2023 Projection Evaluation

Summary

Batting

System	PA raw	wOBA	SO	BB	HR	R	RBI	SB	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System	BF raw	wOBA	ERA	SO	BB	HR	W	L	SV	HLD	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Oneil Cruz	568	40	527.9
2	Austin Meadows	499	21	477.6
3	Jose F Miranda	560	152	408.2
4	Luis Urías	557	177	379.9
5	Avisaíl García	495	118	377.5
6	Jonathan Schoop	524	151	373.3
7	Michael Brantley	425	57	368.3
8	Hunter Dozier	457	91	365.9
9	Kyle Stowers	390	33	356.6
10	Eric Hosmer	452	100	352.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Anthony Volpe	100	601	501.0
2	Masataka Yoshida	100	580	480.0
3	Ben Gamel	449	15	434.0
4	Luke Voit	504	74	430.0
5	Franmil Reyes	486	65	421.0
6	Hunter Dozier	500	91	409.0
7	Spencer Steer	259	665	406.0
8	Abraham Toro	418	21	397.0
9	Ryan Noda	100	495	395.0
10	Ezequiel Tovar	227	615	388.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Oneil Cruz	586	40	546.0
2	Austin Meadows	514	21	493.0
3	Brent Rooker	45	526	481.0
4	Maikel Garcia	44	515	471.0
5	Luis Urías	578	177	401.0
6	Jake Burger	141	540	399.0
7	Avisaíl García	509	118	391.0
8	Brenton Doyle	46	431	385.0
9	Jose F Miranda	534	152	382.0
10	Zach McKinstry	149	518	369.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Oneil Cruz	582	40	541.8
2	Maikel Garcia	19	515	495.7
3	Austin Meadows	491	21	469.9
4	Jake Burger	99	540	441.1
5	Wil Myers	563	141	422.0
6	Avisaíl García	539	118	421.5
7	Jesús Aguilar	526	115	410.9
8	Brenton Doyle	26	431	404.7
9	Darick Hall	460	56	403.8
10	Matt McLain	1	403	402.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Siani	550	6	544.0
2	Livan Soto	554	12	542.0
3	Jacob Amaya	545	9	536.0
4	José Tena	563	34	529.0
5	Jonathan Ornelas	534	8	526.0
6	Eguy Rosario	552	37	515.0
7	Josh Lester	535	23	512.0
8	José Rodríguez	512	0	512.0
9	Mason McCoy	510	1	509.0
10	Colton Cowser	581	77	504.0

Most Unique Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Masataka Yoshida	100	535	580	480.0	44.6	435.4
2	Jordan Walker	100	452	465	365.0	12.6	352.4
3	Anthony Volpe	100	449	601	501.0	151.5	349.5
4	Brice Turang	100	446	448	348.0	2.4	345.6
5	Corbin Carroll	267	596	645	378.0	49.3	328.7
6	Gunnar Henderson	277	603	622	345.0	19.5	325.5
7	Ryan Noda	100	342	495	395.0	153.1	241.9
8	Michael Chavis	428	194	96	332.0	98.2	233.8
9	Raimel Tapia	470	237	169	301.0	67.7	233.3
10	Andrew Velazquez	381	150	94	287.0	56.0	231.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	100	379	370	270.0	8.7	261.3
2	Alek Thomas	144	366	402	258.0	35.8	222.2
3	Corey Julks	100	313	323	223.0	9.7	213.3
4	Will Benson	53	251	329	276.0	78.2	197.8
5	Alec Burleson	56	252	347	291.0	95.1	195.9
6	Brendan Rodgers	551	356	192	359.0	163.7	195.3
7	Yainer Diaz	45	234	377	332.0	142.6	189.4
8	Anthony Volpe	263	449	601	338.0	151.5	186.5
9	Brett Baty	114	287	389	275.0	102.0	173.0
10	Matt Wallner	45	218	254	209.0	36.4	172.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andruw Monasterio	1	216	315	314.0	99.0	215.0
2	Matt McLain	1	209	403	402.0	194.0	208.0
3	Casey Schmitt	66	270	277	211.3	6.7	204.7
4	Corey Julks	112	313	323	211.3	9.7	201.7
5	Jordan Diaz	27	216	293	266.2	77.1	189.1
6	Jarren Duran	62	247	362	299.5	114.8	184.7
7	Maikel Garcia	19	204	515	495.7	311.2	184.4
8	Jake Bauers	1	180	272	271.0	92.5	178.5
9	Liover Peguero	26	199	213	186.8	13.6	173.2
10	Elly De La Cruz	125	298	427	302.2	129.4	172.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brayan Rocchio	577	203	86	491.0	117.3	373.7
2	José Tena	563	199	34	529.0	164.7	364.3
3	Johan Rojas	546	193	164	382.0	29.0	353.0
4	Michael Busch	570	218	81	489.0	137.1	351.9
5	Livan Soto	554	204	12	542.0	191.9	350.1
6	Noelvi Marte	539	191	123	416.0	67.7	348.3
7	Eguy Rosario	552	204	37	515.0	167.2	347.8
8	Nick Loftin	532	195	68	464.0	126.5	337.5
9	Alexander Canario	517	183	17	500.0	166.3	333.7
10	Tyler Soderstrom	527	195	138	389.0	56.6	332.4

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani	0.4391	0.3691 (41.9)	0.3664 (44.4)	0.3662 (44.7)	0.3675 (41.1)	0.3736 (40.7)
Mookie Betts	0.4177	0.3632 (37.8)	0.3618 (39.8)	0.3636 (38.7)	0.3604 (37.7)	0.3655 (37.9)
J.P. Crawford	0.3579	0.3094 (30.9)	0.3095 (31.8)	0.3106 (31.3)	0.3109 (28.1)	0.3066 (34.3)
Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3312	0.3866 (35.2)	0.3751 (26.9)	0.3851 (33.1)	0.3902 (39.3)	0.3844 (32.2)
Corey Seager	0.4232	0.3553 (36.4)	0.3496 (40.3)	0.3555 (37.3)	0.3594 (32.6)	0.3510 (40.1)
Matt Olson	0.4159	0.3610 (39.5)	0.3521 (47.0)	0.3552 (45.0)	0.3590 (38.8)	0.3689 (35.6)
Tim Anderson	0.2596	0.3225 (33.0)	0.3355 (38.9)	0.3231 (32.3)	0.3183 (32.3)	0.3263 (33.6)
Josh Lowe	0.3554	0.2984 (28.5)	0.3005 (28.3)	0.3034 (26.9)	0.2941 (29.2)	0.2978 (30.1)
Marcell Ozuna	0.3815	0.3233 (34.4)	0.3172 (38.9)	0.3201 (37.4)	0.3217 (33.7)	0.3282 (33.0)
Cody Bellinger	0.3720	0.3079 (35.6)	0.2849 (49.3)	0.3033 (39.2)	0.3101 (32.8)	0.3104 (35.6)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.4287	0.3691 (43.8)	0.3608 (51.0)	0.3652 (48.0)	0.3662 (43.7)	0.3758 (40.7)
Yandy Díaz	0.4017	0.3480 (32.2)	0.3442 (35.4)	0.3483 (33.1)	0.3507 (28.9)	0.3451 (35.4)
Brandon Marsh	0.3589	0.2860 (34.4)	0.2978 (29.6)	0.2889 (33.9)	0.2861 (33.0)	0.2831 (37.0)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adolis García	0.3071	0.3542	29.7
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3847	0.3423	28.9
3	José Abreu	0.3443	0.2958	28.8
4	Nolan Jones	0.3301	0.3971	28.4
5	Matt McLain	0.3033	0.3702	26.9
6	Corbin Carroll	0.3257	0.3673	26.9
7	Chas McCormick	0.3029	0.3612	26.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nolan Jones	0.3062	0.3971	39.2
2	José Abreu	0.3570	0.2958	35.4
3	Spencer Steer	0.3053	0.3548	33.9
4	Isaac Paredes	0.3081	0.3623	31.8
5	Jorge Soler	0.3122	0.3630	30.3
6	Spencer Torkelson	0.2872	0.3263	27.7
7	Brent Rooker	0.2984	0.3489	27.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adolis García	0.3009	0.3542	34.8
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3917	0.3423	32.4
3	Freddie Freeman	0.3772	0.4153	29.1
4	Chas McCormick	0.3008	0.3612	28.5
5	Corbin Carroll	0.3256	0.3673	28.1
6	Luis Arraez	0.3306	0.3736	27.6
7	Brenton Doyle	0.3208	0.2555	27.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt McLain	0.2829	0.3702	34.0
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3891	0.3423	33.9
3	Adolis García	0.3011	0.3542	31.7
4	Corbin Carroll	0.3158	0.3673	31.4
5	Nolan Jones	0.3237	0.3971	29.9
6	José Abreu	0.3432	0.2958	29.9
7	Spencer Steer	0.3078	0.3548	29.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jake Burger	0.2931	0.3490	31.5
2	Daulton Varsho	0.3480	0.2916	31.3
3	Nolan Jones	0.3311	0.3971	29.0
4	José Abreu	0.3469	0.2958	28.9
5	Freddie Freeman	0.3800	0.4153	27.6
6	Chas McCormick	0.3069	0.3612	26.0
7	Brett Baty	0.3297	0.2629	25.1

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spencer Torkelson	0.2872	0.3181	0.3263	27.7	5.5	22.2
2	Seiya Suzuki	0.3245	0.3533	0.3602	21.7	4.0	17.7
3	Teoscar Hernández	0.3523	0.3261	0.3176	22.5	5.8	16.7
4	Isaac Paredes	0.3081	0.3333	0.3623	31.8	16.5	15.3
5	Joey Meneses	0.3522	0.3296	0.3145	23.8	9.9	13.8
6	Paul Goldschmidt	0.3826	0.3611	0.3527	19.5	5.8	13.7
7	Cody Bellinger	0.2849	0.3079	0.3720	49.3	35.6	13.7
8	Jarred Kelenic	0.2743	0.3028	0.3244	21.5	9.0	12.5
9	Josh Naylor	0.3155	0.3390	0.3598	22.7	10.3	12.4
10	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.3093	0.3253	0.3433	24.6	12.5	12.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Patrick Bailey	0.3184	0.2682	0.2802	12.9	4.2	8.7
2	Marcus Semien	0.3206	0.3302	0.3542	26.6	18.1	8.6
3	Casey Schmitt	0.3184	0.2882	0.2512	18.1	10.2	7.9
4	Alika Williams	0.3184	0.2484	0.2361	9.0	1.4	7.6
5	Zach Remillard	0.3184	0.2708	0.2662	8.1	0.7	7.3
6	Ketel Marte	0.3297	0.3390	0.3619	22.1	14.8	7.2
7	Masyn Winn	0.3184	0.2707	0.2077	14.9	8.6	6.3
8	Adam Duvall	0.2919	0.3079	0.3484	20.6	14.3	6.3
9	Brandon Belt	0.3192	0.3320	0.3698	21.2	15.3	5.9
10	Yordan Alvarez	0.3895	0.3996	0.4183	15.2	9.3	5.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spencer Steer	0.3078	0.3219	0.3548	29.3	21.9	7.4
2	Matt McLain	0.2829	0.3033	0.3702	34.0	26.9	7.1
3	Patrick Bailey	0.2487	0.2682	0.2802	10.1	4.2	5.9
4	James Outman	0.3018	0.3147	0.3449	22.8	17.1	5.6
5	Gunnar Henderson	0.3278	0.3391	0.3463	9.7	4.5	5.2
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3891	0.3847	0.3423	33.9	28.9	5.0
7	Josh Bell	0.3439	0.3390	0.3229	14.8	9.9	4.9
8	Corbin Carroll	0.3158	0.3257	0.3673	31.4	26.9	4.5
9	Josh Jung	0.2975	0.3084	0.3342	17.4	13.2	4.1
10	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3902	0.3866	0.3312	39.3	35.2	4.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trea Turner	0.3621	0.3454	0.3342	17.6	7.7	9.8
2	Daulton Varsho	0.3480	0.3291	0.2916	31.3	21.8	9.5
3	Matt Vierling	0.2852	0.3005	0.3147	17.0	7.5	9.5
4	Yuli Gurriel	0.3511	0.3198	0.2905	19.1	9.7	9.5
5	Jake Burger	0.2931	0.3044	0.3490	31.5	24.1	7.4
6	Salvador Perez	0.3431	0.3281	0.3051	20.6	13.3	7.3
7	Kyle Tucker	0.3595	0.3676	0.3724	10.4	3.3	7.1
8	Mike Moustakas	0.3290	0.3087	0.2949	12.2	5.3	6.9
9	Mike Trout	0.4076	0.3863	0.3697	12.8	6.0	6.8
10	Jurickson Profar	0.3448	0.3295	0.3039	20.0	13.4	6.6

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Luis Robert Jr.	0.2891	0.2059 (46.2)	0.2215 (37.6)	0.1998 (47.6)	0.1999 (49.3)	0.2180 (40.7)
Gleyber Torres	0.1458	0.2084 (45.8)	0.2151 (49.5)	0.2072 (47.4)	0.2073 (45.6)	0.2106 (45.3)
Luis García Jr.	0.1245	0.1917 (35.1)	0.2126 (44.6)	0.1906 (36.3)	0.1901 (34.6)	0.1943 (34.9)
Cody Bellinger	0.1565	0.2430 (51.2)	0.2515 (55.3)	0.2466 (55.2)	0.2481 (54.4)	0.2343 (44.7)
William Contreras	0.2062	0.2608 (36.8)	0.2657 (39.0)	0.2572 (36.7)	0.2612 (37.5)	0.2640 (36.9)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1143	0.2292 (88.5)	0.2402 (95.8)	0.2264 (89.1)	0.2272 (87.6)	0.2340 (89.9)
Dominic Smith	0.1553	0.2107 (35.8)	0.2294 (46.0)	0.2109 (38.0)	0.2103 (35.9)	0.2110 (34.2)
DJ LeMahieu	0.2224	0.1370 (44.9)	0.1474 (39.7)	0.1379 (42.3)	0.1377 (44.1)	0.1353 (47.5)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Carroll	0.2685	0.1938	51.8
2	Ezequiel Tovar	0.1833	0.2699	49.8
3	Josh Lowe	0.3206	0.2475	39.4
4	Bryson Stott	0.2050	0.1562	34.8
5	Elehuris Montero	0.2452	0.3616	34.0
6	Ryan McMahon	0.2563	0.3158	33.8
7	Anthony Volpe	0.2183	0.2779	32.5
8	Brandon Belt	0.2677	0.3490	30.6
9	Nick Castellanos	0.2263	0.2757	29.4
10	Gabriel Arias	0.2407	0.3275	28.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Noda	0.2273	0.3434	55.3
2	Masataka Yoshida	0.2273	0.1397	53.4
3	Brenton Doyle	0.2273	0.3503	51.1
4	Elly De La Cruz	0.2273	0.3372	45.1
5	James Outman	0.2406	0.3192	42.1
6	Will Brennan	0.2061	0.1253	38.8
7	Nick Pratto	0.2852	0.4000	38.1
8	Adley Rutschman	0.1978	0.1470	37.9
9	Marcus Semien	0.1914	0.1461	37.4
10	Blake Sabol	0.2273	0.3401	37.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ezequiel Tovar	0.1760	0.2699	52.1
2	Corbin Carroll	0.2592	0.1938	48.1
3	Josh Lowe	0.3144	0.2475	38.1
4	Anthony Volpe	0.2061	0.2779	37.6
5	Elehuris Montero	0.2362	0.3616	35.7
6	Ryan McMahon	0.2558	0.3158	31.8
7	Alec Bohm	0.1967	0.1538	31.8
8	Bryson Stott	0.1968	0.1562	31.8
9	Jake Bauers	0.2273	0.3493	30.7
10	Marcus Semien	0.1762	0.1461	29.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Carroll	0.2671	0.1938	51.3
2	Ezequiel Tovar	0.1827	0.2699	49.8
3	Josh Lowe	0.3189	0.2475	38.9
4	Ryan McMahon	0.2525	0.3158	35.7
5	Elehuris Montero	0.2402	0.3616	35.3
6	Anthony Volpe	0.2139	0.2779	34.7
7	Bryson Stott	0.2004	0.1562	32.3
8	Alec Bohm	0.1966	0.1538	30.0
9	MJ Melendez	0.2265	0.2824	29.8
10	Brandon Belt	0.2694	0.3490	29.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Carroll	0.2793	0.1938	56.9
2	Ezequiel Tovar	0.1913	0.2699	46.7
3	Josh Lowe	0.3284	0.2475	41.8
4	Bryson Stott	0.2179	0.1562	41.2
5	Brandon Belt	0.2618	0.3490	34.2
6	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.2193	0.1744	33.0
7	Ryan McMahon	0.2605	0.3158	33.0
8	Nick Castellanos	0.2252	0.2757	32.1
9	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.2698	0.2220	32.0
10	Elehuris Montero	0.2593	0.3616	30.6

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Noda	0.2273	0.3186	0.3434	55.3	9.6	45.8
2	James Outman	0.2406	0.3180	0.3192	42.1	2.5	39.6
3	Masataka Yoshida	0.2273	0.1033	0.1397	53.4	17.9	35.5
4	Elly De La Cruz	0.2273	0.3035	0.3372	45.1	12.0	33.0
5	Brenton Doyle	0.2273	0.2985	0.3503	51.1	19.9	31.2
6	Edouard Julien	0.2273	0.3023	0.3137	33.5	2.4	31.1
7	Will Brennan	0.2061	0.1462	0.1253	38.8	12.1	26.7
8	Brent Rooker	0.2720	0.3177	0.3270	26.6	2.0	24.6
9	Keibert Ruiz	0.1514	0.1128	0.1032	29.5	8.5	21.0
10	Steven Kwan	0.1307	0.1023	0.1045	22.0	2.4	19.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Bauers	0.2273	0.2965	0.3493	30.7	12.8	17.8
2	Patrick Bailey	0.2273	0.2667	0.2833	16.5	3.9	12.7
3	DJ Stewart	0.2273	0.2841	0.3027	12.3	2.4	9.9
4	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	0.2273	0.2948	0.2863	12.0	3.4	8.6
5	Matt McLain	0.2273	0.3086	0.2854	19.7	11.6	8.1
6	Trey Cabbage	0.2273	0.3730	0.4643	12.8	4.8	8.0
7	Davis Schneider	0.2273	0.2820	0.3050	9.7	2.4	7.2
8	Brenton Doyle	0.2783	0.2985	0.3503	27.1	19.9	7.2
9	Blake Sabol	0.2563	0.2806	0.3401	25.7	18.6	7.1
10	Nolan Gorman	0.2842	0.3031	0.3190	11.9	4.8	7.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nolan Gorman	0.2865	0.3031	0.3190	12.1	4.8	7.3
2	Jake Rogers	0.2961	0.3154	0.3233	7.6	0.8	6.8
3	MJ Melendez	0.2265	0.2375	0.2824	29.8	23.7	6.2
4	Brenton Doyle	0.2853	0.2985	0.3503	25.3	19.9	5.4
5	Josh Bell	0.1775	0.1865	0.2172	20.6	15.5	5.1
6	Spencer Steer	0.2286	0.2221	0.2090	17.2	12.4	4.8
7	Ezequiel Duran	0.2366	0.2481	0.2733	13.4	8.6	4.7
8	Andrew Benintendi	0.1739	0.1678	0.1433	22.9	18.6	4.3
9	Connor Wong	0.2562	0.2674	0.3325	28.2	24.0	4.2
10	Tommy Pham	0.2647	0.2581	0.2204	24.4	20.8	3.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.2698	0.2406	0.2220	32.0	15.3	16.7
2	Joey Wiemer	0.3118	0.2874	0.2829	12.9	4.1	8.8
3	Trey Cabbage	0.2273	0.3730	0.4643	13.1	4.8	8.3
4	Andrew Vaughn	0.1653	0.1758	0.2098	25.7	17.4	8.3
5	Mike Moustakas	0.2077	0.2261	0.2461	13.8	5.6	8.2
6	Jake Rogers	0.3440	0.3154	0.3233	8.5	0.8	7.7
7	Teoscar Hernández	0.2682	0.2764	0.3112	27.4	19.8	7.6
8	Seiya Suzuki	0.2425	0.2274	0.2230	12.9	5.8	7.1
9	Zack Gelof	0.3208	0.2947	0.2733	15.0	8.1	7.0
10	Francisco Lindor	0.1757	0.1827	0.1994	14.5	7.7	6.8

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Lane Thomas	0.0528	0.0889 (24.8)	0.0915 (26.0)	0.0895 (24.8)	0.0887 (25.3)	0.0885 (24.1)
Ha-Seong Kim	0.1198	0.0850 (21.7)	0.0840 (22.8)	0.0849 (22.1)	0.0845 (21.4)	0.0855 (21.7)
Mookie Betts	0.1385	0.1038 (23.9)	0.0981 (28.4)	0.1025 (25.2)	0.1017 (24.7)	0.1071 (22.0)
J.P. Crawford	0.1473	0.1006 (29.7)	0.0976 (32.1)	0.0996 (30.7)	0.0995 (29.8)	0.1026 (28.8)
Yasmani Grandal	0.0889	0.1523 (25.8)	0.1483 (23.8)	0.1493 (24.3)	0.1485 (24.6)	0.1590 (28.2)
Matt Olson	0.1444	0.1156 (20.6)	0.1151 (21.6)	0.1151 (21.4)	0.1141 (21.0)	0.1177 (19.5)
Aaron Judge	0.1921	0.1398 (23.9)	0.1299 (28.8)	0.1380 (25.0)	0.1399 (23.4)	0.1415 (23.3)
Adolis García	0.1028	0.0566 (29.1)	0.0611 (26.7)	0.0576 (28.8)	0.0576 (27.9)	0.0546 (30.7)
Andrew McCutchen	0.1586	0.1109 (22.4)	0.1086 (23.9)	0.1087 (23.8)	0.1079 (23.4)	0.1162 (20.2)
Brandon Marsh	0.1250	0.0761 (23.0)	0.0710 (25.8)	0.0767 (23.0)	0.0751 (23.0)	0.0766 (23.0)
Kyle Schwarber	0.1750	0.1273 (34.2)	0.1241 (37.0)	0.1255 (35.9)	0.1251 (35.1)	0.1312 (31.8)
Ian Happ	0.1433	0.1046 (26.6)	0.1010 (29.6)	0.1059 (26.1)	0.1037 (26.6)	0.1043 (27.2)
Randy Arozarena	0.1223	0.0815 (26.5)	0.0819 (26.8)	0.0813 (27.1)	0.0813 (26.1)	0.0820 (26.6)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Masataka Yoshida	0.1072	0.0586	28.3
2	Carlos Santana	0.1401	0.1050	21.8
3	Jack Suwinski	0.1020	0.1404	20.4
4	James Outman	0.0844	0.1199	20.0
5	Nathaniel Lowe	0.1019	0.1285	19.1
6	Shohei Ohtani	0.1200	0.1519	19.0
7	Esteury Ruiz	0.0775	0.0402	18.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ryan Noda	0.0859	0.1556	34.8
2	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.0907	0.1464	29.3
3	Edouard Julien	0.0859	0.1569	29.2
4	Nathaniel Lowe	0.0949	0.1285	24.7
5	Ezequiel Tovar	0.0793	0.0407	23.4
6	Yainer Diaz	0.0861	0.0292	21.2
7	Jack Suwinski	0.1013	0.1404	21.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Masataka Yoshida	0.1145	0.0586	32.2
2	Esteury Ruiz	0.0819	0.0402	20.5
3	Nathaniel Lowe	0.1016	0.1285	19.7
4	Nolan Gorman	0.0731	0.1142	19.2
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.1206	0.1519	19.0
6	James Outman	0.0876	0.1199	18.6
7	Joc Pederson	0.0912	0.1341	18.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Masataka Yoshida	0.1169	0.0586	34.5
2	James Outman	0.0812	0.1199	21.3
3	Jack Suwinski	0.1017	0.1404	20.1
4	Nolan Gorman	0.0707	0.1142	19.7
5	Ryan Noda	0.1156	0.1556	19.2
6	Esteury Ruiz	0.0777	0.0402	19.2
7	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.1099	0.1464	18.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Santana	0.1550	0.1050	30.7
2	Jack Suwinski	0.0965	0.1404	23.6
3	James Outman	0.0843	0.1199	20.4
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.1188	0.1519	20.1
5	Ryan Noda	0.1158	0.1556	19.8
6	Luis Arraez	0.0892	0.0567	19.8
7	Nathaniel Lowe	0.1019	0.1285	19.5

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Edouard Julien	0.0859	0.1307	0.1569	29.2	10.6	18.6
2	Ryan Noda	0.0859	0.1179	0.1556	34.8	18.5	16.2
3	Ezequiel Tovar	0.0793	0.0547	0.0407	23.4	8.8	14.6
4	Yainer Diaz	0.0861	0.0496	0.0292	21.2	7.8	13.4
5	Will Benson	0.0763	0.1279	0.1216	15.1	2.1	13.0
6	Brenton Doyle	0.0859	0.0459	0.0510	14.8	2.1	12.7
7	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.0907	0.1117	0.1464	29.3	17.9	11.3
8	Connor Wong	0.0862	0.0577	0.0546	12.5	1.3	11.2
9	Nolan Jones	0.0830	0.1062	0.1250	18.1	7.9	10.2
10	Brent Rooker	0.0753	0.0933	0.0932	9.7	0.2	9.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Casey Schmitt	0.0859	0.0628	0.0469	10.7	4.5	6.2
2	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	0.0859	0.0548	0.0581	6.6	0.7	5.9
3	Zach Neto	0.0859	0.0527	0.0608	8.1	2.6	5.5
4	Josh Donaldson	0.0859	0.1125	0.1164	5.8	0.7	5.1
5	Dominic Canzone	0.0859	0.0619	0.0440	7.6	3.3	4.3
6	Masataka Yoshida	0.1145	0.1072	0.0586	32.2	28.3	3.9
7	Jeremy Peña	0.0484	0.0533	0.0678	12.5	9.1	3.4
8	MJ Melendez	0.1169	0.1106	0.1030	8.2	4.7	3.4
9	Corey Julks	0.0859	0.0749	0.0681	5.6	2.3	3.4
10	Carlos Pérez	0.0859	0.0676	0.0688	3.2	0.2	3.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Masataka Yoshida	0.1169	0.1072	0.0586	34.5	28.3	6.1
2	MJ Melendez	0.1155	0.1106	0.1030	8.2	4.7	3.5
3	Edouard Julien	0.1215	0.1307	0.1569	14.0	10.6	3.4
4	Jeremy Peña	0.0490	0.0533	0.0678	11.2	9.1	2.1
5	Nolan Gorman	0.0707	0.0760	0.1142	19.7	17.6	2.0
6	Zack Gelof	0.0678	0.0755	0.0867	5.3	3.3	2.0
7	Mike Tauchman	0.1007	0.1067	0.1397	15.2	13.1	2.0
8	Nolan Jones	0.1008	0.1062	0.1250	9.8	7.9	1.9
9	Lars Nootbaar	0.1199	0.1243	0.1431	11.1	9.4	1.7
10	Ty France	0.0670	0.0656	0.0647	2.3	0.8	1.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Carlos Santana	0.1550	0.1401	0.1050	30.7	21.8	8.9
2	Andrew Benintendi	0.1077	0.0966	0.0837	14.7	8.1	6.6
3	Gunnar Henderson	0.1202	0.1136	0.0900	18.5	14.8	3.8
4	Alex Bregman	0.1384	0.1330	0.1271	8.0	4.5	3.5
5	Cody Bellinger	0.1010	0.0942	0.0719	15.9	12.5	3.4
6	Tommy Pham	0.1131	0.1054	0.0977	7.2	3.8	3.4
7	Mark Canha	0.1143	0.1072	0.0966	8.8	5.4	3.3
8	Joey Gallo	0.1607	0.1503	0.1446	5.2	2.0	3.3
9	Jack Suwinski	0.0965	0.1020	0.1404	23.6	20.4	3.2
10	Matt McLain	0.1127	0.1042	0.0769	14.3	11.1	3.2

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Ty France	0.0511	0.0317 (13.0)	0.0315 (13.2)	0.0282 (15.3)	0.0280 (15.2)	0.0388 (8.5)
Freddie Freeman	0.0219	0.0098 (8.9)	0.0098 (9.0)	0.0103 (8.5)	0.0100 (8.6)	0.0092 (9.7)
Chas McCormick	0.0241	0.0092 (6.8)	0.0068 (7.9)	0.0087 (7.0)	0.0090 (6.8)	0.0100 (6.7)
Donovan Solano	0.0333	0.0163 (7.7)	0.0159 (7.9)	0.0151 (8.2)	0.0150 (8.2)	0.0187 (6.8)
Sean Murphy	0.0411	0.0189 (9.8)	0.0200 (9.3)	0.0167 (10.7)	0.0170 (10.5)	0.0230 (8.1)
Ryan Jeffers	0.0299	0.0098 (6.8)	0.0085 (7.2)	0.0091 (6.9)	0.0090 (6.9)	0.0113 (6.4)
Miguel Amaya	0.0705	0.0162 (8.5)	0.0115 (9.2)	0.0133 (8.9)	0.0130 (8.9)	0.0224 (7.6)
Matt Wallner	0.0512	0.0162 (8.9)	0.0169 (8.7)	0.0133 (9.6)	0.0130 (9.6)	0.0223 (7.4)
Isaac Paredes	0.0350	0.0105 (14.1)	0.0097 (14.5)	0.0098 (14.4)	0.0100 (14.2)	0.0117 (13.6)
Pete Alonso	0.0319	0.0179 (9.3)	0.0182 (9.1)	0.0161 (10.4)	0.0160 (10.3)	0.0216 (7.1)
Jeimer Candelario	0.0226	0.0104 (7.0)	0.0101 (7.3)	0.0101 (7.1)	0.0100 (7.1)	0.0112 (6.8)
Yordan Alvarez	0.0262	0.0111 (7.5)	0.0127 (6.7)	0.0117 (7.2)	0.0120 (6.9)	0.0098 (8.4)
Luis Urías	0.0565	0.0180 (6.8)	0.0179 (6.8)	0.0161 (7.1)	0.0160 (7.1)	0.0221 (6.2)
José Caballero	0.0607	0.0166 (12.4)	0.0115 (13.8)	0.0115 (13.8)	0.0110 (13.9)	0.0221 (10.9)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Neto	0.0243	0.0486	8.0
2	Eugenio Suárez	0.0126	0.0216	6.3
3	Danny Jansen	0.0125	0.0332	6.3
4	José Abreu	0.0203	0.0101	6.0
5	Jeff McNeil	0.0187	0.0278	6.0
6	Adley Rutschman	0.0115	0.0029	5.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Neto	0.0115	0.0486	12.3
2	Esteury Ruiz	0.0089	0.0322	11.6
3	Michael Massey	0.0263	0.0087	8.1
4	Luke Raley	0.0247	0.0443	8.0
5	Lane Thomas	0.0060	0.0161	7.0
6	José Abreu	0.0219	0.0101	6.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Neto	0.0115	0.0486	12.2
2	Jeff McNeil	0.0159	0.0278	7.7
3	Luke Raley	0.0267	0.0443	7.1
4	Eugenio Suárez	0.0123	0.0216	6.4
5	Danny Jansen	0.0121	0.0332	6.3
6	Randy Arozarena	0.0179	0.0275	6.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zach Neto	0.0140	0.0486	11.3
2	Jeff McNeil	0.0160	0.0278	7.5
3	Luke Raley	0.0270	0.0443	7.0
4	Eugenio Suárez	0.0120	0.0216	6.5
5	Danny Jansen	0.0120	0.0332	6.3
6	Randy Arozarena	0.0180	0.0275	6.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Henry Davis	0.0567	0.0157	10.3
2	Anthony Volpe	0.0220	0.0083	7.9
3	José Abreu	0.0231	0.0101	7.4
4	Adley Rutschman	0.0125	0.0029	6.3
5	Austin Hays	0.0166	0.0053	6.1
6	Danny Jansen	0.0134	0.0332	6.1

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Esteury Ruiz	0.0089	0.0240	0.0322	11.6	4.1	7.5
2	Michael Massey	0.0263	0.0152	0.0087	8.1	3.0	5.1
3	Zach Neto	0.0115	0.0243	0.0486	12.3	8.0	4.2
4	Brice Turang	0.0115	0.0040	0.0022	4.1	0.7	3.3
5	Luke Raley	0.0247	0.0326	0.0443	8.0	4.8	3.2
6	Ryan Noda	0.0115	0.0176	0.0202	4.4	1.3	3.1
7	Jihwan Bae	0.0178	0.0095	0.0054	4.5	1.5	3.0
8	Elly De La Cruz	0.0115	0.0053	0.0047	2.8	0.2	2.6
9	Maikel Garcia	0.0091	0.0043	0.0039	2.6	0.2	2.5
10	Francisco Alvarez	0.0093	0.0143	0.0142	2.1	0.0	2.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zach Neto	0.0115	0.0243	0.0486	12.2	8.0	4.2
2	Luke Raley	0.0267	0.0326	0.0443	7.1	4.8	2.3
3	Ty France	0.0282	0.0317	0.0511	15.3	13.0	2.2
4	Andrés Giménez	0.0281	0.0314	0.0325	2.7	0.7	2.0
5	Jeff McNeil	0.0159	0.0187	0.0278	7.7	6.0	1.7
6	Jonathan India	0.0251	0.0279	0.0302	2.7	1.3	1.4
7	Randy Arozarena	0.0179	0.0202	0.0275	6.3	4.9	1.4
8	José Caballero	0.0115	0.0166	0.0607	13.8	12.4	1.4
9	Maikel Garcia	0.0068	0.0043	0.0039	1.5	0.2	1.4
10	Miguel Cabrera	0.0115	0.0081	0.0054	2.3	1.0	1.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zach Neto	0.0140	0.0243	0.0486	11.3	8.0	3.3
2	Ty France	0.0280	0.0317	0.0511	15.2	13.0	2.2
3	Luke Raley	0.0270	0.0326	0.0443	7.0	4.8	2.2
4	Andrés Giménez	0.0280	0.0314	0.0325	2.6	0.7	1.9
5	Corbin Carroll	0.0140	0.0167	0.0202	3.8	2.3	1.6
6	Jeff McNeil	0.0160	0.0187	0.0278	7.5	6.0	1.5
7	José Caballero	0.0110	0.0166	0.0607	13.9	12.4	1.5
8	Jonathan India	0.0250	0.0279	0.0302	2.7	1.3	1.4
9	Esteury Ruiz	0.0210	0.0240	0.0322	5.5	4.1	1.4
10	Randy Arozarena	0.0180	0.0202	0.0275	6.1	4.9	1.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Henry Davis	0.0567	0.0378	0.0157	10.3	5.6	4.7
2	Brent Rooker	0.0288	0.0219	0.0190	4.9	1.4	3.4
3	Mark Canha	0.0438	0.0373	0.0335	5.0	1.9	3.1
4	Anthony Volpe	0.0220	0.0167	0.0083	7.9	5.0	3.0
5	Anthony Rizzo	0.0410	0.0337	0.0285	5.1	2.2	2.9
6	Edmundo Sosa	0.0403	0.0307	0.0300	3.0	0.2	2.8
7	Andrés Giménez	0.0381	0.0314	0.0325	3.2	0.7	2.4
8	TJ Friedl	0.0233	0.0186	0.0180	2.7	0.3	2.4
9	Maikel Garcia	0.0000	0.0043	0.0039	2.2	0.2	2.1
10	Bryson Stott	0.0020	0.0048	0.0109	6.0	4.0	2.0

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Luis Robert Jr.	0.0997	0.0558 (25.8)	0.0514 (28.7)	0.0571 (25.9)	0.0538 (26.1)	0.0564 (25.9)
Shohei Ohtani	0.1215	0.0897 (18.8)	0.0877 (20.2)	0.0891 (20.0)	0.0869 (19.5)	0.0930 (17.2)
Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.0571	0.1015 (28.6)	0.0964 (25.0)	0.0899 (20.3)	0.0991 (28.0)	0.1165 (37.7)
Jose Siri	0.1179	0.0572 (21.9)	0.0474 (25.6)	0.0621 (20.6)	0.0561 (21.7)	0.0534 (23.5)
Matt Olson	0.1213	0.0810 (28.7)	0.0769 (31.9)	0.0800 (30.4)	0.0785 (29.3)	0.0845 (26.6)
Adolis García	0.1010	0.0666 (21.4)	0.0654 (22.4)	0.0640 (24.0)	0.0631 (22.7)	0.0729 (17.9)
Jake Burger	0.0980	0.0591 (20.7)	0.0570 (22.1)	0.0637 (19.0)	0.0582 (20.4)	0.0556 (23.0)
Jeremy Peña	0.0221	0.0527 (19.8)	0.0528 (19.5)	0.0535 (19.4)	0.0518 (20.2)	0.0529 (19.4)
Marcell Ozuna	0.1005	0.0642 (21.2)	0.0627 (22.3)	0.0616 (23.5)	0.0612 (22.0)	0.0700 (18.1)
Joey Meneses	0.0269	0.0617 (23.2)	0.0631 (23.8)	0.0627 (23.0)	0.0568 (21.0)	0.0655 (25.3)
J.D. Martinez	0.1122	0.0586 (25.4)	0.0518 (28.9)	0.0584 (26.2)	0.0573 (25.3)	0.0601 (25.0)
Michael A. Taylor	0.0917	0.0354 (21.6)	0.0377 (20.9)	0.0342 (22.6)	0.0328 (22.1)	0.0393 (20.4)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Muncy	0.0735	0.1075	19.4
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0780	0.0514	18.5
3	Aaron Judge	0.1134	0.1542	18.4
4	George Springer	0.0684	0.0426	18.0
5	Christopher Morel	0.0590	0.1008	17.7
6	William Contreras	0.0688	0.0408	17.4
7	J.P. Crawford	0.0182	0.0459	17.3
8	Tim Anderson	0.0345	0.0027	16.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brent Rooker	0.0533	0.1017	25.4
2	Spencer Torkelson	0.0366	0.0705	23.1
3	Max Muncy	0.0727	0.1075	20.1
4	Nolan Gorman	0.0611	0.1038	19.8
5	Javier Báez	0.0588	0.0231	19.6
6	Eugenio Suárez	0.0836	0.0557	19.4
7	Pete Alonso	0.0797	0.1093	19.4
8	Nelson Velázquez	0.0457	0.1518	19.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Muncy	0.0719	0.1075	21.1
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0825	0.0514	20.6
3	Aaron Judge	0.1104	0.1542	20.4
4	William Contreras	0.0719	0.0408	18.5
5	Joey Gallo	0.0954	0.1500	18.4
6	J.P. Crawford	0.0184	0.0459	18.1
7	Patrick Wisdom	0.0859	0.1447	18.0
8	Nathaniel Lowe	0.0620	0.0369	17.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0807	0.0514	21.4
2	Max Muncy	0.0704	0.1075	20.2
3	Aaron Judge	0.1085	0.1542	20.0
4	Christopher Morel	0.0552	0.1008	18.7
5	William Contreras	0.0686	0.0408	18.3
6	Joey Gallo	0.0929	0.1500	18.3
7	Nathaniel Lowe	0.0598	0.0369	18.1
8	Patrick Wisdom	0.0836	0.1447	17.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	George Springer	0.0718	0.0426	19.9
2	Matt Chapman	0.0822	0.0491	19.1
3	Daulton Varsho	0.0822	0.0504	18.4
4	Eugenio Suárez	0.0821	0.0557	18.2
5	J.P. Crawford	0.0175	0.0459	18.2
6	Mike Ford	0.0460	0.1151	17.4
7	Tim Anderson	0.0357	0.0027	17.2
8	Christopher Morel	0.0609	0.1008	17.2

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spencer Torkelson	0.0366	0.0575	0.0705	23.1	8.5	14.6
2	Maikel Garcia	0.0403	0.0171	0.0111	15.1	3.3	11.7
3	Brice Turang	0.0486	0.0248	0.0190	13.3	2.8	10.5
4	James Outman	0.0500	0.0673	0.0752	14.2	4.2	10.0
5	Will Brennan	0.0437	0.0226	0.0133	13.9	4.5	9.4
6	Brent Rooker	0.0533	0.0699	0.1017	25.4	16.4	9.0
7	Andruw Monasterio	0.0486	0.0209	0.0138	11.0	2.4	8.6
8	Francisco Alvarez	0.0483	0.0680	0.0916	18.3	9.7	8.5
9	Nolan Gorman	0.0611	0.0771	0.1038	19.8	12.2	7.6
10	Zach McKinstry	0.0493	0.0353	0.0253	12.5	5.5	7.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andruw Monasterio	0.0486	0.0209	0.0138	10.7	2.4	8.3
2	Miguel Cabrera	0.0486	0.0299	0.0152	12.0	5.6	6.4
3	José Caballero	0.0486	0.0216	0.0237	6.7	0.4	6.3
4	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	0.0486	0.0710	0.0850	9.0	3.2	5.7
5	Patrick Bailey	0.0486	0.0318	0.0306	6.1	0.6	5.4
6	Jacob Young	0.0486	0.0125	0.0000	5.8	1.6	4.2
7	Masyn Winn	0.0486	0.0196	0.0198	3.8	0.0	3.8
8	Nolan Gorman	0.0706	0.0771	0.1038	15.8	12.2	3.7
9	Casey Schmitt	0.0486	0.0355	0.0258	6.1	2.8	3.3
10	Alika Williams	0.0486	0.0184	0.0000	5.3	2.1	3.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nolan Gorman	0.0657	0.0771	0.1038	16.7	12.2	4.6
2	James Outman	0.0593	0.0673	0.0752	7.8	4.2	3.6
3	Gunnar Henderson	0.0465	0.0539	0.0693	12.9	9.3	3.6
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0807	0.0780	0.0514	21.4	18.5	2.9
5	Francisco Alvarez	0.0607	0.0680	0.0916	12.2	9.7	2.4
6	Nico Hoerner	0.0236	0.0218	0.0166	6.3	4.0	2.3
7	Matt McLain	0.0412	0.0484	0.0640	8.4	6.1	2.3
8	Steven Kwan	0.0203	0.0186	0.0088	9.7	7.5	2.3
9	Isaac Paredes	0.0560	0.0614	0.0797	12.3	10.2	2.2
10	Joey Gallo	0.0929	0.1008	0.1500	18.3	16.2	2.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1165	0.1015	0.0571	37.7	28.6	9.1
2	Daulton Varsho	0.0822	0.0727	0.0504	18.4	13.3	5.1
3	Mike Trout	0.1190	0.1053	0.0874	11.4	6.7	4.7
4	Josh Bell	0.0427	0.0492	0.0526	6.2	1.8	4.5
5	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0797	0.0730	0.0730	4.8	0.4	4.4
6	Jacob Young	0.0486	0.0125	0.0000	5.9	1.6	4.3
7	Marcus Semien	0.0577	0.0528	0.0512	4.7	1.6	3.2
8	Andrew Vaughn	0.0639	0.0582	0.0478	9.8	6.7	3.1
9	MJ Melendez	0.0696	0.0637	0.0436	15.5	12.4	3.1
10	Salvador Perez	0.0793	0.0735	0.0557	13.6	10.6	3.0

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jared Triolo	0.4397	0.2989 (28.6)	0.2954 (29.7)	0.3019 (27.5)	0.2950 (29.2)	0.2997 (29.3)
Jarred Kelenic	0.3593	0.2615 (39.0)	0.2312 (52.5)	0.2562 (40.3)	0.2645 (37.3)	0.2638 (39.8)
Josh Donaldson	0.1154	0.2730 (30.5)	0.2769 (30.9)	0.2954 (35.2)	0.2764 (31.4)	0.2695 (29.1)
Austin Hays	0.3451	0.2821 (33.4)	0.2907 (29.6)	0.2773 (34.8)	0.2810 (33.4)	0.2880 (32.4)
Mickey Moniak	0.3967	0.2812 (36.0)	0.2675 (41.1)	0.2775 (36.5)	0.2760 (37.3)	0.2902 (34.5)
Will Benson	0.3908	0.2824 (34.4)	0.2867 (33.6)	0.2683 (38.2)	0.2757 (36.2)	0.3045 (28.4)
Kyle Schwarber	0.2086	0.2651 (43.5)	0.2647 (41.9)	0.2562 (38.8)	0.2687 (47.0)	0.2704 (44.3)
Pete Alonso	0.2053	0.2702 (45.3)	0.2782 (49.3)	0.2686 (45.7)	0.2703 (46.1)	0.2718 (43.6)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.2098	0.2884 (34.2)	0.2830 (31.2)	0.2918 (36.6)	0.2911 (35.9)	0.2822 (30.0)
Yandy Díaz	0.3674	0.3032 (36.1)	0.3079 (34.5)	0.3056 (33.3)	0.3071 (33.1)	0.2970 (42.4)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.3175	0.3699	35.4
2	Brandon Belt	0.2788	0.3702	35.3
3	Eugenio Suárez	0.2626	0.3137	32.7
4	Brandon Marsh	0.3223	0.3953	32.6
5	Nick Pratto	0.2901	0.3879	32.4
6	Matt McLain	0.3022	0.3846	31.6
7	Ryan Noda	0.2795	0.3468	31.4
8	William Contreras	0.2962	0.3475	28.9
9	Nolan Jones	0.3288	0.4009	28.9
10	Ryan Jeffers	0.2669	0.3514	27.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nolan Jones	0.3038	0.4009	40.3
2	Cody Bellinger	0.2461	0.3191	39.4
3	Nick Pratto	0.2733	0.3879	38.8
4	Matt McLain	0.2954	0.3846	35.1
5	Nick Maton	0.3141	0.2047	32.7
6	Corey Seager	0.2795	0.3398	31.2
7	Willy Adames	0.3045	0.2581	30.9
8	Eugenio Suárez	0.2671	0.3137	30.9
9	José Abreu	0.3248	0.2764	30.0
10	Edouard Julien	0.2954	0.3687	29.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Belt	0.2662	0.3702	39.5
2	Nick Pratto	0.2738	0.3879	37.2
3	Freddie Freeman	0.3132	0.3699	36.8
4	Eugenio Suárez	0.2589	0.3137	33.6
5	Matt McLain	0.2954	0.3846	33.4
6	Brandon Marsh	0.3229	0.3953	31.2
7	Ryan Noda	0.2780	0.3468	31.0
8	Nolan Jones	0.3221	0.4009	30.7
9	Ryan Jeffers	0.2606	0.3514	28.3
10	William Contreras	0.2957	0.3475	27.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt McLain	0.2807	0.3846	39.8
2	Nick Pratto	0.2807	0.3879	35.2
3	Brandon Belt	0.2826	0.3702	33.3
4	Ryan Noda	0.2772	0.3468	32.0
5	Brandon Marsh	0.3238	0.3953	31.3
6	Nolan Jones	0.3223	0.4009	31.2
7	Max Muncy	0.2690	0.2207	30.9
8	William Contreras	0.2921	0.3475	30.7
9	Spencer Steer	0.2677	0.3184	30.3
10	Freddie Freeman	0.3239	0.3699	29.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.3153	0.3699	40.0
2	Eugenio Suárez	0.2588	0.3137	38.2
3	Brandon Marsh	0.3201	0.3953	35.5
4	Brandon Belt	0.2877	0.3702	33.4
5	Ryan Noda	0.2835	0.3468	31.4
6	José Abreu	0.3267	0.2764	29.8
7	Lars Nootbaar	0.2481	0.3060	29.2
8	William Contreras	0.3008	0.3475	28.7
9	Corey Seager	0.2871	0.3398	28.3
10	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.3296	0.2817	28.3

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ezequiel Tovar	0.2857	0.3113	0.3259	23.5	6.6	16.9
2	Cody Bellinger	0.2461	0.2715	0.3191	39.4	24.3	15.2
3	Elly De La Cruz	0.2954	0.3289	0.3348	15.9	0.8	15.1
4	Jarred Kelenic	0.2312	0.2615	0.3593	52.5	39.0	13.4
5	Elias Díaz	0.2674	0.2905	0.3240	28.7	15.6	13.2
6	Triston Casas	0.2662	0.2905	0.3167	24.3	11.2	13.1
7	Tyler Stephenson	0.3394	0.3131	0.3145	14.0	1.3	12.7
8	Carlos Santana	0.2326	0.2519	0.2553	12.7	0.4	12.4
9	Steven Kwan	0.3165	0.2981	0.2938	17.7	5.9	11.8
10	Nolan Jones	0.3038	0.3288	0.4009	40.3	28.9	11.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kole Calhoun	0.2954	0.2572	0.2414	10.5	3.4	7.0
2	MJ Melendez	0.2601	0.2735	0.3105	26.6	19.9	6.6
3	Corbin Carroll	0.2999	0.3125	0.3200	8.9	2.3	6.6
4	Jake Bauers	0.2954	0.2747	0.2681	9.1	2.9	6.3
5	Carlos Pérez	0.2954	0.2331	0.2540	9.0	3.2	5.8
6	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	0.2954	0.3218	0.3357	8.2	2.4	5.8
7	Mike Moustakas	0.2603	0.2757	0.2964	11.5	6.5	5.0
8	Miguel Cabrera	0.2954	0.3108	0.3166	5.5	0.7	4.8
9	Nick Pratto	0.2738	0.2901	0.3879	37.2	32.4	4.8
10	Connor Wong	0.2970	0.3110	0.3362	13.3	8.6	4.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt McLain	0.2807	0.3022	0.3846	39.8	31.6	8.2
2	Patrick Bailey	0.2382	0.2622	0.3108	23.8	15.8	8.1
3	Corbin Carroll	0.2992	0.3125	0.3200	10.1	2.3	7.8
4	Kyle Tucker	0.2980	0.2878	0.2851	12.1	4.5	7.7
5	Max Muncy	0.2690	0.2576	0.2207	30.9	23.6	7.3
6	Spencer Steer	0.2677	0.2765	0.3184	30.3	25.2	5.1
7	Connor Wong	0.2982	0.3110	0.3362	13.3	8.6	4.7
8	Jorge Soler	0.2832	0.2764	0.2719	9.5	4.9	4.6
9	Carlos Santana	0.2571	0.2519	0.2553	4.3	0.4	4.0
10	Connor Joe	0.2828	0.2917	0.3106	10.7	7.0	3.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jack Suwinski	0.3223	0.2919	0.2902	17.0	3.0	14.0
2	Lars Nootbaar	0.2481	0.2672	0.3060	29.2	17.6	11.6
3	Corbin Carroll	0.3393	0.3125	0.3200	12.3	2.3	10.1
4	Isaac Paredes	0.2312	0.2444	0.2570	14.8	4.9	9.9
5	Matt Vierling	0.2871	0.2974	0.3203	17.7	10.1	7.7
6	Drew Waters	0.3492	0.3239	0.3211	9.4	2.3	7.1
7	Trea Turner	0.3384	0.3243	0.3103	19.2	12.4	6.9
8	Yuli Gurriel	0.3226	0.2980	0.2717	16.7	10.0	6.7
9	Josh Naylor	0.2737	0.2829	0.3262	26.1	19.5	6.6
10	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.3009	0.3090	0.3148	7.4	1.0	6.5

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jared Triolo	0.3621	0.2222 (28.5)	0.2193 (29.6)	0.2296 (26.4)	0.2200 (29.0)	0.2171 (30.2)
Kyle Schwarber	0.1472	0.1937 (35.9)	0.1928 (33.7)	0.1872 (33.2)	0.2017 (41.5)	0.1922 (32.8)
James Outman	0.2756	0.2120 (34.2)	0.2256 (27.7)	0.2028 (37.8)	0.2169 (31.5)	0.2163 (33.2)
Pete Alonso	0.1440	0.2029 (41.0)	0.2126 (45.9)	0.2045 (43.8)	0.2022 (40.4)	0.2020 (38.6)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.1518	0.2267 (32.5)	0.2302 (33.0)	0.2302 (35.1)	0.2271 (32.6)	0.2230 (29.8)
Yandy Díaz	0.2822	0.2318 (28.2)	0.2371 (26.4)	0.2315 (26.8)	0.2351 (26.3)	0.2289 (31.6)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pratto	0.2010	0.2909	29.8
2	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.2402	0.1948	28.9
3	Miguel Vargas	0.2149	0.1237	28.8
4	Willy Adames	0.2145	0.1747	27.6
5	Adley Rutschman	0.1921	0.2352	27.2
6	Bo Bichette	0.2311	0.2792	26.8
7	Eugenio Suárez	0.1942	0.2359	26.6
8	Kerry Carpenter	0.2111	0.2711	26.0
9	Carlos Correa	0.2283	0.1875	25.6
10	Luis Arraez	0.2547	0.2996	25.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.1745	0.2437	37.9
2	Nick Pratto	0.1860	0.2909	35.8
3	Carlos Correa	0.2466	0.1875	34.9
4	Jarred Kelenic	0.1658	0.2424	31.4
5	Adley Rutschman	0.1888	0.2352	31.0
6	Luis Robert Jr.	0.2508	0.2012	30.3
7	Matt Olson	0.1828	0.2251	29.6
8	Eugenio Suárez	0.1922	0.2359	29.5
9	Elias Díaz	0.1944	0.2514	29.3
10	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.2408	0.1948	27.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.2453	0.1948	33.5
2	Nick Pratto	0.1927	0.2909	31.8
3	Teoscar Hernández	0.2106	0.2633	31.6
4	Eugenio Suárez	0.1851	0.2359	31.0
5	Josh Donaldson	0.2193	0.0673	29.9
6	Willy Adames	0.2151	0.1747	29.7
7	Bo Bichette	0.2237	0.2792	29.6
8	Jarred Kelenic	0.1665	0.2424	29.0
9	Brent Rooker	0.1792	0.2377	27.6
10	Brenton Doyle	0.2604	0.2049	26.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Pratto	0.1938	0.2909	32.4
2	Luis Arraez	0.2456	0.2996	31.4
3	Miguel Vargas	0.2166	0.1237	29.2
4	Kerry Carpenter	0.2072	0.2711	27.9
5	Bo Bichette	0.2305	0.2792	27.3
6	Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.2377	0.1948	27.3
7	Willy Adames	0.2141	0.1747	27.2
8	Josh Donaldson	0.2035	0.0673	26.3
9	Maikel Garcia	0.2210	0.2753	26.3
10	Matt McLain	0.2010	0.2692	26.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adley Rutschman	0.1806	0.2352	37.0
2	Lars Nootbaar	0.1667	0.2303	31.7
3	Brenton Doyle	0.2772	0.2049	31.4
4	Ha-Seong Kim	0.1948	0.2457	31.4
5	Miguel Vargas	0.2252	0.1237	31.1
6	Eugenio Suárez	0.1917	0.2359	30.2
7	Bryce Harper	0.2050	0.2586	28.9
8	Kerry Carpenter	0.2075	0.2711	28.9
9	Carlos Correa	0.2364	0.1875	28.7
10	Jarred Kelenic	0.1768	0.2424	27.0

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Anthony Volpe	0.2193	0.1909	0.1826	22.8	7.1	15.7
2	Elias Díaz	0.1944	0.2202	0.2514	29.3	14.6	14.7
3	Cody Bellinger	0.1745	0.1985	0.2437	37.9	23.2	14.6
4	Corbin Carroll	0.2012	0.2237	0.2259	15.2	0.8	14.4
5	Ketel Marte	0.1967	0.2160	0.2205	14.7	0.6	14.0
6	Steven Kwan	0.2506	0.2300	0.2177	24.5	11.3	13.2
7	Andrew Benintendi	0.2534	0.2309	0.2246	18.7	6.0	12.6
8	Nathaniel Lowe	0.2690	0.2502	0.2365	24.4	12.4	12.0
9	Matt Olson	0.1828	0.1971	0.2251	29.6	17.7	11.9
10	TJ Friedl	0.1957	0.2117	0.2251	15.7	5.5	10.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Teoscar Hernández	0.2106	0.2245	0.2633	31.6	24.0	7.6
2	Freddie Freeman	0.2215	0.2346	0.2459	13.3	5.8	7.5
3	Julio Rodríguez	0.2235	0.2367	0.2428	9.4	1.9	7.4
4	Ian Happ	0.2270	0.2199	0.2039	20.2	13.5	6.8
5	Spencer Steer	0.1803	0.1931	0.2241	25.0	18.3	6.7
6	Tim Anderson	0.2455	0.2604	0.2688	9.0	2.6	6.4
7	Ketel Marte	0.2238	0.2160	0.2205	6.2	0.6	5.5
8	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.2339	0.2261	0.2143	13.5	8.0	5.5
9	Kyle Tucker	0.2140	0.2088	0.1957	16.4	11.1	5.3
10	J.D. Davis	0.2625	0.2560	0.2421	14.5	9.5	5.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Max Muncy	0.2017	0.1850	0.1605	25.7	16.2	9.5
2	Corbin Carroll	0.2085	0.2237	0.2259	9.2	0.8	8.4
3	Luis Arraez	0.2456	0.2547	0.2996	31.4	25.6	5.7
4	Kyle Schwarber	0.2017	0.1937	0.1472	41.5	35.9	5.6
5	Kyle Tucker	0.2160	0.2088	0.1957	15.8	11.1	4.7
6	Matt McLain	0.2010	0.2124	0.2692	26.2	21.5	4.7
7	Seth Brown	0.2004	0.1886	0.1818	8.2	3.9	4.4
8	Thairo Estrada	0.2178	0.2255	0.2534	17.2	13.0	4.2
9	Ketel Marte	0.2100	0.2160	0.2205	4.7	0.6	4.1
10	Elias Díaz	0.2129	0.2202	0.2514	18.6	14.6	4.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jack Suwinski	0.2458	0.2136	0.2000	24.8	9.1	15.7
2	Lars Nootbaar	0.1667	0.1938	0.2303	31.7	16.6	15.0
3	Corbin Carroll	0.2432	0.2237	0.2259	11.6	0.8	10.9
4	Isaac Paredes	0.1592	0.1751	0.1899	17.2	6.5	10.7
5	Adley Rutschman	0.1806	0.1921	0.2352	37.0	27.2	9.8
6	Ha-Seong Kim	0.1948	0.2035	0.2457	31.4	24.3	7.1
7	Brenton Doyle	0.2772	0.2599	0.2049	31.4	25.2	6.3
8	Justin Turner	0.2434	0.2310	0.2320	7.6	1.5	6.0
9	Matt Olson	0.1923	0.1971	0.2251	23.1	17.7	5.4
10	Connor Wong	0.2373	0.2218	0.2198	7.3	2.2	5.1

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Luke Raley	0.1080	0.0584 (19.9)	0.0616 (18.5)	0.0587 (20.0)	0.0606 (18.6)	0.0558 (21.3)
Freddie Freeman	0.1199	0.0790 (29.5)	0.0823 (26.8)	0.0880 (23.3)	0.0746 (32.0)	0.0743 (33.5)
Matt Chapman	0.1185	0.0776 (23.5)	0.0703 (27.5)	0.0809 (21.8)	0.0743 (24.8)	0.0776 (23.9)
Randy Arozarena	0.0504	0.0856 (23.4)	0.0896 (26.2)	0.0861 (23.4)	0.0824 (21.9)	0.0882 (24.6)
Corey Seager	0.1160	0.0750 (21.7)	0.0641 (27.4)	0.0787 (20.0)	0.0710 (23.3)	0.0754 (21.9)
Jarren Duran	0.1435	0.0716 (25.8)	0.0780 (23.4)	0.0717 (26.0)	0.0741 (24.5)	0.0691 (27.0)
William Contreras	0.0950	0.0639 (18.7)	0.0617 (19.8)	0.0655 (18.0)	0.0637 (18.2)	0.0625 (20.0)
Dominic Smith	0.0493	0.0868 (22.3)	0.0841 (20.9)	0.0927 (25.5)	0.0822 (20.2)	0.0854 (21.0)
Anthony Santander	0.0988	0.0721 (17.1)	0.0695 (18.7)	0.0739 (16.3)	0.0686 (18.7)	0.0738 (16.6)
Brandon Belt	0.1271	0.0681 (23.6)	0.0701 (22.7)	0.0658 (24.7)	0.0631 (25.2)	0.0755 (20.9)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Connor Joe	0.0669	0.1058	18.1
2	Jeff McNeil	0.0755	0.0484	17.9
3	Adam Duvall	0.0726	0.1237	17.8
4	Alex Bregman	0.0783	0.0547	17.5
5	Trent Grisham	0.0692	0.1006	17.1
6	Ketel Marte	0.0846	0.0591	16.9
7	Nick Allen	0.0662	0.0157	16.8
8	Adley Rutschman	0.0888	0.0657	16.2
9	Davis Schneider	0.0743	0.1846	15.5
10	Jace Peterson	0.0718	0.0368	15.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ketel Marte	0.0997	0.0591	27.0
2	Adley Rutschman	0.0979	0.0657	22.7
3	Jarred Kelenic	0.0603	0.1082	19.6
4	Adam Duvall	0.0684	0.1237	19.2
5	Brice Turang	0.0701	0.0291	18.7
6	Connor Joe	0.0655	0.1058	18.6
7	Mickey Moniak	0.0573	0.1141	18.1
8	Trent Grisham	0.0673	0.1006	18.0
9	Ezequiel Tovar	0.0612	0.0914	18.0
10	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0746	0.1050	17.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Duvall	0.0650	0.1237	20.7
2	Connor Joe	0.0621	0.1058	20.6
3	Jeff McNeil	0.0784	0.0484	19.5
4	James Outman	0.0907	0.0565	19.4
5	Jace Peterson	0.0795	0.0368	18.4
6	Ryan McMahon	0.0632	0.0920	18.0
7	Nick Allen	0.0704	0.0157	18.0
8	Ezequiel Tovar	0.0630	0.0914	17.4
9	Alex Bregman	0.0786	0.0547	17.3
10	Austin Hays	0.0677	0.0978	17.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ketel Marte	0.0865	0.0591	18.8
2	Adam Duvall	0.0697	0.1237	18.5
3	Connor Joe	0.0659	0.1058	18.1
4	Trent Grisham	0.0669	0.1006	17.9
5	Jeff McNeil	0.0734	0.0484	17.2
6	Nick Allen	0.0658	0.0157	17.0
7	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0750	0.1050	16.9
8	Alex Bregman	0.0760	0.0547	16.5
9	Jeimer Candelario	0.0778	0.1080	16.5
10	Davis Schneider	0.0706	0.1846	15.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adley Rutschman	0.1051	0.0657	26.9
2	Ketel Marte	0.0952	0.0591	23.3
3	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0698	0.1050	21.1
4	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0845	0.0561	19.6
5	Jake Burger	0.0543	0.0895	19.1
6	Kris Bryant	0.1020	0.0450	19.0
7	Trent Grisham	0.0675	0.1006	18.5
8	Alex Bregman	0.0804	0.0547	18.4
9	Jeff McNeil	0.0747	0.0484	16.9
10	Jesús Sánchez	0.0543	0.0954	16.6

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ketel Marte	0.0997	0.0846	0.0591	27.0	16.9	10.0
2	Corbin Carroll	0.0888	0.0660	0.0706	12.3	2.6	9.6
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.0907	0.0782	0.0754	11.0	2.3	8.7
4	Spencer Steer	0.0667	0.0786	0.0873	13.1	5.4	7.8
5	Teoscar Hernández	0.0872	0.0761	0.0734	9.9	2.2	7.7
6	Garrett Cooper	0.0932	0.0766	0.0655	13.1	5.4	7.7
7	Shea Langeliers	0.0877	0.0724	0.0664	10.8	3.2	7.7
8	Jarred Kelenic	0.0603	0.0775	0.1082	19.6	12.5	7.0
9	Triston Casas	0.0584	0.0764	0.0747	7.8	1.1	6.6
10	Willy Adames	0.0896	0.0794	0.0780	7.9	1.3	6.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Teoscar Hernández	0.0888	0.0761	0.0734	10.4	2.2	8.2
2	Kyle Tucker	0.0632	0.0728	0.0787	10.4	3.6	6.8
3	Andrew Vaughn	0.0846	0.0740	0.0718	7.9	1.7	6.2
4	Tyler Stephenson	0.0907	0.0783	0.0629	14.4	8.2	6.1
5	Jonathan India	0.0869	0.0755	0.0687	9.7	3.9	5.8
6	Yordan Alvarez	0.0697	0.0831	0.0825	6.3	0.6	5.7
7	Corbin Carroll	0.0579	0.0660	0.0706	8.1	2.6	5.5
8	Spencer Torkelson	0.0601	0.0676	0.0831	15.7	10.2	5.5
9	Eloy Jiménez	0.0825	0.0708	0.0663	7.9	2.5	5.5
10	James Outman	0.0907	0.0809	0.0565	19.4	14.1	5.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spencer Steer	0.0715	0.0786	0.0873	9.4	5.4	4.1
2	Patrick Bailey	0.0499	0.0619	0.0811	10.4	6.6	3.9
3	Luis Arraez	0.0616	0.0565	0.0562	4.3	0.5	3.8
4	J.D. Martinez	0.0778	0.0855	0.1034	11.5	8.3	3.2
5	Matt Vierling	0.0632	0.0576	0.0585	3.3	0.2	3.2
6	Brenton Doyle	0.0717	0.0659	0.0656	3.3	0.4	2.9
7	Jarred Kelenic	0.0697	0.0775	0.1082	15.4	12.5	2.8
8	Byron Buxton	0.0831	0.0918	0.0934	3.0	0.4	2.7
9	Nico Hoerner	0.0606	0.0579	0.0507	7.9	5.4	2.5
10	Alek Thomas	0.0724	0.0672	0.0599	5.7	3.2	2.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adley Rutschman	0.1051	0.0888	0.0657	26.9	16.2	10.7
2	Ketel Marte	0.0952	0.0846	0.0591	23.3	16.9	6.4
3	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0845	0.0747	0.0561	19.6	13.3	6.2
4	Steven Kwan	0.0487	0.0565	0.0637	11.0	4.7	6.2
5	Yordan Alvarez	0.0964	0.0831	0.0825	6.8	0.6	6.2
6	Julio Rodríguez	0.0667	0.0746	0.0824	11.4	5.2	6.2
7	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0698	0.0792	0.1050	21.1	15.0	6.1
8	J.D. Davis	0.0859	0.0747	0.0723	7.3	1.6	5.7
9	Jake Burger	0.0543	0.0638	0.0895	19.1	13.5	5.6
10	Chas McCormick	0.0413	0.0523	0.0637	10.3	4.9	5.4

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.0185	0.0084 (5.4)	0.0085 (5.3)	0.0082 (5.3)	0.0083 (5.2)	0.0086 (5.5)
Shohei Ohtani	0.0252	0.0140 (6.7)	0.0150 (6.1)	0.0126 (7.4)	0.0121 (7.6)	0.0171 (5.2)
Seiya Suzuki	0.0161	0.0057 (6.1)	0.0075 (5.0)	0.0050 (6.4)	0.0051 (6.2)	0.0072 (5.6)
Will Benson	0.0460	0.0119 (11.2)	0.0067 (12.9)	0.0105 (11.6)	0.0091 (12.0)	0.0165 (9.9)
Adolis García	0.0000	0.0093 (5.8)	0.0084 (5.3)	0.0084 (5.4)	0.0082 (5.4)	0.0112 (6.7)
Ketel Marte	0.0205	0.0058 (9.6)	0.0055 (9.7)	0.0048 (10.1)	0.0047 (10.0)	0.0079 (8.5)
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0220	0.0109 (7.8)	0.0109 (7.7)	0.0103 (8.0)	0.0102 (7.9)	0.0121 (7.4)
Gunnar Henderson	0.0239	0.0126 (7.1)	0.0058 (11.3)	0.0115 (7.7)	0.0105 (8.1)	0.0161 (5.3)
Trevor Larnach	0.0286	0.0023 (5.6)	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0039 (5.2)	0.0029 (5.4)	0.0000 (6.2)
Ramón Laureano	0.0167	0.0036 (5.3)	0.0038 (5.2)	0.0035 (5.3)	0.0034 (5.2)	0.0039 (5.5)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Elly De La Cruz	0.0163	0.0300	5.9
2	Jake Cronenworth	0.0098	0.0196	5.1
3	Willi Castro	0.0076	0.0196	4.9
4	Matt Olson	0.0009	0.0077	4.9
5	Akil Baddoo	0.0184	0.0047	4.9
6	Miguel Vargas	0.0048	0.0206	4.8
7	Blake Sabol	0.0140	0.0000	4.8
8	Brandon Marsh	0.0136	0.0237	4.8
9	Jared Young	0.0058	0.1071	4.8
10	Nolan Jones	0.0069	0.0180	4.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Elly De La Cruz	0.0060	0.0300	10.2
2	Corbin Carroll	0.0118	0.0235	7.5
3	Drew Waters	0.0065	0.0263	6.7
4	Brenton Doyle	0.0060	0.0205	6.2
5	Alek Thomas	0.0034	0.0176	5.7
6	Jake Rogers	0.0155	0.0000	5.7
7	Alex Verdugo	0.0023	0.0112	5.3
8	Ha-Seong Kim	0.0084	0.0000	5.3
9	Esteury Ruiz	0.0133	0.0028	5.3
10	Dairon Blanco	0.0077	0.0444	5.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Elly De La Cruz	0.0150	0.0300	6.4
2	Jake Cronenworth	0.0091	0.0196	5.4
3	Willi Castro	0.0064	0.0196	5.3
4	Dairon Blanco	0.0060	0.0444	5.3
5	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0086	0.0214	5.1
6	Nolan Jones	0.0065	0.0180	4.9
7	Eduardo Escobar	0.0084	0.0242	4.8
8	Jared Young	0.0051	0.1071	4.8
9	Brandon Marsh	0.0136	0.0237	4.7
10	Miguel Vargas	0.0049	0.0206	4.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Elly De La Cruz	0.0101	0.0300	8.3
2	Jake Cronenworth	0.0089	0.0196	5.4
3	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0087	0.0214	5.0
4	Brandon Marsh	0.0129	0.0237	4.9
5	Nolan Jones	0.0061	0.0180	4.9
6	Willi Castro	0.0073	0.0196	4.9
7	Miguel Vargas	0.0044	0.0206	4.8
8	Dairon Blanco	0.0092	0.0444	4.8
9	Eduardo Escobar	0.0085	0.0242	4.7
10	Jared Young	0.0066	0.1071	4.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Blake Sabol	0.0201	0.0000	6.7
2	Akil Baddoo	0.0239	0.0047	6.6
3	Matt Olson	0.0000	0.0077	6.0
4	Shea Langeliers	0.0034	0.0140	5.5
5	Jake Rogers	0.0155	0.0000	5.4
6	Jarren Duran	0.0240	0.0084	5.4
7	CJ Abrams	0.0057	0.0139	5.4
8	Ha-Seong Kim	0.0086	0.0000	5.0
9	Miguel Vargas	0.0050	0.0206	5.0
10	Jared Young	0.0060	0.1071	4.8

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Corbin Carroll	0.0118	0.0229	0.0235	7.5	0.5	7.1
2	Elly De La Cruz	0.0060	0.0163	0.0300	10.2	5.9	4.3
3	Gunnar Henderson	0.0058	0.0126	0.0239	11.3	7.1	4.2
4	Esteury Ruiz	0.0133	0.0060	0.0028	5.3	1.6	3.7
5	Alek Thomas	0.0034	0.0115	0.0176	5.7	2.5	3.2
6	Jake McCarthy	0.0078	0.0174	0.0230	4.7	1.8	2.9
7	Drew Waters	0.0065	0.0148	0.0263	6.7	3.9	2.8
8	Matt McLain	0.0060	0.0128	0.0171	4.4	1.7	2.7
9	Francisco Alvarez	0.0072	0.0018	0.0000	3.1	0.8	2.3
10	Geraldo Perdomo	0.0065	0.0108	0.0120	2.7	0.6	2.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt McLain	0.0060	0.0128	0.0171	4.4	1.7	2.7
2	Miguel Cabrera	0.0060	0.0011	0.0000	2.3	0.4	1.9
3	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0086	0.0119	0.0214	5.1	3.9	1.3
4	Connor Wong	0.0039	0.0067	0.0086	1.9	0.8	1.1
5	Dairon Blanco	0.0060	0.0137	0.0444	5.3	4.3	1.0
6	Josh Donaldson	0.0060	0.0009	0.0000	1.2	0.2	1.0
7	Billy McKinney	0.0060	0.0115	0.0119	0.8	0.1	0.8
8	Tommy Edman	0.0061	0.0078	0.0103	2.1	1.4	0.8
9	Adam Duvall	0.0055	0.0078	0.0103	1.6	0.9	0.8
10	Michael Conforto	0.0040	0.0027	0.0000	1.9	1.2	0.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Elly De La Cruz	0.0101	0.0163	0.0300	8.3	5.9	2.4
2	Matt McLain	0.0077	0.0128	0.0171	3.6	1.7	1.9
3	Corbin Carroll	0.0197	0.0229	0.0235	2.2	0.5	1.8
4	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0087	0.0119	0.0214	5.0	3.9	1.1
5	Gunnar Henderson	0.0105	0.0126	0.0239	8.1	7.1	1.1
6	Connor Wong	0.0038	0.0067	0.0086	1.8	0.8	1.0
7	Anthony Volpe	0.0068	0.0087	0.0112	2.5	1.5	0.9
8	Shohei Ohtani	0.0121	0.0140	0.0252	7.6	6.7	0.9
9	Michael Conforto	0.0040	0.0027	0.0000	2.0	1.2	0.8
10	Will Benson	0.0091	0.0119	0.0460	12.0	11.2	0.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	James Outman	0.0177	0.0121	0.0106	3.7	0.8	2.9
2	Mickey Moniak	0.0235	0.0158	0.0109	3.9	1.6	2.3
3	Blake Sabol	0.0201	0.0140	0.0000	6.7	4.8	1.9
4	Akil Baddoo	0.0239	0.0184	0.0047	6.6	4.9	1.8
5	Leody Taveras	0.0135	0.0098	0.0078	2.8	1.1	1.7
6	Brent Rooker	0.0000	0.0023	0.0038	2.3	0.8	1.5
7	Ezequiel Duran	0.0120	0.0080	0.0073	1.8	0.3	1.5
8	Christian Walker	0.0027	0.0044	0.0046	1.7	0.2	1.5
9	Corbin Carroll	0.0270	0.0229	0.0235	1.8	0.5	1.4
10	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0066	0.0038	0.0029	1.8	0.5	1.4

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Adolis García	0.1709	0.1234 (30.4)	0.1273 (27.7)	0.1150 (37.7)	0.1143 (33.0)	0.1407 (20.9)
Corbin Carroll	0.1798	0.1316 (31.5)	0.1161 (41.3)	0.1340 (32.0)	0.1315 (28.3)	0.1293 (34.4)
J.P. Crawford	0.1473	0.1137 (21.8)	0.1150 (20.8)	0.1176 (21.4)	0.1098 (21.2)	0.1138 (23.2)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2027	0.1675 (26.2)	0.1562 (34.3)	0.1681 (28.3)	0.1647 (24.7)	0.1698 (26.3)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1538	0.1144	26.5
2	Cody Bellinger	0.1243	0.1709	26.2
3	Matt Olson	0.1428	0.1764	24.6
4	Josh Bell	0.1221	0.0843	23.0
5	Juan Soto	0.1694	0.1370	22.6
6	Matt McLain	0.1089	0.1613	21.3
7	Tim Anderson	0.1404	0.0992	21.3
8	DJ LeMahieu	0.1344	0.0979	20.2
9	Jorge Mateo	0.1110	0.1657	19.4
10	Mauricio Dubón	0.1159	0.1545	19.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.1297	0.1764	33.8
2	Gunnar Henderson	0.1083	0.1608	32.8
3	Tim Anderson	0.1562	0.0992	29.7
4	Cody Bellinger	0.1228	0.1709	26.8
5	Austin Riley	0.1298	0.1636	24.3
6	Teoscar Hernández	0.1393	0.1032	24.3
7	Josh Bell	0.1213	0.0843	22.7
8	Yandy Díaz	0.1212	0.1583	22.4
9	Ha-Seong Kim	0.1011	0.1342	20.8
10	DJ LeMahieu	0.1342	0.0979	20.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cody Bellinger	0.1139	0.1709	33.8
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1665	0.1144	32.9
3	Juan Soto	0.1790	0.1370	27.0
4	Josh Bell	0.1301	0.0843	25.9
5	Gunnar Henderson	0.1266	0.1608	23.6
6	Matt Olson	0.1480	0.1764	23.2
7	Alejandro Kirk	0.1390	0.0806	23.1
8	Francisco Lindor	0.1277	0.1572	22.9
9	Miguel Cabrera	0.1218	0.0568	22.7
10	Jorge Mateo	0.1050	0.1657	22.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1528	0.1144	29.2
2	Cody Bellinger	0.1144	0.1709	29.0
3	Josh Bell	0.1243	0.0843	27.4
4	Juan Soto	0.1684	0.1370	25.3
5	Gunnar Henderson	0.1158	0.1608	25.3
6	Alejandro Kirk	0.1305	0.0806	22.9
7	Matt McLain	0.1026	0.1613	21.9
8	DJ LeMahieu	0.1321	0.0979	21.7
9	Rowdy Tellez	0.1309	0.0741	21.5
10	Mauricio Dubón	0.1073	0.1545	21.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.1346	0.1764	32.2
2	Nico Hoerner	0.1109	0.1424	23.7
3	Ha-Seong Kim	0.0994	0.1342	23.6
4	Tim Anderson	0.1471	0.0992	23.6
5	Daulton Varsho	0.1536	0.1119	22.6
6	Yandy Díaz	0.1257	0.1583	21.3
7	Lane Thomas	0.1214	0.1481	20.2
8	Esteury Ruiz	0.1379	0.0946	20.1
9	Matt McLain	0.1151	0.1613	19.8
10	Teoscar Hernández	0.1349	0.1032	19.6

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Gunnar Henderson	0.1083	0.1321	0.1608	32.8	18.1	14.6
2	Ezequiel Tovar	0.1101	0.1288	0.1285	11.4	0.1	11.3
3	Nick Fortes	0.1468	0.1139	0.1022	14.3	3.6	10.7
4	Corbin Carroll	0.1161	0.1316	0.1798	41.3	31.5	9.8
5	Kyle Tucker	0.1296	0.1451	0.1439	9.8	0.4	9.4
6	Matt Olson	0.1297	0.1428	0.1764	33.8	24.6	9.2
7	Joey Meneses	0.1289	0.1153	0.1081	13.6	4.4	9.2
8	Gleyber Torres	0.1140	0.1270	0.1339	13.6	5.0	8.6
9	Austin Riley	0.1298	0.1420	0.1636	24.3	15.8	8.5
10	Ha-Seong Kim	0.1011	0.1150	0.1342	20.8	12.3	8.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	0.1218	0.0830	0.0568	22.7	9.5	13.1
2	Cody Bellinger	0.1139	0.1243	0.1709	33.8	26.2	7.6
3	Adolis García	0.1150	0.1234	0.1709	37.7	30.4	7.3
4	Masataka Yoshida	0.1504	0.1356	0.1224	14.0	7.3	6.7
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1665	0.1538	0.1144	32.9	26.5	6.4
6	Andrew Vaughn	0.1351	0.1215	0.1089	13.7	7.4	6.4
7	Joey Meneses	0.1282	0.1153	0.1081	10.7	4.4	6.3
8	Gunnar Henderson	0.1266	0.1321	0.1608	23.6	18.1	5.5
9	Ty France	0.1388	0.1275	0.1188	10.8	5.4	5.4
10	Alex Verdugo	0.1204	0.1257	0.1346	10.8	5.6	5.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	CJ Abrams	0.1010	0.1181	0.1352	18.3	10.8	7.5
2	Gunnar Henderson	0.1158	0.1321	0.1608	25.3	18.1	7.1
3	Nolan Arenado	0.1304	0.1261	0.1160	11.5	5.8	5.7
4	Miguel Cabrera	0.0930	0.0830	0.0568	15.1	9.5	5.5
5	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1357	0.1282	0.1036	15.2	10.0	5.2
6	Mookie Betts	0.1564	0.1687	0.1818	14.6	9.5	5.1
7	Maikel Garcia	0.0998	0.1146	0.1146	5.3	0.2	5.1
8	Will Benson	0.1062	0.1261	0.1550	14.6	9.7	4.9
9	James Outman	0.1162	0.1296	0.1517	17.6	12.8	4.8
10	Ozzie Albies	0.1238	0.1360	0.1455	11.4	6.6	4.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ha-Seong Kim	0.0994	0.1150	0.1342	23.6	12.3	11.3
2	Maikel Garcia	0.1350	0.1146	0.1146	9.1	0.2	8.8
3	Nolan Gorman	0.1491	0.1288	0.1272	8.9	0.5	8.4
4	Matt Olson	0.1346	0.1428	0.1764	32.2	24.6	7.6
5	Miguel Rojas	0.0922	0.1078	0.1158	11.2	3.6	7.6
6	Daulton Varsho	0.1536	0.1385	0.1119	22.6	15.1	7.4
7	Byron Buxton	0.1771	0.1536	0.1412	11.5	4.1	7.4
8	Nico Hoerner	0.1109	0.1190	0.1424	23.7	16.5	7.2
9	Esteury Ruiz	0.1379	0.1219	0.0946	20.1	13.3	6.8
10	Spencer Steer	0.1370	0.1248	0.1113	15.2	8.6	6.6

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jonah Heim	0.1896	0.1157 (38.1)	0.1096 (39.6)	0.1219 (34.7)	0.1118 (37.8)	0.1134 (42.0)
Corey Seager	0.1791	0.1312 (26.9)	0.1311 (25.2)	0.1318 (26.2)	0.1297 (25.2)	0.1320 (29.4)
Andrew Benintendi	0.0725	0.1143 (24.6)	0.1128 (25.7)	0.1099 (22.2)	0.1150 (27.9)	0.1178 (23.4)
Josh Lowe	0.1657	0.1080 (30.0)	0.0915 (36.7)	0.1072 (30.1)	0.1031 (30.2)	0.1138 (29.8)
Alec Bohm	0.1588	0.1169 (26.9)	0.1152 (26.0)	0.1190 (25.3)	0.1127 (26.7)	0.1190 (28.9)
Cody Bellinger	0.1745	0.1224 (30.2)	0.1170 (31.4)	0.1227 (29.7)	0.1206 (28.7)	0.1238 (32.4)
Max Muncy	0.1813	0.1355 (27.8)	0.1308 (28.7)	0.1383 (25.9)	0.1341 (26.0)	0.1342 (31.7)
J.D. Martinez	0.2150	0.1393 (37.3)	0.1236 (43.3)	0.1441 (34.8)	0.1325 (38.4)	0.1413 (39.0)
Josh Naylor	0.1960	0.1412 (28.2)	0.1263 (34.0)	0.1448 (26.1)	0.1366 (28.2)	0.1420 (30.5)
Cedric Mullins	0.1626	0.1006 (29.2)	0.0944 (30.6)	0.0964 (30.9)	0.0960 (29.2)	0.1094 (27.7)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.1560	0.1931	28.2
2	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1653	0.1228	25.5
3	Tim Anderson	0.0981	0.0477	25.2
4	José Ramírez	0.1541	0.1158	25.0
5	Jeremy Peña	0.1224	0.0820	24.2
6	Daulton Varsho	0.1486	0.1050	24.1
7	Ty France	0.1255	0.0872	24.0
8	Isaac Paredes	0.1332	0.1716	23.2
9	Matt Chapman	0.1349	0.0929	23.1
10	Ozzie Albies	0.1324	0.1652	23.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Isaac Paredes	0.1046	0.1716	37.7
2	Spencer Torkelson	0.0845	0.1374	35.5
3	José Ramírez	0.1661	0.1158	35.5
4	Dominic Smith	0.1284	0.0785	29.8
5	Matt Olson	0.1507	0.1931	29.8
6	Tim Anderson	0.0979	0.0477	26.8
7	Ty France	0.1241	0.0872	25.2
8	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1603	0.1228	24.4
9	Royce Lewis	0.1145	0.2176	24.4
10	Nolan Gorman	0.1111	0.1638	24.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Xander Bogaerts	0.1345	0.0872	30.3
2	Jeremy Peña	0.1283	0.0820	28.3
3	Matt Olson	0.1559	0.1931	28.0
4	Tim Anderson	0.1025	0.0477	27.8
5	Matt Chapman	0.1392	0.0929	25.9
6	Hunter Renfroe	0.1574	0.1095	25.4
7	Dominic Smith	0.1218	0.0785	24.4
8	Ozzie Albies	0.1299	0.1652	24.3
9	Marcus Semien	0.1031	0.1328	23.6
10	Isaac Paredes	0.1323	0.1716	23.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Olson	0.1440	0.1931	33.6
2	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1684	0.1228	30.4
3	Tim Anderson	0.0972	0.0477	27.2
4	Ty France	0.1234	0.0872	25.6
5	Isaac Paredes	0.1252	0.1716	25.2
6	Ozzie Albies	0.1265	0.1652	24.0
7	José Ramírez	0.1477	0.1158	23.6
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1689	0.1378	22.8
9	Gleyber Torres	0.1328	0.1012	22.8
10	Hunter Renfroe	0.1487	0.1095	22.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Daulton Varsho	0.1704	0.1050	33.6
2	José Ramírez	0.1695	0.1158	31.9
3	Carlos Santana	0.0969	0.1389	30.7
4	MJ Melendez	0.1436	0.0930	25.9
5	Juan Soto	0.1259	0.1540	25.2
6	Adam Frazier	0.0842	0.1319	25.2
7	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1698	0.1228	25.0
8	George Springer	0.1494	0.1054	24.8
9	Tommy Pham	0.0985	0.1414	24.3
10	Ty France	0.1311	0.0872	24.1

Most Unique Misses for RBI Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spencer Torkelson	0.0845	0.1174	0.1374	35.5	15.2	20.3
2	Spencer Steer	0.1004	0.1309	0.1293	18.6	0.4	18.2
3	Isaac Paredes	0.1046	0.1332	0.1716	37.7	23.2	14.5
4	Trea Turner	0.1313	0.1171	0.1100	15.4	3.4	12.0
5	Kerry Carpenter	0.1034	0.1326	0.1394	16.1	4.2	11.9
6	Brice Turang	0.1169	0.0945	0.0759	18.8	7.3	11.5
7	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.1209	0.1022	0.0867	18.3	6.9	11.3
8	Teoscar Hernández	0.1584	0.1459	0.1372	15.1	4.4	10.6
9	José Ramírez	0.1661	0.1541	0.1158	35.5	25.0	10.5
10	Nolan Gorman	0.1111	0.1366	0.1638	24.0	13.6	10.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	0.1169	0.1518	0.1535	9.2	1.0	8.3
2	Andruw Monasterio	0.1169	0.0918	0.0857	9.3	1.2	8.0
3	Xander Bogaerts	0.1345	0.1232	0.0872	30.3	22.5	7.8
4	Rafael Devers	0.1414	0.1516	0.1524	8.3	2.0	6.3
5	Alex Verdugo	0.1252	0.1156	0.0897	20.3	14.3	6.1
6	Miguel Cabrera	0.1169	0.1011	0.0919	8.6	2.6	6.0
7	Corbin Carroll	0.1058	0.1154	0.1178	8.8	3.0	5.8
8	Dansby Swanson	0.1068	0.1162	0.1254	12.9	7.3	5.6
9	Julio Rodríguez	0.1298	0.1380	0.1443	11.5	6.0	5.5
10	Nathaniel Lowe	0.1363	0.1295	0.1133	15.5	10.2	5.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Corbin Carroll	0.0972	0.1154	0.1178	11.8	3.0	8.8
2	Spencer Steer	0.1163	0.1309	0.1293	7.1	0.4	6.7
3	Ha-Seong Kim	0.1115	0.1065	0.0958	11.3	5.3	6.0
4	Matt Vierling	0.1023	0.0956	0.0830	11.5	5.5	5.9
5	Masataka Yoshida	0.1392	0.1335	0.1241	10.1	4.1	5.9
6	Nathaniel Lowe	0.1325	0.1295	0.1133	15.6	10.2	5.4
7	Matt Olson	0.1440	0.1560	0.1931	33.6	28.2	5.4
8	Yordan Alvarez	0.1619	0.1773	0.1956	15.6	10.2	5.4
9	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1684	0.1653	0.1228	30.4	25.5	4.9
10	Josh Jung	0.1208	0.1346	0.1359	6.6	1.8	4.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Seiya Suzuki	0.1073	0.1247	0.1269	15.9	2.6	13.3
2	Carlos Santana	0.0969	0.1115	0.1389	30.7	18.4	12.4
3	Freddie Freeman	0.1634	0.1429	0.1397	11.7	0.8	10.9
4	Jack Suwinski	0.1038	0.1187	0.1386	22.6	11.8	10.8
5	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.0817	0.0960	0.1162	22.1	11.7	10.4
6	Juan Soto	0.1259	0.1351	0.1540	25.2	14.9	10.4
7	Joey Meneses	0.1237	0.1339	0.1355	12.7	2.4	10.3
8	Daulton Varsho	0.1704	0.1486	0.1050	33.6	24.1	9.5
9	Esteury Ruiz	0.1303	0.1057	0.0946	13.9	4.5	9.5
10	Christian Walker	0.1291	0.1376	0.1558	22.7	13.5	9.2

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Wander Franco	0.2439	0.0703 (77.1)	0.0594 (80.5)	0.0625 (80.6)	0.0719 (78.8)	0.0769 (72.0)
Ha-Seong Kim	0.2135	0.0860 (69.4)	0.0820 (69.4)	0.0821 (71.4)	0.0902 (70.0)	0.0855 (67.3)
Elly De La Cruz	0.3763	0.1842 (75.0)	0.0801 (117.7)	0.1798 (76.5)	0.1685 (83.8)	0.2041 (64.8)
Corbin Carroll	0.3253	0.1329 (113.4)	0.0678 (152.8)	0.1307 (114.4)	0.1347 (115.5)	0.1333 (110.6)
Adolis García	0.0647	0.1515 (65.4)	0.1429 (62.4)	0.1415 (59.4)	0.1691 (73.2)	0.1441 (63.0)
CJ Abrams	0.3588	0.1415 (123.2)	0.0833 (156.5)	0.1363 (126.0)	0.1371 (129.0)	0.1509 (115.1)
Luke Williams	4.0000	0.2289 (71.3)	0.1449 (72.9)	0.2197 (71.5)	0.2385 (71.2)	0.2286 (71.3)
Josh Lowe	0.2832	0.1299 (68.5)	0.0735 (94.7)	0.1190 (73.6)	0.1186 (76.7)	0.1525 (55.2)
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.3224	0.2043 (70.4)	0.1754 (87.7)	0.1853 (83.1)	0.2340 (53.4)	0.1938 (75.0)
Esteury Ruiz	0.5583	0.3029 (118.7)	0.0612 (236.8)	0.3188 (110.5)	0.3019 (121.7)	0.2880 (124.2)
Dairon Blanco	0.8000	0.2265 (76.8)	0.0625 (98.9)	0.0801 (97.0)	0.2204 (78.4)	0.2323 (75.5)
Willi Castro	0.3113	0.1081 (76.3)	0.0816 (85.5)	0.1020 (78.5)	0.1225 (72.5)	0.1000 (78.1)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3230	0.1967 (80.6)	0.1594 (105.1)	0.1866 (87.5)	0.2273 (61.9)	0.1761 (93.0)
Francisco Lindor	0.1879	0.0854 (59.0)	0.0789 (60.7)	0.0785 (63.3)	0.0954 (55.7)	0.0823 (58.5)
Brenton Doyle	0.2895	0.1059 (71.9)	0.0801 (81.4)	0.0990 (74.6)	0.0957 (78.6)	0.1226 (63.1)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jon Berti	0.2724	0.1345	65.5
2	Bryson Stott	0.0902	0.1925	54.9
3	Bo Bichette	0.1075	0.0331	54.7
4	Randy Arozarena	0.1795	0.1140	53.7
5	Nico Hoerner	0.1235	0.2172	53.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jorge Mateo	0.2449	0.4638	69.4
2	Jarren Duran	0.1029	0.2963	62.5
3	Brice Turang	0.0801	0.2385	61.7
4	José Caballero	0.0801	0.3171	60.6
5	Jihwan Bae	0.0909	0.2727	59.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Caballero	0.0801	0.3171	61.5
2	Jorge Mateo	0.2762	0.4638	59.6
3	Nico Hoerner	0.1138	0.2172	59.2
4	Bryson Stott	0.0854	0.1925	57.5
5	Tommy Pham	0.0635	0.1964	55.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jon Berti	0.3046	0.1345	77.0
2	Randy Arozarena	0.2038	0.1140	66.3
3	Marcus Semien	0.1412	0.0741	59.2
4	Bo Bichette	0.1175	0.0331	57.6
5	Bryson Stott	0.1004	0.1925	51.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jon Berti	0.2766	0.1345	68.9
2	Jorge Mateo	0.2796	0.4638	57.3
3	Nico Hoerner	0.1148	0.2172	56.4
4	Bryson Stott	0.0847	0.1925	55.9
5	Bo Bichette	0.1039	0.0331	54.8

Most Unique Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Esteury Ruiz	0.0612	0.3029	0.5583	236.8	118.7	118.1
2	Anthony Volpe	0.0801	0.1745	0.1967	57.7	3.3	54.4
3	Elly De La Cruz	0.0801	0.1842	0.3763	117.7	75.0	42.7
4	Corbin Carroll	0.0678	0.1329	0.3253	152.8	113.4	39.4
5	Maikel Garcia	0.0566	0.1342	0.1667	46.1	8.2	37.9
6	CJ Abrams	0.0833	0.1415	0.3588	156.5	123.2	33.3
7	Josh Lowe	0.0735	0.1299	0.2832	94.7	68.5	26.3
8	Drew Waters	0.0333	0.1150	0.2078	51.9	25.7	26.2
9	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1594	0.1967	0.3230	105.1	80.6	24.5
10	Dairon Blanco	0.0625	0.2265	0.8000	98.9	76.8	22.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	0.0801	0.0101	0.0000	36.0	9.9	26.2
2	José Caballero	0.0801	0.1613	0.3171	61.5	39.0	22.5
3	Patrick Bailey	0.0801	0.0218	0.0135	29.6	8.8	20.8
4	Dairon Blanco	0.0801	0.2265	0.8000	97.0	76.8	20.1
5	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.1460	0.1731	0.2000	23.3	6.5	16.8
6	Casey Schmitt	0.0801	0.0179	0.0400	15.9	1.5	14.4
7	Carlos Pérez	0.0801	0.0074	0.0000	18.4	4.5	13.9
8	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1853	0.2043	0.3224	83.1	70.4	12.7
9	Josh Donaldson	0.0801	0.0143	0.0000	18.4	5.9	12.6
10	Matt McLain	0.0801	0.1090	0.1386	16.6	5.2	11.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Randy Arozarena	0.2038	0.1795	0.1140	66.3	53.7	12.5
2	Marcus Semien	0.1412	0.1194	0.0741	59.2	46.7	12.5
3	Jon Berti	0.3046	0.2724	0.1345	77.0	65.5	11.5
4	Jake Rogers	0.1023	0.0672	0.0139	36.4	25.5	10.9
5	José Caballero	0.1315	0.1613	0.3171	48.7	39.0	9.8
6	Cedric Mullins	0.2286	0.2022	0.1959	20.1	10.4	9.7
7	Elly De La Cruz	0.1685	0.1842	0.3763	83.8	75.0	8.9
8	Josh Lowe	0.1186	0.1299	0.2832	76.7	68.5	8.3
9	Adolis García	0.1691	0.1515	0.0647	73.2	65.4	7.9
10	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.1350	0.1157	0.0917	28.8	21.3	7.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1761	0.1967	0.3230	93.0	80.6	12.3
2	Joey Wiemer	0.1389	0.1172	0.1310	11.6	1.2	10.4
3	Michael Harris II	0.1739	0.1593	0.1613	17.8	7.9	9.9
4	Gunnar Henderson	0.0809	0.0693	0.0735	17.3	7.7	9.6
5	Andrew Benintendi	0.0793	0.0697	0.0807	11.8	3.5	8.3
6	Jordan Walker	0.0965	0.0826	0.0574	27.7	19.5	8.2
7	Teoscar Hernández	0.0794	0.0715	0.0467	36.0	28.1	7.9
8	Elvis Andrus	0.1368	0.1243	0.1250	13.1	6.5	6.6
9	Jorge Mateo	0.2796	0.3018	0.4638	57.3	50.9	6.4
10	Jack Suwinski	0.0305	0.0458	0.0985	25.4	19.3	6.1

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani	0.3038	0.2591 (26.7)	0.2568 (28.5)	0.2555 (29.3)	0.2616 (24.7)	0.2601 (26.6)
Mookie Betts	0.3065	0.2711 (24.4)	0.2664 (28.1)	0.2716 (24.6)	0.2724 (23.0)	0.2695 (26.2)
Corey Seager	0.3270	0.2747 (28.0)	0.2652 (33.4)	0.2720 (29.8)	0.2821 (23.6)	0.2700 (31.0)
Luis Arraez	0.3537	0.3022 (31.6)	0.2976 (34.9)	0.2977 (34.9)	0.2978 (33.9)	0.3111 (26.8)
Josh Lowe	0.2918	0.2262 (32.8)	0.2355 (28.5)	0.2276 (32.5)	0.2239 (33.6)	0.2271 (32.9)
Cody Bellinger	0.3066	0.2296 (42.7)	0.2095 (54.3)	0.2245 (46.0)	0.2345 (39.6)	0.2296 (43.3)
Pete Alonso	0.2165	0.2607 (29.2)	0.2613 (29.1)	0.2597 (28.0)	0.2614 (30.1)	0.2611 (28.8)
Jon Berti	0.2938	0.2366 (24.2)	0.2345 (25.4)	0.2402 (23.0)	0.2395 (22.7)	0.2303 (27.3)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.3375	0.2726 (47.5)	0.2642 (54.2)	0.2704 (49.8)	0.2733 (46.5)	0.2742 (47.1)
Yandy Díaz	0.3295	0.2780 (30.8)	0.2731 (34.1)	0.2797 (30.2)	0.2817 (28.1)	0.2725 (34.7)
Carlos Correa	0.2296	0.2727 (25.1)	0.2759 (26.6)	0.2705 (23.4)	0.2711 (24.6)	0.2764 (26.7)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt McLain	0.2209	0.2904	27.9
2	Corbin Carroll	0.2443	0.2850	26.1
3	Freddie Freeman	0.2958	0.3312	25.7
4	William Contreras	0.2468	0.2889	25.6
5	Kyle Schwarber	0.2319	0.1966	25.6
6	Brenton Doyle	0.2570	0.2030	23.3
7	José Abreu	0.2749	0.2370	22.6
8	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2457	0.1914	22.6
9	Ryan O'Hearn	0.2276	0.2890	22.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josh Naylor	0.2511	0.3075	28.2
2	Bryson Stott	0.2369	0.2803	28.1
3	José Abreu	0.2835	0.2370	27.3
4	Matt Olson	0.2467	0.2829	26.4
5	Tim Anderson	0.2953	0.2454	25.9
6	Jarred Kelenic	0.1914	0.2527	25.7
7	Trea Turner	0.3032	0.2660	25.3
8	Kyle Schwarber	0.2320	0.1966	25.1
9	Spencer Steer	0.2348	0.2715	24.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.2938	0.3312	27.8
2	Corbin Carroll	0.2427	0.2850	27.6
3	Brenton Doyle	0.2651	0.2030	26.5
4	Matt Olson	0.2495	0.2829	24.5
5	William Contreras	0.2495	0.2889	24.4
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2488	0.1914	23.6
7	Ryan O'Hearn	0.2268	0.2890	23.1
8	Brandon Marsh	0.2315	0.2772	21.9
9	Miguel Vargas	0.2674	0.1953	21.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt McLain	0.2100	0.2904	32.0
2	Corbin Carroll	0.2369	0.2850	30.4
3	Kyle Schwarber	0.2340	0.1966	27.6
4	William Contreras	0.2447	0.2889	26.5
5	Spencer Steer	0.2320	0.2715	25.6
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.2470	0.1914	23.5
7	Brenton Doyle	0.2542	0.2030	22.5
8	Freddie Freeman	0.3002	0.3312	22.0
9	José Abreu	0.2727	0.2370	21.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Freddie Freeman	0.2935	0.3312	28.1
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.2350	0.1966	27.0
3	William Contreras	0.2461	0.2889	26.6
4	Josh Naylor	0.2581	0.3075	24.9
5	José Abreu	0.2793	0.2370	24.6
6	Tim Anderson	0.2930	0.2454	24.5
7	Matt McLain	0.2320	0.2904	23.9
8	Ryan O'Hearn	0.2254	0.2890	23.7
9	Trea Turner	0.3010	0.2660	23.6

Most Unique Misses for Batting Average

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Masataka Yoshida	0.2484	0.3003	0.2886	23.7	6.9	16.8
2	Paul Goldschmidt	0.2959	0.2742	0.2681	18.7	4.3	14.4
3	Jarred Kelenic	0.1914	0.2228	0.2527	25.7	12.4	13.3
4	Carlos Santana	0.2143	0.2336	0.2400	16.2	3.8	12.4
5	Cody Bellinger	0.2095	0.2296	0.3066	54.3	42.7	11.5
6	Tyler Stephenson	0.2819	0.2601	0.2430	19.8	8.9	10.9
7	Isaac Paredes	0.2182	0.2364	0.2500	18.4	7.6	10.8
8	Elias Díaz	0.2364	0.2560	0.2675	16.6	6.0	10.7
9	Joey Wiemer	0.2484	0.2241	0.2044	17.8	8.2	9.6
10	Manny Machado	0.2838	0.2673	0.2578	15.3	5.8	9.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Bauers	0.2484	0.2044	0.2025	12.3	0.6	11.7
2	Mike Moustakas	0.2164	0.2354	0.2472	12.1	4.5	7.6
3	Jon Singleton	0.2484	0.1912	0.1648	8.7	2.8	5.9
4	Marcus Semien	0.2493	0.2559	0.2761	20.7	15.1	5.6
5	Matt Olson	0.2495	0.2560	0.2829	24.5	19.2	5.2
6	José Ramírez	0.2619	0.2679	0.2815	14.0	9.3	4.7
7	Alika Williams	0.2484	0.2076	0.1980	5.6	1.1	4.5
8	Brandon Belt	0.2218	0.2319	0.2537	13.1	8.7	4.4
9	Josh Donaldson	0.2484	0.2248	0.1515	18.2	13.9	4.3
10	Henry Davis	0.2484	0.2311	0.2133	8.8	4.6	4.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spencer Steer	0.2320	0.2409	0.2715	25.6	20.2	5.4
2	Patrick Bailey	0.1887	0.2034	0.2331	15.4	10.4	4.9
3	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.2823	0.2758	0.2574	16.4	11.8	4.6
4	Max Muncy	0.2350	0.2278	0.2116	14.1	9.5	4.6
5	Corbin Carroll	0.2369	0.2443	0.2850	30.4	26.1	4.4
6	Matt McLain	0.2100	0.2209	0.2904	32.0	27.9	4.1
7	Juan Soto	0.2833	0.2790	0.2746	6.8	3.2	3.6
8	Josh Bell	0.2592	0.2550	0.2468	8.2	5.2	3.1
9	Justin Turner	0.2676	0.2732	0.2760	4.7	1.6	3.0
10	Martín Maldonado	0.2001	0.1934	0.1906	4.2	1.2	3.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.3060	0.2762	0.2450	19.8	10.3	9.5
2	Kyle Tucker	0.2696	0.2797	0.2840	10.2	2.8	7.5
3	Trea Turner	0.3010	0.2895	0.2660	23.6	16.4	7.2
4	Matt Vierling	0.2391	0.2517	0.2610	12.0	4.8	7.2
5	Daulton Varsho	0.2547	0.2420	0.2201	19.6	12.8	6.8
6	Lars Nootbaar	0.2279	0.2396	0.2606	16.8	10.4	6.4
7	Jack Suwinski	0.2429	0.2306	0.2237	9.8	3.8	6.0
8	Jake Burger	0.2259	0.2355	0.2500	13.5	7.7	5.7
9	Jurickson Profar	0.2694	0.2575	0.2418	13.9	8.3	5.7
10	Jordan Walker	0.2372	0.2474	0.2762	18.5	13.3	5.2

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani	0.4125	0.3521 (36.0)	0.3507 (37.6)	0.3499 (38.0)	0.3549 (33.4)	0.3515 (37.3)
Mookie Betts	0.4084	0.3547 (37.1)	0.3468 (43.4)	0.3554 (37.3)	0.3549 (35.8)	0.3539 (38.7)
J.P. Crawford	0.3795	0.3361 (27.6)	0.3351 (29.0)	0.3357 (28.5)	0.3386 (25.0)	0.3339 (30.0)
Matt Olson	0.3889	0.3479 (29.4)	0.3387 (36.9)	0.3411 (35.0)	0.3492 (27.3)	0.3532 (26.7)
Ryan Jeffers	0.3686	0.2928 (25.3)	0.2926 (25.8)	0.2883 (27.2)	0.2877 (26.5)	0.3023 (22.7)
Cody Bellinger	0.3561	0.3047 (28.5)	0.2773 (44.4)	0.2991 (32.2)	0.3063 (26.7)	0.3086 (27.2)
José Abreu	0.2963	0.3474 (30.4)	0.3598 (37.1)	0.3453 (28.6)	0.3458 (30.5)	0.3509 (31.6)
Spencer Steer	0.3564	0.3169 (26.1)	0.3140 (28.9)	0.3195 (25.1)	0.3071 (31.6)	0.3241 (22.4)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.4163	0.3697 (34.2)	0.3613 (41.2)	0.3682 (36.1)	0.3699 (32.8)	0.3709 (34.4)
Brandon Marsh	0.3715	0.2942 (36.4)	0.3045 (32.1)	0.2955 (36.3)	0.2944 (35.6)	0.2927 (37.9)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	William Contreras	0.3190	0.3672	29.3
2	James Outman	0.3056	0.3527	26.6
3	Adolis García	0.2859	0.3275	26.2
4	Masataka Yoshida	0.3814	0.3379	25.3
5	Ryan Noda	0.3132	0.3636	24.9
6	Andrew McCutchen	0.3273	0.3784	24.1
7	Carlos Correa	0.3522	0.3121	23.4
8	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.3284	0.3728	23.0
9	Ezequiel Tovar	0.3238	0.2871	22.7
10	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3571	0.3218	22.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nolan Jones	0.3095	0.3892	34.2
2	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.3139	0.3728	31.1
3	Brenton Doyle	0.3201	0.2500	29.8
4	Isaac Paredes	0.3041	0.3520	27.9
5	Corey Seager	0.3392	0.3899	27.8
6	Geraldo Perdomo	0.3000	0.3534	27.0
7	Ha-Seong Kim	0.3090	0.3510	27.0
8	Corbin Carroll	0.3208	0.3615	27.0
9	Andrew McCutchen	0.3227	0.3784	26.9
10	Tim Anderson	0.3357	0.2863	25.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adolis García	0.2823	0.3275	29.2
2	William Contreras	0.3223	0.3672	28.0
3	Ezequiel Tovar	0.3324	0.2871	27.3
4	Masataka Yoshida	0.3853	0.3379	26.9
5	Andrew McCutchen	0.3235	0.3784	26.4
6	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.3237	0.3728	26.0
7	Randy Arozarena	0.3270	0.3639	24.7
8	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3610	0.3218	24.3
9	Marcus Semien	0.3171	0.3484	24.3
10	Corey Seager	0.3469	0.3899	23.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	James Outman	0.2981	0.3527	30.0
2	Masataka Yoshida	0.3872	0.3379	29.6
3	William Contreras	0.3170	0.3672	29.6
4	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3640	0.3218	27.9
5	Adolis García	0.2823	0.3275	27.5
6	Ryan Noda	0.3081	0.3636	26.6
7	Corbin Carroll	0.3194	0.3615	26.0
8	Matt McLain	0.2931	0.3573	25.1
9	LaMonte Wade Jr.	0.3236	0.3728	24.6
10	Nolan Jones	0.3304	0.3892	24.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	William Contreras	0.3178	0.3672	31.1
2	James Outman	0.3034	0.3527	28.8
3	Ryan Noda	0.3108	0.3636	26.9
4	Corey Seager	0.3435	0.3899	25.7
5	Ha-Seong Kim	0.3120	0.3510	25.3
6	Yandy Díaz	0.3694	0.4100	25.2
7	Carlos Correa	0.3547	0.3121	23.9
8	Ian Happ	0.3288	0.3603	22.8
9	Adolis García	0.2930	0.3275	22.7
10	Andrew McCutchen	0.3320	0.3784	22.7

Most Unique Misses for On-Base Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Cody Bellinger	0.2773	0.3047	0.3561	44.4	28.5	15.9
2	Isaac Paredes	0.3041	0.3302	0.3520	27.9	12.4	15.6
3	Teoscar Hernández	0.3289	0.3052	0.3053	15.3	0.1	15.2
4	Seiya Suzuki	0.3270	0.3503	0.3568	18.0	3.7	14.3
5	Nolan Jones	0.3095	0.3377	0.3892	34.2	21.8	12.5
6	Triston Casas	0.3255	0.3480	0.3665	21.1	9.2	11.9
7	Joey Wiemer	0.3201	0.2919	0.2829	14.8	3.7	11.1
8	Tyler Stephenson	0.3522	0.3301	0.3172	17.6	6.7	10.8
9	Bryson Stott	0.3000	0.3157	0.3286	19.0	8.2	10.8
10	Patrick Bailey	0.3201	0.2812	0.2849	12.1	1.2	10.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Patrick Bailey	0.3201	0.2812	0.2849	12.1	1.2	10.9
2	Casey Schmitt	0.3201	0.2927	0.2555	17.6	10.4	7.3
3	Corey Julks	0.3201	0.2988	0.2972	7.1	0.6	6.5
4	Jake Bauers	0.3201	0.2952	0.2794	10.8	4.3	6.5
5	Marcus Semien	0.3171	0.3237	0.3484	24.3	18.4	5.8
6	Matt Olson	0.3411	0.3479	0.3889	35.0	29.4	5.6
7	Alika Williams	0.3201	0.2679	0.2703	5.5	0.3	5.2
8	Kole Calhoun	0.3201	0.2733	0.2816	6.5	1.4	5.1
9	Masyn Winn	0.3201	0.2818	0.2296	12.3	7.2	5.1
10	Ezequiel Tovar	0.3324	0.3238	0.2871	27.3	22.7	4.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Matt McLain	0.2931	0.3109	0.3573	25.1	18.6	6.5
2	Corbin Carroll	0.3194	0.3300	0.3615	26.0	20.2	5.8
3	Patrick Bailey	0.2638	0.2812	0.2849	6.8	1.2	5.6
4	Spencer Steer	0.3071	0.3169	0.3564	31.6	26.1	5.4
5	Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.3640	0.3571	0.3218	27.9	22.6	5.3
6	Masataka Yoshida	0.3872	0.3814	0.3379	29.6	25.3	4.3
7	James Outman	0.2981	0.3056	0.3527	30.0	26.6	3.3
8	TJ Friedl	0.3209	0.3283	0.3522	16.4	13.2	3.2
9	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3683	0.3655	0.3446	17.4	14.4	3.0
10	Max Muncy	0.3520	0.3485	0.3333	11.8	8.9	3.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yuli Gurriel	0.3524	0.3268	0.3040	15.5	7.6	7.9
2	Matt Vierling	0.2967	0.3099	0.3289	17.8	10.0	7.9
3	Justin Turner	0.3631	0.3497	0.3450	10.4	3.0	7.4
4	Kyle Tucker	0.3404	0.3487	0.3688	20.1	13.4	6.7
5	Jurickson Profar	0.3542	0.3409	0.3212	16.5	10.4	6.1
6	Mike Moustakas	0.3234	0.3062	0.2927	11.3	5.3	6.0
7	Trea Turner	0.3528	0.3426	0.3198	21.8	15.9	5.9
8	Lars Nootbaar	0.3280	0.3374	0.3665	20.1	14.6	5.5
9	Harold Ramírez	0.3067	0.3177	0.3525	20.5	15.0	5.5
10	Jake Burger	0.2853	0.2938	0.3093	13.7	8.2	5.5

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani	0.6539	0.5181 (82.1)	0.5097 (87.8)	0.5144 (87.4)	0.5102 (84.0)	0.5295 (76.5)
Mookie Betts	0.5788	0.5012 (54.6)	0.5010 (55.5)	0.5077 (53.7)	0.4939 (56.4)	0.5019 (55.6)
Fernando Tatis Jr.	0.4487	0.5626 (71.5)	0.5411 (57.2)	0.5504 (60.5)	0.5673 (77.5)	0.5699 (74.9)
Corey Seager	0.6226	0.4818 (76.1)	0.4754 (80.1)	0.4861 (76.6)	0.4861 (71.3)	0.4734 (81.8)
Matt Olson	0.6036	0.4982 (76.8)	0.4841 (87.7)	0.4893 (86.9)	0.4930 (77.1)	0.5124 (68.0)
Tim Anderson	0.2961	0.4305 (69.8)	0.4392 (73.8)	0.4364 (70.1)	0.4235 (68.5)	0.4317 (69.3)
Josh Lowe	0.5000	0.3820 (59.7)	0.3841 (59.2)	0.3914 (57.6)	0.3734 (61.7)	0.3812 (61.1)
Marcell Ozuna	0.5585	0.4391 (71.4)	0.4292 (77.9)	0.4335 (77.8)	0.4345 (71.3)	0.4491 (66.7)
Cody Bellinger	0.5251	0.4068 (66.4)	0.3801 (81.9)	0.4018 (72.1)	0.4129 (60.4)	0.4056 (68.2)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.5956	0.4920 (77.1)	0.4738 (91.2)	0.4844 (86.5)	0.4874 (77.0)	0.5040 (69.7)
Yandy Díaz	0.5219	0.4186 (62.7)	0.4053 (71.3)	0.4209 (64.5)	0.4229 (57.3)	0.4122 (67.8)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.5430	0.4435	67.0
2	J.D. Martinez	0.4450	0.5718	61.3
3	Jake Burger	0.4151	0.5183	56.4
4	Corbin Carroll	0.4230	0.5062	54.5
5	George Springer	0.4822	0.4046	52.2
6	Matt McLain	0.3807	0.5068	51.3
7	Chas McCormick	0.3782	0.4888	51.1
8	Freddie Freeman	0.4989	0.5667	50.4
9	Nolan Jones	0.4249	0.5422	50.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Spencer Torkelson	0.3523	0.4455	65.3
2	Nolan Jones	0.3947	0.5422	63.5
3	Joey Meneses	0.4913	0.4010	57.9
4	Jorge Soler	0.4162	0.5119	56.8
5	Spencer Steer	0.3826	0.4639	55.6
6	Brent Rooker	0.3850	0.4881	55.5
7	George Springer	0.4879	0.4046	55.4
8	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.4211	0.4945	52.6
9	Yainer Diaz	0.4011	0.5380	52.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.5628	0.4435	77.0
2	J.D. Martinez	0.4497	0.5718	61.5
3	Adolis García	0.4214	0.5081	58.9
4	Corbin Carroll	0.4275	0.5062	54.9
5	Chas McCormick	0.3777	0.4888	53.7
6	Jorge Soler	0.4273	0.5119	52.8
7	Freddie Freeman	0.5013	0.5667	52.5
8	Ty France	0.4493	0.3663	50.9
9	Wilmer Flores	0.4036	0.5086	50.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.5528	0.4435	76.9
2	J.D. Martinez	0.4342	0.5718	64.3
3	Matt McLain	0.3503	0.5068	61.7
4	Corbin Carroll	0.4131	0.5062	57.8
5	Jake Burger	0.4141	0.5183	54.4
6	Adolis García	0.4220	0.5081	52.2
7	Javier Báez	0.4171	0.3255	52.0
8	Nolan Jones	0.4163	0.5422	51.9
9	Ty France	0.4400	0.3663	51.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jake Burger	0.3916	0.5183	70.2
2	Daulton Varsho	0.5031	0.3890	64.4
3	J.D. Martinez	0.4511	0.5718	59.4
4	George Springer	0.4913	0.4046	57.0
5	J.P. Crawford	0.3540	0.4382	55.8
6	Nolan Jones	0.4179	0.5422	54.1
7	Corbin Carroll	0.4283	0.5062	52.4
8	Brent Rooker	0.3939	0.4881	51.3
9	Javier Báez	0.4218	0.3255	50.9

Most Unique Misses for Slugging Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spencer Torkelson	0.3523	0.4126	0.4455	65.3	23.4	42.0
2	Spencer Steer	0.3826	0.4297	0.4639	55.6	23.6	32.0
3	Seiya Suzuki	0.4218	0.4702	0.4854	38.5	9.6	28.9
4	Brice Turang	0.4146	0.3500	0.2995	50.5	22.1	28.5
5	Teoscar Hernández	0.4990	0.4593	0.4352	41.7	15.5	26.2
6	Paul Goldschmidt	0.5187	0.4818	0.4469	47.8	23.1	24.7
7	Jarred Kelenic	0.3564	0.4137	0.4194	27.1	2.9	24.2
8	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.4211	0.4545	0.4945	52.6	28.7	23.9
9	Isaac Paredes	0.4033	0.4420	0.4878	49.6	26.9	22.7
10	Carlos Santana	0.3618	0.3959	0.4291	43.1	21.3	21.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	0.4146	0.3533	0.3533	20.3	0.4	19.9
2	José Caballero	0.4146	0.2981	0.3203	24.6	6.6	18.0
3	Marcus Semien	0.4305	0.4472	0.4776	40.3	23.8	16.5
4	Ketel Marte	0.4231	0.4425	0.4851	44.4	28.4	16.0
5	Christian Encarnacion-Strand	0.4146	0.4663	0.4775	16.7	3.0	13.7
6	Alika Williams	0.4146	0.2888	0.2475	18.0	4.5	13.5
7	Zach Remillard	0.4146	0.3169	0.3197	14.2	0.7	13.5
8	Yordan Alvarez	0.5488	0.5677	0.5829	20.1	8.2	11.9
9	Andruw Monasterio	0.4146	0.3244	0.3475	19.1	7.7	11.4
10	Casey Schmitt	0.4146	0.3683	0.3241	23.3	11.9	11.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Tucker	0.5327	0.5191	0.5174	12.6	0.3	12.3
2	Spencer Steer	0.4067	0.4297	0.4639	35.8	23.6	12.2
3	James Outman	0.4021	0.4268	0.4369	17.7	6.4	11.3
4	Gunnar Henderson	0.4169	0.4390	0.4893	42.9	32.1	10.8
5	Josh Bell	0.4418	0.4294	0.4186	16.4	5.9	10.5
6	Matt McLain	0.3503	0.3807	0.5068	61.7	51.3	10.4
7	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.5528	0.5430	0.4435	76.9	67.0	9.9
8	Nico Hoerner	0.4097	0.4003	0.3829	20.8	11.2	9.7
9	Patrick Bailey	0.2939	0.3231	0.3589	21.7	13.1	8.6
10	Steven Kwan	0.4061	0.4000	0.3699	28.4	20.7	7.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Daulton Varsho	0.5031	0.4647	0.3890	64.4	43.3	21.1
2	Trea Turner	0.4933	0.4643	0.4585	21.8	3.1	18.6
3	Yuli Gurriel	0.4655	0.4105	0.3591	33.9	16.5	17.4
4	Juan Soto	0.4961	0.5183	0.5194	18.8	1.6	17.2
5	Matt Vierling	0.3527	0.3814	0.3883	20.6	4.3	16.3
6	Mike Trout	0.5861	0.5454	0.4903	33.5	19.5	14.0
7	Jake Burger	0.3916	0.4151	0.5183	70.2	56.4	13.8
8	Salvador Perez	0.4989	0.4731	0.4219	42.8	29.0	13.8
9	Mike Moustakas	0.4385	0.4039	0.3920	16.7	4.1	12.6
10	Matt Chapman	0.4623	0.4387	0.4244	20.1	7.6	12.5

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Robbie Ray	19	755 (735.5)	711 (692.0)	767 (747.6)	798 (779.0)	699 (680.0)
Germán Márquez	80	773 (693.2)	722 (642.0)	771 (691.4)	842 (762.1)	706 (626.0)
Madison Bumgarner	90	641 (551.5)	654 (564.0)	688 (598.4)	637 (547.0)	599 (509.0)
Kyle Wright	155	699 (543.7)	634 (479.0)	710 (554.7)	743 (588.4)	643 (488.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Mahle	639	102	536.6
2	Luis Garcia	641	115	526.0
3	Jeffrey Springs	571	55	516.3
4	Antonio Senzatela	543	30	513.3
5	Colin Rea	4	517	512.8
6	Marco Gonzales	720	215	504.6
7	Triston McKenzie	541	73	467.9
8	Max Fried	766	311	455.5
9	Drew Rasmussen	632	177	455.1
10	Zach Plesac	559	105	453.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Frankie Montas	634	7	627.0
2	Triston McKenzie	679	73	606.0
3	Kodai Senga	100	694	594.0
4	Kris Bubic	592	68	524.0
5	Luis Garcia	636	115	521.0
6	Glenn Otto Jr.	569	51	518.0
7	Antonio Senzatela	529	30	499.0
8	Zach Plesac	593	105	488.0
9	Tanner Bibee	100	585	485.0
10	J.P. France	100	581	481.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Garcia	693	115	578.0
2	Marco Gonzales	770	215	555.2
3	Tyler Mahle	648	102	545.9
4	Jeffrey Springs	597	55	542.3
5	Tanner Bibee	62	585	523.0
6	Bryce Elder	210	732	522.4
7	Nick Lodolo	655	166	488.6
8	Max Fried	796	311	485.1
9	Brandon Woodruff	736	253	482.6
10	Eric Lauer	688	211	476.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Antonio Senzatela	645	30	614.8
2	Tyler Mahle	711	102	608.9
3	Jeffrey Springs	639	55	583.6
4	Bryce Elder	151	732	580.8
5	Tanner Bibee	4	585	580.8
6	Nick Lodolo	734	166	568.2
7	Drew Rasmussen	727	177	549.9
8	Luis Garcia	663	115	548.0
9	Jacob deGrom	645	115	529.6
10	Colin Rea	4	517	512.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Frankie Montas	590	7	583.0
2	Triston McKenzie	655	73	582.0
3	Drew Rucinski	645	95	550.0
4	Darren McCaughan	564	27	537.0
5	Kyle Leahy	524	15	509.0
6	Kris Bubic	565	68	497.0
7	Jonathan Heasley	553	63	490.0
8	Michael Plassmeyer	507	23	484.0
9	Antonio Senzatela	510	30	480.0
10	Zach Logue	527	49	478.0

Most Unique Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kodai Senga	100	611	694	594.0	83.5	510.5
2	Grayson Rodriguez	100	503	515	415.0	12.0	403.0
3	Frankie Montas	634	269	7	627.0	262.3	364.7
4	Glenn Otto Jr.	569	247	51	518.0	195.7	322.3
5	Brandon Pfaadt	100	462	421	321.0	41.4	279.6
6	Spenser Watkins	480	210	21	459.0	189.2	269.8
7	Hunter Brown	194	455	665	471.0	210.0	261.0
8	Dallas Keuchel	462	231	172	290.0	58.9	231.1
9	Daniel Lynch IV	598	370	223	375.0	147.2	227.8
10	Logan Allen	100	314	537	437.0	222.8	214.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brandon Williamson	78	304	491	412.8	187.4	225.4
2	Logan Allen	100	314	537	437.0	222.8	214.2
3	Ryan Weathers	38	263	257	218.5	5.8	212.7
4	Javier Assad	164	372	449	285.1	76.9	208.2
5	Adam Wainwright	100	665	484	384.0	181.0	203.0
6	Tommy Henry	97	299	381	284.0	81.6	202.4
7	Bryce Miller	100	302	537	437.0	234.7	202.3
8	Jake Irvin	72	244	530	458.2	286.4	171.8
9	Peter Lambert	133	301	375	241.6	73.8	167.8
10	Collin McHugh	100	262	268	168.0	6.3	161.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bryan Hoeing	4	243	304	299.6	60.8	238.8
2	Quinn Priester	4	229	234	229.6	5.3	224.3
3	Cody Bradford	4	228	234	229.7	6.3	223.3
4	Taj Bradley	40	256	460	420.4	203.5	216.8
5	Osvaldo Bido	4	221	236	231.5	15.3	216.3
6	Bryce Miller	101	302	537	436.4	234.7	201.7
7	Logan Allen	118	314	537	418.7	222.8	195.8
8	Tanner Bibee	4	186	585	580.8	399.3	181.5
9	Shintaro Fujinami	751	572	357	394.1	215.5	178.7
10	Jesse Scholtens	17	195	377	360.0	182.5	177.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Drew Rom	500	176	170	330.0	6.0	324.0
2	Frankie Montas	590	269	7	583.0	262.3	320.7
3	Zach Logue	527	209	49	478.0	160.3	317.7
4	Chris Murphy	548	234	212	336.0	21.9	314.1
5	Slade Cecconi	491	194	111	380.0	82.7	297.3
6	José Buttó	484	197	179	305.0	17.8	287.2
7	Casey Lawrence	468	188	122	346.0	65.9	280.1
8	Randy Vásquez	451	160	166	285.0	6.2	278.8
9	Prelander Berroa	427	152	8	419.0	143.8	275.2
10	Glenn Otto Jr.	519	247	51	468.0	195.7	272.3

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Flexen	0.3912	0.3015 (31.0)	0.3131 (31.9)	0.1233 (45.5)	0.2997 (32.2)	0.3023 (29.5)
Lance Lynn	0.3475	0.2857 (31.1)	0.2920 (37.1)	0.1163 (49.2)	0.2875 (30.3)	0.2863 (28.8)
Kyle Muller	0.4160	0.2887 (38.7)	0.3068 (37.1)	0.1250 (44.9)	0.2918 (37.8)	0.2824 (40.2)
Trevor Williams	0.3773	0.3148 (25.9)	0.3242 (28.7)	0.1383 (45.3)	0.3187 (23.8)	0.3030 (32.1)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.3027	0.4118	41.5
2	Luis Severino	0.2732	0.3888	38.5
3	Kyle Bradish	0.3000	0.2669	37.9
4	Ken Waldichuk	0.2869	0.3597	31.6
5	Sonny Gray	0.2861	0.2701	29.7
6	Carlos Carrasco	0.2970	0.3897	29.0
7	Tyler Holton	0.2976	0.2346	28.0
8	Alek Manoah	0.2807	0.3711	27.8
9	Jack Flaherty	0.2900	0.3560	27.8
10	Tylor Megill	0.2781	0.3499	27.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2955	0.4118	51.7
2	Kyle Bradish	0.3229	0.2669	44.1
3	Luis Severino	0.2872	0.3888	38.4
4	Alek Manoah	0.2748	0.3711	36.0
5	Joey Wentz	0.2999	0.3803	34.8
6	Michael Kopech	0.2943	0.3626	34.7
7	Zach Eflin	0.3129	0.2754	33.1
8	Gerrit Cole	0.2854	0.2552	32.6
9	Kodai Senga	0.3180	0.2811	32.3
10	Blake Snell	0.2988	0.2659	31.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Miller	0.3180	0.3088	96.4
2	Colin Rea	0.3180	0.3110	91.7
3	Logan Allen	0.3180	0.3245	87.9
4	Bryan Woo	0.3180	0.3049	68.0
5	Ian Gibaut	0.3180	0.3015	59.4
6	Jesse Scholtens	0.3180	0.3494	52.3
7	Elvis Peguero	0.3180	0.2812	52.2
8	Tom Cosgrove	0.3180	0.2389	51.1
9	Ian Hamilton	0.3180	0.2768	50.5
10	Brady Singer	0.1062	0.3451	48.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.3048	0.4118	40.9
2	Luis Severino	0.2779	0.3888	36.9
3	Kyle Bradish	0.2967	0.2669	35.1
4	Sonny Gray	0.2914	0.2701	33.1
5	Ken Waldichuk	0.2868	0.3597	32.2
6	Carlos Carrasco	0.2912	0.3897	31.7
7	Tylor Megill	0.2734	0.3499	30.6
8	Zach Eflin	0.2923	0.2754	27.7
9	Tyler Holton	0.2974	0.2346	27.6
10	David Peterson	0.2792	0.3565	27.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Bradish	0.3075	0.2669	44.5
2	Adam Wainwright	0.3006	0.4118	41.4
3	Luis Severino	0.2662	0.3888	40.4
4	Jack Flaherty	0.2767	0.3560	34.9
5	Alek Manoah	0.2664	0.3711	32.8
6	Ken Waldichuk	0.2837	0.3597	32.2
7	Lucas Giolito	0.2775	0.3395	28.9
8	Michael Kopech	0.2916	0.3626	26.8
9	Brandon Pfaadt	0.2738	0.3616	26.2
10	Tyler Holton	0.2891	0.2346	25.9

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kodai Senga	0.3180	0.2741	0.2811	32.3	11.3	21.0
2	Tyler Anderson	0.2946	0.3031	0.3446	25.4	11.4	14.0
3	Miles Mikolas	0.2899	0.2914	0.3291	25.4	12.4	13.0
4	Joey Wentz	0.2999	0.3126	0.3803	34.8	21.9	13.0
5	Tony Gonsolin	0.2731	0.2892	0.3116	12.6	0.4	12.2
6	Yusei Kikuchi	0.3313	0.3003	0.3181	16.0	3.8	12.1
7	Luis Castillo	0.2967	0.2679	0.2888	14.0	1.9	12.1
8	Gerrit Cole	0.2854	0.2575	0.2552	32.6	20.9	11.7
9	Michael Kopech	0.2943	0.2996	0.3626	34.7	23.5	11.2
10	Cristian Javier	0.2781	0.2804	0.3161	19.5	8.5	10.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bryce Miller	0.3180	0.2801	0.3088	96.4	2.9	93.5
2	Colin Rea	0.3180	0.2981	0.3110	91.7	5.4	86.3
3	Logan Allen	0.3180	0.2935	0.3245	87.9	4.2	83.8
4	Bryan Woo	0.3180	0.3226	0.3049	68.0	15.2	52.9
5	Ian Gibaut	0.3180	0.3080	0.3015	59.4	9.5	49.9
6	Jesse Scholtens	0.3180	0.3004	0.3494	52.3	9.7	42.6
7	Ryan Walker	0.3180	0.3015	0.3257	42.8	0.2	42.5
8	Elvis Peguero	0.3180	0.2982	0.2812	52.2	10.2	42.0
9	Drew VerHagen	0.3180	0.3087	0.3170	45.9	4.0	41.9
10	Jose Cuas	0.3180	0.3095	0.3390	43.6	1.8	41.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dean Kremer	0.3077	0.2964	0.3172	9.5	1.8	7.7
2	Patrick Corbin	0.3085	0.3168	0.3518	16.4	9.3	7.2
3	Drew Smyly	0.3005	0.3098	0.3460	14.4	8.1	6.3
4	Kodai Senga	0.2838	0.2741	0.2811	17.5	11.3	6.2
5	Zac Gallen	0.2826	0.2752	0.2886	14.0	8.3	5.6
6	Chris Bassitt	0.2929	0.2854	0.3046	8.9	3.3	5.6
7	Logan Webb	0.2881	0.2810	0.2824	24.0	18.5	5.4
8	Michael Lorenzen	0.3067	0.2973	0.3020	17.0	11.5	5.4
9	Tony Gonsolin	0.3013	0.2892	0.3116	5.3	0.4	4.9
10	Freddy Peralta	0.2887	0.2812	0.2905	14.1	9.5	4.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Colin Rea	0.3180	0.2981	0.3110	16.9	5.4	11.5
2	Yusei Kikuchi	0.3122	0.3003	0.3181	13.8	3.8	9.9
3	Dean Kremer	0.2768	0.2964	0.3172	10.9	1.8	9.1
4	Julio Urías	0.2607	0.2795	0.3270	19.6	11.7	7.9
5	J.P. France	0.3111	0.3008	0.3187	10.5	3.1	7.4
6	Lucas Giolito	0.2775	0.2890	0.3395	28.9	21.6	7.3
7	Dane Dunning	0.3094	0.3018	0.3097	18.2	11.1	7.2
8	Jack Flaherty	0.2767	0.2900	0.3560	34.9	27.8	7.1
9	Kutter Crawford	0.3132	0.3020	0.2902	25.6	18.5	7.1
10	Taj Bradley	0.2845	0.3020	0.3441	15.6	8.7	7.0

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Mitch Keller	0.2545	0.2011 (42.0)	0.2064 (43.4)	0.1995 (44.0)	0.1978 (42.7)	0.2062 (42.3)
Joe Ryan	0.2932	0.2435 (31.7)	0.2439 (36.1)	0.2429 (32.6)	0.2438 (29.8)	0.2439 (35.0)
Corbin Burnes	0.2551	0.3015 (38.3)	0.3028 (33.9)	0.3009 (37.3)	0.2982 (37.8)	0.3054 (37.2)
Merrill Kelly	0.2590	0.2014 (39.8)	0.2149 (35.1)	0.2016 (40.2)	0.2006 (38.5)	0.2021 (43.2)
Nick Pivetta	0.3118	0.2207 (52.0)	0.2368 (46.6)	0.2160 (55.2)	0.2194 (51.2)	0.2268 (51.6)
Pablo López	0.2921	0.2377 (41.6)	0.2418 (43.9)	0.2340 (45.1)	0.2349 (41.8)	0.2442 (40.7)
Cristian Javier	0.2314	0.2920 (43.3)	0.2907 (37.7)	0.2880 (40.1)	0.2857 (40.7)	0.3024 (46.7)
Félix Bautista	0.4641	0.3144 (34.9)	0.2731 (46.3)	0.3135 (35.3)	0.3158 (34.0)	0.3140 (36.3)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tylor Megill	0.2655	0.1852	47.0
2	J.P. France	0.2493	0.1738	45.3
3	Justin Verlander	0.2753	0.2152	41.8
4	Zach Eflin	0.2043	0.2646	40.6
5	Taj Bradley	0.1977	0.2804	36.9
6	Gerrit Cole	0.3111	0.2704	35.5
7	Andrew Heaney	0.2847	0.2356	33.1
8	Shane Bieber	0.2580	0.2008	31.8
9	Fernando Cruz	0.2378	0.3513	31.0
10	Luis Severino	0.2602	0.1894	30.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kodai Senga	0.2277	0.2911	47.1
2	Spencer Strider	0.3143	0.3683	44.6
3	Ryne Nelson	0.2271	0.1551	41.8
4	Adam Wainwright	0.1994	0.1136	39.4
5	Austin Gomber	0.2090	0.1443	36.3
6	Aroldis Chapman	0.2780	0.4137	34.9
7	Shane Bieber	0.2684	0.2008	33.7
8	Cole Ragans	0.2069	0.2883	33.7
9	Matt Brash	0.2448	0.3474	33.0
10	Trevor Williams	0.2222	0.1684	32.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2277	0.1136	56.1
2	Tylor Megill	0.2689	0.1852	48.5
3	Zach Eflin	0.2006	0.2646	43.8
4	J.P. France	0.2469	0.1738	43.5
5	Justin Verlander	0.2773	0.2152	42.7
6	Taj Bradley	0.1917	0.2804	40.0
7	Kevin Gausman	0.2642	0.3106	34.0
8	Gerrit Cole	0.3075	0.2704	31.9
9	Luis Severino	0.2630	0.1894	31.4
10	Freddy Peralta	0.2614	0.3088	31.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tylor Megill	0.2696	0.1852	50.7
2	J.P. France	0.2526	0.1738	48.7
3	Justin Verlander	0.2753	0.2152	43.5
4	Zach Eflin	0.2008	0.2646	41.3
5	Taj Bradley	0.1880	0.2804	40.2
6	Gerrit Cole	0.3095	0.2704	36.3
7	Luis Severino	0.2646	0.1894	33.4
8	Andrew Heaney	0.2803	0.2356	31.9
9	Alex Wood	0.2414	0.1725	31.7
10	Kevin Gausman	0.2648	0.3106	31.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.P. France	0.2482	0.1738	41.5
2	Tylor Megill	0.2581	0.1852	39.7
3	Zach Eflin	0.2114	0.2646	39.4
4	Justin Verlander	0.2731	0.2152	36.8
5	Ryne Nelson	0.2170	0.1551	36.5
6	Andrew Heaney	0.2947	0.2356	36.1
7	Fernando Cruz	0.2271	0.3513	35.5
8	Shane Bieber	0.2700	0.2008	35.4
9	Gerrit Cole	0.3164	0.2704	35.4
10	Cole Ragans	0.2029	0.2883	34.6

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kodai Senga	0.2277	0.2610	0.2911	47.1	19.1	28.0
2	Chris Sale	0.2376	0.2852	0.2941	25.9	2.8	23.2
3	Trevor Williams	0.2222	0.1843	0.1684	32.5	12.1	20.4
4	Michael King	0.2510	0.2933	0.2947	20.8	0.5	20.3
5	Ty Blach	0.2039	0.1463	0.1420	20.2	2.4	17.8
6	Reid Detmers	0.2238	0.2439	0.2609	26.7	9.4	17.4
7	Spencer Strider	0.3143	0.3302	0.3683	44.6	27.2	17.4
8	Hunter Brown	0.2371	0.2552	0.2677	23.3	6.7	16.6
9	Matt Brash	0.2448	0.2905	0.3474	33.0	16.8	16.2
10	Jake Irvin	0.2277	0.1767	0.1868	19.3	4.1	15.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2277	0.1720	0.1136	56.1	29.5	26.6
2	Quinn Priester	0.2277	0.1719	0.1538	17.7	4.8	12.9
3	Seth Lugo	0.2094	0.2296	0.2318	12.4	0.2	12.3
4	Luis Medina	0.1792	0.2005	0.2141	16.4	5.5	10.9
5	Karl Kauffmann	0.2277	0.1587	0.1013	20.3	9.5	10.8
6	Austin Pruitt	0.2277	0.1726	0.1531	15.0	4.3	10.7
7	Andrew Suárez	0.2277	0.1492	0.1308	12.8	2.7	10.1
8	Dylan Covey	0.2277	0.1750	0.1571	13.8	3.9	9.9
9	Amos Willingham	0.2277	0.1430	0.1293	11.6	1.9	9.7
10	Hunter Brown	0.2418	0.2552	0.2677	16.0	6.7	9.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bryce Miller	0.2450	0.2346	0.2216	15.3	8.3	7.0
2	Andrew Abbott	0.2173	0.2341	0.2614	17.9	11.4	6.5
3	Freddy Peralta	0.2592	0.2711	0.3088	30.3	24.0	6.3
4	Michael King	0.2748	0.2933	0.2947	6.4	0.5	5.9
5	Bryce Elder	0.2093	0.2053	0.1749	28.9	24.1	4.8
6	Seth Lugo	0.2186	0.2296	0.2318	4.9	0.2	4.8
7	Gavin Williams	0.2101	0.2263	0.2348	6.8	2.1	4.7
8	Jesse Scholtens	0.2235	0.2139	0.1538	28.2	23.6	4.6
9	Alec Marsh	0.1804	0.1957	0.2485	21.6	17.2	4.3
10	Chris Flexen	0.1856	0.1790	0.1588	14.8	10.6	4.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Seth Lugo	0.2607	0.2296	0.2318	15.7	0.2	15.6
2	Michael King	0.3317	0.2933	0.2947	14.7	0.5	14.2
3	Bobby Miller	0.1925	0.2132	0.2356	23.3	10.1	13.2
4	Grayson Rodriguez	0.2913	0.2609	0.2505	19.5	6.6	12.9
5	Kodai Senga	0.2491	0.2610	0.2911	31.1	19.1	12.0
6	Logan Gilbert	0.2253	0.2329	0.2455	17.8	7.8	10.0
7	Trevor Williams	0.2047	0.1843	0.1684	22.0	12.1	9.9
8	Gregory Santos	0.1905	0.2180	0.2284	11.8	2.3	9.5
9	Amos Willingham	0.2277	0.1430	0.1293	11.1	1.9	9.2
10	Dylan Covey	0.2277	0.1750	0.1571	12.9	3.9	9.0

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Kopech	0.1540	0.0960 (32.1)	0.0974 (31.4)	0.0959 (31.5)	0.0961 (31.3)	0.0959 (32.9)
Braxton Garrett	0.0440	0.0797 (26.0)	0.0817 (27.2)	0.0770 (24.9)	0.0768 (24.8)	0.0852 (28.8)
Alek Manoah	0.1422	0.0705 (28.2)	0.0748 (26.5)	0.0713 (27.5)	0.0718 (27.2)	0.0685 (29.6)
Tyler Anderson	0.1017	0.0575 (25.5)	0.0616 (23.1)	0.0595 (23.6)	0.0600 (23.2)	0.0529 (29.2)
Daniel Bard	0.2112	0.1020 (24.5)	0.0973 (25.6)	0.1001 (24.7)	0.0973 (25.3)	0.1086 (23.2)
George Kirby	0.0251	0.0527 (23.7)	0.0595 (28.7)	0.0549 (26.1)	0.0550 (26.3)	0.0481 (19.3)
Logan Webb	0.0365	0.0649 (27.3)	0.0689 (30.5)	0.0673 (30.3)	0.0663 (29.4)	0.0611 (23.0)
Justin Steele	0.0503	0.0964 (35.7)	0.0939 (33.8)	0.0966 (36.5)	0.0947 (35.3)	0.0980 (35.9)
Cristopher Sánchez	0.0404	0.0989 (24.7)	0.0909 (21.4)	0.0959 (23.8)	0.0968 (24.3)	0.1041 (26.2)
Blake Snell	0.1334	0.0931 (27.1)	0.0993 (22.7)	0.0937 (25.9)	0.0932 (26.3)	0.0925 (28.5)
Yusei Kikuchi	0.0686	0.0946 (20.9)	0.1026 (26.2)	0.0916 (19.4)	0.0929 (20.4)	0.0994 (23.3)
Brad Keller	0.2133	0.0897 (25.3)	0.0923 (24.8)	0.0895 (25.1)	0.0887 (25.3)	0.0909 (25.3)
Charlie Morton	0.1159	0.0780 (24.5)	0.0825 (21.5)	0.0762 (25.1)	0.0764 (24.8)	0.0816 (22.8)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edward Cabrera	0.1013	0.1521	20.4
2	Mitch Keller	0.0876	0.0667	20.4
3	Zack Littell	0.0804	0.0317	19.9
4	Julio Teheran	0.1053	0.0451	18.4
5	Zac Gallen	0.0735	0.0556	18.4
6	Brandon Williamson	0.1128	0.0794	18.2
7	Bryce Miller	0.0783	0.0484	18.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mitch Keller	0.0933	0.0667	24.8
2	Bryce Miller	0.0860	0.0484	22.0
3	Zac Gallen	0.0774	0.0556	21.4
4	Joe Ryan	0.0789	0.0506	21.4
5	Zack Littell	0.0830	0.0317	20.8
6	Zach Eflin	0.0590	0.0341	19.9
7	Clarke Schmidt	0.0909	0.0663	19.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mitch Keller	0.0897	0.0667	22.9
2	Bryce Miller	0.0860	0.0484	22.7
3	Zack Littell	0.0832	0.0317	21.3
4	Zac Gallen	0.0757	0.0556	21.1
5	Edward Cabrera	0.0998	0.1521	20.6
6	Julio Teheran	0.1095	0.0451	19.9
7	Zach Eflin	0.0572	0.0341	19.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mitch Keller	0.0888	0.0667	22.3
2	Zack Littell	0.0832	0.0317	21.4
3	Edward Cabrera	0.0996	0.1521	20.7
4	Zac Gallen	0.0742	0.0556	19.9
5	Zach Eflin	0.0574	0.0341	19.7
6	Lance Lynn	0.0557	0.0829	18.1
7	Bryce Miller	0.0772	0.0484	18.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kodai Senga	0.0684	0.1110	27.8
2	J.P. France	0.1182	0.0809	23.1
3	Kyle Bradish	0.0961	0.0656	22.1
4	Gregory Santos	0.1270	0.0588	20.4
5	Brandon Williamson	0.1185	0.0794	20.4
6	Yennier Cano	0.1130	0.0459	19.7
7	Edward Cabrera	0.1045	0.1521	19.6

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brandon Pfaadt	0.0860	0.0574	0.0618	11.7	0.3	11.4
2	Shintaro Fujinami	0.0860	0.1153	0.1261	13.1	2.5	10.6
3	Lucas Erceg	0.0860	0.1577	0.1434	13.5	4.5	9.0
4	Ken Waldichuk	0.0804	0.0927	0.1111	17.4	9.3	8.1
5	Luis Medina	0.0860	0.1211	0.1152	12.7	4.8	7.9
6	Abner Uribe	0.0860	0.1454	0.1575	8.6	1.1	7.6
7	JP Sears	0.0829	0.0729	0.0721	10.5	3.4	7.1
8	Bobby Miller	0.0860	0.0726	0.0634	13.2	6.6	6.6
9	Miles Mikolas	0.0607	0.0528	0.0453	16.2	9.7	6.5
10	Connor Seabold	0.0836	0.0677	0.0686	7.5	1.1	6.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Erceg	0.0860	0.1577	0.1434	13.2	4.5	8.7
2	Albert Abreu	0.0860	0.1157	0.1306	10.7	3.0	7.7
3	Colin Rea	0.0860	0.0653	0.0735	8.9	2.3	6.6
4	Austin Pruitt	0.0860	0.0549	0.0612	5.8	0.5	5.3
5	Bryce Miller	0.0860	0.0783	0.0484	22.7	18.0	4.7
6	Daniel Duarte	0.0860	0.1197	0.1471	7.7	3.2	4.5
7	Cody Bradford	0.0860	0.0681	0.0513	9.2	4.8	4.4
8	Kevin Herget	0.0860	0.0534	0.0571	3.5	0.0	3.5
9	Jose Cuas	0.0860	0.0990	0.1199	8.5	5.0	3.5
10	Colin Selby	0.0860	0.1165	0.1316	4.7	1.3	3.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Erceg	0.0860	0.1577	0.1434	13.2	4.5	8.7
2	Bryce Elder	0.0755	0.0822	0.0861	4.2	0.1	4.1
3	Abner Uribe	0.1165	0.1454	0.1575	4.6	1.1	3.5
4	Jason Foley	0.0798	0.0708	0.0543	8.4	5.6	2.8
5	Zach Eflin	0.0574	0.0548	0.0341	19.7	17.1	2.6
6	George Kirby	0.0550	0.0527	0.0251	26.3	23.7	2.6
7	Albert Abreu	0.1055	0.1157	0.1306	5.4	3.0	2.4
8	Jordan Montgomery	0.0637	0.0618	0.0618	5.2	2.9	2.4
9	Ben Heller	0.0980	0.1268	0.1341	2.6	0.3	2.3
10	Ken Waldichuk	0.0881	0.0927	0.1111	11.6	9.3	2.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kodai Senga	0.0684	0.0844	0.1110	27.8	15.9	11.9
2	J.P. France	0.1182	0.0980	0.0809	23.1	12.1	11.0
3	Dean Kremer	0.0614	0.0694	0.0748	8.0	1.3	6.8
4	Luis Medina	0.1348	0.1211	0.1152	11.0	4.8	6.1
5	Colin Rea	0.0860	0.0653	0.0735	7.7	2.3	5.4
6	Bryce Elder	0.0909	0.0822	0.0861	5.4	0.1	5.2
7	Kyle Bradish	0.0961	0.0873	0.0656	22.1	17.1	5.1
8	Griffin Canning	0.0973	0.0866	0.0672	17.5	12.4	5.1
9	Joey Wentz	0.1151	0.1036	0.0955	10.8	5.8	5.0
10	Trevor Williams	0.0648	0.0710	0.0804	8.7	3.7	5.0

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Kopech	0.0186	0.0069 (6.5)	0.0087 (5.8)	0.0081 (5.5)	0.0081 (5.3)	0.0044 (8.5)
Noah Syndergaard	0.0256	0.0081 (6.5)	0.0095 (6.3)	0.0087 (6.1)	0.0087 (6.0)	0.0068 (7.4)
Kyle Freeland	0.0015	0.0120 (7.7)	0.0146 (8.9)	0.0119 (7.9)	0.0118 (8.0)	0.0125 (7.3)
MacKenzie Gore	0.0017	0.0102 (5.4)	0.0127 (6.5)	0.0099 (5.5)	0.0100 (5.6)	0.0107 (5.1)
Lucas Sims	0.0388	0.0128 (6.5)	0.0143 (6.3)	0.0114 (6.7)	0.0114 (6.7)	0.0155 (6.0)
JP Sears	0.0218	0.0106 (7.6)	0.0086 (9.6)	0.0087 (8.7)	0.0088 (8.5)	0.0142 (5.7)
Drew VerHagen	0.0336	0.0124 (5.5)	0.0129 (5.5)	0.0114 (5.6)	0.0102 (5.9)	0.0147 (5.1)
Peter Strzelecki	0.0491	0.0109 (6.1)	0.0111 (6.2)	0.0101 (6.1)	0.0102 (6.1)	0.0124 (6.0)
Aaron Nola	0.0013	0.0109 (8.3)	0.0109 (7.7)	0.0104 (8.3)	0.0104 (8.4)	0.0119 (8.3)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yohan Ramírez	0.0216	0.0625	7.1
2	Alexis Díaz	0.0139	0.0350	5.8
3	Logan Gilbert	0.0089	0.0026	5.5
4	Kevin Kelly	0.0158	0.0362	5.4
5	Jason Adam	0.0156	0.0405	5.4
6	Zac Gallen	0.0113	0.0059	5.3
7	Reid Detmers	0.0115	0.0202	5.0
8	Alec Marsh	0.0109	0.0263	5.0
9	Ryne Nelson	0.0087	0.0016	4.9
10	Brandon Williamson	0.0132	0.0041	4.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yohan Ramírez	0.0199	0.0625	7.5
2	Kevin Kelly	0.0114	0.0362	6.8
3	Zac Gallen	0.0134	0.0059	6.4
4	Alexis Díaz	0.0126	0.0350	6.4
5	Logan Gilbert	0.0100	0.0026	5.8
6	Max Scherzer	0.0154	0.0064	5.6
7	Zach Eflin	0.0118	0.0043	5.4
8	Ryne Nelson	0.0102	0.0016	5.3
9	Osvaldo Bido	0.0114	0.0339	5.3
10	Edward Cabrera	0.0212	0.0092	5.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yohan Ramírez	0.0152	0.0625	8.1
2	Alexis Díaz	0.0115	0.0350	6.3
3	Logan Gilbert	0.0093	0.0026	6.1
4	Kevin Kelly	0.0132	0.0362	6.0
5	Jason Adam	0.0126	0.0405	5.9
6	Logan Allen	0.0114	0.0019	5.8
7	Zac Gallen	0.0111	0.0059	5.4
8	Andrew Abbott	0.0124	0.0022	5.3
9	Reid Detmers	0.0108	0.0202	5.2
10	Ryne Nelson	0.0087	0.0016	5.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yohan Ramírez	0.0149	0.0625	8.1
2	Alexis Díaz	0.0114	0.0350	6.3
3	Logan Gilbert	0.0093	0.0026	6.2
4	Kevin Kelly	0.0131	0.0362	6.0
5	Jason Adam	0.0127	0.0405	5.9
6	Zac Gallen	0.0111	0.0059	5.6
7	Ryne Nelson	0.0087	0.0016	5.3
8	Logan Webb	0.0106	0.0059	5.2
9	Reid Detmers	0.0108	0.0202	5.1
10	Alec Marsh	0.0100	0.0263	5.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tanner Houck	0.0277	0.0130	6.7
2	Brandon Williamson	0.0166	0.0041	6.1
3	Grayson Rodriguez	0.0152	0.0039	5.7
4	Touki Toussaint	0.0329	0.0182	5.6
5	Alec Marsh	0.0103	0.0263	5.5
6	Lucas Giolito	0.0046	0.0113	5.5
7	Jake Diekman	0.0268	0.0041	5.5
8	José Ruiz	0.0040	0.0290	5.2
9	Michael Tonkin	0.0222	0.0062	5.2
10	Andrew Abbott	0.0134	0.0022	5.0

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andrew Vasquez	0.0160	0.0314	0.0320	3.5	0.0	3.4
2	Edward Cabrera	0.0212	0.0146	0.0092	5.2	2.7	2.5
3	Kirby Yates	0.0083	0.0175	0.0197	2.9	0.4	2.5
4	Spencer Strider	0.0084	0.0110	0.0118	2.5	0.0	2.5
5	J.P. France	0.0114	0.0068	0.0034	4.7	2.4	2.3
6	James Paxton	0.0120	0.0064	0.0049	2.9	1.0	2.0
7	JP Sears	0.0086	0.0106	0.0218	9.6	7.6	2.0
8	Gregory Santos	0.0084	0.0144	0.0173	2.5	0.6	2.0
9	Brendan White	0.0114	0.0214	0.0282	3.0	1.1	1.9
10	Charlie Morton	0.0210	0.0177	0.0168	3.1	1.2	1.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andrew Vasquez	0.0114	0.0314	0.0320	4.2	0.0	4.2
2	Jose Cuas	0.0114	0.0187	0.0240	3.3	1.3	2.0
3	Brendan White	0.0114	0.0214	0.0282	2.8	1.1	1.7
4	Brad Hand	0.0114	0.0183	0.0212	2.0	0.5	1.5
5	Alek Manoah	0.0160	0.0200	0.0217	1.9	0.3	1.5
6	Colin Rea	0.0114	0.0090	0.0077	2.5	1.0	1.5
7	Kirby Yates	0.0113	0.0175	0.0197	1.8	0.4	1.4
8	Jake Bird	0.0121	0.0161	0.0184	1.9	0.6	1.3
9	Tyler Glasnow	0.0066	0.0044	0.0021	2.8	1.5	1.3
10	Brennan Bernardino	0.0104	0.0168	0.0278	3.5	2.2	1.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andrew Vasquez	0.0165	0.0314	0.0320	3.1	0.0	3.0
2	Jose Cuas	0.0118	0.0187	0.0240	3.1	1.3	1.8
3	Alek Manoah	0.0160	0.0200	0.0217	1.8	0.3	1.4
4	Kirby Yates	0.0115	0.0175	0.0197	1.7	0.4	1.4
5	Tyler Glasnow	0.0065	0.0044	0.0021	2.8	1.5	1.3
6	Merrill Kelly	0.0065	0.0053	0.0055	1.7	0.4	1.3
7	Brennan Bernardino	0.0102	0.0168	0.0278	3.5	2.2	1.3
8	Connor Seabold	0.0126	0.0163	0.0172	1.3	0.0	1.3
9	Jake Bird	0.0122	0.0161	0.0184	1.8	0.6	1.2
10	Brendan White	0.0139	0.0214	0.0282	2.3	1.1	1.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tanner Houck	0.0277	0.0180	0.0130	6.7	2.7	4.0
2	Touki Toussaint	0.0329	0.0219	0.0182	5.6	1.7	3.9
3	Jake Irvin	0.0216	0.0147	0.0151	3.3	0.2	3.1
4	Andrew Vasquez	0.0462	0.0314	0.0320	3.1	0.0	3.0
5	Gerrit Cole	0.0028	0.0050	0.0085	4.8	2.2	2.6
6	Connor Seabold	0.0236	0.0163	0.0172	2.5	0.0	2.5
7	Alek Manoah	0.0282	0.0200	0.0217	2.6	0.3	2.3
8	Justin Topa	0.0236	0.0146	0.0108	3.5	1.3	2.2
9	Bobby Miller	0.0188	0.0134	0.0119	3.4	1.2	2.2
10	Kirby Yates	0.0296	0.0175	0.0197	2.5	0.4	2.1

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Kopech	0.0817	0.0557 (13.9)	0.0467 (19.2)	0.0577 (12.8)	0.0565 (13.1)	0.0530 (15.8)
Kyle Hendricks	0.0286	0.0477 (12.4)	0.0516 (14.8)	0.0465 (11.7)	0.0476 (12.7)	0.0489 (12.8)
Lucas Giolito	0.0807	0.0520 (20.8)	0.0530 (20.0)	0.0536 (19.7)	0.0536 (19.1)	0.0486 (24.0)
Taj Bradley	0.0790	0.0471 (13.5)	0.0470 (13.6)	0.0495 (12.5)	0.0495 (12.2)	0.0423 (16.0)
MacKenzie Gore	0.0724	0.0442 (15.0)	0.0425 (15.9)	0.0450 (14.6)	0.0463 (13.5)	0.0412 (17.1)
Lance Lynn	0.0813	0.0489 (24.2)	0.0477 (25.1)	0.0497 (23.7)	0.0493 (23.5)	0.0477 (25.6)
JP Sears	0.0673	0.0412 (17.3)	0.0407 (17.7)	0.0410 (17.6)	0.0415 (16.8)	0.0412 (17.8)
Josiah Gray	0.0472	0.0631 (12.8)	0.0762 (22.0)	0.0635 (13.0)	0.0621 (12.5)	0.0635 (12.7)
Sonny Gray	0.0157	0.0403 (20.4)	0.0417 (21.5)	0.0404 (20.4)	0.0400 (20.6)	0.0405 (20.1)
Johnny Cueto	0.1056	0.0427 (13.2)	0.0377 (14.2)	0.0449 (12.7)	0.0439 (12.8)	0.0393 (14.0)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Brown	0.0374	0.0615	14.3
2	Joe Ryan	0.0510	0.0736	13.5
3	Gerrit Cole	0.0503	0.0368	13.1
4	Jordan Lyles	0.0479	0.0676	12.9
5	Luis Castillo	0.0354	0.0536	12.6
6	Luis Severino	0.0455	0.0769	12.1
7	Eric Lauer	0.0532	0.1111	11.7
8	Kyle Bradish	0.0457	0.0310	11.5
9	Hayden Wesneski	0.0438	0.0766	11.5
10	Max Scherzer	0.0499	0.0704	11.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Gerrit Cole	0.0587	0.0368	20.1
2	Charlie Morton	0.0501	0.0320	14.8
3	Joey Wentz	0.0402	0.0720	14.4
4	Freddy Peralta	0.0397	0.0634	14.4
5	Luke Weaver	0.0432	0.0707	14.0
6	Joe Ryan	0.0503	0.0736	13.9
7	Chris Flexen	0.0392	0.0714	13.8
8	Hunter Brown	0.0385	0.0615	13.6
9	Kyle Bradish	0.0487	0.0310	13.6
10	Trevor Williams	0.0463	0.0694	13.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Brown	0.0368	0.0615	14.8
2	Jordan Lyles	0.0467	0.0676	13.9
3	Gerrit Cole	0.0504	0.0368	13.1
4	Dylan Cease	0.0523	0.0394	11.9
5	Eric Lauer	0.0538	0.1111	11.6
6	Joey Wentz	0.0465	0.0720	11.4
7	Luis Severino	0.0475	0.0769	11.3
8	Max Scherzer	0.0499	0.0704	11.3
9	Joe Ryan	0.0546	0.0736	11.2
10	Gregory Santos	0.0456	0.0100	11.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Hunter Brown	0.0341	0.0615	16.2
2	Jordan Lyles	0.0462	0.0676	13.8
3	Gerrit Cole	0.0501	0.0368	13.4
4	Tanner Bibee	0.0524	0.0330	13.1
5	Dylan Cease	0.0517	0.0394	12.0
6	Eric Lauer	0.0537	0.1111	11.5
7	Joey Wentz	0.0457	0.0720	11.5
8	Luis Severino	0.0465	0.0769	11.4
9	Max Scherzer	0.0493	0.0704	11.2
10	Luis Castillo	0.0367	0.0536	11.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joe Ryan	0.0435	0.0736	18.9
2	Luis Castillo	0.0304	0.0536	17.1
3	Dean Kremer	0.0282	0.0521	16.1
4	Michael King	0.0702	0.0375	14.9
5	Kyle Bradish	0.0497	0.0310	13.8
6	Julio Urías	0.0413	0.0716	13.7
7	Trevor Williams	0.0468	0.0694	13.6
8	Luis Severino	0.0424	0.0769	13.6
9	Hayden Wesneski	0.0399	0.0766	13.2
10	Brandon Pfaadt	0.0416	0.0738	12.8

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luke Weaver	0.0432	0.0600	0.0707	14.0	4.6	9.4
2	Josiah Gray	0.0762	0.0631	0.0472	22.0	12.8	9.2
3	Freddy Peralta	0.0397	0.0503	0.0634	14.4	7.2	7.2
4	Gerrit Cole	0.0587	0.0503	0.0368	20.1	13.1	7.0
5	Spencer Strider	0.0356	0.0447	0.0530	11.3	4.4	6.9
6	Andrew Heaney	0.0650	0.0543	0.0548	8.2	1.3	6.9
7	Charlie Morton	0.0501	0.0420	0.0320	14.8	9.0	5.8
8	Michael Kopech	0.0467	0.0557	0.0817	19.2	13.9	5.3
9	Tylor Megill	0.0574	0.0485	0.0452	8.3	3.3	5.0
10	Jake Bird	0.0490	0.0365	0.0222	11.2	6.4	4.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis Medina	0.0602	0.0435	0.0432	9.6	1.4	8.2
2	Tristan Beck	0.0575	0.0459	0.0380	7.7	3.7	4.0
3	Patrick Corbin	0.0446	0.0490	0.0545	6.0	2.4	3.6
4	Michael Tonkin	0.0323	0.0427	0.0578	7.5	4.1	3.4
5	Pablo López	0.0402	0.0439	0.0471	3.6	0.5	3.1
6	Keynan Middleton	0.0470	0.0637	0.0645	3.2	0.4	2.9
7	Julio Teheran	0.0693	0.0595	0.0588	3.7	0.9	2.8
8	Drew Smyly	0.0521	0.0564	0.0615	4.4	1.6	2.8
9	Andrew Abbott	0.0637	0.0576	0.0544	5.3	2.6	2.7
10	Shintaro Fujinami	0.0455	0.0376	0.0405	2.6	0.1	2.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Drew Smyly	0.0509	0.0564	0.0615	4.7	1.6	3.2
2	Tanner Bibee	0.0524	0.0489	0.0330	13.1	10.8	2.3
3	Patrick Corbin	0.0456	0.0490	0.0545	4.7	2.4	2.3
4	Brandon Williamson	0.0595	0.0555	0.0511	5.6	3.4	2.2
5	Jhoan Duran	0.0301	0.0411	0.0423	2.3	0.3	2.0
6	Yusei Kikuchi	0.0470	0.0503	0.0578	5.5	3.5	2.0
7	Shintaro Fujinami	0.0434	0.0376	0.0405	2.1	0.1	1.9
8	Zack Wheeler	0.0390	0.0371	0.0380	3.2	1.3	1.9
9	Hunter Brown	0.0341	0.0374	0.0615	16.2	14.3	1.9
10	Zach Eflin	0.0436	0.0414	0.0388	5.5	3.6	1.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dean Kremer	0.0282	0.0412	0.0521	16.1	6.2	10.0
2	Michael King	0.0702	0.0492	0.0375	14.9	6.2	8.8
3	Jhoan Duran	0.0640	0.0411	0.0423	6.0	0.3	5.7
4	Joe Ryan	0.0435	0.0510	0.0736	18.9	13.5	5.5
5	Shintaro Fujinami	0.0232	0.0376	0.0405	5.5	0.1	5.4
6	Grayson Rodriguez	0.0596	0.0498	0.0468	7.6	2.8	4.8
7	Dane Dunning	0.0470	0.0401	0.0387	7.4	2.8	4.6
8	Luis Castillo	0.0304	0.0354	0.0536	17.1	12.6	4.5
9	Michael Lorenzen	0.0308	0.0361	0.0431	6.5	2.8	3.7
10	Rich Hill	0.0535	0.0474	0.0494	4.0	0.4	3.6

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jack Flaherty	0.3563	0.2800 (49.0)	0.2793 (47.0)	0.2861 (46.2)	0.2892 (44.2)	0.2639 (57.0)
Dylan Floro	0.4012	0.3000 (24.9)	0.2901 (26.4)	0.3040 (24.3)	0.3011 (25.1)	0.2949 (25.2)
Jordan Lyles	0.2546	0.3008 (35.2)	0.3023 (39.2)	0.2984 (32.1)	0.3010 (34.0)	0.3029 (39.5)
Kyle Muller	0.3721	0.2887 (30.7)	0.2834 (31.2)	0.2891 (31.2)	0.2911 (30.5)	0.2857 (30.4)
Corbin Burnes	0.2439	0.2919 (38.3)	0.2803 (32.3)	0.2948 (39.2)	0.2920 (37.0)	0.2888 (38.8)
Adam Wainwright	0.3569	0.2924 (30.8)	0.2837 (33.2)	0.2946 (30.6)	0.2975 (29.2)	0.2872 (31.5)
David Peterson	0.3699	0.2971 (35.4)	0.2979 (33.1)	0.3030 (33.4)	0.2964 (36.6)	0.2917 (36.2)
Tyler Wells	0.2000	0.2742 (35.3)	0.2620 (31.4)	0.2664 (30.7)	0.2850 (39.5)	0.2714 (35.7)
Wade Miley	0.2345	0.2989 (32.0)	0.2895 (29.3)	0.3075 (35.3)	0.2987 (31.0)	0.2903 (29.6)
Dylan Cease	0.3305	0.2802 (38.7)	0.2791 (36.5)	0.2743 (44.8)	0.2857 (35.8)	0.2806 (35.5)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Holton	0.2937	0.2117	26.9
2	Hunter Greene	0.2857	0.3395	26.3
3	Blake Snell	0.2898	0.2558	25.9
4	Matt Brash	0.2959	0.3804	25.7
5	Matt Manning	0.2930	0.2140	25.2
6	Yu Darvish	0.2758	0.3187	24.1
7	Clayton Kershaw	0.2941	0.2500	23.5
8	Domingo Germán	0.2853	0.2333	23.5
9	Paul Blackburn	0.2989	0.3498	23.2
10	Nick Sandlin	0.2867	0.1926	22.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miles Mikolas	0.2641	0.3077	33.4
2	Blake Snell	0.2961	0.2558	33.4
3	Alex Faedo	0.3108	0.2105	27.5
4	Yu Darvish	0.2661	0.3187	27.5
5	Luis Castillo	0.2963	0.2672	27.1
6	Joey Wentz	0.2698	0.3292	26.9
7	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.3125	0.2743	26.7
8	Zac Gallen	0.2649	0.3007	26.3
9	Joe Ryan	0.2618	0.3052	26.0
10	Brayan Bello	0.3400	0.3059	26.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Medina	0.4103	0.3065	50.9
2	Hunter Greene	0.2781	0.3395	31.1
3	Bryce Elder	0.3154	0.2743	29.3
4	Joe Ryan	0.2657	0.3052	27.2
5	Yu Darvish	0.2744	0.3187	25.9
6	Tyler Holton	0.2910	0.2117	25.4
7	Spencer Strider	0.2833	0.3155	25.3
8	Clayton Kershaw	0.2994	0.2500	25.3
9	Domingo Germán	0.2904	0.2333	24.9
10	Brady Singer	0.2954	0.3293	24.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matt Brash	0.2897	0.3804	28.2
2	Tony Gonsolin	0.2969	0.2334	27.2
3	Tyler Holton	0.2935	0.2117	26.2
4	Matt Manning	0.2960	0.2140	25.6
5	Kevin Gausman	0.2884	0.3207	25.4
6	Clayton Kershaw	0.2989	0.2500	25.1
7	Domingo Germán	0.2894	0.2333	24.5
8	Hunter Greene	0.2920	0.3395	24.1
9	Nick Sandlin	0.2943	0.1926	24.1
10	Bryce Elder	0.3078	0.2743	23.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Blake Snell	0.2963	0.2558	33.5
2	Tyler Holton	0.2968	0.2117	29.0
3	Yu Darvish	0.2665	0.3187	27.3
4	Matt Manning	0.2951	0.2140	27.1
5	Matt Brash	0.2910	0.3804	26.1
6	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.3110	0.2743	25.6
7	Alex Faedo	0.3014	0.2105	25.0
8	Kirby Yates	0.3026	0.2114	24.3
9	Hunter Brown	0.2888	0.3300	24.3
10	Kyle Bradish	0.3015	0.2700	24.2

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brayan Bello	0.3400	0.3132	0.3059	26.0	5.5	20.4
2	Patrick Corbin	0.3304	0.3076	0.3094	20.3	0.8	19.6
3	George Kirby	0.3148	0.2935	0.2918	20.9	1.9	19.0
4	Miles Mikolas	0.2641	0.2881	0.3077	33.4	16.1	17.4
5	Zac Gallen	0.2649	0.2868	0.3007	26.3	11.0	15.3
6	José Berríos	0.3052	0.2912	0.2891	16.3	2.4	13.9
7	Mitch Keller	0.3218	0.3087	0.3098	13.8	0.1	13.7
8	Lucas Giolito	0.3017	0.2885	0.2741	25.7	12.1	13.5
9	Luis Castillo	0.2963	0.2849	0.2672	27.1	14.9	12.2
10	Kodai Senga	0.2946	0.2809	0.2774	15.2	3.1	12.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis Medina	0.4103	0.3333	0.3065	50.9	13.7	37.2
2	Tanner Bibee	0.3285	0.2983	0.2861	24.3	7.7	16.6
3	Andrew Abbott	0.3537	0.3200	0.3022	23.2	8.6	14.7
4	Gavin Williams	0.3392	0.3019	0.2698	23.6	11.4	12.2
5	Julio Teheran	0.3371	0.2959	0.2644	20.6	9.3	11.3
6	Ben Lively	0.3492	0.3195	0.2969	19.7	9.0	10.7
7	J.P. France	0.3171	0.2987	0.2888	15.9	6.3	9.6
8	Josiah Gray	0.2665	0.2761	0.2928	19.0	11.0	8.0
9	Bryce Elder	0.3154	0.3042	0.2743	29.3	22.6	6.8
10	Joe Ryan	0.2657	0.2735	0.3052	27.2	20.7	6.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Justin Verlander	0.2827	0.2676	0.2648	11.4	2.5	8.9
2	Sandy Alcantara	0.2999	0.2874	0.2873	8.9	0.7	8.2
3	Kodai Senga	0.2937	0.2809	0.2774	10.7	3.1	7.7
4	Kevin Gausman	0.2884	0.2962	0.3207	25.4	18.0	7.4
5	Patrick Corbin	0.3009	0.3076	0.3094	7.5	0.8	6.7
6	Luke Weaver	0.3000	0.3100	0.3307	17.8	11.2	6.6
7	Framber Valdez	0.3106	0.3005	0.2816	22.6	16.0	6.6
8	Tony Gonsolin	0.2969	0.2809	0.2334	27.2	21.0	6.2
9	Mitch Keller	0.3031	0.3087	0.3098	6.2	0.1	6.1
10	Alexis Díaz	0.2947	0.2731	0.2667	7.7	2.1	5.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.3110	0.2992	0.2743	25.6	16.1	9.6
2	Sandy Alcantara	0.2704	0.2874	0.2873	9.4	0.7	8.7
3	Kutter Crawford	0.3095	0.2974	0.2695	23.5	15.2	8.4
4	Jack Flaherty	0.2639	0.2800	0.3563	57.0	49.0	8.0
5	Blake Snell	0.2963	0.2898	0.2558	33.5	25.9	7.5
6	Adrian Houser	0.2776	0.2962	0.3205	18.4	11.2	7.2
7	Sean Manaea	0.3138	0.3036	0.2932	12.6	5.7	6.9
8	Chris Sale	0.3137	0.3015	0.2903	11.9	5.1	6.8
9	Sonny Gray	0.2771	0.2897	0.2948	9.9	3.2	6.7
10	Mitch Keller	0.3131	0.3087	0.3098	6.5	0.1	6.4

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
David Peterson	0.2979	0.2971 (37.0)	0.2192 (38.0)	0.0000 (52.0)	0.2964 (38.1)	0.2917 (37.4)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Lyles	0.3008	0.1617	48.4
2	Jack Flaherty	0.2800	0.2604	35.6
3	Luis Medina	0.3333	0.1968	30.8
4	Nick Pivetta	0.2950	0.1692	30.2
5	Dylan Cease	0.2802	0.2419	28.3
6	Matt Brash	0.2959	0.3129	28.1
7	Tyler Wells	0.2742	0.1414	27.5
8	Wade Miley	0.2989	0.1695	27.0
9	Jon Gray	0.2899	0.2564	26.8
10	Chris Flexen	0.2879	0.2708	26.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Lyles	0.2236	0.1617	47.5
2	Pablo López	0.2014	0.2490	36.8
3	Jack Flaherty	0.2117	0.2604	30.6
4	Nick Pivetta	0.2182	0.1692	29.7
5	Lucas Giolito	0.2214	0.1863	29.2
6	Joe Ryan	0.1838	0.2283	28.8
7	Yusei Kikuchi	0.2079	0.2500	28.3
8	Luis Castillo	0.2173	0.1842	27.8
9	Eli Morgan	0.1841	0.2737	26.3
10	Tyler Wells	0.1956	0.1414	26.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Miller	0.2191	0.1907	118.5
2	Colin Rea	0.2191	0.1930	113.0
3	Logan Allen	0.2191	0.2351	94.7
4	Bryan Hoeing	0.2191	0.1517	79.0
5	Adam Wainwright	0.2191	0.2534	76.5
6	Bryan Woo	0.2191	0.2115	74.2
7	Emmet Sheehan	0.2191	0.1644	61.3
8	Drew VerHagen	0.2191	0.1890	59.6
9	Albert Abreu	0.2191	0.1975	57.4
10	Corey Kluber	0.2191	0.1965	55.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Lyles	0.3010	0.1617	47.3
2	Nick Pivetta	0.2995	0.1692	31.9
3	Tyler Wells	0.2850	0.1414	31.8
4	Jack Flaherty	0.2892	0.2604	30.7
5	Matt Brash	0.2897	0.3129	30.5
6	Johan Oviedo	0.2994	0.1890	26.9
7	Chris Flexen	0.2892	0.2708	26.8
8	Luis Castillo	0.2936	0.1842	26.8
9	Wade Miley	0.2987	0.1695	26.1
10	Domingo Germán	0.2894	0.1556	25.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Lyles	0.3029	0.1617	53.4
2	Jack Flaherty	0.2639	0.2604	43.1
3	Nick Pivetta	0.2976	0.1692	34.4
4	Kutter Crawford	0.3095	0.1856	28.5
5	Tyler Wells	0.2714	0.1414	28.3
6	Matt Brash	0.2910	0.3129	28.2
7	Jon Gray	0.2836	0.2564	27.9
8	Yu Darvish	0.2665	0.2445	27.4
9	Adrian Houser	0.2776	0.2641	27.1
10	Lucas Sims	0.2953	0.1212	26.9

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kevin Gausman	0.2419	0.2962	0.2227	15.9	0.6	15.3
2	Zac Gallen	0.1933	0.2868	0.2192	20.5	5.7	14.9
3	Pablo López	0.2014	0.2946	0.2490	36.8	23.0	13.8
4	Brady Singer	0.2494	0.3008	0.2297	15.0	2.3	12.7
5	Brayan Bello	0.2560	0.3132	0.2234	22.8	10.3	12.5
6	Mitch Keller	0.2477	0.3087	0.2333	13.2	0.9	12.3
7	Ty Blach	0.2128	0.3236	0.2763	21.8	9.5	12.3
8	Alex Cobb	0.2532	0.3111	0.2362	12.0	0.4	11.6
9	Kyle Bradish	0.2380	0.2966	0.2059	22.6	10.9	11.6
10	Jameson Taillon	0.1987	0.2919	0.2262	17.0	5.7	11.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bryce Miller	0.2191	0.2837	0.1907	118.5	10.0	108.5
2	Colin Rea	0.2191	0.2930	0.1930	113.0	13.3	99.7
3	Logan Allen	0.2191	0.2831	0.2351	94.7	14.1	80.6
4	Bryan Woo	0.2191	0.2876	0.2115	74.2	0.7	73.5
5	Adam Wainwright	0.2191	0.2924	0.2534	76.5	17.1	59.4
6	Bryan Hoeing	0.2191	0.3005	0.1517	79.0	22.7	56.3
7	Albert Abreu	0.2191	0.2895	0.1975	57.4	4.8	52.6
8	Drew VerHagen	0.2191	0.2969	0.1890	59.6	9.0	50.6
9	Ian Gibaut	0.2191	0.3077	0.2440	53.3	3.4	49.9
10	Emmet Sheehan	0.2191	0.2886	0.1644	61.3	12.4	48.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Erceg	0.2191	0.2897	0.2214	19.7	1.5	18.1
2	J.P. France	0.2839	0.2987	0.2379	17.4	7.8	9.6
3	Cristian Javier	0.2787	0.2645	0.1866	11.1	2.5	8.6
4	Kevin Gausman	0.2884	0.2962	0.2227	7.9	0.6	7.3
5	Justin Verlander	0.2827	0.2676	0.1947	8.0	1.0	7.0
6	Framber Valdez	0.3106	0.3005	0.2050	23.9	17.2	6.7
7	Austin Gomber	0.3218	0.3091	0.2252	12.4	5.7	6.6
8	Patrick Corbin	0.3009	0.3076	0.2483	18.5	11.8	6.6
9	Tony Gonsolin	0.2969	0.2809	0.1812	17.3	11.1	6.2
10	Luis Castillo	0.2936	0.2849	0.1842	26.8	21.1	5.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bryan Woo	0.2191	0.2876	0.2115	23.1	0.7	22.4
2	Dylan Covey	0.2191	0.3073	0.2701	23.1	7.1	16.0
3	Kevin Gausman	0.3073	0.2962	0.2227	11.3	0.6	10.7
4	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.3110	0.2992	0.2087	20.1	10.0	10.1
5	Sandy Alcantara	0.2704	0.2874	0.2295	22.0	12.5	9.5
6	Colin Rea	0.2191	0.2930	0.1930	22.6	13.3	9.3
7	Amos Willingham	0.2191	0.2993	0.2530	12.0	3.2	8.8
8	Kutter Crawford	0.3095	0.2974	0.1856	28.5	19.7	8.8
9	Daniel Palencia	0.2191	0.2964	0.2239	8.9	0.2	8.7
10	Kodai Senga	0.2643	0.2809	0.2239	20.4	12.1	8.4

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Hunter Greene	0.1218	0.0000 (26.2)	0.0703 (24.4)	0.0000 (30.3)	0.0000 (26.2)	0.0000 (26.6)
Kevin Gausman	0.0958	0.0000 (20.3)	0.0691 (18.5)	0.0000 (26.6)	0.0000 (20.4)	0.0000 (20.8)
Tyler Anderson	0.0955	0.0000 (16.5)	0.0641 (18.2)	0.0000 (21.7)	0.0000 (16.6)	0.0000 (17.0)
Rich Hill	0.0993	0.0000 (19.9)	0.0714 (16.8)	0.0000 (25.3)	0.0000 (20.0)	0.0000 (20.4)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0389	23.7
2	Jon Gray	0.0000	0.0373	20.9
3	Luke Weaver	0.0000	0.1050	20.1
4	José Soriano	0.0694	0.0316	19.8
5	Jesús Luzardo	0.0000	0.0956	19.5
6	Ken Waldichuk	0.0000	0.0968	17.6
7	Gerrit Cole	0.0000	0.0496	16.1
8	Bryce Miller	0.0000	0.0981	15.5
9	Nick Pivetta	0.0000	0.0954	15.4
10	Luis Medina	0.0000	0.1000	15.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brady Singer	0.0538	0.0894	23.3
2	Dane Dunning	0.0815	0.0543	21.4
3	Pablo López	0.0764	0.0535	20.3
4	Jon Gray	0.0627	0.0373	18.2
5	Adam Wainwright	0.0612	0.0981	16.7
6	Jack Flaherty	0.0631	0.0909	16.5
7	Gerrit Cole	0.0671	0.0496	16.4
8	Dean Kremer	0.0728	0.0530	16.3
9	Kyle Freeland	0.0802	0.0587	16.2
10	Blake Snell	0.0755	0.0563	16.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Colin Rea	0.0694	0.0526	40.2
2	Jesse Scholtens	0.0694	0.0441	32.5
3	Bryan Woo	0.0694	0.0529	28.8
4	Logan Allen	0.0694	0.0793	27.4
5	Elvis Peguero	0.0694	0.0244	26.7
6	Ian Gibaut	0.0694	0.0478	26.2
7	Jesús Luzardo	0.0000	0.0956	25.6
8	Luke Weaver	0.0000	0.1050	24.8
9	Tom Cosgrove	0.0694	0.0149	23.7
10	Ken Waldichuk	0.0000	0.0968	22.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0389	23.6
2	Jon Gray	0.0000	0.0373	20.9
3	Luke Weaver	0.0000	0.1050	20.2
4	José Soriano	0.0694	0.0316	19.8
5	Jesús Luzardo	0.0000	0.0956	19.6
6	Ken Waldichuk	0.0000	0.0968	17.7
7	Gerrit Cole	0.0000	0.0496	16.0
8	Bryce Miller	0.0000	0.0981	15.6
9	Nick Pivetta	0.0000	0.0954	15.4
10	Luis Medina	0.0000	0.1000	15.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Colin Rea	0.0694	0.0526	44.1
2	Bryan Woo	0.0694	0.0529	31.5
3	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0389	23.1
4	Luke Weaver	0.0000	0.1050	20.6
5	Jon Gray	0.0000	0.0373	20.4
6	Jesús Luzardo	0.0000	0.0956	20.1
7	José Soriano	0.0694	0.0316	19.7
8	Dylan Covey	0.0694	0.0365	19.4
9	Ken Waldichuk	0.0000	0.0968	18.1
10	Bryce Miller	0.0000	0.0981	15.9

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Framber Valdez	0.0488	0.0709	15.9	1.4	14.5
2	Dane Dunning	0.0815	0.0543	21.4	10.7	10.6
3	Zach Eflin	0.0807	0.0658	12.2	2.4	9.8
4	Brady Singer	0.0538	0.0894	23.3	14.2	9.1
5	Kyle Freeland	0.0802	0.0587	16.2	7.1	9.1
6	Justin Verlander	0.0464	0.0656	11.2	2.4	8.9
7	Logan Gilbert	0.0799	0.0700	9.5	0.6	8.8
8	Pablo López	0.0764	0.0535	20.3	12.6	7.7
9	Miles Mikolas	0.0584	0.0769	13.8	6.6	7.2
10	Patrick Sandoval	0.0517	0.0668	8.3	1.6	6.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Colin Rea	0.0694	0.0526	40.2	8.6	31.6
2	Jesse Scholtens	0.0694	0.0441	32.5	9.5	23.1
3	Bryan Woo	0.0694	0.0529	28.8	6.1	22.7
4	Logan Allen	0.0694	0.0793	27.4	5.4	22.0
5	Ian Gibaut	0.0694	0.0478	26.2	6.8	19.5
6	Jose Cuas	0.0694	0.0585	21.0	3.1	17.9
7	Collin McHugh	0.0694	0.0526	20.8	4.4	16.4
8	Elvis Peguero	0.0694	0.0244	26.7	11.3	15.4
9	Emmet Sheehan	0.0694	0.0685	15.3	0.2	15.2
10	Ian Hamilton	0.0694	0.0647	15.7	1.1	14.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ben Joyce	0.0694	0.0370	4.9	1.5	3.3
2	Thyago Vieira	0.0694	0.0000	1.4	0.7	0.7
3	Miles Mikolas	0.0000	0.0769	6.7	6.6	0.1
4	Zac Gallen	0.0000	0.0761	5.9	5.8	0.1
5	Chris Bassitt	0.0000	0.0702	1.0	0.9	0.1
6	Mitch Keller	0.0000	0.0727	3.0	2.9	0.1
7	Framber Valdez	0.0000	0.0709	1.5	1.4	0.1
8	Kyle Gibson	0.0000	0.0760	5.6	5.5	0.1
9	Luis Castillo	0.0000	0.0729	3.0	2.9	0.1
10	Lucas Giolito	0.0000	0.0728	3.0	2.9	0.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Colin Rea	0.0694	0.0526	44.1	8.6	35.5
2	Bryan Woo	0.0694	0.0529	31.5	6.1	25.5
3	Dylan Covey	0.0694	0.0365	19.4	6.2	13.1
4	Daniel Palencia	0.0694	0.0448	11.1	2.9	8.2
5	Brock Stewart	0.0694	0.0702	7.4	0.1	7.3
6	Amos Willingham	0.0694	0.0723	7.6	0.4	7.2
7	AJ Smith-Shawver	0.0694	0.0152	12.9	5.7	7.2
8	Lyon Richardson	0.0694	0.0625	6.1	0.5	5.6
9	Jackson Rutledge	0.0694	0.0781	5.3	0.8	4.5
10	Wes Parsons	0.0694	0.0588	2.1	0.3	1.8

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Alec Marsh	0.0259	0.0000 (6.8)	0.0060 (6.6)	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0000 (6.8)	0.0000 (6.8)
Ray Kerr	0.0469	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0000 (4.7)
Hunter Greene	0.0148	0.0000 (4.4)	0.0032 (5.4)	0.0000 (4.7)	0.0000 (4.4)	0.0000 (4.4)
George Kirby	0.0130	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0056 (5.1)	0.0000 (5.8)	0.0000 (5.3)	0.0000 (5.3)
Tanner Banks	0.0230	0.0000 (4.3)	0.0000 (5.7)	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0000 (4.3)	0.0000 (4.3)
Fernando Cruz	0.0207	0.0000 (4.1)	0.0000 (5.6)	0.0000 (4.3)	0.0000 (4.1)	0.0000 (4.1)
Ryne Nelson	0.0221	0.0000 (10.0)	0.0105 (6.8)	0.0000 (10.4)	0.0000 (10.0)	0.0000 (10.0)
Peter Lambert	0.0356	0.0000 (11.1)	0.0058 (10.9)	0.0000 (11.4)	0.0000 (11.1)	0.0000 (11.1)
Dylan Cease	0.0194	0.0000 (10.5)	0.0049 (10.9)	0.0000 (11.1)	0.0000 (10.5)	0.0000 (10.6)
Jovani Morán	0.0283	0.0000 (4.1)	0.0000 (5.1)	0.0000 (4.2)	0.0000 (4.1)	0.0000 (4.1)
Drew Smith	0.0280	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0000 (5.5)	0.0000 (5.4)	0.0000 (5.4)
Lucas Giolito	0.0150	0.0000 (7.1)	0.0073 (5.5)	0.0000 (7.7)	0.0000 (7.1)	0.0000 (7.2)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Sean Manaea	0.0163	5.1
2	José Ureña	0.0290	4.7
3	Louis Varland	0.0225	4.7
4	Blake Snell	0.0000	4.5
5	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0133	4.2
6	Kodai Senga	0.0000	4.2
7	Freddy Peralta	0.0000	4.1
8	Andrew Chafin	0.0238	4.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0095	0.0020	6.4
2	Patrick Corbin	0.0087	0.0017	6.1
3	Freddy Peralta	0.0075	0.0000	5.6
4	Josh Winckowski	0.0141	0.0000	5.4
5	Bailey Ober	0.0112	0.0027	5.3
6	Zack Wheeler	0.0099	0.0039	5.2
7	Blake Snell	0.0060	0.0000	5.0
8	Sandy Alcantara	0.0076	0.0019	4.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Logan Allen	0.0060	0.0000	6.1
2	Bryce Miller	0.0060	0.0000	6.1
3	Sean Manaea	0.0000	0.0163	5.5
4	Louis Varland	0.0000	0.0225	4.9
5	José Ureña	0.0000	0.0290	4.8
6	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0000	0.0133	4.6
7	Kyle Freeland	0.0000	0.0117	4.4
8	Jesse Scholtens	0.0060	0.0000	4.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Sean Manaea	0.0163	5.1
2	José Ureña	0.0290	4.7
3	Louis Varland	0.0225	4.7
4	Blake Snell	0.0000	4.5
5	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0133	4.2
6	Kodai Senga	0.0000	4.2
7	Freddy Peralta	0.0000	4.1
8	Andrew Chafin	0.0238	4.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Sean Manaea	0.0163	5.2
2	José Ureña	0.0290	4.7
3	Louis Varland	0.0225	4.7
4	Blake Snell	0.0000	4.4
5	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0133	4.2
6	Kodai Senga	0.0000	4.1
7	Freddy Peralta	0.0000	4.0
8	Andrew Chafin	0.0238	4.0

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Zack Wheeler	0.0099	0.0039	5.2	1.6	3.6
2	Bailey Ober	0.0112	0.0027	5.3	1.9	3.4
3	Tyler Anderson	0.0107	0.0048	4.2	0.8	3.4
4	Corbin Burnes	0.0095	0.0020	6.4	3.1	3.3
5	Josh Winckowski	0.0141	0.0000	5.4	2.2	3.2
6	Colin Rea	0.0000	0.0088	4.2	1.4	2.7
7	Patrick Corbin	0.0087	0.0017	6.1	3.4	2.7
8	Sonny Gray	0.0087	0.0060	2.6	0.0	2.6
9	Jesús Luzardo	0.0099	0.0067	2.9	0.5	2.4
10	Taijuan Walker	0.0024	0.0081	3.7	1.5	2.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Logan Allen	0.0060	0.0000	6.1	3.2	2.9
2	Bryce Miller	0.0060	0.0000	6.1	3.2	2.9
3	Adam Wainwright	0.0060	0.0054	2.8	0.3	2.6
4	Jesse Scholtens	0.0060	0.0000	4.3	2.3	2.0
5	Ian Gibaut	0.0060	0.0000	3.6	1.9	1.7
6	Drew VerHagen	0.0060	0.0000	3.0	1.6	1.4
7	Collin McHugh	0.0060	0.0000	3.0	1.6	1.4
8	Albert Abreu	0.0060	0.0000	3.0	1.6	1.4
9	Ryan Walker	0.0060	0.0000	3.0	1.6	1.4
10	Elvis Peguero	0.0060	0.0061	1.3	0.0	1.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Lucas Erceg	0.0060	0.0071	1.2	0.3	0.9
2	Ben Joyce	0.0060	0.0000	0.6	0.3	0.3
3	Thyago Vieira	0.0060	0.0000	0.1	0.1	0.1
4	Miles Mikolas	0.0000	0.0077	1.5	1.4	0.0
5	Logan Webb	0.0000	0.0067	0.6	0.6	0.0
6	Lance Lynn	0.0000	0.0060	0.0	0.0	0.0
7	Kyle Gibson	0.0000	0.0088	2.3	2.3	0.0
8	Luis Castillo	0.0000	0.0101	3.3	3.3	0.0
9	Pablo López	0.0000	0.0103	3.4	3.4	0.0
10	Lucas Giolito	0.0000	0.0150	7.1	7.1	0.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Amos Willingham	0.0060	0.0000	1.4	0.7	0.7
2	Brock Stewart	0.0060	0.0000	1.3	0.7	0.7
3	Dylan Covey	0.0060	0.0073	0.9	0.2	0.6
4	AJ Smith-Shawver	0.0060	0.0000	1.3	0.6	0.6
5	Jackson Rutledge	0.0060	0.0000	1.1	0.5	0.5
6	Lyon Richardson	0.0060	0.0000	1.0	0.5	0.5
7	Joey Estes	0.0060	0.0000	0.6	0.3	0.3
8	Colin Rea	0.0060	0.0088	1.7	1.4	0.2
9	Enmanuel De Jesus	0.0060	0.0000	0.4	0.2	0.2
10	Luke Little	0.0060	0.0000	0.4	0.2	0.2

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Tanner Bibee	0.0838	0.1309 (31.5)	0.1216 (25.9)	0.1452 (40.0)	0.1232 (27.2)	0.1242 (27.5)
Jordan Lyles	0.1738	0.1324 (25.9)	0.1275 (29.8)	0.1285 (28.7)	0.1352 (23.6)	0.1336 (25.1)
Carlos Rodón	0.1783	0.0902 (23.3)	0.0902 (23.4)	0.0875 (24.0)	0.0931 (22.4)	0.0901 (23.4)
Adam Wainwright	0.1839	0.1165 (29.4)	0.0997 (37.6)	0.1216 (26.8)	0.1211 (27.0)	0.1118 (31.7)
Lance Lynn	0.1572	0.1111 (31.8)	0.1093 (33.4)	0.1085 (33.7)	0.1121 (30.7)	0.1127 (30.6)
Kyle Bradish	0.0805	0.1199 (31.0)	0.1260 (34.9)	0.1146 (27.5)	0.1158 (28.4)	0.1294 (37.2)
Chris Flexen	0.1738	0.1183 (22.7)	0.1053 (28.9)	0.1178 (22.9)	0.1188 (22.4)	0.1182 (22.9)
Luis Severino	0.1751	0.1029 (27.3)	0.1025 (27.6)	0.1017 (27.7)	0.1039 (26.7)	0.1030 (27.3)
Blake Snell	0.0633	0.1008 (32.8)	0.1063 (36.6)	0.0997 (32.1)	0.0987 (31.4)	0.1040 (35.0)
Sonny Gray	0.0782	0.1099 (28.9)	0.1075 (26.9)	0.1087 (28.2)	0.1128 (31.3)	0.1081 (27.4)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shintaro Fujinami	0.1119	0.1821	22.6
2	Joey Wentz	0.1263	0.1768	21.5
3	Kyle Muller	0.1106	0.1747	21.3
4	Michael Wacha	0.1201	0.0886	21.1
5	Javier Assad	0.1246	0.0846	21.0
6	Brady Singer	0.1095	0.1453	20.4
7	Josiah Gray	0.1252	0.1032	20.1
8	Ken Waldichuk	0.1074	0.1455	20.0
9	Carlos Carrasco	0.1156	0.1703	20.0
10	Dinelson Lamet	0.1206	0.2621	19.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kodai Senga	0.1216	0.0865	28.9
2	Joey Wentz	0.1128	0.1768	28.3
3	Gerrit Cole	0.1028	0.0780	25.7
4	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.1245	0.0950	22.3
5	Yennier Cano	0.1391	0.0671	22.2
6	Jaime Barria	0.1064	0.1740	22.1
7	Alek Manoah	0.0874	0.1470	22.0
8	Josiah Gray	0.1274	0.1032	21.5
9	Hunter Brown	0.1031	0.1414	21.1
10	Tyler Anderson	0.1036	0.1431	20.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Wentz	0.1171	0.1768	26.0
2	Gavin Williams	0.1548	0.0928	23.8
3	Brady Singer	0.1070	0.1453	22.0
4	Shintaro Fujinami	0.1143	0.1821	21.7
5	Wade Miley	0.1271	0.0898	21.7
6	Kyle Muller	0.1109	0.1747	21.2
7	Carlos Carrasco	0.1134	0.1703	20.8
8	Dinelson Lamet	0.1149	0.2621	20.3
9	Javier Assad	0.1226	0.0846	20.2
10	Aaron Nola	0.1001	0.1324	20.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Josiah Gray	0.1313	0.1032	24.5
2	Hunter Brown	0.0998	0.1414	22.9
3	Joey Wentz	0.1248	0.1768	22.1
4	Michael Wacha	0.1213	0.0886	22.0
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.1125	0.1703	21.2
6	Kyle Muller	0.1110	0.1747	21.1
7	Merrill Kelly	0.1198	0.0983	20.6
8	Gerrit Cole	0.0956	0.0780	20.3
9	Javier Assad	0.1224	0.0846	20.1
10	Brady Singer	0.1100	0.1453	19.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shintaro Fujinami	0.1002	0.1821	26.9
2	Dane Dunning	0.1304	0.1011	25.8
3	Josiah Gray	0.1296	0.1032	23.0
4	Javier Assad	0.1287	0.0846	22.7
5	Michael Wacha	0.1218	0.0886	22.0
6	Kyle Muller	0.1101	0.1747	21.6
7	José Berríos	0.1257	0.1049	21.4
8	Merrill Kelly	0.1209	0.0983	21.0
9	Ken Waldichuk	0.1067	0.1455	20.7
10	Noah Syndergaard	0.1071	0.1662	20.6

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kodai Senga	0.1216	0.1031	0.0865	28.9	16.2	12.6
2	Andrew Heaney	0.1281	0.1081	0.1154	12.3	0.4	11.9
3	Tyler Anderson	0.1036	0.1221	0.1431	20.8	9.0	11.8
4	Trevor Williams	0.1136	0.1307	0.1472	17.9	6.4	11.5
5	Tony Gonsolin	0.0865	0.1118	0.1402	20.5	9.4	11.1
6	Jesús Luzardo	0.1237	0.1096	0.1066	17.5	7.2	10.3
7	Yusei Kikuchi	0.1302	0.1158	0.1114	17.6	7.8	9.8
8	Cal Quantrill	0.1023	0.1219	0.1329	10.7	1.9	8.9
9	Luis Castillo	0.1075	0.0962	0.1010	10.4	1.5	8.8
10	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.1245	0.1110	0.0950	22.3	14.1	8.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Julio Teheran	0.1845	0.1503	0.1250	19.1	9.2	9.9
2	Luis Medina	0.1667	0.1321	0.1475	12.9	4.3	8.6
3	Tanner Bibee	0.1452	0.1309	0.0838	40.0	31.5	8.5
4	Gavin Williams	0.1548	0.1334	0.0928	23.8	16.3	7.5
5	Framber Valdez	0.1076	0.0991	0.1064	6.5	0.5	6.0
6	Justin Steele	0.1178	0.1100	0.0992	18.3	12.6	5.7
7	Joe Ryan	0.1028	0.1109	0.1235	9.2	4.0	5.3
8	Cristian Javier	0.0979	0.1056	0.1237	13.0	7.8	5.2
9	Bryce Elder	0.1202	0.1136	0.1079	14.1	9.1	5.0
10	Luis Castillo	0.1018	0.0962	0.1010	6.2	1.5	4.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis Medina	0.1119	0.1321	0.1475	14.1	4.3	9.8
2	Dean Kremer	0.1252	0.1153	0.1156	12.2	4.7	7.5
3	Justin Verlander	0.0986	0.0914	0.0942	7.7	2.7	5.0
4	Patrick Corbin	0.1241	0.1303	0.1430	9.4	4.7	4.7
5	Zac Gallen	0.1077	0.1024	0.1028	10.1	5.4	4.7
6	David Peterson	0.0971	0.1064	0.1301	12.8	8.3	4.4
7	Josiah Gray	0.1313	0.1252	0.1032	24.5	20.1	4.4
8	Chris Bassitt	0.1148	0.1102	0.1065	12.6	8.6	4.0
9	Zach Eflin	0.1153	0.1103	0.0982	17.0	13.3	3.7
10	Jesse Scholtens	0.1146	0.1245	0.1432	8.1	4.5	3.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis Medina	0.1176	0.1321	0.1475	11.5	4.3	7.2
2	Dane Dunning	0.1304	0.1202	0.1011	25.8	18.6	7.2
3	Jack Flaherty	0.1002	0.1097	0.1277	13.6	7.3	6.3
4	Kyle Bradish	0.1294	0.1199	0.0805	37.2	31.0	6.2
5	Noah Syndergaard	0.1071	0.1218	0.1662	20.6	14.7	5.8
6	Andrew Heaney	0.1184	0.1081	0.1154	6.1	0.4	5.7
7	Patrick Sandoval	0.0993	0.1076	0.1365	20.0	14.4	5.5
8	Gregory Santos	0.1429	0.1240	0.1003	14.2	8.8	5.4
9	Julio Urías	0.0956	0.1063	0.1266	11.8	6.5	5.3
10	Framber Valdez	0.0928	0.0991	0.1064	5.7	0.5	5.3

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Tanner Bibee	0.0803	0.1215 (27.6)	0.1124 (22.7)	0.1355 (35.9)	0.1151 (23.9)	0.1141 (23.2)
Jordan Lyles	0.1658	0.1238 (26.8)	0.1204 (28.9)	0.1206 (29.1)	0.1267 (24.6)	0.1242 (26.6)
Carlos Rodón	0.1713	0.0836 (23.4)	0.0856 (22.6)	0.0807 (24.1)	0.0862 (22.6)	0.0839 (23.3)
Adam Wainwright	0.1715	0.1073 (28.1)	0.0954 (33.5)	0.1124 (25.6)	0.1119 (25.9)	0.1027 (30.4)
Lance Lynn	0.1448	0.1027 (29.1)	0.0950 (34.8)	0.1004 (30.8)	0.1041 (27.9)	0.1036 (28.4)
Kyle Bradish	0.0790	0.1108 (25.4)	0.1182 (30.9)	0.1059 (22.2)	0.1070 (22.9)	0.1196 (31.3)
Chris Flexen	0.1674	0.1100 (23.9)	0.1002 (28.2)	0.1101 (23.8)	0.1107 (23.5)	0.1093 (24.3)
Luis Severino	0.1583	0.0952 (23.8)	0.0957 (23.3)	0.0936 (24.4)	0.0958 (23.5)	0.0960 (23.5)
Blake Snell	0.0606	0.0932 (28.6)	0.0993 (33.7)	0.0922 (28.1)	0.0910 (27.1)	0.0963 (30.9)
Shintaro Fujinami	0.1765	0.1041 (23.7)	0.1124 (20.5)	0.1066 (22.7)	0.1127 (20.6)	0.0929 (27.7)
Brady Singer	0.1396	0.1008 (23.0)	0.1030 (20.9)	0.0982 (24.7)	0.1009 (22.8)	0.1033 (21.3)
Sonny Gray	0.0756	0.1015 (24.1)	0.0984 (22.3)	0.1001 (23.2)	0.1039 (26.0)	0.1004 (23.2)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Muller	0.1024	0.1747	24.7
2	Carlos Carrasco	0.1070	0.1631	20.9
3	Joey Wentz	0.1173	0.1646	20.3
4	Hunter Brown	0.0961	0.1323	20.1
5	Aaron Bummer	0.0863	0.1648	19.4
6	Hogan Harris	0.1020	0.1761	19.3
7	Merrill Kelly	0.1100	0.0900	18.8
8	Dinelson Lamet	0.1128	0.2483	18.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Wentz	0.1006	0.1646	28.2
2	Kodai Senga	0.1124	0.0793	27.7
3	Gerrit Cole	0.0972	0.0743	24.4
4	Yennier Cano	0.1325	0.0601	22.4
5	Hunter Brown	0.0928	0.1323	21.8
6	Alek Manoah	0.0790	0.1373	21.4
7	Josiah Gray	0.1226	0.0989	21.3
8	Josh Winckowski	0.1232	0.0736	20.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Muller	0.1023	0.1747	24.6
2	Joey Wentz	0.1094	0.1646	24.1
3	Justin Steele	0.1079	0.0824	22.7
4	Gavin Williams	0.1435	0.0870	21.7
5	Carlos Carrasco	0.1049	0.1631	21.7
6	Hogan Harris	0.1005	0.1761	19.7
7	Dinelson Lamet	0.1070	0.2483	19.6
8	Wade Miley	0.1168	0.0857	18.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Muller	0.1023	0.1747	24.6
2	Hunter Brown	0.0905	0.1323	23.7
3	Carlos Carrasco	0.1038	0.1631	22.1
4	Josiah Gray	0.1240	0.0989	21.9
5	Aaron Bummer	0.0801	0.1648	21.0
6	Joey Wentz	0.1165	0.1646	20.6
7	Hogan Harris	0.0990	0.1761	20.1
8	Merrill Kelly	0.1113	0.0900	19.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kyle Muller	0.1025	0.1747	24.7
2	Noah Syndergaard	0.0986	0.1637	23.1
3	Josh Winckowski	0.1240	0.0736	20.7
4	Merrill Kelly	0.1121	0.0900	20.3
5	Dane Dunning	0.1201	0.0983	20.0
6	Aaron Bummer	0.0841	0.1648	19.9
7	Josiah Gray	0.1204	0.0989	19.2
8	Javier Assad	0.1189	0.0824	19.1

Most Unique Misses for Earned Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kodai Senga	0.1124	0.0956	0.0793	27.7	15.6	12.1
2	Trevor Williams	0.1037	0.1217	0.1351	16.2	4.8	11.4
3	Jesús Luzardo	0.1156	0.1012	0.0958	19.7	8.5	11.2
4	Tyler Anderson	0.0961	0.1135	0.1351	20.3	9.8	10.5
5	Cal Quantrill	0.0902	0.1132	0.1306	14.9	5.1	9.9
6	Andrew Heaney	0.1144	0.1007	0.1061	9.7	0.4	9.3
7	Gerrit Cole	0.0972	0.0867	0.0743	24.4	15.1	9.3
8	Julio Urías	0.0796	0.0987	0.1245	18.3	9.5	8.8
9	Tony Gonsolin	0.0827	0.1037	0.1310	18.1	9.3	8.8
10	Yusei Kikuchi	0.1183	0.1072	0.1029	15.6	7.3	8.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis Medina	0.1542	0.1216	0.1333	13.4	2.8	10.6
2	Julio Teheran	0.1750	0.1413	0.1215	17.2	7.4	9.8
3	Tanner Bibee	0.1355	0.1215	0.0803	35.9	27.6	8.3
4	Gavin Williams	0.1435	0.1240	0.0870	21.7	14.9	6.8
5	Framber Valdez	0.0962	0.0897	0.0941	6.8	1.4	5.4
6	Justin Steele	0.1079	0.1014	0.0824	22.7	17.9	4.8
7	Brandon Williamson	0.1394	0.1300	0.1181	13.5	8.8	4.7
8	Joe Ryan	0.0966	0.1038	0.1205	11.9	7.2	4.7
9	Cristian Javier	0.0922	0.0991	0.1194	14.4	9.8	4.6
10	Bryce Elder	0.1102	0.1044	0.1011	11.3	6.8	4.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis Medina	0.1028	0.1216	0.1333	12.0	2.8	9.2
2	Dean Kremer	0.1168	0.1075	0.1075	11.4	4.5	7.0
3	Josiah Gray	0.1240	0.1176	0.0989	21.9	17.3	4.6
4	Justin Verlander	0.0916	0.0849	0.0867	7.4	2.9	4.5
5	David Peterson	0.0882	0.0976	0.1260	15.5	11.0	4.5
6	Patrick Corbin	0.1151	0.1208	0.1316	8.2	3.8	4.4
7	Zac Gallen	0.0995	0.0947	0.0957	8.4	4.2	4.2
8	Hunter Brown	0.0905	0.0961	0.1323	23.7	20.1	3.6
9	Chris Bassitt	0.1061	0.1020	0.0969	12.8	9.3	3.5
10	Kyle Freeland	0.1358	0.1308	0.1285	9.1	5.7	3.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dane Dunning	0.1201	0.1102	0.0983	20.0	12.9	7.1
2	Luis Medina	0.1078	0.1216	0.1333	9.7	2.8	6.8
3	Andrew Heaney	0.1105	0.1007	0.1061	6.7	0.4	6.2
4	Kyle Bradish	0.1196	0.1108	0.0790	31.3	25.4	5.9
5	Jack Flaherty	0.0932	0.1020	0.1231	15.5	9.8	5.8
6	Noah Syndergaard	0.0986	0.1131	0.1637	23.1	17.4	5.7
7	Julio Urías	0.0880	0.0987	0.1245	14.7	9.5	5.2
8	Gregory Santos	0.1323	0.1146	0.0865	15.0	9.9	5.1
9	Taj Bradley	0.1047	0.1152	0.1413	14.1	9.2	4.8
10	Yusei Kikuchi	0.1139	0.1072	0.1029	11.9	7.3	4.6

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Justin Steele	0.5333	0.2981 (161.0)	0.1500 (244.1)	0.3011 (168.3)	0.3396 (128.9)	0.2609 (203.2)
Zach Eflin	0.5161	0.3313 (122.7)	0.1562 (223.2)	0.3166 (142.2)	0.3445 (111.1)	0.3333 (136.5)
Spencer Strider	0.6250	0.3760 (182.2)	0.2250 (272.8)	0.3859 (184.6)	0.4238 (143.1)	0.3333 (231.2)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.P. France	0.0681	0.4583	220.7
2	Bryce Elder	0.1295	0.3871	181.0
3	Dane Dunning	0.1014	0.3429	166.9
4	Bobby Miller	0.1734	0.5000	159.7
5	Michael Wacha	0.2999	0.5833	151.0
6	Dylan Cease	0.3906	0.2121	148.1
7	Zack Greinke	0.2819	0.0667	133.8
8	Miles Mikolas	0.3982	0.2571	130.2
9	Sandy Alcantara	0.4077	0.2500	128.0
10	Kyle Gibson	0.2876	0.4545	126.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zac Gallen	0.2143	0.5000	205.8
2	Mitch Keller	0.1395	0.4062	185.0
3	Michael Wacha	0.2105	0.5833	182.7
4	Brayan Bello	0.1176	0.4286	179.4
5	Bryce Elder	0.1212	0.3871	163.6
6	Kyle Bradish	0.1282	0.4000	153.9
7	Kyle Gibson	0.2250	0.4545	151.0
8	Taijuan Walker	0.2439	0.4839	144.8
9	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.2286	0.5000	142.2
10	Blake Snell	0.2051	0.4375	140.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.P. France	0.0620	0.4583	231.9
2	Dane Dunning	0.0876	0.3429	186.3
3	Bobby Miller	0.1373	0.5000	184.6
4	Bryce Elder	0.1465	0.3871	178.2
5	Sandy Alcantara	0.4448	0.2500	146.3
6	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.2740	0.5000	142.1
7	Reid Detmers	0.3562	0.1429	135.6
8	Miles Mikolas	0.4156	0.2571	133.8
9	Adrian Houser	0.0793	0.3478	130.5
10	Tylor Megill	0.1336	0.3600	130.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.P. France	0.0525	0.4583	227.9
2	Bryce Elder	0.0707	0.3871	221.7
3	Bobby Miller	0.1393	0.5000	175.3
4	Dane Dunning	0.0869	0.3429	175.0
5	Michael Wacha	0.3090	0.5833	144.2
6	Zack Greinke	0.2950	0.0667	143.5
7	Hunter Brown	0.1301	0.3548	140.4
8	Reid Detmers	0.3430	0.1429	137.7
9	Bryce Miller	0.0512	0.3200	137.0
10	Dylan Cease	0.3715	0.2121	135.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Wacha	0.2174	0.5833	208.6
2	J.P. France	0.1429	0.4583	189.9
3	Kyle Gibson	0.2308	0.4545	189.7
4	Zac Gallen	0.3103	0.5000	170.0
5	Mitch Keller	0.2143	0.4062	167.7
6	Seth Lugo	0.0588	0.3077	157.1
7	Dylan Cease	0.4194	0.2121	153.6
8	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.2800	0.5000	143.6
9	Kyle Bradish	0.2000	0.4000	141.8
10	Nathan Eovaldi	0.2500	0.4800	139.2

Most Unique Misses for Win Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis Castillo	0.2105	0.3957	0.4242	137.4	14.6	122.7
2	Blake Snell	0.2051	0.4001	0.4375	140.9	20.1	120.9
3	Brayan Bello	0.1176	0.3269	0.4286	179.4	61.0	118.3
4	Kodai Senga	0.2016	0.3939	0.4138	117.8	6.6	111.2
5	Zach Eflin	0.1562	0.3313	0.5161	223.2	122.7	100.5
6	Zac Gallen	0.2143	0.3540	0.5000	205.8	114.8	91.0
7	Spencer Strider	0.2250	0.3760	0.6250	272.8	182.2	90.7
8	Dean Kremer	0.1795	0.3341	0.4062	135.5	45.4	90.1
9	George Kirby	0.1951	0.3371	0.4194	137.6	54.4	83.2
10	Justin Steele	0.1500	0.2981	0.5333	244.1	161.0	83.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Nick Martinez	0.3480	0.1786	0.0952	115.2	43.2	72.0
2	Patrick Corbin	0.2260	0.2746	0.3125	70.5	21.8	48.7
3	Jesse Scholtens	0.2016	0.0726	0.0385	60.5	16.7	43.7
4	Jose Cuas	0.2016	0.0505	0.0417	45.9	5.6	40.3
5	David Peterson	0.3196	0.2320	0.1111	101.2	64.6	36.6
6	Brayan Bello	0.2864	0.3269	0.4286	96.8	61.0	35.8
7	Yusei Kikuchi	0.1667	0.2038	0.3438	125.9	90.7	35.2
8	Joe Ryan	0.3279	0.3665	0.3793	36.4	1.7	34.8
9	Aaron Loup	0.2016	0.0423	0.0364	37.5	3.8	33.8
10	Adrian Houser	0.0793	0.1359	0.3478	130.5	97.0	33.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Hunter Brown	0.1301	0.2227	0.3548	140.4	81.0	59.3
2	Luke Weaver	0.2736	0.1718	0.1034	103.5	44.3	59.2
3	Jake Irvin	0.2690	0.1764	0.1250	83.6	32.7	50.9
4	Andrew Heaney	0.3542	0.2857	0.2941	47.2	1.2	46.0
5	Joey Wentz	0.2368	0.1552	0.1200	64.2	22.4	41.8
6	Bryce Elder	0.0707	0.1295	0.3871	221.7	181.0	40.6
7	Rich Hill	0.3050	0.2473	0.2500	45.3	5.0	40.3
8	Chris Bassitt	0.3749	0.4180	0.4848	79.5	46.7	32.8
9	MacKenzie Gore	0.3057	0.2437	0.2593	35.0	3.1	31.9
10	Lucas Erceg	0.2016	0.0789	0.0800	34.0	2.3	31.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jesús Luzardo	0.2174	0.2949	0.3125	78.9	5.4	73.4
2	Josh Winckowski	0.2917	0.0770	0.0667	78.4	7.6	70.8
3	Mitch Keller	0.2143	0.2703	0.4062	167.7	103.6	64.1
4	Kyle Gibson	0.2308	0.2876	0.4545	189.7	126.4	63.4
5	Kyle Bradish	0.2000	0.2664	0.4000	141.8	82.8	59.0
6	Michael Wacha	0.2174	0.2999	0.5833	208.6	151.0	57.6
7	Alex Wood	0.3810	0.2304	0.1724	84.6	29.3	55.3
8	George Kirby	0.2857	0.3371	0.4194	109.7	54.4	55.3
9	Zac Gallen	0.3103	0.3540	0.5000	170.0	114.8	55.2
10	Freddy Peralta	0.2308	0.2889	0.4000	122.8	68.5	54.2

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Johan Oviedo	0.4375	0.1850 (180.3)	0.1562 (179.1)	0.1678 (195.8)	0.1701 (200.5)	0.2222 (164.8)
JP Sears	0.4375	0.1968 (161.0)	0.1250 (191.5)	0.1883 (169.3)	0.1798 (181.6)	0.2308 (148.8)
Tanner Houck	0.4762	0.1188 (155.4)	0.1515 (126.3)	0.1152 (158.4)	0.0943 (171.9)	0.1613 (143.8)
Hunter Brown	0.4194	0.1550 (161.3)	0.0909 (183.9)	0.2268 (115.4)	0.0981 (206.5)	0.2143 (133.5)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Martín Pérez	0.3307	0.1143	144.8
2	Luis Medina	0.1417	0.4348	134.3
3	Dean Kremer	0.3136	0.1562	131.6
4	Joey Wentz	0.2543	0.5200	120.0
5	Gerrit Cole	0.2391	0.1212	114.7
6	Patrick Sandoval	0.2677	0.4643	114.0
7	Ben Lively	0.0713	0.3684	105.5
8	Brandon Bielak	0.0812	0.4000	104.9
9	Ryan Weathers	0.1068	0.5333	104.0
10	Tanner Bibee	0.3154	0.1600	103.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jordan Lyles	0.2683	0.5484	170.6
2	Joey Wentz	0.1212	0.5200	170.6
3	Lucas Giolito	0.2000	0.4545	160.8
4	Zack Greinke	0.1892	0.5000	153.5
5	Charlie Morton	0.1463	0.4000	144.4
6	Rich Hill	0.1842	0.4375	132.9
7	Logan Webb	0.1860	0.3939	132.5
8	Josiah Gray	0.1951	0.4333	130.0
9	Kyle Freeland	0.2439	0.4828	126.5
10	Patrick Sandoval	0.2250	0.4643	122.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Wentz	0.1781	0.5200	158.9
2	Adam Wainwright	0.2034	0.5238	145.9
3	Dean Kremer	0.3282	0.1562	140.3
4	Jordan Lyles	0.3527	0.5484	132.2
5	Martín Pérez	0.3116	0.1143	131.5
6	Patrick Sandoval	0.2517	0.4643	126.3
7	Lucas Giolito	0.2825	0.4545	121.6
8	Tylor Megill	0.1011	0.3200	113.4
9	Ben Lively	0.0541	0.3684	113.1
10	Brandon Bielak	0.0671	0.4000	110.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Medina	0.0524	0.4348	184.0
2	Dean Kremer	0.3763	0.1562	169.6
3	Martín Pérez	0.3730	0.1143	163.8
4	Gerrit Cole	0.2808	0.1212	139.8
5	Taijuan Walker	0.3672	0.1935	135.1
6	Justin Steele	0.3379	0.1667	130.3
7	Tanner Bibee	0.3586	0.1600	122.4
8	Tylor Megill	0.0970	0.3200	120.4
9	Griffin Canning	0.0986	0.3333	120.1
10	Bryce Miller	0.0468	0.2800	119.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Patrick Sandoval	0.2400	0.4643	143.5
2	Charlie Morton	0.2143	0.4000	129.9
3	Jordan Montgomery	0.1724	0.3438	129.8
4	Logan Webb	0.2414	0.3939	126.1
5	Seth Lugo	0.0588	0.2692	124.5
6	Martín Pérez	0.3103	0.1143	121.8
7	Josh Winckowski	0.3750	0.0667	114.7
8	Luis Severino	0.1429	0.4211	114.2
9	Zack Greinke	0.3077	0.5000	111.5
10	Trevor Williams	0.1600	0.3333	111.4

Most Unique Misses for Loss Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Josiah Gray	0.1951	0.3617	0.4333	130.0	34.8	95.2
2	Jordan Lyles	0.2683	0.4098	0.5484	170.6	87.4	83.2
3	Jameson Taillon	0.1395	0.3272	0.3333	92.9	10.2	82.7
4	MacKenzie Gore	0.1429	0.3110	0.3704	102.2	21.9	80.3
5	Kyle Freeland	0.2439	0.3888	0.4828	126.5	48.9	77.6
6	Joe Ryan	0.1707	0.3164	0.3448	82.1	4.5	77.6
7	Rich Hill	0.1842	0.3317	0.4375	132.9	55.5	77.4
8	Cal Quantrill	0.1111	0.3117	0.3684	91.2	15.5	75.6
9	Zack Greinke	0.1892	0.3439	0.5000	153.5	79.7	73.8
10	Michael Lorenzen	0.1351	0.2960	0.3103	76.9	4.6	72.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2034	0.3525	0.5238	145.9	72.4	73.5
2	Logan Allen	0.2034	0.3160	0.3333	59.6	2.4	57.2
3	Patrick Corbin	0.3288	0.3925	0.4688	95.6	43.1	52.5
4	Nick Martinez	0.2511	0.1434	0.0635	95.2	46.8	48.4
5	Jake Irvin	0.3636	0.2682	0.2917	48.2	0.9	47.3
6	Ken Waldichuk	0.3127	0.2385	0.2571	47.6	2.0	45.7
7	Jordan Lyles	0.3527	0.4098	0.5484	132.2	87.4	44.8
8	Collin McHugh	0.2034	0.0348	0.0244	53.0	8.6	44.4
9	Ian Gibaut	0.2034	0.0609	0.0541	53.5	9.1	44.4
10	Blake Snell	0.2036	0.2564	0.2812	43.5	2.3	41.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luke Weaver	0.4070	0.2375	0.2069	118.7	29.5	89.2
2	Jake Irvin	0.4241	0.2682	0.2917	75.8	0.9	74.9
3	Luis Medina	0.0524	0.1417	0.4348	184.0	134.3	49.7
4	Zach Eflin	0.3403	0.2616	0.2581	65.3	17.7	47.6
5	Justin Steele	0.3379	0.2608	0.1667	130.3	83.0	47.3
6	Hunter Brown	0.0981	0.1550	0.4194	206.5	161.3	45.2
7	Cristian Javier	0.3140	0.2409	0.1613	112.3	69.6	42.6
8	Bryce Elder	0.0620	0.1069	0.1290	41.3	0.3	41.0
9	Corbin Burnes	0.2965	0.2334	0.2500	44.8	4.0	40.8
10	Dean Kremer	0.3763	0.3136	0.1562	169.6	131.6	37.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Irvin	0.0833	0.2682	0.2917	108.2	0.9	107.2
2	Bryce Elder	0.2692	0.1069	0.1290	105.7	0.3	105.5
3	Josh Winckowski	0.3750	0.0852	0.0667	114.7	14.8	99.9
4	Trevor Williams	0.1600	0.2649	0.3333	111.4	30.8	80.7
5	Jordan Montgomery	0.1724	0.2420	0.3438	129.8	62.2	67.7
6	Bryan Hoeing	0.3750	0.1358	0.0909	87.7	20.3	67.4
7	Braxton Garrett	0.3478	0.1753	0.2258	83.2	18.9	64.3
8	Mason Englert	0.3478	0.0812	0.0968	64.6	1.6	63.0
9	Corbin Burnes	0.1613	0.2334	0.2500	66.2	4.0	62.2
10	Bryse Wilson	0.2963	0.0918	0.0000	94.4	35.6	58.7

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Carlos Estévez	0.4921	0.2066 (77.5)	0.0851 (118.6)	0.1080 (105.0)	0.2573 (63.4)	0.2615 (63.5)
Paul Sewald	0.5231	0.2982 (53.6)	0.1875 (87.4)	0.2504 (65.3)	0.2960 (54.3)	0.3479 (42.5)
Daniel Bard	0.0200	0.4287 (97.0)	0.3333 (69.1)	0.3527 (79.6)	0.4078 (92.1)	0.5278 (118.9)
Evan Phillips	0.3871	0.1319 (57.5)	0.0488 (82.7)	0.1080 (62.9)	0.1309 (57.8)	0.1571 (52.7)
Jhoan Duran	0.4576	0.1816 (68.0)	0.1026 (94.4)	0.2003 (63.0)	0.1568 (74.4)	0.1904 (67.0)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Will Smith	0.0324	0.3667	73.4
2	Adbert Alzolay	0.0838	0.3793	72.4
3	Jorge López	0.2759	0.0492	62.8
4	José Leclerc	0.3268	0.0702	62.0
5	Pierce Johnson	0.0127	0.1940	47.6
6	Tanner Banks	0.2004	0.0312	45.5
7	Justin Lawrence	0.0115	0.1594	45.1
8	Michael Fulmer	0.2080	0.0345	43.4
9	Jordan Hicks	0.0273	0.1846	42.1
10	Yonny Chirinos	0.0982	0.0000	39.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Bednar	0.1750	0.5909	119.4
2	Alexis Díaz	0.1316	0.5211	115.8
3	Devin Williams	0.1250	0.5902	111.0
4	Alex Lange	0.0213	0.3881	110.0
5	Félix Bautista	0.1463	0.5893	108.6
6	Camilo Doval	0.2340	0.5652	97.4
7	Kyle Finnegan	0.1200	0.4179	90.2
8	Adbert Alzolay	0.0417	0.3793	89.3
9	Trevor May	0.0625	0.4286	78.2
10	Emmanuel Clase	0.3571	0.5867	73.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adbert Alzolay	0.0529	0.3793	80.0
2	Trevor May	0.0303	0.4286	79.5
3	Will Smith	0.0309	0.3667	73.6
4	Kyle Finnegan	0.1543	0.4179	73.0
5	Alexis Díaz	0.3086	0.5211	57.8
6	Pierce Johnson	0.0000	0.1940	50.9
7	Jordan Hicks	0.0000	0.1846	49.7
8	Justin Lawrence	0.0000	0.1594	48.6
9	José Leclerc	0.2646	0.0702	47.7
10	Camilo Doval	0.3858	0.5652	47.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adbert Alzolay	0.0655	0.3793	77.1
2	Will Smith	0.0324	0.3667	73.5
3	Tanner Banks	0.3092	0.0312	73.2
4	Jorge López	0.2816	0.0492	64.2
5	José Leclerc	0.3198	0.0702	60.3
6	Yonny Chirinos	0.1408	0.0000	55.0
7	Michael Fulmer	0.2465	0.0345	52.4
8	Pierce Johnson	0.0153	0.1940	47.0
9	Pete Fairbanks	0.2520	0.5102	45.8
10	Justin Lawrence	0.0170	0.1594	43.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jorge López	0.4479	0.0492	107.3
2	Yonny Chirinos	0.2406	0.0000	90.0
3	José Leclerc	0.4042	0.0702	78.9
4	Tanner Banks	0.3274	0.0312	76.7
5	Will Smith	0.0341	0.3667	74.1
6	David Robertson	0.5278	0.2903	65.1
7	Scott Barlow	0.3790	0.2063	53.0
8	Pierce Johnson	0.0221	0.1940	46.3
9	Michael Fulmer	0.2241	0.0345	46.0
10	Justin Lawrence	0.0170	0.1594	44.9

Most Unique Misses for Save Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	David Bednar	0.1750	0.5058	0.5909	119.4	21.0	98.5
2	Alex Lange	0.0213	0.2849	0.3881	110.0	27.0	83.1
3	Devin Williams	0.1250	0.4407	0.5902	111.0	32.3	78.6
4	Camilo Doval	0.2340	0.4865	0.5652	97.4	19.4	77.9
5	Alexis Díaz	0.1316	0.3755	0.5211	115.8	38.9	76.9
6	Kyle Finnegan	0.1200	0.3573	0.4179	90.2	14.7	75.5
7	Félix Bautista	0.1463	0.4302	0.5893	108.6	35.5	73.1
8	Trevor May	0.0625	0.3312	0.4286	78.2	18.0	60.2
9	Emmanuel Clase	0.3571	0.5004	0.5867	73.9	23.2	50.7
10	Jordan Romano	0.3542	0.5302	0.6102	67.3	17.5	49.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trevor May	0.0303	0.3312	0.4286	79.5	18.0	61.5
2	Kyle Finnegan	0.1543	0.3573	0.4179	73.0	14.7	58.2
3	Camilo Doval	0.3858	0.4865	0.5652	47.5	19.4	28.1
4	Carlos Estévez	0.1080	0.2066	0.4921	105.0	77.5	27.5
5	Dominic Leone	0.1515	0.0536	0.0196	33.4	10.2	23.2
6	Alexis Díaz	0.3086	0.3755	0.5211	57.8	38.9	18.9
7	Logan Allen	0.0303	0.0000	0.0000	21.8	5.1	16.7
8	Bryce Miller	0.0303	0.0000	0.0000	21.8	5.1	16.7
9	Colin Rea	0.0303	0.0000	0.0000	21.0	4.9	16.1
10	Alex Lange	0.2315	0.2849	0.3881	42.1	27.0	15.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tanner Banks	0.3092	0.2004	0.0312	73.2	45.5	27.7
2	Yonny Chirinos	0.1408	0.0982	0.0000	55.0	39.5	15.5
3	Scott McGough	0.1972	0.1542	0.1429	19.1	6.3	12.8
4	Trevor May	0.2778	0.3312	0.4286	29.0	18.0	11.0
5	Jordan Romano	0.4917	0.5302	0.6102	27.1	17.5	9.6
6	David Bednar	0.4714	0.5058	0.5909	30.6	21.0	9.6
7	Pete Fairbanks	0.2520	0.3033	0.5102	45.8	36.3	9.5
8	Michael Fulmer	0.2465	0.2080	0.0345	52.4	43.4	9.1
9	Josh Hader	0.4885	0.5258	0.5410	10.0	1.3	8.7
10	Lucas Erceg	0.0303	0.0000	0.0000	9.9	2.4	7.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yonny Chirinos	0.2406	0.0982	0.0000	90.0	39.5	50.5
2	Jorge López	0.4479	0.2759	0.0492	107.3	62.8	44.5
3	David Robertson	0.5278	0.3622	0.2903	65.1	21.9	43.3
4	Tanner Banks	0.3274	0.2004	0.0312	76.7	45.5	31.2
5	Daniel Bard	0.5278	0.4287	0.0200	118.9	97.0	21.9
6	Brock Burke	0.1321	0.0571	0.0000	34.2	16.7	17.5
7	Scott Barlow	0.3790	0.3167	0.2063	53.0	35.8	17.2
8	José Leclerc	0.4042	0.3268	0.0702	78.9	62.0	16.9
9	Kevin Ginkel	0.1818	0.1111	0.0667	30.4	13.7	16.7
10	Ryan Helsley	0.5930	0.4781	0.4242	25.3	9.2	16.1

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Joel Payamps	0.3913	0.0283 (100.8)	0.0833 (97.3)	0.0515 (95.5)	0.0153 (102.9)	0.0153 (106.4)
Yennier Cano	0.4306	0.0382 (107.7)	0.1111 (99.2)	0.0505 (105.6)	0.0432 (104.7)	0.0159 (115.9)
Tyler Rogers	0.4412	0.2165 (65.8)	0.2453 (70.1)	0.2469 (57.8)	0.1919 (71.7)	0.2132 (68.8)
Josh Winckowski	0.3167	0.0359 (98.8)	0.0833 (97.1)	0.0617 (91.0)	0.0161 (103.9)	0.0268 (104.4)
Elvis Peguero	0.3559	0.0395 (76.8)	0.1053 (71.0)	0.0644 (71.7)	0.0583 (70.6)	0.0142 (84.8)
Mark Leiter Jr.	0.4058	0.0773 (85.2)	0.1290 (82.8)	0.1515 (66.5)	0.0301 (96.4)	0.0186 (102.8)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Martinez	0.0119	0.2381	98.9
2	Jason Foley	0.1399	0.4000	68.6
3	Danny Coulombe	0.0342	0.3607	66.1
4	Colin Holderman	0.1852	0.4655	64.5
5	Justin Topa	0.0711	0.3067	62.5
6	Tyler Holton	0.0379	0.2373	60.8
7	José Soriano	0.0644	0.3947	59.0
8	Jaime Barria	0.2094	0.0588	58.7
9	Héctor Neris	0.2222	0.4366	55.4
10	Lucas Erceg	0.0000	0.2200	52.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Seth Lugo	0.2045	0.0000	104.8
2	Colin Holderman	0.0870	0.4655	98.3
3	Jason Foley	0.1250	0.4000	84.5
4	Michael Lorenzen	0.1622	0.0000	81.8
5	Michael Kopech	0.1628	0.0000	77.8
6	Erik Swanson	0.1667	0.4203	74.6
7	Gregory Soto	0.0816	0.3478	74.3
8	Clarke Schmidt	0.1379	0.0000	74.1
9	Steven Wilson	0.1176	0.4231	73.7
10	Ian Gibaut	0.1111	0.3108	73.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Martinez	0.0000	0.2381	106.5
2	Colin Holderman	0.0579	0.4655	96.1
3	Jason Foley	0.0463	0.4000	95.7
4	Steven Wilson	0.0463	0.4231	81.0
5	Ian Gibaut	0.0644	0.3108	76.1
6	Danny Coulombe	0.0505	0.3607	63.6
7	Jhoan Duran	0.2504	0.0169	61.3
8	Zack Littell	0.1515	0.0000	60.1
9	José Soriano	0.0644	0.3947	59.8
10	Carlos Hernández	0.0494	0.2537	59.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Martinez	0.0149	0.2381	94.9
2	Justin Topa	0.0129	0.3067	77.1
3	Danny Coulombe	0.0302	0.3607	65.7
4	Tyler Holton	0.0181	0.2373	65.4
5	Colin Holderman	0.1843	0.4655	63.3
6	Josh Sborz	0.0145	0.3182	61.5
7	Héctor Neris	0.2004	0.4366	59.7
8	Jake Bird	0.0144	0.1857	58.6
9	José Soriano	0.0644	0.3947	57.9
10	Jason Foley	0.1799	0.4000	55.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adbert Alzolay	0.6296	0.1207	130.1
2	Jakob Junis	0.3724	0.0500	120.2
3	Jaime Barria	0.3333	0.0588	101.2
4	Nick Martinez	0.0148	0.2381	100.5
5	Michael King	0.3535	0.1633	84.2
6	Bryse Wilson	0.3433	0.0943	79.8
7	Justin Topa	0.0239	0.3067	77.4
8	Ty Blach	0.2104	0.0000	75.9
9	Chris Flexen	0.1491	0.0000	71.9
10	Danny Coulombe	0.0194	0.3607	70.6

Most Unique Misses for Hold Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Seth Lugo	0.2045	0.0105	0.0000	104.8	13.4	91.4
2	Michael Lorenzen	0.1622	0.0146	0.0000	81.8	16.4	65.4
3	Michael Kopech	0.1628	0.0128	0.0000	77.8	14.4	63.4
4	Devin Williams	0.3125	0.0235	0.0000	65.0	8.1	56.9
5	Clarke Schmidt	0.1379	0.0143	0.0000	74.1	18.0	56.1
6	Hunter Brown	0.1364	0.0131	0.0000	70.0	16.5	53.5
7	Scott McGough	0.0644	0.1960	0.2222	56.9	4.4	52.5
8	Julian Merryweather	0.0769	0.1957	0.2464	60.8	11.8	49.0
9	Ian Gibaut	0.1111	0.2196	0.3108	73.4	25.3	48.1
10	Colin Rea	0.1333	0.0000	0.0000	52.8	6.0	46.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ian Gibaut	0.0644	0.2196	0.3108	76.1	25.3	50.8
2	Steven Wilson	0.0463	0.1950	0.4231	81.0	47.4	33.6
3	Logan Allen	0.0644	0.0000	0.0000	38.4	6.3	32.1
4	Colin Holderman	0.0579	0.1852	0.4655	96.1	64.5	31.6
5	Enyel De Los Santos	0.0475	0.1628	0.2286	45.6	14.2	31.4
6	Dominic Leone	0.2273	0.0911	0.0588	41.2	10.3	30.9
7	Colin Rea	0.0644	0.0000	0.0000	36.9	6.0	30.9
8	Carlos Hernández	0.0494	0.1421	0.2537	59.2	30.0	29.2
9	Adam Wainwright	0.0644	0.0000	0.0000	34.6	5.6	28.9
10	Jason Foley	0.0463	0.1399	0.4000	95.7	68.6	27.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Javier Assad	0.1318	0.0733	0.0938	24.9	3.9	20.9
2	Scott McGough	0.1226	0.1960	0.2222	24.8	4.4	20.4
3	Génesis Cabrera	0.0120	0.0993	0.1803	36.1	16.6	19.5
4	Jake Bird	0.0144	0.0650	0.1857	58.6	41.5	17.1
5	Josh Sborz	0.0145	0.0930	0.3182	61.5	45.9	15.6
6	Jesse Scholtens	0.1486	0.1135	0.0385	48.1	32.7	15.4
7	Justin Topa	0.0129	0.0711	0.3067	77.1	62.5	14.6
8	Brandon Williamson	0.0341	0.0115	0.0000	25.3	11.4	13.9
9	Kyle Finnegan	0.0481	0.1009	0.1194	15.5	2.0	13.6
10	Jorge López	0.0901	0.1450	0.1639	15.0	1.9	13.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adbert Alzolay	0.6296	0.2251	0.1207	130.1	29.4	100.7
2	Jakob Junis	0.3724	0.1377	0.0500	120.2	36.5	83.8
3	Bryse Wilson	0.3433	0.1334	0.0943	79.8	15.9	63.9
4	Cole Ragans	0.2441	0.1016	0.1034	57.2	3.8	53.4
5	Andre Pallante	0.4033	0.2420	0.2258	55.2	8.4	46.8
6	Jaime Barria	0.3333	0.2094	0.0588	101.2	58.7	42.5
7	Tyler Alexander	0.4151	0.1829	0.0800	61.6	20.7	40.9
8	Michael King	0.3535	0.2543	0.1633	84.2	44.3	40.0
9	Zack Thompson	0.2791	0.1432	0.0400	70.1	33.0	37.2
10	Ty Blach	0.2104	0.1008	0.0000	75.9	39.6	36.3

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Tanner Bibee	2.9789	4.5340 (1090.6)	4.3995 (1043.5)	4.8774 (1303.7)	4.3987 (1010.5)	4.3077 (954.8)
Carlos Carrasco	6.8000	4.1011 (996.5)	4.1618 (948.7)	4.0116 (1025.1)	3.9497 (1060.3)	4.3454 (897.1)
Kyle Muller	7.5974	3.9350 (1247.4)	4.4672 (1029.4)	3.9468 (1235.3)	3.9293 (1250.1)	3.9289 (1251.9)
Carlos Rodón	6.8549	3.0518 (999.3)	3.1343 (960.2)	2.9586 (1020.0)	3.1656 (967.2)	3.0318 (1006.6)
Adam Wainwright	7.3960	4.1545 (1419.3)	3.5554 (1683.1)	4.3995 (1290.6)	4.3550 (1323.0)	3.9560 (1518.1)
Lance Lynn	5.7332	3.8606 (1263.2)	3.5677 (1456.3)	3.7693 (1320.2)	3.9175 (1218.6)	3.8952 (1240.0)
Kyle Bradish	2.8281	4.2887 (1187.5)	4.5636 (1408.2)	4.0670 (1052.8)	4.1149 (1069.8)	4.6923 (1454.5)
Dinelson Lamet	11.7108	4.3374 (1024.3)	4.2857 (1024.0)	4.0185 (1067.5)	4.3708 (1019.7)	4.6359 (981.9)
Chris Flexen	6.8599	4.2625 (1066.3)	3.8037 (1255.0)	4.2978 (1040.2)	4.2627 (1067.0)	4.2273 (1085.5)
Blake Snell	2.2500	3.4846 (1145.5)	3.7721 (1398.8)	3.4506 (1135.7)	3.3951 (1077.9)	3.6087 (1233.2)
Luis Severino	6.6493	3.5461 (1165.1)	3.5228 (1152.3)	3.5022 (1174.7)	3.5987 (1143.8)	3.5379 (1170.9)
Sonny Gray	2.7880	3.8859 (1060.9)	3.6986 (960.4)	3.8517 (1050.9)	4.0123 (1155.0)	3.7956 (988.4)

Individual Misses for ERA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shintaro Fujinami	4.1287	7.1772	977.9
2	Brady Singer	3.8404	5.5240	964.9
3	Joey Wentz	4.6400	6.8991	959.3
4	Merrill Kelly	4.2120	3.2927	886.9
5	Aaron Bummer	3.2499	6.7886	862.3
6	Jordan Lyles	4.8679	6.2814	826.1
7	Hogan Harris	3.9701	7.1429	813.3
8	Justin Steele	3.8887	3.0635	812.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Wentz	3.8224	6.8991	1335.0
2	Kodai Senga	4.3995	2.9760	1240.0
3	Alek Manoah	2.9032	5.8740	1082.2
4	Gerrit Cole	3.5224	2.6268	1033.5
5	Yennier Cano	5.2941	2.1055	1005.2
6	Tyler Anderson	3.5578	5.4255	946.4
7	Jordan Lyles	4.6618	6.2814	939.8
8	Jesús Luzardo	4.3997	3.5765	879.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Wentz	4.2846	6.8991	1123.9
2	Brady Singer	3.7208	5.5240	1034.2
3	Justin Steele	4.1197	3.0635	992.5
4	Shintaro Fujinami	4.2294	7.1772	934.5
5	Jordan Lyles	4.7329	6.2814	911.5
6	Wade Miley	4.6206	3.1413	886.6
7	Hogan Harris	3.8864	7.1429	831.1
8	Merrill Kelly	4.0914	3.2927	814.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Joey Wentz	4.5955	6.8991	982.0
2	Brady Singer	3.8449	5.5240	962.8
3	Merrill Kelly	4.2774	3.2927	933.1
4	Aaron Bummer	3.0111	6.7886	926.5
5	Hunter Brown	3.4342	5.0878	895.1
6	Josiah Gray	4.8737	3.9057	890.4
7	Shintaro Fujinami	4.4475	7.1772	864.7
8	Hogan Harris	3.8277	7.1429	854.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Shintaro Fujinami	3.7053	7.1772	1131.2
2	Noah Syndergaard	3.7100	6.4962	970.8
3	Dane Dunning	4.7262	3.7008	959.4
4	Merrill Kelly	4.2670	3.2927	922.5
5	Javier Assad	4.7328	3.0457	893.7
6	Alek Manoah	3.4309	5.8740	888.0
7	Brady Singer	3.9567	5.5240	887.3
8	Aaron Bummer	3.1765	6.7886	883.4

Most Unique Misses for ERA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kodai Senga	4.3995	3.6031	2.9760	1240.0	649.8	590.2
2	Trevor Williams	3.9958	4.7585	5.5497	784.7	317.6	467.0
3	Tyler Anderson	3.5578	4.3337	5.4255	946.4	492.3	454.1
4	Jesús Luzardo	4.3997	3.8533	3.5765	879.1	434.2	444.9
5	Cal Quantrill	3.3771	4.3744	5.2375	664.7	245.9	418.8
6	Patrick Corbin	5.5357	4.7192	5.2000	552.1	135.6	416.6
7	Tony Gonsolin	2.9954	3.9624	4.9806	705.6	308.4	397.2
8	Yusei Kikuchi	4.6075	4.1238	3.8648	774.1	397.7	376.4
9	Joey Wentz	3.8224	4.6400	6.8991	1335.0	959.3	375.7
10	Ryne Nelson	3.6864	4.3319	5.3125	781.7	415.6	366.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Julio Teheran	6.3000	5.4423	4.3953	643.6	390.6	253.0
2	Framber Valdez	3.6186	3.3735	3.4545	399.2	184.3	214.8
3	Tanner Bibee	4.8774	4.5340	2.9789	1303.7	1090.6	213.1
4	Luis Castillo	3.5114	3.2761	3.3350	406.1	200.7	205.3
5	Dean Kremer	4.3598	4.1241	4.1178	420.4	231.9	188.5
6	Justin Steele	4.1197	3.8887	3.0635	992.5	812.2	180.3
7	Bryce Elder	4.2602	4.0399	3.8130	569.0	392.4	176.5
8	Gavin Williams	5.1677	4.6825	3.2927	760.7	586.1	174.6
9	Karl Kauffmann	4.3995	5.5144	8.2286	552.8	380.0	172.9
10	Noah Davis	4.3995	5.5919	8.7000	579.7	408.6	171.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis Medina	4.0388	4.6878	5.4164	529.6	207.6	322.0
2	Dean Kremer	4.5209	4.1241	4.1178	522.4	231.9	290.5
3	Josiah Gray	4.8737	4.5728	3.9057	890.4	681.5	208.9
4	Patrick Corbin	4.4579	4.7192	5.2000	343.2	135.6	207.7
5	David Peterson	3.3497	3.7422	5.0270	673.9	480.0	193.9
6	Kyle Freeland	5.4819	5.2010	5.0300	514.2	325.1	189.1
7	Justin Verlander	3.3578	3.0821	3.2156	300.9	117.5	183.4
8	Zac Gallen	3.7686	3.5531	3.4714	511.6	330.6	181.0
9	Hunter Brown	3.4342	3.6754	5.0878	895.1	733.6	161.5
10	Chris Bassitt	4.0223	3.8454	3.6000	602.9	458.1	144.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dane Dunning	4.7262	4.2815	3.7008	959.4	642.5	316.9
2	Jack Flaherty	3.4716	3.8804	4.9885	788.8	519.3	269.6
3	Kyle Bradish	4.6923	4.2887	2.8281	1454.5	1187.5	266.9
4	Noah Syndergaard	3.7100	4.3487	6.4962	970.8	718.8	252.0
5	Yusei Kikuchi	4.4878	4.1238	3.8648	648.4	397.7	250.7
6	Gregory Santos	5.3957	4.5546	3.3920	666.7	425.4	241.4
7	Julio Urías	3.1888	3.6763	4.6023	535.1	297.3	237.8
8	Taj Bradley	3.9519	4.3894	5.5892	613.6	409.7	203.9
9	Tony Gonsolin	3.5357	3.9624	4.9806	496.6	308.4	188.1
10	Kutter Crawford	4.7157	4.3661	4.0361	518.0	336.8	181.2

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jack Flaherty	1.5797	1.2473 (196.6)	1.2802 (155.8)	1.2930 (165.4)	1.2945 (170.7)	1.1572 (246.4)
Alek Manoah	1.7405	1.1599 (228.5)	1.0772 (250.4)	1.1905 (214.9)	1.2255 (204.3)	1.0663 (261.7)
Kyle Muller	1.9610	1.3047 (233.0)	1.3139 (218.5)	1.3156 (228.1)	1.3133 (232.5)	1.2854 (235.2)
Nick Pivetta	1.1215	1.3676 (162.0)	1.3370 (161.6)	1.3501 (153.1)	1.3780 (163.8)	1.3748 (174.2)
Adam Wainwright	1.9010	1.3341 (259.9)	1.2028 (308.9)	1.3286 (261.4)	1.3562 (252.7)	1.3122 (263.9)
Ken Waldichuk	1.5603	1.2716 (165.4)	1.2626 (152.0)	1.2811 (157.9)	1.2625 (175.9)	1.2713 (156.9)
Kyle Bradish	1.0435	1.3422 (220.5)	1.3466 (243.6)	1.3108 (200.9)	1.3152 (197.5)	1.4017 (269.5)
Luis Severino	1.6455	1.1530 (192.9)	1.1184 (194.9)	1.1639 (187.4)	1.1838 (183.1)	1.1122 (204.3)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tylor Megill	1.1753	1.5752	209.8
2	Logan Webb	1.2508	1.0741	175.7
3	Carlos Carrasco	1.2866	1.7000	159.9
4	Tyler Holton	1.3214	0.8672	156.9
5	Zach Eflin	1.2110	1.0244	152.2
6	Jordan Lyles	1.4152	1.2439	150.5
7	Wade Miley	1.4156	1.1385	150.4
8	Brandon Williamson	1.5576	1.2821	150.0
9	Mitch Keller	1.3969	1.2453	149.8
10	Cristopher Sánchez	1.3909	1.0470	148.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Mitch Keller	1.4410	1.2453	210.8
2	George Kirby	1.2422	1.0385	199.5
3	Joey Wentz	1.2355	1.6845	191.5
4	Michael Kopech	1.2105	1.5928	190.6
5	Zach Eflin	1.2253	1.0244	183.3
6	Tyler Anderson	1.1550	1.4894	172.6
7	Kutter Crawford	1.3716	1.1057	171.7
8	Braxton Garrett	1.3296	1.1461	160.4
9	Justin Steele	1.3277	1.1712	155.0
10	Luis Castillo	1.2288	1.0964	154.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tylor Megill	1.1566	1.5752	219.1
2	Logan Webb	1.2765	1.0741	199.4
3	Zach Eflin	1.2450	1.0244	177.7
4	Wade Miley	1.4495	1.1385	168.1
5	Brandon Williamson	1.5886	1.2821	166.3
6	Tyler Holton	1.3429	0.8672	164.5
7	Carlos Carrasco	1.2733	1.7000	164.5
8	Lance Lynn	1.1663	1.3938	157.9
9	Justin Steele	1.3570	1.1712	156.1
10	Mitch Keller	1.4018	1.2453	155.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tylor Megill	1.1577	1.5752	223.9
2	Logan Webb	1.2898	1.0741	202.6
3	Carlos Carrasco	1.2595	1.7000	174.3
4	Zach Eflin	1.2433	1.0244	169.8
5	Chris Flexen	1.3022	1.6710	161.3
6	Tyler Holton	1.3368	0.8672	159.5
7	Jordan Lyles	1.4266	1.2439	153.6
8	Wade Miley	1.4214	1.1385	149.7
9	Tyler Wells	1.2801	0.9860	148.8
10	Lance Lynn	1.1903	1.3938	146.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tylor Megill	1.2118	1.5752	181.4
2	Kutter Crawford	1.3935	1.1057	174.6
3	Braxton Garrett	1.3514	1.1461	163.9
4	Mitch Keller	1.4000	1.2453	163.5
5	Trevor Williams	1.3111	1.6005	162.0
6	Cristopher Sánchez	1.4096	1.0470	160.8
7	Michael Kopech	1.2835	1.5928	157.1
8	Jordan Lyles	1.4070	1.2439	154.5
9	Yennier Cano	1.4898	1.0046	149.6
10	Tyler Holton	1.2849	0.8672	149.4

Most Unique Misses for WHIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kodai Senga	1.3286	1.1949	1.2204	116.6	3.1	113.5
2	Brayan Bello	1.4685	1.3470	1.3376	127.5	26.3	101.2
3	Joey Wentz	1.2355	1.4392	1.6845	191.5	106.0	85.5
4	George Kirby	1.2422	1.1604	1.0385	199.5	115.0	84.6
5	Bryce Miller	1.3286	1.2152	1.1421	132.3	55.3	77.0
6	Luis Castillo	1.2288	1.1703	1.0964	154.1	83.2	70.9
7	Blake Snell	1.2574	1.1946	1.1889	95.2	26.4	68.8
8	Miles Mikolas	1.1248	1.2337	1.3162	113.1	45.3	67.9
9	Chris Sale	1.2859	1.1582	1.1299	91.8	24.7	67.0
10	Ty Blach	1.3125	1.5198	1.6410	94.6	32.1	62.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Luis Medina	1.7000	1.5533	1.5137	108.2	34.4	73.8
2	Bryce Miller	1.3286	1.2152	1.1421	117.4	55.3	62.1
3	Seth Lugo	1.3433	1.2733	1.2027	104.3	60.7	43.7
4	Karl Kauffmann	1.3286	1.6538	1.6571	46.8	4.2	42.6
5	Kodai Senga	1.2480	1.1949	1.2204	41.5	3.1	38.4
6	Amos Willingham	1.3286	1.6450	1.8082	51.9	15.5	36.4
7	Luis Castillo	1.2110	1.1703	1.0964	117.7	83.2	34.5
8	Jose Cuas	1.3286	1.4304	1.5000	40.6	11.6	29.1
9	Noah Davis	1.3286	1.5296	1.9333	83.6	54.6	29.0
10	Nick Martinez	1.3754	1.3163	1.2598	68.1	39.8	28.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kodai Senga	1.2660	1.1949	1.2204	47.3	3.1	44.2
2	J.P. France	1.2467	1.3400	1.3570	51.0	7.5	43.4
3	Patrick Corbin	1.3619	1.4059	1.4833	78.1	37.5	40.6
4	Zac Gallen	1.2301	1.1780	1.1190	113.1	75.2	37.9
5	Chris Bassitt	1.2458	1.2019	1.1750	77.2	47.0	30.2
6	Julio Urías	1.2288	1.1588	1.1591	44.5	14.3	30.2
7	Drew Smyly	1.2882	1.3261	1.4262	72.2	43.9	28.3
8	Dean Kremer	1.3382	1.2943	1.3089	38.2	11.3	26.9
9	Logan Webb	1.2898	1.2508	1.0741	202.6	175.7	26.9
10	Tony Gonsolin	1.3260	1.2574	1.2233	54.5	27.8	26.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	J.P. France	1.4479	1.3400	1.3570	78.1	7.5	70.6
2	Kodai Senga	1.0763	1.1949	1.2204	69.9	3.1	66.8
3	Yusei Kikuchi	1.3962	1.3249	1.2704	118.5	59.1	59.4
4	Kutter Crawford	1.3935	1.3078	1.1057	174.6	122.3	52.3
5	Jack Flaherty	1.1572	1.2473	1.5797	246.4	196.6	49.7
6	Kyle Bradish	1.4017	1.3422	1.0435	269.5	220.5	49.0
7	Sandy Alcantara	1.1005	1.1606	1.2130	52.6	17.1	35.5
8	Amos Willingham	1.3286	1.6450	1.8082	50.6	15.5	35.1
9	Abner Uribe	1.8467	1.5870	1.1739	91.0	56.3	34.7
10	Alek Manoah	1.0663	1.1599	1.7405	261.7	228.5	33.2