)
Zach Eflin 17
609
(592.0)
607
(590.3)
644
(627.0)
464
(447.0)
655
(638.0)
601
(583.8)
657
(640.2)
612
(595.4)
617
(599.8)
500
(483.0)
Peter Lambert 664
60
(603.6)
40
(624.4)
100
(564.0)
167
(497.0)
12
(651.8)
100
(564.0)
4
(659.7)
60
(603.5)
61
(603.4)
100
(564.0)
Shane Smith 49
666
(616.6)
669
(620.4)
670
(621.0)
573
(524.0)
675
(626.0)
687
(638.1)
724
(675.0)
672
(623.2)
671
(621.7)
591
(542.0)
Cade Horton 26
535
(509.1)
546
(519.7)
534
(508.0)
497
(471.0)
535
(509.0)
591
(564.9)
575
(549.0)
535
(508.6)
538
(512.1)
511
(485.0)
Garrett Crochet 138
733
(595.0)
734
(596.3)
790
(652.0)
719
(581.0)
796
(658.0)
651
(513.1)
774
(635.9)
735
(597.3)
739
(600.6)
712
(574.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Young 85 669 584.3
2 Cody Ponce 575 10 565.1
3 Walbert Ureña 119 625 505.6
4 Cole Ragans 638 151 487.3
5 Spencer Strider 651 165 486.2
6 Luis Severino 716 271 444.7
7 Martín Pérez 152 596 444.0
8 Mick Abel 535 93 441.9
9 Jack Perkins 130 541 410.9
10 Yusei Kikuchi 715 305 410.3

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Ponce 580 10 570.1
2 Brandon Young 150 669 519.1
3 Cole Ragans 627 151 475.9
4 Spencer Strider 617 165 452.5
5 Mick Abel 543 93 450.2
6 Luis Severino 710 271 439.1
7 Jonathan Cannon 445 18 427.4
8 Martín Pérez 177 596 419.2
9 Brandon Woodruff 589 174 414.5
10 Luis Morales 501 90 410.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Ponce 648 10 638.0
2 Brandon Young 108 669 561.0
3 Martín Pérez 39 596 557.0
4 Cole Ragans 683 151 532.0
5 Mick Abel 578 93 485.0
6 Payton Tolle 138 603 465.0
7 Jonathan Cannon 483 18 465.0
8 Luis Severino 735 271 464.0
9 Spencer Strider 624 165 459.0
10 Brandon Woodruff 623 174 449.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Foster Griffin 100 721 621.0
2 Anthony Kay 106 710 604.0
3 Logan Allen 640 81 559.0
4 Walbert Ureña 100 625 525.0
5 Mitchell Parker 681 178 503.0
6 Jonathan Cannon 521 18 503.0
7 Bailey Falter 562 69 493.0
8 JP Sears 618 143 475.0
9 Andrew Painter 100 552 452.0
10 Clarke Schmidt 448 4 444.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Foster Griffin 100 721 621.0
2 Anthony Kay 100 710 610.0
3 Brandon Young 108 669 561.0
4 Martín Pérez 39 596 557.0
5 Cole Ragans 674 151 523.0
6 Mick Abel 575 93 482.0
7 Payton Tolle 137 603 466.0
8 Luis Severino 736 271 465.0
9 Jonathan Cannon 483 18 465.0
10 Spencer Strider 625 165 460.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Young 85 669 583.7
2 Cody Ponce 561 10 550.7
3 Brandon Woodruff 655 174 481.4
4 Luis Severino 728 271 457.3
5 Cole Ragans 608 151 456.8
6 Walbert Ureña 191 625 433.6
7 Jose Quintana 642 212 430.3
8 Shane Drohan 100 528 428.0
9 Jack Perkins 123 541 417.7
10 Mick Abel 497 93 403.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cody Ponce 653 10 642.7
2 Cole Ragans 711 151 560.1
3 Brandon Young 110 669 558.5
4 Martín Pérez 39 596 556.6
5 Brandon Woodruff 695 174 521.3
6 Mick Abel 605 93 512.3
7 Luis Severino 745 271 473.9
8 Spencer Strider 634 165 469.2
9 Jonathan Cannon 482 18 463.7
10 Jose Quintana 668 212 455.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Young 100 669 569.0
2 Cody Ponce 576 10 565.6
3 Walbert Ureña 100 625 525.0
4 Keider Montero 100 625 525.0
5 Spencer Strider 656 165 491.3
6 Cole Ragans 641 151 490.0
7 Colin Rea 100 587 487.0
8 Justin Wrobleski 100 578 478.0
9 Emerson Hancock 100 566 466.0
10 Luis Severino 724 271 452.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Young 100 669 569.0
2 Cody Ponce 575 10 564.7
3 Walbert Ureña 100 625 525.0
4 Keider Montero 100 625 525.0
5 Spencer Strider 666 165 500.6
6 Colin Rea 100 587 487.0
7 Cole Ragans 636 151 485.1
8 Justin Wrobleski 100 578 478.0
9 Emerson Hancock 100 566 466.0
10 Luis Severino 726 271 455.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Corbin Burnes 634 47 587.0
2 Jonathan Cannon 569 18 551.0
3 Cody Ponce 542 10 532.0
4 Logan Allen 610 81 529.0
5 Austin Peterson 541 27 514.0
6 Hurston Waldrep 570 56 514.0
7 Robby Snelling 531 22 509.0
8 Kade Morris 597 89 508.0
9 Duncan Davitt 543 37 506.0
10 Cameron Weston 504 3 501.0

Most Unique Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Walbert Ureña 119 244 625 505.6 380.6 125.0
2 Gabriel Hughes 94 204 283 188.8 79.5 109.3
3 Connelly Early 194 300 400 205.5 100.1 105.4
4 JR Ritchie 98 198 326 227.6 127.6 100.0
5 Yacksel Ríos 100 5 5 95.0 0.5 94.5
6 Nolan Kingham 100 4 6 94.0 1.6 92.4
7 Tyler Schweitzer 55 146 154 98.6 7.9 90.7
8 Trey Gibson 32 122 185 153.1 62.7 90.4
9 Keider Montero 217 307 625 408.5 318.4 90.0
10 Josh Hendrickson 100 4 9 91.0 4.5 86.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Martín Pérez 39 177 596 557.0 419.2 137.8
2 Mason Barnett 116 226 229 113.0 3.3 109.7
3 Mitch Farris 39 140 258 219.0 118.0 101.0
4 Cal Quantrill 36 137 443 407.0 306.2 100.8
5 Yacksel Ríos 100 5 5 95.0 0.5 94.5
6 Tyler Schweitzer 52 146 154 102.0 7.9 94.1
7 Nolan Kingham 100 4 6 94.0 1.6 92.4
8 Lance McCullers Jr. 491 404 195 296.0 209.1 86.9
9 Josh Hendrickson 100 4 9 91.0 4.5 86.5
10 Nathan Eovaldi 715 629 613 102.0 15.7 86.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Anthony Kay 106 547 710 604.0 162.7 441.3
2 Foster Griffin 100 525 721 621.0 196.4 424.6
3 Mitchell Parker 681 287 178 503.0 108.8 394.2
4 Andrew Painter 100 480 552 452.0 71.8 380.2
5 JP Sears 618 250 143 475.0 107.4 367.6
6 Bubba Chandler 261 621 674 413.0 53.4 359.6
7 Cade Povich 537 188 160 377.0 28.2 348.8
8 Tanner Houck 426 112 13 413.0 99.2 313.8
9 Trevor Williams 460 148 120 340.0 27.5 312.5
10 Clarke Schmidt 448 145 4 444.0 141.0 303.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Anthony Kay 100 547 710 610.0 162.7 447.3
2 Foster Griffin 100 525 721 621.0 196.4 424.6
3 Jackson Kent 21 166 170 148.8 3.8 145.0
4 Martín Pérez 39 177 596 557.0 419.2 137.8
5 Will Dion 16 147 201 185.1 53.9 131.1
6 Ethan Pecko 16 138 140 124.0 1.6 122.5
7 Mike Paredes 10 130 154 143.6 23.8 119.9
8 Mason Barnett 116 226 229 113.0 3.3 109.7
9 Mitch Farris 38 140 258 220.0 118.0 102.0
10 Cal Quantrill 36 137 443 407.0 306.2 100.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Andrew Alvarez 197 356 473 275.9 117.5 158.4
2 Travis Adams 100 248 247 147.0 1.5 145.5
3 Lake Bachar 100 230 358 258.0 128.4 129.6
4 Janson Junk 267 387 523 256.4 135.7 120.7
5 JR Ritchie 78 198 326 247.5 127.6 119.9
6 Justin Bruihl 100 218 346 246.0 127.8 118.2
7 Casey Legumina 100 215 305 205.0 90.2 114.8
8 Noah Schultz 48 156 324 276.0 167.6 108.4
9 Shane Drohan 100 207 528 428.0 320.9 107.1
10 Gabriel Hughes 100 204 283 183.0 79.5 103.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jackson Kent 4 166 170 165.7 3.8 161.8
2 Will Dion 4 147 201 196.7 53.9 142.8
3 Martín Pérez 39 177 596 556.6 419.2 137.3
4 Ethan Pecko 4 138 140 135.7 1.6 134.1
5 Mike Paredes 4 130 154 149.6 23.8 125.9
6 Lance McCullers Jr. 524 404 195 329.0 209.1 119.9
7 Emmet Sheehan 660 550 472 188.5 78.0 110.5
8 Mason Barnett 117 226 229 112.2 3.3 108.8
9 Anthony Molina 4 112 136 131.7 23.5 108.1
10 Robert Stock 4 112 147 142.8 34.8 108.0

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Carmen Mlodzinski 100 425 537 437.0 112.2 324.8
2 Colin Rea 100 395 587 487.0 191.6 295.4
3 Emerson Hancock 100 355 566 466.0 211.5 254.5
4 Luis Medina 100 310 317 217.0 6.6 210.4
5 Keider Montero 100 307 625 525.0 318.4 206.6
6 Justin Wrobleski 100 297 578 478.0 280.8 197.2
7 Javier Assad 100 293 378 278.0 84.6 193.4
8 Yoendrys Gómez 100 284 297 197.0 12.9 184.1
9 Brad Lord 100 432 357 257.0 75.0 182.0
10 Ryan Johnson 100 271 437 337.0 165.6 171.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Carmen Mlodzinski 100 425 537 437.0 112.2 324.8
2 Colin Rea 100 395 587 487.0 191.6 295.4
3 Emerson Hancock 100 355 566 466.0 211.5 254.5
4 Luis Medina 100 310 317 217.0 6.6 210.4
5 Keider Montero 100 307 625 525.0 318.4 206.6
6 Justin Wrobleski 100 297 578 478.0 280.8 197.2
7 Javier Assad 100 293 378 278.0 84.6 193.4
8 Yoendrys Gómez 100 284 297 197.0 12.9 184.1
9 Brad Lord 100 432 357 257.0 75.0 182.0
10 Ryan Johnson 100 271 437 337.0 165.6 171.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Corbin Burnes 634 222 47 587.0 175.1 411.9
2 Elmer Rodríguez 551 145 125 426.0 19.6 406.4
3 Kade Morris 597 208 89 508.0 119.0 389.0
4 Sam Aldegheri 553 183 151 402.0 32.4 369.6
5 Carlos Carrasco 502 137 73 429.0 64.1 364.9
6 Blas Castaño 474 113 111 363.0 1.8 361.2
7 Jhonathan Díaz 496 136 6 490.0 129.9 360.1
8 JP Sears 610 250 143 467.0 107.4 359.6
9 Colton Gordon 524 171 70 454.0 101.3 352.7
10 Cade Povich 539 188 160 379.0 28.2 350.8

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jacob Misiorowski 0.2155
0.1478
(74.1)
0.2922
(62.9)
0.1453
(72.6)
0.3105
(65.5)
0.1487
(77.8)
0.1517
(67.3)
0.1495
(80.9)
0.1516
(63.0)
0.1470
(60.0)
0.1423
(75.1)

Individual Misses for wOBA

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Richards 0.3156 0.2981 67.8
2 Zac Thornton 0.3156 0.3111 61.9
3 Cam Schlittler 0.1311 0.2414 52.4
4 Michael Lorenzen 0.1446 0.4051 50.3
5 Kyle Freeland 0.1251 0.3861 50.2
6 Jacob Waguespack 0.3156 0.2421 46.2
7 Brady Singer 0.1309 0.3735 46.0
8 George Kirby 0.1014 0.3407 44.6
9 Tanner Gordon 0.1339 0.4041 43.1
10 José Fermin 0.3156 0.3166 42.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cam Schlittler 0.2930 0.2414 52.9
2 Walbert Ureña 0.3324 0.2810 43.3
3 Drew Rasmussen 0.2828 0.2426 38.9
4 George Kirby 0.2735 0.3407 36.5
5 Brady Singer 0.3074 0.3735 34.9
6 Reid Detmers 0.2959 0.2681 33.8
7 Michael Lorenzen 0.3328 0.4051 33.7
8 Parker Messick 0.3001 0.2742 32.7
9 Keider Montero 0.3072 0.2747 31.5
10 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2677 0.2430 30.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Peter Lambert 0.3156 0.2995 129.9
2 Trevor Richards 0.3156 0.2981 68.0
3 Zac Thornton 0.3156 0.3111 62.0
4 Kyle Freeland 0.1209 0.3861 52.5
5 Cam Schlittler 0.1294 0.2414 51.4
6 Michael Lorenzen 0.1442 0.4051 50.4
7 Brady Singer 0.1294 0.3735 46.8
8 Tanner Gordon 0.1262 0.4041 46.6
9 Jacob Waguespack 0.3156 0.2421 46.3
10 George Kirby 0.0999 0.3407 45.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cam Schlittler 0.3068 0.2414 52.4
2 Michael Lorenzen 0.3240 0.4051 48.0
3 Reid Detmers 0.3238 0.2681 43.8
4 Keider Montero 0.3314 0.2747 37.6
5 Dylan Cease 0.3043 0.2530 37.5
6 Brady Singer 0.3198 0.3735 36.4
7 Cal Quantrill 0.3501 0.2747 35.0
8 Parker Messick 0.3175 0.2742 34.9
9 Seth Lugo 0.3091 0.3589 34.7
10 Jeffrey Springs 0.3124 0.3689 33.4

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Foster Griffin 0.3156 0.3105 136.2
2 Anthony Kay 0.3156 0.3365 115.6
3 Cam Schlittler 0.1369 0.2414 60.3
4 Michael Lorenzen 0.1416 0.4051 49.3
5 Dylan Cease 0.1340 0.2530 44.4
6 Kyle Freeland 0.1313 0.3861 43.6
7 Brady Singer 0.1300 0.3735 43.3
8 George Kirby 0.0992 0.3407 42.7
9 Tanner Gordon 0.1330 0.4041 41.3
10 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.1169 0.2430 40.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Peter Lambert 0.3156 0.2995 120.3
2 Jake Bennett 0.3156 0.2849 89.1
3 Spencer Miles 0.3156 0.2567 86.9
4 Shane Drohan 0.3156 0.3214 84.1
5 Lake Bachar 0.3156 0.2824 71.0
6 Trevor Richards 0.3156 0.2981 63.0
7 Michael Lorenzen 0.1412 0.4051 61.2
8 Justin Bruihl 0.3156 0.3075 59.9
9 Kyle Freeland 0.1233 0.3861 59.9
10 Zac Thornton 0.3156 0.3111 57.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Miles 0.3156 0.2567 95.7
2 Cam Schlittler 0.1323 0.2414 59.8
3 Michael Lorenzen 0.1422 0.4051 46.5
4 Kyle Freeland 0.1267 0.3861 43.9
5 Reid Detmers 0.1361 0.2681 41.2
6 Dylan Cease 0.1242 0.2530 40.4
7 Tanner Gordon 0.1312 0.4041 40.3
8 Julian Garcia 0.3156 0.2801 39.9
9 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.1110 0.2430 39.5
10 George Kirby 0.1012 0.3407 38.3

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Keider Montero 0.3156 0.2747 124.7
2 Walbert Ureña 0.3156 0.2810 120.7
3 Brandon Young 0.3156 0.3211 102.4
4 Justin Wrobleski 0.3156 0.2986 101.5
5 Emerson Hancock 0.3156 0.3026 97.1
6 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.3156 0.3100 88.2
7 Connor Prielipp 0.3156 0.3108 87.4
8 Colin Rea 0.3156 0.3259 87.1
9 Jake Bennett 0.3156 0.2849 86.1
10 Troy Melton 0.3156 0.2933 85.0

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Keider Montero 0.3156 0.2747 124.8
2 Walbert Ureña 0.3156 0.2810 120.8
3 Brandon Young 0.3156 0.3211 102.5
4 Justin Wrobleski 0.3156 0.2986 101.6
5 Emerson Hancock 0.3156 0.3026 97.2
6 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.3156 0.3100 88.3
7 Connor Prielipp 0.3156 0.3108 87.5
8 Colin Rea 0.3156 0.3259 87.2
9 Jake Bennett 0.3156 0.2849 86.2
10 Troy Melton 0.3156 0.2933 85.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Peter Lambert 0.3156 0.2995 134.3
2 Cam Schlittler 0.1269 0.2414 54.5
3 Kyle Freeland 0.1172 0.3861 50.7
4 Michael Lorenzen 0.1445 0.4051 46.1
5 Tanner Gordon 0.1239 0.4041 44.5
6 George Kirby 0.0969 0.3407 42.7
7 Brady Singer 0.1291 0.3735 42.2
8 Dylan Cease 0.1247 0.2530 39.6
9 Tyron Guerrero 0.3156 0.2638 39.5
10 Matthew Liberatore 0.1128 0.3554 38.1

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Zac Thornton 0.3156 0.3036 0.3111 61.9 3.5 58.4
2 Trevor Richards 0.3156 0.3127 0.2981 67.8 11.2 56.6
3 José Fermin 0.3156 0.3000 0.3166 42.4 0.3 42.1
4 Michael Rucker 0.3156 0.2897 0.3056 35.2 0.4 34.8
5 Will Dion 0.3156 0.3082 0.3114 36.9 3.0 33.9
6 Jacob Waguespack 0.3156 0.2965 0.2421 46.2 13.2 33.0
7 Julian Garcia 0.3156 0.3194 0.2801 38.4 10.2 28.2
8 Cam Booser 0.3156 0.2957 0.2218 41.5 14.0 27.5
9 Kyle Freeland 0.1251 0.3299 0.3861 50.2 23.5 26.7
10 Michael McGreevy 0.1002 0.2983 0.3195 28.2 2.3 25.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Peter Lambert 0.3156 0.3048 0.2995 129.9 15.4 114.5
2 Zac Thornton 0.3156 0.3036 0.3111 62.0 3.5 58.5
3 Trevor Richards 0.3156 0.3127 0.2981 68.0 11.2 56.7
4 Michael Rucker 0.3156 0.2897 0.3056 35.2 0.4 34.9
5 Will Dion 0.3156 0.3082 0.3114 36.9 3.0 34.0
6 Jacob Waguespack 0.3156 0.2965 0.2421 46.3 13.2 33.1
7 Jackson Jobe 0.3156 0.3090 0.3112 35.5 3.0 32.5
8 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.1251 0.3398 0.3550 33.1 1.8 31.3
9 Kyle Freeland 0.1209 0.3299 0.3861 52.5 23.5 29.0
10 Julian Garcia 0.3156 0.3194 0.2801 38.5 10.2 28.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Michael Lorenzen 0.3240 0.3328 0.4051 48.0 33.7 14.3
2 Chase Burns 0.3124 0.2766 0.2872 18.1 4.6 13.5
3 Rhett Lowder 0.3028 0.3104 0.3475 24.9 11.5 13.3
4 Payton Tolle 0.3280 0.2918 0.2854 27.8 14.6 13.2
5 Anthony Kay 0.3096 0.3130 0.3365 16.6 4.0 12.6
6 Seth Lugo 0.3091 0.3115 0.3589 34.7 22.1 12.6
7 Peter Lambert 0.3380 0.3048 0.2995 27.9 15.4 12.5
8 Brandon Young 0.3383 0.3065 0.3211 13.8 2.2 11.6
9 J.T. Ginn 0.3314 0.2985 0.3023 18.9 8.2 10.7
10 Jeffrey Springs 0.3124 0.3146 0.3689 33.4 22.9 10.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Foster Griffin 0.3156 0.2975 0.3105 136.2 3.6 132.6
2 Anthony Kay 0.3156 0.3130 0.3365 115.6 4.0 111.7
3 Enmanuel De Jesus 0.3156 0.3117 0.2968 36.1 5.8 30.2
4 Kade Anderson 0.3156 0.3156 0.3054 28.3 4.1 24.2
5 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.1347 0.3398 0.3550 24.0 1.8 22.1
6 Michael McGreevy 0.1021 0.2983 0.3195 23.6 2.3 21.3
7 Kyle Freeland 0.1313 0.3299 0.3861 43.6 23.5 20.1
8 Tanner Gordon 0.1330 0.3342 0.4041 41.3 24.6 16.7
9 Dylan Cease 0.1340 0.2770 0.2530 44.4 28.7 15.7
10 Michael Lorenzen 0.1416 0.3328 0.4051 49.3 33.7 15.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Peter Lambert 0.3156 0.3048 0.2995 120.3 15.4 104.9
2 Shane Drohan 0.3156 0.2923 0.3214 84.1 5.9 78.2
3 Jake Bennett 0.3156 0.3125 0.2849 89.1 20.7 68.3
4 Spencer Miles 0.3156 0.3034 0.2567 86.9 25.1 61.8
5 Justin Bruihl 0.3156 0.2915 0.3075 59.9 0.7 59.3
6 Lake Bachar 0.3156 0.3032 0.2824 71.0 13.9 57.1
7 Zac Thornton 0.3156 0.3036 0.3111 57.1 3.5 53.6
8 Trevor Richards 0.3156 0.3127 0.2981 63.0 11.2 51.8
9 Ryan Watson 0.3156 0.3017 0.3083 52.9 3.5 49.4
10 Mason Fluharty 0.3156 0.2855 0.2812 52.4 5.8 46.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Spencer Miles 0.3156 0.3034 0.2567 95.7 25.1 70.6
2 Julian Garcia 0.3156 0.3194 0.2801 39.9 10.2 29.7
3 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.1266 0.3398 0.3550 26.6 1.8 24.8
4 Kade Anderson 0.3156 0.3156 0.3054 28.9 4.1 24.8
5 Kyle Freeland 0.1267 0.3299 0.3861 43.9 23.5 20.4
6 Jacob Misiorowski 0.1495 0.2922 0.2155 80.9 62.9 18.0
7 Michael McGreevy 0.1028 0.2983 0.3195 20.4 2.3 18.0
8 Tanner Gordon 0.1312 0.3342 0.4041 40.3 24.6 15.7
9 Anthony Kay 0.1225 0.3130 0.3365 18.7 4.0 14.7
10 Miles Mikolas 0.1206 0.3194 0.3637 27.6 13.1 14.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brandon Young 0.3156 0.3065 0.3211 102.4 2.2 100.2
2 Keider Montero 0.3156 0.3072 0.2747 124.7 31.5 93.2
3 Justin Wrobleski 0.3156 0.3001 0.2986 101.5 11.2 90.3
4 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.3156 0.2939 0.3100 88.2 1.0 87.2
5 Colin Rea 0.3156 0.3060 0.3259 87.1 1.1 85.9
6 Emerson Hancock 0.3156 0.3057 0.3026 97.1 11.9 85.2
7 Connor Prielipp 0.3156 0.3016 0.3108 87.4 4.6 82.8
8 Christian Scott 0.3156 0.2901 0.3019 81.7 2.9 78.8
9 Walbert Ureña 0.3156 0.3324 0.2810 120.7 43.3 77.4
10 Troy Melton 0.3156 0.2918 0.2933 85.0 7.8 77.3

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brandon Young 0.3156 0.3065 0.3211 102.5 2.2 100.3
2 Keider Montero 0.3156 0.3072 0.2747 124.8 31.5 93.3
3 Justin Wrobleski 0.3156 0.3001 0.2986 101.6 11.2 90.4
4 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.3156 0.2939 0.3100 88.3 1.0 87.3
5 Colin Rea 0.3156 0.3060 0.3259 87.2 1.1 86.1
6 Emerson Hancock 0.3156 0.3057 0.3026 97.2 11.9 85.3
7 Connor Prielipp 0.3156 0.3016 0.3108 87.5 4.6 82.9
8 Christian Scott 0.3156 0.2901 0.3019 81.8 2.9 78.8
9 Walbert Ureña 0.3156 0.3324 0.2810 120.8 43.3 77.5
10 Troy Melton 0.3156 0.2918 0.2933 85.1 7.8 77.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Peter Lambert 0.3156 0.3048 0.2995 134.3 15.4 118.9
2 Michael Rucker 0.3156 0.2897 0.3056 36.5 0.4 36.1
3 Enmanuel De Jesus 0.3156 0.3117 0.2968 36.5 5.8 30.6
4 Kyle Freeland 0.1172 0.3299 0.3861 50.7 23.5 27.2
5 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.1263 0.3398 0.3550 27.9 1.8 26.1
6 Kade Anderson 0.3156 0.3156 0.3054 28.7 4.1 24.6
7 Tyron Guerrero 0.3156 0.3394 0.2638 39.5 15.5 24.0
8 Michael McGreevy 0.0995 0.2983 0.3195 23.8 2.3 21.4
9 Daniel Duarte 0.3156 0.3008 0.2229 31.2 10.7 20.5
10 Tanner Gordon 0.1239 0.3342 0.4041 44.5 24.6 19.9

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jacob Misiorowski 0.3789
0.2664
(74.8)
0.2706
(70.6)
0.2682
(73.3)
0.2628
(80.9)
0.2903
(59.0)
0.2504
(85.3)
0.2529
(81.8)
0.2655
(75.5)
0.2826
(64.3)
0.2860
(61.2)
Gavin Williams 0.3324
0.2394
(69.4)
0.2393
(67.9)
0.2410
(67.7)
0.2373
(75.1)
0.2413
(68.0)
0.2401
(68.7)
0.2381
(68.1)
0.2360
(71.9)
0.2355
(72.7)
0.2448
(64.7)
Zac Gallen 0.1356
0.2247
(42.1)
0.2161
(39.0)
0.2195
(39.9)
0.2314
(42.6)
0.2175
(38.7)
0.2186
(39.3)
0.2195
(41.0)
0.2091
(34.7)
0.2053
(32.7)
0.2181
(39.4)
Cam Schlittler 0.3141
0.2356
(59.7)
0.2348
(58.7)
0.2315
(62.3)
0.2476
(54.8)
0.2483
(50.1)
0.2245
(68.0)
0.2241
(66.2)
0.2314
(62.8)
0.2381
(58.1)
0.2418
(54.3)
Freddy Peralta 0.2137
0.2687
(40.2)
0.2634
(37.9)
0.2616
(35.4)
0.2715
(38.2)
0.2607
(34.3)
0.2606
(34.4)
0.2607
(36.5)
0.2669
(38.9)
0.2643
(36.6)
0.2620
(35.9)
Cade Cavalli 0.2833
0.1949
(62.3)
0.1946
(61.1)
0.1993
(58.8)
0.2092
(56.2)
0.1977
(60.4)
0.1965
(61.1)
0.1965
(59.1)
0.1884
(67.0)
0.1852
(69.6)
0.2027
(56.2)
Merrill Kelly 0.1605
0.2159
(39.0)
0.2097
(36.1)
0.2098
(35.1)
0.2276
(43.4)
0.2072
(32.8)
0.2136
(37.5)
0.2144
(40.1)
0.2029
(29.9)
0.2078
(33.0)
0.2059
(32.6)
Dylan Cease 0.3489
0.2843
(44.2)
0.2832
(43.6)
0.2796
(47.0)
0.2774
(52.8)
0.2760
(49.9)
0.2850
(43.6)
0.2797
(45.3)
0.2897
(40.5)
0.2884
(41.8)
0.2791
(47.2)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mason Montgomery 0.2499 0.3777 35.5
2 Nick Lodolo 0.2421 0.1708 34.7
3 Taj Bradley 0.2280 0.2741 34.4
4 Framber Valdez 0.2232 0.1781 34.2
5 Eric Lauer 0.2273 0.1545 33.9
6 Grant Holmes 0.2319 0.1791 33.9
7 Parker Messick 0.2143 0.2584 32.9
8 Kyle Bradish 0.2610 0.2123 32.6
9 Andrew Alvarez 0.1724 0.2410 32.4
10 Brady Singer 0.2184 0.1738 32.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Taj Bradley 0.2216 0.2741 37.6
2 Grant Holmes 0.2341 0.1791 36.7
3 Nick Lodolo 0.2427 0.1708 36.0
4 Walbert Ureña 0.1698 0.2272 34.5
5 Framber Valdez 0.2212 0.1781 34.3
6 Eric Lauer 0.2249 0.1545 33.8
7 Mason Montgomery 0.2566 0.3777 33.1
8 Andrew Alvarez 0.1701 0.2410 32.5
9 Brady Singer 0.2146 0.1738 31.1
10 Robbie Ray 0.2416 0.1994 31.1

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mason Montgomery 0.2451 0.3777 36.7
2 Taj Bradley 0.2257 0.2741 35.7
3 Walbert Ureña 0.1702 0.2272 35.2
4 Nick Lodolo 0.2414 0.1708 34.6
5 Braxton Ashcraft 0.2077 0.2594 34.0
6 Brady Singer 0.2196 0.1738 33.7
7 Andrew Alvarez 0.1696 0.2410 33.5
8 Parker Messick 0.2134 0.2584 33.1
9 Sean Burke 0.2130 0.2584 32.0
10 Ian Seymour 0.2280 0.2868 32.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mason Miller 0.3255 0.4743 42.0
2 Framber Valdez 0.2359 0.1781 39.6
3 Grant Holmes 0.2405 0.1791 35.9
4 Payton Tolle 0.2300 0.2836 35.6
5 Jesús Luzardo 0.2610 0.3027 34.5
6 Mason Montgomery 0.2605 0.3777 34.1
7 Christian Scott 0.2166 0.2827 33.9
8 Taj Bradley 0.2353 0.2741 33.1
9 Cristopher Sánchez 0.2370 0.2695 32.6
10 Eric Lauer 0.2296 0.1545 32.4

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Framber Valdez 0.2345 0.1781 42.8
2 Andrew Alvarez 0.1539 0.2410 41.2
3 Grant Holmes 0.2385 0.1791 38.1
4 Nick Lodolo 0.2432 0.1708 35.2
5 Grayson Rodriguez 0.2692 0.1914 34.5
6 Walbert Ureña 0.1721 0.2272 34.4
7 Taj Bradley 0.2288 0.2741 33.9
8 Parker Messick 0.2142 0.2584 33.0
9 Kyle Bradish 0.2593 0.2123 31.4
10 George Kirby 0.2416 0.1997 31.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Braxton Ashcraft 0.1966 0.2594 41.7
2 Walbert Ureña 0.1620 0.2272 40.6
3 Mason Montgomery 0.2362 0.3777 39.3
4 Sean Burke 0.2059 0.2584 37.4
5 Parker Messick 0.2092 0.2584 36.6
6 Taj Bradley 0.2263 0.2741 35.6
7 Ian Seymour 0.2233 0.2868 34.8
8 Andrew Alvarez 0.1684 0.2410 34.2
9 Eric Lauer 0.2272 0.1545 34.0
10 Nick Lodolo 0.2403 0.1708 33.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Braxton Ashcraft 0.1991 0.2594 38.2
2 Mason Montgomery 0.2376 0.3777 38.1
3 Nick Lodolo 0.2420 0.1708 36.1
4 Parker Messick 0.2075 0.2584 35.7
5 Sean Burke 0.2055 0.2584 35.7
6 Framber Valdez 0.2214 0.1781 35.1
7 Andrew Alvarez 0.1655 0.2410 34.3
8 Eric Lauer 0.2246 0.1545 34.1
9 Brady Singer 0.2168 0.1738 33.3
10 Ian Seymour 0.2244 0.2868 32.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Taj Bradley 0.2163 0.2741 43.1
2 Eric Lauer 0.2420 0.1545 40.8
3 Grant Holmes 0.2381 0.1791 37.9
4 Drew Rasmussen 0.2080 0.2601 34.8
5 Robbie Ray 0.2483 0.1994 34.4
6 Parker Messick 0.2142 0.2584 33.0
7 Jake Irvin 0.1641 0.2340 32.9
8 Nick Lodolo 0.2382 0.1708 32.8
9 Mason Montgomery 0.2627 0.3777 32.0
10 Keider Montero 0.2221 0.1712 31.9

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Taj Bradley 0.2023 0.2741 54.0
2 Grant Holmes 0.2506 0.1791 45.6
3 Nick Lodolo 0.2513 0.1708 38.9
4 Eric Lauer 0.2360 0.1545 37.8
5 Drew Rasmussen 0.2100 0.2601 33.8
6 Jake Irvin 0.1626 0.2340 33.8
7 Ian Seymour 0.2267 0.2868 33.3
8 Framber Valdez 0.2213 0.1781 32.4
9 Keider Montero 0.2221 0.1712 31.6
10 Sean Burke 0.2162 0.2584 30.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Walbert Ureña 0.1623 0.2272 40.0
2 Taj Bradley 0.2204 0.2741 39.4
3 Griffin Jax 0.3295 0.2527 35.7
4 Brady Singer 0.2219 0.1738 35.6
5 Jared Jones 0.2100 0.2964 35.5
6 Nick Lodolo 0.2416 0.1708 34.9
7 Mason Montgomery 0.2521 0.3777 34.7
8 Luis Medina 0.1846 0.2934 34.2
9 Christian Scott 0.2111 0.2827 33.5
10 Drew Rasmussen 0.2094 0.2601 33.3

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Zac Thornton 0.2221 0.1772 0.1869 11.9 2.5 9.3
2 Cesar Perdomo 0.2221 0.1325 0.1346 9.1 0.0 9.1
3 Mike Paredes 0.2221 0.1628 0.1234 15.2 6.4 8.8
4 Payton Tolle 0.2410 0.2521 0.2836 25.6 17.7 7.9
5 Jose Cabrera 0.2221 0.1442 0.1550 8.7 1.1 7.5
6 Jackson Kent 0.2221 0.1758 0.1765 7.8 0.2 7.5
7 José Fermin 0.2221 0.2501 0.2605 9.1 2.0 7.2
8 Connor Thomas 0.2221 0.1609 0.1525 8.2 1.2 7.0
9 Yunior Marte 0.2221 0.1294 0.1456 7.9 1.5 6.4
10 Nick Davila 0.2221 0.1675 0.1092 13.4 7.2 6.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Zack Wheeler 0.2680 0.2827 0.2992 19.7 9.3 10.4
2 Zac Thornton 0.2221 0.1772 0.1869 12.1 2.5 9.5
3 Cesar Perdomo 0.2221 0.1325 0.1346 9.2 0.0 9.2
4 Mike Paredes 0.2221 0.1628 0.1234 15.3 6.4 8.9
5 Payton Tolle 0.2391 0.2521 0.2836 26.4 17.7 8.7
6 Grant Taylor 0.2623 0.2836 0.3155 17.6 10.0 7.7
7 Chase Burns 0.2777 0.2883 0.2937 9.7 2.0 7.6
8 Jackson Kent 0.2221 0.1758 0.1765 7.9 0.2 7.6
9 Jose Cabrera 0.2221 0.1442 0.1550 8.7 1.1 7.6
10 Connor Thomas 0.2221 0.1609 0.1525 8.3 1.2 7.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Mason Miller 0.3255 0.3949 0.4743 42.0 21.0 21.0
2 Payton Tolle 0.2300 0.2521 0.2836 35.6 17.7 17.9
3 Jack Perkins 0.2259 0.2507 0.2588 20.7 3.2 17.5
4 Chase Burns 0.2682 0.2883 0.2937 19.5 2.0 17.5
5 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.1817 0.1400 0.1463 19.6 2.8 16.8
6 Jacob deGrom 0.2631 0.2773 0.3009 29.0 14.3 14.6
7 Anthony Kay 0.2170 0.1890 0.1817 21.1 6.7 14.4
8 Rhett Lowder 0.2145 0.1851 0.1708 23.0 9.9 13.1
9 Emmet Sheehan 0.2580 0.2782 0.2797 12.8 0.3 12.5
10 Roki Sasaki 0.2109 0.2266 0.2356 15.8 3.6 12.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Anthony Kay 0.2221 0.1890 0.1817 28.7 6.7 22.0
2 Spencer Miles 0.1912 0.2213 0.2397 18.8 6.3 12.5
3 Chase Burns 0.3160 0.2883 0.2937 14.1 2.0 12.1
4 Andrew Alvarez 0.1539 0.1701 0.2410 41.2 32.5 8.7
5 Kyle Hart 0.1778 0.2080 0.2201 11.3 2.7 8.7
6 Framber Valdez 0.2345 0.2212 0.1781 42.8 34.3 8.4
7 Jack Perkins 0.2377 0.2507 0.2588 11.4 3.2 8.2
8 Jake Bennett 0.1529 0.1685 0.2000 21.4 13.3 8.1
9 Drew Anderson 0.2103 0.2708 0.2500 18.1 10.5 7.7
10 AJ Blubaugh 0.2050 0.2219 0.2344 11.8 4.2 7.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Andrew Painter 0.1730 0.2003 0.2083 19.4 3.3 16.1
2 Jacob Misiorowski 0.2504 0.2706 0.3789 85.3 70.6 14.7
3 Chase Burns 0.2688 0.2883 0.2937 15.5 2.0 13.5
4 Braxton Ashcraft 0.1966 0.2121 0.2594 41.7 30.1 11.7
5 Foster Griffin 0.1994 0.2124 0.2191 14.0 3.3 10.8
6 Joel Kuhnel 0.2221 0.1686 0.1386 16.9 6.5 10.4
7 Kyle Leahy 0.1772 0.1926 0.2215 26.2 15.9 10.3
8 Reid Detmers 0.2448 0.2568 0.2851 29.7 19.4 10.3
9 Zac Thornton 0.2221 0.1772 0.1869 11.9 2.5 9.4
10 Cam Schlittler 0.2245 0.2348 0.3141 68.0 58.7 9.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Andrew Painter 0.1787 0.2003 0.2083 14.7 3.3 11.4
2 Jacob Misiorowski 0.2529 0.2706 0.3789 81.8 70.6 11.2
3 Payton Tolle 0.2341 0.2521 0.2836 28.0 17.7 10.3
4 Chase Burns 0.2742 0.2883 0.2937 10.3 2.0 8.3
5 Braxton Ashcraft 0.1991 0.2121 0.2594 38.2 30.1 8.1
6 Cam Schlittler 0.2241 0.2348 0.3141 66.2 58.7 7.5
7 Shane McClanahan 0.2705 0.2570 0.2177 27.2 20.2 7.0
8 Foster Griffin 0.2028 0.2124 0.2191 9.6 3.3 6.3
9 Tatsuya Imai 0.2193 0.2368 0.2870 21.8 16.2 5.6
10 Erick Fedde 0.1711 0.1632 0.1634 6.5 1.2 5.3

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Drew Anderson 0.3150 0.2708 0.2500 29.7 10.5 19.2
2 Colin Rea 0.2221 0.1899 0.1721 29.4 11.7 17.7
3 Keider Montero 0.2221 0.1952 0.1712 31.9 16.4 15.5
4 José Soriano 0.1978 0.2101 0.2268 21.6 10.9 10.8
5 Brandon Young 0.2221 0.2054 0.1988 15.6 5.9 9.7
6 Javier Assad 0.2221 0.1948 0.1667 21.0 11.5 9.5
7 Zac Thornton 0.2221 0.1772 0.1869 11.9 2.5 9.3
8 Cesar Perdomo 0.2221 0.1325 0.1346 9.1 0.0 9.1
9 Anthony Nunez 0.2221 0.2555 0.2588 9.3 0.3 9.0
10 Ryan Gusto 0.2221 0.1972 0.1888 13.1 4.1 8.9

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Drew Anderson 0.3164 0.2708 0.2500 30.1 10.5 19.6
2 Colin Rea 0.2221 0.1899 0.1721 29.1 11.7 17.4
3 José Soriano 0.1905 0.2101 0.2268 27.4 10.9 16.5
4 Taj Bradley 0.2023 0.2216 0.2741 54.0 37.6 16.4
5 Michael Wacha 0.1635 0.1799 0.1946 25.6 10.1 15.5
6 Keider Montero 0.2221 0.1952 0.1712 31.6 16.4 15.2
7 Logan Gilbert 0.3026 0.2799 0.2733 21.6 6.5 15.1
8 Aaron Nola 0.2200 0.2312 0.2379 13.7 3.4 10.3
9 Sean Manaea 0.2657 0.2484 0.2205 29.2 19.6 9.6
10 Brandon Young 0.2221 0.2054 0.1988 15.3 5.9 9.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Zack Wheeler 0.2538 0.2827 0.2992 28.7 9.3 19.4
2 Roki Sasaki 0.2701 0.2266 0.2356 18.5 3.6 14.9
3 Jared Jones 0.2100 0.2400 0.2964 35.5 22.5 13.0
4 Grant Taylor 0.2489 0.2836 0.3155 22.0 10.0 12.1
5 Chris Sale 0.2860 0.2999 0.3086 14.1 4.3 9.8
6 Nathan Eovaldi 0.2179 0.2338 0.2349 9.9 0.6 9.2
7 Cesar Perdomo 0.2221 0.1325 0.1346 9.2 0.0 9.2
8 Christian Scott 0.2111 0.2292 0.2827 33.5 24.4 9.1
9 Ryan Weathers 0.2124 0.2266 0.2518 21.8 13.1 8.8
10 Luis Medina 0.1846 0.2073 0.2934 34.2 26.6 7.6

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jacob Misiorowski 0.0662
0.1074
(31.1)
0.1104
(32.8)
0.1055
(30.3)
0.0969
(24.8)
0.1212
(38.1)
0.1111
(34.1)
0.1104
(33.6)
0.1127
(34.2)
0.1088
(31.7)
0.1014
(27.2)
Nick Martinez 0.0360
0.0632
(23.6)
0.0645
(24.2)
0.0652
(25.5)
0.0629
(24.1)
0.0661
(23.4)
0.0668
(26.8)
0.0636
(24.5)
0.0608
(21.5)
0.0644
(24.2)
0.0668
(26.3)
Keider Montero 0.0592
0.0808
(16.9)
0.0801
(16.2)
0.0805
(17.2)
0.0796
(16.8)
0.0836
(16.7)
0.0785
(16.1)
0.0768
(14.9)
0.0889
(21.7)
0.0889
(21.8)
0.0805
(16.9)
Cam Schlittler 0.0644
0.0897
(23.5)
0.0907
(23.8)
0.0875
(22.3)
0.0913
(25.5)
0.1044
(32.2)
0.0896
(24.0)
0.0896
(24.0)
0.0886
(22.2)
0.0885
(22.2)
0.0842
(19.4)
Reid Detmers 0.0649
0.0876
(20.9)
0.0867
(19.9)
0.0856
(19.9)
0.0895
(23.0)
0.0854
(16.9)
0.0918
(24.7)
0.0902
(23.4)
0.0857
(19.1)
0.0846
(18.4)
0.0819
(16.8)
Justin Wrobleski 0.0536
0.0787
(17.7)
0.0802
(18.2)
0.0786
(18.0)
0.0772
(17.4)
0.0847
(19.3)
0.0801
(19.0)
0.0826
(20.4)
0.0889
(23.3)
0.0889
(23.3)
0.0748
(15.5)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bubba Chandler 0.0832 0.1187 20.2
2 Braxton Ashcraft 0.0749 0.0525 18.6
3 Gavin Williams 0.1007 0.0818 18.2
4 Andrew Abbott 0.0738 0.1043 18.2
5 Trevor Rogers 0.0763 0.0558 18.2
6 Hunter Brown 0.0787 0.1220 17.0
7 Merrill Kelly 0.0704 0.0994 16.5
8 Tatsuya Imai 0.0970 0.1509 16.3
9 Gerrit Cole 0.0725 0.0482 15.5
10 Jake Bennett 0.0746 0.0462 15.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.0734 0.1043 18.9
2 Bubba Chandler 0.0870 0.1187 18.0
3 Trevor Rogers 0.0763 0.0558 17.8
4 Gavin Williams 0.1005 0.0818 17.7
5 Braxton Ashcraft 0.0736 0.0525 17.4
6 Hunter Brown 0.0804 0.1220 16.5
7 Jake Bennett 0.0773 0.0462 16.5
8 Robbie Ray 0.0914 0.1197 16.4
9 Tatsuya Imai 0.0981 0.1509 16.1
10 Merrill Kelly 0.0717 0.0994 16.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0762 0.0558 18.6
2 Tatsuya Imai 0.0898 0.1509 18.6
3 Andrew Abbott 0.0726 0.1043 18.5
4 Robbie Ray 0.0878 0.1197 18.0
5 Jake Bennett 0.0769 0.0462 16.8
6 Gavin Williams 0.0978 0.0818 16.6
7 Hunter Brown 0.0793 0.1220 16.5
8 Braxton Ashcraft 0.0709 0.0525 16.4
9 Sean Burke 0.1024 0.0866 15.8
10 Randy Vásquez 0.0835 0.0630 15.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bubba Chandler 0.0728 0.1187 26.6
2 Braxton Ashcraft 0.0828 0.0525 24.5
3 Foster Griffin 0.0889 0.0624 23.8
4 Trevor Rogers 0.0827 0.0558 23.3
5 Jake Bennett 0.0889 0.0462 22.4
6 Gavin Williams 0.1048 0.0818 22.0
7 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.0802 0.0593 19.4
8 Drew Rasmussen 0.0702 0.0478 19.3
9 Tatsuya Imai 0.0889 0.1509 18.8
10 Payton Tolle 0.0892 0.0663 17.7

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Foster Griffin 0.0889 0.0624 20.7
2 Andrew Abbott 0.0764 0.1043 18.6
3 Jake Bennett 0.0847 0.0462 18.6
4 Braxton Ashcraft 0.0778 0.0525 18.4
5 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.0819 0.0593 17.6
6 Hunter Brown 0.0808 0.1220 17.5
7 Trevor Rogers 0.0782 0.0558 17.3
8 Kyle Bradish 0.0776 0.1046 16.6
9 Gavin Williams 0.1014 0.0818 16.4
10 Chris Sale 0.0708 0.0478 16.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Bennett 0.0889 0.0462 22.4
2 Trevor Rogers 0.0793 0.0558 20.9
3 Braxton Ashcraft 0.0766 0.0525 20.4
4 Gavin Williams 0.1004 0.0818 18.6
5 Tatsuya Imai 0.0939 0.1509 17.1
6 Robbie Ray 0.0890 0.1197 17.0
7 Randy Vásquez 0.0849 0.0630 16.6
8 Andrew Abbott 0.0753 0.1043 16.4
9 Hunter Brown 0.0792 0.1220 16.4
10 Sean Burke 0.1022 0.0866 15.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0790 0.0558 20.7
2 Braxton Ashcraft 0.0766 0.0525 20.3
3 Gavin Williams 0.1005 0.0818 18.7
4 Jake Bennett 0.0786 0.0462 17.6
5 Tatsuya Imai 0.0936 0.1509 17.2
6 Robbie Ray 0.0890 0.1197 17.1
7 Andrew Abbott 0.0752 0.1043 16.5
8 Hunter Brown 0.0790 0.1220 16.5
9 Kyle Bradish 0.0745 0.1046 15.9
10 Randy Vásquez 0.0836 0.0630 15.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Kay 0.1071 0.0789 23.6
2 Bubba Chandler 0.0806 0.1187 22.3
3 Jake Bennett 0.0889 0.0462 21.7
4 Emerson Hancock 0.0889 0.0565 21.2
5 Trevor Rogers 0.0799 0.0558 20.4
6 Gavin Williams 0.1019 0.0818 18.8
7 Foster Griffin 0.0822 0.0624 17.9
8 Andrew Abbott 0.0748 0.1043 17.8
9 Merrill Kelly 0.0702 0.0994 17.0
10 Tyron Guerrero 0.1454 0.0482 17.0

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Kay 0.1072 0.0789 23.8
2 Bubba Chandler 0.0788 0.1187 23.4
3 Andrew Abbott 0.0688 0.1043 22.1
4 Jake Bennett 0.0889 0.0462 21.8
5 Emerson Hancock 0.0889 0.0565 21.2
6 Gavin Williams 0.1035 0.0818 20.0
7 Foster Griffin 0.0821 0.0624 17.9
8 Brock Burke 0.0666 0.1274 17.5
9 Tyron Guerrero 0.1466 0.0482 17.2
10 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.0784 0.0593 17.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.0693 0.1043 21.4
2 Tatsuya Imai 0.0853 0.1509 20.3
3 Robbie Ray 0.0855 0.1197 20.0
4 Michael Soroka 0.0921 0.0613 17.2
5 Merrill Kelly 0.0702 0.0994 16.6
6 Hunter Brown 0.0803 0.1220 16.2
7 Trevor Rogers 0.0727 0.0558 15.8
8 Brennan Bernardino 0.1095 0.0562 15.8
9 Ryan Weathers 0.0887 0.0669 15.6
10 Cade Cavalli 0.0843 0.0680 15.5

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Zac Thornton 0.0889 0.0730 0.0534 13.8 8.3 5.5
2 Peter Lambert 0.0970 0.0899 0.0889 9.0 4.0 5.0
3 Jefry Yan 0.0889 0.1282 0.1562 5.9 2.2 3.7
4 Roki Sasaki 0.0946 0.0887 0.0920 4.2 0.9 3.3
5 Tyler Davis 0.0889 0.1146 0.1250 3.9 0.7 3.2
6 Quinn Mathews 0.1332 0.1185 0.0948 9.3 6.1 3.2
7 Jose Cuas 0.0889 0.1179 0.1389 4.8 1.7 3.1
8 Noah Schultz 0.1106 0.1030 0.0957 6.6 4.0 2.6
9 Zach Agnos 0.0977 0.0923 0.0860 7.0 4.6 2.4
10 Jackson Jobe 0.1124 0.1005 0.0829 6.8 4.4 2.4

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Zac Thornton 0.0889 0.0730 0.0534 14.0 8.3 5.8
2 Martín Pérez 0.0769 0.0856 0.1040 12.5 8.0 4.5
3 Andrew Painter 0.0876 0.0809 0.0851 4.8 0.4 4.4
4 Jefry Yan 0.0889 0.1282 0.1562 5.9 2.2 3.7
5 Tyler Davis 0.0889 0.1146 0.1250 3.8 0.7 3.1
6 Jose Cuas 0.0889 0.1179 0.1389 4.7 1.7 3.0
7 Anthony Molina 0.0889 0.0693 0.0515 5.9 3.1 2.8
8 Aaron Nola 0.0598 0.0647 0.0793 9.9 7.2 2.7
9 Tatsuya Imai 0.0898 0.0981 0.1509 18.6 16.1 2.4
10 Brandon Young 0.0648 0.0695 0.0912 13.5 11.1 2.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Foster Griffin 0.0889 0.0743 0.0624 23.8 12.1 11.6
2 Bubba Chandler 0.0728 0.0870 0.1187 26.6 18.0 8.6
3 Braxton Ashcraft 0.0828 0.0736 0.0525 24.5 17.4 7.1
4 Roki Sasaki 0.0990 0.0887 0.0920 7.1 0.9 6.2
5 Jake Bennett 0.0889 0.0773 0.0462 22.4 16.5 6.0
6 Zac Thornton 0.0889 0.0730 0.0534 14.1 8.3 5.9
7 Sandy Alcantara 0.0758 0.0707 0.0660 14.6 8.7 5.9
8 Ian Seymour 0.0821 0.0729 0.0653 12.8 6.9 5.9
9 Cam Sanders 0.0902 0.1350 0.1527 7.3 1.7 5.7
10 Juan Mejia 0.0871 0.1061 0.1238 9.8 4.1 5.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Foster Griffin 0.0889 0.0743 0.0624 20.7 12.1 8.6
2 Cam Schlittler 0.1044 0.0907 0.0644 32.2 23.8 8.4
3 Walbert Ureña 0.1296 0.1151 0.1088 14.4 7.1 7.4
4 Jacob Misiorowski 0.1212 0.1104 0.0662 38.1 32.8 5.3
5 Michael McGreevy 0.0524 0.0565 0.0684 9.6 4.8 4.8
6 Nolan McLean 0.0984 0.0895 0.0937 5.2 0.6 4.6
7 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.0819 0.0740 0.0593 17.6 13.9 3.7
8 Jovani Morán 0.0957 0.1063 0.1213 6.3 2.7 3.6
9 Michael Petersen 0.0912 0.1001 0.1078 3.8 0.7 3.1
10 Parker Messick 0.0846 0.0777 0.0656 15.9 12.8 3.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jake Bennett 0.0889 0.0773 0.0462 22.4 16.5 5.9
2 Cam Sanders 0.0889 0.1350 0.1527 7.5 1.7 5.9
3 Zac Thornton 0.0889 0.0730 0.0534 14.1 8.3 5.8
4 Reid Detmers 0.0918 0.0867 0.0649 24.7 19.9 4.8
5 Hagen Smith 0.0889 0.1308 0.1455 5.5 1.1 4.5
6 Paul Blackburn 0.0626 0.0757 0.0982 9.8 5.9 3.9
7 Jefry Yan 0.0889 0.1282 0.1562 5.9 2.2 3.6
8 Gavin Collyer 0.0889 0.1210 0.1681 8.2 4.8 3.5
9 Joe Mantiply 0.0889 0.0616 0.0450 5.6 2.4 3.2
10 Noah Cameron 0.0788 0.0760 0.0777 5.5 2.4 3.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Paul Blackburn 0.0614 0.0757 0.0982 10.3 5.9 4.4
2 Reid Detmers 0.0902 0.0867 0.0649 23.4 19.9 3.5
3 Parker Messick 0.0803 0.0777 0.0656 15.7 12.8 2.9
4 Braxton Ashcraft 0.0766 0.0736 0.0525 20.3 17.4 2.9
5 Andrew Painter 0.0848 0.0809 0.0851 3.3 0.4 2.9
6 Trevor Rogers 0.0790 0.0763 0.0558 20.7 17.8 2.9
7 Bryan Woo 0.0552 0.0525 0.0549 4.7 1.9 2.8
8 Michael Petersen 0.0884 0.1001 0.1078 3.5 0.7 2.8
9 Tyler Phillips 0.0730 0.0795 0.1041 13.3 10.6 2.8
10 Noah Cameron 0.0781 0.0760 0.0777 5.0 2.4 2.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Drew Anderson 0.1218 0.1001 0.0943 14.8 4.9 9.9
2 Anthony Kay 0.1071 0.0943 0.0789 23.6 14.5 9.1
3 Emerson Hancock 0.0889 0.0749 0.0565 21.2 13.2 7.9
4 Tyler Wells 0.0889 0.0629 0.0650 8.0 0.8 7.2
5 Troy Melton 0.0889 0.0732 0.0787 7.1 0.3 6.9
6 Andrew Painter 0.0685 0.0809 0.0851 6.4 0.4 6.0
7 Eric Lauer 0.0918 0.0792 0.0751 10.1 4.2 5.9
8 Foster Griffin 0.0822 0.0743 0.0624 17.9 12.1 5.7
9 Keider Montero 0.0889 0.0801 0.0592 21.7 16.2 5.5
10 Zac Thornton 0.0889 0.0730 0.0534 13.7 8.3 5.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Drew Anderson 0.1228 0.1001 0.0943 15.3 4.9 10.4
2 Anthony Kay 0.1072 0.0943 0.0789 23.8 14.5 9.2
3 Emerson Hancock 0.0889 0.0749 0.0565 21.2 13.2 8.0
4 Tyler Wells 0.0889 0.0629 0.0650 8.0 0.8 7.2
5 Troy Melton 0.0889 0.0732 0.0787 7.2 0.3 6.9
6 Andrew Painter 0.0686 0.0809 0.0851 6.3 0.4 5.9
7 Foster Griffin 0.0821 0.0743 0.0624 17.9 12.1 5.7
8 Keider Montero 0.0889 0.0801 0.0592 21.8 16.2 5.6
9 Bubba Chandler 0.0788 0.0870 0.1187 23.4 18.0 5.5
10 Zac Thornton 0.0889 0.0730 0.0534 13.7 8.3 5.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ryan Feltner 0.1035 0.0927 0.0967 6.8 0.5 6.3
2 Andrew Painter 0.0905 0.0809 0.0851 6.1 0.4 5.7
3 Chase Burns 0.0670 0.0754 0.0889 10.2 5.4 4.9
4 Ryan Weathers 0.0887 0.0817 0.0669 15.6 11.2 4.4
5 Aaron Nola 0.0584 0.0647 0.0793 11.3 7.2 4.1
6 Tatsuya Imai 0.0853 0.0981 0.1509 20.3 16.1 4.1
7 Clay Holmes 0.0777 0.0880 0.1002 7.1 3.0 4.0
8 Gage Jump 0.0713 0.0804 0.1053 12.4 8.7 3.7
9 Robbie Ray 0.0855 0.0914 0.1197 20.0 16.4 3.7
10 Logan Webb 0.0502 0.0562 0.0614 3.7 0.1 3.5

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Spencer Arrighetti 0.0305
0.0132
(8.0)
0.0128
(8.3)
0.0138
(7.8)
0.0125
(8.4)
0.0116
(9.2)
0.0115
(8.7)
0.0115
(8.5)
0.0128
(8.4)
0.0151
(7.2)
0.0143
(8.0)
Sean Manaea 0.0245
0.0132
(6.7)
0.0127
(7.2)
0.0132
(6.8)
0.0146
(5.9)
0.0110
(8.7)
0.0121
(7.2)
0.0121
(7.0)
0.0108
(8.5)
0.0158
(5.3)
0.0140
(6.9)
Anthony Kay 0.0366
0.0107
(17.7)
0.0104
(18.0)
0.0082
(19.5)
0.0094
(18.6)
0.0115
(17.7)
0.0094
(18.3)
0.0094
(18.2)
0.0126
(16.5)
0.0126
(16.6)
0.0079
(20.4)
Colin Holderman 0.0450
0.0150
(6.5)
0.0146
(6.6)
0.0165
(6.1)
0.0161
(6.2)
0.0116
(7.4)
0.0119
(7.0)
0.0121
(7.0)
0.0152
(6.5)
0.0170
(6.1)
0.0195
(5.7)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor McDonald 0.0137 0.0387 7.4
2 Bradgley Rodriguez 0.0234 0.0000 7.4
3 Evan Sisk 0.0125 0.0457 6.3
4 Nick Lodolo 0.0210 0.0350 6.3
5 Peter Lambert 0.0077 0.0181 6.2
6 Anthony Banda 0.0112 0.0513 6.1
7 Justin Bruihl 0.0165 0.0347 5.9
8 Logan Webb 0.0072 0.0165 5.5
9 Cade Cavalli 0.0140 0.0227 5.4
10 Robbie Ray 0.0095 0.0028 5.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor McDonald 0.0146 0.0387 7.2
2 Nick Lodolo 0.0210 0.0350 6.4
3 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0200 0.0395 6.2
4 Evan Sisk 0.0143 0.0457 6.0
5 Anthony Banda 0.0122 0.0513 6.0
6 Justin Bruihl 0.0173 0.0347 5.7
7 Chris Sale 0.0138 0.0231 5.5
8 Andrew Abbott 0.0067 0.0000 5.5
9 Cade Cavalli 0.0141 0.0227 5.4
10 Logan Webb 0.0075 0.0165 5.4

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Evan Sisk 0.0115 0.0457 6.6
2 Parker Messick 0.0127 0.0054 6.1
3 Trevor McDonald 0.0180 0.0387 6.1
4 Anthony Banda 0.0123 0.0513 5.9
5 Framber Valdez 0.0099 0.0185 5.8
6 José Alvarado 0.0075 0.0293 5.7
7 Bradgley Rodriguez 0.0177 0.0000 5.6
8 Cal Quantrill 0.0000 0.0135 5.6
9 Logan Webb 0.0072 0.0165 5.6
10 Jesús Luzardo 0.0067 0.0151 5.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor McDonald 0.0090 0.0387 8.9
2 Justin Bruihl 0.0143 0.0347 6.7
3 Evan Sisk 0.0138 0.0457 6.1
4 Anthony Banda 0.0114 0.0513 6.1
5 Logan Webb 0.0066 0.0165 5.9
6 Nolan McLean 0.0112 0.0201 5.9
7 Jesús Luzardo 0.0061 0.0151 5.9
8 Michael McGreevy 0.0088 0.0014 5.8
9 Kyle Bradish 0.0122 0.0045 5.8
10 Framber Valdez 0.0099 0.0185 5.8

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Lodolo 0.0105 0.0350 11.8
2 Yohan Ramírez 0.0115 0.0387 9.7
3 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0116 0.0395 9.1
4 Trevor McDonald 0.0109 0.0387 8.5
5 Andrew Abbott 0.0108 0.0000 8.1
6 Justin Bruihl 0.0112 0.0347 8.0
7 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0111 0.0013 8.0
8 Cade Cavalli 0.0111 0.0227 7.9
9 Chris Sale 0.0106 0.0231 7.9
10 Kevin Gausman 0.0108 0.0013 7.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Justin Bruihl 0.0115 0.0347 7.5
2 Trevor McDonald 0.0140 0.0387 7.2
3 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0169 0.0395 7.0
4 Nick Lodolo 0.0194 0.0350 6.9
5 Evan Sisk 0.0115 0.0457 6.5
6 Anthony Banda 0.0103 0.0513 6.2
7 Chris Sale 0.0126 0.0231 5.9
8 Cade Cavalli 0.0129 0.0227 5.9
9 Riley O'Brien 0.0134 0.0362 5.9
10 Andrew Abbott 0.0067 0.0000 5.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor McDonald 0.0140 0.0387 7.2
2 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0166 0.0395 7.0
3 Nick Lodolo 0.0193 0.0350 6.8
4 Evan Sisk 0.0103 0.0457 6.7
5 Justin Bruihl 0.0139 0.0347 6.6
6 Anthony Banda 0.0101 0.0513 6.2
7 Andrew Abbott 0.0066 0.0000 6.0
8 Cade Cavalli 0.0128 0.0227 5.8
9 Chris Sale 0.0126 0.0231 5.8
10 Riley O'Brien 0.0135 0.0362 5.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0115 0.0395 9.0
2 Nick Lodolo 0.0176 0.0350 8.1
3 Trevor McDonald 0.0135 0.0387 7.6
4 Justin Bruihl 0.0128 0.0347 7.3
5 Cade Cavalli 0.0124 0.0227 6.8
6 Evan Sisk 0.0117 0.0457 6.6
7 Chris Sale 0.0128 0.0231 6.2
8 Anthony Banda 0.0113 0.0513 6.1
9 Joe Ryan 0.0108 0.0212 5.9
10 Brady Singer 0.0122 0.0207 5.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0115 0.0395 9.0
2 Trevor McDonald 0.0128 0.0387 7.8
3 Cade Cavalli 0.0129 0.0227 6.4
4 Nick Martinez 0.0122 0.0042 6.3
5 Kyle Bradish 0.0131 0.0045 6.2
6 Joe Ryan 0.0107 0.0212 6.0
7 Logan Webb 0.0071 0.0165 5.8
8 Paul Skenes 0.0068 0.0154 5.7
9 George Kirby 0.0105 0.0040 5.2
10 Aaron Nola 0.0089 0.0027 5.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Parker Messick 0.0151 0.0054 7.2
2 Logan Webb 0.0061 0.0165 6.9
3 Jesús Luzardo 0.0060 0.0151 6.7
4 José Alvarado 0.0053 0.0293 6.6
5 Bradgley Rodriguez 0.0207 0.0000 6.2
6 Juan Mejia 0.0283 0.0093 6.1
7 Anthony Banda 0.0122 0.0513 6.1
8 Framber Valdez 0.0110 0.0185 5.7
9 Evan Sisk 0.0169 0.0457 5.7
10 Eury Pérez 0.0067 0.0152 5.6

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Bradgley Rodriguez 0.0234 0.0158 0.0000 7.4 5.0 2.4
2 Peter Lambert 0.0077 0.0102 0.0181 6.2 4.7 1.5
3 Trevor Richards 0.0115 0.0080 0.0029 3.3 2.0 1.3
4 Cal Quantrill 0.0094 0.0118 0.0135 1.4 0.4 1.0
5 Wyatt Olds 0.0115 0.0253 0.0294 1.2 0.2 0.9
6 Robert Stock 0.0115 0.0178 0.0272 2.2 1.3 0.9
7 Will Dion 0.0115 0.0076 0.0050 1.5 0.7 0.8
8 Eric Orze 0.0159 0.0118 0.0106 1.2 0.4 0.8
9 Drew Sommers 0.0224 0.0161 0.0178 1.0 0.1 0.8
10 Robby Ahlstrom 0.0045 0.0094 0.0183 2.1 1.3 0.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cal Quantrill 0.0000 0.0118 0.0135 5.6 0.4 5.2
2 Randy Dobnak 0.0227 0.0126 0.0125 3.6 0.3 3.3
3 Jack Perkins 0.0098 0.0142 0.0185 4.2 1.9 2.3
4 Trey Gibson 0.0270 0.0148 0.0054 4.2 1.9 2.3
5 Robby Ahlstrom 0.0000 0.0094 0.0183 2.8 1.3 1.5
6 Anthony Kay 0.0082 0.0104 0.0366 19.5 18.0 1.5
7 Matt Waldron 0.0000 0.0111 0.0103 1.8 0.3 1.5
8 Andrew Sears 0.0000 0.0159 0.0435 3.9 2.5 1.5
9 Jaden Hill 0.0249 0.0171 0.0166 1.7 0.2 1.4
10 José Soriano 0.0145 0.0127 0.0121 2.5 1.1 1.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Spencer Miles 0.0115 0.0039 0.0026 3.8 0.8 3.0
2 Cam Schlittler 0.0144 0.0110 0.0079 5.7 3.0 2.7
3 Michael Soroka 0.0212 0.0162 0.0148 3.5 1.0 2.5
4 Walker Buehler 0.0160 0.0124 0.0108 4.0 1.6 2.4
5 Bubba Chandler 0.0153 0.0125 0.0104 4.0 2.0 2.0
6 Nolan McLean 0.0112 0.0140 0.0201 5.9 3.9 2.0
7 Tanner Gordon 0.0113 0.0074 0.0042 3.8 1.9 1.9
8 Ryan Weathers 0.0134 0.0101 0.0053 5.1 3.2 1.9
9 Jacob Lopez 0.0167 0.0134 0.0073 5.7 3.8 1.9
10 Bryan Woo 0.0074 0.0101 0.0113 2.1 0.3 1.8

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Lodolo 0.0105 0.0210 0.0350 11.8 6.4 5.4
2 Yohan Ramírez 0.0115 0.0255 0.0387 9.7 4.5 5.3
3 Kevin Gausman 0.0108 0.0058 0.0013 7.3 4.0 3.3
4 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0111 0.0066 0.0013 8.0 4.9 3.1
5 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0116 0.0200 0.0395 9.1 6.2 2.9
6 Spencer Miles 0.0116 0.0039 0.0026 3.6 0.8 2.8
7 Merrill Kelly 0.0108 0.0063 0.0057 3.8 1.1 2.8
8 Andrew Abbott 0.0108 0.0067 0.0000 8.1 5.5 2.7
9 Chase Burns 0.0110 0.0065 0.0016 6.1 3.6 2.5
10 Cade Cavalli 0.0111 0.0141 0.0227 7.9 5.4 2.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Spencer Miles 0.0115 0.0039 0.0026 4.0 0.8 3.2
2 Justin Bruihl 0.0115 0.0173 0.0347 7.5 5.7 1.8
3 Brandyn Garcia 0.0115 0.0198 0.0365 4.5 3.0 1.5
4 Trevor Richards 0.0115 0.0080 0.0029 3.4 2.0 1.4
5 Chase Burns 0.0077 0.0065 0.0016 4.8 3.6 1.2
6 Ryan Rolison 0.0115 0.0076 0.0000 3.3 2.2 1.1
7 Shane Drohan 0.0115 0.0099 0.0095 1.8 0.7 1.1
8 Yohan Ramírez 0.0220 0.0255 0.0387 5.5 4.5 1.1
9 Riley O'Brien 0.0134 0.0173 0.0362 5.9 5.0 0.9
10 Jacob deGrom 0.0075 0.0067 0.0030 3.9 3.0 0.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Spencer Miles 0.0115 0.0039 0.0026 4.1 0.8 3.2
2 Chase Burns 0.0076 0.0065 0.0016 4.8 3.6 1.2
3 Jacob deGrom 0.0075 0.0067 0.0030 4.1 3.0 1.0
4 Yohan Ramírez 0.0221 0.0255 0.0387 5.4 4.5 1.0
5 Michael McGreevy 0.0078 0.0071 0.0014 5.6 4.6 1.0
6 Brandyn Garcia 0.0143 0.0198 0.0365 4.0 3.0 0.9
7 Justin Bruihl 0.0139 0.0173 0.0347 6.6 5.7 0.9
8 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0166 0.0200 0.0395 7.0 6.2 0.8
9 Riley O'Brien 0.0135 0.0173 0.0362 5.8 5.0 0.8
10 Anthony Nunez 0.0107 0.0150 0.0157 0.9 0.0 0.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Spencer Miles 0.0115 0.0039 0.0026 3.7 0.8 2.9
2 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0115 0.0200 0.0395 9.0 6.2 2.8
3 Brandon Young 0.0115 0.0076 0.0060 4.1 1.7 2.5
4 Nick Lodolo 0.0176 0.0210 0.0350 8.1 6.4 1.7
5 Brandyn Garcia 0.0115 0.0198 0.0365 4.7 3.0 1.6
6 Justin Bruihl 0.0128 0.0173 0.0347 7.3 5.7 1.6
7 Robert Gasser 0.0120 0.0148 0.0216 4.1 2.7 1.3
8 Sean Manaea 0.0108 0.0127 0.0245 8.5 7.2 1.3
9 Cade Cavalli 0.0124 0.0141 0.0227 6.8 5.4 1.3
10 Nolan McLean 0.0124 0.0140 0.0201 5.2 3.9 1.3

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Spencer Miles 0.0115 0.0039 0.0026 3.7 0.8 2.9
2 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0115 0.0200 0.0395 9.0 6.2 2.8
3 Brandon Young 0.0115 0.0076 0.0060 4.1 1.7 2.5
4 Daniel Lynch IV 0.0177 0.0116 0.0112 2.6 0.4 2.1
5 Brent Suter 0.0148 0.0101 0.0027 4.8 3.1 1.7
6 Aaron Ashby 0.0179 0.0134 0.0052 5.1 3.4 1.7
7 Brandyn Garcia 0.0115 0.0198 0.0365 4.7 3.0 1.6
8 Nick Martinez 0.0122 0.0098 0.0042 6.3 4.7 1.6
9 Sean Burke 0.0075 0.0095 0.0126 3.2 1.6 1.5
10 Bryan Hudson 0.0206 0.0117 0.0142 2.0 0.5 1.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kevin Kelly 0.0288 0.0150 0.0108 5.0 1.4 3.6
2 Juan Mejia 0.0283 0.0166 0.0093 6.1 2.6 3.5
3 Andrew Painter 0.0021 0.0074 0.0091 3.9 0.5 3.4
4 José Soriano 0.0179 0.0127 0.0121 4.3 1.1 3.2
5 Bubba Chandler 0.0181 0.0125 0.0104 5.2 2.0 3.2
6 Michael Soroka 0.0230 0.0162 0.0148 3.9 1.0 2.8
7 Jeffrey Springs 0.0034 0.0068 0.0079 2.9 0.2 2.7
8 Jaden Hill 0.0329 0.0171 0.0166 2.9 0.2 2.7
9 Joey Cantillo 0.0045 0.0076 0.0087 2.9 0.2 2.7
10 Anthony Kay 0.0079 0.0104 0.0366 20.4 18.0 2.4

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Gavin Williams 0.0650
0.0454
(14.3)
0.0448
(14.7)
0.0443
(14.7)
0.0450
(14.7)
0.0411
(17.3)
0.0469
(13.3)
0.0460
(13.8)
0.0457
(14.3)
0.0444
(15.4)
0.0440
(14.5)
Kodai Senga 0.0859
0.0441
(11.7)
0.0430
(12.0)
0.0434
(11.8)
0.0410
(12.6)
0.0427
(12.1)
0.0407
(12.7)
0.0422
(12.3)
0.0441
(11.8)
0.0447
(11.7)
0.0427
(11.8)
Jack Perkins 0.0676
0.0394
(15.1)
0.0411
(14.1)
0.0455
(11.5)
0.0437
(12.8)
0.0451
(11.9)
0.0380
(15.9)
0.0418
(13.8)
0.0356
(17.3)
0.0469
(11.3)
0.0407
(13.8)
Brandon Sproat 0.0656
0.0379
(11.6)
0.0386
(11.2)
0.0389
(10.9)
0.0388
(11.2)
0.0391
(10.9)
0.0397
(10.9)
0.0407
(10.4)
0.0382
(11.6)
0.0366
(12.2)
0.0381
(11.0)
Matthew Liberatore 0.0609
0.0425
(12.1)
0.0417
(12.6)
0.0411
(12.6)
0.0410
(13.2)
0.0418
(12.5)
0.0424
(12.3)
0.0434
(11.5)
0.0427
(12.2)
0.0418
(12.9)
0.0376
(14.7)
Shane Baz 0.0275
0.0497
(17.3)
0.0498
(17.5)
0.0484
(16.9)
0.0512
(18.4)
0.0466
(15.1)
0.0485
(16.3)
0.0493
(17.1)
0.0500
(17.4)
0.0567
(22.5)
0.0475
(16.5)
Steven Cruz 0.0886
0.0390
(12.1)
0.0392
(12.0)
0.0388
(12.0)
0.0420
(11.4)
0.0413
(11.5)
0.0439
(10.9)
0.0424
(11.3)
0.0346
(13.3)
0.0397
(12.0)
0.0336
(13.2)
Aaron Nola 0.0731
0.0530
(14.7)
0.0519
(15.4)
0.0495
(16.8)
0.0554
(13.0)
0.0502
(16.6)
0.0495
(17.4)
0.0499
(17.0)
0.0531
(14.8)
0.0582
(11.1)
0.0495
(16.5)
Mason Barnett 0.0952
0.0448
(11.5)
0.0458
(11.2)
0.0494
(10.3)
0.0465
(11.1)
0.0486
(10.5)
0.0460
(11.2)
0.0463
(11.1)
0.0445
(11.6)
0.0445
(11.6)
0.0431
(11.6)
Jameson Taillon 0.1038
0.0522
(19.0)
0.0522
(18.9)
0.0535
(18.3)
0.0500
(19.8)
0.0519
(19.0)
0.0490
(20.2)
0.0512
(19.3)
0.0529
(18.8)
0.0528
(18.9)
0.0556
(17.3)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeffrey Springs 0.0549 0.0768 13.5
2 Ian Seymour 0.0468 0.0710 13.1
3 Dylan Cease 0.0473 0.0301 12.0
4 Tyler Alexander 0.0502 0.0133 11.6
5 Cole Ragans 0.0438 0.1205 11.5
6 Sean Burke 0.0570 0.0413 11.5
7 Chris Sale 0.0422 0.0249 11.5
8 Spencer Miles 0.0473 0.0186 11.3
9 Roki Sasaki 0.0430 0.0636 10.6
10 Louis Varland 0.0438 0.0107 10.3

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeffrey Springs 0.0556 0.0768 13.0
2 Spencer Miles 0.0498 0.0186 12.3
3 Chris Sale 0.0427 0.0249 11.8
4 Tyler Alexander 0.0507 0.0133 11.8
5 Dylan Cease 0.0466 0.0301 11.6
6 Cole Ragans 0.0446 0.1205 11.4
7 Ian Seymour 0.0508 0.0710 10.9
8 Zack Littell 0.0505 0.0706 10.6
9 Alex Lange 0.0358 0.0739 10.3
10 Sean Burke 0.0552 0.0413 10.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeffrey Springs 0.0497 0.0768 16.4
2 Spencer Miles 0.0548 0.0186 14.4
3 Tyler Alexander 0.0522 0.0133 12.4
4 Chris Sale 0.0424 0.0249 12.0
5 Cole Ragans 0.0432 0.1205 11.5
6 Zack Littell 0.0493 0.0706 11.0
7 Jesús Luzardo 0.0475 0.0336 10.9
8 Mason Englert 0.0387 0.0992 10.7
9 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0449 0.0326 10.4
10 Dylan Cease 0.0442 0.0301 10.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ian Seymour 0.0391 0.0710 17.4
2 Jeffrey Springs 0.0516 0.0768 15.6
3 Brady Singer 0.0422 0.0613 13.7
4 Walbert Ureña 0.0445 0.0246 12.6
5 Michael Wacha 0.0354 0.0506 12.1
6 Louis Varland 0.0495 0.0107 12.0
7 Cole Ragans 0.0410 0.1205 12.0
8 Emmet Sheehan 0.0449 0.0702 11.8
9 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0471 0.0326 11.6
10 Brent Headrick 0.0588 0.0249 11.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeffrey Springs 0.0544 0.0768 13.7
2 Chris Sale 0.0443 0.0249 12.9
3 Tyler Alexander 0.0535 0.0133 12.7
4 Dylan Cease 0.0475 0.0301 12.3
5 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0467 0.0326 11.6
6 Cole Ragans 0.0435 0.1205 11.5
7 Ian Seymour 0.0495 0.0710 11.5
8 Zack Littell 0.0495 0.0706 11.1
9 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0394 0.0566 10.2
10 Jesús Luzardo 0.0470 0.0336 10.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeffrey Springs 0.0545 0.0768 13.9
2 Walbert Ureña 0.0441 0.0246 12.3
3 Tyler Alexander 0.0513 0.0133 11.9
4 Dylan Cease 0.0471 0.0301 11.8
5 Cole Ragans 0.0435 0.1205 11.6
6 Chris Sale 0.0425 0.0249 11.5
7 Shota Imanaga 0.0556 0.0717 11.2
8 Sean Burke 0.0563 0.0413 10.9
9 Sean Newcomb 0.0443 0.0163 10.5
10 Trevor Megill 0.0495 0.0064 10.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeffrey Springs 0.0538 0.0768 14.2
2 Tyler Alexander 0.0522 0.0133 12.2
3 Chris Sale 0.0425 0.0249 11.7
4 Ian Seymour 0.0495 0.0710 11.6
5 Cole Ragans 0.0438 0.1205 11.5
6 Dylan Cease 0.0452 0.0301 10.6
7 Jesús Luzardo 0.0475 0.0336 10.4
8 Zack Littell 0.0511 0.0706 10.3
9 Spencer Miles 0.0445 0.0186 10.2
10 Shota Imanaga 0.0570 0.0717 10.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dylan Cease 0.0517 0.0301 14.8
2 Sean Burke 0.0603 0.0413 13.6
3 Ian Seymour 0.0478 0.0710 12.8
4 Chris Sale 0.0442 0.0249 12.6
5 Walbert Ureña 0.0445 0.0246 12.5
6 Jeffrey Springs 0.0573 0.0768 12.2
7 Cole Ragans 0.0449 0.1205 11.4
8 Davis Martin 0.0502 0.0319 11.3
9 Roki Sasaki 0.0420 0.0636 11.3
10 Reid Detmers 0.0551 0.0399 11.2

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Davis Martin 0.0541 0.0319 13.7
2 Walbert Ureña 0.0445 0.0246 12.4
3 Chris Sale 0.0437 0.0249 12.1
4 Louis Varland 0.0484 0.0107 11.6
5 Roki Sasaki 0.0418 0.0636 11.4
6 Tyler Alexander 0.0489 0.0133 11.1
7 Reid Detmers 0.0547 0.0399 10.9
8 Justin Lawrence 0.0291 0.0900 10.8
9 Drew Rasmussen 0.0468 0.0307 10.7
10 Sean Newcomb 0.0443 0.0163 10.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jeffrey Springs 0.0469 0.0768 17.8
2 Spencer Miles 0.0606 0.0186 16.9
3 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0480 0.0326 13.2
4 Zack Littell 0.0467 0.0706 12.1
5 Tyler Alexander 0.0505 0.0133 12.1
6 Alex Lange 0.0291 0.0739 11.9
7 Cole Ragans 0.0408 0.1205 11.8
8 Walbert Ureña 0.0420 0.0246 11.8
9 Jesús Luzardo 0.0482 0.0336 11.7
10 Louis Varland 0.0446 0.0107 10.9

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Julian Garcia 0.0445 0.0587 0.0593 2.6 0.0 2.5
2 Ian Seymour 0.0468 0.0508 0.0710 13.1 10.9 2.2
3 Michael Wacha 0.0431 0.0454 0.0506 5.8 3.9 1.9
4 Will Warren 0.0490 0.0464 0.0456 2.6 0.9 1.7
5 Justin Bruihl 0.0355 0.0319 0.0158 6.9 5.7 1.2
6 Sean Burke 0.0570 0.0552 0.0413 11.5 10.3 1.2
7 Ryan Weathers 0.0495 0.0473 0.0469 1.7 0.5 1.2
8 MacKenzie Gore 0.0484 0.0467 0.0382 7.9 6.8 1.2
9 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0413 0.0448 0.0476 2.0 0.8 1.2
10 Dustin May 0.0417 0.0399 0.0337 5.2 4.1 1.1

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Mitch Farris 0.0370 0.0531 0.0606 5.8 1.8 4.0
2 Jeffrey Springs 0.0497 0.0556 0.0768 16.4 13.0 3.4
3 Julian Garcia 0.0445 0.0587 0.0593 2.5 0.0 2.4
4 Shane Drohan 0.0497 0.0460 0.0395 5.9 3.6 2.3
5 Zach Agnos 0.0538 0.0490 0.0324 9.1 6.9 2.2
6 Walker Buehler 0.0512 0.0484 0.0482 2.6 0.4 2.2
7 Spencer Miles 0.0548 0.0498 0.0186 14.4 12.3 2.2
8 Jacob Lopez 0.0501 0.0545 0.0610 5.4 3.4 2.1
9 Jovani Morán 0.0278 0.0356 0.0549 7.1 5.1 2.0
10 Cade Gibson 0.0397 0.0317 0.0267 3.1 1.2 1.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Michael Wacha 0.0354 0.0454 0.0506 12.1 3.9 8.2
2 Ian Seymour 0.0391 0.0508 0.0710 17.4 10.9 6.5
3 Kevin Gausman 0.0395 0.0475 0.0502 7.8 1.7 6.1
4 Max Meyer 0.0572 0.0446 0.0375 9.2 3.5 5.8
5 Brady Singer 0.0422 0.0493 0.0613 13.7 8.4 5.3
6 Tyler Mahle 0.0333 0.0415 0.0467 8.1 2.9 5.1
7 Andre Pallante 0.0363 0.0290 0.0234 8.9 4.1 4.8
8 Gerrit Cole 0.0428 0.0519 0.0609 9.3 4.5 4.8
9 Jonathan Loáisiga 0.0496 0.0322 0.0151 9.1 4.6 4.5
10 J.T. Ginn 0.0524 0.0411 0.0433 5.5 1.0 4.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Andrew Abbott 0.0585 0.0539 0.0498 6.7 3.3 3.4
2 Martín Pérez 0.0474 0.0424 0.0326 9.1 6.1 3.0
3 Logan Gilbert 0.0457 0.0498 0.0593 9.8 6.8 2.9
4 Gavin Williams 0.0411 0.0448 0.0650 17.3 14.7 2.6
5 Shane Drohan 0.0506 0.0460 0.0395 6.1 3.6 2.5
6 Andrew Alvarez 0.0389 0.0347 0.0230 7.8 5.8 2.1
7 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0394 0.0428 0.0566 10.2 8.2 2.0
8 Griffin Canning 0.0447 0.0499 0.0543 3.5 1.6 2.0
9 Ranger Suarez 0.0374 0.0344 0.0239 8.7 6.7 1.9
10 Peter Lambert 0.0476 0.0450 0.0387 6.3 4.5 1.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Justin Bruihl 0.0445 0.0319 0.0158 10.0 5.7 4.3
2 Drew Anderson 0.0379 0.0456 0.0546 7.5 3.9 3.6
3 Shota Imanaga 0.0556 0.0600 0.0717 11.2 8.0 3.2
4 Walbert Ureña 0.0441 0.0391 0.0246 12.3 9.3 2.9
5 Noah Schultz 0.0297 0.0383 0.0507 6.7 3.9 2.9
6 Randy Dobnak 0.0462 0.0379 0.0289 5.6 3.0 2.6
7 Julian Garcia 0.0445 0.0587 0.0593 2.6 0.0 2.6
8 Evan Sisk 0.0445 0.0313 0.0177 5.3 2.8 2.6
9 Christian Scott 0.0548 0.0492 0.0423 6.0 3.5 2.6
10 Jake Bennett 0.0445 0.0390 0.0353 4.3 1.9 2.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Andrew Abbott 0.0587 0.0539 0.0498 6.8 3.3 3.5
2 Logan Gilbert 0.0462 0.0498 0.0593 9.5 6.8 2.7
3 Julian Garcia 0.0445 0.0587 0.0593 2.6 0.0 2.5
4 Drew Anderson 0.0403 0.0456 0.0546 6.3 3.9 2.4
5 Shota Imanaga 0.0570 0.0600 0.0717 10.1 8.0 2.1
6 Foster Griffin 0.0394 0.0423 0.0453 3.9 1.8 2.1
7 Sean Manaea 0.0494 0.0522 0.0557 3.8 2.0 1.8
8 Merrill Kelly 0.0422 0.0445 0.0542 8.1 6.5 1.6
9 Anthony Kay 0.0378 0.0432 0.0421 2.7 1.1 1.6
10 Landen Roupp 0.0381 0.0357 0.0253 8.7 7.1 1.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.0445 0.0347 0.0255 10.2 5.2 5.1
2 Sonny Gray 0.0493 0.0434 0.0331 11.1 7.3 3.7
3 Sean Burke 0.0603 0.0552 0.0413 13.6 10.3 3.3
4 Reid Detmers 0.0551 0.0503 0.0399 11.2 8.0 3.2
5 Dylan Cease 0.0517 0.0466 0.0301 14.8 11.6 3.2
6 Jack Perkins 0.0356 0.0411 0.0676 17.3 14.1 3.1
7 Walbert Ureña 0.0445 0.0391 0.0246 12.5 9.3 3.1
8 Jacob deGrom 0.0563 0.0515 0.0477 5.8 2.8 3.0
9 Nick Martinez 0.0488 0.0445 0.0377 8.1 5.2 2.9
10 Julian Garcia 0.0445 0.0587 0.0593 2.6 0.0 2.6

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0514 0.0431 0.0380 9.3 3.9 5.5
2 Shane Baz 0.0567 0.0498 0.0275 22.5 17.5 5.0
3 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.0445 0.0347 0.0255 10.2 5.2 5.0
4 Davis Martin 0.0541 0.0469 0.0319 13.7 9.6 4.1
5 Drew Rasmussen 0.0468 0.0405 0.0307 10.7 6.9 3.9
6 Robbie Ray 0.0572 0.0519 0.0462 7.7 4.3 3.4
7 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0271 0.0305 0.0330 5.1 1.8 3.3
8 Walbert Ureña 0.0445 0.0391 0.0246 12.4 9.3 3.1
9 Reid Detmers 0.0547 0.0503 0.0399 10.9 8.0 2.9
10 Sandy Alcantara 0.0419 0.0383 0.0357 5.5 2.7 2.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jeffrey Springs 0.0469 0.0556 0.0768 17.8 13.0 4.8
2 Spencer Miles 0.0606 0.0498 0.0186 16.9 12.3 4.6
3 Anthony Kay 0.0472 0.0432 0.0421 4.7 1.1 3.6
4 Michael Wacha 0.0402 0.0454 0.0506 7.3 3.9 3.4
5 Walker Buehler 0.0521 0.0484 0.0482 3.5 0.4 3.1
6 Kyle Bradish 0.0366 0.0423 0.0441 4.0 0.9 3.1
7 Parker Messick 0.0467 0.0437 0.0339 10.6 7.6 3.0
8 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0480 0.0452 0.0326 13.2 10.3 3.0
9 Kyle Freeland 0.0442 0.0499 0.0618 9.9 7.1 2.9
10 Shane Drohan 0.0502 0.0460 0.0395 6.4 3.6 2.8

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Keider Montero 0.2336
0.2927
(34.7)
0.2907
(33.8)
0.2901
(32.2)
0.2918
(35.2)
0.2909
(35.1)
0.2885
(31.1)
0.2932
(31.9)
0.2872
(34.0)
0.2872
(34.0)
0.2880
(33.0)
George Kirby 0.3359
0.2916
(35.4)
0.2875
(38.1)
0.2884
(38.8)
0.2972
(30.0)
0.2772
(44.4)
0.2955
(33.8)
0.2897
(40.6)
0.2818
(39.5)
0.2864
(36.0)
0.2902
(35.0)
Michael Wacha 0.2451
0.2874
(31.5)
0.2881
(32.5)
0.2897
(32.3)
0.2851
(31.0)
0.2981
(42.1)
0.2914
(33.3)
0.2943
(33.0)
0.2784
(27.6)
0.2814
(30.1)
0.2860
(31.9)
Matthew Liberatore 0.3356
0.2937
(30.6)
0.2913
(31.9)
0.2912
(33.3)
0.2968
(27.4)
0.2855
(34.6)
0.2903
(34.1)
0.2957
(32.7)
0.2920
(28.9)
0.2927
(28.4)
0.2891
(32.5)
Cristopher Sánchez 0.3327
0.2967
(33.8)
0.2971
(33.1)
0.2976
(34.3)
0.2976
(31.7)
0.2915
(36.3)
0.2992
(33.2)
0.3024
(33.3)
0.2962
(30.7)
0.2994
(27.9)
0.2941
(34.5)
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2166
0.2823
(44.1)
0.2845
(45.9)
0.2846
(44.7)
0.2690
(35.8)
0.2864
(48.6)
0.2838
(43.9)
0.2996
(52.7)
0.2842
(48.4)
0.2868
(50.3)
0.2679
(35.2)
Michael Lorenzen 0.3655
0.3019
(41.5)
0.3043
(39.7)
0.3032
(41.6)
0.2806
(53.7)
0.3153
(31.7)
0.2975
(45.3)
0.3125
(38.1)
0.2980
(41.3)
0.3105
(33.5)
0.2943
(45.1)

Individual Misses for BABIP

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Seth Lugo 0.2905 0.3333 34.7
2 Tanner Gordon 0.3112 0.3724 30.6
3 Trey Yesavage 0.2831 0.2140 26.3
4 Jacob Misiorowski 0.2793 0.2370 25.9
5 Patrick Sandoval 0.3049 0.3816 25.7
6 Jacob Latz 0.2805 0.1824 25.7
7 Gage Jump 0.2906 0.3446 25.1
8 DL Hall 0.2845 0.1778 24.9
9 Gordon Graceffo 0.2990 0.2192 24.9
10 Cam Schlittler 0.2863 0.2506 24.6

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Seth Lugo 0.2924 0.3333 33.0
2 Tanner Gordon 0.3129 0.3724 29.6
3 Walbert Ureña 0.3105 0.2626 28.1
4 Jacob Misiorowski 0.2810 0.2370 27.2
5 Patrick Sandoval 0.3009 0.3816 26.9
6 Martín Pérez 0.3008 0.2530 26.7
7 Jacob Latz 0.2793 0.1824 25.4
8 Trey Yesavage 0.2802 0.2140 25.3
9 DL Hall 0.2841 0.1778 24.9
10 Cam Schlittler 0.2857 0.2506 24.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tanner Gordon 0.3068 0.3724 33.4
2 Seth Lugo 0.2957 0.3333 31.9
3 Cal Quantrill 0.3077 0.2390 28.3
4 Jacob Latz 0.2879 0.1824 27.3
5 Jacob Misiorowski 0.2827 0.2370 27.2
6 Patrick Sandoval 0.3058 0.3816 25.9
7 Kyle Harrison 0.2862 0.3322