2022 Projection Evaluation

Summary

Batting

System	PA raw	wOBA	SO	BB	HR	R	RBI	SB	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System	BF raw	wOBA	ERA	SO	BB	HR	W	L	SV	HLD	BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Sanó	553	71	482.3
2	Kris Bryant	630	181	449.5
3	Bobby Bradley	441	17	424.2
4	Austin Meadows	569	147	422.5
5	Nick Ahmed	475	54	420.6
6	David Fletcher	636	228	408.2
7	Ozzie Albies	673	269	404.4
8	Adalberto Mondesi	458	54	404.2
9	Willie Calhoun	452	62	390.5
10	Mitch Haniger	623	247	376.3

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Steven Kwan	100	638	538.0
2	Bobby Witt Jr.	100	632	532.0
3	Julio Rodríguez	100	560	460.0
4	Jeremy Peña	100	558	458.0
5	MJ Melendez	100	534	434.0
6	Miguel Sanó	486	71	415.0
7	Pedro Severino	427	21	406.0
8	Nick Ahmed	454	54	400.0
9	Nick Solak	485	95	390.0
10	Jose F Miranda	100	483	383.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	César Hernández	100	617	517.0
2	Miguel Sanó	542	71	471.0
3	Brandon Drury	100	568	468.0
4	Kris Bryant	633	181	452.0
5	Luis Rengifo	60	511	451.0
6	Austin Meadows	594	147	447.0
7	Josh Donaldson	100	546	446.0
8	Nick Ahmed	479	54	425.0
9	Brendan Donovan	52	468	416.0
10	Anthony Rendon	603	193	410.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Sanó	619	71	548.0
2	Brandon Drury	38	568	529.7
3	Kris Bryant	669	181	487.5
4	Adalberto Mondesi	536	54	482.4
5	Brendan Donovan	20	468	448.3
6	Michael Harris II	1	441	440.0
7	Willie Calhoun	494	62	432.4
8	David Fletcher	655	228	426.6
9	Christopher Morel	1	425	424.0
10	Bobby Bradley	439	17	422.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miguel Vargas	577	50	527.0
2	Nick Solak	618	95	523.0
3	Otto Lopez	532	10	522.0
4	Brendon Davis	521	11	510.0
5	Lenyn Sosa	539	36	503.0
6	Joe Perez	500	1	499.0
7	Eguy Rosario	504	6	498.0
8	Heliot Ramos	515	22	493.0
9	Gabriel Arias	542	57	485.0
10	Jack Larsen	484	1	483.0

Most Unique Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bobby Witt Jr.	100	587	632	532.0	44.6	487.4
2	Julio Rodríguez	100	518	560	460.0	42.3	417.7
3	Jeremy Peña	100	480	558	458.0	77.9	380.1
4	Bryson Stott	100	466	466	366.0	0.2	365.8
5	Steven Kwan	100	445	638	538.0	192.8	345.2
6	Riley Greene	100	410	418	318.0	8.3	309.7
7	Adley Rutschman	100	409	470	370.0	60.7	309.3
8	Jose F Miranda	100	355	483	383.0	128.0	255.0
9	Seiya Suzuki	100	563	446	346.0	117.2	228.8
10	Sandy León	314	108	86	228.0	21.5	206.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	César Hernández	100	570	617	517.0	46.9	470.1
2	Josh Donaldson	100	541	546	446.0	4.8	441.2
3	Nelson Cruz	100	541	507	407.0	34.2	372.8
4	Kole Calhoun	100	451	424	324.0	27.2	296.8
5	Chad Pinder	100	380	379	279.0	1.1	277.9
6	Miguel Cabrera	100	500	433	333.0	67.2	265.8
7	Maikel Franco	100	357	388	288.0	30.5	257.5
8	Yadiel Hernandez	100	319	327	227.0	8.0	219.0
9	Victor Reyes	100	299	336	236.0	37.3	198.7
10	Eric Hosmer	100	541	419	319.0	122.2	196.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Oscar Gonzalez	1	258	382	381.0	123.5	257.5
2	Vinnie Pasquantino	1	244	298	297.0	54.0	243.0
3	Michael Harris II	1	228	441	440.0	213.0	227.0
4	Cal Mitchell	1	240	232	231.0	8.5	222.5
5	Joey Meneses	1	208	240	239.0	31.5	207.5
6	Matt Reynolds	1	192	272	271.0	80.0	191.0
7	Ildemaro Vargas	1	190	222	221.0	32.0	189.0
8	Josh Smith	1	186	253	252.0	67.0	185.0
9	Alek Thomas	118	303	411	292.8	107.9	184.8
10	Elehuris Montero	1	183	185	184.0	1.7	182.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Burger	530	195	183	347.0	12.3	334.7
2	Oswald Peraza	531	196	57	474.0	139.4	334.6
3	Oswaldo Cabrera	524	190	171	353.0	18.7	334.3
4	Ryan Kreidler	516	183	84	432.0	98.9	333.1
5	Eguy Rosario	504	176	6	498.0	170.3	327.7
6	Otto Lopez	532	210	10	522.0	200.3	321.6
7	Kyle Stowers	492	170	98	394.0	72.4	321.6
8	James Outman	494	173	16	478.0	157.3	320.7
9	Elehuris Montero	504	183	185	319.0	1.7	317.3
10	Will Benson	481	166	61	420.0	104.7	315.3

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Harris II	0.3667	0.2853 (44.4)	0.3099 (33.7)	0.3099 (34.2)	0.2762 (48.9)	0.2943 (39.4)
Andrés Giménez	0.3638	0.3118 (39.7)	0.3055 (43.5)	0.3121 (40.4)	0.3085 (42.2)	0.3147 (36.9)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.4184	0.3615 (49.6)	0.3657 (47.2)	0.3658 (47.8)	0.3654 (47.9)	0.3533 (53.5)
Brandon Drury	0.3496	0.3074 (34.9)	0.2971 (41.0)	0.3099 (34.3)	0.3092 (34.6)	0.3056 (34.7)
Yasmani Grandal	0.2642	0.3665 (31.2)	0.3671 (31.2)	0.3689 (31.5)	0.3649 (30.1)	0.3658 (31.8)
Aaron Judge	0.4619	0.3895 (63.8)	0.3789 (71.5)	0.3905 (64.1)	0.3884 (65.4)	0.3895 (62.3)
Jose Altuve	0.3979	0.3529 (38.8)	0.3498 (41.0)	0.3554 (38.2)	0.3539 (39.0)	0.3495 (39.5)
Jonathan Schoop	0.2463	0.3230 (29.3)	0.3316 (33.4)	0.3213 (27.6)	0.3260 (30.2)	0.3218 (29.8)
Albert Pujols	0.3808	0.3071 (32.6)	0.3112 (31.3)	0.3099 (32.2)	0.3194 (28.7)	0.2947 (36.2)
Nolan Arenado	0.3825	0.3485 (33.0)	0.3557 (28.9)	0.3501 (33.0)	0.3505 (32.6)	0.3450 (33.8)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.4222	0.3544	34.2
2	Juan Soto	0.4463	0.3781	32.4
3	Yordan Alvarez	0.3926	0.4308	32.2
4	Joc Pederson	0.3256	0.3754	29.9
5	Franmil Reyes	0.3620	0.2798	29.8
6	Eugenio Suárez	0.3180	0.3442	28.6
7	Matt Carpenter	0.3064	0.4700	28.2
8	Nelson Cruz	0.3651	0.2906	28.0
9	Adolis García	0.3029	0.3255	27.5
10	Brendan Donovan	0.3100	0.3488	27.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Rodríguez	0.3099	0.3684	43.8
2	Yordan Alvarez	0.3796	0.4308	39.8
3	Nathaniel Lowe	0.3352	0.3693	34.8
4	Taylor Ward	0.3210	0.3619	34.2
5	Nelson Cruz	0.3762	0.2906	33.4
6	Steven Kwan	0.3099	0.3414	32.7
7	Manny Machado	0.3555	0.3864	32.6
8	Geraldo Perdomo	0.3305	0.2469	31.9
9	Austin Riley	0.3524	0.3771	30.8
10	Adley Rutschman	0.3099	0.3538	29.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yordan Alvarez	0.3875	0.4308	36.0
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.4253	0.3544	35.4
3	Adolis García	0.2966	0.3255	32.6
4	Joc Pederson	0.3215	0.3754	32.4
5	Juan Soto	0.4474	0.3781	32.2
6	Eugenio Suárez	0.3179	0.3442	29.6
7	Franmil Reyes	0.3621	0.2798	29.1
8	Taylor Ward	0.3314	0.3619	29.0
9	Matt Carpenter	0.3038	0.4700	28.8
10	Christian Walker	0.3267	0.3472	27.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.4247	0.3544	35.2
2	Yordan Alvarez	0.3887	0.4308	35.1
3	Adolis García	0.2984	0.3255	31.3
4	Juan Soto	0.4455	0.3781	31.2
5	Eugenio Suárez	0.3165	0.3442	30.3
6	Joc Pederson	0.3267	0.3754	30.0
7	Nelson Cruz	0.3680	0.2906	28.8
8	Matt Carpenter	0.3037	0.4700	28.8
9	Franmil Reyes	0.3606	0.2798	28.6
10	Taylor Ward	0.3319	0.3619	28.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	0.4459	0.3781	33.7
2	Brendan Donovan	0.2970	0.3488	32.2
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.4165	0.3544	31.8
4	Franmil Reyes	0.3632	0.2798	31.4
5	Manny Machado	0.3566	0.3864	30.2
6	Yandy Díaz	0.3309	0.3673	29.8
7	Joey Gallo	0.3719	0.2860	28.2
8	Christopher Morel	0.2711	0.3201	28.1
9	Jared Walsh	0.3600	0.2819	27.7
10	Joc Pederson	0.3285	0.3754	27.7

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Julio Rodríguez	0.3099	0.3481	0.3684	43.8	22.2	21.6
2	Steven Kwan	0.3099	0.3414	0.3414	32.7	12.3	20.4
3	Geraldo Perdomo	0.3305	0.2906	0.2469	31.9	12.2	19.7
4	Rowdy Tellez	0.3262	0.3508	0.3324	15.5	0.5	15.0
5	Josh Naylor	0.3118	0.3412	0.3343	21.0	6.2	14.9
6	Adley Rutschman	0.3099	0.3391	0.3538	29.9	16.0	13.9
7	Jose Siri	0.3387	0.2969	0.2682	16.5	3.0	13.5
8	Isaac Paredes	0.2966	0.3312	0.3231	17.6	4.3	13.4
9	Andrew Vaughn	0.3161	0.3396	0.3267	16.8	3.5	13.3
10	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.3099	0.3328	0.3122	14.0	0.8	13.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.3099	0.3442	0.3661	22.9	12.3	10.7
2	Michael Brantley	0.3099	0.3444	0.3462	15.8	5.8	10.0
3	Yadiel Hernandez	0.3099	0.3295	0.3150	8.5	1.6	6.9
4	Jason Delay	0.3099	0.2500	0.2411	8.0	1.7	6.3
5	Oscar Gonzalez	0.3099	0.3242	0.3412	19.9	13.9	6.0
6	Eric Hosmer	0.3099	0.3210	0.3175	11.9	6.6	5.3
7	Yadier Molina	0.3099	0.2895	0.2346	14.7	9.6	5.1
8	Adolis García	0.2966	0.3029	0.3255	32.6	27.5	5.1
9	Patrick Wisdom	0.3143	0.3222	0.3165	12.3	7.2	5.1
10	Matt Chapman	0.3317	0.3383	0.3313	12.7	7.7	5.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	MJ Melendez	0.3522	0.3410	0.3109	11.1	5.7	5.4
2	Patrick Wisdom	0.3136	0.3222	0.3165	12.5	7.2	5.3
3	Cal Mitchell	0.3307	0.3078	0.2798	7.0	2.0	5.0
4	Matt Chapman	0.3315	0.3383	0.3313	12.6	7.7	5.0
5	Seiya Suzuki	0.3956	0.3839	0.3366	17.2	12.5	4.7
6	Michael Harris II	0.2762	0.2853	0.3667	48.9	44.4	4.5
7	Trea Turner	0.3607	0.3658	0.3491	6.3	1.8	4.5
8	Matt Vierling	0.3266	0.3129	0.2852	7.5	3.0	4.4
9	Kyle Schwarber	0.3663	0.3717	0.3561	6.9	2.5	4.4
10	Mookie Betts	0.3718	0.3775	0.3734	14.1	9.7	4.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alejandro Kirk	0.3315	0.3548	0.3485	18.4	7.0	11.4
2	Trey Mancini	0.3540	0.3401	0.3136	13.7	4.2	9.5
3	Marcus Semien	0.3598	0.3496	0.3172	18.5	9.5	9.0
4	Javier Báez	0.3327	0.3218	0.2918	14.1	6.3	7.8
5	Josh Naylor	0.3240	0.3412	0.3343	13.6	6.2	7.5
6	Riley Greene	0.3460	0.3331	0.3027	10.9	4.6	6.3
7	Santiago Espinal	0.2896	0.3045	0.3056	16.3	10.0	6.2
8	Enrique Hernández	0.3513	0.3382	0.2798	21.9	15.7	6.2
9	Emmanuel Rivera	0.2877	0.3063	0.3063	12.8	6.9	5.9
10	Dylan Carlson	0.3457	0.3361	0.3072	10.5	4.7	5.8

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Chris Taylor	0.3524	0.2768 (33.0)	0.2697 (37.5)	0.2708 (35.0)	0.2757 (33.0)	0.2838 (30.6)
Alec Bohm	0.1743	0.2351 (40.3)	0.2442 (44.2)	0.2364 (42.0)	0.2359 (41.4)	0.2330 (37.8)
José Abreu	0.1620	0.2250 (44.9)	0.2216 (40.6)	0.2260 (46.5)	0.2292 (48.4)	0.2199 (40.2)
Kole Calhoun	0.3208	0.2388 (33.4)	0.2370 (35.5)	0.2242 (39.0)	0.2400 (32.5)	0.2376 (34.7)
Oneil Cruz	0.3490	0.2258 (43.4)	0.2370 (40.4)	0.2202 (44.9)	0.2217 (44.5)	0.2355 (40.5)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Christian Walker	0.2465	0.1964	35.5
2	Diego Castillo	0.1373	0.2650	35.3
3	Nolan Gorman	0.2180	0.3291	33.8
4	José Barrero	0.2430	0.4368	33.2
5	Yandy Díaz	0.1639	0.1075	33.2
6	Sean Murphy	0.2536	0.2026	33.1
7	Ian Happ	0.2810	0.2324	33.1
8	Trent Grisham	0.2204	0.2863	32.9
9	Javier Báez	0.2982	0.2492	30.7
10	Brandon Nimmo	0.2140	0.1724	30.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Steven Kwan	0.2242	0.0940	83.1
2	Brett Phillips	0.2242	0.4178	43.5
3	Christopher Morel	0.2242	0.3224	41.7
4	Nico Hoerner	0.1902	0.1103	41.4
5	Alejandro Kirk	0.1797	0.1072	39.3
6	Yandy Díaz	0.1746	0.1075	37.5
7	Ha-Seong Kim	0.2351	0.1718	36.9
8	Luis Rengifo	0.2236	0.1546	35.3
9	Brendan Donovan	0.2242	0.1496	35.0
10	Keibert Ruiz	0.1953	0.1155	34.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aristides Aquino	0.2242	0.3659	37.9
2	Yandy Díaz	0.1680	0.1075	36.3
3	Trent Grisham	0.2132	0.2863	35.9
4	Christian Walker	0.2450	0.1964	35.4
5	Javier Báez	0.3044	0.2492	35.3
6	Diego Castillo	0.1376	0.2650	34.8
7	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.2242	0.1141	34.1
8	Nolan Gorman	0.2166	0.3291	33.8
9	José Barrero	0.2387	0.4368	33.7
10	Michael Brantley	0.2242	0.1083	33.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Diego Castillo	0.1391	0.2650	34.5
2	Yandy Díaz	0.1652	0.1075	34.4
3	Trent Grisham	0.2170	0.2863	34.2
4	Javier Báez	0.3021	0.2492	33.6
5	Nolan Gorman	0.2186	0.3291	33.3
6	José Barrero	0.2426	0.4368	33.1
7	Christian Walker	0.2416	0.1964	32.8
8	Myles Straw	0.1912	0.1460	29.4
9	Brandon Nimmo	0.2112	0.1724	28.9
10	Sean Murphy	0.2455	0.2026	28.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ian Happ	0.3009	0.2324	44.7
2	Sean Murphy	0.2668	0.2026	40.1
3	Christian Walker	0.2530	0.1964	38.6
4	Diego Castillo	0.1352	0.2650	36.4
5	Shohei Ohtani	0.2918	0.2417	34.2
6	Nolan Gorman	0.2190	0.3291	34.1
7	Will Smith	0.2231	0.1661	33.7
8	Brandon Nimmo	0.2203	0.1724	33.1
9	José Barrero	0.2478	0.4368	32.7
10	Pete Alonso	0.2329	0.1869	32.4

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Steven Kwan	0.2242	0.1216	0.0940	83.1	19.5	63.6
2	Brett Phillips	0.2242	0.3616	0.4178	43.5	11.9	31.6
3	Keibert Ruiz	0.1953	0.1228	0.1155	34.6	4.5	30.1
4	Trayce Thompson	0.2407	0.3511	0.3647	31.6	2.7	28.9
5	Christopher Morel	0.2242	0.2834	0.3224	41.7	15.3	26.4
6	Jack Suwinski	0.2242	0.2849	0.3065	30.6	6.9	23.7
7	Jose Siri	0.2511	0.3394	0.3323	26.4	3.3	23.1
8	Dérmis Garcia	0.2242	0.3810	0.4400	27.0	7.0	20.0
9	Ha-Seong Kim	0.2351	0.1981	0.1718	36.9	17.1	19.8
10	Riley Greene	0.2242	0.2686	0.2871	26.3	6.5	19.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Brantley	0.2242	0.1194	0.1083	33.3	3.9	29.4
2	Albert Pujols	0.2242	0.1588	0.1567	25.3	1.8	23.4
3	Aristides Aquino	0.2242	0.3099	0.3659	37.9	14.6	23.3
4	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.2242	0.1550	0.1141	34.1	13.1	21.0
5	Ildemaro Vargas	0.2242	0.1321	0.1036	27.8	7.0	20.8
6	Dérmis Garcia	0.2242	0.3810	0.4400	26.4	7.0	19.4
7	César Hernández	0.2242	0.1945	0.1848	27.1	7.9	19.2
8	Didi Gregorius	0.2242	0.1541	0.1552	17.1	0.5	16.6
9	Robinson Chirinos	0.2242	0.3060	0.3045	16.7	1.0	15.7
10	Yadier Molina	0.2242	0.1675	0.1481	21.7	6.1	15.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adolis García	0.3155	0.3099	0.2785	26.9	22.6	4.3
2	Joey Gallo	0.3436	0.3543	0.3976	20.5	16.5	4.0
3	Bobby Dalbec	0.3183	0.3303	0.3343	4.2	0.3	3.9
4	Jorge Mateo	0.2569	0.2651	0.2758	7.9	4.1	3.8
5	Steven Kwan	0.1263	0.1216	0.0940	23.2	19.5	3.6
6	Gleyber Torres	0.1871	0.1944	0.2255	19.7	16.1	3.6
7	José Abreu	0.2292	0.2250	0.1620	48.4	44.9	3.5
8	Christopher Morel	0.2747	0.2834	0.3224	18.5	15.3	3.3
9	Daulton Varsho	0.2020	0.2085	0.2449	23.0	19.8	3.3
10	Jose Trevino	0.2015	0.1938	0.1756	10.6	7.5	3.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jake Burger	0.1868	0.2520	0.3060	21.6	9.3	12.3
2	Ian Happ	0.3009	0.2810	0.2324	44.7	33.1	11.7
3	Jeremy Peña	0.2657	0.2443	0.2419	14.0	3.0	11.0
4	Austin Riley	0.2722	0.2562	0.2424	21.5	11.7	9.8
5	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.2577	0.2387	0.2364	12.0	2.8	9.2
6	Gavin Lux	0.2325	0.2133	0.2017	15.1	6.9	8.2
7	Willy Adames	0.2877	0.2727	0.2690	12.3	4.2	8.1
8	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.3151	0.2801	0.2739	10.2	2.2	8.0
9	Jose Siri	0.3636	0.3394	0.3323	10.6	3.3	7.3
10	Freddie Freeman	0.1797	0.1676	0.1441	26.1	18.8	7.3

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jesse Winker	0.1536	0.1133 (25.1)	0.1085 (28.3)	0.1132 (26.2)	0.1135 (25.8)	0.1130 (23.6)
Luis Rengifo	0.0333	0.0790 (20.6)	0.0863 (23.7)	0.0800 (20.0)	0.0808 (20.6)	0.0763 (20.6)
Aaron Judge	0.1595	0.1255 (27.5)	0.1160 (34.9)	0.1263 (28.3)	0.1267 (27.8)	0.1235 (26.9)
Brendan Donovan	0.1282	0.0793 (25.5)	0.0816 (24.9)	0.0827 (24.8)	0.0821 (24.9)	0.0732 (27.0)
Jorge Polanco	0.1438	0.0756 (32.8)	0.0752 (33.5)	0.0771 (33.1)	0.0769 (33.0)	0.0727 (32.8)
Nathaniel Lowe	0.0744	0.1226 (27.5)	0.1103 (18.9)	0.1225 (26.2)	0.1244 (27.6)	0.1208 (28.2)
Cody Bellinger	0.0691	0.1130 (21.1)	0.1114 (19.6)	0.1121 (19.5)	0.1126 (20.0)	0.1144 (23.5)
Lars Nootbaar	0.1470	0.0955 (19.8)	0.0933 (20.9)	0.0984 (19.5)	0.0970 (19.8)	0.0912 (20.3)
Yordan Alvarez	0.1390	0.0989 (25.6)	0.0957 (28.0)	0.0986 (26.9)	0.0987 (26.6)	0.0993 (23.7)
MJ Melendez	0.1236	0.0922 (19.7)	0.0816 (25.9)	0.0949 (19.4)	0.0967 (18.2)	0.0851 (22.0)
Anthony Santander	0.0850	0.0553 (22.8)	0.0594 (20.9)	0.0580 (22.4)	0.0589 (21.5)	0.0491 (25.0)
Mike Trout	0.1082	0.1735 (29.8)	0.1525 (18.8)	0.1687 (26.4)	0.1705 (27.5)	0.1814 (35.2)
DJ LeMahieu	0.1238	0.0890 (21.8)	0.0922 (20.7)	0.0910 (21.9)	0.0912 (21.5)	0.0849 (22.5)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	0.1705	0.1080	24.3
2	Brandon Nimmo	0.1440	0.1055	22.2
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1181	0.0822	21.5
4	Jesús Aguilar	0.0990	0.0552	19.4
5	Mookie Betts	0.1218	0.0861	19.3
6	Brendan Rodgers	0.0524	0.0792	18.8
7	Tommy Pham	0.1254	0.0900	18.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adley Rutschman	0.0816	0.1383	29.7
2	Marcell Ozuna	0.1098	0.0611	21.3
3	Rowdy Tellez	0.0763	0.1035	20.2
4	Jeremy Peña	0.0816	0.0394	19.9
5	Jesús Aguilar	0.0975	0.0552	18.1
6	Juan Soto	0.1829	0.2033	17.9
7	CJ Abrams	0.0816	0.0166	17.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	0.1711	0.1080	23.7
2	Brandon Nimmo	0.1451	0.1055	21.6
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1175	0.0822	19.6
4	Jesús Aguilar	0.1009	0.0552	19.3
5	Brendan Rodgers	0.0540	0.0792	19.0
6	Adley Rutschman	0.1068	0.1383	18.4
7	Mookie Betts	0.1217	0.0861	17.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	0.1694	0.1080	23.1
2	Brandon Nimmo	0.1439	0.1055	21.0
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1183	0.0822	20.5
4	Jesús Aguilar	0.0999	0.0552	19.0
5	Brendan Rodgers	0.0543	0.0792	18.6
6	Mookie Betts	0.1222	0.0861	18.5
7	Jeimer Candelario	0.1063	0.0600	18.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bryce Harper	0.1708	0.1080	25.6
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1184	0.0822	23.8
3	Brandon Nimmo	0.1429	0.1055	23.4
4	Ian Happ	0.1271	0.0905	21.8
5	Tommy Pham	0.1266	0.0900	21.1
6	Mookie Betts	0.1215	0.0861	20.9
7	Josh Donaldson	0.1386	0.0989	20.2

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Juan Soto	0.1829	0.2071	0.2033	17.9	1.1	16.7
2	Adley Rutschman	0.0816	0.1063	0.1383	29.7	17.6	12.1
3	Taylor Ward	0.0851	0.1045	0.1064	15.7	4.2	11.5
4	Jeremy Peña	0.0816	0.0608	0.0394	19.9	8.8	11.0
5	Oscar Gonzalez	0.0816	0.0355	0.0393	13.7	3.6	10.1
6	Daniel Vogelbach	0.1433	0.1622	0.1584	10.0	0.8	9.2
7	Jack Suwinski	0.0816	0.1038	0.1102	13.1	4.4	8.7
8	Michael Harris II	0.0816	0.0610	0.0476	12.1	3.5	8.6
9	Isaac Paredes	0.0916	0.1129	0.1155	11.6	3.1	8.5
10	Aaron Hicks	0.1246	0.1413	0.1369	8.6	0.5	8.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Victor Reyes	0.0816	0.0471	0.0387	11.9	1.0	10.9
2	Oscar Gonzalez	0.0816	0.0355	0.0393	13.3	3.6	9.7
3	Yadier Molina	0.0816	0.0483	0.0185	15.0	6.5	8.4
4	Michael Harris II	0.0816	0.0610	0.0476	11.6	3.5	8.2
5	Seiya Suzuki	0.1347	0.1166	0.0942	14.7	7.5	7.2
6	Maikel Franco	0.0816	0.0623	0.0309	16.7	10.0	6.7
7	Ildemaro Vargas	0.0816	0.0545	0.0360	8.4	2.9	5.6
8	Matt Reynolds	0.0816	0.0993	0.0956	5.9	0.5	5.4
9	Bubba Thompson	0.0816	0.0510	0.0387	6.4	1.2	5.2
10	Austin Romine	0.0816	0.0453	0.0294	6.1	1.4	4.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Seiya Suzuki	0.1327	0.1166	0.0942	14.0	7.5	6.5
2	Juan Soto	0.2042	0.2071	0.2033	4.2	1.1	3.0
3	Kyle Schwarber	0.1294	0.1309	0.1286	4.2	2.1	2.1
4	Julio Rodríguez	0.0846	0.0799	0.0714	3.4	1.6	1.7
5	Miguel Cabrera	0.0827	0.0773	0.0647	4.7	3.1	1.6
6	Corey Seager	0.1013	0.0973	0.0875	4.4	2.8	1.6
7	Ha-Seong Kim	0.0815	0.0825	0.0876	7.7	6.2	1.5
8	Aaron Hicks	0.1399	0.1413	0.1369	1.9	0.5	1.4
9	Jeremy Peña	0.0648	0.0608	0.0394	10.2	8.8	1.3
10	Trea Turner	0.0773	0.0739	0.0636	4.7	3.4	1.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Mike Trout	0.1814	0.1735	0.1082	35.2	29.8	5.4
2	Joey Gallo	0.1742	0.1647	0.1366	14.3	9.3	5.1
3	Steven Kwan	0.0731	0.0838	0.0972	17.0	12.1	5.0
4	Ian Happ	0.1271	0.1241	0.0905	21.8	18.0	3.8
5	Juan Soto	0.2133	0.2071	0.2033	4.9	1.1	3.8
6	Andrew McCutchen	0.1340	0.1309	0.0983	19.2	15.7	3.5
7	Matt Olson	0.1288	0.1272	0.1073	13.2	10.0	3.2
8	Taylor Walls	0.1021	0.1113	0.1116	5.7	2.7	2.9
9	Jose F Miranda	0.0475	0.0563	0.0580	6.3	3.5	2.9
10	Darin Ruf	0.0983	0.1086	0.1160	7.9	5.0	2.9

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Willson Contreras	0.0493	0.0282 (10.4)	0.0281 (10.5)	0.0272 (11.0)	0.0270 (11.1)	0.0304 (9.2)
Michael Massey	0.0412	0.0108 (6.0)	0.0112 (5.9)	0.0112 (5.9)	0.0120 (5.8)	0.0096 (6.1)
Austin Riley	0.0245	0.0136 (7.8)	0.0142 (7.4)	0.0142 (7.5)	0.0140 (7.6)	0.0127 (8.3)
Travis d'Arnaud	0.0258	0.0088 (7.4)	0.0091 (7.3)	0.0096 (7.1)	0.0100 (6.9)	0.0068 (8.1)
Andrés Giménez	0.0449	0.0236 (12.0)	0.0274 (9.9)	0.0206 (13.8)	0.0210 (13.6)	0.0292 (8.7)
Mark Canha	0.0517	0.0335 (10.0)	0.0358 (8.8)	0.0317 (11.1)	0.0310 (11.5)	0.0377 (7.6)
Jackie Bradley Jr.	0.0000	0.0178 (6.5)	0.0185 (6.7)	0.0167 (6.0)	0.0170 (6.1)	0.0197 (7.3)
CJ Abrams	0.0298	0.0112 (5.7)	0.0112 (5.7)	0.0122 (5.5)	0.0120 (5.5)	0.0092 (6.2)
Bryan Reynolds	0.0228	0.0105 (7.7)	0.0109 (7.5)	0.0111 (7.5)	0.0110 (7.5)	0.0094 (8.2)
Joey Votto	0.0266	0.0075 (7.3)	0.0063 (7.8)	0.0084 (7.1)	0.0080 (7.2)	0.0062 (7.7)
Dylan Moore	0.0510	0.0196 (8.1)	0.0199 (8.0)	0.0182 (8.5)	0.0190 (8.3)	0.0214 (7.5)
Jake Cronenworth	0.0234	0.0144 (6.4)	0.0129 (7.5)	0.0149 (6.2)	0.0150 (6.1)	0.0134 (6.9)
Anthony Santander	0.0201	0.0092 (7.3)	0.0091 (7.3)	0.0101 (6.8)	0.0100 (6.8)	0.0075 (8.1)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Thairo Estrada	0.0138	0.0259	6.7
2	Brendan Donovan	0.0167	0.0299	6.3
3	Albert Pujols	0.0117	0.0285	6.0
4	Xander Bogaerts	0.0068	0.0158	5.9
5	Jose Altuve	0.0074	0.0166	5.7
6	Matt Olson	0.0141	0.0057	5.6
7	Jesse Winker	0.0177	0.0073	5.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brendan Donovan	0.0112	0.0299	8.9
2	Xander Bogaerts	0.0057	0.0158	6.6
3	Jesse Winker	0.0195	0.0073	6.5
4	Albert Pujols	0.0114	0.0285	6.1
5	Jose Altuve	0.0072	0.0166	5.9
6	Abraham Toro	0.0223	0.0057	5.7
7	Wilmer Flores	0.0092	0.0183	5.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Thairo Estrada	0.0124	0.0259	7.6
2	Brendan Donovan	0.0154	0.0299	7.1
3	Albert Pujols	0.0112	0.0285	6.3
4	Xander Bogaerts	0.0069	0.0158	6.0
5	Brandon Nimmo	0.0157	0.0238	5.8
6	Jose Altuve	0.0079	0.0166	5.6
7	Anthony Rizzo	0.0324	0.0420	5.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Thairo Estrada	0.0130	0.0259	7.2
2	Brendan Donovan	0.0160	0.0299	6.7
3	Albert Pujols	0.0110	0.0285	6.3
4	Xander Bogaerts	0.0070	0.0158	5.9
5	Anthony Rizzo	0.0320	0.0420	5.7
6	Jesse Winker	0.0180	0.0073	5.6
7	Brandon Nimmo	0.0160	0.0238	5.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	C.J. Cron	0.0239	0.0127	7.0
2	Randy Arozarena	0.0280	0.0171	7.0
3	Brendan Rodgers	0.0163	0.0052	6.5
4	Victor Robles	0.0380	0.0221	6.4
5	Jose Altuve	0.0064	0.0166	6.1
6	Matt Olson	0.0145	0.0057	6.1
7	Jurickson Profar	0.0154	0.0061	6.1

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bryson Stott	0.0112	0.0055	0.0021	4.1	1.4	2.7
2	TJ Friedl	0.0090	0.0192	0.0271	4.8	2.1	2.6
3	Will Smith	0.0255	0.0210	0.0173	4.5	1.9	2.6
4	Jose Siri	0.0176	0.0096	0.0092	2.6	0.0	2.6
5	Brendan Donovan	0.0112	0.0167	0.0299	8.9	6.3	2.6
6	MJ Melendez	0.0112	0.0073	0.0019	4.8	2.7	2.1
7	Josh Smith	0.0112	0.0184	0.0277	4.2	2.4	1.8
8	Nick Fortes	0.0090	0.0164	0.0208	2.9	1.2	1.8
9	Christopher Morel	0.0112	0.0072	0.0071	1.6	0.1	1.5
10	Victor Robles	0.0363	0.0327	0.0221	5.6	4.2	1.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brandon Nimmo	0.0157	0.0186	0.0238	5.8	3.7	2.1
2	Maikel Franco	0.0112	0.0057	0.0052	2.1	0.1	2.1
3	Yadiel Hernandez	0.0112	0.0048	0.0031	2.5	0.5	2.0
4	Josh Smith	0.0112	0.0184	0.0277	4.3	2.4	1.9
5	Ty France	0.0304	0.0332	0.0343	2.7	0.9	1.8
6	Andrés Giménez	0.0206	0.0236	0.0449	13.8	12.0	1.8
7	Jonathan India	0.0254	0.0289	0.0325	3.3	1.7	1.6
8	Kolten Wong	0.0197	0.0225	0.0282	4.5	3.0	1.5
9	Sean Murphy	0.0164	0.0186	0.0212	3.3	1.8	1.5
10	Michael Hermosillo	0.0112	0.0308	0.0548	3.2	1.8	1.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ty France	0.0300	0.0332	0.0343	2.9	0.9	2.0
2	Brandon Nimmo	0.0160	0.0186	0.0238	5.6	3.7	1.9
3	Jonathan India	0.0250	0.0289	0.0325	3.4	1.7	1.7
4	Sean Murphy	0.0160	0.0186	0.0212	3.5	1.8	1.7
5	Anthony Rizzo	0.0320	0.0347	0.0420	5.7	4.1	1.6
6	Andrés Giménez	0.0210	0.0236	0.0449	13.6	12.0	1.5
7	Kyle Farmer	0.0210	0.0233	0.0274	4.0	2.6	1.4
8	Mark Canha	0.0310	0.0335	0.0517	11.5	10.0	1.4
9	Andrew Vaughn	0.0130	0.0153	0.0162	2.1	0.7	1.3
10	Kolten Wong	0.0200	0.0225	0.0282	4.3	3.0	1.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	C.J. Cron	0.0239	0.0200	0.0127	7.0	4.4	2.6
2	Victor Robles	0.0380	0.0327	0.0221	6.4	4.2	2.3
3	Randy Arozarena	0.0280	0.0248	0.0171	7.0	4.8	2.2
4	Ty France	0.0391	0.0332	0.0343	2.9	0.9	2.0
5	Tyler O'Neill	0.0217	0.0172	0.0104	4.3	2.5	1.8
6	Pete Alonso	0.0233	0.0211	0.0175	3.9	2.2	1.7
7	Luis Arraez	0.0018	0.0047	0.0050	2.0	0.4	1.6
8	Jose Trevino	0.0000	0.0046	0.0057	2.0	0.5	1.5
9	Brendan Rodgers	0.0163	0.0140	0.0052	6.5	4.9	1.5
10	Max Stassi	0.0205	0.0171	0.0053	5.7	4.3	1.4

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Paul Goldschmidt	0.0822	0.0652 (18.1)	0.0649 (17.6)	0.0672 (17.1)	0.0680 (16.9)	0.0602 (20.0)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.0134	0.0601 (17.7)	0.0595 (17.9)	0.0610 (17.9)	0.0608 (17.6)	0.0585 (17.9)
Yasmani Grandal	0.0200	0.0850 (20.4)	0.0805 (19.1)	0.0854 (20.3)	0.0829 (19.2)	0.0868 (21.8)
Aaron Judge	0.1535	0.1032 (42.5)	0.0929 (48.9)	0.1035 (42.7)	0.1023 (43.8)	0.1037 (40.7)
Cal Raleigh	0.1067	0.0601 (23.8)	0.0391 (32.1)	0.0609 (23.8)	0.0618 (23.6)	0.0576 (24.1)
Christian Walker	0.0784	0.0556 (22.4)	0.0512 (24.6)	0.0573 (21.6)	0.0580 (21.5)	0.0514 (23.9)
José Abreu	0.0303	0.0697 (19.5)	0.0703 (20.5)	0.0730 (21.3)	0.0722 (20.4)	0.0641 (17.0)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.0436	0.1047 (26.8)	0.0924 (20.8)	0.1031 (25.7)	0.1039 (25.8)	0.1070 (29.1)
Byron Buxton	0.1244	0.0817 (20.4)	0.0815 (20.1)	0.0799 (21.4)	0.0800 (21.5)	0.0851 (18.4)
Anthony Rizzo	0.0874	0.0659 (17.7)	0.0563 (22.4)	0.0693 (16.2)	0.0689 (16.6)	0.0594 (20.2)
Matt Carpenter	0.1579	0.0506 (18.2)	0.0408 (19.5)	0.0522 (18.0)	0.0516 (18.2)	0.0481 (18.3)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.0871	0.0299	23.6
2	Franmil Reyes	0.1060	0.0493	21.8
3	Ian Happ	0.0810	0.0397	19.6
4	Mike Trout	0.1058	0.1333	19.1
5	Michael Harris II	0.0311	0.0617	18.2
6	Julio Rodríguez	0.0550	0.0763	17.9
7	Brandon Drury	0.0503	0.0707	17.7
8	Elvis Andrus	0.0188	0.0384	17.5
9	Albert Pujols	0.0543	0.0930	17.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.0895	0.0299	25.3
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.0935	0.1214	25.1
3	Julio Rodríguez	0.0431	0.0763	24.0
4	Mike Trout	0.1011	0.1333	20.9
5	Jack Suwinski	0.0431	0.0892	20.8
6	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0822	0.1170	20.1
7	Rowdy Tellez	0.0615	0.0852	20.0
8	Isaac Paredes	0.0331	0.0752	19.7
9	Brandon Drury	0.0471	0.0707	19.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Brandon Drury	0.0431	0.0707	22.1
2	Albert Pujols	0.0431	0.0930	21.5
3	Mike Trout	0.1023	0.1333	21.1
4	Franmil Reyes	0.1046	0.0493	20.8
5	Julio Rodríguez	0.0541	0.0763	18.8
6	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0984	0.0608	18.5
7	Ian Happ	0.0797	0.0397	18.3
8	César Hernández	0.0431	0.0022	18.2
9	Elvis Andrus	0.0212	0.0384	16.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.0872	0.0299	23.1
2	Mike Trout	0.1012	0.1333	21.9
3	Franmil Reyes	0.1043	0.0493	20.4
4	Michael Harris II	0.0283	0.0617	19.9
5	Julio Rodríguez	0.0540	0.0763	19.1
6	Ian Happ	0.0807	0.0397	18.7
7	Brandon Drury	0.0502	0.0707	18.3
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.0980	0.0608	17.9
9	Elvis Andrus	0.0214	0.0384	16.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.0870	0.0299	24.5
2	Franmil Reyes	0.1093	0.0493	24.2
3	Ian Happ	0.0828	0.0397	22.0
4	Joey Gallo	0.1617	0.1011	21.3
5	Elvis Andrus	0.0139	0.0384	19.2
6	Christian Yelich	0.0692	0.0337	17.9
7	Albert Pujols	0.0512	0.0930	17.8
8	Shohei Ohtani	0.1141	0.0794	17.2
9	Freddie Freeman	0.0730	0.0406	16.7

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Schwarber	0.0935	0.1106	0.1214	25.1	14.4	10.7
2	Giancarlo Stanton	0.0822	0.1040	0.1170	20.1	10.7	9.4
3	Cal Raleigh	0.0391	0.0601	0.1067	32.1	23.8	8.3
4	Geraldo Perdomo	0.0461	0.0198	0.0146	10.9	2.8	8.1
5	Jack Suwinski	0.0431	0.0651	0.0892	20.8	13.0	7.8
6	Taylor Ward	0.0421	0.0561	0.0605	15.9	8.6	7.3
7	Brendan Donovan	0.0431	0.0289	0.0154	8.4	1.2	7.2
8	Steven Kwan	0.0431	0.0334	0.0118	13.8	6.9	6.9
9	Jesse Winker	0.0662	0.0550	0.0393	9.4	2.7	6.7
10	Rowdy Tellez	0.0615	0.0737	0.0852	20.0	13.3	6.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dérmis Garcia	0.0431	0.0910	0.0820	6.3	0.2	6.1
2	Victor Reyes	0.0431	0.0282	0.0124	6.5	1.7	4.8
3	Brandon Drury	0.0431	0.0503	0.0707	22.1	17.7	4.4
4	Albert Pujols	0.0431	0.0543	0.0930	21.5	17.4	4.1
5	César Hernández	0.0431	0.0360	0.0022	18.2	14.2	4.0
6	Shea Langeliers	0.0431	0.0675	0.0659	5.2	1.4	3.8
7	José Azócar	0.0431	0.0268	0.0000	6.9	3.5	3.4
8	Chad Pinder	0.0431	0.0515	0.0486	6.4	3.0	3.4
9	Seiya Suzuki	0.0793	0.0711	0.0483	8.7	5.4	3.4
10	Kole Calhoun	0.0431	0.0658	0.0471	6.5	3.4	3.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Seiya Suzuki	0.0793	0.0711	0.0483	8.6	5.4	3.2
2	Mike Trout	0.1012	0.1058	0.1333	21.9	19.1	2.8
3	MJ Melendez	0.0785	0.0727	0.0536	7.0	4.5	2.5
4	Eric Hosmer	0.0472	0.0406	0.0252	4.3	1.9	2.3
5	Eduardo Escobar	0.0565	0.0596	0.0538	4.9	2.7	2.2
6	Cal Mitchell	0.0550	0.0444	0.0309	2.8	0.6	2.2
7	Dansby Swanson	0.0529	0.0546	0.0541	9.1	7.1	2.0
8	Maikel Franco	0.0508	0.0450	0.0301	3.4	1.6	1.8
9	Alejandro Kirk	0.0609	0.0565	0.0337	8.3	6.5	1.8
10	Eric Haase	0.0833	0.0773	0.0611	3.6	1.9	1.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Patrick Wisdom	0.1250	0.1111	0.0865	15.9	7.4	8.5
2	Joey Gallo	0.1617	0.1438	0.1011	21.3	13.1	8.2
3	Max Muncy	0.0991	0.0923	0.0638	14.9	10.0	5.0
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.1141	0.1089	0.0794	17.2	12.4	4.8
5	Jonah Heim	0.0272	0.0397	0.0498	14.1	9.4	4.7
6	Trea Turner	0.0586	0.0544	0.0397	7.1	2.8	4.4
7	Riley Greene	0.0637	0.0565	0.0193	14.9	11.0	3.9
8	Trey Mancini	0.0624	0.0579	0.0463	4.3	0.5	3.8
9	Manny Machado	0.0591	0.0669	0.0716	13.7	10.0	3.8
10	Freddie Freeman	0.0730	0.0697	0.0406	16.7	13.0	3.7

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Freddie Freeman	0.3589	0.3104 (36.6)	0.3224 (30.8)	0.3067 (38.5)	0.3072 (37.5)	0.3174 (34.2)
Michael Harris II	0.3599	0.2800 (36.7)	0.2891 (34.3)	0.2891 (32.2)	0.2733 (38.8)	0.2866 (35.3)
Andrés Giménez	0.3496	0.2957 (31.8)	0.2905 (36.8)	0.2926 (33.0)	0.2911 (33.3)	0.3035 (29.5)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.3657	0.3112 (37.6)	0.3208 (33.8)	0.3098 (37.8)	0.3083 (38.2)	0.3154 (37.2)
Corey Seager	0.2424	0.3114 (43.6)	0.3138 (42.7)	0.3106 (43.7)	0.3117 (45.1)	0.3119 (41.5)
Dansby Swanson	0.3478	0.2962 (38.2)	0.3035 (35.7)	0.2940 (39.0)	0.2941 (38.3)	0.3005 (37.7)
Juan Soto	0.2488	0.3211 (45.9)	0.3234 (44.9)	0.3165 (43.5)	0.3154 (43.4)	0.3316 (50.5)
Jonathan Schoop	0.2343	0.2970 (30.3)	0.3100 (35.0)	0.2947 (29.6)	0.2969 (31.3)	0.2993 (29.7)
Manny Machado	0.3373	0.2862 (35.0)	0.2869 (37.0)	0.2853 (34.9)	0.2840 (35.2)	0.2892 (35.4)
Rowdy Tellez	0.2154	0.2859 (40.2)	0.2787 (33.7)	0.2836 (39.5)	0.2803 (38.0)	0.2937 (42.8)
Christian Walker	0.2482	0.2986 (31.4)	0.3058 (33.7)	0.2948 (29.6)	0.2952 (30.5)	0.3057 (33.8)
José Abreu	0.3500	0.2959 (39.0)	0.3081 (33.2)	0.2944 (39.3)	0.2937 (39.2)	0.2995 (38.9)
Jeff McNeil	0.3526	0.3036 (30.7)	0.3067 (31.1)	0.3031 (30.4)	0.3015 (30.9)	0.3063 (31.3)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.2265	0.3087 (35.7)	0.3190 (38.7)	0.3107 (37.1)	0.3073 (35.9)	0.3080 (33.7)
Taylor Walls	0.2183	0.2890 (31.4)	0.3000 (34.8)	0.2883 (31.6)	0.2885 (32.1)	0.2901 (30.3)
Myles Straw	0.2599	0.3250 (36.9)	0.3232 (33.6)	0.3203 (34.6)	0.3181 (33.9)	0.3365 (41.6)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Xander Bogaerts	0.3116	0.3619	33.9
2	Trent Grisham	0.2876	0.2253	31.0
3	Nathaniel Lowe	0.3186	0.3628	30.6
4	Trayce Thompson	0.2604	0.3739	29.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ian Happ	0.2867	0.3358	35.9
2	Julio Rodríguez	0.2891	0.3451	35.3
3	Yoán Moncada	0.3503	0.2637	34.5
4	Trent Grisham	0.2941	0.2253	32.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Xander Bogaerts	0.3094	0.3619	34.6
2	Nathaniel Lowe	0.3141	0.3628	32.8
3	Eugenio Suárez	0.2573	0.3022	29.6
4	Trent Grisham	0.2838	0.2253	29.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Xander Bogaerts	0.3087	0.3619	34.4
2	Nathaniel Lowe	0.3152	0.3628	31.6
3	Ian Happ	0.2897	0.3358	30.4
4	Trayce Thompson	0.2601	0.3739	29.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Trent Grisham	0.2968	0.2253	33.9
2	Xander Bogaerts	0.3165	0.3619	33.0
3	Trayce Thompson	0.2565	0.3739	31.7
4	Eugenio Suárez	0.2603	0.3022	30.6

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Julio Rodríguez	0.2891	0.3263	0.3451	35.3	12.3	23.0
2	Riley Greene	0.2891	0.3240	0.3543	30.2	14.1	16.1
3	Ramón Urías	0.3379	0.3050	0.2838	21.0	8.0	13.0
4	Patrick Wisdom	0.3041	0.2778	0.2727	13.0	1.0	12.1
5	Gilberto Celestino	0.2581	0.2890	0.3077	19.6	7.6	12.0
6	Ha-Seong Kim	0.2599	0.2759	0.2881	20.5	9.0	11.5
7	Seiya Suzuki	0.2891	0.3104	0.3261	19.6	8.4	11.2
8	Randal Grichuk	0.2744	0.2907	0.3094	22.6	11.8	10.8
9	Adam Frazier	0.3120	0.2908	0.2653	24.0	13.4	10.5
10	Frank Schwindel	0.3186	0.2799	0.2609	14.8	4.6	10.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Victor Reyes	0.2891	0.3281	0.3222	11.9	0.9	11.0
2	Albert Pujols	0.2891	0.2491	0.2521	12.2	2.2	10.0
3	Stephen Vogt	0.2891	0.2482	0.1681	22.7	14.7	8.0
4	Didi Gregorius	0.2891	0.2570	0.2458	9.5	1.8	7.7
5	Kole Calhoun	0.2891	0.2607	0.2634	10.0	2.5	7.4
6	Michael Brantley	0.2891	0.3144	0.3095	6.3	0.5	5.8
7	Eric Hosmer	0.2891	0.3034	0.3042	7.3	1.7	5.6
8	Yadiel Hernandez	0.2891	0.3058	0.3259	12.8	7.6	5.1
9	Kurt Suzuki	0.2891	0.2586	0.1927	15.0	10.0	5.0
10	Jeremy Peña	0.2857	0.2954	0.2949	6.4	1.6	4.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jeremy Peña	0.2857	0.2954	0.2949	5.9	1.6	4.3
2	Gio Urshela	0.3025	0.3104	0.3258	13.6	10.3	3.2
3	Ian Happ	0.2897	0.2966	0.3358	30.4	27.2	3.2
4	Francisco Lindor	0.2628	0.2690	0.3013	28.1	25.1	3.0
5	Darin Ruf	0.3137	0.3079	0.2579	21.1	18.1	3.0
6	Matt Vierling	0.3062	0.2999	0.2902	5.2	2.3	3.0
7	J.T. Realmuto	0.2947	0.3018	0.3179	13.8	10.9	2.9
8	Carlos Santana	0.2555	0.2519	0.2086	23.1	20.3	2.8
9	Yordan Alvarez	0.3101	0.3170	0.3204	6.5	3.7	2.8
10	Jonathan India	0.3000	0.3082	0.3050	2.7	0.0	2.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alejandro Kirk	0.2569	0.2736	0.2985	26.2	15.2	11.0
2	Kyle Tucker	0.3113	0.2946	0.2594	27.4	19.4	8.0
3	Ha-Seong Kim	0.2660	0.2759	0.2881	16.8	9.0	7.9
4	Christopher Morel	0.2582	0.2710	0.3160	27.5	20.5	7.0
5	Kyle Schwarber	0.2857	0.2721	0.2402	25.9	19.1	6.7
6	Tyler O'Neill	0.3322	0.3119	0.2768	18.6	12.2	6.4
7	Justin Turner	0.2849	0.2929	0.3128	18.5	12.3	6.1
8	Yandy Díaz	0.2959	0.3031	0.3235	19.2	13.2	6.1
9	Jeremy Peña	0.3154	0.2954	0.2949	7.6	1.6	6.0
10	Hunter Renfroe	0.2508	0.2588	0.2796	18.6	12.6	6.0

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Andrés Giménez	0.2710	0.2142 (31.3)	0.2190 (30.4)	0.2063 (34.8)	0.2127 (31.2)	0.2236 (28.1)
Andrew Benintendi	0.2831	0.2244 (30.3)	0.2257 (31.3)	0.2268 (28.2)	0.2239 (29.6)	0.2225 (33.2)
Juan Soto	0.1816	0.2367 (37.0)	0.2455 (40.6)	0.2252 (30.4)	0.2357 (37.5)	0.2494 (43.0)
Jonathan Schoop	0.1689	0.2312 (32.0)	0.2399 (34.8)	0.2351 (34.8)	0.2264 (30.5)	0.2320 (30.6)
Nathaniel Lowe	0.2936	0.2425 (32.5)	0.2547 (26.8)	0.2370 (35.1)	0.2396 (33.3)	0.2507 (29.6)
Ketel Marte	0.1615	0.2268 (36.8)	0.2310 (37.3)	0.2378 (43.8)	0.2207 (34.4)	0.2219 (32.1)
Isaac Paredes	0.1301	0.2071 (29.6)	0.2057 (27.8)	0.2023 (28.3)	0.2029 (28.6)	0.2156 (31.4)
Rowdy Tellez	0.1543	0.2065 (31.6)	0.2049 (28.7)	0.2003 (28.9)	0.2023 (30.2)	0.2168 (35.6)
José Abreu	0.2667	0.2115 (37.0)	0.2267 (28.9)	0.2038 (41.2)	0.2150 (33.5)	0.2157 (36.6)
Dansby Swanson	0.2723	0.2147 (39.7)	0.2168 (40.5)	0.2165 (37.4)	0.2127 (39.9)	0.2150 (42.0)
Taylor Walls	0.1479	0.2088 (28.7)	0.2167 (30.8)	0.2093 (29.6)	0.2072 (28.7)	0.2099 (27.5)
Myles Straw	0.2048	0.2576 (31.8)	0.2541 (27.8)	0.2492 (27.7)	0.2508 (28.8)	0.2725 (38.5)
Carlos Correa	0.2742	0.2169 (33.4)	0.2292 (28.1)	0.2126 (35.1)	0.2171 (32.3)	0.2211 (33.1)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Xander Bogaerts	0.2208	0.2738	33.1
2	Alejandro Kirk	0.1950	0.2512	30.1
3	Francisco Lindor	0.1959	0.2385	29.7
4	Anthony Rizzo	0.2008	0.1497	28.3
5	Yuli Gurriel	0.2251	0.1799	26.7
6	Lars Nootbaar	0.2300	0.1571	25.5
7	Taylor Ward	0.2127	0.2577	25.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alejandro Kirk	0.1981	0.2512	30.2
2	Anthony Rizzo	0.2060	0.1497	29.4
3	Steven Kwan	0.2165	0.2584	28.5
4	Francisco Lindor	0.2012	0.2385	28.2
5	Patrick Wisdom	0.2216	0.1667	27.9
6	Leody Taveras	0.1937	0.2711	27.3
7	Julio Rodríguez	0.2165	0.2625	27.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Xander Bogaerts	0.2190	0.2738	33.2
2	Francisco Lindor	0.1906	0.2385	32.3
3	Freddie Freeman	0.2127	0.2601	32.0
4	Miguel Cabrera	0.2165	0.2905	31.1
5	Alejandro Kirk	0.1974	0.2512	28.0
6	Steven Kwan	0.2139	0.2584	27.0
7	Taylor Ward	0.2088	0.2577	26.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Xander Bogaerts	0.2205	0.2738	32.2
2	Francisco Lindor	0.1914	0.2385	31.6
3	Anthony Rizzo	0.2013	0.1497	29.5
4	Max Muncy	0.1999	0.1526	28.1
5	Corey Seager	0.2250	0.1883	25.9
6	Yuli Gurriel	0.2214	0.1799	25.6
7	Lars Nootbaar	0.2267	0.1571	25.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alejandro Kirk	0.1835	0.2512	38.3
2	Xander Bogaerts	0.2230	0.2738	33.9
3	Yuli Gurriel	0.2376	0.1799	32.0
4	Anthony Rizzo	0.2088	0.1497	30.7
5	Taylor Ward	0.2115	0.2577	27.7
6	Willy Adames	0.2418	0.1946	27.3
7	Lars Nootbaar	0.2383	0.1571	27.1

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Julio Rodríguez	0.2165	0.2446	0.2625	27.3	9.7	17.5
2	Ha-Seong Kim	0.1850	0.2059	0.2107	16.5	2.4	14.1
3	Riley Greene	0.2165	0.2463	0.2677	22.5	8.7	13.8
4	Ramón Urías	0.2557	0.2229	0.2230	13.4	0.2	13.1
5	Teoscar Hernández	0.2476	0.2226	0.2236	11.4	0.2	11.1
6	Randy Arozarena	0.2500	0.2296	0.2184	18.6	7.6	11.0
7	Gilberto Celestino	0.1806	0.2086	0.2521	25.7	14.9	10.9
8	Tommy Pham	0.2178	0.2309	0.2400	15.5	5.3	10.2
9	Seiya Suzuki	0.2165	0.2361	0.2391	11.3	1.1	10.2
10	Ian Happ	0.2079	0.2193	0.2287	15.1	5.6	9.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	0.2165	0.2504	0.2905	31.1	17.1	14.0
2	Freddie Freeman	0.2127	0.2269	0.2601	32.0	23.1	8.9
3	Nelson Cruz	0.2165	0.2355	0.2431	12.4	3.6	8.8
4	César Hernández	0.2165	0.2322	0.2356	10.4	1.7	8.7
5	Yadiel Hernandez	0.2165	0.2444	0.2545	11.7	3.1	8.6
6	Stephen Vogt	0.2165	0.1739	0.1261	17.7	9.3	8.4
7	Josh Donaldson	0.2165	0.2026	0.1963	12.2	3.8	8.4
8	Eric Hosmer	0.2165	0.2378	0.2427	10.1	1.8	8.3
9	Jeremy Peña	0.2106	0.2262	0.2359	12.9	5.1	7.8
10	Brandon Drury	0.2165	0.2054	0.2038	8.4	1.2	7.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Max Muncy	0.1999	0.1921	0.1526	28.1	22.7	5.4
2	Jeremy Peña	0.2151	0.2262	0.2359	10.3	5.1	5.2
3	Josh Rojas	0.2104	0.2220	0.2428	15.3	10.3	5.0
4	William Contreras	0.2198	0.2324	0.2736	19.4	15.3	4.1
5	Jose Iglesias	0.2324	0.2426	0.2480	6.2	2.3	3.9
6	Ian Happ	0.2115	0.2193	0.2287	9.5	5.6	3.9
7	Cal Raleigh	0.1841	0.1767	0.1327	22.3	18.5	3.8
8	Riley Greene	0.2355	0.2463	0.2677	12.5	8.7	3.8
9	Mike Trout	0.2214	0.2157	0.2077	8.0	4.3	3.7
10	Rougned Odor	0.1777	0.1716	0.1721	3.7	0.1	3.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ha-Seong Kim	0.1923	0.2059	0.2107	12.4	2.4	10.0
2	Alejandro Kirk	0.1835	0.1950	0.2512	38.3	30.1	8.2
3	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.2296	0.2131	0.2109	9.9	1.8	8.1
4	Ryan McMahon	0.2209	0.2295	0.2373	11.6	4.3	7.3
5	C.J. Cron	0.2078	0.2156	0.2268	13.9	6.7	7.2
6	Myles Straw	0.2725	0.2576	0.2048	38.5	31.8	6.7
7	J.P. Crawford	0.2326	0.2181	0.2118	10.7	4.1	6.6
8	Juan Soto	0.2494	0.2367	0.1816	43.0	37.0	6.0
9	Rhys Hoskins	0.1678	0.1727	0.2025	25.4	19.7	5.7
10	Randal Grichuk	0.2016	0.2079	0.2431	24.0	18.6	5.4

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Garrett Cooper	0.1134	0.0666 (23.3)	0.0690 (22.4)	0.0656 (24.1)	0.0723 (20.7)	0.0619 (25.2)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.1049	0.0714 (23.7)	0.0751 (21.6)	0.0696 (25.3)	0.0727 (22.9)	0.0718 (23.0)
Corey Seager	0.0519	0.0811 (17.4)	0.0862 (20.4)	0.0803 (16.4)	0.0788 (15.8)	0.0842 (19.9)
Jose Altuve	0.0944	0.0658 (19.0)	0.0668 (18.7)	0.0698 (17.1)	0.0649 (19.7)	0.0628 (20.5)
Matt Olson	0.1058	0.0760 (22.9)	0.0742 (24.5)	0.0745 (24.4)	0.0706 (26.7)	0.0829 (17.6)
Adley Rutschman	0.1159	0.0646 (25.5)	0.0671 (24.6)	0.0680 (24.2)	0.0639 (25.9)	0.0618 (26.5)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.0299	0.0715 (17.5)	0.0681 (15.7)	0.0728 (17.7)	0.0725 (17.9)	0.0692 (16.7)
Patrick Wisdom	0.1061	0.0683 (21.7)	0.0773 (17.2)	0.0624 (25.3)	0.0688 (21.5)	0.0739 (18.4)
Ian Happ	0.1022	0.0714 (21.6)	0.0717 (21.7)	0.0655 (25.9)	0.0730 (20.7)	0.0758 (18.4)
Nolan Arenado	0.0915	0.0636 (19.1)	0.0677 (16.9)	0.0616 (20.8)	0.0641 (18.9)	0.0652 (17.7)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ketel Marte	0.0772	0.1094	19.6
2	Justin Turner	0.0639	0.0963	18.7
3	J.D. Martinez	0.0861	0.1138	18.2
4	Victor Robles	0.0818	0.0369	17.1
5	Jesse Winker	0.0774	0.0439	16.7
6	Teoscar Hernández	0.0803	0.1087	16.7
7	Manny Machado	0.0662	0.0892	16.7
8	Michael A. Taylor	0.0719	0.0332	16.3
9	David Peralta	0.0640	0.0940	16.1
10	Michael Harris II	0.0611	0.0934	15.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Geraldo Perdomo	0.0759	0.0297	21.4
2	Justin Turner	0.0618	0.0963	20.2
3	Teoscar Hernández	0.0749	0.1087	19.9
4	Manny Machado	0.0628	0.0892	19.2
5	Jesse Winker	0.0811	0.0439	18.5
6	Bryan Reynolds	0.0824	0.0505	17.5
7	Freddie Freeman	0.0738	0.0948	17.3
8	Austin Riley	0.0737	0.0944	16.7
9	Byron Buxton	0.1121	0.0660	16.3
10	Gary Sánchez	0.0586	0.0882	15.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ketel Marte	0.0670	0.1094	25.7
2	Jesse Winker	0.0874	0.0439	21.8
3	David Peralta	0.0533	0.0940	21.8
4	Nick Senzel	0.0911	0.0428	18.8
5	Victor Robles	0.0866	0.0369	18.8
6	J.D. Martinez	0.0870	0.1138	18.1
7	Austin Riley	0.0730	0.0944	17.4
8	Bryan Reynolds	0.0812	0.0505	16.6
9	J.P. Crawford	0.0858	0.0547	16.6
10	Alejandro Kirk	0.0807	0.0473	16.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	J.D. Martinez	0.0851	0.1138	18.9
2	Michael A. Taylor	0.0762	0.0332	18.2
3	Michael Harris II	0.0554	0.0934	18.1
4	Mike Trout	0.0755	0.1077	17.6
5	Teoscar Hernández	0.0790	0.1087	17.5
6	Justin Turner	0.0666	0.0963	17.4
7	Manny Machado	0.0655	0.0892	17.2
8	Freddie Freeman	0.0736	0.0948	17.2
9	Victor Robles	0.0807	0.0369	16.6
10	Ketel Marte	0.0829	0.1094	16.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Turner	0.0521	0.0963	24.7
2	Teoscar Hernández	0.0767	0.1087	18.3
3	J.D. Martinez	0.0863	0.1138	17.7
4	Manny Machado	0.0650	0.0892	17.0
5	Yuli Gurriel	0.0588	0.0857	17.0
6	Ketel Marte	0.0816	0.1094	16.7
7	Christian Walker	0.0860	0.0591	16.4
8	Freddie Freeman	0.0740	0.0948	16.3
9	Taylor Ward	0.0923	0.0616	16.0
10	Victor Robles	0.0781	0.0369	15.8

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Geraldo Perdomo	0.0759	0.0505	0.0297	21.4	9.0	12.4
2	Franchy Cordero	0.0769	0.1018	0.1164	11.8	4.8	7.0
3	Miguel Rojas	0.0730	0.0596	0.0466	11.7	5.1	6.5
4	Nick Castellanos	0.0994	0.0873	0.0705	14.2	7.7	6.5
5	Yonathan Daza	0.0504	0.0647	0.0660	7.8	1.7	6.1
6	Brandon Drury	0.0679	0.0771	0.0842	11.2	5.7	5.5
7	Julio Rodríguez	0.0671	0.0764	0.0737	5.7	0.1	5.5
8	Daulton Varsho	0.0753	0.0655	0.0627	5.5	0.0	5.4
9	Luis Rengifo	0.0488	0.0593	0.0558	5.4	0.3	5.1
10	Cody Bellinger	0.0632	0.0719	0.0792	10.6	5.6	5.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	0.0671	0.0481	0.0338	12.8	4.9	7.9
2	Yordan Alvarez	0.0753	0.0873	0.0868	8.5	1.4	7.2
3	J.P. Crawford	0.0858	0.0746	0.0547	16.6	10.3	6.3
4	Brandon Drury	0.0671	0.0771	0.0842	11.8	5.7	6.1
5	Daulton Varsho	0.0559	0.0655	0.0627	6.2	0.0	6.1
6	Ketel Marte	0.0670	0.0772	0.1094	25.7	19.6	6.1
7	Josh Rojas	0.0615	0.0724	0.0723	7.4	1.4	6.0
8	David Peralta	0.0533	0.0640	0.0940	21.8	16.1	5.6
9	Tommy Pham	0.0837	0.0741	0.0613	11.6	6.2	5.5
10	Jesse Winker	0.0874	0.0774	0.0439	21.8	16.7	5.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Miguel Cabrera	0.0584	0.0481	0.0338	9.3	4.9	4.4
2	Shohei Ohtani	0.0729	0.0790	0.0761	4.2	0.0	4.2
3	Freddie Freeman	0.0736	0.0791	0.0948	17.2	13.1	4.0
4	Max Muncy	0.0654	0.0723	0.0714	5.1	1.1	4.0
5	Cody Bellinger	0.0648	0.0719	0.0792	9.6	5.6	4.0
6	Matt Olson	0.0706	0.0760	0.1058	26.7	22.9	3.9
7	José Abreu	0.0746	0.0799	0.0833	8.0	4.3	3.7
8	Daulton Varsho	0.0720	0.0655	0.0627	3.7	0.0	3.6
9	Seth Brown	0.0748	0.0810	0.0788	3.9	0.4	3.5
10	Nico Hoerner	0.0713	0.0645	0.0529	7.9	4.5	3.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Rhys Hoskins	0.0973	0.0875	0.0835	7.7	0.7	7.0
2	Kyle Tucker	0.0882	0.0779	0.0660	12.1	5.5	6.7
3	C.J. Cron	0.0877	0.0786	0.0722	8.4	2.2	6.1
4	Justin Turner	0.0521	0.0639	0.0963	24.7	18.7	6.0
5	Christian Walker	0.0860	0.0779	0.0591	16.4	10.6	5.8
6	Ryan McMahon	0.0859	0.0777	0.0650	11.1	5.9	5.2
7	Yordan Alvarez	0.1003	0.0873	0.0868	6.3	1.4	4.9
8	Yuli Gurriel	0.0588	0.0676	0.0857	17.0	12.3	4.7
9	Taylor Ward	0.0923	0.0847	0.0616	16.0	11.4	4.6
10	Andrew Benintendi	0.0800	0.0720	0.0597	9.4	4.9	4.5

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0136	0.0077 (4.4)	0.0055 (5.7)	0.0075 (4.3)	0.0076 (4.2)	0.0079 (4.6)
Rodolfo Castro	0.0237	0.0050 (5.5)	0.0063 (5.1)	0.0037 (5.7)	0.0046 (5.5)	0.0065 (5.2)
Tyler Naquin	0.0193	0.0064 (4.6)	0.0055 (4.9)	0.0061 (4.7)	0.0058 (4.7)	0.0074 (4.5)
TJ Friedl	0.0273	0.0115 (4.3)	0.0068 (5.5)	0.0110 (4.4)	0.0107 (4.4)	0.0128 (4.1)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Thomas	0.0225	0.0033	7.5
2	Brett Phillips	0.0247	0.0000	5.3
3	Connor Joe	0.0042	0.0133	4.7
4	Kyle Schwarber	0.0031	0.0090	4.6
5	Luis Arraez	0.0105	0.0020	4.5
6	Gavin Lux	0.0130	0.0217	4.5
7	Starling Marte	0.0064	0.0142	4.4
8	Trevor Story	0.0119	0.0000	4.3
9	Geraldo Perdomo	0.0156	0.0059	4.3
10	Adolis García	0.0070	0.0125	4.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jorge Mateo	0.0050	0.0205	8.7
2	Steven Kwan	0.0055	0.0139	5.9
3	Christopher Morel	0.0055	0.0173	5.4
4	Oneil Cruz	0.0075	0.0212	5.2
5	Gavin Lux	0.0116	0.0217	5.2
6	Kyle Tucker	0.0115	0.0024	5.0
7	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0228	0.0000	4.9
8	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.0104	0.0292	4.7
9	Mark Canha	0.0096	0.0000	4.7
10	Riley Greene	0.0055	0.0157	4.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Thomas	0.0221	0.0033	7.4
2	Jorge Mateo	0.0094	0.0205	6.3
3	Gavin Lux	0.0108	0.0217	5.4
4	Luis Arraez	0.0115	0.0020	5.3
5	Geraldo Perdomo	0.0167	0.0059	5.0
6	Kyle Schwarber	0.0027	0.0090	4.7
7	Starling Marte	0.0056	0.0142	4.7
8	Connor Joe	0.0040	0.0133	4.6
9	Brett Phillips	0.0209	0.0000	4.5
10	Adolis García	0.0063	0.0125	4.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Thomas	0.0222	0.0033	7.5
2	Jorge Mateo	0.0094	0.0205	6.3
3	Gavin Lux	0.0107	0.0217	5.5
4	Luis Arraez	0.0113	0.0020	5.2
5	Kyle Schwarber	0.0026	0.0090	4.7
6	Starling Marte	0.0057	0.0142	4.6
7	Adolis García	0.0061	0.0125	4.6
8	Geraldo Perdomo	0.0158	0.0059	4.6
9	Connor Joe	0.0042	0.0133	4.6
10	Jazz Chisholm Jr.	0.0117	0.0292	4.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Thomas	0.0233	0.0033	7.6
2	Brett Phillips	0.0339	0.0000	7.3
3	Trevor Story	0.0162	0.0000	5.8
4	Andrew Velazquez	0.0175	0.0000	5.6
5	Kevin Kiermaier	0.0258	0.0000	5.4
6	Nick Senzel	0.0135	0.0000	5.0
7	Francisco Lindor	0.0050	0.0105	4.9
8	Connor Joe	0.0043	0.0133	4.9
9	Ketel Marte	0.0153	0.0052	4.8
10	Matt Chapman	0.0121	0.0029	4.8

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jorge Mateo	0.0050	0.0145	0.0205	8.7	3.7	5.0
2	Riley Greene	0.0055	0.0171	0.0157	4.7	0.2	4.5
3	Steven Kwan	0.0055	0.0112	0.0139	5.9	2.3	3.6
4	Christopher Morel	0.0055	0.0122	0.0173	5.4	2.6	2.8
5	Hunter Dozier	0.0205	0.0151	0.0123	3.7	0.9	2.8
6	Oneil Cruz	0.0075	0.0150	0.0212	5.2	2.6	2.7
7	Joey Bart	0.0148	0.0059	0.0000	4.1	1.4	2.6
8	Sean Murphy	0.0000	0.0033	0.0050	3.6	1.6	1.9
9	Cooper Hummel	0.0055	0.0149	0.0273	4.6	2.7	1.9
10	Nick Gordon	0.0050	0.0093	0.0133	4.1	2.2	1.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Josh Donaldson	0.0055	0.0009	0.0000	2.6	0.0	2.6
2	Jorge Mateo	0.0094	0.0145	0.0205	6.3	3.7	2.6
3	Miguel Cabrera	0.0055	0.0013	0.0000	2.1	0.1	1.9
4	Maikel Franco	0.0055	0.0008	0.0000	1.8	0.0	1.8
5	José Azócar	0.0055	0.0136	0.0187	3.0	1.3	1.7
6	Victor Reyes	0.0055	0.0163	0.0126	2.6	0.9	1.7
7	Albert Pujols	0.0055	0.0013	0.0000	1.7	0.1	1.5
8	Eric Hosmer	0.0055	0.0022	0.0000	2.0	0.5	1.5
9	Nelson Cruz	0.0055	0.0032	0.0000	2.4	1.1	1.3
10	Yadier Molina	0.0055	0.0009	0.0000	1.3	0.0	1.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jorge Mateo	0.0094	0.0145	0.0205	6.3	3.7	2.5
2	Brandon Nimmo	0.0108	0.0128	0.0154	3.5	2.4	1.1
3	Oneil Cruz	0.0120	0.0150	0.0212	3.5	2.6	1.0
4	Luis Rengifo	0.0062	0.0084	0.0102	2.3	1.4	1.0
5	Gavin Lux	0.0107	0.0130	0.0217	5.5	4.5	1.0
6	Tommy Edman	0.0064	0.0082	0.0088	1.9	1.0	0.9
7	Corey Seager	0.0079	0.0070	0.0022	3.4	2.5	0.8
8	Dylan Carlson	0.0087	0.0106	0.0120	1.9	1.1	0.8
9	Alejandro Kirk	0.0032	0.0021	0.0000	1.4	0.6	0.8
10	Patrick Wisdom	0.0033	0.0021	0.0000	1.4	0.6	0.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ketel Marte	0.0153	0.0092	0.0052	4.8	1.7	3.1
2	Jeremy Peña	0.0154	0.0110	0.0054	4.7	2.6	2.1
3	Shohei Ohtani	0.0203	0.0166	0.0152	2.4	0.3	2.1
4	Brett Phillips	0.0339	0.0247	0.0000	7.3	5.3	1.9
5	Luis Robert Jr.	0.0127	0.0076	0.0000	4.5	2.7	1.8
6	Andrew Velazquez	0.0175	0.0117	0.0000	5.6	3.7	1.8
7	Trent Grisham	0.0144	0.0104	0.0068	3.2	1.4	1.8
8	Jesús Sánchez	0.0108	0.0151	0.0144	1.7	0.1	1.7
9	Ramón Urías	0.0000	0.0029	0.0034	2.2	0.6	1.6
10	Nick Senzel	0.0135	0.0092	0.0000	5.0	3.5	1.6

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Harris II	0.1701	0.1218 (26.5)	0.1144 (29.8)	0.1144 (31.2)	0.1052 (33.3)	0.1385 (18.4)
Brandon Drury	0.1532	0.1108 (30.9)	0.1008 (36.4)	0.1144 (30.6)	0.1145 (28.0)	0.1070 (32.0)
Yasmani Grandal	0.0399	0.1380 (32.4)	0.1372 (32.1)	0.1452 (33.9)	0.1382 (32.9)	0.1306 (30.3)
Aaron Judge	0.1911	0.1579 (31.4)	0.1483 (38.0)	0.1686 (26.1)	0.1572 (31.0)	0.1478 (37.2)
Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1332	0.1884 (23.0)	0.1805 (18.9)	0.1913 (22.9)	0.1851 (22.0)	0.1887 (24.2)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1742	0.1275	24.5
2	Tommy Edman	0.1269	0.1508	22.6
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1434	0.1628	20.4
4	Juan Soto	0.1816	0.1401	19.6
5	Dansby Swanson	0.1271	0.1422	18.9
6	Adolis García	0.1174	0.1339	18.8
7	Jose Siri	0.1196	0.1631	18.0
8	Jesse Winker	0.1379	0.0932	17.9
9	Luis Arraez	0.1283	0.1459	17.8
10	Jake McCarthy	0.1115	0.1497	17.7

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Rodríguez	0.1144	0.1500	26.5
2	Steven Kwan	0.1144	0.1395	23.5
3	Yonathan Daza	0.0951	0.1373	22.0
4	Nick Castellanos	0.1515	0.1004	22.0
5	Adley Rutschman	0.1144	0.1489	21.8
6	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1413	0.1628	21.7
7	Brandon Nimmo	0.1322	0.1516	20.9
8	Jesse Winker	0.1432	0.0932	20.9
9	Tommy Pham	0.1235	0.1431	19.5
10	Miguel Rojas	0.1172	0.0671	19.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1792	0.1275	25.9
2	Tommy Edman	0.1257	0.1508	25.3
3	Adolis García	0.1135	0.1339	23.3
4	Julio Rodríguez	0.1278	0.1500	20.9
5	Juan Soto	0.1859	0.1401	20.5
6	Adley Rutschman	0.1215	0.1489	20.0
7	Jake McCarthy	0.1112	0.1497	19.0
8	Charlie Blackmon	0.1515	0.1040	18.8
9	Keibert Ruiz	0.1336	0.0762	18.3
10	Matt Olson	0.1643	0.1230	18.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tommy Edman	0.1231	0.1508	24.2
2	Dansby Swanson	0.1224	0.1422	21.3
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1680	0.1275	21.0
4	Adolis García	0.1146	0.1339	19.7
5	Luis Arraez	0.1239	0.1459	19.7
6	Jose Altuve	0.1487	0.1705	19.7
7	Jesse Winker	0.1397	0.0932	19.6
8	Jesús Aguilar	0.1260	0.0769	19.4
9	Juan Soto	0.1795	0.1401	19.0
10	Miguel Cabrera	0.1122	0.0577	18.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeremy Peña	0.0894	0.1290	27.8
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1754	0.1275	26.7
3	Paul Goldschmidt	0.1328	0.1628	26.1
4	Manny Machado	0.1295	0.1553	23.1
5	Brandon Nimmo	0.1283	0.1516	22.4
6	Yonathan Daza	0.0966	0.1373	20.7
7	Juan Soto	0.1793	0.1401	19.3
8	Travis d'Arnaud	0.1081	0.1432	19.3
9	Nick Castellanos	0.1443	0.1004	18.9
10	Luis Arraez	0.1250	0.1459	18.7

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Javier Báez	0.1411	0.1253	0.1085	12.3	2.9	9.5
2	Isaac Paredes	0.1031	0.1269	0.1260	13.2	4.2	9.0
3	Julio Rodríguez	0.1144	0.1305	0.1500	26.5	17.6	9.0
4	Cal Raleigh	0.0932	0.1148	0.1108	12.2	3.3	8.9
5	Pete Alonso	0.1337	0.1467	0.1387	11.5	2.7	8.8
6	C.J. Cron	0.1224	0.1362	0.1250	9.1	0.5	8.6
7	Steven Kwan	0.1144	0.1268	0.1395	23.5	15.7	7.8
8	Seth Brown	0.1331	0.1193	0.0991	12.4	4.6	7.8
9	Kyle Schwarber	0.1419	0.1536	0.1495	12.9	5.3	7.7
10	Tommy Pham	0.1235	0.1354	0.1431	19.5	12.2	7.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Thairo Estrada	0.1159	0.1224	0.1312	16.4	11.3	5.2
2	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1567	0.1422	0.1173	11.0	5.9	5.2
3	Alejandro Kirk	0.1464	0.1340	0.1091	12.1	7.0	5.1
4	Christian Walker	0.1180	0.1222	0.1259	15.4	10.4	4.9
5	Mark Canha	0.1265	0.1323	0.1310	10.6	5.8	4.8
6	Michael Harris II	0.1144	0.1218	0.1701	31.2	26.5	4.7
7	Miguel Cabrera	0.1144	0.1005	0.0577	18.0	13.3	4.7
8	Adolis García	0.1135	0.1174	0.1339	23.3	18.8	4.6
9	Josh Rojas	0.1146	0.1203	0.1294	15.2	10.7	4.5
10	Yadier Molina	0.1144	0.0946	0.0704	7.8	3.3	4.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Harris II	0.1052	0.1218	0.1701	33.3	26.5	6.8
2	Thairo Estrada	0.1099	0.1224	0.1312	17.4	11.3	6.1
3	Maikel Franco	0.1157	0.1021	0.0799	9.7	4.0	5.8
4	Miguel Cabrera	0.1122	0.1005	0.0577	18.9	13.3	5.6
5	Daniel Vogelbach	0.1424	0.1316	0.1020	13.7	8.2	5.5
6	Myles Straw	0.1131	0.1236	0.1208	11.0	5.5	5.5
7	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1530	0.1422	0.1173	11.3	5.9	5.4
8	Christian Yelich	0.1369	0.1458	0.1475	14.4	9.2	5.2
9	Josh Donaldson	0.1487	0.1407	0.1081	16.3	11.3	5.0
10	Jake Cronenworth	0.1243	0.1328	0.1287	10.4	5.3	5.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jeremy Peña	0.0894	0.1130	0.1290	27.8	15.6	12.1
2	Javier Báez	0.1379	0.1253	0.1085	11.4	2.9	8.5
3	C.J. Cron	0.1213	0.1362	0.1250	8.8	0.5	8.3
4	Brandon Nimmo	0.1283	0.1420	0.1516	22.4	14.5	8.0
5	Pete Alonso	0.1335	0.1467	0.1387	10.5	2.7	7.8
6	Anthony Rizzo	0.1250	0.1405	0.1405	14.0	6.6	7.5
7	Manny Machado	0.1295	0.1429	0.1553	23.1	15.7	7.4
8	Bo Bichette	0.1647	0.1565	0.1306	16.7	9.7	7.0
9	José Abreu	0.1221	0.1328	0.1252	8.9	2.9	6.0
10	José Ramírez	0.1616	0.1549	0.1314	13.8	7.9	5.8

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Willy Adames	0.1588	0.1252 (29.4)	0.1151 (33.7)	0.1256 (29.2)	0.1318 (26.3)	0.1182 (32.4)
Connor Joe	0.0600	0.1241 (23.4)	0.1377 (31.2)	0.1235 (23.1)	0.1219 (21.6)	0.1270 (25.8)
Juan Soto	0.0934	0.1640 (37.6)	0.1510 (31.0)	0.1564 (32.5)	0.1578 (32.5)	0.1778 (48.2)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.1767	0.1337 (37.1)	0.1341 (34.8)	0.1324 (38.0)	0.1359 (36.6)	0.1328 (36.3)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Franmil Reyes	0.1717	0.0994	27.6
2	Aaron Judge	0.1636	0.1882	26.9
3	Michael Harris II	0.0995	0.1451	26.3
4	Jared Walsh	0.1677	0.0969	25.8
5	José Ramírez	0.1604	0.1839	25.7
6	José Abreu	0.1621	0.1105	25.6
7	Josh Bell	0.1630	0.1097	25.4
8	Brandon Drury	0.1225	0.1532	25.4
9	Spencer Torkelson	0.1420	0.0693	23.7
10	Matt Carpenter	0.1013	0.2403	23.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Judge	0.1445	0.1882	38.0
2	José Abreu	0.1758	0.1105	37.0
3	Pete Alonso	0.1502	0.1912	35.6
4	Josh Naylor	0.0991	0.1586	35.1
5	Francisco Lindor	0.1145	0.1516	33.9
6	Brandon Drury	0.1048	0.1532	33.7
7	José Ramírez	0.1550	0.1839	27.3
8	Christian Walker	0.1171	0.1409	23.2
9	Jesús Aguilar	0.1568	0.1006	22.9
10	Cal Raleigh	0.1075	0.1518	22.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Albert Pujols	0.1092	0.1937	34.6
2	Brandon Drury	0.1092	0.1532	32.9
3	José Ramírez	0.1544	0.1839	29.9
4	Aaron Judge	0.1613	0.1882	28.5
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1919	0.1374	28.5
6	Franmil Reyes	0.1709	0.0994	27.2
7	Joc Pederson	0.1176	0.1617	25.2
8	César Hernández	0.1092	0.0551	24.7
9	Jared Walsh	0.1653	0.0969	24.7
10	Matt Carpenter	0.1000	0.2403	23.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Ramírez	0.1550	0.1839	30.5
2	Michael Harris II	0.0979	0.1451	27.7
3	Aaron Judge	0.1644	0.1882	27.4
4	Brandon Drury	0.1221	0.1532	26.5
5	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1891	0.1374	25.5
6	Albert Pujols	0.1369	0.1937	25.4
7	Matt Carpenter	0.1016	0.2403	23.7
8	Franmil Reyes	0.1649	0.0994	23.6
9	Spencer Torkelson	0.1421	0.0693	23.1
10	Christian Yelich	0.1348	0.0849	23.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	José Abreu	0.1775	0.1105	37.5
2	Josh Bell	0.1761	0.1097	35.2
3	Franmil Reyes	0.1794	0.0994	32.2
4	Jared Walsh	0.1796	0.0969	32.2
5	Josh Naylor	0.1127	0.1586	28.8
6	Matt Olson	0.1997	0.1474	28.3
7	Max Muncy	0.1837	0.1221	28.1
8	Adam Duvall	0.2148	0.1143	27.9
9	Francisco Lindor	0.1263	0.1516	26.2
10	Jesús Aguilar	0.1641	0.1006	26.2

Most Unique Misses for RBI Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Pete Alonso	0.1502	0.1758	0.1912	35.6	20.1	15.5
2	Josh Naylor	0.0991	0.1289	0.1586	35.1	21.8	13.3
3	Francisco Lindor	0.1145	0.1345	0.1516	33.9	22.0	11.9
4	José Abreu	0.1758	0.1621	0.1105	37.0	25.6	11.4
5	Aaron Judge	0.1445	0.1636	0.1882	38.0	26.9	11.2
6	Anthony Rizzo	0.1206	0.1422	0.1369	14.9	4.8	10.2
7	Mike Yastrzemski	0.1343	0.1194	0.1022	11.8	1.8	10.0
8	Tucker Barnhart	0.1191	0.0909	0.0519	17.3	7.7	9.6
9	Rowdy Tellez	0.1263	0.1454	0.1486	19.9	10.3	9.6
10	Giancarlo Stanton	0.1521	0.1758	0.1726	14.2	4.9	9.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Albert Pujols	0.1092	0.1533	0.1937	34.6	19.1	15.5
2	Brandon Drury	0.1092	0.1225	0.1532	32.9	25.4	7.6
3	Shohei Ohtani	0.1459	0.1571	0.1426	7.2	0.3	6.9
4	Yadiel Hernandez	0.1092	0.1301	0.1254	9.9	3.0	6.9
5	Alejandro Kirk	0.1514	0.1389	0.1165	11.3	4.5	6.7
6	Tommy Pham	0.1293	0.1188	0.1013	8.7	2.2	6.5
7	César Hernández	0.1092	0.0988	0.0551	24.7	18.3	6.4
8	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.1919	0.1830	0.1374	28.5	22.3	6.2
9	DJ LeMahieu	0.1144	0.1044	0.0850	8.3	2.9	5.4
10	Ryan Mountcastle	0.1369	0.1457	0.1396	10.2	4.8	5.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Will Smith	0.1519	0.1643	0.1505	8.2	0.1	8.0
2	Kyle Schwarber	0.1457	0.1548	0.1405	6.9	0.2	6.7
3	Freddie Freeman	0.1475	0.1550	0.1412	6.6	0.2	6.4
4	Albert Pujols	0.1369	0.1533	0.1937	25.4	19.1	6.3
5	J.T. Realmuto	0.1275	0.1367	0.1495	21.1	15.1	6.0
6	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.1198	0.1076	0.0732	17.4	11.4	6.0
7	Yordan Alvarez	0.1784	0.1863	0.1729	5.7	0.3	5.3
8	Steven Kwan	0.1186	0.1093	0.0815	13.7	8.8	5.0
9	José Ramírez	0.1550	0.1604	0.1839	30.5	25.7	4.7
10	Kyle Tucker	0.1571	0.1633	0.1757	20.8	16.1	4.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Duvall	0.2148	0.1719	0.1143	27.9	13.7	14.2
2	Jeremy Peña	0.0894	0.1130	0.1129	19.8	7.8	12.0
3	José Abreu	0.1775	0.1621	0.1105	37.5	25.6	11.9
4	Shohei Ohtani	0.1724	0.1571	0.1426	11.9	0.3	11.6
5	Andrew Vaughn	0.1032	0.1261	0.1369	25.3	13.8	11.5
6	Matt Olson	0.1997	0.1855	0.1474	28.3	16.9	11.4
7	Juan Soto	0.1778	0.1640	0.0934	48.2	37.6	10.6
8	Patrick Wisdom	0.1671	0.1499	0.1236	16.9	6.6	10.3
9	Corey Seager	0.1575	0.1442	0.1252	13.6	3.3	10.3
10	Max Muncy	0.1837	0.1678	0.1221	28.1	17.9	10.2

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Billy Hamilton	3.3333	0.2623 (70.6)	0.2281 (71.3)	0.2348 (71.2)	0.2279 (71.3)	0.3276 (69.2)
Shohei Ohtani	0.0659	0.1456 (54.6)	0.1395 (52.6)	0.1476 (56.2)	0.1434 (54.3)	0.1458 (52.6)
Jorge Mateo	0.3646	0.1810 (96.7)	0.1324 (120.9)	0.1683 (103.2)	0.1683 (102.5)	0.2073 (84.3)
Marcus Semien	0.1582	0.0715 (61.2)	0.0735 (57.4)	0.0679 (63.5)	0.0679 (62.5)	0.0788 (58.2)
Harrison Bader	0.2297	0.0913 (42.6)	0.0928 (41.2)	0.0874 (43.7)	0.0897 (42.6)	0.0971 (41.8)
Adolis García	0.1908	0.1158 (47.8)	0.1058 (52.4)	0.1141 (48.7)	0.1096 (50.7)	0.1238 (44.6)
Eli White	0.4444	0.0896 (41.3)	0.0725 (42.9)	0.0881 (41.4)	0.0887 (41.1)	0.0920 (41.4)
Thairo Estrada	0.1544	0.0580 (51.0)	0.0615 (47.3)	0.0572 (51.1)	0.0600 (48.9)	0.0568 (53.3)
Jon Berti	0.3832	0.1321 (100.5)	0.1304 (99.9)	0.1205 (105.0)	0.1222 (103.8)	0.1529 (93.4)
Randy Arozarena	0.2177	0.1275 (56.8)	0.1119 (64.7)	0.1217 (60.1)	0.1215 (59.4)	0.1389 (51.4)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1481	0.2326	52.0
2	Nick Gordon	0.1652	0.0612	47.0
3	Julio Rodríguez	0.1016	0.1825	44.1
4	J.T. Realmuto	0.0722	0.1511	43.1
5	Bubba Thompson	0.1561	0.3750	39.2
6	Tim Locastro	0.1544	1.0000	38.8
7	Cody Bellinger	0.0722	0.1443	38.5
8	Michael A. Taylor	0.1145	0.0333	38.0
9	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.0712	0.1408	37.8
10	Jurickson Profar	0.0842	0.0305	36.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0592	0.2326	106.2
2	Julio Rodríguez	0.0592	0.1825	66.0
3	Michael Harris II	0.0592	0.2000	59.7
4	Bubba Thompson	0.0592	0.3750	56.2
5	Jake McCarthy	0.0877	0.2473	54.6
6	Josh Rojas	0.0661	0.1631	46.7
7	Andrew Velazquez	0.1346	0.2656	43.8
8	Jurickson Profar	0.0857	0.0305	39.9
9	Jose Altuve	0.0368	0.1078	39.6
10	Cedric Mullins	0.1471	0.2112	39.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1325	0.2326	61.5
2	Michael Harris II	0.0592	0.2000	60.9
3	Bubba Thompson	0.0592	0.3750	56.7
4	Julio Rodríguez	0.0802	0.1825	55.8
5	Kyle Tucker	0.0971	0.1773	47.2
6	J.T. Realmuto	0.0700	0.1511	44.0
7	Cody Bellinger	0.0633	0.1443	43.0
8	Josh Rojas	0.0795	0.1631	41.3
9	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.0664	0.1408	40.2
10	Nick Gordon	0.1485	0.0612	39.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1342	0.2326	59.6
2	Julio Rodríguez	0.0795	0.1825	55.4
3	Kyle Tucker	0.0989	0.1773	45.3
4	Bubba Thompson	0.1283	0.3750	43.9
5	Cody Bellinger	0.0605	0.1443	43.9
6	J.T. Realmuto	0.0702	0.1511	43.2
7	Michael Harris II	0.0988	0.2000	42.8
8	Nick Gordon	0.1491	0.0612	40.7
9	Tim Locastro	0.1377	1.0000	39.5
10	Ke'Bryan Hayes	0.0666	0.1408	39.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nick Gordon	0.1975	0.0612	60.0
2	Bo Bichette	0.1543	0.0793	51.7
3	Michael A. Taylor	0.1354	0.0333	46.1
4	Byron Buxton	0.2000	0.0822	44.6
5	J.T. Realmuto	0.0763	0.1511	42.5
6	Starling Marte	0.2230	0.1385	42.2
7	Nico Hoerner	0.0769	0.1515	39.0
8	Javier Báez	0.1441	0.0776	38.7
9	Jose Altuve	0.0449	0.1078	38.6
10	CJ Abrams	0.2292	0.1029	37.8

Most Unique Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.0592	0.1481	0.2326	106.2	52.0	54.2
2	Jake McCarthy	0.0877	0.2165	0.2473	54.6	10.1	44.4
3	Andrew Velazquez	0.1346	0.2303	0.2656	43.8	11.6	32.3
4	Brett Phillips	0.0592	0.1865	0.1892	28.0	0.1	27.9
5	Michael Harris II	0.0592	0.1250	0.2000	59.7	32.1	27.6
6	Jose Siri	0.0943	0.1809	0.2154	37.6	10.5	27.1
7	Oneil Cruz	0.0612	0.1376	0.1389	26.1	0.3	25.8
8	Jorge Mateo	0.1324	0.1810	0.3646	120.9	96.7	24.2
9	Julio Rodríguez	0.0592	0.1016	0.1825	66.0	44.1	22.0
10	Jose F Miranda	0.0592	0.0218	0.0085	27.1	7.4	19.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Harris II	0.0592	0.1250	0.2000	60.9	32.1	28.8
2	Sam Haggerty	0.0592	0.1816	0.2500	37.8	13.3	24.5
3	Brandon Drury	0.0592	0.0116	0.0165	25.8	1.6	24.2
4	Josh Donaldson	0.0592	0.0084	0.0160	25.1	3.0	22.1
5	Miguel Cabrera	0.0592	0.0032	0.0085	23.1	1.4	21.7
6	Adalberto Mondesi	0.0592	0.4370	0.4545	21.2	0.8	20.4
7	Jonathan Villar	0.0592	0.1508	0.1522	19.9	0.2	19.7
8	Bubba Thompson	0.0592	0.1561	0.3750	56.7	39.2	17.4
9	Maikel Franco	0.0592	0.0055	0.0133	18.9	2.2	16.6
10	Oscar Gonzalez	0.0592	0.0228	0.0115	19.3	5.1	14.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Julio Rodríguez	0.0795	0.1016	0.1825	55.4	44.1	11.3
2	Michael Harris II	0.0988	0.1250	0.2000	42.8	32.1	10.7
3	Jake McCarthy	0.1855	0.2165	0.2473	20.4	10.1	10.3
4	Kyle Tucker	0.0989	0.1162	0.1773	45.3	35.9	9.4
5	Amed Rosario	0.0698	0.0849	0.1104	24.5	15.6	8.9
6	Oneil Cruz	0.1095	0.1376	0.1389	9.1	0.3	8.8
7	Andrew Velazquez	0.2054	0.2303	0.2656	19.6	11.6	8.1
8	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.1342	0.1481	0.2326	59.6	52.0	7.6
9	Jonah Heim	0.0546	0.0403	0.0206	17.1	9.8	7.3
10	Sam Haggerty	0.1449	0.1816	0.2500	20.3	13.3	7.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Oneil Cruz	0.1948	0.1376	0.1389	19.9	0.3	19.5
2	Trea Turner	0.1988	0.1700	0.1517	32.7	14.5	18.2
3	CJ Abrams	0.2292	0.1700	0.1029	37.8	20.9	16.9
4	Bo Bichette	0.1543	0.1273	0.0793	51.7	35.0	16.7
5	Taylor Walls	0.1584	0.1215	0.1042	24.8	9.1	15.8
6	Byron Buxton	0.2000	0.1576	0.0822	44.6	29.6	15.0
7	Nick Gordon	0.1975	0.1652	0.0612	60.0	47.0	12.9
8	Francisco Lindor	0.1127	0.0913	0.0874	17.2	4.3	12.9
9	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.1333	0.1542	0.1959	33.9	21.1	12.8
10	Vidal Bruján	0.3585	0.2794	0.1724	30.0	17.7	12.3

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Freddie Freeman	0.3252	0.2930 (29.5)	0.2951 (28.2)	0.2940 (29.0)	0.2918 (30.3)	0.2933 (29.4)
Michael Harris II	0.2971	0.2351 (31.5)	0.2427 (28.3)	0.2427 (28.3)	0.2286 (34.3)	0.2416 (28.7)
Andrés Giménez	0.2974	0.2491 (32.1)	0.2389 (38.0)	0.2487 (32.6)	0.2470 (33.3)	0.2517 (30.8)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.3173	0.2728 (35.1)	0.2784 (31.7)	0.2760 (33.2)	0.2744 (34.0)	0.2681 (38.3)
Aaron Judge	0.3105	0.2746 (31.6)	0.2729 (33.0)	0.2744 (31.9)	0.2731 (32.6)	0.2762 (30.6)
Juan Soto	0.2424	0.3124 (40.2)	0.2958 (29.0)	0.3120 (39.8)	0.3117 (39.8)	0.3136 (40.9)
Jonathan Schoop	0.2017	0.2640 (26.9)	0.2682 (29.0)	0.2625 (26.0)	0.2640 (27.0)	0.2654 (27.6)
Nathaniel Lowe	0.3019	0.2601 (33.0)	0.2580 (34.6)	0.2574 (35.0)	0.2581 (34.3)	0.2648 (30.1)
Trent Grisham	0.1840	0.2472 (28.1)	0.2442 (26.4)	0.2480 (28.4)	0.2472 (28.2)	0.2464 (27.6)
José Abreu	0.3045	0.2616 (35.6)	0.2727 (28.2)	0.2614 (35.9)	0.2594 (37.0)	0.2641 (34.0)
Jeff McNeil	0.3265	0.2806 (32.6)	0.2784 (34.1)	0.2805 (32.8)	0.2796 (33.1)	0.2817 (32.1)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dansby Swanson	0.2468	0.2766	27.3
2	Max Muncy	0.2503	0.1961	25.2
3	Ian Happ	0.2410	0.2705	25.0
4	Taylor Ward	0.2463	0.2808	24.8
5	Andrew Benintendi	0.2661	0.3037	24.5
6	Jake McCarthy	0.2240	0.2835	24.4
7	Corey Seager	0.2907	0.2445	24.3
8	Nolan Arenado	0.2629	0.2926	24.3
9	Ketel Marte	0.2908	0.2398	23.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Steven Kwan	0.2427	0.2984	41.8
2	Ketel Marte	0.3008	0.2398	28.5
3	Julio Rodríguez	0.2427	0.2838	28.5
4	Jesse Winker	0.2793	0.2193	27.5
5	Ian Happ	0.2384	0.2705	26.9
6	Andrew Benintendi	0.2623	0.3037	26.7
7	Luis Rengifo	0.2230	0.2638	25.9
8	Yandy Díaz	0.2608	0.2960	25.1
9	Jose Altuve	0.2691	0.2998	24.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dansby Swanson	0.2456	0.2766	28.4
2	Max Muncy	0.2534	0.1961	26.8
3	Andrew Benintendi	0.2622	0.3037	26.7
4	Taylor Ward	0.2439	0.2808	26.3
5	Xander Bogaerts	0.2776	0.3070	24.7
6	Nolan Arenado	0.2630	0.2926	24.4
7	Jake McCarthy	0.2251	0.2835	24.1
8	Corey Seager	0.2905	0.2445	24.0
9	Oscar Gonzalez	0.2427	0.2956	24.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Dansby Swanson	0.2452	0.2766	28.3
2	Andrew Benintendi	0.2638	0.3037	25.7
3	Max Muncy	0.2507	0.1961	25.6
4	Taylor Ward	0.2455	0.2808	25.2
5	Xander Bogaerts	0.2767	0.3070	25.0
6	Ian Happ	0.2416	0.2705	24.6
7	Nolan Arenado	0.2624	0.2926	24.5
8	Corey Seager	0.2905	0.2445	24.3
9	Jake McCarthy	0.2245	0.2835	24.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ian Happ	0.2386	0.2705	26.6
2	Dansby Swanson	0.2496	0.2766	25.5
3	Jake McCarthy	0.2225	0.2835	25.0
4	Corey Seager	0.2912	0.2445	24.5
5	Myles Straw	0.2709	0.2206	24.2
6	Nolan Arenado	0.2633	0.2926	24.1
7	Yandy Díaz	0.2630	0.2960	23.8
8	Alejandro Kirk	0.2519	0.2851	23.2
9	Taylor Ward	0.2494	0.2808	23.2

Most Unique Misses for Batting Average

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Steven Kwan	0.2427	0.2810	0.2984	41.8	17.1	24.7
2	Julio Rodríguez	0.2427	0.2755	0.2838	28.5	9.9	18.6
3	Jose F Miranda	0.2427	0.2758	0.2680	17.0	0.8	16.2
4	Ha-Seong Kim	0.2215	0.2441	0.2515	23.1	9.8	13.3
5	Randal Grichuk	0.2429	0.2664	0.2589	13.9	1.1	12.8
6	Luis Rengifo	0.2230	0.2459	0.2638	25.9	14.0	11.8
7	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.2427	0.2601	0.2538	13.2	2.0	11.2
8	Brett Phillips	0.2427	0.1927	0.1443	19.9	8.8	11.2
9	Geraldo Perdomo	0.2500	0.2287	0.1949	22.6	12.1	10.5
10	Alejandro Kirk	0.2509	0.2695	0.2851	23.8	13.6	10.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Brantley	0.2427	0.2948	0.2881	15.3	0.8	14.5
2	Oscar Gonzalez	0.2427	0.2657	0.2956	24.0	15.0	8.9
3	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.2427	0.2704	0.2946	18.4	10.0	8.4
4	Eric Hosmer	0.2427	0.2622	0.2684	14.9	6.6	8.3
5	César Hernández	0.2427	0.2543	0.2482	9.5	2.1	7.4
6	Robinson Chirinos	0.2427	0.2106	0.1795	11.7	4.8	7.0
7	Stephen Vogt	0.2427	0.2069	0.1607	13.8	7.0	6.8
8	Yadiel Hernandez	0.2427	0.2617	0.2689	11.8	5.4	6.3
9	Kole Calhoun	0.2427	0.2290	0.1959	15.7	10.0	5.7
10	Aristides Aquino	0.2427	0.2238	0.1969	9.9	4.8	5.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Gio Urshela	0.2596	0.2661	0.2854	19.4	15.9	3.5
2	Mookie Betts	0.2727	0.2781	0.2692	3.7	0.4	3.4
3	Matt Chapman	0.2229	0.2280	0.2286	9.4	6.3	3.1
4	Trea Turner	0.2916	0.2958	0.2975	10.8	8.0	2.9
5	Michael Harris II	0.2286	0.2351	0.2971	34.3	31.5	2.8
6	Josh Bell	0.2609	0.2652	0.2663	9.5	6.8	2.7
7	Cal Mitchell	0.2645	0.2533	0.2264	6.7	4.0	2.6
8	Francisco Lindor	0.2526	0.2565	0.2698	18.8	16.1	2.6
9	Patrick Wisdom	0.2108	0.2158	0.2068	2.9	0.3	2.6
10	Adolis García	0.2243	0.2281	0.2496	22.8	20.3	2.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alejandro Kirk	0.2519	0.2695	0.2851	23.2	13.6	9.6
2	Javier Báez	0.2612	0.2501	0.2378	8.1	1.6	6.5
3	Matt Vierling	0.2333	0.2512	0.2462	8.0	1.6	6.5
4	Trey Mancini	0.2721	0.2611	0.2389	13.8	7.4	6.4
5	Ha-Seong Kim	0.2337	0.2441	0.2515	15.9	9.8	6.1
6	Gavin Lux	0.2426	0.2549	0.2755	20.0	14.2	5.9
7	Marcus Semien	0.2692	0.2614	0.2481	8.3	2.8	5.5
8	Andrew Vaughn	0.2449	0.2541	0.2706	19.6	14.4	5.2
9	Dylan Carlson	0.2667	0.2561	0.2361	10.2	5.1	5.1
10	Christopher Morel	0.2057	0.2170	0.2348	16.5	11.6	4.8

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Andrés Giménez	0.3707	0.3032 (44.8)	0.3089 (42.3)	0.3024 (46.4)	0.3012 (46.6)	0.3061 (42.0)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.4037	0.3560 (39.5)	0.3593 (38.1)	0.3608 (37.7)	0.3583 (38.8)	0.3488 (42.7)
Andrew Benintendi	0.3731	0.3348 (26.7)	0.3298 (29.9)	0.3341 (28.1)	0.3362 (26.6)	0.3339 (26.0)
Jose Altuve	0.3874	0.3473 (32.1)	0.3369 (39.0)	0.3508 (31.2)	0.3509 (30.7)	0.3403 (34.9)
Aaron Judge	0.4249	0.3693 (47.7)	0.3612 (54.1)	0.3699 (48.7)	0.3693 (48.5)	0.3687 (46.6)
Brendan Donovan	0.3940	0.3239 (38.9)	0.3115 (45.2)	0.3301 (36.9)	0.3286 (37.3)	0.3130 (42.9)
Jonathan Schoop	0.2392	0.3090 (28.9)	0.3176 (32.8)	0.3093 (28.1)	0.3110 (29.4)	0.3066 (28.9)
Cody Bellinger	0.2655	0.3340 (30.5)	0.3275 (26.4)	0.3357 (30.4)	0.3329 (29.3)	0.3333 (31.4)
José Abreu	0.3785	0.3322 (40.3)	0.3425 (34.1)	0.3339 (40.4)	0.3321 (41.2)	0.3306 (39.8)
Jeff McNeil	0.3820	0.3461 (28.8)	0.3472 (28.8)	0.3470 (29.4)	0.3456 (29.8)	0.3458 (27.6)
Yoán Moncada	0.2731	0.3506 (27.9)	0.3557 (29.6)	0.3529 (28.0)	0.3534 (28.6)	0.3457 (26.7)
Yordan Alvarez	0.4064	0.3606 (33.0)	0.3535 (37.6)	0.3582 (35.4)	0.3572 (35.6)	0.3664 (28.4)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	0.4574	0.4012	28.7
2	Yandy Díaz	0.3638	0.4014	28.3
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3913	0.3385	28.1
4	Michael Harris II	0.2889	0.3386	27.7
5	Abraham Toro	0.3296	0.2386	27.4
6	Marcell Ozuna	0.3386	0.2742	26.1
7	Adolis García	0.2732	0.2998	26.1
8	Nolan Arenado	0.3290	0.3581	26.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Steven Kwan	0.3115	0.3726	48.0
2	Yandy Díaz	0.3514	0.4014	35.8
3	Alejandro Kirk	0.3279	0.3715	31.3
4	Adley Rutschman	0.3115	0.3617	30.3
5	Ha-Seong Kim	0.2906	0.3247	28.1
6	Brandon Drury	0.2851	0.3204	28.1
7	Taylor Ward	0.3252	0.3599	27.6
8	Julio Rodríguez	0.3115	0.3446	26.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adolis García	0.2697	0.2998	29.6
2	Abraham Toro	0.3333	0.2386	28.1
3	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3919	0.3385	27.1
4	Yandy Díaz	0.3683	0.4014	26.9
5	Marcell Ozuna	0.3417	0.2742	26.7
6	Juan Soto	0.4559	0.4012	26.4
7	Eugenio Suárez	0.3056	0.3323	26.2
8	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.3115	0.3826	25.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Harris II	0.2841	0.3386	30.3
2	Abraham Toro	0.3349	0.2386	28.9
3	Adolis García	0.2709	0.2998	28.3
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3923	0.3385	27.9
5	Juan Soto	0.4555	0.4012	26.6
6	Marcell Ozuna	0.3407	0.2742	26.6
7	Eugenio Suárez	0.3050	0.3323	26.1
8	Nolan Arenado	0.3309	0.3581	25.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yandy Díaz	0.3519	0.4014	33.7
2	Juan Soto	0.4607	0.4012	32.4
3	Alejandro Kirk	0.3267	0.3715	30.1
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.3898	0.3385	28.6
5	Matt Olson	0.3752	0.3247	27.8
6	Nolan Arenado	0.3242	0.3581	27.6
7	Albert Pujols	0.2809	0.3447	26.2
8	Steven Kwan	0.3427	0.3726	26.0

Most Unique Misses for On-Base Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Steven Kwan	0.3115	0.3462	0.3726	48.0	25.2	22.9
2	Julio Rodríguez	0.3115	0.3413	0.3446	26.5	9.2	17.3
3	Adley Rutschman	0.3115	0.3414	0.3617	30.3	15.7	14.6
4	Ha-Seong Kim	0.2906	0.3131	0.3247	28.1	14.3	13.7
5	Jose Siri	0.3230	0.2807	0.2677	13.4	0.0	13.4
6	José Ramírez	0.3457	0.3630	0.3547	15.9	3.3	12.7
7	Randal Grichuk	0.2907	0.3121	0.2993	12.2	0.1	12.2
8	Daniel Vogelbach	0.3363	0.3613	0.3601	17.5	5.5	12.1
9	Shohei Ohtani	0.3476	0.3632	0.3559	14.9	3.8	11.1
10	Josh Naylor	0.3090	0.3301	0.3193	12.2	1.1	11.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Brantley	0.3115	0.3501	0.3696	20.2	9.0	11.2
2	Maikel Franco	0.3115	0.2898	0.2552	16.1	8.4	7.6
3	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.3115	0.3326	0.3826	25.6	18.8	6.9
4	César Hernández	0.3115	0.3281	0.3111	9.0	2.5	6.5
5	Eric Hosmer	0.3115	0.3235	0.3341	15.8	9.9	5.9
6	Sheldon Neuse	0.3115	0.2922	0.2730	6.9	1.8	5.1
7	Seiya Suzuki	0.3883	0.3753	0.3363	16.5	11.6	5.0
8	Austin Romine	0.3115	0.2733	0.1866	15.0	10.0	4.9
9	Stephen Vogt	0.3115	0.2842	0.2408	10.6	5.8	4.8
10	Yadier Molina	0.3115	0.2924	0.2333	17.1	12.4	4.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Seiya Suzuki	0.3876	0.3753	0.3363	16.5	11.6	5.0
2	Matt Vierling	0.3220	0.3116	0.2969	3.9	0.6	3.3
3	Matt Chapman	0.3182	0.3220	0.3237	12.2	9.1	3.1
4	César Hernández	0.3342	0.3281	0.3111	5.5	2.5	3.1
5	Patrick Wisdom	0.2884	0.2929	0.2983	12.9	9.8	3.0
6	Will Smith	0.3470	0.3510	0.3426	5.6	2.6	3.0
7	Francisco Lindor	0.3302	0.3331	0.3385	15.9	13.0	2.9
8	Taylor Walls	0.3200	0.3128	0.2678	17.7	14.9	2.8
9	Ty France	0.3458	0.3490	0.3382	4.1	1.3	2.7
10	Cal Mitchell	0.3126	0.2978	0.2857	2.9	0.2	2.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alejandro Kirk	0.3267	0.3449	0.3715	30.1	21.4	8.7
2	Javier Báez	0.3037	0.2948	0.2780	8.8	2.3	6.5
3	Matt Vierling	0.2896	0.3116	0.2969	6.5	0.6	5.9
4	Gavin Lux	0.3176	0.3322	0.3461	18.5	12.7	5.8
5	MJ Melendez	0.3105	0.3230	0.3127	6.9	1.5	5.4
6	Josh Naylor	0.3169	0.3301	0.3193	6.5	1.1	5.4
7	Yandy Díaz	0.3519	0.3638	0.4014	33.7	28.3	5.4
8	Mike Trout	0.4181	0.4099	0.3687	19.3	14.1	5.2
9	Kyle Schwarber	0.3541	0.3490	0.3229	13.7	8.8	5.0
10	Marcus Semien	0.3416	0.3371	0.3039	19.5	14.7	4.9

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Harris II	0.5145	0.3622 (84.0)	0.3953 (68.3)	0.3953 (70.5)	0.3440 (93.2)	0.3804 (73.7)
Paul Goldschmidt	0.5775	0.4799 (88.4)	0.4845 (83.7)	0.4882 (84.6)	0.4898 (83.7)	0.4620 (96.7)
Brandon Drury	0.4923	0.4145 (65.9)	0.3930 (76.6)	0.3953 (78.1)	0.4174 (65.7)	0.4116 (64.6)
Yasmani Grandal	0.2691	0.4654 (59.5)	0.4660 (60.6)	0.4718 (60.9)	0.4606 (56.7)	0.4640 (60.9)
Aaron Judge	0.6860	0.5398 (128.3)	0.5175 (142.1)	0.5419 (128.5)	0.5393 (130.4)	0.5383 (125.8)
Jose Altuve	0.5332	0.4711 (60.6)	0.4699 (59.8)	0.4765 (58.8)	0.4710 (62.2)	0.4659 (60.6)
Nathaniel Lowe	0.4924	0.4477 (53.5)	0.4200 (69.7)	0.4508 (53.0)	0.4498 (53.8)	0.4426 (53.4)
Christian Walker	0.4768	0.4313 (55.8)	0.4293 (55.5)	0.4283 (59.4)	0.4381 (53.1)	0.4276 (54.9)
Albert Pujols	0.5505	0.4162 (60.5)	0.4169 (59.4)	0.3953 (68.7)	0.4374 (54.0)	0.3953 (66.0)
Matt Carpenter	0.7266	0.3624 (62.0)	0.3521 (63.2)	0.3624 (62.3)	0.3607 (62.6)	0.3642 (60.9)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.5100	0.3371	68.3
2	Juan Soto	0.5927	0.4523	67.9
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.5726	0.4133	64.6
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.6045	0.4796	61.2
5	Nolan Arenado	0.4791	0.5332	57.3
6	Franmil Reyes	0.5186	0.3653	54.4
7	Joc Pederson	0.4354	0.5211	53.6
8	Mike Trout	0.5631	0.6301	52.5
9	Spencer Torkelson	0.4872	0.3194	52.4
10	Yordan Alvarez	0.5604	0.6128	50.8

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Rodríguez	0.3953	0.5088	83.5
2	Nelson Cruz	0.5289	0.3371	79.2
3	Jesse Winker	0.5012	0.3443	66.4
4	Geraldo Perdomo	0.4300	0.2622	66.1
5	Yordan Alvarez	0.5308	0.6128	66.0
6	Andrés Giménez	0.3857	0.4664	64.8
7	Cal Raleigh	0.3740	0.4892	62.6
8	Luis Rengifo	0.3525	0.4294	57.5
9	Austin Riley	0.4823	0.5285	56.7
10	Taylor Ward	0.4110	0.4727	54.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Juan Soto	0.6025	0.4523	72.8
2	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.6172	0.4796	68.4
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.5760	0.4133	65.1
4	Nolan Arenado	0.4786	0.5332	59.0
5	Joc Pederson	0.4270	0.5211	58.3
6	Yordan Alvarez	0.5516	0.6128	57.1
7	Mike Trout	0.5571	0.6301	56.7
8	Franmil Reyes	0.5177	0.3653	52.9
9	Max Muncy	0.5177	0.3836	52.8
10	Adolis García	0.4185	0.4562	51.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.5124	0.3371	68.3
2	Juan Soto	0.5945	0.4523	67.3
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.5797	0.4133	67.0
4	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.6115	0.4796	64.3
5	Mike Trout	0.5513	0.6301	59.7
6	Nolan Arenado	0.4817	0.5332	57.2
7	Yordan Alvarez	0.5540	0.6128	55.8
8	Andrés Giménez	0.4109	0.4664	53.6
9	Joc Pederson	0.4393	0.5211	53.0
10	Spencer Torkelson	0.4905	0.3194	52.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nelson Cruz	0.5077	0.3371	69.8
2	Juan Soto	0.5813	0.4523	63.7
3	Ronald Acuña Jr.	0.5622	0.4133	61.8
4	Franmil Reyes	0.5234	0.3653	59.2
5	Max Muncy	0.5156	0.3836	55.9
6	Nolan Arenado	0.4769	0.5332	55.4
7	Spencer Torkelson	0.4892	0.3194	55.2
8	Manny Machado	0.4807	0.5311	53.8
9	Elvis Andrus	0.3452	0.4037	52.9
10	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.5852	0.4796	51.2

Most Unique Misses for Slugging Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Geraldo Perdomo	0.4300	0.3344	0.2622	66.1	17.0	49.1
2	Bobby Witt Jr.	0.3953	0.4588	0.4281	43.2	4.7	38.5
3	Julio Rodríguez	0.3953	0.4631	0.5088	83.5	47.0	36.5
4	Josh Naylor	0.4013	0.4592	0.4521	43.1	15.5	27.6
5	Jose F Miranda	0.3953	0.4545	0.4257	31.9	4.5	27.4
6	Rowdy Tellez	0.4402	0.4863	0.4612	33.9	7.9	26.1
7	Steven Kwan	0.3953	0.4396	0.3996	25.5	1.2	24.3
8	Oscar Gonzalez	0.3953	0.4591	0.4613	38.8	15.4	23.4
9	Andrew Vaughn	0.4095	0.4516	0.4294	30.8	8.9	21.9
10	Jesse Winker	0.5012	0.4642	0.3443	66.4	44.7	21.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Oscar Gonzalez	0.3953	0.4591	0.4613	40.7	15.4	25.3
2	Vinnie Pasquantino	0.3953	0.4683	0.4496	28.3	5.8	22.5
3	Yadiel Hernandez	0.3953	0.4354	0.4098	18.0	4.1	13.9
4	Michael Brantley	0.3953	0.4420	0.4156	16.9	3.3	13.6
5	Brandon Drury	0.3953	0.4145	0.4923	78.1	65.9	12.3
6	Alejandro Kirk	0.5034	0.4798	0.4149	25.9	14.4	11.5
7	Jason Delay	0.3953	0.3256	0.2710	14.0	2.8	11.2
8	Chad Pinder	0.3953	0.4252	0.3850	11.5	0.8	10.7
9	Patrick Wisdom	0.4381	0.4555	0.4264	15.5	4.9	10.6
10	Joey Meneses	0.3953	0.4327	0.5631	50.0	40.5	9.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trea Turner	0.4863	0.4991	0.4663	14.7	3.8	10.8
2	Matt Chapman	0.4456	0.4602	0.4331	17.6	6.9	10.7
3	Patrick Wisdom	0.4396	0.4555	0.4264	14.7	4.9	9.9
4	Alejandro Kirk	0.5001	0.4798	0.4149	24.1	14.4	9.6
5	Cal Mitchell	0.4572	0.4145	0.3491	15.6	6.3	9.3
6	Shohei Ohtani	0.5375	0.5488	0.5188	14.6	5.4	9.2
7	Michael Harris II	0.3440	0.3622	0.5145	93.2	84.0	9.2
8	Mookie Betts	0.4963	0.5072	0.5332	49.7	41.0	8.6
9	MJ Melendez	0.4937	0.4752	0.3935	31.8	23.2	8.5
10	Xander Bogaerts	0.4747	0.4850	0.4560	13.9	5.8	8.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Trey Mancini	0.4806	0.4522	0.3911	33.1	13.4	19.7
2	Marcus Semien	0.4910	0.4739	0.4292	20.8	4.7	16.2
3	Josh Naylor	0.4246	0.4592	0.4521	30.2	15.5	14.7
4	Jonah Heim	0.3569	0.3920	0.3990	33.8	20.3	13.5
5	Jorge Polanco	0.4908	0.4669	0.4053	23.4	10.4	13.0
6	Javier Báez	0.4683	0.4529	0.3928	25.1	12.9	12.1
7	Emmanuel Rivera	0.3724	0.4104	0.4091	25.0	13.2	11.8
8	Justin Turner	0.4270	0.4542	0.4380	23.4	11.7	11.7
9	Santiago Espinal	0.3467	0.3753	0.3697	27.5	16.0	11.5
10	Riley Greene	0.4650	0.4437	0.3617	29.4	18.3	11.1

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
John Means	34	686 (652.4)	562 (528.0)	728 (693.8)	723 (689.4)	608 (574.0)
Anthony DeSclafani	94	691 (597.4)	604 (510.0)	693 (598.6)	753 (658.6)	629 (535.0)
Walker Buehler	274	798 (523.7)	680 (406.0)	794 (519.5)	839 (564.7)	761 (487.0)
Hyun Jin Ryu	113	674 (560.6)	615 (502.0)	693 (579.7)	705 (592.0)	623 (510.0)
Casey Mize	45	687 (642.4)	592 (547.0)	694 (648.8)	741 (695.5)	628 (583.0)
Wade Miley	159	603 (444.0)	593 (434.0)	580 (420.5)	617 (458.5)	612 (453.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Stephen Strasburg	515	23	491.7
2	Huascar Ynoa	510	37	472.7
3	Steven Matz	658	207	451.2
4	Vladimir Gutierrez	614	179	435.2
5	Alec Mills	509	84	424.6
6	Matthew Boyd	475	53	422.2
7	Luis Patiño	503	98	404.7
8	Chris Sale	429	25	404.5
9	Kyle Hendricks	746	356	389.8
10	Kyle Wright	360	738	378.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Miles Mikolas	342	805	463.0
2	Kyle Wright	281	738	457.0
3	George Kirby	100	542	442.0
4	Adbert Alzolay	488	52	436.0
5	Hunter Greene	100	531	431.0
6	Justin Verlander	238	666	428.0
7	Lance McCullers Jr.	619	195	424.0
8	Tyler Glasnow	446	26	420.0
9	Chris Paddack	510	93	417.0
10	Spencer Strider	115	528	413.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	100	803	703.0
2	Corey Kluber	100	689	589.0
3	Huascar Ynoa	590	37	553.5
4	Kyle Wright	201	738	536.8
5	Chad Kuhl	139	617	478.3
6	Vladimir Gutierrez	638	179	459.4
7	Steven Matz	658	207	451.4
8	Chris Sale	460	25	434.8
9	Dallas Keuchel	712	303	408.7
10	Kyle Hendricks	763	356	407.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Luis Patiño	630	98	531.8
2	Stephen Strasburg	547	23	524.4
3	Steven Matz	696	207	489.2
4	Vladimir Gutierrez	644	179	465.1
5	Kyle Wright	278	738	459.9
6	Huascar Ynoa	495	37	458.5
7	Graham Ashcraft	17	464	446.8
8	Kyle Hendricks	802	356	446.3
9	Daulton Jefferies	610	172	438.3
10	Adrian Sampson	4	428	423.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Matthew Boyd	634	53	581.0
2	Bowden Francis	555	3	552.0
3	Rico Garcia	563	35	528.0
4	Cade Cavalli	541	23	518.0
5	Yonny Chirinos	545	30	515.0
6	Cooper Criswell	513	13	500.0
7	Tanner Tully	512	30	482.0
8	Max Kranick	490	19	471.0
9	Alec Mills	547	84	463.0
10	Riley O'Brien	465	5	460.0

Most Unique Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Hunter Greene	100	490	531	431.0	40.7	390.3
2	Justin Verlander	238	624	666	428.0	42.3	385.7
3	Nick Martinez	100	452	448	348.0	3.7	344.3
4	Tyler Glasnow	446	136	26	420.0	110.5	309.5
5	Dakota Hudson	279	565	596	317.0	30.6	286.4
6	Noah Syndergaard	257	637	565	308.0	72.4	235.6
7	Adam Oller	100	330	337	237.0	7.0	230.0
8	Jose Quintana	327	555	679	352.0	123.7	228.3
9	Ranger Suarez	361	584	662	301.0	77.7	223.3
10	Kyle Bradish	100	312	509	409.0	197.1	211.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	100	761	803	703.0	42.4	660.6
2	Corey Kluber	100	516	689	589.0	173.1	415.9
3	Taylor Hearn	100	492	449	349.0	42.7	306.3
4	Adrián Martinez	24	251	259	234.9	8.1	226.8
5	Paul Blackburn	175	381	467	292.0	85.7	206.3
6	Steve Cishek	100	292	287	187.0	4.8	182.2
7	Chad Kuhl	139	318	617	478.3	298.6	179.7
8	Braxton Garrett	83	262	373	290.0	111.5	178.5
9	Drew Hutchison	100	278	464	364.0	185.9	178.1
10	Jarlín García	100	270	270	170.0	0.1	169.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Josh Winckowski	4	251	316	311.6	65.3	246.3
2	Brayan Bello	4	250	268	263.6	18.3	245.3
3	Adrian Sampson	4	250	428	423.5	178.3	245.3
4	Graham Ashcraft	17	235	464	446.8	229.4	217.4
5	Davis Martin	4	219	269	264.5	50.3	214.3
6	Cory Abbott	4	223	216	211.6	6.9	204.7
7	Beau Brieske	4	208	339	334.6	131.3	203.3
8	Michael Lorenzen	627	429	411	216.3	18.3	198.0
9	Mark Leiter Jr.	17	208	282	265.0	73.5	191.5
10	Spenser Watkins	79	261	459	380.2	197.6	182.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Bowden Francis	555	229	3	552.0	226.4	325.6
2	Cory Abbott	542	223	216	326.0	6.9	319.1
3	Tyler Alexander	100	448	427	327.0	20.9	306.1
4	Bryce Elder	580	292	227	353.0	65.2	287.8
5	Packy Naughton	479	197	141	338.0	56.2	281.8
6	Rico Garcia	563	284	35	528.0	248.7	279.3
7	Ryne Nelson	483	204	69	414.0	135.5	278.5
8	Tommy Romero	454	181	44	410.0	137.4	272.6
9	Riley O'Brien	465	196	5	460.0	190.7	269.3
10	Cade Cavalli	541	275	23	518.0	252.3	265.7

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
José Berríos	0.3490	0.2902 (41.7)	0.3037 (39.2)	0.1274 (62.2)	0.2915 (41.8)	0.2856 (42.2)
Patrick Corbin	0.3833	0.3099 (49.8)	0.3391 (36.3)	0.1339 (78.8)	0.3134 (48.4)	0.3026 (52.3)

Individual Misses for wOBA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nestor Cortes	0.3119	0.2451	43.2
2	Tyler Anderson	0.3240	0.2697	40.8
3	Lucas Giolito	0.2831	0.3448	40.7
4	Tony Gonsolin	0.3144	0.2394	39.1
5	Justin Verlander	0.2749	0.2214	38.0
6	Zac Gallen	0.2998	0.2501	37.9
7	Spencer Strider	0.2996	0.2360	35.4
8	Triston McKenzie	0.3082	0.2672	32.9
9	Cristian Javier	0.3027	0.2504	32.6
10	Trevor Rogers	0.2832	0.3540	32.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nestor Cortes	0.3199	0.2451	41.8
2	Justin Verlander	0.2883	0.2214	40.0
3	Lucas Giolito	0.2953	0.3448	39.3
4	Spencer Strider	0.3160	0.2360	38.7
5	Martín Pérez	0.3409	0.2877	38.1
6	Shane McClanahan	0.3125	0.2488	36.5
7	Zac Gallen	0.3079	0.2501	36.4
8	Mike Minor	0.3168	0.3882	35.6
9	Dylan Cease	0.3170	0.2639	34.6
10	Tyler Anderson	0.3244	0.2697	33.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.3096	0.3067	113.9
2	Corey Kluber	0.3096	0.3149	92.1
3	Adrian Sampson	0.3096	0.3024	62.6
4	Andre Pallante	0.3096	0.3202	58.6
5	Graham Ashcraft	0.3096	0.3273	56.3
6	Germán Márquez	0.1306	0.3410	55.6
7	Kris Bubic	0.1389	0.3707	54.5
8	Collin McHugh	0.3096	0.2487	54.3
9	Spenser Watkins	0.3096	0.3310	53.9
10	Anthony Bass	0.3096	0.2535	53.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.3304	0.2697	44.3
2	Nestor Cortes	0.3093	0.2451	40.7
3	Tony Gonsolin	0.3174	0.2394	39.8
4	Zac Gallen	0.3031	0.2501	39.2
5	Justin Verlander	0.2766	0.2214	38.1
6	Lucas Giolito	0.2914	0.3448	35.9
7	Triston McKenzie	0.3124	0.2672	35.0
8	Cristian Javier	0.3059	0.2504	33.6
9	Max Fried	0.2978	0.2564	31.8
10	Mike Minor	0.3162	0.3882	31.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	0.2651	0.3448	50.5
2	Nestor Cortes	0.3102	0.2451	44.5
3	Spencer Strider	0.3089	0.2360	42.3
4	Tony Gonsolin	0.3124	0.2394	40.0
5	Martín Pérez	0.3276	0.2877	38.8
6	Tyler Anderson	0.3167	0.2697	38.4
7	Zac Gallen	0.2948	0.2501	37.1
8	Justin Verlander	0.2689	0.2214	36.5
9	Trevor Rogers	0.2739	0.3540	34.7
10	Germán Márquez	0.2923	0.3410	32.2

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jeffrey Springs	0.3321	0.2807	0.2710	29.8	7.2	22.6
2	Mitch Keller	0.3528	0.3214	0.3228	16.0	1.4	14.6
3	Austin Gomber	0.3120	0.3284	0.3469	22.0	8.0	14.1
4	Ranger Suarez	0.2873	0.2975	0.3128	21.4	7.8	13.6
5	Chad Kuhl	0.3345	0.3459	0.3667	24.0	10.7	13.3
6	Jose Quintana	0.3370	0.3093	0.2858	30.1	18.3	11.8
7	Rich Hill	0.3101	0.3211	0.3254	11.6	0.4	11.2
8	Adam Wainwright	0.2980	0.3014	0.3067	12.5	1.5	11.0
9	Tarik Skubal	0.3313	0.2980	0.2880	17.4	6.4	11.0
10	Logan Webb	0.3037	0.2796	0.2823	11.5	0.6	10.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.3096	0.3014	0.3067	113.9	1.5	112.4
2	Corey Kluber	0.3096	0.2967	0.3149	92.1	10.2	81.9
3	Andre Pallante	0.3096	0.3140	0.3202	58.6	1.3	57.4
4	Graham Ashcraft	0.3096	0.3159	0.3273	56.3	3.6	52.6
5	Taylor Hearn	0.3096	0.3247	0.3365	50.3	3.8	46.5
6	Drew Hutchison	0.3096	0.3215	0.3379	51.3	6.0	45.3
7	Adrian Sampson	0.3096	0.3416	0.3024	62.6	18.3	44.3
8	Spenser Watkins	0.3096	0.3488	0.3310	53.9	9.8	44.2
9	Kyle Freeland	0.1392	0.3316	0.3455	51.6	8.0	43.7
10	Beau Brieske	0.3096	0.3192	0.3056	48.5	5.8	42.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Max Fried	0.2978	0.2860	0.2564	31.8	24.2	7.6
2	Julio Urías	0.3010	0.2885	0.2629	27.6	20.0	7.6
3	Logan Webb	0.2897	0.2796	0.2823	7.4	0.6	6.7
4	Sandy Alcantara	0.2925	0.2846	0.2597	30.8	25.1	5.7
5	Graham Ashcraft	0.3059	0.3159	0.3273	9.0	3.6	5.3
6	Marcus Stroman	0.3134	0.3031	0.2910	13.9	8.9	5.0
7	Sonny Gray	0.3045	0.2931	0.2825	11.7	6.8	4.8
8	Johnny Cueto	0.3299	0.3221	0.3112	13.5	9.4	4.1
9	Kyle Bradish	0.3077	0.3142	0.3318	11.3	7.2	4.0
10	Jason Alexander	0.3164	0.3272	0.3801	19.8	15.9	4.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Germán Márquez	0.2923	0.3117	0.3410	32.2	20.1	12.1
2	Spenser Watkins	0.3697	0.3488	0.3310	21.1	9.8	11.4
3	Lucas Giolito	0.2651	0.2831	0.3448	50.5	40.7	9.8
4	Dakota Hudson	0.2933	0.3136	0.3248	14.4	4.6	9.8
5	Logan Webb	0.2619	0.2796	0.2823	10.3	0.6	9.7
6	Brandon Woodruff	0.2562	0.2755	0.2802	10.3	0.8	9.5
7	Ranger Suarez	0.2796	0.2975	0.3128	17.1	7.8	9.3
8	Antonio Senzatela	0.3052	0.3302	0.3832	29.2	20.4	8.7
9	Jorge López	0.3317	0.3076	0.2765	18.6	10.3	8.3
10	Jordan Lyles	0.3462	0.3400	0.3408	9.8	2.0	7.8

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Marco Gonzales	0.1315	0.1832 (38.5)	0.2003 (45.5)	0.1853 (39.8)	0.1829 (40.7)	0.1815 (31.9)
Hunter Greene	0.3089	0.2371 (39.4)	0.2245 (50.4)	0.2318 (42.5)	0.2317 (40.6)	0.2478 (37.3)
Shane Bieber	0.2503	0.3031 (39.8)	0.3050 (34.8)	0.2967 (34.4)	0.2930 (34.3)	0.3197 (47.6)
Spencer Strider	0.3826	0.2606 (65.7)	0.2261 (88.2)	0.2703 (60.9)	0.2799 (53.9)	0.2317 (84.5)
Ryan Helsley	0.3933	0.2346 (38.5)	0.2279 (42.1)	0.2348 (38.6)	0.2343 (37.8)	0.2346 (40.1)
Félix Bautista	0.3478	0.2292 (30.6)	0.2245 (33.9)	0.2286 (30.9)	0.2286 (30.0)	0.2303 (32.0)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Kopech	0.3030	0.2126	43.5
2	Mike Clevinger	0.2641	0.1876	35.9
3	Edwin Díaz	0.3536	0.5021	35.5
4	José Berríos	0.2463	0.1979	34.6
5	Robbie Ray	0.3195	0.2735	33.7
6	Dylan Bundy	0.2161	0.1580	33.1
7	Merrill Kelly	0.1824	0.2201	32.3
8	Jesús Luzardo	0.2232	0.3000	31.7
9	Andrew Heaney	0.2552	0.3548	31.6
10	James Kaprielian	0.2267	0.1698	31.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Edwin Díaz	0.3028	0.5021	49.3
2	Cristian Javier	0.2668	0.3316	44.1
3	Zack Greinke	0.2063	0.1248	41.5
4	Dakota Hudson	0.2079	0.1309	39.6
5	Andrés Muñoz	0.2411	0.3871	38.9
6	Shane McClanahan	0.2543	0.3027	37.8
7	Dylan Bundy	0.2311	0.1580	37.2
8	Nick Lodolo	0.2245	0.2971	36.7
9	Carlos Rodón	0.2942	0.3338	35.7
10	Andrew Heaney	0.2561	0.3548	33.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cristian Javier	0.2620	0.3316	42.4
2	Michael Kopech	0.2962	0.2126	39.9
3	Edwin Díaz	0.3368	0.5021	39.5
4	Spenser Watkins	0.2245	0.1373	38.7
5	Jesús Luzardo	0.2127	0.3000	36.1
6	Merrill Kelly	0.1785	0.2201	35.8
7	José Berríos	0.2479	0.1979	35.5
8	Adam Wainwright	0.2245	0.1781	34.9
9	Drew Hutchison	0.2245	0.1466	34.8
10	Andrew Heaney	0.2466	0.3548	34.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Kopech	0.2988	0.2126	42.9
2	Mike Clevinger	0.2660	0.1876	38.3
3	Edwin Díaz	0.3411	0.5021	37.7
4	Graham Ashcraft	0.2315	0.1530	36.7
5	José Berríos	0.2434	0.1979	34.7
6	Cristian Javier	0.2739	0.3316	33.4
7	Robbie Ray	0.3154	0.2735	33.0
8	Andrew Heaney	0.2486	0.3548	32.7
9	Merrill Kelly	0.1804	0.2201	31.5
10	James Kaprielian	0.2234	0.1698	31.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Kopech	0.3140	0.2126	45.6
2	Dylan Bundy	0.2320	0.1580	38.6
3	Martín Pérez	0.1708	0.2058	36.3
4	David Peterson	0.2093	0.2775	35.1
5	Tyler Wells	0.2688	0.1797	33.8
6	Jhoan Duran	0.2167	0.3346	33.8
7	Mike Clevinger	0.2662	0.1876	33.7
8	Jeffrey Springs	0.3317	0.2623	33.1
9	Merrill Kelly	0.1884	0.2201	32.9
10	Robbie Ray	0.3239	0.2735	31.9

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Andre Pallante	0.2245	0.1602	0.1597	24.7	0.9	23.8
2	Dakota Hudson	0.2079	0.1606	0.1309	39.6	16.3	23.3
3	Spencer Strider	0.2261	0.2606	0.3826	88.2	65.7	22.6
4	Andrés Muñoz	0.2411	0.3213	0.3871	38.9	16.9	21.9
5	Dylan Cease	0.2705	0.2886	0.3039	32.9	13.2	19.7
6	Josh Winckowski	0.2245	0.1551	0.1392	23.6	4.2	19.3
7	Noah Syndergaard	0.2374	0.2020	0.1681	33.1	17.7	15.4
8	Adam Wainwright	0.2136	0.1869	0.1781	20.0	5.1	14.9
9	Madison Bumgarner	0.2150	0.1860	0.1605	30.7	16.1	14.6
10	Joan Adon	0.2383	0.1835	0.1774	15.6	1.1	14.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2245	0.1869	0.1781	34.9	5.1	29.8
2	Spenser Watkins	0.2245	0.1629	0.1373	38.7	10.6	28.1
3	Andre Pallante	0.2245	0.1602	0.1597	28.3	0.9	27.3
4	Josh Winckowski	0.2245	0.1551	0.1392	26.0	4.2	21.8
5	Drew Hutchison	0.2245	0.1815	0.1466	34.8	15.1	19.7
6	Aaron Sanchez	0.2245	0.1531	0.1547	17.7	1.1	16.6
7	Beau Brieske	0.2245	0.1778	0.1593	21.1	5.5	15.7
8	Jason Alexander	0.2245	0.1756	0.1433	25.1	9.6	15.5
9	Adrian Sampson	0.2245	0.1569	0.1706	21.8	6.9	14.9
10	Cristian Javier	0.2620	0.2829	0.3316	42.4	29.9	12.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Graham Ashcraft	0.2315	0.2120	0.1530	36.7	26.2	10.5
2	Josiah Gray	0.2242	0.2388	0.2373	8.1	0.6	7.5
3	Spenser Watkins	0.1749	0.1629	0.1373	17.6	10.6	6.9
4	Devin Williams	0.3116	0.3402	0.4000	21.1	14.9	6.1
5	Noé Ramirez	0.1994	0.2258	0.2372	8.0	3.0	5.0
6	Kenley Jansen	0.2665	0.2884	0.3269	15.5	10.7	4.9
7	José Ureña	0.1873	0.1793	0.1458	18.2	13.4	4.8
8	Mitch White	0.2460	0.2384	0.1773	30.5	25.8	4.7
9	Dustin May	0.3017	0.2695	0.2283	9.4	4.9	4.5
10	Tyler Beede	0.2208	0.2083	0.1368	24.1	19.7	4.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spencer Strider	0.2317	0.2606	0.3826	84.5	65.7	18.8
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2245	0.1661	0.1644	14.9	0.2	14.7
3	Josiah Gray	0.2699	0.2388	0.2373	15.2	0.6	14.6
4	Martín Pérez	0.1708	0.1790	0.2058	36.3	24.0	12.3
5	Tyler Alexander	0.2245	0.1904	0.1429	30.9	19.3	11.7
6	Noah Syndergaard	0.2283	0.2020	0.1681	28.8	17.7	11.1
7	Lucas Giolito	0.3069	0.2846	0.2536	30.8	19.9	10.9
8	Jeffrey Springs	0.3317	0.3057	0.2623	33.1	22.5	10.6
9	Jorge López	0.1961	0.2245	0.2416	16.3	5.8	10.5
10	Jared Koenig	0.2245	0.1595	0.1243	16.1	5.8	10.3

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Dylan Bundy	0.0471	0.0785 (15.9)	0.0821 (19.2)	0.0765 (16.0)	0.0791 (16.4)	0.0800 (16.8)
Jeffrey Springs	0.0565	0.0940 (18.0)	0.0900 (16.9)	0.0923 (18.3)	0.0936 (17.9)	0.0962 (19.2)
Lance Lynn	0.0371	0.0745 (16.7)	0.0751 (18.0)	0.0709 (16.0)	0.0732 (16.2)	0.0794 (19.2)
Triston McKenzie	0.0594	0.1001 (26.7)	0.1014 (29.0)	0.0990 (27.4)	0.1025 (28.6)	0.0989 (25.8)
Aaron Nola	0.0359	0.0684 (22.4)	0.0714 (26.4)	0.0693 (24.9)	0.0684 (22.5)	0.0675 (21.6)
Drew Rasmussen	0.0531	0.0939 (21.1)	0.0874 (18.4)	0.0922 (21.4)	0.0931 (20.7)	0.0965 (22.6)
Corey Kluber	0.0305	0.0762 (28.2)	0.0926 (40.9)	0.0817 (33.5)	0.0813 (31.9)	0.0711 (24.7)
Yusei Kikuchi	0.1278	0.0821 (22.9)	0.0887 (19.0)	0.0834 (21.3)	0.0844 (21.7)	0.0785 (24.5)
Brady Singer	0.0564	0.0848 (14.7)	0.0892 (18.6)	0.0826 (14.7)	0.0851 (15.0)	0.0866 (15.9)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Gausman	0.0652	0.0386	15.9
2	Chris Flexen	0.0647	0.0864	15.6
3	Jason Foley	0.1055	0.0430	14.8
4	George Kirby	0.0723	0.0406	14.6
5	Adam Ottavino	0.1227	0.0620	14.4
6	Joe Mantiply	0.0888	0.0247	14.4
7	Bruce Zimmermann	0.0871	0.0375	14.4
8	Yu Darvish	0.0713	0.0480	14.3
9	Max Fried	0.0675	0.0437	14.0
10	James Kaprielian	0.0827	0.1023	14.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jameson Taillon	0.0776	0.0440	22.5
2	Kevin Gausman	0.0708	0.0386	21.3
3	Kyle Wright	0.1032	0.0718	21.1
4	Shane Bieber	0.0747	0.0455	20.9
5	George Kirby	0.0817	0.0406	20.7
6	Ross Stripling	0.0766	0.0373	19.5
7	Max Fried	0.0718	0.0437	18.5
8	Zach Jackson	0.0817	0.1634	17.1
9	Jordan Montgomery	0.0760	0.0497	17.0
10	Justin Verlander	0.0714	0.0435	16.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Max Fried	0.0726	0.0437	19.3
2	Kevin Gausman	0.0678	0.0386	19.3
3	Michael Kopech	0.0830	0.1154	17.3
4	Zach Jackson	0.0817	0.1634	17.0
5	George Kirby	0.0737	0.0406	16.5
6	Joe Mantiply	0.0942	0.0247	16.3
7	Yu Darvish	0.0709	0.0480	15.7
8	Caleb Smith	0.0817	0.1291	15.1
9	Bruce Zimmermann	0.0866	0.0375	14.9
10	Zac Gallen	0.0890	0.0658	14.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Kevin Gausman	0.0685	0.0386	18.4
2	Max Fried	0.0714	0.0437	17.0
3	Michael Kopech	0.0854	0.1154	17.0
4	James Kaprielian	0.0795	0.1023	15.7
5	Joe Mantiply	0.0927	0.0247	15.4
6	George Kirby	0.0733	0.0406	15.3
7	Glenn Otto Jr.	0.0842	0.1056	15.2
8	Jason Foley	0.1062	0.0430	15.0
9	Chris Flexen	0.0661	0.0864	14.7
10	Shane Bieber	0.0683	0.0455	14.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Félix Bautista	0.1685	0.0909	18.5
2	Sean Manaea	0.0538	0.0745	17.0
3	Chris Flexen	0.0623	0.0864	17.0
4	Adam Ottavino	0.1320	0.0620	16.8
5	Andrés Muñoz	0.1300	0.0605	16.1
6	Yu Darvish	0.0732	0.0480	15.8
7	Jason Foley	0.1084	0.0430	15.5
8	Bruce Zimmermann	0.0892	0.0375	15.1
9	Bryan Baker	0.1443	0.0893	14.6
10	Ross Stripling	0.0692	0.0373	14.6

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Wright	0.1032	0.0877	0.0718	21.1	8.3	12.8
2	Corey Kluber	0.0926	0.0762	0.0305	40.9	28.2	12.7
3	Miles Mikolas	0.0673	0.0535	0.0484	12.9	0.2	12.6
4	Justin Verlander	0.0714	0.0572	0.0435	16.7	6.0	10.7
5	Shane Bieber	0.0747	0.0643	0.0455	20.9	11.1	9.7
6	Alexis Díaz	0.0817	0.1211	0.1294	12.9	3.3	9.6
7	Jameson Taillon	0.0776	0.0669	0.0440	22.5	13.2	9.2
8	Noah Syndergaard	0.0739	0.0618	0.0549	9.2	1.2	7.9
9	MacKenzie Gore	0.0817	0.1074	0.1197	12.6	5.3	7.4
10	Zach Jackson	0.0817	0.1200	0.1634	17.1	9.7	7.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Caleb Smith	0.0817	0.1111	0.1291	15.1	6.9	8.2
2	Hirokazu Sawamura	0.0817	0.1188	0.1222	9.5	1.8	7.7
3	Albert Abreu	0.0817	0.1270	0.1279	8.4	1.0	7.4
4	Zach Jackson	0.0817	0.1200	0.1634	17.0	9.7	7.3
5	Lucas Gilbreath	0.0817	0.1211	0.1390	11.2	4.2	7.0
6	Adam Wainwright	0.0817	0.0687	0.0672	9.5	2.7	6.9
7	Taylor Hearn	0.0817	0.1035	0.0958	7.5	1.4	6.1
8	Jake Bird	0.0817	0.1101	0.1090	6.3	0.8	5.6
9	Adrian Sampson	0.0817	0.0711	0.0631	6.9	1.4	5.4
10	Wil Crowe	0.0817	0.1000	0.1145	11.7	6.4	5.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Glenn Otto Jr.	0.0842	0.0931	0.1056	15.2	10.1	5.1
2	Anthony Gose	0.0817	0.1842	0.1522	6.9	2.5	4.4
3	Robbie Ray	0.0897	0.0848	0.0800	4.0	0.1	4.0
4	Corey Kluber	0.0813	0.0762	0.0305	31.9	28.2	3.7
5	Michael Kopech	0.0854	0.0927	0.1154	17.0	13.5	3.5
6	Shane Bieber	0.0683	0.0643	0.0455	14.5	11.1	3.3
7	Max Fried	0.0714	0.0675	0.0437	17.0	14.0	3.0
8	Dylan Cease	0.0938	0.0980	0.1044	11.3	8.4	2.9
9	Logan Webb	0.0741	0.0706	0.0623	5.8	2.9	2.9
10	Cal Quantrill	0.0770	0.0736	0.0610	8.8	6.1	2.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Alexander	0.0817	0.0655	0.0585	7.9	0.9	6.9
2	Robbie Ray	0.0758	0.0848	0.0800	6.9	0.1	6.8
3	Félix Bautista	0.1685	0.1421	0.0909	18.5	11.8	6.7
4	Bryan Baker	0.1443	0.1246	0.0893	14.6	8.9	5.7
5	Tyler Beede	0.1370	0.1186	0.1018	8.7	3.5	5.2
6	Julio Urías	0.0547	0.0623	0.0595	6.5	1.3	5.2
7	Jeurys Familia	0.0817	0.1063	0.1078	6.3	1.3	5.0
8	Jason Adam	0.1328	0.1118	0.0717	13.4	8.4	5.0
9	Miles Mikolas	0.0471	0.0535	0.0484	4.9	0.2	4.6
10	Pablo López	0.0594	0.0655	0.0720	12.7	8.2	4.5

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Braxton Garrett	0.0268	0.0103 (5.9)	0.0120 (5.5)	0.0096 (6.1)	0.0095 (6.1)	0.0118 (5.6)
Ryan Yarbrough	0.0310	0.0137 (5.9)	0.0145 (5.8)	0.0131 (6.1)	0.0132 (6.0)	0.0147 (5.7)
Andrew Heaney	0.0290	0.0108 (5.5)	0.0112 (5.5)	0.0105 (5.5)	0.0106 (5.4)	0.0112 (5.5)
Kyle Freeland	0.0209	0.0081 (9.3)	0.0091 (9.0)	0.0087 (8.7)	0.0088 (8.6)	0.0069 (10.6)
Steve Cishek	0.0453	0.0207 (6.9)	0.0191 (7.5)	0.0112 (9.6)	0.0150 (8.4)	0.0263 (5.4)
Carlos Rodón	0.0042	0.0127 (6.4)	0.0135 (6.6)	0.0125 (6.4)	0.0125 (6.5)	0.0130 (6.3)
Taylor Rogers	0.0401	0.0102 (8.0)	0.0101 (8.2)	0.0102 (8.0)	0.0102 (8.0)	0.0102 (8.2)
Ranger Suarez	0.0030	0.0111 (5.7)	0.0111 (5.4)	0.0109 (5.7)	0.0108 (5.7)	0.0116 (5.8)
A.J. Puk	0.0356	0.0105 (6.9)	0.0144 (5.9)	0.0100 (7.0)	0.0101 (6.9)	0.0114 (6.8)
Mike Clevinger	0.0206	0.0068 (6.4)	0.0076 (6.3)	0.0080 (5.7)	0.0079 (5.7)	0.0043 (7.8)
Nick Lodolo	0.0431	0.0107 (14.0)	0.0112 (14.0)	0.0119 (13.4)	0.0119 (13.4)	0.0084 (15.2)
Dylan Cease	0.0040	0.0113 (5.8)	0.0124 (6.3)	0.0112 (5.9)	0.0111 (6.0)	0.0115 (5.7)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Glenn Otto Jr.	0.0114	0.0221	5.9
2	Lance Lynn	0.0087	0.0195	5.3
3	Kevin Gausman	0.0079	0.0014	5.2
4	Erick Fedde	0.0084	0.0000	5.2
5	Charlie Morton	0.0171	0.0247	5.1
6	Clay Holmes	0.0147	0.0346	5.0
7	Edward Cabrera	0.0131	0.0309	5.0
8	Yusei Kikuchi	0.0083	0.0198	5.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adrian Sampson	0.0199	0.0047	6.5
2	Chad Kuhl	0.0182	0.0081	6.3
3	Lance Lynn	0.0083	0.0195	5.7
4	Glenn Otto Jr.	0.0125	0.0221	5.6
5	Zac Gallen	0.0091	0.0168	5.5
6	Brad Keller	0.0120	0.0032	5.4
7	Bryse Wilson	0.0072	0.0177	5.3
8	Yusei Kikuchi	0.0082	0.0198	5.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Glenn Otto Jr.	0.0107	0.0221	6.3
2	Charlie Morton	0.0155	0.0247	6.2
3	Merrill Kelly	0.0088	0.0025	5.7
4	Erick Fedde	0.0090	0.0000	5.6
5	Kevin Gausman	0.0082	0.0014	5.5
6	Luis Garcia	0.0093	0.0016	5.5
7	Shane Bieber	0.0086	0.0025	5.4
8	Clay Holmes	0.0132	0.0346	5.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Glenn Otto Jr.	0.0105	0.0221	6.3
2	Charlie Morton	0.0155	0.0247	6.1
3	Merrill Kelly	0.0088	0.0025	5.7
4	Erick Fedde	0.0090	0.0000	5.7
5	Kevin Gausman	0.0082	0.0014	5.6
6	Luis Garcia	0.0093	0.0016	5.5
7	Shane Bieber	0.0085	0.0025	5.4
8	Clay Holmes	0.0130	0.0346	5.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Manoah	0.0315	0.0191	9.9
2	Tyler Anderson	0.0034	0.0127	6.5
3	Rich Hill	0.0194	0.0076	6.3
4	Joe Jiménez	0.0267	0.0000	6.2
5	Lance Lynn	0.0079	0.0195	5.9
6	Jordan Montgomery	0.0034	0.0110	5.4
7	Yusei Kikuchi	0.0078	0.0198	5.4
8	Bryse Wilson	0.0070	0.0177	5.4

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chad Kuhl	0.0182	0.0129	0.0081	6.3	3.3	2.9
2	Adrian Sampson	0.0199	0.0151	0.0047	6.5	4.7	1.8
3	Framber Valdez	0.0165	0.0139	0.0133	2.7	1.0	1.7
4	Jimmy Herget	0.0190	0.0124	0.0113	2.1	0.5	1.6
5	Patrick Corbin	0.0046	0.0060	0.0098	3.7	2.3	1.4
6	Alek Manoah	0.0240	0.0217	0.0191	3.9	2.5	1.4
7	Will Vest	0.0161	0.0107	0.0110	1.4	0.1	1.3
8	Nabil Crismatt	0.0175	0.0123	0.0071	2.9	1.6	1.3
9	Zac Gallen	0.0091	0.0104	0.0168	5.5	4.2	1.3
10	Martín Pérez	0.0121	0.0101	0.0073	4.0	2.8	1.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Steve Cishek	0.0112	0.0207	0.0453	9.6	6.9	2.7
2	Aaron Loup	0.0112	0.0174	0.0308	4.9	3.3	1.6
3	Brad Hand	0.0112	0.0187	0.0303	3.6	2.2	1.4
4	Jose Quintana	0.0072	0.0056	0.0044	2.4	1.2	1.2
5	Ian Kennedy	0.0112	0.0067	0.0043	1.8	0.7	1.1
6	Aaron Sanchez	0.0112	0.0154	0.0189	1.8	0.8	1.1
7	Charlie Morton	0.0155	0.0171	0.0247	6.2	5.1	1.0
8	Adam Wainwright	0.0112	0.0102	0.0087	2.6	1.6	1.0
9	Gerrit Cole	0.0073	0.0062	0.0025	4.4	3.4	1.0
10	Alex Wood	0.0151	0.0169	0.0216	3.2	2.3	0.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Steve Cishek	0.0150	0.0207	0.0453	8.4	6.9	1.5
2	Jose Quintana	0.0073	0.0056	0.0044	2.5	1.2	1.4
3	Aaron Loup	0.0131	0.0174	0.0308	4.4	3.3	1.1
4	Gerrit Cole	0.0073	0.0062	0.0025	4.4	3.4	1.0
5	Charlie Morton	0.0155	0.0171	0.0247	6.1	5.1	0.9
6	Jake Diekman	0.0143	0.0180	0.0297	3.9	3.0	0.9
7	Brad Hand	0.0137	0.0187	0.0303	3.1	2.2	0.9
8	Alex Wood	0.0151	0.0169	0.0216	3.2	2.3	0.9
9	Jeffrey Springs	0.0086	0.0072	0.0018	4.2	3.3	0.9
10	Lucas Giolito	0.0086	0.0077	0.0057	2.6	1.8	0.9

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Alek Manoah	0.0315	0.0217	0.0191	9.9	2.5	7.3
2	Jordan Montgomery	0.0034	0.0065	0.0110	5.4	2.9	2.5
3	Tyler Anderson	0.0034	0.0061	0.0127	6.5	4.3	2.3
4	Kendall Graveman	0.0238	0.0163	0.0105	3.8	1.8	2.0
5	Cristian Javier	0.0171	0.0133	0.0103	4.1	2.1	2.0
6	Nick Martinez	0.0038	0.0077	0.0089	2.2	0.3	2.0
7	Joe Jiménez	0.0267	0.0187	0.0000	6.2	4.4	1.7
8	Jordan Lyles	0.0061	0.0078	0.0103	3.2	1.5	1.7
9	Brusdar Graterol	0.0274	0.0183	0.0152	2.4	0.7	1.7
10	David Robertson	0.0000	0.0059	0.0114	3.0	1.3	1.7

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jose Quintana	0.0163	0.0482 (15.3)	0.0507 (18.4)	0.0484 (16.4)	0.0474 (14.6)	0.0487 (16.3)
Justin Verlander	0.0269	0.0665 (20.1)	0.0596 (16.9)	0.0630 (18.6)	0.0617 (16.7)	0.0748 (26.3)
Martín Pérez	0.0191	0.0476 (15.7)	0.0490 (18.6)	0.0483 (17.4)	0.0473 (15.3)	0.0472 (16.2)
Hunter Greene	0.0777	0.0593 (14.8)	0.0418 (23.0)	0.0602 (13.6)	0.0612 (13.9)	0.0565 (15.7)
Patrick Sandoval	0.0190	0.0501 (13.8)	0.0563 (19.2)	0.0477 (13.2)	0.0468 (11.6)	0.0560 (18.2)
Josiah Gray	0.0903	0.0686 (20.2)	0.0709 (17.3)	0.0689 (19.1)	0.0676 (21.0)	0.0694 (19.0)
Sean Manaea	0.0628	0.0482 (16.1)	0.0474 (15.2)	0.0469 (16.1)	0.0489 (15.8)	0.0489 (15.0)
Gerrit Cole	0.0682	0.0550 (18.0)	0.0571 (14.6)	0.0584 (14.1)	0.0570 (16.5)	0.0493 (21.7)
Charlie Morton	0.0633	0.0416 (22.7)	0.0377 (24.0)	0.0421 (21.4)	0.0436 (21.4)	0.0391 (23.8)
Yusei Kikuchi	0.0875	0.0499 (21.3)	0.0558 (17.7)	0.0510 (20.2)	0.0489 (21.9)	0.0498 (20.9)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.0662	0.0266	21.3
2	Dean Kremer	0.0631	0.0285	12.9
3	Spenser Watkins	0.0674	0.0304	12.7
4	Elieser Hernández	0.0639	0.0990	12.4
5	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0454	0.0625	12.2
6	Nestor Cortes	0.0680	0.0388	12.1
7	Germán Márquez	0.0473	0.0534	12.1
8	Johnny Cueto	0.0568	0.0294	11.7
9	Nick Nelson	0.0513	0.0051	11.3
10	Tony Gonsolin	0.0642	0.0324	11.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tarik Skubal	0.0725	0.0275	18.0
2	Corbin Burnes	0.0343	0.0469	15.9
3	Justin Steele	0.0606	0.0240	15.0
4	Ross Stripling	0.0647	0.0298	14.8
5	Dean Kremer	0.0634	0.0285	14.1
6	Matt Swarmer	0.0418	0.1237	13.7
7	Germán Márquez	0.0434	0.0534	13.5
8	Eric Lauer	0.0479	0.0609	13.5
9	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0413	0.0625	13.1
10	Reynaldo López	0.0638	0.0056	12.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.0647	0.0266	21.2
2	Johnny Cueto	0.0623	0.0294	16.2
3	Alek Manoah	0.0567	0.0296	14.9
4	Dean Kremer	0.0638	0.0285	14.0
5	Matt Swarmer	0.0418	0.1237	13.8
6	Nestor Cortes	0.0690	0.0388	13.6
7	Kevin Gausman	0.0565	0.0305	12.9
8	Logan Gilbert	0.0600	0.0354	12.7
9	Elieser Hernández	0.0630	0.0990	12.2
10	Nick Nelson	0.0530	0.0051	12.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.0670	0.0266	21.7
2	Johnny Cueto	0.0638	0.0294	16.1
3	Elieser Hernández	0.0619	0.0990	13.0
4	Alek Manoah	0.0551	0.0296	12.4
5	Bruce Zimmermann	0.0532	0.0817	12.2
6	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0469	0.0625	11.6
7	Matt Swarmer	0.0581	0.1237	11.5
8	Reynaldo López	0.0583	0.0056	10.9
9	Nestor Cortes	0.0660	0.0388	10.7
10	Nick Nelson	0.0496	0.0051	10.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Anderson	0.0668	0.0266	22.5
2	Jordan Lyles	0.0776	0.0456	18.2
3	Spenser Watkins	0.0744	0.0304	16.3
4	Corbin Burnes	0.0350	0.0469	16.2
5	Germán Márquez	0.0419	0.0534	15.5
6	Dean Kremer	0.0665	0.0285	15.1
7	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0413	0.0625	13.6
8	Nestor Cortes	0.0688	0.0388	13.3
9	Tony Gonsolin	0.0670	0.0324	13.0
10	Logan Gilbert	0.0595	0.0354	12.0

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	JT Brubaker	0.0635	0.0518	0.0390	11.1	2.2	8.9
2	Hunter Greene	0.0418	0.0593	0.0777	23.0	14.8	8.2
3	Tarik Skubal	0.0725	0.0575	0.0275	18.0	9.8	8.2
4	Framber Valdez	0.0387	0.0315	0.0198	9.5	1.9	7.7
5	Julio Urías	0.0398	0.0524	0.0482	10.8	3.6	7.2
6	Dakota Hudson	0.0469	0.0376	0.0201	11.6	4.8	6.8
7	Justin Steele	0.0606	0.0503	0.0240	15.0	8.6	6.3
8	Carlos Carrasco	0.0600	0.0532	0.0383	9.3	3.6	5.7
9	Kyle Freeland	0.0538	0.0489	0.0336	9.9	4.6	5.4
10	Camilo Doval	0.0550	0.0384	0.0231	7.0	1.7	5.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Caleb Smith	0.0418	0.0688	0.0711	11.3	3.5	7.8
2	Matt Bush	0.0418	0.0652	0.0738	9.8	4.4	5.4
3	Ian Kennedy	0.0418	0.0624	0.0667	7.7	3.2	4.5
4	Johnny Cueto	0.0623	0.0568	0.0294	16.2	11.7	4.5
5	Alek Manoah	0.0567	0.0525	0.0296	14.9	10.6	4.3
6	Zack Wheeler	0.0476	0.0421	0.0323	4.4	0.3	4.2
7	Dylan Cease	0.0603	0.0561	0.0364	11.8	7.6	4.1
8	Sandy Alcantara	0.0424	0.0395	0.0258	7.5	3.8	3.7
9	Andrew Wantz	0.0418	0.0613	0.0620	5.8	2.1	3.7
10	Mark Leiter Jr.	0.0418	0.0557	0.0565	6.4	2.9	3.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Johnny Cueto	0.0638	0.0568	0.0294	16.1	11.7	4.4
2	Matt Bush	0.0535	0.0652	0.0738	7.3	4.4	2.9
3	Jason Alexander	0.0447	0.0529	0.0494	4.6	1.9	2.7
4	Sandy Alcantara	0.0427	0.0395	0.0258	6.4	3.8	2.7
5	Luis Castillo	0.0486	0.0442	0.0329	3.7	1.1	2.6
6	Zack Wheeler	0.0465	0.0421	0.0323	2.8	0.3	2.5
7	Max Fried	0.0420	0.0384	0.0228	7.0	4.5	2.5
8	Tyler Mahle	0.0638	0.0590	0.0482	3.0	0.7	2.3
9	Antonio Senzatela	0.0490	0.0434	0.0270	5.1	2.9	2.2
10	Corey Kluber	0.0515	0.0481	0.0385	2.2	0.1	2.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jordan Lyles	0.0776	0.0684	0.0456	18.2	10.3	7.9
2	Justin Verlander	0.0748	0.0665	0.0269	26.3	20.1	6.2
3	Julio Urías	0.0434	0.0524	0.0482	9.1	3.6	5.5
4	Corbin Burnes	0.0350	0.0427	0.0469	16.2	10.9	5.3
5	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0418	0.0608	0.0628	8.6	3.3	5.3
6	Zack Wheeler	0.0320	0.0421	0.0323	5.3	0.3	5.0
7	Framber Valdez	0.0364	0.0315	0.0198	6.7	1.9	4.8
8	Nick Martinez	0.0362	0.0470	0.0487	9.4	5.0	4.4
9	Patrick Sandoval	0.0560	0.0501	0.0190	18.2	13.8	4.4
10	Andrés Muñoz	0.0727	0.0561	0.0376	6.6	2.2	4.4

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Michael Kopech	0.2229	0.2927 (31.4)	0.2975 (36.2)	0.2941 (32.3)	0.2870 (28.5)	0.2971 (34.3)
Alexis Díaz	0.1783	0.2998 (29.4)	0.2887 (27.9)	0.3070 (31.3)	0.2963 (28.4)	0.2960 (28.8)
Lucas Giolito	0.3403	0.2836 (43.9)	0.2760 (45.7)	0.2913 (38.2)	0.2847 (43.3)	0.2745 (49.3)
Zac Gallen	0.2366	0.2963 (38.2)	0.2844 (33.3)	0.2985 (40.0)	0.3016 (41.8)	0.2886 (33.7)
Brayan Bello	0.4044	0.3003 (29.5)	0.2887 (31.3)	0.2887 (32.5)	0.3027 (29.0)	0.2980 (29.8)
Paul Sewald	0.1583	0.2870 (29.6)	0.2837 (30.1)	0.2894 (30.3)	0.2791 (27.7)	0.2929 (31.4)
José Berríos	0.3276	0.2905 (32.6)	0.2864 (31.9)	0.2949 (29.0)	0.2912 (32.2)	0.2854 (35.4)
Julio Urías	0.2291	0.2857 (34.8)	0.2756 (31.2)	0.2889 (37.2)	0.2894 (37.1)	0.2789 (31.0)
Kevin Gausman	0.3634	0.2898 (57.8)	0.2886 (55.2)	0.2933 (55.1)	0.2896 (58.2)	0.2867 (59.1)
Tony Gonsolin	0.2067	0.2842 (35.5)	0.2667 (29.3)	0.2871 (37.2)	0.2884 (37.5)	0.2769 (32.6)
Kris Bubic	0.3520	0.2950 (37.1)	0.2891 (37.7)	0.2960 (36.3)	0.2978 (35.6)	0.2912 (38.5)
Patrick Corbin	0.3645	0.3042 (47.4)	0.3061 (42.5)	0.3037 (47.5)	0.3043 (47.5)	0.3046 (46.2)
Nestor Cortes	0.2323	0.2870 (29.8)	0.2838 (30.9)	0.2872 (30.2)	0.2820 (26.6)	0.2918 (33.6)

Individual Misses for BABIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Carrasco	0.2952	0.3372	31.1
2	Triston McKenzie	0.2823	0.2369	29.0
3	Miles Mikolas	0.2908	0.2491	28.6
4	Antonio Senzatela	0.3203	0.3827	28.4
5	Alek Manoah	0.2863	0.2443	28.1
6	JT Brubaker	0.2968	0.3341	28.1
7	Dallas Keuchel	0.3001	0.3843	27.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.3077	0.2591	37.8
2	Glenn Otto Jr.	0.3202	0.2552	37.4
3	Shane McClanahan	0.3102	0.2506	37.4
4	Antonio Senzatela	0.3109	0.3827	30.2
5	Miles Mikolas	0.2876	0.2491	30.0
6	JT Brubaker	0.2920	0.3341	28.0
7	Dallas Keuchel	0.2964	0.3843	27.0

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Triston McKenzie	0.2884	0.2369	33.9
2	Alek Manoah	0.2918	0.2443	32.8
3	Carlos Carrasco	0.2942	0.3372	31.5
4	JT Brubaker	0.2934	0.3341	30.0
5	Miles Mikolas	0.2919	0.2491	29.8
6	Cristian Javier	0.2842	0.2278	29.6
7	Shane McClanahan	0.3005	0.2506	28.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Carlos Carrasco	0.2918	0.3372	33.5
2	Triston McKenzie	0.2843	0.2369	30.3
3	Miles Mikolas	0.2931	0.2491	30.2
4	Alek Manoah	0.2879	0.2443	29.2
5	JT Brubaker	0.2980	0.3341	27.5
6	Dallas Keuchel	0.3037	0.3843	26.4
7	Sandy Alcantara	0.2977	0.2616	26.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Antonio Senzatela	0.3126	0.3827	30.9
2	Dallas Keuchel	0.2914	0.3843	29.6
3	Glenn Otto Jr.	0.3101	0.2552	29.4
4	Shane McClanahan	0.2994	0.2506	28.1
5	Lou Trivino III	0.2818	0.3893	28.1
6	Michael Wacha	0.3185	0.2598	27.7
7	Carlos Carrasco	0.2995	0.3372	27.4

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Austin Gomber	0.2712	0.3103	0.3095	20.9	2.9	18.0
2	Chad Kuhl	0.2809	0.3109	0.3103	18.9	3.4	15.4
3	Corbin Burnes	0.3077	0.2933	0.2591	37.8	22.3	15.4
4	Glenn Otto Jr.	0.3202	0.3003	0.2552	37.4	22.9	14.6
5	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.3297	0.2975	0.2768	20.2	5.7	14.5
6	Taijuan Walker	0.2642	0.2886	0.2838	13.5	0.9	12.6
7	Cole Irvin	0.3023	0.2913	0.2734	20.5	8.7	11.8
8	Zach Plesac	0.2665	0.2917	0.2882	13.0	1.5	11.5
9	Shane McClanahan	0.3102	0.2974	0.2506	37.4	26.0	11.5
10	Jeffrey Springs	0.3095	0.2941	0.2786	16.3	5.1	11.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Framber Valdez	0.3130	0.3032	0.2849	18.5	10.0	8.4
2	Justin Verlander	0.2855	0.2734	0.2396	26.7	18.4	8.3
3	Graham Ashcraft	0.2887	0.3027	0.3140	14.4	8.1	6.3
4	Mitch Keller	0.2965	0.3055	0.3197	19.9	14.0	5.9
5	Luis Castillo	0.3132	0.3044	0.2749	20.0	14.4	5.6
6	Sonny Gray	0.3070	0.2959	0.2767	12.0	6.3	5.6
7	Triston McKenzie	0.2884	0.2823	0.2369	33.9	29.0	4.8
8	Marco Gonzales	0.2906	0.2849	0.2766	6.5	1.7	4.8
9	Jose Quintana	0.2930	0.3003	0.3017	9.8	5.1	4.7
10	Alek Manoah	0.2918	0.2863	0.2443	32.8	28.1	4.6

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Max Fried	0.3065	0.2982	0.2796	15.0	9.1	5.9
2	Germán Márquez	0.3236	0.3164	0.2914	20.1	14.7	5.4
3	Sandy Alcantara	0.2977	0.2925	0.2616	26.3	21.9	4.3
4	Justin Verlander	0.2800	0.2734	0.2396	22.6	18.4	4.2
5	Mitch Keller	0.2997	0.3055	0.3197	18.2	14.0	4.2
6	Sonny Gray	0.3045	0.2959	0.2767	10.4	6.3	4.1
7	Framber Valdez	0.3081	0.3032	0.2849	13.8	10.0	3.8
8	Logan Gilbert	0.2835	0.2881	0.2915	11.1	7.3	3.7
9	Spenser Watkins	0.2901	0.2978	0.3077	11.1	7.4	3.7
10	Marcus Stroman	0.3098	0.3031	0.2716	18.1	14.4	3.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Reid Detmers	0.3070	0.2944	0.2771	13.5	6.0	7.5
2	Dakota Hudson	0.2781	0.2911	0.3007	16.3	9.4	7.0
3	Robbie Ray	0.2708	0.2811	0.2835	13.6	6.7	6.9
4	Glenn Otto Jr.	0.3101	0.3003	0.2552	29.4	22.9	6.5
5	Michael Wacha	0.3185	0.3076	0.2598	27.7	21.4	6.3
6	Jeffrey Springs	0.3036	0.2941	0.2786	11.1	5.1	6.0
7	Charlie Morton	0.2871	0.2963	0.2923	7.3	1.5	5.7
8	Kyle Gibson	0.2894	0.2986	0.3083	17.1	11.4	5.6
9	Lucas Giolito	0.2745	0.2836	0.3403	49.3	43.9	5.4
10	Dylan Cease	0.2982	0.2924	0.2600	24.9	19.6	5.3

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Alex Cobb	0.2800	0.3032 (34.5)	0.2280 (32.4)	0.0000 (65.7)	0.3077 (31.8)	0.2980 (36.1)
José Berríos	0.2601	0.2905 (35.8)	0.2079 (38.8)	0.0000 (63.4)	0.2912 (35.4)	0.2854 (37.6)
Kevin Gausman	0.2815	0.2898 (50.4)	0.2164 (46.7)	0.0000 (76.6)	0.2896 (50.8)	0.2867 (50.8)
Kris Bubic	0.2730	0.2950 (32.8)	0.2153 (33.4)	0.0000 (57.0)	0.2978 (31.3)	0.2912 (33.4)
Patrick Corbin	0.2849	0.3042 (41.8)	0.2313 (37.7)	0.0000 (77.7)	0.3043 (41.8)	0.3046 (39.6)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zac Gallen	0.2963	0.1629	39.6
2	Tony Gonsolin	0.2842	0.1398	33.1
3	Germán Márquez	0.3164	0.1992	30.6
4	Patrick Sandoval	0.2941	0.2633	30.0
5	Daniel Lynch IV	0.3007	0.2725	29.8
6	Lucas Giolito	0.2836	0.2477	29.3
7	Roansy Contreras	0.2932	0.1493	26.9
8	Lou Trivino III	0.2882	0.3087	24.6
9	Michael Kopech	0.2927	0.1656	24.3
10	Merrill Kelly	0.2995	0.1915	24.2

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.2426	0.1949	38.6
2	Zac Gallen	0.2126	0.1629	35.9
3	Patrick Sandoval	0.2127	0.2633	31.8
4	Lucas Giolito	0.2031	0.2477	30.6
5	Roansy Contreras	0.2209	0.1493	29.5
6	Tony Gonsolin	0.1956	0.1398	28.1
7	Michael Kopech	0.2215	0.1656	28.0
8	Dakota Hudson	0.1967	0.2437	27.6
9	Zach Thompson	0.1956	0.2468	27.4
10	Jordan Montgomery	0.2404	0.2036	27.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2168	0.2367	125.2
2	Corey Kluber	0.2168	0.2465	100.7
3	Taylor Hearn	0.2168	0.2237	75.8
4	Chase De Jong	0.2168	0.1429	73.2
5	Spenser Watkins	0.2168	0.2336	73.0
6	Mitch White	0.2168	0.2286	72.2
7	Drew Hutchison	0.2168	0.2374	72.0
8	Adrian Sampson	0.2168	0.2247	71.9
9	Caleb Smith	0.2168	0.1694	67.4
10	Beau Brieske	0.2168	0.1959	66.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zac Gallen	0.3016	0.1629	43.2
2	Germán Márquez	0.3236	0.1992	36.0
3	Tony Gonsolin	0.2884	0.1398	35.1
4	Daniel Lynch IV	0.2982	0.2725	31.5
5	Patrick Sandoval	0.2954	0.2633	29.3
6	Lucas Giolito	0.2847	0.2477	28.7
7	Merrill Kelly	0.3025	0.1915	26.4
8	Roansy Contreras	0.2915	0.1493	26.1
9	Triston McKenzie	0.2843	0.1719	25.4
10	George Kirby	0.2954	0.2629	24.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Zac Gallen	0.2886	0.1629	36.0
2	Lucas Giolito	0.2745	0.2477	33.8
3	Jeurys Familia	0.2168	0.3030	32.9
4	Roansy Contreras	0.3005	0.1493	31.0
5	Tony Gonsolin	0.2769	0.1398	30.8
6	Tyler Alexander	0.2168	0.2112	29.7
7	Patrick Sandoval	0.2925	0.2633	29.4
8	Michael Wacha	0.3185	0.1872	28.9
9	Michael Kopech	0.2971	0.1656	27.8
10	Joel Kuhnel	0.2168	0.2500	27.7

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Corbin Burnes	0.2426	0.2933	0.1949	38.6	16.4	22.2
2	Jordan Montgomery	0.2404	0.2965	0.2036	27.1	10.9	16.3
3	Cole Irvin	0.2341	0.2913	0.2073	20.3	4.5	15.9
4	Zach Plesac	0.1904	0.2917	0.2143	13.2	0.3	12.9
5	A.J. Puk	0.2614	0.2946	0.2061	15.7	3.0	12.7
6	Shane McClanahan	0.2380	0.2974	0.2093	18.8	6.5	12.3
7	Zach Thompson	0.1956	0.2942	0.2468	27.4	16.6	10.9
8	Eduardo Rodriguez	0.2459	0.2975	0.2103	14.2	3.6	10.6
9	Dylan Bundy	0.1939	0.2974	0.2152	12.3	2.5	9.8
10	Dakota Hudson	0.1967	0.2911	0.2437	27.6	18.2	9.4

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2168	0.2874	0.2367	125.2	21.8	103.4
2	Corey Kluber	0.2168	0.2917	0.2465	100.7	22.5	78.2
3	Taylor Hearn	0.2168	0.2937	0.2237	75.8	3.5	72.3
4	Adrian Sampson	0.2168	0.2998	0.2247	71.9	1.2	70.7
5	Spenser Watkins	0.2168	0.2978	0.2336	73.0	6.3	66.7
6	Mitch White	0.2168	0.2916	0.2286	72.2	6.5	65.7
7	Drew Hutchison	0.2168	0.2970	0.2374	72.0	8.5	63.6
8	Beau Brieske	0.2168	0.2917	0.1959	66.7	6.1	60.6
9	Caleb Smith	0.2168	0.2814	0.1694	67.4	10.3	57.1
10	Chase De Jong	0.2168	0.2969	0.1429	73.2	22.3	50.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jeffrey Springs	0.2836	0.2941	0.2173	6.5	0.6	5.8
2	Germán Márquez	0.3236	0.3164	0.1992	36.0	30.6	5.4
3	Kyle Freeland	0.3217	0.3156	0.2176	19.9	15.4	4.6
4	Chad Kuhl	0.3184	0.3109	0.2220	11.3	6.8	4.5
5	Sandy Alcantara	0.2977	0.2925	0.1987	18.5	14.1	4.4
6	Mitch Keller	0.2997	0.3055	0.2549	22.9	18.8	4.1
7	Sonny Gray	0.3045	0.2959	0.2170	4.5	0.5	4.1
8	Austin Gomber	0.3178	0.3103	0.2249	7.8	4.0	3.9
9	Marcus Stroman	0.3098	0.3031	0.2056	14.8	11.2	3.7
10	Spenser Watkins	0.2901	0.2978	0.2336	10.0	6.3	3.6

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Alexander	0.2168	0.2938	0.2112	29.7	2.0	27.7
2	Joel Kuhnel	0.2168	0.2988	0.2500	27.7	7.4	20.2
3	Jeurys Familia	0.2168	0.2982	0.3030	32.9	16.9	16.1
4	Justin Verlander	0.2545	0.2734	0.2028	15.7	4.8	10.8
5	Framber Valdez	0.2884	0.3032	0.2371	19.8	9.8	10.0
6	Manny Banuelos	0.2168	0.2927	0.2056	11.2	1.6	9.6
7	Reid Detmers	0.3070	0.2944	0.1943	20.2	11.9	8.3
8	Drew VerHagen	0.2168	0.2921	0.2647	13.1	5.4	7.7
9	Max Fried	0.2851	0.2982	0.2272	12.7	5.1	7.6
10	Sonny Gray	0.2757	0.2959	0.2170	8.1	0.5	7.6

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Jordan Lyles	0.0846	0.0000 (14.1)	0.0668 (14.9)	0.0000 (23.7)	0.0000 (14.1)	0.0000 (15.0)
JT Brubaker	0.0931	0.0000 (17.3)	0.0708 (15.4)	0.0000 (25.2)	0.0000 (17.3)	0.0000 (18.1)
Madison Bumgarner	0.0994	0.0000 (23.1)	0.0767 (16.9)	0.0000 (31.7)	0.0000 (23.1)	0.0000 (23.9)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rogers	0.1144	22.9
2	Justin Verlander	0.0346	21.2
3	Framber Valdez	0.0441	18.4
4	Adam Oller	0.1202	18.1
5	Kyle Wright	0.0435	16.9
6	Shane McClanahan	0.0413	16.0
7	Yu Darvish	0.0457	15.9
8	Roansy Contreras	0.1045	15.6
9	Richard Bleier	0.1364	15.5
10	Ryan Brasier	0.1250	15.4

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ranger Suarez	0.0515	0.0852	23.3
2	Yu Darvish	0.0744	0.0457	20.9
3	Adam Oller	0.0666	0.1202	18.6
4	Taylor Hearn	0.0591	0.0983	18.3
5	Brandon Woodruff	0.0487	0.0767	18.3
6	Justin Verlander	0.0634	0.0346	18.2
7	Shane McClanahan	0.0693	0.0413	16.9
8	Kyle Wright	0.0678	0.0435	16.8
9	Glenn Otto Jr.	0.0739	0.0443	16.5
10	Scott Barlow	0.0788	0.0223	15.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0666	0.0600	48.6
2	Corey Kluber	0.0666	0.0641	38.9
3	Drew Hutchison	0.0666	0.0504	32.5
4	Andre Pallante	0.0666	0.0539	30.5
5	Graham Ashcraft	0.0666	0.0552	30.3
6	Steve Cishek	0.0666	0.0185	29.3
7	Trevor Rogers	0.0000	0.1144	28.8
8	Adrian Sampson	0.0666	0.0570	27.2
9	Beau Brieske	0.0666	0.0408	27.0
10	Wil Crowe	0.0666	0.0419	26.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Trevor Rogers	0.1144	22.9
2	Justin Verlander	0.0346	21.1
3	Framber Valdez	0.0441	18.4
4	Adam Oller	0.1202	18.1
5	Kyle Wright	0.0435	16.9
6	Shane McClanahan	0.0413	16.0
7	Yu Darvish	0.0457	15.9
8	Roansy Contreras	0.1045	15.6
9	Richard Bleier	0.1364	15.6
10	Ryan Brasier	0.1250	15.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tyler Alexander	0.0666	0.0621	29.7
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0666	0.0464	24.9
3	Trevor Rogers	0.0000	0.1144	23.5
4	Justin Verlander	0.0000	0.0346	20.4
5	Adam Oller	0.0000	0.1202	18.5
6	Framber Valdez	0.0000	0.0441	17.4
7	Roansy Contreras	0.0000	0.1045	16.1
8	Kyle Wright	0.0000	0.0435	16.0
9	Kyle Freeland	0.0000	0.0859	15.9
10	Richard Bleier	0.0000	0.1364	15.8

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Brandon Woodruff	0.0487	0.0767	18.3	6.4	11.9
2	Ranger Suarez	0.0515	0.0852	23.3	12.4	10.8
3	Nathan Eovaldi	0.0909	0.0667	10.5	0.1	10.3
4	Mitch Keller	0.0821	0.0605	13.8	4.0	9.8
5	Dylan Bundy	0.0816	0.0650	9.0	0.8	8.2
6	Zach Thompson	0.0800	0.0597	10.2	3.6	6.6
7	Jordan Montgomery	0.0588	0.0679	7.6	1.1	6.5
8	Jeffrey Springs	0.0794	0.0529	13.7	7.4	6.3
9	Robbie Ray	0.0759	0.0628	9.0	2.8	6.2
10	Adrian Houser	0.0545	0.0729	9.1	3.0	6.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0666	0.0600	48.6	5.1	43.5
2	Corey Kluber	0.0666	0.0641	38.9	1.5	37.3
3	Drew Hutchison	0.0666	0.0504	32.5	7.4	25.2
4	Graham Ashcraft	0.0666	0.0552	30.3	5.2	25.2
5	Andre Pallante	0.0666	0.0539	30.5	5.7	24.8
6	Adrian Sampson	0.0666	0.0570	27.2	4.0	23.2
7	Spenser Watkins	0.0666	0.0712	22.6	2.2	20.4
8	Beau Brieske	0.0666	0.0408	27.0	8.7	18.4
9	Wil Crowe	0.0666	0.0419	26.1	8.1	18.0
10	Jason Alexander	0.0666	0.0649	17.9	0.5	17.4

Steamer

Rank	Player	Actual	Error	Agg Err
1	Aaron Nola	0.0757	7.6	7.6
2	Merrill Kelly	0.0737	5.9	5.9
3	Gerrit Cole	0.0687	1.9	1.9
4	Logan Webb	0.0682	1.5	1.5
5	Marco Gonzales	0.0742	6.2	6.1
6	Germán Márquez	0.0827	12.8	12.7
7	Jordan Lyles	0.0846	14.1	14.1
8	Nick Pivetta	0.0730	5.2	5.2
9	Kyle Freeland	0.0859	15.0	15.0
10	Logan Gilbert	0.0792	9.8	9.8

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Alexander	0.0666	0.0621	29.7	1.8	27.9
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0666	0.0464	24.9	5.8	19.1
3	Manny Banuelos	0.0666	0.0654	11.6	0.2	11.4
4	Reyes Moronta	0.0666	0.0510	13.0	2.5	10.5
5	Jeurys Familia	0.0666	0.0758	11.4	1.9	9.5
6	Zack Thompson	0.0666	0.0326	13.5	4.6	8.9
7	Jared Koenig	0.0666	0.0763	9.8	1.8	8.0
8	Drew VerHagen	0.0666	0.0588	7.7	0.8	6.9
9	Louis Varland	0.0666	0.0676	6.8	0.1	6.7
10	Luis Perdomo	0.0666	0.0395	8.9	2.6	6.3

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Kyle Freeland	0.0146	0.0000 (7.1)	0.0054 (7.3)	0.0000 (7.8)	0.0000 (7.1)	0.0000 (7.2)
Zack Wheeler	0.0154	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0044 (6.9)	0.0000 (6.7)	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0000 (6.1)
Rich Hill	0.0166	0.0000 (5.9)	0.0027 (7.5)	0.0000 (6.4)	0.0000 (5.9)	0.0000 (6.0)
Chad Kuhl	0.0143	0.0000 (5.5)	0.0043 (6.4)	0.0000 (6.1)	0.0000 (5.5)	0.0000 (5.6)
Taylor Rogers	0.0196	0.0000 (3.9)	0.0000 (5.5)	0.0000 (4.2)	0.0000 (3.9)	0.0000 (3.9)
James Kaprielian	0.0175	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0098 (4.7)	0.0000 (7.6)	0.0000 (7.0)	0.0000 (7.1)
Pablo López	0.0125	0.0000 (5.2)	0.0063 (4.9)	0.0000 (6.0)	0.0000 (5.2)	0.0000 (5.3)
Sean Manaea	0.0115	0.0000 (4.1)	0.0047 (4.8)	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0000 (4.1)	0.0000 (4.2)
Joan Adon	0.0198	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0058 (4.5)	0.0000 (4.8)	0.0000 (4.5)	0.0000 (4.5)
Sandy Alcantara	0.0099	0.0000 (4.0)	0.0043 (5.3)	0.0000 (4.9)	0.0000 (4.0)	0.0000 (4.1)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0128	6.0
2	Josh Winckowski	0.0215	5.1
3	Jesse Chavez	0.0212	4.6
4	Tyler Anderson	0.0117	4.5
5	Martín Pérez	0.0000	4.4
6	Robbie Ray	0.0108	4.2
7	Marco Gonzales	0.0000	4.2
8	Austin Gomber	0.0132	4.2
9	Yu Darvish	0.0000	4.1
10	Kenley Jansen	0.0210	4.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Yu Darvish	0.0110	0.0000	8.2
2	Luis Castillo	0.0095	0.0000	5.6
3	Josh Winckowski	0.0054	0.0215	5.2
4	Nick Pivetta	0.0086	0.0020	4.8
5	Johnny Cueto	0.0116	0.0040	4.7
6	Michael Kopech	0.0127	0.0032	4.5
7	Aaron Civale	0.0110	0.0000	4.3
8	Aaron Nola	0.0076	0.0019	4.2
9	John Brebbia	0.0000	0.0143	4.2
10	Luis Severino	0.0108	0.0000	4.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0128	6.7
2	Tyler Anderson	0.0000	0.0117	5.2
3	Robbie Ray	0.0000	0.0108	5.0
4	Jesse Chavez	0.0000	0.0212	4.9
5	Austin Gomber	0.0000	0.0132	4.7
6	Graham Ashcraft	0.0054	0.0000	4.5
7	Kenley Jansen	0.0000	0.0210	4.3
8	Noah Syndergaard	0.0000	0.0119	4.2
9	Ryan Feltner	0.0000	0.0139	4.1
10	Jeff Hoffman	0.0000	0.0248	4.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0128	6.0
2	Josh Winckowski	0.0215	5.1
3	Jesse Chavez	0.0212	4.6
4	Tyler Anderson	0.0117	4.5
5	Martín Pérez	0.0000	4.4
6	Robbie Ray	0.0108	4.2
7	Marco Gonzales	0.0000	4.2
8	Austin Gomber	0.0132	4.2
9	Yu Darvish	0.0000	4.1
10	Kenley Jansen	0.0210	4.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Actual	Error
1	Corbin Burnes	0.0128	6.0
2	Josh Winckowski	0.0215	5.1
3	Jesse Chavez	0.0212	4.6
4	Tyler Anderson	0.0117	4.6
5	Martín Pérez	0.0000	4.3
6	Robbie Ray	0.0108	4.3
7	Austin Gomber	0.0132	4.2
8	Marco Gonzales	0.0000	4.1
9	Kenley Jansen	0.0210	4.1
10	Yu Darvish	0.0000	4.1

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Yu Darvish	0.0110	0.0000	8.2	4.1	4.1
2	Johnny Cueto	0.0116	0.0040	4.7	0.9	3.8
3	Michael Kopech	0.0127	0.0032	4.5	1.1	3.4
4	Joe Mantiply	0.0159	0.0000	3.8	1.3	2.5
5	Glenn Otto Jr.	0.0099	0.0052	2.5	0.1	2.4
6	Chase De Jong	0.0136	0.0000	3.9	1.6	2.3
7	Luis Castillo	0.0095	0.0000	5.6	3.3	2.3
8	Julio Urías	0.0024	0.0066	3.1	0.8	2.3
9	Nick Pivetta	0.0086	0.0020	4.8	2.6	2.2
10	Aaron Civale	0.0110	0.0000	4.3	2.2	2.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.0054	0.0051	3.7	0.2	3.5
2	Corey Kluber	0.0054	0.0060	2.6	0.4	2.2
3	Graham Ashcraft	0.0054	0.0000	4.5	2.5	2.0
4	Spenser Watkins	0.0054	0.0028	3.2	1.2	2.0
5	Andre Pallante	0.0054	0.0030	3.1	1.1	2.0
6	Taylor Hearn	0.0054	0.0034	2.9	0.9	2.0
7	Drew Hutchison	0.0054	0.0059	1.8	0.3	1.5
8	Beau Brieske	0.0054	0.0041	1.9	0.4	1.5
9	Wil Crowe	0.0054	0.0047	1.7	0.2	1.5
10	Chase De Jong	0.0054	0.0000	2.9	1.6	1.3

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Anthony Gose	0.0054	0.0000	1.0	0.5	0.5
2	Sandy Alcantara	0.0000	0.0099	4.0	4.0	0.0
3	Corbin Burnes	0.0000	0.0128	6.0	6.0	0.0
4	Logan Webb	0.0000	0.0054	0.0	0.0	0.0
5	Germán Márquez	0.0000	0.0094	3.1	3.1	0.0
6	Robbie Ray	0.0000	0.0108	4.2	4.2	0.0
7	Kyle Freeland	0.0000	0.0146	7.1	7.1	0.0
8	Logan Gilbert	0.0000	0.0058	0.3	0.3	0.0
9	Cole Irvin	0.0000	0.0055	0.1	0.1	0.0
10	Pablo López	0.0000	0.0125	5.2	5.2	0.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Tyler Alexander	0.0054	0.0062	1.9	0.4	1.6
2	Aníbal Sánchez	0.0054	0.0052	1.6	0.1	1.5
3	Joel Kuhnel	0.0054	0.0000	2.7	1.4	1.4
4	Kyle Nelson	0.0054	0.0000	1.6	0.8	0.8
5	Zack Thompson	0.0054	0.0000	1.5	0.7	0.7
6	Drew VerHagen	0.0054	0.0000	1.1	0.6	0.6
7	Jeff Brigham	0.0054	0.0000	1.1	0.5	0.5
8	Luis Perdomo	0.0054	0.0000	1.0	0.5	0.5
9	Tyler Thornburg	0.0054	0.0000	0.9	0.5	0.5
10	Luis Ortiz	0.0054	0.0000	0.7	0.4	0.4

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Justin Verlander	0.0646	0.1047 (22.1)	0.1050 (23.6)	0.1056 (23.9)	0.1059 (22.4)	0.1026 (22.0)
Martín Pérez	0.0853	0.1307 (31.5)	0.1336 (35.6)	0.1285 (31.2)	0.1272 (28.1)	0.1363 (37.8)
Tyler Anderson	0.0806	0.1349 (33.5)	0.1262 (28.7)	0.1299 (31.1)	0.1398 (36.4)	0.1351 (35.0)
José Berríos	0.1368	0.1115 (24.3)	0.1103 (23.7)	0.1115 (23.0)	0.1129 (23.8)	0.1102 (23.7)
Triston McKenzie	0.0877	0.1275 (24.3)	0.1267 (25.2)	0.1272 (25.4)	0.1272 (23.5)	0.1282 (26.3)
Sean Manaea	0.1416	0.1080 (27.2)	0.1125 (22.9)	0.1088 (25.5)	0.1106 (26.0)	0.1046 (28.1)
Dallas Keuchel	0.2277	0.1253 (33.1)	0.1236 (33.1)	0.1262 (32.3)	0.1279 (32.6)	0.1218 (33.6)
Patrick Corbin	0.1669	0.1224 (36.7)	0.1306 (29.5)	0.1257 (33.1)	0.1258 (34.8)	0.1156 (40.1)
Nestor Cortes	0.0715	0.1258 (29.0)	0.1168 (24.8)	0.1280 (31.5)	0.1254 (28.4)	0.1238 (29.1)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tony Gonsolin	0.1265	0.0643	27.5
2	Alek Manoah	0.1092	0.0700	25.4
3	Merrill Kelly	0.1340	0.0958	25.1
4	Zac Gallen	0.1182	0.0784	23.4
5	Dylan Cease	0.1110	0.0736	22.7
6	Sandy Alcantara	0.1082	0.0756	22.7
7	Trevor Rogers	0.1043	0.1447	22.6
8	Cristian Javier	0.1205	0.0752	22.4
9	Lucas Giolito	0.1083	0.1318	21.2
10	Alex Wood	0.1097	0.1405	21.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Quintana	0.1407	0.0898	31.1
2	Kyle Wright	0.1352	0.0908	29.1
3	Dylan Cease	0.1175	0.0736	29.0
4	Alek Manoah	0.1080	0.0700	25.9
5	Sandy Alcantara	0.1097	0.0756	25.7
6	Jeffrey Springs	0.1280	0.0765	25.5
7	Dean Kremer	0.1465	0.0938	24.4
8	Trevor Rogers	0.1054	0.1447	21.1
9	Matt Moore	0.1396	0.0658	20.9
10	Logan Gilbert	0.1250	0.0927	20.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Manoah	0.1138	0.0700	30.4
2	Sandy Alcantara	0.1137	0.0756	29.1
3	Merrill Kelly	0.1357	0.0958	28.0
4	Cristian Javier	0.1273	0.0752	27.4
5	Zac Gallen	0.1208	0.0784	26.5
6	Tony Gonsolin	0.1223	0.0643	26.3
7	Dylan Cease	0.1118	0.0736	24.6
8	Max Fried	0.1124	0.0750	23.6
9	Julio Urías	0.1132	0.0740	23.4
10	Kyle Wright	0.1243	0.0908	20.9

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Manoah	0.1155	0.0700	29.6
2	Tony Gonsolin	0.1304	0.0643	29.1
3	Julio Urías	0.1195	0.0740	26.0
4	Sandy Alcantara	0.1127	0.0756	25.9
5	Merrill Kelly	0.1357	0.0958	25.8
6	Zac Gallen	0.1209	0.0784	24.7
7	Dylan Cease	0.1136	0.0736	24.0
8	Cristian Javier	0.1219	0.0752	22.8
9	Kyle Wright	0.1288	0.0908	22.3
10	Trevor Rogers	0.1077	0.1447	21.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tony Gonsolin	0.1269	0.0643	28.8
2	Lucas Giolito	0.0990	0.1318	26.3
3	Dean Kremer	0.1497	0.0938	26.1
4	Trevor Rogers	0.0969	0.1447	25.1
5	Merrill Kelly	0.1306	0.0958	24.0
6	Jordan Lyles	0.1565	0.1214	23.3
7	Alex Wood	0.1036	0.1405	23.3
8	Matt Moore	0.1444	0.0658	22.4
9	Chase De Jong	0.1625	0.0819	22.2
10	Jose Quintana	0.1272	0.0898	22.0

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jeffrey Springs	0.1280	0.1017	0.0765	25.5	10.0	15.5
2	Ranger Suarez	0.0886	0.1136	0.1118	18.6	3.4	15.2
3	Jose Quintana	0.1407	0.1230	0.0898	31.1	17.7	13.4
4	Rich Hill	0.1082	0.1363	0.1274	12.7	1.0	11.7
5	Aaron Nola	0.1201	0.1090	0.0929	17.8	7.3	10.5
6	Chad Kuhl	0.1328	0.1496	0.1475	12.1	3.0	9.2
7	Jorge López	0.1474	0.1209	0.0872	16.4	7.9	8.5
8	Ryan Feltner	0.1326	0.1540	0.1519	10.4	2.1	8.3
9	Austin Gomber	0.1206	0.1382	0.1512	18.9	10.6	8.3
10	Kyle Wright	0.1352	0.1260	0.0908	29.1	20.9	8.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Taylor Hearn	0.1142	0.1369	0.1336	11.1	1.7	9.4
2	Aaron Sanchez	0.1142	0.1450	0.1736	17.1	9.4	7.7
3	Drew Hutchison	0.1142	0.1321	0.1250	7.4	0.1	7.4
4	Josh Winckowski	0.1142	0.1373	0.1487	12.6	5.8	6.8
5	Jason Alexander	0.1142	0.1368	0.1464	12.0	5.3	6.7
6	Sandy Alcantara	0.1137	0.1082	0.0756	29.1	22.7	6.4
7	Jhoulys Chacín	0.1142	0.1452	0.2009	20.1	13.7	6.4
8	Max Fried	0.1124	0.1061	0.0750	23.6	17.7	5.9
9	Luis Castillo	0.1196	0.1124	0.0911	14.3	8.9	5.5
10	Joel Kuhnel	0.1142	0.1374	0.1608	13.2	7.7	5.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Julio Urías	0.1195	0.1096	0.0740	26.0	19.7	6.3
2	Graham Ashcraft	0.1176	0.1274	0.1315	10.0	5.1	4.9
3	Alek Manoah	0.1155	0.1092	0.0700	29.6	25.4	4.3
4	Marcus Stroman	0.1258	0.1177	0.1072	6.1	2.0	4.1
5	Max Fried	0.1119	0.1061	0.0750	21.3	17.7	3.6
6	Kyle Freeland	0.1453	0.1400	0.1253	9.3	5.9	3.4
7	Jason Alexander	0.1270	0.1368	0.1464	8.7	5.3	3.4
8	Sonny Gray	0.1201	0.1124	0.0902	10.8	7.4	3.4
9	Johnny Cueto	0.1382	0.1323	0.1014	18.9	15.6	3.3
10	Sandy Alcantara	0.1127	0.1082	0.0756	25.9	22.7	3.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Logan Webb	0.0864	0.1008	0.0966	11.9	2.2	9.7
2	Spenser Watkins	0.1689	0.1532	0.1285	16.3	8.1	8.1
3	Jordan Lyles	0.1565	0.1485	0.1214	23.3	15.6	7.8
4	Antonio Senzatela	0.1190	0.1393	0.1356	8.9	1.3	7.6
5	Corbin Burnes	0.0810	0.0922	0.0916	12.4	5.1	7.3
6	Germán Márquez	0.1168	0.1278	0.1399	21.8	14.9	7.0
7	Dean Kremer	0.1497	0.1393	0.0938	26.1	19.8	6.4
8	Martín Pérez	0.1363	0.1307	0.0853	37.8	31.5	6.3
9	Jorge López	0.1398	0.1209	0.0872	14.2	7.9	6.3
10	Dakota Hudson	0.1111	0.1229	0.1191	7.7	1.9	5.8

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Justin Verlander	0.0511	0.0980 (25.4)	0.0966 (26.7)	0.0991 (27.6)	0.0992 (25.7)	0.0957 (25.0)
Martín Pérez	0.0767	0.1213 (29.3)	0.1174 (28.9)	0.1192 (29.4)	0.1180 (26.1)	0.1267 (35.2)
Tyler Anderson	0.0721	0.1271 (32.6)	0.1198 (29.8)	0.1224 (30.9)	0.1322 (35.7)	0.1267 (33.5)
José Berríos	0.1328	0.1035 (28.8)	0.1015 (27.7)	0.1033 (27.2)	0.1046 (28.4)	0.1025 (28.2)
Dallas Keuchel	0.2046	0.1157 (29.6)	0.1140 (29.1)	0.1158 (28.9)	0.1175 (29.3)	0.1139 (29.6)
Patrick Corbin	0.1501	0.1141 (32.0)	0.1244 (22.2)	0.1165 (28.6)	0.1170 (30.3)	0.1086 (34.6)
Dylan Cease	0.0602	0.1035 (25.7)	0.1082 (31.7)	0.1041 (27.8)	0.1060 (27.1)	0.1004 (24.7)
Trevor Rogers	0.1363	0.0967 (23.1)	0.0929 (23.3)	0.1003 (20.3)	0.0997 (22.0)	0.0901 (25.4)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sean Manaea	0.1005	0.1297	25.5
2	Nestor Cortes	0.1184	0.0699	24.4
3	Alek Manoah	0.1021	0.0623	24.3
4	Lucas Giolito	0.1010	0.1261	23.7
5	Tony Gonsolin	0.1185	0.0622	23.6
6	Sandy Alcantara	0.1003	0.0655	23.0
7	Alex Wood	0.1014	0.1333	22.7
8	Julio Urías	0.1026	0.0610	22.6
9	Matt Moore	0.1297	0.0526	20.7
10	Zac Gallen	0.1104	0.0728	20.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Quintana	0.1254	0.0795	27.4
2	Kyle Wright	0.1281	0.0867	26.5
3	Alek Manoah	0.1000	0.0623	25.3
4	Dean Kremer	0.1389	0.0879	23.3
5	Triston McKenzie	0.1209	0.0850	22.5
6	Jeffrey Springs	0.1137	0.0674	22.4
7	Sandy Alcantara	0.0954	0.0655	21.7
8	Austin Gomber	0.1102	0.1456	21.6
9	Matt Moore	0.1282	0.0526	21.3
10	Lucas Giolito	0.1012	0.1261	21.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Alek Manoah	0.1062	0.0623	29.3
2	Sandy Alcantara	0.1051	0.0655	29.3
3	Nestor Cortes	0.1205	0.0699	27.0
4	Julio Urías	0.1056	0.0610	26.2
5	Cristian Javier	0.1203	0.0718	24.5
6	Sean Manaea	0.1007	0.1297	23.8
7	Zac Gallen	0.1125	0.0728	23.6
8	Tony Gonsolin	0.1149	0.0622	22.9
9	Merrill Kelly	0.1269	0.0933	21.8
10	Elvin Rodríguez	0.1041	0.2448	21.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Urías	0.1120	0.0610	28.6
2	Alek Manoah	0.1077	0.0623	28.2
3	Sandy Alcantara	0.1038	0.0655	25.5
4	Tony Gonsolin	0.1228	0.0622	25.4
5	Sean Manaea	0.1022	0.1297	24.8
6	Nestor Cortes	0.1182	0.0699	23.8
7	Zac Gallen	0.1127	0.0728	21.7
8	Alex Wood	0.1044	0.1333	21.4
9	Adrian Sampson	0.1416	0.0841	20.5
10	Matt Moore	0.1289	0.0526	20.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	0.0919	0.1261	28.8
2	Sean Manaea	0.0985	0.1297	25.7
3	Alex Wood	0.0960	0.1333	24.6
4	Nestor Cortes	0.1165	0.0699	24.3
5	Tony Gonsolin	0.1176	0.0622	24.0
6	Matt Moore	0.1361	0.0526	23.2
7	Dean Kremer	0.1397	0.0879	22.9
8	Charlie Morton	0.0912	0.1140	21.8
9	Jose Quintana	0.1183	0.0795	21.5
10	Chase De Jong	0.1515	0.0717	21.3

Most Unique Misses for Earned Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Nola	0.1140	0.1013	0.0917	13.5	0.6	12.9
2	Ranger Suarez	0.0803	0.1049	0.0952	13.5	0.6	12.9
3	Chad Kuhl	0.1172	0.1409	0.1410	18.1	5.5	12.6
4	Jeffrey Springs	0.1137	0.0954	0.0674	22.4	10.5	11.9
5	Kyle Wright	0.1281	0.1170	0.0867	26.5	15.8	10.7
6	Logan Webb	0.1026	0.0927	0.0788	14.4	4.0	10.4
7	Jose Quintana	0.1254	0.1142	0.0795	27.4	17.5	9.9
8	Mitch Keller	0.1309	0.1207	0.1004	17.1	7.9	9.2
9	Jorge López	0.1394	0.1119	0.0671	19.9	10.7	9.2
10	Logan Gilbert	0.1192	0.1106	0.0862	21.1	12.0	9.2

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Taylor Hearn	0.1041	0.1280	0.1269	13.2	3.5	9.7
2	Aaron Sanchez	0.1041	0.1352	0.1660	18.2	10.5	7.7
3	Drew Hutchison	0.1041	0.1234	0.1142	7.8	0.2	7.6
4	Davis Martin	0.1041	0.1365	0.1264	7.8	0.3	7.4
5	Josh Winckowski	0.1041	0.1285	0.1456	15.2	8.2	7.0
6	Jason Alexander	0.1041	0.1272	0.1340	11.7	5.0	6.7
7	Jhoulys Chacín	0.1041	0.1358	0.1826	18.7	12.2	6.4
8	Sandy Alcantara	0.1051	0.1003	0.0655	29.3	23.0	6.3
9	Joel Kuhnel	0.1041	0.1295	0.1608	16.1	10.2	5.9
10	Logan Webb	0.0977	0.0927	0.0788	9.7	4.0	5.7

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Julio Urías	0.1120	0.1026	0.0610	28.6	22.6	6.0
2	Graham Ashcraft	0.1085	0.1184	0.1228	11.1	6.2	4.9
3	Logan Webb	0.0990	0.0927	0.0788	8.4	4.0	4.5
4	Alek Manoah	0.1077	0.1021	0.0623	28.2	24.3	3.8
5	Kyle Freeland	0.1362	0.1306	0.1149	9.0	5.3	3.8
6	Marcus Stroman	0.1160	0.1088	0.0949	6.6	2.9	3.7
7	Nick Pivetta	0.1180	0.1218	0.1177	7.1	3.7	3.4
8	Jason Alexander	0.1174	0.1272	0.1340	8.4	5.0	3.4
9	Johnny Cueto	0.1300	0.1243	0.0906	19.4	16.1	3.3
10	Tyler Anderson	0.1322	0.1271	0.0721	35.7	32.6	3.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spenser Watkins	0.1577	0.1436	0.1198	14.1	6.9	7.2
2	Antonio Senzatela	0.1114	0.1301	0.1259	8.9	1.9	7.0
3	Germán Márquez	0.1087	0.1188	0.1284	20.9	14.4	6.5
4	Jordan Lyles	0.1459	0.1394	0.1137	19.4	13.1	6.3
5	Framber Valdez	0.1024	0.0966	0.0762	15.8	9.6	6.2
6	Tyler Alexander	0.1041	0.1200	0.1265	12.6	6.5	6.1
7	Joel Kuhnel	0.1041	0.1295	0.1608	16.3	10.2	6.0
8	Jorge López	0.1301	0.1119	0.0671	16.7	10.7	6.0
9	Martín Pérez	0.1267	0.1213	0.0767	35.2	29.3	5.8
10	Corbin Burnes	0.0762	0.0852	0.0828	10.9	5.1	5.8

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Yu Darvish	0.5333	0.3615 (132.7)	0.2105 (210.8)	0.3758 (142.5)	0.3624 (123.8)	0.3462 (160.7)
Tyler Anderson	0.5000	0.2298 (191.2)	0.1667 (200.8)	0.1952 (234.8)	0.2239 (187.9)	0.2963 (159.1)
Tony Gonsolin	0.6667	0.2094 (227.8)	0.1562 (229.6)	0.2346 (228.8)	0.1943 (230.1)	0.2000 (243.0)
Kyle Wright	0.7000	0.1664 (394.0)	0.1071 (401.1)	0.1027 (461.0)	0.1909 (368.1)	0.3333 (286.3)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	JT Brubaker	0.3254	0.1071	140.8
2	Michael Lorenzen	0.1160	0.4444	135.1
3	Patrick Corbin	0.3790	0.1935	132.1
4	Michael Wacha	0.2300	0.4783	128.0
5	Cristian Javier	0.1495	0.3667	127.2
6	Justin Verlander	0.4552	0.6429	125.1
7	Spencer Strider	0.1206	0.3548	123.8
8	Keegan Thompson	0.0955	0.3448	121.0
9	Nestor Cortes	0.2363	0.4286	118.4
10	Dane Dunning	0.3120	0.1379	116.6

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.2000	0.6429	262.1
2	Carlos Carrasco	0.1333	0.5172	215.8
3	Framber Valdez	0.2432	0.5484	211.5
4	Alek Manoah	0.2051	0.5161	205.6
5	Cal Quantrill	0.1591	0.4688	200.4
6	Luis Garcia	0.2093	0.5357	178.1
7	Sandy Alcantara	0.1951	0.4375	171.0
8	Joe Ryan	0.1562	0.4815	166.6
9	Nestor Cortes	0.1176	0.4286	160.8
10	Jameson Taillon	0.1707	0.4375	158.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.4321	0.6429	158.6
2	Spencer Strider	0.1174	0.3548	139.8
3	Cal Quantrill	0.3164	0.4688	138.4
4	Jeffrey Springs	0.0509	0.2727	136.8
5	Keegan Thompson	0.0938	0.3448	135.0
6	Paul Blackburn	0.0717	0.3333	135.0
7	Adam Wainwright	0.2034	0.3438	134.7
8	Paolo Espino	0.2923	0.0000	129.0
9	Ross Stripling	0.1028	0.3125	127.1
10	Luis Garcia	0.3745	0.5357	121.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Justin Verlander	0.4135	0.6429	145.9
2	Michael Wacha	0.1886	0.4783	143.9
3	Spencer Strider	0.0799	0.3548	139.7
4	JT Brubaker	0.3107	0.1071	138.2
5	Cristian Javier	0.1270	0.3667	134.2
6	Dane Dunning	0.3252	0.1379	132.6
7	Keegan Thompson	0.0760	0.3448	125.4
8	Kris Bubic	0.3103	0.1071	125.3
9	Dean Kremer	0.1118	0.3636	123.7
10	Cal Quantrill	0.2995	0.4688	122.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Nestor Cortes	0.1481	0.4286	185.6
2	Drew Rasmussen	0.1026	0.3929	182.0
3	Cristian Javier	0.0833	0.3667	178.2
4	Michael Lorenzen	0.0465	0.4444	172.3
5	Michael Wacha	0.1852	0.4783	161.9
6	Chris Bassitt	0.3077	0.5000	159.1
7	Martín Pérez	0.2188	0.3750	145.8
8	Hunter Greene	0.5000	0.2083	143.6
9	Patrick Corbin	0.4138	0.1935	141.8
10	JT Brubaker	0.3478	0.1071	141.7

Most Unique Misses for Win Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Justin Verlander	0.2000	0.4552	0.6429	262.1	125.1	136.9
2	Sandy Alcantara	0.1951	0.3875	0.4375	171.0	44.5	126.5
3	Alek Manoah	0.2051	0.3974	0.5161	205.6	93.5	112.1
4	Carlos Carrasco	0.1333	0.3533	0.5172	215.8	105.9	109.9
5	Framber Valdez	0.2432	0.4234	0.5484	211.5	103.6	107.9
6	Miles Mikolas	0.1481	0.3277	0.3636	133.7	29.1	104.6
7	Zac Gallen	0.1622	0.3505	0.3871	125.3	26.3	99.0
8	Cal Quantrill	0.1591	0.3372	0.4688	200.4	101.5	98.9
9	Noah Syndergaard	0.1304	0.3399	0.4000	124.4	34.1	90.3
10	Jameson Taillon	0.1707	0.3394	0.4375	158.3	71.6	86.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2034	0.3801	0.3438	134.7	29.0	105.7
2	Corey Kluber	0.2034	0.3359	0.3226	100.9	9.0	91.9
3	Michael Kopech	0.3891	0.2196	0.2000	79.9	9.5	70.4
4	Kyle Wright	0.1027	0.1664	0.7000	461.0	394.0	67.0
5	Paolo Espino	0.2923	0.1331	0.0000	129.0	64.7	64.3
6	Tyler Alexander	0.2863	0.1432	0.1481	47.3	2.2	45.1
7	Tyler Anderson	0.1952	0.2298	0.5000	234.8	191.2	43.6
8	Zach Thompson	0.2798	0.1728	0.1034	80.9	37.5	43.4
9	Mitch White	0.2034	0.0817	0.0400	59.9	18.2	41.6
10	Steve Cishek	0.2034	0.0376	0.0145	46.4	6.6	39.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jose Quintana	0.3159	0.2601	0.1875	94.2	49.1	45.1
2	Jake Odorizzi	0.1229	0.2242	0.2727	63.2	22.1	41.1
3	Ryan Feltner	0.1066	0.2026	0.2000	35.5	1.0	34.6
4	Jordan Montgomery	0.3815	0.3476	0.2812	80.0	47.8	32.2
5	Max Fried	0.4079	0.4603	0.4667	35.5	4.8	30.7
6	Josiah Gray	0.3098	0.2759	0.2500	45.5	16.7	28.8
7	Chad Kuhl	0.1556	0.2117	0.2222	34.8	6.6	28.1
8	Dean Kremer	0.1118	0.1746	0.3636	123.7	96.9	26.7
9	Rich Hill	0.1770	0.2362	0.3077	63.3	37.7	25.6
10	Nick Lodolo	0.3414	0.2982	0.2105	62.3	38.6	23.7

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ranger Suarez	0.1795	0.2787	0.3448	123.6	44.0	79.6
2	Nick Martinez	0.3810	0.1901	0.0851	123.0	46.9	76.1
3	Jhoan Duran	0.3636	0.0840	0.0351	81.7	12.9	68.8
4	Nestor Cortes	0.1481	0.2363	0.4286	185.6	118.4	67.1
5	Drew Rasmussen	0.1026	0.1954	0.3929	182.0	115.4	66.5
6	Martín Pérez	0.2188	0.2730	0.3750	145.8	83.9	61.8
7	Cristian Javier	0.0833	0.1495	0.3667	178.2	127.2	51.1
8	Konnor Pilkington	0.2917	0.0751	0.0667	52.6	2.1	50.4
9	Hunter Greene	0.5000	0.3855	0.2083	143.6	94.0	49.6
10	Mark Leiter Jr.	0.2917	0.0989	0.0571	60.1	11.7	48.4

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Mike Minor	0.6316	0.3418 (124.1)	0.2703 (138.6)	0.3164 (144.0)	0.3778 (113.5)	0.3333 (130.4)
Joan Adon	0.8571	0.3520 (151.3)	0.0968 (218.1)	0.3505 (157.5)	0.3930 (142.6)	0.3182 (163.5)
Patrick Corbin	0.6129	0.3358 (185.4)	0.2821 (195.4)	0.3048 (220.6)	0.3603 (177.1)	0.3448 (182.9)
Jonathan Heasley	0.4762	0.1316 (152.3)	0.1250 (136.9)	0.1150 (168.6)	0.1052 (170.5)	0.2400 (104.5)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cal Quantrill	0.3609	0.1562	170.7
2	Zac Gallen	0.3120	0.1290	142.8
3	Merrill Kelly	0.3881	0.2424	130.8
4	José Ureña	0.0726	0.3810	125.9
5	Erick Fedde	0.2585	0.4815	118.0
6	Taijuan Walker	0.3366	0.1724	117.6
7	Aaron Ashby	0.1125	0.3704	114.4
8	Zach Davies	0.3577	0.1852	108.1
9	Aaron Nola	0.2606	0.4062	103.8
10	Jameson Taillon	0.2772	0.1562	100.5

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Marco Gonzales	0.1944	0.4688	170.3
2	Alex Wood	0.1250	0.4615	155.3
3	Madison Bumgarner	0.2222	0.5000	154.3
4	Hunter Greene	0.2054	0.5417	148.4
5	Daniel Lynch IV	0.1892	0.4815	141.3
6	Zach Plesac	0.1842	0.4800	135.8
7	Erick Fedde	0.2000	0.4815	128.8
8	Daulton Jefferies	0.0952	0.8750	124.4
9	Miles Mikolas	0.1852	0.3939	122.4
10	Kris Bubic	0.2000	0.4643	121.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cal Quantrill	0.3673	0.1562	161.5
2	José Ureña	0.0543	0.3810	141.7
3	Adam Wainwright	0.2054	0.3750	137.2
4	Hunter Greene	0.3004	0.5417	128.8
5	Zac Gallen	0.3034	0.1290	123.5
6	Aaron Nola	0.2565	0.4062	121.9
7	Merrill Kelly	0.3891	0.2424	116.9
8	Taijuan Walker	0.3436	0.1724	110.3
9	Brayan Bello	0.2054	0.6154	110.2
10	Adam Oller	0.1012	0.4211	108.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cal Quantrill	0.3965	0.1562	188.3
2	Zac Gallen	0.3561	0.1290	165.2
3	Erick Fedde	0.2252	0.4815	144.4
4	José Ureña	0.0504	0.3810	141.0
5	Aaron Ashby	0.0719	0.3704	139.8
6	Jameson Taillon	0.3336	0.1562	132.2
7	Merrill Kelly	0.4004	0.2424	130.4
8	Zach Davies	0.4052	0.1852	127.8
9	Taijuan Walker	0.3615	0.1724	125.5
10	Tyler Alexander	0.1098	0.4074	125.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Nola	0.2188	0.4062	142.0
2	Alex Wood	0.2000	0.4615	138.7
3	Cristian Javier	0.0556	0.3000	136.2
4	Cal Quantrill	0.3214	0.1562	136.1
5	Kris Bubic	0.2333	0.4643	128.8
6	Michael Kopech	0.0882	0.3600	128.5
7	Josiah Gray	0.1500	0.3571	126.9
8	Madison Bumgarner	0.3077	0.5000	126.2
9	Erick Fedde	0.2500	0.4815	126.0
10	Daulton Jefferies	0.1364	0.8750	125.1

Most Unique Misses for Loss Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Marco Gonzales	0.1944	0.3746	0.4688	170.3	60.4	110.0
2	Adam Wainwright	0.1795	0.3719	0.3750	111.4	11.2	100.2
3	Josiah Gray	0.1143	0.2814	0.3571	120.8	38.1	82.7
4	Zach Plesac	0.1842	0.3678	0.4800	135.8	54.0	81.7
5	Noah Syndergaard	0.1304	0.3100	0.4000	120.2	41.2	79.0
6	Cole Irvin	0.2558	0.3997	0.4333	89.5	12.3	77.2
7	Madison Bumgarner	0.2222	0.3721	0.5000	154.3	77.4	76.9
8	Miles Mikolas	0.1852	0.3186	0.3939	122.4	46.9	75.4
9	Corey Kluber	0.1429	0.2832	0.3226	84.7	15.4	69.3
10	James Kaprielian	0.1538	0.3449	0.3462	78.2	9.1	69.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Adam Wainwright	0.2054	0.3719	0.3750	137.2	11.2	126.0
2	Corey Kluber	0.2054	0.2832	0.3226	81.6	15.4	66.2
3	Kyle Wright	0.0822	0.1490	0.1667	63.3	0.5	62.8
4	Beau Brieske	0.2054	0.3660	0.4000	66.4	5.7	60.7
5	Nestor Cortes	0.2896	0.1978	0.1429	89.4	44.3	45.1
6	Josh Winckowski	0.2054	0.3288	0.4667	83.0	38.2	44.8
7	Hunter Greene	0.3004	0.3634	0.5417	128.8	85.6	43.2
8	Andre Pallante	0.2054	0.0830	0.1064	44.6	2.9	41.7
9	Paolo Espino	0.3385	0.1596	0.2143	59.8	18.3	41.5
10	Davis Martin	0.2054	0.3378	0.4286	60.4	19.8	40.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Dean Kremer	0.1506	0.2345	0.3182	83.6	34.1	49.5
2	Jose Quintana	0.3637	0.2848	0.2188	101.4	56.4	44.9
3	Ranger Suarez	0.3189	0.2074	0.2414	54.2	11.2	43.0
4	Glenn Otto Jr.	0.2359	0.2942	0.3704	76.4	34.7	41.7
5	Martín Pérez	0.3689	0.3059	0.2500	101.1	59.9	41.2
6	Logan Webb	0.3312	0.2614	0.2812	42.7	2.2	40.5
7	Jake Odorizzi	0.1219	0.1978	0.2727	66.4	26.2	40.2
8	Paolo Espino	0.0907	0.1596	0.2143	58.1	18.3	39.8
9	Kyle Freeland	0.4022	0.3418	0.3548	39.6	3.0	36.5
10	Ryan Feltner	0.1840	0.2534	0.4500	112.0	76.8	35.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kyle Wright	0.2963	0.1490	0.1667	104.2	0.5	103.7
2	Josiah Gray	0.1500	0.2814	0.3571	126.9	38.1	88.8
3	Jhoan Duran	0.3636	0.0793	0.0702	81.1	7.0	74.2
4	Logan Webb	0.1852	0.2614	0.2812	66.5	2.2	64.3
5	Ross Stripling	0.2308	0.1023	0.1250	62.9	3.0	59.8
6	Andre Pallante	0.2273	0.0830	0.1064	60.5	2.9	57.6
7	Aníbal Sánchez	0.2054	0.3939	0.4286	61.8	5.2	56.6
8	Ranger Suarez	0.1282	0.2074	0.2414	67.3	11.2	56.1
9	Triston McKenzie	0.2414	0.3087	0.3548	75.5	21.6	54.0
10	Reynaldo López	0.3000	0.0877	0.0656	62.5	10.0	52.5

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Tanner Scott	0.2985	0.0147 (78.9)	0.0233 (84.1)	0.0000 (83.6)	0.0167 (78.3)	0.0291 (75.7)
Kenley Jansen	0.6308	0.3102 (80.5)	0.3830 (68.5)	0.4174 (53.1)	0.1003 (135.0)	0.4035 (57.2)
Nick Martinez	0.1702	0.0000 (71.4)	0.0298 (69.9)	0.0000 (72.2)	0.0000 (71.3)	0.0000 (72.9)
Daniel Bard	0.5965	0.0991 (119.2)	0.2093 (98.7)	0.1080 (117.4)	0.0939 (120.4)	0.0949 (121.1)
Ryan Helsley	0.3519	0.0181 (77.2)	0.0278 (81.2)	0.0000 (81.9)	0.0338 (73.4)	0.0234 (76.7)
Clay Holmes	0.3226	0.0115 (78.1)	0.0233 (81.9)	0.0000 (81.5)	0.0174 (76.5)	0.0189 (77.0)
Félix Bautista	0.2308	0.0056 (54.2)	0.0298 (54.8)	0.0000 (56.1)	0.0158 (51.6)	0.0000 (56.5)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jorge López	0.1086	0.3433	66.7
2	Raisel Iglesias	0.5028	0.2537	63.9
3	Tanner Houck	0.0000	0.2500	59.1
4	Rowan Wick	0.3243	0.1406	57.2
5	Aroldis Chapman	0.5151	0.2093	50.6
6	Rafael Montero	0.0000	0.1972	50.3
7	Mark Melancon	0.4772	0.2903	48.8
8	Kyle Finnegan	0.3345	0.1667	47.9
9	Paul Sewald	0.1047	0.3077	46.5
10	Jimmy Herget	0.0000	0.1837	46.0

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jorge López	0.0250	0.3433	99.5
2	Jordan Romano	0.2143	0.5714	96.2
3	Camilo Doval	0.0800	0.3971	95.1
4	Emmanuel Clase	0.2222	0.5455	91.8
5	Gregory Soto	0.1591	0.4688	85.5
6	David Bednar	0.0500	0.4222	81.4
7	David Robertson	0.0526	0.3448	81.3
8	Ryan Pressly	0.2727	0.6600	73.3
9	Scott Barlow	0.1224	0.3478	69.9
10	Liam Hendriks	0.3617	0.6379	68.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	David Robertson	0.0000	0.3448	88.6
2	Jorge López	0.0529	0.3433	83.8
3	Raisel Iglesias	0.5682	0.2537	79.6
4	Gregory Soto	0.1852	0.4688	72.2
5	Mark Melancon	0.0298	0.2903	62.1
6	Tanner Houck	0.0000	0.2500	59.5
7	Camilo Doval	0.2058	0.3971	52.1
8	Rafael Montero	0.0000	0.1972	50.8
9	Jimmy Herget	0.0000	0.1837	46.4
10	Paul Sewald	0.1080	0.3077	46.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Will Smith	0.3591	0.0769	76.5
2	Kyle Finnegan	0.4219	0.1667	71.4
3	Tanner Houck	0.0000	0.2500	59.0
4	Josh Hader	0.3876	0.6429	53.5
5	Lou Trivino III	0.3679	0.1719	51.8
6	Rafael Montero	0.0000	0.1972	50.2
7	Rowan Wick	0.2991	0.1406	49.8
8	Aroldis Chapman	0.5032	0.2093	48.8
9	Paul Sewald	0.0959	0.3077	48.6
10	Raisel Iglesias	0.4379	0.2537	48.0

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Rowan Wick	0.4555	0.1406	94.8
2	Jorge López	0.0277	0.3433	91.8
3	Kyle Finnegan	0.4727	0.1667	84.0
4	Jordan Hicks	0.2875	0.0000	77.6
5	Dinelson Lamet	0.4752	0.0000	71.9
6	Craig Kimbrel	0.0747	0.3492	69.4
7	Raisel Iglesias	0.5025	0.2537	63.0
8	Corey Knebel	0.5682	0.2609	61.1
9	Tanner Houck	0.0000	0.2500	59.9
10	Aroldis Chapman	0.5751	0.2093	59.7

Most Unique Misses for Save Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Camilo Doval	0.0800	0.3024	0.3971	95.1	24.0	71.1
2	Emmanuel Clase	0.2222	0.4452	0.5455	91.8	24.3	67.6
3	David Bednar	0.0500	0.3323	0.4222	81.4	16.6	64.8
4	Scott Barlow	0.1224	0.3111	0.3478	69.9	7.5	62.4
5	Jordan Romano	0.2143	0.4214	0.5714	96.2	35.9	60.2
6	Taylor Rogers	0.2424	0.4021	0.4697	66.5	15.6	51.0
7	David Robertson	0.0526	0.2069	0.3448	81.3	33.6	47.7
8	Edwin Díaz	0.3261	0.4925	0.5246	50.3	5.0	45.3
9	Garrett Whitlock	0.0571	0.1896	0.1935	47.3	2.1	45.1
10	Ryan Pressly	0.2727	0.4756	0.6600	73.3	31.6	41.7

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	David Robertson	0.0000	0.2069	0.3448	88.6	33.6	55.0
2	Camilo Doval	0.2058	0.3024	0.3971	52.1	24.0	28.1
3	Garrett Whitlock	0.0882	0.1896	0.1935	29.9	2.1	27.8
4	Gregory Soto	0.1852	0.2856	0.4688	72.2	45.3	26.8
5	Scott Barlow	0.2315	0.3111	0.3478	31.1	7.5	23.6
6	Adam Wainwright	0.0298	0.0000	0.0000	31.3	8.6	22.7
7	David Bednar	0.2315	0.3323	0.4222	38.1	16.6	21.5
8	Corey Kluber	0.0298	0.0000	0.0000	26.8	7.4	19.4
9	Taylor Rogers	0.3339	0.4021	0.4697	34.7	15.6	19.1
10	Seranthony Domínguez	0.0000	0.0906	0.1667	32.6	13.5	19.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Kenley Jansen	0.1003	0.3102	0.6308	135.0	80.5	54.5
2	Will Smith	0.3591	0.1833	0.0769	76.5	30.6	46.0
3	Craig Kimbrel	0.5179	0.3164	0.3492	46.7	5.7	41.0
4	Kyle Finnegan	0.4219	0.3345	0.1667	71.4	47.9	23.5
5	Josh Hader	0.3876	0.4559	0.6429	53.5	38.6	14.9
6	Robert Suarez	0.1694	0.0972	0.0222	30.2	16.4	13.8
7	Taylor Rogers	0.3574	0.4021	0.4697	27.7	15.6	12.1
8	Lou Trivino III	0.3679	0.3280	0.1719	51.8	41.7	10.1
9	Dillon Tate	0.1572	0.1271	0.0746	27.3	18.5	8.9
10	Liam Hendriks	0.4460	0.4825	0.6379	42.5	34.0	8.5

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Craig Kimbrel	0.0747	0.3164	0.3492	69.4	5.7	63.7
2	Dinelson Lamet	0.4752	0.1654	0.0000	71.9	26.2	45.7
3	Garrett Whitlock	0.3255	0.1896	0.1935	43.3	2.1	41.2
4	Rowan Wick	0.4555	0.3243	0.1406	94.8	57.2	37.6
5	Kyle Finnegan	0.4727	0.3345	0.1667	84.0	47.9	36.2
6	Jordan Hicks	0.2875	0.1577	0.0000	77.6	44.3	33.3
7	Corey Knebel	0.5682	0.4294	0.2609	61.1	34.8	26.3
8	Jorge López	0.0277	0.1086	0.3433	91.8	66.7	25.1
9	Brusdar Graterol	0.2282	0.1019	0.0870	29.3	5.1	24.2
10	Cole Sulser	0.3218	0.1748	0.0513	41.4	20.0	21.4

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Zach Jackson	0.4815	0.0111 (94.1)	0.0621 (90.8)	0.0621 (85.9)	0.0184 (90.7)	0.0000 (95.8)
Andre Pallante	0.1915	0.0233 (74.7)	0.0621 (73.0)	0.0621 (61.7)	0.0286 (68.0)	0.0000 (84.2)
John Schreiber	0.3438	0.0302 (79.4)	0.1250 (64.0)	0.0621 (73.9)	0.0493 (72.1)	0.0000 (86.5)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Austin Voth	0.2338	0.0244	94.7
2	Ross Stripling	0.1547	0.0000	85.5
3	Jeffrey Springs	0.1392	0.0000	79.0
4	Colin Poche	0.0487	0.3538	73.6
5	Michael King	0.1163	0.4706	69.6
6	Brent Suter	0.2667	0.0185	68.8
7	Griffin Jax	0.0490	0.2769	64.7
8	Brad Boxberger	0.1950	0.4286	61.3
9	Graham Ashcraft	0.1251	0.0000	60.3
10	Wil Crowe	0.0843	0.2667	58.9

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Michael Kopech	0.2222	0.0000	94.8
2	Michael King	0.0968	0.4706	80.4
3	Yimi García	0.0952	0.3770	77.1
4	Michael Fulmer	0.1250	0.3731	76.8
5	Cionel Pérez	0.0833	0.3788	76.2
6	Michael Lorenzen	0.2143	0.0000	75.6
7	Jhoan Duran	0.0621	0.3158	75.6
8	Wil Crowe	0.0732	0.2667	74.3
9	Kendall Graveman	0.1892	0.4154	73.1
10	Héctor Neris	0.1200	0.3571	70.3

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jeffrey Springs	0.2413	0.0000	129.3
2	Brad Boxberger	0.0621	0.4286	99.8
3	Austin Voth	0.2469	0.0244	95.8
4	José Ureña	0.1728	0.0000	72.2
5	Anthony Bass	0.0621	0.3151	71.1
6	Bailey Falter	0.2058	0.0000	69.8
7	Wil Crowe	0.0621	0.2667	69.8
8	Camilo Doval	0.2573	0.0147	67.8
9	Jorge López	0.2469	0.0149	67.4
10	Michael King	0.1434	0.4706	66.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ross Stripling	0.1509	0.0000	88.4
2	Austin Voth	0.2050	0.0244	86.0
3	Colin Poche	0.0190	0.3538	78.6
4	Graham Ashcraft	0.1514	0.0000	76.8
5	Michael King	0.0737	0.4706	76.2
6	Griffin Jax	0.0149	0.2769	71.9
7	Paolo Espino	0.1197	0.0000	65.1
8	Nick Martinez	0.0126	0.1702	64.3
9	Matt Moore	0.0000	0.2222	63.3
10	Wil Crowe	0.0625	0.2667	63.1

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Ross Stripling	0.3417	0.0000	187.0
2	Austin Voth	0.2681	0.0244	110.9
3	Aaron Ashby	0.2318	0.0370	95.9
4	David Robertson	0.4079	0.0517	95.9
5	Caleb Smith	0.4424	0.1364	94.6
6	Jorge López	0.3206	0.0149	93.2
7	Brent Suter	0.3521	0.0185	92.7
8	Colin Poche	0.0095	0.3538	82.6
9	Jhoan Duran	0.0000	0.3158	82.1
10	Trevor Williams	0.2327	0.0333	76.8

Most Unique Misses for Hold Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Michael Kopech	0.2222	0.0136	0.0000	94.8	9.1	85.7
2	Michael Lorenzen	0.2143	0.0117	0.0000	75.6	6.8	68.8
3	Jose Quintana	0.1333	0.0000	0.0000	70.0	3.2	66.7
4	Domingo Acevedo	0.1176	0.2610	0.2857	52.8	5.3	47.5
5	Justin Verlander	0.1000	0.0000	0.0000	46.4	3.2	43.2
6	Collin McHugh	0.1515	0.2748	0.2931	46.8	3.7	43.1
7	Héctor Neris	0.1200	0.2450	0.3571	70.3	28.2	42.1
8	Michael Fulmer	0.1250	0.2352	0.3731	76.8	36.8	40.1
9	A.J. Puk	0.1111	0.2174	0.3226	67.9	28.2	39.7
10	Phil Maton	0.0889	0.2136	0.2090	42.3	2.6	39.6

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Collin McHugh	0.0621	0.2748	0.2931	64.4	3.7	60.7
2	Jeffrey Springs	0.2413	0.1392	0.0000	129.3	79.0	50.3
3	Will Vest	0.2881	0.1008	0.0678	58.4	10.3	48.1
4	Bryan Abreu	0.3704	0.1771	0.1455	54.4	9.0	45.3
5	Anthony Bass	0.0621	0.2128	0.3151	71.1	26.8	44.3
6	Ryan Tepera	0.0621	0.2364	0.2881	53.8	10.9	42.9
7	Adam Wainwright	0.0621	0.0000	0.0000	45.3	3.8	41.4
8	Aaron Loup	0.0621	0.2035	0.2923	61.3	21.9	39.5
9	Brad Boxberger	0.0621	0.1950	0.4286	99.8	61.3	38.4
10	José Ureña	0.1728	0.0791	0.0000	72.2	36.2	36.0

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ryan Thompson	0.0152	0.2002	0.2128	33.2	1.4	31.8
2	Jordan Hicks	0.0621	0.1870	0.2286	40.1	9.7	30.4
3	Paolo Espino	0.1197	0.0736	0.0000	65.1	38.2	27.0
4	Kenley Jansen	0.1749	0.0927	0.0000	49.1	25.4	23.8
5	Luis García	0.0767	0.1638	0.3125	57.4	37.3	20.2
6	Dillon Tate	0.1449	0.2173	0.2388	23.3	4.9	18.4
7	Domingo Acevedo	0.1826	0.2610	0.2857	23.7	5.3	18.4
8	John King	0.0124	0.1010	0.2051	39.7	22.1	17.6
9	Graham Ashcraft	0.1514	0.1251	0.0000	76.8	60.3	16.5
10	Reynaldo López	0.1959	0.1449	0.1475	15.8	0.5	15.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Ross Stripling	0.3417	0.1547	0.0000	187.0	85.5	101.5
2	Caleb Smith	0.4424	0.2065	0.1364	94.6	22.6	72.0
3	Seth Lugo	0.4881	0.3292	0.2581	64.5	20.6	43.9
4	Jhoan Duran	0.0000	0.1645	0.3158	82.1	39.0	43.1
5	Trevor Williams	0.2327	0.1200	0.0333	76.8	34.0	42.8
6	Aaron Ashby	0.2318	0.1502	0.0370	95.9	56.0	39.9
7	Jorge López	0.3206	0.1965	0.0149	93.2	55.5	37.7
8	David Robertson	0.4079	0.2701	0.0517	95.9	58.9	37.0
9	Craig Kimbrel	0.2203	0.0921	0.0317	50.9	16.9	34.0
10	Jason Adam	0.0217	0.1644	0.3284	71.0	37.7	33.2

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Justin Verlander	1.7486	3.5658 (973.2)	3.5204 (1064.8)	3.6664 (1107.7)	3.6478 (1008.9)	3.3904 (904.4)
Martín Pérez	2.8879	4.8259 (1298.8)	4.6236 (1282.9)	4.7189 (1294.2)	4.6713 (1148.6)	5.0914 (1576.0)
Tyler Anderson	2.5690	4.9164 (1408.0)	4.6044 (1316.7)	4.7586 (1368.0)	5.1854 (1578.1)	4.8100 (1383.7)
José Berríos	5.2326	3.9064 (1266.6)	3.8028 (1206.9)	3.9253 (1176.1)	3.9584 (1248.8)	3.8363 (1265.1)
Triston McKenzie	2.9634	4.6267 (968.8)	4.5182 (1023.9)	4.6762 (1080.5)	4.6713 (980.8)	4.5349 (954.1)
Dallas Keuchel	9.1978	4.5930 (1503.1)	4.4499 (1491.0)	4.6292 (1461.4)	4.6939 (1481.1)	4.4587 (1521.9)
Nestor Cortes	2.4442	4.5650 (1085.4)	4.1284 (929.4)	4.6771 (1216.6)	4.5820 (1078.4)	4.4384 (1051.8)
Patrick Corbin	6.3079	4.3991 (1614.7)	4.8406 (1169.5)	4.5000 (1470.5)	4.5377 (1536.1)	4.1621 (1732.3)
Dylan Cease	2.2011	3.9728 (1057.6)	4.1860 (1353.5)	3.9831 (1141.0)	4.0532 (1096.5)	3.8809 (1042.8)
Trevor Rogers	5.4673	3.6489 (1037.1)	3.5347 (1004.3)	3.8018 (915.9)	3.7642 (995.7)	3.3830 (1129.6)

Individual Misses for ERA

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Tony Gonsolin	4.6422	2.1407	1068.5
2	Sean Manaea	3.7635	4.9557	1038.8
3	Lucas Giolito	3.7694	4.8990	1036.9
4	Alek Manoah	3.9067	2.2424	1028.4
5	Sandy Alcantara	3.7901	2.2828	1020.2
6	Zac Gallen	4.2403	2.5435	957.4
7	Merrill Kelly	4.8921	3.3694	938.1
8	Julio Urías	3.8397	2.1600	912.1
9	Cristian Javier	4.4146	2.5426	886.9
10	Matt Moore	5.2135	1.9459	885.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Jose Quintana	4.9865	2.9336	1276.5
2	Kyle Wright	5.0546	3.1941	1245.4
3	Alek Manoah	3.7720	2.2424	1066.3
4	Dean Kremer	5.4817	3.2314	1063.6
5	Sandy Alcantara	3.5680	2.2828	985.5
6	Elvin Rodríguez	4.0350	10.6180	966.1
7	Jeffrey Springs	4.3902	2.4606	964.4
8	Lucas Giolito	3.7143	4.8990	947.6
9	Carlos Hernández	4.0909	7.3929	924.3
10	Joan Adon	4.3256	7.0979	913.1

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sandy Alcantara	4.0130	2.2828	1307.4
2	Alek Manoah	4.0734	2.2424	1239.1
3	Cristian Javier	4.7734	2.5426	1156.1
4	Julio Urías	4.0000	2.1600	1092.3
5	Zac Gallen	4.3251	2.5435	1090.3
6	Merrill Kelly	4.9519	3.3694	1067.7
7	Tony Gonsolin	4.5161	2.1407	1056.2
8	Elvin Rodríguez	4.0350	10.6180	977.8
9	Sean Manaea	3.7817	4.9557	958.6
10	Cal Quantrill	4.8718	3.3810	951.8

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Julio Urías	4.2551	2.1600	1178.8
2	Alek Manoah	4.1125	2.2424	1167.9
3	Tony Gonsolin	4.8528	2.1407	1159.3
4	Sandy Alcantara	3.9386	2.2828	1126.6
5	Sean Manaea	3.8244	4.9557	1016.9
6	Zac Gallen	4.3512	2.5435	1016.3
7	Merrill Kelly	4.9798	3.3694	985.8
8	Adrian Sampson	5.7066	3.1054	948.9
9	Johnny Cueto	5.1380	3.3537	911.4
10	Cristian Javier	4.4831	2.5426	910.4

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Lucas Giolito	3.3556	4.8990	1275.4
2	Dean Kremer	5.6418	3.2314	1088.8
3	Tony Gonsolin	4.5600	2.1407	1063.5
4	Sean Manaea	3.6844	4.9557	1043.5
5	Matt Moore	5.5125	1.9459	997.9
6	Chase De Jong	6.2395	2.6372	972.3
7	Jose Quintana	4.6311	2.9336	959.9
8	Alex Wood	3.6525	5.0969	959.2
9	Félix Bautista	6.0268	2.1929	898.2
10	Merrill Kelly	4.7458	3.3694	878.5

Most Unique Misses for ERA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Chad Kuhl	4.5353	5.7195	5.7153	834.8	217.0	617.8
2	Aaron Nola	4.2857	3.7964	3.2488	697.2	154.7	542.5
3	Jeffrey Springs	4.3902	3.5937	2.4606	964.4	426.7	537.7
4	Ranger Suarez	2.9897	4.0391	3.6502	551.8	21.9	529.9
5	Jose Quintana	4.9865	4.4632	2.9336	1276.5	796.9	479.5
6	Kyle Wright	5.0546	4.5950	3.1941	1245.4	771.2	474.2
7	Mitch Keller	5.2664	4.8211	3.9057	816.0	384.4	431.5
8	Logan Webb	3.8599	3.4984	2.9012	618.4	189.9	428.5
9	Jorge López	5.5752	4.3307	2.5352	854.4	429.0	425.4
10	Logan Gilbert	4.5551	4.1926	3.1993	906.1	488.2	417.8

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Taylor Hearn	4.0350	5.1011	5.1300	606.0	172.8	433.2
2	Aaron Sanchez	4.0350	5.5654	6.6000	747.2	368.5	378.7
3	Drew Hutchison	4.0350	4.9075	4.5285	347.1	10.7	336.4
4	Josh Winckowski	4.0350	5.1353	5.8863	665.5	349.8	315.7
5	Jason Alexander	4.0350	5.0463	5.4000	519.9	227.8	292.1
6	Sandy Alcantara	4.0130	3.7901	2.2828	1307.4	1020.2	287.2
7	Jhoulys Chacín	4.0350	5.4366	7.6056	837.7	553.0	284.8
8	Cristian Javier	4.7734	4.4146	2.5426	1156.1	886.9	269.1
9	Joel Kuhnel	4.0350	5.1480	6.3621	658.3	400.3	258.0
10	Logan Webb	3.7154	3.4984	2.9012	440.4	189.9	250.5

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Julio Urías	4.2551	3.8397	2.1600	1178.8	912.1	266.7
2	Graham Ashcraft	4.2122	4.6663	4.8857	490.8	266.9	223.9
3	Kyle Freeland	5.5163	5.2076	4.5344	457.8	243.1	214.7
4	Logan Webb	3.7616	3.4984	2.9012	374.7	189.9	184.8
5	Tyler Anderson	5.1854	4.9164	2.5690	1578.1	1408.0	170.2
6	Marcus Stroman	4.4988	4.1728	3.5048	346.9	177.6	169.3
7	Johnny Cueto	5.1380	4.8759	3.3537	911.4	759.3	152.1
8	Jason Alexander	4.6013	5.0463	5.4000	379.7	227.8	152.0
9	Max Fried	3.9232	3.6893	2.4766	778.7	628.0	150.7
10	Kyle Bradish	4.3832	4.6384	4.8952	456.2	311.8	144.3

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Spenser Watkins	6.4948	5.7831	4.6994	693.8	334.1	359.8
2	Antonio Senzatela	4.3529	5.1371	5.0686	412.8	118.7	294.1
3	Jorge López	5.2435	4.3307	2.5352	722.5	429.0	293.5
4	Framber Valdez	4.0025	3.7214	2.8162	746.3	454.2	292.1
5	Dean Kremer	5.6418	5.1513	3.2314	1088.8	800.8	288.0
6	Martín Pérez	5.0914	4.8259	2.8879	1576.0	1298.8	277.2
7	Germán Márquez	4.1538	4.5734	4.9541	844.5	573.8	270.7
8	Joel Kuhnel	4.0350	5.1480	6.3621	665.8	400.3	265.4
9	Dakota Hudson	4.0059	4.4958	4.4463	431.6	182.6	249.0
10	Jordan Lyles	5.7728	5.5279	4.4246	823.9	578.5	245.4

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player	Actual	Aggregate	Marcel	Razzball	Steamer	ZiPS
Shane McClanahan	0.9259	1.2421 (164.5)	1.2841 (225.5)	1.2516 (181.0)	1.2288 (151.8)	1.2460 (178.6)
Lucas Giolito	1.4351	1.1682 (227.9)	1.1429 (208.5)	1.2111 (186.7)	1.2063 (205.8)	1.0899 (270.0)
Zac Gallen	0.9130	1.2990 (233.0)	1.2597 (242.8)	1.3180 (258.1)	1.3263 (247.8)	1.2531 (213.1)
Tyler Anderson	1.0019	1.3312 (190.6)	1.3029 (208.2)	1.3448 (211.7)	1.3749 (217.0)	1.2755 (164.1)
José Berríos	1.4186	1.1996 (209.8)	1.1758 (187.8)	1.2246 (178.8)	1.2146 (203.4)	1.1601 (226.0)
Mike Minor	1.6327	1.3037 (176.8)	1.2544 (175.1)	1.3253 (159.6)	1.3126 (175.7)	1.2735 (182.3)
Tony Gonsolin	0.8747	1.3691 (216.5)	1.2198 (168.6)	1.3694 (224.7)	1.3918 (224.6)	1.3467 (214.3)
Triston McKenzie	0.9512	1.3227 (231.1)	1.2065 (184.3)	1.3517 (264.6)	1.3542 (249.6)	1.2636 (200.6)
Kris Bubic	1.6977	1.4195 (198.3)	1.3699 (196.3)	1.4105 (194.1)	1.4333 (194.0)	1.4148 (190.5)
Dallas Keuchel	2.0604	1.4489 (203.4)	1.3997 (202.2)	1.4775 (189.8)	1.4806 (195.7)	1.3899 (215.8)
Patrick Corbin	1.6965	1.3470 (291.7)	1.3878 (224.8)	1.3636 (268.3)	1.3675 (281.7)	1.3103 (305.0)
Nestor Cortes	0.9221	1.2921 (190.9)	1.2615 (204.7)	1.3170 (216.1)	1.2961 (189.3)	1.2637 (184.5)

Individual Misses for WHIP

Aggregate

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cristian Javier	1.3149	0.9484	179.5
2	Sandy Alcantara	1.2294	0.9796	168.5
3	Trevor Rogers	1.2218	1.5047	163.4
4	Miles Mikolas	1.2835	1.0329	153.7
5	Félix Bautista	1.5804	0.9289	149.7
6	Merrill Kelly	1.3805	1.1381	146.9
7	Ryan Helsley	1.3976	0.7423	142.4
8	Yu Darvish	1.1930	0.9503	141.1

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Aaron Nola	1.1873	0.9610	177.4
2	Kyle Wright	1.4041	1.1590	176.1
3	Miles Mikolas	1.2577	1.0329	175.7
4	Sandy Alcantara	1.1775	0.9796	169.6
5	Brady Singer	1.4060	1.1413	160.3
6	Justin Verlander	1.0714	0.8286	157.4
7	Spencer Strider	1.2963	0.9949	155.7
8	Jose Quintana	1.4459	1.2133	153.5

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Cristian Javier	1.3960	0.9484	236.4
2	Sandy Alcantara	1.2733	0.9796	221.7
3	Miles Mikolas	1.3143	1.0329	191.5
4	Alek Manoah	1.2526	0.9915	171.0
5	Aaron Nola	1.2162	0.9610	170.9
6	Merrill Kelly	1.3888	1.1381	166.6
7	Max Fried	1.2850	1.0144	166.5
8	Yu Darvish	1.2068	0.9503	164.2

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Sandy Alcantara	1.2589	0.9796	188.9
2	Cristian Javier	1.3317	0.9484	185.6
3	Miles Mikolas	1.3159	1.0329	174.5
4	Trevor Rogers	1.2330	1.5047	161.1
5	Max Fried	1.2954	1.0144	157.5
6	Merrill Kelly	1.3990	1.1381	156.6
7	Kyle Wright	1.4280	1.1590	149.7
8	Julio Urías	1.2412	0.9600	148.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Actual	Error
1	Félix Bautista	1.7411	0.9289	194.9
2	Spencer Strider	1.3723	0.9949	177.3
3	Trevor Rogers	1.1915	1.5047	169.2
4	Martín Pérez	1.5000	1.2581	164.5
5	Ryan Helsley	1.4458	0.7423	158.2
6	Antonio Senzatela	1.3660	1.6895	150.8
7	Jason Adam	1.4302	0.7579	149.5
8	Sam Hentges	1.6136	0.9677	148.1

Most Unique Misses for WHIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

Marcel

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Jeffrey Springs	1.3415	1.2155	1.0714	144.7	46.3	98.3
2	Mitch Keller	1.5633	1.4755	1.3962	110.3	13.5	96.8
3	Chad Kuhl	1.3662	1.5693	1.5547	120.4	27.8	92.6
4	Corey Kluber	1.3469	1.2740	1.2134	87.5	0.6	86.9
5	Dakota Hudson	1.2708	1.4545	1.4463	108.5	30.7	77.8
6	Jose Quintana	1.4459	1.3918	1.2133	153.5	80.7	72.9
7	Shane Bieber	1.1529	1.1177	1.0400	84.1	14.3	69.8
8	Dylan Cease	1.3090	1.2709	1.1087	144.7	76.6	68.2
9	Trevor Williams	1.4203	1.2995	1.2268	69.6	4.9	64.7
10	Jordan Montgomery	1.2860	1.2509	1.0935	134.7	70.8	63.9

Razzball

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Aaron Sanchez	1.2797	1.6009	1.5500	83.1	2.3	80.8
2	Andre Pallante	1.2797	1.4637	1.4167	82.4	5.7	76.7
3	Drew Hutchison	1.2797	1.4596	1.4810	113.6	37.6	76.0
4	Taylor Hearn	1.2797	1.4580	1.5000	118.4	45.7	72.7
5	Spenser Watkins	1.2797	1.4993	1.4146	81.8	11.5	70.3
6	Josh Winckowski	1.2797	1.4793	1.5924	112.5	54.6	58.0
7	Cristian Javier	1.3960	1.3149	0.9484	236.4	179.5	56.9
8	Sandy Alcantara	1.2733	1.2294	0.9796	221.7	168.5	53.2
9	Graham Ashcraft	1.2797	1.4081	1.4190	84.8	32.8	52.1
10	Max Fried	1.2850	1.2314	1.0144	166.5	115.4	51.1

Steamer

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Max Fried	1.2954	1.2314	1.0144	157.5	115.4	42.1
2	Julio Urías	1.2412	1.1820	0.9600	148.2	111.9	36.3
3	Glenn Otto Jr.	1.3325	1.3868	1.3342	39.8	4.1	35.6
4	Logan Webb	1.2826	1.2334	1.1594	44.9	11.3	33.6
5	Austin Gomber	1.5141	1.4472	1.3717	40.4	8.4	32.0
6	Corey Kluber	1.3212	1.2740	1.2134	28.7	0.6	28.1
7	Kyle Freeland	1.5387	1.4956	1.4084	49.2	21.1	28.1
8	Spenser Watkins	1.3952	1.4993	1.4146	39.3	11.5	27.7
9	Tyler Beede	1.4403	1.5305	1.6304	73.0	45.5	27.6
10	Marcus Stroman	1.3850	1.3308	1.1466	98.0	70.8	27.2

ZiPS

Rank	Player	Proj	Agg	Actual	Error	Agg Err	Unique
1	Glenn Otto Jr.	1.4903	1.3868	1.3342	67.2	4.1	63.1
2	Spenser Watkins	1.6082	1.4993	1.4146	69.8	11.5	58.3
3	Martín Pérez	1.5000	1.4505	1.2581	164.5	109.0	55.5
4	Dakota Hudson	1.3531	1.4545	1.4463	80.3	30.7	49.6
5	Jorge López	1.4783	1.3313	1.1831	75.6	26.4	49.2
6	Dean Kremer	1.5134	1.4355	1.2527	112.2	63.1	49.1
7	Sam Hentges	1.6136	1.4333	0.9677	148.1	99.4	48.6
8	Germán Márquez	1.2865	1.3652	1.3651	93.6	46.4	47.2
9	Félix Bautista	1.7411	1.5804	0.9289	194.9	149.7	45.2
10	Ranger Suarez	1.2353	1.3184	1.3326	92.0	48.9	43.1