2025 Projection Evaluation

Summary

Batting

System PA wOBA SO BB HR R RBI SB BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Pitching

System BF wOBA ERA SO BB HR W L SV HLD BABIP
ATC
Aggregate
Depth Charts
Marcel
OOPSY
Razzball
Steamer
The BAT
The BAT X
ZiPS

Batting Projection Accuracy

Plate Appearances (PA)

Individual Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Triston Casas 571 112 458.7
2 Nick Kurtz 34 489 455.3
3 MJ Melendez 476 65 411.1
4 Anthony Santander 630 221 408.7
5 Angel Martínez 78 484 405.6
6 Yordan Alvarez 599 199 400.0
7 Addison Barger 104 502 397.5
8 Lane Thomas 533 142 391.0
9 Victor Robles 504 114 390.5
10 Jeimer Candelario 477 91 386.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Triston Casas 544 112 432.4
2 MJ Melendez 474 65 409.5
3 Lane Thomas 551 142 409.3
4 Anthony Santander 630 221 408.8
5 Yordan Alvarez 601 199 401.7
6 Jeimer Candelario 475 91 383.8
7 Jose F Miranda 416 36 380.4
8 Victor Robles 488 114 374.2
9 Nick Kurtz 117 489 372.0
10 Jonny DeLuca 427 59 368.4

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Triston Casas 602 112 490.0
2 Kris Bryant 511 41 470.0
3 Victor Robles 581 114 467.0
4 Andy Pages 168 624 456.0
5 Nick Kurtz 35 489 454.0
6 Addison Barger 49 502 453.0
7 Lane Thomas 595 142 453.0
8 Jose F Miranda 483 36 447.0
9 MJ Melendez 511 65 446.0
10 Anthony Santander 665 221 444.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan De La Cruz 574 50 524.0
2 Agustín Ramírez 100 585 485.0
3 Matt Vierling 536 100 436.0
4 MJ Melendez 492 65 427.0
5 Jose Siri 459 36 423.0
6 Nicky Lopez 447 28 419.0
7 Will Brennan 427 13 414.0
8 Zack Gelof 513 101 412.0
9 Jarred Kelenic 474 65 409.0
10 Caleb Durbin 100 506 406.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zack Gelof 630 101 529.0
2 Cam Smith 1 493 492.0
3 Triston Casas 602 112 490.0
4 Gavin Sheets 84 545 461.0
5 Lane Thomas 602 142 460.0
6 Nick Kurtz 35 489 454.0
7 Anthony Santander 672 221 451.0
8 Andy Pages 175 624 449.0
9 Spencer Torkelson 203 649 446.0
10 Victor Robles 553 114 439.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Triston Casas 592 112 480.0
2 Eric Wagaman 87 514 427.0
3 Agustín Ramírez 168 585 417.0
4 Lane Thomas 557 142 415.0
5 Angel Martínez 70 484 414.0
6 Trent Grisham 171 581 410.0
7 Kris Bryant 445 41 404.0
8 Victor Robles 513 114 399.0
9 Yordan Alvarez 590 199 391.0
10 Nick Kurtz 100 489 389.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andy Pages 197 624 427.5
2 Anthony Santander 635 221 414.3
3 Addison Barger 95 502 406.5
4 Yordan Alvarez 598 199 398.7
5 Agustín Ramírez 190 585 395.4
6 Lane Thomas 534 142 391.9
7 Nick Kurtz 100 489 389.0
8 MJ Melendez 448 65 383.1
9 Jose F Miranda 413 36 376.9
10 Triston Casas 488 112 375.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Triston Casas 571 112 458.7
2 Nick Kurtz 34 489 455.3
3 MJ Melendez 476 65 411.1
4 Anthony Santander 630 221 408.7
5 Angel Martínez 78 484 405.6
6 Yordan Alvarez 599 199 400.0
7 Addison Barger 104 502 397.5
8 Lane Thomas 533 142 391.0
9 Victor Robles 504 114 390.5
10 Jeimer Candelario 477 91 386.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Triston Casas 571 112 458.7
2 Nick Kurtz 34 489 455.3
3 MJ Melendez 476 65 411.1
4 Anthony Santander 630 221 408.7
5 Angel Martínez 78 484 405.6
6 Yordan Alvarez 599 199 400.0
7 Addison Barger 104 502 397.5
8 Lane Thomas 533 142 391.0
9 Victor Robles 504 114 390.5
10 Jeimer Candelario 477 91 386.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Harry Ford 564 8 556.0
2 Drew Avans 560 18 542.0
3 Owen Caissie 567 27 540.0
4 Jordyn Adams 542 5 537.0
5 Grant McCray 562 26 536.0
6 Tirso Ornelas 538 16 522.0
7 Tsung-Che Cheng 529 7 522.0
8 Samad Taylor 530 9 521.0
9 César Prieto 525 6 519.0
10 Bryan De La Cruz 565 50 515.0

Most Unique Misses for Plate Appearances (PA)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cole Young 102 192 257 154.8 64.9 89.9
2 Daylen Lile 100 189 351 251.0 162.5 88.5
3 Angel Martínez 78 164 484 405.6 320.2 85.4
4 Kameron Misner 56 140 217 161.1 77.1 84.0
5 Nick Kurtz 34 117 489 455.3 372.0 83.3
6 Rafael Flores Jr. 100 14 17 83.0 2.7 80.3
7 Brooks Baldwin 126 205 328 202.0 123.0 79.0
8 Tim Tawa 35 110 225 190.0 115.1 74.9
9 Javier Sanoja 176 249 342 165.6 92.9 72.7
10 Ronny Mauricio 69 141 184 115.1 43.1 72.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Andy Pages 168 308 624 456.0 316.3 139.7
2 Nick Loftin 28 163 188 160.0 24.7 135.3
3 Alan Roden 427 301 153 274.0 148.4 125.6
4 Addison Barger 49 168 502 453.0 333.7 119.3
5 Austin Martin 42 158 181 139.0 22.8 116.2
6 Kristian Campbell 525 410 263 262.0 147.2 114.8
7 Coby Mayo 84 198 294 210.0 96.3 113.7
8 Heriberto Hernández 21 131 294 273.0 162.8 110.2
9 Jakob Marsee 14 123 234 220.0 111.4 108.6
10 Miguel Andujar 469 361 341 128.0 20.0 108.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Bryan De La Cruz 574 216 50 524.0 165.9 358.1
2 Nicky Lopez 447 127 28 419.0 99.0 320.0
3 Matt Shaw 100 467 437 337.0 29.5 307.5
4 Eddie Rosario 405 98 8 397.0 89.6 307.4
5 Matt McLain 245 542 577 332.0 35.0 297.0
6 Jon Singleton 407 130 9 398.0 121.5 276.5
7 Nick Ahmed 329 68 10 319.0 58.2 260.8
8 Junior Caminero 304 553 653 349.0 99.7 249.3
9 Alex Verdugo 571 329 213 358.0 115.5 242.5
10 Manuel Margot 403 165 20 383.0 144.6 238.4

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cam Smith 1 281 493 492.0 212.2 279.8
2 Rowdy Tellez 21 280 312 291.0 31.8 259.2
3 Zack Gelof 630 439 101 529.0 338.4 190.6
4 Daylen Lile 1 189 351 350.0 162.5 187.5
5 Gavin Sheets 84 271 545 461.0 273.7 187.3
6 Spencer Torkelson 203 384 649 446.0 265.3 180.7
7 Brett Baty 56 228 432 376.0 204.2 171.8
8 Otto Kemp 1 172 218 217.0 46.2 170.8
9 Tyler Freeman 105 272 428 323.0 155.7 167.3
10 Jeremiah Jackson 1 160 183 182.0 23.4 158.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kyle Farmer 112 245 300 188.0 55.5 132.5
2 Ben Williamson 17 145 295 278.0 149.5 128.5
3 John Rave 17 145 175 158.0 30.3 127.7
4 Dylan Beavers 17 141 137 120.0 3.6 116.4
5 Heriberto Hernández 17 131 294 277.0 162.8 114.2
6 Dalton Rushing 16 126 155 139.0 28.5 110.5
7 Josh Smith 279 389 563 284.0 173.9 110.1
8 Nick Allen 84 194 416 332.0 222.2 109.8
9 Chase Meidroth 215 321 505 290.0 184.1 105.9
10 Eric Wagaman 87 192 514 427.0 322.3 104.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Daylen Lile 4 189 351 347.4 162.5 184.9
2 Otto Kemp 9 172 218 208.7 46.2 162.5
3 Jeremiah Jackson 8 160 183 175.2 23.4 151.8
4 Alejandro Osuna 9 155 176 167.2 20.7 146.4
5 Bryce Teodosio 7 154 150 142.8 3.7 139.1
6 Ben Williamson 11 145 295 284.2 149.5 134.6
7 Kyle Karros 2 177 156 153.7 20.8 132.9
8 Warming Bernabel 10 131 146 135.7 14.7 121.0
9 Dylan Beavers 15 141 137 121.7 3.6 118.1
10 Yohel Pozo 5 121 168 163.1 47.4 115.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Martini 6 98 111 105.1 12.6 92.5
2 Cole Young 102 192 257 154.8 64.9 89.9
3 Yanquiel Fernández 8 96 147 139.4 50.6 88.8
4 Daylen Lile 100 189 351 251.0 162.5 88.5
5 Angel Martínez 78 164 484 405.6 320.2 85.4
6 Kameron Misner 56 140 217 161.1 77.1 84.0
7 Nick Kurtz 34 117 489 455.3 372.0 83.3
8 Rafael Flores Jr. 100 14 17 83.0 2.7 80.3
9 Brooks Baldwin 126 205 328 202.0 123.0 79.0
10 Tim Tawa 35 110 225 190.0 115.1 74.9

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Martini 6 98 111 105.1 12.6 92.5
2 Cole Young 102 192 257 154.8 64.9 89.9
3 Yanquiel Fernández 8 96 147 139.4 50.6 88.8
4 Daylen Lile 100 189 351 251.0 162.5 88.5
5 Angel Martínez 78 164 484 405.6 320.2 85.4
6 Kameron Misner 56 140 217 161.1 77.1 84.0
7 Nick Kurtz 34 117 489 455.3 372.0 83.3
8 Rafael Flores Jr. 100 14 17 83.0 2.7 80.3
9 Brooks Baldwin 126 205 328 202.0 123.0 79.0
10 Tim Tawa 35 110 225 190.0 115.1 74.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Owen Caissie 567 123 27 540.0 96.2 443.8
2 Dustin Harris 539 100 43 496.0 56.6 439.4
3 Samad Taylor 530 96 9 521.0 86.8 434.2
4 Tim Elko 551 118 72 479.0 46.0 433.0
5 Liover Peguero 556 123 88 468.0 35.3 432.7
6 Moisés Ballesteros 530 98 66 464.0 32.2 431.8
7 Drew Avans 560 134 18 542.0 115.9 426.1
8 Alex Freeland 587 161 97 490.0 64.1 425.9
9 Carson Williams 530 106 106 424.0 0.5 423.5
10 Jonatan Clase 540 119 112 428.0 6.8 421.2

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
George Springer 0.4076
0.3159
(54.9)
0.3172
(53.9)
0.3192
(55.8)
0.3200
(54.3)
0.3192
(53.7)
0.3156
(53.8)
0.3229
(53.8)
0.3125
(54.4)
0.3166
(52.2)
0.3180
(56.4)
Brice Turang 0.3482
0.2928
(37.8)
0.2953
(35.9)
0.3054
(32.8)
0.2904
(41.4)
0.2884
(41.6)
0.3021
(30.3)
0.3087
(30.7)
0.2904
(36.6)
0.2858
(39.8)
0.2986
(37.1)
Nick Kurtz 0.4233
0.2895
(66.3)
0.2982
(61.9)
0.3067
(60.4)
0.3154
(55.2)
0.3183
(52.9)
0.3154
(52.7)
0.3154
(56.2)
0.2852
(66.4)
0.2854
(66.5)
0.3127
(57.3)
Cal Raleigh 0.4027
0.3220
(58.3)
0.3250
(55.9)
0.3269
(58.3)
0.3284
(55.9)
0.3395
(46.8)
0.3168
(60.5)
0.3255
(59.4)
0.3249
(53.2)
0.3152
(60.3)
0.3311
(55.2)
Kyle Stowers 0.3904
0.2925
(45.6)
0.3032
(40.6)
0.3173
(36.6)
0.2861
(50.0)
0.3202
(33.6)
0.3026
(40.1)
0.3120
(39.1)
0.2849
(47.2)
0.2905
(44.8)
0.3198
(35.3)
Geraldo Perdomo 0.3687
0.2976
(52.6)
0.3002
(50.5)
0.3113
(46.4)
0.2991
(53.8)
0.2996
(52.1)
0.3095
(42.6)
0.3160
(43.1)
0.2856
(58.2)
0.2847
(59.1)
0.3083
(48.4)
Jeremy Peña 0.3661
0.3081
(32.6)
0.3115
(30.5)
0.3148
(31.6)
0.3086
(34.0)
0.3186
(27.6)
0.3105
(30.2)
0.3181
(29.9)
0.3088
(29.9)
0.3049
(32.2)
0.3120
(33.0)
Maikel Garcia 0.3478
0.2960
(35.8)
0.2991
(33.5)
0.3041
(33.7)
0.2893
(42.3)
0.2974
(35.7)
0.2999
(31.8)
0.3080
(31.2)
0.2938
(34.5)
0.3011
(29.8)
0.2971
(38.2)
Matt McLain 0.2870
0.3402
(29.6)
0.3425
(31.1)
0.3462
(30.2)
0.3519
(34.6)
0.3403
(28.9)
0.3456
(33.9)
0.3497
(32.1)
0.3367
(30.0)
0.3393
(31.3)
0.3454
(29.8)
Tyler Soderstrom 0.3573
0.3146
(27.9)
0.3102
(30.4)
0.3127
(32.2)
0.3023
(37.5)
0.3170
(27.2)
0.3016
(34.7)
0.3211
(27.0)
0.3054
(31.0)
0.3081
(29.5)
0.3036
(37.7)

Individual Misses for wOBA

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mookie Betts 0.3742 0.3212 33.8
2 Aaron Judge 0.4313 0.4787 33.5
3 Kyle Schwarber 0.3532 0.3971 33.2
4 Michael Harris II 0.3416 0.2898 32.0
5 Harrison Bader 0.2879 0.3489 31.6
6 Trent Grisham 0.3038 0.3560 31.5
7 Ramón Laureano 0.3089 0.3679 29.7
8 Hunter Goodman 0.3126 0.3618 29.6
9 Michael Busch 0.3271 0.3727 28.2
10 Bo Bichette 0.3230 0.3646 27.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Harris II 0.3462 0.2898 35.2
2 Aaron Judge 0.4300 0.4787 34.1
3 Mookie Betts 0.3715 0.3212 32.3
4 Michael Busch 0.3218 0.3727 31.0
5 Ramón Laureano 0.3064 0.3679 30.8
6 Kyle Schwarber 0.3566 0.3971 30.5
7 Trent Grisham 0.3074 0.3560 29.1
8 Harrison Bader 0.2932 0.3489 28.7
9 Daylen Lile 0.2848 0.3610 27.3
10 Hunter Goodman 0.3189 0.3618 25.7

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.4245 0.4787 41.5
2 Michael Harris II 0.3534 0.2898 36.4
3 Kyle Schwarber 0.3552 0.3971 35.4
4 Jakob Marsee 0.2259 0.3659 34.4
5 Ramón Laureano 0.3079 0.3679 32.7
6 Mookie Betts 0.3763 0.3212 31.9
7 Trent Grisham 0.3139 0.3560 28.5
8 Michael Busch 0.3326 0.3727 27.8
9 Jahmai Jones 0.2259 0.4038 27.7
10 Harrison Bader 0.3019 0.3489 27.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Goodman 0.2940 0.3618 42.2
2 Mookie Betts 0.3837 0.3212 38.1
3 Trent Grisham 0.2970 0.3560 37.2
4 Ben Rice 0.2973 0.3600 35.9
5 Kyle Schwarber 0.3551 0.3971 34.1
6 Junior Caminero 0.3142 0.3602 33.3
7 Shea Langeliers 0.3099 0.3675 32.8
8 Jonathan Aranda 0.3140 0.3858 32.5
9 Harrison Bader 0.2904 0.3489 31.8
10 Michael Busch 0.3263 0.3727 30.4

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Harris II 0.3534 0.2898 38.7
2 Michael Busch 0.3232 0.3727 31.2
3 Daylen Lile 0.2771 0.3610 30.6
4 Trent Grisham 0.3079 0.3560 29.9
5 Harrison Bader 0.2937 0.3489 29.3
6 Oneil Cruz 0.3561 0.2999 28.8
7 Zach McKinstry 0.2858 0.3355 27.1
8 Ramón Laureano 0.3158 0.3679 27.0
9 Jorge Polanco 0.3041 0.3513 26.5
10 Sal Frelick 0.2893 0.3306 26.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.4093 0.4787 47.0
2 Ramón Laureano 0.2894 0.3679 38.3
3 Michael Harris II 0.3448 0.2898 35.4
4 Michael Busch 0.3132 0.3727 35.1
5 Kyle Schwarber 0.3510 0.3971 33.3
6 Shea Langeliers 0.3047 0.3675 32.8
7 Mookie Betts 0.3690 0.3212 31.7
8 Trent Grisham 0.3046 0.3560 29.8
9 Hunter Goodman 0.3124 0.3618 28.5
10 Jorge Polanco 0.2977 0.3513 28.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.4201 0.4787 44.6
2 Michael Harris II 0.3548 0.2898 37.2
3 Ramón Laureano 0.3005 0.3679 36.4
4 Michael Busch 0.3237 0.3727 33.2
5 Kyle Schwarber 0.3590 0.3971 32.8
6 Mookie Betts 0.3750 0.3212 31.0
7 Trent Grisham 0.3100 0.3560 30.9
8 Daylen Lile 0.2850 0.3610 29.2
9 Jorge Polanco 0.3042 0.3513 28.4
10 Harrison Bader 0.2998 0.3489 28.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Busch 0.3109 0.3727 35.2
2 Trent Grisham 0.2949 0.3560 34.2
3 Mookie Betts 0.3692 0.3212 33.3
4 Michael Harris II 0.3373 0.2898 31.9
5 Harrison Bader 0.2854 0.3489 30.7
6 Ramón Laureano 0.3034 0.3679 30.4
7 Hunter Goodman 0.3095 0.3618 29.0
8 Zach McKinstry 0.2780 0.3355 28.2
9 Kyle Schwarber 0.3571 0.3971 27.4
10 Drake Baldwin 0.2905 0.3533 27.0

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.3465 0.3971 35.3
2 Mookie Betts 0.3702 0.3212 33.7
3 Michael Busch 0.3156 0.3727 32.6
4 Michael Harris II 0.3382 0.2898 32.3
5 Aaron Judge 0.4302 0.4787 31.6
6 Bo Bichette 0.3138 0.3646 30.7
7 Harrison Bader 0.2862 0.3489 30.4
8 Ramón Laureano 0.3069 0.3679 28.8
9 Drake Baldwin 0.2906 0.3533 27.1
10 Isaac Collins 0.2817 0.3443 26.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.4281 0.4787 38.9
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.3516 0.3971 37.8
3 Michael Harris II 0.3534 0.2898 36.5
4 Mookie Betts 0.3796 0.3212 34.2
5 Trent Grisham 0.3166 0.3560 26.8
6 Junior Caminero 0.3259 0.3602 26.7
7 Ramón Laureano 0.3198 0.3679 26.7
8 Daylen Lile 0.2924 0.3610 26.5
9 Harrison Bader 0.3030 0.3489 26.4
10 Will Smith 0.3409 0.3927 25.5

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ben Williamson 0.3154 0.2722 0.2689 13.1 0.5 12.6
2 Bryce Teodosio 0.3154 0.2532 0.2430 10.6 1.3 9.3
3 Cody Freeman 0.3154 0.2663 0.2610 6.3 0.5 5.9
4 Mickey Moniak 0.2948 0.3058 0.3514 27.0 21.7 5.3
5 Kyle Stowers 0.2925 0.3032 0.3904 45.6 40.6 5.1
6 Miguel Vargas 0.3041 0.3121 0.3167 8.3 3.5 4.8
7 John Rave 0.3154 0.2881 0.2653 8.4 3.7 4.7
8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.3770 0.3878 0.4086 13.8 9.2 4.6
9 Willie MacIver 0.3154 0.2742 0.2574 6.2 1.7 4.5
10 Nick Kurtz 0.2895 0.2982 0.4233 66.3 61.9 4.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jakob Marsee 0.2259 0.2814 0.3659 34.4 20.1 14.2
2 Tristan Gray 0.1268 0.2675 0.2970 15.2 2.7 12.6
3 Ben Williamson 0.3154 0.2722 0.2689 11.7 0.5 11.2
4 Jahmai Jones 0.2259 0.2934 0.4038 27.7 16.8 10.9
5 Bryce Teodosio 0.3154 0.2532 0.2430 9.8 1.3 8.5
6 Cam Smith 0.2900 0.2998 0.2998 8.3 0.8 7.5
7 Aaron Judge 0.4245 0.4300 0.4787 41.5 34.1 7.4
8 Michael Helman 0.2200 0.2760 0.3133 11.0 4.3 6.8
9 Sam Hilliard 0.2259 0.3087 0.3279 6.6 1.3 5.4
10 Ronny Mauricio 0.2691 0.2928 0.2944 5.9 0.6 5.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Miguel Vargas 0.2797 0.3121 0.3167 23.9 3.5 20.5
2 Hunter Goodman 0.2940 0.3189 0.3618 42.2 25.7 16.4
3 Jordan Beck 0.2818 0.3058 0.3208 25.9 9.7 16.1
4 Ben Rice 0.2973 0.3233 0.3600 35.9 20.2 15.7
5 Junior Caminero 0.3142 0.3331 0.3602 33.3 18.7 14.6
6 Wyatt Langford 0.3203 0.3452 0.3415 15.0 1.2 13.8
7 Jose Iglesias 0.3310 0.2902 0.2668 20.3 7.5 12.8
8 Andy Pages 0.3107 0.3265 0.3345 18.0 6.0 12.0
9 Ben Williamson 0.3154 0.2722 0.2689 12.2 0.5 11.7
10 Vinnie Pasquantino 0.3301 0.3435 0.3451 13.7 2.2 11.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Javier Sanoja 0.2664 0.2957 0.2931 10.3 0.4 9.9
2 Jake Mangum 0.2618 0.2814 0.3087 21.5 12.4 9.1
3 Julio Rodríguez 0.3672 0.3528 0.3462 12.6 3.6 9.0
4 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3504 0.3343 0.3047 25.8 17.1 8.7
5 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3901 0.3760 0.3669 13.6 5.2 8.5
6 Cam Smith 0.3218 0.2998 0.2998 9.2 0.8 8.4
7 Sal Frelick 0.2893 0.3012 0.3306 26.4 18.4 8.1
8 Oneil Cruz 0.3561 0.3398 0.2999 28.8 20.9 7.9
9 Cody Bellinger 0.3151 0.3253 0.3507 25.5 17.7 7.9
10 Nathan Lukes 0.2884 0.3033 0.3159 13.5 6.2 7.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Aaron Judge 0.4093 0.4300 0.4787 47.0 34.1 12.9
2 Brent Rooker 0.3317 0.3580 0.3530 14.8 2.4 12.4
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.3908 0.4083 0.4277 26.7 15.3 11.5
4 Bryce Teodosio 0.3154 0.2532 0.2430 10.9 1.3 9.6
5 Shea Langeliers 0.3047 0.3230 0.3675 32.8 24.1 8.7
6 Trevor Story 0.2860 0.3004 0.3229 24.0 15.7 8.3
7 Brooks Lee 0.3101 0.2969 0.2877 11.8 4.0 7.8
8 Ramón Laureano 0.2894 0.3064 0.3679 38.3 30.8 7.5
9 Steven Kwan 0.3383 0.3293 0.3113 18.8 11.4 7.4
10 Heliot Ramos 0.3094 0.3214 0.3222 8.9 1.6 7.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cam Smith 0.2713 0.2998 0.2998 17.6 0.8 16.8
2 Aaron Judge 0.4201 0.4300 0.4787 44.6 34.1 10.5
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.4000 0.4083 0.4277 25.3 15.3 10.0
4 Trevor Story 0.2953 0.3004 0.3229 22.6 15.7 6.9
5 Brooks Lee 0.3149 0.2969 0.2877 10.6 4.0 6.6
6 Byron Buxton 0.3335 0.3399 0.3728 25.1 18.7 6.4
7 Ramón Laureano 0.3005 0.3064 0.3679 36.4 30.8 5.6
8 Steven Kwan 0.3429 0.3293 0.3113 17.0 11.4 5.6
9 Seiya Suzuki 0.3404 0.3434 0.3466 8.6 3.1 5.5
10 Carlos Santana 0.3225 0.3060 0.2871 13.4 8.2 5.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ben Williamson 0.3154 0.2722 0.2689 14.4 0.5 13.9
2 Bryce Teodosio 0.3154 0.2532 0.2430 11.2 1.3 9.9
3 Geraldo Perdomo 0.2856 0.3002 0.3687 58.2 50.5 7.7
4 Jacob Wilson 0.2987 0.3168 0.3497 25.5 18.0 7.5
5 Kyle Manzardo 0.3084 0.3249 0.3334 12.1 5.3 6.7
6 Kyle Tucker 0.3783 0.3709 0.3675 7.8 1.1 6.7
7 Kyle Stowers 0.2849 0.3032 0.3904 47.2 40.6 6.6
8 Brent Rooker 0.3636 0.3580 0.3530 9.0 2.4 6.6
9 Cody Freeman 0.3154 0.2663 0.2610 6.9 0.5 6.4
10 Ernie Clement 0.2833 0.2978 0.3075 12.9 6.6 6.3

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ben Williamson 0.3154 0.2722 0.2689 14.3 0.5 13.8
2 Bryce Teodosio 0.3154 0.2532 0.2430 11.2 1.3 9.9
3 TJ Friedl 0.2983 0.3160 0.3328 22.3 12.6 9.7
4 Geraldo Perdomo 0.2847 0.3002 0.3687 59.1 50.5 8.6
5 Nolan Schanuel 0.3074 0.3252 0.3300 11.7 3.6 8.1
6 Tyler Freeman 0.3413 0.3262 0.3199 10.0 2.0 8.0
7 Jacob Wilson 0.2988 0.3168 0.3497 25.6 18.0 7.6
8 Bo Bichette 0.3138 0.3286 0.3646 30.7 23.6 7.1
9 Isaac Paredes 0.3175 0.3368 0.3552 15.6 8.7 6.9
10 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3819 0.3760 0.3669 11.6 5.2 6.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brent Rooker 0.3786 0.3580 0.3530 13.3 2.4 10.8
2 Manny Machado 0.3350 0.3421 0.3458 11.9 3.6 8.3
3 Junior Caminero 0.3259 0.3331 0.3602 26.7 18.7 8.1
4 Jac Caglianone 0.3133 0.2742 0.2408 15.2 7.4 7.9
5 Kyle Schwarber 0.3516 0.3566 0.3971 37.8 30.5 7.4
6 Tyler Soderstrom 0.3036 0.3102 0.3573 37.7 30.4 7.3
7 Kyle Tucker 0.3611 0.3709 0.3675 7.8 1.1 6.8
8 Victor Caratini 0.2957 0.3055 0.3206 12.2 6.4 5.8
9 Ketel Marte 0.3596 0.3647 0.3868 18.9 13.2 5.7
10 Elly De La Cruz 0.3563 0.3433 0.3402 6.6 1.1 5.5

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Shea Langeliers 0.1969
0.2724
(39.5)
0.2699
(37.7)
0.2668
(37.4)
0.2755
(40.7)
0.2694
(37.0)
0.2691
(38.3)
0.2697
(38.3)
0.2726
(39.0)
0.2739
(39.7)
0.2620
(34.4)
Tyler Stephenson 0.3392
0.2365
(35.1)
0.2366
(35.4)
0.2357
(34.8)
0.2397
(34.3)
0.2310
(37.6)
0.2395
(33.7)
0.2375
(34.6)
0.2397
(34.4)
0.2394
(34.5)
0.2327
(36.2)
Brent Rooker 0.2217
0.2980
(53.3)
0.2969
(51.9)
0.2934
(51.2)
0.2896
(46.9)
0.2985
(52.5)
0.3003
(55.7)
0.2988
(54.2)
0.2990
(53.2)
0.2954
(50.7)
0.2881
(46.8)
Jorge Polanco 0.1565
0.2693
(59.2)
0.2674
(57.7)
0.2653
(57.9)
0.2538
(50.6)
0.2598
(53.2)
0.2710
(60.5)
0.2727
(61.2)
0.2699
(58.8)
0.2719
(59.9)
0.2575
(53.3)
Rafael Devers 0.2634
0.2168
(33.9)
0.2147
(36.1)
0.2173
(32.4)
0.2138
(36.7)
0.2129
(38.0)
0.2158
(33.9)
0.2160
(34.2)
0.2128
(37.7)
0.2111
(38.9)
0.2176
(32.9)
Maikel Garcia 0.1261
0.1797
(35.7)
0.1781
(34.0)
0.1769
(34.9)
0.1955
(45.7)
0.1790
(34.1)
0.1753
(33.5)
0.1756
(33.3)
0.1803
(35.3)
0.1793
(34.7)
0.1774
(34.6)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2619 0.1935 38.1
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2560 0.1873 36.7
3 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1661 0.1153 36.6
4 Wyatt Langford 0.2016 0.2635 35.5
5 Jackson Holliday 0.2689 0.2157 34.5
6 Alek Thomas 0.1883 0.2601 33.7
7 Mike Trout 0.2595 0.3201 33.7
8 Luis Urías 0.2378 0.1364 33.5
9 Ben Rice 0.2517 0.1887 33.4
10 Riley Greene 0.2563 0.3069 33.1

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2645 0.1935 39.1
2 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2592 0.1873 37.9
3 Wyatt Langford 0.1993 0.2635 37.3
4 Riley Greene 0.2522 0.3069 36.4
5 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1666 0.1153 36.3
6 James Wood 0.2713 0.3208 34.6
7 Jordan Walker 0.2325 0.3182 34.3
8 Alek Thomas 0.1909 0.2601 32.9
9 Harrison Bader 0.2071 0.2715 32.7
10 Christian Walker 0.2274 0.2766 32.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2635 0.1873 41.6
2 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2656 0.1935 41.1
3 Nick Kurtz 0.2286 0.3088 38.4
4 Riley Greene 0.2473 0.3069 37.9
5 Drake Baldwin 0.2341 0.1525 37.2
6 Wyatt Langford 0.1970 0.2635 37.2
7 Jordan Walker 0.2286 0.3182 34.8
8 James Wood 0.2691 0.3208 34.5
9 Alek Thomas 0.1883 0.2601 32.9
10 Brice Turang 0.1769 0.2276 32.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Caleb Durbin 0.2222 0.0988 62.0
2 Jacob Wilson 0.1877 0.0746 58.8
3 Chandler Simpson 0.2222 0.0975 54.6
4 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1840 0.1153 48.9
5 Nick Kurtz 0.2222 0.3088 42.7
6 Christian Walker 0.2135 0.2766 40.9
7 James Wood 0.2625 0.3208 40.7
8 Chase Meidroth 0.2222 0.1426 39.8
9 Jackson Holliday 0.2744 0.2157 37.6
10 Bo Bichette 0.2055 0.1449 37.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2630 0.1873 39.5
2 James Wood 0.2667 0.3208 38.4
3 Wyatt Langford 0.1994 0.2635 37.7
4 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2601 0.1935 36.2
5 Jordan Walker 0.2302 0.3182 35.5
6 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1658 0.1153 35.2
7 Alek Thomas 0.1874 0.2601 34.9
8 Drake Baldwin 0.2318 0.1525 34.6
9 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2074 0.2611 33.7
10 Elly De La Cruz 0.3087 0.2589 33.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Riley Greene 0.2393 0.3069 43.5
2 Nick Kurtz 0.2222 0.3088 41.8
3 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2661 0.1935 41.1
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2597 0.1873 39.3
5 Wyatt Langford 0.1961 0.2635 38.0
6 James Wood 0.2656 0.3208 37.3
7 Jordan Walker 0.2249 0.3182 36.5
8 Alek Thomas 0.1840 0.2601 35.2
9 Lawrence Butler 0.2274 0.2841 35.0
10 Jackson Holliday 0.2666 0.2157 33.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Riley Greene 0.2400 0.3069 43.5
2 Nick Kurtz 0.2222 0.3088 42.1
3 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2648 0.1935 40.0
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2598 0.1873 39.0
5 James Wood 0.2641 0.3208 38.7
6 Wyatt Langford 0.1974 0.2635 37.6
7 Jordan Walker 0.2233 0.3182 37.4
8 Alek Thomas 0.1835 0.2601 35.7
9 Lawrence Butler 0.2275 0.2841 35.4
10 Corbin Carroll 0.1846 0.2383 34.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1780 0.1153 44.4
2 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2654 0.1935 39.5
3 Elly De La Cruz 0.3155 0.2589 38.8
4 Wyatt Langford 0.2015 0.2635 36.1
5 Christian Walker 0.2216 0.2766 35.9
6 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2551 0.1873 35.6
7 Mike Trout 0.2614 0.3201 33.2
8 Nick Allen 0.1593 0.2380 33.2
9 Harrison Bader 0.2074 0.2715 32.7
10 Pavin Smith 0.2077 0.3194 32.5

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1782 0.1153 44.5
2 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2664 0.1935 40.0
3 Elly De La Cruz 0.3127 0.2589 36.8
4 Wyatt Langford 0.2027 0.2635 35.5
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2545 0.1873 35.3
6 Christian Walker 0.2242 0.2766 34.2
7 Mike Trout 0.2609 0.3201 33.5
8 Harrison Bader 0.2061 0.2715 33.3
9 Nick Allen 0.1593 0.2380 33.2
10 Riley Greene 0.2576 0.3069 33.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drake Baldwin 0.2505 0.1525 44.0
2 Nick Kurtz 0.2205 0.3088 42.9
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2662 0.1873 42.5
4 Mike Yastrzemski 0.2670 0.1935 41.3
5 Wyatt Langford 0.1966 0.2635 38.0
6 Gabriel Arias 0.2711 0.3439 34.0
7 Pavin Smith 0.2022 0.3194 33.6
8 Riley Greene 0.2557 0.3069 33.1
9 Nick Allen 0.1579 0.2380 33.1
10 Jordan Walker 0.2347 0.3182 32.8

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yohel Pozo 0.2222 0.1266 0.1310 15.3 0.9 14.5
2 Isaac Collins 0.2656 0.2407 0.2109 24.1 12.8 11.3
3 Ryan Ritter 0.2222 0.2738 0.2947 15.0 4.5 10.5
4 Otto Kemp 0.2222 0.2690 0.3073 18.6 8.6 10.0
5 Bryce Teodosio 0.2222 0.3409 0.3133 13.7 4.0 9.7
6 Bob Seymour 0.2222 0.3281 0.3855 13.6 4.8 8.7
7 Will Robertson 0.2222 0.3329 0.3600 10.3 2.1 8.2
8 Jeremiah Jackson 0.2222 0.2835 0.2732 9.3 1.7 7.6
9 Zach Cole 0.2222 0.4068 0.3846 8.4 1.1 7.3
10 Warming Bernabel 0.2222 0.1737 0.1712 7.4 0.2 7.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Denzel Clarke 0.2222 0.3421 0.3836 25.4 6.7 18.7
2 Yohel Pozo 0.2222 0.1266 0.1310 15.6 0.9 14.7
3 Nick Kurtz 0.2286 0.2608 0.3088 38.4 23.9 14.5
4 Abraham Toro 0.2222 0.1788 0.1479 21.6 8.5 13.0
5 Carson Williams 0.2222 0.3223 0.4151 20.3 9.9 10.4
6 Sam Haggerty 0.2857 0.2318 0.2033 15.3 5.0 10.3
7 Ryan Ritter 0.2222 0.2738 0.2947 14.7 4.5 10.2
8 Otto Kemp 0.2222 0.2690 0.3073 18.2 8.6 9.7
9 Bryce Teodosio 0.2222 0.3409 0.3133 13.4 4.0 9.4
10 Bob Seymour 0.2222 0.3281 0.3855 13.4 4.8 8.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Caleb Durbin 0.2222 0.1320 0.0988 62.0 16.3 45.7
2 Chandler Simpson 0.2222 0.1229 0.0975 54.6 10.8 43.8
3 Jacob Wilson 0.1877 0.1099 0.0746 58.8 18.0 40.8
4 Xavier Edwards 0.1913 0.1445 0.1422 29.9 0.9 29.0
5 Chase Meidroth 0.2222 0.1752 0.1426 39.8 16.0 23.8
6 Jung Hoo Lee 0.1702 0.0967 0.1151 33.5 11.9 21.7
7 Javier Sanoja 0.2124 0.0901 0.1199 31.4 10.5 20.9
8 Liam Hicks 0.2222 0.1728 0.1436 30.3 11.1 19.3
9 Colson Montgomery 0.2222 0.2898 0.2923 20.1 1.0 19.2
10 Denzel Clarke 0.2222 0.3421 0.3836 25.8 6.7 19.1

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jacob Wilson 0.1282 0.1099 0.0746 27.2 18.0 9.2
2 Agustín Ramírez 0.2285 0.2132 0.1932 19.7 11.2 8.5
3 Chandler Simpson 0.1428 0.1229 0.0975 19.2 10.8 8.4
4 Junior Caminero 0.2212 0.2103 0.1914 18.3 11.7 6.6
5 Edgar Quero 0.2136 0.1967 0.1762 14.4 7.9 6.5
6 Eric Wagaman 0.2238 0.2112 0.1946 14.2 8.1 6.1
7 Caleb Durbin 0.1446 0.1320 0.0988 22.3 16.3 6.0
8 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2074 0.2161 0.2611 33.7 27.9 5.8
9 Ben Williamson 0.2910 0.2705 0.2169 21.3 15.5 5.8
10 Juan Soto 0.1594 0.1662 0.1916 24.3 18.8 5.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Kurtz 0.2222 0.2608 0.3088 41.8 23.9 17.9
2 Yohel Pozo 0.2222 0.1266 0.1310 15.5 0.9 14.6
3 Otto Kemp 0.2222 0.2690 0.3073 18.3 8.6 9.8
4 Bryce Teodosio 0.2222 0.3409 0.3133 13.5 4.0 9.5
5 Lawrence Butler 0.2274 0.2436 0.2841 35.0 26.1 9.0
6 Matt McLain 0.2492 0.2656 0.2894 22.6 14.2 8.4
7 Will Robertson 0.2222 0.3329 0.3600 10.3 2.1 8.2
8 Jeremiah Jackson 0.2222 0.2835 0.2732 9.1 1.7 7.4
9 Zach Cole 0.2222 0.4068 0.3846 8.4 1.1 7.3
10 Riley Greene 0.2393 0.2522 0.3069 43.5 36.4 7.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Kurtz 0.2222 0.2608 0.3088 42.1 23.9 18.2
2 Lawrence Butler 0.2275 0.2436 0.2841 35.4 26.1 9.3
3 Matt McLain 0.2488 0.2656 0.2894 23.2 14.2 8.9
4 Jordan Beck 0.2720 0.2859 0.2959 13.8 6.4 7.4
5 Riley Greene 0.2400 0.2522 0.3069 43.5 36.4 7.1
6 Anthony Volpe 0.2123 0.2248 0.2517 23.2 16.5 6.6
7 Cody Bellinger 0.1819 0.1740 0.1372 29.6 23.6 6.1
8 Luis Arraez 0.0616 0.0549 0.0311 20.9 15.5 5.4
9 Corbin Carroll 0.1846 0.1940 0.2383 34.2 29.0 5.2
10 Michael Harris II 0.1846 0.1933 0.1997 9.4 4.7 4.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yohel Pozo 0.2222 0.1266 0.1310 15.1 0.9 14.3
2 Ryan Ritter 0.2222 0.2738 0.2947 15.2 4.5 10.7
3 Otto Kemp 0.2222 0.2690 0.3073 18.8 8.6 10.2
4 Bryce Teodosio 0.2222 0.3409 0.3133 13.8 4.0 9.8
5 Elly De La Cruz 0.3155 0.3021 0.2589 38.8 29.6 9.3
6 Bob Seymour 0.2222 0.3281 0.3855 13.6 4.8 8.8
7 Will Robertson 0.2222 0.3329 0.3600 10.4 2.1 8.3
8 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1780 0.1666 0.1153 44.4 36.3 8.0
9 Jeremiah Jackson 0.2222 0.2835 0.2732 9.5 1.7 7.8
10 Zach Cole 0.2222 0.4068 0.3846 8.5 1.1 7.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yohel Pozo 0.2222 0.1266 0.1310 15.1 0.9 14.3
2 Ryan Ritter 0.2222 0.2738 0.2947 15.2 4.5 10.7
3 Otto Kemp 0.2222 0.2690 0.3073 18.8 8.6 10.2
4 Bryce Teodosio 0.2222 0.3409 0.3133 13.8 4.0 9.8
5 Bob Seymour 0.2222 0.3281 0.3855 13.6 4.8 8.8
6 Will Robertson 0.2222 0.3329 0.3600 10.4 2.1 8.3
7 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1782 0.1666 0.1153 44.5 36.3 8.2
8 Jeremiah Jackson 0.2222 0.2835 0.2732 9.5 1.7 7.8
9 Zach Cole 0.2222 0.4068 0.3846 8.5 1.1 7.4
10 Elly De La Cruz 0.3127 0.3021 0.2589 36.8 29.6 7.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Kurtz 0.2205 0.2608 0.3088 42.9 23.9 19.0
2 Drake Baldwin 0.2505 0.2245 0.1525 44.0 31.7 12.3
3 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0802 0.0967 0.1151 21.1 11.9 9.3
4 Willy Adames 0.2300 0.2416 0.2609 20.8 13.9 6.9
5 Andy Pages 0.2541 0.2450 0.2163 24.0 17.4 6.6
6 Mickey Moniak 0.2905 0.2784 0.2386 24.2 17.9 6.3
7 Kyle Schwarber 0.2957 0.2888 0.2721 17.5 11.5 6.0
8 Aaron Judge 0.2646 0.2582 0.2356 20.1 14.7 5.4
9 Gavin Sheets 0.2215 0.2133 0.1963 14.1 8.7 5.3
10 Paul Goldschmidt 0.2662 0.2592 0.1873 42.5 37.9 4.6

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Brandon Nimmo 0.0767
0.1117
(22.5)
0.1127
(23.2)
0.1129
(21.8)
0.1077
(20.2)
0.1093
(20.5)
0.1119
(21.3)
0.1117
(21.2)
0.1136
(25.4)
0.1163
(27.2)
0.1141
(23.0)
Gleyber Torres 0.1354
0.0946
(25.9)
0.0954
(25.4)
0.0988
(24.7)
0.0900
(28.6)
0.0968
(24.9)
0.0954
(26.7)
0.0955
(26.5)
0.0929
(25.3)
0.0903
(26.9)
0.1020
(22.3)
Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1288
0.0836
(31.5)
0.0869
(29.3)
0.0866
(31.0)
0.0794
(34.2)
0.0860
(30.3)
0.0849
(32.1)
0.0848
(32.1)
0.0887
(26.2)
0.0902
(25.2)
0.0899
(28.4)
TJ Friedl 0.1182
0.0809
(25.9)
0.0827
(24.6)
0.0847
(24.9)
0.0800
(26.3)
0.0816
(25.9)
0.0863
(23.6)
0.0867
(23.3)
0.0810
(24.1)
0.0802
(24.6)
0.0824
(26.1)
Cal Raleigh 0.1376
0.1002
(26.7)
0.0995
(27.1)
0.0976
(30.1)
0.0998
(26.7)
0.0998
(27.4)
0.0989
(29.1)
0.0993
(28.7)
0.0991
(25.7)
0.1020
(23.6)
0.0975
(29.8)
Marcell Ozuna 0.1588
0.0972
(36.7)
0.0961
(37.4)
0.0962
(38.6)
0.0929
(39.1)
0.0935
(39.3)
0.0941
(39.8)
0.0929
(40.4)
0.0971
(35.2)
0.0992
(34.0)
0.0986
(36.9)
Jake Cronenworth 0.1340
0.0912
(22.3)
0.0909
(22.4)
0.0918
(23.1)
0.0919
(21.8)
0.0905
(23.0)
0.0896
(24.2)
0.0898
(24.0)
0.0916
(20.8)
0.0916
(20.7)
0.0923
(22.6)
Christian Walker 0.0625
0.0975
(22.1)
0.0969
(21.7)
0.0998
(22.2)
0.0955
(21.0)
0.0924
(18.4)
0.0984
(21.4)
0.0998
(22.3)
0.0961
(22.9)
0.0947
(22.0)
0.0995
(22.2)
Will Smith 0.1468
0.1013
(20.0)
0.1013
(20.0)
0.1038
(19.9)
0.0989
(21.0)
0.1002
(20.8)
0.1029
(20.2)
0.1037
(19.8)
0.1001
(19.4)
0.0975
(20.6)
0.1033
(19.9)
Rafael Devers 0.1536
0.1036
(36.8)
0.1016
(38.2)
0.1027
(39.1)
0.0954
(42.5)
0.0993
(40.5)
0.1018
(39.6)
0.1019
(39.5)
0.1020
(36.1)
0.1006
(37.1)
0.1024
(39.0)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1723
0.1175
(22.8)
0.1155
(23.6)
0.1193
(22.9)
0.1034
(28.5)
0.1135
(24.7)
0.1135
(25.3)
0.1119
(25.9)
0.1127
(23.7)
0.1135
(23.3)
0.1261
(19.9)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Kurtz 0.0824 0.1288 22.9
2 Andy Pages 0.0815 0.0465 21.5
3 Trevor Story 0.0834 0.0505 21.2
4 Riley Greene 0.1021 0.0702 20.6
5 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1025 0.1306 20.6
6 Wyatt Langford 0.0939 0.1291 20.5
7 José Caballero 0.0731 0.1270 20.1
8 Mike Trout 0.1211 0.1565 19.9
9 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0938 0.1290 19.9

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1181 0.1565 21.6
2 Jackson Holliday 0.1196 0.0863 21.3
3 Michael Harris II 0.0584 0.0250 21.2
4 Riley Greene 0.1027 0.0702 20.9
5 Nick Kurtz 0.0870 0.1288 20.7
6 Wyatt Langford 0.0949 0.1291 19.9
7 Andy Pages 0.0786 0.0465 19.8
8 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0941 0.1290 19.7
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.1234 0.1499 19.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jackson Holliday 0.1265 0.0863 24.4
2 Chase Meidroth 0.1366 0.0891 22.6
3 Nick Kurtz 0.0857 0.1288 22.4
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1229 0.1499 21.6
5 Wyatt Langford 0.0952 0.1291 21.0
6 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0946 0.1290 20.7
7 Mike Trout 0.1219 0.1565 20.7
8 Riley Greene 0.1045 0.0702 20.7
9 Jeff McNeil 0.0679 0.1061 18.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1085 0.1565 26.8
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.1174 0.1499 23.8
3 Wyatt Langford 0.0892 0.1291 22.9
4 Joey Ortiz 0.0970 0.0534 22.0
5 Nick Kurtz 0.0841 0.1288 21.9
6 José Caballero 0.0723 0.1270 20.3
7 Isaac Collins 0.0853 0.1293 19.4
8 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1042 0.1306 19.1
9 Trevor Story 0.0787 0.0505 18.4

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jackson Holliday 0.1378 0.0863 32.7
2 Chase Meidroth 0.1365 0.0891 23.4
3 Mike Trout 0.1157 0.1565 23.3
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1208 0.1499 22.0
5 Andy Pages 0.0825 0.0465 21.8
6 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0936 0.1290 20.4
7 Michael Harris II 0.0576 0.0250 20.2
8 Trevor Story 0.0811 0.0505 19.3
9 Jeff McNeil 0.0674 0.1061 18.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1104 0.1565 27.0
2 Jackson Holliday 0.1250 0.0863 23.5
3 Nick Kurtz 0.0841 0.1288 23.1
4 Chase Meidroth 0.1353 0.0891 22.1
5 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0934 0.1290 21.3
6 Shohei Ohtani 0.1242 0.1499 20.5
7 Riley Greene 0.1040 0.0702 20.5
8 Michael Harris II 0.0582 0.0250 19.7
9 Wyatt Langford 0.0972 0.1291 19.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Trout 0.1111 0.1565 26.6
2 Jackson Holliday 0.1258 0.0863 24.1
3 Chase Meidroth 0.1376 0.0891 23.3
4 Nick Kurtz 0.0841 0.1288 23.1
5 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0927 0.1290 21.6
6 Riley Greene 0.1046 0.0702 20.9
7 Shohei Ohtani 0.1236 0.1499 20.9
8 Michael Harris II 0.0579 0.0250 19.6
9 Wyatt Langford 0.0977 0.1291 19.4

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Harris II 0.0616 0.0250 24.8
2 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0973 0.1306 22.4
3 Riley Greene 0.1014 0.0702 21.8
4 Nick Kurtz 0.0822 0.1288 21.8
5 José Caballero 0.0681 0.1270 21.0
6 Mike Trout 0.1182 0.1565 20.1
7 Wyatt Langford 0.0922 0.1291 20.0
8 Trevor Story 0.0775 0.0505 19.1
9 Andy Pages 0.0743 0.0465 18.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Harris II 0.0658 0.0250 27.5
2 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0939 0.1306 24.9
3 Riley Greene 0.1049 0.0702 24.1
4 José Caballero 0.0649 0.1270 22.2
5 Nick Kurtz 0.0822 0.1288 21.8
6 Wyatt Langford 0.0915 0.1291 20.4
7 Mike Trout 0.1177 0.1565 20.3
8 Kerry Carpenter 0.0784 0.0388 19.4
9 Andy Pages 0.0752 0.0465 19.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jackson Holliday 0.1288 0.0863 26.2
2 Nick Kurtz 0.0802 0.1288 24.9
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1211 0.1499 22.6
4 Mookie Betts 0.1280 0.0920 22.4
5 Wyatt Langford 0.0924 0.1291 22.3
6 Chase Meidroth 0.1339 0.0891 21.5
7 Riley Greene 0.1041 0.0702 20.7
8 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0950 0.1290 20.2
9 José Caballero 0.0758 0.1270 19.8

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Christian Koss 0.0841 0.0503 0.0471 7.0 0.5 6.4
2 Heriberto Hernández 0.0841 0.1020 0.1054 6.4 1.1 5.3
3 Yanquiel Fernández 0.0841 0.0533 0.0544 4.3 0.2 4.1
4 Bryce Teodosio 0.0841 0.0596 0.0333 7.5 3.9 3.7
5 Yohel Pozo 0.0841 0.0216 0.0417 7.0 3.4 3.6
6 Daylen Lile 0.0841 0.0738 0.0598 8.3 4.7 3.6
7 Cody Freeman 0.0841 0.0583 0.0413 5.1 2.0 3.1
8 Warming Bernabel 0.0841 0.0326 0.0479 5.2 2.3 2.9
9 Jeremiah Jackson 0.0841 0.0524 0.0601 4.3 1.5 2.8
10 Freddie Freeman 0.1150 0.1105 0.0957 11.8 9.0 2.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sam Haggerty 0.1429 0.0847 0.0879 9.5 0.7 8.8
2 Jakob Marsee 0.1429 0.1130 0.0940 10.8 4.3 6.5
3 Chase Meidroth 0.1366 0.1224 0.0891 22.6 16.6 6.1
4 Tristan Gray 0.0000 0.0600 0.0698 6.2 0.9 5.4
5 Jorge Barrosa 0.1429 0.0803 0.0260 8.8 4.1 4.6
6 Nick Loftin 0.1071 0.0836 0.0745 5.6 1.6 4.0
7 Jimmy Crooks 0.1667 0.0793 0.0000 7.5 3.6 3.9
8 Yanquiel Fernández 0.0841 0.0533 0.0544 4.0 0.2 3.7
9 Bryce Teodosio 0.0841 0.0596 0.0333 7.2 3.9 3.3
10 Yohel Pozo 0.0841 0.0216 0.0417 6.7 3.4 3.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jake Mangum 0.0841 0.0415 0.0444 16.9 1.4 15.5
2 Jacob Wilson 0.0805 0.0549 0.0516 15.0 1.5 13.5
3 Brady House 0.0841 0.0457 0.0292 15.0 4.4 10.6
4 Matt McLain 0.0776 0.0948 0.0953 10.3 0.6 9.8
5 Chandler Simpson 0.0841 0.0650 0.0454 17.0 8.5 8.5
6 Isaac Collins 0.0853 0.1048 0.1293 19.4 11.0 8.4
7 Joey Ortiz 0.0970 0.0844 0.0534 22.0 15.5 6.5
8 Christian Koss 0.0841 0.0503 0.0471 7.0 0.5 6.5
9 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.0939 0.1037 0.1191 17.2 10.8 6.4
10 Roman Anthony 0.0841 0.1054 0.1320 14.6 8.2 6.4

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jackson Holliday 0.1378 0.1196 0.0863 32.7 21.3 11.4
2 Chase Meidroth 0.1365 0.1224 0.0891 23.4 16.6 6.8
3 Jake Mangum 0.0313 0.0415 0.0444 6.1 1.4 4.6
4 Elly De La Cruz 0.0854 0.0910 0.0959 8.1 3.7 4.4
5 Tyler Soderstrom 0.0679 0.0739 0.0881 13.3 9.1 4.2
6 Junior Caminero 0.0555 0.0609 0.0628 5.5 1.5 4.0
7 Javier Sanoja 0.0436 0.0575 0.0556 4.5 0.5 4.0
8 Kyle Schwarber 0.1438 0.1486 0.1492 4.7 0.8 3.9
9 Iván Herrera 0.1193 0.1101 0.0951 10.4 6.6 3.9
10 Hyeseong Kim 0.0841 0.0632 0.0412 7.1 3.7 3.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chase Meidroth 0.1353 0.1224 0.0891 22.1 16.6 5.5
2 Mike Trout 0.1104 0.1181 0.1565 27.0 21.6 5.4
3 Cam Smith 0.0630 0.0719 0.0872 13.2 7.8 5.4
4 Caleb Durbin 0.0921 0.0807 0.0593 15.3 10.6 4.7
5 Iván Herrera 0.1215 0.1101 0.0951 10.8 6.6 4.2
6 Spencer Horwitz 0.1266 0.1146 0.1071 7.0 2.9 4.1
7 Xavier Edwards 0.0967 0.0881 0.0792 9.3 5.3 4.0
8 Miguel Vargas 0.1157 0.1070 0.0984 8.4 4.6 3.8
9 Jac Caglianone 0.0452 0.0579 0.0776 8.1 4.7 3.4
10 Bryce Teodosio 0.0841 0.0596 0.0333 7.2 3.9 3.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chase Meidroth 0.1376 0.1224 0.0891 23.3 16.6 6.7
2 Miguel Vargas 0.1185 0.1070 0.0984 10.0 4.6 5.4
3 Mike Trout 0.1111 0.1181 0.1565 26.6 21.6 5.0
4 Cam Smith 0.0639 0.0719 0.0872 12.7 7.8 4.9
5 Caleb Durbin 0.0917 0.0807 0.0593 15.2 10.6 4.6
6 Spencer Horwitz 0.1269 0.1146 0.1071 7.2 2.9 4.3
7 Iván Herrera 0.1208 0.1101 0.0951 10.5 6.6 4.0
8 Jac Caglianone 0.0439 0.0579 0.0776 8.4 4.7 3.7
9 Brayan Rocchio 0.0947 0.0833 0.0574 13.3 9.7 3.6
10 Xavier Edwards 0.0959 0.0881 0.0792 8.9 5.3 3.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Christian Koss 0.0841 0.0503 0.0471 7.5 0.5 6.9
2 Isaac Collins 0.0906 0.1048 0.1293 16.1 11.0 5.1
3 Heriberto Hernández 0.0841 0.1020 0.1054 5.7 1.1 4.5
4 Daylen Lile 0.0841 0.0738 0.0598 9.3 4.7 4.5
5 Bryce Teodosio 0.0841 0.0596 0.0333 7.9 3.9 4.1
6 Yohel Pozo 0.0841 0.0216 0.0417 7.5 3.4 4.0
7 Liam Hicks 0.0873 0.1000 0.1103 8.1 4.2 3.9
8 Michael Harris II 0.0616 0.0584 0.0250 24.8 21.2 3.7
9 Cody Freeman 0.0841 0.0583 0.0413 5.4 2.0 3.4
10 Bo Naylor 0.0905 0.1011 0.1087 6.7 3.3 3.3

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Christian Koss 0.0841 0.0503 0.0471 7.5 0.5 7.0
2 Michael Harris II 0.0658 0.0584 0.0250 27.5 21.2 6.4
3 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0939 0.1042 0.1306 24.9 19.3 5.6
4 Isaac Collins 0.0906 0.1048 0.1293 16.1 11.0 5.1
5 Daylen Lile 0.0841 0.0738 0.0598 9.3 4.7 4.5
6 Heriberto Hernández 0.0841 0.1020 0.1054 5.7 1.1 4.5
7 Mickey Moniak 0.0577 0.0512 0.0477 5.6 1.4 4.2
8 Brandon Nimmo 0.1163 0.1127 0.0767 27.2 23.2 4.1
9 Bryce Teodosio 0.0841 0.0596 0.0333 7.9 3.9 4.1
10 Yohel Pozo 0.0841 0.0216 0.0417 7.5 3.4 4.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Juan Soto 0.2033 0.1913 0.1776 16.8 9.4 7.4
2 Mookie Betts 0.1280 0.1171 0.0920 22.4 16.3 6.0
3 Chase Meidroth 0.1339 0.1224 0.0891 21.5 16.6 5.0
4 Lars Nootbaar 0.1393 0.1292 0.1098 15.9 11.1 4.9
5 Jackson Holliday 0.1288 0.1196 0.0863 26.2 21.3 4.8
6 Nick Kurtz 0.0802 0.0870 0.1288 24.9 20.7 4.2
7 Sal Frelick 0.0742 0.0791 0.0791 4.2 0.3 3.9
8 Ernie Clement 0.0374 0.0414 0.0459 6.3 2.9 3.4
9 Tyler Soderstrom 0.0703 0.0739 0.0881 12.5 9.1 3.4
10 Willy Adames 0.0970 0.0996 0.1166 15.0 12.0 3.0

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Jarren Duran 0.0172
0.0088
(6.1)
0.0094
(5.9)
0.0091
(6.0)
0.0099
(5.5)
0.0091
(5.9)
0.0089
(6.2)
0.0090
(6.1)
0.0103
(5.1)
0.0103
(5.2)
0.0094
(6.5)
Caleb Durbin 0.0474
0.0228
(12.7)
0.0220
(13.2)
0.0229
(12.7)
0.0105
(19.0)
0.0259
(11.0)
0.0202
(14.1)
0.0200
(14.1)
0.0179
(15.2)
0.0179
(15.2)
0.0293
(9.9)
Victor Caratini 0.0337
0.0157
(7.1)
0.0156
(7.2)
0.0177
(6.4)
0.0140
(7.8)
0.0140
(7.7)
0.0161
(7.0)
0.0160
(7.0)
0.0149
(7.4)
0.0149
(7.4)
0.0175
(6.8)
Jake Cronenworth 0.0291
0.0179
(6.0)
0.0173
(6.4)
0.0187
(5.7)
0.0191
(5.5)
0.0169
(6.5)
0.0182
(5.9)
0.0180
(6.0)
0.0158
(7.1)
0.0158
(7.1)
0.0181
(6.4)
Heliot Ramos 0.0245
0.0082
(11.6)
0.0093
(11.0)
0.0100
(10.5)
0.0063
(13.0)
0.0086
(11.2)
0.0096
(10.7)
0.0090
(11.1)
0.0096
(10.7)
0.0096
(10.7)
0.0103
(10.9)
Iván Herrera 0.0332
0.0126
(9.5)
0.0122
(9.8)
0.0125
(9.6)
0.0117
(10.0)
0.0116
(9.9)
0.0122
(9.7)
0.0120
(9.8)
0.0121
(9.8)
0.0121
(9.7)
0.0128
(9.9)
Eugenio Suárez 0.0244
0.0158
(5.9)
0.0150
(6.6)
0.0148
(6.7)
0.0155
(6.2)
0.0148
(6.5)
0.0150
(6.5)
0.0150
(6.5)
0.0147
(6.7)
0.0147
(6.7)
0.0149
(7.2)
José Caballero 0.0081
0.0248
(6.0)
0.0237
(5.5)
0.0244
(5.8)
0.0277
(7.0)
0.0248
(6.0)
0.0223
(5.0)
0.0220
(4.9)
0.0230
(5.3)
0.0231
(5.4)
0.0261
(6.1)
Randy Arozarena 0.0381
0.0261
(8.8)
0.0244
(10.2)
0.0243
(10.2)
0.0255
(9.3)
0.0256
(9.0)
0.0230
(11.1)
0.0230
(11.1)
0.0236
(10.6)
0.0236
(10.6)
0.0256
(9.9)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Smith 0.0269 0.0142 6.9
2 Willson Contreras 0.0297 0.0409 6.5
3 Luke Raley 0.0309 0.0594 6.3
4 Ty France 0.0307 0.0429 6.2
5 Blaze Alexander 0.0172 0.0376 5.5
6 Masyn Winn 0.0051 0.0149 5.5
7 Dylan Moore 0.0269 0.0041 5.4
8 Francisco Lindor 0.0149 0.0219 5.4
9 Blake Dunn 0.0219 0.0933 5.4
10 Austin Hays 0.0157 0.0024 5.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Willson Contreras 0.0294 0.0409 6.8
2 Josh Smith 0.0256 0.0142 6.0
3 Francisco Lindor 0.0147 0.0219 5.7
4 Ty France 0.0320 0.0429 5.6
5 Luke Raley 0.0345 0.0594 5.6
6 Blaze Alexander 0.0176 0.0376 5.5
7 Masyn Winn 0.0053 0.0149 5.5
8 Blake Dunn 0.0233 0.0933 5.3
9 Dylan Moore 0.0256 0.0041 5.1
10 Edmundo Sosa 0.0276 0.0077 5.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Willson Contreras 0.0299 0.0409 6.5
2 Josh Smith 0.0260 0.0142 6.3
3 Blaze Alexander 0.0159 0.0376 5.9
4 Francisco Lindor 0.0146 0.0219 5.7
5 Edmundo Sosa 0.0286 0.0077 5.3
6 Tyler Freeman 0.0386 0.0257 5.3
7 Kody Clemens 0.0000 0.0130 5.2
8 Ty France 0.0330 0.0429 5.1
9 Nacho Alvarez Jr. 0.0000 0.0240 5.1
10 Victor Scott II 0.0112 0.0216 5.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Wallner 0.0419 0.0204 8.2
2 Josh Smith 0.0268 0.0142 6.8
3 Blaze Alexander 0.0134 0.0376 6.6
4 Masyn Winn 0.0036 0.0149 6.4
5 Willson Contreras 0.0307 0.0409 6.0
6 Blake Dunn 0.0138 0.0933 6.0
7 Dylan Moore 0.0278 0.0041 5.6
8 Michael Busch 0.0081 0.0169 5.6
9 Kyle Schwarber 0.0082 0.0152 5.5
10 Dillon Dingler 0.0081 0.0192 5.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Smith 0.0285 0.0142 7.9
2 Willson Contreras 0.0305 0.0409 6.0
3 Masyn Winn 0.0042 0.0149 5.9
4 Brent Rooker 0.0156 0.0072 5.7
5 Edmundo Sosa 0.0289 0.0077 5.5
6 Francisco Lindor 0.0147 0.0219 5.4
7 Kyle Schwarber 0.0080 0.0152 5.4
8 Dylan Moore 0.0267 0.0041 5.4
9 Tyler Freeman 0.0386 0.0257 5.4
10 Carlos Narváez 0.0141 0.0022 5.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Willson Contreras 0.0254 0.0409 9.0
2 Ty France 0.0290 0.0429 7.1
3 Luke Raley 0.0313 0.0594 6.3
4 Blaze Alexander 0.0160 0.0376 5.9
5 Blake Dunn 0.0187 0.0933 5.6
6 Francisco Lindor 0.0147 0.0219 5.6
7 Yoán Moncada 0.0067 0.0242 5.2
8 Victor Scott II 0.0109 0.0216 5.2
9 Masyn Winn 0.0061 0.0149 5.0
10 Taylor Ward 0.0124 0.0045 4.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Willson Contreras 0.0260 0.0409 8.7
2 Ty France 0.0290 0.0429 7.1
3 Luke Raley 0.0310 0.0594 6.3
4 Blaze Alexander 0.0160 0.0376 5.9
5 Blake Dunn 0.0190 0.0933 5.6
6 Francisco Lindor 0.0150 0.0219 5.4
7 Victor Scott II 0.0110 0.0216 5.2
8 Yoán Moncada 0.0070 0.0242 5.1
9 Masyn Winn 0.0060 0.0149 5.1
10 Kyle Schwarber 0.0090 0.0152 4.9

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.0171 0.0072 6.6
2 Willson Contreras 0.0305 0.0409 6.1
3 Francisco Lindor 0.0143 0.0219 5.9
4 Blaze Alexander 0.0160 0.0376 5.9
5 Luke Raley 0.0335 0.0594 5.8
6 Seiya Suzuki 0.0107 0.0015 5.6
7 Ty France 0.0321 0.0429 5.5
8 Blake Dunn 0.0209 0.0933 5.5
9 Masyn Winn 0.0056 0.0149 5.3
10 Austin Hays 0.0151 0.0024 5.1

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.0170 0.0072 6.6
2 Willson Contreras 0.0304 0.0409 6.1
3 Francisco Lindor 0.0142 0.0219 5.9
4 Blaze Alexander 0.0159 0.0376 5.9
5 Luke Raley 0.0334 0.0594 5.8
6 Seiya Suzuki 0.0107 0.0015 5.6
7 Ty France 0.0321 0.0429 5.5
8 Blake Dunn 0.0209 0.0933 5.5
9 Masyn Winn 0.0056 0.0149 5.3
10 Austin Hays 0.0152 0.0024 5.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Josh Smith 0.0305 0.0142 8.4
2 Edmundo Sosa 0.0378 0.0077 7.5
3 Tyler Freeman 0.0439 0.0257 7.2
4 Masyn Winn 0.0047 0.0149 6.3
5 Cal Raleigh 0.0057 0.0128 6.0
6 Francisco Lindor 0.0152 0.0219 5.9
7 José Ramírez 0.0046 0.0119 5.9
8 Lars Nootbaar 0.0021 0.0103 5.6
9 Harrison Bader 0.0126 0.0220 5.4
10 Kyle Schwarber 0.0093 0.0152 5.3

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Otto Kemp 0.0105 0.0315 0.0321 4.8 0.3 4.5
2 Ryan Ritter 0.0105 0.0218 0.0242 2.9 0.6 2.3
3 Ryan Jeffers 0.0237 0.0212 0.0151 3.8 2.5 1.3
4 Matt Wallner 0.0296 0.0266 0.0204 3.4 2.2 1.3
5 Kody Clemens 0.0035 0.0065 0.0130 3.8 2.7 1.1
6 Yohel Pozo 0.0105 0.0045 0.0000 1.7 0.6 1.1
7 Dylan Carlson 0.0213 0.0172 0.0083 3.0 2.0 1.0
8 Eli White 0.0177 0.0142 0.0074 2.7 1.7 1.0
9 Gustavo Campero 0.0105 0.0256 0.0455 2.3 1.4 1.0
10 Josh Smith 0.0269 0.0256 0.0142 6.9 6.0 0.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Otto Kemp 0.0105 0.0315 0.0321 4.8 0.3 4.6
2 Nacho Alvarez Jr. 0.0000 0.0146 0.0240 5.1 2.1 3.0
3 Heriberto Hernández 0.0000 0.0114 0.0102 3.2 0.2 3.0
4 Dylan Carlson 0.0286 0.0172 0.0083 4.7 2.0 2.8
5 Kody Clemens 0.0000 0.0065 0.0130 5.2 2.7 2.5
6 Ryan Ritter 0.0105 0.0218 0.0242 2.9 0.6 2.3
7 Tyler Freeman 0.0386 0.0338 0.0257 5.3 3.2 2.1
8 Jahmai Jones 0.0000 0.0137 0.0200 3.1 1.0 2.0
9 Henry Davis 0.0303 0.0233 0.0177 3.4 1.4 2.0
10 Nick Loftin 0.0000 0.0106 0.0160 3.1 1.1 2.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Matt Wallner 0.0419 0.0266 0.0204 8.2 2.2 6.0
2 Caleb Durbin 0.0105 0.0220 0.0474 19.0 13.2 5.8
3 Otto Kemp 0.0105 0.0315 0.0321 4.8 0.3 4.6
4 Liam Hicks 0.0105 0.0206 0.0231 5.1 1.2 3.9
5 Chandler Simpson 0.0105 0.0031 0.0000 4.4 1.1 3.3
6 Dillon Dingler 0.0081 0.0152 0.0192 5.5 2.2 3.3
7 Ryan Ritter 0.0105 0.0218 0.0242 2.9 0.6 2.3
8 Michael Busch 0.0081 0.0119 0.0169 5.6 3.3 2.2
9 Luke Keaschall 0.0105 0.0205 0.0242 2.9 0.9 2.0
10 Ben Rice 0.0102 0.0141 0.0170 3.9 1.9 2.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jordan Beck 0.0006 0.0050 0.0068 3.8 1.5 2.4
2 Tyler Freeman 0.0386 0.0338 0.0257 5.4 3.2 2.2
3 Josh Smith 0.0285 0.0256 0.0142 7.9 6.0 1.9
4 Agustín Ramírez 0.0057 0.0089 0.0137 4.9 3.2 1.7
5 Jackson Holliday 0.0038 0.0067 0.0092 3.7 2.1 1.6
6 Andy Pages 0.0191 0.0169 0.0128 3.8 2.1 1.6
7 Edgar Quero 0.0188 0.0153 0.0099 3.5 1.9 1.6
8 Zach Neto 0.0296 0.0274 0.0253 2.3 0.8 1.4
9 Chase Meidroth 0.0185 0.0161 0.0119 3.2 1.8 1.4
10 Henry Davis 0.0276 0.0233 0.0177 2.7 1.4 1.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Otto Kemp 0.0105 0.0315 0.0321 4.8 0.3 4.6
2 Willson Contreras 0.0254 0.0294 0.0409 9.0 6.8 2.2
3 Nick Kurtz 0.0105 0.0076 0.0041 2.9 1.4 1.5
4 Ty France 0.0290 0.0320 0.0429 7.1 5.6 1.4
5 Dillon Dingler 0.0126 0.0152 0.0192 3.4 2.2 1.2
6 Chandler Simpson 0.0057 0.0031 0.0000 2.3 1.1 1.2
7 Ryan Ritter 0.0161 0.0218 0.0242 1.8 0.6 1.1
8 Michael Busch 0.0099 0.0119 0.0169 4.5 3.3 1.1
9 Maikel Garcia 0.0045 0.0029 0.0015 1.6 0.5 1.1
10 TJ Friedl 0.0192 0.0209 0.0234 3.2 2.1 1.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Otto Kemp 0.0210 0.0315 0.0321 2.5 0.3 2.3
2 Willson Contreras 0.0260 0.0294 0.0409 8.7 6.8 1.8
3 Nick Kurtz 0.0105 0.0076 0.0041 2.9 1.4 1.5
4 Dillon Dingler 0.0120 0.0152 0.0192 3.6 2.2 1.5
5 Ty France 0.0290 0.0320 0.0429 7.1 5.6 1.4
6 Chandler Simpson 0.0060 0.0031 0.0000 2.4 1.1 1.3
7 TJ Friedl 0.0190 0.0209 0.0234 3.3 2.1 1.2
8 Lawrence Butler 0.0050 0.0034 0.0000 2.8 1.7 1.1
9 Michael Busch 0.0100 0.0119 0.0169 4.4 3.3 1.1
10 Ben Rice 0.0120 0.0141 0.0170 2.9 1.9 1.0

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Otto Kemp 0.0105 0.0315 0.0321 4.8 0.3 4.5
2 Ryan Ritter 0.0105 0.0218 0.0242 2.9 0.6 2.3
3 Caleb Durbin 0.0179 0.0220 0.0474 15.2 13.2 2.0
4 Brent Rooker 0.0171 0.0145 0.0072 6.6 4.7 1.9
5 Nick Kurtz 0.0103 0.0076 0.0041 2.8 1.4 1.4
6 Liam Hicks 0.0175 0.0206 0.0231 2.3 1.2 1.1
7 William Contreras 0.0087 0.0072 0.0046 2.4 1.3 1.1
8 Yohel Pozo 0.0105 0.0045 0.0000 1.7 0.6 1.0
9 Luke Keaschall 0.0154 0.0205 0.0242 1.9 0.9 1.0
10 Seiya Suzuki 0.0107 0.0093 0.0015 5.6 4.6 1.0

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Otto Kemp 0.0105 0.0315 0.0321 4.8 0.3 4.5
2 Ryan Ritter 0.0105 0.0218 0.0242 2.9 0.6 2.3
3 Caleb Durbin 0.0179 0.0220 0.0474 15.2 13.2 2.0
4 Brent Rooker 0.0170 0.0145 0.0072 6.6 4.7 1.9
5 Nick Kurtz 0.0103 0.0076 0.0041 2.8 1.4 1.4
6 Liam Hicks 0.0175 0.0206 0.0231 2.3 1.2 1.1
7 William Contreras 0.0087 0.0072 0.0046 2.4 1.3 1.1
8 Yohel Pozo 0.0105 0.0045 0.0000 1.7 0.6 1.0
9 Luke Keaschall 0.0154 0.0205 0.0242 1.9 0.9 1.0
10 Seiya Suzuki 0.0107 0.0093 0.0015 5.6 4.6 1.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tyler Freeman 0.0439 0.0338 0.0257 7.2 3.2 4.0
2 Zach Neto 0.0343 0.0274 0.0253 4.2 0.8 3.3
3 Andy Pages 0.0219 0.0169 0.0128 4.8 2.1 2.6
4 Edmundo Sosa 0.0378 0.0276 0.0077 7.5 5.0 2.5
5 Josh Smith 0.0305 0.0256 0.0142 8.4 6.0 2.3
6 Jonathan India 0.0306 0.0257 0.0229 3.5 1.2 2.3
7 Jordan Beck 0.0022 0.0050 0.0068 3.6 1.5 2.1
8 Brice Turang 0.0017 0.0036 0.0030 1.8 0.0 1.8
9 Kyle Tucker 0.0019 0.0041 0.0067 3.7 1.9 1.8
10 Luis García Jr. 0.0000 0.0026 0.0038 2.8 1.0 1.8

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
George Springer 0.0804
0.0442
(20.9)
0.0455
(19.9)
0.0466
(20.0)
0.0475
(19.6)
0.0462
(20.0)
0.0469
(18.4)
0.0508
(18.1)
0.0435
(20.8)
0.0425
(21.5)
0.0442
(20.9)
Colson Montgomery 0.1207
0.0401
(22.7)
0.0378
(23.3)
0.0417
(22.6)
0.0465
(21.2)
0.0338
(24.7)
0.0382
(22.8)
0.0416
(22.8)
0.0360
(23.6)
0.0362
(23.7)
0.0388
(23.1)
Nick Kurtz 0.1319
0.0416
(43.9)
0.0446
(42.2)
0.0417
(44.3)
0.0465
(42.0)
0.0502
(39.9)
0.0465
(40.7)
0.0465
(42.4)
0.0484
(40.1)
0.0486
(40.2)
0.0354
(46.9)
Michael Busch 0.0879
0.0588
(16.8)
0.0569
(17.8)
0.0599
(16.8)
0.0557
(19.4)
0.0587
(17.2)
0.0525
(19.7)
0.0576
(18.7)
0.0522
(20.3)
0.0562
(18.0)
0.0618
(15.1)
Cal Raleigh 0.1460
0.0816
(45.0)
0.0823
(44.3)
0.0826
(44.9)
0.0847
(43.6)
0.0854
(42.7)
0.0755
(48.2)
0.0824
(45.8)
0.0865
(40.9)
0.0791
(46.4)
0.0856
(42.2)
James Wood 0.0816
0.0533
(19.1)
0.0533
(18.9)
0.0569
(17.3)
0.0460
(24.9)
0.0578
(16.4)
0.0521
(18.9)
0.0569
(17.9)
0.0475
(22.5)
0.0469
(23.1)
0.0587
(15.4)
Riley Greene 0.0891
0.0570
(20.7)
0.0554
(21.5)
0.0552
(22.5)
0.0493
(26.5)
0.0601
(18.9)
0.0502
(24.1)
0.0550
(23.2)
0.0562
(20.6)
0.0540
(22.3)
0.0557
(21.5)
Eugenio Suárez 0.1228
0.0654
(37.3)
0.0641
(38.0)
0.0623
(40.0)
0.0682
(36.3)
0.0673
(36.4)
0.0584
(40.9)
0.0640
(39.5)
0.0668
(35.9)
0.0638
(38.0)
0.0630
(38.9)
Gunnar Henderson 0.0382
0.0717
(22.2)
0.0718
(22.4)
0.0706
(20.8)
0.0689
(19.6)
0.0718
(21.9)
0.0708
(22.6)
0.0762
(23.9)
0.0751
(24.9)
0.0717
(22.5)
0.0653
(18.0)
Junior Caminero 0.0930
0.0549
(24.5)
0.0596
(21.2)
0.0621
(20.4)
0.0472
(30.3)
0.0688
(15.8)
0.0604
(19.9)
0.0654
(18.9)
0.0534
(24.9)
0.0554
(23.8)
0.0590
(21.8)
Taylor Ward 0.0878
0.0568
(20.2)
0.0549
(21.2)
0.0535
(23.0)
0.0556
(21.8)
0.0542
(22.3)
0.0509
(23.1)
0.0544
(23.0)
0.0562
(20.0)
0.0581
(18.9)
0.0538
(22.2)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1011 0.1373 25.7
2 Brent Rooker 0.0976 0.0633 24.4
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1004 0.1285 20.0
4 Trent Grisham 0.0603 0.0950 19.8
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0396 0.0683 18.2
6 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0580 0.0254 17.7
7 Christian Yelich 0.0444 0.0713 16.9
8 Kyle Stowers 0.0521 0.0896 16.9
9 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0973 0.1548 16.0

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1034 0.1373 23.8
2 Brent Rooker 0.0963 0.0633 23.7
3 Trent Grisham 0.0604 0.0950 19.6
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1013 0.1285 19.1
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0595 0.0254 18.7
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0405 0.0683 17.4
7 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0777 0.0535 17.3
8 Christian Yelich 0.0454 0.0713 16.1
9 Ryan Jeffers 0.0614 0.0285 15.7

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.1003 0.0633 25.6
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.1047 0.1373 23.9
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1010 0.1285 20.3
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0627 0.0254 19.7
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0817 0.0535 19.2
6 Trent Grisham 0.0637 0.0950 18.4
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0429 0.0683 16.6
8 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0966 0.1548 16.5
9 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0677 0.0972 15.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trent Grisham 0.0505 0.0950 26.2
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.1017 0.1373 26.1
3 Kyle Stowers 0.0361 0.0896 24.7
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.0975 0.1285 23.0
5 Jo Adell 0.0618 0.0976 20.8
6 Chandler Simpson 0.0465 0.0000 20.3
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0381 0.0683 19.9
8 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0635 0.0972 18.2
9 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0922 0.1548 17.8

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trent Grisham 0.0544 0.0950 23.5
2 Brent Rooker 0.0968 0.0633 23.5
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0634 0.0254 20.3
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0817 0.0535 19.5
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0391 0.0683 18.8
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.0757 0.0490 18.7
7 Ryan Jeffers 0.0646 0.0285 16.8
8 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0147 0.0375 16.4
9 Corbin Carroll 0.0501 0.0747 15.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.0996 0.1373 25.8
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.0920 0.1285 25.0
3 Trent Grisham 0.0551 0.0950 21.9
4 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0572 0.0254 18.1
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0387 0.0683 17.8
6 Christian Yelich 0.0425 0.0713 17.2
7 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0760 0.0535 16.9
8 Daulton Varsho 0.0521 0.1136 16.1
9 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0976 0.1548 15.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1058 0.1373 23.7
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.0986 0.1285 22.7
3 Trent Grisham 0.0591 0.0950 21.6
4 Brent Rooker 0.0949 0.0633 21.2
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0821 0.0535 18.9
6 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0606 0.0254 18.1
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0423 0.0683 17.7
8 Christian Yelich 0.0458 0.0713 17.2
9 Ryan Jeffers 0.0632 0.0285 15.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.1050 0.0633 30.1
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.1040 0.1373 23.0
3 Trent Grisham 0.0564 0.0950 21.6
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0356 0.0683 20.2
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1016 0.1285 18.5
6 Kyle Stowers 0.0484 0.0896 18.2
7 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0556 0.0254 16.9
8 Christian Yelich 0.0436 0.0713 16.9
9 Ryan Jeffers 0.0631 0.0285 16.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.0936 0.1373 30.8
2 Brent Rooker 0.0969 0.0633 24.3
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1020 0.1285 18.5
4 Corbin Carroll 0.0458 0.0747 17.8
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0573 0.0254 17.7
6 Kyle Stowers 0.0503 0.0896 17.4
7 Christian Yelich 0.0442 0.0713 16.7
8 Brice Turang 0.0149 0.0408 16.3
9 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0665 0.0972 15.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brent Rooker 0.1036 0.0633 28.6
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.1020 0.1373 25.1
3 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0649 0.0254 21.4
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0815 0.0535 19.7
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1037 0.1285 17.7
6 Trent Grisham 0.0651 0.0950 17.0
7 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0943 0.1548 16.8
8 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0663 0.0972 16.1
9 Corbin Carroll 0.0500 0.0747 15.5

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ben Williamson 0.0465 0.0156 0.0047 12.5 3.5 9.0
2 Christian Koss 0.0465 0.0230 0.0224 4.7 0.3 4.4
3 Sam Haggerty 0.0465 0.0262 0.0157 5.7 2.1 3.6
4 Bryce Teodosio 0.0465 0.0235 0.0106 5.5 2.1 3.4
5 Junior Caminero 0.0549 0.0596 0.0930 24.5 21.2 3.3
6 Kyle Karros 0.0465 0.0268 0.0102 5.8 2.7 3.0
7 Kyle Stowers 0.0521 0.0574 0.0896 16.9 14.3 2.6
8 Bryce Johnson 0.0465 0.0162 0.0167 2.6 0.0 2.5
9 Isaac Collins 0.0224 0.0271 0.0316 3.8 1.6 2.2
10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0601 0.0650 0.0890 11.7 9.5 2.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ben Williamson 0.0465 0.0156 0.0047 12.2 3.5 8.7
2 Tim Tawa 0.0000 0.0355 0.0500 11.3 3.1 8.3
3 Heriberto Hernández 0.0833 0.0534 0.0546 8.3 0.1 8.2
4 Jakob Marsee 0.0000 0.0268 0.0309 7.3 0.7 6.6
5 Jahmai Jones 0.0000 0.0342 0.0722 10.9 5.6 5.3
6 Abraham Toro 0.0465 0.0311 0.0315 4.2 0.1 4.0
7 Sam Hilliard 0.0000 0.0646 0.0714 4.4 0.4 4.0
8 Michael Helman 0.0000 0.0350 0.0617 6.8 2.8 4.0
9 Tristan Gray 0.0000 0.0549 0.0492 4.3 0.6 3.7
10 Bryce Teodosio 0.0465 0.0235 0.0106 5.3 2.1 3.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chandler Simpson 0.0465 0.0053 0.0000 20.3 2.7 17.6
2 Jake Mangum 0.0465 0.0131 0.0087 15.9 2.2 13.7
3 Chase Meidroth 0.0465 0.0191 0.0131 16.6 3.5 13.1
4 Kyle Stowers 0.0361 0.0574 0.0896 24.7 14.3 10.4
5 Andy Pages 0.0444 0.0588 0.0597 9.9 0.0 9.9
6 Ben Rice 0.0524 0.0688 0.0701 9.7 0.2 9.5
7 Junior Caminero 0.0472 0.0596 0.0930 30.3 21.2 9.0
8 Jo Adell 0.0618 0.0759 0.0976 20.8 11.9 8.9
9 Ben Williamson 0.0465 0.0156 0.0047 12.2 3.5 8.7
10 Liam Hicks 0.0465 0.0144 0.0213 9.6 2.3 7.3

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.0757 0.0657 0.0490 18.7 12.3 6.4
2 Oneil Cruz 0.0785 0.0686 0.0662 6.7 1.8 5.0
3 Cam Smith 0.0553 0.0455 0.0294 12.8 8.4 4.4
4 Trent Grisham 0.0544 0.0604 0.0950 23.5 19.6 3.9
5 Alexander Canario 0.0835 0.0660 0.0438 9.3 5.4 3.9
6 Vinnie Pasquantino 0.0430 0.0478 0.0617 12.7 8.9 3.9
7 Marcell Ozuna 0.0850 0.0779 0.0598 15.0 11.2 3.8
8 Cedric Mullins 0.0372 0.0439 0.0525 7.6 3.8 3.7
9 Julio Rodríguez 0.0698 0.0637 0.0637 4.3 0.6 3.7
10 Isaac Paredes 0.0461 0.0535 0.0658 8.6 5.0 3.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Aaron Judge 0.1173 0.1317 0.1366 11.7 2.7 9.0
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.0920 0.1013 0.1285 25.0 19.1 5.9
3 Shea Langeliers 0.0679 0.0795 0.0809 5.7 0.3 5.4
4 Nolan Schanuel 0.0373 0.0294 0.0283 6.3 1.1 5.1
5 Cal Raleigh 0.0755 0.0823 0.1460 48.2 44.3 4.0
6 Willy Adames 0.0526 0.0592 0.0711 11.3 7.5 3.7
7 Steven Kwan 0.0233 0.0173 0.0191 4.3 0.6 3.7
8 Bryce Teodosio 0.0465 0.0235 0.0106 5.7 2.1 3.6
9 Trevor Story 0.0410 0.0477 0.0571 9.2 5.6 3.6
10 Jackson Chourio 0.0550 0.0501 0.0483 5.2 1.6 3.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Aaron Judge 0.1253 0.1317 0.1366 8.5 2.7 5.8
2 Nolan Schanuel 0.0405 0.0294 0.0283 6.1 1.1 5.0
3 Jackson Chourio 0.0592 0.0501 0.0483 5.6 1.6 4.0
4 Trevor Story 0.0442 0.0477 0.0571 9.3 5.6 3.7
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.0986 0.1013 0.1285 22.7 19.1 3.6
6 Tyler Soderstrom 0.0725 0.0653 0.0592 7.5 4.3 3.1
7 TJ Friedl 0.0456 0.0392 0.0296 10.1 7.2 2.9
8 Ramón Laureano 0.0476 0.0511 0.0736 13.3 10.6 2.8
9 Alek Thomas 0.0403 0.0322 0.0280 5.2 2.4 2.8
10 Willy Adames 0.0574 0.0592 0.0711 10.3 7.5 2.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ben Williamson 0.0465 0.0156 0.0047 12.8 3.5 9.3
2 Brent Rooker 0.1050 0.0963 0.0633 30.1 23.7 6.4
3 Christian Koss 0.0465 0.0230 0.0224 4.9 0.3 4.6
4 Mike Trout 0.1038 0.0964 0.0912 7.8 3.4 4.4
5 Jo Adell 0.0680 0.0759 0.0976 16.2 11.9 4.3
6 Ben Rice 0.0606 0.0688 0.0701 4.3 0.2 4.0
7 Kyle Stowers 0.0484 0.0574 0.0896 18.2 14.3 3.9
8 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0551 0.0650 0.0890 13.4 9.5 3.9
9 Sam Haggerty 0.0465 0.0262 0.0157 5.9 2.1 3.8
10 Junior Caminero 0.0534 0.0596 0.0930 24.9 21.2 3.6

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ben Williamson 0.0465 0.0156 0.0047 12.7 3.5 9.2
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.0936 0.1034 0.1373 30.8 23.8 6.9
3 Steven Kwan 0.0072 0.0173 0.0191 7.4 0.6 6.8
4 Matt Chapman 0.0772 0.0651 0.0633 8.1 1.4 6.6
5 Luis Arraez 0.0019 0.0109 0.0129 6.7 0.8 5.9
6 Nolan Schanuel 0.0155 0.0294 0.0283 6.6 1.1 5.4
7 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0316 0.0399 0.0466 8.5 3.6 4.9
8 Christian Koss 0.0465 0.0230 0.0224 4.8 0.3 4.6
9 James Wood 0.0469 0.0533 0.0816 23.1 18.9 4.3
10 Andrew Vaughn 0.0591 0.0504 0.0420 8.1 4.1 4.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brent Rooker 0.1036 0.0963 0.0633 28.6 23.7 4.9
2 Nick Kurtz 0.0354 0.0446 0.1319 46.9 42.2 4.7
3 Ben Rice 0.0772 0.0688 0.0701 4.0 0.2 3.8
4 Yandy Díaz 0.0307 0.0362 0.0504 12.5 8.7 3.8
5 Paul Goldschmidt 0.0649 0.0595 0.0254 21.4 18.7 2.7
6 Carlos Narváez 0.0307 0.0362 0.0507 8.7 6.1 2.6
7 Joc Pederson 0.0868 0.0780 0.0446 13.1 10.5 2.6
8 Willy Adames 0.0561 0.0592 0.0711 9.9 7.5 2.4
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.0815 0.0777 0.0535 19.7 17.3 2.3
10 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0578 0.0532 0.0452 7.3 5.0 2.3

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
George Springer 0.3333
0.2728
(36.8)
0.2717
(37.4)
0.2725
(39.1)
0.2730
(37.9)
0.2719
(38.1)
0.2655
(39.2)
0.2714
(39.0)
0.2685
(37.6)
0.2773
(32.5)
0.2745
(38.7)
Oneil Cruz 0.2624
0.3230
(31.8)
0.3237
(32.2)
0.3268
(31.8)
0.3277
(33.2)
0.3291
(34.4)
0.3236
(33.8)
0.3310
(34.7)
0.3197
(31.5)
0.3170
(30.0)
0.3225
(28.8)
Brice Turang 0.3546
0.2913
(43.2)
0.2918
(42.8)
0.2969
(41.9)
0.2879
(46.8)
0.2852
(48.0)
0.2917
(40.8)
0.2963
(41.6)
0.2905
(41.8)
0.2914
(41.3)
0.2962
(43.2)
Nick Kurtz 0.3629
0.2796
(41.8)
0.2860
(38.6)
0.3043
(31.5)
0.2891
(38.2)
0.2905
(37.1)
0.2891
(35.6)
0.2891
(38.3)
0.2717
(44.2)
0.2717
(44.3)
0.3133
(27.7)
Harrison Bader 0.3591
0.2788
(41.4)
0.2814
(40.0)
0.2903
(37.4)
0.2785
(42.6)
0.2816
(40.6)
0.2834
(37.4)
0.2875
(38.2)
0.2708
(43.9)
0.2743
(42.2)
0.2935
(36.4)
Matt Olson 0.3325
0.2844
(36.5)
0.2833
(37.2)
0.2861
(38.0)
0.2913
(33.0)
0.2839
(37.8)
0.2827
(35.4)
0.2877
(35.9)
0.2829
(35.5)
0.2782
(38.9)
0.2831
(40.9)
Aaron Judge 0.3761
0.3206
(39.2)
0.3169
(41.7)
0.3163
(44.7)
0.3333
(32.0)
0.3321
(32.3)
0.3034
(48.7)
0.3109
(47.5)
0.3144
(41.4)
0.3148
(41.3)
0.3225
(41.3)
Jonathan Aranda 0.4087
0.3057
(44.4)
0.3074
(43.7)
0.3220
(39.1)
0.2825
(55.1)
0.3096
(43.3)
0.3098
(41.4)
0.3169
(40.7)
0.2933
(48.4)
0.2924
(48.9)
0.3245
(38.5)
Matt Wallner 0.2277
0.3260
(37.7)
0.3213
(35.8)
0.3305
(38.0)
0.3333
(39.7)
0.3290
(38.3)
0.3171
(35.4)
0.3211
(34.8)
0.3132
(33.8)
0.3025
(29.5)
0.3407
(41.5)
Pete Alonso 0.3048
0.2599
(33.4)
0.2613
(32.4)
0.2640
(33.2)
0.2589
(35.7)
0.2664
(29.8)
0.2559
(34.0)
0.2585
(36.2)
0.2601
(31.3)
0.2609
(30.8)
0.2670
(31.9)
Will Smith 0.3448
0.2741
(31.8)
0.2728
(32.3)
0.2727
(34.0)
0.2779
(31.1)
0.2713
(33.6)
0.2649
(34.4)
0.2693
(35.0)
0.2732
(30.9)
0.2828
(26.8)
0.2742
(33.9)
Eugenio Suárez 0.2429
0.2950
(32.8)
0.2941
(32.3)
0.2977
(32.1)
0.3049
(37.9)
0.2945
(31.6)
0.2927
(33.4)
0.2978
(33.0)
0.2909
(32.0)
0.2925
(33.0)
0.2953
(29.8)
Tyler Soderstrom 0.3275
0.2725
(35.7)
0.2725
(35.6)
0.2673
(41.2)
0.2709
(38.0)
0.2813
(31.0)
0.2631
(39.6)
0.2705
(38.5)
0.2759
(31.7)
0.2804
(29.0)
0.2643
(43.9)

Individual Misses for BABIP

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Goodman 0.2771 0.3315 32.8
2 Kyle Stowers 0.2913 0.3543 29.8
3 Otto Lopez 0.3165 0.2644 29.6
4 Pavin Smith 0.2760 0.3741 28.9
5 Roman Anthony 0.3139 0.4036 27.9
6 Ryan Jeffers 0.2655 0.3225 27.5
7 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.3060 0.2536 27.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Otto Lopez 0.3173 0.2644 30.1
2 Hunter Goodman 0.2817 0.3315 30.0
3 Kyle Stowers 0.2938 0.3543 28.6
4 Dillon Dingler 0.2864 0.3439 28.0
5 Roman Anthony 0.3140 0.4036 27.8
6 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.3058 0.2536 27.3
7 Pavin Smith 0.2842 0.3741 26.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Goodman 0.2793 0.3315 33.7
2 Sam Haggerty 0.5000 0.3120 33.1
3 Jakob Marsee 0.2222 0.3567 32.9
4 Otto Lopez 0.3256 0.2644 32.8
5 Michael Harris II 0.3303 0.2785 29.4
6 Josh Lowe 0.3439 0.2724 28.5
7 Jeremy Peña 0.2998 0.3446 27.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Goodman 0.2512 0.3315 49.0
2 Jordan Beck 0.2896 0.3504 38.3
3 Seiya Suzuki 0.3433 0.2820 37.1
4 Roman Anthony 0.2891 0.4036 36.0
5 Pavin Smith 0.2618 0.3741 33.6
6 Dillon Dingler 0.2785 0.3439 32.7
7 Luis Arraez 0.3333 0.2836 30.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dillon Dingler 0.2833 0.3439 30.1
2 Hunter Goodman 0.2839 0.3315 29.6
3 Jordan Beck 0.3043 0.3504 29.2
4 Junior Caminero 0.3075 0.2597 29.0
5 Salvador Perez 0.2974 0.2489 28.9
6 Roman Anthony 0.3142 0.4036 28.2
7 Michael Harris II 0.3259 0.2785 28.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Goodman 0.2723 0.3315 33.7
2 Otto Lopez 0.3197 0.2644 33.4
3 Kyle Stowers 0.2907 0.3543 28.7
4 Dillon Dingler 0.2822 0.3439 28.5
5 Roman Anthony 0.3105 0.4036 27.9
6 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.3031 0.2536 27.5
7 Ryan Jeffers 0.2624 0.3225 27.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Goodman 0.2734 0.3315 36.3
2 Cam Smith 0.2513 0.3199 36.1
3 Otto Lopez 0.3261 0.2644 33.8
4 Kyle Stowers 0.2946 0.3543 29.4
5 Dillon Dingler 0.2887 0.3439 28.1
6 Ryan Jeffers 0.2672 0.3225 27.8
7 Salvador Perez 0.2966 0.2489 27.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Stowers 0.2847 0.3543 31.5
2 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.3076 0.2536 29.9
3 Pavin Smith 0.2723 0.3741 29.1
4 Roman Anthony 0.3084 0.4036 28.6
5 Dillon Dingler 0.2827 0.3439 28.4
6 Taylor Ward 0.2986 0.2567 28.3
7 Hunter Goodman 0.2850 0.3315 26.5

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Taylor Ward 0.3003 0.2567 29.3
2 Otto Lopez 0.3130 0.2644 29.1
3 Kyle Stowers 0.2909 0.3543 28.7
4 Roman Anthony 0.3083 0.4036 28.7
5 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 0.3052 0.2536 28.5
6 Pavin Smith 0.2764 0.3741 28.0
7 TJ Friedl 0.2573 0.2985 27.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Harris II 0.3376 0.2785 33.3
2 Josh Lowe 0.3542 0.2724 32.5
3 Otto Lopez 0.3256 0.2644 32.1
4 Dillon Dingler 0.2887 0.3439 29.3
5 Hunter Goodman 0.2882 0.3315 29.2
6 Jeremy Peña 0.2982 0.3446 29.0
7 Ryan Jeffers 0.2706 0.3225 27.4

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ryan Ritter 0.2891 0.3185 0.3385 10.7 4.6 6.1
2 Mickey Moniak 0.2874 0.3002 0.3069 10.0 4.1 6.0
3 Tyler Freeman 0.2812 0.2943 0.3152 15.5 9.8 5.7
4 Cody Freeman 0.2891 0.2520 0.2447 5.1 0.6 4.5
5 Matt McLain 0.3253 0.3181 0.2896 19.4 15.2 4.1
6 Dane Myers 0.3336 0.3216 0.2933 12.7 8.7 4.0
7 Nick Kurtz 0.2796 0.2860 0.3629 41.8 38.6 3.2
8 Ben Williamson 0.2891 0.2997 0.3224 10.5 7.3 3.1
9 Nolan Jones 0.3345 0.3267 0.2905 16.8 13.8 3.1
10 Drew Gilbert 0.2891 0.2619 0.2051 8.9 6.0 3.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sam Haggerty 0.5000 0.2995 0.3120 33.1 2.7 30.5
2 Jakob Marsee 0.2222 0.2635 0.3567 32.9 22.3 10.6
3 Cooper Hummel 0.3750 0.2846 0.2182 15.8 6.7 9.1
4 Ryan Ritter 0.2891 0.3185 0.3385 11.4 4.6 6.9
5 Reese McGuire 0.3333 0.2819 0.2100 16.4 9.8 6.7
6 Jahmai Jones 0.2500 0.2872 0.3333 13.4 7.2 6.2
7 Cam Smith 0.2725 0.2808 0.3199 26.3 20.3 6.0
8 Edgar Quero 0.2692 0.2801 0.3196 22.7 16.8 5.9
9 Tyler Soderstrom 0.2673 0.2725 0.3275 41.2 35.6 5.6
10 Tristan Gray 0.2000 0.2612 0.2586 5.6 0.0 5.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jose Altuve 0.3291 0.2966 0.2826 27.6 7.7 19.8
2 Hunter Goodman 0.2512 0.2817 0.3315 49.0 30.0 18.9
3 Jordan Beck 0.2896 0.3170 0.3504 38.3 20.9 17.4
4 Miguel Vargas 0.2291 0.2686 0.2609 20.6 3.2 17.4
5 Tyler Freeman 0.2560 0.2943 0.3152 27.2 9.8 17.4
6 Seiya Suzuki 0.3433 0.3199 0.2820 37.1 23.3 13.8
7 Nick Allen 0.2524 0.2821 0.2898 17.4 4.1 13.3
8 Brent Rooker 0.3290 0.3078 0.3018 16.0 2.7 13.3
9 Alek Thomas 0.2654 0.2909 0.3173 26.4 13.4 13.0
10 Jasson Domínguez 0.2745 0.3025 0.3385 29.3 16.3 13.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cal Raleigh 0.2743 0.2583 0.2479 16.2 5.8 10.3
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.2788 0.2632 0.2528 16.2 5.9 10.3
3 Jordan Beck 0.3043 0.3170 0.3504 29.2 20.9 8.3
4 Tyler Freeman 0.2778 0.2943 0.3152 17.5 9.8 7.7
5 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3306 0.3172 0.2853 25.4 18.1 7.3
6 Riley Greene 0.3436 0.3312 0.3234 11.0 3.7 7.2
7 Julio Rodríguez 0.3393 0.3283 0.3021 23.9 17.1 6.8
8 Willy Adames 0.2987 0.2875 0.2628 22.2 15.5 6.7
9 Jo Adell 0.2905 0.2782 0.2544 18.7 12.4 6.2
10 Jackson Chourio 0.2987 0.3078 0.3068 6.8 0.6 6.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.3228 0.3377 0.3372 9.4 1.2 8.2
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.2996 0.3130 0.3137 9.5 2.1 7.4
3 Aaron Judge 0.3034 0.3169 0.3761 48.7 41.7 7.0
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.2999 0.3119 0.3294 18.6 12.8 5.7
5 Heliot Ramos 0.2991 0.3116 0.3087 6.0 0.5 5.5
6 James Wood 0.3269 0.3379 0.3496 15.0 9.5 5.5
7 Jeff McNeil 0.2905 0.2821 0.2515 18.5 13.1 5.3
8 Juan Soto 0.2939 0.2900 0.2691 18.4 13.4 5.0
9 Heriberto Hernández 0.2660 0.2852 0.3353 20.1 15.3 4.7
10 Edgar Quero 0.2653 0.2801 0.3196 21.5 16.8 4.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cam Smith 0.2513 0.2808 0.3199 36.1 20.3 15.8
2 Elly De La Cruz 0.3285 0.3377 0.3372 9.4 1.2 8.2
3 Hunter Goodman 0.2734 0.2817 0.3315 36.3 30.0 6.3
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.3070 0.3130 0.3137 8.2 2.1 6.2
5 Aaron Judge 0.3109 0.3169 0.3761 47.5 41.7 5.8
6 Jung Hoo Lee 0.3093 0.2977 0.2907 8.6 3.0 5.6
7 Jackson Chourio 0.3015 0.3078 0.3068 5.9 0.6 5.3
8 Jeff McNeil 0.2957 0.2821 0.2515 18.2 13.1 5.1
9 Gunnar Henderson 0.3071 0.3119 0.3294 17.6 12.8 4.8
10 Heliot Ramos 0.3059 0.3116 0.3087 5.3 0.5 4.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Luis Arraez 0.3195 0.3139 0.2836 24.7 19.0 5.7
2 Nick Kurtz 0.2717 0.2860 0.3629 44.2 38.6 5.6
3 Ryan Ritter 0.2891 0.3185 0.3385 10.1 4.6 5.5
4 Miguel Vargas 0.2746 0.2686 0.2609 8.2 3.2 5.0
5 Cody Freeman 0.2891 0.2520 0.2447 5.5 0.6 4.8
6 Jonathan Aranda 0.2933 0.3074 0.4087 48.4 43.7 4.8
7 Heliot Ramos 0.3156 0.3116 0.3087 5.3 0.5 4.7
8 Agustín Ramírez 0.2790 0.2739 0.2531 15.5 10.9 4.6
9 Ernie Clement 0.2591 0.2695 0.2916 18.7 14.2 4.5
10 Julio Rodríguez 0.3315 0.3283 0.3021 21.3 17.1 4.2

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Geraldo Perdomo 0.2647 0.2787 0.2982 23.8 15.6 8.1
2 Brenton Doyle 0.3259 0.3162 0.2873 21.1 14.4 6.7
3 Anthony Volpe 0.2937 0.2860 0.2500 26.4 20.2 6.2
4 Yandy Díaz 0.3004 0.3126 0.3185 11.4 5.2 6.2
5 Sal Frelick 0.2813 0.2938 0.3125 18.2 12.4 5.8
6 Nick Kurtz 0.2717 0.2860 0.3629 44.3 38.6 5.7
7 Jackson Chourio 0.3168 0.3078 0.3068 6.3 0.6 5.6
8 Ryan Ritter 0.2891 0.3185 0.3385 10.1 4.6 5.5
9 Spencer Horwitz 0.2934 0.3087 0.3132 7.9 2.7 5.2
10 Jonathan Aranda 0.2924 0.3074 0.4087 48.9 43.7 5.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kyle Tucker 0.2712 0.2815 0.2803 9.7 0.6 9.1
2 Vinnie Pasquantino 0.2634 0.2717 0.2710 10.1 1.0 9.1
3 Josh Lowe 0.3542 0.3289 0.2724 32.5 23.6 8.8
4 Brent Rooker 0.3250 0.3078 0.3018 11.2 2.7 8.5
5 Tyler Soderstrom 0.2643 0.2725 0.3275 43.9 35.6 8.2
6 Jarren Duran 0.3183 0.3237 0.3257 10.1 2.9 7.2
7 Michael Harris II 0.3376 0.3213 0.2785 33.3 26.1 7.2
8 Jordan Walker 0.2898 0.3016 0.3103 11.0 4.3 6.6
9 Caleb Durbin 0.2500 0.2574 0.2634 10.4 4.1 6.3
10 José Ramírez 0.2662 0.2705 0.2788 13.2 7.0 6.2

Single Rate

Everybody Missed for Single Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Brice Turang 0.2837
0.2271
(37.1)
0.2278
(36.4)
0.2328
(35.3)
0.2323
(34.3)
0.2247
(38.5)
0.2260
(35.7)
0.2291
(37.1)
0.2258
(36.9)
0.2271
(36.1)
0.2346
(33.7)
Seiya Suzuki 0.1932
0.2401
(30.6)
0.2377
(29.4)
0.2388
(28.0)
0.2507
(37.0)
0.2414
(31.7)
0.2333
(28.4)
0.2365
(27.1)
0.2379
(30.4)
0.2330
(27.1)
0.2418
(30.3)
Salvador Perez 0.1704
0.2250
(35.1)
0.2259
(36.0)
0.2328
(38.3)
0.2292
(37.3)
0.2296
(38.3)
0.2324
(42.1)
0.2320
(38.4)
0.2189
(32.3)
0.2109
(27.2)
0.2322
(38.3)
Dillon Dingler 0.2707
0.2136
(26.7)
0.2099
(28.2)
0.2153
(27.2)
0.1899
(38.2)
0.2098
(28.3)
0.2093
(27.1)
0.2103
(29.1)
0.2058
(29.5)
0.2110
(27.1)
0.2092
(29.8)
Jonathan Aranda 0.3214
0.2309
(38.1)
0.2327
(37.1)
0.2458
(33.0)
0.2034
(50.1)
0.2392
(34.4)
0.2270
(38.3)
0.2425
(34.0)
0.2190
(42.4)
0.2176
(43.0)
0.2528
(29.8)
Matt Wallner 0.1337
0.2233
(35.2)
0.2203
(34.3)
0.2218
(33.5)
0.2295
(37.3)
0.2227
(35.1)
0.2191
(34.9)
0.2229
(34.3)
0.2197
(34.5)
0.2113
(31.2)
0.2234
(34.4)
Eugenio Suárez 0.1629
0.2202
(37.8)
0.2189
(37.3)
0.2225
(37.5)
0.2287
(42.8)
0.2162
(35.5)
0.2263
(44.0)
0.2224
(38.0)
0.2159
(36.1)
0.2147
(35.3)
0.2164
(33.8)
Taylor Ward 0.1684
0.2239
(36.9)
0.2247
(37.8)
0.2260
(36.4)
0.2297
(40.2)
0.2246
(37.6)
0.2244
(39.5)
0.2266
(37.5)
0.2245
(38.4)
0.2244
(38.4)
0.2244
(35.8)

Individual Misses for Single Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Volpe 0.2092 0.1553 32.3
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2246 0.1749 32.3
3 Harrison Bader 0.2119 0.2752 31.6
4 J.P. Crawford 0.2135 0.2596 30.0
5 Hunter Goodman 0.1880 0.2396 29.7
6 Jake Meyers 0.2130 0.2888 28.8
7 TJ Friedl 0.2040 0.2462 28.7
8 Aaron Judge 0.2397 0.2806 27.7
9 Trent Grisham 0.1753 0.2222 27.2
10 Teoscar Hernández 0.2469 0.1983 26.6

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2236 0.1749 32.0
2 Harrison Bader 0.2113 0.2752 31.6
3 Anthony Volpe 0.2064 0.1553 30.9
4 Aaron Judge 0.2348 0.2806 30.6
5 J.P. Crawford 0.2134 0.2596 29.7
6 Trevor Story 0.2141 0.2591 28.9
7 TJ Friedl 0.2050 0.2462 27.7
8 Jake Meyers 0.2165 0.2888 27.3
9 George Springer 0.2096 0.2568 27.2
10 Will Smith 0.2018 0.2644 27.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sam Haggerty 0.5000 0.2320 48.3
2 Trevor Story 0.2033 0.2591 38.2
3 Trent Grisham 0.1701 0.2222 31.8
4 Aaron Judge 0.2380 0.2806 30.7
5 Hunter Goodman 0.1892 0.2396 30.7
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2243 0.1749 30.2
7 Harrison Bader 0.2177 0.2752 30.1
8 George Springer 0.2108 0.2568 28.5
9 Anthony Volpe 0.2054 0.1553 28.3
10 Will Smith 0.2030 0.2644 27.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Goodman 0.1724 0.2396 39.2
2 Anthony Volpe 0.2129 0.1553 34.0
3 J.P. Crawford 0.2114 0.2596 32.0
4 Jake Meyers 0.2063 0.2888 31.7
5 Trent Grisham 0.1691 0.2222 31.2
6 Harrison Bader 0.2152 0.2752 30.4
7 Jake Mangum 0.2184 0.2882 30.1
8 Luis Arraez 0.2722 0.2279 29.5
9 Brent Rooker 0.2476 0.2050 29.3
10 Bo Naylor 0.1992 0.1294 28.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Harrison Bader 0.2100 0.2752 32.3
2 Hunter Goodman 0.1864 0.2396 30.5
3 Trevor Story 0.2132 0.2591 29.6
4 Bo Naylor 0.2002 0.1294 29.5
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2189 0.1749 28.8
6 TJ Friedl 0.2046 0.2462 28.1
7 George Springer 0.2087 0.2568 27.8
8 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2589 0.2147 27.3
9 J.P. Crawford 0.2174 0.2596 27.2
10 Anthony Volpe 0.2002 0.1553 27.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 J.P. Crawford 0.1966 0.2596 38.8
2 Aaron Judge 0.2219 0.2806 37.4
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2215 0.1749 32.4
4 Will Smith 0.1869 0.2644 32.2
5 Harrison Bader 0.2077 0.2752 32.0
6 George Springer 0.1987 0.2568 32.0
7 Andy Pages 0.1940 0.2424 27.9
8 Anthony Volpe 0.1977 0.1553 27.4
9 Jake Meyers 0.2142 0.2888 27.1
10 Dominic Canzone 0.1857 0.2898 27.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Story 0.2091 0.2591 33.8
2 Aaron Judge 0.2351 0.2806 32.1
3 Hunter Goodman 0.1873 0.2396 31.3
4 Anthony Volpe 0.2089 0.1553 30.9
5 Harrison Bader 0.2153 0.2752 30.8
6 Will Smith 0.1999 0.2644 28.8
7 J.P. Crawford 0.2178 0.2596 28.4
8 George Springer 0.2112 0.2568 27.7
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2189 0.1749 27.3
10 Bo Naylor 0.1958 0.1294 26.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Harrison Bader 0.2042 0.2752 34.6
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2234 0.1749 32.6
3 Anthony Volpe 0.2076 0.1553 32.4
4 Aaron Judge 0.2343 0.2806 30.1
5 TJ Friedl 0.2009 0.2462 29.7
6 Jake Meyers 0.2119 0.2888 28.6
7 Bo Naylor 0.1946 0.1294 27.8
8 Teoscar Hernández 0.2471 0.1983 27.7
9 Ryan O'Hearn 0.2149 0.2670 27.3
10 Trent Grisham 0.1740 0.2222 26.9

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Anthony Volpe 0.2201 0.1553 39.8
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2287 0.1749 36.0
3 Harrison Bader 0.2057 0.2752 33.8
4 Aaron Judge 0.2290 0.2806 33.7
5 J.P. Crawford 0.2124 0.2596 29.7
6 TJ Friedl 0.2012 0.2462 29.5
7 Ryan O'Hearn 0.2137 0.2670 28.0
8 Jake Meyers 0.2157 0.2888 27.1
9 Bo Naylor 0.1920 0.1294 26.7
10 Jake Mangum 0.2252 0.2882 26.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Story 0.2032 0.2591 37.9
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2297 0.1749 34.1
3 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2709 0.2147 33.0
4 Trent Grisham 0.1680 0.2222 32.7
5 Teoscar Hernández 0.2583 0.1983 31.7
6 Hunter Goodman 0.1875 0.2396 31.3
7 Aaron Judge 0.2378 0.2806 30.4
8 Michael A. Taylor 0.2475 0.1593 28.0
9 J.P. Crawford 0.2191 0.2596 27.8
10 George Springer 0.2120 0.2568 27.5

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Kurtz 0.2058 0.2170 0.2447 18.9 13.2 5.8
2 Tyler Freeman 0.2158 0.2268 0.2485 13.9 9.0 4.9
3 Ryan Ritter 0.2184 0.2413 0.2462 5.7 0.8 4.8
4 Jahmai Jones 0.2461 0.2143 0.2000 6.9 2.3 4.7
5 Kyle Karros 0.2184 0.2443 0.2680 7.7 3.6 4.1
6 Hunter Goodman 0.1880 0.1933 0.2396 29.7 26.4 3.4
7 Zach McKinstry 0.1988 0.2044 0.2119 6.6 3.5 3.2
8 Mike Trout 0.2130 0.2178 0.2510 21.0 18.0 3.0
9 Kameron Misner 0.2304 0.2103 0.2143 3.5 0.7 2.8
10 Pavin Smith 0.2062 0.2148 0.2517 13.0 10.4 2.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sam Haggerty 0.5000 0.2213 0.2320 48.3 1.8 46.5
2 Trevor Story 0.2033 0.2141 0.2591 38.2 28.9 9.3
3 Heriberto Hernández 0.1818 0.2039 0.2601 23.8 16.3 7.5
4 Trent Grisham 0.1701 0.1772 0.2222 31.8 25.7 6.1
5 Riley Adams 0.1928 0.2093 0.2276 10.7 5.0 5.7
6 Ryan Ritter 0.2184 0.2413 0.2462 6.3 0.8 5.4
7 Spencer Torkelson 0.1875 0.1925 0.2065 14.0 8.6 5.4
8 Caleb Durbin 0.1846 0.1918 0.1995 8.9 3.5 5.3
9 Angel Martínez 0.2206 0.2071 0.1916 12.8 7.8 4.9
10 Jahmai Jones 0.2500 0.2143 0.2000 7.1 2.3 4.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chandler Simpson 0.2184 0.2533 0.2751 25.3 9.3 16.0
2 Jose Altuve 0.2532 0.2285 0.2283 15.9 0.6 15.2
3 Brent Rooker 0.2476 0.2270 0.2050 29.3 15.9 13.4
4 Jonathan Aranda 0.2034 0.2327 0.3214 50.1 37.1 12.9
5 Tyler Freeman 0.1980 0.2268 0.2485 21.9 9.0 12.9
6 Hunter Goodman 0.1724 0.1933 0.2396 39.2 26.4 12.9
7 Luis Arraez 0.2722 0.2533 0.2279 29.5 17.6 11.8
8 Victor Scott II 0.1872 0.2110 0.2203 15.6 4.0 11.7
9 Jasson Domínguez 0.2092 0.2321 0.2654 24.4 14.0 10.4
10 Dillon Dingler 0.1899 0.2099 0.2707 38.2 28.2 10.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cal Raleigh 0.1971 0.1849 0.1795 12.8 4.3 8.5
2 Jordan Beck 0.2205 0.2330 0.2593 22.4 15.0 7.5
3 Tyler Freeman 0.2130 0.2268 0.2485 14.9 9.0 5.9
4 Julio Rodríguez 0.2613 0.2537 0.2277 24.3 19.0 5.3
5 Riley Greene 0.2538 0.2461 0.2364 11.8 6.8 5.0
6 CJ Abrams 0.2155 0.2081 0.2045 7.3 2.7 4.6
7 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2589 0.2512 0.2147 27.3 22.7 4.6
8 Hyeseong Kim 0.2184 0.2442 0.3271 18.4 14.0 4.4
9 Brent Rooker 0.2332 0.2270 0.2050 20.2 15.9 4.3
10 Hunter Goodman 0.1864 0.1933 0.2396 30.5 26.4 4.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.2143 0.2323 0.2482 21.2 10.6 10.6
2 Matt McLain 0.2047 0.2250 0.2358 15.9 5.8 10.1
3 Bo Bichette 0.2272 0.2453 0.2479 10.7 1.2 9.6
4 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.2116 0.2284 0.2416 18.0 8.5 9.5
5 J.P. Crawford 0.1966 0.2134 0.2596 38.8 29.7 9.1
6 Mickey Moniak 0.2322 0.2171 0.2145 9.8 1.5 8.3
7 Spencer Steer 0.1794 0.1958 0.2127 16.9 9.2 7.7
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.2068 0.2199 0.2225 8.8 1.4 7.4
9 Matt Chapman 0.2140 0.2036 0.1897 14.9 7.8 7.1
10 Chase Meidroth 0.2113 0.2282 0.2493 17.4 10.3 7.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cam Smith 0.2008 0.2185 0.2391 19.7 9.8 9.9
2 Heliot Ramos 0.2278 0.2347 0.2528 18.5 12.0 6.5
3 Hunter Goodman 0.1873 0.1933 0.2396 31.3 26.4 4.9
4 Trevor Story 0.2091 0.2141 0.2591 33.8 28.9 4.9
5 Jung Hoo Lee 0.2317 0.2218 0.2021 17.2 12.7 4.6
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.2283 0.2323 0.2482 15.2 10.6 4.5
7 Cedric Mullins 0.2108 0.1999 0.1726 18.1 13.9 4.2
8 Jeff McNeil 0.2256 0.2146 0.1746 22.8 18.8 4.0
9 Joc Pederson 0.2253 0.2112 0.1451 24.0 20.5 3.6
10 Brady House 0.2194 0.2295 0.2500 8.9 5.4 3.4

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jarren Duran 0.2279 0.2185 0.2027 18.9 11.5 7.4
2 Nick Kurtz 0.2037 0.2170 0.2447 19.1 13.2 5.9
3 Jonathan Aranda 0.2190 0.2327 0.3214 42.4 37.1 5.3
4 Luis Arraez 0.2592 0.2533 0.2279 22.4 17.6 4.8
5 Chandler Simpson 0.2417 0.2533 0.2751 13.9 9.3 4.6
6 Ryan Ritter 0.2184 0.2413 0.2462 5.3 0.8 4.5
7 James Wood 0.2483 0.2431 0.2407 6.6 2.2 4.4
8 Bryan Reynolds 0.2406 0.2354 0.2170 16.7 12.6 4.1
9 Agustín Ramírez 0.2102 0.2045 0.1695 24.9 20.9 4.0
10 Kyle Karros 0.2184 0.2443 0.2680 7.4 3.6 3.8

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Anthony Volpe 0.2201 0.2064 0.1553 39.8 30.9 8.9
2 Jarren Duran 0.2279 0.2185 0.2027 18.8 11.5 7.3
3 Nick Kurtz 0.2037 0.2170 0.2447 19.2 13.2 6.0
4 Jonathan Aranda 0.2176 0.2327 0.3214 43.0 37.1 5.8
5 James Wood 0.2501 0.2431 0.2407 7.8 2.2 5.6
6 Joey Ortiz 0.2208 0.2116 0.2076 7.7 2.4 5.3
7 Angel Martínez 0.2159 0.2071 0.1916 12.7 7.8 4.8
8 Maikel Garcia 0.2373 0.2313 0.2187 13.7 8.9 4.8
9 Chandler Simpson 0.2417 0.2533 0.2751 13.9 9.3 4.6
10 Jackson Chourio 0.2356 0.2289 0.2126 14.7 10.1 4.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Vinnie Pasquantino 0.1816 0.1950 0.2012 14.8 3.7 11.0
2 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2709 0.2512 0.2147 33.0 22.7 10.3
3 Lars Nootbaar 0.1973 0.2100 0.2126 10.1 1.1 9.0
4 Trevor Story 0.2032 0.2141 0.2591 37.9 28.9 8.9
5 Jacob Wilson 0.2099 0.2235 0.2563 25.3 16.8 8.5
6 Matt Olson 0.1974 0.2055 0.2311 25.9 18.0 7.8
7 Brent Rooker 0.2406 0.2270 0.2050 23.5 15.9 7.6
8 Josh Lowe 0.2535 0.2341 0.1900 26.7 19.5 7.3
9 Trent Grisham 0.1680 0.1772 0.2222 32.7 25.7 6.9
10 Kyle Tucker 0.1977 0.2065 0.2071 6.8 0.1 6.7

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0875
0.0617
(17.9)
0.0622
(17.7)
0.0633
(17.5)
0.0540
(23.4)
0.0655
(16.3)
0.0566
(21.4)
0.0642
(16.6)
0.0649
(15.1)
0.0589
(19.0)
0.0640
(17.6)
Nick Kurtz 0.1097
0.0718
(19.4)
0.0654
(22.7)
0.0435
(33.8)
0.0654
(23.0)
0.0669
(22.5)
0.0654
(22.7)
0.0654
(22.8)
0.0625
(23.4)
0.0626
(23.4)
0.0633
(24.5)
Pavin Smith 0.1156
0.0654
(15.0)
0.0642
(15.4)
0.0664
(15.0)
0.0628
(16.0)
0.0673
(14.8)
0.0576
(17.3)
0.0679
(14.4)
0.0636
(15.2)
0.0656
(14.6)
0.0619
(16.5)
Bryan Reynolds 0.0948
0.0677
(18.9)
0.0677
(19.1)
0.0652
(21.2)
0.0641
(21.8)
0.0661
(20.8)
0.0690
(18.3)
0.0678
(19.2)
0.0667
(18.8)
0.0713
(15.9)
0.0649
(21.9)
James Wood 0.1089
0.0837
(18.6)
0.0843
(18.4)
0.0862
(17.6)
0.0702
(28.5)
0.0843
(19.1)
0.0866
(16.9)
0.0813
(20.6)
0.0844
(17.3)
0.0805
(20.1)
0.0890
(16.2)
Pete Alonso 0.0947
0.0632
(23.7)
0.0637
(23.5)
0.0660
(22.4)
0.0654
(22.7)
0.0693
(20.3)
0.0578
(27.7)
0.0624
(24.6)
0.0605
(24.7)
0.0647
(21.9)
0.0681
(21.5)
Trent Grisham 0.0278
0.0700
(23.4)
0.0707
(23.7)
0.0748
(25.7)
0.0773
(27.2)
0.0700
(22.7)
0.0788
(28.4)
0.0700
(23.1)
0.0634
(20.3)
0.0645
(20.9)
0.0779
(27.0)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael A. Taylor 0.0561 0.1099 18.1
2 Jakob Marsee 0.0409 0.1146 17.7
3 Matt Olson 0.0753 0.0967 16.8
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0749 0.0975 16.8
5 Mookie Betts 0.0722 0.0450 16.8
6 Jackson Holliday 0.0757 0.0488 16.2
7 Matt McLain 0.0828 0.0537 15.7
8 Bo Bichette 0.0699 0.0924 15.4
9 Ozzie Albies 0.0710 0.0462 15.3
10 Shea Langeliers 0.0649 0.0909 14.6

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael A. Taylor 0.0576 0.1099 17.7
2 Matt Olson 0.0747 0.0967 17.4
3 Mookie Betts 0.0729 0.0450 17.1
4 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0751 0.0975 16.8
5 Jackson Holliday 0.0759 0.0488 16.2
6 Matt McLain 0.0837 0.0537 16.1
7 Ozzie Albies 0.0709 0.0462 15.1
8 Jakob Marsee 0.0525 0.1146 15.0
9 Bo Bichette 0.0706 0.0924 15.0
10 Luis Robert Jr. 0.0816 0.0456 14.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jakob Marsee 0.0000 0.1146 27.5
2 Michael A. Taylor 0.0511 0.1099 20.0
3 Jahmai Jones 0.0000 0.1222 18.8
4 Corbin Carroll 0.0596 0.0833 17.0
5 Jackson Holliday 0.0777 0.0488 16.9
6 Mookie Betts 0.0733 0.0450 16.9
7 Willy Adames 0.0835 0.0561 16.9
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0761 0.0975 16.6
9 Tyler Soderstrom 0.0627 0.0856 16.1
10 Ozzie Albies 0.0729 0.0462 15.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mookie Betts 0.0793 0.0450 21.0
2 Michael A. Taylor 0.0526 0.1099 19.5
3 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0735 0.0975 18.3
4 Tyler Soderstrom 0.0591 0.0856 18.2
5 Matt McLain 0.0872 0.0537 17.8
6 Ozzie Albies 0.0747 0.0462 17.2
7 Corbin Carroll 0.0616 0.0833 15.7
8 Wilmer Flores 0.0675 0.0314 15.4
9 Shea Langeliers 0.0649 0.0909 15.0
10 Anthony Volpe 0.0619 0.0842 14.9

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Willy Adames 0.0838 0.0561 16.8
2 Michael A. Taylor 0.0617 0.1099 16.7
3 Matt Olson 0.0771 0.0967 16.5
4 Bo Bichette 0.0713 0.0924 15.3
5 Luis Robert Jr. 0.0830 0.0456 14.7
6 Freddie Freeman 0.0756 0.0954 14.4
7 Juan Soto 0.0726 0.0494 14.3
8 Jo Adell 0.0803 0.0526 14.0
9 Jakob Marsee 0.0582 0.1146 14.0
10 Ozzie Albies 0.0701 0.0462 13.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt McLain 0.0963 0.0537 23.3
2 Mookie Betts 0.0822 0.0450 23.2
3 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0667 0.0975 22.6
4 Matt Olson 0.0695 0.0967 21.2
5 Corbin Carroll 0.0528 0.0833 21.0
6 Riley Greene 0.0547 0.0842 20.7
7 Jackson Holliday 0.0813 0.0488 19.7
8 Luis Robert Jr. 0.0890 0.0456 17.8
9 Spencer Steer 0.0913 0.0580 17.7
10 Austin Hays 0.1048 0.0606 17.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael A. Taylor 0.0539 0.1099 19.0
2 Matt Olson 0.0745 0.0967 17.8
3 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0745 0.0975 17.5
4 Mookie Betts 0.0727 0.0450 16.8
5 Willy Adames 0.0822 0.0561 16.3
6 Ozzie Albies 0.0728 0.0462 16.2
7 Corbin Carroll 0.0605 0.0833 16.2
8 Shea Langeliers 0.0634 0.0909 15.6
9 Brooks Lee 0.0702 0.0391 15.1
10 Cam Smith 0.0426 0.0707 15.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Olson 0.0729 0.0967 17.7
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0740 0.0975 16.6
3 Jackson Holliday 0.0751 0.0488 16.6
4 Michael A. Taylor 0.0596 0.1099 16.6
5 Logan O'Hoppe 0.0672 0.0300 16.5
6 Mookie Betts 0.0702 0.0450 16.3
7 Bo Bichette 0.0687 0.0924 15.3
8 Ozzie Albies 0.0690 0.0462 14.7
9 Matt McLain 0.0798 0.0537 14.6
10 Carlos Narváez 0.0641 0.0961 14.6

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Logan O'Hoppe 0.0746 0.0300 19.8
2 Matt Olson 0.0706 0.0967 19.4
3 Bo Bichette 0.0629 0.0924 19.1
4 Ozzie Albies 0.0729 0.0462 17.3
5 Mookie Betts 0.0702 0.0450 16.2
6 Freddie Freeman 0.0711 0.0954 15.7
7 Michael A. Taylor 0.0631 0.1099 15.5
8 Juan Soto 0.0712 0.0494 15.1
9 Willson Contreras 0.0672 0.0928 14.9
10 Matt McLain 0.0801 0.0537 14.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael A. Taylor 0.0455 0.1099 22.1
2 Tyler Soderstrom 0.0571 0.0856 20.1
3 Jackson Holliday 0.0819 0.0488 19.1
4 Matt McLain 0.0879 0.0537 17.6
5 Corbin Carroll 0.0598 0.0833 17.4
6 Mookie Betts 0.0746 0.0450 17.2
7 Jakob Marsee 0.0465 0.1146 16.8
8 Willy Adames 0.0842 0.0561 16.7
9 Byron Buxton 0.1019 0.0675 16.6
10 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.0771 0.0975 16.5

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tim Tawa 0.0766 0.0643 0.0602 3.3 0.5 2.8
2 Jakob Marsee 0.0409 0.0525 0.1146 17.7 15.0 2.7
3 Jahmai Jones 0.0471 0.0642 0.1222 11.6 9.0 2.5
4 Kody Clemens 0.0679 0.0629 0.0500 6.2 4.2 2.0
5 Kerry Carpenter 0.0694 0.0661 0.0586 4.1 2.5 1.6
6 Cal Raleigh 0.0678 0.0707 0.0684 1.7 0.1 1.6
7 CJ Kayfus 0.0654 0.0767 0.1205 7.9 6.3 1.5
8 Reese McGuire 0.0706 0.0600 0.0200 6.8 5.3 1.5
9 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0707 0.0686 0.0639 3.0 1.6 1.5
10 Trevor Story 0.0806 0.0786 0.0702 5.5 4.1 1.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jakob Marsee 0.0000 0.0525 0.1146 27.5 15.0 12.5
2 Nick Kurtz 0.0435 0.0654 0.1097 33.8 22.7 11.1
3 Jahmai Jones 0.0000 0.0642 0.1222 18.8 9.0 9.7
4 Sam Haggerty 0.0000 0.0676 0.0560 10.7 1.7 9.0
5 Tim Tawa 0.1000 0.0643 0.0602 8.3 0.5 7.9
6 Reese McGuire 0.1111 0.0600 0.0200 12.4 5.3 7.1
7 Trevor Story 0.0891 0.0786 0.0702 10.5 4.1 6.4
8 Tristan Gray 0.0000 0.0666 0.0862 7.7 1.9 5.8
9 Cooper Hummel 0.1250 0.0706 0.0000 12.8 7.2 5.6
10 Cam Smith 0.0435 0.0534 0.0707 14.8 9.6 5.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 James Wood 0.0702 0.0843 0.1089 28.5 18.4 10.1
2 Victor Scott II 0.0749 0.0531 0.0508 9.9 0.1 9.8
3 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0493 0.0686 0.0639 10.7 1.6 9.1
4 Colt Keith 0.0472 0.0632 0.0726 13.1 5.4 7.7
5 Wilyer Abreu 0.1041 0.0863 0.0669 14.4 7.2 7.2
6 Jordan Beck 0.0656 0.0767 0.0769 8.2 1.3 6.9
7 Chandler Simpson 0.0654 0.0499 0.0397 10.2 3.6 6.6
8 Matt Chapman 0.0938 0.0813 0.0740 9.2 2.8 6.4
9 Miguel Vargas 0.0617 0.0721 0.0818 13.0 6.7 6.3
10 William Contreras 0.0836 0.0739 0.0644 10.9 4.9 6.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Hunter Goodman 0.0920 0.0820 0.0780 6.3 1.1 5.1
2 Jo Adell 0.0803 0.0711 0.0526 14.0 9.4 4.7
3 Heliot Ramos 0.0755 0.0688 0.0537 12.9 9.0 3.9
4 Willy Adames 0.0838 0.0775 0.0561 16.8 13.2 3.6
5 Jordan Walker 0.0845 0.0746 0.0560 10.0 6.5 3.5
6 Giancarlo Stanton 0.0781 0.0651 0.0611 3.9 0.5 3.4
7 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0594 0.0686 0.0639 4.7 1.6 3.2
8 Francisco Lindor 0.0647 0.0677 0.0716 7.4 4.4 3.0
9 Matt Chapman 0.0875 0.0813 0.0740 5.5 2.8 2.7
10 Jonathan Aranda 0.0660 0.0711 0.0873 10.3 7.7 2.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Riley Greene 0.0547 0.0715 0.0842 20.7 9.7 11.0
2 Jordan Beck 0.0624 0.0767 0.0769 9.8 1.3 8.5
3 Austin Hays 0.1048 0.0848 0.0606 17.5 9.2 8.3
4 Hunter Goodman 0.0641 0.0820 0.0780 9.3 1.1 8.2
5 J.P. Crawford 0.0774 0.0651 0.0542 13.8 5.7 8.0
6 Colt Keith 0.0463 0.0632 0.0726 13.3 5.4 7.9
7 Corbin Carroll 0.0528 0.0646 0.0833 21.0 13.4 7.6
8 Spencer Steer 0.0913 0.0780 0.0580 17.7 10.2 7.5
9 Matt McLain 0.0963 0.0837 0.0537 23.3 16.1 7.2
10 Steven Kwan 0.0643 0.0541 0.0514 7.4 0.4 7.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cam Smith 0.0426 0.0534 0.0707 15.1 9.6 5.5
2 Aaron Judge 0.0736 0.0803 0.0896 12.5 7.7 4.8
3 Gunnar Henderson 0.0713 0.0768 0.0794 6.9 3.1 3.8
4 Jacob Young 0.0641 0.0547 0.0375 8.8 5.5 3.3
5 Otto Lopez 0.0708 0.0653 0.0467 12.9 9.8 3.1
6 Nico Hoerner 0.0621 0.0570 0.0530 4.3 1.2 3.1
7 Willy Adames 0.0822 0.0775 0.0561 16.3 13.2 3.1
8 Corbin Carroll 0.0605 0.0646 0.0833 16.2 13.4 2.8
9 Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.0666 0.0616 0.0387 14.5 11.8 2.6
10 Brent Rooker 0.0723 0.0757 0.0901 14.1 11.6 2.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0776 0.0686 0.0639 8.0 1.6 6.5
2 Mickey Moniak 0.0788 0.0709 0.0660 5.6 1.3 4.3
3 Randy Arozarena 0.0663 0.0727 0.0800 10.2 6.7 3.5
4 Logan O'Hoppe 0.0672 0.0613 0.0300 16.5 13.2 3.3
5 Edgar Quero 0.0686 0.0628 0.0584 3.8 0.9 2.9
6 Kyle Tucker 0.0724 0.0691 0.0631 5.1 2.3 2.8
7 Heliot Ramos 0.0709 0.0688 0.0537 11.5 9.0 2.5
8 Luis García Jr. 0.0584 0.0645 0.0705 6.7 4.3 2.5
9 Ty France 0.0622 0.0686 0.0700 4.2 1.7 2.5
10 Kerry Carpenter 0.0698 0.0661 0.0586 4.9 2.5 2.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Bryce Harper 0.0756 0.0883 0.0899 8.7 2.1 6.6
2 Logan O'Hoppe 0.0746 0.0613 0.0300 19.8 13.2 6.6
3 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0758 0.0686 0.0639 6.8 1.6 5.3
4 Mickey Moniak 0.0801 0.0709 0.0660 6.1 1.3 4.8
5 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0488 0.0560 0.0643 11.8 7.5 4.2
6 Bo Bichette 0.0629 0.0706 0.0924 19.1 15.0 4.1
7 Marcell Ozuna 0.0741 0.0688 0.0576 9.3 5.4 3.9
8 Kerry Carpenter 0.0729 0.0661 0.0586 6.3 2.5 3.8
9 Randy Arozarena 0.0661 0.0727 0.0800 10.4 6.7 3.7
10 Spencer Horwitz 0.0699 0.0798 0.0925 9.6 6.1 3.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Trevor Story 0.0963 0.0786 0.0702 14.6 4.1 10.6
2 Jac Caglianone 0.0989 0.0656 0.0397 12.9 5.5 7.4
3 Tyler Soderstrom 0.0571 0.0659 0.0856 20.1 13.6 6.5
4 Jackson Merrill 0.0575 0.0683 0.0776 11.5 5.5 6.0
5 Hunter Goodman 0.0938 0.0820 0.0780 7.0 1.1 5.9
6 Nathaniel Lowe 0.0532 0.0613 0.0625 7.9 2.0 5.9
7 Byron Buxton 0.1019 0.0898 0.0675 16.6 10.9 5.7
8 Cam Smith 0.0435 0.0534 0.0707 15.2 9.6 5.7
9 Victor Scott II 0.0422 0.0531 0.0508 5.7 0.1 5.6
10 Junior Caminero 0.0537 0.0601 0.0638 8.9 3.8 5.1

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Byron Buxton 0.0225
0.0080
(8.1)
0.0081
(8.2)
0.0069
(8.7)
0.0081
(8.4)
0.0081
(8.3)
0.0074
(8.4)
0.0078
(8.3)
0.0085
(7.9)
0.0079
(8.2)
0.0093
(8.0)
Shohei Ohtani 0.0241
0.0139
(7.8)
0.0128
(8.8)
0.0134
(8.2)
0.0166
(6.2)
0.0136
(8.4)
0.0116
(9.4)
0.0116
(9.5)
0.0160
(6.3)
0.0101
(10.6)
0.0129
(9.3)
Austin Hays 0.0189
0.0034
(6.7)
0.0037
(6.7)
0.0032
(6.7)
0.0039
(6.7)
0.0038
(6.7)
0.0025
(7.0)
0.0026
(7.1)
0.0034
(6.7)
0.0036
(6.6)
0.0069
(5.6)
Mickey Moniak 0.0264
0.0112
(7.3)
0.0122
(6.9)
0.0126
(6.6)
0.0073
(9.3)
0.0135
(6.4)
0.0106
(7.5)
0.0111
(7.3)
0.0128
(6.5)
0.0111
(7.3)
0.0156
(5.7)
Daylen Lile 0.0421
0.0053
(13.1)
0.0160
(9.5)
0.0053
(13.1)
0.0053
(13.3)
0.0151
(9.8)
0.0053
(13.1)
0.0095
(11.7)
0.0053
(13.1)
0.0053
(13.1)
0.0233
(7.1)
Corbin Carroll 0.0443
0.0229
(14.1)
0.0221
(14.7)
0.0252
(12.5)
0.0246
(13.3)
0.0235
(14.0)
0.0231
(13.9)
0.0236
(13.6)
0.0206
(15.6)
0.0149
(19.2)
0.0263
(12.5)
Jung Hoo Lee 0.0247
0.0078
(10.8)
0.0073
(11.2)
0.0080
(10.6)
0.0049
(12.9)
0.0050
(12.8)
0.0064
(11.6)
0.0067
(11.5)
0.0082
(10.6)
0.0087
(10.3)
0.0081
(11.2)
James Wood 0.0000
0.0115
(7.5)
0.0105
(6.7)
0.0115
(7.6)
0.0132
(8.3)
0.0095
(5.9)
0.0097
(6.3)
0.0098
(6.4)
0.0092
(5.9)
0.0092
(6.0)
0.0148
(9.2)
Riley Greene 0.0027
0.0141
(7.1)
0.0137
(6.7)
0.0152
(7.9)
0.0152
(7.5)
0.0155
(7.7)
0.0126
(6.2)
0.0133
(6.6)
0.0143
(7.2)
0.0111
(5.1)
0.0147
(6.9)
Jeff McNeil 0.0148
0.0034
(5.5)
0.0032
(5.7)
0.0031
(5.6)
0.0027
(6.1)
0.0028
(6.0)
0.0031
(5.6)
0.0032
(5.6)
0.0030
(5.7)
0.0042
(5.1)
0.0026
(6.3)
Trea Turner 0.0149
0.0051
(6.6)
0.0054
(6.5)
0.0043
(7.1)
0.0054
(6.8)
0.0058
(6.4)
0.0041
(7.2)
0.0041
(7.3)
0.0062
(5.9)
0.0080
(4.8)
0.0048
(7.4)
Zach McKinstry 0.0328
0.0157
(9.0)
0.0146
(9.7)
0.0171
(8.3)
0.0146
(9.9)
0.0154
(9.4)
0.0144
(9.7)
0.0144
(9.7)
0.0141
(9.9)
0.0133
(10.2)
0.0152
(9.8)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jarren Duran 0.0195 0.0296 7.4
2 Brandon Nimmo 0.0099 0.0000 6.1
3 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0141 0.0028 6.0
4 Matt McLain 0.0105 0.0000 5.7
5 Ben Rice 0.0015 0.0116 5.7
6 Michael Busch 0.0059 0.0142 5.2
7 Kody Clemens 0.0037 0.0167 5.2
8 Masyn Winn 0.0100 0.0000 5.1

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jarren Duran 0.0187 0.0296 8.1
2 Brandon Nimmo 0.0096 0.0000 5.8
3 Michael Busch 0.0058 0.0142 5.4
4 Ben Rice 0.0023 0.0116 5.3
5 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0127 0.0028 5.1
6 Masyn Winn 0.0101 0.0000 5.0
7 Matt McLain 0.0094 0.0000 5.0
8 Hunter Goodman 0.0064 0.0139 4.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0170 0.0028 7.7
2 Kody Clemens 0.0000 0.0167 6.6
3 Jarren Duran 0.0207 0.0296 6.5
4 Ben Rice 0.0000 0.0116 6.4
5 Matt McLain 0.0115 0.0000 6.3
6 Hunter Goodman 0.0045 0.0139 5.7
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0185 0.0095 5.5
8 Masyn Winn 0.0104 0.0000 5.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jarren Duran 0.0201 0.0296 7.4
2 Matt McLain 0.0134 0.0000 7.1
3 Brandon Nimmo 0.0108 0.0000 6.3
4 Jordan Beck 0.0055 0.0142 5.8
5 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0141 0.0028 5.7
6 TJ Friedl 0.0136 0.0044 5.6
7 Ketel Marte 0.0110 0.0000 5.5
8 Jacob Wilson 0.0110 0.0000 5.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jarren Duran 0.0184 0.0296 8.5
2 Michael Busch 0.0045 0.0142 6.3
3 Brandon Nimmo 0.0098 0.0000 5.8
4 Ben Rice 0.0017 0.0116 5.7
5 Masyn Winn 0.0112 0.0000 5.5
6 Hunter Goodman 0.0056 0.0139 5.4
7 Jackson Merrill 0.0088 0.0186 5.2
8 Jordan Beck 0.0066 0.0142 5.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jarren Duran 0.0185 0.0296 8.1
2 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0162 0.0028 7.2
3 Brandon Nimmo 0.0090 0.0000 5.5
4 Ben Rice 0.0023 0.0116 5.2
5 Rafael Devers 0.0075 0.0000 5.1
6 Michael Busch 0.0062 0.0142 5.0
7 Ketel Marte 0.0095 0.0000 5.0
8 Heliot Ramos 0.0098 0.0022 4.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jarren Duran 0.0189 0.0296 7.9
2 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0167 0.0028 7.4
3 Brandon Nimmo 0.0089 0.0000 5.4
4 Ben Rice 0.0021 0.0116 5.3
5 Ketel Marte 0.0099 0.0000 5.2
6 Michael Busch 0.0061 0.0142 5.1
7 Heliot Ramos 0.0100 0.0022 5.0
8 Rafael Devers 0.0074 0.0000 5.0

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jarren Duran 0.0176 0.0296 8.8
2 Brandon Nimmo 0.0111 0.0000 6.9
3 Michael Busch 0.0052 0.0142 5.6
4 Matt McLain 0.0095 0.0000 5.1
5 Jackson Merrill 0.0089 0.0186 5.0
6 Hunter Goodman 0.0064 0.0139 4.7
7 Masyn Winn 0.0091 0.0000 4.6
8 Ben Rice 0.0039 0.0116 4.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jarren Duran 0.0142 0.0296 11.1
2 Jackson Merrill 0.0082 0.0186 5.3
3 Brandon Nimmo 0.0083 0.0000 5.1
4 Masyn Winn 0.0099 0.0000 5.0
5 Michael Busch 0.0067 0.0142 4.7
6 Otto Lopez 0.0085 0.0000 4.7
7 Wyatt Langford 0.0116 0.0031 4.6
8 Bryce Harper 0.0084 0.0000 4.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ben Rice 0.0000 0.0116 6.9
2 Matt McLain 0.0130 0.0000 6.7
3 Masyn Winn 0.0131 0.0000 6.2
4 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0153 0.0028 6.2
5 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0203 0.0095 6.1
6 Otto Lopez 0.0115 0.0000 6.0
7 Brandon Nimmo 0.0104 0.0000 5.8
8 Michael Busch 0.0060 0.0142 5.7

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Daylen Lile 0.0053 0.0160 0.0421 13.1 9.5 3.7
2 Kody Clemens 0.0037 0.0092 0.0167 5.2 3.2 2.0
3 Angel Martínez 0.0022 0.0055 0.0060 2.1 0.6 1.5
4 Bryce Teodosio 0.0053 0.0144 0.0215 2.5 1.2 1.3
5 Elly De La Cruz 0.0204 0.0189 0.0164 2.4 1.2 1.2
6 Andy Pages 0.0070 0.0054 0.0024 2.6 1.4 1.2
7 Nathan Lukes 0.0025 0.0052 0.0061 1.8 0.7 1.1
8 Eli White 0.0036 0.0076 0.0169 3.7 2.7 1.0
9 CJ Kayfus 0.0053 0.0133 0.0120 1.0 0.1 0.9
10 Sam Haggerty 0.0053 0.0107 0.0240 3.5 2.6 0.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Daylen Lile 0.0053 0.0160 0.0421 13.1 9.5 3.7
2 Kody Clemens 0.0000 0.0092 0.0167 6.6 3.2 3.4
3 Andy Pages 0.0096 0.0054 0.0024 4.2 1.4 2.8
4 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0170 0.0127 0.0028 7.7 5.1 2.5
5 Angel Martínez 0.0000 0.0055 0.0060 3.1 0.6 2.5
6 Nathan Lukes 0.0000 0.0052 0.0061 2.9 0.7 2.1
7 Riley Adams 0.0120 0.0053 0.0000 3.3 1.3 2.0
8 Eli White 0.0000 0.0076 0.0169 4.7 2.7 2.0
9 Sam Haggerty 0.0000 0.0107 0.0240 4.5 2.6 1.9
10 Chandler Simpson 0.0000 0.0045 0.0079 3.7 1.8 1.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nathan Lukes 0.0180 0.0052 0.0061 4.7 0.7 4.0
2 Daylen Lile 0.0053 0.0160 0.0421 13.3 9.5 3.9
3 Seiya Suzuki 0.0149 0.0096 0.0078 3.9 0.7 3.3
4 Elly De La Cruz 0.0232 0.0189 0.0164 4.0 1.2 2.8
5 Jacob Wilson 0.0110 0.0060 0.0000 5.2 2.7 2.5
6 Mickey Moniak 0.0073 0.0122 0.0264 9.3 6.9 2.4
7 Dillon Dingler 0.0127 0.0070 0.0064 2.5 0.1 2.4
8 Carlos Narváez 0.0075 0.0020 0.0000 2.9 0.5 2.3
9 Julio Rodríguez 0.0027 0.0056 0.0085 4.9 2.6 2.3
10 Gunnar Henderson 0.0179 0.0141 0.0117 3.3 1.1 2.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Elly De La Cruz 0.0213 0.0189 0.0164 2.8 1.2 1.6
2 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0050 0.0073 0.0247 12.8 11.2 1.5
3 Wenceel Pérez 0.0203 0.0169 0.0161 1.3 0.0 1.2
4 Gunnar Henderson 0.0160 0.0141 0.0117 2.2 1.1 1.1
5 Romy Gonzalez 0.0092 0.0124 0.0130 1.6 0.5 1.1
6 Seiya Suzuki 0.0115 0.0096 0.0078 1.8 0.7 1.1
7 Riley Greene 0.0155 0.0137 0.0027 7.7 6.7 1.1
8 Bryson Stott 0.0055 0.0072 0.0075 1.6 0.6 1.1
9 Freddie Freeman 0.0035 0.0050 0.0049 1.4 0.4 1.0
10 Tyler Freeman 0.0042 0.0063 0.0061 1.2 0.2 1.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Daylen Lile 0.0053 0.0160 0.0421 13.1 9.5 3.6
2 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0162 0.0127 0.0028 7.2 5.1 2.1
3 Heliot Ramos 0.0098 0.0081 0.0022 4.9 3.6 1.4
4 Julio Rodríguez 0.0034 0.0056 0.0085 4.0 2.6 1.3
5 Bryce Teodosio 0.0053 0.0144 0.0215 2.5 1.2 1.3
6 Heriberto Hernández 0.0106 0.0065 0.0058 1.3 0.0 1.3
7 Victor Caratini 0.0053 0.0026 0.0000 1.8 0.7 1.2
8 Pedro Pagés 0.0078 0.0053 0.0000 2.9 1.8 1.1
9 Seiya Suzuki 0.0108 0.0096 0.0078 1.6 0.7 1.0
10 CJ Kayfus 0.0053 0.0133 0.0120 1.0 0.1 0.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Mike Yastrzemski 0.0167 0.0127 0.0028 7.4 5.1 2.3
2 Daylen Lile 0.0095 0.0160 0.0421 11.7 9.5 2.2
3 Heliot Ramos 0.0100 0.0081 0.0022 5.0 3.6 1.4
4 Julio Rodríguez 0.0036 0.0056 0.0085 3.9 2.6 1.3
5 Pedro Pagés 0.0079 0.0053 0.0000 2.8 1.8 1.1
6 Victor Caratini 0.0050 0.0026 0.0000 1.7 0.7 1.0
7 Seiya Suzuki 0.0110 0.0096 0.0078 1.7 0.7 1.0
8 Ketel Marte 0.0099 0.0083 0.0000 5.2 4.2 1.0
9 Kyle Isbel 0.0170 0.0149 0.0131 1.4 0.4 0.9
10 Alex Bregman 0.0065 0.0049 0.0000 2.9 2.1 0.9

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Daylen Lile 0.0053 0.0160 0.0421 13.1 9.5 3.7
2 Cam Smith 0.0048 0.0089 0.0101 2.9 1.0 2.0
3 Gabriel Arias 0.0046 0.0084 0.0076 1.7 0.0 1.7
4 Romy Gonzalez 0.0074 0.0124 0.0130 2.1 0.5 1.6
5 Randy Arozarena 0.0064 0.0043 0.0025 2.4 0.7 1.6
6 Ozzie Albies 0.0090 0.0068 0.0040 2.9 1.3 1.6
7 Bryce Teodosio 0.0053 0.0144 0.0215 2.5 1.2 1.3
8 Isaac Collins 0.0065 0.0094 0.0109 2.2 1.0 1.2
9 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.0102 0.0082 0.0035 3.3 2.1 1.2
10 Brandon Nimmo 0.0111 0.0096 0.0000 6.9 5.8 1.1

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Corbin Carroll 0.0149 0.0221 0.0443 19.2 14.7 4.5
2 Daylen Lile 0.0053 0.0160 0.0421 13.1 9.5 3.7
3 Bryce Harper 0.0084 0.0032 0.0000 4.6 1.4 3.2
4 Jarren Duran 0.0142 0.0187 0.0296 11.1 8.1 3.0
5 Jackson Holliday 0.0119 0.0084 0.0070 2.8 0.4 2.4
6 Cam Smith 0.0047 0.0089 0.0101 2.9 1.0 2.0
7 Brice Turang 0.0104 0.0077 0.0047 3.4 1.5 1.9
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.0101 0.0128 0.0241 10.6 8.8 1.8
9 Gabriel Arias 0.0043 0.0084 0.0076 1.8 0.0 1.8
10 Nolan Schanuel 0.0063 0.0035 0.0024 1.9 0.2 1.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 James Wood 0.0148 0.0105 0.0000 9.2 6.7 2.5
2 Romy Gonzalez 0.0221 0.0124 0.0130 2.6 0.5 2.1
3 Nick Kurtz 0.0000 0.0036 0.0084 4.8 2.8 2.1
4 Ceddanne Rafaela 0.0156 0.0114 0.0096 2.7 0.6 2.0
5 Alek Thomas 0.0157 0.0111 0.0096 2.2 0.3 1.8
6 Kerry Carpenter 0.0073 0.0105 0.0163 4.8 3.0 1.8
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0203 0.0169 0.0095 6.1 4.3 1.8
8 Jose Altuve 0.0000 0.0020 0.0022 2.4 0.6 1.8
9 Gunnar Henderson 0.0175 0.0141 0.0117 2.8 1.1 1.7
10 Willson Contreras 0.0000 0.0023 0.0030 2.5 0.8 1.7

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
George Springer 0.1809
0.1258
(33.3)
0.1236
(34.1)
0.1256
(34.8)
0.1297
(31.5)
0.1208
(34.5)
0.1184
(36.4)
0.1223
(35.1)
0.1244
(33.0)
0.1247
(33.0)
0.1284
(34.1)
Michael Harris II 0.0858
0.1408
(34.1)
0.1391
(33.6)
0.1364
(29.8)
0.1369
(31.1)
0.1460
(39.4)
0.1301
(28.6)
0.1360
(31.4)
0.1411
(35.5)
0.1418
(35.8)
0.1377
(29.7)
Ernie Clement 0.1412
0.1075
(20.9)
0.1095
(19.1)
0.1126
(19.2)
0.1114
(19.0)
0.1084
(18.5)
0.1115
(17.2)
0.1113
(18.3)
0.1055
(20.9)
0.1100
(18.4)
0.1122
(20.4)
Brice Turang 0.1472
0.1140
(23.1)
0.1127
(23.2)
0.1156
(23.5)
0.1135
(23.9)
0.1050
(27.0)
0.1089
(25.0)
0.1126
(23.6)
0.1150
(21.1)
0.1140
(21.9)
0.1195
(22.0)
Aaron Judge 0.2018
0.1634
(27.3)
0.1665
(24.5)
0.1664
(26.8)
0.1692
(23.8)
0.1715
(19.7)
0.1653
(24.5)
0.1714
(21.5)
0.1677
(23.1)
0.1642
(25.6)
0.1622
(30.7)
Nick Kurtz 0.1840
0.1141
(35.1)
0.1111
(36.0)
0.1143
(36.1)
0.1182
(33.4)
0.1122
(34.5)
0.1182
(32.0)
0.1182
(32.8)
0.1045
(38.9)
0.1046
(38.9)
0.1203
(34.0)
Cal Raleigh 0.1560
0.1179
(28.2)
0.1186
(26.9)
0.1216
(27.2)
0.1208
(26.6)
0.1263
(20.1)
0.1184
(26.3)
0.1214
(25.3)
0.1154
(28.5)
0.1104
(32.2)
0.1205
(29.1)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1416 0.1790 21.2
2 Myles Straw 0.1023 0.1706 20.9
3 Trent Grisham 0.1166 0.1497 20.3
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.1755 0.2008 19.7
5 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1203 0.0776 18.5
6 Junior Caminero 0.1166 0.1424 18.0
7 Michael Toglia 0.1204 0.0653 18.0
8 Trevor Story 0.1142 0.1391 17.5
9 Marcell Ozuna 0.1329 0.1030 16.6
10 Miguel Vargas 0.1140 0.1406 16.2

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1359 0.1790 23.8
2 Myles Straw 0.1018 0.1706 20.8
3 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1175 0.0776 17.6
4 Michael Toglia 0.1177 0.0653 17.4
5 Trent Grisham 0.1208 0.1497 17.3
6 Marcell Ozuna 0.1320 0.1030 16.7
7 Salvador Perez 0.1100 0.0842 16.0
8 Trevor Story 0.1155 0.1391 16.0
9 Gunnar Henderson 0.1558 0.1306 15.9
10 Shohei Ohtani 0.1797 0.2008 15.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1409 0.1790 22.9
2 Jackson Holliday 0.1469 0.1079 22.7
3 Myles Straw 0.1000 0.1706 22.3
4 Trent Grisham 0.1197 0.1497 19.8
5 Trevor Story 0.1149 0.1391 18.5
6 Michael Toglia 0.1230 0.0653 18.1
7 Kyle Manzardo 0.1265 0.0885 18.0
8 Eugenio Suárez 0.1166 0.1385 17.1
9 Ramón Laureano 0.1173 0.1475 16.7
10 Junior Caminero 0.1215 0.1424 16.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.1608 0.2008 30.9
2 Junior Caminero 0.1053 0.1424 25.9
3 Trent Grisham 0.1139 0.1497 22.3
4 Trevor Story 0.1086 0.1391 21.6
5 Byron Buxton 0.1459 0.1790 19.3
6 Michael Toglia 0.1244 0.0653 19.1
7 Joey Bart 0.1229 0.0633 19.0
8 Zach Neto 0.1164 0.1480 18.9
9 Miguel Vargas 0.1099 0.1406 18.9
10 Kyle Stowers 0.0965 0.1335 18.1

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1337 0.1790 23.8
2 Miguel Vargas 0.1002 0.1406 22.3
3 Gunnar Henderson 0.1633 0.1306 22.1
4 Marcell Ozuna 0.1390 0.1030 22.0
5 Myles Straw 0.1000 0.1706 20.7
6 Francisco Lindor 0.1311 0.1598 20.1
7 Jarren Duran 0.1500 0.1236 19.3
8 Trevor Story 0.1093 0.1391 18.7
9 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1166 0.0776 18.1
10 CJ Abrams 0.1152 0.1449 18.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1222 0.1790 30.6
2 Luis Arraez 0.1330 0.0978 24.0
3 Trevor Story 0.1029 0.1391 23.5
4 Myles Straw 0.0963 0.1706 22.1
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.1713 0.2008 21.2
6 Salvador Perez 0.1155 0.0842 20.2
7 Ramón Laureano 0.1075 0.1475 19.4
8 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1106 0.1406 19.2
9 Kyle Manzardo 0.1240 0.0885 19.0
10 Gunnar Henderson 0.1586 0.1306 18.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1272 0.1790 28.7
2 Myles Straw 0.0938 0.1706 23.3
3 Salvador Perez 0.1190 0.0842 21.5
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1109 0.1406 20.0
5 Trevor Story 0.1100 0.1391 19.8
6 Luis Arraez 0.1281 0.0978 19.7
7 Ramón Laureano 0.1093 0.1475 19.3
8 Bryan Reynolds 0.1336 0.1040 18.6
9 Michael Toglia 0.1211 0.0653 18.4
10 Trent Grisham 0.1199 0.1497 18.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1358 0.1790 23.3
2 Myles Straw 0.1015 0.1706 20.6
3 Trent Grisham 0.1159 0.1497 19.6
4 Marcell Ozuna 0.1347 0.1030 18.8
5 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1114 0.1361 17.7
6 Miguel Vargas 0.1094 0.1406 17.7
7 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1167 0.0776 17.7
8 Michael Toglia 0.1174 0.0653 17.6
9 Salvador Perez 0.1115 0.0842 17.5
10 Francisco Lindor 0.1369 0.1598 16.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Byron Buxton 0.1351 0.1790 23.8
2 Myles Straw 0.1047 0.1706 19.7
3 Logan O'Hoppe 0.1212 0.0776 19.6
4 Michael Toglia 0.1178 0.0653 17.7
5 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1124 0.1361 17.1
6 Marcell Ozuna 0.1315 0.1030 16.8
7 Andrew Vaughn 0.1157 0.0783 16.7
8 Junior Caminero 0.1175 0.1424 16.3
9 Francisco Lindor 0.1379 0.1598 16.1
10 Salvador Perez 0.1093 0.0842 16.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jackson Holliday 0.1746 0.1079 39.6
2 Trent Grisham 0.1204 0.1497 20.4
3 Junior Caminero 0.1172 0.1424 20.2
4 Josh Naylor 0.1073 0.1341 19.6
5 Joey Bart 0.1254 0.0633 18.7
6 Myles Straw 0.1142 0.1706 18.5
7 Kyle Manzardo 0.1288 0.0885 18.4
8 Michael Toglia 0.1241 0.0653 17.9
9 Eugenio Suárez 0.1174 0.1385 17.6
10 Tyler Soderstrom 0.0989 0.1202 16.8

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Isaac Collins 0.1005 0.1086 0.1270 12.4 8.4 4.0
2 Gavin Sheets 0.0949 0.1010 0.1046 6.3 2.4 3.9
3 Shohei Ohtani 0.1755 0.1797 0.2008 19.7 15.9 3.8
4 Mike Tauchman 0.1274 0.1171 0.1143 4.4 0.8 3.6
5 Junior Caminero 0.1166 0.1209 0.1424 18.0 14.6 3.5
6 Trent Grisham 0.1166 0.1208 0.1497 20.3 17.3 3.0
7 Marcus Semien 0.1398 0.1331 0.1161 11.7 8.7 3.0
8 Yandy Díaz 0.1173 0.1235 0.1214 3.8 0.9 2.9
9 Hunter Goodman 0.1123 0.1162 0.1261 9.0 6.2 2.9
10 Yohel Pozo 0.1182 0.1001 0.0952 3.6 0.7 2.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tim Tawa 0.0714 0.1023 0.1289 13.8 6.1 7.7
2 Jackson Holliday 0.1469 0.1321 0.1079 22.7 15.3 7.5
3 Jung Hoo Lee 0.1120 0.1189 0.1183 6.4 0.1 6.3
4 Nacho Alvarez Jr. 0.1429 0.1153 0.0865 10.9 5.8 5.0
5 Mike Tauchman 0.1325 0.1171 0.1143 5.4 0.8 4.6
6 Ildemaro Vargas 0.1429 0.1020 0.0992 4.8 0.2 4.5
7 Steven Kwan 0.1369 0.1271 0.1169 11.0 6.5 4.5
8 Heriberto Hernández 0.0952 0.1071 0.1361 13.2 8.7 4.5
9 Josh Naylor 0.1166 0.1203 0.1341 13.1 8.8 4.2
10 Jose Altuve 0.1429 0.1332 0.1223 10.8 6.6 4.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.1608 0.1797 0.2008 30.9 15.9 15.0
2 Junior Caminero 0.1053 0.1209 0.1424 25.9 14.6 11.3
3 Jose Altuve 0.1521 0.1332 0.1223 17.8 6.6 11.2
4 Tyler Soderstrom 0.0939 0.1100 0.1202 17.9 6.8 11.1
5 Gavin Sheets 0.0825 0.1010 0.1046 13.4 2.4 11.0
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1385 0.1514 0.1606 17.0 6.9 10.1
7 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.1274 0.1443 0.1412 11.1 1.6 9.5
8 Heliot Ramos 0.1078 0.1191 0.1223 11.8 2.8 9.0
9 Mike Tauchman 0.1422 0.1171 0.1143 9.8 0.8 9.0
10 Bo Bichette 0.1132 0.1249 0.1242 8.5 0.1 8.4

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1334 0.1514 0.1606 18.0 6.9 11.1
2 Xavier Edwards 0.1002 0.1173 0.1212 12.2 2.9 9.3
3 José Ramírez 0.1252 0.1403 0.1530 17.9 9.1 8.8
4 Brandon Nimmo 0.1403 0.1289 0.1242 11.3 2.5 8.7
5 Chandler Simpson 0.0946 0.1163 0.1202 10.7 2.1 8.7
6 Cam Smith 0.1317 0.1171 0.1116 10.6 2.3 8.2
7 Lawrence Butler 0.1140 0.1290 0.1317 10.4 2.2 8.2
8 CJ Abrams 0.1152 0.1297 0.1449 18.1 10.1 7.9
9 Agustín Ramírez 0.0923 0.1076 0.1231 17.3 9.5 7.7
10 Miguel Vargas 0.1002 0.1156 0.1406 22.3 14.7 7.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Luis Arraez 0.1330 0.1192 0.0978 24.0 13.9 10.1
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1106 0.1256 0.1406 19.2 10.2 9.0
3 Elly De La Cruz 0.1314 0.1484 0.1459 9.9 1.2 8.7
4 Randy Arozarena 0.1120 0.1254 0.1340 15.3 6.7 8.7
5 Yandy Díaz 0.1354 0.1235 0.1214 9.4 0.9 8.5
6 Trevor Story 0.1029 0.1155 0.1391 23.5 16.0 7.5
7 Christian Yelich 0.1216 0.1336 0.1366 9.4 2.4 7.0
8 Corbin Carroll 0.1462 0.1582 0.1667 12.9 5.9 7.0
9 Byron Buxton 0.1222 0.1359 0.1790 30.6 23.8 6.8
10 Matt Chapman 0.1129 0.1266 0.1421 15.4 8.7 6.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Yandy Díaz 0.1400 0.1235 0.1214 11.3 0.9 10.4
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1109 0.1256 0.1406 20.0 10.2 9.8
3 Willi Castro 0.1082 0.1229 0.1278 9.4 2.6 6.9
4 Cam Smith 0.0945 0.1171 0.1116 9.0 2.3 6.7
5 TJ Friedl 0.1342 0.1246 0.1197 9.1 2.8 6.3
6 Lars Nootbaar 0.1384 0.1273 0.1166 12.0 5.7 6.2
7 Austin Wells 0.1302 0.1163 0.1138 6.8 0.8 6.0
8 Nolan Schanuel 0.1302 0.1191 0.1135 8.7 2.7 6.0
9 Bryan Reynolds 0.1336 0.1242 0.1040 18.6 12.7 5.9
10 Steven Kwan 0.1360 0.1271 0.1169 12.4 6.5 5.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jacob Wilson 0.1032 0.1163 0.1185 8.0 1.6 6.4
2 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1114 0.1210 0.1361 17.7 11.4 6.3
3 Juan Soto 0.1516 0.1612 0.1678 11.5 5.3 6.2
4 Brent Rooker 0.1417 0.1344 0.1316 7.1 1.4 5.7
5 Luis Robert Jr. 0.1359 0.1249 0.1206 6.6 1.5 5.1
6 Xander Bogaerts 0.1247 0.1169 0.1141 5.9 1.1 4.8
7 Cedric Mullins 0.1341 0.1256 0.1165 8.8 4.2 4.7
8 Brenton Doyle 0.1329 0.1254 0.1059 14.5 10.0 4.5
9 Kody Clemens 0.1025 0.1147 0.1192 6.4 2.0 4.4
10 William Contreras 0.1203 0.1277 0.1351 9.6 5.3 4.3

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1322 0.1444 0.1533 15.3 7.0 8.3
2 Jacob Wilson 0.1040 0.1163 0.1185 7.6 1.6 6.0
3 Geraldo Perdomo 0.1124 0.1210 0.1361 17.1 11.4 5.7
4 Brenton Doyle 0.1350 0.1254 0.1059 15.6 10.0 5.5
5 Cal Raleigh 0.1104 0.1186 0.1560 32.2 26.9 5.3
6 Tyler Freeman 0.1320 0.1206 0.1168 6.5 1.3 5.2
7 Oneil Cruz 0.1397 0.1311 0.1140 13.9 8.9 5.0
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1638 0.1574 0.1441 13.5 8.6 4.8
9 Cedric Mullins 0.1346 0.1256 0.1165 9.0 4.2 4.8
10 Cody Bellinger 0.1177 0.1255 0.1357 11.9 7.2 4.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jackson Holliday 0.1746 0.1321 0.1079 39.6 15.3 24.4
2 Jacob Wilson 0.1514 0.1163 0.1185 14.2 1.6 12.6
3 Josh Naylor 0.1073 0.1203 0.1341 19.6 8.8 10.8
4 Jung Hoo Lee 0.1069 0.1189 0.1183 10.5 0.1 10.4
5 Gavin Sheets 0.0872 0.1010 0.1046 12.5 2.4 10.2
6 Tyler Soderstrom 0.0989 0.1100 0.1202 16.8 6.8 10.0
7 Mike Tauchman 0.1478 0.1171 0.1143 10.7 0.8 9.9
8 Cam Smith 0.1399 0.1171 0.1116 11.2 2.3 8.8
9 Yandy Díaz 0.1129 0.1235 0.1214 9.2 0.9 8.3
10 Matt Olson 0.1294 0.1352 0.1354 8.4 0.7 7.7

RBI Rate

Everybody Missed for RBI Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Nick Kurtz 0.1759
0.0908
(42.3)
0.0970
(39.0)
0.0857
(47.1)
0.1134
(31.6)
0.1057
(33.7)
0.1134
(29.7)
0.1134
(31.6)
0.0987
(37.2)
0.0987
(37.4)
0.0913
(46.0)
Geraldo Perdomo 0.1389
0.0853
(39.6)
0.0834
(40.6)
0.0923
(38.0)
0.0953
(32.9)
0.0753
(44.9)
0.0902
(33.8)
0.0937
(34.1)
0.0720
(47.4)
0.0756
(45.0)
0.0921
(40.6)
Riley Greene 0.1695
0.1189
(34.0)
0.1199
(33.0)
0.1229
(34.6)
0.1117
(39.2)
0.1210
(31.0)
0.1154
(34.3)
0.1200
(33.8)
0.1197
(31.9)
0.1194
(32.3)
0.1252
(35.2)
Eugenio Suárez 0.1796
0.1376
(28.5)
0.1326
(31.5)
0.1314
(35.8)
0.1411
(26.7)
0.1311
(31.1)
0.1179
(39.4)
0.1263
(36.5)
0.1405
(25.0)
0.1391
(26.1)
0.1355
(35.2)
Drake Baldwin 0.1794
0.1106
(31.3)
0.1066
(32.9)
0.1122
(32.7)
0.1134
(30.4)
0.1093
(30.7)
0.0990
(35.1)
0.1021
(35.5)
0.1011
(34.4)
0.1009
(34.7)
0.1231
(29.3)
Christian Yelich 0.1599
0.1135
(30.8)
0.1129
(30.9)
0.1150
(32.9)
0.1111
(32.8)
0.1067
(33.5)
0.1109
(30.5)
0.1103
(33.3)
0.1137
(29.1)
0.1158
(27.9)
0.1197
(32.1)

Individual Misses for RBI Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1425 0.1823 29.8
2 Colson Montgomery 0.0921 0.1937 29.2
3 Taylor Ward 0.1154 0.1554 27.4
4 Michael Conforto 0.1314 0.0741 27.2
5 Jo Adell 0.1281 0.1710 25.4
6 Cal Raleigh 0.1437 0.1773 24.6
7 TJ Friedl 0.1147 0.0774 24.6
8 Otto Lopez 0.0898 0.1296 24.5
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1392 0.1027 24.3
10 Trevor Story 0.1116 0.1468 23.9

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1472 0.1027 30.1
2 Colson Montgomery 0.0923 0.1937 29.1
3 Michael Conforto 0.1335 0.0741 28.4
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.1452 0.1823 27.6
5 Taylor Ward 0.1183 0.1554 25.2
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1092 0.1468 24.9
7 Otto Lopez 0.0891 0.1296 24.6
8 Brice Turang 0.0865 0.1229 24.6
9 Trevor Story 0.1117 0.1468 23.5
10 Cal Raleigh 0.1454 0.1773 23.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1368 0.1823 37.5
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1535 0.1027 30.8
3 Taylor Ward 0.1155 0.1554 30.5
4 Michael Conforto 0.1388 0.0741 28.5
5 Colson Montgomery 0.1016 0.1937 27.9
6 Cal Raleigh 0.1455 0.1773 26.8
7 Seiya Suzuki 0.1250 0.1582 25.7
8 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1381 0.0843 25.4
9 Otto Lopez 0.0952 0.1296 24.1
10 Trevor Story 0.1166 0.1468 23.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Junior Caminero 0.1151 0.1685 36.2
2 Chase Meidroth 0.1134 0.0455 33.2
3 TJ Friedl 0.1271 0.0774 32.6
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.1422 0.1823 30.6
5 Jo Adell 0.1207 0.1710 30.0
6 Tyler Soderstrom 0.1030 0.1490 30.0
7 Ramón Laureano 0.0992 0.1557 28.6
8 Taylor Ward 0.1146 0.1554 28.4
9 Seiya Suzuki 0.1207 0.1582 25.8
10 Michael Busch 0.1111 0.1520 25.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.2058 0.1403 48.5
2 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1617 0.1027 41.6
3 Marcell Ozuna 0.1729 0.1149 35.1
4 Otto Lopez 0.0701 0.1296 34.6
5 Michael Conforto 0.1430 0.0741 34.1
6 Colson Montgomery 0.0750 0.1937 33.4
7 Gunnar Henderson 0.1524 0.1045 32.0
8 Aaron Judge 0.2138 0.1679 32.0
9 Brice Turang 0.0744 0.1229 31.2
10 Mike Trout 0.1691 0.1151 30.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1297 0.1823 36.9
2 Cal Raleigh 0.1318 0.1773 30.9
3 Colson Montgomery 0.0864 0.1937 30.0
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1413 0.1027 27.8
5 Trevor Story 0.1033 0.1468 27.3
6 Taylor Ward 0.1127 0.1554 27.1
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1035 0.1468 26.9
8 Michael Conforto 0.1255 0.0741 25.8
9 Josh Smith 0.1043 0.0622 24.7
10 Jo Adell 0.1264 0.1710 24.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1277 0.1823 41.1
2 Taylor Ward 0.1094 0.1554 31.9
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1495 0.1027 30.8
4 Colson Montgomery 0.0924 0.1937 29.4
5 Cal Raleigh 0.1391 0.1773 28.5
6 Michael Conforto 0.1295 0.0741 25.9
7 Seiya Suzuki 0.1211 0.1582 25.6
8 Trevor Story 0.1104 0.1468 25.2
9 Jo Adell 0.1311 0.1710 24.1
10 Bo Bichette 0.1135 0.1497 24.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0961 0.1468 32.1
2 Jo Adell 0.1191 0.1710 29.2
3 Colson Montgomery 0.0938 0.1937 28.1
4 Michael Conforto 0.1297 0.0741 27.6
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1407 0.1027 27.0
6 Mike Trout 0.1606 0.1151 25.9
7 Otto Lopez 0.0864 0.1296 25.1
8 Nathan Lukes 0.0907 0.1484 24.8
9 Brice Turang 0.0846 0.1229 24.5
10 Giancarlo Stanton 0.1478 0.2349 24.2

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brice Turang 0.0788 0.1229 28.6
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.1024 0.1468 28.3
3 Colson Montgomery 0.0941 0.1937 28.1
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.1440 0.1823 27.2
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1412 0.1027 27.1
6 Brandon Nimmo 0.1007 0.1411 25.8
7 Michael Conforto 0.1262 0.0741 25.7
8 Trevor Story 0.1079 0.1468 24.9
9 Jo Adell 0.1272 0.1710 24.7
10 Cal Raleigh 0.1423 0.1773 24.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.2038 0.1403 39.3
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.1471 0.1823 32.4
3 Michael Conforto 0.1493 0.0741 31.9
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1568 0.1027 30.8
5 Taylor Ward 0.1208 0.1554 29.2
6 Cam Smith 0.1678 0.1034 27.1
7 Paul Goldschmidt 0.1433 0.0843 26.5
8 Otto Lopez 0.0952 0.1296 26.1
9 TJ Friedl 0.1247 0.0774 25.9
10 Colson Montgomery 0.1122 0.1937 25.8

Most Unique Misses for RBI Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ben Williamson 0.1134 0.0837 0.0712 12.0 3.4 8.6
2 Andy Pages 0.1222 0.1319 0.1378 10.6 4.3 6.4
3 Michael Harris II 0.1234 0.1322 0.1342 7.8 1.8 5.9
4 TJ Friedl 0.1147 0.1066 0.0774 24.6 19.4 5.2
5 Bryce Teodosio 0.1134 0.0842 0.0467 9.8 5.5 4.3
6 Jacob Wilson 0.0929 0.1004 0.1205 15.1 11.0 4.1
7 Jo Adell 0.1281 0.1344 0.1710 25.4 21.5 3.8
8 Jose Altuve 0.1041 0.1094 0.1177 9.8 6.0 3.8
9 Edgar Quero 0.1160 0.1063 0.0893 10.2 6.5 3.7
10 Anthony Volpe 0.0978 0.1034 0.1208 14.6 10.9 3.7

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1368 0.1452 0.1823 37.5 27.6 9.9
2 Nick Kurtz 0.0857 0.0970 0.1759 47.1 39.0 8.1
3 Ben Williamson 0.1134 0.0837 0.0712 10.6 3.4 7.2
4 Sam Haggerty 0.1429 0.0992 0.0714 11.9 4.9 7.0
5 Tim Tawa 0.1429 0.1075 0.0800 12.7 6.0 6.8
6 Taylor Ward 0.1155 0.1183 0.1554 30.5 25.2 5.4
7 Yandy Díaz 0.1091 0.1119 0.1275 16.0 10.7 5.3
8 Cam Smith 0.1353 0.1200 0.1034 12.7 7.7 5.0
9 Dominic Canzone 0.1071 0.1210 0.1190 4.8 0.3 4.5
10 Willy Adames 0.1250 0.1263 0.1268 5.5 1.0 4.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Junior Caminero 0.1151 0.1408 0.1685 36.2 18.6 17.6
2 Andy Pages 0.1065 0.1319 0.1378 20.9 4.3 16.6
3 Chandler Simpson 0.1134 0.0757 0.0590 23.1 7.0 16.1
4 Tyler Soderstrom 0.1030 0.1270 0.1490 30.0 14.3 15.7
5 Chase Meidroth 0.1134 0.0813 0.0455 33.2 17.6 15.6
6 TJ Friedl 0.1271 0.1066 0.0774 32.6 19.4 13.2
7 Michael Harris II 0.1131 0.1322 0.1342 14.9 1.8 13.0
8 Kyle Manzardo 0.1053 0.1264 0.1318 15.2 3.4 11.9
9 Elly De La Cruz 0.1078 0.1267 0.1230 12.1 1.9 10.2
10 Willy Adames 0.1452 0.1263 0.1268 11.1 1.0 10.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.2058 0.1728 0.1403 48.5 23.0 25.5
2 Aaron Judge 0.2138 0.1846 0.1679 32.0 10.7 21.3
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.1750 0.1336 0.1019 30.6 12.7 17.9
4 Matt Olson 0.1713 0.1524 0.1312 29.9 14.7 15.2
5 Marcell Ozuna 0.1729 0.1524 0.1149 35.1 21.7 13.4
6 Austin Riley 0.1766 0.1495 0.1208 25.5 12.4 13.1
7 Julio Rodríguez 0.1492 0.1344 0.1338 11.8 0.2 11.5
8 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1617 0.1472 0.1027 41.6 30.1 11.5
9 Sal Frelick 0.0671 0.0877 0.1061 22.4 11.5 11.0
10 Elly De La Cruz 0.1392 0.1267 0.1230 12.2 1.9 10.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1297 0.1452 0.1823 36.9 27.6 9.3
2 Eugenio Suárez 0.1179 0.1326 0.1796 39.4 31.5 7.9
3 Cal Raleigh 0.1318 0.1454 0.1773 30.9 23.2 7.7
4 Julio Rodríguez 0.1215 0.1344 0.1338 7.5 0.2 7.3
5 Rafael Devers 0.1377 0.1497 0.1495 7.4 0.5 6.9
6 Ian Happ 0.1044 0.1169 0.1192 8.6 2.1 6.5
7 Chandler Simpson 0.0871 0.0757 0.0590 13.2 7.0 6.2
8 Nolan Schanuel 0.1042 0.0939 0.0940 6.7 0.5 6.2
9 Willy Adames 0.1147 0.1263 0.1268 7.1 1.0 6.1
10 Steven Kwan 0.0920 0.0867 0.0808 8.9 3.5 5.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.1277 0.1452 0.1823 41.1 27.6 13.6
2 Yandy Díaz 0.1022 0.1119 0.1275 17.9 10.7 7.2
3 Taylor Ward 0.1094 0.1183 0.1554 31.9 25.2 6.8
4 Ian Happ 0.1084 0.1169 0.1192 8.6 2.1 6.5
5 Jung Hoo Lee 0.1185 0.1069 0.0891 16.8 10.4 6.4
6 Jarren Duran 0.1042 0.1120 0.1207 13.0 6.7 6.4
7 Victor Scott II 0.0968 0.0823 0.0799 6.8 0.7 6.1
8 Cal Raleigh 0.1391 0.1454 0.1773 28.5 23.2 5.3
9 Austin Wells 0.1113 0.1215 0.1585 22.1 17.0 5.1
10 Chandler Simpson 0.0882 0.0757 0.0590 11.9 7.0 5.0

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Luis Arraez 0.1065 0.0920 0.0904 11.6 0.4 11.1
2 Ben Williamson 0.1134 0.0837 0.0712 12.8 3.4 9.3
3 Ketel Marte 0.1545 0.1397 0.1295 14.5 5.2 9.3
4 Jo Adell 0.1191 0.1344 0.1710 29.2 21.5 7.6
5 Bryan Reynolds 0.1293 0.1199 0.1116 12.3 4.8 7.4
6 Trent Grisham 0.0988 0.1134 0.1274 16.0 8.6 7.4
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.0961 0.1092 0.1468 32.1 24.9 7.2
8 Kyle Tucker 0.1527 0.1431 0.1223 18.8 11.9 6.9
9 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0720 0.0834 0.1389 47.4 40.6 6.8
10 Steven Kwan 0.0940 0.0867 0.0808 9.9 3.5 6.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ben Williamson 0.1134 0.0837 0.0712 12.7 3.4 9.2
2 Cody Bellinger 0.1164 0.1310 0.1494 21.1 12.7 8.5
3 Nolan Schanuel 0.0797 0.0939 0.0940 7.7 0.5 7.1
4 Ketel Marte 0.1508 0.1397 0.1295 12.2 5.2 7.1
5 William Contreras 0.1417 0.1330 0.1153 17.9 11.0 6.9
6 Anthony Volpe 0.0909 0.1034 0.1208 17.4 10.9 6.5
7 Michael Harris II 0.1205 0.1322 0.1342 8.3 1.8 6.5
8 Matt Chapman 0.1372 0.1271 0.1140 12.8 6.5 6.3
9 Jazz Chisholm Jr. 0.1182 0.1312 0.1507 16.8 10.8 6.0
10 Adolis García 0.1235 0.1356 0.1371 7.1 1.3 5.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cam Smith 0.1678 0.1200 0.1034 27.1 7.7 19.4
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.2038 0.1728 0.1403 39.3 23.0 16.3
3 Brent Rooker 0.1712 0.1493 0.1273 24.0 14.7 9.3
4 Gleyber Torres 0.1005 0.1050 0.1178 16.9 8.7 8.2
5 Ceddanne Rafaela 0.1360 0.1136 0.1073 11.3 3.2 8.1
6 Gavin Lux 0.0968 0.1039 0.1054 9.1 1.2 7.9
7 Isaac Paredes 0.1506 0.1248 0.1210 8.8 1.3 7.5
8 Ben Rice 0.1538 0.1317 0.1226 11.5 4.3 7.2
9 Wyatt Langford 0.1479 0.1269 0.1082 17.3 10.2 7.1
10 Zach McKinstry 0.0799 0.0851 0.0959 13.0 6.0 7.0

Stolen Base Rate

Everybody Missed for Stolen Base Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
Shohei Ohtani 0.1026
0.1976
(66.3)
0.2018
(70.1)
0.2143
(82.7)
0.1801
(54.7)
0.2100
(72.6)
0.1983
(67.5)
0.1895
(62.1)
0.1854
(58.2)
0.1969
(66.4)
0.2356
(98.3)
Elly De La Cruz 0.2114
0.3674
(106.3)
0.3506
(95.3)
0.3439
(94.0)
0.3380
(86.8)
0.3743
(108.6)
0.3677
(107.2)
0.3481
(94.4)
0.3195
(73.5)
0.3389
(87.0)
0.3397
(91.2)
Jorge Mateo 1.1538
0.3549
(66.6)
0.3622
(65.9)
0.3333
(67.9)
0.3182
(69.6)
0.3458
(67.7)
0.3295
(68.7)
0.3365
(68.0)
0.4181
(61.3)
0.4238
(60.8)
0.3284
(68.3)
Tyler Tolbert 1.4000
0.0800
(75.5)
0.2280
(67.0)
0.0800
(75.1)
0.0800
(75.4)
0.2811
(64.2)
0.1892
(69.2)
0.1933
(68.9)
0.0800
(75.4)
0.0800
(75.4)
0.2500
(65.4)
Brice Turang 0.1277
0.2622
(86.1)
0.2472
(76.9)
0.2384
(74.3)
0.2465
(76.7)
0.2595
(81.9)
0.2441
(74.8)
0.2421
(74.4)
0.2426
(73.8)
0.2453
(75.6)
0.2349
(72.1)
Juan Soto 0.1743
0.0387
(99.7)
0.0386
(99.0)
0.0352
(98.0)
0.0412
(96.8)
0.0467
(96.6)
0.0419
(96.8)
0.0410
(96.4)
0.0345
(102.0)
0.0362
(100.8)
0.0315
(100.5)
DaShawn Keirsey Jr. 1.0000
0.1654
(73.8)
0.1769
(72.7)
0.1786
(72.1)
0.0851
(80.7)
0.2172
(69.5)
0.0800
(81.2)
0.1531
(74.7)
0.1598
(74.2)
0.1764
(72.7)
0.1901
(71.1)
Gunnar Henderson 0.1754
0.1019
(50.4)
0.0993
(51.3)
0.0994
(48.2)
0.0903
(56.9)
0.1068
(49.6)
0.1031
(49.0)
0.1001
(50.0)
0.0942
(54.8)
0.0964
(53.3)
0.0930
(52.2)
Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.0652
0.1968
(52.6)
0.2374
(69.8)
0.2453
(75.0)
0.2455
(73.3)
0.2536
(74.5)
0.1985
(53.7)
0.2659
(82.1)
0.2739
(84.8)
0.2493
(74.6)
0.2236
(66.2)
Byron Buxton 0.2105
0.0883
(68.3)
0.0876
(68.2)
0.0865
(66.1)
0.0899
(66.7)
0.0956
(66.4)
0.0816
(71.4)
0.0797
(71.8)
0.0900
(66.9)
0.0890
(67.4)
0.0886
(64.9)
Josh Naylor 0.1852
0.0483
(85.0)
0.0511
(82.6)
0.0537
(78.2)
0.0597
(77.2)
0.0589
(80.8)
0.0464
(85.6)
0.0474
(84.2)
0.0536
(81.2)
0.0480
(84.7)
0.0556
(77.0)
Oneil Cruz 0.3140
0.1598
(86.0)
0.1517
(89.8)
0.1429
(92.1)
0.1379
(97.1)
0.1400
(98.8)
0.1328
(100.2)
0.1294
(101.3)
0.1708
(79.5)
0.1696
(80.2)
0.1606
(82.3)

Individual Misses for Stolen Base Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Robert Jr. 0.1934 0.3267 59.1
2 Jo Adell 0.1481 0.0450 56.9
3 Tommy Edman 0.1878 0.0395 54.5
4 Harrison Bader 0.1947 0.0833 53.8
5 Colton Cowser 0.0664 0.2090 52.7
6 Maikel Garcia 0.2099 0.1329 48.7
7 Jackson Merrill 0.1128 0.0094 48.0
8 José Caballero 0.3681 0.4900 46.5

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Harrison Bader 0.1988 0.0833 56.5
2 Luis Robert Jr. 0.1994 0.3267 56.1
3 Jo Adell 0.1447 0.0450 55.5
4 Tommy Edman 0.1819 0.0395 52.7
5 José Caballero 0.3521 0.4900 52.1
6 Colton Cowser 0.0674 0.2090 52.0
7 Jake Mangum 0.1176 0.2269 48.0
8 Jackson Merrill 0.1052 0.0094 44.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Robert Jr. 0.1786 0.3267 63.0
2 Harrison Bader 0.1875 0.0833 53.2
3 Jo Adell 0.1339 0.0450 52.1
4 Colton Cowser 0.0629 0.2090 51.9
5 Tommy Edman 0.1714 0.0395 50.5
6 Maikel Garcia 0.2055 0.1329 49.6
7 Jake Mangum 0.1111 0.2269 48.7
8 José Ramírez 0.1801 0.2514 46.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chandler Simpson 0.0800 0.3548 122.3
2 Victor Scott II 0.1228 0.2906 78.8
3 José Caballero 0.3063 0.4900 68.8
4 Luis Robert Jr. 0.1717 0.3267 67.8
5 Jake Mangum 0.0800 0.2269 63.9
6 David Hamilton 0.2892 0.5789 56.7
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2283 0.3125 56.0
8 José Ramírez 0.1724 0.2514 54.8

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jo Adell 0.1580 0.0450 60.4
2 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2006 0.3267 57.6
3 Colton Cowser 0.0717 0.2090 52.1
4 Caleb Durbin 0.2444 0.1364 50.8
5 Luis Rengifo 0.1800 0.0787 50.7
6 Harrison Bader 0.1919 0.0833 50.6
7 Maikel Garcia 0.2095 0.1329 46.0
8 José Caballero 0.3745 0.4900 45.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jo Adell 0.1573 0.0450 62.6
2 Harrison Bader 0.2035 0.0833 58.7
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2310 0.3125 54.6
4 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2094 0.3267 51.8
5 Jake Mangum 0.1091 0.2269 51.7
6 José Caballero 0.3549 0.4900 51.1
7 Colton Cowser 0.0726 0.2090 50.1
8 Tommy Edman 0.1708 0.0395 48.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jo Adell 0.1533 0.0450 61.1
2 Harrison Bader 0.1988 0.0833 57.1
3 Luis Robert Jr. 0.1962 0.3267 56.9
4 José Caballero 0.3439 0.4900 54.6
5 Jake Mangum 0.1034 0.2269 53.5
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2352 0.3125 51.0
7 Colton Cowser 0.0702 0.2090 50.5
8 David Hamilton 0.3258 0.5789 49.4

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Harrison Bader 0.2205 0.0833 67.3
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2163 0.3125 64.1
3 Tommy Edman 0.2107 0.0395 63.5
4 José Caballero 0.3280 0.4900 61.0
5 Jo Adell 0.1419 0.0450 53.9
6 Colton Cowser 0.0636 0.2090 53.4
7 Jake Mangum 0.1094 0.2269 51.5
8 Agustín Ramírez 0.0606 0.1416 49.0

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Caballero 0.3174 0.4900 65.0
2 Harrison Bader 0.2087 0.0833 61.3
3 Tommy Edman 0.1988 0.0395 59.0
4 Jo Adell 0.1410 0.0450 53.3
5 Luis Robert Jr. 0.2081 0.3267 52.4
6 Colton Cowser 0.0663 0.2090 52.4
7 TJ Friedl 0.1295 0.0571 47.5
8 Jackson Merrill 0.1102 0.0094 47.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Robert Jr. 0.1714 0.3267 66.0
2 José Ramírez 0.1711 0.2514 52.6
3 Colton Cowser 0.0608 0.2090 52.5
4 Tommy Edman 0.1759 0.0395 52.3
5 Maikel Garcia 0.2081 0.1329 51.5
6 Harrison Bader 0.1758 0.0833 47.4
7 Jackson Merrill 0.1029 0.0094 46.2
8 Andy Pages 0.0242 0.1000 45.9

Most Unique Misses for Stolen Base Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Myles Straw 0.2839 0.1804 0.1690 33.2 2.6 30.6
2 Sam Haggerty 0.0800 0.2100 0.2553 32.6 8.8 23.9
3 Bryce Teodosio 0.0800 0.2035 0.2593 27.5 8.8 18.7
4 Isaac Collins 0.1732 0.1376 0.1260 19.1 3.9 15.2
5 Heriberto Hernández 0.0800 0.0276 0.0127 18.7 3.6 15.1
6 Xavier Edwards 0.2149 0.1911 0.1475 39.3 25.2 14.1
7 Otto Lopez 0.1607 0.1359 0.1034 31.7 17.7 14.1
8 Sal Frelick 0.1390 0.1166 0.1111 14.3 1.6 12.7
9 Nate Eaton 0.0800 0.2082 0.3462 24.3 12.7 11.6
10 Yohel Pozo 0.0800 0.0113 0.0000 12.8 1.4 11.4

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sam Haggerty 0.0000 0.2100 0.2553 46.1 8.8 37.3
2 Addison Barger 0.0000 0.0441 0.0412 19.7 0.0 19.7
3 Bryce Teodosio 0.0800 0.2035 0.2593 26.6 8.8 17.8
4 Taylor Trammell 0.2500 0.1240 0.1000 20.5 2.9 17.6
5 Kody Clemens 0.0000 0.0474 0.0685 25.7 9.2 16.5
6 Denzel Clarke 0.0800 0.1695 0.2000 18.8 5.3 13.5
7 Michael Helman 0.0000 0.1223 0.2000 21.8 8.8 12.9
8 Shohei Ohtani 0.2143 0.2018 0.1026 82.7 70.1 12.5
9 Tim Tawa 0.0000 0.0602 0.1739 38.7 26.2 12.5
10 Yohel Pozo 0.0800 0.0113 0.0000 13.8 1.4 12.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chandler Simpson 0.0800 0.3449 0.3548 122.3 5.6 116.7
2 Victor Scott II 0.1228 0.2675 0.2906 78.8 12.0 66.8
3 Drake Baldwin 0.0800 0.0080 0.0000 34.6 2.3 32.3
4 Luisangel Acuña 0.0769 0.2170 0.3265 48.6 21.7 27.0
5 Matt Shaw 0.0800 0.1398 0.1848 46.8 20.9 26.0
6 Edgar Quero 0.0800 0.0183 0.0000 31.3 6.3 25.0
7 Liam Hicks 0.0800 0.0197 0.0175 23.4 0.2 23.2
8 Jakob Marsee 0.0800 0.1768 0.2373 37.4 14.8 22.6
9 Xavier Edwards 0.2264 0.1911 0.1475 47.4 25.2 22.1
10 Hunter Goodman 0.0678 0.0311 0.0081 33.2 11.7 21.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chandler Simpson 0.4613 0.3449 0.3548 43.6 5.6 38.1
2 Caleb Durbin 0.2444 0.1906 0.1364 50.8 26.0 24.8
3 Geraldo Perdomo 0.0872 0.1024 0.1233 31.4 17.0 14.4
4 Elly De La Cruz 0.3743 0.3506 0.2114 108.6 95.3 13.3
5 Cam Smith 0.0196 0.0417 0.0661 26.7 13.4 13.3
6 Hyeseong Kim 0.0800 0.1474 0.3023 39.1 26.8 12.3
7 Matt McLain 0.1587 0.1352 0.1295 12.5 1.7 10.8
8 Ceddanne Rafaela 0.2111 0.1890 0.1695 20.0 9.8 10.2
9 Jonatan Clase 0.3795 0.2884 0.1111 29.2 19.5 9.7
10 Liam Hicks 0.0000 0.0197 0.0175 9.8 0.2 9.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Kurtz 0.0800 0.0378 0.0163 29.7 9.2 20.6
2 Bryce Teodosio 0.0800 0.2035 0.2593 27.3 8.8 18.5
3 Victor Scott II 0.2354 0.2675 0.2906 26.9 12.0 15.0
4 CJ Abrams 0.2697 0.2470 0.2199 29.8 15.5 14.3
5 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1228 0.1413 0.1600 27.8 14.9 12.9
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2310 0.2496 0.3125 54.6 42.5 12.1
7 Elly De La Cruz 0.3677 0.3506 0.2114 107.2 95.3 11.9
8 Nate Eaton 0.0800 0.2082 0.3462 24.2 12.7 11.6
9 Yohel Pozo 0.0800 0.0113 0.0000 12.9 1.4 11.5
10 Oneil Cruz 0.1328 0.1517 0.3140 100.2 89.8 10.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Kurtz 0.0800 0.0378 0.0163 30.4 9.2 21.2
2 Victor Scott II 0.2330 0.2675 0.2906 27.4 12.0 15.4
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.1196 0.1413 0.1600 29.0 14.9 14.1
4 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.2659 0.2374 0.0652 82.1 69.8 12.3
5 Oneil Cruz 0.1294 0.1517 0.3140 101.3 89.8 11.4
6 CJ Abrams 0.2609 0.2470 0.2199 25.1 15.5 9.6
7 Jasson Domínguez 0.1416 0.1650 0.2035 27.2 17.7 9.5
8 Randy Arozarena 0.1302 0.1441 0.1751 32.9 24.0 9.0
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2352 0.2496 0.3125 51.0 42.5 8.5
10 Eli White 0.1452 0.1730 0.1923 13.2 6.0 7.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chandler Simpson 0.2498 0.3449 0.3548 47.6 5.6 42.0
2 Sam Haggerty 0.0800 0.2100 0.2553 32.4 8.8 23.7
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.2163 0.2496 0.3125 64.1 42.5 21.6
4 Bryce Teodosio 0.0800 0.2035 0.2593 27.3 8.8 18.5
5 Heriberto Hernández 0.0800 0.0276 0.0127 18.9 3.6 15.4
6 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.2739 0.2374 0.0652 84.8 69.8 15.0
7 Cedric Mullins 0.2584 0.2308 0.2056 24.8 11.2 13.7
8 J.T. Realmuto 0.1000 0.0775 0.0597 20.6 8.2 12.4
9 Nate Eaton 0.0800 0.2082 0.3462 24.2 12.7 11.5
10 Yohel Pozo 0.0800 0.0113 0.0000 13.0 1.4 11.5

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chandler Simpson 0.2781 0.3449 0.3548 35.1 5.6 29.5
2 Sam Haggerty 0.0800 0.2100 0.2553 32.4 8.8 23.7
3 Bryce Teodosio 0.0800 0.2035 0.2593 27.3 8.8 18.5
4 Heriberto Hernández 0.0800 0.0276 0.0127 18.9 3.6 15.4
5 Javier Sanoja 0.1544 0.1131 0.0923 20.2 6.2 14.1
6 José Caballero 0.3174 0.3521 0.4900 65.0 52.1 12.9
7 Corbin Carroll 0.2538 0.2345 0.2286 14.3 2.0 12.3
8 J.T. Realmuto 0.0987 0.0775 0.0597 19.9 8.2 11.6
9 Nate Eaton 0.0800 0.2082 0.3462 24.2 12.7 11.6
10 Lawrence Butler 0.1167 0.1349 0.1583 28.1 16.5 11.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Shohei Ohtani 0.2356 0.2018 0.1026 98.3 70.1 28.2
2 Jackson Chourio 0.2128 0.1815 0.1736 24.4 3.0 21.4
3 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.1818 0.2175 0.2303 31.8 10.7 21.1
4 Jung Hoo Lee 0.0168 0.0547 0.0662 29.1 8.8 20.3
5 Caleb Durbin 0.2178 0.1906 0.1364 42.3 26.0 16.3
6 Trevor Story 0.1493 0.1786 0.2109 38.9 22.9 15.9
7 Corbin Carroll 0.2036 0.2345 0.2286 14.6 2.0 12.6
8 José Ramírez 0.1711 0.1941 0.2514 52.6 40.5 12.2
9 Maikel Garcia 0.2081 0.1979 0.1329 51.5 41.4 10.1
10 Luis Robert Jr. 0.1714 0.1994 0.3267 66.0 56.1 9.9

Batting Average

Everybody Missed for Batting Average

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
George Springer 0.3092
0.2422
(39.7)
0.2422
(39.5)
0.2422
(41.9)
0.2455
(39.1)
0.2423
(40.0)
0.2385
(40.5)
0.2453
(39.8)
0.2401
(39.6)
0.2461
(36.2)
0.2408
(42.5)
Brice Turang 0.2877
0.2468
(27.5)
0.2477
(26.6)
0.2552
(24.4)
0.2417
(32.4)
0.2417
(31.2)
0.2493
(24.2)
0.2551
(24.1)
0.2445
(27.5)
0.2432
(28.4)
0.2533
(25.4)
Aaron Judge 0.3309
0.2830
(33.0)
0.2819
(33.5)
0.2785
(38.7)
0.2967
(25.3)
0.3001
(21.8)
0.2675
(41.9)
0.2758
(40.1)
0.2858
(29.6)
0.2808
(33.1)
0.2805
(37.0)
Kyle Stowers 0.2882
0.2159
(33.4)
0.2222
(30.4)
0.2316
(28.0)
0.2226
(31.4)
0.2314
(26.6)
0.2214
(29.8)
0.2276
(29.5)
0.2113
(34.5)
0.2152
(32.7)
0.2330
(27.1)
Jonathan Aranda 0.3162
0.2513
(27.7)
0.2494
(28.4)
0.2579
(26.6)
0.2332
(36.3)
0.2490
(28.9)
0.2488
(27.7)
0.2550
(27.5)
0.2411
(31.0)
0.2415
(30.9)
0.2591
(25.9)
Dillon Dingler 0.2782
0.2222
(26.6)
0.2228
(26.2)
0.2290
(25.2)
0.2222
(27.7)
0.2212
(27.3)
0.2200
(26.5)
0.2270
(25.9)
0.2201
(26.5)
0.2220
(25.7)
0.2269
(26.0)
Geraldo Perdomo 0.2898
0.2422
(34.8)
0.2434
(33.7)
0.2520
(30.5)
0.2429
(36.0)
0.2437
(34.1)
0.2496
(27.7)
0.2544
(28.4)
0.2338
(39.2)
0.2318
(40.7)
0.2481
(33.0)
Oneil Cruz 0.1996
0.2520
(28.1)
0.2535
(29.1)
0.2558
(28.1)
0.2505
(26.1)
0.2635
(34.1)
0.2509
(28.8)
0.2583
(29.8)
0.2461
(26.1)
0.2513
(28.9)
0.2524
(26.5)
Tyler Soderstrom 0.2763
0.2299
(29.4)
0.2290
(29.8)
0.2294
(32.1)
0.2237
(34.7)
0.2347
(26.7)
0.2241
(31.5)
0.2350
(28.2)
0.2265
(30.1)
0.2288
(28.8)
0.2241
(35.2)

Individual Misses for Batting Average

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Kurtz 0.2226 0.2905 33.6
2 Hunter Goodman 0.2333 0.2778 26.2
3 Shea Langeliers 0.2279 0.2765 25.9
4 Pete Alonso 0.2386 0.2724 24.5
5 Ramón Laureano 0.2331 0.2812 23.9
6 Jeremy Peña 0.2615 0.3043 23.7
7 Bo Bichette 0.2747 0.3110 23.3
8 Jorge Polanco 0.2223 0.2654 23.0
9 Jake Meyers 0.2338 0.2915 22.3
10 Trevor Story 0.2307 0.2631 21.7

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Kurtz 0.2277 0.2905 30.9
2 Shea Langeliers 0.2309 0.2765 24.1
3 Daylen Lile 0.2311 0.2991 24.0
4 Ramón Laureano 0.2333 0.2812 23.6
5 Pete Alonso 0.2397 0.2724 23.5
6 Hunter Goodman 0.2382 0.2778 23.2
7 Jeremy Peña 0.2629 0.3043 22.7
8 Trevor Story 0.2294 0.2631 22.3
9 Jorge Polanco 0.2233 0.2654 22.3
10 Michael Harris II 0.2835 0.2488 22.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jakob Marsee 0.1667 0.2919 30.4
2 Trevor Story 0.2281 0.2631 25.9
3 Pete Alonso 0.2409 0.2724 25.6
4 Michael Harris II 0.2925 0.2488 25.1
5 Hunter Goodman 0.2394 0.2778 24.9
6 Jeremy Peña 0.2632 0.3043 24.8
7 Ramón Laureano 0.2360 0.2812 24.3
8 Shea Langeliers 0.2353 0.2765 24.0
9 Jorge Polanco 0.2264 0.2654 22.8
10 Nick Kurtz 0.2500 0.2905 22.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Hunter Goodman 0.2148 0.2778 38.3
2 Jacob Wilson 0.2446 0.3107 36.2
3 Shea Langeliers 0.2208 0.2765 30.7
4 Matt McLain 0.2715 0.2196 28.2
5 Maikel Garcia 0.2471 0.2857 27.7
6 Bo Bichette 0.2723 0.3110 26.2
7 Jeremy Peña 0.2592 0.3043 26.1
8 Jake Meyers 0.2280 0.2915 25.4
9 Pete Alonso 0.2402 0.2724 25.1
10 Jordan Beck 0.2198 0.2579 24.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2766 0.2278 28.9
2 Nick Kurtz 0.2356 0.2905 27.5
3 Daylen Lile 0.2274 0.2991 25.6
4 Michael Harris II 0.2889 0.2488 24.9
5 Sal Frelick 0.2473 0.2879 24.9
6 Trevor Story 0.2273 0.2631 24.3
7 Jake Mangum 0.2418 0.2963 23.9
8 Ramón Laureano 0.2373 0.2812 22.0
9 Jorge Polanco 0.2247 0.2654 22.0
10 Michael Conforto 0.2443 0.1986 21.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shea Langeliers 0.2186 0.2765 29.4
2 Pete Alonso 0.2319 0.2724 27.5
3 Trevor Story 0.2199 0.2631 27.1
4 Ramón Laureano 0.2249 0.2812 26.7
5 Jorge Polanco 0.2159 0.2654 25.1
6 Hunter Goodman 0.2346 0.2778 24.0
7 Jeremy Peña 0.2591 0.3043 23.6
8 Michael Harris II 0.2823 0.2488 22.6
9 Bo Bichette 0.2735 0.3110 22.5
10 Will Smith 0.2443 0.2956 21.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Story 0.2246 0.2631 27.8
2 Pete Alonso 0.2389 0.2724 26.6
3 Ramón Laureano 0.2318 0.2812 26.1
4 Shea Langeliers 0.2313 0.2765 25.7
5 Jorge Polanco 0.2220 0.2654 24.9
6 Daylen Lile 0.2323 0.2991 24.8
7 Hunter Goodman 0.2390 0.2778 24.8
8 Nick Kurtz 0.2453 0.2905 24.1
9 Michael Harris II 0.2895 0.2488 23.5
10 Jeremy Peña 0.2654 0.3043 23.3

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Kurtz 0.2120 0.2905 37.6
2 Hunter Goodman 0.2343 0.2778 24.3
3 Ramón Laureano 0.2309 0.2812 23.8
4 Shea Langeliers 0.2314 0.2765 22.8
5 Romy Gonzalez 0.2370 0.3048 22.6
6 Jake Mangum 0.2420 0.2963 22.6
7 Jake Meyers 0.2324 0.2915 21.9
8 Pete Alonso 0.2402 0.2724 21.8
9 Harrison Bader 0.2323 0.2768 21.5
10 Dominic Canzone 0.2194 0.3004 21.4

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Kurtz 0.2121 0.2905 37.7
2 Sal Frelick 0.2462 0.2879 23.9
3 Shea Langeliers 0.2299 0.2765 23.7
4 Bo Bichette 0.2725 0.3110 23.3
5 Ramón Laureano 0.2325 0.2812 23.1
6 Cal Raleigh 0.2131 0.2466 22.7
7 Jake Mangum 0.2420 0.2963 22.6
8 Pete Alonso 0.2391 0.2724 22.6
9 Jorge Polanco 0.2215 0.2654 22.3
10 Hunter Goodman 0.2389 0.2778 21.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Michael Harris II 0.2937 0.2488 26.1
2 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2743 0.2278 25.8
3 Jeremy Peña 0.2618 0.3043 25.3
4 Pete Alonso 0.2419 0.2724 24.6
5 Daylen Lile 0.2337 0.2991 24.4
6 Hunter Goodman 0.2430 0.2778 22.5
7 Shea Langeliers 0.2378 0.2765 22.4
8 Maikel Garcia 0.2564 0.2857 22.3
9 Trevor Story 0.2334 0.2631 22.1
10 Jakob Marsee 0.2021 0.2919 22.0

Most Unique Misses for Batting Average

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Mickey Moniak 0.2281 0.2405 0.2696 19.5 13.6 5.9
2 Bryce Teodosio 0.2453 0.2060 0.2029 6.2 0.4 5.8
3 Tyler Freeman 0.2563 0.2687 0.2812 11.0 5.5 5.5
4 Miguel Vargas 0.2208 0.2296 0.2341 8.0 2.8 5.2
5 Willie MacIver 0.2453 0.2066 0.1863 6.5 2.2 4.2
6 Anthony Seigler 0.2453 0.1918 0.1935 3.7 0.2 3.6
7 John Rave 0.2453 0.2254 0.1961 8.5 5.1 3.4
8 Ben Rice 0.2197 0.2258 0.2548 19.0 15.6 3.4
9 Drew Gilbert 0.2453 0.2145 0.1900 5.9 2.6 3.3
10 Hunter Feduccia 0.2453 0.2142 0.1477 10.2 6.9 3.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sam Haggerty 0.3333 0.2388 0.2531 13.8 2.7 11.1
2 Jakob Marsee 0.1667 0.2065 0.2919 30.4 20.1 10.3
3 Jahmai Jones 0.1667 0.2220 0.2868 18.7 9.8 8.9
4 Cam Smith 0.2261 0.2336 0.2358 7.0 1.3 5.7
5 Bryce Teodosio 0.2453 0.2060 0.2029 5.7 0.4 5.3
6 Aaron Judge 0.2785 0.2819 0.3309 38.7 33.5 5.2
7 Ildemaro Vargas 0.3333 0.2483 0.2696 7.2 2.6 4.5
8 Edgar Quero 0.2353 0.2422 0.2685 15.2 10.8 4.5
9 Willie MacIver 0.2453 0.2066 0.1863 6.0 2.2 3.8
10 Kyle Schwarber 0.2240 0.2248 0.2401 14.9 11.3 3.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Miguel Vargas 0.1968 0.2296 0.2341 23.0 2.8 20.2
2 Jacob Wilson 0.2446 0.2785 0.3107 36.2 17.1 19.1
3 Tyler Freeman 0.2289 0.2687 0.2812 23.7 5.5 18.2
4 Jose Altuve 0.2924 0.2660 0.2653 15.7 0.2 15.5
5 Hunter Goodman 0.2148 0.2382 0.2778 38.3 23.2 15.1
6 Junior Caminero 0.2446 0.2643 0.2641 14.8 0.2 14.6
7 Chandler Simpson 0.2453 0.2744 0.2947 23.2 9.1 14.0
8 Jordan Beck 0.2198 0.2401 0.2579 24.2 10.7 13.5
9 Jackson Holliday 0.2203 0.2356 0.2423 16.3 4.6 11.7
10 Alek Thomas 0.2291 0.2520 0.2494 11.0 1.0 10.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tyler Freeman 0.2493 0.2687 0.2812 14.2 5.5 8.7
2 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2766 0.2619 0.2278 28.9 20.5 8.4
3 Juan Soto 0.2891 0.2766 0.2634 17.4 9.1 8.3
4 Julio Rodríguez 0.2879 0.2772 0.2669 14.0 7.0 6.9
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3075 0.2969 0.2920 9.7 3.0 6.6
6 Caleb Durbin 0.2231 0.2352 0.2562 17.4 10.8 6.6
7 Sal Frelick 0.2473 0.2569 0.2879 24.9 18.7 6.2
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3064 0.2948 0.2953 6.7 0.7 6.0
9 Cody Bellinger 0.2448 0.2525 0.2721 18.8 13.2 5.6
10 Riley Greene 0.2754 0.2660 0.2583 10.3 4.8 5.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brent Rooker 0.2354 0.2520 0.2620 17.4 7.3 10.1
2 Aaron Judge 0.2675 0.2819 0.3309 41.9 33.5 8.4
3 Bryce Teodosio 0.2453 0.2060 0.2029 6.6 0.4 6.2
4 Heliot Ramos 0.2402 0.2502 0.2565 10.1 4.6 5.5
5 Shea Langeliers 0.2186 0.2309 0.2765 29.4 24.1 5.3
6 Carlos Santana 0.2320 0.2233 0.2193 6.8 1.7 5.1
7 Jeff McNeil 0.2663 0.2579 0.2431 11.5 6.6 4.9
8 Trevor Story 0.2199 0.2294 0.2631 27.1 22.3 4.8
9 Edgar Quero 0.2284 0.2422 0.2685 15.5 10.8 4.7
10 Willie MacIver 0.2453 0.2066 0.1863 6.7 2.2 4.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cam Smith 0.2108 0.2336 0.2358 14.3 1.3 13.0
2 Aaron Judge 0.2758 0.2819 0.3309 40.1 33.5 6.6
3 Trevor Story 0.2246 0.2294 0.2631 27.8 22.3 5.4
4 Jung Hoo Lee 0.2955 0.2833 0.2661 15.7 10.3 5.3
5 Jeff McNeil 0.2722 0.2579 0.2431 11.6 6.6 5.0
6 Carlos Santana 0.2373 0.2233 0.2193 6.6 1.7 4.9
7 Brent Rooker 0.2490 0.2520 0.2620 11.9 7.3 4.6
8 Edgar Quero 0.2348 0.2422 0.2685 15.2 10.8 4.4
9 J.T. Realmuto 0.2473 0.2512 0.2570 7.6 3.4 4.1
10 Byron Buxton 0.2389 0.2429 0.2643 16.0 11.9 4.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Kurtz 0.2120 0.2277 0.2905 37.6 30.9 6.7
2 Bryce Teodosio 0.2453 0.2060 0.2029 6.6 0.4 6.2
3 Luis Arraez 0.3121 0.3054 0.2919 14.6 8.8 5.8
4 Geraldo Perdomo 0.2338 0.2434 0.2898 39.2 33.7 5.5
5 Ernie Clement 0.2506 0.2611 0.2771 14.7 9.7 5.0
6 Trent Grisham 0.1987 0.2085 0.2348 20.1 15.5 4.5
7 Willie MacIver 0.2453 0.2066 0.1863 6.7 2.2 4.5
8 Yandy Díaz 0.2747 0.2836 0.3002 15.6 11.1 4.5
9 Shohei Ohtani 0.2894 0.2854 0.2815 6.9 2.5 4.4
10 Jacob Wilson 0.2683 0.2785 0.3107 21.4 17.1 4.3

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Geraldo Perdomo 0.2318 0.2434 0.2898 40.7 33.7 7.0
2 Nick Kurtz 0.2121 0.2277 0.2905 37.7 30.9 6.8
3 Bryce Teodosio 0.2453 0.2060 0.2029 6.6 0.4 6.2
4 TJ Friedl 0.2339 0.2443 0.2608 17.5 11.6 5.9
5 Cal Raleigh 0.2131 0.2226 0.2466 22.7 17.2 5.5
6 Sal Frelick 0.2462 0.2569 0.2879 23.9 18.7 5.3
7 Alejandro Kirk 0.2523 0.2635 0.2816 14.1 9.4 4.8
8 Willie MacIver 0.2453 0.2066 0.1863 6.7 2.2 4.5
9 Taylor Ward 0.2556 0.2508 0.2280 19.2 14.9 4.4
10 Kyle Schwarber 0.2170 0.2248 0.2401 15.7 11.3 4.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Junior Caminero 0.2571 0.2643 0.2641 7.3 0.2 7.1
2 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.2895 0.2948 0.2953 6.8 0.7 6.2
3 Kyle Schwarber 0.2204 0.2248 0.2401 17.3 11.3 5.9
4 Tyler Soderstrom 0.2241 0.2290 0.2763 35.2 29.8 5.4
5 Nathaniel Lowe 0.2743 0.2619 0.2278 25.8 20.5 5.3
6 Josh Lowe 0.2659 0.2506 0.2197 18.3 13.3 5.0
7 Kyle Manzardo 0.2494 0.2364 0.2340 6.0 1.0 5.0
8 José Ramírez 0.2696 0.2729 0.2833 12.0 7.3 4.8
9 Alex Bregman 0.2550 0.2606 0.2725 10.7 6.1 4.6
10 Iván Herrera 0.2478 0.2542 0.2835 18.0 13.4 4.6

On-Base Percentage

Everybody Missed for On-Base Percentage

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
George Springer 0.3990
0.3176
(48.6)
0.3186
(47.8)
0.3207
(49.8)
0.3209
(47.7)
0.3192
(48.0)
0.3136
(50.6)
0.3201
(49.7)
0.3168
(46.7)
0.3211
(44.2)
0.3219
(49.0)
Michael Harris II 0.2684
0.3257
(35.7)
0.3307
(39.1)
0.3366
(39.4)
0.3201
(30.9)
0.3346
(41.1)
0.3293
(38.4)
0.3357
(39.3)
0.3259
(38.5)
0.3276
(39.4)
0.3363
(39.3)
TJ Friedl 0.3642
0.3209
(30.7)
0.3213
(30.3)
0.3268
(30.2)
0.3278
(27.2)
0.3204
(31.4)
0.3243
(28.0)
0.3288
(28.3)
0.3191
(29.1)
0.3095
(35.8)
0.3258
(30.8)
Brice Turang 0.3592
0.3109
(32.8)
0.3126
(31.6)
0.3214
(29.4)
0.3078
(36.1)
0.3077
(35.3)
0.3177
(28.0)
0.3233
(27.6)
0.3072
(32.6)
0.3050
(34.1)
0.3162
(32.7)
Harrison Bader 0.3473
0.2878
(30.5)
0.2903
(29.2)
0.2997
(27.2)
0.2889
(31.0)
0.2898
(29.8)
0.2916
(28.4)
0.2956
(28.9)
0.2820
(31.5)
0.2831
(31.0)
0.3023
(25.9)
Nick Kurtz 0.3832
0.2891
(46.7)
0.3000
(41.3)
0.3143
(37.0)
0.3151
(34.9)
0.3224
(30.8)
0.3151
(33.8)
0.3151
(36.2)
0.2838
(47.4)
0.2839
(47.4)
0.3207
(33.8)
Aaron Judge 0.4566
0.4129
(30.7)
0.4074
(34.2)
0.4056
(39.2)
0.4194
(27.5)
0.4191
(26.8)
0.3946
(42.7)
0.4024
(40.8)
0.4102
(29.8)
0.4050
(33.3)
0.4079
(37.5)
Kyle Stowers 0.3684
0.2865
(38.1)
0.2954
(34.0)
0.3075
(30.9)
0.2862
(39.1)
0.3030
(30.9)
0.2970
(33.1)
0.3024
(32.9)
0.2814
(38.6)
0.2872
(36.0)
0.3103
(29.6)
Cal Raleigh 0.3589
0.3018
(41.3)
0.3040
(39.6)
0.3053
(42.5)
0.3065
(39.3)
0.3161
(31.6)
0.2985
(43.2)
0.3052
(42.0)
0.3019
(38.4)
0.2981
(41.1)
0.3059
(42.0)
Geraldo Perdomo 0.3890
0.3274
(45.4)
0.3298
(43.6)
0.3416
(39.0)
0.3296
(45.2)
0.3315
(43.0)
0.3372
(38.0)
0.3409
(38.9)
0.3171
(50.0)
0.3127
(53.2)
0.3412
(39.2)
Jeremy Peña 0.3635
0.3091
(30.3)
0.3105
(29.4)
0.3117
(31.8)
0.3090
(31.4)
0.3161
(26.9)
0.3066
(31.4)
0.3129
(30.7)
0.3102
(27.6)
0.3087
(28.4)
0.3102
(32.5)
Will Smith 0.4037
0.3406
(28.2)
0.3395
(28.5)
0.3413
(30.1)
0.3384
(29.9)
0.3364
(30.2)
0.3333
(31.1)
0.3381
(31.2)
0.3396
(26.8)
0.3461
(24.0)
0.3424
(29.6)
Tyler Soderstrom 0.3462
0.2957
(32.4)
0.2921
(34.5)
0.2921
(37.9)
0.3000
(30.9)
0.2922
(35.0)
0.2879
(36.9)
0.2983
(33.6)
0.2907
(33.0)
0.2945
(30.7)
0.2857
(41.8)

Individual Misses for On-Base Percentage

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Maikel Garcia 0.3097 0.3514 28.8
2 Isaac Collins 0.3074 0.3676 27.2
3 Mookie Betts 0.3681 0.3258 27.1
4 Trent Grisham 0.3053 0.3477 25.5
5 Jonathan Aranda 0.3353 0.3934 25.2
6 Bo Bichette 0.3184 0.3567 25.0
7 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3482 0.3071 24.2

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Aranda 0.3320 0.3934 26.4
2 Maikel Garcia 0.3137 0.3514 26.0
3 Mookie Betts 0.3663 0.3258 26.0
4 Isaac Collins 0.3104 0.3676 25.8
5 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3489 0.3071 24.7
6 Jake Cronenworth 0.3207 0.3667 24.4
7 Ryan O'Hearn 0.3231 0.3658 23.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Maikel Garcia 0.3174 0.3514 27.2
2 Mookie Betts 0.3731 0.3258 26.9
3 Trent Grisham 0.3101 0.3477 25.8
4 Isaac Collins 0.3163 0.3676 25.6
5 Jake Cronenworth 0.3248 0.3667 25.0
6 Ryan O'Hearn 0.3276 0.3658 24.5
7 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3531 0.3071 23.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Aranda 0.3123 0.3934 35.6
2 Maikel Garcia 0.3016 0.3514 35.5
3 Hunter Goodman 0.2708 0.3230 32.2
4 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.3265 0.3676 30.7
5 Isaac Collins 0.3048 0.3676 29.2
6 Trent Grisham 0.3025 0.3477 28.2
7 Bo Bichette 0.3164 0.3567 27.4

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3617 0.3071 32.0
2 Maikel Garcia 0.3125 0.3514 27.3
3 Jake Cronenworth 0.3161 0.3667 27.1
4 Jonathan Aranda 0.3333 0.3934 26.2
5 Ryan O'Hearn 0.3204 0.3658 25.8
6 Jake Mangum 0.2726 0.3302 25.5
7 Logan O'Hoppe 0.3140 0.2578 24.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Cronenworth 0.3168 0.3667 26.2
2 Ramón Laureano 0.2897 0.3422 26.1
3 Jonathan Aranda 0.3356 0.3934 24.8
4 Maikel Garcia 0.3152 0.3514 24.8
5 Mookie Betts 0.3638 0.3258 24.6
6 Ryan O'Hearn 0.3216 0.3658 24.6
7 Bo Bichette 0.3198 0.3567 23.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jake Cronenworth 0.3222 0.3667 26.0
2 Ramón Laureano 0.2958 0.3422 25.5
3 Jonathan Aranda 0.3411 0.3934 24.6
4 Cam Smith 0.2686 0.3124 24.5
5 Maikel Garcia 0.3208 0.3514 24.3
6 Trent Grisham 0.3119 0.3477 24.2
7 Mookie Betts 0.3682 0.3258 24.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jonathan Aranda 0.3180 0.3934 30.7
2 Isaac Collins 0.2965 0.3676 30.2
3 Maikel Garcia 0.3090 0.3514 26.6
4 Mookie Betts 0.3630 0.3258 26.4
5 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3473 0.3071 26.1
6 Trent Grisham 0.3006 0.3477 25.9
7 Ryan O'Hearn 0.3201 0.3658 23.5

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Isaac Collins 0.2965 0.3676 30.3
2 Jonathan Aranda 0.3198 0.3934 30.0
3 Mookie Betts 0.3648 0.3258 27.4
4 Sal Frelick 0.3058 0.3509 25.4
5 Bo Bichette 0.3144 0.3567 25.0
6 Logan O'Hoppe 0.3087 0.2578 24.1
7 Roman Anthony 0.3184 0.3960 22.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mookie Betts 0.3788 0.3258 30.8
2 Maikel Garcia 0.3133 0.3514 29.8
3 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3558 0.3071 25.7
4 Ryan O'Hearn 0.3256 0.3658 25.4
5 Jonathan Aranda 0.3409 0.3934 24.9
6 Jake Cronenworth 0.3251 0.3667 24.8
7 Colton Cowser 0.3422 0.2694 23.8

Most Unique Misses for On-Base Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Bryce Teodosio 0.3151 0.2635 0.2483 9.8 2.1 7.7
2 Tyler Freeman 0.3269 0.3410 0.3545 12.4 6.3 6.1
3 Mickey Moniak 0.2722 0.2852 0.3059 16.2 10.1 6.1
4 Cody Freeman 0.3151 0.2672 0.2583 6.7 0.9 5.8
5 Nick Kurtz 0.2891 0.3000 0.3832 46.7 41.3 5.4
6 Ben Williamson 0.3151 0.2920 0.2935 5.9 0.8 5.1
7 Yohel Pozo 0.3151 0.2846 0.2619 8.7 3.6 5.1
8 Kyle Stowers 0.2865 0.2954 0.3684 38.1 34.0 4.2
9 Miguel Vargas 0.3097 0.3187 0.3163 4.6 0.6 4.0
10 Freddie Freeman 0.3784 0.3719 0.3668 6.3 2.4 3.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sam Haggerty 0.4286 0.3119 0.3278 17.1 3.1 14.0
2 Tristan Gray 0.1667 0.2559 0.2824 10.5 2.4 8.1
3 Bryce Teodosio 0.3151 0.2635 0.2483 9.0 2.1 6.9
4 Jakob Marsee 0.2857 0.3073 0.3632 19.7 13.4 6.3
5 Jarren Duran 0.3247 0.3274 0.3324 10.0 4.4 5.7
6 Kyle Tucker 0.3594 0.3634 0.3771 14.6 9.0 5.6
7 Denzel Clarke 0.3151 0.2773 0.2739 5.5 0.3 5.1
8 Cody Freeman 0.3151 0.2672 0.2583 6.1 0.9 5.1
9 Cam Smith 0.2914 0.2961 0.3124 13.7 8.6 5.0
10 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3732 0.3751 0.3809 9.8 4.8 5.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Miguel Vargas 0.2853 0.3187 0.3163 19.6 0.6 19.0
2 Jose Altuve 0.3625 0.3329 0.3292 19.6 1.5 18.0
3 Tyler Freeman 0.3075 0.3410 0.3545 21.5 6.3 15.2
4 Jose Iglesias 0.3422 0.3004 0.2979 14.0 0.4 13.6
5 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3573 0.3751 0.3809 18.4 4.8 13.5
6 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.3265 0.3432 0.3676 30.7 17.7 13.0
7 Ben Rice 0.2925 0.3149 0.3371 25.4 12.5 13.0
8 Jordan Beck 0.2857 0.3047 0.3169 20.3 7.9 12.4
9 Hunter Goodman 0.2708 0.2890 0.3230 32.2 20.4 11.8
10 Wyatt Langford 0.3205 0.3386 0.3438 15.3 3.7 11.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jake Mangum 0.2726 0.2896 0.3302 25.5 17.9 7.6
2 Nathaniel Lowe 0.3617 0.3489 0.3071 32.0 24.7 7.3
3 Nathan Lukes 0.3034 0.3184 0.3225 9.3 2.4 6.9
4 Julio Rodríguez 0.3479 0.3374 0.3239 15.5 8.6 6.9
5 Jackson Merrill 0.3045 0.3164 0.3174 7.2 1.1 6.1
6 Eric Wagaman 0.2833 0.2941 0.2957 7.4 1.5 5.9
7 Jackson Holliday 0.3405 0.3308 0.3143 15.7 9.9 5.8
8 Cody Bellinger 0.3069 0.3146 0.3338 19.0 13.5 5.6
9 Ben Williamson 0.2741 0.2920 0.2935 6.3 0.8 5.5
10 Tyler Freeman 0.3291 0.3410 0.3545 11.7 6.3 5.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brent Rooker 0.3171 0.3317 0.3352 13.4 3.4 10.0
2 Mike Trout 0.3389 0.3546 0.3586 11.5 2.9 8.6
3 Aaron Judge 0.3946 0.4074 0.4566 42.7 34.2 8.5
4 Bryce Teodosio 0.3151 0.2635 0.2483 9.9 2.1 7.8
5 Shohei Ohtani 0.3676 0.3775 0.3917 18.2 11.3 6.9
6 Brooks Lee 0.3098 0.2981 0.2846 12.7 6.4 6.3
7 Cam Smith 0.2838 0.2961 0.3124 14.5 8.6 5.9
8 Ramón Laureano 0.2897 0.3010 0.3422 26.1 20.7 5.3
9 Yohel Pozo 0.3151 0.2846 0.2619 8.8 3.6 5.2
10 Trevor Story 0.2898 0.2978 0.3078 12.4 7.4 5.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cam Smith 0.2686 0.2961 0.3124 24.5 8.6 15.9
2 Mike Trout 0.3436 0.3546 0.3586 11.6 2.9 8.7
3 Aaron Judge 0.4024 0.4074 0.4566 40.8 34.2 6.6
4 Shohei Ohtani 0.3731 0.3775 0.3917 17.9 11.3 6.6
5 Brooks Lee 0.3136 0.2981 0.2846 12.2 6.4 5.7
6 J.T. Realmuto 0.3100 0.3150 0.3151 6.1 0.8 5.3
7 Trevor Story 0.2943 0.2978 0.3078 12.7 7.4 5.3
8 Byron Buxton 0.3060 0.3105 0.3266 14.4 9.4 5.0
9 Ramón Laureano 0.2958 0.3010 0.3422 25.5 20.7 4.8
10 Brayan Rocchio 0.3252 0.3088 0.2902 11.1 6.6 4.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Bryce Teodosio 0.3151 0.2635 0.2483 10.4 2.1 8.3
2 Luis Arraez 0.3557 0.3496 0.3273 20.9 14.2 6.7
3 Geraldo Perdomo 0.3171 0.3298 0.3890 50.0 43.6 6.4
4 Ben Williamson 0.3151 0.2920 0.2935 7.1 0.8 6.3
5 Cody Freeman 0.3151 0.2672 0.2583 7.2 0.9 6.3
6 Nick Kurtz 0.2838 0.3000 0.3832 47.4 41.3 6.0
7 Yohel Pozo 0.3151 0.2846 0.2619 9.4 3.6 5.8
8 Bryan Reynolds 0.3410 0.3367 0.3180 16.7 11.4 5.3
9 Carlos Santana 0.2954 0.3092 0.3080 4.8 0.0 4.7
10 Jacob Wilson 0.3117 0.3245 0.3551 21.3 16.7 4.7

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Geraldo Perdomo 0.3127 0.3298 0.3890 53.2 43.6 9.6
2 Bryce Teodosio 0.3151 0.2635 0.2483 10.4 2.1 8.3
3 Sal Frelick 0.3058 0.3210 0.3509 25.4 18.6 6.8
4 Ben Williamson 0.3151 0.2920 0.2935 7.1 0.8 6.3
5 Cody Freeman 0.3151 0.2672 0.2583 7.2 0.9 6.2
6 Nick Kurtz 0.2839 0.3000 0.3832 47.4 41.3 6.1
7 Carlos Santana 0.2933 0.3092 0.3080 5.8 0.0 5.8
8 Jeff McNeil 0.3038 0.3200 0.3348 13.2 7.4 5.8
9 Yohel Pozo 0.3151 0.2846 0.2619 9.3 3.6 5.8
10 TJ Friedl 0.3095 0.3213 0.3642 35.8 30.3 5.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.3434 0.3502 0.3508 9.6 1.3 8.3
2 Kyle Tucker 0.3548 0.3634 0.3771 17.2 9.0 8.3
3 Tyler Soderstrom 0.2857 0.2921 0.3462 41.8 34.5 7.3
4 Kyle Schwarber 0.3421 0.3459 0.3646 21.1 14.5 6.6
5 Manny Machado 0.3190 0.3233 0.3348 15.2 8.7 6.5
6 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 0.3714 0.3751 0.3809 10.9 4.8 6.1
7 Jarren Duran 0.3239 0.3274 0.3324 10.5 4.4 6.1
8 Junior Caminero 0.3071 0.3134 0.3109 6.8 0.8 6.0
9 Mickey Moniak 0.2786 0.2852 0.3059 15.6 10.1 5.5
10 Ketel Marte 0.3503 0.3548 0.3759 17.9 12.5 5.5

Slugging Percentage

Everybody Missed for Slugging Percentage

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT The BAT X ZiPS
George Springer 0.5602
0.3977
(96.4)
0.4017
(93.7)
0.4031
(97.3)
0.4072
(94.8)
0.4042
(94.1)
0.4051
(89.2)
0.4163
(90.4)
0.3938
(95.8)
0.3990
(93.1)
0.3959
(100.8)
Nick Kurtz 0.6190
0.3645
(125.4)
0.3732
(120.9)
0.3750
(123.7)
0.4043
(109.2)
0.3977
(110.5)
0.4043
(103.5)
0.4043
(110.1)
0.3605
(125.0)
0.3609
(125.1)
0.3829
(119.2)
Cal Raleigh 0.5889
0.4371
(108.4)
0.4434
(103.5)
0.4479
(105.7)
0.4486
(105.0)
0.4679
(88.6)
0.4289
(110.7)
0.4429
(110.3)
0.4461
(98.6)
0.4231
(115.2)
0.4581
(97.7)
Michael Busch 0.5229
0.4191
(62.6)
0.4106
(67.3)
0.4301
(60.2)
0.4197
(66.2)
0.4135
(67.5)
0.3913
(76.2)
0.4146
(70.2)
0.3928
(75.3)
0.4022
(70.1)
0.4409
(53.1)
Kyle Stowers 0.5439
0.3772
(77.0)
0.3945
(68.9)
0.4184
(61.4)
0.3604
(87.8)
0.4326
(52.9)
0.3887
(69.6)
0.4101
(65.9)
0.3631
(81.2)
0.3704
(78.2)
0.4199
(60.2)
Geraldo Perdomo 0.4623
0.3448
(86.0)
0.3475
(83.7)
0.3618
(78.7)
0.3463
(89.8)
0.3448
(87.9)
0.3506
(78.3)
0.3663
(76.6)
0.3298
(93.3)
0.3339
(90.8)
0.3623
(77.6)
Eugenio Suárez 0.5255
0.4204
(70.4)
0.4165
(72.5)
0.4142
(78.9)
0.4361
(64.4)
0.4310
(65.1)
0.3942
(84.4)
0.4187
(77.0)
0.4201
(67.3)
0.4144
(71.5)
0.4170
(76.4)
Maikel Garcia 0.4487
0.3626
(58.7)
0.3650
(56.7)
0.3727
(56.6)
0.3536
(69.1)
0.3624
(60.5)
0.3645
(54.2)
0.3786
(53.6)
0.3572
(59.0)
0.3692
(51.4)
0.3608
(63.7)
Matt McLain 0.3431
0.4467
(58.6)
0.4504
(61.1)
0.4532
(58.4)
0.4706
(68.6)
0.4446
(55.9)
0.4570
(67.4)
0.4624
(62.8)
0.4429
(59.3)
0.4499
(63.0)
0.4492
(56.7)

Individual Misses for Slugging Percentage

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.4635 0.5629 73.4
2 Junior Caminero 0.4421 0.5349 61.9
3 Jorge Polanco 0.3788 0.4947 61.8
4 Aaron Judge 0.6017 0.6876 59.7
5 Brice Turang 0.3491 0.4349 57.9
6 Mookie Betts 0.4945 0.4058 57.5
7 Ramón Laureano 0.4002 0.5125 55.7
8 Colson Montgomery 0.3418 0.5294 53.9
9 Mickey Moniak 0.4076 0.5184 52.0
10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.4031 0.4805 51.4

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.4715 0.5629 67.2
2 Jorge Polanco 0.3830 0.4947 59.3
3 Ramón Laureano 0.3950 0.5125 58.0
4 Colson Montgomery 0.3322 0.5294 56.4
5 Aaron Judge 0.6062 0.6876 56.3
6 Mookie Betts 0.4905 0.4058 55.2
7 Brice Turang 0.3525 0.4349 55.2
8 Daylen Lile 0.3462 0.4984 53.9
9 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.3995 0.4805 53.4
10 Junior Caminero 0.4554 0.5349 52.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jakob Marsee 0.1667 0.4785 75.0
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.4718 0.5629 72.4
3 Aaron Judge 0.5913 0.6876 71.4
4 Ramón Laureano 0.3989 0.5125 59.7
5 Jahmai Jones 0.1667 0.5504 58.9
6 Jorge Polanco 0.3920 0.4947 58.4
7 Junior Caminero 0.4573 0.5349 56.4
8 Colson Montgomery 0.3417 0.5294 55.8
9 Mookie Betts 0.4957 0.4058 53.7
10 Corbin Carroll 0.4675 0.5408 52.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Junior Caminero 0.4101 0.5349 87.1
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.4708 0.5629 72.9
3 Hunter Goodman 0.4060 0.5204 71.2
4 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.3826 0.4805 69.0
5 Mookie Betts 0.5176 0.4058 68.4
6 Brice Turang 0.3438 0.4349 65.7
7 Ben Rice 0.3837 0.4989 65.6
8 Corbin Carroll 0.4512 0.5408 63.1
9 Tyler Soderstrom 0.3831 0.4742 62.2
10 Shea Langeliers 0.4289 0.5364 60.7

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brice Turang 0.3399 0.4349 65.6
2 Jorge Polanco 0.3795 0.4947 62.7
3 Oneil Cruz 0.4948 0.3779 61.1
4 Colson Montgomery 0.3205 0.5294 60.6
5 Marcell Ozuna 0.5050 0.4004 59.2
6 Daylen Lile 0.3345 0.4984 59.1
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.3981 0.4805 56.3
8 Mike Trout 0.5438 0.4386 56.0
9 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5310 0.4461 55.5
10 Jordan Walker 0.4451 0.3058 53.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.5633 0.6876 82.4
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.4569 0.5629 74.6
3 Ramón Laureano 0.3652 0.5125 70.4
4 Jorge Polanco 0.3676 0.4947 65.0
5 Shea Langeliers 0.4160 0.5364 61.4
6 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.3851 0.4805 59.8
7 Mookie Betts 0.4917 0.4058 58.9
8 Colson Montgomery 0.3229 0.5294 57.8
9 Corbin Carroll 0.4532 0.5408 54.3
10 Byron Buxton 0.4515 0.5512 52.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Aaron Judge 0.5842 0.6876 77.3
2 Kyle Schwarber 0.4792 0.5629 68.1
3 Jorge Polanco 0.3781 0.4947 66.5
4 Ramón Laureano 0.3879 0.5125 65.9
5 Colson Montgomery 0.3345 0.5294 58.3
6 Daylen Lile 0.3457 0.4984 57.3
7 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.4043 0.4805 56.0
8 Mookie Betts 0.4994 0.4058 55.2
9 Drake Baldwin 0.3621 0.4691 52.3
10 Fernando Tatis Jr. 0.5322 0.4461 52.3

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.4721 0.5629 63.6
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.3827 0.4805 61.4
3 Junior Caminero 0.4400 0.5349 60.0
4 Ramón Laureano 0.3893 0.5125 58.7
5 Mike Trout 0.5379 0.4386 56.9
6 Mookie Betts 0.4878 0.4058 56.3
7 Brice Turang 0.3476 0.4349 55.6
8 Trent Grisham 0.3650 0.4636 55.5
9 Colson Montgomery 0.3343 0.5294 54.6
10 Ozzie Albies 0.4432 0.3648 54.3

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.4449 0.5629 83.7
2 Corbin Carroll 0.4398 0.5408 63.3
3 Brice Turang 0.3384 0.4349 62.1
4 Jorge Polanco 0.3798 0.4947 59.0
5 Junior Caminero 0.4435 0.5349 58.1
6 Mookie Betts 0.4879 0.4058 56.0
7 Ramón Laureano 0.3964 0.5125 55.5
8 Colson Montgomery 0.3348 0.5294 54.6
9 Mike Trout 0.5300 0.4386 52.1
10 Pete Crow-Armstrong 0.3995 0.4805 50.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Schwarber 0.4611 0.5629 79.3
2 Aaron Judge 0.5977 0.6876 66.3
3 Junior Caminero 0.4423 0.5349 65.5
4 Colson Montgomery 0.3362 0.5294 57.1
5 Corbin Carroll 0.4602 0.5408 56.7
6 Brice Turang 0.3592 0.4349 55.0
7 Mookie Betts 0.4940 0.4058 53.4
8 Jorge Polanco 0.4034 0.4947 51.9
9 Daylen Lile 0.3584 0.4984 51.9
10 Ramón Laureano 0.4153 0.5125 51.2

Most Unique Misses for Slugging Percentage

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ben Williamson 0.4043 0.3157 0.3105 27.1 1.1 26.0
2 Bryce Teodosio 0.4043 0.3054 0.3043 14.7 0.1 14.6
3 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.4876 0.5113 0.5178 13.3 3.2 10.0
4 Junior Caminero 0.4421 0.4554 0.5349 61.9 52.8 9.1
5 Kyle Stowers 0.3772 0.3945 0.5439 77.0 68.9 8.1
6 Willie MacIver 0.4043 0.3308 0.3235 8.7 0.7 8.1
7 John Rave 0.4043 0.3576 0.3072 16.7 8.6 8.1
8 Ben Rice 0.4083 0.4223 0.4989 49.1 41.3 7.7
9 Hunter Feduccia 0.4043 0.3323 0.2045 20.8 13.3 7.5
10 Kyle Karros 0.4043 0.3569 0.2774 19.5 12.2 7.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jakob Marsee 0.1667 0.3128 0.4785 75.0 39.1 35.9
2 Jahmai Jones 0.1667 0.3512 0.5504 58.9 30.1 28.8
3 Ben Williamson 0.4043 0.3157 0.3105 25.1 1.1 23.9
4 Tristan Gray 0.1667 0.3576 0.4103 21.7 4.6 17.1
5 Sam Hilliard 0.1667 0.4106 0.4118 15.5 0.2 15.3
6 Aaron Judge 0.5913 0.6062 0.6876 71.4 56.3 15.1
7 Bryce Teodosio 0.4043 0.3054 0.3043 13.7 0.1 13.6
8 Michael Helman 0.2632 0.3475 0.4545 22.0 11.9 10.1
9 Chandler Simpson 0.3253 0.3400 0.3454 12.8 3.0 9.8
10 Tim Tawa 0.3077 0.3542 0.3467 10.8 1.4 9.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Junior Caminero 0.4101 0.4554 0.5349 87.1 52.8 34.3
2 Hunter Goodman 0.4060 0.4509 0.5204 71.2 41.0 30.2
3 Jordan Beck 0.3480 0.3906 0.4156 44.8 15.5 29.3
4 Miguel Vargas 0.3419 0.3860 0.4008 38.4 9.2 29.2
5 Tyler Soderstrom 0.3831 0.4203 0.4742 62.2 34.5 27.7
6 Chase Meidroth 0.4043 0.3434 0.3200 38.2 11.1 27.1
7 Julio Rodríguez 0.4465 0.4762 0.4739 25.6 0.6 25.0
8 Ben Rice 0.3837 0.4223 0.4989 65.6 41.3 24.3
9 Andy Pages 0.4041 0.4355 0.4613 41.1 16.9 24.1
10 Ben Williamson 0.4043 0.3157 0.3105 25.1 1.1 24.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cam Smith 0.4290 0.3861 0.3583 32.6 13.0 19.6
2 Oneil Cruz 0.4948 0.4597 0.3779 61.1 43.7 17.4
3 Juan Soto 0.5528 0.5257 0.5251 16.6 0.6 16.0
4 Julio Rodríguez 0.5016 0.4762 0.4739 16.4 0.6 15.9
5 Sal Frelick 0.3326 0.3560 0.4053 45.9 30.1 15.8
6 Elly De La Cruz 0.4907 0.4653 0.4404 32.0 16.4 15.6
7 Nathaniel Lowe 0.4325 0.4045 0.3815 28.3 13.1 15.2
8 Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5530 0.5284 0.5008 32.7 18.0 14.7
9 Cody Bellinger 0.4139 0.4328 0.4796 46.1 31.6 14.4
10 Manny Machado 0.4913 0.4668 0.4602 18.0 3.6 14.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Aaron Judge 0.5633 0.6062 0.6876 82.4 56.3 26.1
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.5503 0.5831 0.6219 49.9 29.2 20.7
3 Steven Kwan 0.4120 0.3885 0.3744 28.1 8.8 19.3
4 Trevor Story 0.3565 0.3869 0.4330 48.1 31.0 17.0
5 Shea Langeliers 0.4160 0.4527 0.5364 61.4 44.5 16.9
6 Bryce Teodosio 0.4043 0.3054 0.3043 15.4 0.1 15.4
7 Brooks Lee 0.3990 0.3774 0.3696 17.0 3.4 13.7
8 Riley Greene 0.4291 0.4536 0.4933 40.1 26.9 13.2
9 Carlos Santana 0.4026 0.3802 0.3253 38.1 25.3 12.7
10 Pete Alonso 0.4504 0.4726 0.5240 50.1 37.5 12.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Aaron Judge 0.5842 0.6062 0.6876 77.3 56.3 21.0
2 Shohei Ohtani 0.5668 0.5831 0.6219 47.6 29.2 18.4
3 Trevor Story 0.3749 0.3869 0.4330 44.8 31.0 13.7
4 Steven Kwan 0.4154 0.3885 0.3744 21.2 8.8 12.4
5 Byron Buxton 0.4661 0.4771 0.5512 51.7 40.9 10.8
6 Brooks Lee 0.4063 0.3774 0.3696 13.9 3.4 10.5
7 Carlos Santana 0.4088 0.3802 0.3253 34.7 25.3 9.3
8 Agustín Ramírez 0.3827 0.3891 0.4134 24.0 15.0 9.0
9 Alek Thomas 0.4268 0.3989 0.3695 22.0 13.1 8.8
10 Jung Hoo Lee 0.4421 0.4190 0.4071 15.1 6.4 8.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ben Williamson 0.4043 0.3157 0.3105 28.6 1.1 27.4
2 Bryce Teodosio 0.4043 0.3054 0.3043 15.4 0.1 15.4
3 Kyle Tucker 0.5127 0.4926 0.4640 30.8 16.2 14.6
4 Brent Rooker 0.5150 0.4988 0.4792 27.1 12.7 14.4
5 Jacob Wilson 0.3684 0.4001 0.4444 38.2 23.9 14.3
6 Juan Soto 0.5023 0.5257 0.5251 14.2 0.6 13.6
7 Mike Trout 0.5379 0.5197 0.4386 56.9 44.3 12.6
8 Kyle Stowers 0.3631 0.3945 0.5439 81.2 68.9 12.3
9 Yandy Díaz 0.4079 0.4310 0.4820 46.3 34.1 12.2
10 Ronald Acuña Jr. 0.4784 0.5113 0.5178 15.0 3.2 11.8

The BAT X

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ben Williamson 0.4043 0.3157 0.3105 28.4 1.1 27.2
2 Nolan Schanuel 0.3382 0.3759 0.3893 27.5 8.4 19.2
3 Matt Chapman 0.4719 0.4419 0.4295 23.9 5.9 18.0
4 Tyler Freeman 0.4343 0.3976 0.3607 32.5 15.2 17.3
5 Kyle Schwarber 0.4449 0.4715 0.5629 83.7 67.2 16.6
6 Bo Bichette 0.4024 0.4313 0.4828 49.1 33.3 15.8
7 Bryce Teodosio 0.4043 0.3054 0.3043 15.3 0.1 15.3
8 Jacob Wilson 0.3691 0.4001 0.4444 38.2 23.9 14.2
9 Jackson Holliday 0.3970 0.3807 0.3754 15.5 2.5 12.9
10 James Wood 0.4199 0.4423 0.4749 36.3 23.4 12.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brent Rooker 0.5383 0.4988 0.4792 35.9 12.7 23.2
2 Jac Caglianone 0.4160 0.3461 0.2952 26.2 11.5 14.8
3 Junior Caminero 0.4423 0.4554 0.5349 65.5 52.8 12.7
4 Yandy Díaz 0.4183 0.4310 0.4820 46.5 34.1 12.4
5 Kyle Schwarber 0.4611 0.4715 0.5629 79.3 67.2 12.1
6 Victor Caratini 0.3478 0.3727 0.4041 24.7 12.6 12.1
7 Willson Contreras 0.4227 0.4370 0.4469 18.0 6.4 11.7
8 Gabriel Arias 0.4119 0.3825 0.3634 19.2 8.3 10.9
9 Tyler Soderstrom 0.4096 0.4203 0.4742 45.1 34.5 10.6
10 Aaron Judge 0.5977 0.6062 0.6876 66.3 56.3 10.1

Pitching Projection Accuracy

Batters Faced (BF)

Everybody Missed for Batters Faced (BF)

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Justin Steele 92
690
(597.7)
676
(583.5)
685
(593.0)
602
(510.0)
686
(594.0)
714
(622.1)
697
(605.3)
685
(593.1)
581
(489.0)
Corbin Burnes 265
756
(490.8)
762
(496.8)
775
(510.0)
714
(449.0)
774
(509.0)
741
(476.3)
793
(527.7)
768
(503.2)
739
(474.0)

Individual Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Reynaldo López 657 25 632.1
2 Ryan Feltner 674 135 539.4
3 Tanner Houck 722 203 519.1
4 Quinn Priester 171 653 481.7
5 Ronel Blanco 675 199 476.0
6 Cole Ragans 731 257 473.6
7 Spencer Arrighetti 619 156 463.4
8 Brad Lord 91 546 454.9
9 Cade Horton 24 476 452.3
10 Pablo López 763 312 450.6

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Reynaldo López 666 25 641.4
2 Ryan Feltner 689 135 554.3
3 Tanner Houck 723 203 519.8
4 Ronel Blanco 676 199 476.7
5 Cole Ragans 729 257 471.8
6 Joey Estes 526 55 471.0
7 Spencer Arrighetti 622 156 466.4
8 Pablo López 763 312 451.2
9 Kyle Gibson 516 73 443.5
10 Nestor Cortes 595 157 437.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Reynaldo López 719 25 694.0
2 Tanner Houck 772 203 569.0
3 Ryan Feltner 701 135 566.0
4 Quinn Priester 129 653 524.0
5 Marcus Stroman 695 175 520.0
6 Cole Ragans 748 257 491.0
7 Pablo López 793 312 481.0
8 Ronel Blanco 670 199 471.0
9 Adrian Houser 74 518 444.0
10 Spencer Arrighetti 598 156 442.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kyle Gibson 677 73 604.0
2 Tomoyuki Sugano 100 675 575.0
3 Matt Waldron 573 25 548.0
4 Shane Smith 100 616 516.0
5 Ryan Feltner 625 135 490.0
6 Joey Estes 542 55 487.0
7 Nestor Cortes 623 157 466.0
8 Noah Cameron 100 556 456.0
9 Marcus Stroman 629 175 454.0
10 Jon Gray 516 63 453.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Reynaldo López 717 25 692.0
2 Ryan Feltner 738 135 603.0
3 Tomoyuki Sugano 100 675 575.0
4 Jon Gray 616 63 553.0
5 Tanner Houck 756 203 553.0
6 Logan Allen 147 676 529.0
7 Brad Lord 20 546 526.1
8 Quinn Priester 128 653 525.0
9 Adrian Houser 18 518 500.3
10 Kyle Gibson 566 73 493.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Reynaldo López 699 25 674.2
2 Ryan Feltner 708 135 572.7
3 Ronel Blanco 757 199 557.6
4 Spencer Arrighetti 705 156 548.7
5 Joey Estes 585 55 530.0
6 Tanner Houck 705 203 501.6
7 Brad Lord 56 546 489.9
8 Cole Ragans 739 257 482.3
9 Bryce Elder 198 679 480.5
10 Adrian Houser 63 518 454.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Reynaldo López 752 25 727.5
2 Ryan Feltner 730 135 595.5
3 Tanner Houck 778 203 574.6
4 Marcus Stroman 712 175 537.0
5 Cole Ragans 763 257 506.2
6 Ronel Blanco 688 199 488.6
7 Pablo López 798 312 485.6
8 Quinn Priester 177 653 476.5
9 Cade Horton 4 476 471.7
10 Blake Snell 712 254 457.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Reynaldo López 674 25 648.7
2 Quinn Priester 100 653 553.0
3 Ryan Feltner 687 135 552.2
4 Matthew Liberatore 100 648 548.0
5 Tanner Houck 726 203 522.8
6 Shane Smith 100 616 516.0
7 Ronel Blanco 689 199 490.1
8 Dustin May 100 584 484.0
9 Cole Ragans 735 257 477.9
10 Spencer Arrighetti 625 156 468.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matt Waldron 591 25 566.0
2 Joey Estes 619 55 564.0
3 Casey Kelly 547 6 541.0
4 Kyle Gibson 606 73 533.0
5 Tommy Henry 555 26 529.0
6 Joe Rock 542 35 507.0
7 Carlos Rodriguez 553 50 503.0
8 Cole Wilcox 514 12 502.0
9 Randy Dobnak 518 19 499.0
10 Davis Daniel 541 46 495.0

Most Unique Misses for Batters Faced (BF)

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tyler Phillips 108 235 313 204.7 77.8 127.0
2 Trevor Rogers 140 257 423 282.6 165.9 116.7
3 Dietrich Enns 55 167 200 145.4 33.3 112.0
4 Carson Palmquist 40 152 175 135.1 23.5 111.6
5 Ben Brown 218 325 472 254.4 147.0 107.4
6 Hurston Waldrep 72 171 229 157.3 57.9 99.4
7 Colton Gordon 75 174 379 304.5 205.5 99.0
8 Ian Seymour 103 200 242 139.1 41.6 97.5
9 Garrett Acton 100 5 5 95.0 0.2 94.8
10 Ryan Bergert 42 137 323 280.8 186.1 94.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ryan Johnson 293 82 72 221.0 10.1 210.9
2 Trevor Rogers 101 257 423 322.0 165.9 156.1
3 Caleb Boushley 43 187 193 150.0 5.6 144.4
4 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 340 149 173 167.0 24.1 142.9
5 Lance McCullers Jr. 459 321 274 185.0 46.8 138.2
6 Chris Flexen 35 168 178 143.0 10.1 132.9
7 Michael Soroka 602 475 379 223.0 95.5 127.5
8 Colin Rea 344 471 662 318.0 191.4 126.6
9 Johan Oviedo 465 339 170 295.0 168.6 126.4
10 Brandon Woodruff 630 510 257 373.0 252.6 120.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 100 581 675 575.0 94.3 480.7
2 Chris Flexen 618 168 178 440.0 10.1 429.9
3 Sandy Alcantara 321 720 745 424.0 25.2 398.8
4 Clay Holmes 263 606 708 445.0 102.1 342.9
5 Chase Dollander 100 430 441 341.0 11.4 329.6
6 Germán Márquez 272 603 591 319.0 12.3 306.7
7 Sean Burke 260 559 596 336.0 37.2 298.8
8 Carlos Carrasco 511 213 212 299.0 0.7 298.3
9 Robbie Ray 314 604 755 441.0 150.5 290.5
10 Roddery Muñoz 448 183 51 397.0 132.0 265.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 100 581 675 575.0 94.3 480.7
2 Logan Allen 147 394 676 529.0 281.7 247.3
3 Luis Garcia 505 323 28 477.0 294.7 182.3
4 Will Warren 235 416 711 476.0 295.5 180.5
5 Michael McGreevy 173 351 400 227.0 49.2 177.8
6 Caleb Boushley 21 187 193 172.3 5.6 166.7
7 Ryan Weathers 612 453 166 446.0 286.9 159.1
8 Jon Gray 616 460 63 553.0 396.5 156.5
9 Sean Newcomb 7 151 391 383.8 239.9 143.9
10 Brad Lord 20 163 546 526.1 383.3 142.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Lake Bachar 100 257 296 196.0 38.8 157.2
2 Angel Chivilli 100 233 275 175.0 41.9 133.1
3 Tyler Phillips 112 235 313 201.1 77.8 123.3
4 Chase Dollander 313 430 441 128.3 11.4 116.9
5 Bowden Francis 721 609 288 433.2 321.3 111.9
6 Brad Lord 56 163 546 489.9 383.3 106.6
7 Carlos Vargas 100 205 331 231.0 126.4 104.6
8 Bryce Elder 198 303 679 480.5 376.2 104.3
9 Jackson Jobe 599 496 218 381.3 278.2 103.1
10 Jason Alexander 24 127 336 312.1 209.4 102.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Anthony DeSclafani 4 169 169 164.7 0.1 164.7
2 AJ Smith-Shawver 581 417 192 389.1 225.3 163.8
3 Trevor Rogers 101 257 423 322.3 165.9 156.5
4 Nolan McLean 4 157 188 183.6 30.8 152.9
5 Parker Messick 4 178 165 160.7 12.5 148.2
6 Caleb Boushley 43 187 193 150.5 5.6 144.9
7 Lance McCullers Jr. 465 321 274 191.2 46.8 144.5
8 Troy Melton 4 145 180 175.7 34.6 141.1
9 Johan Oviedo 479 339 170 308.7 168.6 140.1
10 Brandon Woodruff 647 510 257 390.4 252.6 137.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Matthew Liberatore 100 449 648 548.0 199.4 348.6
2 Chase Dollander 100 430 441 341.0 11.4 329.6
3 Shane Smith 100 358 616 516.0 258.0 258.0
4 Michael McGreevy 100 351 400 300.0 49.2 250.8
5 Taijuan Walker 100 327 538 438.0 211.0 227.0
6 Ben Brown 100 325 472 372.0 147.0 225.0
7 Dustin May 100 294 584 484.0 289.8 194.2
8 Stephen Kolek 100 265 461 361.0 195.8 165.2
9 Ryan Gusto 100 259 453 353.0 194.2 158.8
10 Slade Cecconi 100 257 545 445.0 287.6 157.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Davis Daniel 541 129 46 495.0 83.0 412.0
2 Chris Flexen 597 168 178 419.0 10.1 408.9
3 Carlos Rodriguez 553 153 50 503.0 102.8 400.2
4 Kyle Bradish 534 143 126 408.0 17.4 390.6
5 Darren McCaughan 516 133 23 493.0 110.4 382.6
6 Mason Barnett 515 135 104 411.0 31.0 380.0
7 Tommy Henry 555 197 26 529.0 170.8 358.2
8 Andrew Alvarez 493 135 98 395.0 37.5 357.5
9 Casey Kelly 547 190 6 541.0 184.0 357.0
10 Dietrich Enns 589 167 200 389.0 33.3 355.7

wOBA

Everybody Missed for wOBA

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Antonio Senzatela 0.4069
0.1206
(66.3)
0.3277
(37.2)
0.1138
(70.7)
0.3415
(38.8)
0.1290
(56.6)
0.1185
(72.5)
0.1210
(61.0)
0.1161
(81.5)
0.1060
(70.7)
Germán Márquez 0.3944
0.1314
(49.6)
0.3167
(34.7)
0.1260
(53.1)
0.3276
(37.9)
0.1308
(45.6)
0.1262
(57.4)
0.1280
(46.8)
0.1314
(61.6)
0.1235
(49.8)

Individual Misses for wOBA

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jason Alexander 0.3147 0.3439 50.4
2 Braydon Fisher 0.3147 0.2511 49.0
3 Cade Gibson 0.3147 0.2852 48.0
4 Juan Mejia 0.3147 0.3111 47.7
5 Drew Pomeranz 0.3147 0.2679 45.8
6 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1165 0.3842 45.4
7 Isaac Mattson 0.3147 0.2678 44.7
8 Nolan McLean 0.3147 0.2603 43.9
9 Brandon Walter 0.3147 0.2889 43.4
10 Carlos Rodón 0.1421 0.2666 43.0

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.3059 0.2267 41.5
2 Spencer Strider 0.2618 0.3458 35.0
3 Nick Pivetta 0.2861 0.2577 34.2
4 Carlos Rodón 0.2889 0.2666 32.6
5 Nathan Eovaldi 0.2873 0.2409 32.4
6 Cristopher Sánchez 0.2839 0.2650 30.6
7 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2702 0.2447 30.4
8 Hunter Brown 0.2848 0.2638 29.2
9 Andrew Abbott 0.3105 0.2885 28.1
10 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2963 0.3541 27.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cade Horton 0.3147 0.2740 104.4
2 Eric Lauer 0.3147 0.2974 83.5
3 Emmet Sheehan 0.3147 0.2530 70.0
4 Matt Festa 0.3147 0.2688 50.7
5 Jason Alexander 0.3147 0.3439 50.2
6 Cade Gibson 0.3147 0.2852 47.9
7 Drew Pomeranz 0.3147 0.2679 45.8
8 Isaac Mattson 0.3147 0.2678 44.7
9 Nolan McLean 0.3147 0.2603 43.8
10 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1206 0.3842 43.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.3378 0.2267 48.1
2 Nick Pivetta 0.3109 0.2577 40.3
3 Carlos Rodón 0.3138 0.2666 39.4
4 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2984 0.2447 38.6
5 Hunter Brown 0.3139 0.2638 38.5
6 Nathan Eovaldi 0.3043 0.2409 32.8
7 Jack Kochanowicz 0.3193 0.3842 31.9
8 Spencer Strider 0.2873 0.3458 30.1
9 Bailey Ober 0.2944 0.3452 30.0
10 Cristopher Sánchez 0.2993 0.2650 29.8

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.3147 0.3454 105.1
2 Carlos Rodón 0.1403 0.2666 47.4
3 Nick Pivetta 0.1360 0.2577 46.6
4 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1114 0.3842 44.2
5 Trevor Rogers 0.1320 0.2267 38.8
6 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.1131 0.2447 37.5
7 Brandon Pfaadt 0.1079 0.3415 36.3
8 Freddy Peralta 0.1337 0.2707 35.7
9 Chase Burns 0.3147 0.3116 35.6
10 Jake Irvin 0.1262 0.3577 35.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cade Horton 0.3147 0.2740 100.8
2 Emmet Sheehan 0.3147 0.2530 67.8
3 Cam Schlittler 0.3147 0.2928 58.7
4 Lake Bachar 0.3147 0.3010 54.7
5 Carlos Vargas 0.3147 0.3320 50.9
6 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1140 0.3842 50.7
7 Matt Festa 0.3147 0.2688 49.0
8 Braydon Fisher 0.3147 0.2511 47.4
9 Cade Gibson 0.3147 0.2852 46.1
10 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.1173 0.3541 45.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Pivetta 0.1350 0.2577 46.6
2 Carlos Rodón 0.1345 0.2666 43.5
3 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1175 0.3842 40.7
4 Freddy Peralta 0.1337 0.2707 36.3
5 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.1101 0.2447 36.0
6 Chase Burns 0.3147 0.3116 35.8
7 Trevor Rogers 0.1237 0.2267 35.6
8 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.1168 0.3541 34.7
9 Aroldis Chapman 0.1421 0.1783 34.4
10 Grant Taylor 0.3147 0.2874 33.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shane Smith 0.3147 0.2980 108.2
2 Quinn Priester 0.3147 0.3110 106.2
3 Noah Cameron 0.3147 0.2837 105.6
4 Trevor Rogers 0.3147 0.2267 104.4
5 Matthew Liberatore 0.3147 0.3189 100.2
6 Cade Horton 0.3147 0.2740 95.0
7 Stephen Kolek 0.3147 0.2830 87.9
8 Brad Lord 0.3147 0.3191 84.3
9 Slade Cecconi 0.3147 0.3213 83.0
10 Chad Patrick 0.3147 0.3086 83.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Pivetta 0.1438 0.2577 52.4
2 Brandon Walter 0.3147 0.2889 45.0
3 Carlos Rodón 0.1334 0.2666 42.1
4 Luis Morales 0.3147 0.2998 40.1
5 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.1101 0.3541 39.9
6 Freddy Peralta 0.1388 0.2707 39.5
7 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1248 0.3842 37.2
8 Brandon Pfaadt 0.1073 0.3415 36.6
9 Chase Burns 0.3147 0.3116 35.7
10 Paul Skenes 0.1092 0.2489 34.3

Most Unique Misses for wOBA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jason Alexander 0.3147 0.3205 0.3439 50.4 1.5 48.9
2 Drew Pomeranz 0.3147 0.2848 0.2679 45.8 7.3 38.6
3 Cole Henry 0.3147 0.3182 0.3302 39.4 1.7 37.7
4 Juan Mejia 0.3147 0.3308 0.3111 47.7 10.1 37.6
5 Brandon Walter 0.3147 0.3124 0.2889 43.4 9.0 34.4
6 Braydon Fisher 0.3147 0.3075 0.2511 49.0 15.2 33.8
7 Isaac Mattson 0.3147 0.3122 0.2678 44.7 12.6 32.2
8 Cade Gibson 0.3147 0.3352 0.2852 48.0 15.9 32.1
9 Troy Melton 0.3147 0.3037 0.2688 40.5 9.7 30.8
10 Nolan McLean 0.3147 0.3111 0.2603 43.9 13.1 30.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 0.3147 0.3044 0.2740 104.4 23.5 80.9
2 Eric Lauer 0.3147 0.3232 0.2974 83.5 19.1 64.4
3 Emmet Sheehan 0.3147 0.2918 0.2530 70.0 16.8 53.1
4 Jason Alexander 0.3147 0.3205 0.3439 50.2 1.5 48.8
5 Matt Festa 0.3147 0.2998 0.2688 50.7 11.3 39.5
6 Drew Pomeranz 0.3147 0.2848 0.2679 45.8 7.3 38.5
7 Brandon Walter 0.3147 0.3124 0.2889 43.3 9.0 34.3
8 Antonio Senzatela 0.1138 0.3277 0.4069 70.7 37.2 33.5
9 Isaac Mattson 0.3147 0.3122 0.2678 44.7 12.6 32.1
10 Cade Gibson 0.3147 0.3352 0.2852 47.9 15.9 32.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Garrett Crochet 0.2982 0.2597 0.2711 24.2 6.2 18.0
2 Jacob deGrom 0.2926 0.2496 0.2609 23.0 5.2 17.8
3 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.3147 0.3197 0.3454 18.9 4.5 14.4
4 Shane Baz 0.2960 0.2996 0.3319 23.6 9.4 14.2
5 Sean Burke 0.3049 0.3122 0.3412 20.1 5.9 14.1
6 Will Warren 0.3410 0.3008 0.3220 15.4 1.6 13.8
7 Logan Allen 0.3459 0.3120 0.3247 16.1 4.3 11.9
8 Michael Lorenzen 0.3073 0.3103 0.3419 19.3 7.6 11.8
9 Louis Varland 0.3433 0.2897 0.2992 13.9 2.8 11.0
10 Nick Martinez 0.2970 0.3015 0.3175 12.1 2.1 10.1

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.3147 0.3197 0.3454 105.1 4.5 100.5
2 Dietrich Enns 0.3147 0.3067 0.3259 35.0 0.0 35.0
3 Chase Burns 0.3147 0.3147 0.3116 35.6 4.2 31.5
4 Brandon Waddell 0.3147 0.3066 0.3229 23.9 0.4 23.5
5 Jacob deGrom 0.1152 0.2496 0.2609 27.2 5.2 22.1
6 Roki Sasaki 0.3147 0.2792 0.3336 27.0 5.7 21.3
7 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1114 0.3179 0.3842 44.2 24.2 20.0
8 Antonio Senzatela 0.1290 0.3277 0.4069 56.6 37.2 19.4
9 Miles Mikolas 0.1109 0.3058 0.3446 31.7 13.3 18.4
10 Logan Webb 0.0836 0.2721 0.3033 28.5 10.5 18.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 0.3147 0.3044 0.2740 100.8 23.5 77.3
2 Emmet Sheehan 0.3147 0.2918 0.2530 67.8 16.8 50.9
3 Cam Schlittler 0.3147 0.3111 0.2928 58.7 11.3 47.3
4 Lake Bachar 0.3147 0.3107 0.3010 54.7 8.5 46.2
5 Carlos Vargas 0.3147 0.2950 0.3320 50.9 6.0 44.9
6 Hunter Dobbins 0.3147 0.3055 0.3141 44.0 2.7 41.3
7 Matt Festa 0.3147 0.2998 0.2688 49.0 11.3 37.7
8 Drew Pomeranz 0.3147 0.2848 0.2679 44.2 7.3 36.9
9 Mason Fluharty 0.3147 0.2985 0.2796 44.3 8.2 36.2
10 Antonio Senzatela 0.1185 0.3277 0.4069 72.5 37.2 35.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chase Burns 0.3147 0.3147 0.3116 35.8 4.2 31.6
2 Grant Taylor 0.3147 0.2908 0.2874 33.7 3.5 30.2
3 Antonio Senzatela 0.1210 0.3277 0.4069 61.0 37.2 23.8
4 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.1230 0.3197 0.3454 23.8 4.5 19.2
5 Miles Mikolas 0.1098 0.3058 0.3446 31.8 13.3 18.6
6 Kyle Freeland 0.1296 0.3274 0.3444 19.6 1.4 18.2
7 Logan Webb 0.0845 0.2721 0.3033 27.0 10.5 16.5
8 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1175 0.3179 0.3842 40.7 24.2 16.5
9 Freddy Peralta 0.1337 0.2813 0.2707 36.3 21.4 14.9
10 Garrett Crochet 0.1097 0.2597 0.2711 21.0 6.2 14.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Matthew Liberatore 0.3147 0.2971 0.3189 100.2 1.8 98.4
2 Quinn Priester 0.3147 0.3086 0.3110 106.2 10.9 95.3
3 Shane Smith 0.3147 0.3087 0.2980 108.2 18.3 89.9
4 Noah Cameron 0.3147 0.2944 0.2837 105.6 16.5 89.0
5 Slade Cecconi 0.3147 0.2941 0.3213 83.0 4.5 78.5
6 Chad Patrick 0.3147 0.2998 0.3086 83.0 5.1 77.9
7 Brad Lord 0.3147 0.3136 0.3191 84.3 7.4 77.0
8 Taijuan Walker 0.3147 0.3205 0.3385 72.7 0.6 72.1
9 Cade Horton 0.3147 0.3044 0.2740 95.0 23.5 71.5
10 Stephen Kolek 0.3147 0.3040 0.2830 87.9 18.5 69.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brandon Walter 0.3147 0.3124 0.2889 45.0 9.0 36.0
2 Antonio Senzatela 0.1060 0.3277 0.4069 70.7 37.2 33.5
3 Chase Burns 0.3147 0.3147 0.3116 35.7 4.2 31.5
4 Luis Morales 0.3147 0.3298 0.2998 40.1 9.8 30.3
5 Grant Taylor 0.3147 0.2908 0.2874 33.6 3.5 30.1
6 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.1094 0.3197 0.3454 33.3 4.5 28.8
7 José Fermin 0.3147 0.3135 0.3251 26.8 1.1 25.7
8 Nick Martinez 0.0932 0.3015 0.3175 25.7 2.1 23.6
9 Brandon Waddell 0.3147 0.3066 0.3229 23.9 0.4 23.5
10 Logan Webb 0.0771 0.2721 0.3033 33.9 10.5 23.4

Strikeout Rate

Everybody Missed for Strikeout Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Erick Fedde 0.1332
0.2065
(43.6)
0.2015
(42.5)
0.2031
(42.8)
0.2087
(42.8)
0.1898
(34.8)
0.2009
(40.8)
0.2011
(42.0)
0.2044
(43.5)
0.2062
(45.9)
Ronny Henriquez 0.3234
0.1984
(38.9)
0.2000
(37.4)
0.1934
(39.8)
0.2188
(33.8)
0.2020
(37.0)
0.1967
(39.1)
0.1981
(38.1)
0.2122
(34.1)
0.1927
(39.4)
Bailey Ober 0.1923
0.2536
(36.2)
0.2480
(34.7)
0.2478
(33.9)
0.2526
(33.5)
0.2409
(29.8)
0.2461
(32.1)
0.2456
(32.9)
0.2525
(36.7)
0.2496
(36.2)
Zack Wheeler 0.3333
0.2660
(41.3)
0.2615
(42.1)
0.2591
(44.1)
0.2669
(42.8)
0.2673
(39.1)
0.2610
(43.6)
0.2624
(41.8)
0.2566
(45.7)
0.2556
(45.0)
Spencer Strider 0.2430
0.3294
(44.8)
0.3282
(45.8)
0.3308
(46.6)
0.3183
(36.9)
0.3288
(45.8)
0.3257
(43.3)
0.3257
(44.3)
0.3231
(42.4)
0.3366
(50.8)
Logan Gilbert 0.3234
0.2579
(36.8)
0.2563
(35.9)
0.2541
(37.7)
0.2500
(42.9)
0.2572
(35.8)
0.2563
(37.1)
0.2574
(35.6)
0.2585
(35.4)
0.2507
(38.5)
Logan Webb 0.2617
0.2069
(49.7)
0.2063
(47.5)
0.2087
(46.4)
0.2157
(45.1)
0.2107
(44.3)
0.2061
(49.5)
0.2081
(46.3)
0.1973
(56.3)
0.2087
(44.7)
Cristopher Sánchez 0.2627
0.2077
(47.0)
0.2075
(44.6)
0.2083
(44.9)
0.2156
(43.4)
0.2116
(41.9)
0.2097
(44.6)
0.2107
(42.3)
0.1990
(52.5)
0.2065
(44.7)
Mitchell Parker 0.1421
0.2082
(45.6)
0.2021
(43.4)
0.2025
(43.0)
0.2143
(47.5)
0.1934
(36.6)
0.2025
(42.2)
0.2044
(44.8)
0.2014
(42.0)
0.2025
(44.3)

Individual Misses for Strikeout Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2426 0.1917 36.6
2 Brendon Little 0.1949 0.3085 34.5
3 J.T. Ginn 0.1721 0.2526 32.8
4 Andrew Heaney 0.2238 0.1604 32.2
5 Jeffrey Springs 0.2418 0.1935 32.1
6 Jesús Luzardo 0.2459 0.2850 32.1
7 Tanner Bibee 0.2571 0.2126 31.4
8 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2681 0.2254 30.4
9 Matt Svanson 0.1656 0.2906 30.0
10 Jacob deGrom 0.3235 0.2765 29.3

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob deGrom 0.3303 0.2765 35.9
2 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2351 0.1917 33.2
3 Brendon Little 0.2018 0.3085 31.5
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.2436 0.2850 31.4
5 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2658 0.2254 31.1
6 J.T. Ginn 0.1738 0.2526 30.9
7 Matt Svanson 0.1593 0.2906 30.8
8 Chris Paddack 0.2120 0.1672 30.0
9 Andrew Heaney 0.2156 0.1604 29.5
10 Germán Márquez 0.1897 0.1404 29.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob deGrom 0.3398 0.2765 41.5
2 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2373 0.1917 34.1
3 Chris Paddack 0.2188 0.1672 33.8
4 Brendon Little 0.1967 0.3085 33.3
5 J.T. Ginn 0.1720 0.2526 32.0
6 Bryan Woo 0.2299 0.2709 30.8
7 Germán Márquez 0.1927 0.1404 30.2
8 Matt Svanson 0.1649 0.2906 29.7
9 Cole Ragans 0.2674 0.3813 29.6
10 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2648 0.2254 29.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Antonio Senzatela 0.1916 0.1181 41.3
2 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.2229 0.1570 39.9
3 Clay Holmes 0.2433 0.1822 38.5
4 Andrew Heaney 0.2379 0.1604 37.9
5 Germán Márquez 0.2096 0.1404 36.9
6 Bryan Woo 0.2274 0.2709 36.7
7 Jeffrey Springs 0.2517 0.1935 36.6
8 Tarik Skubal 0.2801 0.3222 36.5
9 Mason Miller 0.2950 0.4444 36.5
10 Jake Irvin 0.2054 0.1576 32.4

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.2229 0.1570 43.9
2 Matt Svanson 0.1444 0.2906 34.4
3 J.T. Ginn 0.1713 0.2526 32.2
4 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2338 0.1917 31.7
5 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2666 0.2254 31.2
6 Andrew Heaney 0.2172 0.1604 30.0
7 Cole Ragans 0.2656 0.3813 30.0
8 Luis Severino 0.2189 0.1759 29.8
9 Germán Márquez 0.1915 0.1404 29.7
10 Jake Irvin 0.1957 0.1576 29.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob deGrom 0.3440 0.2765 43.6
2 Jesús Luzardo 0.2389 0.2850 36.7
3 Bryan Woo 0.2261 0.2709 34.4
4 J.T. Ginn 0.1704 0.2526 33.1
5 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2695 0.2254 32.3
6 Brendon Little 0.2041 0.3085 31.5
7 Phil Maton 0.2062 0.3266 30.4
8 Matt Svanson 0.1636 0.2906 30.3
9 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2528 0.2939 29.6
10 Chris Paddack 0.2128 0.1672 29.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob deGrom 0.3419 0.2765 43.4
2 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2691 0.2254 33.4
3 J.T. Ginn 0.1685 0.2526 33.1
4 Chris Paddack 0.2166 0.1672 32.8
5 Bryan Woo 0.2268 0.2709 32.6
6 Brendon Little 0.2007 0.3085 32.0
7 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2332 0.1917 31.5
8 Jesús Luzardo 0.2441 0.2850 31.3
9 Germán Márquez 0.1936 0.1404 31.2
10 Andrew Heaney 0.2178 0.1604 30.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 0.2347 0.2850 39.2
2 Bryan Woo 0.2220 0.2709 36.7
3 Bradley Blalock 0.2229 0.0982 33.9
4 Taijuan Walker 0.2229 0.1599 33.2
5 Brendon Little 0.1977 0.3085 33.1
6 Hunter Brown 0.2394 0.2826 32.5
7 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2487 0.2939 31.8
8 Casey Mize 0.1741 0.2217 30.7
9 Michael McGreevy 0.2229 0.1450 30.6
10 Jacob deGrom 0.3234 0.2765 30.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brad Lord 0.1166 0.1978 43.9
2 Jacob deGrom 0.3383 0.2765 41.8
3 Brandon Pfaadt 0.2406 0.1917 38.1
4 Chris Paddack 0.2215 0.1672 36.9
5 Brendon Little 0.1969 0.3085 32.7
6 Jeffrey Springs 0.2375 0.1935 31.9
7 Matt Svanson 0.1591 0.2906 30.6
8 Cole Ragans 0.2622 0.3813 30.4
9 Germán Márquez 0.1912 0.1404 30.4
10 J.T. Ginn 0.1756 0.2526 29.9

Most Unique Misses for Strikeout Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ryan Rolison 0.2229 0.1520 0.1295 17.4 4.3 13.1
2 Drew Pomeranz 0.2229 0.2513 0.2808 12.4 6.0 6.4
3 Ben Brown 0.2812 0.2649 0.2564 10.2 4.0 6.2
4 Casey Lawrence 0.2229 0.1442 0.0875 10.6 4.5 6.0
5 Jeffrey Springs 0.2418 0.2309 0.1935 32.1 26.6 5.5
6 Thomas Hatch 0.2229 0.1863 0.1447 11.4 6.3 5.1
7 Tanner Bibee 0.2571 0.2475 0.2126 31.4 26.5 4.9
8 Cade Horton 0.2299 0.2166 0.2038 10.9 6.0 4.8
9 Andry Lara 0.2229 0.1637 0.1282 7.1 2.8 4.4
10 Rico Garcia 0.2229 0.2492 0.2676 6.8 2.6 4.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ryan Rolison 0.2229 0.1520 0.1295 17.8 4.3 13.5
2 Emmet Sheehan 0.2229 0.2640 0.3058 24.5 12.2 12.3
3 Jake Woodford 0.2229 0.1692 0.1353 14.7 5.7 8.9
4 Brad Lord 0.1566 0.1679 0.1978 23.1 16.4 6.7
5 Drew Pomeranz 0.2229 0.2513 0.2808 12.0 6.0 6.0
6 Sean Burke 0.2120 0.2208 0.2232 7.4 1.5 5.9
7 Dustin May 0.2547 0.2440 0.2106 25.1 19.4 5.6
8 Jacob deGrom 0.3398 0.3303 0.2765 41.5 35.9 5.6
9 Justin Verlander 0.1897 0.1971 0.2069 12.2 6.6 5.6
10 Thomas Hatch 0.2229 0.1863 0.1447 11.7 6.3 5.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.2229 0.1631 0.1570 39.9 4.0 35.9
2 Antonio Senzatela 0.1916 0.1458 0.1181 41.3 17.0 24.3
3 Michael McGreevy 0.2218 0.1685 0.1450 28.0 9.4 18.7
4 Mason Miller 0.2950 0.3660 0.4444 36.5 18.4 18.1
5 Jeremiah Estrada 0.2798 0.3257 0.3553 25.0 9.0 16.0
6 Clay Holmes 0.2433 0.2155 0.1822 38.5 23.5 15.0
7 Janson Junk 0.2194 0.1641 0.1723 18.0 3.7 14.4
8 Tarik Skubal 0.2801 0.2916 0.3222 36.5 23.0 13.6
9 Edwin Díaz 0.3066 0.3515 0.3798 20.6 7.3 13.3
10 Jack Leiter 0.2107 0.2340 0.2291 16.2 3.1 13.1

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.2229 0.1631 0.1570 43.9 4.0 39.9
2 Luis Severino 0.2189 0.2036 0.1759 29.8 19.4 10.3
3 Sean Burke 0.2430 0.2208 0.2232 11.3 1.5 9.9
4 Chase Dollander 0.2340 0.2125 0.1859 20.8 11.7 9.2
5 Landen Roupp 0.2465 0.2276 0.2143 15.0 6.3 8.6
6 Drew Rasmussen 0.2513 0.2366 0.2171 19.5 11.3 8.2
7 Cole Henry 0.1677 0.1999 0.2158 11.8 3.8 8.0
8 Antonio Senzatela 0.1587 0.1458 0.1181 24.6 17.0 7.6
9 Mike Vasil 0.1644 0.1813 0.1939 12.8 5.3 7.5
10 Sonny Gray 0.2456 0.2548 0.2669 16.7 9.2 7.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ryan Rolison 0.2229 0.1520 0.1295 17.6 4.3 13.3
2 Emmet Sheehan 0.2229 0.2640 0.3058 24.8 12.2 12.6
3 Shane Smith 0.1926 0.2077 0.2354 27.8 17.1 10.6
4 Anthony Molina 0.2229 0.1594 0.1500 11.3 1.5 9.8
5 Grant Holmes 0.2067 0.2243 0.2500 22.4 12.7 9.7
6 Sean Burke 0.2070 0.2208 0.2232 11.0 1.5 9.5
7 Hunter Dobbins 0.2229 0.1856 0.1758 11.5 2.5 9.0
8 Slade Cecconi 0.2317 0.2142 0.2000 16.1 7.7 8.4
9 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.1853 0.2031 0.2124 12.3 4.0 8.4
10 Kris Bubic 0.2070 0.2223 0.2437 18.6 10.2 8.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Dustin May 0.2607 0.2440 0.2106 29.0 19.4 9.6
2 Shane Smith 0.1935 0.2077 0.2354 26.1 17.1 9.0
3 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.1756 0.1631 0.1570 12.2 4.0 8.2
4 Eric Lauer 0.1914 0.2091 0.2394 20.7 13.0 7.7
5 Jacob deGrom 0.3419 0.3303 0.2765 43.4 35.9 7.5
6 Sean Burke 0.2089 0.2208 0.2232 8.8 1.5 7.3
7 Will Warren 0.2073 0.2165 0.2405 24.0 17.2 6.8
8 Paul Skenes 0.3179 0.3083 0.2947 16.7 9.9 6.7
9 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0.2229 0.1848 0.1734 8.5 2.0 6.5
10 Grant Holmes 0.2129 0.2243 0.2500 18.5 12.7 5.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Taijuan Walker 0.2229 0.1679 0.1599 33.2 4.3 28.9
2 Michael McGreevy 0.2229 0.1685 0.1450 30.6 9.4 21.3
3 Stephen Kolek 0.2229 0.1856 0.1670 25.1 8.5 16.6
4 Bradley Blalock 0.2229 0.1626 0.0982 33.9 17.7 16.2
5 Tyler Phillips 0.2229 0.1742 0.1661 17.3 2.5 14.9
6 Logan Evans 0.2229 0.1826 0.1686 18.5 4.9 13.7
7 Ryan Rolison 0.2229 0.1520 0.1295 17.8 4.3 13.5
8 Ben Brown 0.2229 0.2649 0.2564 16.4 4.0 12.4
9 Emmet Sheehan 0.2229 0.2640 0.3058 24.5 12.2 12.3
10 Daniel Lynch IV 0.2229 0.1831 0.1557 19.0 7.9 11.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brad Lord 0.1166 0.1679 0.1978 43.9 16.4 27.5
2 Walker Buehler 0.2131 0.1942 0.1628 28.8 17.7 11.1
3 Justin Verlander 0.1802 0.1971 0.2069 17.3 6.6 10.7
4 Nick Pivetta 0.2883 0.2764 0.2635 18.4 9.2 9.2
5 Mike Burrows 0.1905 0.2126 0.2413 20.1 11.6 8.6
6 Merrill Kelly 0.1981 0.2101 0.2233 18.3 10.0 8.4
7 José Soriano 0.2320 0.2214 0.2099 16.5 8.2 8.3
8 Nick Martinez 0.2108 0.2001 0.1698 28.5 20.6 7.9
9 José Buttó 0.2655 0.2394 0.2042 17.6 10.0 7.7
10 Jackson Rutledge 0.1739 0.1959 0.1970 7.4 0.4 7.0

Walk Rate

Everybody Missed for Walk Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Gavin Williams 0.1179
0.0915
(16.8)
0.0897
(18.6)
0.0889
(18.4)
0.0931
(15.4)
0.0933
(18.0)
0.0873
(19.0)
0.0881
(18.6)
0.0876
(19.7)
0.0905
(18.0)
Janson Junk 0.0291
0.0702
(19.5)
0.0691
(18.7)
0.0698
(19.5)
0.0839
(25.8)
0.0667
(16.4)
0.0648
(17.6)
0.0632
(16.7)
0.0791
(23.4)
0.0707
(19.4)
Erick Fedde 0.1075
0.0727
(20.2)
0.0739
(19.9)
0.0730
(19.8)
0.0793
(15.8)
0.0804
(17.5)
0.0739
(18.7)
0.0735
(19.2)
0.0692
(22.4)
0.0736
(20.0)
Jack Kochanowicz 0.1133
0.0603
(25.9)
0.0641
(24.3)
0.0645
(23.5)
0.0657
(22.9)
0.0715
(21.8)
0.0623
(24.3)
0.0638
(23.6)
0.0630
(24.6)
0.0639
(24.4)
Matthew Liberatore 0.0617
0.0854
(16.9)
0.0871
(17.5)
0.0872
(18.3)
0.0850
(17.0)
0.0867
(15.6)
0.0895
(20.4)
0.0875
(18.8)
0.0841
(16.0)
0.0864
(17.1)
Edward Cabrera 0.0826
0.1141
(19.7)
0.1124
(18.3)
0.1092
(17.1)
0.1144
(20.2)
0.1131
(17.2)
0.1110
(18.6)
0.1096
(17.6)
0.1160
(20.7)
0.1104
(17.2)
Michael Lorenzen 0.0644
0.0976
(21.6)
0.0959
(20.1)
0.0929
(19.0)
0.0943
(19.9)
0.0988
(20.4)
0.0962
(21.5)
0.0930
(19.4)
0.0954
(20.2)
0.0942
(19.1)
Nick Lodolo 0.0483
0.0746
(18.4)
0.0767
(19.3)
0.0777
(20.7)
0.0777
(20.7)
0.0775
(18.2)
0.0765
(20.4)
0.0759
(19.8)
0.0760
(19.3)
0.0798
(21.4)

Individual Misses for Walk Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sean Newcomb 0.1319 0.0793 21.5
2 Andrew Abbott 0.0877 0.0629 18.6
3 Aroldis Chapman 0.1413 0.0658 17.8
4 Walker Buehler 0.0749 0.1080 17.3
5 Mike Vasil 0.0804 0.1229 17.0
6 Eric Lauer 0.0971 0.0610 16.4
7 Grant Holmes 0.0743 0.1098 16.2
8 Ben Casparius 0.1092 0.0631 16.2
9 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0726 0.0959 16.1
10 Bryan King 0.0955 0.0400 15.9

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sean Newcomb 0.1256 0.0793 18.8
2 Mike Vasil 0.0773 0.1229 18.6
3 Garrett Crochet 0.0759 0.0565 17.2
4 Walker Buehler 0.0760 0.1080 17.1
5 Aroldis Chapman 0.1369 0.0658 16.6
6 Andrew Abbott 0.0853 0.0629 16.5
7 Bryan King 0.0976 0.0400 16.3
8 Tyler Glasnow 0.0721 0.1175 16.0
9 Grant Holmes 0.0761 0.1098 15.7
10 Sonny Gray 0.0691 0.0505 15.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.0780 0.0565 19.8
2 Walker Buehler 0.0705 0.1080 19.5
3 Mike Vasil 0.0749 0.1229 19.1
4 Sean Newcomb 0.1241 0.0793 18.6
5 Bryan King 0.1007 0.0400 17.5
6 Andrew Abbott 0.0845 0.0629 16.8
7 Aroldis Chapman 0.1348 0.0658 16.4
8 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.0600 0.0863 16.0
9 Tyler Glasnow 0.0712 0.1175 15.9
10 Matthew Boyd 0.0768 0.0585 15.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0841 0.0533 22.8
2 Andrew Abbott 0.0896 0.0629 20.2
3 Matthew Boyd 0.0824 0.0585 19.2
4 Grant Holmes 0.0694 0.1098 18.4
5 Brendon Little 0.0887 0.1525 18.0
6 Sonny Gray 0.0693 0.0505 16.4
7 Merrill Kelly 0.0828 0.0642 16.1
8 Garrett Crochet 0.0724 0.0565 15.3
9 Mike Vasil 0.0841 0.1229 15.2
10 Ranger Suarez 0.0787 0.0584 15.1

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0841 0.0533 20.2
2 Mike Vasil 0.0787 0.1229 19.1
3 Grant Holmes 0.0753 0.1098 17.4
4 Sandy Alcantara 0.0543 0.0765 17.2
5 Sean Newcomb 0.1222 0.0793 16.4
6 Seth Lugo 0.0642 0.0900 16.3
7 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.0841 0.1423 16.2
8 Ben Casparius 0.1125 0.0631 16.2
9 Andrew Abbott 0.0867 0.0629 15.7
10 Tyler Glasnow 0.0759 0.1175 15.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Vasil 0.0706 0.1229 20.6
2 Sean Newcomb 0.1243 0.0793 19.0
3 Garrett Crochet 0.0761 0.0565 18.9
4 Andrew Abbott 0.0852 0.0629 17.7
5 Matthew Boyd 0.0789 0.0585 17.3
6 Tyler Glasnow 0.0694 0.1175 16.3
7 Bryan King 0.0943 0.0400 15.9
8 Aroldis Chapman 0.1320 0.0658 15.9
9 Sonny Gray 0.0679 0.0505 15.8
10 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.0983 0.0644 15.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mike Vasil 0.0725 0.1229 19.9
2 Garrett Crochet 0.0759 0.0565 18.4
3 Sean Newcomb 0.1210 0.0793 17.6
4 Andrew Abbott 0.0844 0.0629 17.0
5 Matthew Boyd 0.0784 0.0585 16.6
6 Tyler Glasnow 0.0704 0.1175 16.0
7 Bryan King 0.0944 0.0400 15.9
8 Aroldis Chapman 0.1316 0.0658 15.7
9 Grant Holmes 0.0746 0.1098 15.6
10 Walker Buehler 0.0777 0.1080 15.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sean Newcomb 0.1304 0.0793 20.9
2 Garrett Crochet 0.0780 0.0565 19.4
3 Aroldis Chapman 0.1475 0.0658 19.2
4 Sonny Gray 0.0732 0.0505 18.9
5 Bryan King 0.1042 0.0400 18.3
6 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0708 0.0959 17.5
7 Nathan Eovaldi 0.0753 0.0423 17.5
8 Scott Barlow 0.0912 0.1485 16.6
9 Matthew Boyd 0.0788 0.0585 16.2
10 Tyler Glasnow 0.0727 0.1175 15.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Walker Buehler 0.0633 0.1080 24.2
2 Garrett Crochet 0.0799 0.0565 20.5
3 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.0548 0.0863 20.3
4 Mike Vasil 0.0760 0.1229 19.1
5 Bryan King 0.1067 0.0400 18.8
6 Sean Newcomb 0.1240 0.0793 18.2
7 Andrew Abbott 0.0859 0.0629 16.9
8 Robbie Ray 0.0728 0.0967 16.7
9 Abner Uribe 0.1443 0.0906 16.5
10 Aroldis Chapman 0.1364 0.0658 16.5

Most Unique Misses for Walk Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Juan Morillo 0.0841 0.1273 0.1316 6.8 0.4 6.5
2 Luis Mey 0.0841 0.1495 0.1771 8.7 2.5 6.2
3 Cade Horton 0.0998 0.0876 0.0693 15.7 9.5 6.1
4 Cole Henry 0.0841 0.1070 0.1328 11.1 5.8 5.3
5 Pierson Ohl 0.0841 0.0509 0.0526 4.5 0.0 4.5
6 José Fermin 0.0841 0.1126 0.1513 9.8 5.6 4.2
7 Eric Lauer 0.0971 0.0884 0.0610 16.4 12.4 4.0
8 Brandon Walter 0.0841 0.0685 0.0189 14.4 10.9 3.5
9 Landen Roupp 0.1023 0.0958 0.0945 4.9 1.4 3.5
10 Jackson Rutledge 0.1082 0.0987 0.0727 12.5 9.1 3.4

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Juan Morillo 0.0841 0.1273 0.1316 6.8 0.4 6.4
2 Pierson Ohl 0.0841 0.0509 0.0526 4.6 0.0 4.6
3 Robbie Ray 0.0744 0.0814 0.0967 14.7 10.2 4.5
4 José Fermin 0.0841 0.1126 0.1513 9.8 5.6 4.2
5 Brad Lord 0.0683 0.0768 0.0788 4.2 0.1 4.0
6 Brandon Walter 0.0841 0.0685 0.0189 14.4 10.9 3.6
7 Dan Altavilla 0.0841 0.1115 0.1250 4.6 1.4 3.2
8 Eduarniel Núñez 0.0841 0.1374 0.1833 5.8 2.7 3.1
9 Konnor Pilkington 0.0841 0.1106 0.1382 6.3 3.2 3.1
10 Logan Evans 0.0759 0.0856 0.0886 3.4 0.5 3.0

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0841 0.0551 0.0533 22.8 2.4 20.4
2 Sean Burke 0.0846 0.1058 0.1057 10.8 1.1 9.8
3 Jack Leiter 0.0870 0.1013 0.1037 9.0 0.4 8.5
4 Jacob deGrom 0.0659 0.0559 0.0553 9.1 1.5 7.5
5 Janson Junk 0.0839 0.0691 0.0291 25.8 18.7 7.1
6 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0641 0.0568 0.0482 14.4 7.8 6.6
7 Quinn Priester 0.0843 0.0757 0.0766 6.9 0.5 6.4
8 Juan Morillo 0.0841 0.1273 0.1316 6.8 0.4 6.4
9 Michael McGreevy 0.0714 0.0567 0.0500 9.7 3.4 6.4
10 Ryan Zeferjahn 0.0851 0.1107 0.1362 12.4 6.1 6.3

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0841 0.0551 0.0533 20.2 2.4 17.8
2 Sandy Alcantara 0.0543 0.0591 0.0765 17.2 11.7 5.5
3 Brad Lord 0.0892 0.0768 0.0788 5.2 0.1 5.1
4 Zac Gallen 0.0699 0.0727 0.0812 9.9 5.5 4.4
5 Jacob Misiorowski 0.1448 0.1262 0.1136 8.3 3.9 4.4
6 Lucas Giolito 0.0803 0.0837 0.0914 7.3 3.7 3.6
7 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.0841 0.0948 0.1423 16.2 12.6 3.6
8 Jacob deGrom 0.0634 0.0559 0.0553 4.8 1.5 3.3
9 Cam Schlittler 0.1169 0.0964 0.1020 4.3 1.2 3.1
10 Jose Quintana 0.0830 0.0856 0.0899 4.3 1.5 2.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Juan Morillo 0.0841 0.1273 0.1316 6.7 0.4 6.3
2 Zack Littell 0.0588 0.0545 0.0422 15.4 10.7 4.7
3 Pierson Ohl 0.0841 0.0509 0.0526 4.7 0.0 4.7
4 José Fermin 0.0841 0.1126 0.1513 9.7 5.6 4.0
5 Noah Murdock 0.0841 0.1268 0.2041 11.4 7.4 4.0
6 Josh Simpson 0.0841 0.1117 0.1457 8.7 4.9 3.9
7 José A. Ferrer 0.0880 0.0780 0.0494 13.7 9.8 3.9
8 Andre Pallante 0.0959 0.0924 0.0867 9.1 5.3 3.8
9 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0675 0.0649 0.0545 13.4 9.8 3.6
10 Brad Lord 0.0820 0.0768 0.0788 3.8 0.1 3.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Justin Verlander 0.0587 0.0657 0.0785 10.9 7.4 3.6
2 Carlos Rodón 0.0741 0.0801 0.0925 12.0 8.4 3.5
3 Zack Littell 0.0576 0.0545 0.0422 14.2 10.7 3.5
4 José A. Ferrer 0.0873 0.0780 0.0494 13.3 9.8 3.5
5 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0676 0.0649 0.0545 13.3 9.8 3.5
6 Robbie Ray 0.0758 0.0814 0.0967 13.2 10.2 3.0
7 Tarik Skubal 0.0574 0.0553 0.0441 12.4 9.6 2.8
8 Mitch Keller 0.0736 0.0714 0.0681 6.6 3.8 2.8
9 Bryan Woo 0.0569 0.0547 0.0492 8.0 5.2 2.8
10 Graham Ashcraft 0.0606 0.0717 0.0880 6.9 4.2 2.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Slade Cecconi 0.0841 0.0550 0.0587 15.1 1.1 14.0
2 Michael McGreevy 0.0841 0.0567 0.0500 14.6 3.4 11.2
3 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0698 0.0551 0.0533 12.7 2.4 10.3
4 Juan Morillo 0.0841 0.1273 0.1316 6.9 0.4 6.5
5 Ryan Pepiot 0.0744 0.0842 0.0898 8.9 2.7 6.2
6 Luis Mey 0.0841 0.1495 0.1771 8.7 2.5 6.2
7 Quinn Priester 0.0841 0.0757 0.0766 6.5 0.5 6.0
8 Jacob deGrom 0.0639 0.0559 0.0553 7.3 1.5 5.8
9 Kevin Gausman 0.0761 0.0697 0.0645 10.8 5.4 5.4
10 Cole Henry 0.0841 0.1070 0.1328 11.2 5.8 5.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Clay Holmes 0.0717 0.0877 0.0932 14.0 2.7 11.3
2 Brad Lord 0.0596 0.0768 0.0788 9.5 0.1 9.4
3 Walker Buehler 0.0633 0.0760 0.1080 24.2 17.1 7.1
4 Robbie Ray 0.0728 0.0814 0.0967 16.7 10.2 6.4
5 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.0548 0.0637 0.0863 20.3 14.3 6.1
6 José Fermin 0.0841 0.1126 0.1513 9.9 5.6 4.3
7 Abner Uribe 0.1443 0.1316 0.0906 16.5 12.7 3.8
8 Germán Márquez 0.0861 0.0791 0.0812 4.0 0.2 3.7
9 Sean Burke 0.1117 0.1058 0.1057 4.6 1.1 3.6
10 Garrett Crochet 0.0799 0.0759 0.0565 20.5 17.2 3.4

Hit By Pitch Rate

Everybody Missed for Hit By Pitch Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Gregory Soto 0.0394
0.0156
(6.7)
0.0139
(7.2)
0.0155
(6.8)
0.0161
(6.6)
0.0112
(7.9)
0.0127
(7.4)
0.0128
(7.4)
0.0140
(7.3)
0.0170
(6.5)
Noah Davis 0.1077
0.0139
(6.1)
0.0165
(6.0)
0.0105
(6.3)
0.0142
(6.1)
0.0108
(6.3)
0.0105
(6.3)
0.0152
(6.0)
0.0175
(5.9)
0.0249
(5.4)
Brayan Bello 0.0186
0.0107
(5.7)
0.0103
(6.0)
0.0091
(6.8)
0.0117
(5.0)
0.0105
(5.7)
0.0105
(5.5)
0.0105
(5.5)
0.0105
(6.0)
0.0090
(7.4)
Aaron Bummer 0.0468
0.0116
(8.3)
0.0118
(8.3)
0.0115
(8.4)
0.0119
(8.3)
0.0110
(8.4)
0.0111
(8.3)
0.0111
(8.3)
0.0125
(8.2)
0.0132
(8.1)
Lucas Sims 0.0972
0.0174
(5.8)
0.0161
(5.9)
0.0198
(5.6)
0.0169
(5.8)
0.0119
(6.2)
0.0135
(6.0)
0.0134
(6.0)
0.0171
(5.8)
0.0235
(5.4)
Michael Soroka 0.0396
0.0133
(10.1)
0.0133
(10.1)
0.0150
(9.4)
0.0110
(10.9)
0.0107
(11.0)
0.0126
(10.2)
0.0127
(10.1)
0.0129
(10.3)
0.0178
(8.6)
Brant Hurter 0.0397
0.0117
(7.9)
0.0129
(7.5)
0.0173
(6.3)
0.0094
(8.5)
0.0099
(8.3)
0.0135
(7.2)
0.0133
(7.3)
0.0117
(7.9)
0.0174
(6.5)
Luis Severino 0.0227
0.0118
(7.9)
0.0116
(8.1)
0.0119
(7.8)
0.0133
(6.8)
0.0104
(8.8)
0.0115
(7.8)
0.0115
(7.8)
0.0114
(8.4)
0.0130
(7.5)

Individual Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Henry 0.0105 0.0456 8.5
2 José Soriano 0.0163 0.0069 6.6
3 Cade Horton 0.0000 0.0126 6.1
4 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0105 0.0504 5.6
5 Hunter Greene 0.0182 0.0048 5.5
6 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0087 0.0156 5.5
7 Walker Buehler 0.0100 0.0195 5.5
8 Robbie Ray 0.0127 0.0053 5.4
9 Brady Singer 0.0124 0.0196 5.3
10 Joe Ryan 0.0101 0.0174 5.3

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Henry 0.0154 0.0456 7.4
2 José Soriano 0.0161 0.0069 6.4
3 Walker Buehler 0.0099 0.0195 5.6
4 Brady Singer 0.0122 0.0196 5.5
5 Hunter Greene 0.0173 0.0048 5.1
6 Brad Lord 0.0152 0.0055 5.1
7 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0094 0.0156 5.1
8 Joe Ryan 0.0105 0.0174 5.0
9 Chris Sale 0.0125 0.0216 4.8
10 Edwin Díaz 0.0135 0.0310 4.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Soriano 0.0206 0.0069 9.7
2 Brad Lord 0.0201 0.0055 7.8
3 Hunter Greene 0.0227 0.0048 7.4
4 Cole Henry 0.0181 0.0456 6.7
5 Walker Buehler 0.0096 0.0195 5.7
6 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0105 0.0504 5.6
7 Clay Holmes 0.0109 0.0184 5.5
8 Bryan Woo 0.0128 0.0055 5.1
9 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0092 0.0156 5.1
10 Cam Schlittler 0.0000 0.0164 5.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Henry 0.0105 0.0456 8.5
2 José Soriano 0.0186 0.0069 8.3
3 Robbie Ray 0.0159 0.0053 7.8
4 Hunter Greene 0.0207 0.0048 6.6
5 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0073 0.0156 6.6
6 Shane Smith 0.0105 0.0195 5.7
7 Edwin Díaz 0.0094 0.0310 5.6
8 Joe Ryan 0.0102 0.0174 5.2
9 Nick Lodolo 0.0284 0.0202 5.1
10 Brady Singer 0.0128 0.0196 5.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Henry 0.0117 0.0456 8.2
2 Brady Singer 0.0100 0.0196 6.9
3 Charlie Morton 0.0110 0.0214 6.9
4 Nick Lodolo 0.0103 0.0202 6.4
5 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0104 0.0014 6.2
6 Dustin May 0.0104 0.0205 6.0
7 Chris Sale 0.0100 0.0216 5.9
8 Merrill Kelly 0.0104 0.0027 5.7
9 Clay Holmes 0.0108 0.0184 5.5
10 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0114 0.0504 5.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Henry 0.0111 0.0456 8.3
2 Walker Buehler 0.0095 0.0195 5.5
3 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0105 0.0504 5.5
4 Dustin May 0.0112 0.0205 5.4
5 José Soriano 0.0141 0.0069 5.3
6 Brady Singer 0.0121 0.0196 5.2
7 Garrett Crochet 0.0096 0.0037 5.0
8 Edwin Díaz 0.0117 0.0310 4.9
9 Chris Sale 0.0120 0.0216 4.8
10 Joe Ryan 0.0103 0.0174 4.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Henry 0.0112 0.0456 8.3
2 Walker Buehler 0.0095 0.0195 5.5
3 Dustin May 0.0113 0.0205 5.3
4 José Soriano 0.0141 0.0069 5.3
5 Brady Singer 0.0122 0.0196 5.2
6 Garrett Crochet 0.0096 0.0037 4.9
7 Edwin Díaz 0.0118 0.0310 4.9
8 Chris Sale 0.0119 0.0216 4.8
9 Joe Ryan 0.0102 0.0174 4.8
10 Hunter Greene 0.0160 0.0048 4.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cole Henry 0.0105 0.0456 8.6
2 Dustin May 0.0105 0.0205 6.2
3 Brady Singer 0.0116 0.0196 6.1
4 Shane Smith 0.0105 0.0195 5.9
5 Joe Ryan 0.0096 0.0174 5.8
6 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0088 0.0156 5.6
7 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0105 0.0504 5.6
8 Walker Buehler 0.0102 0.0195 5.6
9 Ryan Walker 0.0123 0.0301 4.9
10 Sean Manaea 0.0096 0.0266 4.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Soriano 0.0278 0.0069 14.5
2 Nick Lodolo 0.0377 0.0202 10.6
3 Brad Lord 0.0248 0.0055 10.0
4 Hunter Greene 0.0287 0.0048 9.6
5 Jacob Misiorowski 0.0404 0.0110 7.8
6 Clay Holmes 0.0097 0.0184 6.8
7 Walker Buehler 0.0096 0.0195 6.1
8 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0043 0.0119 5.8
9 Bryan Woo 0.0140 0.0055 5.5
10 Drew Pomeranz 0.0000 0.0246 5.2

Most Unique Misses for Hit By Pitch Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 0.0000 0.0077 0.0126 6.1 2.5 3.7
2 Robbie Ray 0.0127 0.0102 0.0053 5.4 3.5 1.9
3 Juan Mejia 0.0105 0.0175 0.0230 3.3 1.5 1.8
4 Eric Orze 0.0290 0.0140 0.0169 2.1 0.6 1.5
5 Orlando Ribalta 0.0248 0.0130 0.0083 1.9 0.5 1.4
6 Yoendrys Gómez 0.0200 0.0146 0.0144 1.5 0.0 1.4
7 Kodai Senga 0.0126 0.0098 0.0062 2.9 1.6 1.4
8 Kyle Leahy 0.0146 0.0110 0.0028 4.2 2.9 1.3
9 Nick Lodolo 0.0241 0.0220 0.0202 2.3 0.9 1.3
10 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0105 0.0196 0.0504 5.6 4.3 1.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Lodolo 0.0283 0.0220 0.0202 5.0 0.9 4.0
2 Cam Schlittler 0.0000 0.0130 0.0164 5.1 1.1 3.9
3 José Soriano 0.0206 0.0161 0.0069 9.7 6.4 3.2
4 Brad Lord 0.0201 0.0152 0.0055 7.8 5.1 2.7
5 Hunter Greene 0.0227 0.0173 0.0048 7.4 5.1 2.3
6 Lyon Richardson 0.0227 0.0118 0.0116 1.9 0.0 1.8
7 Chris Murphy 0.0000 0.0119 0.0338 5.0 3.3 1.8
8 Caleb Boushley 0.0000 0.0079 0.0104 2.1 0.5 1.5
9 Jack Kochanowicz 0.0179 0.0151 0.0137 2.0 0.6 1.5
10 Jacob Misiorowski 0.0274 0.0221 0.0110 4.4 3.0 1.4

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Robbie Ray 0.0159 0.0102 0.0053 7.8 3.5 4.4
2 Nick Lodolo 0.0284 0.0220 0.0202 5.1 0.9 4.2
3 Shane Smith 0.0105 0.0146 0.0195 5.7 3.2 2.5
4 Mitch Keller 0.0166 0.0136 0.0134 2.3 0.0 2.3
5 JP Sears 0.0171 0.0135 0.0103 3.8 1.7 2.1
6 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0046 0.0083 0.0074 2.5 0.4 2.0
7 Jacob deGrom 0.0110 0.0081 0.0045 4.2 2.2 2.0
8 Wandy Peralta 0.0195 0.0133 0.0064 4.0 2.1 2.0
9 José Soriano 0.0186 0.0161 0.0069 8.3 6.4 1.9
10 Juan Mejia 0.0105 0.0175 0.0230 3.3 1.5 1.8

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Lodolo 0.0103 0.0220 0.0202 6.4 0.9 5.5
2 Charlie Morton 0.0110 0.0169 0.0214 6.9 3.2 3.7
3 Kevin Gausman 0.0101 0.0062 0.0039 4.8 1.5 3.2
4 Mitchell Parker 0.0108 0.0068 0.0055 3.8 0.7 3.1
5 Merrill Kelly 0.0104 0.0073 0.0027 5.7 3.2 2.5
6 Mitch Keller 0.0101 0.0136 0.0134 2.5 0.0 2.5
7 Chris Bassitt 0.0104 0.0141 0.0177 5.4 2.9 2.5
8 Andrew Abbott 0.0106 0.0074 0.0044 4.2 1.9 2.3
9 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0104 0.0073 0.0014 6.2 3.8 2.3
10 Yohan Ramírez 0.0111 0.0259 0.0258 2.3 0.0 2.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0105 0.0196 0.0504 5.5 4.3 1.2
2 Shane Smith 0.0122 0.0146 0.0195 4.4 3.2 1.2
3 Garrett Crochet 0.0096 0.0087 0.0037 5.0 3.9 1.1
4 Cade Gibson 0.0105 0.0158 0.0261 3.6 2.4 1.1
5 Tarik Skubal 0.0101 0.0093 0.0067 2.7 1.7 1.0
6 Cole Henry 0.0111 0.0154 0.0456 8.3 7.4 0.9
7 Jeffrey Springs 0.0079 0.0071 0.0042 2.7 1.8 0.9
8 Dustin May 0.0112 0.0131 0.0205 5.4 4.5 0.8
9 Juan Mejia 0.0141 0.0175 0.0230 2.3 1.5 0.8
10 Eric Orze 0.0094 0.0140 0.0169 1.3 0.6 0.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Shane Smith 0.0122 0.0146 0.0195 4.4 3.2 1.1
2 Garrett Crochet 0.0096 0.0087 0.0037 4.9 3.9 1.1
3 Tarik Skubal 0.0101 0.0093 0.0067 2.7 1.7 1.0
4 Cole Henry 0.0112 0.0154 0.0456 8.3 7.4 0.9
5 Jeffrey Springs 0.0079 0.0071 0.0042 2.7 1.8 0.9
6 Dustin May 0.0113 0.0131 0.0205 5.3 4.5 0.8
7 Juan Mejia 0.0142 0.0175 0.0230 2.2 1.5 0.7
8 Sean Newcomb 0.0106 0.0129 0.0128 0.8 0.1 0.7
9 Eric Orze 0.0097 0.0140 0.0169 1.2 0.6 0.7
10 Bailey Ober 0.0096 0.0090 0.0080 1.1 0.4 0.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Shane Smith 0.0105 0.0146 0.0195 5.9 3.2 2.7
2 Stephen Kolek 0.0105 0.0148 0.0152 2.4 0.3 2.1
3 Juan Mejia 0.0105 0.0175 0.0230 3.4 1.5 1.9
4 Dustin May 0.0105 0.0131 0.0205 6.2 4.5 1.7
5 Kai-Wei Teng 0.0105 0.0196 0.0504 5.6 4.3 1.3
6 Cade Gibson 0.0105 0.0158 0.0261 3.7 2.4 1.3
7 Cole Henry 0.0105 0.0154 0.0456 8.6 7.4 1.2
8 Matt Svanson 0.0105 0.0152 0.0171 1.7 0.5 1.2
9 Seranthony Domínguez 0.0152 0.0106 0.0077 1.8 0.7 1.1
10 Jack Dreyer 0.0105 0.0069 0.0000 3.0 2.0 1.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Lodolo 0.0377 0.0220 0.0202 10.6 0.9 9.6
2 José Soriano 0.0278 0.0161 0.0069 14.5 6.4 8.0
3 Brad Lord 0.0248 0.0152 0.0055 10.0 5.1 4.9
4 Jacob Misiorowski 0.0404 0.0221 0.0110 7.8 3.0 4.8
5 Hunter Greene 0.0287 0.0173 0.0048 9.6 5.1 4.5
6 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0043 0.0095 0.0119 5.8 1.8 4.0
7 Chase Dollander 0.0253 0.0156 0.0136 4.7 0.8 4.0
8 Yohan Ramírez 0.0463 0.0259 0.0258 3.0 0.0 3.0
9 Stephen Kolek 0.0227 0.0148 0.0152 3.0 0.3 2.7
10 Jason Adam 0.0283 0.0177 0.0111 4.4 1.7 2.7

Home Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Home Run Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Seth Lugo 0.0635
0.0400
(13.8)
0.0403
(13.3)
0.0400
(13.4)
0.0359
(16.3)
0.0397
(12.9)
0.0393
(14.5)
0.0402
(13.9)
0.0420
(12.6)
0.0407
(12.5)
David Peterson 0.0220
0.0358
(10.7)
0.0362
(11.3)
0.0368
(11.8)
0.0362
(11.0)
0.0345
(11.1)
0.0360
(10.5)
0.0366
(11.0)
0.0378
(12.0)
0.0367
(12.5)

Individual Misses for Home Run Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cade Horton 0.0687 0.0294 19.1
2 Andrew Abbott 0.0593 0.0389 14.6
3 Jesús Luzardo 0.0513 0.0332 14.4
4 Luis Severino 0.0492 0.0311 13.4
5 Carlos Rodón 0.0597 0.0437 13.3
6 Michael Wacha 0.0442 0.0277 12.4
7 Jeff Hoffman 0.0446 0.0872 12.0
8 Tyler Alexander 0.0562 0.0291 11.8
9 Zac Gallen 0.0402 0.0546 11.0
10 Lucas Giolito 0.0561 0.0391 11.0

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 0.0517 0.0332 15.1
2 Andrew Abbott 0.0574 0.0389 13.7
3 Michael Wacha 0.0450 0.0277 13.4
4 Tyler Alexander 0.0567 0.0291 12.3
5 Jeff Hoffman 0.0433 0.0872 12.2
6 Carlos Rodón 0.0571 0.0437 11.7
7 Cade Horton 0.0526 0.0294 11.7
8 Jake Irvin 0.0478 0.0639 11.6
9 Luis Severino 0.0458 0.0311 11.4
10 Shota Imanaga 0.0521 0.0733 11.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 0.0549 0.0332 17.6
2 Michael Wacha 0.0462 0.0277 14.4
3 Jeff Hoffman 0.0380 0.0872 13.7
4 Andrew Abbott 0.0571 0.0389 13.5
5 Tyler Alexander 0.0592 0.0291 13.4
6 Shota Imanaga 0.0494 0.0733 12.7
7 Nick Pivetta 0.0616 0.0460 12.3
8 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0356 0.0220 12.2
9 Bowden Francis 0.0542 0.0945 11.2
10 Jake Irvin 0.0482 0.0639 11.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Lucas Giolito 0.0636 0.0391 15.7
2 Luis Severino 0.0515 0.0311 15.1
3 Osvaldo Bido 0.0349 0.0748 14.1
4 Sean Newcomb 0.0510 0.0189 12.9
5 Tyler Anderson 0.0418 0.0644 12.9
6 Zac Gallen 0.0378 0.0546 12.8
7 Jeff Hoffman 0.0427 0.0872 12.5
8 Bowden Francis 0.0508 0.0945 12.3
9 Logan Allen 0.0542 0.0370 12.3
10 Shota Imanaga 0.0508 0.0733 12.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 0.0491 0.0332 14.2
2 Michael Wacha 0.0443 0.0277 13.8
3 Jake Irvin 0.0437 0.0639 13.7
4 Tyler Alexander 0.0580 0.0291 13.4
5 Andrew Abbott 0.0555 0.0389 13.3
6 Carlos Rodón 0.0568 0.0437 12.6
7 Jeff Hoffman 0.0430 0.0872 11.9
8 Clayton Kershaw 0.0463 0.0234 11.9
9 Tyler Mahle 0.0509 0.0199 11.7
10 Bowden Francis 0.0513 0.0945 11.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 0.0526 0.0332 15.1
2 Andrew Abbott 0.0582 0.0389 13.6
3 Shota Imanaga 0.0490 0.0733 13.5
4 Michael Wacha 0.0455 0.0277 13.1
5 Jeff Hoffman 0.0412 0.0872 13.0
6 Jake Irvin 0.0472 0.0639 12.7
7 JP Sears 0.0502 0.0708 11.7
8 J.T. Ginn 0.0364 0.0664 11.6
9 Tyler Mahle 0.0528 0.0199 11.6
10 Bowden Francis 0.0553 0.0945 11.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.0602 0.0389 15.0
2 Jesús Luzardo 0.0518 0.0332 14.5
3 Michael Wacha 0.0455 0.0277 13.1
4 Jake Irvin 0.0469 0.0639 12.9
5 Jeff Hoffman 0.0433 0.0872 12.4
6 Shota Imanaga 0.0508 0.0733 12.4
7 Tyler Alexander 0.0562 0.0291 11.7
8 Luis Severino 0.0467 0.0311 11.4
9 Bowden Francis 0.0545 0.0945 11.4
10 Zac Gallen 0.0403 0.0546 11.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Luis Severino 0.0516 0.0311 15.0
2 Carlos Rodón 0.0602 0.0437 13.7
3 Andrew Abbott 0.0575 0.0389 13.3
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.0490 0.0332 12.6
5 Michael Wacha 0.0441 0.0277 12.3
6 Nick Pivetta 0.0616 0.0460 11.8
7 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0604 0.0461 11.7
8 Tyler Mahle 0.0526 0.0199 11.6
9 Clayton Kershaw 0.0464 0.0234 11.0
10 Nestor Cortes 0.0520 0.1226 11.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 0.0563 0.0332 19.4
2 Nick Pivetta 0.0667 0.0460 16.7
3 Tyler Alexander 0.0639 0.0291 15.7
4 Paul Skenes 0.0421 0.0235 15.5
5 Michael Wacha 0.0466 0.0277 15.3
6 Jeff Hoffman 0.0352 0.0872 14.2
7 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0369 0.0220 14.0
8 Garrett Crochet 0.0293 0.0471 12.4
9 Shota Imanaga 0.0492 0.0733 12.3
10 Sean Newcomb 0.0476 0.0189 12.2

Most Unique Misses for Home Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 0.0687 0.0526 0.0294 19.1 11.7 7.4
2 Eric Lauer 0.0653 0.0547 0.0507 6.6 2.3 4.3
3 Emmet Sheehan 0.0682 0.0569 0.0393 8.7 5.5 3.1
4 Dustin May 0.0372 0.0414 0.0534 9.0 6.2 2.8
5 Chase Dollander 0.0454 0.0507 0.0592 5.7 3.2 2.5
6 Robbie Ray 0.0567 0.0533 0.0447 9.7 7.6 2.1
7 Jacob deGrom 0.0479 0.0506 0.0586 6.5 4.4 2.1
8 Logan Allen 0.0507 0.0471 0.0370 9.8 7.8 2.1
9 Taj Bradley 0.0566 0.0527 0.0455 7.3 5.2 2.1
10 Luis Severino 0.0492 0.0458 0.0311 13.4 11.4 2.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Garrett Crochet 0.0365 0.0403 0.0471 7.4 4.4 3.0
2 Logan Evans 0.0345 0.0425 0.0508 5.2 2.4 2.8
3 Grant Anderson 0.0588 0.0499 0.0412 5.7 3.0 2.7
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.0549 0.0517 0.0332 17.6 15.1 2.6
5 Carson Palmquist 0.0417 0.0556 0.0833 7.0 4.6 2.4
6 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0485 0.0521 0.0629 8.6 6.3 2.3
7 Matt Svanson 0.0423 0.0333 0.0211 5.3 3.2 2.1
8 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0356 0.0332 0.0220 12.2 10.2 2.1
9 Hunter Dobbins 0.0465 0.0386 0.0312 4.3 2.2 2.1
10 Zack Littell 0.0488 0.0514 0.0610 8.1 6.2 1.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Lucas Giolito 0.0636 0.0535 0.0391 15.7 9.7 6.0
2 Brendon Little 0.0500 0.0298 0.0127 11.3 5.4 5.8
3 Tyler Anderson 0.0418 0.0510 0.0644 12.9 7.2 5.7
4 Louis Varland 0.0617 0.0426 0.0305 9.5 4.0 5.5
5 Spencer Bivens 0.0523 0.0360 0.0238 10.1 4.7 5.5
6 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0451 0.0521 0.0629 11.3 6.3 5.0
7 Quinn Priester 0.0472 0.0353 0.0387 6.2 1.3 4.9
8 Tyler Phillips 0.0536 0.0380 0.0340 6.4 1.7 4.8
9 Logan Allen 0.0542 0.0471 0.0370 12.3 7.8 4.5
10 Brayan Bello 0.0422 0.0354 0.0317 8.0 3.5 4.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sean Burke 0.0435 0.0522 0.0584 7.2 2.8 4.4
2 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0451 0.0521 0.0629 10.1 6.3 3.8
3 Will Warren 0.0376 0.0433 0.0467 4.5 1.5 3.1
4 Ryan Pepiot 0.0477 0.0527 0.0584 5.4 3.0 2.5
5 Jake Irvin 0.0437 0.0478 0.0639 13.7 11.6 2.2
6 Ranger Suarez 0.0371 0.0352 0.0307 6.0 3.8 2.2
7 Logan Webb 0.0265 0.0256 0.0241 4.4 2.5 2.0
8 Matthew Boyd 0.0482 0.0469 0.0370 10.0 8.1 1.9
9 Jason Alexander 0.0353 0.0424 0.0620 8.0 6.1 1.9
10 Kyle Freeland 0.0500 0.0487 0.0407 8.6 6.6 1.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jeffrey Springs 0.0439 0.0483 0.0541 6.9 3.1 3.8
2 Brad Lord 0.0494 0.0420 0.0434 3.6 0.0 3.6
3 Sonny Gray 0.0365 0.0403 0.0489 9.0 5.4 3.5
4 JP Sears 0.0502 0.0549 0.0708 11.7 8.4 3.3
5 Nick Martinez 0.0511 0.0460 0.0424 6.3 3.4 2.9
6 Jacob deGrom 0.0473 0.0506 0.0586 7.2 4.4 2.8
7 Connor Brogdon 0.0451 0.0568 0.0833 7.5 5.0 2.5
8 Dan Altavilla 0.0721 0.0516 0.0500 2.7 0.4 2.3
9 Shota Imanaga 0.0490 0.0521 0.0733 13.5 11.2 2.2
10 Randy Vásquez 0.0482 0.0434 0.0370 6.7 4.5 2.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Martinez 0.0520 0.0460 0.0424 7.0 3.4 3.6
2 Jacob deGrom 0.0477 0.0506 0.0586 6.9 4.4 2.5
3 Sonny Gray 0.0387 0.0403 0.0489 7.2 5.4 1.8
4 Quinn Priester 0.0334 0.0353 0.0387 3.1 1.3 1.8
5 Randy Vásquez 0.0472 0.0434 0.0370 6.2 4.5 1.7
6 Brad Lord 0.0397 0.0420 0.0434 1.7 0.0 1.7
7 Mitchell Parker 0.0479 0.0449 0.0446 2.8 1.2 1.6
8 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.0410 0.0363 0.0268 6.2 4.6 1.6
9 Jack Flaherty 0.0441 0.0454 0.0536 6.1 4.7 1.4
10 Jason Alexander 0.0390 0.0424 0.0620 7.5 6.1 1.4

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Stephen Kolek 0.0451 0.0354 0.0260 9.2 5.0 4.2
2 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0533 0.0473 0.0455 6.6 2.4 4.2
3 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0604 0.0547 0.0461 11.7 7.8 3.9
4 Matthew Liberatore 0.0451 0.0385 0.0394 4.2 0.3 3.9
5 Luis Severino 0.0516 0.0458 0.0311 15.0 11.4 3.6
6 Quinn Priester 0.0451 0.0353 0.0387 4.7 1.3 3.4
7 Patrick Corbin 0.0547 0.0493 0.0439 7.7 4.5 3.2
8 Aaron Ashby 0.0451 0.0329 0.0181 7.5 4.4 3.2
9 Michael Soroka 0.0376 0.0448 0.0500 4.4 1.5 2.9
10 Taijuan Walker 0.0451 0.0498 0.0517 3.1 0.3 2.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Garrett Crochet 0.0293 0.0403 0.0471 12.4 4.4 8.0
2 Paul Skenes 0.0421 0.0345 0.0235 15.5 9.1 6.3
3 Nick Pivetta 0.0667 0.0595 0.0460 16.7 10.7 6.0
4 Tarik Skubal 0.0296 0.0366 0.0384 4.7 0.3 4.4
5 Jesús Luzardo 0.0563 0.0517 0.0332 19.4 15.1 4.3
6 Hunter Greene 0.0444 0.0557 0.0577 4.6 0.3 4.3
7 Drew Rasmussen 0.0279 0.0360 0.0433 7.5 3.4 4.1
8 Zack Littell 0.0450 0.0514 0.0610 10.3 6.2 4.1
9 Erick Fedde 0.0503 0.0452 0.0404 7.7 3.8 3.9
10 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0369 0.0332 0.0220 14.0 10.2 3.8

BABIP

Everybody Missed for BABIP

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Zack Littell 0.2491
0.2951
(31.6)
0.2925
(30.8)
0.2937
(30.7)
0.3015
(37.8)
0.2930
(33.8)
0.2958
(32.6)
0.2957
(30.0)
0.2824
(26.3)
0.2932
(32.1)
Shawn Armstrong 0.1955
0.3034
(29.4)
0.2952
(27.5)
0.2961
(27.4)
0.3118
(32.3)
0.2876
(26.3)
0.2974
(27.9)
0.2937
(25.9)
0.2918
(27.7)
0.2975
(28.5)
Cade Povich 0.3495
0.2855
(33.4)
0.2860
(32.4)
0.2905
(30.9)
0.2931
(28.8)
0.2851
(31.2)
0.2882
(31.8)
0.2895
(32.8)
0.2789
(33.8)
0.2887
(30.5)
Ben Brown 0.3468
0.2901
(28.8)
0.2858
(30.1)
0.2894
(29.1)
0.2880
(29.0)
0.2803
(31.1)
0.2826
(32.1)
0.2906
(29.9)
0.2881
(27.1)
0.2857
(29.7)
Carlos Rodón 0.2282
0.2832
(40.0)
0.2787
(37.7)
0.2838
(40.5)
0.2890
(45.8)
0.2717
(34.8)
0.2726
(32.1)
0.2841
(38.5)
0.2772
(39.7)
0.2835
(42.2)
Nick Pivetta 0.2346
0.2831
(31.8)
0.2784
(29.6)
0.2782
(28.4)
0.2853
(34.6)
0.2741
(28.9)
0.2758
(27.0)
0.2850
(31.2)
0.2792
(33.1)
0.2733
(26.6)
Logan Webb 0.3463
0.2983
(44.9)
0.3011
(41.1)
0.3000
(43.2)
0.3042
(38.3)
0.3052
(34.6)
0.3042
(39.3)
0.3082
(38.7)
0.2988
(39.5)
0.2920
(48.0)
Shota Imanaga 0.2194
0.2816
(32.8)
0.2816
(33.7)
0.2879
(36.4)
0.2755
(30.3)
0.2795
(34.4)
0.2800
(32.3)
0.2878
(34.8)
0.2728
(31.0)
0.2882
(38.0)
Antonio Senzatela 0.3632
0.3182
(30.5)
0.3160
(30.9)
0.3095
(35.8)
0.3163
(30.7)
0.3183
(27.4)
0.3168
(31.0)
0.3173
(32.8)
0.3216
(24.9)
0.3042
(37.6)
Trevor Rogers 0.2261
0.2990
(29.0)
0.2987
(29.5)
0.2899
(25.2)
0.3125
(35.4)
0.2965
(30.0)
0.3031
(31.0)
0.2973
(27.1)
0.2881
(26.8)
0.2975
(29.4)

Individual Misses for BABIP

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Noah Cameron 0.3078 0.2407 34.9
2 Jesús Luzardo 0.2834 0.3240 34.1
3 Jacob deGrom 0.2850 0.2297 34.1
4 Dylan Cease 0.2813 0.3195 30.8
5 Sonny Gray 0.2952 0.3292 28.9
6 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2876 0.2432 27.3
7 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2955 0.3290 26.3
8 Jameson Taillon 0.2862 0.2324 25.6
9 Drew Rasmussen 0.2927 0.2462 24.6
10 Kevin Gausman 0.2978 0.2617 24.6

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 0.2851 0.3240 31.6
2 Noah Cameron 0.2982 0.2407 30.4
3 Jacob deGrom 0.2777 0.2297 30.3
4 Sonny Gray 0.2925 0.3292 29.7
5 Dylan Cease 0.2817 0.3195 29.3
6 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2879 0.2432 28.6
7 Jameson Taillon 0.2860 0.2324 26.4
8 Brayan Bello 0.3068 0.2684 24.9
9 Bryan Woo 0.2740 0.2377 24.5
10 Ryne Nelson 0.2938 0.2518 24.3

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob deGrom 0.2847 0.2297 34.0
2 Jesús Luzardo 0.2857 0.3240 32.2
3 Sonny Gray 0.2930 0.3292 30.4
4 Bryan Woo 0.2818 0.2377 29.2
5 Jameson Taillon 0.2907 0.2324 28.0
6 Dylan Cease 0.2854 0.3195 27.7
7 Noah Cameron 0.2946 0.2407 27.6
8 Drew Rasmussen 0.2934 0.2462 25.2
9 MacKenzie Gore 0.2928 0.3251 24.8
10 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2827 0.2432 24.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob deGrom 0.2934 0.2297 40.9
2 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2993 0.2432 36.5
3 Hunter Brown 0.3097 0.2624 32.5
4 Germán Márquez 0.2873 0.3364 30.6
5 Kevin Gausman 0.3038 0.2617 30.5
6 Shane Baz 0.2628 0.3028 30.3
7 Sonny Gray 0.2930 0.3292 29.3
8 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.2903 0.3290 28.7
9 Michael Lorenzen 0.2619 0.3032 26.6
10 Ryne Nelson 0.2968 0.2518 26.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brayan Bello 0.3167 0.2684 34.2
2 Noah Cameron 0.2991 0.2407 32.8
3 Dylan Cease 0.2753 0.3195 31.5
4 Jacob deGrom 0.2754 0.2297 31.0
5 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2876 0.2432 30.8
6 Jesús Luzardo 0.2853 0.3240 28.9
7 Jameson Taillon 0.2857 0.2324 28.0
8 Kevin Gausman 0.2968 0.2617 27.6
9 Ryne Nelson 0.2932 0.2518 26.0
10 Hunter Brown 0.2970 0.2624 25.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Eric Lauer 0.3838 0.2669 48.2
2 Quinn Priester 0.3602 0.2841 47.2
3 Jesús Luzardo 0.2798 0.3240 36.4
4 Sonny Gray 0.2893 0.3292 32.9
5 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2931 0.2432 31.5
6 Dan Altavilla 0.4466 0.1974 29.5
7 Dylan Cease 0.2855 0.3195 27.3
8 AJ Blubaugh 0.3750 0.1528 27.1
9 Noah Cameron 0.2931 0.2407 27.0
10 Jameson Taillon 0.2881 0.2324 26.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jacob deGrom 0.2877 0.2297 34.1
2 Jesús Luzardo 0.2871 0.3240 33.4
3 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2985 0.2432 32.9
4 Sonny Gray 0.2959 0.3292 30.4
5 Bryan Woo 0.2863 0.2377 30.4
6 MacKenzie Gore 0.2884 0.3251 29.8
7 Dylan Cease 0.2856 0.3195 29.6
8 Jameson Taillon 0.2957 0.2324 29.1
9 Drew Rasmussen 0.3018 0.2462 28.3
10 Noah Cameron 0.2965 0.2407 27.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2963 0.2432 37.2
2 Dylan Cease 0.2791 0.3195 28.3
3 Noah Cameron 0.2881 0.2407 27.1
4 Sonny Gray 0.2927 0.3292 26.5
5 Jacob deGrom 0.2666 0.2297 25.6
6 Jeffrey Springs 0.2893 0.2551 25.3
7 Brayan Bello 0.3032 0.2684 25.3
8 Justin Verlander 0.2690 0.3082 25.1
9 Sean Newcomb 0.2786 0.3436 24.9
10 Dennis Santana 0.3002 0.2108 24.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Sonny Gray 0.2865 0.3292 33.5
2 Jacob deGrom 0.2807 0.2297 33.0
3 Jesús Luzardo 0.2842 0.3240 31.5
4 Noah Cameron 0.2945 0.2407 28.9
5 Bryan Woo 0.2789 0.2377 28.9
6 Dylan Cease 0.2837 0.3195 27.1
7 Germán Márquez 0.2927 0.3364 26.9
8 Jameson Taillon 0.2850 0.2324 26.4
9 Jeffrey Springs 0.2938 0.2551 26.4
10 Kevin Gausman 0.2949 0.2617 24.4

Most Unique Misses for BABIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 José Soriano 0.2856 0.2933 0.3061 18.0 11.3 6.7
2 Framber Valdez 0.2873 0.2933 0.2971 11.4 5.3 6.1
3 Shane Baz 0.2748 0.2812 0.3028 23.0 17.3 5.7
4 Stephen Kolek 0.3119 0.2987 0.2641 20.0 14.7 5.3
5 Noah Cameron 0.3078 0.2982 0.2407 34.9 30.4 4.5
6 Chris Paddack 0.3074 0.2993 0.2772 17.3 12.9 4.4
7 Michael Lorenzen 0.2807 0.2861 0.3032 16.3 12.0 4.3
8 Jack Leiter 0.2925 0.2845 0.2672 13.5 9.4 4.1
9 Caleb Ferguson 0.3192 0.3032 0.2751 10.7 6.8 3.9
10 Ryan Rolison 0.2881 0.3066 0.3212 7.2 3.3 3.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Adrian Houser 0.2830 0.2955 0.3027 12.4 5.2 7.2
2 Jake Woodford 0.2881 0.3202 0.3281 7.5 1.8 5.7
3 Ryan Pepiot 0.2843 0.2750 0.2578 15.2 9.8 5.3
4 Emmet Sheehan 0.2881 0.2692 0.2456 11.1 6.1 5.1
5 Antonio Senzatela 0.3095 0.3160 0.3632 35.8 30.9 4.9
6 Bryan Woo 0.2818 0.2740 0.2377 29.2 24.5 4.7
7 Paul Skenes 0.2959 0.2887 0.2729 13.8 9.5 4.2
8 Will Warren 0.2935 0.2976 0.3029 9.6 5.8 3.9
9 Ryan Rolison 0.2881 0.3066 0.3212 7.2 3.3 3.8
10 Jacob deGrom 0.2847 0.2777 0.2297 34.0 30.3 3.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Michael Lorenzen 0.2619 0.2861 0.3032 26.6 12.0 14.6
2 Shane Baz 0.2628 0.2812 0.3028 30.3 17.3 13.0
3 Germán Márquez 0.2873 0.3068 0.3364 30.6 19.2 11.4
4 Jack Leiter 0.3010 0.2845 0.2672 20.1 9.4 10.7
5 Jacob deGrom 0.2934 0.2777 0.2297 40.9 30.3 10.6
6 Hunter Brown 0.3097 0.2955 0.2624 32.5 22.1 10.4
7 Patrick Corbin 0.3239 0.3098 0.3063 9.9 0.4 9.5
8 Stephen Kolek 0.3191 0.2987 0.2641 24.1 14.7 9.5
9 Chris Paddack 0.3131 0.2993 0.2772 22.3 12.9 9.4
10 José Soriano 0.2810 0.2933 0.3061 20.1 11.3 8.8

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brayan Bello 0.3167 0.3068 0.2684 34.2 24.9 9.3
2 Garrett Crochet 0.3045 0.2986 0.2901 12.2 4.6 7.6
3 Walker Buehler 0.3100 0.3007 0.2850 14.5 7.3 7.2
4 Chad Patrick 0.2658 0.2829 0.3135 23.7 16.8 6.9
5 Andre Pallante 0.3040 0.2989 0.2946 7.2 1.1 6.1
6 Zac Gallen 0.2987 0.2951 0.2700 23.8 18.1 5.7
7 Seth Lugo 0.3021 0.2970 0.2663 22.3 17.0 5.2
8 Kris Bubic 0.3101 0.3027 0.2949 7.5 2.4 5.1
9 Ben Casparius 0.2690 0.2875 0.3043 11.6 6.5 5.0
10 Merrill Kelly 0.2948 0.2916 0.2638 23.7 18.7 5.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Eric Lauer 0.3838 0.3050 0.2669 48.2 15.0 33.1
2 Quinn Priester 0.3602 0.3176 0.2841 47.2 20.0 27.2
3 Dan Altavilla 0.4466 0.3153 0.1974 29.5 13.8 15.6
4 Jason Alexander 0.3432 0.3078 0.2863 17.8 6.3 11.6
5 Kolby Allard 0.3429 0.3024 0.2892 13.3 2.8 10.5
6 Carson Fulmer 0.3978 0.3148 0.2469 18.1 8.0 10.1
7 Patrick Corbin 0.3234 0.3098 0.3063 8.8 0.4 8.4
8 Jake Woodford 0.3912 0.3202 0.3281 10.1 1.8 8.3
9 AJ Blubaugh 0.3750 0.3099 0.1528 27.1 19.1 8.0
10 Brad Keller 0.3287 0.3017 0.2426 22.7 15.5 7.2

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 MacKenzie Gore 0.2884 0.2967 0.3251 29.8 21.3 8.5
2 Max Fried 0.3020 0.2872 0.2793 12.5 4.1 8.4
3 Patrick Corbin 0.3011 0.3098 0.3063 8.2 0.4 7.8
4 Sandy Alcantara 0.3044 0.2922 0.2777 14.6 8.7 5.9
5 Bryan Woo 0.2863 0.2740 0.2377 30.4 24.5 5.9
6 Ryan Pepiot 0.2878 0.2750 0.2578 15.6 9.8 5.8
7 Merrill Kelly 0.3031 0.2916 0.2638 24.1 18.7 5.4
8 Yusei Kikuchi 0.2947 0.2971 0.3139 20.3 15.1 5.2
9 Jake Woodford 0.2956 0.3202 0.3281 6.7 1.8 4.9
10 Tyler Holton 0.2914 0.2714 0.2315 16.5 11.6 4.9

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Mitch Keller 0.3145 0.3015 0.2901 19.3 6.4 12.8
2 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.2963 0.2879 0.2432 37.2 28.6 8.6
3 Nick Lodolo 0.3045 0.2977 0.2762 19.0 12.0 7.0
4 Emmet Sheehan 0.2881 0.2692 0.2456 12.8 6.1 6.7
5 Robbie Ray 0.2872 0.2831 0.2681 15.5 9.2 6.3
6 Mitchell Parker 0.2953 0.2910 0.2860 7.7 1.6 6.1
7 Justin Verlander 0.2690 0.2818 0.3082 25.1 19.3 5.7
8 Davis Martin 0.2994 0.2944 0.2742 15.9 10.5 5.5
9 Sean Newcomb 0.2786 0.2954 0.3436 24.9 20.0 4.9
10 Cade Horton 0.2881 0.2823 0.2576 15.2 10.4 4.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Framber Valdez 0.2799 0.2933 0.2971 15.2 5.3 9.9
2 Garrett Crochet 0.3082 0.2986 0.2901 13.3 4.6 8.6
3 Germán Márquez 0.2927 0.3068 0.3364 26.9 19.2 7.7
4 Logan Webb 0.2920 0.3011 0.3463 48.0 41.1 6.9
5 Will Warren 0.2870 0.2976 0.3029 12.6 5.8 6.8
6 Antonio Senzatela 0.3042 0.3160 0.3632 37.6 30.9 6.7
7 Kyle Hendricks 0.3017 0.2937 0.2795 14.2 7.9 6.3
8 Lucas Giolito 0.3024 0.2933 0.2727 17.1 10.9 6.2
9 Jake Woodford 0.2826 0.3202 0.3281 8.0 1.8 6.2
10 Adrian Houser 0.2829 0.2955 0.3027 11.2 5.2 6.0

Single Rate

Individual Misses for Single Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jason Alexander 0.2182 0.2159 70.5
2 Juan Mejia 0.2182 0.1987 59.2
3 Cole Henry 0.2182 0.2014 54.1
4 Cade Gibson 0.2182 0.1975 52.5
5 Brandon Walter 0.2182 0.1888 50.2
6 Cole Winn 0.2182 0.1165 50.1
7 Luis Morales 0.2182 0.1783 49.2
8 Isaac Mattson 0.2182 0.1875 47.2
9 Braydon Fisher 0.2182 0.1930 47.0
10 Troy Melton 0.2182 0.1653 46.9

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 0.2851 0.2532 30.8
2 Ryne Nelson 0.2938 0.1718 30.6
3 Jack Kochanowicz 0.2981 0.2825 29.2
4 Cade Povich 0.2860 0.2718 28.5
5 Sonny Gray 0.2925 0.2572 28.0
6 Brady Singer 0.3039 0.1935 27.1
7 Quinn Priester 0.3176 0.2036 27.0
8 Carlos Rodón 0.2787 0.1722 26.8
9 Ben Brown 0.2858 0.2694 26.5
10 Nick Martinez 0.2944 0.1831 26.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cade Horton 0.2182 0.2030 105.2
2 Eric Lauer 0.2182 0.1815 103.4
3 Emmet Sheehan 0.2182 0.1754 72.4
4 Jason Alexander 0.2182 0.2159 70.0
5 Cade Gibson 0.2182 0.1975 52.1
6 Brandon Walter 0.2182 0.1888 49.9
7 Cole Winn 0.2182 0.1165 49.8
8 Luis Morales 0.2182 0.1783 48.9
9 Isaac Mattson 0.2182 0.1875 46.9
10 Troy Melton 0.2182 0.1653 46.6

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 0.2089 0.2532 34.1
2 Sonny Gray 0.2131 0.2572 33.8
3 Jack Kochanowicz 0.2191 0.2825 32.8
4 Cade Povich 0.2069 0.2718 32.1
5 Zack Littell 0.2294 0.1877 31.1
6 Carlos Rodón 0.2123 0.1722 31.0
7 Jeffrey Springs 0.2240 0.1816 29.7
8 Paul Skenes 0.2281 0.1878 29.0
9 Shota Imanaga 0.2168 0.1658 28.5
10 Chris Paddack 0.2458 0.2033 28.0

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.2182 0.2358 133.7
2 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.2182 0.2420 52.5
3 Roki Sasaki 0.2182 0.1765 41.4
4 Brandon Waddell 0.2182 0.1458 38.6
5 Chase Burns 0.2182 0.2300 38.3
6 Antonio Senzatela 0.0000 0.2735 35.8
7 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0.2182 0.2281 35.6
8 Jack Kochanowicz 0.0000 0.2825 34.2
9 Carlos Rodón 0.0000 0.1722 34.2
10 Logan Webb 0.0000 0.2544 33.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cade Horton 0.2182 0.2030 101.4
2 Emmet Sheehan 0.2182 0.1754 70.0
3 Lake Bachar 0.2182 0.1854 68.2
4 Carlos Vargas 0.2182 0.2447 56.7
5 Cam Schlittler 0.2182 0.2386 53.9
6 Mason Fluharty 0.2182 0.1732 52.2
7 Hunter Dobbins 0.2182 0.2151 51.4
8 Joe Ross 0.2182 0.1938 50.7
9 Cade Gibson 0.2182 0.1975 50.3
10 Chase Shugart 0.2182 0.1429 49.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chase Burns 0.2182 0.2300 38.6
2 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0.2182 0.2281 35.9
3 Carlos Rodón 0.0000 0.1722 35.4
4 Antonio Senzatela 0.0000 0.2735 34.8
5 Jack Kochanowicz 0.0000 0.2825 33.5
6 Logan Webb 0.0000 0.2544 31.9
7 Sonny Gray 0.0000 0.2572 30.2
8 Shota Imanaga 0.0000 0.1658 29.1
9 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.1718 28.1
10 Hunter Greene 0.0000 0.1510 27.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Quinn Priester 0.2182 0.2036 129.9
2 Shane Smith 0.2182 0.1927 129.3
3 Noah Cameron 0.2182 0.1905 117.9
4 Slade Cecconi 0.2182 0.1910 115.3
5 Matthew Liberatore 0.2182 0.2268 113.9
6 Dustin May 0.2182 0.2258 103.2
7 Brad Lord 0.2182 0.2240 97.5
8 Cade Horton 0.2182 0.2030 95.0
9 Eric Lauer 0.2182 0.1815 94.2
10 Trevor Rogers 0.2182 0.1873 91.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brandon Walter 0.2182 0.1888 51.8
2 Luis Morales 0.2182 0.1783 50.8
3 José Fermin 0.2182 0.1728 39.6
4 Brandon Waddell 0.2182 0.1458 38.5
5 Chase Burns 0.2182 0.2300 38.2
6 Antonio Senzatela 0.0000 0.2735 36.0
7 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0.2182 0.2281 35.5
8 Jack Kochanowicz 0.0000 0.2825 34.5
9 Carlos Rodón 0.0000 0.1722 33.9
10 Logan Webb 0.0000 0.2544 33.6

Most Unique Misses for Single Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jason Alexander 0.2182 0.3078 0.2159 70.5 6.5 64.0
2 Cole Henry 0.2182 0.2854 0.2014 54.1 2.7 51.3
3 Juan Mejia 0.2182 0.3111 0.1987 59.2 10.4 48.9
4 Cade Gibson 0.2182 0.3036 0.1975 52.5 7.7 44.8
5 Braydon Fisher 0.2182 0.2834 0.1930 47.0 3.6 43.4
6 Isaac Mattson 0.2182 0.2886 0.1875 47.2 5.6 41.5
7 Luis Morales 0.2182 0.2907 0.1783 49.2 7.9 41.3
8 David Morgan 0.2182 0.2845 0.2105 41.5 0.3 41.3
9 Brandon Walter 0.2182 0.3187 0.1888 50.2 12.2 38.1
10 Troy Melton 0.2182 0.2887 0.1653 46.9 9.2 37.7

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 0.2182 0.2823 0.2030 105.2 3.2 102.1
2 Eric Lauer 0.2182 0.3050 0.1815 103.4 21.7 81.7
3 Emmet Sheehan 0.2182 0.2692 0.1754 72.4 6.2 66.2
4 Jason Alexander 0.2182 0.3078 0.2159 70.0 6.5 63.5
5 Cade Gibson 0.2182 0.3036 0.1975 52.1 7.7 44.4
6 Isaac Mattson 0.2182 0.2886 0.1875 46.9 5.6 41.2
7 Luis Morales 0.2182 0.2907 0.1783 48.9 7.9 41.0
8 David Morgan 0.2182 0.2845 0.2105 41.2 0.3 40.9
9 Matt Festa 0.2182 0.2814 0.2260 44.8 3.9 40.9
10 Brandon Walter 0.2182 0.3187 0.1888 49.9 12.2 37.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Hunter Brown 0.2482 0.2955 0.2104 27.0 9.1 17.9
2 Max Fried 0.2398 0.2872 0.2179 17.0 2.6 14.4
3 Chris Paddack 0.2458 0.2993 0.2033 28.0 15.7 12.3
4 Stephen Kolek 0.2482 0.2987 0.2196 12.9 3.0 9.8
5 Michael Lorenzen 0.1984 0.2861 0.2200 13.6 3.9 9.6
6 Germán Márquez 0.2099 0.3068 0.2297 12.1 2.7 9.4
7 Logan Gilbert 0.1872 0.2766 0.2072 11.1 1.7 9.4
8 Kyle Leahy 0.1986 0.2950 0.2369 14.2 5.3 8.9
9 Max Meyer 0.1969 0.2979 0.2623 18.9 10.5 8.3
10 Paul Skenes 0.2281 0.2887 0.1878 29.0 20.8 8.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.2182 0.2948 0.2358 133.7 9.2 124.5
2 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.2182 0.2936 0.2420 52.5 5.7 46.8
3 Roki Sasaki 0.2182 0.2883 0.1765 41.4 6.3 35.1
4 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0.2182 0.3239 0.2281 35.6 4.0 31.6
5 Brandon Waddell 0.2182 0.2916 0.1458 38.6 9.8 28.8
6 Chase Burns 0.2182 0.2182 0.2300 38.3 15.9 22.4
7 Dietrich Enns 0.2182 0.2925 0.2769 31.4 11.4 20.0
8 Antonio Senzatela 0.0000 0.3160 0.2735 35.8 18.6 17.2
9 Kyle Freeland 0.0000 0.3102 0.2543 27.5 11.9 15.6
10 Yaramil Hiraldo 0.2182 0.2182 0.2000 19.6 4.6 15.1

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 0.2182 0.2823 0.2030 101.4 3.2 98.2
2 Emmet Sheehan 0.2182 0.2692 0.1754 70.0 6.2 63.8
3 Lake Bachar 0.2182 0.2914 0.1854 68.2 9.9 58.4
4 Hunter Dobbins 0.2182 0.2978 0.2151 51.4 2.6 48.8
5 Carlos Vargas 0.2182 0.2891 0.2447 56.7 9.3 47.4
6 Cam Schlittler 0.2182 0.2863 0.2386 53.9 7.6 46.3
7 Joe Ross 0.2182 0.2939 0.1938 50.7 6.3 44.4
8 Mason Fluharty 0.2182 0.2854 0.1732 52.2 8.5 43.7
9 Cade Gibson 0.2182 0.3036 0.1975 50.3 7.7 42.5
10 Braydon Fisher 0.2182 0.2834 0.1930 45.0 3.6 41.4

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0.2182 0.3239 0.2281 35.9 4.0 31.8
2 Chase Burns 0.2182 0.2182 0.2300 38.6 15.9 22.7
3 Antonio Senzatela 0.0000 0.3160 0.2735 34.8 18.6 16.3
4 Yaramil Hiraldo 0.2182 0.2182 0.2000 19.8 4.6 15.2
5 Kyle Freeland 0.0000 0.3102 0.2543 26.4 11.9 14.5
6 Bryan Woo 0.0000 0.2740 0.1820 25.7 14.2 11.5
7 Freddy Peralta 0.0000 0.2755 0.1891 20.2 10.0 10.2
8 Ryan Pepiot 0.0000 0.2750 0.1862 21.0 11.1 10.0
9 Logan Webb 0.0000 0.3011 0.2544 31.9 22.2 9.8
10 Patrick Corbin 0.0000 0.3098 0.2341 11.3 2.0 9.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Shane Smith 0.2182 0.2937 0.1927 129.3 17.5 111.8
2 Matthew Liberatore 0.2182 0.2921 0.2268 113.9 4.7 109.2
3 Quinn Priester 0.2182 0.3176 0.2036 129.9 27.0 102.9
4 Slade Cecconi 0.2182 0.2904 0.1910 115.3 14.6 100.7
5 Noah Cameron 0.2182 0.2982 0.1905 117.9 19.5 98.4
6 Brad Lord 0.2182 0.2943 0.2240 97.5 1.2 96.3
7 Dustin May 0.2182 0.2820 0.2258 103.2 9.5 93.7
8 Cade Horton 0.2182 0.2823 0.2030 95.0 3.2 91.8
9 Taijuan Walker 0.2182 0.2891 0.2338 90.8 9.3 81.5
10 Stephen Kolek 0.2182 0.2987 0.2196 84.3 3.0 81.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Luis Morales 0.2182 0.2907 0.1783 50.8 7.9 42.8
2 Brandon Walter 0.2182 0.3187 0.1888 51.8 12.2 39.7
3 José Fermin 0.2182 0.2872 0.1728 39.6 6.4 33.2
4 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0.2182 0.3239 0.2281 35.5 4.0 31.5
5 Brandon Waddell 0.2182 0.2916 0.1458 38.5 9.8 28.7
6 Thomas Hatch 0.2182 0.3026 0.2453 28.6 2.3 26.3
7 McCade Brown 0.2182 0.3127 0.2400 24.4 0.0 24.3
8 Mitch Farris 0.2182 0.2811 0.1940 25.6 1.6 24.1
9 Chase Burns 0.2182 0.2182 0.2300 38.2 15.9 22.4
10 Antonio Senzatela 0.0000 0.3160 0.2735 36.0 18.6 17.5

Double Rate

Everybody Missed for Double Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Brandon Pfaadt 0.0936
0.0000
(24.6)
0.0000
(22.3)
0.0000
(24.9)
0.0686
(20.4)
0.0000
(22.7)
0.0000
(26.8)
0.0000
(22.4)
0.0000
(29.8)
0.0000
(22.8)
Justin Verlander 0.0909
0.0000
(19.4)
0.0000
(17.5)
0.0000
(19.8)
0.0581
(22.8)
0.0000
(17.9)
0.0000
(21.4)
0.0000
(17.6)
0.0000
(24.0)
0.0000
(17.9)
Nick Martinez 0.0885
0.0000
(18.4)
0.0000
(16.4)
0.0000
(18.8)
0.0652
(17.0)
0.0000
(16.8)
0.0000
(20.4)
0.0000
(16.5)
0.0000
(23.1)
0.0000
(16.9)
Logan Webb 0.0866
0.0000
(21.4)
0.0000
(18.9)
0.0000
(21.8)
0.0608
(23.4)
0.0000
(19.4)
0.0000
(23.9)
0.0000
(19.0)
0.0000
(27.3)
0.0000
(19.5)
Dylan Cease 0.0902
0.0000
(20.7)
0.0000
(18.6)
0.0000
(21.1)
0.0696
(16.0)
0.0000
(19.0)
0.0000
(22.8)
0.0000
(18.7)
0.0000
(25.7)
0.0000
(19.1)

Individual Misses for Double Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Drew Pomeranz 0.0647 0.0165 22.3
2 Jason Alexander 0.0647 0.0617 21.7
3 Kirby Yates 0.0000 0.1717 19.6
4 Cade Smith 0.0000 0.1243 18.8
5 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0928 18.5
6 Luis Morales 0.0647 0.0388 17.4
7 JP Sears 0.0000 0.0914 17.4
8 Nolan McLean 0.0647 0.0367 16.8
9 Troy Melton 0.0647 0.0331 16.8
10 Cole Henry 0.0647 0.0576 16.6

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kirby Yates 0.0000 0.1717 19.1
2 Cade Smith 0.0000 0.1243 17.9
3 Drew Rasmussen 0.0000 0.0352 17.2
4 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0928 16.7
5 Nick Pivetta 0.0000 0.0417 16.5
6 JP Sears 0.0000 0.0914 15.6
7 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.0283 15.3
8 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0000 0.0427 14.8
9 Hunter Brown 0.0000 0.0452 14.1
10 Robbie Ray 0.0000 0.0830 13.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cade Horton 0.0647 0.0515 35.3
2 Drew Pomeranz 0.0647 0.0165 22.2
3 Jason Alexander 0.0647 0.0617 21.5
4 Eric Lauer 0.0647 0.0783 20.2
5 Kirby Yates 0.0000 0.1717 19.7
6 Emmet Sheehan 0.0647 0.0585 19.6
7 Matt Festa 0.0647 0.0411 19.1
8 Cade Smith 0.0000 0.1243 19.0
9 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0928 18.8
10 JP Sears 0.0000 0.0914 17.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Shane Baz 0.0511 0.0826 23.5
2 Trevor Rogers 0.0842 0.0283 23.0
3 Tanner Bibee 0.0780 0.0472 22.3
4 Nick Pivetta 0.0720 0.0417 20.8
5 Kirby Yates 0.0567 0.1717 20.7
6 Paul Skenes 0.0563 0.0808 19.1
7 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.0775 0.0491 18.3
8 Brayan Bello 0.0727 0.0471 16.8
9 Jacob deGrom 0.0719 0.0455 16.6
10 Robbie Ray 0.0635 0.0830 15.9

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0647 0.0427 58.0
2 Kirby Yates 0.0000 0.1717 19.2
3 Cade Smith 0.0000 0.1243 18.1
4 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0928 17.1
5 Drew Rasmussen 0.0000 0.0352 16.8
6 Nick Pivetta 0.0000 0.0417 16.0
7 JP Sears 0.0000 0.0914 16.0
8 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.0283 15.1
9 Dietrich Enns 0.0647 0.0538 15.0
10 Robbie Ray 0.0000 0.0830 14.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Cade Horton 0.0647 0.0515 34.2
2 Carlos Vargas 0.0647 0.0506 24.1
3 Cam Schlittler 0.0647 0.0455 23.7
4 Drew Pomeranz 0.0647 0.0165 21.7
5 Lake Bachar 0.0647 0.0506 21.5
6 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0928 20.2
7 Kirby Yates 0.0000 0.1717 20.1
8 Cade Smith 0.0000 0.1243 19.7
9 JP Sears 0.0000 0.0914 19.1
10 Emmet Sheehan 0.0647 0.0585 18.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kirby Yates 0.0000 0.1717 19.1
2 Cade Smith 0.0000 0.1243 18.0
3 Drew Rasmussen 0.0000 0.0352 17.1
4 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0928 16.8
5 Nick Pivetta 0.0000 0.0417 16.4
6 JP Sears 0.0000 0.0914 15.7
7 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.0283 15.3
8 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0000 0.0427 14.6
9 Robbie Ray 0.0000 0.0830 14.0
10 Andrew Heaney 0.0000 0.0904 14.0

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Noah Cameron 0.0647 0.0450 41.4
2 Trevor Rogers 0.0647 0.0283 38.5
3 Stephen Kolek 0.0647 0.0386 37.2
4 Dustin May 0.0647 0.0565 36.7
5 Shane Smith 0.0647 0.0599 36.6
6 Taijuan Walker 0.0647 0.0519 36.3
7 Brad Lord 0.0647 0.0587 33.1
8 Matthew Liberatore 0.0647 0.0691 32.6
9 Cade Horton 0.0647 0.0515 32.3
10 Chase Dollander 0.0647 0.0490 31.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kirby Yates 0.0000 0.1717 19.2
2 Cade Smith 0.0000 0.1243 18.1
3 Luis Morales 0.0647 0.0388 17.9
4 Germán Márquez 0.0000 0.0928 17.1
5 Drew Rasmussen 0.0000 0.0352 16.7
6 JP Sears 0.0000 0.0914 16.1
7 Nick Pivetta 0.0000 0.0417 16.0
8 Brandon Walter 0.0647 0.0559 15.4
9 Trevor Rogers 0.0000 0.0283 15.0
10 Robbie Ray 0.0000 0.0830 14.5

Most Unique Misses for Double Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jason Alexander 0.0647 0.0000 0.0617 21.7 1.0 20.7
2 Cole Henry 0.0647 0.0000 0.0576 16.6 1.7 14.9
3 Cade Gibson 0.0647 0.0000 0.0573 15.8 1.7 14.2
4 Brandon Walter 0.0647 0.0000 0.0559 14.9 1.8 13.1
5 Drew Pomeranz 0.0647 0.0000 0.0165 22.3 9.7 12.5
6 Braydon Fisher 0.0647 0.0000 0.0526 14.9 2.4 12.5
7 Luis Morales 0.0647 0.0000 0.0388 17.4 5.1 12.3
8 Isaac Mattson 0.0647 0.0000 0.0547 14.2 2.0 12.2
9 Ryan Rolison 0.0647 0.0000 0.0438 15.9 4.0 11.9
10 David Morgan 0.0647 0.0000 0.0526 14.2 2.3 11.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 0.0647 0.0000 0.0515 35.3 6.2 29.1
2 Jason Alexander 0.0647 0.0000 0.0617 21.5 1.0 20.6
3 Emmet Sheehan 0.0647 0.0000 0.0585 19.6 1.8 17.8
4 Eric Lauer 0.0647 0.0000 0.0783 20.2 5.9 14.4
5 Cade Gibson 0.0647 0.0000 0.0573 15.7 1.7 14.1
6 Matt Festa 0.0647 0.0000 0.0411 19.1 5.3 13.8
7 Brandon Walter 0.0647 0.0000 0.0559 14.8 1.8 13.0
8 Drew Pomeranz 0.0647 0.0000 0.0165 22.2 9.7 12.4
9 Luis Morales 0.0647 0.0000 0.0388 17.3 5.1 12.2
10 Isaac Mattson 0.0647 0.0000 0.0547 14.1 2.0 12.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Shane Baz 0.0511 0.0000 0.0826 23.5 12.8 10.7
2 Tanner Bibee 0.0780 0.0000 0.0472 22.3 13.3 9.0
3 Chase Burns 0.0647 0.0647 0.1200 10.7 1.7 9.0
4 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.0775 0.0000 0.0491 18.3 10.5 7.8
5 Kevin Gausman 0.0798 0.0000 0.0664 9.2 1.4 7.7
6 Trevor Rogers 0.0842 0.0000 0.0283 23.0 15.3 7.7
7 Logan Allen 0.0802 0.0000 0.0662 8.4 1.1 7.2
8 Paul Skenes 0.0563 0.0000 0.0808 19.1 11.9 7.2
9 Ryne Nelson 0.0776 0.0000 0.0588 10.7 3.5 7.1
10 Kyle Hendricks 0.0568 0.0000 0.0728 12.2 5.8 6.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0647 0.0000 0.0427 58.0 14.8 43.3
2 Dietrich Enns 0.0647 0.0000 0.0538 15.0 2.1 12.8
3 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.0647 0.0000 0.0764 14.3 3.3 11.0
4 Roki Sasaki 0.0647 0.0000 0.0490 12.8 2.5 10.3
5 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0.0647 0.0000 0.0702 10.1 1.0 9.1
6 Ryan Johnson 0.0647 0.0000 0.0213 7.7 3.1 4.6
7 Logan Webb 0.0000 0.0000 0.0866 19.4 18.9 0.5
8 Zac Gallen 0.0000 0.0000 0.0689 4.0 3.5 0.5
9 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0000 0.0000 0.0657 1.4 0.9 0.5
10 Jake Irvin 0.0000 0.0000 0.0682 3.4 2.9 0.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 0.0647 0.0000 0.0515 34.2 6.2 28.0
2 Carlos Vargas 0.0647 0.0000 0.0506 24.1 4.6 19.5
3 Cam Schlittler 0.0647 0.0000 0.0455 23.7 5.8 17.9
4 Lake Bachar 0.0647 0.0000 0.0506 21.5 4.1 17.4
5 Emmet Sheehan 0.0647 0.0000 0.0585 18.9 1.8 17.1
6 Angel Chivilli 0.0647 0.0000 0.0632 16.6 0.4 16.2
7 Cade Gibson 0.0647 0.0000 0.0573 15.2 1.7 13.5
8 Matt Festa 0.0647 0.0000 0.0411 18.6 5.3 13.3
9 Mason Fluharty 0.0647 0.0000 0.0630 13.0 0.3 12.6
10 Drew Pomeranz 0.0647 0.0000 0.0165 21.7 9.7 11.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Grant Taylor 0.0647 0.0000 0.0568 11.3 1.2 10.1
2 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0.0647 0.0000 0.0702 10.2 1.0 9.2
3 Ryan Johnson 0.0647 0.0000 0.0213 7.8 3.1 4.6
4 Logan Webb 0.0000 0.0000 0.0866 19.0 18.9 0.1
5 Zac Gallen 0.0000 0.0000 0.0689 3.7 3.5 0.1
6 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0000 0.0000 0.0657 1.0 0.9 0.1
7 Jake Irvin 0.0000 0.0000 0.0682 3.0 2.9 0.1
8 Kevin Gausman 0.0000 0.0000 0.0664 1.6 1.4 0.1
9 Yusei Kikuchi 0.0000 0.0000 0.0704 4.7 4.5 0.1
10 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0000 0.0000 0.0936 22.4 22.3 0.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Shane Smith 0.0647 0.0000 0.0599 36.6 2.9 33.8
2 Dustin May 0.0647 0.0000 0.0565 36.7 4.7 32.0
3 Noah Cameron 0.0647 0.0000 0.0450 41.4 10.9 30.5
4 Brad Lord 0.0647 0.0000 0.0587 33.1 3.2 29.9
5 Matthew Liberatore 0.0647 0.0000 0.0691 32.6 3.0 29.6
6 Taijuan Walker 0.0647 0.0000 0.0519 36.3 6.8 29.5
7 Cade Horton 0.0647 0.0000 0.0515 32.3 6.2 26.1
8 Ben Brown 0.0647 0.0000 0.0640 26.1 0.3 25.9
9 Stephen Kolek 0.0647 0.0000 0.0386 37.2 12.0 25.3
10 Chase Dollander 0.0647 0.0000 0.0490 31.1 6.9 24.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brandon Walter 0.0647 0.0000 0.0559 15.4 1.8 13.6
2 Luis Morales 0.0647 0.0000 0.0388 17.9 5.1 12.7
3 Grant Taylor 0.0647 0.0000 0.0568 11.3 1.2 10.0
4 José Fermin 0.0647 0.0000 0.0370 13.9 4.2 9.7
5 Thomas Hatch 0.0647 0.0000 0.0660 9.5 0.2 9.3
6 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0.0647 0.0000 0.0702 10.1 1.0 9.1
7 Connelly Early 0.0647 0.0000 0.0222 8.4 3.3 5.1
8 Mitch Farris 0.0647 0.0000 0.0746 5.8 1.1 4.7
9 Ryan Johnson 0.0647 0.0000 0.0213 7.7 3.1 4.6
10 Didier Fuentes 0.0647 0.0000 0.0465 5.7 1.2 4.4

Triple Rate

Everybody Missed for Triple Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Joel Payamps 0.0513
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0061
(5.3)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.5)
0.0000
(5.4)
Kodai Senga 0.0198
0.0000
(7.1)
0.0000
(7.0)
0.0000
(7.2)
0.0050
(7.3)
0.0000
(7.1)
0.0000
(7.3)
0.0000
(7.0)
0.0000
(7.4)
0.0000
(7.1)
Max Fried 0.0130
0.0000
(6.5)
0.0000
(6.3)
0.0000
(6.5)
0.0024
(8.8)
0.0000
(6.3)
0.0000
(6.6)
0.0000
(6.3)
0.0000
(6.9)
0.0000
(6.3)
Victor Mederos 0.0625
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.6)
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(5.1)
0.0000
(4.6)
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.6)
0.0000
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.6)
Spencer Bivens 0.0203
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0000
(5.2)
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0069
(4.7)
0.0000
(5.2)
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0000
(5.2)
0.0000
(5.5)
0.0000
(5.2)
Gordon Graceffo 0.0368
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0076
(5.7)
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0000
(6.1)
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0000
(6.1)
Paul Blackburn 0.0328
0.0000
(4.9)
0.0000
(4.8)
0.0000
(4.9)
0.0065
(4.7)
0.0000
(4.8)
0.0000
(4.9)
0.0000
(4.8)
0.0000
(5.0)
0.0000
(4.8)
Brady Singer 0.0130
0.0000
(5.8)
0.0000
(5.6)
0.0000
(5.8)
0.0064
(5.0)
0.0000
(5.6)
0.0000
(5.9)
0.0000
(5.6)
0.0000
(6.2)
0.0000
(5.6)
Germán Márquez 0.0139
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0000
(5.1)
0.0000
(5.3)
0.0055
(5.2)
0.0000
(5.2)
0.0000
(5.4)
0.0000
(5.1)
0.0000
(5.6)
0.0000
(5.2)

Individual Misses for Triple Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0212 10.0
2 Dustin May 0.0000 0.0161 6.5
3 Cal Quantrill 0.0000 0.0164 5.9
4 Michael Wacha 0.0000 0.0114 4.6
5 Chris Sale 0.0000 0.0137 4.5
6 Ryan Fernandez 0.0000 0.0361 4.4
7 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0000 0.0000 4.0
8 Ben Brown 0.0000 0.0135 4.0
9 Carlos Rodón 0.0000 0.0000 3.9
10 Cade Povich 0.0000 0.0129 3.9

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0212 9.9
2 Dustin May 0.0000 0.0161 6.4
3 Cal Quantrill 0.0000 0.0164 5.7
4 Michael Wacha 0.0000 0.0114 4.4
5 Chris Sale 0.0000 0.0137 4.3
6 Ryan Fernandez 0.0000 0.0361 4.3
7 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0000 0.0000 4.2
8 Carlos Rodón 0.0000 0.0000 4.1
9 Jesús Luzardo 0.0000 0.0000 4.0
10 Ben Brown 0.0000 0.0135 3.9

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0212 10.0
2 Dustin May 0.0000 0.0161 6.5
3 Cal Quantrill 0.0000 0.0164 5.9
4 Michael Wacha 0.0000 0.0114 4.6
5 Chris Sale 0.0000 0.0137 4.5
6 Ryan Fernandez 0.0000 0.0361 4.4
7 Ben Brown 0.0000 0.0135 4.0
8 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0000 0.0000 4.0
9 Cade Povich 0.0000 0.0129 3.9
10 Carlos Rodón 0.0000 0.0000 3.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dustin May 0.0056 0.0161 6.4
2 Jack Leiter 0.0102 0.0000 6.4
3 Joe Ryan 0.0081 0.0000 5.3
4 Gavin Williams 0.0102 0.0024 5.2
5 Lake Bachar 0.0000 0.0169 5.1
6 Jesús Luzardo 0.0068 0.0000 4.9
7 Jack Flaherty 0.0100 0.0025 4.8
8 Mitch Keller 0.0106 0.0039 4.7
9 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.0070 0.0000 4.6
10 Michael Lorenzen 0.0026 0.0098 4.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0212 9.9
2 Dustin May 0.0000 0.0161 6.4
3 Cal Quantrill 0.0000 0.0164 5.8
4 Michael Wacha 0.0000 0.0114 4.5
5 Chris Sale 0.0000 0.0137 4.4
6 Ryan Fernandez 0.0000 0.0361 4.3
7 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0000 0.0000 4.2
8 Carlos Rodón 0.0000 0.0000 4.1
9 Jesús Luzardo 0.0000 0.0000 3.9
10 Ben Brown 0.0000 0.0135 3.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0212 10.2
2 Dustin May 0.0000 0.0161 6.6
3 Cal Quantrill 0.0000 0.0164 6.0
4 Michael Wacha 0.0000 0.0114 4.8
5 Chris Sale 0.0000 0.0137 4.6
6 Ryan Fernandez 0.0000 0.0361 4.4
7 Ben Brown 0.0000 0.0135 4.1
8 Cade Povich 0.0000 0.0129 4.0
9 Daniel Palencia 0.0000 0.0229 3.9
10 Joey Wentz 0.0000 0.0136 3.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0212 9.9
2 Dustin May 0.0000 0.0161 6.4
3 Cal Quantrill 0.0000 0.0164 5.7
4 Michael Wacha 0.0000 0.0114 4.4
5 Chris Sale 0.0000 0.0137 4.4
6 Ryan Fernandez 0.0000 0.0361 4.3
7 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0000 0.0000 4.2
8 Carlos Rodón 0.0000 0.0000 4.1
9 Jesús Luzardo 0.0000 0.0000 3.9
10 Ben Brown 0.0000 0.0135 3.9

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0212 10.4
2 Cal Quantrill 0.0000 0.0164 6.1
3 Michael Wacha 0.0000 0.0114 5.0
4 Chad Patrick 0.0052 0.0000 4.9
5 Chris Sale 0.0000 0.0137 4.8
6 Ryan Fernandez 0.0000 0.0361 4.4
7 Cade Povich 0.0000 0.0129 4.2
8 Tanner Bibee 0.0000 0.0098 4.1
9 Joey Wentz 0.0000 0.0136 4.0
10 Mason Miller 0.0000 0.0208 3.8

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Ryne Nelson 0.0000 0.0212 9.9
2 Dustin May 0.0000 0.0161 6.4
3 Cal Quantrill 0.0000 0.0164 5.8
4 Michael Wacha 0.0000 0.0114 4.5
5 Chris Sale 0.0000 0.0137 4.4
6 Ryan Fernandez 0.0000 0.0361 4.3
7 Cristopher Sánchez 0.0000 0.0000 4.2
8 Carlos Rodón 0.0000 0.0000 4.1
9 Ben Brown 0.0000 0.0135 3.9
10 Jesús Luzardo 0.0000 0.0000 3.9

Most Unique Misses for Triple Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cole Henry 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 2.5 1.3 1.2
2 Drew Pomeranz 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 2.1 1.1 1.0
3 Braydon Fisher 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 2.1 1.1 1.0
4 Isaac Mattson 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 2.0 1.0 1.0
5 Caleb Boushley 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 2.0 1.0 1.0
6 Nolan McLean 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.9 1.0 0.9
7 Troy Melton 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.8 0.9 0.9
8 Parker Messick 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.7 0.9 0.8
9 Jack Perkins 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.6 0.8 0.8
10 Grant Taylor 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.6 0.8 0.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 0.0052 0.0000 0.0030 3.4 1.0 2.4
2 Drew Pomeranz 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 2.1 1.1 1.0
3 Isaac Mattson 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 2.0 1.0 1.0
4 Nolan McLean 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.9 1.0 0.9
5 Troy Melton 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.8 0.9 0.9
6 Anthony DeSclafani 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.7 0.9 0.8
7 Parker Messick 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.7 0.9 0.8
8 Jack Perkins 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.6 0.8 0.8
9 Grant Taylor 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.6 0.8 0.8
10 José Fermin 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.5 0.8 0.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0111 0.0000 0.0055 4.0 0.2 3.8
2 Mitch Keller 0.0106 0.0000 0.0039 4.7 1.0 3.7
3 Gavin Williams 0.0102 0.0000 0.0024 5.2 2.0 3.2
4 Tarik Skubal 0.0097 0.0000 0.0044 3.6 0.6 3.0
5 Jack Leiter 0.0102 0.0000 0.0000 6.4 3.4 3.0
6 Jack Flaherty 0.0100 0.0000 0.0025 4.8 1.9 3.0
7 Max Fried 0.0024 0.0000 0.0130 8.8 6.3 2.6
8 Lucas Giolito 0.0097 0.0000 0.0024 4.3 1.7 2.5
9 Chris Bassitt 0.0022 0.0000 0.0062 3.2 0.7 2.5
10 Mike Burrows 0.0000 0.0000 0.0078 3.3 1.0 2.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0052 0.0000 0.0061 2.9 0.6 2.3
2 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.8 0.9 0.9
3 Lance McCullers Jr. 0.0052 0.0000 0.0064 1.1 0.3 0.8
4 Ryan Johnson 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 0.7 0.4 0.4
5 Luis F. Castillo 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 0.4 0.2 0.2
6 Dietrich Enns 0.0052 0.0000 0.0077 0.5 0.5 0.0
7 Logan Webb 0.0000 0.0000 0.0053 0.1 0.1 0.0
8 Zac Gallen 0.0000 0.0000 0.0074 1.8 1.8 0.0
9 Framber Valdez 0.0000 0.0000 0.0076 2.0 1.9 0.0
10 Max Fried 0.0000 0.0000 0.0130 6.3 6.3 0.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 0.0052 0.0000 0.0030 3.3 1.0 2.3
2 Carlos Vargas 0.0052 0.0000 0.0042 1.9 0.3 1.6
3 Cam Schlittler 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 3.0 1.6 1.4
4 Angel Chivilli 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 2.7 1.4 1.3
5 Hunter Dobbins 0.0052 0.0000 0.0054 1.2 0.0 1.1
6 Casey Legumina 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 2.2 1.1 1.0
7 Mason Fluharty 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 2.1 1.1 1.0
8 Drew Pomeranz 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 2.0 1.1 1.0
9 Braydon Fisher 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 2.0 1.1 1.0
10 Isaac Mattson 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 2.0 1.0 0.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.8 0.9 0.9
2 Grant Taylor 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.6 0.8 0.8
3 Ryan Johnson 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 0.8 0.4 0.4
4 Sauryn Lao 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 0.5 0.3 0.3
5 Logan Webb 0.0000 0.0000 0.0053 0.1 0.1 0.0
6 Zac Gallen 0.0000 0.0000 0.0074 1.8 1.8 0.0
7 Framber Valdez 0.0000 0.0000 0.0076 1.9 1.9 0.0
8 Max Fried 0.0000 0.0000 0.0130 6.3 6.3 0.0
9 Jake Irvin 0.0000 0.0000 0.0054 0.1 0.1 0.0
10 Brandon Pfaadt 0.0000 0.0000 0.0055 0.2 0.2 0.0

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Quinn Priester 0.0052 0.0000 0.0045 3.4 0.5 2.9
2 Matthew Liberatore 0.0052 0.0000 0.0043 3.5 0.6 2.9
3 Noah Cameron 0.0052 0.0000 0.0053 2.4 0.0 2.4
4 Taijuan Walker 0.0052 0.0000 0.0026 3.8 1.4 2.4
5 Slade Cecconi 0.0052 0.0000 0.0053 2.4 0.0 2.3
6 Chad Patrick 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 4.9 2.6 2.2
7 Cade Horton 0.0052 0.0000 0.0030 3.2 1.0 2.1
8 Ryan Gusto 0.0052 0.0000 0.0034 2.9 0.8 2.0
9 Chase Dollander 0.0052 0.0000 0.0035 2.7 0.8 2.0
10 Colton Gordon 0.0052 0.0000 0.0038 2.2 0.5 1.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.8 0.9 0.9
2 Grant Taylor 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.6 0.8 0.8
3 José Fermin 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.6 0.8 0.8
4 Thomas Hatch 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.6 0.8 0.8
5 McCade Brown 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 1.3 0.7 0.7
6 Connelly Early 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 0.8 0.4 0.4
7 Ryan Johnson 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 0.7 0.4 0.4
8 Didier Fuentes 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 0.7 0.4 0.4
9 Brandon Walter 0.0052 0.0000 0.0070 0.7 0.4 0.3
10 Juan Burgos 0.0052 0.0000 0.0000 0.7 0.3 0.3

Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Run Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Germán Márquez 0.1794
0.1352
(25.5)
0.1337
(26.3)
0.1305
(27.0)
0.1287
(28.8)
0.1388
(21.9)
0.1220
(34.6)
0.1310
(26.5)
0.1450
(20.4)
0.1303
(27.7)
Hunter Brown 0.0754
0.1079
(24.4)
0.1073
(24.1)
0.1056
(24.3)
0.1141
(29.6)
0.1022
(22.1)
0.1117
(25.6)
0.1071
(25.6)
0.1098
(25.0)
0.1052
(23.3)
Sandy Alcantara 0.1436
0.1084
(25.5)
0.1084
(25.3)
0.1056
(26.0)
0.1090
(24.3)
0.1090
(23.1)
0.1146
(22.5)
0.1103
(22.2)
0.1073
(27.2)
0.1011
(30.0)
Freddy Peralta 0.0747
0.1105
(26.6)
0.1089
(25.6)
0.1089
(27.0)
0.1088
(26.1)
0.1038
(23.6)
0.1135
(27.3)
0.1072
(26.1)
0.1074
(23.6)
0.1109
(27.8)
Cristopher Sánchez 0.0719
0.1039
(26.7)
0.1070
(29.3)
0.1070
(30.9)
0.1086
(31.2)
0.1059
(30.3)
0.1086
(28.7)
0.1030
(28.0)
0.1103
(30.9)
0.1100
(32.5)
Andre Pallante 0.1524
0.1111
(28.8)
0.1141
(26.5)
0.1109
(27.4)
0.1116
(27.8)
0.1134
(25.4)
0.1229
(21.9)
0.1141
(24.9)
0.1150
(26.8)
0.1083
(30.0)
Nathan Eovaldi 0.0565
0.1140
(29.0)
0.1151
(29.7)
0.1158
(31.0)
0.1101
(27.6)
0.1120
(29.3)
0.1129
(27.5)
0.1096
(28.1)
0.1185
(30.7)
0.1235
(34.4)
Trevor Rogers 0.0544
0.1222
(29.1)
0.1217
(29.0)
0.1188
(28.6)
0.1273
(31.7)
0.1295
(33.3)
0.1256
(29.6)
0.1135
(26.5)
0.1177
(26.8)
0.1179
(27.8)

Individual Misses for Run Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.1268 0.0877 27.4
2 Mitchell Parker 0.1216 0.1600 27.1
3 Cade Horton 0.1370 0.0840 25.7
4 Ben Brown 0.1050 0.1547 23.0
5 Mike Vasil 0.1288 0.0757 22.9
6 Nick Pivetta 0.1173 0.0874 22.3
7 Tyler Mahle 0.1236 0.0607 22.1
8 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1302 0.1738 21.8
9 Jimmy Herget 0.1301 0.0692 21.5
10 Carlos Rodón 0.1199 0.0938 21.5

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.1277 0.0877 28.1
2 Mitchell Parker 0.1236 0.1600 25.5
3 Tyler Mahle 0.1237 0.0607 22.2
4 Ben Brown 0.1066 0.1547 22.1
5 Mike Vasil 0.1258 0.0757 21.7
6 Bradley Blalock 0.1427 0.2218 21.4
7 Jimmy Herget 0.1292 0.0692 21.3
8 Nick Pivetta 0.1156 0.0874 21.2
9 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1313 0.1738 21.2
10 Cade Horton 0.1261 0.0840 20.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.1278 0.0877 29.6
2 Mitchell Parker 0.1203 0.1600 26.5
3 Paul Skenes 0.0908 0.0614 23.9
4 Mike Vasil 0.1268 0.0757 23.0
5 Tyler Mahle 0.1223 0.0607 22.4
6 Bradley Blalock 0.1382 0.2218 22.1
7 Jimmy Herget 0.1284 0.0692 21.7
8 Ben Brown 0.1059 0.1547 21.5
9 Nick Pivetta 0.1139 0.0874 21.4
10 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.1046 0.0775 20.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jack Leiter 0.1505 0.1068 29.5
2 Quinn Priester 0.1376 0.0949 29.2
3 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1162 0.1738 28.5
4 Garrett Crochet 0.1076 0.0762 27.2
5 Bradley Blalock 0.1270 0.2218 25.5
6 Mitchell Parker 0.1241 0.1600 24.6
7 Zac Gallen 0.1024 0.1341 24.2
8 Chase Dollander 0.1177 0.1723 23.2
9 Nick Pivetta 0.1173 0.0874 23.0
10 Erick Fedde 0.1068 0.1445 22.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.1277 0.0877 29.8
2 Mike Vasil 0.1315 0.0757 25.1
3 Tyler Mahle 0.1274 0.0607 24.3
4 Noah Cameron 0.1222 0.0827 23.9
5 Ben Brown 0.1019 0.1547 23.2
6 Adrian Houser 0.1339 0.0946 22.2
7 Taj Bradley 0.1060 0.1455 21.7
8 Quinn Priester 0.1241 0.0949 21.4
9 Jordan Hicks 0.1070 0.1783 21.3
10 Jimmy Herget 0.1256 0.0692 20.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Mitchell Parker 0.1267 0.1600 25.0
2 Bryan Woo 0.1228 0.0876 24.9
3 Andrew Abbott 0.1247 0.0877 24.5
4 Bradley Blalock 0.1344 0.2218 24.4
5 Eric Lauer 0.1454 0.0915 22.5
6 Gavin Williams 0.1211 0.0881 22.5
7 Antonio Senzatela 0.1316 0.1667 22.4
8 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1314 0.1738 22.3
9 Nick Pivetta 0.1188 0.0874 21.8
10 Tyler Mahle 0.1243 0.0607 21.6

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.1275 0.0877 29.6
2 Mitchell Parker 0.1186 0.1600 27.4
3 Jimmy Herget 0.1330 0.0692 23.4
4 Mike Vasil 0.1245 0.0757 22.2
5 Tyler Mahle 0.1207 0.0607 22.0
6 Jake Irvin 0.1215 0.1525 21.6
7 Ben Brown 0.1054 0.1547 21.6
8 Gavin Williams 0.1151 0.0881 21.5
9 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1289 0.1738 21.2
10 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0.1041 0.0775 20.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.1333 0.0877 31.1
2 Bradley Blalock 0.1177 0.2218 28.7
3 Mitchell Parker 0.1248 0.1600 25.6
4 Chase Dollander 0.1177 0.1723 24.1
5 Nick Pivetta 0.1201 0.0874 23.5
6 Carlos Rodón 0.1234 0.0938 23.3
7 Jimmy Herget 0.1346 0.0692 22.7
8 Tyler Mahle 0.1236 0.0607 21.7
9 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.1577 0.1259 21.4
10 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1323 0.1738 21.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Paul Skenes 0.0978 0.0614 28.3
2 Andrew Abbott 0.1263 0.0877 27.9
3 Mitchell Parker 0.1215 0.1600 26.3
4 Zac Gallen 0.1004 0.1341 25.5
5 Bradley Blalock 0.1320 0.2218 24.1
6 Nick Lodolo 0.1286 0.0935 24.0
7 Mike Vasil 0.1274 0.0757 22.8
8 Nick Pivetta 0.1168 0.0874 22.8
9 Noah Cameron 0.1210 0.0827 22.5
10 Brandon Pfaadt 0.1083 0.1395 22.2

Most Unique Misses for Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jack Leiter 0.1362 0.1266 0.1068 19.6 13.5 6.1
2 Slade Cecconi 0.1325 0.1222 0.1211 6.8 1.3 5.5
3 Cade Horton 0.1370 0.1261 0.0840 25.7 20.6 5.1
4 Ryan Rolison 0.1177 0.1425 0.1813 12.1 7.3 4.8
5 McCade Brown 0.1177 0.1533 0.1667 6.0 1.5 4.5
6 Garrett Crochet 0.0961 0.0911 0.0762 17.0 13.2 3.9
7 Grant Anderson 0.1303 0.1172 0.1171 4.3 0.4 3.9
8 Louis Varland 0.1250 0.1119 0.0912 10.3 6.5 3.8
9 Shane Baz 0.1165 0.1213 0.1280 7.4 3.9 3.5
10 Drew Pomeranz 0.1177 0.1002 0.0690 10.1 6.6 3.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Paul Skenes 0.0908 0.0858 0.0614 23.9 18.7 5.1
2 Ryan Rolison 0.1177 0.1425 0.1813 11.7 7.3 4.4
3 McCade Brown 0.1177 0.1533 0.1667 5.8 1.5 4.2
4 Nick Lodolo 0.1201 0.1157 0.0935 19.2 15.0 4.1
5 Nick Martinez 0.1132 0.1211 0.1259 6.5 2.4 4.1
6 Jeffrey Springs 0.1077 0.1154 0.1262 10.9 6.9 4.0
7 Drew Pomeranz 0.1177 0.1002 0.0690 10.5 6.6 4.0
8 Walker Buehler 0.1170 0.1256 0.1292 5.1 1.3 3.8
9 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.1094 0.1163 0.1354 15.9 12.4 3.5
10 Jake Woodford 0.1177 0.1400 0.1647 7.5 4.0 3.5

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jack Leiter 0.1505 0.1266 0.1068 29.5 13.5 16.0
2 Garrett Crochet 0.1076 0.0911 0.0762 27.2 13.2 14.0
3 Jeffrey Springs 0.0960 0.1154 0.1262 20.1 6.9 13.2
4 Quinn Priester 0.1376 0.1212 0.0949 29.2 17.9 11.2
5 Nick Martinez 0.1040 0.1211 0.1259 13.6 2.4 11.2
6 Will Warren 0.1443 0.1204 0.1266 14.0 3.5 10.5
7 Sean Burke 0.1077 0.1259 0.1275 10.6 0.2 10.4
8 Slade Cecconi 0.1399 0.1222 0.1211 11.3 1.3 10.1
9 Shane Baz 0.1069 0.1213 0.1280 13.6 3.9 9.7
10 Jacob deGrom 0.1062 0.0926 0.0852 15.4 5.7 9.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Sean Burke 0.1103 0.1259 0.1275 8.2 0.2 7.9
2 Brad Lord 0.1401 0.1298 0.1190 13.5 6.5 6.9
3 Noah Cameron 0.1222 0.1148 0.0827 23.9 18.5 5.4
4 Will Warren 0.1105 0.1204 0.1266 8.9 3.5 5.4
5 Ranger Suarez 0.1146 0.1088 0.0876 19.9 14.6 5.4
6 Michael Lorenzen 0.1350 0.1287 0.1254 8.0 2.7 5.3
7 Taijuan Walker 0.1421 0.1358 0.1152 16.3 11.7 4.6
8 Cade Gibson 0.1619 0.1442 0.0783 20.1 15.4 4.6
9 Luis Severino 0.1148 0.1237 0.1319 9.5 4.9 4.6
10 Trevor Rogers 0.1295 0.1217 0.0544 33.3 29.0 4.3

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kyle Freeland 0.1290 0.1409 0.1481 14.3 4.3 10.1
2 Bryan Woo 0.1228 0.1090 0.0876 24.9 16.6 8.4
3 Germán Márquez 0.1220 0.1337 0.1794 34.6 26.3 8.3
4 Antonio Senzatela 0.1316 0.1393 0.1667 22.4 16.2 6.2
5 Eric Lauer 0.1454 0.1302 0.0915 22.5 17.0 5.5
6 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.1340 0.1187 0.1002 13.7 8.2 5.4
7 Ryan Rolison 0.1177 0.1425 0.1813 12.5 7.3 5.2
8 Luis Castillo 0.1165 0.1073 0.1020 10.0 4.8 5.1
9 Drew Rasmussen 0.1121 0.1016 0.0803 17.9 13.1 4.8
10 McCade Brown 0.1177 0.1533 0.1667 6.3 1.5 4.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Drew Rasmussen 0.1075 0.1016 0.0803 17.9 13.1 4.8
2 Bryan Woo 0.1118 0.1090 0.0876 20.3 16.6 3.8
3 Ryan Pepiot 0.1167 0.1144 0.1134 4.6 1.5 3.2
4 Gavin Williams 0.1151 0.1131 0.0881 21.5 18.5 3.0
5 Zack Littell 0.1265 0.1250 0.1067 17.7 14.8 3.0
6 Tarik Skubal 0.0888 0.0875 0.0735 14.1 11.3 2.8
7 Dietrich Enns 0.1076 0.1236 0.1250 2.8 0.1 2.7
8 Sonny Gray 0.1001 0.1059 0.1235 15.0 12.4 2.6
9 Miles Mikolas 0.1219 0.1297 0.1300 3.1 0.5 2.6
10 Luis Ortiz 0.1268 0.1227 0.1152 5.8 3.3 2.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.1577 0.1355 0.1259 21.4 7.3 14.1
2 Kevin Gausman 0.1263 0.1148 0.1019 18.8 10.9 7.9
3 Bradley Blalock 0.1177 0.1427 0.2218 28.7 21.4 7.2
4 Chase Dollander 0.1177 0.1322 0.1723 24.1 17.2 7.0
5 Mitch Keller 0.1306 0.1200 0.1215 6.8 0.2 6.6
6 Patrick Corbin 0.1489 0.1382 0.1192 19.7 13.4 6.3
7 Davis Martin 0.1380 0.1264 0.1231 8.9 2.7 6.2
8 Yusei Kikuchi 0.1225 0.1134 0.1127 7.5 1.5 6.0
9 Merrill Kelly 0.1285 0.1199 0.1056 17.0 11.6 5.5
10 Brock Stewart 0.1379 0.1034 0.0692 10.9 5.6 5.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Martinez 0.1024 0.1211 0.1259 14.5 2.4 12.1
2 Walker Buehler 0.1075 0.1256 0.1292 11.0 1.3 9.7
3 Paul Skenes 0.0978 0.0858 0.0614 28.3 18.7 9.6
4 Nick Lodolo 0.1286 0.1157 0.0935 24.0 15.0 9.0
5 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.1031 0.1163 0.1354 20.9 12.4 8.4
6 Jesús Luzardo 0.1266 0.1178 0.1121 12.7 5.2 7.5
7 Jack Leiter 0.1370 0.1266 0.1068 21.0 13.5 7.4
8 Brady Singer 0.1324 0.1237 0.1117 16.4 9.4 6.9
9 Brad Lord 0.1414 0.1298 0.1190 13.4 6.5 6.9
10 Zac Gallen 0.1004 0.1099 0.1341 25.5 18.7 6.8

Earned Run Rate

Everybody Missed for Earned Run Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Hunter Brown 0.0686
0.0992
(23.1)
0.0989
(22.6)
0.0970
(22.5)
0.1067
(29.1)
0.0936
(21.0)
0.1021
(23.3)
0.0980
(23.3)
0.1029
(24.1)
0.0973
(22.1)
Nathan Eovaldi 0.0504
0.1048
(27.5)
0.1060
(27.9)
0.1074
(29.5)
0.1039
(27.5)
0.1025
(27.7)
0.1037
(25.6)
0.1008
(26.3)
0.1106
(29.2)
0.1135
(32.1)
Cristopher Sánchez 0.0694
0.0956
(22.0)
0.0979
(23.5)
0.0970
(24.2)
0.0979
(24.5)
0.0970
(25.3)
0.0982
(22.0)
0.0931
(21.2)
0.1022
(25.4)
0.1010
(26.8)
Bradley Blalock 0.2218
0.1325
(24.3)
0.1321
(24.5)
0.1290
(24.8)
0.1175
(28.2)
0.1450
(20.1)
0.1257
(26.9)
0.1362
(22.8)
0.1083
(31.6)
0.1212
(27.2)
Sandy Alcantara 0.1396
0.0997
(29.0)
0.0997
(29.2)
0.0967
(30.2)
0.0997
(28.3)
0.0998
(26.8)
0.1050
(26.9)
0.1011
(26.8)
0.0991
(31.1)
0.0933
(33.3)
Trevor Rogers 0.0520
0.1124
(26.0)
0.1123
(25.8)
0.1089
(25.1)
0.1182
(28.8)
0.1186
(29.8)
0.1162
(26.5)
0.1050
(23.5)
0.1083
(23.3)
0.1094
(24.9)

Individual Misses for Earned Run Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.1166 0.0775 27.5
2 Cade Horton 0.1260 0.0735 25.5
3 Ben Brown 0.0966 0.1483 23.9
4 Mike Vasil 0.1185 0.0662 22.5
5 Andre Pallante 0.1022 0.1343 22.2
6 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1197 0.1641 22.2
7 Mitchell Parker 0.1119 0.1434 22.2
8 Jake Irvin 0.1167 0.1449 21.4
9 Freddy Peralta 0.1017 0.0733 21.2
10 Carlos Rodón 0.1103 0.0849 20.9

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.1186 0.0775 28.6
2 Ben Brown 0.0980 0.1483 23.4
3 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1210 0.1641 21.7
4 Mike Vasil 0.1162 0.0662 21.5
5 Jake Irvin 0.1176 0.1449 20.9
6 Cade Horton 0.1162 0.0735 20.7
7 Germán Márquez 0.1234 0.1591 20.7
8 Mitchell Parker 0.1144 0.1434 20.5
9 Andre Pallante 0.1049 0.1343 20.5
10 Freddy Peralta 0.1010 0.0733 20.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.1175 0.0775 29.0
2 Ben Brown 0.0968 0.1483 23.1
3 Freddy Peralta 0.1020 0.0733 22.5
4 Zac Gallen 0.0972 0.1267 22.0
5 Brandon Pfaadt 0.1032 0.1343 22.0
6 Mitchell Parker 0.1108 0.1434 21.9
7 Mike Vasil 0.1153 0.0662 21.8
8 Andre Pallante 0.1023 0.1343 21.2
9 Paul Skenes 0.0823 0.0559 21.1
10 Germán Márquez 0.1214 0.1591 20.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1086 0.1641 27.4
2 Quinn Priester 0.1264 0.0888 25.8
3 Jack Leiter 0.1371 0.1006 24.8
4 Nick Pivetta 0.1121 0.0804 24.2
5 Garrett Crochet 0.1002 0.0725 24.1
6 Zac Gallen 0.0961 0.1267 23.4
7 Germán Márquez 0.1176 0.1591 23.4
8 Mitchell Parker 0.1105 0.1434 22.5
9 Chase Dollander 0.1083 0.1610 22.4
10 Freddy Peralta 0.1015 0.0733 21.7

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.1169 0.0775 29.6
2 Mike Vasil 0.1204 0.0662 24.5
3 Ben Brown 0.0933 0.1483 24.2
4 Brandon Pfaadt 0.1005 0.1343 23.0
5 Jake Irvin 0.1137 0.1449 21.5
6 Aaron Nola 0.1003 0.1559 20.9
7 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1194 0.1641 20.9
8 Tyler Mahle 0.1166 0.0607 20.7
9 Jordan Hicks 0.0980 0.1656 20.0
10 Kris Bubic 0.1070 0.0693 19.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Germán Márquez 0.1125 0.1591 28.5
2 Andrew Abbott 0.1167 0.0775 25.7
3 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1205 0.1641 23.1
4 Freddy Peralta 0.1055 0.0733 22.1
5 Antonio Senzatela 0.1216 0.1553 21.8
6 Ben Brown 0.1045 0.1483 21.4
7 Jake Irvin 0.1192 0.1449 21.4
8 Bryan Woo 0.1142 0.0834 21.4
9 Gavin Williams 0.1126 0.0810 21.1
10 Nick Pivetta 0.1112 0.0804 21.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.1200 0.0775 30.8
2 Jake Irvin 0.1129 0.1449 23.1
3 Ben Brown 0.0975 0.1483 22.8
4 Mitchell Parker 0.1104 0.1434 22.1
5 Mike Vasil 0.1157 0.0662 22.0
6 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1185 0.1641 22.0
7 Jimmy Herget 0.1250 0.0663 21.3
8 Freddy Peralta 0.0998 0.0733 21.0
9 Cade Horton 0.1147 0.0735 20.8
10 Germán Márquez 0.1219 0.1591 20.4

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.1250 0.0775 31.6
2 Chase Dollander 0.1083 0.1610 23.8
3 Carlos Rodón 0.1155 0.0849 23.1
4 Nick Pivetta 0.1124 0.0804 22.1
5 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1232 0.1641 21.5
6 Mitchell Parker 0.1159 0.1434 20.9
7 Jimmy Herget 0.1255 0.0663 20.1
8 Andre Pallante 0.1076 0.1343 20.0
9 Ben Brown 0.1083 0.1483 19.5
10 Bryce Elder 0.1088 0.1355 19.0

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 0.1162 0.0775 27.5
2 Zac Gallen 0.0930 0.1267 26.2
3 Paul Skenes 0.0899 0.0559 26.0
4 Brandon Pfaadt 0.1008 0.1343 24.5
5 Andre Pallante 0.1004 0.1343 23.1
6 Ben Brown 0.0985 0.1483 22.8
7 Freddy Peralta 0.1032 0.0733 22.8
8 Mike Vasil 0.1179 0.0662 22.5
9 Germán Márquez 0.1197 0.1591 22.3
10 Antonio Senzatela 0.1187 0.1553 21.7

Most Unique Misses for Earned Run Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jack Leiter 0.1253 0.1175 0.1006 16.6 11.4 5.2
2 Will Warren 0.1195 0.1110 0.1125 5.7 0.6 5.0
3 Cade Horton 0.1260 0.1162 0.0735 25.5 20.7 4.8
4 Ryan Rolison 0.1083 0.1320 0.1710 11.9 7.4 4.5
5 McCade Brown 0.1083 0.1426 0.1667 7.2 2.9 4.3
6 Garrett Crochet 0.0884 0.0840 0.0725 13.8 9.9 3.8
7 Louis Varland 0.1150 0.1031 0.0811 10.3 6.7 3.6
8 Shane Baz 0.1072 0.1125 0.1266 13.1 9.6 3.5
9 Grant Anderson 0.1199 0.1086 0.0836 11.1 7.7 3.5
10 Stephen Kolek 0.1167 0.1100 0.0954 10.2 7.0 3.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Ryan Rolison 0.1083 0.1320 0.1710 11.6 7.4 4.2
2 McCade Brown 0.1083 0.1426 0.1667 7.0 2.9 4.1
3 Paul Skenes 0.0823 0.0786 0.0559 21.1 17.1 4.0
4 Nick Lodolo 0.1113 0.1069 0.0903 15.0 11.1 3.9
5 Nick Martinez 0.1050 0.1121 0.1201 8.6 5.0 3.6
6 Jake Woodford 0.1083 0.1295 0.1529 7.2 3.9 3.3
7 Walker Buehler 0.1090 0.1163 0.1221 6.1 2.9 3.2
8 Drew Pomeranz 0.1083 0.0946 0.0591 10.5 7.4 3.1
9 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.1014 0.1077 0.1239 13.9 10.8 3.1
10 Jeffrey Springs 0.1005 0.1064 0.1094 4.6 1.7 2.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Will Warren 0.1375 0.1110 0.1125 19.1 0.6 18.5
2 Garrett Crochet 0.1002 0.0840 0.0725 24.1 9.9 14.2
3 Jack Leiter 0.1371 0.1175 0.1006 24.8 11.4 13.4
4 Nick Martinez 0.0934 0.1121 0.1201 16.9 5.0 12.0
5 Jeffrey Springs 0.0894 0.1064 0.1094 12.9 1.7 11.3
6 Quinn Priester 0.1264 0.1111 0.0888 25.8 15.0 10.7
7 Slade Cecconi 0.1347 0.1129 0.1156 11.4 1.1 10.3
8 Jacob deGrom 0.0989 0.0859 0.0852 10.4 0.9 9.5
9 Seth Lugo 0.0917 0.1081 0.1097 9.8 0.6 9.3
10 Michael Lorenzen 0.1032 0.1191 0.1205 9.3 0.4 8.9

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kyle Freeland 0.1378 0.1306 0.1269 10.4 3.1 7.3
2 Brad Lord 0.1283 0.1195 0.1154 9.1 2.6 6.5
3 Ranger Suarez 0.1050 0.0997 0.0860 14.8 9.4 5.5
4 Noah Cameron 0.1119 0.1059 0.0827 18.3 13.3 5.1
5 Will Warren 0.1011 0.1110 0.1125 5.4 0.6 4.8
6 Cade Gibson 0.1482 0.1325 0.0696 19.0 14.6 4.3
7 Luis Severino 0.1051 0.1144 0.1163 5.2 0.9 4.3
8 Taijuan Walker 0.1301 0.1257 0.1041 16.0 12.0 4.0
9 Osvaldo Bido 0.0999 0.1140 0.1433 14.4 10.4 4.0
10 Trevor Rogers 0.1186 0.1123 0.0520 29.8 25.8 4.0

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Bryan Woo 0.1142 0.1009 0.0834 21.4 13.3 8.1
2 Germán Márquez 0.1125 0.1234 0.1591 28.5 20.7 7.8
3 Antonio Senzatela 0.1216 0.1287 0.1553 21.8 16.0 5.8
4 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.1250 0.1097 0.0931 12.7 7.3 5.4
5 Eric Lauer 0.1348 0.1205 0.0869 19.7 14.6 5.1
6 Ryan Rolison 0.1083 0.1320 0.1710 12.4 7.4 5.0
7 Luis Castillo 0.1077 0.0992 0.0953 8.1 3.4 4.7
8 McCade Brown 0.1083 0.1426 0.1667 7.5 2.9 4.6
9 Grant Holmes 0.1182 0.1074 0.1037 6.4 2.2 4.2
10 Zack Littell 0.1235 0.1159 0.1041 13.5 9.5 4.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Drew Rasmussen 0.0986 0.0937 0.0786 13.2 9.2 4.0
2 Bryan Woo 0.1038 0.1009 0.0834 16.8 13.3 3.5
3 Zack Littell 0.1185 0.1159 0.1041 12.9 9.5 3.4
4 Miles Mikolas 0.1131 0.1200 0.1256 6.6 3.3 3.3
5 Ryan Pepiot 0.1091 0.1062 0.1060 3.8 0.6 3.2
6 Sean Burke 0.1200 0.1165 0.1057 10.1 6.9 3.2
7 Sonny Gray 0.0916 0.0975 0.1142 15.1 12.1 3.1
8 Gavin Williams 0.1069 0.1046 0.0810 20.1 17.1 3.0
9 David Peterson 0.0963 0.1020 0.1093 7.5 4.7 2.7
10 Dean Kremer 0.1152 0.1135 0.1130 3.4 0.9 2.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.1475 0.1262 0.1200 17.7 4.6 13.0
2 Kevin Gausman 0.1182 0.1063 0.0994 13.6 5.9 7.7
3 Chase Dollander 0.1083 0.1225 0.1610 23.8 16.7 7.1
4 Bradley Blalock 0.1083 0.1321 0.2218 31.6 24.5 7.1
5 Mitch Keller 0.1221 0.1111 0.1095 8.5 1.7 6.8
6 Patrick Corbin 0.1388 0.1277 0.1146 15.2 9.1 6.1
7 Davis Martin 0.1286 0.1171 0.1082 11.5 5.8 5.7
8 Merrill Kelly 0.1204 0.1110 0.0963 17.1 11.6 5.5
9 Yusei Kikuchi 0.1139 0.1049 0.1023 7.9 2.5 5.5
10 Kyle Freeland 0.1400 0.1306 0.1269 8.4 3.1 5.3

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Martinez 0.0944 0.1121 0.1201 16.5 5.0 11.5
2 Paul Skenes 0.0899 0.0786 0.0559 26.0 17.1 8.9
3 Walker Buehler 0.0998 0.1163 0.1221 11.7 2.9 8.8
4 Nick Lodolo 0.1197 0.1069 0.0903 19.9 11.1 8.8
5 Jesús Luzardo 0.1179 0.1090 0.1055 10.5 3.2 7.4
6 Eduardo Rodriguez 0.0964 0.1077 0.1239 18.0 10.8 7.2
7 Brad Lord 0.1315 0.1195 0.1154 9.7 2.6 7.1
8 Jack Leiter 0.1274 0.1175 0.1006 18.3 11.4 7.0
9 Brady Singer 0.1221 0.1141 0.1061 12.5 6.2 6.3
10 Zac Gallen 0.0930 0.1015 0.1267 26.2 19.9 6.3

Win Rate

Everybody Missed for Win Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Tyler Anderson 0.0769
0.3122
(148.4)
0.3140
(156.6)
0.3103
(154.1)
0.2308
(117.7)
0.2962
(154.3)
0.3474
(166.3)
0.3018
(149.7)
0.3188
(151.0)
0.3077
(132.3)
Quinn Priester 0.4483
0.0928
(224.0)
0.0860
(220.7)
0.0667
(233.7)
0.1724
(152.3)
0.0528
(233.2)
0.1469
(192.1)
0.0515
(242.8)
0.2045
(152.4)
0.2692
(123.4)
Matthew Boyd 0.4516
0.2717
(120.3)
0.2640
(117.2)
0.2424
(133.1)
0.1724
(169.9)
0.2015
(152.0)
0.2863
(113.5)
0.2520
(125.4)
0.2779
(117.4)
0.3077
(110.4)

Individual Misses for Win Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0919 0.5000 167.4
2 Cade Horton 0.1187 0.4783 165.2
3 Noah Cameron 0.0737 0.3750 160.6
4 Casey Mize 0.2489 0.5000 149.6
5 Justin Verlander 0.3494 0.1379 148.3
6 Adrian Houser 0.0866 0.3810 146.0
7 Garrett Crochet 0.3816 0.5625 137.1
8 Erick Fedde 0.3317 0.1250 136.5
9 Michael McGreevy 0.1250 0.4706 133.3
10 Mitch Keller 0.3459 0.1875 128.0

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0999 0.5000 159.0
2 Noah Cameron 0.0687 0.3750 156.8
3 Cade Horton 0.1432 0.4783 147.9
4 Justin Verlander 0.3368 0.1379 147.8
5 Erick Fedde 0.3319 0.1250 144.1
6 Adrian Houser 0.0964 0.3810 134.8
7 Jesús Luzardo 0.2685 0.4688 133.3
8 Michael McGreevy 0.1137 0.4706 133.0
9 Mitch Keller 0.3404 0.1875 132.8
10 Casey Mize 0.2740 0.5000 126.4

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0588 0.5000 176.6
2 Noah Cameron 0.0526 0.3750 166.0
3 Colin Rea 0.0930 0.3438 150.2
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.2500 0.4688 147.8
5 Justin Verlander 0.3333 0.1379 145.1
6 Michael McGreevy 0.1087 0.4706 135.2
7 Casey Mize 0.2609 0.5000 135.0
8 Adrian Houser 0.1000 0.3810 133.2
9 Erick Fedde 0.3103 0.1250 130.3
10 Max Fried 0.4138 0.5938 125.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.1333 0.5625 314.6
2 Casey Mize 0.1081 0.5000 219.0
3 Max Fried 0.2895 0.5938 209.6
4 Bryan Woo 0.2105 0.5000 180.4
5 Carlos Rodón 0.2750 0.5455 179.8
6 Jesús Luzardo 0.2000 0.4688 171.4
7 Clay Holmes 0.0800 0.3636 170.6
8 Freddy Peralta 0.2381 0.5152 169.5
9 Trevor Rogers 0.1053 0.5000 148.9
10 Gavin Williams 0.1429 0.3871 141.9

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Jesús Luzardo 0.1528 0.4688 210.5
2 Justin Verlander 0.3794 0.1379 185.2
3 Cade Horton 0.0528 0.4783 184.3
4 Trevor Rogers 0.0452 0.5000 176.2
5 Paul Skenes 0.5093 0.3125 172.4
6 Mitch Keller 0.3742 0.1875 168.6
7 Dylan Cease 0.4357 0.2500 161.8
8 MacKenzie Gore 0.3627 0.1667 159.4
9 Noah Cameron 0.0528 0.3750 157.9
10 Ranger Suarez 0.1810 0.4615 157.7

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Garrett Crochet 0.3236 0.5625 188.6
2 Noah Cameron 0.0545 0.3750 174.2
3 Max Fried 0.3973 0.5938 151.6
4 Trevor Rogers 0.1374 0.5000 150.3
5 Erick Fedde 0.3571 0.1250 149.1
6 Adrian Houser 0.0886 0.3810 147.7
7 Carlos Rodón 0.3544 0.5455 145.1
8 Casey Mize 0.2800 0.5000 133.4
9 Slade Cecconi 0.0574 0.3043 130.7
10 Cade Horton 0.2045 0.4783 126.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Trevor Rogers 0.0775 0.5000 168.1
2 Noah Cameron 0.0642 0.3750 158.9
3 Jesús Luzardo 0.2496 0.4688 147.2
4 Colin Rea 0.0968 0.3438 146.9
5 Erick Fedde 0.3334 0.1250 145.4
6 Justin Verlander 0.3258 0.1379 140.9
7 MacKenzie Gore 0.3466 0.1667 139.3
8 Adrian Houser 0.0894 0.3810 138.1
9 Michael McGreevy 0.1027 0.4706 137.2
10 Yusei Kikuchi 0.3579 0.2121 131.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Carlos Rodón 0.3468 0.5455 148.7
2 Garrett Crochet 0.3720 0.5625 146.7
3 Adrian Houser 0.0898 0.3810 145.5
4 Jesús Luzardo 0.2687 0.4688 143.9
5 Justin Verlander 0.3391 0.1379 140.0
6 Erick Fedde 0.3267 0.1250 132.0
7 Cade Horton 0.2045 0.4783 125.4
8 Casey Mize 0.2966 0.5000 121.1
9 Trevor Rogers 0.2045 0.5000 120.6
10 Tanner Gordon 0.0322 0.4000 120.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Casey Mize 0.1739 0.5000 210.7
2 Bryan Woo 0.2692 0.5000 175.9
3 Cade Horton 0.1667 0.4783 153.0
4 Freddy Peralta 0.3448 0.5152 130.3
5 Garrett Crochet 0.4138 0.5625 129.1
6 Max Fried 0.4444 0.5938 127.5
7 Kris Bubic 0.1515 0.4000 123.0
8 Justin Verlander 0.3333 0.1379 122.8
9 Carlos Rodón 0.4074 0.5455 116.7
10 Brady Singer 0.2857 0.4375 115.8

Most Unique Misses for Win Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cam Schlittler 0.4316 0.2674 0.2857 48.1 1.8 46.3
2 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.2280 0.2752 0.3333 62.7 22.8 39.9
3 Juan Mejia 0.2045 0.0496 0.0364 47.1 9.8 37.3
4 Davis Martin 0.1882 0.2375 0.2692 41.2 4.4 36.8
5 Cole Henry 0.2045 0.0568 0.0175 48.1 15.3 32.7
6 Tyler Phillips 0.1848 0.0756 0.0370 50.2 19.7 30.5
7 Clay Holmes 0.2257 0.2550 0.3636 88.9 59.7 29.2
8 Michael Wacha 0.3994 0.3488 0.3226 63.9 36.2 27.7
9 David Morgan 0.2045 0.0508 0.0244 37.2 9.8 27.4
10 Isaac Mattson 0.2045 0.0594 0.0682 29.5 3.1 26.4

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cam Schlittler 0.0000 0.2674 0.2857 79.6 1.8 77.8
2 Colin Rea 0.0930 0.1607 0.3438 150.2 105.1 45.2
3 Shane Baz 0.1944 0.2437 0.3226 74.2 38.8 35.4
4 José Soriano 0.3462 0.3000 0.3226 34.3 1.2 33.0
5 Matt Festa 0.2045 0.0587 0.0794 33.7 0.8 32.8
6 Jack Kochanowicz 0.2414 0.1807 0.1304 69.0 38.2 30.8
7 Cristopher Sánchez 0.3448 0.3815 0.4062 30.4 0.4 30.0
8 David Morgan 0.2045 0.0508 0.0244 39.4 9.8 29.6
9 Isaac Mattson 0.2045 0.0594 0.0682 31.7 3.1 28.6
10 Drew Pomeranz 0.2045 0.0650 0.0351 39.2 11.0 28.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Garrett Crochet 0.1333 0.3908 0.5625 314.6 119.9 194.7
2 Cristopher Sánchez 0.1905 0.3815 0.4062 139.7 0.4 139.4
3 Jacob deGrom 0.1600 0.3610 0.4000 132.0 9.8 122.2
4 Gavin Williams 0.1429 0.3233 0.3871 141.9 27.8 114.1
5 Clay Holmes 0.0800 0.2550 0.3636 170.6 59.7 111.0
6 José Soriano 0.1250 0.3000 0.3226 112.2 1.2 110.9
7 Nick Pivetta 0.1842 0.3545 0.4194 138.8 29.2 109.6
8 Logan Webb 0.2750 0.4168 0.4412 105.8 0.0 105.7
9 Max Fried 0.2895 0.4260 0.5938 209.6 114.9 94.7
10 Casey Mize 0.1081 0.2740 0.5000 219.0 126.4 92.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Paul Skenes 0.5093 0.4043 0.3125 172.4 85.2 87.2
2 Jesús Luzardo 0.1528 0.2685 0.4688 210.5 133.3 77.2
3 Brandon Pfaadt 0.1876 0.3009 0.3939 128.9 52.7 76.2
4 Ranger Suarez 0.1810 0.3009 0.4615 157.7 88.7 69.0
5 Davis Martin 0.3412 0.2375 0.2692 66.3 4.4 61.9
6 Bryce Elder 0.0652 0.1696 0.2857 123.7 62.3 61.4
7 Will Warren 0.0471 0.1465 0.2727 133.2 72.4 60.8
8 Eric Lauer 0.0528 0.2082 0.3214 98.1 37.9 60.3
9 Cam Schlittler 0.0528 0.2674 0.2857 59.2 1.8 57.3
10 José Soriano 0.3626 0.3000 0.3226 56.7 1.2 55.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Andre Pallante 0.3475 0.2127 0.1935 115.2 31.1 84.1
2 Garrett Crochet 0.3236 0.3908 0.5625 188.6 119.9 68.7
3 David Peterson 0.4109 0.3174 0.3000 85.4 30.2 55.2
4 Carlos Vargas 0.2045 0.0481 0.0714 46.4 0.3 46.1
5 Michael Soroka 0.2577 0.1345 0.1364 48.7 8.5 40.2
6 Angel Chivilli 0.2045 0.0479 0.0233 51.8 13.5 38.3
7 Davis Martin 0.1931 0.2375 0.2692 41.5 4.4 37.1
8 Max Fried 0.3973 0.4260 0.5938 151.6 114.9 36.8
9 Logan Webb 0.3929 0.4168 0.4412 35.2 0.0 35.2
10 Gavin Williams 0.2909 0.3233 0.3871 62.7 27.8 34.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Colin Rea 0.0968 0.1607 0.3438 146.9 105.1 41.9
2 José Soriano 0.3446 0.3000 0.3226 34.0 1.2 32.8
3 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.2278 0.2752 0.3333 54.4 22.8 31.6
4 Jacob deGrom 0.4306 0.3610 0.4000 37.2 9.8 27.4
5 Logan Webb 0.3842 0.4168 0.4412 27.4 0.0 27.4
6 Patrick Corbin 0.3117 0.2726 0.2258 73.5 47.1 26.4
7 Jack Kochanowicz 0.2289 0.1807 0.1304 63.2 38.2 25.0
8 Grant Taylor 0.2045 0.0530 0.0556 27.3 3.4 23.9
9 Troy Melton 0.3056 0.1806 0.1875 25.8 3.1 22.6
10 Yusei Kikuchi 0.3579 0.3293 0.2121 131.8 109.3 22.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Clay Holmes 0.1844 0.2550 0.3636 119.6 59.7 60.0
2 Brad Lord 0.2045 0.0624 0.1042 60.4 9.5 50.9
3 Chad Patrick 0.2045 0.0649 0.1111 52.2 11.0 41.2
4 Jack Dreyer 0.2045 0.0607 0.0448 52.2 12.4 39.8
5 Juan Mejia 0.2045 0.0496 0.0364 46.6 9.8 36.8
6 Tyler Phillips 0.2045 0.0756 0.0370 55.6 19.7 36.0
7 Carlos Rodón 0.3468 0.3774 0.5455 148.7 113.4 35.3
8 Ryan Bergert 0.2045 0.0843 0.1053 35.4 1.1 34.3
9 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.2410 0.2752 0.3333 55.4 22.8 32.6
10 Cole Henry 0.2045 0.0568 0.0175 47.5 15.3 32.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 José Soriano 0.1935 0.3000 0.3226 100.6 1.2 99.3
2 Jacob deGrom 0.2500 0.3610 0.4000 107.0 9.8 97.2
3 Cristopher Sánchez 0.3103 0.3815 0.4062 85.4 0.4 85.0
4 Casey Mize 0.1739 0.2740 0.5000 210.7 126.4 84.2
5 Bryan Woo 0.2692 0.3432 0.5000 175.9 96.8 79.1
6 Cade Povich 0.3214 0.1636 0.1364 85.5 25.2 60.3
7 Chris Paddack 0.2667 0.1490 0.1515 70.5 14.6 55.9
8 Brady Singer 0.2857 0.3267 0.4375 115.8 61.9 53.9
9 Chad Patrick 0.2500 0.0649 0.1111 64.9 11.0 53.9
10 Simeon Woods Richardson 0.1786 0.2582 0.3043 63.9 10.3 53.6

Loss Rate

Everybody Missed for Loss Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Matthew Liberatore 0.4138
0.1133
(179.7)
0.1085
(176.1)
0.1379
(159.9)
0.1136
(162.9)
0.0444
(201.7)
0.1742
(136.8)
0.1391
(162.2)
0.2067
(132.2)
0.1364
(181.0)
Grant Holmes 0.4091
0.1197
(131.0)
0.1097
(130.8)
0.1034
(136.0)
0.1000
(128.1)
0.0571
(144.6)
0.1618
(107.7)
0.1199
(130.3)
0.1414
(130.2)
0.0750
(165.3)
Andre Pallante 0.4839
0.2293
(165.4)
0.2169
(166.9)
0.2162
(170.5)
0.1087
(233.3)
0.1216
(217.5)
0.2896
(118.6)
0.2204
(171.0)
0.2793
(144.1)
0.1944
(208.3)
Spencer Strider 0.6087
0.2713
(169.4)
0.2493
(175.6)
0.2609
(171.8)
0.1304
(231.5)
0.2495
(162.3)
0.2009
(204.5)
0.2609
(174.3)
0.2654
(183.4)
0.2500
(194.4)

Individual Misses for Loss Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dustin May 0.1002 0.4400 184.9
2 José Berríos 0.3759 0.1613 166.0
3 Trevor Williams 0.1689 0.5882 147.8
4 Nick Pivetta 0.3423 0.1613 147.2
5 Tanner Gordon 0.0949 0.5333 139.9
6 Max Fried 0.3013 0.1562 134.8
7 Antonio Senzatela 0.2678 0.5000 129.1
8 Brandon Young 0.0626 0.5833 127.4
9 Chris Paddack 0.1547 0.3636 124.4
10 Chase Dollander 0.2666 0.5714 124.2

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dustin May 0.0940 0.4400 182.5
2 José Berríos 0.3527 0.1613 157.1
3 Tanner Gordon 0.0892 0.5333 138.4
4 Bryce Elder 0.1557 0.3929 138.2
5 Trevor Williams 0.1886 0.5882 136.5
6 Nick Pivetta 0.3131 0.1613 133.6
7 Cristopher Sánchez 0.2877 0.1562 133.2
8 Max Fried 0.2800 0.1562 126.0
9 Brandon Young 0.0609 0.5833 125.2
10 Gavin Williams 0.3042 0.1613 124.2

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dustin May 0.0800 0.4400 193.2
2 Antonio Senzatela 0.2308 0.5000 148.4
3 José Berríos 0.3438 0.1613 147.7
4 Tanner Gordon 0.0714 0.5333 145.8
5 Bryce Elder 0.1600 0.3929 138.3
6 Chris Paddack 0.1296 0.3636 137.3
7 Nick Pivetta 0.3214 0.1613 136.5
8 Brandon Young 0.0357 0.5833 132.7
9 Trevor Williams 0.2045 0.5882 132.2
10 Michael Lorenzen 0.1607 0.4074 131.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Germán Márquez 0.1818 0.6154 227.4
2 Zac Gallen 0.1622 0.4545 198.0
3 Antonio Senzatela 0.1538 0.5000 183.7
4 Kyle Freeland 0.2647 0.5484 166.5
5 Mitchell Parker 0.2143 0.4848 160.8
6 Jack Flaherty 0.2000 0.4839 160.1
7 Dustin May 0.1200 0.4400 158.4
8 Trevor Williams 0.1613 0.5882 141.0
9 Chase Dollander 0.2067 0.5714 139.3
10 Luis Ortiz 0.1500 0.5625 138.9

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dustin May 0.0437 0.4400 197.5
2 Antonio Senzatela 0.1343 0.5000 190.1
3 José Berríos 0.3644 0.1613 182.3
4 Bryce Elder 0.0683 0.3929 180.9
5 Trevor Williams 0.0561 0.5882 176.8
6 Mitchell Parker 0.1945 0.4848 168.4
7 Chris Paddack 0.0552 0.3636 167.8
8 Michael Lorenzen 0.0743 0.4074 166.7
9 Cristopher Sánchez 0.3031 0.1562 165.4
10 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1138 0.4783 156.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryce Elder 0.1111 0.3929 172.0
2 Dustin May 0.1233 0.4400 168.3
3 Germán Márquez 0.3390 0.6154 146.5
4 Tanner Gordon 0.0793 0.5333 143.4
5 Zac Gallen 0.2532 0.4545 140.5
6 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1883 0.4783 133.9
7 MacKenzie Gore 0.2808 0.5000 129.7
8 Luis Ortiz 0.2006 0.5625 127.4
9 Brandon Young 0.0616 0.5833 126.3
10 Noah Cameron 0.0455 0.2917 121.1

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dustin May 0.0759 0.4400 198.4
2 José Berríos 0.3650 0.1613 159.2
3 Gavin Williams 0.3554 0.1613 153.8
4 Tanner Gordon 0.0754 0.5333 146.1
5 Bryce Elder 0.1599 0.3929 141.6
6 Cristopher Sánchez 0.3062 0.1562 140.6
7 Nick Pivetta 0.3293 0.1613 138.7
8 Max Fried 0.3009 0.1562 135.4
9 Trevor Williams 0.2070 0.5882 133.1
10 Brandon Young 0.0465 0.5833 131.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Chase Dollander 0.2067 0.5714 159.5
2 Nick Pivetta 0.3771 0.1613 157.9
3 Cristopher Sánchez 0.3447 0.1562 154.6
4 Tanner Gordon 0.0746 0.5333 153.6
5 José Berríos 0.3726 0.1613 149.6
6 Gavin Williams 0.3600 0.1613 142.0
7 Bryce Elder 0.1869 0.3929 137.7
8 Brandon Young 0.0434 0.5833 137.4
9 Dustin May 0.2067 0.4400 134.5
10 Trevor Williams 0.2464 0.5882 126.4

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Zac Gallen 0.2500 0.4545 167.9
2 Nick Martinez 0.1395 0.3500 145.1
3 José Soriano 0.1613 0.3548 141.6
4 Germán Márquez 0.3810 0.6154 139.7
5 Antonio Senzatela 0.2778 0.5000 138.5
6 Chase Dollander 0.2727 0.5714 132.6
7 Kyle Freeland 0.3636 0.5484 132.4
8 Quinn Priester 0.3077 0.1034 132.1
9 Luis Ortiz 0.2188 0.5625 132.1
10 José Berríos 0.3448 0.1613 126.7

Most Unique Misses for Loss Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 0.0055 0.1124 0.1739 69.1 13.3 55.8
2 Cam Schlittler 0.4554 0.2977 0.2143 80.4 35.5 44.8
3 Patrick Corbin 0.4372 0.3616 0.3548 70.0 26.7 43.3
4 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.2385 0.3157 0.3333 48.3 10.7 37.6
5 Juan Mejia 0.2067 0.0627 0.0364 50.5 15.6 34.9
6 Drew Pomeranz 0.2067 0.0322 0.0351 39.5 6.2 33.3
7 Cole Henry 0.2067 0.0601 0.0351 46.9 14.1 32.8
8 Michael Wacha 0.3025 0.3343 0.4194 67.1 36.9 30.2
9 Braydon Fisher 0.2067 0.0628 0.0000 46.4 19.5 27.0
10 Chase Dollander 0.2666 0.3131 0.5714 124.2 99.1 25.1

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cam Schlittler 0.5000 0.2977 0.2143 95.7 35.5 60.2
2 Colin Rea 0.1163 0.1810 0.2188 48.5 2.8 45.8
3 Drew Pomeranz 0.2067 0.0322 0.0351 40.7 6.2 34.5
4 Matt Festa 0.2067 0.0533 0.0635 38.9 5.3 33.7
5 Tyler Anderson 0.4483 0.3962 0.3077 101.7 73.1 28.5
6 Antonio Senzatela 0.2308 0.2705 0.5000 148.4 121.1 27.3
7 Kyle Hendricks 0.4167 0.3744 0.3226 85.6 59.3 26.3
8 David Morgan 0.2067 0.0686 0.0488 36.1 10.3 25.8
9 Chase Dollander 0.2593 0.3131 0.5714 124.8 99.1 25.7
10 Shane Baz 0.2222 0.2532 0.3871 96.5 71.3 25.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Germán Márquez 0.1818 0.3891 0.6154 227.4 113.9 113.5
2 Sean Burke 0.1111 0.3119 0.3929 138.8 28.3 110.5
3 Tanner Bibee 0.1667 0.3108 0.3548 106.2 8.0 98.2
4 Michael Wacha 0.1842 0.3343 0.4194 133.4 36.9 96.6
5 Zac Gallen 0.1622 0.2920 0.4545 198.0 104.9 93.1
6 Luis Severino 0.1951 0.3495 0.3793 95.4 2.6 92.8
7 Sandy Alcantara 0.2000 0.3350 0.3871 103.0 13.8 89.2
8 Quinn Priester 0.2069 0.0889 0.1034 99.4 12.4 87.0
9 José Soriano 0.1500 0.2847 0.3548 113.0 26.5 86.5
10 Kyle Freeland 0.2647 0.4007 0.5484 166.5 80.9 85.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Antonio Senzatela 0.1343 0.2705 0.5000 190.1 121.1 69.0
2 Will Warren 0.0446 0.1599 0.2424 99.4 34.8 64.5
3 Bailey Falter 0.0868 0.2321 0.2692 64.4 1.8 62.6
4 Sean Burke 0.1865 0.3119 0.3929 88.4 28.3 60.1
5 Michael Lorenzen 0.0743 0.1961 0.4074 166.7 107.7 59.0
6 Mitchell Parker 0.1945 0.2988 0.4848 168.4 110.6 57.8
7 Nick Martinez 0.0881 0.1949 0.3500 139.2 83.0 56.2
8 Randy Vásquez 0.0730 0.1946 0.2500 67.8 12.4 55.3
9 Jack Kochanowicz 0.1138 0.2451 0.4783 156.8 102.2 54.7
10 Andrew Heaney 0.1579 0.2801 0.3704 82.8 30.4 52.4

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Carlos Vargas 0.2067 0.0493 0.0714 54.2 3.8 50.4
2 Bailey Falter 0.3348 0.2321 0.2692 48.7 1.8 46.9
3 MacKenzie Gore 0.2808 0.3400 0.5000 129.7 86.0 43.7
4 Lake Bachar 0.2067 0.0597 0.0377 58.4 16.4 42.0
5 Framber Valdez 0.2500 0.2905 0.3548 61.3 24.7 36.6
6 Carson Palmquist 0.2067 0.4095 0.4444 36.6 0.2 36.4
7 Zac Gallen 0.2532 0.2920 0.4545 140.5 104.9 35.6
8 Hunter Dobbins 0.2067 0.0637 0.0769 40.5 5.2 35.3
9 Drew Pomeranz 0.2067 0.0322 0.0351 40.6 6.2 34.4
10 Bryce Elder 0.1111 0.1557 0.3929 172.0 138.2 33.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 0.3717 0.1124 0.1739 105.8 13.3 92.4
2 Colin Rea 0.1110 0.1810 0.2188 55.2 2.8 52.4
3 Bryan Woo 0.3461 0.2804 0.2333 100.2 58.9 41.3
4 Gavin Williams 0.3554 0.3042 0.1613 153.8 124.2 29.5
5 Casey Mize 0.3624 0.3105 0.2143 108.1 81.4 26.7
6 Cade Povich 0.1293 0.1722 0.3636 102.5 77.0 25.4
7 Simeon Woods Richardson 0.3753 0.3132 0.1739 106.3 81.4 24.9
8 Troy Melton 0.3860 0.2487 0.1250 51.4 28.3 23.1
9 Nolan McLean 0.3603 0.2328 0.1250 48.8 26.6 22.2
10 Jack Perkins 0.3417 0.1947 0.1667 32.1 9.9 22.2

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Chase Dollander 0.2067 0.3131 0.5714 159.5 99.1 60.4
2 Quinn Priester 0.2067 0.0889 0.1034 69.4 12.4 57.0
3 Carson Palmquist 0.2067 0.4095 0.4444 41.1 0.2 40.8
4 Jack Dreyer 0.2067 0.0527 0.0299 55.2 17.3 37.9
5 Clay Holmes 0.1844 0.2044 0.2424 38.9 3.1 35.7
6 Brandon Pfaadt 0.3273 0.2542 0.2727 44.2 11.5 32.7
7 Edward Cabrera 0.3631 0.2788 0.2692 56.4 25.0 31.3
8 Tyler Phillips 0.2067 0.0775 0.0185 59.9 29.0 30.9
9 Juan Mejia 0.2067 0.0627 0.0364 45.3 15.6 29.6
10 Drew Pomeranz 0.2067 0.0322 0.0351 35.5 6.2 29.2

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Quinn Priester 0.3077 0.0889 0.1034 132.1 12.4 119.7
2 José Soriano 0.1613 0.2847 0.3548 141.6 26.5 115.1
3 Mike Vasil 0.3462 0.0785 0.0638 118.6 20.4 98.2
4 Tyler Phillips 0.3750 0.0775 0.0185 111.0 29.0 82.0
5 Davis Martin 0.2500 0.3421 0.3846 82.1 5.4 76.7
6 Graham Ashcraft 0.3684 0.0666 0.0806 81.2 5.5 75.6
7 Jeffrey Springs 0.1818 0.2523 0.3438 116.9 41.2 75.6
8 Ryne Nelson 0.2692 0.1272 0.0909 109.2 43.2 65.9
9 Ryan Bergert 0.3333 0.0939 0.1053 73.0 7.2 65.9
10 Jacob deGrom 0.1667 0.2282 0.2667 68.2 3.3 64.9

Save Rate

Everybody Missed for Save Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Carlos Estévez 0.6269
0.3172
(81.9)
0.3225
(79.5)
0.3438
(74.0)
0.3111
(90.1)
0.3281
(77.6)
0.2315
(103.7)
0.3363
(75.6)
0.3155
(83.0)
0.4000
(59.5)
Will Vest 0.3594
0.0357
(90.5)
0.0367
(89.1)
0.0441
(87.2)
0.0400
(96.2)
0.0294
(90.8)
0.0309
(90.5)
0.0436
(87.0)
0.0328
(92.0)
0.0476
(86.9)
Dennis Santana 0.2286
0.0793
(38.9)
0.0512
(45.5)
0.0308
(51.2)
0.0465
(54.4)
0.0303
(50.8)
0.0463
(46.5)
0.0349
(49.7)
0.0826
(38.7)
0.0364
(50.4)
Cade Smith 0.2105
0.0271
(53.5)
0.0254
(52.9)
0.0294
(51.9)
0.0222
(62.3)
0.0294
(51.3)
0.0000
(60.2)
0.0336
(50.2)
0.0311
(53.0)
0.0317
(51.9)
Daniel Palencia 0.4074
0.0031
(85.8)
0.0006
(85.6)
0.0000
(85.8)
0.0476
(81.5)
0.0000
(85.4)
0.0000
(85.5)
0.0000
(85.5)
0.0294
(80.7)
0.0000
(86.4)
Emilio Pagán 0.4571
0.0596
(105.9)
0.0575
(105.5)
0.0769
(100.5)
0.0541
(114.0)
0.0469
(108.0)
0.0000
(120.8)
0.0825
(98.6)
0.0516
(108.8)
0.1042
(93.8)

Individual Misses for Save Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Williams 0.5531 0.2687 75.0
2 Jordan Romano 0.4537 0.1633 55.3
3 Ryan Pressly 0.4055 0.1136 54.1
4 Edwin Uceta 0.1770 0.0143 53.9
5 Lucas Erceg 0.2214 0.0328 48.2
6 Tyler Kinley 0.1885 0.0411 47.0
7 Robert Suarez 0.3919 0.5714 46.9
8 Tyler Holton 0.1369 0.0000 44.3
9 Ryan Helsley 0.5289 0.3621 43.3
10 Chris Martin 0.2612 0.0408 39.2

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Williams 0.5422 0.2687 73.1
2 Tyler Kinley 0.2132 0.0411 55.7
3 Ryan Pressly 0.3953 0.1136 52.9
4 Jordan Romano 0.4109 0.1633 48.0
5 Ryan Helsley 0.5348 0.3621 45.8
6 Aroldis Chapman 0.2758 0.4776 44.0
7 Chris Martin 0.2820 0.0408 43.5
8 Edwin Uceta 0.1303 0.0143 40.1
9 Andrés Muñoz 0.4308 0.5938 39.1
10 Jack Perkins 0.0000 0.2500 38.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Kinley 0.2656 0.0411 71.7
2 Devin Williams 0.4921 0.2687 60.0
3 Ryan Pressly 0.4098 0.1136 55.4
4 Ryan Walker 0.4118 0.2500 45.2
5 Ryan Helsley 0.5303 0.3621 44.4
6 Robert Suarez 0.4000 0.5714 43.9
7 Jordan Romano 0.3898 0.1633 43.9
8 Chris Martin 0.2759 0.0408 42.3
9 Andrés Muñoz 0.4219 0.5938 41.6
10 Aroldis Chapman 0.3016 0.4776 38.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Clay Holmes 0.3200 0.0000 212.9
2 Jeff Hoffman 0.0833 0.4648 115.0
3 Andrés Muñoz 0.2128 0.5938 101.7
4 Robert Suarez 0.2727 0.5714 85.5
5 Trevor Megill 0.1892 0.6000 82.6
6 Aroldis Chapman 0.1429 0.4776 80.7
7 Edwin Díaz 0.2703 0.4516 51.8
8 Jhoan Duran 0.2889 0.4444 50.2
9 Ryan Walker 0.0943 0.2500 46.5
10 Tanner Scott 0.2037 0.3770 45.8

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Kinley 0.2812 0.0411 77.1
2 Aroldis Chapman 0.1905 0.4776 63.1
3 Devin Williams 0.4921 0.2687 60.5
4 Ryan Pressly 0.4098 0.1136 55.8
5 Chris Martin 0.3448 0.0408 54.7
6 Ryan Walker 0.4118 0.2500 45.8
7 Andrés Muñoz 0.4062 0.5938 45.0
8 Ryan Helsley 0.5303 0.3621 45.0
9 Jordan Romano 0.3898 0.1633 44.3
10 Edwin Uceta 0.1385 0.0143 43.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Williams 0.5008 0.2687 62.7
2 Aroldis Chapman 0.2315 0.4776 53.9
3 Andrés Muñoz 0.3858 0.5938 50.3
4 Robert Suarez 0.3858 0.5714 47.3
5 Jeff Hoffman 0.3086 0.4648 42.0
6 David Bednar 0.2504 0.4219 40.5
7 Camilo Doval 0.0772 0.2319 40.3
8 Jack Perkins 0.0000 0.2500 38.7
9 Ryan Helsley 0.5008 0.3621 37.5
10 Jordan Romano 0.3527 0.1633 37.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Tyler Kinley 0.2675 0.0411 72.7
2 Devin Williams 0.4877 0.2687 59.2
3 Ryan Pressly 0.4146 0.1136 56.5
4 Ryan Walker 0.4163 0.2500 46.8
5 Ryan Helsley 0.5309 0.3621 45.0
6 Robert Suarez 0.3949 0.5714 44.9
7 Chris Martin 0.2844 0.0408 44.0
8 Andrés Muñoz 0.4147 0.5938 43.1
9 Jordan Romano 0.3823 0.1633 42.7
10 Aroldis Chapman 0.2938 0.4776 39.7

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Williams 0.5476 0.2687 73.0
2 Jordan Romano 0.4547 0.1633 55.0
3 Ryan Pressly 0.4095 0.1136 54.3
4 Edwin Uceta 0.1745 0.0143 52.3
5 Lucas Erceg 0.2270 0.0328 49.0
6 Chris Martin 0.3123 0.0408 47.7
7 Tyler Kinley 0.1868 0.0411 45.7
8 Robert Suarez 0.4065 0.5714 43.6
9 Aroldis Chapman 0.2871 0.4776 42.8
10 Ryan Helsley 0.5247 0.3621 41.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Devin Williams 0.6596 0.2687 102.7
2 Tyler Kinley 0.3269 0.0411 89.8
3 Ryan Pressly 0.4808 0.1136 67.9
4 Ryan Helsley 0.5932 0.3621 59.7
5 Calvin Faucher 0.4583 0.2308 59.5
6 Chris Martin 0.3636 0.0408 57.2
7 Edwin Díaz 0.6545 0.4516 53.8
8 Jordan Romano 0.4423 0.1633 53.2
9 Ryan Walker 0.4242 0.2500 47.9
10 Graham Ashcraft 0.1579 0.0000 46.5

Most Unique Misses for Save Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Edwin Uceta 0.1770 0.1303 0.0143 53.9 40.1 13.8
2 Lucas Erceg 0.2214 0.1745 0.0328 48.2 37.5 10.8
3 Emmanuel Clase 0.5673 0.5144 0.5000 14.6 4.7 9.9
4 Kenley Jansen 0.3691 0.4073 0.4677 21.9 12.1 9.8
5 Garrett Whitlock 0.0820 0.0456 0.0161 20.8 11.2 9.6
6 Tyler Holton 0.1369 0.1065 0.0000 44.3 36.0 8.3
7 Robert Suarez 0.3919 0.4184 0.5714 46.9 38.8 8.1
8 Jason Adam 0.1154 0.0818 0.0000 32.5 24.5 8.1
9 Jordan Romano 0.4537 0.4109 0.1633 55.3 48.0 7.3
10 Cole Sands 0.0669 0.0396 0.0435 8.5 1.5 7.1

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tyler Kinley 0.2656 0.2132 0.0411 71.7 55.7 15.9
2 Cade Horton 0.0294 0.0000 0.0000 17.9 4.2 13.7
3 Jhoan Duran 0.3538 0.3988 0.4444 23.7 10.6 13.1
4 Eric Lauer 0.0294 0.0000 0.0000 16.0 3.8 12.2
5 Andrew Kittredge 0.0000 0.0414 0.0926 17.6 8.8 8.8
6 Emmet Sheehan 0.0294 0.0001 0.0000 10.9 2.6 8.3
7 Félix Bautista 0.4167 0.4732 0.5429 16.8 8.6 8.1
8 Ryan Walker 0.4118 0.3841 0.2500 45.2 38.0 7.2
9 Trevor Megill 0.4375 0.4734 0.6000 29.6 22.6 7.0
10 Matt Brash 0.0000 0.0334 0.0755 13.4 6.6 6.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Clay Holmes 0.3200 0.0016 0.0000 212.9 7.4 205.5
2 Jeff Hoffman 0.0833 0.4049 0.4648 115.0 14.6 100.4
3 Andrés Muñoz 0.2128 0.4308 0.5938 101.7 39.1 62.5
4 Trevor Megill 0.1892 0.4734 0.6000 82.6 22.6 60.0
5 Robert Suarez 0.2727 0.4184 0.5714 85.5 38.8 46.8
6 Tanner Scott 0.2037 0.3695 0.3770 45.8 0.3 45.5
7 Jhoan Duran 0.2889 0.3988 0.4444 50.2 10.6 39.6
8 Aroldis Chapman 0.1429 0.2758 0.4776 80.7 44.0 36.7
9 Robert Garcia 0.0227 0.1185 0.1268 33.2 0.1 33.0
10 Félix Bautista 0.2857 0.4732 0.5429 39.3 8.6 30.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tyler Kinley 0.2812 0.2132 0.0411 77.1 55.7 21.4
2 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0294 0.0000 0.0000 26.8 6.0 20.8
3 Aroldis Chapman 0.1905 0.2758 0.4776 63.1 44.0 19.1
4 Jhoan Duran 0.3385 0.3988 0.4444 27.5 10.6 16.9
5 Pete Fairbanks 0.3667 0.4267 0.4426 16.0 1.7 14.3
6 Luke Jackson 0.0000 0.0662 0.1731 35.7 21.5 14.2
7 Tony Santillan 0.0172 0.0653 0.0875 18.1 4.0 14.0
8 Matthew Liberatore 0.0308 0.0142 0.0000 26.6 14.9 11.7
9 Tommy Kahnle 0.0345 0.0778 0.1364 24.5 13.3 11.2
10 Chris Martin 0.3448 0.2820 0.0408 54.7 43.5 11.2

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 David Bednar 0.2504 0.3890 0.4219 40.5 6.0 34.5
2 Jeff Hoffman 0.3086 0.4049 0.4648 42.0 14.6 27.3
3 Carlos Estévez 0.2315 0.3225 0.6269 103.7 79.5 24.2
4 Robert Garcia 0.0309 0.1185 0.1268 23.1 0.1 23.0
5 Kenley Jansen 0.3086 0.4073 0.4677 34.9 12.1 22.8
6 Pete Fairbanks 0.3527 0.4267 0.4426 19.5 1.7 17.8
7 Emilio Pagán 0.0000 0.0575 0.4571 120.8 105.5 15.2
8 Cade Horton 0.0294 0.0000 0.0000 18.7 4.2 14.5
9 Camilo Doval 0.0772 0.1304 0.2319 40.3 25.8 14.5
10 Rafael Montero 0.0758 0.0227 0.0000 21.7 8.0 13.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tyler Kinley 0.2675 0.2132 0.0411 72.7 55.7 16.9
2 Jhoan Duran 0.3611 0.3988 0.4444 21.2 10.6 10.6
3 Ryan Walker 0.4163 0.3841 0.2500 46.8 38.0 8.8
4 Andrew Kittredge 0.0000 0.0414 0.0926 17.3 8.8 8.5
5 Calvin Faucher 0.3539 0.3231 0.2308 33.8 25.8 8.1
6 Félix Bautista 0.4248 0.4732 0.5429 15.4 8.6 6.8
7 Robert Garcia 0.1420 0.1185 0.1268 6.7 0.1 6.5
8 Matt Brash 0.0000 0.0334 0.0755 13.1 6.6 6.5
9 Angel Zerpa 0.0347 0.0120 0.0000 12.2 5.7 6.4
10 Robert Suarez 0.3949 0.4184 0.5714 44.9 38.8 6.1

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Quinn Priester 0.0294 0.0000 0.0000 21.0 5.8 15.2
2 Shane Smith 0.0294 0.0000 0.0000 19.8 5.4 14.3
3 Dustin May 0.0294 0.0000 0.0000 18.8 5.2 13.6
4 Noah Cameron 0.0294 0.0000 0.0000 17.9 4.9 12.9
5 Brad Lord 0.0294 0.0000 0.0000 17.5 4.8 12.7
6 Slade Cecconi 0.0294 0.0000 0.0000 17.5 4.8 12.7
7 Edwin Uceta 0.1745 0.1303 0.0143 52.3 40.1 12.2
8 Chad Patrick 0.0294 0.0000 0.0000 16.2 4.4 11.7
9 Lucas Erceg 0.2270 0.1745 0.0328 49.0 37.5 11.6
10 Cade Horton 0.0294 0.0000 0.0000 15.3 4.2 11.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Mike Clevinger 1.4375 0.2865 0.0000 44.7 9.2 35.6
2 Tyler Kinley 0.3269 0.2132 0.0411 89.8 55.7 34.0
3 Calvin Faucher 0.4583 0.3231 0.2308 59.5 25.8 33.7
4 Devin Williams 0.6596 0.5422 0.2687 102.7 73.1 29.6
5 Graham Ashcraft 0.1579 0.0548 0.0000 46.5 18.1 28.4
6 Edwin Díaz 0.6545 0.5562 0.4516 53.8 29.3 24.6
7 Pete Fairbanks 0.5319 0.4267 0.4426 23.2 1.7 21.5
8 Mason Miller 0.5357 0.4634 0.3667 40.9 24.7 16.2
9 Raisel Iglesias 0.5690 0.5055 0.4143 42.7 26.6 16.0
10 Ryan Pressly 0.4808 0.3953 0.1136 67.9 52.9 15.0

Hold Rate

Everybody Missed for Hold Rate

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Abner Uribe 0.4933
0.1374
(106.1)
0.1230
(108.8)
0.1273
(105.9)
0.1304
(118.4)
0.0204
(136.5)
0.1587
(105.1)
0.1206
(105.6)
0.1453
(102.8)
0.1591
(98.8)
Steven Matz 0.2453
0.0178
(70.4)
0.0296
(65.0)
0.0182
(66.9)
0.0714
(64.3)
0.0238
(63.8)
0.0685
(60.2)
0.0117
(66.4)
0.0185
(69.1)
0.0476
(60.3)
Tony Santillan 0.4125
0.2020
(63.4)
0.1936
(64.3)
0.1667
(70.8)
0.1538
(88.2)
0.1897
(62.6)
0.2469
(55.3)
0.1673
(68.2)
0.1750
(70.6)
0.1786
(69.6)
Justin Wrobleski 0.2917
0.0413
(70.2)
0.0403
(68.9)
0.0250
(71.7)
0.1034
(62.3)
0.0278
(69.7)
0.0875
(62.3)
0.0181
(71.4)
0.0302
(72.4)
0.0400
(69.7)

Individual Misses for Hold Rate

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Brad Keller 0.0791 0.3676 79.7
2 Graham Ashcraft 0.1246 0.3710 70.0
3 Nick Martinez 0.0265 0.1250 67.4
4 Brendon Little 0.1538 0.3797 66.7
5 Matthew Liberatore 0.1004 0.0000 64.9
6 Bryan King 0.1727 0.3971 61.8
7 Joey Wentz 0.1382 0.0000 61.0
8 Ronny Henriquez 0.1820 0.3768 59.1
9 Ben Casparius 0.1070 0.2826 58.6
10 Garrett Whitlock 0.2024 0.3871 54.2

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 0.1947 0.0000 88.4
2 Nick Martinez 0.0176 0.1250 69.8
3 Graham Ashcraft 0.1291 0.3710 67.2
4 Matthew Liberatore 0.0954 0.0000 65.2
5 Brad Keller 0.1309 0.3676 63.9
6 Shane Smith 0.0909 0.0000 59.2
7 Jason Adam 0.2279 0.4462 57.5
8 Ronny Henriquez 0.1836 0.3768 57.0
9 Matt Brash 0.1092 0.3962 56.1
10 Brendon Little 0.1893 0.3797 54.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 0.1846 0.0000 86.3
2 Graham Ashcraft 0.0727 0.3710 81.7
3 Matt Brash 0.0200 0.3962 72.8
4 Jason Adam 0.1791 0.4462 69.2
5 Nick Martinez 0.0217 0.1250 63.3
6 Brad Lord 0.0200 0.1458 62.9
7 Brad Keller 0.1311 0.3676 62.4
8 Ronny Henriquez 0.1607 0.3768 62.3
9 Griffin Jax 0.1571 0.3836 61.1
10 Adrian Houser 0.1000 0.0000 57.3

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 José Soriano 0.1750 0.0000 101.9
2 Graham Ashcraft 0.0625 0.3710 97.3
3 Bryan King 0.0870 0.3971 94.7
4 Ronny Henriquez 0.1000 0.3768 94.3
5 Brad Keller 0.0800 0.3676 88.8
6 Brendon Little 0.1250 0.3797 85.3
7 Garrett Whitlock 0.1304 0.3871 85.2
8 Andre Pallante 0.1522 0.0000 84.3
9 Kyle Leahy 0.1071 0.2903 78.9
10 Jeremiah Estrada 0.1951 0.3896 69.5

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Matthew Liberatore 0.1846 0.0000 129.3
2 Shane Smith 0.1724 0.0000 115.4
3 Dustin May 0.1321 0.0000 85.8
4 Ronny Henriquez 0.0800 0.3768 85.4
5 Phil Maton 0.0000 0.3492 82.9
6 Brad Keller 0.0526 0.3676 82.8
7 Graham Ashcraft 0.0755 0.3710 79.7
8 Joey Wentz 0.1579 0.0000 76.4
9 Matt Brash 0.0208 0.3962 71.7
10 Ben Casparius 0.0526 0.2826 71.6

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Martinez 0.0000 0.1250 97.8
2 Jacob Latz 0.3030 0.0606 78.0
3 Brad Keller 0.1124 0.3676 75.5
4 Bryan King 0.1543 0.3971 71.8
5 Drew Rasmussen 0.1404 0.0000 71.5
6 Wandy Peralta 0.2998 0.0563 70.5
7 Emilio Pagán 0.2932 0.0286 66.5
8 Will Vest 0.2932 0.0469 64.8
9 Jorge Alcala 0.3549 0.0893 63.6
10 Devin Williams 0.0000 0.2239 62.7

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 0.1919 0.0000 93.0
2 Graham Ashcraft 0.0730 0.3710 79.4
3 Matt Brash 0.0124 0.3962 72.7
4 Jason Adam 0.1731 0.4462 68.7
5 Nick Martinez 0.0130 0.1250 63.8
6 Brad Lord 0.0127 0.1458 62.6
7 Brad Keller 0.1284 0.3676 60.9
8 Griffin Jax 0.1573 0.3836 58.8
9 Ronny Henriquez 0.1668 0.3768 58.0
10 Ben Casparius 0.0965 0.2826 55.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 0.2747 0.0000 122.7
2 Joey Cantillo 0.2608 0.0294 94.0
3 Graham Ashcraft 0.1003 0.3710 76.0
4 Matt Brash 0.0165 0.3962 75.0
5 Nick Martinez 0.0162 0.1250 72.2
6 Jason Adam 0.1792 0.4462 71.3
7 Brent Suter 0.2028 0.0000 59.9
8 José Buttó 0.3134 0.1091 58.9
9 Griffin Jax 0.1769 0.3836 57.6
10 Brock Stewart 0.0133 0.3721 56.6

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Joey Wentz 0.3529 0.0000 157.1
2 Joey Cantillo 0.3333 0.0294 122.9
3 Jakob Junis 0.4231 0.1053 87.8
4 Brad Lord 0.0000 0.1458 78.2
5 Dustin May 0.1250 0.0000 74.5
6 Matt Brash 0.0222 0.3962 73.9
7 Jason Adam 0.1875 0.4462 69.1
8 Nick Martinez 0.0233 0.1250 67.7
9 Brent Suter 0.2128 0.0000 62.7
10 Matthew Boyd 0.0769 0.0000 57.1

Most Unique Misses for Hold Rate

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Wandy Peralta 0.2231 0.1430 0.0563 52.1 28.8 23.3
2 Tyler Phillips 0.0000 0.0685 0.1481 46.4 23.3 23.1
3 Jason Alexander 0.0660 0.0000 0.0000 22.1 1.8 20.3
4 Justin Topa 0.2248 0.1470 0.0741 40.3 21.0 19.4
5 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.1414 0.0910 0.0882 22.2 3.3 18.8
6 Cade Smith 0.3239 0.2560 0.2500 22.1 3.4 18.7
7 Ryan Zeferjahn 0.1452 0.2064 0.2742 33.2 16.1 17.1
8 Louis Varland 0.1343 0.1855 0.2973 48.3 31.5 16.8
9 Yennier Cano 0.3398 0.2440 0.2615 19.6 3.1 16.5
10 Garrett Whitlock 0.2024 0.2516 0.3871 54.2 38.2 16.0

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 0.0660 0.0000 0.0000 36.5 2.5 34.0
2 Jason Alexander 0.0660 0.0000 0.0000 25.7 1.8 24.0
3 Mike Vasil 0.1186 0.0684 0.0638 27.7 4.2 23.5
4 Andrew Kittredge 0.0294 0.1415 0.2778 49.5 27.3 22.2
5 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.0192 0.0910 0.0882 24.5 3.3 21.1
6 Emmet Sheehan 0.0660 0.0000 0.0000 22.3 1.5 20.8
7 Rafael Montero 0.0208 0.1049 0.1356 26.4 6.4 19.9
8 Aaron Ashby 0.0263 0.0986 0.1395 27.7 9.6 18.1
9 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0278 0.0066 0.0000 25.9 8.0 17.9
10 Matt Brash 0.0200 0.1092 0.3962 72.8 56.1 16.7

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 José Soriano 0.1750 0.0005 0.0000 101.9 4.1 97.8
2 Andre Pallante 0.1522 0.0205 0.0000 84.3 18.4 65.9
3 Jacob deGrom 0.1200 0.0000 0.0000 57.4 3.5 53.9
4 Kris Bubic 0.1667 0.0237 0.0000 63.0 13.8 49.2
5 Garrett Whitlock 0.1304 0.2516 0.3871 85.2 38.2 47.1
6 Sandy Alcantara 0.1000 0.0000 0.0000 49.0 3.9 45.1
7 Bryan King 0.0870 0.2096 0.3971 94.7 50.1 44.6
8 Kyle Leahy 0.1071 0.1847 0.2903 78.9 36.4 42.5
9 José A. Ferrer 0.1613 0.2491 0.2917 53.3 12.1 41.3
10 Keegan Akin 0.1136 0.2277 0.2500 45.7 4.6 41.2

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Matthew Liberatore 0.1846 0.0954 0.0000 129.3 65.2 64.1
2 Shane Smith 0.1724 0.0909 0.0000 115.4 59.2 56.2
3 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.1967 0.0910 0.0882 51.7 3.3 48.4
4 Phil Maton 0.0000 0.1999 0.3492 82.9 35.7 47.2
5 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0660 0.0066 0.0000 54.6 8.0 46.6
6 Dustin May 0.1321 0.0695 0.0000 85.8 43.7 42.2
7 Justin Sterner 0.0227 0.1873 0.2712 62.1 20.9 41.2
8 Brenan Hanifee 0.0227 0.1708 0.1852 38.4 2.4 36.0
9 Jimmy Herget 0.0208 0.1198 0.1525 40.5 9.5 31.0
10 Ronny Henriquez 0.0800 0.1836 0.3768 85.4 57.0 28.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jacob Latz 0.3030 0.1080 0.0606 78.0 18.3 59.7
2 Wandy Peralta 0.2998 0.1430 0.0563 70.5 28.8 41.7
3 Drew Rasmussen 0.1404 0.0457 0.0000 71.5 29.8 41.7
4 Jimmy Herget 0.3086 0.1198 0.1525 47.9 9.5 38.3
5 Taylor Clarke 0.3165 0.1133 0.0980 41.2 4.2 37.0
6 Scott Barlow 0.3549 0.2038 0.2133 37.4 1.3 36.1
7 Joe Boyle 0.2521 0.0796 0.0000 52.9 19.2 33.7
8 Génesis Cabrera 0.2778 0.0828 0.0750 34.5 2.4 32.1
9 Rafael Montero 0.3030 0.1049 0.1356 37.8 6.4 31.3
10 Nick Martinez 0.0000 0.0176 0.1250 97.8 69.8 28.0

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Mike Vasil 0.1123 0.0684 0.0638 28.4 4.2 24.2
2 Andrew Kittredge 0.0186 0.1415 0.2778 50.1 27.3 22.8
3 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.0119 0.0910 0.0882 24.2 3.3 20.9
4 Rafael Montero 0.0136 0.1049 0.1356 26.2 6.4 19.7
5 Aaron Ashby 0.0158 0.0986 0.1395 28.4 9.6 18.8
6 Matt Brash 0.0124 0.1092 0.3962 72.7 56.1 16.6
7 Huascar Brazobán 0.0143 0.0902 0.2308 51.9 35.4 16.4
8 Tomoyuki Sugano 0.0174 0.0066 0.0000 24.3 8.0 16.3
9 Brad Lord 0.0127 0.0554 0.1458 62.6 46.5 16.1
10 Steven Wilson 0.0191 0.0972 0.1695 31.8 16.2 15.6

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Joey Cantillo 0.2608 0.1332 0.0294 94.0 43.7 50.3
2 Joey Wentz 0.2747 0.1947 0.0000 122.7 88.4 34.3
3 Lou Trivino III 0.3675 0.2150 0.1064 54.7 23.6 31.1
4 Cade Horton 0.0660 0.0000 0.0000 32.9 2.5 30.4
5 Spencer Bivens 0.2134 0.1285 0.0741 48.8 20.5 28.4
6 Carmen Mlodzinski 0.0131 0.0910 0.0882 30.2 3.3 26.9
7 Andrew Kittredge 0.0194 0.1415 0.2778 53.1 27.3 25.9
8 Chase Dollander 0.0660 0.0076 0.0000 30.4 5.7 24.8
9 Quinn Priester 0.0660 0.0269 0.0000 45.1 21.0 24.1
10 Jakob Junis 0.2805 0.1909 0.1053 48.8 24.9 23.9

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Joey Cantillo 0.3333 0.1332 0.0294 122.9 43.7 79.2
2 Joey Wentz 0.3529 0.1947 0.0000 157.1 88.4 68.8
3 Jakob Junis 0.4231 0.1909 0.1053 87.8 24.9 62.9
4 Matthew Boyd 0.0769 0.0283 0.0000 57.1 24.1 33.0
5 Tyler Gilbert 0.3235 0.1715 0.1087 46.7 14.6 32.1
6 Brad Lord 0.0000 0.0554 0.1458 78.2 46.5 31.7
7 Dustin May 0.1250 0.0695 0.0000 74.5 43.7 30.9
8 Joe Ross 0.2500 0.1157 0.0270 51.4 21.4 30.0
9 Brant Hurter 0.2308 0.1277 0.1163 32.4 4.6 27.8
10 Cole Sands 0.3191 0.2275 0.1884 39.9 13.3 26.6

ERA

Everybody Missed for ERA

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Hunter Brown 2.4281
3.7502
(1047.5)
3.7427
(1027.9)
3.6867
(1030.8)
4.0525
(1300.7)
3.5576
(975.7)
3.8571
(1062.0)
3.6989
(1046.1)
3.8702
(1059.7)
3.7200
(1025.0)
Nathan Eovaldi 1.7308
3.8925
(1129.1)
3.9706
(1158.3)
4.0291
(1217.0)
3.8432
(1127.0)
3.8348
(1147.2)
3.8807
(1080.2)
3.7878
(1101.7)
4.1801
(1220.5)
4.2500
(1306.1)
Jack Kochanowicz 6.8108
4.6830
(1030.7)
4.7365
(1013.2)
4.7812
(959.6)
4.0780
(1317.4)
4.6859
(981.0)
4.7040
(1064.5)
4.6477
(1023.5)
4.7912
(1028.2)
4.9079
(915.9)
Cristopher Sánchez 2.4950
3.5831
(970.6)
3.6729
(1027.5)
3.6429
(1051.6)
3.6595
(1068.6)
3.6443
(1096.0)
3.6818
(980.1)
3.4857
(931.9)
3.8497
(1102.4)
3.7942
(1140.4)
Bradley Blalock 9.3580
5.3101
(1081.6)
5.2438
(1105.2)
5.1429
(1116.4)
4.6250
(1257.6)
5.7773
(927.2)
4.8600
(1229.3)
5.4363
(1033.3)
4.2222
(1409.2)
4.8462
(1209.4)
Sandy Alcantara 5.3588
3.7290
(1128.7)
3.7180
(1151.4)
3.6000
(1194.6)
3.6829
(1129.5)
3.7161
(1068.2)
3.9396
(1036.6)
3.8058
(1034.7)
3.7001
(1227.2)
3.4242
(1356.3)
Trevor Rogers 1.8055
4.3799
(1137.5)
4.3601
(1120.9)
4.3043
(1122.7)
4.6913
(1288.3)
4.6446
(1289.3)
4.4573
(1133.5)
4.0246
(1008.2)
4.2222
(1027.1)
4.2985
(1102.8)

Individual Misses for ERA

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 4.4951 2.8677 1191.6
2 Cade Horton 4.8365 2.6695 1086.1
3 Ben Brown 3.6024 5.9248 1042.0
4 Germán Márquez 4.8593 6.6966 1018.0
5 Mike Vasil 4.6459 2.4950 958.3
6 Mitchell Parker 4.2866 5.6842 930.1
7 Charlie Morton 4.3310 5.8310 906.0
8 Carlos Rodón 4.1192 3.0870 904.9
9 Jake Irvin 4.4495 5.7000 893.9
10 Kyle Gibson 4.4540 16.7838 891.7

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 4.5745 2.8677 1232.7
2 Germán Márquez 4.7917 6.6966 1069.4
3 Ben Brown 3.6901 5.9248 1009.7
4 Mike Vasil 4.5126 2.4950 893.7
5 Antonio Senzatela 5.1052 6.6462 893.4
6 Kyle Gibson 4.5365 16.7838 887.1
7 Charlie Morton 4.3814 5.8310 885.6
8 Nick Pivetta 3.9904 2.8734 874.1
9 Cade Horton 4.4034 2.6695 870.7
10 Brandon Pfaadt 4.0178 5.2472 869.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 4.5398 2.8677 1249.9
2 Germán Márquez 4.7059 6.6966 1084.7
3 Ben Brown 3.6509 5.9248 999.9
4 Antonio Senzatela 4.9209 6.6462 970.3
5 Brandon Pfaadt 3.8654 5.2472 940.7
6 Freddy Peralta 3.8198 2.7000 921.9
7 Mike Vasil 4.5000 2.4950 913.8
8 Charlie Morton 4.2968 5.8310 901.8
9 Sean Newcomb 4.8689 2.7292 897.3
10 Kyle Gibson 4.3846 16.7838 893.8

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Germán Márquez 4.5141 6.6966 1195.4
2 Quinn Priester 4.9877 3.3178 1194.8
3 Antonio Senzatela 4.5877 6.6462 1173.4
4 Jack Leiter 5.4425 3.8571 1127.3
5 Garrett Crochet 3.7645 2.5860 1089.3
6 Nick Pivetta 4.1983 2.8734 1070.4
7 Charlie Morton 4.0641 5.8310 1051.0
8 Carlos Rodón 4.1420 3.0870 958.4
9 Chase Dollander 4.2222 6.5204 943.1
10 Mitchell Parker 4.2422 5.6842 929.6

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 4.5084 2.8677 1265.1
2 Ben Brown 3.4896 5.9248 1050.8
3 Mike Vasil 4.6493 2.4950 999.6
4 Brandon Pfaadt 3.7739 5.2472 969.8
5 Germán Márquez 4.9129 6.6966 930.7
6 Adrian Houser 4.8774 3.3120 919.1
7 Jordan Hicks 3.8574 6.9505 905.6
8 Jake Irvin 4.3426 5.7000 903.8
9 Charlie Morton 4.2924 5.8310 869.6
10 Kyle Gibson 4.6776 16.7838 868.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Germán Márquez 4.2806 6.6966 1411.4
2 Antonio Senzatela 4.6891 6.6462 1192.3
3 Andrew Abbott 4.4936 2.8677 1131.1
4 Bryan Woo 4.3126 2.9411 1022.9
5 Charlie Morton 4.3372 5.8310 958.8
6 Nick Pivetta 4.1751 2.8734 958.6
7 Freddy Peralta 3.9793 2.7000 945.0
8 Ben Brown 3.9529 5.9248 917.6
9 Gavin Williams 4.3238 3.0596 909.5
10 Kyle Gibson 4.4619 16.7838 897.5

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 4.6680 2.8677 1343.6
2 Germán Márquez 4.7443 6.6966 1056.8
3 Ben Brown 3.6833 5.9248 980.5
4 Charlie Morton 4.1931 5.8310 963.8
5 Jake Irvin 4.3246 5.7000 953.3
6 Cade Horton 4.4320 2.6695 917.1
7 Mitchell Parker 4.2615 5.6842 912.5
8 Mike Vasil 4.4803 2.4950 909.2
9 Kyle Gibson 4.2647 16.7838 901.9
10 Jimmy Herget 4.8757 2.4840 886.9

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 4.8403 2.8677 1357.0
2 Carlos Rodón 4.4100 3.0870 1052.9
3 Chase Dollander 4.2222 6.5204 1008.5
4 Nick Pivetta 4.2269 2.8734 984.1
5 Noah Murdock 4.0211 13.2353 901.9
6 Kyle Gibson 4.7990 16.7838 874.1
7 Jordan Hicks 4.1951 6.9505 861.6
8 Mitchell Parker 4.4886 5.6842 858.5
9 Tomoyuki Sugano 5.8870 4.6433 847.2
10 Merrill Kelly 4.6401 3.5217 845.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Andrew Abbott 4.4452 2.8677 1157.0
2 Germán Márquez 4.6341 6.6966 1151.5
3 Antonio Senzatela 4.7479 6.6462 1102.6
4 Paul Skenes 3.2885 1.9663 1052.8
5 Brandon Pfaadt 3.7687 5.2472 1046.5
6 Zac Gallen 3.4508 4.8281 1027.0
7 Ben Brown 3.7257 5.9248 984.1
8 Mike Vasil 4.6500 2.4950 959.8
9 Sean Newcomb 5.0174 2.7292 939.3
10 Nick Lodolo 4.6731 3.3319 934.3

Most Unique Misses for ERA

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Cade Horton 4.8365 4.4034 2.6695 1086.1 870.7 215.4
2 Jack Leiter 4.9134 4.5995 3.8571 756.5 541.2 215.3
3 McCade Brown 4.2222 5.9135 7.3636 381.4 170.7 210.7
4 Slade Cecconi 4.6069 4.2535 4.2955 232.3 29.1 203.2
5 Ryan Rolison 4.2222 5.2525 7.0157 517.0 321.9 195.1
6 Will Warren 4.6247 4.2776 4.4353 216.2 44.4 171.9
7 Shane Baz 4.0583 4.3114 4.8697 495.4 329.2 166.2
8 Louis Varland 4.3998 3.9109 2.9725 456.5 306.0 150.4
9 Grant Anderson 4.6626 4.1944 3.2297 462.8 317.0 145.8
10 Stephen Kolek 4.5949 4.3161 3.5148 550.8 413.4 137.5

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 McCade Brown 4.2222 5.9135 7.3636 376.3 170.7 205.6
2 Ryan Rolison 4.2222 5.2525 7.0157 509.2 321.9 187.3
3 Nick Lodolo 4.2955 4.0985 3.3319 718.3 553.4 164.9
4 Nick Martinez 3.9828 4.2734 4.4547 216.3 58.7 157.6
5 Paul Skenes 3.0000 2.8469 1.9663 871.6 715.4 156.2
6 Drew Pomeranz 4.2222 3.6059 2.1745 447.2 309.9 137.3
7 Walker Buehler 4.1918 4.4852 4.9286 328.5 196.6 131.9
8 Jake Woodford 4.2222 5.0184 6.4404 350.7 225.5 125.2
9 Eduardo Rodriguez 3.8658 4.1053 5.0151 689.9 565.2 124.7
10 Sean Burke 4.7234 4.5767 4.2208 392.1 268.9 123.2

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Will Warren 5.3973 4.2776 4.4353 797.6 44.4 753.2
2 Garrett Crochet 3.7645 3.0652 2.5860 1089.3 467.7 621.6
3 Jack Leiter 5.4425 4.5995 3.8571 1127.3 541.2 586.1
4 Slade Cecconi 5.2000 4.2535 4.2955 580.0 29.1 551.0
5 Quinn Priester 4.9877 4.2401 3.3178 1194.8 664.5 530.3
6 Nick Martinez 3.4737 4.2734 4.4547 560.9 58.7 502.2
7 Jacob deGrom 3.6432 3.0403 2.9710 556.5 110.1 446.4
8 Jeffrey Springs 3.3471 4.0073 4.1053 426.7 1.8 424.8
9 Louis Varland 5.1190 3.9109 2.9725 682.7 306.0 376.7
10 Shane Baz 3.7241 4.3114 4.8697 700.9 329.2 371.7

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Kyle Freeland 5.4253 5.1259 4.9795 464.2 171.4 292.8
2 Noah Cameron 4.2679 4.0198 2.9928 825.1 624.0 201.1
3 Ranger Suarez 3.9608 3.7712 3.2034 629.1 431.7 197.3
4 Will Warren 3.8894 4.2776 4.4353 239.7 44.4 195.3
5 Brad Lord 4.8456 4.6282 4.3393 390.5 209.8 180.7
6 Luis Severino 4.0363 4.4021 4.5369 205.7 27.8 177.9
7 Trevor Rogers 4.6446 4.3601 1.8055 1289.3 1120.9 168.4
8 Michael Lorenzen 4.8114 4.6474 4.6376 231.9 63.7 168.2
9 Adrian Houser 4.8774 4.6889 3.3120 919.1 762.7 156.4
10 Osvaldo Bido 3.8926 4.4354 5.8745 643.6 487.8 155.8

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Bryan Woo 4.3126 3.7162 2.9411 1022.9 636.3 386.6
2 Germán Márquez 4.2806 4.7917 6.6966 1411.4 1069.4 342.0
3 Antonio Senzatela 4.6891 5.1052 6.6462 1192.3 893.4 298.9
4 Carmen Mlodzinski 4.8879 4.2663 3.5455 574.1 342.0 232.1
5 Luis Castillo 4.0717 3.6974 3.5369 419.1 190.6 228.5
6 McCade Brown 4.2222 5.9135 7.3636 392.3 170.7 221.6
7 Ryan Rolison 4.2222 5.2525 7.0157 533.8 321.9 211.9
8 Tanner Gordon 4.5233 5.0392 6.3319 600.1 403.5 196.6
9 Zack Littell 4.7264 4.4025 3.8089 717.4 522.9 194.6
10 Gavin Williams 4.3238 3.9950 3.0596 909.5 725.6 183.9

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Drew Rasmussen 3.6901 3.4569 2.7600 640.1 463.5 176.7
2 Bryan Woo 3.8851 3.7162 2.9411 810.1 636.3 173.8
3 Zack Littell 4.5400 4.4025 3.8089 679.5 522.9 156.6
4 Ryan Pepiot 4.1741 4.0181 3.8648 321.5 168.9 152.6
5 Nick Martinez 4.5775 4.2734 4.4547 196.0 58.7 137.3
6 Miles Mikolas 4.2916 4.5619 4.8358 254.3 119.4 134.8
7 Sean Burke 4.7230 4.5767 4.2208 397.1 268.9 128.2
8 Gavin Williams 4.1077 3.9950 3.0596 853.4 725.6 127.8
9 David Peterson 3.7184 3.9621 4.2154 240.6 114.2 126.4
10 MacKenzie Gore 3.7411 3.9923 4.1712 180.8 56.8 124.0

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 5.8870 4.8714 4.6433 847.2 218.3 628.9
2 Jeffrey Springs 4.5484 4.0073 4.1053 324.1 1.8 322.3
3 Kevin Gausman 4.5102 4.0171 3.5907 721.5 404.4 317.1
4 Chase Dollander 4.2222 4.8308 6.5204 1008.5 703.1 305.4
5 Bradley Blalock 4.2222 5.2438 9.3580 1409.2 1105.2 304.0
6 Mitch Keller 4.7602 4.2725 4.1853 439.2 136.8 302.5
7 Davis Martin 5.0700 4.5724 4.1005 589.6 341.0 248.6
8 Merrill Kelly 4.6401 4.2326 3.5217 845.1 603.0 242.1
9 Kyle Freeland 5.5498 5.1259 4.9795 412.5 171.4 241.0
10 Patrick Corbin 5.4705 5.0260 4.4034 715.1 476.0 239.1

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Nick Martinez 3.5250 4.2734 4.4547 557.1 58.7 498.4
2 Walker Buehler 3.7742 4.4852 4.9286 587.8 196.6 391.2
3 Nick Lodolo 4.6731 4.0985 3.3319 934.3 553.4 380.9
4 Brad Lord 5.3000 4.6282 4.3393 586.8 209.8 377.0
5 Paul Skenes 3.2885 2.8469 1.9663 1052.8 715.4 337.4
6 Patrick Corbin 5.4783 5.0260 4.4034 788.2 476.0 312.3
7 Eduardo Rodriguez 3.6509 4.1053 5.0151 867.6 565.2 302.4
8 Jack Leiter 5.0370 4.5995 3.8571 835.8 541.2 294.7
9 Zac Gallen 3.4508 3.8234 4.8281 1027.0 739.3 287.7
10 Brady Singer 4.7671 4.4030 4.0314 608.4 334.3 274.1

WHIP

Everybody Missed for WHIP

Player Actual ATC Aggregate Depth Charts Marcel OOPSY Razzball Steamer The BAT ZiPS
Hunter Brown 1.0252
1.2510
(176.4)
1.2472
(170.7)
1.2590
(179.5)
1.2946
(219.4)
1.2433
(170.3)
1.2527
(181.7)
1.2557
(169.7)
1.2204
(161.0)
1.2600
(181.1)
Jack Kochanowicz 1.7477
1.3649
(187.7)
1.3926
(175.6)
1.4062
(168.5)
1.2540
(236.6)
1.4011
(169.6)
1.4282
(152.5)
1.4226
(165.3)
1.3536
(188.7)
1.3854
(178.5)
Eduardo Rodriguez 1.5421
1.2898
(163.9)
1.2965
(162.0)
1.2886
(167.4)
1.2777
(161.6)
1.3254
(139.6)
1.2863
(162.4)
1.3009
(165.8)
1.3127
(141.4)
1.2642
(183.4)
Cristopher Sánchez 1.0644
1.2232
(141.2)
1.2328
(145.7)
1.2321
(145.4)
1.2198
(151.0)
1.2263
(143.2)
1.2391
(158.6)
1.2456
(148.1)
1.2475
(168.4)
1.2151
(132.7)
Antonio Senzatela 1.8385
1.5089
(193.7)
1.4755
(216.8)
1.4460
(234.9)
1.4243
(236.4)
1.5052
(196.4)
1.4343
(236.3)
1.4599
(232.5)
1.5164
(183.2)
1.4302
(243.8)
Trevor Rogers 0.9027
1.3714
(205.1)
1.3638
(200.2)
1.3478
(193.5)
1.4515
(245.5)
1.3927
(213.8)
1.3681
(206.1)
1.3145
(175.1)
1.3009
(179.2)
1.3731
(204.8)
Nathan Eovaldi 0.8538
1.1810
(170.3)
1.2039
(179.7)
1.2093
(182.4)
1.1727
(173.9)
1.2064
(182.5)
1.1829
(174.0)
1.2218
(183.6)
1.2304
(199.4)
1.2014
(179.2)
Germán Márquez 1.7098
1.4055
(170.2)
1.3986
(176.7)
1.3856
(184.3)
1.3166
(213.6)
1.4024
(172.5)
1.3524
(198.3)
1.4168
(171.8)
1.4523
(137.0)
1.3640
(196.3)

Individual Misses for WHIP

ATC

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Yusei Kikuchi 1.2130 1.4243 150.6
2 Charlie Morton 1.3344 1.5775 148.4
3 Erick Fedde 1.2702 1.5177 144.2
4 Shawn Armstrong 1.3016 0.8108 144.0
5 Eric Lauer 1.4296 1.1083 143.8
6 Andrew Abbott 1.3410 1.1483 142.9
7 Aroldis Chapman 1.3076 0.7011 142.0
8 Brad Keller 1.4585 0.9617 141.6
9 Matt Svanson 1.4666 0.8785 141.4
10 Nick Pivetta 1.1652 0.9853 141.3

Aggregate

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 1.0892 1.3963 159.0
2 Kevin Gausman 1.2370 1.0622 144.9
3 Charlie Morton 1.3482 1.5775 142.0
4 Merrill Kelly 1.2914 1.1141 141.7
5 Yusei Kikuchi 1.2291 1.4243 141.3
6 Bryan Woo 1.1058 0.9268 139.8
7 Nick Pivetta 1.1669 0.9853 139.7
8 Ryne Nelson 1.2797 1.0714 136.4
9 Matt Svanson 1.4488 0.8785 136.3
10 Shawn Armstrong 1.2767 0.8108 135.8

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 1.0859 1.3963 160.6
2 Bryan Woo 1.1194 0.9268 149.8
3 Dustin May 1.1538 1.4207 148.6
4 Charlie Morton 1.3419 1.5775 146.0
5 Merrill Kelly 1.2953 1.1141 144.8
6 Kevin Gausman 1.2356 1.0622 144.0
7 Ryne Nelson 1.2857 1.0714 140.3
8 Andrew Abbott 1.3363 1.1483 137.0
9 Shawn Armstrong 1.2778 0.8108 136.1
10 Lance McCullers Jr. 1.3056 1.8072 134.1

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Nick Pivetta 1.2026 0.9853 179.5
2 Carlos Rodón 1.2360 1.0495 172.1
3 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.2041 0.9904 167.8
4 Ryne Nelson 1.3005 1.0714 161.4
5 Jacob deGrom 1.1244 0.9208 157.4
6 Garrett Crochet 1.1851 1.0276 154.0
7 Janson Junk 1.4448 1.1364 152.0
8 Kevin Gausman 1.2252 1.0622 150.9
9 Shawn Armstrong 1.3083 0.8108 150.3
10 Nick Lodolo 1.2806 1.0787 149.9

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Spencer Strider 1.0729 1.3963 166.0
2 Merrill Kelly 1.3022 1.1141 152.3
3 Kevin Gausman 1.2423 1.0622 151.6
4 Yusei Kikuchi 1.2136 1.4243 150.7
5 Matt Svanson 1.4910 0.8785 147.0
6 Brad Keller 1.4635 0.9617 142.8
7 Nick Pivetta 1.1659 0.9853 141.3
8 Shawn Armstrong 1.2831 0.8108 138.5
9 Aroldis Chapman 1.2787 0.7011 135.2
10 Lance McCullers Jr. 1.3009 1.8072 134.5

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Woo 1.1560 0.9268 183.4
2 Spencer Strider 1.0666 1.3963 166.0
3 Zack Littell 1.2988 1.1036 164.7
4 Charlie Morton 1.3211 1.5775 153.5
5 Yusei Kikuchi 1.2042 1.4243 153.1
6 Ryne Nelson 1.2948 1.0714 151.7
7 Nick Pivetta 1.1687 0.9853 147.9
8 Stephen Kolek 1.4301 1.1450 141.5
9 Brad Keller 1.4502 0.9617 140.8
10 Merrill Kelly 1.2806 1.1141 140.8

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Bryan Woo 1.1771 0.9268 184.7
2 Yusei Kikuchi 1.1992 1.4243 172.0
3 Merrill Kelly 1.3246 1.1141 159.1
4 Spencer Strider 1.0994 1.3963 158.8
5 Charlie Morton 1.3387 1.5775 154.7
6 Nick Pivetta 1.1882 0.9853 148.0
7 Zack Littell 1.2905 1.1036 143.6
8 Ryne Nelson 1.2987 1.0714 142.1
9 Andrew Abbott 1.3519 1.1483 140.8
10 Dennis Santana 1.3681 0.8673 135.8

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Kevin Gausman 1.2773 1.0622 186.5
2 Carlos Rodón 1.2498 1.0495 178.2
3 Merrill Kelly 1.3191 1.1141 172.4
4 Nick Pivetta 1.1883 0.9853 164.8
5 Erick Fedde 1.2468 1.5177 152.9
6 Nick Lodolo 1.2912 1.0787 152.9
7 Dennis Santana 1.3776 0.8673 144.7
8 Andrew Abbott 1.3315 1.1483 142.8
9 Ryne Nelson 1.2747 1.0714 141.6
10 Bradley Blalock 1.3009 1.8409 141.5

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Actual Error
1 Dustin May 1.1141 1.4207 171.1
2 Spencer Strider 1.0660 1.3963 170.6
3 Charlie Morton 1.3329 1.5775 151.0
4 Walker Buehler 1.2419 1.5159 147.1
5 Kevin Gausman 1.2337 1.0622 143.5
6 Shawn Armstrong 1.3020 0.8108 143.4
7 Lance McCullers Jr. 1.2817 1.8072 140.2
8 Aroldis Chapman 1.2865 0.7011 136.6
9 Brad Keller 1.4388 0.9617 135.4
10 Janson Junk 1.4253 1.1364 135.2

Most Unique Misses for WHIP

Players where this system’s error exceeded Aggregate’s error by the largest margin.

ATC

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 McCade Brown 1.3009 1.6498 1.8312 64.8 21.3 43.5
2 Juan Morillo 1.3009 1.5679 1.6893 56.6 16.6 40.0
3 Ryan Rolison 1.3009 1.5091 1.7717 87.7 48.3 39.4
4 Shane Baz 1.2437 1.2896 1.3347 53.2 23.4 29.8
5 Cade Horton 1.3541 1.2957 1.0847 135.9 106.2 29.7
6 Jack Leiter 1.3885 1.3534 1.2791 81.1 55.9 25.3
7 Eric Lauer 1.4296 1.3752 1.1083 143.8 118.9 24.9
8 Cole Henry 1.3009 1.4181 1.4241 25.8 1.5 24.3
9 Framber Valdez 1.1786 1.2127 1.2448 40.1 16.0 24.2
10 Sean Newcomb 1.5465 1.4927 1.3538 81.7 59.1 22.6

Depth Charts

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 McCade Brown 1.3009 1.6498 1.8312 65.3 21.3 43.9
2 Juan Morillo 1.3009 1.5679 1.6893 57.2 16.6 40.6
3 Ryan Rolison 1.3009 1.5091 1.7717 88.5 48.3 40.2
4 Paul Skenes 1.0977 1.0573 0.9485 118.4 88.7 29.8
5 Ryan Pepiot 1.2532 1.2158 1.1630 69.7 44.1 25.5
6 Jake Woodford 1.3009 1.4363 1.5963 48.1 25.1 23.0
7 Kai-Wei Teng 1.3009 1.4627 1.5506 33.0 10.5 22.5
8 Garrett Crochet 1.1210 1.0963 1.0276 86.1 65.8 20.3
9 Corbin Martin 1.3009 1.5216 1.7222 36.4 16.8 19.6
10 Dustin May 1.1538 1.1864 1.4207 148.6 129.7 18.9

Marcel

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jacob deGrom 1.1244 0.9683 0.9208 157.4 39.9 117.5
2 Sean Burke 1.2298 1.3987 1.4442 108.9 19.8 89.1
3 Garrett Crochet 1.1851 1.0963 1.0276 154.0 65.8 88.2
4 Slade Cecconi 1.3222 1.2082 1.1894 89.6 16.9 72.8
5 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.2041 1.1178 0.9904 167.8 95.5 72.4
6 Casey Mize 1.3799 1.2900 1.2685 89.7 21.1 68.6
7 Shane Baz 1.1823 1.2896 1.3347 85.9 23.4 62.4
8 Jack Kochanowicz 1.2540 1.3926 1.7477 236.6 175.6 61.0
9 Hunter Brown 1.2946 1.2472 1.0252 219.4 170.7 48.8
10 José Soriano 1.2488 1.3355 1.3964 84.0 35.3 48.7

OOPSY

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Jacob deGrom 1.0031 0.9683 0.9208 65.4 39.9 25.5
2 Noah Cameron 1.3074 1.2659 1.0988 124.6 99.7 24.9
3 Sean Burke 1.3544 1.3987 1.4442 44.3 19.8 24.4
4 Adrian Houser 1.4536 1.4126 1.2800 98.0 75.0 22.9
5 Jacob Lopez 1.3437 1.2896 1.2734 34.2 11.3 22.9
6 Brayan Bello 1.3642 1.3367 1.2360 100.6 79.0 21.5
7 Michael Lorenzen 1.4327 1.4010 1.3271 73.4 52.2 21.2
8 Cole Henry 1.5011 1.4181 1.4241 22.3 1.5 20.8
9 Kyle Freeland 1.4463 1.4221 1.4201 29.6 10.0 19.6
10 Luis Castillo 1.1394 1.1682 1.1845 22.0 3.1 18.9

Razzball

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Quinn Priester 1.4288 1.3632 1.2394 137.9 88.8 49.1
2 Nick Martinez 1.3360 1.2786 1.2072 102.8 57.1 45.7
3 Bryan Woo 1.1560 1.1058 0.9268 183.4 139.8 43.7
4 McCade Brown 1.3009 1.6498 1.8312 64.1 21.3 42.8
5 Zack Littell 1.2988 1.2537 1.1036 164.7 123.2 41.5
6 Juan Morillo 1.3009 1.5679 1.6893 55.7 16.6 39.1
7 Ryan Rolison 1.3009 1.5091 1.7717 86.7 48.3 38.4
8 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.1630 1.1178 0.9904 132.9 95.5 37.5
9 Clay Holmes 1.3567 1.3153 1.3038 52.9 16.8 36.1
10 Drew Rasmussen 1.2007 1.1499 1.0200 118.4 83.1 35.3

Steamer

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Bryan Woo 1.1771 1.1058 0.9268 184.7 139.8 44.9
2 Yoshinobu Yamamoto 1.1810 1.1178 0.9904 131.9 95.5 36.5
3 MacKenzie Gore 1.2435 1.2864 1.3528 72.8 36.9 35.9
4 Drew Rasmussen 1.2179 1.1499 1.0200 117.1 83.1 34.0
5 Ryan Pepiot 1.2736 1.2158 1.1630 76.6 44.1 32.5
6 Yusei Kikuchi 1.1992 1.2291 1.4243 172.0 141.3 30.7
7 Jackson Rutledge 1.3276 1.4044 1.5136 60.6 32.0 28.6
8 Max Fried 1.2307 1.1865 1.1007 106.0 78.5 27.5
9 Tyler Holton 1.2173 1.1252 1.0424 55.3 29.7 25.6
10 Nick Martinez 1.3259 1.2786 1.2072 82.6 57.1 25.5

The BAT

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Tomoyuki Sugano 1.4606 1.3347 1.3312 104.6 10.6 94.0
2 Slade Cecconi 1.3009 1.2082 1.1894 74.7 16.9 57.8
3 Carlos Rodón 1.2498 1.1944 1.0495 178.2 123.9 54.3
4 Mitch Keller 1.3540 1.2953 1.2590 90.3 36.3 54.0
5 Bradley Blalock 1.3009 1.5055 1.8409 141.5 88.9 52.6
6 Luis Severino 1.3551 1.3057 1.3033 54.6 10.3 44.3
7 Chase Dollander 1.3009 1.4141 1.5510 99.0 55.0 44.0
8 Taijuan Walker 1.3009 1.3955 1.4070 43.3 0.4 43.0
9 McCade Brown 1.3009 1.6498 1.8312 63.6 21.3 42.3
10 Jeffrey Springs 1.2697 1.2246 1.2105 60.4 18.7 41.7

ZiPS

Rank Player Proj Agg Actual Error Agg Err Unique
1 Walker Buehler 1.2419 1.3450 1.5159 147.1 89.7 57.4
2 Garrett Crochet 1.1570 1.0963 1.0276 116.4 65.8 50.6
3 Patrick Corbin 1.5000 1.4330 1.3648 98.7 53.3 45.4
4 McCade Brown 1.3009 1.6498 1.8312 65.1 21.3 43.8
5 Paul Skenes 1.1154 1.0573 0.9485 132.3 88.7 43.7
6 Dustin May 1.1141 1.1864 1.4207 171.1 129.7 41.4
7 Sandy Alcantara 1.1414 1.1957 1.2710 86.4 47.0 39.3
8 Logan Webb 1.1378 1.1847 1.2367 73.0 34.1 38.9
9 Will Warren 1.2674 1.3162 1.3737 65.9 32.2 33.7
10 Logan Allen 1.3388 1.3841 1.3979 30.7 1.1 29.6