2018 Projection Evaluation

Summary

Batting

System	PA raw	wOBA	SO	BB	HR	R	RBI	SB	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System	BF raw	wOBA	ERA	SO	BB	HR	W	L	SV	HLD	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Everybody Missed for Plate Appearances (PA)

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brandon Phillips	27	505 (478.2)	547 (520.0)	472 (445.4)	538 (511.0)
Corey Seager	115	638 (522.8)	592 (477.0)	610 (494.5)	666 (551.0)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	1	494	493.0
2	Dustin Pedroia	477	13	464.2
3	Byron Buxton	554	94	460.2
4	Chase Headley	490	60	430.1
5	J.P. Crawford	566	138	428.3
6	Willie Calhoun	514	108	405.8
7	Bradley Zimmer	514	114	400.0
8	Miguel Cabrera	532	157	375.3
9	Josh Donaldson	594	219	374.6
10	Yoenis Cespedes	528	157	370.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dustin Pedroia	492	13	479.0
2	Chase Headley	538	60	478.0
3	Brian Anderson	253	670	417.0
4	Brandon Drury	499	86	413.0
5	Byron Buxton	500	94	406.0
6	Travis d'Arnaud	416	16	400.0
7	Miguel Andujar	211	606	395.0
8	Juan Soto	100	494	394.0
9	Ronald Acuña Jr.	100	487	387.0
10	Gleyber Torres	100	484	384.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jesús Aguilar	13	566	552.9
2	Juan Soto	1	494	493.0
3	Max Muncy	1	481	480.0
4	Niko Goodrum	14	492	477.7
5	Byron Buxton	570	94	476.4
6	Dustin Pedroia	456	13	443.4
7	Daniel Palka	13	449	436.1
8	Brian Anderson	239	670	431.3
9	Ronald Guzmán	19	428	408.6
10	Bradley Zimmer	520	114	405.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rio Ruiz	579	15	564.0
2	Myles Straw	558	10	548.0
3	AJ Reed	551	3	548.0
4	Blake Trahan	555	14	541.0
5	Tim Locastro	550	14	536.0
6	Christian Walker	587	53	534.0
7	Ildemaro Vargas	547	20	527.0
8	Jack Reinheimer	562	35	527.0
9	Richard Urena	632	108	524.0
10	Raimel Tapia	551	27	524.0

Most Unique Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Scott Kingery	100	498	484	384.0	14.1	369.9
2	Ronald Acuña Jr.	100	513	487	387.0	26.4	360.6
3	Ozzie Albies	337	652	684	347.0	31.5	315.5
4	Rhys Hoskins	313	619	660	347.0	40.8	306.2
5	Mark Reynolds	531	242	235	296.0	6.5	289.5
6	Jeimer Candelario	279	563	619	340.0	55.8	284.2
7	Yoán Moncada	329	601	650	321.0	49.3	271.7
8	Amed Rosario	295	565	592	297.0	27.1	269.9
9	Jake Bauers	100	367	388	288.0	21.2	266.8
10	Gleyber Torres	100	364	484	384.0	120.4	263.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Bautista	1	282	399	398.0	116.5	281.5
2	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	12	292	396	383.5	103.8	279.8
3	Willy Adames	32	311	323	290.6	11.8	278.8
4	Franmil Reyes	1	290	285	284.0	5.5	278.5
5	Ronald Guzmán	19	284	428	408.6	143.8	264.8
6	David Fletcher	1	240	307	306.0	66.5	239.5
7	Greg Allen	13	249	291	277.9	41.9	235.9
8	Daniel Palka	13	248	449	436.1	200.6	235.6
9	Harrison Bader	69	304	427	358.4	123.2	235.2
10	Jake Cave	32	267	309	276.6	42.3	234.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Richard Urena	632	326	108	524.0	217.9	306.1
2	Christian Walker	587	297	53	534.0	243.7	290.3
3	Franmil Reyes	580	290	285	295.0	5.5	289.5
4	Garrett Hampson	567	284	48	519.0	236.0	283.0
5	Myles Straw	558	280	10	548.0	269.5	278.5
6	Tyler O'Neill	570	292	142	428.0	149.6	278.4
7	Jack Reinheimer	562	284	35	527.0	249.2	277.8
8	Blake Trahan	555	278	14	541.0	264.0	277.0
9	Luis Guillorme	565	292	74	491.0	218.4	272.6
10	Ildemaro Vargas	547	277	20	527.0	256.7	270.3

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brandon Nimmo	0.3864	0.3084 (43.1)	0.3289 (34.8)	0.3094 (43.4)	0.3074 (43.1)
Mookie Betts	0.4520	0.3711 (51.3)	0.3530 (65.5)	0.3762 (49.1)	0.3660 (53.7)
Trevor Story	0.3852	0.3371 (33.3)	0.3421 (33.3)	0.3393 (32.8)	0.3348 (34.1)
Chris Davis	0.2407	0.3403 (50.6)	0.3426 (49.2)	0.3460 (52.9)	0.3346 (48.2)
Juan Soto	0.3970	0.2684 (64.8)	0.3206 (41.5)	0.2686 (65.4)	0.3206 (38.5)
Alex Bregman	0.3965	0.3465 (37.1)	0.3428 (43.2)	0.3494 (36.0)	0.3435 (38.4)
Max Muncy	0.4106	0.2948 (57.0)	0.3015 (56.2)	0.2892 (60.4)	0.3004 (53.7)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3888	0.3318 (29.0)	0.3206 (36.9)	0.3336 (28.9)	0.3301 (29.3)
Christian Yelich	0.4228	0.3688 (36.9)	0.3506 (52.0)	0.3735 (34.8)	0.3642 (39.1)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.4257	0.3620	43.0
2	Kyle Seager	0.3497	0.2897	36.1
3	Jesús Aguilar	0.3145	0.3755	36.0
4	Joey Wendle	0.2787	0.3391	34.4
5	Javier Báez	0.3220	0.3698	32.6
6	Jonathan Lucroy	0.3440	0.2712	31.8
7	Matt Chapman	0.3219	0.3692	30.8
8	Johan Camargo	0.2930	0.3489	30.7
9	Mitch Haniger	0.3273	0.3685	29.9
10	Carlos Correa	0.3817	0.3157	29.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Ramírez	0.3571	0.3979	33.8
2	J.D. Martinez	0.3886	0.4319	33.1
3	Eugenio Suárez	0.3343	0.3800	32.3
4	Javier Báez	0.3282	0.3698	31.8
5	Eduardo Escobar	0.3091	0.3504	30.9
6	Mike Trout	0.4135	0.4558	30.4
7	Matt Chapman	0.3292	0.3692	29.4
8	Manny Machado	0.3511	0.3845	29.1
9	Jurickson Profar	0.3009	0.3417	28.8
10	Shohei Ohtani	0.3206	0.3902	28.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.4280	0.3620	43.7
2	Jesús Aguilar	0.3123	0.3755	38.0
3	Joey Wendle	0.2749	0.3391	37.2
4	J.D. Martinez	0.3839	0.4319	33.8
5	Matt Chapman	0.3195	0.3692	33.1
6	Kyle Seager	0.3456	0.2897	32.6
7	Scooter Gennett	0.3156	0.3615	31.9
8	Mitch Haniger	0.3265	0.3685	31.5
9	Miguel Andujar	0.3161	0.3621	30.3
10	Eugenio Suárez	0.3351	0.3800	29.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.4234	0.3620	42.2
2	Kyle Seager	0.3538	0.2897	39.4
3	Javier Báez	0.3137	0.3698	37.2
4	Johan Camargo	0.2808	0.3489	36.5
5	Jonathan Lucroy	0.3529	0.2712	36.4
6	Jesús Aguilar	0.3167	0.3755	34.1
7	Joey Wendle	0.2824	0.3391	31.7
8	Carlos Correa	0.3847	0.3157	31.6
9	Brian Dozier	0.3526	0.3045	29.5
10	Mallex Smith	0.2827	0.3351	29.3

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ketel Marte	0.3009	0.3258	0.3314	22.1	4.8	17.3
2	Christian Yelich	0.3506	0.3688	0.4228	52.0	36.9	15.1
3	Nick Castellanos	0.3352	0.3517	0.3654	25.7	11.1	14.6
4	Mookie Betts	0.3530	0.3711	0.4520	65.5	51.3	14.2
5	Mike Trout	0.4135	0.4316	0.4558	30.4	16.3	14.1
6	Manny Machado	0.3511	0.3654	0.3845	29.1	15.4	13.7
7	Rosell Herrera	0.3206	0.2704	0.2653	14.4	0.8	13.7
8	Andrew Benintendi	0.3357	0.3513	0.3568	19.0	5.4	13.6
9	Francisco Lindor	0.3450	0.3578	0.3699	24.2	11.0	13.3
10	Maikel Franco	0.3135	0.3364	0.3337	13.0	0.0	13.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Gleyber Torres	0.3021	0.3154	0.3506	25.4	18.3	7.1
2	Nick Castellanos	0.3428	0.3517	0.3654	18.0	11.1	7.0
3	J.D. Martinez	0.3839	0.3911	0.4319	33.8	28.2	5.6
4	Marcell Ozuna	0.3732	0.3635	0.3272	26.3	21.1	5.2
5	Khris Davis	0.3481	0.3544	0.3677	15.4	10.5	5.0
6	Ian Desmond	0.3441	0.3354	0.3146	15.8	11.2	4.5
7	Carlos González	0.3586	0.3490	0.3409	6.9	2.7	4.2
8	Freddy Galvis	0.2901	0.2950	0.2948	5.7	1.6	4.1
9	Renato Núñez	0.2930	0.3066	0.3218	8.6	4.7	3.9
10	Trea Turner	0.3458	0.3392	0.3317	7.4	3.5	3.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Charlie Blackmon	0.3879	0.3779	0.3681	12.7	5.0	7.7
2	Cody Bellinger	0.3844	0.3734	0.3501	20.8	13.1	7.7
3	Manny Machado	0.3538	0.3654	0.3845	22.9	15.4	7.5
4	Johan Camargo	0.2808	0.2930	0.3489	36.5	30.7	5.8
5	Nelson Cruz	0.3525	0.3625	0.3636	7.4	2.2	5.2
6	Adam Duvall	0.3328	0.3231	0.2803	21.8	17.1	4.7
7	Jonathan Lucroy	0.3529	0.3440	0.2712	36.4	31.8	4.6
8	Javier Báez	0.3137	0.3220	0.3698	37.2	32.6	4.6
9	Yoán Moncada	0.3250	0.3194	0.3109	8.2	3.8	4.4
10	Yonder Alonso	0.3615	0.3551	0.3197	23.1	18.8	4.3

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Trevor Story	0.2561	0.3155 (43.2)	0.3068 (38.9)	0.3014 (35.2)	0.3297 (51.2)
Travis Shaw	0.1840	0.2331 (32.7)	0.2326 (33.5)	0.2342 (34.4)	0.2321 (30.9)
Corey Dickerson	0.1501	0.2336 (48.0)	0.2373 (51.0)	0.2293 (46.8)	0.2378 (49.1)
Austin Jackson	0.3547	0.2136 (50.4)	0.2149 (49.2)	0.2212 (46.9)	0.2061 (54.0)
Nick Markakis	0.1135	0.1577 (35.7)	0.1551 (35.4)	0.1596 (38.5)	0.1557 (32.9)
Alex Bregman	0.1206	0.1555 (29.2)	0.1815 (49.0)	0.1524 (28.4)	0.1585 (29.9)
Ian Happ	0.3615	0.2811 (34.1)	0.2745 (36.3)	0.2724 (37.2)	0.2899 (31.0)
Enrique Hernández	0.1688	0.2335 (32.9)	0.2300 (32.2)	0.2345 (34.3)	0.2326 (31.5)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Chapman	0.3034	0.2370	44.9
2	Chris Taylor	0.2277	0.2947	36.5
3	Ronald Guzmán	0.1914	0.2827	36.3
4	J.D. Martinez	0.2694	0.2250	33.1
5	Victor Martinez	0.1533	0.0965	32.2
6	Joc Pederson	0.2573	0.1919	31.9
7	Adrian Beltré	0.1294	0.1996	30.6
8	Jean Segura	0.1508	0.1092	30.4
9	Brian Anderson	0.2311	0.1925	30.2
10	Kyle Seager	0.1669	0.2190	28.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Palka	0.2169	0.3408	51.8
2	Jorge Alfaro	0.2453	0.3660	42.3
3	Jurickson Profar	0.2059	0.1481	39.4
4	Jean Segura	0.1583	0.1092	36.4
5	Max Kepler	0.2070	0.1571	35.7
6	Brian Anderson	0.2372	0.1925	35.6
7	David Fletcher	0.2169	0.1107	35.2
8	Robinson Chirinos	0.2377	0.3286	35.1
9	José Peraza	0.1523	0.1098	34.8
10	Jake Cave	0.2169	0.3301	32.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Chapman	0.2902	0.2370	38.0
2	Victor Martinez	0.1586	0.0965	35.9
3	Chris Taylor	0.2275	0.2947	35.5
4	J.D. Martinez	0.2701	0.2250	34.8
5	Ronald Guzmán	0.1969	0.2827	33.1
6	Bryce Harper	0.1881	0.2432	32.4
7	Jean Segura	0.1517	0.1092	32.2
8	Joey Wendle	0.2214	0.1761	29.3
9	Luis Valbuena	0.2429	0.3472	27.6
10	Joc Pederson	0.2452	0.1919	27.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Chapman	0.3167	0.2370	51.8
2	Ronald Guzmán	0.1858	0.2827	39.6
3	Chris Taylor	0.2280	0.2947	37.6
4	Joc Pederson	0.2695	0.1919	36.4
5	Adrian Beltré	0.1233	0.1996	34.6
6	Brian Anderson	0.2389	0.1925	34.1
7	J.D. Martinez	0.2687	0.2250	31.3
8	Kyle Seager	0.1661	0.2190	30.5
9	AJ Pollock	0.1471	0.2174	30.3
10	Yoán Moncada	0.2832	0.3338	30.0

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Daniel Palka	0.2169	0.3167	0.3408	51.8	7.9	43.9
2	Jurickson Profar	0.2059	0.1461	0.1481	39.4	2.6	36.7
3	Jorge Alfaro	0.2453	0.3264	0.3660	42.3	12.5	29.8
4	Miguel Andujar	0.2038	0.1610	0.1601	31.7	4.5	27.2
5	Amed Rosario	0.2441	0.2034	0.2010	30.5	5.2	25.3
6	Ketel Marte	0.1775	0.1371	0.1362	28.9	4.3	24.6
7	David Fletcher	0.2169	0.1391	0.1107	35.2	10.7	24.5
8	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.2169	0.1422	0.1566	27.3	3.1	24.2
9	Max Muncy	0.2140	0.2583	0.2723	24.0	3.6	20.4
10	Alex Bregman	0.1815	0.1555	0.1206	49.0	29.2	19.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nicky Delmonico	0.2104	0.2411	0.2516	10.4	1.3	9.2
2	Teoscar Hernández	0.2560	0.2709	0.3117	24.7	17.9	6.7
3	José A. Martínez	0.1914	0.1822	0.1763	13.9	7.3	6.6
4	Michael Brantley	0.1295	0.1213	0.0951	27.0	20.6	6.4
5	Daniel Palka	0.3008	0.3167	0.3408	14.1	7.9	6.3
6	Whit Merrifield	0.1659	0.1594	0.1612	9.3	3.3	6.0
7	Lucas Duda	0.2495	0.2752	0.2779	7.3	1.4	5.9
8	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2612	0.2714	0.2993	20.9	15.1	5.8
9	Yonder Alonso	0.1902	0.2136	0.2143	8.9	3.4	5.6
10	Jake Cave	0.2622	0.2818	0.3301	18.4	12.9	5.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Gallo	0.3945	0.3697	0.3588	23.2	10.1	13.1
2	Yonder Alonso	0.2370	0.2136	0.2143	15.6	3.4	12.3
3	Gleyber Torres	0.2746	0.2515	0.2521	13.1	2.9	10.2
4	Lucas Duda	0.3009	0.2752	0.2779	10.1	1.4	8.7
5	Juan Soto	0.2169	0.1980	0.2004	10.4	2.0	8.3
6	Trevor Story	0.3297	0.3155	0.2561	51.2	43.2	8.0
7	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2828	0.2649	0.2526	16.9	9.2	7.8
8	Matt Chapman	0.3167	0.3034	0.2370	51.8	44.9	6.9
9	Nicky Delmonico	0.2718	0.2411	0.2516	7.9	1.3	6.6
10	Matt Olson	0.2814	0.2695	0.2470	25.7	19.2	6.5

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mookie Betts	0.1319	0.0960 (19.4)	0.0844 (27.8)	0.0984 (19.0)	0.0936 (19.8)
Kyle Seager	0.0603	0.0919 (22.7)	0.0900 (20.1)	0.0960 (24.1)	0.0878 (21.1)
Lorenzo Cain	0.1145	0.0733 (22.8)	0.0749 (23.2)	0.0758 (22.4)	0.0708 (23.3)
Chris Davis	0.0785	0.1203 (24.1)	0.1183 (22.0)	0.1260 (26.1)	0.1146 (22.0)
Travis Shaw	0.1329	0.0892 (23.1)	0.0877 (25.2)	0.0929 (21.9)	0.0855 (24.2)
Juan Soto	0.1599	0.0520 (51.1)	0.0863 (35.2)	0.0520 (52.0)	0.0863 (33.4)
José Ramírez	0.1519	0.0804 (46.8)	0.0790 (49.3)	0.0831 (46.2)	0.0778 (47.5)
Alex Bregman	0.1362	0.0875 (31.3)	0.0835 (35.5)	0.0899 (30.8)	0.0850 (31.8)
Justin Bour	0.1457	0.1028 (19.3)	0.0989 (22.3)	0.1035 (19.9)	0.1021 (18.8)
Max Muncy	0.1642	0.1044 (26.7)	0.0977 (30.9)	0.1034 (28.0)	0.1054 (25.4)
Ian Happ	0.1515	0.0897 (26.5)	0.0907 (27.0)	0.0895 (27.4)	0.0899 (25.7)
Aaron Hicks	0.1549	0.1156 (20.3)	0.1031 (28.8)	0.1154 (21.4)	0.1158 (19.2)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.1356	0.1075	22.9
2	Johan Camargo	0.0500	0.0973	22.5
3	Joc Pederson	0.1362	0.0903	22.3
4	Whit Merrifield	0.0511	0.0863	21.8
5	Stephen Piscotty	0.0994	0.0694	20.8
6	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0433	0.0153	19.1
7	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1216	0.0993	18.8
8	Yonder Alonso	0.1168	0.0889	18.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Andujar	0.0853	0.0413	28.1
2	Mike Trout	0.1534	0.2007	27.3
3	César Hernández	0.0993	0.1342	23.1
4	Matt Davidson	0.0562	0.1048	23.0
5	Bryce Harper	0.1525	0.1871	22.4
6	Ozzie Albies	0.0831	0.0526	22.4
7	Lewis Brinson	0.0897	0.0419	20.4
8	Trea Turner	0.0642	0.0932	19.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Johan Camargo	0.0508	0.0973	23.0
2	Freddie Freeman	0.1351	0.1075	21.3
3	Joc Pederson	0.1355	0.0903	21.2
4	Stephen Piscotty	0.1014	0.0694	20.9
5	Whit Merrifield	0.0543	0.0863	20.8
6	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0475	0.0153	20.4
7	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1566	0.1304	19.9
8	Anthony Rendon	0.1211	0.0921	18.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.1360	0.1075	24.5
2	Joc Pederson	0.1368	0.0903	23.3
3	Whit Merrifield	0.0478	0.0863	22.9
4	Johan Camargo	0.0491	0.0973	22.1
5	Yonder Alonso	0.1206	0.0889	21.7
6	Stephen Piscotty	0.0973	0.0694	20.5
7	Edwin Encarnación	0.1352	0.1088	18.8
8	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1197	0.0993	18.7

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Andujar	0.0853	0.0509	0.0413	28.1	8.5	19.6
2	Scott Kingery	0.0863	0.0558	0.0496	18.9	5.1	13.8
3	Mike Trout	0.1534	0.1715	0.2007	27.3	15.1	12.3
4	David Fletcher	0.0863	0.0443	0.0489	12.2	0.1	12.1
5	Carlos Santana	0.1357	0.1501	0.1620	16.3	5.1	11.2
6	Bryce Harper	0.1525	0.1629	0.1871	22.4	13.7	8.7
7	Victor Reyes	0.0863	0.0451	0.0228	14.4	5.8	8.6
8	Aaron Hicks	0.1031	0.1156	0.1549	28.8	20.3	8.5
9	Mookie Betts	0.0844	0.0960	0.1319	27.8	19.4	8.4
10	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.0863	0.0537	0.0342	14.3	6.3	8.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Javier Báez	0.0618	0.0565	0.0450	12.5	10.3	2.2
2	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0624	0.0649	0.0924	13.4	11.3	2.1
3	Mike Trout	0.1699	0.1715	0.2007	17.1	15.1	2.0
4	Chris Davis	0.1260	0.1203	0.0785	26.1	24.1	2.0
5	Brandon Nimmo	0.1143	0.1162	0.1495	17.5	15.5	2.0
6	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1566	0.1520	0.1304	19.9	17.9	2.0
7	AJ Pollock	0.0834	0.0780	0.0674	8.5	6.9	1.7
8	Aledmys Díaz	0.0647	0.0593	0.0509	7.4	5.8	1.6
9	Albert Pujols	0.0693	0.0645	0.0562	7.8	6.3	1.5
10	Kyle Seager	0.0960	0.0919	0.0603	24.1	22.7	1.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.0623	0.0558	0.0401	16.1	11.5	4.6
2	Francisco Arcia	0.0863	0.0580	0.0094	8.8	5.6	3.2
3	Yonder Alonso	0.1206	0.1168	0.0889	21.7	18.6	3.1
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.0817	0.0910	0.1008	4.8	2.0	2.8
5	Gleyber Torres	0.0915	0.0874	0.0868	5.2	2.4	2.8
6	José Briceño	0.0863	0.0470	0.0625	3.8	1.4	2.4
7	Mike Moustakas	0.0626	0.0679	0.0772	5.4	3.1	2.3
8	A.J. Ellis	0.0774	0.0912	0.1421	10.7	8.5	2.2
9	Eric Thames	0.1260	0.1206	0.1043	7.7	5.7	2.0
10	José Bautista	0.1241	0.1306	0.1679	15.1	13.2	1.9

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brandon Nimmo	0.0411	0.0087 (16.6)	0.0093 (16.5)	0.0090 (16.5)	0.0084 (16.8)
Willson Contreras	0.0239	0.0103 (6.7)	0.0089 (7.6)	0.0100 (6.8)	0.0105 (6.5)
Starlin Castro	0.0000	0.0075 (5.8)	0.0080 (5.9)	0.0080 (6.1)	0.0071 (5.5)
Francisco Cervelli	0.0371	0.0166 (7.7)	0.0155 (8.3)	0.0140 (8.8)	0.0192 (6.7)
Carlos Gómez	0.0515	0.0242 (10.6)	0.0221 (11.6)	0.0200 (12.3)	0.0284 (8.9)
Brian Anderson	0.0239	0.0126 (6.7)	0.0079 (10.0)	0.0110 (7.7)	0.0142 (5.6)
Salvador Perez	0.0221	0.0098 (6.0)	0.0099 (6.0)	0.0100 (5.8)	0.0095 (6.1)
Chance Sisco	0.0598	0.0143 (8.1)	0.0137 (8.3)	0.0100 (8.9)	0.0186 (7.3)
Paul DeJong	0.0245	0.0108 (6.0)	0.0093 (6.9)	0.0100 (6.4)	0.0116 (5.6)
C.J. Cron	0.0304	0.0143 (8.2)	0.0138 (8.7)	0.0140 (8.4)	0.0146 (8.1)
Robinson Chirinos	0.0446	0.0220 (9.1)	0.0219 (9.2)	0.0180 (10.8)	0.0259 (7.4)
Jorge Alfaro	0.0371	0.0175 (6.9)	0.0151 (7.9)	0.0150 (7.8)	0.0201 (5.9)
Mitch Moreland	0.0000	0.0120 (6.1)	0.0132 (6.5)	0.0120 (6.1)	0.0119 (6.1)
Kris Bryant	0.0372	0.0199 (7.3)	0.0196 (7.6)	0.0190 (7.7)	0.0209 (6.8)
Daniel Robertson	0.0382	0.0169 (6.8)	0.0119 (8.6)	0.0140 (7.8)	0.0197 (5.8)
Starling Marte	0.0132	0.0264 (8.8)	0.0238 (7.1)	0.0230 (6.8)	0.0298 (10.8)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	George Springer	0.0164	0.0081	6.0
2	JaCoby Jones	0.0107	0.0236	5.4
3	Christian Villanueva	0.0087	0.0234	5.1
4	Kole Calhoun	0.0098	0.0018	5.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yoán Moncada	0.0122	0.0015	7.6
2	Harrison Bader	0.0079	0.0258	7.2
3	Joey Wendle	0.0046	0.0165	5.9
4	Juan Soto	0.0106	0.0000	5.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	JaCoby Jones	0.0100	0.0236	5.7
2	Nick Markakis	0.0080	0.0014	5.6
3	Nelson Cruz	0.0130	0.0237	5.5
4	Kurt Suzuki	0.0180	0.0335	5.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	George Springer	0.0179	0.0081	6.9
2	Derek Dietrich	0.0481	0.0381	6.3
3	Juan Soto	0.0106	0.0000	5.9
4	Mookie Betts	0.0028	0.0130	5.5

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Wendle	0.0046	0.0117	0.0165	5.9	1.9	4.0
2	Harrison Bader	0.0079	0.0158	0.0258	7.2	3.7	3.5
3	Brian Anderson	0.0079	0.0126	0.0239	10.0	6.7	3.3
4	Yoán Moncada	0.0122	0.0080	0.0015	7.6	5.1	2.5
5	Daniel Palka	0.0106	0.0051	0.0045	3.3	0.9	2.4
6	Ozzie Albies	0.0119	0.0083	0.0073	3.9	1.6	2.3
7	Erik Kratz	0.0049	0.0147	0.0320	5.7	3.5	2.2
8	Shohei Ohtani	0.0106	0.0049	0.0054	2.3	0.3	2.0
9	Jon Jay	0.0223	0.0253	0.0307	4.3	2.4	1.9
10	Daniel Robertson	0.0119	0.0169	0.0382	8.6	6.8	1.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jon Jay	0.0200	0.0253	0.0307	5.5	2.4	3.1
2	Carlos Gómez	0.0200	0.0242	0.0515	12.3	10.6	1.7
3	Robinson Chirinos	0.0180	0.0220	0.0446	10.8	9.1	1.7
4	Martín Maldonado	0.0200	0.0240	0.0272	2.4	0.8	1.6
5	Harrison Bader	0.0130	0.0158	0.0258	4.9	3.7	1.2
6	Aaron Hicks	0.0060	0.0042	0.0052	1.3	0.2	1.1
7	Francisco Cervelli	0.0140	0.0166	0.0371	8.8	7.7	1.1
8	Jeff McNeil	0.0120	0.0163	0.0202	1.7	0.6	1.1
9	Brian Anderson	0.0110	0.0126	0.0239	7.7	6.7	1.1
10	Daniel Robertson	0.0140	0.0169	0.0382	7.8	6.8	1.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Derek Dietrich	0.0481	0.0416	0.0381	6.3	2.6	3.6
2	Starling Marte	0.0298	0.0264	0.0132	10.8	8.8	2.0
3	Brandon Guyer	0.0612	0.0526	0.0498	2.8	0.9	1.9
4	Greg Allen	0.0330	0.0270	0.0241	3.0	1.2	1.7
5	Devin Mesoraco	0.0249	0.0194	0.0146	3.2	1.7	1.5
6	Mike Zunino	0.0232	0.0196	0.0148	3.9	2.5	1.5
7	Scott Schebler	0.0254	0.0222	0.0209	2.5	1.1	1.4
8	Anthony Rizzo	0.0319	0.0300	0.0301	2.1	0.8	1.3
9	Juan Soto	0.0106	0.0080	0.0000	5.9	4.6	1.3
10	A.J. Ellis	0.0258	0.0194	0.0055	4.0	2.8	1.2

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jesús Aguilar	0.0975	0.0628 (19.8)	0.0647 (19.1)	0.0641 (19.2)	0.0615 (20.6)
Chris Davis	0.0567	0.1119 (28.6)	0.0969 (20.5)	0.1123 (28.8)	0.1115 (28.4)
Christian Yelich	0.0816	0.0491 (21.4)	0.0375 (29.3)	0.0525 (19.2)	0.0457 (23.7)
José Ramírez	0.0774	0.0393 (26.8)	0.0381 (28.1)	0.0403 (26.2)	0.0383 (27.5)
Cody Bellinger	0.0611	0.0986 (23.5)	0.0924 (19.2)	0.0959 (21.7)	0.1013 (25.1)
Joey Votto	0.0296	0.0646 (21.6)	0.0673 (22.9)	0.0674 (23.3)	0.0617 (19.8)
Luke Voit	0.1500	0.0456 (16.9)	0.0440 (17.2)	0.0439 (17.2)	0.0473 (16.6)
Max Muncy	0.1316	0.0428 (42.9)	0.0408 (44.1)	0.0409 (43.8)	0.0447 (42.0)
David Peralta	0.0685	0.0381 (18.9)	0.0384 (19.1)	0.0381 (18.9)	0.0382 (18.9)
Matt Carpenter	0.0876	0.0518 (24.4)	0.0582 (20.5)	0.0509 (25.1)	0.0528 (23.8)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1538	0.0913	43.8
2	Freddie Freeman	0.0763	0.0467	20.6
3	Juan Soto	0.0283	0.0696	20.6
4	Addison Russell	0.0522	0.0154	16.9
5	Adam Jones	0.0583	0.0305	16.8
6	Johan Camargo	0.0215	0.0529	16.6
7	Mookie Betts	0.0473	0.0737	16.4
8	Jed Lowrie	0.0254	0.0488	16.1
9	Francisco Lindor	0.0467	0.0679	16.0
10	Kris Bryant	0.0809	0.0456	16.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daniel Palka	0.0463	0.1023	25.5
2	Matt Olson	0.1014	0.0692	20.7
3	Eugenio Suárez	0.0544	0.0870	20.3
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.0463	0.0973	19.0
5	Mookie Betts	0.0437	0.0737	19.0
6	Mike Trout	0.0811	0.1108	18.6
7	Willson Contreras	0.0631	0.0280	18.6
8	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0463	0.0831	18.3
9	Francisco Lindor	0.0443	0.0679	18.2
10	C.J. Cron	0.0514	0.0831	18.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1502	0.0913	41.2
2	Freddie Freeman	0.0771	0.0467	21.2
3	Gleyber Torres	0.0338	0.0762	20.7
4	Juan Soto	0.0288	0.0696	20.4
5	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0467	0.0831	17.9
6	Addison Russell	0.0540	0.0154	17.7
7	Daniel Palka	0.0632	0.1023	17.7
8	Adam Jones	0.0598	0.0305	17.7
9	Eugenio Suárez	0.0587	0.0870	17.4
10	Anthony Rizzo	0.0760	0.0505	16.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1576	0.0913	46.4
2	Freddie Freeman	0.0754	0.0467	20.0
3	Mookie Betts	0.0426	0.0737	19.4
4	Matt Olson	0.0976	0.0692	18.5
5	Francisco Lindor	0.0442	0.0679	17.9
6	Jed Lowrie	0.0232	0.0488	17.7
7	Johan Camargo	0.0200	0.0529	17.5
8	Matt Chapman	0.0882	0.0596	17.4
9	Kris Bryant	0.0827	0.0456	16.8
10	Addison Russell	0.0503	0.0154	16.0

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Joey Gallo	0.1155	0.1370	0.1365	12.6	0.1	12.6
2	Daniel Palka	0.0463	0.0717	0.1023	25.5	13.9	11.7
3	Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.0463	0.0103	0.0133	12.7	1.3	11.4
4	David Fletcher	0.0463	0.0092	0.0039	12.7	1.5	11.2
5	Mike Trout	0.0811	0.0980	0.1108	18.6	8.0	10.6
6	Amed Rosario	0.0392	0.0208	0.0204	10.6	0.0	10.6
7	Rosell Herrera	0.0463	0.0164	0.0045	12.4	3.5	8.9
8	Shohei Ohtani	0.0463	0.0677	0.0973	19.0	11.0	8.0
9	Christian Yelich	0.0375	0.0491	0.0816	29.3	21.4	7.9
10	Greg Allen	0.0443	0.0168	0.0094	9.9	2.1	7.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Gleyber Torres	0.0338	0.0481	0.0762	20.7	13.7	7.0
2	Joey Gallo	0.1294	0.1370	0.1365	4.3	0.1	4.2
3	Daniel Palka	0.0632	0.0717	0.1023	17.7	13.9	3.9
4	Manny Machado	0.0755	0.0706	0.0694	4.0	0.6	3.4
5	Albert Pujols	0.0568	0.0503	0.0471	4.6	1.4	3.2
6	Rhys Hoskins	0.0929	0.0880	0.0821	6.8	3.6	3.2
7	Charlie Blackmon	0.0546	0.0586	0.0586	3.1	0.2	2.8
8	Rafael Devers	0.0518	0.0575	0.0634	5.9	3.1	2.8
9	Trevor Story	0.0739	0.0781	0.0853	7.7	4.9	2.8
10	Joe Mauer	0.0276	0.0225	0.0149	6.7	4.0	2.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yonder Alonso	0.0782	0.0647	0.0578	11.5	3.8	7.7
2	Aaron Judge	0.1319	0.1217	0.1015	14.9	9.9	5.1
3	Joey Gallo	0.1453	0.1370	0.1365	4.8	0.1	4.8
4	J.D. Martinez	0.1095	0.1025	0.1000	5.9	1.4	4.5
5	Matt Chapman	0.0882	0.0823	0.0596	17.4	13.8	3.6
6	Trey Mancini	0.0651	0.0595	0.0553	6.0	2.5	3.5
7	Matt Olson	0.0976	0.0923	0.0692	18.5	15.0	3.5
8	Mookie Betts	0.0426	0.0473	0.0737	19.4	16.4	2.9
9	Kyle Schwarber	0.1076	0.1021	0.0893	9.1	6.4	2.8
10	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1576	0.1538	0.0913	46.4	43.8	2.6

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Mookie Betts	0.3682	0.3038 (41.3)	0.2973 (47.2)	0.3002 (43.6)	0.3074 (39.1)
Matt Chapman	0.3377	0.2769 (39.3)	0.2952 (30.0)	0.2743 (40.9)	0.2796 (37.6)
Joey Wendle	0.3510	0.2898 (34.9)	0.2961 (33.3)	0.2917 (33.9)	0.2878 (36.0)
Dexter Fowler	0.2095	0.3138 (33.9)	0.3149 (33.2)	0.3118 (33.2)	0.3158 (34.5)
Wilson Ramos	0.3529	0.2756 (33.4)	0.2863 (30.3)	0.2678 (36.7)	0.2833 (30.2)
José Ramírez	0.2516	0.3045 (34.9)	0.3077 (34.9)	0.3023 (33.3)	0.3068 (36.5)
Gary Sánchez	0.1972	0.2856 (32.0)	0.3059 (38.4)	0.2863 (32.2)	0.2848 (31.7)
Jorge Alfaro	0.4061	0.3086 (37.9)	0.3294 (31.2)	0.3085 (37.9)	0.3086 (37.8)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scooter Gennett	0.3024	0.3559	35.9
2	Juan Soto	0.2691	0.3367	34.8
3	Max Kepler	0.2914	0.2363	31.9
4	Matt Duffy	0.2991	0.3521	31.3
5	Ian Desmond	0.3314	0.2781	31.2
6	Mitch Haniger	0.2943	0.3357	30.2
7	Kole Calhoun	0.2975	0.2399	30.2
8	Logan Morrison	0.2824	0.1964	29.8
9	Chris Davis	0.2968	0.2368	29.8
10	Whit Merrifield	0.3112	0.3502	29.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2900	0.3333	34.8
2	Travis Shaw	0.3059	0.2411	34.5
3	Nick Castellanos	0.3188	0.3608	32.6
4	Yan Gomes	0.2679	0.3358	32.2
5	Nelson Cruz	0.3227	0.2645	30.8
6	Ben Zobrist	0.2784	0.3299	30.0
7	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2965	0.3519	30.0
8	DJ LeMahieu	0.3543	0.2966	29.9
9	Ryon Healy	0.3188	0.2570	29.2
10	Chris Davis	0.2989	0.2368	29.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ian Desmond	0.3434	0.2781	38.6
2	Scooter Gennett	0.3001	0.3559	37.5
3	Juan Soto	0.2688	0.3367	35.0
4	Max Kepler	0.2928	0.2363	32.7
5	Nick Castellanos	0.3160	0.3608	32.4
6	Whit Merrifield	0.3090	0.3502	31.3
7	Matt Duffy	0.3013	0.3521	30.1
8	Mitch Haniger	0.2950	0.3357	29.8
9	Kole Calhoun	0.2969	0.2399	29.8
10	Ian Happ	0.3013	0.3623	29.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scooter Gennett	0.3047	0.3559	34.5
2	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2891	0.3333	33.2
3	Matt Duffy	0.2969	0.3521	32.5
4	Logan Morrison	0.2885	0.1964	32.0
5	Chris Davis	0.2996	0.2368	31.2
6	Max Kepler	0.2899	0.2363	31.0
7	Mitch Haniger	0.2936	0.3357	30.7
8	Kole Calhoun	0.2981	0.2399	30.5
9	Yan Gomes	0.2689	0.3358	30.4
10	Mallex Smith	0.3088	0.3599	29.4

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2965	0.3461	0.3519	30.0	4.2	25.7
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.2965	0.3349	0.3480	21.2	5.9	15.3
3	Nelson Cruz	0.3227	0.2985	0.2645	30.8	18.4	12.4
4	Kyle Schwarber	0.2661	0.2840	0.2868	13.6	2.9	10.7
5	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.3451	0.3236	0.2984	23.9	13.2	10.7
6	Josh Bell	0.2849	0.2996	0.3051	15.3	4.9	10.5
7	Colin Moran	0.2908	0.3094	0.3161	14.6	4.4	10.2
8	César Hernández	0.3446	0.3273	0.3144	17.1	7.2	10.0
9	Manny Piña	0.3218	0.2906	0.2833	10.9	1.5	9.4
10	Rougned Odor	0.2683	0.2813	0.3036	22.1	13.5	8.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cody Bellinger	0.2800	0.2946	0.3125	22.4	13.1	9.3
2	Ian Desmond	0.3434	0.3314	0.2781	38.6	31.2	7.3
3	Nelson Cruz	0.3090	0.2985	0.2645	24.6	18.4	6.2
4	Nick Castellanos	0.3160	0.3235	0.3608	32.4	27.3	5.1
5	Yoán Moncada	0.3128	0.3198	0.3420	20.9	16.3	4.6
6	Joey Votto	0.3172	0.3244	0.3333	11.9	7.4	4.6
7	Lewis Brinson	0.3021	0.2910	0.2559	17.5	13.1	4.4
8	Freddy Galvis	0.2805	0.2870	0.3029	16.7	12.3	4.4
9	JaCoby Jones	0.3112	0.3026	0.2796	13.4	9.4	4.0
10	Guillermo Heredia	0.2966	0.2853	0.2623	10.6	6.8	3.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Rhys Hoskins	0.2979	0.2869	0.2711	15.8	8.6	7.2
2	Carlos González	0.2967	0.3091	0.3323	19.4	13.2	6.3
3	Johan Camargo	0.2915	0.3026	0.3147	13.7	7.8	5.8
4	Mike Trout	0.3174	0.3266	0.3450	18.6	13.0	5.6
5	Jonathan Lucroy	0.3214	0.3102	0.2720	21.1	16.1	5.1
6	Jay Bruce	0.2900	0.2761	0.2627	8.8	3.8	5.0
7	Adrian Beltré	0.2812	0.2916	0.3121	16.2	11.3	5.0
8	Todd Frazier	0.2692	0.2589	0.2413	11.8	7.0	4.9
9	Edwin Encarnación	0.2800	0.2717	0.2645	7.3	2.5	4.8
10	Ehire Adrianza	0.2772	0.2900	0.3083	12.5	7.8	4.7

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Scooter Gennett	0.2815	0.2246 (38.8)	0.2399 (30.3)	0.2249 (39.1)	0.2244 (38.4)
Bryce Harper	0.1938	0.2411 (30.2)	0.2345 (24.2)	0.2361 (26.2)	0.2462 (34.3)
Lorenzo Cain	0.2952	0.2491 (31.0)	0.2612 (24.7)	0.2476 (32.4)	0.2506 (29.6)
Ian Desmond	0.2041	0.2576 (30.7)	0.2568 (29.0)	0.2624 (33.2)	0.2529 (28.3)
Xander Bogaerts	0.1954	0.2489 (28.8)	0.2599 (34.0)	0.2473 (27.4)	0.2505 (30.2)
José Ramírez	0.1613	0.2097 (31.1)	0.2066 (27.5)	0.2102 (30.9)	0.2092 (31.3)
Jake Bauers	0.1389	0.2174 (29.0)	0.2192 (28.9)	0.2166 (28.4)	0.2182 (29.6)
Gary Sánchez	0.1174	0.2153 (35.2)	0.2336 (41.3)	0.2184 (36.0)	0.2121 (34.3)
Willy Adames	0.3387	0.2271 (37.3)	0.2192 (40.5)	0.2267 (37.7)	0.2275 (36.9)
Matt Duffy	0.2958	0.2352 (36.1)	0.2429 (32.9)	0.2360 (36.1)	0.2344 (36.1)
Jorge Alfaro	0.3147	0.2352 (31.4)	0.2529 (25.5)	0.2360 (31.4)	0.2344 (31.5)
Justin Upton	0.2643	0.2174 (31.1)	0.2192 (31.2)	0.2213 (29.2)	0.2134 (33.1)
DJ LeMahieu	0.2202	0.2795 (32.2)	0.2848 (34.1)	0.2773 (30.5)	0.2817 (33.9)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Martinez	0.2333	0.2739	28.8
2	Jonathan Villar	0.2386	0.2902	28.6
3	Max Kepler	0.2051	0.1551	28.1
4	Jurickson Profar	0.2217	0.1714	27.6
5	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2062	0.2407	27.1
6	Derek Dietrich	0.2106	0.2551	26.6
7	Whit Merrifield	0.2292	0.2607	25.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ben Zobrist	0.1989	0.2513	30.3
2	Adam Engel	0.1883	0.2450	29.0
3	J.D. Martinez	0.2379	0.2739	27.2
4	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2085	0.2407	26.9
5	Jurickson Profar	0.2210	0.1714	26.0
6	Lucas Duda	0.1698	0.2326	25.2
7	Gerardo Parra	0.2305	0.2800	24.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Kepler	0.2080	0.1551	29.5
2	Jurickson Profar	0.2249	0.1714	29.0
3	Jonathan Villar	0.2408	0.2902	27.8
4	Whit Merrifield	0.2267	0.2607	27.3
5	Joey Gallo	0.2011	0.1502	26.7
6	Wilson Ramos	0.2142	0.2734	26.6
7	Ozzie Albies	0.2363	0.1948	25.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1905	0.2407	37.6
2	J.D. Martinez	0.2233	0.2739	34.8
3	Jonathan Villar	0.2364	0.2902	29.3
4	Derek Dietrich	0.2063	0.2551	28.6
5	Max Kepler	0.2021	0.1551	26.8
6	Aaron Judge	0.2261	0.2762	26.4
7	Logan Morrison	0.2147	0.1384	26.3

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jeimer Candelario	0.2337	0.2028	0.1945	20.6	2.8	17.9
2	Colin Moran	0.2128	0.2422	0.2553	22.5	7.9	14.6
3	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2901	0.2697	0.2469	21.9	11.1	10.8
4	Brandon Nimmo	0.2538	0.2317	0.2210	14.4	3.6	10.8
5	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2192	0.2633	0.2474	16.6	5.9	10.7
6	Nelson Cruz	0.2529	0.2335	0.2121	20.6	10.3	10.3
7	Lucas Duda	0.1698	0.1928	0.2326	25.2	16.0	9.2
8	Harrison Bader	0.2216	0.2407	0.2661	21.5	12.5	9.0
9	Javier Báez	0.2515	0.2359	0.2268	12.1	3.4	8.8
10	Eric Hosmer	0.2584	0.2435	0.2291	15.9	7.2	8.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cody Bellinger	0.2025	0.2096	0.2214	14.8	9.8	5.0
2	Joe Mauer	0.2450	0.2527	0.2588	10.0	5.4	4.6
3	Ozzie Albies	0.2363	0.2290	0.1948	25.2	20.7	4.4
4	Wilson Ramos	0.2142	0.2238	0.2734	26.6	22.2	4.3
5	Andrelton Simmons	0.2151	0.2216	0.2376	16.3	12.0	4.3
6	Edwin Encarnación	0.1962	0.2024	0.2151	13.7	9.6	4.1
7	Lewis Brinson	0.2211	0.2103	0.1969	8.0	3.9	4.1
8	Jon Jay	0.2541	0.2602	0.2563	4.0	0.0	4.0
9	Joey Gallo	0.2011	0.1935	0.1502	26.7	22.8	3.9
10	Starlin Castro	0.2345	0.2396	0.2570	17.6	13.8	3.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1905	0.2062	0.2407	37.6	27.1	10.5
2	Yuli Gurriel	0.1934	0.2070	0.2329	24.4	17.0	7.4
3	Yoán Moncada	0.2579	0.2490	0.2328	14.3	8.0	6.3
4	Albert Pujols	0.2299	0.2181	0.1953	15.7	9.4	6.3
5	J.D. Martinez	0.2233	0.2333	0.2739	34.8	28.8	6.0
6	Johan Camargo	0.2099	0.2213	0.2324	13.4	7.8	5.5
7	Mike Trout	0.2191	0.2282	0.2556	24.1	19.0	5.0
8	Trevor Story	0.2042	0.2126	0.2242	15.2	10.1	5.0
9	Kyle Schwarber	0.1946	0.2051	0.2226	15.9	10.9	5.0
10	Jonathan Lucroy	0.2418	0.2316	0.2096	13.2	8.2	5.0

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brandon Nimmo	0.1014	0.0665 (18.0)	0.0711 (16.2)	0.0687 (16.9)	0.0643 (19.1)
Mookie Betts	0.1169	0.0818 (20.7)	0.0790 (23.2)	0.0822 (20.6)	0.0815 (20.9)
Eduardo Escobar	0.1129	0.0702 (26.1)	0.0616 (32.3)	0.0689 (27.1)	0.0714 (25.3)
Jonathan Villar	0.0442	0.0746 (16.4)	0.0789 (18.0)	0.0757 (16.8)	0.0735 (15.8)
Xander Bogaerts	0.1142	0.0726 (23.3)	0.0696 (25.8)	0.0716 (24.1)	0.0737 (22.7)
Marcell Ozuna	0.0352	0.0719 (23.9)	0.0668 (19.9)	0.0729 (24.4)	0.0709 (23.3)
Odúbel Herrera	0.0466	0.0757 (18.2)	0.0773 (18.4)	0.0737 (16.9)	0.0777 (19.4)
Rhys Hoskins	0.1000	0.0699 (19.0)	0.0649 (23.1)	0.0655 (22.0)	0.0745 (15.9)
Alex Bregman	0.1060	0.0764 (19.9)	0.0836 (15.7)	0.0751 (21.0)	0.0778 (18.9)
Miguel Andujar	0.1038	0.0672 (21.3)	0.0775 (15.8)	0.0631 (24.0)	0.0713 (18.8)
Justin Upton	0.0541	0.0846 (19.5)	0.0931 (24.0)	0.0839 (19.0)	0.0854 (20.0)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yoán Moncada	0.0593	0.0920	20.3
2	Juan Soto	0.0430	0.0850	20.1
3	Javier Báez	0.0690	0.0976	17.6
4	Matt Chapman	0.0814	0.1108	17.3
5	Justin Smoak	0.0745	0.1040	16.7
6	Devon Travis	0.0918	0.0496	16.4
7	Niko Goodrum	0.0642	0.0973	15.7
8	Chris Davis	0.0732	0.0451	15.4
9	Yonder Alonso	0.0756	0.0507	15.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.0484	0.0846	23.8
2	Justin Smoak	0.0697	0.1040	20.3
3	Jurickson Profar	0.0497	0.0833	19.9
4	Miguel Rojas	0.0667	0.0313	18.7
5	Ryon Healy	0.0763	0.0419	18.1
6	Nick Ahmed	0.0524	0.0831	17.2
7	Devon Travis	0.0939	0.0496	16.8
8	Joey Wendle	0.0526	0.0833	16.7
9	Brandon Belt	0.0990	0.0643	15.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	0.0426	0.0850	20.4
2	Matt Chapman	0.0771	0.1108	20.1
3	Yoán Moncada	0.0613	0.0920	19.2
4	Justin Smoak	0.0712	0.1040	18.8
5	Miguel Rojas	0.0614	0.0313	16.5
6	Nick Castellanos	0.0777	0.1024	16.0
7	Wil Myers	0.0727	0.1202	15.9
8	César Hernández	0.0554	0.0342	15.8
9	Javier Báez	0.0719	0.0976	15.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yoán Moncada	0.0573	0.0920	21.6
2	Javier Báez	0.0660	0.0976	19.4
3	Devon Travis	0.0996	0.0496	19.4
4	Yonder Alonso	0.0777	0.0507	16.3
5	Niko Goodrum	0.0631	0.0973	16.1
6	Yuli Gurriel	0.0967	0.0705	15.8
7	Matt Carpenter	0.0880	0.1120	15.3
8	Chris Davis	0.0729	0.0451	15.2
9	Nick Williams	0.0753	0.0430	15.1

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt Olson	0.0484	0.0796	0.0846	23.8	2.5	21.4
2	José Pirela	0.0856	0.0669	0.0665	9.1	0.8	8.3
3	Joey Wendle	0.0526	0.0665	0.0833	16.7	8.4	8.2
4	Jurickson Profar	0.0497	0.0611	0.0833	19.9	12.4	7.5
5	Andrew Benintendi	0.0688	0.0782	0.0880	12.6	5.6	7.0
6	Eduardo Escobar	0.0616	0.0702	0.1129	32.3	26.1	6.2
7	Gorkys Hernández	0.0811	0.0669	0.0548	11.9	6.1	5.9
8	Travis Shaw	0.0878	0.0768	0.0630	14.6	8.9	5.8
9	Mitch Garver	0.0604	0.0763	0.0844	8.0	2.3	5.7
10	Starlin Castro	0.0580	0.0652	0.0691	7.1	1.7	5.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt Olson	0.0710	0.0796	0.0846	8.3	2.5	5.8
2	Joey Gallo	0.0711	0.0800	0.0949	13.1	7.8	5.3
3	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0772	0.0844	0.0899	8.2	3.0	5.2
4	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0478	0.0406	0.0350	8.2	4.1	4.1
5	Ian Desmond	0.0742	0.0675	0.0536	13.5	9.5	4.0
6	Nick Castellanos	0.0777	0.0832	0.1024	16.0	12.2	3.9
7	Delino DeShields	0.0657	0.0568	0.0534	5.3	1.8	3.4
8	Victor Martinez	0.0587	0.0521	0.0505	4.7	1.5	3.3
9	Aaron Judge	0.0688	0.0749	0.0921	11.0	7.9	3.1
10	Rhys Hoskins	0.0655	0.0699	0.1000	22.0	19.0	3.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.0967	0.0890	0.0705	15.8	11.4	4.4
2	José Peraza	0.0356	0.0417	0.0558	12.8	8.7	4.1
3	Jeimer Candelario	0.0928	0.0865	0.0767	10.8	6.9	3.9
4	Nicky Delmonico	0.0879	0.0762	0.0558	10.6	6.9	3.7
5	Freddie Freeman	0.0997	0.0948	0.0938	5.1	1.6	3.5
6	Cody Bellinger	0.0809	0.0755	0.0729	5.9	2.4	3.5
7	Greg Bird	0.0943	0.0841	0.0856	3.2	0.0	3.1
8	Devon Travis	0.0996	0.0918	0.0496	19.4	16.4	3.0
9	Albert Pujols	0.0368	0.0427	0.0521	6.9	4.0	2.9
10	DJ LeMahieu	0.0523	0.0574	0.0719	10.6	7.6	2.9

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brandon Nimmo	0.0290	0.0106 (10.0)	0.0051 (13.0)	0.0070 (11.5)	0.0143 (8.5)
Kevin Kiermaier	0.0378	0.0148 (8.6)	0.0129 (9.3)	0.0108 (9.7)	0.0189 (7.4)
Nicky Delmonico	0.0254	0.0036 (7.0)	0.0054 (6.5)	0.0069 (5.7)	0.0000 (8.5)
Ian Desmond	0.0204	0.0063 (8.9)	0.0068 (8.6)	0.0068 (8.1)	0.0058 (9.8)
Tim Beckham	0.0000	0.0143 (5.6)	0.0192 (7.6)	0.0128 (5.4)	0.0158 (5.9)
Ketel Marte	0.0279	0.0135 (8.5)	0.0072 (12.2)	0.0119 (9.0)	0.0151 (8.1)
Javier Báez	0.0220	0.0060 (10.5)	0.0061 (10.4)	0.0056 (10.2)	0.0063 (10.9)
Gregory Polanco	0.0181	0.0061 (6.6)	0.0061 (6.6)	0.0043 (7.1)	0.0080 (6.1)
Christian Yelich	0.0173	0.0068 (7.0)	0.0049 (8.3)	0.0045 (8.0)	0.0091 (6.1)
Teoscar Hernández	0.0238	0.0082 (8.4)	0.0062 (9.4)	0.0073 (8.4)	0.0091 (8.3)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeff McNeil	0.0055	0.0297	6.1
2	Mitch Moreland	0.0009	0.0137	6.0
3	Denard Span	0.0085	0.0198	5.8
4	Yolmer Sánchez	0.0133	0.0218	5.8
5	Dexter Fowler	0.0177	0.0000	5.8
6	Jurickson Profar	0.0049	0.0143	5.8
7	Cody Bellinger	0.0095	0.0182	5.7
8	César Hernández	0.0152	0.0068	5.7
9	Alex Bregman	0.0104	0.0021	5.6
10	Scott Schebler	0.0133	0.0000	5.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alex Bregman	0.0131	0.0021	7.5
2	JaCoby Jones	0.0060	0.0215	7.4
3	Yolmer Sánchez	0.0117	0.0218	6.9
4	Chris Taylor	0.0128	0.0232	6.5
5	Mitch Moreland	0.0000	0.0137	6.5
6	Dexter Fowler	0.0195	0.0000	6.4
7	Willson Contreras	0.0035	0.0144	6.1
8	César Hernández	0.0157	0.0068	6.0
9	Jon Jay	0.0064	0.0160	5.9
10	Matt Carpenter	0.0088	0.0000	5.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Taylor	0.0109	0.0232	7.1
2	Cody Bellinger	0.0075	0.0182	6.5
3	Tommy Pham	0.0061	0.0179	6.4
4	Jeff McNeil	0.0041	0.0297	6.2
5	Denard Span	0.0070	0.0198	6.1
6	Jurickson Profar	0.0039	0.0143	5.9
7	Ozzie Albies	0.0180	0.0099	5.8
8	Dexter Fowler	0.0168	0.0000	5.8
9	Alex Bregman	0.0093	0.0021	5.4
10	Willson Contreras	0.0040	0.0144	5.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Scott Schebler	0.0175	0.0000	7.0
2	Mitch Moreland	0.0000	0.0137	6.8
3	César Hernández	0.0175	0.0068	6.7
4	Yolmer Sánchez	0.0133	0.0218	6.4
5	Rhys Hoskins	0.0106	0.0000	6.2
6	Jeff McNeil	0.0069	0.0297	6.0
7	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0055	0.0129	5.9
8	Adam Eaton	0.0211	0.0040	5.9
9	Jon Jay	0.0072	0.0160	5.9
10	JaCoby Jones	0.0102	0.0215	5.8

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Colin Moran	0.0142	0.0058	0.0030	5.0	1.2	3.9
2	Ketel Marte	0.0072	0.0135	0.0279	12.2	8.5	3.7
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0072	0.0136	0.0139	3.5	0.3	3.2
4	Brandon Nimmo	0.0051	0.0106	0.0290	13.0	10.0	3.0
5	Mitch Garver	0.0201	0.0069	0.0089	3.6	0.8	2.9
6	Alen Hanson	0.0133	0.0237	0.0226	3.0	0.2	2.8
7	Jesús Aguilar	0.0092	0.0044	0.0000	5.0	2.3	2.7
8	Andrew Benintendi	0.0053	0.0093	0.0129	5.3	2.6	2.7
9	Delino DeShields	0.0137	0.0072	0.0038	3.7	1.2	2.5
10	JaCoby Jones	0.0060	0.0113	0.0215	7.4	4.9	2.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chris Taylor	0.0109	0.0146	0.0232	7.1	5.4	1.7
2	Trevor Story	0.0103	0.0137	0.0151	2.8	1.1	1.7
3	Brandon Nimmo	0.0070	0.0106	0.0290	11.5	10.0	1.5
4	Manuel Margot	0.0161	0.0196	0.0206	2.0	0.7	1.4
5	Tommy Pham	0.0061	0.0094	0.0179	6.4	5.0	1.3
6	Chris Davis	0.0034	0.0017	0.0000	2.1	0.7	1.3
7	Matt Davidson	0.0038	0.0019	0.0000	2.1	0.8	1.3
8	Charlie Blackmon	0.0171	0.0161	0.0150	1.9	0.5	1.3
9	Alex Gordon	0.0060	0.0046	0.0000	3.7	2.4	1.3
10	Amed Rosario	0.0155	0.0192	0.0185	1.5	0.2	1.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Eaton	0.0211	0.0155	0.0040	5.9	4.1	1.7
2	Amed Rosario	0.0229	0.0192	0.0185	1.9	0.2	1.7
3	Scott Schebler	0.0175	0.0133	0.0000	7.0	5.6	1.5
4	Nicky Delmonico	0.0000	0.0036	0.0254	8.5	7.0	1.4
5	Johan Camargo	0.0146	0.0110	0.0029	5.5	4.1	1.4
6	Alen Hanson	0.0290	0.0237	0.0226	1.6	0.2	1.4
7	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0055	0.0065	0.0129	5.9	4.6	1.3
8	Starlin Castro	0.0024	0.0033	0.0043	2.0	0.9	1.2
9	Trea Turner	0.0204	0.0180	0.0117	5.6	4.4	1.2
10	José Peraza	0.0156	0.0130	0.0072	4.9	3.8	1.1

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Didi Gregorius	0.1564	0.1172 (22.3)	0.1168 (24.6)	0.1181 (21.1)	0.1164 (23.5)
Matt Chapman	0.1623	0.1233 (24.0)	0.1183 (29.4)	0.1199 (25.3)	0.1267 (22.8)
Mookie Betts	0.2101	0.1553 (33.6)	0.1469 (41.1)	0.1583 (31.0)	0.1522 (36.3)
Jake Cave	0.1748	0.1090 (20.3)	0.1190 (18.4)	0.1082 (20.1)	0.1098 (20.5)
Chris Davis	0.0766	0.1342 (30.1)	0.1374 (29.8)	0.1335 (30.4)	0.1349 (29.8)
Christian Yelich	0.1813	0.1424 (25.2)	0.1288 (36.5)	0.1441 (23.4)	0.1408 (27.2)
Juan Soto	0.1559	0.0920 (31.5)	0.1190 (20.1)	0.0918 (31.0)	0.1190 (18.9)
Javier Báez	0.1566	0.1210 (22.9)	0.1260 (22.1)	0.1177 (24.2)	0.1243 (21.7)
Joey Votto	0.1075	0.1431 (22.2)	0.1426 (19.6)	0.1467 (25.2)	0.1394 (19.1)
Max Muncy	0.1559	0.1063 (23.8)	0.1116 (23.1)	0.0995 (26.5)	0.1131 (21.2)
Ozzie Albies	0.1535	0.1207 (22.4)	0.1276 (20.2)	0.1209 (21.4)	0.1205 (23.4)
Adam Jones	0.0881	0.1256 (23.0)	0.1263 (21.2)	0.1279 (25.2)	0.1234 (20.8)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1602	0.1177 (20.6)	0.1190 (21.9)	0.1126 (22.5)	0.1229 (18.8)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.1481	0.1113	24.5
2	Francisco Lindor	0.1414	0.1732	23.6
3	Tommy Pham	0.1407	0.1789	21.8
4	Victor Martinez	0.1028	0.0630	20.2
5	Charlie Culberson	0.0838	0.1460	20.0
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1723	0.1447	19.5
7	Greg Bird	0.1341	0.0740	18.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Francisco Lindor	0.1333	0.1732	32.4
2	Andrew Benintendi	0.1257	0.1558	22.4
3	Aaron Hicks	0.1223	0.1549	21.1
4	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.1448	0.1054	21.0
5	Cameron Maybin	0.1367	0.0833	19.1
6	Nick Castellanos	0.1054	0.1298	19.0
7	J.D. Martinez	0.1460	0.1710	18.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Rizzo	0.1533	0.1113	28.8
2	Victor Martinez	0.1136	0.0630	26.4
3	Tommy Pham	0.1348	0.1789	24.4
4	Manny Machado	0.1498	0.1185	23.1
5	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1759	0.1447	23.0
6	Amed Rosario	0.0910	0.1284	21.3
7	Brian Anderson	0.0977	0.1299	20.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Francisco Lindor	0.1351	0.1732	29.3
2	Charlie Culberson	0.0827	0.1460	20.8
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.1429	0.1113	20.1
4	Tommy Pham	0.1466	0.1789	19.2
5	Aaron Hicks	0.1253	0.1549	18.0
6	Greg Bird	0.1317	0.0740	17.6
7	Andrew Benintendi	0.1306	0.1558	17.5

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José A. Martínez	0.1412	0.1178	0.1085	17.2	5.6	11.6
2	Christian Yelich	0.1288	0.1424	0.1813	36.5	25.2	11.3
3	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.1448	0.1242	0.1054	21.0	11.1	9.9
4	Nick Castellanos	0.1054	0.1154	0.1298	19.0	9.7	9.3
5	Francisco Lindor	0.1333	0.1414	0.1732	32.4	23.6	8.8
6	Andrew Benintendi	0.1257	0.1352	0.1558	22.4	13.6	8.8
7	Miguel Rojas	0.1176	0.0973	0.0833	16.2	7.4	8.7
8	Michael Brantley	0.1183	0.1282	0.1410	16.7	8.0	8.7
9	Mookie Betts	0.1469	0.1553	0.2101	41.1	33.6	7.5
10	Delino DeShields	0.1607	0.1394	0.1323	9.7	2.8	6.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Albert Pujols	0.1201	0.1039	0.1004	10.5	1.8	8.7
2	Manny Machado	0.1498	0.1410	0.1185	23.1	16.0	7.1
3	Billy Hamilton	0.1103	0.1232	0.1331	12.0	5.5	6.5
4	Nomar Mazara	0.1299	0.1192	0.1138	9.3	2.9	6.4
5	Victor Martinez	0.1136	0.1028	0.0630	26.4	20.2	6.1
6	Scooter Gennett	0.1060	0.1161	0.1348	17.5	11.9	5.7
7	Charlie Blackmon	0.1541	0.1634	0.1710	10.8	5.3	5.6
8	Andrew McCutchen	0.1390	0.1329	0.1217	12.7	7.7	5.0
9	Brian Anderson	0.0977	0.1064	0.1299	20.7	15.7	5.0
10	Martín Maldonado	0.1080	0.0960	0.0965	5.2	0.2	5.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nick Castellanos	0.1057	0.1154	0.1298	17.2	9.7	7.5
2	Francisco Lindor	0.1351	0.1414	0.1732	29.3	23.6	5.8
3	Martín Maldonado	0.0840	0.0960	0.0965	5.6	0.2	5.4
4	Miguel Rojas	0.1089	0.0973	0.0833	12.8	7.4	5.4
5	Albert Pujols	0.0877	0.1039	0.1004	7.0	1.8	5.2
6	Dansby Swanson	0.1188	0.1079	0.0957	11.7	6.5	5.1
7	Tucker Barnhart	0.0764	0.0847	0.0958	10.8	5.7	5.1
8	Delino DeShields	0.1529	0.1394	0.1323	7.6	2.8	4.8
9	Mitch Moreland	0.1093	0.1177	0.1242	7.4	2.9	4.5
10	Gerardo Parra	0.1290	0.1178	0.1174	4.6	0.2	4.4

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jesús Aguilar	0.1908	0.1400 (32.4)	0.1425 (29.2)	0.1298 (37.9)	0.1501 (27.0)
Xander Bogaerts	0.1776	0.1190 (37.7)	0.1133 (39.2)	0.1236 (34.8)	0.1144 (40.7)
Javier Báez	0.1721	0.1403 (24.6)	0.1319 (28.0)	0.1406 (24.2)	0.1400 (25.2)
Jed Lowrie	0.1456	0.1010 (34.7)	0.1016 (32.1)	0.1080 (29.6)	0.0940 (39.8)
Max Muncy	0.1642	0.1019 (33.1)	0.0930 (35.8)	0.1010 (33.3)	0.1028 (32.9)
Eugenio Suárez	0.1716	0.1280 (30.3)	0.1195 (33.6)	0.1217 (33.9)	0.1343 (26.8)
Christian Yelich	0.1690	0.1264 (31.9)	0.1192 (34.6)	0.1224 (34.2)	0.1305 (29.6)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2223	0.1418	52.2
2	Cody Bellinger	0.1747	0.1203	30.3
3	Johan Camargo	0.0993	0.1450	27.3
4	Chris Davis	0.1488	0.0939	25.3
5	Gleyber Torres	0.1133	0.1591	25.3
6	Nick Markakis	0.1031	0.1319	24.9
7	Juan Soto	0.0990	0.1417	24.3
8	Jurickson Profar	0.0974	0.1296	22.9
9	Lorenzo Cain	0.1045	0.0613	22.8
10	Trey Mancini	0.1331	0.0912	22.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Martinez	0.1602	0.2003	28.1
2	Jurickson Profar	0.0882	0.1296	26.5
3	Gregory Polanco	0.1064	0.1514	25.8
4	José Ramírez	0.1176	0.1504	25.2
5	Eric Hosmer	0.1412	0.1019	24.4
6	Lorenzo Cain	0.1034	0.0613	24.1
7	Gleyber Torres	0.1133	0.1591	23.8
8	Brandon Crawford	0.1342	0.0909	23.8
9	Trey Mancini	0.1312	0.0912	23.4
10	Starlin Castro	0.1220	0.0835	22.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2136	0.1418	46.4
2	Gleyber Torres	0.1069	0.1591	28.2
3	Chris Davis	0.1478	0.0939	25.0
4	Lorenzo Cain	0.1071	0.0613	24.7
5	Cody Bellinger	0.1648	0.1203	24.4
6	Nick Markakis	0.1034	0.1319	24.3
7	Juan Soto	0.0987	0.1417	24.2
8	Johan Camargo	0.1068	0.1450	23.2
9	Trey Mancini	0.1329	0.0912	22.7
10	David Peralta	0.1127	0.1417	21.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2310	0.1418	58.0
2	Cody Bellinger	0.1845	0.1203	36.2
3	Johan Camargo	0.0919	0.1450	31.5
4	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1693	0.1203	29.0
5	Jurickson Profar	0.0915	0.1296	26.8
6	Brandon Crawford	0.1411	0.0909	25.7
7	Chris Davis	0.1497	0.0939	25.5
8	Nick Markakis	0.1027	0.1319	25.5
9	José Ramírez	0.1213	0.1504	25.2
10	Ian Happ	0.1560	0.0952	24.8

Most Unique Misses for RBI Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ian Desmond	0.1114	0.1387	0.1422	21.1	6.1	15.0
2	Yonder Alonso	0.1096	0.1367	0.1446	22.0	8.2	13.8
3	Manny Machado	0.1310	0.1531	0.1509	16.5	3.1	13.4
4	Rosell Herrera	0.1133	0.0733	0.0662	13.2	0.2	13.0
5	Joey Gallo	0.1333	0.1568	0.1594	17.0	5.3	11.7
6	J.D. Martinez	0.1602	0.1812	0.2003	28.1	16.6	11.5
7	Whit Merrifield	0.1131	0.1002	0.0849	17.7	6.3	11.4
8	Greg Allen	0.1200	0.0843	0.0687	14.0	2.6	11.3
9	Shohei Ohtani	0.1133	0.1428	0.1662	20.6	11.0	9.7
10	Eddie Rosario	0.1157	0.1339	0.1301	10.5	1.5	8.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Delino DeShields	0.0836	0.0641	0.0560	8.5	0.7	7.8
2	Corey Dickerson	0.1364	0.1242	0.1032	14.5	7.7	6.8
3	Nomar Mazara	0.1365	0.1472	0.1437	7.1	1.6	5.5
4	Jesús Aguilar	0.1298	0.1400	0.1908	37.9	32.4	5.5
5	Matt Kemp	0.1432	0.1545	0.1680	15.5	10.1	5.5
6	Scooter Gennett	0.1241	0.1328	0.1442	16.7	11.4	5.3
7	Guillermo Heredia	0.0971	0.0821	0.0564	11.7	6.5	5.2
8	Carlos González	0.1492	0.1394	0.1270	8.2	3.0	5.2
9	Khris Davis	0.1631	0.1703	0.1881	20.2	15.8	4.4
10	Billy Hamilton	0.0775	0.0702	0.0522	10.8	6.5	4.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.0498	0.0629	0.0612	10.8	2.8	8.0
2	Rhys Hoskins	0.1888	0.1761	0.1455	24.0	16.0	8.0
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1693	0.1572	0.1203	29.0	21.0	7.9
4	Albert Pujols	0.1737	0.1582	0.1285	19.0	11.6	7.4
5	Michael Conforto	0.1579	0.1457	0.1285	14.3	6.9	7.4
6	Brandon Crawford	0.1411	0.1283	0.0909	25.7	18.4	7.3
7	Carlos Correa	0.1881	0.1724	0.1389	19.8	12.7	7.1
8	Yangervis Solarte	0.1522	0.1382	0.1067	19.5	12.7	6.8
9	Delino DeShields	0.0446	0.0641	0.0560	7.2	0.7	6.6
10	José Ramírez	0.1213	0.1301	0.1504	25.2	18.7	6.5

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Billy Hamilton	0.2482	0.3856 (71.6)	0.3813 (71.8)	0.3540 (55.1)	0.4167 (87.7)
Trevor Story	0.1888	0.0819 (75.9)	0.0708 (80.1)	0.0737 (79.9)	0.0909 (71.3)
Jace Peterson	0.2241	0.0758 (38.6)	0.0549 (42.6)	0.0683 (40.0)	0.0833 (37.3)
Ender Inciarte	0.1647	0.1122 (40.4)	0.1047 (42.3)	0.1060 (43.2)	0.1183 (37.7)
Eduardo Núñez	0.0642	0.1899 (58.7)	0.1935 (62.9)	0.1735 (51.5)	0.2069 (66.2)
Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.1441	0.0557 (52.0)	0.0611 (46.6)	0.0517 (53.0)	0.0597 (50.9)
Tim Anderson	0.2185	0.1300 (58.9)	0.1026 (72.7)	0.1158 (66.3)	0.1452 (50.9)
Adalberto Mondesi	0.5517	0.2678 (85.2)	0.1667 (113.2)	0.2415 (92.2)	0.2955 (77.7)
Javier Báez	0.1654	0.0990 (48.5)	0.0870 (53.2)	0.0872 (54.8)	0.1111 (41.9)
Elvis Andrus	0.0485	0.1428 (36.6)	0.1419 (38.2)	0.1368 (34.9)	0.1491 (38.4)
Trea Turner	0.2129	0.3186 (71.8)	0.3190 (75.5)	0.3070 (64.7)	0.3309 (79.4)
Michael A. Taylor	0.3038	0.1828 (49.9)	0.1633 (55.7)	0.1641 (56.4)	0.2019 (43.4)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Teoscar Hernández	0.1433	0.0500	44.3
2	José Ramírez	0.1256	0.1799	44.0
3	Francisco Lindor	0.0904	0.1397	43.2
4	Whit Merrifield	0.1769	0.2239	39.4
5	Leonys Martin	0.2004	0.0824	38.6
6	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2182	0.1311	38.1
7	Jose Iglesias	0.0717	0.1442	37.7
8	Yasiel Puig	0.0761	0.1500	36.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Greg Allen	0.0566	0.2877	68.4
2	José Ramírez	0.1111	0.1799	50.8
3	Amed Rosario	0.1077	0.1832	47.1
4	Whit Merrifield	0.1615	0.2239	46.9
5	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1038	0.0359	44.1
6	Mallex Smith	0.1771	0.2532	43.6
7	Jose Iglesias	0.0661	0.1442	38.1
8	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0572	0.1311	38.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Ramírez	0.1062	0.1799	56.1
2	Francisco Lindor	0.0843	0.1397	46.2
3	Whit Merrifield	0.1683	0.2239	44.0
4	Teoscar Hernández	0.1390	0.0500	43.0
5	Christian Yelich	0.0627	0.1189	41.0
6	Greg Allen	0.1574	0.2877	39.9
7	Amed Rosario	0.1247	0.1832	38.6
8	Yasiel Puig	0.0726	0.1500	37.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2374	0.1311	46.5
2	Teoscar Hernández	0.1478	0.0500	45.5
3	Leonys Martin	0.2193	0.0824	44.6
4	Jose Altuve	0.1753	0.0914	43.8
5	Jose Iglesias	0.0672	0.1442	40.7
6	Francisco Lindor	0.0966	0.1397	40.1
7	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2961	0.2174	40.0
8	Cameron Maybin	0.2083	0.0952	39.3

Most Unique Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mallex Smith	0.1771	0.2764	0.2532	43.6	7.9	35.7
2	Greg Allen	0.0566	0.1826	0.2877	68.4	33.1	35.3
3	Adalberto Mondesi	0.1667	0.2678	0.5517	113.2	85.2	28.1
4	Miguel Andujar	0.0769	0.0418	0.0163	34.3	10.2	24.1
5	Niko Goodrum	0.0612	0.1275	0.1121	27.1	3.2	23.8
6	Colin Moran	0.0612	0.0173	0.0000	26.6	4.0	22.6
7	Adam Engel	0.0946	0.1922	0.1600	32.2	10.9	21.3
8	Charlie Blackmon	0.1145	0.0893	0.0659	30.9	10.2	20.8
9	Dustin Fowler	0.0600	0.1596	0.1463	18.4	0.9	17.4
10	Roman Quinn	0.0926	0.2161	0.3030	30.7	13.7	17.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	José Ramírez	0.1062	0.1256	0.1799	56.1	44.0	12.2
2	Lorenzo Cain	0.1051	0.1249	0.1442	28.4	17.4	11.0
3	Ian Desmond	0.1057	0.1239	0.1439	27.8	17.7	10.1
4	Cody Bellinger	0.0699	0.0875	0.0892	16.4	6.6	9.9
5	Charlie Blackmon	0.0995	0.0893	0.0659	18.7	10.2	8.5
6	Jonathan Villar	0.2408	0.2592	0.2536	10.1	1.6	8.5
7	Martín Maldonado	0.0381	0.0194	0.0000	12.7	4.3	8.4
8	Austin Romine	0.0538	0.0271	0.0179	7.8	0.2	7.6
9	Tim Anderson	0.1158	0.1300	0.2185	66.3	58.9	7.4
10	Guillermo Heredia	0.0563	0.0366	0.0235	8.8	1.5	7.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Billy Hamilton	0.4167	0.3856	0.2482	87.7	71.6	16.2
2	Mallex Smith	0.3008	0.2764	0.2532	20.1	7.9	12.2
3	Jose Altuve	0.1753	0.1531	0.0914	43.8	31.7	12.1
4	Delino DeShields	0.2640	0.2325	0.1980	21.7	10.1	11.6
5	Wilmer Difo	0.1538	0.1295	0.0935	22.6	12.5	10.2
6	Dee Strange-Gordon	0.2961	0.2791	0.2174	40.0	31.2	8.8
7	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2374	0.2182	0.1311	46.5	38.1	8.4
8	Trea Turner	0.3309	0.3186	0.2129	79.4	71.8	7.6
9	Eduardo Núñez	0.2069	0.1899	0.0642	66.2	58.7	7.5
10	Austin Romine	0.0000	0.0271	0.0179	7.6	0.2	7.4

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Scooter Gennett	0.3099	0.2619 (34.4)	0.2735 (29.1)	0.2590 (37.1)	0.2649 (31.8)
Mookie Betts	0.3462	0.2978 (33.3)	0.2860 (42.6)	0.2991 (33.3)	0.2964 (33.5)
Joey Wendle	0.2998	0.2405 (35.5)	0.2576 (28.0)	0.2399 (36.6)	0.2411 (34.6)
Trevor Story	0.2910	0.2457 (33.6)	0.2521 (31.5)	0.2517 (30.5)	0.2398 (36.7)
Mallex Smith	0.2958	0.2463 (30.2)	0.2583 (25.4)	0.2497 (29.0)	0.2428 (31.4)
Matt Chapman	0.2779	0.2256 (35.8)	0.2440 (26.5)	0.2264 (36.1)	0.2248 (35.6)
Chris Davis	0.1681	0.2253 (26.8)	0.2340 (29.6)	0.2277 (27.4)	0.2229 (26.1)
Dexter Fowler	0.1799	0.2601 (24.8)	0.2612 (24.1)	0.2589 (24.0)	0.2613 (25.6)
Gary Sánchez	0.1858	0.2650 (27.4)	0.2766 (30.6)	0.2686 (28.3)	0.2614 (26.5)
Nick Markakis	0.2970	0.2671 (25.2)	0.2743 (22.4)	0.2689 (24.8)	0.2653 (25.6)
J.D. Martinez	0.3304	0.2866 (32.3)	0.2902 (32.0)	0.2854 (33.9)	0.2878 (30.8)
Ben Zobrist	0.3055	0.2585 (27.5)	0.2575 (29.7)	0.2616 (26.5)	0.2554 (28.5)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	0.2319	0.2923	32.7
2	Bryce Harper	0.2980	0.2491	29.9
3	Mitch Haniger	0.2523	0.2852	26.5
4	Christian Yelich	0.2927	0.3258	25.4
5	Javier Báez	0.2576	0.2904	24.9
6	Kyle Seager	0.2665	0.2213	24.8
7	Kole Calhoun	0.2573	0.2077	24.1
8	Max Muncy	0.2201	0.2633	23.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Christian Yelich	0.2870	0.3258	31.2
2	Nick Castellanos	0.2685	0.2984	26.5
3	Miguel Andujar	0.2646	0.2967	25.0
4	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2517	0.2933	24.7
5	Juan Soto	0.2517	0.2923	24.5
6	Anthony Rendon	0.2773	0.3081	23.8
7	Whit Merrifield	0.2801	0.3038	23.2
8	Manny Machado	0.2746	0.2975	22.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	0.2323	0.2923	33.2
2	Bryce Harper	0.3012	0.2491	31.2
3	Whit Merrifield	0.2728	0.3038	27.0
4	Mitch Haniger	0.2535	0.2852	26.6
5	Jesús Aguilar	0.2360	0.2744	25.8
6	Max Muncy	0.2179	0.2633	25.3
7	Wilson Ramos	0.2539	0.3063	24.8
8	Jeff McNeil	0.2392	0.3289	24.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Seager	0.2715	0.2213	28.6
2	Bryce Harper	0.2947	0.2491	28.4
3	Christian Yelich	0.2893	0.3258	26.8
4	Javier Báez	0.2537	0.2904	26.7
5	Mitch Haniger	0.2511	0.2852	26.6
6	Carlos Correa	0.2979	0.2388	25.4
7	Kole Calhoun	0.2571	0.2077	24.6
8	Brian Anderson	0.2412	0.2729	24.4

Most Unique Misses for Batting Average

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jurickson Profar	0.2375	0.2602	0.2538	15.1	0.3	14.9
2	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2517	0.2746	0.2933	24.7	12.0	12.7
3	Andrew Benintendi	0.2694	0.2836	0.2902	19.8	8.2	11.5
4	Nelson Cruz	0.2871	0.2667	0.2563	12.8	2.7	10.1
5	Rougned Odor	0.2411	0.2558	0.2532	11.3	1.7	9.6
6	Maikel Franco	0.2481	0.2651	0.2702	14.5	5.1	9.4
7	Mookie Betts	0.2860	0.2978	0.3462	42.6	33.3	9.2
8	Manny Machado	0.2746	0.2843	0.2975	22.7	13.5	9.2
9	Nick Castellanos	0.2685	0.2785	0.2984	26.5	17.5	9.0
10	Tony Kemp	0.2406	0.2698	0.2627	9.2	0.3	8.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cody Bellinger	0.2521	0.2623	0.2603	9.7	2.5	7.2
2	Trea Turner	0.2966	0.2883	0.2711	13.6	8.4	5.2
3	Nick Castellanos	0.2722	0.2785	0.2984	22.6	17.5	5.1
4	Khris Davis	0.2437	0.2497	0.2465	6.5	1.8	4.8
5	Freddy Galvis	0.2468	0.2526	0.2475	5.2	0.6	4.6
6	Lewis Brinson	0.2563	0.2443	0.1990	20.4	16.0	4.3
7	Marcell Ozuna	0.2943	0.2863	0.2801	4.5	0.2	4.2
8	Yoán Moncada	0.2361	0.2415	0.2353	4.1	0.2	3.9
9	Jose Altuve	0.3085	0.3134	0.3165	9.1	5.4	3.7
10	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2864	0.2799	0.2658	9.5	5.8	3.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jonathan Lucroy	0.2977	0.2854	0.2410	23.6	17.5	6.1
2	Charlie Blackmon	0.3101	0.3029	0.2907	10.2	4.3	5.8
3	Johan Camargo	0.2483	0.2597	0.2716	14.7	9.3	5.4
4	Mike Trout	0.2901	0.2993	0.3121	16.3	11.4	4.9
5	Carlos González	0.2595	0.2699	0.2765	10.9	6.3	4.6
6	Francisco Arcia	0.2517	0.2103	0.2039	4.6	0.1	4.5
7	Todd Frazier	0.2436	0.2352	0.2132	12.1	7.6	4.5
8	Yuli Gurriel	0.2769	0.2854	0.2905	10.5	6.3	4.3
9	Yoán Moncada	0.2468	0.2415	0.2353	4.4	0.2	4.2
10	Ozzie Albies	0.2579	0.2650	0.2613	5.6	1.5	4.1

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brandon Nimmo	0.4037	0.3313 (39.3)	0.3489 (32.5)	0.3328 (39.9)	0.3298 (38.9)
Scooter Gennett	0.3575	0.3094 (31.3)	0.3228 (25.9)	0.3085 (33.5)	0.3103 (29.3)
Mookie Betts	0.4381	0.3661 (44.9)	0.3464 (59.9)	0.3700 (44.0)	0.3622 (45.9)
Kyle Seager	0.2730	0.3398 (41.4)	0.3345 (35.0)	0.3379 (38.7)	0.3417 (44.0)
Mallex Smith	0.3669	0.3091 (32.0)	0.3234 (26.9)	0.3138 (30.8)	0.3044 (33.3)
Matt Chapman	0.3555	0.3001 (34.8)	0.3181 (26.7)	0.3027 (34.7)	0.2975 (35.0)
Chris Davis	0.2433	0.3246 (41.9)	0.3308 (42.6)	0.3313 (44.1)	0.3179 (39.6)
Lorenzo Cain	0.3952	0.3411 (34.2)	0.3518 (30.6)	0.3437 (34.1)	0.3385 (34.4)
Juan Soto	0.4057	0.2767 (64.3)	0.3227 (43.9)	0.2769 (65.4)	0.3227 (40.4)
Whit Merrifield	0.3674	0.3167 (36.6)	0.3236 (35.1)	0.3160 (38.8)	0.3173 (34.5)
Alex Bregman	0.3943	0.3422 (37.5)	0.3382 (43.7)	0.3456 (36.8)	0.3388 (38.3)
Max Muncy	0.3909	0.3062 (41.2)	0.3099 (41.8)	0.3040 (43.5)	0.3085 (39.1)
J.D. Martinez	0.4022	0.3553 (31.1)	0.3570 (33.1)	0.3559 (32.3)	0.3547 (30.1)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Wendle	0.2782	0.3536	41.7
2	Brian Anderson	0.3092	0.3567	32.5
3	Mitch Haniger	0.3221	0.3660	30.7
4	Jonathan Lucroy	0.3559	0.2914	28.8
5	DJ LeMahieu	0.3709	0.3212	28.2
6	Kole Calhoun	0.3347	0.2831	27.9
7	Dexter Fowler	0.3624	0.2784	27.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Trout	0.4137	0.4596	31.5
2	José Ramírez	0.3514	0.3868	28.9
3	Manny Machado	0.3323	0.3667	28.6
4	Christian Yelich	0.3645	0.4025	28.5
5	DJ LeMahieu	0.3756	0.3212	28.2
6	Nick Castellanos	0.3197	0.3540	27.2
7	Aaron Hicks	0.3269	0.3661	26.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Wendle	0.2788	0.3536	42.7
2	Brian Anderson	0.3105	0.3567	33.4
3	Mitch Haniger	0.3245	0.3660	30.8
4	Jesús Aguilar	0.3016	0.3516	30.3
5	Lewis Brinson	0.3168	0.2395	29.9
6	DJ LeMahieu	0.3746	0.3212	28.9
7	Kole Calhoun	0.3372	0.2831	27.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Wendle	0.2776	0.3536	40.8
2	Jonathan Lucroy	0.3651	0.2914	34.0
3	Brian Anderson	0.3080	0.3567	31.9
4	Johan Camargo	0.2876	0.3492	31.7
5	Mitch Haniger	0.3198	0.3660	30.8
6	Matt Duffy	0.3077	0.3614	29.4
7	Dexter Fowler	0.3610	0.2784	28.0

Most Unique Misses for On-Base Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mookie Betts	0.3464	0.3661	0.4381	59.9	44.9	15.1
2	Hunter Dozier	0.3202	0.2811	0.2784	13.9	0.6	13.3
3	Jurickson Profar	0.3185	0.3383	0.3350	13.3	1.3	12.0
4	Josh Bell	0.3352	0.3502	0.3568	16.0	4.4	11.6
5	Mike Trout	0.4137	0.4275	0.4596	31.5	20.2	11.3
6	Andrew Benintendi	0.3453	0.3567	0.3657	17.4	6.7	10.7
7	Rougned Odor	0.2860	0.3010	0.3265	24.8	14.2	10.6
8	Chris Iannetta	0.3211	0.3472	0.3454	10.9	0.3	10.6
9	Christian Yelich	0.3645	0.3757	0.4025	28.5	18.1	10.4
10	Manny Machado	0.3323	0.3419	0.3667	28.6	18.3	10.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marcell Ozuna	0.3564	0.3459	0.3254	17.2	12.2	5.0
2	Cody Bellinger	0.3385	0.3456	0.3434	5.3	0.7	4.6
3	Khris Davis	0.3204	0.3249	0.3257	5.8	1.2	4.6
4	Freddy Galvis	0.2950	0.2993	0.2992	5.1	0.7	4.4
5	Nick Castellanos	0.3256	0.3292	0.3540	21.6	17.5	4.1
6	Ian Desmond	0.3384	0.3295	0.3074	17.0	13.0	4.0
7	Carlos González	0.3445	0.3341	0.3294	5.8	1.9	4.0
8	Lewis Brinson	0.3168	0.3049	0.2395	29.9	26.1	3.8
9	James Adduci	0.3134	0.2907	0.2896	3.8	0.0	3.8
10	Jose Altuve	0.3689	0.3717	0.3859	12.3	9.1	3.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Francisco Arcia	0.3227	0.2669	0.2264	10.3	4.2	6.2
2	Cody Bellinger	0.3526	0.3456	0.3434	6.6	0.7	5.8
3	Jonathan Lucroy	0.3651	0.3559	0.2914	34.0	28.8	5.2
4	Charlie Blackmon	0.3722	0.3672	0.3583	10.5	5.5	5.0
5	Yoán Moncada	0.3371	0.3317	0.3148	15.3	10.3	5.0
6	Johan Camargo	0.2876	0.2992	0.3492	31.7	26.8	4.9
7	Trea Turner	0.3303	0.3388	0.3442	9.4	4.8	4.6
8	Manny Machado	0.3333	0.3419	0.3667	22.8	18.3	4.5
9	Shohei Ohtani	0.3127	0.3259	0.3607	17.2	13.2	4.0
10	Todd Frazier	0.3299	0.3237	0.3030	13.3	9.3	4.0

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Brian Dozier	0.3906	0.4819 (52.3)	0.4936 (55.6)	0.4818 (51.3)	0.4820 (53.0)
Mookie Betts	0.6404	0.5045 (88.7)	0.4801 (107.7)	0.5163 (82.4)	0.4930 (95.1)
Trevor Story	0.5669	0.4736 (66.8)	0.4811 (66.2)	0.4716 (69.1)	0.4756 (64.8)
Chris Davis	0.2957	0.4675 (85.2)	0.4658 (80.9)	0.4766 (89.2)	0.4586 (81.1)
Xander Bogaerts	0.5224	0.4392 (53.2)	0.4194 (68.5)	0.4440 (51.3)	0.4344 (55.4)
Juan Soto	0.5169	0.3398 (91.7)	0.4174 (56.6)	0.3403 (92.2)	0.4174 (52.8)
Javier Báez	0.5545	0.4482 (74.1)	0.4520 (75.8)	0.4615 (66.4)	0.4350 (81.9)
Joey Votto	0.4195	0.5198 (57.2)	0.5414 (66.6)	0.5206 (56.8)	0.5190 (57.4)
Miguel Andujar	0.5271	0.4306 (63.6)	0.4286 (68.8)	0.4294 (65.3)	0.4318 (62.3)
Max Muncy	0.5823	0.3633 (109.4)	0.3842 (102.5)	0.3522 (115.5)	0.3743 (103.6)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.5520	0.4510 (53.3)	0.4174 (72.9)	0.4501 (54.5)	0.4520 (52.3)
Christian Yelich	0.5976	0.4811 (81.4)	0.4424 (110.8)	0.4907 (76.1)	0.4716 (86.9)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.6549	0.5089	96.9
2	Jesús Aguilar	0.4267	0.5386	68.2
3	Brandon Nimmo	0.3657	0.4827	67.1
4	Eugenio Suárez	0.4467	0.5256	53.0
5	Alex Bregman	0.4662	0.5320	52.4
6	Matt Carpenter	0.4554	0.5230	51.6
7	Nick Markakis	0.3767	0.4398	50.5
8	Carlos Correa	0.5193	0.4055	49.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Eugenio Suárez	0.4352	0.5256	63.9
2	Jurickson Profar	0.3667	0.4580	63.2
3	Alex Bregman	0.4615	0.5320	60.3
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.4174	0.5644	59.5
5	José Ramírez	0.4870	0.5519	55.8
6	Eduardo Escobar	0.4161	0.4894	55.8
7	Gregory Polanco	0.4155	0.4989	52.7
8	J.D. Martinez	0.5646	0.6292	51.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.6535	0.5089	94.8
2	Jesús Aguilar	0.4259	0.5386	69.5
3	Brandon Nimmo	0.3698	0.4827	65.8
4	Eugenio Suárez	0.4377	0.5256	59.3
5	J.D. Martinez	0.5534	0.6292	55.7
6	Matt Carpenter	0.4532	0.5230	54.1
7	Gleyber Torres	0.3807	0.4803	53.0
8	Bryce Harper	0.5823	0.4964	52.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Giancarlo Stanton	0.6562	0.5089	98.6
2	Brandon Nimmo	0.3617	0.4827	68.7
3	Jesús Aguilar	0.4276	0.5386	67.1
4	Nick Markakis	0.3664	0.4398	57.0
5	Alex Bregman	0.4608	0.5320	55.4
6	Jonathan Lucroy	0.4488	0.3253	52.7
7	Charlie Culberson	0.3128	0.4662	51.8
8	Carlos Correa	0.5222	0.4055	51.2

Most Unique Misses for Slugging Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ketel Marte	0.3689	0.4155	0.4365	48.0	17.2	30.8
2	Christian Yelich	0.4424	0.4811	0.5976	110.8	81.4	29.4
3	Nick Castellanos	0.4648	0.5003	0.5000	34.1	5.6	28.5
4	Mike Trout	0.5609	0.5991	0.6285	50.2	23.0	27.2
5	Manny Machado	0.4912	0.5205	0.5380	43.9	18.4	25.4
6	Andrew Benintendi	0.4286	0.4598	0.4646	33.8	8.8	24.9
7	Rosell Herrera	0.4174	0.3184	0.3165	25.9	2.0	23.9
8	Maikel Franco	0.4254	0.4702	0.4665	26.1	2.2	23.9
9	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.4174	0.4510	0.5520	72.9	53.3	19.5
10	Mookie Betts	0.4801	0.5045	0.6404	107.7	88.7	19.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Gleyber Torres	0.3807	0.4121	0.4803	53.0	37.1	15.9
2	J.D. Martinez	0.5534	0.5747	0.6292	55.7	40.9	14.8
3	Nick Castellanos	0.4808	0.5003	0.5000	19.8	5.6	14.3
4	Aaron Judge	0.5174	0.5346	0.5278	10.2	0.9	9.3
5	Albert Pujols	0.4396	0.4196	0.4108	9.4	0.2	9.2
6	Khris Davis	0.4989	0.5110	0.5486	39.0	30.2	8.9
7	Nick Ahmed	0.3631	0.3768	0.4109	32.6	24.0	8.6
8	Marcell Ozuna	0.5213	0.5067	0.4330	49.1	40.9	8.2
9	Andrew McCutchen	0.4750	0.4617	0.4236	28.3	20.2	8.1
10	Ian Desmond	0.4655	0.4515	0.4216	21.0	13.2	7.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Manny Machado	0.4984	0.5205	0.5380	33.3	18.4	14.9
2	Charlie Blackmon	0.5439	0.5246	0.5016	24.3	10.0	14.2
3	Cody Bellinger	0.5578	0.5367	0.4704	50.6	36.5	14.0
4	Nelson Cruz	0.4851	0.5039	0.5087	18.3	7.9	10.4
5	Yonder Alonso	0.4857	0.4688	0.4205	33.1	22.8	10.4
6	Adam Duvall	0.4865	0.4656	0.3646	48.9	39.5	9.4
7	Matt Olson	0.4980	0.4850	0.4534	24.5	15.2	9.3
8	Albert Pujols	0.4000	0.4196	0.4108	9.1	0.2	8.9
9	Starling Marte	0.4121	0.4275	0.4597	33.4	24.7	8.6
10	Javier Báez	0.4350	0.4482	0.5545	81.9	74.1	7.8

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Ervin Santana	114	705 (591.3)	746 (632.0)	664 (549.7)	747 (633.0)
Taijuan Walker	56	745 (689.3)	663 (607.0)	807 (750.6)	684 (628.0)
Jerad Eickhoff	26	632 (605.7)	619 (593.0)	610 (584.4)	653 (627.0)
JC Ramírez	33	573 (539.6)	495 (462.0)	531 (498.2)	614 (581.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel González	664	66	597.7
2	Jordan Montgomery	658	116	542.4
3	Johnny Cueto	751	214	536.9
4	Yu Darvish	712	180	532.0
5	Jeff Samardzija	735	207	527.8
6	Luiz Gohara	603	82	520.6
7	Jeff Hoffman	564	44	520.4
8	Zach Davies	791	280	511.0
9	Kendall Graveman	669	158	510.8
10	Braden Shipley	479	21	457.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miles Mikolas	100	808	708.0
2	Aríel Miranda	602	24	578.0
3	Miguel González	640	66	574.0
4	Andrew Suárez	100	665	565.0
5	Jeff Samardzija	753	207	546.0
6	Ryan Yarbrough	100	628	528.0
7	Yu Darvish	673	180	493.0
8	Brad Keller	100	583	483.0
9	Jordan Montgomery	590	116	474.0
10	Zach Davies	747	280	467.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Andrew Suárez	4	665	660.7
2	Miguel González	724	66	658.3
3	Kendall Graveman	768	158	609.6
4	Johnny Cueto	761	214	546.8
5	Jordan Montgomery	661	116	544.9
6	Yu Darvish	720	180	539.9
7	Wei-Yin Chen	39	572	532.5
8	Jeff Samardzija	727	207	519.6
9	Wade LeBlanc	149	662	513.2
10	Dylan Covey	40	542	501.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jake Thompson	737	76	661.0
2	Anthony Banda	672	56	616.0
3	Braden Shipley	634	21	613.0
4	Aaron Brooks	611	10	601.0
5	Aaron Slegers	657	60	597.0
6	Jeff Hoffman	640	44	596.0
7	Aríel Miranda	615	24	591.0
8	Alex McRae	623	32	591.0
9	Tyler Danish	621	31	590.0
10	Jen-Ho Tseng	597	10	587.0

Most Unique Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Yarbrough	100	584	628	528.0	43.6	484.4
2	Miles Mikolas	100	579	808	708.0	229.1	478.9
3	Joey Lucchesi	100	456	548	448.0	92.2	355.8
4	Lucas Giolito	350	674	775	425.0	101.5	323.5
5	Chris Stratton	325	624	625	300.0	0.7	299.3
6	Eric Lauer	100	384	504	404.0	119.7	284.3
7	Trevor Richards	100	383	547	447.0	163.5	283.5
8	Ryan Borucki	100	375	415	315.0	40.1	274.9
9	Brad Keller	100	366	583	483.0	216.5	266.5
10	Shane Bieber	100	365	485	385.0	120.4	264.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Shane Bieber	4	365	485	480.7	120.4	360.4
2	Andrew Suárez	4	319	665	660.7	346.4	314.4
3	Heath Fillmyer	41	327	344	302.6	16.8	285.8
4	David Hess	42	324	454	411.9	130.4	281.4
5	Adam Plutko	41	318	326	284.9	8.5	276.5
6	Yovani Gallardo	4	280	422	417.6	142.3	275.3
7	Dereck Rodríguez	4	272	487	482.6	214.8	267.8
8	Austin Gomber	41	305	334	293.4	28.7	264.7
9	Jaime Barria	40	304	537	496.6	232.8	263.8
10	Sam Gaviglio	85	339	548	462.7	208.9	253.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Soroka	637	321	113	524.0	207.7	316.3
2	Dakota Hudson	634	319	118	516.0	201.2	314.8
3	Jake Thompson	737	423	76	661.0	347.2	313.8
4	Deck McGuire	630	317	177	453.0	140.2	312.8
5	Kolby Allard	627	316	47	580.0	268.7	311.3
6	Alex McRae	623	314	32	591.0	281.7	309.3
7	Aaron Slegers	657	349	60	597.0	288.5	308.5
8	Tyler Danish	621	313	31	590.0	281.8	308.2
9	Touki Toussaint	620	312	123	497.0	189.3	307.7
10	Aaron Brooks	611	308	10	601.0	297.7	303.3

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Kyle Freeland	0.2915	0.3189 (36.8)	0.3309 (31.8)	0.3228 (37.0)	0.3150 (36.6)
Zack Wheeler	0.2695	0.3020 (36.2)	0.3411 (52.0)	0.2990 (31.3)	0.3049 (41.1)
Blake Treinen	0.1910	0.2818 (33.7)	0.3138 (38.1)	0.2895 (35.0)	0.2740 (32.4)
Jacob deGrom	0.2306	0.2681 (44.8)	0.2934 (51.0)	0.2716 (44.7)	0.2646 (44.9)
Trevor Bauer	0.2600	0.2908 (33.7)	0.3212 (42.6)	0.2980 (36.2)	0.2837 (31.2)
Miles Mikolas	0.2706	0.2958 (33.4)	0.3149 (34.4)	0.2950 (29.9)	0.2966 (37.0)
Aaron Nola	0.2508	0.2755 (34.0)	0.3060 (44.4)	0.2833 (37.4)	0.2677 (30.5)
Blake Snell	0.2463	0.2851 (38.5)	0.3157 (47.4)	0.2894 (39.0)	0.2807 (37.9)
Patrick Corbin	0.2653	0.3009 (41.4)	0.3361 (55.2)	0.2999 (37.7)	0.3019 (45.1)
Mike Foltynewicz	0.2659	0.3110 (45.6)	0.3347 (49.9)	0.3102 (42.3)	0.3118 (48.9)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jhoulys Chacín	0.3109	0.2857	33.0
2	Gerrit Cole	0.2875	0.2646	31.2
3	Dylan Bundy	0.3040	0.3617	31.1
4	Chris Archer	0.2691	0.3313	29.4
5	Seranthony Domínguez	0.3396	0.2311	28.8
6	Dereck Rodríguez	0.3306	0.2894	27.9
7	Mike Clevinger	0.3054	0.2874	27.7
8	Trevor Williams	0.3094	0.2863	27.5
9	Drew Pomeranz	0.2900	0.3847	27.0
10	Adam Ottavino	0.3071	0.2368	26.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Walker Buehler	0.3249	0.2467	41.4
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.3495	0.2739	40.9
3	Gerrit Cole	0.3120	0.2646	36.5
4	Dylan Bundy	0.3183	0.3617	33.8
5	Derek Holland	0.3552	0.3080	33.1
6	Marco Estrada	0.3109	0.3589	31.2
7	Jack Flaherty	0.3321	0.2822	29.6
8	Andrew Cashner	0.3249	0.3667	29.6
9	Jason Hammel	0.3216	0.3682	28.1
10	Kyle Gibson	0.3415	0.3059	28.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gerrit Cole	0.2946	0.2646	34.0
2	Jhoulys Chacín	0.3130	0.2857	31.7
3	Justin Verlander	0.2827	0.2588	30.4
4	Chris Archer	0.2738	0.3313	28.6
5	Trevor Williams	0.3140	0.2863	28.2
6	Seranthony Domínguez	0.3365	0.2311	27.3
7	José Leclerc	0.3124	0.2031	27.2
8	Mike Clevinger	0.3073	0.2874	26.2
9	Drew Pomeranz	0.2996	0.3847	25.0
10	Adam Ottavino	0.3027	0.2368	24.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dylan Bundy	0.2878	0.3617	40.6
2	Dereck Rodríguez	0.3458	0.2894	37.1
3	Jhoulys Chacín	0.3089	0.2857	34.2
4	Walker Buehler	0.2864	0.2467	32.2
5	Marco Estrada	0.2883	0.3589	31.9
6	Aníbal Sánchez	0.3107	0.2739	31.3
7	Seranthony Domínguez	0.3427	0.2311	30.4
8	Chris Archer	0.2643	0.3313	30.1
9	Martín Pérez	0.2951	0.3896	29.7
10	Josh Hader	0.2937	0.2180	29.2

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Glasnow	0.3599	0.2891	0.3040	25.3	0.6	24.7
2	Derek Holland	0.3552	0.3143	0.3080	33.1	16.3	16.8
3	Jameson Taillon	0.3236	0.2854	0.2948	21.3	5.4	16.0
4	Zack Wheeler	0.3411	0.3020	0.2695	52.0	36.2	15.8
5	Aníbal Sánchez	0.3495	0.3031	0.2739	40.9	25.1	15.8
6	Walker Buehler	0.3249	0.2787	0.2467	41.4	26.1	15.3
7	Mike Minor	0.2900	0.2959	0.3119	15.0	0.1	14.9
8	Adam Plutko	0.3110	0.3362	0.3635	17.7	3.7	14.0
9	Patrick Corbin	0.3361	0.3009	0.2653	55.2	41.4	13.9
10	Kyle Gibson	0.3415	0.3069	0.3059	28.1	14.3	13.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mike Minor	0.3119	0.2959	0.3119	8.1	0.1	7.9
2	Miguel Castro	0.3415	0.3206	0.3188	13.3	6.7	6.5
3	Jakob Junis	0.3073	0.3119	0.3299	7.6	1.4	6.2
4	Andrew Suárez	0.2951	0.3008	0.3265	12.5	6.3	6.2
5	Justin Verlander	0.2827	0.2719	0.2588	30.4	24.4	6.0
6	Ross Stripling	0.2803	0.2884	0.3090	8.1	2.2	5.9
7	Trevor Richards	0.2877	0.2946	0.3246	13.3	7.6	5.8
8	José Berríos	0.3066	0.2958	0.2913	22.3	16.5	5.7
9	Corey Kluber	0.2651	0.2553	0.2689	7.4	2.2	5.2
10	Kyle Hendricks	0.2950	0.2850	0.2942	10.8	5.6	5.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alex Cobb	0.2831	0.3014	0.3463	28.7	19.0	9.7
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.2617	0.2762	0.3044	20.1	10.5	9.5
3	Dylan Bundy	0.2878	0.3040	0.3617	40.6	31.1	9.5
4	Dereck Rodríguez	0.3458	0.3306	0.2894	37.1	27.9	9.2
5	Lucas Giolito	0.2971	0.3106	0.3451	21.8	14.2	7.7
6	Mike Minor	0.2799	0.2959	0.3119	7.8	0.1	7.6
7	Cole Hamels	0.2879	0.3007	0.3236	12.8	5.5	7.4
8	Sonny Gray	0.2738	0.2893	0.3352	24.2	17.3	6.9
9	Freddy Peralta	0.3299	0.3121	0.2782	22.9	16.1	6.9
10	Lance Lynn	0.2944	0.3077	0.3287	10.2	3.4	6.8

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Jack Flaherty	0.2959	0.2067 (47.4)	0.2118 (48.6)	0.2026 (50.3)	0.2108 (44.9)
Justin Verlander	0.3481	0.2638 (60.2)	0.2520 (75.9)	0.2666 (58.4)	0.2610 (62.5)
Derek Holland	0.2325	0.1661 (39.4)	0.1740 (38.8)	0.1699 (37.1)	0.1623 (42.2)
Jacob deGrom	0.3222	0.2605 (41.4)	0.2601 (47.6)	0.2683 (35.4)	0.2526 (47.9)
Trevor Bauer	0.3082	0.2364 (42.8)	0.2323 (50.8)	0.2316 (46.7)	0.2412 (39.4)
Jake Arrieta	0.1906	0.2266 (34.8)	0.2357 (36.3)	0.2245 (32.8)	0.2287 (36.3)
Chris Sale	0.3841	0.2868 (52.6)	0.2995 (49.1)	0.3100 (38.7)	0.2636 (66.9)
Gerrit Cole	0.3454	0.2238 (87.5)	0.2213 (95.1)	0.2229 (88.7)	0.2247 (86.8)
Blake Snell	0.3157	0.2440 (41.8)	0.2222 (61.9)	0.2451 (41.4)	0.2428 (42.6)
Patrick Corbin	0.3075	0.2005 (75.9)	0.2080 (75.5)	0.2012 (75.9)	0.1997 (76.5)
Germán Márquez	0.2815	0.2031 (54.2)	0.2073 (56.5)	0.2098 (49.2)	0.1965 (59.6)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Kershaw	0.2949	0.2385	44.6
2	Lucas Giolito	0.2040	0.1613	42.5
3	Noah Syndergaard	0.2940	0.2407	42.2
4	Josh Hader	0.3187	0.4673	41.8
5	James Paxton	0.2496	0.3225	39.2
6	Shane Bieber	0.1525	0.2433	38.1
7	Jon Lester	0.2305	0.1958	35.6
8	Mike Foltynewicz	0.2116	0.2715	35.6
9	Carlos Rodón	0.2330	0.1761	35.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Hader	0.2584	0.4673	62.4
2	James Paxton	0.2432	0.3225	47.9
3	Edwin Díaz	0.2826	0.4429	43.5
4	Mike Foltynewicz	0.2085	0.2715	43.1
5	Dallas Keuchel	0.2160	0.1751	40.2
6	Tyler Glasnow	0.2030	0.2906	38.6
7	Miles Mikolas	0.2228	0.1807	38.1
8	Brad Keller	0.2228	0.1647	36.8
9	Ryan Pressly	0.2172	0.3459	36.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Hader	0.3005	0.4673	47.5
2	Noah Syndergaard	0.2972	0.2407	43.8
3	James Paxton	0.2434	0.3225	43.6
4	Miles Mikolas	0.2189	0.1807	40.1
5	Clayton Kershaw	0.2869	0.2385	38.9
6	Mike Foltynewicz	0.2095	0.2715	37.6
7	Lucas Giolito	0.1937	0.1613	34.0
8	Marco Estrada	0.2059	0.1643	33.3
9	J.A. Happ	0.2070	0.2633	32.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	0.2144	0.1613	50.5
2	Clayton Kershaw	0.3030	0.2385	49.8
3	Mike Minor	0.2633	0.2062	44.3
4	Shane Bieber	0.1407	0.2433	43.9
5	Noah Syndergaard	0.2909	0.2407	40.1
6	Jon Lester	0.2347	0.1958	38.8
7	Carlos Rodón	0.2384	0.1761	38.0
8	Frankie Montas	0.2740	0.1519	38.0
9	Dallas Keuchel	0.2060	0.1751	37.6

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Glasnow	0.2030	0.2783	0.2906	38.6	0.1	38.5
2	Brad Keller	0.2228	0.1540	0.1647	36.8	0.8	36.0
3	David Hess	0.2228	0.1406	0.1630	29.4	4.7	24.8
4	Ariel Jurado	0.2228	0.1235	0.0913	32.9	10.7	22.2
5	Josh Hader	0.2584	0.3187	0.4673	62.4	41.8	20.6
6	Blake Snell	0.2222	0.2440	0.3157	61.9	41.8	20.2
7	Matt Koch	0.2067	0.1472	0.1389	26.2	7.4	18.9
8	Andrew Suárez	0.2228	0.1783	0.1955	21.5	3.4	18.1
9	Heath Fillmyer	0.2228	0.1439	0.1657	21.4	3.3	18.0
10	Ryan Borucki	0.2228	0.1742	0.1614	27.5	10.3	17.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Homer Bailey	0.1770	0.1510	0.1518	18.1	5.6	12.5
2	Miles Mikolas	0.2189	0.2068	0.1807	40.1	30.9	9.2
3	Brad Keller	0.1689	0.1540	0.1647	9.1	0.8	8.3
4	Michael Lorenzen	0.2256	0.2019	0.1570	27.6	19.6	7.9
5	Luke Weaver	0.2374	0.2241	0.1987	30.6	22.9	7.7
6	Matt Koch	0.1688	0.1472	0.1389	14.9	7.4	7.5
7	Corey Oswalt	0.2283	0.2012	0.1596	22.6	15.2	7.5
8	Tyler Clippard	0.2260	0.2507	0.2982	17.3	10.1	7.2
9	Max Scherzer	0.3020	0.3095	0.3464	28.5	21.5	7.1
10	Raisel Iglesias	0.2876	0.2616	0.2749	7.0	0.3	6.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chris Sale	0.2636	0.2868	0.3841	66.9	52.6	14.3
2	Mike Minor	0.2633	0.2426	0.2062	44.3	31.0	13.3
3	Anthony DeSclafani	0.1553	0.1791	0.2231	27.0	15.5	11.5
4	Vince Velasquez	0.2659	0.2491	0.2556	14.1	3.5	10.6
5	Sam Gaviglio	0.1433	0.1621	0.1916	19.8	9.6	10.3
6	David Robertson	0.3525	0.3205	0.3216	12.2	3.1	9.0
7	Lucas Giolito	0.2144	0.2040	0.1613	50.5	42.5	8.0
8	Reynaldo López	0.2158	0.2061	0.1890	31.1	23.4	7.8
9	Trevor Richards	0.1854	0.1995	0.2377	22.0	14.2	7.7
10	Raisel Iglesias	0.2357	0.2616	0.2749	7.9	0.3	7.6

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tyler Chatwood	0.1955	0.1050 (43.4)	0.1059 (42.1)	0.1052 (43.9)	0.1048 (42.7)
Julio Teheran	0.1160	0.0762 (28.0)	0.0786 (25.0)	0.0754 (29.4)	0.0770 (26.2)
Justin Verlander	0.0444	0.0738 (25.4)	0.0764 (29.1)	0.0757 (26.0)	0.0719 (25.2)
Danny Duffy	0.1012	0.0689 (21.5)	0.0701 (19.5)	0.0723 (20.0)	0.0656 (22.7)
Sean Manaea	0.0489	0.0758 (18.4)	0.0751 (19.0)	0.0775 (18.7)	0.0742 (18.3)
Mike Clevinger	0.0827	0.1040 (18.2)	0.1073 (22.3)	0.1036 (16.9)	0.1044 (19.8)
Justin Anderson	0.1660	0.0983 (16.0)	0.0847 (18.9)	0.0982 (16.3)	0.0847 (18.9)
Robbie Erlin	0.0273	0.0698 (19.1)	0.0793 (24.1)	0.0733 (20.1)	0.0663 (18.3)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miles Mikolas	0.0634	0.0359	23.2
2	Mike Minor	0.0890	0.0594	19.7
3	Marco Gonzales	0.0731	0.0466	18.9
4	Mike Fiers	0.0767	0.0518	18.6
5	Walker Buehler	0.1006	0.0684	18.1
6	Steven Brault	0.0937	0.1380	17.8
7	Jose Quintana	0.0669	0.0920	17.7
8	Robbie Ray	0.0984	0.1331	17.7
9	Carlos Martinez	0.0814	0.1152	17.0
10	Buck Farmer	0.0783	0.1331	16.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miles Mikolas	0.0847	0.0359	41.8
2	Lucas Giolito	0.0829	0.1161	23.5
3	Mike Fiers	0.0802	0.0518	22.4
4	Marco Gonzales	0.0759	0.0466	22.1
5	Steven Brault	0.0856	0.1380	20.4
6	Shane Bieber	0.0847	0.0474	19.5
7	Corey Kluber	0.0596	0.0404	18.6
8	Robbie Ray	0.0953	0.1331	18.3
9	Matt Harvey	0.0803	0.0558	18.2
10	Patrick Corbin	0.0791	0.0600	17.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marco Gonzales	0.0804	0.0466	23.1
2	Mike Minor	0.0926	0.0594	21.3
3	Mike Fiers	0.0811	0.0518	20.9
4	Steven Brault	0.0934	0.1380	18.4
5	Robbie Ray	0.0982	0.1331	18.4
6	John Gant	0.0801	0.1170	18.0
7	Jose Quintana	0.0684	0.0920	17.5
8	Buck Farmer	0.0795	0.1331	16.5
9	Carlos Martinez	0.0839	0.1152	16.3
10	Walker Buehler	0.0978	0.0684	15.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miles Mikolas	0.0752	0.0359	34.0
2	Tyson Ross	0.1291	0.0978	21.6
3	Walker Buehler	0.1034	0.0684	20.5
4	Tanner Scott	0.1981	0.1167	20.2
5	Mike Minor	0.0854	0.0594	18.4
6	Robert Stock	0.1842	0.0783	18.0
7	Lucas Giolito	0.0903	0.1161	17.9
8	Jose Quintana	0.0653	0.0920	17.7
9	Sean Newcomb	0.1390	0.1164	17.7
10	Miguel Castro	0.0838	0.1330	17.5

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miles Mikolas	0.0847	0.0634	0.0359	41.8	23.2	18.6
2	Shane Bieber	0.0847	0.0429	0.0474	19.5	1.6	17.9
3	Jordan Hicks	0.0847	0.1348	0.1327	15.3	1.1	14.2
4	Luis Castillo	0.0860	0.0694	0.0692	13.9	1.0	12.9
5	Andrew Suárez	0.0847	0.0684	0.0677	13.2	1.2	12.0
6	Reyes Moronta	0.0806	0.1264	0.1412	15.1	3.6	11.5
7	Lucas Giolito	0.0829	0.0994	0.1161	23.5	12.1	11.5
8	Jefry Rodriguez	0.0847	0.1268	0.1588	16.6	7.2	9.4
9	Freddy Peralta	0.0847	0.1343	0.1246	11.9	3.5	8.4
10	Andrew Heaney	0.0774	0.0680	0.0601	15.2	6.8	8.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andrew Heaney	0.0754	0.0680	0.0601	11.5	6.8	4.7
2	Luis Castillo	0.0772	0.0694	0.0692	5.6	1.0	4.7
3	Luis Severino	0.0738	0.0672	0.0590	11.6	7.3	4.2
4	Marco Gonzales	0.0804	0.0731	0.0466	23.1	18.9	4.2
5	Mike Leake	0.0544	0.0483	0.0434	8.6	4.8	3.9
6	Andrew Suárez	0.0751	0.0684	0.0677	4.9	1.2	3.7
7	Alex Claudio	0.0727	0.0596	0.0435	8.7	5.2	3.6
8	Trevor Richards	0.0731	0.0785	0.0987	14.0	10.4	3.6
9	Jakob Junis	0.0664	0.0605	0.0567	7.3	3.8	3.6
10	Héctor Santiago	0.0999	0.1056	0.1304	14.0	10.9	3.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jordan Hicks	0.0847	0.1348	0.1327	15.4	1.1	14.3
2	Miles Mikolas	0.0752	0.0634	0.0359	34.0	23.2	10.8
3	Tyson Ross	0.1291	0.1175	0.0978	21.6	13.2	8.4
4	Sean Newcomb	0.1390	0.1320	0.1164	17.7	11.7	6.0
5	Freddy Peralta	0.1509	0.1343	0.1246	9.3	3.5	5.9
6	Lucas Giolito	0.0903	0.0994	0.1161	17.9	12.1	5.8
7	Robert Stock	0.1842	0.1512	0.0783	18.0	12.3	5.8
8	Tyron Guerrero	0.1700	0.1507	0.1119	16.3	10.7	5.6
9	Tanner Scott	0.1981	0.1784	0.1167	20.2	15.1	5.1
10	Josh Hader	0.1333	0.1208	0.0980	11.7	7.3	4.3

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Steve Cishek	0.0312	0.0093 (6.1)	0.0136 (4.7)	0.0096 (5.9)	0.0091 (6.2)
Brad Hand	0.0299	0.0094 (5.9)	0.0129 (4.8)	0.0095 (5.8)	0.0094 (6.0)
Rick Porcello	0.0198	0.0086 (8.4)	0.0103 (6.7)	0.0098 (7.1)	0.0073 (9.7)
Carlos Rodón	0.0235	0.0100 (6.4)	0.0104 (6.1)	0.0098 (6.4)	0.0103 (6.5)
Chaz Roe	0.0394	0.0095 (5.9)	0.0071 (6.3)	0.0098 (5.8)	0.0093 (6.0)
Sean Newcomb	0.0014	0.0112 (7.4)	0.0120 (8.2)	0.0095 (6.5)	0.0128 (8.2)
Carlos Martinez	0.0211	0.0104 (5.2)	0.0104 (5.0)	0.0103 (5.0)	0.0105 (5.3)
Cole Hamels	0.0236	0.0115 (9.1)	0.0126 (7.9)	0.0110 (9.1)	0.0119 (9.0)
Lucas Giolito	0.0194	0.0105 (6.2)	0.0114 (5.2)	0.0098 (6.4)	0.0113 (5.9)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brad Keller	0.0111	0.0034	5.0
2	Corey Kluber	0.0086	0.0036	5.0
3	J.A. Happ	0.0047	0.0123	4.9
4	Gio Gonzalez	0.0083	0.0027	4.8
5	Jakob Junis	0.0126	0.0198	4.8
6	Homer Bailey	0.0128	0.0040	4.7
7	Andrew Suárez	0.0106	0.0045	4.6
8	Tyler Anderson	0.0093	0.0041	4.5
9	Robby Scott	0.0119	0.1250	4.5
10	Chris Sale	0.0146	0.0227	4.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gio Gonzalez	0.0094	0.0027	5.9
2	Homer Bailey	0.0147	0.0040	5.8
3	Tyler Mahle	0.0160	0.0059	5.7
4	Matthew Boyd	0.0067	0.0155	5.4
5	Chris Sale	0.0130	0.0227	5.2
6	Ian Kennedy	0.0107	0.0019	5.2
7	Corey Kluber	0.0083	0.0036	5.0
8	Jose Quintana	0.0096	0.0041	5.0
9	Andrew Cashner	0.0105	0.0044	5.0
10	Brad Keller	0.0104	0.0034	4.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Sale	0.0122	0.0227	5.7
2	Jack Flaherty	0.0075	0.0179	5.6
3	Gio Gonzalez	0.0087	0.0027	5.4
4	Corey Kluber	0.0086	0.0036	5.3
5	Jakob Junis	0.0119	0.0198	5.0
6	Charlie Morton	0.0148	0.0230	4.9
7	Dallas Keuchel	0.0064	0.0023	4.7
8	Ian Kennedy	0.0097	0.0019	4.7
9	Matthew Boyd	0.0077	0.0155	4.6
10	Robby Scott	0.0098	0.1250	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.A. Happ	0.0033	0.0123	6.2
2	Andrew Suárez	0.0126	0.0045	5.7
3	Brad Keller	0.0125	0.0034	5.5
4	Mike Minor	0.0036	0.0125	5.4
5	Sonny Gray	0.0042	0.0137	5.3
6	Tyler Anderson	0.0108	0.0041	5.3
7	Homer Bailey	0.0139	0.0040	5.1
8	Shane Bieber	0.0138	0.0041	4.9
9	Tyler Mahle	0.0150	0.0059	4.8
10	Chris Stratton	0.0104	0.0032	4.8

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Reynaldo López	0.0056	0.0082	0.0125	4.6	2.7	1.9
2	Tyler Mahle	0.0160	0.0134	0.0059	5.7	4.2	1.5
3	Domingo Germán	0.0071	0.0114	0.0133	1.9	0.4	1.5
4	Zack Godley	0.0088	0.0110	0.0152	4.1	2.6	1.4
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.0099	0.0084	0.0077	2.7	1.3	1.4
6	Mike Fiers	0.0123	0.0108	0.0112	1.7	0.3	1.3
7	Jose Quintana	0.0096	0.0082	0.0041	5.0	3.7	1.3
8	Francisco Liriano	0.0102	0.0083	0.0085	1.7	0.4	1.3
9	Matthew Boyd	0.0067	0.0087	0.0155	5.4	4.2	1.2
10	Lance Lynn	0.0109	0.0096	0.0086	2.5	1.3	1.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Charlie Morton	0.0148	0.0177	0.0230	4.9	3.1	1.8
2	José Berríos	0.0123	0.0146	0.0163	2.2	0.7	1.5
3	Dellin Betances	0.0123	0.0175	0.0184	1.3	0.0	1.3
4	Chris Sale	0.0122	0.0146	0.0227	5.7	4.5	1.2
5	Clayton Kershaw	0.0057	0.0043	0.0031	2.5	1.3	1.2
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.0064	0.0055	0.0023	4.7	3.5	1.2
7	James Paxton	0.0064	0.0050	0.0016	3.9	2.8	1.2
8	Jack Flaherty	0.0075	0.0098	0.0179	5.6	4.5	1.1
9	Bartolo Colon	0.0062	0.0048	0.0048	1.7	0.5	1.1
10	Brad Brach	0.0063	0.0032	0.0035	1.2	0.2	1.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zack Greinke	0.0014	0.0032	0.0072	4.5	2.6	1.9
2	Tyson Ross	0.0180	0.0148	0.0110	4.7	2.9	1.8
3	Mike Minor	0.0036	0.0058	0.0125	5.4	3.7	1.7
4	Jacob deGrom	0.0026	0.0043	0.0060	2.4	0.7	1.7
5	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0024	0.0049	0.0066	1.7	0.4	1.3
6	J.A. Happ	0.0033	0.0047	0.0123	6.2	4.9	1.3
7	Rick Porcello	0.0073	0.0086	0.0198	9.7	8.4	1.3
8	Fernando Rodney	0.0214	0.0165	0.0105	3.2	2.0	1.3
9	Dellin Betances	0.0226	0.0175	0.0184	1.3	0.0	1.3
10	Cam Bedrosian	0.0000	0.0042	0.0074	1.9	0.6	1.2

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Dylan Bundy	0.0810	0.0553 (19.5)	0.0507 (22.7)	0.0624 (15.4)	0.0480 (23.8)
Jacob deGrom	0.0194	0.0410 (17.8)	0.0437 (20.4)	0.0432 (18.3)	0.0388 (17.3)
Trevor Bauer	0.0209	0.0445 (16.7)	0.0442 (16.8)	0.0479 (17.9)	0.0411 (15.4)
Miles Mikolas	0.0256	0.0452 (15.6)	0.0441 (15.1)	0.0497 (18.0)	0.0406 (13.2)
Josh Tomlin	0.0965	0.0571 (12.7)	0.0541 (13.6)	0.0578 (13.0)	0.0565 (12.4)
James Paxton	0.0584	0.0360 (14.6)	0.0326 (16.6)	0.0403 (12.9)	0.0316 (16.4)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dereck Rodríguez	0.0541	0.0254	13.9
2	Zack Wheeler	0.0459	0.0279	13.1
3	Brad Keller	0.0375	0.0161	12.3
4	Steven Matz	0.0391	0.0576	12.3
5	A.J. Cole	0.0522	0.1071	12.2
6	Vince Velasquez	0.0592	0.0398	12.0
7	Nick Kingham	0.0397	0.0744	12.0
8	Ryan Borucki	0.0504	0.0224	11.5
9	Mike Clevinger	0.0539	0.0395	11.4
10	Mike Foltynewicz	0.0519	0.0363	11.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Wheeler	0.0514	0.0279	17.6
2	Dylan Covey	0.0646	0.0327	17.4
3	Brad Keller	0.0441	0.0161	16.4
4	Adam Plutko	0.0390	0.0868	15.5
5	Chase Anderson	0.0446	0.0664	13.9
6	Tyler Mahle	0.0370	0.0645	13.9
7	Anthony DeSclafani	0.0411	0.0698	13.8
8	A.J. Cole	0.0480	0.1071	13.0
9	Mike Minor	0.0341	0.0541	12.7
10	Derek Holland	0.0563	0.0390	12.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Lucchesi	0.0418	0.0646	13.5
2	Brad Keller	0.0402	0.0161	13.0
3	A.J. Cole	0.0511	0.1071	12.8
4	Lance Lynn	0.0499	0.0306	12.2
5	Steven Matz	0.0409	0.0576	12.2
6	Reynaldo López	0.0614	0.0444	12.1
7	Robbie Ray	0.0458	0.0664	11.8
8	Jake Odorizzi	0.0607	0.0425	11.6
9	Vince Velasquez	0.0600	0.0398	11.5
10	Nick Kingham	0.0427	0.0744	11.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dereck Rodríguez	0.0616	0.0254	18.3
2	Zack Wheeler	0.0500	0.0279	17.4
3	Ryan Borucki	0.0535	0.0224	13.5
4	Jose Quintana	0.0299	0.0490	13.2
5	Mike Foltynewicz	0.0519	0.0363	12.6
6	Cole Hamels	0.0373	0.0543	12.6
7	Vince Velasquez	0.0584	0.0398	12.5
8	Steven Matz	0.0373	0.0576	12.4
9	Anthony DeSclafani	0.0428	0.0698	12.4
10	Nick Kingham	0.0368	0.0744	12.4

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mike Minor	0.0341	0.0523	0.0541	12.7	1.3	11.4
2	Derek Holland	0.0563	0.0428	0.0390	12.7	2.5	10.1
3	David Hess	0.0441	0.0646	0.0657	9.7	0.6	9.1
4	Dylan Covey	0.0646	0.0496	0.0327	17.4	9.0	8.4
5	Tyler Mahle	0.0370	0.0534	0.0645	13.9	5.8	8.1
6	Adam Plutko	0.0390	0.0622	0.0868	15.5	8.1	7.5
7	Andrew Cashner	0.0370	0.0473	0.0486	7.8	1.1	6.7
8	Jakob Junis	0.0472	0.0560	0.0597	9.4	3.0	6.4
9	Dallas Keuchel	0.0371	0.0310	0.0272	8.8	3.0	5.7
10	Andrew Heaney	0.0602	0.0521	0.0523	6.0	0.4	5.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brad Boxberger	0.0467	0.0658	0.0687	5.6	0.7	4.9
2	Jakob Junis	0.0519	0.0560	0.0597	7.4	3.0	4.3
3	Andrew Suárez	0.0364	0.0404	0.0472	8.5	4.7	3.7
4	Kenta Maeda	0.0557	0.0472	0.0393	7.7	4.1	3.7
5	Miguel Castro	0.0525	0.0413	0.0341	6.2	2.6	3.6
6	Jonny Venters	0.0441	0.0192	0.0099	4.7	1.3	3.4
7	Jaime Barria	0.0622	0.0544	0.0440	8.7	5.4	3.3
8	Tyler Skaggs	0.0474	0.0399	0.0390	3.5	0.4	3.1
9	Aaron Nola	0.0450	0.0396	0.0314	9.7	6.6	3.1
10	Joey Lucchesi	0.0418	0.0458	0.0646	13.5	10.4	3.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Walker Buehler	0.0546	0.0463	0.0346	11.6	6.2	5.4
2	Dereck Rodríguez	0.0616	0.0541	0.0254	18.3	13.9	4.4
3	José Berríos	0.0384	0.0455	0.0480	6.6	2.2	4.4
4	Corey Kluber	0.0315	0.0382	0.0429	8.5	4.2	4.3
5	Zack Wheeler	0.0500	0.0459	0.0279	17.4	13.1	4.3
6	Dylan Bundy	0.0480	0.0553	0.0810	23.8	19.5	4.2
7	Brad Boxberger	0.0874	0.0658	0.0687	4.7	0.7	4.0
8	Matt Strahm	0.0744	0.0602	0.0395	8.9	5.0	3.9
9	Zack Godley	0.0428	0.0396	0.0312	10.2	6.5	3.8
10	Marco Estrada	0.0482	0.0556	0.0614	7.5	3.9	3.6

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Julio Teheran	0.2167	0.2856 (50.0)	0.2786 (42.7)	0.2940 (54.2)	0.2773 (45.7)
Jhoulys Chacín	0.2500	0.2957 (36.5)	0.2888 (28.6)	0.3025 (39.9)	0.2890 (33.1)
Shane Bieber	0.3556	0.2946 (29.5)	0.2930 (31.8)	0.2981 (29.0)	0.2913 (30.0)
Carlos Rodón	0.2419	0.2962 (27.8)	0.3117 (34.2)	0.2963 (26.6)	0.2962 (29.1)
Chase Anderson	0.2393	0.2912 (33.4)	0.2850 (27.5)	0.2964 (35.2)	0.2861 (31.7)
Daniel Mengden	0.2381	0.2952 (27.2)	0.2966 (26.4)	0.2964 (26.6)	0.2939 (27.8)
Lance Lynn	0.3363	0.2905 (32.0)	0.2719 (47.2)	0.2961 (29.8)	0.2849 (34.2)
Walker Buehler	0.2478	0.2929 (24.5)	0.3023 (27.9)	0.2926 (23.0)	0.2933 (26.0)
Sean Manaea	0.2474	0.2952 (31.3)	0.3016 (33.5)	0.2995 (32.5)	0.2909 (30.1)
Aaron Nola	0.2514	0.2976 (38.5)	0.3111 (47.1)	0.2983 (37.0)	0.2970 (40.0)
Jason Hammel	0.3480	0.2931 (32.0)	0.2988 (30.4)	0.2958 (31.8)	0.2903 (32.1)
Blake Snell	0.2412	0.2894 (33.8)	0.2997 (38.9)	0.2870 (30.4)	0.2917 (37.1)
Mike Foltynewicz	0.2506	0.2983 (35.6)	0.3144 (45.3)	0.2967 (32.6)	0.3000 (38.7)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Williams	0.3022	0.2615	28.6
2	Chris Archer	0.2942	0.3383	28.1
3	James Shields	0.2906	0.2617	25.2
4	Dylan Bundy	0.2835	0.3161	24.4
5	Matthew Boyd	0.2906	0.2581	23.1
6	Jack Flaherty	0.2935	0.2566	22.8
7	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2959	0.2549	22.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matthew Boyd	0.3096	0.2581	34.4
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.3186	0.2549	33.6
3	Junior Guerra	0.2677	0.3123	29.1
4	Clayton Richard	0.3341	0.2887	29.0
5	Zack Godley	0.2916	0.3239	27.9
6	Sonny Gray	0.2828	0.3263	27.1
7	Jack Flaherty	0.3016	0.2566	25.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Chris Archer	0.2911	0.3383	31.6
2	Trevor Williams	0.3085	0.2615	31.3
3	James Shields	0.2955	0.2617	27.4
4	Nick Pivetta	0.2932	0.3263	24.6
5	Eric Lauer	0.2869	0.3323	24.1
6	Blake Treinen	0.3080	0.2304	23.7
7	Dylan Bundy	0.2885	0.3161	22.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sonny Gray	0.2735	0.3263	29.3
2	Matthew Boyd	0.2952	0.2581	28.1
3	Reynaldo López	0.2911	0.2602	26.7
4	Dylan Bundy	0.2785	0.3161	26.3
5	Trevor Williams	0.2960	0.2615	26.0
6	Jack Flaherty	0.2953	0.2566	25.4
7	Carlos Carrasco	0.2798	0.3147	25.3

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Odorizzi	0.2625	0.2843	0.2905	21.9	4.3	17.6
2	Clayton Richard	0.3341	0.3081	0.2887	29.0	13.4	15.6
3	Lance Lynn	0.2719	0.2905	0.3363	47.2	32.0	15.2
4	Jake Arrieta	0.2685	0.2855	0.2874	15.8	1.3	14.5
5	Zack Wheeler	0.3153	0.2936	0.2793	24.6	10.7	13.9
6	Junior Guerra	0.2677	0.2833	0.3123	29.1	17.7	11.4
7	Matthew Boyd	0.3096	0.2906	0.2581	34.4	23.1	11.3
8	Aníbal Sánchez	0.3186	0.2959	0.2549	33.6	22.7	10.9
9	Kevin Gausman	0.3169	0.2980	0.2991	11.5	0.7	10.8
10	Kyle Gibson	0.3153	0.2994	0.2847	22.9	12.3	10.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cole Hamels	0.3035	0.2918	0.2911	8.1	0.6	7.5
2	Félix Hernández	0.3028	0.2916	0.2857	10.1	4.1	6.0
3	Tyler Chatwood	0.3027	0.2883	0.2862	6.9	1.1	5.8
4	Marco Gonzales	0.2908	0.2967	0.3189	20.9	15.1	5.8
5	Justin Verlander	0.2871	0.2782	0.2723	10.3	4.9	5.4
6	Andrew Heaney	0.2850	0.2895	0.2945	8.9	3.6	5.2
7	Zack Greinke	0.2958	0.2873	0.2718	18.2	13.1	5.1
8	Iván Nova	0.3119	0.3021	0.2877	14.9	9.9	5.0
9	Vince Velasquez	0.2902	0.2957	0.3161	17.8	12.8	5.0
10	Clayton Kershaw	0.2888	0.2788	0.2729	8.8	3.9	4.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dallas Keuchel	0.2731	0.2895	0.3002	21.4	9.3	12.1
2	Jake Arrieta	0.2733	0.2855	0.2874	8.3	1.3	7.0
3	Sonny Gray	0.2735	0.2879	0.3263	29.3	22.3	7.0
4	Mike Montgomery	0.2717	0.2867	0.3087	18.4	11.7	6.7
5	Junior Guerra	0.2705	0.2833	0.3123	24.0	17.7	6.3
6	Cole Hamels	0.2802	0.2918	0.2911	6.7	0.6	6.1
7	Jaime Barria	0.2921	0.2834	0.2710	12.7	6.7	5.9
8	Alex Cobb	0.2823	0.2933	0.3033	12.2	6.5	5.7
9	Reynaldo López	0.2911	0.2872	0.2602	26.7	21.6	5.1
10	Matthew Boyd	0.2952	0.2906	0.2581	28.1	23.1	5.0

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Julio Teheran	0.1512	0.2856 (42.9)	0.2104 (40.2)	0.2940 (47.3)	0.2773 (39.4)
Dereck Rodríguez	0.1561	0.2891 (28.2)	0.2176 (28.2)	0.2843 (24.8)	0.2940 (32.3)
Jhoulys Chacín	0.1815	0.2957 (31.1)	0.2188 (26.8)	0.3025 (34.7)	0.2890 (28.6)
Daniel Mengden	0.1625	0.2952 (27.4)	0.2243 (27.7)	0.2964 (26.9)	0.2939 (28.5)
Mike Minor	0.1602	0.2896 (34.7)	0.2059 (26.9)	0.2957 (37.2)	0.2832 (33.0)
Lance Lynn	0.2573	0.2905 (29.4)	0.2080 (37.0)	0.2961 (27.1)	0.2849 (30.8)
Aaron Nola	0.1886	0.2976 (28.2)	0.2373 (37.5)	0.2983 (26.9)	0.2970 (30.7)
Blake Snell	0.1709	0.2894 (30.3)	0.2228 (33.8)	0.2870 (27.1)	0.2917 (34.5)
Mike Foltynewicz	0.1840	0.2983 (29.1)	0.2323 (33.2)	0.2967 (26.2)	0.3000 (33.1)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pivetta	0.2953	0.2629	29.7
2	Trevor Williams	0.3022	0.1896	26.2
3	Eric Lauer	0.2905	0.2641	24.6
4	Lucas Giolito	0.2900	0.1834	24.4
5	Max Scherzer	0.2821	0.1792	24.0
6	Freddy Peralta	0.2945	0.1445	24.0
7	Danny Duffy	0.2866	0.2445	22.9
8	Mike Wright Jr.	0.2909	0.2741	22.7
9	James Shields	0.2906	0.1896	22.5
10	Carlos Rodón	0.2962	0.1770	22.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zack Godley	0.2125	0.2515	33.7
2	Steven Matz	0.2420	0.1907	31.2
3	Clayton Richard	0.2538	0.2062	30.0
4	Carlos Rodón	0.2370	0.1770	28.8
5	Matthew Boyd	0.2285	0.1844	28.7
6	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2448	0.1905	28.1
7	Mike Wright Jr.	0.2118	0.2741	25.6
8	Eric Lauer	0.2176	0.2641	25.3
9	Adam Plutko	0.2297	0.1493	25.0
10	Ty Blach	0.2141	0.2584	24.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pivetta	0.2932	0.2629	32.7
2	Trevor Williams	0.3085	0.1896	29.1
3	Eric Lauer	0.2869	0.2641	27.5
4	Lucas Giolito	0.2949	0.1834	26.4
5	James Shields	0.2955	0.1896	24.8
6	Max Scherzer	0.2847	0.1792	24.4
7	Freddy Peralta	0.2944	0.1445	23.3
8	Mike Wright Jr.	0.2922	0.2741	23.0
9	Craig Kimbrel	0.2856	0.1171	22.5
10	Noah Syndergaard	0.2983	0.2558	22.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Anderson	0.2176	0.2835	33.1
2	Jordan Hicks	0.2176	0.2336	29.7
3	Matthew Boyd	0.2952	0.1844	27.8
4	Adam Plutko	0.3000	0.1493	25.8
5	Bartolo Colon	0.3075	0.1951	25.7
6	Nick Pivetta	0.2975	0.2629	25.7
7	Freddy Peralta	0.2946	0.1445	25.2
8	Max Scherzer	0.2794	0.1792	24.8
9	Steven Matz	0.3000	0.1907	24.7
10	Trevor Williams	0.2960	0.1896	24.4

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kevin Gausman	0.2428	0.2980	0.2220	13.3	0.7	12.7
2	Jake Arrieta	0.1968	0.2855	0.2176	17.7	5.2	12.4
3	Zack Godley	0.2125	0.2997	0.2515	33.7	21.4	12.3
4	Clayton Richard	0.2538	0.3081	0.2062	30.0	18.3	11.7
5	Kyle Gibson	0.2419	0.2994	0.2237	12.1	0.5	11.6
6	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2448	0.2959	0.1905	28.1	16.7	11.3
7	Corey Kluber	0.2013	0.2879	0.2115	11.6	1.1	10.5
8	Steven Matz	0.2420	0.2992	0.1907	31.2	21.8	9.4
9	Aaron Nola	0.2373	0.2976	0.1886	37.5	28.2	9.3
10	Sam Gaviglio	0.2053	0.2932	0.2395	20.7	11.8	8.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kazuhisa Makita	0.2176	0.2903	0.2088	10.2	0.9	9.3
2	Yoshihisa Hirano	0.2176	0.2966	0.1977	15.1	6.2	8.9
3	Félix Hernández	0.3028	0.2916	0.2056	13.5	7.4	6.1
4	Alex Cobb	0.3044	0.2933	0.2152	7.8	2.0	5.9
5	Marco Gonzales	0.2908	0.2967	0.2346	14.5	8.9	5.6
6	Justin Verlander	0.2871	0.2782	0.1957	11.6	6.0	5.6
7	Zack Greinke	0.2958	0.2873	0.2025	13.4	8.0	5.3
8	Iván Nova	0.3119	0.3021	0.2103	16.5	11.3	5.2
9	Clayton Kershaw	0.2888	0.2788	0.2013	6.6	1.5	5.1
10	Andrew Heaney	0.2850	0.2895	0.2249	13.0	7.9	5.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jordan Hicks	0.2176	0.3011	0.2336	29.7	2.6	27.1
2	Justin Anderson	0.2176	0.2862	0.2835	33.1	17.5	15.7
3	Caleb Ferguson	0.2176	0.2896	0.2417	19.3	5.5	13.8
4	Drew Hutchison	0.2176	0.2892	0.2519	21.1	7.5	13.5
5	Paul Fry	0.2176	0.2996	0.2718	20.0	7.5	12.5
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.2731	0.2895	0.2240	19.6	8.5	11.1
7	Jeffrey Springs	0.2176	0.2942	0.2418	13.5	3.2	10.3
8	Ben Meyer	0.2176	0.2911	0.2206	7.2	0.4	6.8
9	Jaime Barria	0.2921	0.2834	0.2033	9.3	2.7	6.6
10	Cole Hamels	0.2802	0.2918	0.2238	12.2	5.8	6.4

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Andrew Cashner	0.0900	0.0000 (14.8)	0.0641 (17.0)	0.0000 (14.9)	0.0000 (15.5)
Ryan Yarbrough	0.0967	0.0000 (17.8)	0.0684 (17.2)	0.0000 (18.0)	0.0000 (18.5)
Matt Moore	0.1187	0.0000 (23.8)	0.0672 (23.9)	0.0000 (23.9)	0.0000 (24.3)
Chris Archer	0.0970	0.0000 (18.3)	0.0664 (19.0)	0.0000 (18.5)	0.0000 (19.0)
Marco Estrada	0.1106	0.0000 (26.5)	0.0734 (22.8)	0.0000 (26.7)	0.0000 (27.2)
Kyle Freeland	0.0450	0.0000 (19.7)	0.0676 (19.8)	0.0000 (19.5)	0.0000 (18.8)
Kenta Maeda	0.0975	0.0000 (15.5)	0.0632 (17.8)	0.0000 (15.6)	0.0000 (16.1)
Zack Wheeler	0.0411	0.0000 (20.3)	0.0644 (18.0)	0.0000 (20.1)	0.0000 (19.5)
Shane Bieber	0.1216	0.0000 (25.8)	0.0684 (25.4)	0.0000 (25.9)	0.0000 (26.4)
Miles Mikolas	0.0393	0.0000 (23.4)	0.0684 (24.2)	0.0000 (23.2)	0.0000 (22.5)
Jake Odorizzi	0.0909	0.0000 (16.1)	0.0621 (19.9)	0.0000 (16.2)	0.0000 (16.8)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Patrick Corbin	0.0885	16.1
2	Derek Holland	0.0897	15.6
3	Vince Velasquez	0.0907	14.1
4	Sean Newcomb	0.0482	14.0
5	Brad Keller	0.0444	13.9
6	Jordan Hicks	0.0280	13.6
7	Chase Anderson	0.0474	13.5
8	Zach Eflin	0.0921	13.1
9	Dylan Covey	0.0443	13.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jameson Taillon	0.0815	0.0581	19.1
2	Sean Newcomb	0.0730	0.0482	17.9
3	Chase Anderson	0.0737	0.0474	17.5
4	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.0765	0.0468	16.9
5	Lucas Giolito	0.0553	0.0772	16.3
6	Dylan Covey	0.0732	0.0443	16.1
7	Mike Foltynewicz	0.0752	0.0554	15.3
8	Rick Porcello	0.0728	0.0550	15.0
9	Carlos Carrasco	0.0824	0.0642	15.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yoshihisa Hirano	0.0684	0.0407	25.1
2	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0885	16.3
3	Derek Holland	0.0000	0.0897	15.7
4	Vince Velasquez	0.0000	0.0907	14.2
5	Sean Newcomb	0.0000	0.0482	13.9
6	Brad Keller	0.0000	0.0444	13.8
7	Jordan Hicks	0.0000	0.0280	13.6
8	Chase Anderson	0.0000	0.0474	13.3
9	Zach Eflin	0.0000	0.0921	13.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Hicks	0.0684	0.0280	36.5
2	Justin Anderson	0.0684	0.0236	27.0
3	Caleb Ferguson	0.0684	0.0333	20.7
4	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0885	17.0
5	Derek Holland	0.0000	0.0897	16.4
6	Drew Hutchison	0.0684	0.0534	16.4
7	Paul Fry	0.0684	0.0388	15.4
8	Vince Velasquez	0.0000	0.0907	14.8
9	Zach Eflin	0.0000	0.0921	13.7

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Charlie Morton	0.0856	0.0682	12.7	0.1	12.7
2	Carlos Carrasco	0.0824	0.0642	15.0	3.2	11.7
3	Jameson Taillon	0.0815	0.0581	19.1	8.0	11.0
4	Sal Romano	0.0844	0.0675	11.4	0.5	10.9
5	Lance Lynn	0.0520	0.0722	13.6	2.8	10.8
6	Lucas Giolito	0.0553	0.0772	16.3	6.9	9.4
7	Rich Hill	0.0511	0.0701	10.0	1.0	9.0
8	Dallas Keuchel	0.0578	0.0747	13.9	5.6	8.4
9	Clayton Kershaw	0.0525	0.0671	8.9	0.8	8.2
10	Chad Kuhl	0.0873	0.0539	12.8	5.4	7.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yoshihisa Hirano	0.0684	0.0407	25.1	7.2	17.9
2	Kazuhisa Makita	0.0684	0.0659	10.5	0.4	10.2
3	Jonny Venters	0.0684	0.0600	11.1	1.2	9.9
4	José Ruiz	0.0684	0.0000	2.9	1.4	1.4
5	Dallas Keuchel	0.0000	0.0747	5.7	5.6	0.2
6	James Shields	0.0000	0.0688	0.6	0.4	0.2
7	Max Scherzer	0.0000	0.0750	6.0	5.8	0.2
8	Mike Clevinger	0.0000	0.0705	1.9	1.7	0.2
9	Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0885	16.3	16.1	0.2
10	Gerrit Cole	0.0000	0.0831	12.0	11.9	0.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jordan Hicks	0.0684	0.0280	36.5	13.6	22.8
2	Justin Anderson	0.0684	0.0236	27.0	10.8	16.2
3	Caleb Ferguson	0.0684	0.0333	20.7	7.1	13.6
4	Drew Hutchison	0.0684	0.0534	16.4	3.0	13.4
5	Paul Fry	0.0684	0.0388	15.4	4.7	10.7
6	Jeffrey Springs	0.0684	0.0549	11.4	1.9	9.5
7	Ryan Brasier	0.0684	0.0349	12.5	4.1	8.3
8	Adrian Sampson	0.0684	0.0290	10.2	3.8	6.5
9	Ryan Cook	0.0684	0.0513	6.4	1.3	5.1
10	J.B. Wendelken	0.0684	0.0476	5.5	1.3	4.2

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Eric Skoglund	0.0242	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0056 (5.5)	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0000 (5.1)
Corey Knebel	0.0294	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0062 (5.2)	0.0000 (5.0)	0.0000 (5.0)
Carlos Carrasco	0.0124	0.0000 (4.3)	0.0067 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.3)	0.0000 (4.3)
Bartolo Colon	0.0205	0.0000 (8.5)	0.0066 (8.9)	0.0000 (8.5)	0.0000 (8.6)
Steve Cishek	0.0238	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0070 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.9)
Andrew Suárez	0.0151	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0070 (5.5)	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (5.5)
Harrison Musgrave	0.0488	0.0000 (7.7)	0.0070 (7.8)	0.0000 (7.7)	0.0000 (7.8)
Yovani Gallardo	0.0199	0.0000 (5.5)	0.0075 (5.3)	0.0000 (5.5)	0.0000 (5.5)
Luis Castillo	0.0000	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0072 (5.0)	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.9)
Jake McGee	0.0263	0.0000 (4.4)	0.0063 (4.6)	0.0000 (4.4)	0.0000 (4.4)
Patrick Corbin	0.0000	0.0000 (5.6)	0.0103 (8.1)	0.0000 (5.6)	0.0000 (5.5)
Chris Stratton	0.0183	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0046 (8.6)	0.0000 (7.1)	0.0000 (7.1)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Germán Márquez	0.0141	5.8
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.0016	4.7
3	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0154	4.7
4	Alex Wood	0.0000	4.5
5	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	4.4
6	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0000	4.4
7	Chris Rusin	0.0252	4.4
8	Shane Greene	0.0222	4.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matthew Boyd	0.0123	0.0022	7.1
2	Walker Buehler	0.0116	0.0000	6.2
3	James Shields	0.0105	0.0034	6.1
4	Kyle Hendricks	0.0024	0.0087	5.2
5	Robbie Ray	0.0100	0.0000	5.2
6	Jack Flaherty	0.0106	0.0029	4.6
7	Pierce Johnson	0.0000	0.0244	4.6
8	Dan Straily	0.0086	0.0000	4.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Germán Márquez	0.0141	5.8
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.0016	4.7
3	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0154	4.7
4	Alex Wood	0.0000	4.4
5	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	4.4
6	Chris Rusin	0.0252	4.4
7	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0000	4.4
8	Shane Greene	0.0222	4.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Germán Márquez	0.0141	5.9
2	Jordan Zimmermann	0.0154	4.8
3	Dallas Keuchel	0.0016	4.7
4	Chris Rusin	0.0252	4.4
5	Alex Wood	0.0000	4.4
6	Masahiro Tanaka	0.0000	4.4
7	Ryan Yarbrough	0.0000	4.3
8	Shane Greene	0.0222	4.3

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Hendricks	0.0024	0.0087	5.2	1.4	3.8
2	Matthew Boyd	0.0123	0.0022	7.1	3.4	3.6
3	Lance Lynn	0.0118	0.0068	3.4	0.2	3.3
4	John Gant	0.0137	0.0062	3.6	0.4	3.2
5	Chad Bettis	0.0129	0.0054	3.8	0.8	3.0
6	James Shields	0.0105	0.0034	6.1	3.2	2.9
7	Robbie Erlin	0.0132	0.0061	3.0	0.4	2.6
8	Patrick Corbin	0.0103	0.0000	8.1	5.6	2.5
9	Tyler Chatwood	0.0123	0.0069	2.5	0.0	2.5
10	Walker Buehler	0.0116	0.0000	6.2	3.8	2.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kazuhisa Makita	0.0070	0.0000	2.1	1.0	1.0
2	Jonny Venters	0.0070	0.0000	2.0	1.0	1.0
3	José Ruiz	0.0070	0.0000	0.3	0.1	0.1
4	Max Scherzer	0.0000	0.0104	3.0	3.0	0.0
5	Kyle Freeland	0.0000	0.0104	2.9	2.9	0.0
6	Corey Kluber	0.0000	0.0072	0.2	0.2	0.0
7	Justin Verlander	0.0000	0.0106	3.1	3.0	0.0
8	Germán Márquez	0.0000	0.0141	5.8	5.8	0.0
9	Kyle Hendricks	0.0000	0.0087	1.4	1.4	0.0
10	Cole Hamels	0.0000	0.0099	2.4	2.3	0.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jordan Hicks	0.0070	0.0047	3.1	0.8	2.3
2	Justin Anderson	0.0070	0.0000	3.3	1.7	1.7
3	Drew Hutchison	0.0070	0.0076	1.2	0.1	1.1
4	Paul Fry	0.0070	0.0000	2.2	1.1	1.1
5	Pedro Araújo	0.0070	0.0000	1.8	0.9	0.9
6	Jeff Brigham	0.0070	0.0000	1.1	0.5	0.5
7	Ryan Cook	0.0070	0.0000	1.1	0.5	0.5
8	J.B. Wendelken	0.0070	0.0000	0.9	0.4	0.4
9	Evan Phillips	0.0070	0.0000	0.8	0.4	0.4
10	Chad Sobotka	0.0070	0.0000	0.8	0.4	0.4

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Clay Buchholz	0.0636	0.1363 (28.5)	0.1295 (26.0)	0.1322 (25.9)	0.1404 (31.2)
Kyle Freeland	0.0758	0.1279 (43.9)	0.1149 (33.2)	0.1322 (45.3)	0.1237 (42.6)
Jacob deGrom	0.0575	0.0988 (34.4)	0.1015 (37.1)	0.1011 (34.1)	0.0966 (34.8)
Félix Hernández	0.1562	0.1187 (25.8)	0.1147 (28.2)	0.1227 (24.8)	0.1146 (26.7)
Miles Mikolas	0.0866	0.1152 (22.9)	0.1166 (24.5)	0.1184 (23.4)	0.1120 (22.6)
Trevor Bauer	0.0711	0.1121 (29.2)	0.1161 (32.5)	0.1172 (31.1)	0.1069 (27.5)
Aaron Nola	0.0686	0.1026 (28.1)	0.1123 (36.6)	0.1092 (31.5)	0.0959 (24.9)
Blake Snell	0.0586	0.1042 (31.8)	0.1162 (40.6)	0.1078 (32.5)	0.1005 (31.2)
Mike Foltynewicz	0.0874	0.1267 (29.1)	0.1233 (27.0)	0.1270 (27.4)	0.1264 (31.0)
Lucas Giolito	0.1587	0.1241 (27.0)	0.1143 (34.2)	0.1339 (21.4)	0.1142 (32.4)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Clevinger	0.1212	0.0877	27.0
2	Dereck Rodríguez	0.1424	0.0883	26.3
3	Brad Keller	0.1272	0.0858	24.1
4	Justin Verlander	0.1043	0.0756	23.8
5	Jaime Barria	0.1375	0.0931	23.7
6	Patrick Corbin	0.1163	0.0875	22.9
7	Mike Fiers	0.1317	0.0994	22.9
8	Trevor Williams	0.1240	0.0913	22.8
9	Dylan Bundy	0.1248	0.1547	22.5
10	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1266	0.0868	21.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1493	0.0868	34.8
2	Derek Holland	0.1453	0.1018	31.9
3	Patrick Corbin	0.1262	0.0875	31.3
4	Dylan Bundy	0.1170	0.1547	28.0
5	Zack Wheeler	0.1280	0.0927	26.5
6	T.J. McFarland	0.1411	0.0616	23.3
7	Walker Buehler	0.1212	0.0795	22.8
8	Blake Treinen	0.1065	0.0381	21.7
9	Chris Sale	0.0977	0.0632	21.5
10	Jesse Chavez	0.1301	0.0743	21.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Clevinger	0.1233	0.0877	26.6
2	Justin Verlander	0.1101	0.0756	26.4
3	Jaime Barria	0.1429	0.0931	25.2
4	Mike Fiers	0.1372	0.0994	25.0
5	Gerrit Cole	0.1189	0.0851	24.7
6	Clayton Richard	0.1114	0.1437	23.9
7	Trevor Williams	0.1272	0.0913	23.2
8	Brad Keller	0.1261	0.0858	21.9
9	Jeremy Jeffress	0.1138	0.0401	21.2
10	Jesse Chavez	0.1330	0.0743	21.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dereck Rodríguez	0.1537	0.0883	33.1
2	Dylan Bundy	0.1142	0.1547	28.4
3	Mike Clevinger	0.1191	0.0877	27.6
4	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1338	0.0868	27.5
5	Zack Wheeler	0.1270	0.0927	27.4
6	Brad Keller	0.1283	0.0858	26.4
7	Patrick Corbin	0.1161	0.0875	25.0
8	Derek Holland	0.1306	0.1018	22.9
9	Marcus Stroman	0.0982	0.1514	22.7
10	Trevor Williams	0.1208	0.0913	22.5

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Derek Holland	0.1453	0.1278	0.1018	31.9	18.8	13.1
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1493	0.1266	0.0868	34.8	21.9	12.9
3	Jordan Lyles	0.1522	0.1203	0.1132	14.6	2.6	12.0
4	Walker Buehler	0.1212	0.1007	0.0795	22.8	11.4	11.4
5	Tyler Glasnow	0.1504	0.1073	0.1175	15.5	4.8	10.7
6	José Berríos	0.1289	0.1161	0.1041	20.0	9.4	10.6
7	Andrew Cashner	0.1216	0.1372	0.1424	13.9	3.7	10.3
8	Mike Minor	0.0992	0.1152	0.1187	12.3	2.4	9.9
9	Lance Lynn	0.1044	0.1179	0.1243	13.7	4.6	9.1
10	Yefry Ramírez	0.1166	0.1524	0.1497	9.6	0.8	8.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cole Hamels	0.1273	0.1165	0.1154	7.3	0.8	6.5
2	José Berríos	0.1253	0.1161	0.1041	14.7	9.4	5.3
3	Corey Kluber	0.0983	0.0896	0.0891	5.4	0.3	5.1
4	Kyle Hendricks	0.1152	0.1064	0.1010	9.3	4.2	5.0
5	Clayton Richard	0.1114	0.1153	0.1437	23.9	19.5	4.4
6	Jake Odorizzi	0.1374	0.1289	0.1252	6.7	2.5	4.2
7	Andrew Suárez	0.1127	0.1164	0.1278	11.9	7.7	4.2
8	Robbie Erlin	0.1197	0.1261	0.1298	5.7	1.7	4.0
9	Miguel Castro	0.1460	0.1332	0.1090	12.8	9.0	3.8
10	Sam Gaviglio	0.1236	0.1275	0.1405	10.8	7.2	3.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lance Lynn	0.1027	0.1179	0.1243	13.3	4.6	8.7
2	Alex Cobb	0.1047	0.1187	0.1407	22.1	14.6	7.5
3	Dereck Rodríguez	0.1537	0.1424	0.0883	33.1	26.3	6.9
4	Zack Wheeler	0.1270	0.1215	0.0927	27.4	21.3	6.2
5	Mike Minor	0.1032	0.1152	0.1187	8.3	2.4	5.9
6	Dylan Bundy	0.1142	0.1248	0.1547	28.4	22.5	5.9
7	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1338	0.1266	0.0868	27.5	21.9	5.6
8	Lucas Giolito	0.1142	0.1241	0.1587	32.4	27.0	5.4
9	Wade LeBlanc	0.1275	0.1225	0.1118	12.1	7.0	5.2
10	Ross Stripling	0.1179	0.1111	0.0835	18.7	13.8	4.8

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Clay Buchholz	0.0560	0.1270 (27.7)	0.1187 (24.7)	0.1232 (25.4)	0.1308 (30.0)
Kyle Freeland	0.0758	0.1190 (35.9)	0.1064 (26.0)	0.1224 (37.1)	0.1156 (34.9)
Blake Treinen	0.0222	0.0938 (22.4)	0.0997 (24.5)	0.0955 (22.3)	0.0921 (22.5)
Jacob deGrom	0.0491	0.0913 (34.8)	0.0932 (37.0)	0.0927 (34.2)	0.0899 (35.4)
Félix Hernández	0.1401	0.1102 (20.9)	0.1046 (24.2)	0.1132 (20.3)	0.1072 (21.5)
Miles Mikolas	0.0780	0.1070 (23.0)	0.1081 (24.5)	0.1098 (23.6)	0.1043 (22.5)
Trevor Bauer	0.0600	0.1045 (31.5)	0.1119 (37.4)	0.1086 (33.0)	0.1004 (30.1)
Blake Snell	0.0543	0.0966 (29.2)	0.1026 (34.0)	0.0991 (29.6)	0.0940 (28.9)
Mike Foltynewicz	0.0780	0.1186 (29.8)	0.1172 (29.4)	0.1187 (28.4)	0.1186 (31.4)
Lucas Giolito	0.1523	0.1160 (28.5)	0.1029 (38.1)	0.1248 (23.3)	0.1072 (33.7)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dereck Rodríguez	0.1333	0.0760	27.7
2	Mike Clevinger	0.1130	0.0827	24.1
3	Aaron Nola	0.0948	0.0674	22.3
4	Clayton Richard	0.1062	0.1378	22.0
5	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1177	0.0778	21.8
6	Trevor Williams	0.1150	0.0842	21.2
7	Justin Verlander	0.0974	0.0720	20.6
8	Brad Keller	0.1181	0.0823	20.5
9	Jaime Barria	0.1290	0.0912	20.0
10	Jon Gray	0.1057	0.1319	19.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1395	0.0778	34.3
2	Aaron Nola	0.1048	0.0674	31.3
3	Derek Holland	0.1318	0.0935	28.0
4	Zack Wheeler	0.1192	0.0901	21.9
5	Walker Buehler	0.1136	0.0739	21.6
6	Burch Smith	0.1081	0.1676	21.2
7	Dylan Bundy	0.1106	0.1387	20.9
8	Kyle Gibson	0.1205	0.0956	20.7
9	Wade Miley	0.1283	0.0680	20.5
10	T.J. McFarland	0.1245	0.0548	20.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Clayton Richard	0.1008	0.1378	27.0
2	Aaron Nola	0.1003	0.0674	25.2
3	Mike Clevinger	0.1151	0.0827	24.2
4	Justin Verlander	0.1028	0.0720	23.5
5	Jaime Barria	0.1349	0.0912	22.0
6	Mike Fiers	0.1287	0.0952	22.0
7	Gerrit Cole	0.1102	0.0801	22.0
8	Trevor Williams	0.1176	0.0842	21.6
9	Dereck Rodríguez	0.1223	0.0760	21.3
10	Jon Gray	0.1075	0.1319	20.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dereck Rodríguez	0.1444	0.0760	34.1
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1245	0.0778	26.7
3	Mike Clevinger	0.1109	0.0827	24.1
4	Dylan Bundy	0.1069	0.1387	22.7
5	Brad Keller	0.1194	0.0823	22.5
6	Zack Wheeler	0.1179	0.0901	21.9
7	Seth Lugo	0.1238	0.0732	21.4
8	Derek Holland	0.1213	0.0935	21.3
9	Marcus Stroman	0.0920	0.1403	21.0
10	Trevor Williams	0.1124	0.0842	20.9

Most Unique Misses for Earned Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andrew Cashner	0.1066	0.1286	0.1322	17.2	2.8	14.4
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1395	0.1177	0.0778	34.3	21.8	12.5
3	Jordan Lyles	0.1429	0.1110	0.1078	13.1	1.0	12.1
4	Walker Buehler	0.1136	0.0925	0.0739	21.6	9.7	11.9
5	Yefry Ramírez	0.1081	0.1434	0.1463	11.2	1.0	10.2
6	Derek Holland	0.1318	0.1187	0.0935	28.0	17.8	10.1
7	Lance Lynn	0.0950	0.1103	0.1186	16.3	6.2	10.1
8	Mike Minor	0.0916	0.1077	0.1141	14.2	4.5	9.8
9	Lucas Giolito	0.1029	0.1160	0.1523	38.1	28.5	9.6
10	Aaron Nola	0.1048	0.0948	0.0674	31.3	22.3	9.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cole Hamels	0.1182	0.1083	0.0993	13.2	6.8	6.4
2	José Berríos	0.1172	0.1087	0.1029	9.3	4.2	5.2
3	Clayton Richard	0.1008	0.1062	0.1378	27.0	22.0	5.1
4	Jake Odorizzi	0.1297	0.1212	0.1153	8.4	3.7	4.7
5	Andrew Suárez	0.1031	0.1076	0.1203	13.2	8.8	4.3
6	Freddy Peralta	0.1028	0.1143	0.1153	4.8	0.5	4.3
7	Corey Kluber	0.0902	0.0831	0.0819	4.8	0.5	4.3
8	Kyle Hendricks	0.1058	0.0986	0.0936	7.8	3.6	4.2
9	Miguel Castro	0.1367	0.1247	0.1011	12.4	8.6	3.8
10	Jorge López	0.1069	0.1210	0.1282	5.6	1.8	3.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lance Lynn	0.0960	0.1103	0.1186	14.7	6.2	8.5
2	Alex Cobb	0.0974	0.1103	0.1256	17.6	10.5	7.1
3	Dereck Rodríguez	0.1444	0.1333	0.0760	34.1	27.7	6.5
4	Dylan Bundy	0.1069	0.1173	0.1387	22.7	16.5	6.2
5	Mike Minor	0.0961	0.1077	0.1141	10.5	4.5	6.0
6	Zack Wheeler	0.1179	0.1124	0.0901	21.9	16.2	5.7
7	Lucas Giolito	0.1072	0.1160	0.1523	33.7	28.5	5.2
8	Wade LeBlanc	0.1200	0.1147	0.1012	13.5	8.5	5.0
9	Aníbal Sánchez	0.1245	0.1177	0.0778	26.7	21.8	4.9
10	Ross Stripling	0.1103	0.1027	0.0815	15.2	10.4	4.9

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Kyle Freeland	0.5152	0.2979 (197.2)	0.2143 (222.9)	0.2351 (243.8)	0.3714 (153.4)
Trevor Williams	0.4516	0.2738 (136.2)	0.1707 (171.2)	0.3015 (111.4)	0.2500 (168.0)
Miles Mikolas	0.5625	0.3530 (182.6)	0.2118 (253.7)	0.3596 (171.1)	0.3462 (205.6)
Luis Severino	0.5938	0.4336 (137.8)	0.2558 (235.0)	0.4480 (120.6)	0.4194 (165.7)
Blake Snell	0.6774	0.3397 (247.9)	0.1795 (322.9)	0.3464 (237.9)	0.3333 (267.5)
Jon Lester	0.5625	0.4294 (113.8)	0.3158 (159.8)	0.4098 (122.9)	0.4483 (115.9)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Minor	0.1408	0.4286	194.7
2	Ryan Yarbrough	0.1985	0.4211	150.1
3	Wade LeBlanc	0.0734	0.2812	148.5
4	Zack Wheeler	0.2322	0.4138	147.4
5	Michael Fulmer	0.4021	0.1250	145.4
6	Marco Gonzales	0.2855	0.4483	122.9
7	Alex Cobb	0.3789	0.1786	121.6
8	Homer Bailey	0.3124	0.0500	121.5
9	Clayton Kershaw	0.5469	0.3462	119.8
10	Shane Bieber	0.3230	0.5500	118.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marco Gonzales	0.1000	0.4483	213.7
2	Mike Minor	0.1000	0.4286	186.8
3	Aaron Nola	0.2564	0.5152	184.5
4	Zack Wheeler	0.1429	0.4138	174.3
5	Zack Godley	0.2000	0.4545	172.3
6	Zach Eflin	0.1250	0.4583	162.5
7	Corey Kluber	0.3784	0.6061	160.8
8	Noah Syndergaard	0.2400	0.5200	156.7
9	Sean Newcomb	0.1351	0.3871	149.8
10	Jameson Taillon	0.2105	0.4375	149.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Yarbrough	0.1417	0.4211	181.0
2	Zack Wheeler	0.1900	0.4138	173.1
3	Wade LeBlanc	0.0483	0.2812	160.0
4	J.A. Happ	0.3675	0.5484	139.0
5	Aaron Nola	0.3835	0.5152	116.7
6	Michael Fulmer	0.3417	0.1250	116.0
7	Homer Bailey	0.2906	0.0500	114.5
8	Freddy Peralta	0.0498	0.3750	107.2
9	Corey Kluber	0.4888	0.6061	106.2
10	Steven Matz	0.3375	0.1667	105.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Minor	0.1017	0.4286	233.6
2	Michael Fulmer	0.4615	0.1250	166.5
3	Marco Gonzales	0.2609	0.4483	154.7
4	Shane Bieber	0.2857	0.5500	146.6
5	Walker Buehler	0.1111	0.3333	140.8
6	Jameson Taillon	0.2963	0.4375	140.7
7	Alex Cobb	0.4231	0.1786	136.4
8	Clayton Kershaw	0.5926	0.3462	135.4
9	Dylan Bundy	0.4615	0.2581	124.0
10	Zach Eflin	0.2727	0.4583	122.6

Most Unique Misses for Win Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zack Godley	0.2000	0.3781	0.4545	172.3	73.5	98.8
2	Lucas Giolito	0.1333	0.3132	0.3125	110.4	12.2	98.2
3	Luis Severino	0.2558	0.4336	0.5938	235.0	137.8	97.2
4	Aaron Nola	0.2564	0.4257	0.5152	184.5	88.0	96.5
5	Luis Castillo	0.1471	0.3495	0.3226	98.3	7.4	90.8
6	Marco Gonzales	0.1000	0.2855	0.4483	213.7	122.9	90.8
7	Noah Syndergaard	0.2400	0.4240	0.5200	156.7	72.4	84.2
8	Sean Newcomb	0.1351	0.3081	0.3871	149.8	66.4	83.4
9	Blake Snell	0.1795	0.3397	0.6774	322.9	247.9	74.9
10	Corey Kluber	0.3784	0.5197	0.6061	160.8	86.6	74.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tanner Scott	0.3402	0.1394	0.0566	65.9	15.9	50.0
2	Bryan Mitchell	0.3207	0.1897	0.1250	63.0	16.3	46.7
3	Kyle Freeland	0.2351	0.2979	0.5152	243.8	197.2	46.6
4	Zack Greinke	0.4011	0.4509	0.4545	52.3	16.8	35.4
5	Rick Porcello	0.3974	0.4478	0.5152	102.3	67.7	34.6
6	Trevor Richards	0.0731	0.1438	0.1600	52.3	17.9	34.5
7	Yoshihisa Hirano	0.2118	0.0943	0.0533	39.2	6.4	32.8
8	Hector Velázquez	0.3484	0.2689	0.1489	70.5	38.3	32.2
9	Ryan Yarbrough	0.1417	0.1985	0.4211	181.0	150.1	30.9
10	Joe Biagini	0.3277	0.2429	0.0800	78.3	48.0	30.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trevor Richards	0.4000	0.1438	0.1600	110.4	17.9	92.6
2	Héctor Santiago	0.2800	0.1423	0.1224	55.0	1.6	53.4
3	Collin McHugh	0.3750	0.1654	0.1034	66.1	12.9	53.2
4	Tyler Glasnow	0.3333	0.1983	0.0444	117.4	64.3	53.1
5	Burch Smith	0.2500	0.0838	0.0263	66.4	14.7	51.8
6	Robert Gsellman	0.2759	0.1135	0.0882	51.6	3.0	48.6
7	Jordan Hicks	0.2118	0.0446	0.0411	45.0	4.4	40.6
8	Mike Minor	0.1017	0.1408	0.4286	233.6	194.7	38.8
9	Jameson Taillon	0.2963	0.3240	0.4375	140.7	102.0	38.7
10	Walker Buehler	0.1111	0.1607	0.3333	140.8	102.3	38.5

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Alex Cobb	0.5357	0.3579 (123.6)	0.2250 (177.3)	0.3694 (120.9)	0.3462 (137.3)
Dylan Bundy	0.5161	0.3810 (108.2)	0.1905 (212.4)	0.3774 (116.5)	0.3846 (112.3)
Francisco Liriano	0.4444	0.2478 (120.6)	0.2000 (118.4)	0.2707 (111.5)	0.2258 (138.8)
Homer Bailey	0.7000	0.4371 (134.4)	0.2571 (197.8)	0.3964 (158.2)	0.4762 (119.6)
Tanner Roark	0.4839	0.3334 (121.3)	0.2195 (168.7)	0.3335 (126.9)	0.3333 (128.3)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sam Gaviglio	0.0946	0.3846	163.9
2	Miles Mikolas	0.3198	0.1250	150.0
3	Charlie Morton	0.3101	0.1000	139.6
4	Chad Bettis	0.3176	0.0741	121.4
5	Gerrit Cole	0.3171	0.1562	121.2
6	Aaron Nola	0.3343	0.1818	119.1
7	Mike Minor	0.1126	0.2857	116.7
8	Trevor Richards	0.1591	0.3600	114.9
9	Marco Estrada	0.3297	0.5000	112.5
10	Ty Blach	0.3651	0.1489	106.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jakob Junis	0.1143	0.4000	184.4
2	Félix Hernández	0.2069	0.4828	159.9
3	Marco Estrada	0.2051	0.5000	158.3
4	Dylan Covey	0.1875	0.5185	156.4
5	Lucas Giolito	0.1667	0.4062	152.8
6	Wei-Yin Chen	0.1667	0.4615	144.4
7	Danny Duffy	0.1842	0.4286	139.7
8	Andrew Cashner	0.2895	0.5357	138.8
9	James Shields	0.2727	0.4706	135.4
10	Andrew Suárez	0.2088	0.4483	131.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sam Gaviglio	0.0482	0.3846	193.4
2	Trevor Richards	0.0816	0.3600	161.4
3	Miles Mikolas	0.3315	0.1250	153.4
4	Chad Bettis	0.3855	0.0741	152.7
5	Charlie Morton	0.2867	0.1000	118.2
6	Blake Snell	0.3432	0.1613	115.7
7	Aaron Nola	0.3353	0.1818	113.7
8	Gerrit Cole	0.3118	0.1562	111.0
9	Ty Blach	0.3773	0.1489	108.4
10	Andrew Cashner	0.3942	0.5357	107.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Minor	0.0678	0.2857	151.1
2	Charlie Morton	0.3333	0.1000	149.5
3	Héctor Santiago	0.4000	0.0612	147.5
4	Marco Estrada	0.2857	0.5000	145.8
5	Dylan Covey	0.2727	0.5185	143.1
6	Brad Keller	0.4000	0.1463	137.3
7	Miles Mikolas	0.3077	0.1250	132.9
8	Zack Wheeler	0.4375	0.2414	132.4
9	Wei-Yin Chen	0.2500	0.4615	131.4
10	Joe Musgrove	0.2424	0.4737	121.3

Most Unique Misses for Loss Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jakob Junis	0.1143	0.3563	0.4000	184.4	40.1	144.3
2	Lucas Giolito	0.1667	0.3811	0.4062	152.8	26.6	126.2
3	Marco Gonzales	0.1000	0.3316	0.3103	115.2	8.3	106.8
4	Dylan Bundy	0.1905	0.3810	0.5161	212.4	108.2	104.2
5	Chris Stratton	0.1379	0.3487	0.3571	110.5	11.0	99.5
6	José Ureña	0.1860	0.3631	0.3871	112.9	23.6	89.3
7	Andrew Heaney	0.1538	0.3196	0.3333	102.6	17.2	85.5
8	David Hess	0.2088	0.4431	0.4762	102.1	19.2	83.0
9	Danny Duffy	0.1842	0.3542	0.4286	139.7	57.8	82.0
10	Jack Flaherty	0.1379	0.3205	0.3214	86.7	6.2	80.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tanner Scott	0.3500	0.1421	0.0566	66.4	18.3	48.1
2	Trevor Richards	0.0816	0.1591	0.3600	161.4	114.9	46.5
3	Brad Keller	0.0699	0.1343	0.1463	54.2	12.3	41.9
4	Joey Lucchesi	0.2356	0.3010	0.3462	69.7	29.8	39.9
5	Eric Lauer	0.2160	0.2793	0.3043	52.9	17.2	35.7
6	Andrew Suárez	0.3072	0.3510	0.4483	104.9	70.8	34.1
7	Yoshihisa Hirano	0.2088	0.0755	0.0400	39.9	6.9	33.0
8	Chad Bettis	0.3855	0.3176	0.0741	152.7	121.4	31.3
9	Trevor Williams	0.3829	0.3306	0.3226	30.7	0.8	29.9
10	Joe Biagini	0.3476	0.2501	0.1400	62.7	33.1	29.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brad Keller	0.4000	0.1343	0.1463	137.3	12.3	124.9
2	Zack Wheeler	0.4375	0.2877	0.2414	132.4	27.7	104.7
3	Héctor Santiago	0.4000	0.2099	0.0612	147.5	64.2	83.3
4	Ryan Yarbrough	0.3600	0.2204	0.1579	115.5	33.5	81.9
5	Robert Gsellman	0.3103	0.1270	0.0441	85.6	25.4	60.1
6	Tyler Glasnow	0.3000	0.1831	0.1556	59.1	8.6	50.4
7	Seth Lugo	0.3200	0.1879	0.0741	93.4	42.9	50.4
8	Roenis Elías	0.3810	0.1338	0.0435	67.0	17.1	50.0
9	Robbie Erlin	0.3333	0.2182	0.1795	59.5	13.0	46.6
10	Cole Hamels	0.2692	0.3160	0.3750	99.9	54.9	45.0

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Keone Kela	0.4444	0.0000 (92.6)	0.0278 (92.5)	0.0000 (92.5)	0.0000 (92.8)
Edwin Díaz	0.7808	0.4796 (82.2)	0.3333 (130.8)	0.4934 (78.2)	0.4655 (86.4)
Blake Treinen	0.5588	0.3271 (70.6)	0.1111 (147.2)	0.3365 (67.5)	0.3170 (74.0)
Bud Norris	0.4375	0.0000 (105.3)	0.1500 (75.2)	0.0000 (105.2)	0.0000 (105.5)
Robert Gsellman	0.1912	0.0000 (63.3)	0.0263 (63.6)	0.0000 (63.1)	0.0000 (63.6)
Alex Colomé	0.1714	0.5111 (98.0)	0.4667 (77.7)	0.5154 (99.3)	0.5068 (96.5)
Seranthony Domínguez	0.3019	0.0000 (67.9)	0.0288 (67.6)	0.0000 (67.9)	0.0000 (68.2)
Carlos Martinez	0.1515	0.0000 (74.9)	0.0250 (76.1)	0.0000 (74.7)	0.0000 (75.4)
Sergio Romo	0.3425	0.0272 (87.3)	0.0465 (89.6)	0.0573 (78.7)	0.0000 (95.3)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cam Bedrosian	0.4204	0.0141	112.2
2	Brad Ziegler	0.4369	0.1220	98.4
3	Juan Minaya	0.4534	0.0192	92.4
4	Jeurys Familia	0.5412	0.2571	88.1
5	Alex Claudio	0.3021	0.0152	88.1
6	Archie Bradley	0.2693	0.0395	70.3
7	Jeremy Jeffress	0.0000	0.2055	59.1
8	A.J. Minter	0.0000	0.2308	58.0
9	Héctor Rondón	0.0000	0.2381	57.6
10	Josh Hader	0.0257	0.2182	56.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Felipe Vázquez	0.1455	0.5286	119.2
2	Shane Greene	0.0889	0.4848	115.9
3	Brad Hand	0.1346	0.4638	105.0
4	Brad Boxberger	0.1333	0.5333	98.6
5	Greg Holland	0.4359	0.0536	76.9
6	Brandon Morrow	0.0323	0.6286	75.1
7	Wade Davis	0.3864	0.6232	66.9
8	Craig Kimbrel	0.4200	0.6667	65.8
9	Raisel Iglesias	0.2500	0.4545	65.2
10	Brandon Kintzler	0.2857	0.0286	62.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cam Bedrosian	0.3844	0.0141	102.6
2	Alex Claudio	0.3024	0.0152	88.3
3	Brad Ziegler	0.3867	0.1220	83.2
4	Juan Minaya	0.3996	0.0192	81.2
5	Jeurys Familia	0.5146	0.2571	80.2
6	Tony Watson	0.2497	0.0000	67.3
7	Jeremy Jeffress	0.0000	0.2055	59.0
8	A.J. Minter	0.0000	0.2308	57.9
9	Héctor Rondón	0.0000	0.2381	57.5
10	Wily Peralta	0.0125	0.3784	53.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cam Bedrosian	0.4543	0.0141	121.1
2	Brad Ziegler	0.4842	0.1220	112.6
3	Juan Minaya	0.5195	0.0192	106.0
4	Archie Bradley	0.3778	0.0395	102.2
5	Jeurys Familia	0.5669	0.2571	95.6
6	Alex Claudio	0.3017	0.0152	87.7
7	Brad Boxberger	0.2429	0.5333	66.7
8	Mark Melancon	0.4209	0.0732	61.7
9	Josh Hader	0.0100	0.2182	61.6
10	Sam Dyson	0.2575	0.0405	61.1

Most Unique Misses for Save Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Felipe Vázquez	0.1455	0.4509	0.5286	119.2	20.7	98.5
2	Brad Hand	0.1346	0.4220	0.4638	105.0	10.2	94.8
3	Shane Greene	0.0889	0.3881	0.4848	115.9	24.8	91.1
4	Blake Treinen	0.1111	0.3271	0.5588	147.2	70.6	76.7
5	Brandon Morrow	0.0323	0.6193	0.6286	75.1	0.2	75.0
6	Greg Holland	0.4359	0.0000	0.0536	76.9	9.7	67.2
7	David Robertson	0.3125	0.0598	0.0725	62.4	1.4	61.0
8	Brandon Kintzler	0.2857	0.0347	0.0286	62.5	3.7	58.8
9	Brad Boxberger	0.1333	0.3194	0.5333	98.6	48.5	50.2
10	Edwin Díaz	0.3333	0.4796	0.7808	130.8	82.2	48.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tony Watson	0.2497	0.1373	0.0000	67.3	37.9	29.4
2	Tommy Hunter	0.1856	0.1060	0.0615	35.7	14.1	21.6
3	Dominic Leone	0.2371	0.1222	0.0000	26.0	13.8	12.2
4	Aroldis Chapman	0.4475	0.4932	0.5818	26.7	17.1	9.6
5	Pat Neshek	0.0313	0.1237	0.1667	12.8	3.6	9.3
6	Wade Davis	0.4399	0.4758	0.6232	45.7	36.5	9.3
7	Sean Doolittle	0.3377	0.3866	0.5814	38.4	30.5	7.9
8	Brandon Morrow	0.5566	0.6193	0.6286	7.8	0.2	7.6
9	Hansel Robles	0.0656	0.0356	0.0377	8.7	1.4	7.4
10	Kazuhisa Makita	0.0288	0.0000	0.0000	5.5	1.2	4.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Sam Dyson	0.2575	0.1271	0.0405	61.1	25.7	35.4
2	Archie Bradley	0.3778	0.2693	0.0395	102.2	70.3	31.8
3	Brad Boxberger	0.2429	0.3194	0.5333	66.7	48.5	18.2
4	Brett Cecil	0.2339	0.1244	0.0000	37.8	20.8	17.0
5	Brad Ziegler	0.4842	0.4369	0.1220	112.6	98.4	14.1
6	Juan Minaya	0.5195	0.4534	0.0192	106.0	92.4	13.6
7	Felipe Vázquez	0.4217	0.4509	0.5286	29.6	20.7	8.9
8	Cam Bedrosian	0.4543	0.4204	0.0141	121.1	112.2	8.9
9	Sergio Romo	0.0000	0.0272	0.3425	95.3	87.3	8.0
10	Brad Hand	0.3969	0.4220	0.4638	18.1	10.2	7.8

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Archie Bradley	0.4474	0.1970 (74.3)	0.2500 (67.9)	0.1871 (75.6)	0.0000 (114.6)
Amir Garrett	0.3182	0.0000 (84.1)	0.1176 (61.4)	0.0000 (82.7)	0.0000 (68.1)
Jordan Hicks	0.3288	0.1104 (74.2)	0.0612 (101.6)	0.1104 (72.3)	0.0612 (70.3)
Alex Colomé	0.4286	0.0294 (112.7)	0.0667 (111.1)	0.0290 (111.3)	0.0000 (103.9)
Lou Trivino III	0.3333	0.0860 (74.1)	0.0612 (90.9)	0.0758 (75.5)	0.0000 (81.7)
Tony Watson	0.4444	0.1568 (75.2)	0.2500 (59.1)	0.1607 (72.8)	0.0000 (100.3)
Yoshihisa Hirano	0.4267	0.0000 (111.9)	0.0612 (104.1)	0.0612 (94.5)	0.0000 (96.0)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Montgomery	0.3269	0.0000	174.3
2	Ross Stripling	0.3885	0.0909	149.4
3	Wade LeBlanc	0.2200	0.0000	145.3
4	Justin Anderson	0.0000	0.3860	93.1
5	Ryan Yarbrough	0.1363	0.0000	85.2
6	Bud Norris	0.3702	0.0312	82.9
7	Austin Gomber	0.0000	0.2414	80.8
8	Trevor Richards	0.1447	0.0000	78.9
9	Burch Smith	0.2343	0.0263	74.3
10	Drew VerHagen	0.3896	0.0732	73.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Minor	0.2000	0.0000	107.5
2	Chaz Roe	0.0952	0.5082	90.3
3	Justin Anderson	0.0612	0.3860	86.0
4	José Alvarado	0.1538	0.4429	84.4
5	Adam Ottavino	0.2381	0.4533	76.4
6	Joe Jiménez	0.0909	0.3382	74.6
7	Seth Lugo	0.0588	0.2037	72.5
8	David Robertson	0.0833	0.3043	71.6
9	Austin Gomber	0.0612	0.2414	70.9
10	Craig Stammen	0.1538	0.3151	61.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Montgomery	0.2390	0.0000	130.3
2	Wade LeBlanc	0.1521	0.0000	104.0
3	Ross Stripling	0.2754	0.0909	95.3
4	Justin Anderson	0.0000	0.3860	91.8
5	Austin Gomber	0.0000	0.2414	79.0
6	Seth Lugo	0.0239	0.2037	71.7
7	Dan Otero	0.2892	0.0164	68.6
8	Ryan Yarbrough	0.1000	0.0000	65.9
9	Kenta Maeda	0.0000	0.1282	65.6
10	Richard Rodríguez	0.0000	0.2381	65.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Adam Ottavino	0.4533	121.5
2	José Alvarado	0.4429	100.6
3	Josh Hader	0.3818	98.4
4	Chaz Roe	0.5082	91.0
5	Matt Barnes	0.4032	90.9
6	Tommy Hunter	0.3846	87.6
7	Craig Stammen	0.3151	80.8
8	Carl Edwards Jr.	0.3966	74.7
9	Joe Jiménez	0.3382	74.2
10	Steve Cishek	0.3125	72.7

Most Unique Misses for Hold Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mike Minor	0.2000	0.0000	0.0000	107.5	0.3	107.2
2	Robert Gsellman	0.0789	0.2280	0.2206	59.9	2.4	57.5
3	Craig Stammen	0.1538	0.3035	0.3151	61.3	3.8	57.4
4	Edgar Santana	0.1053	0.2852	0.2899	58.7	1.4	57.3
5	Reynaldo López	0.1034	0.0000	0.0000	57.1	0.4	56.7
6	David Robertson	0.0833	0.2402	0.3043	71.6	18.3	53.3
7	Lucas Giolito	0.1000	0.0000	0.0000	52.7	0.4	52.3
8	Chaz Roe	0.0952	0.3163	0.5082	90.3	39.1	51.3
9	Scott Alexander	0.1250	0.3076	0.2877	52.2	5.2	47.0
10	Marco Gonzales	0.1000	0.0000	0.0000	46.6	0.4	46.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Robert Gsellman	0.1450	0.2280	0.2206	24.4	2.4	22.0
2	Collin McHugh	0.1301	0.1997	0.2069	20.3	2.2	18.2
3	Jarlín García	0.1295	0.0824	0.0690	18.2	3.6	14.6
4	Jerry Blevins	0.2541	0.2050	0.1250	25.2	14.9	10.3
5	Craig Stammen	0.2664	0.3035	0.3151	13.8	3.8	10.0
6	Shane Carle	0.0771	0.1182	0.2642	47.2	37.9	9.2
7	Frankie Montas	0.0510	0.0282	0.0000	15.8	7.8	8.0
8	Buck Farmer	0.0686	0.0969	0.1212	14.7	7.7	7.0
9	Juan Nicasio	0.2264	0.2694	0.4130	33.2	26.4	6.9
10	Edgar Santana	0.2546	0.2852	0.2899	8.2	1.4	6.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Craig Stammen	0.3035	0.3151	80.8	3.8	77.0
2	Adam Ottavino	0.2576	0.4533	121.5	60.6	60.8
3	Edgar Santana	0.2852	0.2899	62.2	1.4	60.8
4	Joe Kelly	0.3133	0.2877	64.8	7.2	57.7
5	Scott Alexander	0.3076	0.2877	61.0	5.2	55.8
6	Steve Cishek	0.2531	0.3125	72.7	17.3	55.4
7	Josh Hader	0.2388	0.3818	98.4	43.9	54.5
8	José Alvarado	0.2628	0.4429	100.6	47.5	53.2
9	Robert Gsellman	0.2280	0.2206	55.3	2.4	53.0
10	Ryan Pressly	0.2404	0.2727	62.1	9.6	52.5

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Clay Buchholz	2.0136	5.0461 (1171.2)	4.5552 (1027.8)	4.8638 (1083.9)	5.2308 (1261.9)
Kyle Freeland	2.8468	4.8054 (1608.9)	4.1722 (1180.8)	4.8991 (1654.4)	4.7099 (1567.2)
Jacob deGrom	1.7005	3.4104 (1384.2)	3.4477 (1520.5)	3.4455 (1380.2)	3.3750 (1393.0)
Trevor Bauer	2.2072	4.0433 (1279.0)	4.2857 (1543.1)	4.1772 (1346.5)	3.9079 (1214.9)
Miles Mikolas	2.8256	4.1456 (1024.3)	4.2138 (1181.2)	4.1644 (1007.4)	4.1259 (1045.5)
Blake Snell	1.8930	3.7539 (1266.1)	3.9706 (1505.9)	3.8108 (1278.0)	3.6958 (1257.6)
Mike Foltynewicz	2.8525	4.7077 (1341.4)	4.6293 (1376.8)	4.6556 (1273.0)	4.7610 (1415.3)
Lucas Giolito	6.1269	4.6201 (1208.3)	3.9036 (1665.9)	4.9953 (948.4)	4.2484 (1460.7)

Individual Misses for ERA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dereck Rodríguez	5.4300	2.8141	1248.5
2	Mike Clevinger	4.4691	3.0150	1135.5
3	Trevor Williams	4.5875	3.1113	998.1
4	Aaron Nola	3.5749	2.3736	954.8
5	Brad Keller	4.7492	3.0784	943.6
6	Aníbal Sánchez	4.5750	2.8317	935.1
7	Mike Fiers	4.8931	3.5581	915.9
8	Jaime Barria	5.1302	3.4098	895.8
9	Justin Verlander	3.6477	2.5234	893.0
10	Félix Hernández	4.2995	5.5503	892.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aníbal Sánchez	5.4944	2.8317	1513.2
2	Aaron Nola	3.9673	2.3736	1385.5
3	Derek Holland	5.2466	3.5720	1271.0
4	Zack Wheeler	4.6821	3.3071	1077.8
5	Félix Hernández	3.9796	5.5503	1025.5
6	Patrick Corbin	4.3557	3.1500	1023.5
7	Walker Buehler	4.4118	2.6214	1008.5
8	Kyle Gibson	4.7120	3.6153	966.8
9	Blake Treinen	3.7662	0.7842	962.5
10	Burch Smith	4.2138	6.9231	943.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mike Clevinger	4.5027	3.0150	1130.5
2	Aaron Nola	3.7736	2.3736	1086.9
3	Justin Verlander	3.8659	2.5234	1041.6
4	Clayton Richard	3.9201	5.3319	1025.7
5	Trevor Williams	4.6628	3.1113	1023.0
6	Mike Fiers	5.0815	3.5581	1021.9
7	Gerrit Cole	4.1910	2.8752	977.7
8	Jaime Barria	5.3095	3.4098	970.7
9	Dereck Rodríguez	4.8555	2.8141	949.3
10	Reynaldo López	5.1393	3.9117	907.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dereck Rodríguez	6.0344	2.8141	1565.2
2	Aníbal Sánchez	4.9157	2.8317	1149.0
3	Mike Clevinger	4.4348	3.0150	1144.9
4	Brad Keller	4.9024	3.0784	1059.7
5	Zack Wheeler	4.7114	3.3071	1040.1
6	Jhoulys Chacín	4.7721	3.5035	1004.8
7	Derek Holland	4.9576	3.5720	1002.8
8	Dylan Bundy	4.1234	5.4524	1001.5
9	Trevor Williams	4.5112	3.1113	976.9
10	Edwin Jackson	5.7993	3.3261	939.9

Most Unique Misses for ERA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andrew Cashner	4.1306	5.2071	5.2941	742.2	94.9	647.3
2	Aníbal Sánchez	5.4944	4.5750	2.8317	1513.2	935.1	578.1
3	Jordan Lyles	5.7420	4.3958	4.1065	634.1	87.9	546.2
4	Walker Buehler	4.4118	3.5451	2.6214	1008.5	471.5	537.0
5	Yefry Ramírez	4.2138	5.9456	5.9235	481.0	8.9	472.1
6	Lucas Giolito	3.9036	4.6201	6.1269	1665.9	1208.3	457.7
7	Lance Lynn	3.6071	4.3859	4.7681	761.1	304.1	457.0
8	Aaron Nola	3.9673	3.5749	2.3736	1385.5	954.8	430.7
9	Derek Holland	5.2466	4.7870	3.5720	1271.0	845.3	425.7
10	Tyler Glasnow	5.5040	3.9263	4.2716	611.2	186.1	425.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cole Hamels	4.6588	4.2569	3.7762	637.1	345.3	291.8
2	Clayton Richard	3.9201	4.2048	5.3319	1025.7	804.3	221.3
3	José Berríos	4.5562	4.2404	3.8371	499.7	279.8	219.9
4	Jake Odorizzi	5.1032	4.7554	4.4909	369.9	150.9	218.9
5	Mike Minor	4.6779	4.1741	4.1847	256.7	40.2	216.5
6	Kyle Hendricks	4.0540	3.7681	3.4372	426.1	226.2	199.8
7	Miguel Castro	5.5915	5.0594	3.9614	578.3	393.2	185.1
8	Andrew Suárez	3.9789	4.2151	4.4906	401.6	218.0	183.5
9	Corey Kluber	3.2959	3.0460	2.8884	265.6	88.7	176.9
10	Jorge López	4.1908	4.8980	5.0311	218.2	43.4	174.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lance Lynn	3.8192	4.3859	4.7681	668.6	304.1	364.5
2	Dereck Rodríguez	6.0344	5.4300	2.8141	1565.2	1248.5	316.7
3	Alex Cobb	3.7687	4.2916	4.9037	754.4	439.2	315.2
4	Dylan Bundy	4.1234	4.5604	5.4524	1001.5	708.2	293.3
5	Mike Minor	3.6818	4.1741	4.1847	325.9	40.2	285.7
6	Lucas Giolito	4.2484	4.6201	6.1269	1460.7	1208.3	252.4
7	Zack Wheeler	4.7114	4.4330	3.3071	1040.1	798.7	241.4
8	Freddy Peralta	5.3115	4.6409	4.2511	338.4	108.4	230.0
9	Aníbal Sánchez	4.9157	4.5750	2.8317	1149.0	935.1	213.9
10	Ross Stripling	4.3160	3.9419	3.0246	646.4	435.1	211.3

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Steamer	ZiPS
Tyler Chatwood	1.8039	1.4197 (201.8)	1.3879 (199.2)	1.4410 (192.4)	1.3981 (210.1)
Justin Verlander	0.9019	1.1595 (188.7)	1.1458 (208.2)	1.1977 (219.0)	1.1215 (160.8)
Zack Wheeler	1.1243	1.3762 (164.3)	1.4547 (250.3)	1.3634 (153.3)	1.3893 (177.3)
Jacob deGrom	0.9124	1.1601 (180.8)	1.1893 (236.1)	1.1621 (180.9)	1.1581 (182.9)
Jason Hammel	1.6299	1.3482 (182.4)	1.3166 (179.2)	1.3688 (171.5)	1.3274 (191.9)
Blake Snell	0.9742	1.3372 (232.3)	1.3897 (295.1)	1.3285 (224.9)	1.3460 (241.7)
Patrick Corbin	1.0500	1.3688 (230.2)	1.4217 (302.1)	1.3569 (219.1)	1.3810 (243.5)
Mike Foltynewicz	1.0820	1.3881 (204.7)	1.4095 (248.1)	1.3707 (190.2)	1.4060 (221.3)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jhoulys Chacín	1.4381	1.1626	194.6
2	Kyle Freeland	1.4893	1.2455	179.5
3	Danny Duffy	1.2628	1.4903	178.9
4	Luke Weaver	1.2352	1.4963	177.9
5	Drew Pomeranz	1.3101	1.7703	169.0
6	Seranthony Domínguez	1.6887	0.9310	167.8
7	Dereck Rodríguez	1.5042	1.1324	165.9
8	Mike Clevinger	1.3906	1.1550	165.7
9	José Ureña	1.4329	1.1839	155.1
10	Aaron Nola	1.1925	0.9749	155.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Nola	1.2594	0.9749	241.5
2	Walker Buehler	1.3725	0.9612	225.8
3	Miles Mikolas	1.3173	1.0714	203.5
4	Matthew Boyd	1.4338	1.1566	200.8
5	Aníbal Sánchez	1.4359	1.0829	198.5
6	Gerrit Cole	1.2751	1.0333	198.0
7	Trevor Bauer	1.3382	1.0894	182.7
8	Marco Gonzales	1.4722	1.2240	174.4
9	Lance Lynn	1.2812	1.5255	166.8
10	José Berríos	1.3470	1.1438	166.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jhoulys Chacín	1.4323	1.1626	188.3
2	Kyle Freeland	1.4997	1.2455	186.7
3	Luke Weaver	1.2287	1.4963	183.1
4	José Ureña	1.4628	1.1839	175.1
5	Aaron Nola	1.2152	0.9749	172.2
6	Trevor Williams	1.4484	1.1777	166.6
7	Sean Manaea	1.3614	1.0768	164.6
8	Drew Pomeranz	1.3426	1.7703	158.5
9	Mike Clevinger	1.3828	1.1550	157.8
10	Seranthony Domínguez	1.6418	0.9310	156.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyson Ross	1.6493	1.2962	207.0
2	Dereck Rodríguez	1.5817	1.1324	205.8
3	Jhoulys Chacín	1.4442	1.1626	202.9
4	Danny Duffy	1.2267	1.4903	200.8
5	Miles Mikolas	1.3416	1.0714	196.8
6	Seranthony Domínguez	1.7377	0.9310	180.2
7	Drew Pomeranz	1.2775	1.7703	178.6
8	Sonny Gray	1.2178	1.4962	177.5
9	Mike Clevinger	1.3986	1.1550	175.7
10	Kyle Freeland	1.4787	1.2455	174.4

Most Unique Misses for WHIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Glasnow	1.5855	1.3785	1.2716	149.7	35.5	114.2
2	Lucas Giolito	1.2651	1.4255	1.4769	159.5	64.0	95.6
3	Aaron Nola	1.2594	1.1925	0.9749	241.5	155.0	86.4
4	Aníbal Sánchez	1.4359	1.3169	1.0829	198.5	112.2	86.3
5	Zack Wheeler	1.4547	1.3762	1.1243	250.3	164.3	86.0
6	Walker Buehler	1.3725	1.2559	0.9612	225.8	142.6	83.2
7	Marco Gonzales	1.4722	1.3909	1.2240	174.4	93.1	81.3
8	Jameson Taillon	1.3463	1.2811	1.1780	136.8	56.5	80.3
9	Nick Pivetta	1.4286	1.3573	1.3049	90.0	14.8	75.2
10	Patrick Corbin	1.4217	1.3688	1.0500	302.1	230.2	72.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mike Minor	1.3909	1.3158	1.1210	151.6	104.8	46.8
2	Cole Hamels	1.4233	1.3641	1.2640	101.8	55.6	46.2
3	Kyle Hendricks	1.2926	1.2429	1.1457	92.5	53.7	38.8
4	Homer Bailey	1.4298	1.4998	1.6364	118.4	82.8	35.5
5	Tyron Guerrero	1.5175	1.6370	1.6207	36.5	4.0	32.6
6	Miguel Castro	1.6025	1.5154	1.4479	45.7	13.7	32.0
7	Trevor Richards	1.2743	1.3302	1.3852	78.7	47.1	31.7
8	Justin Verlander	1.1977	1.1595	0.9019	219.0	188.7	30.2
9	Zack Greinke	1.2113	1.1748	1.0787	83.6	54.6	29.0
10	Masahiro Tanaka	1.2061	1.1607	1.1282	28.5	0.9	27.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyson Ross	1.6493	1.5694	1.2962	207.0	153.5	53.5
2	Lucas Giolito	1.3540	1.4255	1.4769	115.9	64.0	51.9
3	Dallas Keuchel	1.1811	1.2445	1.3143	139.7	88.2	51.5
4	Miles Mikolas	1.3416	1.2838	1.0714	196.8	146.5	50.3
5	Freddy Peralta	1.6328	1.4920	1.1362	150.9	104.3	46.6
6	Alex Cobb	1.2563	1.3291	1.4114	120.1	74.9	45.2
7	Dylan Bundy	1.2427	1.3071	1.4097	145.2	100.3	45.0
8	Justin Anderson	1.3173	1.5000	1.4819	46.1	3.1	42.9
9	Robert Stock	1.9623	1.7225	1.2605	112.1	71.5	40.5
10	Dereck Rodríguez	1.5817	1.5042	1.1324	205.8	165.9	39.9